diff --git a/*.parquet/README.md b/*.parquet/README.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..457be754a0dadffcedd31dcabd2a0b0cc8a349cd --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/README.md @@ -0,0 +1,158 @@ +--- +license: mit +task_categories: +- multiple-choice +- question-answering +language: +- en +tags: +- finance +- forecasting +- macroeconomics +- recall-vs-reasoning +- time-series +size_categories: +- 1K.parquet` — per-year files (config `by_year`, splits `y1999`…`y2026`). +- `mcq_.json` — per-year files in JSON. + +## Provenance + +Indicators and values from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). Questions, distractors, +and answer-letter balancing generated by the OpenFinArena `competitions_historical` +pipeline. 100/100 stratified audit re-derived every sampled answer from raw FRED. diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_1999.json b/*.parquet/mcq_1999.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..6e90b7821702241c8903cf8bd1f7b269c1f2e9f4 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_1999.json @@ -0,0 +1,884 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) +0.39pp\nC) +0.47pp\nD) +0.25pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.32pp", + "B) +0.39pp", + "C) +0.47pp", + "D) +0.25pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.32pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,738K\nB) 1,635K\nC) 1,566K\nD) 1,601K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,738K", + "B) 1,635K", + "C) 1,566K", + "D) 1,601K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,635K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.11%\nD) 5.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.47%", + "B) 5.50%", + "C) 6.11%", + "D) 5.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 6.35%\nC) 5.55%\nD) 5.87%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.39%", + "B) 6.35%", + "C) 5.55%", + "D) 5.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.84\nB) 76.05\nC) 77.53\nD) 71.62", + "options": [ + "A) 73.84", + "B) 76.05", + "C) 77.53", + "D) 71.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "73.84", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $-25,462M\nB) $-22,699M\nC) $-18,555M\nD) $-26,843M", + "options": [ + "A) $-25,462M", + "B) $-22,699M", + "C) $-18,555M", + "D) $-26,843M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-22,699M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,395B\nB) $7,119B\nC) $6,912B\nD) $6,704B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,395B", + "B) $7,119B", + "C) $6,912B", + "D) $6,704B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$6,912B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 296,936\nB) 310,808\nC) 269,192\nD) 290,000", + "options": [ + "A) 296,936", + "B) 310,808", + "C) 269,192", + "D) 290,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "290,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,318B\nB) $4,102B\nC) $4,448B\nD) $4,232B", + "options": [ + "A) $4,318B", + "B) $4,102B", + "C) $4,448B", + "D) $4,232B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$4,318B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) $14.94/bbl\nB) $18.61/bbl\nC) $22.28/bbl\nD) $21.06/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $14.94/bbl", + "B) $18.61/bbl", + "C) $22.28/bbl", + "D) $21.06/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$18.61/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $557M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $557M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$557M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,465.11\nB) 2,313.78\nC) 2,566.00\nD) 2,414.67", + "options": [ + "A) 2,465.11", + "B) 2,313.78", + "C) 2,566.00", + "D) 2,414.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,414.67", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.91\nB) 29.80\nC) 22.02\nD) 27.21", + "options": [ + "A) 25.91", + "B) 29.80", + "C) 22.02", + "D) 27.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "25.91", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,465K\nB) 1,551K\nC) 1,616K\nD) 1,508K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,465K", + "B) 1,551K", + "C) 1,616K", + "D) 1,508K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,551K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.51%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 5.98%\nD) 6.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.51%", + "B) 5.67%", + "C) 5.98%", + "D) 6.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.09%\nB) 7.83%\nC) 7.47%\nD) 7.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.09%", + "B) 7.83%", + "C) 7.47%", + "D) 7.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 128.00\nB) 124.16\nC) 130.56\nD) 134.40", + "options": [ + "A) 128.00", + "B) 124.16", + "C) 130.56", + "D) 134.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "128.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $66,480M\nB) $63,231M\nC) $60,794M\nD) $64,855M", + "options": [ + "A) $66,480M", + "B) $63,231M", + "C) $60,794M", + "D) $64,855M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$63,231M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 112.56\nB) 110.42\nC) 107.20\nD) 103.98", + "options": [ + "A) 112.56", + "B) 110.42", + "C) 107.20", + "D) 103.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "107.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.8576\nB) 8.0298\nC) 8.5264\nD) 8.2781", + "options": [ + "A) 8.8576", + "B) 8.0298", + "C) 8.5264", + "D) 8.2781" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.2781", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.36%\nB) 84.62%\nC) 79.74%\nD) 82.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 81.36%", + "B) 84.62%", + "C) 79.74%", + "D) 82.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "81.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.98%\nB) 67.00%\nC) 64.99%\nD) 69.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.98%", + "B) 67.00%", + "C) 64.99%", + "D) 69.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "67.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 124.1342\nB) 115.3737\nC) 120.6300\nD) 127.6384", + "options": [ + "A) 124.1342", + "B) 115.3737", + "C) 120.6300", + "D) 127.6384" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "120.6300", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0920\nB) 0.9170\nC) 0.9670\nD) 1.0420", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0920", + "B) 0.9170", + "C) 0.9670", + "D) 1.0420" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0420", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $188,910M\nB) $192,688M\nC) $183,243M\nD) $198,356M", + "options": [ + "A) $188,910M", + "B) $192,688M", + "C) $183,243M", + "D) $198,356M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$188,910M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,340B\nB) $4,569B\nC) $4,477B\nD) $4,660B", + "options": [ + "A) $4,340B", + "B) $4,569B", + "C) $4,477B", + "D) $4,660B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$4,569B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.08%\nB) 5.44%\nC) 5.22%\nD) 4.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.08%", + "B) 5.44%", + "C) 5.22%", + "D) 4.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 4.09%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 3.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.31%", + "B) 4.09%", + "C) 2.52%", + "D) 3.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 129,771K\nB) 121,985K\nC) 133,664K\nD) 125,878K", + "options": [ + "A) 129,771K", + "B) 121,985K", + "C) 133,664K", + "D) 125,878K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "129,771K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 181.36\nB) 177.80\nC) 186.69\nD) 174.24", + "options": [ + "A) 181.36", + "B) 177.80", + "C) 186.69", + "D) 174.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "177.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.43/hr\nB) $14.02/hr\nC) $13.61/hr\nD) $13.20/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $14.43/hr", + "B) $14.02/hr", + "C) $13.61/hr", + "D) $13.20/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$13.61/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $247,378M\nB) $267,780M\nC) $262,680M\nD) $255,029M", + "options": [ + "A) $247,378M", + "B) $267,780M", + "C) $262,680M", + "D) $255,029M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$255,029M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,215,000\nB) 2,148,550\nC) 2,104,250\nD) 2,259,300", + "options": [ + "A) 2,215,000", + "B) 2,148,550", + "C) 2,104,250", + "D) 2,259,300" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,215,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 70.23\nB) 72.41\nC) 74.58\nD) 76.03", + "options": [ + "A) 70.23", + "B) 72.41", + "C) 74.58", + "D) 76.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "72.41", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) $14.12/bbl\nB) $17.44/bbl\nC) $16.33/bbl\nD) $13.01/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $14.12/bbl", + "B) $17.44/bbl", + "C) $16.33/bbl", + "D) $13.01/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$16.33/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,770B\nB) $6,195B\nC) $6,578B\nD) $6,386B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,770B", + "B) $6,195B", + "C) $6,578B", + "D) $6,386B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$6,386B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.20%\nB) 62.27%\nC) 59.71%\nD) 66.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.20%", + "B) 62.27%", + "C) 59.71%", + "D) 66.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "64.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 4.90%\nD) 5.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.58%", + "B) 4.74%", + "C) 4.90%", + "D) 5.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.33%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 4.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.33%", + "B) 3.95%", + "C) 4.20%", + "D) 4.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.53%\nB) 6.05%\nC) 5.27%\nD) 5.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.53%", + "B) 6.05%", + "C) 5.27%", + "D) 5.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 167.80\nB) 162.77\nC) 177.87\nD) 172.83", + "options": [ + "A) 167.80", + "B) 162.77", + "C) 177.87", + "D) 172.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "167.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 84.96\nB) 89.43\nC) 86.75\nD) 92.11", + "options": [ + "A) 84.96", + "B) 89.43", + "C) 86.75", + "D) 92.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "89.43", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_1999.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_1999.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..0c0bc859b52bbe4277010dc17dfeb1be7b5494b2 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_1999.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:c71bf693a732ebc6c4f0b53b9f369caef5542e92b2f7adc9aa5052ede1321c3f +size 16357 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2000.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2000.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..5d85ef050207b40e928428fe0e63f38add62a749 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2000.json @@ -0,0 +1,2594 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.08%\nB) 0.46%\nC) 5.54%\nD) 3.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.08%", + "B) 0.46%", + "C) 5.54%", + "D) 3.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 75.71\nB) 69.83\nC) 71.30\nD) 73.50", + "options": [ + "A) 75.71", + "B) 69.83", + "C) 71.30", + "D) 73.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "73.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 5.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.10%", + "B) 4.44%", + "C) 3.08%", + "D) 5.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 278,005\nB) 294,000\nC) 309,995\nD) 270,008", + "options": [ + "A) 278,005", + "B) 294,000", + "C) 309,995", + "D) 270,008" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "294,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.35%\nB) 9.23%\nC) 8.88%\nD) 9.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.35%", + "B) 9.23%", + "C) 8.88%", + "D) 9.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 137.34\nB) 126.88\nC) 133.42\nD) 130.80", + "options": [ + "A) 137.34", + "B) 126.88", + "C) 133.42", + "D) 130.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "130.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.80\nB) 112.72\nC) 110.35\nD) 103.25", + "options": [ + "A) 106.80", + "B) 112.72", + "C) 110.35", + "D) 103.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "106.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.48\nB) 74.25\nC) 79.45\nD) 72.02", + "options": [ + "A) 76.48", + "B) 74.25", + "C) 79.45", + "D) 72.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "74.25", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.34pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) -0.18pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.34pp", + "B) -0.02pp", + "C) -0.10pp", + "D) -0.18pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 11.31%\nB) 10.20%\nC) 10.76%\nD) 9.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.31%", + "B) 10.20%", + "C) 10.76%", + "D) 9.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.26%\nB) 7.18%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 6.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.26%", + "B) 7.18%", + "C) 5.34%", + "D) 6.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.13%\nB) 1.23%\nC) -0.56%\nD) 6.58%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.13%", + "B) 1.23%", + "C) -0.56%", + "D) 6.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.60%\nB) 3.40%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 4.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.60%", + "B) 3.40%", + "C) 3.80%", + "D) 4.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.06\nB) 72.33\nC) 78.30\nD) 74.57", + "options": [ + "A) 76.06", + "B) 72.33", + "C) 78.30", + "D) 74.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "74.57", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 92.15\nB) 96.76\nC) 94.91\nD) 89.39", + "options": [ + "A) 92.15", + "B) 96.76", + "C) 94.91", + "D) 89.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "92.15", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $212,511M\nB) $199,947M\nC) $187,383M\nD) $195,759M", + "options": [ + "A) $212,511M", + "B) $199,947M", + "C) $187,383M", + "D) $195,759M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$199,947M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 104.84\nB) 109.36\nC) 107.10\nD) 101.45", + "options": [ + "A) 104.84", + "B) 109.36", + "C) 107.10", + "D) 101.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "107.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.29pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.19pp\nD) +0.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.29pp", + "B) +0.10pp", + "C) +0.19pp", + "D) +0.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 16.42%\nC) 12.89%\nD) -1.21%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.84%", + "B) 16.42%", + "C) 12.89%", + "D) -1.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.44%\nC) 6.76%\nD) 7.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.12%", + "B) 6.44%", + "C) 6.76%", + "D) 7.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,055B\nB) $4,722B\nC) $4,855B\nD) $5,188B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,055B", + "B) $4,722B", + "C) $4,855B", + "D) $5,188B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$4,855B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.41/hr\nB) $13.71/hr\nC) $14.70/hr\nD) $14.13/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $14.41/hr", + "B) $13.71/hr", + "C) $14.70/hr", + "D) $14.13/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$14.13/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.90%\nB) 64.89%\nC) 62.89%\nD) 68.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 66.90%", + "B) 64.89%", + "C) 62.89%", + "D) 68.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "66.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) $38.68/bbl\nB) $29.77/bbl\nC) $35.71/bbl\nD) $23.83/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $38.68/bbl", + "B) $29.77/bbl", + "C) $35.71/bbl", + "D) $23.83/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$29.77/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.62pp\nB) +0.23pp\nC) +0.04pp\nD) -0.34pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.62pp", + "B) +0.23pp", + "C) +0.04pp", + "D) -0.34pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.04pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.65%\nB) 6.46%\nC) 6.85%\nD) 6.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.65%", + "B) 6.46%", + "C) 6.85%", + "D) 6.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 180.00\nB) 174.60\nC) 167.40\nD) 185.40", + "options": [ + "A) 180.00", + "B) 174.60", + "C) 167.40", + "D) 185.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "180.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,032B\nB) $7,250B\nC) $7,467B\nD) $7,612B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,032B", + "B) $7,250B", + "C) $7,467B", + "D) $7,612B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$7,250B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $293,541M\nB) $256,712M\nC) $270,523M\nD) $279,730M", + "options": [ + "A) $293,541M", + "B) $256,712M", + "C) $270,523M", + "D) $279,730M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$270,523M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $183,846M\nB) $200,414M\nC) $205,937M\nD) $192,130M", + "options": [ + "A) $183,846M", + "B) $200,414M", + "C) $205,937M", + "D) $192,130M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$192,130M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 64.60%\nB) 66.54%\nC) 63.31%\nD) 61.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.60%", + "B) 66.54%", + "C) 63.31%", + "D) 61.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "64.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $4,806B\nB) $4,712B\nC) $4,947B\nD) $4,617B", + "options": [ + "A) $4,806B", + "B) $4,712B", + "C) $4,947B", + "D) $4,617B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$4,712B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 116.5666\nB) 109.8689\nC) 106.5200\nD) 113.2177", + "options": [ + "A) 116.5666", + "B) 109.8689", + "C) 106.5200", + "D) 113.2177" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "106.5200", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $-35,757M\nB) $-25,357M\nC) $-27,090M\nD) $-30,557M", + "options": [ + "A) $-35,757M", + "B) $-25,357M", + "C) $-27,090M", + "D) $-30,557M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-30,557M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 6.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.84%", + "B) 6.38%", + "C) 5.30%", + "D) 6.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 177.07\nB) 173.60\nC) 168.39\nD) 164.92", + "options": [ + "A) 177.07", + "B) 173.60", + "C) 168.39", + "D) 164.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "173.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $-30,888M\nB) $-25,998M\nC) $-33,333M\nD) $-28,443M", + "options": [ + "A) $-30,888M", + "B) $-25,998M", + "C) $-33,333M", + "D) $-28,443M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-33,333M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.90%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 2.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.90%", + "B) 2.66%", + "C) 2.43%", + "D) 2.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.98\nB) 88.33\nC) 95.77\nD) 90.19", + "options": [ + "A) 92.98", + "B) 88.33", + "C) 95.77", + "D) 90.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "92.98", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,129B\nB) $6,889B\nC) $6,289B\nD) $6,529B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,129B", + "B) $6,889B", + "C) $6,289B", + "D) $6,529B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$6,889B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 27.25%\nB) 63.11%\nC) 51.16%\nD) 75.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 27.25%", + "B) 63.11%", + "C) 51.16%", + "D) 75.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "51.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.45%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 4.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.45%", + "B) 6.15%", + "C) 2.25%", + "D) 4.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 67.30%\nB) 63.93%\nC) 69.32%\nD) 65.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 67.30%", + "B) 63.93%", + "C) 69.32%", + "D) 65.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "67.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 5.85%\nC) 6.28%\nD) 5.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.14%", + "B) 5.85%", + "C) 6.28%", + "D) 5.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.03pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) -0.39pp\nD) -0.27pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.03pp", + "B) -0.15pp", + "C) -0.39pp", + "D) -0.27pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.39pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) -1.98%\nC) -10.75%\nD) -7.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.94%", + "B) -1.98%", + "C) -10.75%", + "D) -7.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-7.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.05%\nD) 4.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.90%", + "B) 3.75%", + "C) 4.05%", + "D) 4.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.74%", + "B) 1.85%", + "C) 1.96%", + "D) 1.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.67%\nB) 8.49%\nC) 8.22%\nD) 7.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.67%", + "B) 8.49%", + "C) 8.22%", + "D) 7.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.42%\nB) 7.40%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 8.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.42%", + "B) 7.40%", + "C) 8.20%", + "D) 8.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,041,000\nB) 1,998,576\nC) 2,168,272\nD) 2,125,848", + "options": [ + "A) 2,041,000", + "B) 1,998,576", + "C) 2,168,272", + "D) 2,125,848" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,041,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.28\nB) 20.68\nC) 17.89\nD) 24.87", + "options": [ + "A) 19.28", + "B) 20.68", + "C) 17.89", + "D) 24.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.68", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 83.85%\nB) 80.56%\nC) 82.20%\nD) 78.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 83.85%", + "B) 80.56%", + "C) 82.20%", + "D) 78.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "82.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $279,542M\nB) $286,558M\nC) $258,496M\nD) $269,019M", + "options": [ + "A) $279,542M", + "B) $286,558M", + "C) $258,496M", + "D) $269,019M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$269,019M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 3.51%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 3.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.82%", + "B) 3.51%", + "C) 3.70%", + "D) 3.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $71,016M\nB) $66,733M\nC) $68,161M\nD) $63,878M", + "options": [ + "A) $71,016M", + "B) $66,733M", + "C) $68,161M", + "D) $63,878M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$66,733M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $60,066M\nB) $67,218M\nC) $63,642M\nD) $69,602M", + "options": [ + "A) $60,066M", + "B) $67,218M", + "C) $63,642M", + "D) $69,602M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$63,642M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $584M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $584M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$584M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $577M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $577M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$577M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 6.11%\nD) 5.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.39%", + "B) 5.93%", + "C) 6.11%", + "D) 5.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,471K\nB) 1,435K\nC) 1,507K\nD) 1,615K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,471K", + "B) 1,435K", + "C) 1,507K", + "D) 1,615K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,507K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,689K\nB) 1,491K\nC) 1,547K\nD) 1,604K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,689K", + "B) 1,491K", + "C) 1,547K", + "D) 1,604K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,604K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 171.00\nB) 179.55\nC) 176.13\nD) 165.87", + "options": [ + "A) 171.00", + "B) 179.55", + "C) 176.13", + "D) 165.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "171.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.24pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.13pp\nD) -0.42pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.24pp", + "B) -0.30pp", + "C) -0.13pp", + "D) -0.42pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 4.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.88%", + "B) 3.76%", + "C) 4.00%", + "D) 4.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.27%\nB) 68.05%\nC) 66.13%\nD) 64.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.27%", + "B) 68.05%", + "C) 66.13%", + "D) 64.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "64.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,570K\nB) 1,474K\nC) 1,538K\nD) 1,602K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,570K", + "B) 1,474K", + "C) 1,538K", + "D) 1,602K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,570K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 3.97%\nC) 4.82%\nD) 3.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.11%", + "B) 3.97%", + "C) 4.82%", + "D) 3.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,600K\nB) 1,702K\nC) 1,651K\nD) 1,753K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,600K", + "B) 1,702K", + "C) 1,651K", + "D) 1,753K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,651K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.91%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 8.59%\nD) 6.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.91%", + "B) 3.56%", + "C) 8.59%", + "D) 6.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 131,604K\nB) 128,972K\nC) 135,552K\nD) 138,184K", + "options": [ + "A) 131,604K", + "B) 128,972K", + "C) 135,552K", + "D) 138,184K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "131,604K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 2.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.26%", + "B) 2.53%", + "C) 2.71%", + "D) 2.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0462\nB) 0.8598\nC) 0.9530\nD) 1.1083", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0462", + "B) 0.8598", + "C) 0.9530", + "D) 1.1083" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.9530", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) $26.96/bbl\nB) $41.32/bbl\nC) $24.08/bbl\nD) $32.70/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $26.96/bbl", + "B) $41.32/bbl", + "C) $24.08/bbl", + "D) $32.70/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$32.70/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 134.70\nB) 140.18\nC) 129.22\nD) 143.83", + "options": [ + "A) 134.70", + "B) 140.18", + "C) 129.22", + "D) 143.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "134.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 3.46%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 2.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.63%", + "B) 3.46%", + "C) 3.98%", + "D) 2.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 97.59\nB) 107.93\nC) 101.47\nD) 105.35", + "options": [ + "A) 97.59", + "B) 107.93", + "C) 101.47", + "D) 105.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "101.47", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 111.31\nB) 102.96\nC) 117.57\nD) 107.14", + "options": [ + "A) 111.31", + "B) 102.96", + "C) 117.57", + "D) 107.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "107.14", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.20\nB) 80.47\nC) 72.95\nD) 77.46", + "options": [ + "A) 75.20", + "B) 80.47", + "C) 72.95", + "D) 77.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "75.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $14.27/hr\nB) $13.85/hr\nC) $13.16/hr\nD) $13.43/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $14.27/hr", + "B) $13.85/hr", + "C) $13.16/hr", + "D) $13.43/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$13.85/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,751B\nB) $7,140B\nC) $7,507B\nD) $8,117B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,751B", + "B) $7,140B", + "C) $7,507B", + "D) $8,117B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$7,507B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.5251\nB) 8.0285\nC) 7.8630\nD) 8.2768", + "options": [ + "A) 8.5251", + "B) 8.0285", + "C) 7.8630", + "D) 8.2768" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.2768", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,735B\nB) $5,107B\nC) $4,958B\nD) $4,586B", + "options": [ + "A) $4,735B", + "B) $5,107B", + "C) $4,958B", + "D) $4,586B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$4,735B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.01%\nB) 85.48%\nC) 108.64%\nD) 62.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.01%", + "B) 85.48%", + "C) 108.64%", + "D) 62.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "85.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.85%\nB) 5.52%\nC) 6.05%\nD) 5.78%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.85%", + "B) 5.52%", + "C) 6.05%", + "D) 5.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 114.63%\nB) 56.26%\nC) 134.08%\nD) 75.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 114.63%", + "B) 56.26%", + "C) 134.08%", + "D) 75.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "75.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.52%\nB) 5.53%\nC) 6.19%\nD) 7.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.52%", + "B) 5.53%", + "C) 6.19%", + "D) 7.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.78%\nB) 81.41%\nC) 77.34%\nD) 83.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 79.78%", + "B) 81.41%", + "C) 77.34%", + "D) 83.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "81.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,003.16\nB) 4,231.55\nC) 3,845.74\nD) 3,459.93", + "options": [ + "A) 5,003.16", + "B) 4,231.55", + "C) 3,845.74", + "D) 3,459.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,845.74", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 191.42\nB) 176.83\nC) 187.77\nD) 182.30", + "options": [ + "A) 191.42", + "B) 176.83", + "C) 187.77", + "D) 182.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "182.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.86%\nB) 8.42%\nC) 8.14%\nD) 8.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.86%", + "B) 8.42%", + "C) 8.14%", + "D) 8.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 5.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.57%", + "B) 5.23%", + "C) 3.90%", + "D) 5.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 2.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.19%", + "B) 1.76%", + "C) 1.98%", + "D) 2.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 136,307K\nB) 129,690K\nC) 138,954K\nD) 132,337K", + "options": [ + "A) 136,307K", + "B) 129,690K", + "C) 138,954K", + "D) 132,337K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "132,337K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,686B\nB) $6,843B\nC) $7,000B\nD) $6,530B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,686B", + "B) $6,843B", + "C) $7,000B", + "D) $6,530B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$6,686B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.70pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +3.51pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.70pp", + "B) -0.40pp", + "C) +0.90pp", + "D) +3.51pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,956.03\nB) 5,606.43\nC) 4,907.24\nD) 5,256.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5,956.03", + "B) 5,606.43", + "C) 4,907.24", + "D) 5,256.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,907.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,956.03\nB) 5,606.43\nC) 4,907.24\nD) 5,256.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5,956.03", + "B) 5,606.43", + "C) 4,907.24", + "D) 5,256.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,907.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,914.24\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 5,662.22\nD) 4,963.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 3,914.24", + "B) 4,263.84", + "C) 5,662.22", + "D) 4,963.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,914.24\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 5,662.22\nD) 4,963.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 3,914.24", + "B) 4,263.84", + "C) 5,662.22", + "D) 4,963.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,963.03\nB) 4,613.43\nC) 6,011.82\nD) 3,914.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4,963.03", + "B) 4,613.43", + "C) 6,011.82", + "D) 3,914.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,963.03\nB) 4,613.43\nC) 6,011.82\nD) 3,914.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4,963.03", + "B) 4,613.43", + "C) 6,011.82", + "D) 3,914.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,613.43\nB) 4,963.03\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 6,011.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4,613.43", + "B) 4,963.03", + "C) 3,914.24", + "D) 6,011.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,613.43\nB) 4,963.03\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 6,011.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4,613.43", + "B) 4,963.03", + "C) 3,914.24", + "D) 6,011.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 3,914.24\nC) 4,963.03\nD) 4,613.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5,662.22", + "B) 3,914.24", + "C) 4,963.03", + "D) 4,613.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 3,914.24\nC) 4,963.03\nD) 4,613.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5,662.22", + "B) 3,914.24", + "C) 4,963.03", + "D) 4,613.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 4,963.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5,662.22", + "B) 4,263.84", + "C) 3,914.24", + "D) 4,963.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 4,963.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5,662.22", + "B) 4,263.84", + "C) 3,914.24", + "D) 4,963.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 16.62\nC) 24.92\nD) 23.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 20.77", + "B) 16.62", + "C) 24.92", + "D) 23.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 16.62\nC) 24.92\nD) 23.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 20.77", + "B) 16.62", + "C) 24.92", + "D) 23.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 20.77\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 23.54", + "B) 20.77", + "C) 24.92", + "D) 16.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 20.77\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 23.54", + "B) 20.77", + "C) 24.92", + "D) 16.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 18.00\nC) 20.77\nD) 16.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 23.54", + "B) 18.00", + "C) 20.77", + "D) 16.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 18.00\nC) 20.77\nD) 16.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 23.54", + "B) 18.00", + "C) 20.77", + "D) 16.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.62\nB) 22.15\nC) 23.54\nD) 20.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 16.62", + "B) 22.15", + "C) 23.54", + "D) 20.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.62\nB) 22.15\nC) 23.54\nD) 20.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 16.62", + "B) 22.15", + "C) 23.54", + "D) 20.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 23.54\nC) 24.92\nD) 19.39", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 20.77", + "B) 23.54", + "C) 24.92", + "D) 19.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 23.54\nC) 24.92\nD) 19.39", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 20.77", + "B) 23.54", + "C) 24.92", + "D) 19.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 13.76\nB) 16.53\nC) 15.15\nD) 12.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 13.76", + "B) 16.53", + "C) 15.15", + "D) 12.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.53", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 13.76\nB) 16.53\nC) 15.15\nD) 12.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 13.76", + "B) 16.53", + "C) 15.15", + "D) 12.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.53", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", + "year": 2000 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2000.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2000.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..5daca7f324f2a8a12029c4ffe2fd18f4cf10b884 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2000.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:2604495742e571212d0434dbfd81dc005bb83a5d95f03a1563e3748c26b0b447 +size 23932 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2001.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2001.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f16162a6cf8c68733e02969d60ad695fc4e68618 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2001.json @@ -0,0 +1,3941 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) $37.70/bbl\nB) $21.75/bbl\nC) $28.13/bbl\nD) $31.32/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $37.70/bbl", + "B) $21.75/bbl", + "C) $28.13/bbl", + "D) $31.32/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$28.13/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.44%\nB) 1.14%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 1.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.44%", + "B) 1.14%", + "C) 1.07%", + "D) 1.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 4.10%\nD) 3.78%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.74%", + "B) 5.06%", + "C) 4.10%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.88%\nB) 7.71%\nC) 8.23%\nD) 7.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.88%", + "B) 7.71%", + "C) 8.23%", + "D) 7.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 71.45\nB) 78.29\nC) 76.01\nD) 73.73", + "options": [ + "A) 71.45", + "B) 78.29", + "C) 76.01", + "D) 73.73" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "76.01", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 190.24\nB) 175.46\nC) 179.16\nD) 184.70", + "options": [ + "A) 190.24", + "B) 175.46", + "C) 179.16", + "D) 184.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "184.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.80\nB) 92.41\nC) 71.19\nD) 85.34", + "options": [ + "A) 81.80", + "B) 92.41", + "C) 71.19", + "D) 85.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "81.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,836,648\nB) 2,939,000\nC) 2,734,295\nD) 3,143,705", + "options": [ + "A) 2,836,648", + "B) 2,939,000", + "C) 2,734,295", + "D) 3,143,705" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,939,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 126,113K\nB) 136,734K\nC) 132,751K\nD) 130,096K", + "options": [ + "A) 126,113K", + "B) 136,734K", + "C) 132,751K", + "D) 130,096K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "132,751K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.00pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.30pp\nD) -0.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.00pp", + "B) -0.40pp", + "C) -0.30pp", + "D) -0.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,562K\nB) 1,628K\nC) 1,595K\nD) 1,661K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,562K", + "B) 1,628K", + "C) 1,595K", + "D) 1,661K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,562K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 72.80\nB) 75.06\nC) 78.81\nD) 77.31", + "options": [ + "A) 72.80", + "B) 75.06", + "C) 78.81", + "D) 77.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "75.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.01%\nB) 5.53%\nC) 5.27%\nD) 4.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.01%", + "B) 5.53%", + "C) 5.27%", + "D) 4.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $62,258M\nB) $54,034M\nC) $59,517M\nD) $58,146M", + "options": [ + "A) $62,258M", + "B) $54,034M", + "C) $59,517M", + "D) $58,146M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$58,146M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,355B\nB) $4,978B\nC) $5,104B\nD) $5,732B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,355B", + "B) $4,978B", + "C) $5,104B", + "D) $5,732B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$5,355B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $173,832M\nB) $164,123M\nC) $149,560M\nD) $168,977M", + "options": [ + "A) $173,832M", + "B) $164,123M", + "C) $149,560M", + "D) $168,977M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$164,123M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 17.86\nB) 27.76\nC) 22.81\nD) 21.16", + "options": [ + "A) 17.86", + "B) 27.76", + "C) 22.81", + "D) 21.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "22.81", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.43%\nB) -2.17%\nC) 2.35%\nD) -1.04%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.43%", + "B) -2.17%", + "C) 2.35%", + "D) -1.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.96pp\nB) -5.06pp\nC) -3.40pp\nD) -4.51pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.96pp", + "B) -5.06pp", + "C) -3.40pp", + "D) -4.51pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-3.96pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $54,413M\nB) $50,735M\nC) $47,057M\nD) $52,574M", + "options": [ + "A) $54,413M", + "B) $50,735M", + "C) $47,057M", + "D) $52,574M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$50,735M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 4.28%\nC) 3.52%\nD) 3.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.38%", + "B) 4.28%", + "C) 3.52%", + "D) 3.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.44%", + "B) 2.70%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 2.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 67.20%\nB) 62.50%\nC) 69.22%\nD) 65.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 67.20%", + "B) 62.50%", + "C) 69.22%", + "D) 65.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "67.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,339B\nB) $7,007B\nC) $7,505B\nD) $6,841B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,339B", + "B) $7,007B", + "C) $7,505B", + "D) $6,841B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$7,007B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.69%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.69%", + "B) 2.11%", + "C) 3.90%", + "D) 3.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 6.22%\nC) 7.24%\nD) 6.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.88%", + "B) 6.22%", + "C) 7.24%", + "D) 6.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.62/hr\nB) $14.00/hr\nC) $15.24/hr\nD) $13.58/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $14.62/hr", + "B) $14.00/hr", + "C) $15.24/hr", + "D) $13.58/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$14.62/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.39%", + "B) 2.11%", + "C) 1.92%", + "D) 1.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.67pp\nB) +0.72pp\nC) +1.10pp\nD) +1.29pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.67pp", + "B) +0.72pp", + "C) +1.10pp", + "D) +1.29pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $647M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $647M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$647M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.28pp\nC) -0.91pp\nD) -0.07pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.70pp", + "B) -0.28pp", + "C) -0.91pp", + "D) -0.07pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 143.11\nB) 135.90\nC) 123.89\nD) 131.09", + "options": [ + "A) 143.11", + "B) 135.90", + "C) 123.89", + "D) 131.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "135.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -12.43pp\nB) -6.09pp\nC) -15.60pp\nD) -9.26pp", + "options": [ + "A) -12.43pp", + "B) -6.09pp", + "C) -15.60pp", + "D) -9.26pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-15.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 120.87\nB) 138.27\nC) 125.84\nD) 133.30", + "options": [ + "A) 120.87", + "B) 138.27", + "C) 125.84", + "D) 133.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "133.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.12\nB) 92.96\nC) 88.36\nD) 94.80", + "options": [ + "A) 91.12", + "B) 92.96", + "C) 88.36", + "D) 94.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "91.12", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.1115\nB) 8.2770\nC) 8.5253\nD) 7.8631", + "options": [ + "A) 8.1115", + "B) 8.2770", + "C) 8.5253", + "D) 7.8631" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.2770", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 6.93%\nC) 6.16%\nD) 5.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.39%", + "B) 6.93%", + "C) 6.16%", + "D) 5.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) -1.23%\nC) 5.61%\nD) 0.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.90%", + "B) -1.23%", + "C) 5.61%", + "D) 0.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.64%\nB) -5.68%\nC) -17.51%\nD) -2.72%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.64%", + "B) -5.68%", + "C) -17.51%", + "D) -2.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-8.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 3.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.99%", + "B) 4.64%", + "C) 5.68%", + "D) 3.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) $34.79/bbl\nB) $31.66/bbl\nC) $28.52/bbl\nD) $19.11/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $34.79/bbl", + "B) $31.66/bbl", + "C) $28.52/bbl", + "D) $19.11/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$28.52/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -26.72%\nB) -31.13%\nC) -13.51%\nD) -17.92%", + "options": [ + "A) -26.72%", + "B) -31.13%", + "C) -13.51%", + "D) -17.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-17.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $269,820M\nB) $255,003M\nC) $294,515M\nD) $279,698M", + "options": [ + "A) $269,820M", + "B) $255,003M", + "C) $294,515M", + "D) $279,698M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$269,820M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 2.98%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.13%", + "B) 2.98%", + "C) 2.84%", + "D) 2.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,460B\nB) $8,002B\nC) $7,696B\nD) $7,238B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,460B", + "B) $8,002B", + "C) $7,696B", + "D) $7,238B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$7,696B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 171.65\nB) 182.40\nC) 186.70\nD) 178.10", + "options": [ + "A) 171.65", + "B) 182.40", + "C) 186.70", + "D) 178.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "178.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 0.99%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 0.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.72%", + "B) 0.99%", + "C) 3.18%", + "D) 0.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 69.59%\nB) 74.92%\nC) 77.06%\nD) 72.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 69.59%", + "B) 74.92%", + "C) 77.06%", + "D) 72.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "74.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 3.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.82%", + "B) 4.02%", + "C) 4.12%", + "D) 3.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 1.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.99%", + "B) 1.75%", + "C) 2.05%", + "D) 1.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,590K\nB) 1,626K\nC) 1,663K\nD) 1,517K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,590K", + "B) 1,626K", + "C) 1,663K", + "D) 1,517K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,590K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.37%\nB) 10.30%\nC) 11.90%\nD) 9.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.37%", + "B) 10.30%", + "C) 11.90%", + "D) 9.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.31%\nD) 1.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.53%", + "B) 1.20%", + "C) 1.31%", + "D) 1.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.24%\nD) 4.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.63%", + "B) 2.86%", + "C) 3.24%", + "D) 4.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.8628\nB) 0.7780\nC) 1.0748\nD) 0.9900", + "options": [ + "A) 0.8628", + "B) 0.7780", + "C) 1.0748", + "D) 0.9900" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.8628", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.65pp\nB) +1.26pp\nC) +1.84pp\nD) +1.07pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.65pp", + "B) +1.26pp", + "C) +1.84pp", + "D) +1.07pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+1.26pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,417.30\nB) 2,806.16\nC) 2,028.43\nD) 1,250.70", + "options": [ + "A) 2,417.30", + "B) 2,806.16", + "C) 2,028.43", + "D) 1,250.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,028.43", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.12%\nB) 68.80%\nC) 64.80%\nD) 66.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.12%", + "B) 68.80%", + "C) 64.80%", + "D) 66.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "66.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 122.9700\nB) 129.5892\nC) 116.3508\nD) 119.6604", + "options": [ + "A) 122.9700", + "B) 129.5892", + "C) 116.3508", + "D) 119.6604" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "122.9700", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 112.11\nB) 115.47\nC) 108.75\nD) 122.18", + "options": [ + "A) 112.11", + "B) 115.47", + "C) 108.75", + "D) 122.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "115.47", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.23%\nB) 5.12%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.23%", + "B) 5.12%", + "C) 5.00%", + "D) 4.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.08%\nB) 62.37%\nC) 66.23%\nD) 64.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.08%", + "B) 62.37%", + "C) 66.23%", + "D) 64.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "64.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.87%\nB) -5.92%\nC) 1.65%\nD) 4.18%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.87%", + "B) -5.92%", + "C) 1.65%", + "D) 4.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,490B\nB) $7,863B\nC) $8,050B\nD) $8,236B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,490B", + "B) $7,863B", + "C) $8,050B", + "D) $8,236B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$7,863B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.08pp\nB) -7.68pp\nC) -6.48pp\nD) -8.88pp", + "options": [ + "A) -10.08pp", + "B) -7.68pp", + "C) -6.48pp", + "D) -8.88pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-6.48pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $599M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $599M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$599M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.32%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 4.34%\nD) -4.98%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.32%", + "B) 2.01%", + "C) 4.34%", + "D) -4.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -14.90pp\nB) -25.00pp\nC) -19.95pp\nD) -9.85pp", + "options": [ + "A) -14.90pp", + "B) -25.00pp", + "C) -19.95pp", + "D) -9.85pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-25.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.17%\nB) 9.22%\nC) 8.80%\nD) 9.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.17%", + "B) 9.22%", + "C) 8.80%", + "D) 9.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.00%\nB) 3.22%\nC) -3.30%\nD) -0.69%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.00%", + "B) 3.22%", + "C) -3.30%", + "D) -0.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) 6.77%\nC) -2.59%\nD) 0.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.65%", + "B) 6.77%", + "C) -2.59%", + "D) 0.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) -47.26%\nC) 28.66%\nD) -21.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.36%", + "B) -47.26%", + "C) 28.66%", + "D) -21.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-47.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.74%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 6.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.74%", + "B) 5.33%", + "C) 4.54%", + "D) 6.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 3.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.21%", + "B) 2.64%", + "C) 3.93%", + "D) 3.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.14%\nB) 6.36%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 6.62%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.14%", + "B) 6.36%", + "C) 6.88%", + "D) 6.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 192.71\nB) 187.10\nC) 181.49\nD) 200.20", + "options": [ + "A) 192.71", + "B) 187.10", + "C) 181.49", + "D) 200.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "187.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) -61.41%\nB) 45.20%\nC) -8.10%\nD) -34.75%", + "options": [ + "A) -61.41%", + "B) 45.20%", + "C) -8.10%", + "D) -34.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-8.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.22%\nB) 7.10%\nC) 8.00%\nD) 7.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.22%", + "B) 7.10%", + "C) 8.00%", + "D) 7.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.43%\nB) 0.99%\nC) -1.86%\nD) -0.91%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.43%", + "B) 0.99%", + "C) -1.86%", + "D) -0.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 6.40%\nD) 5.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.65%", + "B) 4.75%", + "C) 6.40%", + "D) 5.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 170.82\nB) 167.29\nC) 176.10\nD) 181.38", + "options": [ + "A) 170.82", + "B) 167.29", + "C) 176.10", + "D) 181.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "176.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.03pp\nB) -0.19pp\nC) -0.52pp\nD) -0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.03pp", + "B) -0.19pp", + "C) -0.52pp", + "D) -0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,659K\nB) 1,723K\nC) 1,562K\nD) 1,820K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,659K", + "B) 1,723K", + "C) 1,562K", + "D) 1,820K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,659K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.33%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 0.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.33%", + "B) 0.87%", + "C) 0.18%", + "D) 0.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.14pp\nB) +0.38pp\nC) +0.30pp\nD) +0.22pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.14pp", + "B) +0.38pp", + "C) +0.30pp", + "D) +0.22pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,707B\nB) $7,287B\nC) $6,852B\nD) $6,997B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,707B", + "B) $7,287B", + "C) $6,852B", + "D) $6,997B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$6,997B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.47%", + "B) 3.65%", + "C) 3.74%", + "D) 3.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) $5,321B\nB) $4,950B\nC) $5,074B\nD) $5,198B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,321B", + "B) $4,950B", + "C) $5,074B", + "D) $5,198B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$4,950B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.22%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 3.81%\nD) -2.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.22%", + "B) 1.61%", + "C) 3.81%", + "D) -2.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.72\nB) 78.99\nC) 76.73\nD) 75.23", + "options": [ + "A) 73.72", + "B) 78.99", + "C) 76.73", + "D) 75.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "75.23", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -23.97%\nB) -13.81%\nC) -8.72%\nD) -18.89%", + "options": [ + "A) -23.97%", + "B) -13.81%", + "C) -8.72%", + "D) -18.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-23.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.41%\nB) 63.50%\nC) 60.33%\nD) 62.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 65.41%", + "B) 63.50%", + "C) 60.33%", + "D) 62.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "63.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.41\nB) 84.31\nC) 88.75\nD) 86.09", + "options": [ + "A) 91.41", + "B) 84.31", + "C) 88.75", + "D) 86.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "88.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.72%\nB) -1.38%\nC) 0.20%\nD) -4.55%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.72%", + "B) -1.38%", + "C) 0.20%", + "D) -4.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-4.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $-30,217M\nB) $-27,593M\nC) $-32,841M\nD) $-38,089M", + "options": [ + "A) $-30,217M", + "B) $-27,593M", + "C) $-32,841M", + "D) $-38,089M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-30,217M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.01%\nB) 5.68%\nC) 5.51%\nD) 5.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.01%", + "B) 5.68%", + "C) 5.51%", + "D) 5.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.35%\nB) -35.02%\nC) -12.84%\nD) -79.39%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.35%", + "B) -35.02%", + "C) -12.84%", + "D) -79.39%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-12.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $284,534M\nB) $252,770M\nC) $295,122M\nD) $268,652M", + "options": [ + "A) $284,534M", + "B) $252,770M", + "C) $295,122M", + "D) $268,652M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$268,652M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.12%\nB) 0.41%\nC) -0.36%\nD) -1.89%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.12%", + "B) 0.41%", + "C) -0.36%", + "D) -1.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $5,329B\nB) $5,075B\nC) $4,820B\nD) $5,499B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,329B", + "B) $5,075B", + "C) $4,820B", + "D) $5,499B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$5,075B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) -1.94%\nC) 0.30%\nD) 3.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.42%", + "B) -1.94%", + "C) 0.30%", + "D) 3.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.06%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 14.47%\nD) 10.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.06%", + "B) 5.45%", + "C) 14.47%", + "D) 10.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.76%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 2.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.59%", + "B) 2.76%", + "C) 3.08%", + "D) 2.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $-29,961M\nB) $-32,812M\nC) $-38,514M\nD) $-24,259M", + "options": [ + "A) $-29,961M", + "B) $-32,812M", + "C) $-38,514M", + "D) $-24,259M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-32,812M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.90%\nB) 82.16%\nC) 78.25%\nD) 80.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 75.90%", + "B) 82.16%", + "C) 78.25%", + "D) 80.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "78.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.03\nB) 95.14\nC) 82.39\nD) 91.50", + "options": [ + "A) 86.03", + "B) 95.14", + "C) 82.39", + "D) 91.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "91.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 5.21%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 3.97%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.90%", + "B) 5.21%", + "C) 5.52%", + "D) 3.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,507K\nB) 1,565K\nC) 1,652K\nD) 1,449K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,507K", + "B) 1,565K", + "C) 1,652K", + "D) 1,449K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,565K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 338,345\nB) 412,552\nC) 394,000\nD) 431,103", + "options": [ + "A) 338,345", + "B) 412,552", + "C) 394,000", + "D) 431,103" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "394,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.37%\nB) 2.81%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 2.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.37%", + "B) 2.81%", + "C) 2.46%", + "D) 2.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.31%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 4.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.31%", + "B) 4.24%", + "C) 4.60%", + "D) 4.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $14.74/hr\nB) $14.42/hr\nC) $13.61/hr\nD) $14.10/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $14.74/hr", + "B) $14.42/hr", + "C) $13.61/hr", + "D) $14.10/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$14.42/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 135,716K\nB) 127,810K\nC) 131,763K\nD) 122,540K", + "options": [ + "A) 135,716K", + "B) 127,810K", + "C) 131,763K", + "D) 122,540K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "131,763K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 4.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.14%", + "B) 3.98%", + "C) 4.54%", + "D) 4.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 110.39\nB) 113.03\nC) 107.76\nD) 115.67", + "options": [ + "A) 110.39", + "B) 113.03", + "C) 107.76", + "D) 115.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "110.39", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $194,545M\nB) $182,209M\nC) $169,873M\nD) $186,321M", + "options": [ + "A) $194,545M", + "B) $182,209M", + "C) $169,873M", + "D) $186,321M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$182,209M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.64\nB) 79.92\nC) 76.12\nD) 73.83", + "options": [ + "A) 77.64", + "B) 79.92", + "C) 76.12", + "D) 73.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "76.12", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.18pp\nB) -0.26pp\nC) +0.06pp\nD) -0.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.18pp", + "B) -0.26pp", + "C) +0.06pp", + "D) -0.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.16%\nB) 6.32%\nC) -1.34%\nD) 2.49%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.16%", + "B) 6.32%", + "C) -1.34%", + "D) 2.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-5.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,087.74\nB) 1,527.80\nC) 2,847.97\nD) 2,407.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 1,087.74", + "B) 1,527.80", + "C) 2,847.97", + "D) 2,407.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,527.80", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,087.74\nB) 1,527.80\nC) 2,847.97\nD) 2,407.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 1,087.74", + "B) 1,527.80", + "C) 2,847.97", + "D) 2,407.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,527.80", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,303.30", + "B) 2,743.36", + "C) 1,423.19", + "D) 1,863.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,303.30", + "B) 2,743.36", + "C) 1,423.19", + "D) 1,863.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 1,423.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,303.30", + "B) 2,743.36", + "C) 1,863.25", + "D) 1,423.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 1,423.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,303.30", + "B) 2,743.36", + "C) 1,863.25", + "D) 1,423.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,423.19\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 2,303.30\nD) 1,863.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 1,423.19", + "B) 2,743.36", + "C) 2,303.30", + "D) 1,863.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,423.19\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 2,303.30\nD) 1,863.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 1,423.19", + "B) 2,743.36", + "C) 2,303.30", + "D) 1,863.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 1,423.19\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 2,743.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,303.30", + "B) 1,423.19", + "C) 1,863.25", + "D) 2,743.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 1,423.19\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 2,743.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,303.30", + "B) 1,423.19", + "C) 1,863.25", + "D) 2,743.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,743.36\nB) 2,303.30\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,743.36", + "B) 2,303.30", + "C) 1,423.19", + "D) 1,863.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,743.36\nB) 2,303.30\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,743.36", + "B) 2,303.30", + "C) 1,423.19", + "D) 1,863.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 42.16\nB) 33.93\nC) 35.58\nD) 38.87", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 42.16", + "B) 33.93", + "C) 35.58", + "D) 38.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "38.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 42.16\nB) 33.93\nC) 35.58\nD) 38.87", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 42.16", + "B) 33.93", + "C) 35.58", + "D) 38.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "38.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 31.93\nB) 36.87\nC) 28.64\nD) 33.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 31.93", + "B) 36.87", + "C) 28.64", + "D) 33.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "31.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 31.93\nB) 36.87\nC) 28.64\nD) 33.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 31.93", + "B) 36.87", + "C) 28.64", + "D) 33.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "31.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 29.53\nB) 31.18\nC) 36.12\nD) 34.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 29.53", + "B) 31.18", + "C) 36.12", + "D) 34.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "31.18", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 29.53\nB) 31.18\nC) 36.12\nD) 34.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 29.53", + "B) 31.18", + "C) 36.12", + "D) 34.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "31.18", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 32.38\nB) 22.50\nC) 27.44\nD) 25.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 32.38", + "B) 22.50", + "C) 27.44", + "D) 25.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "27.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 32.38\nB) 22.50\nC) 27.44\nD) 25.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 32.38", + "B) 22.50", + "C) 27.44", + "D) 25.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "27.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 24.67\nB) 21.37\nC) 27.96\nD) 23.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 24.67", + "B) 21.37", + "C) 27.96", + "D) 23.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "23.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 24.67\nB) 21.37\nC) 27.96\nD) 23.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 24.67", + "B) 21.37", + "C) 27.96", + "D) 23.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "23.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 19.27\nB) 17.62\nC) 15.98\nD) 14.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 19.27", + "B) 17.62", + "C) 15.98", + "D) 14.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19.27", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 19.27\nB) 17.62\nC) 15.98\nD) 14.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 19.27", + "B) 17.62", + "C) 15.98", + "D) 14.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19.27", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.19%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 4.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.19%", + "B) 4.72%", + "C) 5.52%", + "D) 4.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.19%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 4.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.19%", + "B) 4.72%", + "C) 5.52%", + "D) 4.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 5.55%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.28%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.48%", + "B) 5.55%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 5.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 5.55%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.28%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.48%", + "B) 5.55%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 5.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 5.28%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 5.28%", + "B) 5.02%", + "C) 3.95%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 5.28%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 5.28%", + "B) 5.02%", + "C) 3.95%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 4.22%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.75%", + "B) 3.95%", + "C) 5.02%", + "D) 4.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 4.22%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.75%", + "B) 3.95%", + "C) 5.02%", + "D) 4.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 6.00%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.47%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.00%", + "B) 5.20%", + "C) 4.93%", + "D) 5.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 6.00%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.47%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.00%", + "B) 5.20%", + "C) 4.93%", + "D) 5.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.80%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 5.86%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.80%", + "B) 5.06%", + "C) 5.33%", + "D) 5.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.33%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.80%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 5.86%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.80%", + "B) 5.06%", + "C) 5.33%", + "D) 5.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.33%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $32.33/bbl\nB) $24.52/bbl\nC) $29.20/bbl\nD) $27.64/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $32.33/bbl", + "B) $24.52/bbl", + "C) $29.20/bbl", + "D) $27.64/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$27.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $32.33/bbl\nB) $24.52/bbl\nC) $29.20/bbl\nD) $27.64/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $32.33/bbl", + "B) $24.52/bbl", + "C) $29.20/bbl", + "D) $27.64/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$27.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $21.46/bbl\nB) $24.58/bbl\nC) $23.02/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $21.46/bbl", + "B) $24.58/bbl", + "C) $23.02/bbl", + "D) $18.34/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $21.46/bbl\nB) $24.58/bbl\nC) $23.02/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $21.46/bbl", + "B) $24.58/bbl", + "C) $23.02/bbl", + "D) $18.34/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $24.58/bbl\nB) $21.46/bbl\nC) $19.90/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $24.58/bbl", + "B) $21.46/bbl", + "C) $19.90/bbl", + "D) $18.34/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $24.58/bbl\nB) $21.46/bbl\nC) $19.90/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $24.58/bbl", + "B) $21.46/bbl", + "C) $19.90/bbl", + "D) $18.34/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $16.81/bbl\nB) $24.62/bbl\nC) $19.93/bbl\nD) $18.37/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $16.81/bbl", + "B) $24.62/bbl", + "C) $19.93/bbl", + "D) $18.37/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$19.93/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $16.81/bbl\nB) $24.62/bbl\nC) $19.93/bbl\nD) $18.37/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $16.81/bbl", + "B) $24.62/bbl", + "C) $19.93/bbl", + "D) $18.37/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$19.93/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $14.38/bbl\nB) $12.81/bbl\nC) $19.06/bbl\nD) $17.50/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $14.38/bbl", + "B) $12.81/bbl", + "C) $19.06/bbl", + "D) $17.50/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $14.38/bbl\nB) $12.81/bbl\nC) $19.06/bbl\nD) $17.50/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $14.38/bbl", + "B) $12.81/bbl", + "C) $19.06/bbl", + "D) $17.50/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $17.50/bbl\nB) $22.19/bbl\nC) $15.94/bbl\nD) $19.06/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $17.50/bbl", + "B) $22.19/bbl", + "C) $15.94/bbl", + "D) $19.06/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $17.50/bbl\nB) $22.19/bbl\nC) $15.94/bbl\nD) $19.06/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $17.50/bbl", + "B) $22.19/bbl", + "C) $15.94/bbl", + "D) $19.06/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 113.7169\nB) 117.3200\nC) 110.1137\nD) 106.5106", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 113.7169", + "B) 117.3200", + "C) 110.1137", + "D) 106.5106" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "117.3200", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 113.7169\nB) 117.3200\nC) 110.1137\nD) 106.5106", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 113.7169", + "B) 117.3200", + "C) 110.1137", + "D) 106.5106" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "117.3200", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 108.6837\nB) 126.6994\nC) 115.8900\nD) 112.2869", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 108.6837", + "B) 126.6994", + "C) 115.8900", + "D) 112.2869" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 108.6837\nB) 126.6994\nC) 115.8900\nD) 112.2869", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 108.6837", + "B) 126.6994", + "C) 115.8900", + "D) 112.2869" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 112.2869\nB) 126.6994\nC) 108.6837\nD) 115.8900", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 112.2869", + "B) 126.6994", + "C) 108.6837", + "D) 115.8900" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 112.2869\nB) 126.6994\nC) 108.6837\nD) 115.8900", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 112.2869", + "B) 126.6994", + "C) 108.6837", + "D) 115.8900" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 115.8900\nB) 123.0963\nC) 108.6837\nD) 119.4931", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 115.8900", + "B) 123.0963", + "C) 108.6837", + "D) 119.4931" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 115.8900\nB) 123.0963\nC) 108.6837\nD) 119.4931", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 115.8900", + "B) 123.0963", + "C) 108.6837", + "D) 119.4931" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 123.0963\nB) 115.8900\nC) 126.6994\nD) 105.0806", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 123.0963", + "B) 115.8900", + "C) 126.6994", + "D) 105.0806" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 123.0963\nB) 115.8900\nC) 126.6994\nD) 105.0806", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 123.0963", + "B) 115.8900", + "C) 126.6994", + "D) 105.0806" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 105.0806\nB) 112.2869\nC) 115.8900\nD) 108.6837", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 105.0806", + "B) 112.2869", + "C) 115.8900", + "D) 108.6837" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 105.0806\nB) 112.2869\nC) 115.8900\nD) 108.6837", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 105.0806", + "B) 112.2869", + "C) 115.8900", + "D) 108.6837" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2001.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2001.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..7523b81977e4a950e11253e007a43047e84ded23 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2001.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:26d2bc5a0dca34af93701e79d1ddcc4fd4d3e928652a9cfe4dcf05c049934a62 +size 28514 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2002.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2002.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..8203c8d4f738530af336830da78b5d5b1a0729be --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2002.json @@ -0,0 +1,3365 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 123,977K\nB) 133,112K\nC) 126,587K\nD) 130,502K", + "options": [ + "A) 123,977K", + "B) 133,112K", + "C) 126,587K", + "D) 130,502K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "130,502K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) 1.52%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 0.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.94%", + "B) 1.52%", + "C) 1.81%", + "D) 0.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.44pp\nB) +1.40pp\nC) +0.71pp\nD) +0.36pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.44pp", + "B) +1.40pp", + "C) +0.71pp", + "D) +0.36pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+1.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.41pp\nB) -2.11pp\nC) -1.50pp\nD) -1.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) -2.41pp", + "B) -2.11pp", + "C) -1.50pp", + "D) -1.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 1.14%\nC) 1.66%\nD) 1.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.76%", + "B) 1.14%", + "C) 1.66%", + "D) 1.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $659M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $659M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$659M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.49\nB) 75.76\nC) 78.04\nD) 71.22", + "options": [ + "A) 73.49", + "B) 75.76", + "C) 78.04", + "D) 71.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "75.76", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $155,098M\nB) $172,708M\nC) $166,838M\nD) $184,449M", + "options": [ + "A) $155,098M", + "B) $172,708M", + "C) $166,838M", + "D) $184,449M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$166,838M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.34%\nD) -0.96%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.49%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 1.34%", + "D) -0.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.27%\nB) 0.28%\nC) 12.24%\nD) -2.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.27%", + "B) 0.28%", + "C) 12.24%", + "D) -2.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.49%\nB) 5.74%\nC) 7.24%\nD) 4.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.49%", + "B) 5.74%", + "C) 7.24%", + "D) 4.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.35%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 3.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.35%", + "B) 2.91%", + "C) 2.77%", + "D) 3.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.4354\nB) 8.6835\nC) 8.1046\nD) 8.2700", + "options": [ + "A) 8.4354", + "B) 8.6835", + "C) 8.1046", + "D) 8.2700" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.2700", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.65\nB) 92.47\nC) 86.12\nD) 88.84", + "options": [ + "A) 90.65", + "B) 92.47", + "C) 86.12", + "D) 88.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "90.65", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 2.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 2.44%", + "C) 2.76%", + "D) 2.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.81pp\nB) -0.19pp\nC) -0.50pp\nD) +0.44pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.81pp", + "B) -0.19pp", + "C) -0.50pp", + "D) +0.44pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $13.71/hr\nB) $14.51/hr\nC) $15.85/hr\nD) $15.05/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $13.71/hr", + "B) $14.51/hr", + "C) $15.85/hr", + "D) $15.05/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$15.05/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 132.30\nB) 143.04\nC) 138.74\nD) 128.00", + "options": [ + "A) 132.30", + "B) 143.04", + "C) 138.74", + "D) 128.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "132.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.62%\nB) 1.65%\nC) -2.44%\nD) 13.93%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.62%", + "B) 1.65%", + "C) -2.44%", + "D) 13.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 133.0180\nB) 115.4820\nC) 124.2500\nD) 111.0980", + "options": [ + "A) 133.0180", + "B) 115.4820", + "C) 124.2500", + "D) 111.0980" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "124.2500", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.24%\nB) 0.01%\nC) 2.25%\nD) -4.49%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.24%", + "B) 0.01%", + "C) 2.25%", + "D) -4.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-4.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 3.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.94%", + "B) 2.45%", + "C) 2.69%", + "D) 3.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 2.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.61%", + "B) 2.44%", + "C) 2.35%", + "D) 2.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,577K\nB) 1,777K\nC) 1,691K\nD) 1,634K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,577K", + "B) 1,777K", + "C) 1,691K", + "D) 1,634K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,691K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -8.30%\nB) 39.23%\nC) -55.84%\nD) -32.07%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.30%", + "B) 39.23%", + "C) -55.84%", + "D) -32.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-32.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,154B\nB) $8,823B\nC) $8,600B\nD) $7,930B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,154B", + "B) $8,823B", + "C) $8,600B", + "D) $7,930B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$8,154B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.8620\nB) 0.9448\nC) 1.1519\nD) 1.0276", + "options": [ + "A) 0.8620", + "B) 0.9448", + "C) 1.1519", + "D) 1.0276" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.9448", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,679B\nB) $5,537B\nC) $5,108B\nD) $5,251B", + "options": [ + "A) $4,679B", + "B) $5,537B", + "C) $5,108B", + "D) $5,251B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$5,108B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 4.43%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 3.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.33%", + "B) 4.43%", + "C) 5.79%", + "D) 3.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $5,502B\nB) $5,821B\nC) $5,183B\nD) $5,342B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,502B", + "B) $5,821B", + "C) $5,183B", + "D) $5,342B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$5,502B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,181B\nB) $7,984B\nC) $7,591B\nD) $8,378B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,181B", + "B) $7,984B", + "C) $7,591B", + "D) $8,378B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$7,984B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 6.47%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 5.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.56%", + "B) 6.47%", + "C) 3.53%", + "D) 5.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,708K\nB) 1,866K\nC) 1,930K\nD) 1,803K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,708K", + "B) 1,866K", + "C) 1,930K", + "D) 1,803K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,803K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 0.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.71%", + "B) 3.24%", + "C) 2.47%", + "D) 0.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 203.49\nB) 191.30\nC) 196.17\nD) 186.43", + "options": [ + "A) 203.49", + "B) 191.30", + "C) 196.17", + "D) 186.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "191.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.13%\nB) -3.21%\nC) -0.75%\nD) 6.63%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.13%", + "B) -3.21%", + "C) -0.75%", + "D) 6.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $272,346M\nB) $283,812M\nC) $266,614M\nD) $278,079M", + "options": [ + "A) $272,346M", + "B) $283,812M", + "C) $266,614M", + "D) $278,079M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$278,079M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.14%\nB) -3.98%\nC) 1.55%\nD) -0.29%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.14%", + "B) -3.98%", + "C) 1.55%", + "D) -0.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 4.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.20%", + "B) 5.70%", + "C) 6.20%", + "D) 4.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,644K\nB) 128,108K\nC) 130,722K\nD) 124,186K", + "options": [ + "A) 134,644K", + "B) 128,108K", + "C) 130,722K", + "D) 124,186K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "130,722K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,783B\nB) $6,804B\nC) $7,979B\nD) $7,392B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,783B", + "B) $6,804B", + "C) $7,979B", + "D) $7,392B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$7,392B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 189.20\nB) 193.32\nC) 199.51\nD) 183.02", + "options": [ + "A) 189.20", + "B) 193.32", + "C) 199.51", + "D) 183.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "189.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.07%\nB) 8.42%\nC) 9.24%\nD) 5.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.07%", + "B) 8.42%", + "C) 9.24%", + "D) 5.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.05pp\nB) +1.07pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) -0.42pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.05pp", + "B) +1.07pp", + "C) +0.70pp", + "D) -0.42pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.70%\nB) 20.20%\nC) 22.69%\nD) 15.21%", + "options": [ + "A) 17.70%", + "B) 20.20%", + "C) 22.69%", + "D) 15.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.24%\nB) 2.42%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 2.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.24%", + "B) 2.42%", + "C) 1.98%", + "D) 2.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 74.80\nB) 77.11\nC) 79.42\nD) 73.25", + "options": [ + "A) 74.80", + "B) 77.11", + "C) 79.42", + "D) 73.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "77.11", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $14.11/hr\nB) $15.76/hr\nC) $14.82/hr\nD) $15.29/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $14.11/hr", + "B) $15.76/hr", + "C) $14.82/hr", + "D) $15.29/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$14.82/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1,071.79\nB) 1,937.69\nC) 2,803.59\nD) 1,504.74", + "options": [ + "A) 1,071.79", + "B) 1,937.69", + "C) 2,803.59", + "D) 1,504.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,504.74", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 180.80\nB) 170.84\nC) 185.78\nD) 175.82", + "options": [ + "A) 180.80", + "B) 170.84", + "C) 185.78", + "D) 175.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "180.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 121.72\nB) 117.93\nC) 106.55\nD) 114.14", + "options": [ + "A) 121.72", + "B) 117.93", + "C) 106.55", + "D) 114.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "117.93", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 0.37%\nC) 1.73%\nD) 1.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.41%", + "B) 0.37%", + "C) 1.73%", + "D) 1.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 74.31\nB) 72.73\nC) 79.05\nD) 76.68", + "options": [ + "A) 74.31", + "B) 72.73", + "C) 79.05", + "D) 76.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "76.68", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,642K\nB) 1,739K\nC) 1,577K\nD) 1,512K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,642K", + "B) 1,739K", + "C) 1,577K", + "D) 1,512K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,642K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 134.62\nB) 125.50\nC) 116.37\nD) 120.93", + "options": [ + "A) 134.62", + "B) 125.50", + "C) 116.37", + "D) 120.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "125.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 82.29\nB) 100.17\nC) 95.70\nD) 104.64", + "options": [ + "A) 82.29", + "B) 100.17", + "C) 95.70", + "D) 104.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "95.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 24.83%\nB) 21.72%\nC) 6.16%\nD) 15.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 24.83%", + "B) 21.72%", + "C) 6.16%", + "D) 15.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 129.80\nB) 141.48\nC) 125.13\nD) 136.81", + "options": [ + "A) 129.80", + "B) 141.48", + "C) 125.13", + "D) 136.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "129.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,007,436\nB) 3,604,000\nC) 4,200,564\nD) 2,709,154", + "options": [ + "A) 3,007,436", + "B) 3,604,000", + "C) 4,200,564", + "D) 2,709,154" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3,604,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.85\nB) 87.38\nC) 89.17\nD) 85.59", + "options": [ + "A) 91.85", + "B) 87.38", + "C) 89.17", + "D) 85.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "89.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 31.80\nB) 20.12\nC) 27.91\nD) 25.96", + "options": [ + "A) 31.80", + "B) 20.12", + "C) 27.91", + "D) 25.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "25.96", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 7.20%\nD) 5.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.62%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 7.20%", + "D) 5.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.21pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) -0.42pp\nD) +0.22pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.21pp", + "B) -0.10pp", + "C) -0.42pp", + "D) +0.22pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.15%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 63.00%\nD) 64.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 66.15%", + "B) 61.11%", + "C) 63.00%", + "D) 64.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "63.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 4.90%\nD) 4.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.50%", + "B) 3.70%", + "C) 4.90%", + "D) 4.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $47,371M\nB) $39,744M\nC) $54,998M\nD) $49,913M", + "options": [ + "A) $47,371M", + "B) $39,744M", + "C) $54,998M", + "D) $49,913M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$47,371M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.60%\nB) 66.60%\nC) 64.60%\nD) 68.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.60%", + "B) 66.60%", + "C) 64.60%", + "D) 68.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "66.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 7.23%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 1.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.88%", + "B) 7.23%", + "C) 3.20%", + "D) 1.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.41%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 6.60%\nD) 1.93%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.41%", + "B) 4.26%", + "C) 6.60%", + "D) 1.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 178.50\nB) 189.93\nC) 183.07\nD) 173.93", + "options": [ + "A) 178.50", + "B) 189.93", + "C) 183.07", + "D) 173.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "178.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.48%\nB) 3.74%\nC) 4.65%\nD) 5.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.48%", + "B) 3.74%", + "C) 4.65%", + "D) 5.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.46%\nB) 6.48%\nC) 5.49%\nD) 3.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.46%", + "B) 6.48%", + "C) 5.49%", + "D) 3.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -16.38%\nB) 5.95%\nC) -21.96%\nD) -5.22%", + "options": [ + "A) -16.38%", + "B) 5.95%", + "C) -21.96%", + "D) -5.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-5.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -10.16%\nB) 43.58%\nC) 70.45%\nD) -37.03%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.16%", + "B) 43.58%", + "C) 70.45%", + "D) -37.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-10.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.03%\nB) 66.70%\nC) 65.37%\nD) 63.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.03%", + "B) 66.70%", + "C) 65.37%", + "D) 63.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "66.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 5.59%\nD) 5.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.42%", + "B) 5.93%", + "C) 5.59%", + "D) 5.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.71pp\nB) -0.81pp\nC) -0.92pp\nD) -0.60pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.71pp", + "B) -0.81pp", + "C) -0.92pp", + "D) -0.60pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.30pp\nB) -11.29pp\nC) -6.10pp\nD) -0.90pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.30pp", + "B) -11.29pp", + "C) -6.10pp", + "D) -0.90pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+4.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $53,997M\nB) $48,089M\nC) $42,181M\nD) $45,135M", + "options": [ + "A) $53,997M", + "B) $48,089M", + "C) $42,181M", + "D) $45,135M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$48,089M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 5.11%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 5.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.99%", + "B) 5.11%", + "C) 4.83%", + "D) 5.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.68%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 2.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -11.09%\nB) 60.98%\nC) -83.16%\nD) -59.13%", + "options": [ + "A) -11.09%", + "B) 60.98%", + "C) -83.16%", + "D) -59.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-11.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -16.88%\nB) -7.88%\nC) 1.12%\nD) -21.38%", + "options": [ + "A) -16.88%", + "B) -7.88%", + "C) 1.12%", + "D) -21.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-7.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 426,077\nB) 486,232\nC) 396,000\nD) 305,768", + "options": [ + "A) 426,077", + "B) 486,232", + "C) 396,000", + "D) 305,768" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "396,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,468B\nB) $5,856B\nC) $6,244B\nD) $5,662B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,468B", + "B) $5,856B", + "C) $6,244B", + "D) $5,662B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$5,662B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.53%\nB) -3.52%\nC) -0.20%\nD) 0.47%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.53%", + "B) -3.52%", + "C) -0.20%", + "D) 0.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 7.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.82%", + "B) 2.15%", + "C) 0.47%", + "D) 7.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.11%\nB) 5.36%\nC) 5.80%\nD) 4.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.11%", + "B) 5.36%", + "C) 5.80%", + "D) 4.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.39pp\nB) +3.12pp\nC) +1.85pp\nD) +0.58pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.39pp", + "B) +3.12pp", + "C) +1.85pp", + "D) +0.58pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.58pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 74.46%\nB) 69.97%\nC) 78.94%\nD) 77.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 74.46%", + "B) 69.97%", + "C) 78.94%", + "D) 77.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "74.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 5.13%\nC) 10.51%\nD) 8.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.54%", + "B) 5.13%", + "C) 10.51%", + "D) 8.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $179,561M\nB) $185,415M\nC) $167,853M\nD) $161,999M", + "options": [ + "A) $179,561M", + "B) $185,415M", + "C) $167,853M", + "D) $161,999M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$167,853M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $274,980M\nB) $299,315M\nC) $268,897M\nD) $281,064M", + "options": [ + "A) $274,980M", + "B) $299,315M", + "C) $268,897M", + "D) $281,064M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$281,064M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.20pp\nB) -1.23pp\nC) -12.10pp\nD) -6.67pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.20pp", + "B) -1.23pp", + "C) -12.10pp", + "D) -6.67pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+4.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.87%\nB) 1.93%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 2.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.87%", + "B) 1.93%", + "C) 2.64%", + "D) 2.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,877K\nB) 1,731K\nC) 1,804K\nD) 1,767K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,877K", + "B) 1,731K", + "C) 1,804K", + "D) 1,767K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,804K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.90%\nB) 9.09%\nC) 7.88%\nD) 8.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.90%", + "B) 9.09%", + "C) 7.88%", + "D) 8.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.69%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 1.79%\nD) 5.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.69%", + "B) 4.64%", + "C) 1.79%", + "D) 5.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 80.43%\nB) 75.50%\nC) 72.21%\nD) 77.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 80.43%", + "B) 75.50%", + "C) 72.21%", + "D) 77.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "75.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.70%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 0.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.70%", + "B) 2.39%", + "C) 1.36%", + "D) 0.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) $31.53/bbl\nB) $23.09/bbl\nC) $17.46/bbl\nD) $25.90/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $31.53/bbl", + "B) $23.09/bbl", + "C) $17.46/bbl", + "D) $25.90/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$25.90/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.79pp\nB) -7.87pp\nC) -1.07pp\nD) -6.51pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.79pp", + "B) -7.87pp", + "C) -1.07pp", + "D) -6.51pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-3.79pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.63\nB) 77.97\nC) 73.29\nD) 80.31", + "options": [ + "A) 75.63", + "B) 77.97", + "C) 73.29", + "D) 80.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "77.97", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.71pp\nB) +3.11pp\nC) +1.91pp\nD) +0.71pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.71pp", + "B) +3.11pp", + "C) +1.91pp", + "D) +0.71pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.91pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 1.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.03%", + "B) 3.47%", + "C) 2.61%", + "D) 1.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $-31,161M\nB) $-23,717M\nC) $-33,642M\nD) $-28,680M", + "options": [ + "A) $-31,161M", + "B) $-23,717M", + "C) $-33,642M", + "D) $-28,680M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-31,161M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.92%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.35%\nD) 5.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.92%", + "B) 5.50%", + "C) 6.35%", + "D) 5.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.40%\nB) -6.44%\nC) -18.53%\nD) -12.49%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.40%", + "B) -6.44%", + "C) -18.53%", + "D) -12.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-18.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) $21.14/bbl\nB) $15.48/bbl\nC) $18.31/bbl\nD) $23.97/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $21.14/bbl", + "B) $15.48/bbl", + "C) $18.31/bbl", + "D) $23.97/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$23.97/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,243B\nB) $6,713B\nC) $7,597B\nD) $7,066B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,243B", + "B) $6,713B", + "C) $7,597B", + "D) $7,066B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$7,243B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $-38,664M\nB) $-36,088M\nC) $-30,936M\nD) $-41,240M", + "options": [ + "A) $-38,664M", + "B) $-36,088M", + "C) $-30,936M", + "D) $-41,240M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-36,088M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.98%\nB) 6.06%\nC) 6.83%\nD) 7.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.98%", + "B) 6.06%", + "C) 6.83%", + "D) 7.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.40%\nB) 8.20%\nC) 11.80%\nD) 10.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.40%", + "B) 8.20%", + "C) 11.80%", + "D) 10.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 86.10\nB) 94.98\nC) 90.54\nD) 77.22", + "options": [ + "A) 86.10", + "B) 94.98", + "C) 90.54", + "D) 77.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "86.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.40%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.40%", + "B) 5.70%", + "C) 5.00%", + "D) 4.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 65.94%\nB) 61.54%\nC) 62.80%\nD) 64.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 65.94%", + "B) 61.54%", + "C) 62.80%", + "D) 64.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "62.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $680M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $680M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$680M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 2.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.52%", + "B) 2.44%", + "C) 0.14%", + "D) 2.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.99%\nB) 6.71%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 6.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.99%", + "B) 6.71%", + "C) 7.26%", + "D) 6.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,511.78\nB) 1,006.23\nC) 1,382.62\nD) 1,759.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,511.78", + "B) 1,006.23", + "C) 1,382.62", + "D) 1,759.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,382.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,511.78\nB) 1,006.23\nC) 1,382.62\nD) 1,759.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,511.78", + "B) 1,006.23", + "C) 1,382.62", + "D) 1,759.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,382.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,150.02\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 2,526.41\nD) 1,397.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,150.02", + "B) 1,020.86", + "C) 2,526.41", + "D) 1,397.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,397.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,150.02\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 2,526.41\nD) 1,397.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,150.02", + "B) 1,020.86", + "C) 2,526.41", + "D) 1,397.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,397.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,397.25\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 1,773.64\nD) 2,150.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 1,397.25", + "B) 1,020.86", + "C) 1,773.64", + "D) 2,150.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,397.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,397.25\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 1,773.64\nD) 2,150.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 1,397.25", + "B) 1,020.86", + "C) 1,773.64", + "D) 2,150.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,397.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,175.72\nB) 1,422.95\nC) 1,799.34\nD) 2,552.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,175.72", + "B) 1,422.95", + "C) 1,799.34", + "D) 2,552.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,422.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,175.72\nB) 1,422.95\nC) 1,799.34\nD) 2,552.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,175.72", + "B) 1,422.95", + "C) 1,799.34", + "D) 2,552.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,422.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.11\nB) 1,799.34\nC) 1,422.95\nD) 1,046.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,552.11", + "B) 1,799.34", + "C) 1,422.95", + "D) 1,046.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,422.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.11\nB) 1,799.34\nC) 1,422.95\nD) 1,046.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,552.11", + "B) 1,799.34", + "C) 1,422.95", + "D) 1,046.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,422.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,617.10\nB) 2,240.71\nC) 1,864.33\nD) 1,487.94", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,617.10", + "B) 2,240.71", + "C) 1,864.33", + "D) 1,487.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,487.94", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,617.10\nB) 2,240.71\nC) 1,864.33\nD) 1,487.94", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,617.10", + "B) 2,240.71", + "C) 1,864.33", + "D) 1,487.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,487.94", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 36.65\nB) 32.14\nC) 34.39\nD) 29.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 36.65", + "B) 32.14", + "C) 34.39", + "D) 29.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "36.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 36.65\nB) 32.14\nC) 34.39\nD) 29.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 36.65", + "B) 32.14", + "C) 34.39", + "D) 29.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "36.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 40.41\nB) 44.92\nC) 38.15\nD) 47.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 40.41", + "B) 44.92", + "C) 38.15", + "D) 47.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "44.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 40.41\nB) 44.92\nC) 38.15\nD) 47.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 40.41", + "B) 44.92", + "C) 38.15", + "D) 47.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "44.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 51.85\nB) 42.82\nC) 45.08\nD) 49.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 51.85", + "B) 42.82", + "C) 45.08", + "D) 49.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 51.85\nB) 42.82\nC) 45.08\nD) 49.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 51.85", + "B) 42.82", + "C) 45.08", + "D) 49.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 47.34\nB) 51.85\nC) 42.82\nD) 45.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 47.34", + "B) 51.85", + "C) 42.82", + "D) 45.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 47.34\nB) 51.85\nC) 42.82\nD) 45.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 47.34", + "B) 51.85", + "C) 42.82", + "D) 45.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 45.08\nB) 40.57\nC) 47.34\nD) 42.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 45.08", + "B) 40.57", + "C) 47.34", + "D) 42.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 45.08\nB) 40.57\nC) 47.34\nD) 42.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 45.08", + "B) 40.57", + "C) 47.34", + "D) 42.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 49.59\nB) 45.08\nC) 51.85\nD) 40.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 49.59", + "B) 45.08", + "C) 51.85", + "D) 40.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 49.59\nB) 45.08\nC) 51.85\nD) 40.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 49.59", + "B) 45.08", + "C) 51.85", + "D) 40.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 5.33%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 5.33%", + "B) 4.56%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 5.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 5.33%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 5.33%", + "B) 4.56%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 5.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.17%", + "B) 4.56%", + "C) 4.36%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.17%", + "B) 4.56%", + "C) 4.36%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.36%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.75%", + "B) 5.33%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 4.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.36%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.75%", + "B) 5.33%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 4.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 5.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.56%", + "B) 4.75%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 5.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 5.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.56%", + "B) 4.75%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 5.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.94%", + "B) 4.56%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 4.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.94%", + "B) 4.56%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 4.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.36%", + "B) 4.94%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.36%", + "B) 4.94%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", + "year": 2002 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2002.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2002.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..df4e60de817407c524c0a9ea6c69135ee3694a58 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2002.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:fce22df6135ae5ca312305736deb03984248ab600dd49dd18cc2afaa36984265 +size 26979 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2003.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2003.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..2003abdf1352ae667f5662c4ad0b0c0de28a65f5 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2003.json @@ -0,0 +1,3653 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.60\nB) 82.42\nC) 63.13\nD) 92.07", + "options": [ + "A) 77.60", + "B) 82.42", + "C) 63.13", + "D) 92.07" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "77.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.73\nB) 87.70\nC) 72.79\nD) 102.61", + "options": [ + "A) 82.73", + "B) 87.70", + "C) 72.79", + "D) 102.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "87.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.85%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.85%", + "B) 1.46%", + "C) 1.25%", + "D) 1.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.68%\nB) 6.95%\nC) 7.37%\nD) 6.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.68%", + "B) 6.95%", + "C) 7.37%", + "D) 6.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,726K\nB) 1,683K\nC) 1,640K\nD) 1,812K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,726K", + "B) 1,683K", + "C) 1,640K", + "D) 1,812K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,726K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 208.30\nB) 193.70\nC) 187.86\nD) 202.46", + "options": [ + "A) 208.30", + "B) 193.70", + "C) 187.86", + "D) 202.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "193.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 7.92%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 6.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.13%", + "B) 7.92%", + "C) 5.08%", + "D) 6.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,306B\nB) $6,525B\nC) $6,087B\nD) $5,868B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,306B", + "B) $6,525B", + "C) $6,087B", + "D) $5,868B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$5,868B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.19%\nB) 1.17%\nC) -0.87%\nD) -1.56%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.19%", + "B) 1.17%", + "C) -0.87%", + "D) -1.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) +3.45pp\nB) +2.00pp\nC) +1.52pp\nD) +0.55pp", + "options": [ + "A) +3.45pp", + "B) +2.00pp", + "C) +1.52pp", + "D) +0.55pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+2.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) -2.71%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 0.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.05%", + "B) -2.71%", + "C) 2.17%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,628M\nB) $-38,449M\nC) $-31,663M\nD) $-41,842M", + "options": [ + "A) $-48,628M", + "B) $-38,449M", + "C) $-31,663M", + "D) $-41,842M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-41,842M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.00%\nB) 63.24%\nC) 60.14%\nD) 65.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.00%", + "B) 63.24%", + "C) 60.14%", + "D) 65.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "62.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $-40,832M\nB) $-43,806M\nC) $-52,729M\nD) $-46,780M", + "options": [ + "A) $-40,832M", + "B) $-43,806M", + "C) $-52,729M", + "D) $-46,780M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-43,806M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 1,193.28\nB) 2,142.26\nC) 1,667.77\nD) 3,091.24", + "options": [ + "A) 1,193.28", + "B) 2,142.26", + "C) 1,667.77", + "D) 3,091.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,667.77", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.84%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 5.94%\nD) 4.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.84%", + "B) 2.31%", + "C) 5.94%", + "D) 4.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 3.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.25%", + "B) 2.18%", + "C) 4.04%", + "D) 3.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $721M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $721M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$721M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.60%\nB) 4.04%\nC) 5.21%\nD) 6.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.60%", + "B) 4.04%", + "C) 5.21%", + "D) 6.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.61pp\nB) +11.07pp\nC) -7.87pp\nD) +1.60pp", + "options": [ + "A) -12.61pp", + "B) +11.07pp", + "C) -7.87pp", + "D) +1.60pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+1.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,939K\nB) 1,842K\nC) 2,036K\nD) 1,987K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,939K", + "B) 1,842K", + "C) 2,036K", + "D) 1,987K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,939K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.66%\nB) 9.23%\nC) 10.53%\nD) 7.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.66%", + "B) 9.23%", + "C) 10.53%", + "D) 7.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 149.39\nB) 124.77\nC) 137.08\nD) 118.61", + "options": [ + "A) 149.39", + "B) 124.77", + "C) 137.08", + "D) 118.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "137.08", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 3.25%\nD) 2.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.93%", + "B) 2.92%", + "C) 3.25%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 78.47\nB) 74.49\nC) 76.08\nD) 80.07", + "options": [ + "A) 78.47", + "B) 74.49", + "C) 76.08", + "D) 80.07" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "78.47", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 151.60\nB) 141.20\nC) 147.44\nD) 137.04", + "options": [ + "A) 151.60", + "B) 141.20", + "C) 147.44", + "D) 137.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "141.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.42\nB) 75.14\nC) 77.72\nD) 80.31", + "options": [ + "A) 73.42", + "B) 75.14", + "C) 77.72", + "D) 80.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "77.72", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 4,688,135\nB) 3,032,910\nC) 4,026,045\nD) 3,695,000", + "options": [ + "A) 4,688,135", + "B) 3,032,910", + "C) 4,026,045", + "D) 3,695,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,695,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,961K\nB) 1,861K\nC) 2,011K\nD) 1,911K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,961K", + "B) 1,861K", + "C) 2,011K", + "D) 1,911K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,961K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 450,961\nB) 421,000\nC) 331,116\nD) 361,078", + "options": [ + "A) 450,961", + "B) 421,000", + "C) 331,116", + "D) 361,078" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "421,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.21%", + "B) 3.63%", + "C) 2.38%", + "D) 1.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.38pp\nB) +3.78pp\nC) -0.41pp\nD) +0.98pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.38pp", + "B) +3.78pp", + "C) -0.41pp", + "D) +0.98pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.98pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 76.03%\nB) 74.39%\nC) 72.74%\nD) 80.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 76.03%", + "B) 74.39%", + "C) 72.74%", + "D) 80.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "76.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 139.72\nB) 129.31\nC) 144.93\nD) 118.90", + "options": [ + "A) 139.72", + "B) 129.31", + "C) 144.93", + "D) 118.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "129.31", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.21\nB) 22.72\nC) 20.22\nD) 15.23", + "options": [ + "A) 25.21", + "B) 22.72", + "C) 20.22", + "D) 15.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.22", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.3131\nB) 1.0984\nC) 1.3989\nD) 1.1843", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3131", + "B) 1.0984", + "C) 1.3989", + "D) 1.1843" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1843", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 2.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.46%", + "B) 1.96%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 2.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,312B\nB) $6,080B\nC) $6,336B\nD) $5,568B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,312B", + "B) $6,080B", + "C) $6,336B", + "D) $5,568B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$6,080B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.16%\nB) 6.99%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 0.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.16%", + "B) 6.99%", + "C) 3.90%", + "D) 0.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.45\nB) 75.40\nC) 80.27\nD) 78.32", + "options": [ + "A) 73.45", + "B) 75.40", + "C) 80.27", + "D) 78.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "78.32", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.48%\nB) 3.86%\nC) -3.38%\nD) 11.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.48%", + "B) 3.86%", + "C) -3.38%", + "D) 11.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 6.25%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 8.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.50%", + "B) 6.25%", + "C) 3.63%", + "D) 8.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 88.76\nB) 94.25\nC) 91.51\nD) 97.00", + "options": [ + "A) 88.76", + "B) 94.25", + "C) 91.51", + "D) 97.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "91.51", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 1.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.01%", + "B) 4.01%", + "C) 3.01%", + "D) 1.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) $5,686B\nB) $5,494B\nC) $5,109B\nD) $5,878B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,686B", + "B) $5,494B", + "C) $5,109B", + "D) $5,878B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$5,686B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $705M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $705M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$705M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.04%\nD) 2.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.79%", + "B) 3.53%", + "C) 3.04%", + "D) 2.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 15.05%\nB) 9.73%\nC) 12.39%\nD) 11.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.05%", + "B) 9.73%", + "C) 12.39%", + "D) 11.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.47%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 4.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.47%", + "B) 4.67%", + "C) 4.06%", + "D) 4.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 6.28%\nD) 6.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.05%", + "B) 5.90%", + "C) 6.28%", + "D) 6.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,377B\nB) $8,299B\nC) $8,569B\nD) $8,030B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,377B", + "B) $8,299B", + "C) $8,569B", + "D) $8,030B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$8,569B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 7.58%\nC) 10.03%\nD) 6.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.90%", + "B) 7.58%", + "C) 10.03%", + "D) 6.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.03%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.03%", + "B) 3.47%", + "C) 2.58%", + "D) 2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.78%\nB) 66.10%\nC) 62.79%\nD) 68.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.78%", + "B) 66.10%", + "C) 62.79%", + "D) 68.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "66.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $307,224M\nB) $300,875M\nC) $288,177M\nD) $275,479M", + "options": [ + "A) $307,224M", + "B) $300,875M", + "C) $288,177M", + "D) $275,479M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$288,177M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 80.70%\nB) -37.06%\nC) 33.60%\nD) 10.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 80.70%", + "B) -37.06%", + "C) 33.60%", + "D) 10.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 0.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.14%", + "B) 1.55%", + "C) 3.33%", + "D) 0.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 78.09%\nB) 76.48%\nC) 73.27%\nD) 71.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 78.09%", + "B) 76.48%", + "C) 73.27%", + "D) 71.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "76.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.98%\nB) 11.87%\nC) 8.76%\nD) -0.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.98%", + "B) 11.87%", + "C) 8.76%", + "D) -0.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.19pp\nB) -1.54pp\nC) -1.81pp\nD) -1.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.19pp", + "B) -1.54pp", + "C) -1.81pp", + "D) -1.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 7.60%\nC) -0.34%\nD) 2.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.63%", + "B) 7.60%", + "C) -0.34%", + "D) 2.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 93.84\nB) 91.10\nC) 95.66\nD) 88.37", + "options": [ + "A) 93.84", + "B) 91.10", + "C) 95.66", + "D) 88.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "91.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.71%\nB) 1.79%\nC) 0.87%\nD) 3.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.71%", + "B) 1.79%", + "C) 0.87%", + "D) 3.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $16.15/hr\nB) $14.39/hr\nC) $13.80/hr\nD) $15.27/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $16.15/hr", + "B) $14.39/hr", + "C) $13.80/hr", + "D) $15.27/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$15.27/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) -1.30%\nC) 10.45%\nD) -5.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.62%", + "B) -1.30%", + "C) 10.45%", + "D) -5.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $15.09/hr\nB) $15.42/hr\nC) $14.44/hr\nD) $16.40/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $15.09/hr", + "B) $15.42/hr", + "C) $14.44/hr", + "D) $16.40/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$15.42/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) $33.90/bbl\nB) $36.66/bbl\nC) $31.14/bbl\nD) $39.42/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $33.90/bbl", + "B) $36.66/bbl", + "C) $31.14/bbl", + "D) $39.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$31.14/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 179.18\nB) 191.02\nC) 196.95\nD) 185.10", + "options": [ + "A) 179.18", + "B) 191.02", + "C) 196.95", + "D) 185.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "185.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 4.48%\nD) 3.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.90%", + "B) 6.15%", + "C) 4.48%", + "D) 3.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $305,994M\nB) $298,921M\nC) $284,775M\nD) $320,140M", + "options": [ + "A) $305,994M", + "B) $298,921M", + "C) $284,775M", + "D) $320,140M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$298,921M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.19pp\nB) +0.48pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -1.28pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.19pp", + "B) +0.48pp", + "C) -0.40pp", + "D) -1.28pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.0286\nB) 7.7803\nC) 8.5252\nD) 8.2769", + "options": [ + "A) 8.0286", + "B) 7.7803", + "C) 8.5252", + "D) 8.2769" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.2769", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.62%\nB) 68.86%\nC) 3.99%\nD) -39.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 25.62%", + "B) 68.86%", + "C) 3.99%", + "D) -39.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "25.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.15pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +1.25pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.15pp", + "B) +0.20pp", + "C) +0.90pp", + "D) +1.25pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,832B\nB) $8,554B\nC) $8,313B\nD) $8,795B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,832B", + "B) $8,554B", + "C) $8,313B", + "D) $8,795B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$8,313B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 133.93\nB) 145.35\nC) 149.91\nD) 138.50", + "options": [ + "A) 133.93", + "B) 145.35", + "C) 149.91", + "D) 138.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "138.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $51,971M\nB) $45,699M\nC) $42,562M\nD) $61,380M", + "options": [ + "A) $51,971M", + "B) $45,699M", + "C) $42,562M", + "D) $61,380M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$51,971M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) $19.35/bbl\nB) $27.50/bbl\nC) $32.93/bbl\nD) $35.65/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $19.35/bbl", + "B) $27.50/bbl", + "C) $32.93/bbl", + "D) $35.65/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$27.50/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $61,114M\nB) $42,400M\nC) $51,757M\nD) $45,519M", + "options": [ + "A) $61,114M", + "B) $42,400M", + "C) $51,757M", + "D) $45,519M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$51,757M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,033B\nB) $8,244B\nC) $6,979B\nD) $7,612B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,033B", + "B) $8,244B", + "C) $6,979B", + "D) $7,612B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$7,612B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.57pp\nB) +0.19pp\nC) -1.19pp\nD) +5.72pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.57pp", + "B) +0.19pp", + "C) -1.19pp", + "D) +5.72pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+1.57pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $190,190M\nB) $178,690M\nC) $161,440M\nD) $184,440M", + "options": [ + "A) $190,190M", + "B) $178,690M", + "C) $161,440M", + "D) $184,440M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$178,690M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) -51.27%\nB) -9.87%\nC) 10.83%\nD) 72.94%", + "options": [ + "A) -51.27%", + "B) -9.87%", + "C) 10.83%", + "D) 72.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.61%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 4.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.61%", + "B) 5.33%", + "C) 4.04%", + "D) 4.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.54%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 1.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.77%", + "B) 1.54%", + "C) 2.11%", + "D) 1.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.10%\nB) 8.78%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 13.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.10%", + "B) 8.78%", + "C) 4.14%", + "D) 13.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.09%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 1.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.09%", + "B) 1.40%", + "C) 1.74%", + "D) 1.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.72pp\nB) +0.08pp\nC) +1.05pp\nD) +0.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.72pp", + "B) +0.08pp", + "C) +1.05pp", + "D) +0.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 183.90\nB) 173.18\nC) 178.54\nD) 191.94", + "options": [ + "A) 183.90", + "B) 173.18", + "C) 178.54", + "D) 191.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "183.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.51\nB) 79.11\nC) 81.81\nD) 77.31", + "options": [ + "A) 75.51", + "B) 79.11", + "C) 81.81", + "D) 77.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "79.11", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 5.97%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 7.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.34%", + "B) 5.97%", + "C) 5.09%", + "D) 7.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.70%\nB) 2.00%\nC) 5.35%\nD) 7.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.70%", + "B) 2.00%", + "C) 5.35%", + "D) 7.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) -2.08%\nC) 5.47%\nD) -0.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.94%", + "B) -2.08%", + "C) 5.47%", + "D) -0.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.89%\nB) 7.10%\nC) 10.77%\nD) 3.44%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.89%", + "B) 7.10%", + "C) 10.77%", + "D) 3.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,092B\nB) $7,377B\nC) $7,854B\nD) $7,139B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,092B", + "B) $7,377B", + "C) $7,854B", + "D) $7,139B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$7,854B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.27%\nB) 65.52%\nC) 60.53%\nD) 62.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.27%", + "B) 65.52%", + "C) 60.53%", + "D) 62.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "62.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.24%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 1.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.46%", + "B) 1.24%", + "C) 1.69%", + "D) 1.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.51pp\nD) -0.09pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.40pp", + "B) -0.30pp", + "C) -0.51pp", + "D) -0.09pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.57%\nB) 1.82%\nC) -0.37%\nD) 0.36%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.57%", + "B) 1.82%", + "C) -0.37%", + "D) 0.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.05%\nB) 6.69%\nC) 8.73%\nD) 7.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.05%", + "B) 6.69%", + "C) 8.73%", + "D) 7.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -18.10pp\nB) -28.02pp\nC) -8.18pp\nD) -13.14pp", + "options": [ + "A) -18.10pp", + "B) -28.02pp", + "C) -8.18pp", + "D) -13.14pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-18.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $160,302M\nB) $172,245M\nC) $184,188M\nD) $178,216M", + "options": [ + "A) $160,302M", + "B) $172,245M", + "C) $184,188M", + "D) $178,216M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$172,245M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.87%\nB) 12.10%\nC) 5.12%\nD) 1.62%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.87%", + "B) 12.10%", + "C) 5.12%", + "D) 1.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.34%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 1.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.34%", + "B) 2.02%", + "C) 2.86%", + "D) 1.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) -0.80pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.60pp", + "B) -0.50pp", + "C) -0.70pp", + "D) -0.80pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 121.7672\nB) 117.7900\nC) 105.8585\nD) 129.7215", + "options": [ + "A) 121.7672", + "B) 117.7900", + "C) 105.8585", + "D) 129.7215" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "117.7900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 9.06%\nC) 5.98%\nD) 10.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.91%", + "B) 9.06%", + "C) 5.98%", + "D) 10.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.12%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 8.85%\nD) 6.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.12%", + "B) 5.93%", + "C) 8.85%", + "D) 6.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 1.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.14%", + "B) 1.83%", + "C) 1.21%", + "D) 1.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.10%\nB) 8.07%\nC) 23.15%\nD) -7.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.10%", + "B) 8.07%", + "C) 23.15%", + "D) -7.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,797K\nB) 1,717K\nC) 1,757K\nD) 1,877K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,797K", + "B) 1,717K", + "C) 1,757K", + "D) 1,877K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,757K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 25.02%\nC) -6.50%\nD) 9.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.00%", + "B) 25.02%", + "C) -6.50%", + "D) 9.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.69%\nB) 0.14%\nC) 6.96%\nD) -2.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.69%", + "B) 0.14%", + "C) 6.96%", + "D) -2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 126,344K\nB) 130,252K\nC) 132,857K\nD) 136,765K", + "options": [ + "A) 126,344K", + "B) 130,252K", + "C) 132,857K", + "D) 136,765K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "130,252K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,142K\nB) 136,747K\nC) 130,235K\nD) 126,328K", + "options": [ + "A) 134,142K", + "B) 136,747K", + "C) 130,235K", + "D) 126,328K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "130,235K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.37%\nB) 10.93%\nC) 10.07%\nD) 9.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.37%", + "B) 10.93%", + "C) 10.07%", + "D) 9.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 192.50\nB) 181.80\nC) 200.53\nD) 187.15", + "options": [ + "A) 192.50", + "B) 181.80", + "C) 200.53", + "D) 187.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "192.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 68.29%\nB) 66.30%\nC) 64.31%\nD) 62.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.29%", + "B) 66.30%", + "C) 64.31%", + "D) 62.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "66.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.38%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 2.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.38%", + "B) 3.98%", + "C) 3.18%", + "D) 2.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.15/bbl\nB) $37.69/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $29.15/bbl", + "B) $37.69/bbl", + "C) $31.29/bbl", + "D) $33.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.15/bbl\nB) $37.69/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $29.15/bbl", + "B) $37.69/bbl", + "C) $31.29/bbl", + "D) $33.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $39.82/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $35.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $33.42/bbl", + "B) $39.82/bbl", + "C) $31.29/bbl", + "D) $35.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $39.82/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $35.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $33.42/bbl", + "B) $39.82/bbl", + "C) $31.29/bbl", + "D) $35.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $33.42/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $39.82/bbl", + "B) $33.42/bbl", + "C) $29.15/bbl", + "D) $27.02/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $33.42/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $39.82/bbl", + "B) $33.42/bbl", + "C) $29.15/bbl", + "D) $27.02/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $31.29/bbl\nC) $33.42/bbl\nD) $29.15/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $39.82/bbl", + "B) $31.29/bbl", + "C) $33.42/bbl", + "D) $29.15/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $31.29/bbl\nC) $33.42/bbl\nD) $29.15/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $39.82/bbl", + "B) $31.29/bbl", + "C) $33.42/bbl", + "D) $29.15/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $31.29/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $31.29/bbl", + "B) $35.55/bbl", + "C) $29.15/bbl", + "D) $33.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $31.29/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $31.29/bbl", + "B) $35.55/bbl", + "C) $29.15/bbl", + "D) $33.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $33.42/bbl", + "B) $35.55/bbl", + "C) $31.29/bbl", + "D) $27.02/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $33.42/bbl", + "B) $35.55/bbl", + "C) $31.29/bbl", + "D) $27.02/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.52/bbl\nB) $25.59/bbl\nC) $19.70/bbl\nD) $21.66/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $29.52/bbl", + "B) $25.59/bbl", + "C) $19.70/bbl", + "D) $21.66/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.52/bbl\nB) $25.59/bbl\nC) $19.70/bbl\nD) $21.66/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $29.52/bbl", + "B) $25.59/bbl", + "C) $19.70/bbl", + "D) $21.66/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $19.70/bbl\nB) $21.66/bbl\nC) $25.59/bbl\nD) $23.63/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $19.70/bbl", + "B) $21.66/bbl", + "C) $25.59/bbl", + "D) $23.63/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $19.70/bbl\nB) $21.66/bbl\nC) $25.59/bbl\nD) $23.63/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $19.70/bbl", + "B) $21.66/bbl", + "C) $25.59/bbl", + "D) $23.63/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $26.35/bbl\nB) $18.50/bbl\nC) $20.46/bbl\nD) $24.39/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $26.35/bbl", + "B) $18.50/bbl", + "C) $20.46/bbl", + "D) $24.39/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$24.39/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $26.35/bbl\nB) $18.50/bbl\nC) $20.46/bbl\nD) $24.39/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $26.35/bbl", + "B) $18.50/bbl", + "C) $20.46/bbl", + "D) $24.39/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$24.39/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $23.23/bbl\nB) $27.16/bbl\nC) $29.12/bbl\nD) $25.19/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $23.23/bbl", + "B) $27.16/bbl", + "C) $29.12/bbl", + "D) $25.19/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $23.23/bbl\nB) $27.16/bbl\nC) $29.12/bbl\nD) $25.19/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $23.23/bbl", + "B) $27.16/bbl", + "C) $29.12/bbl", + "D) $25.19/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $23.23/bbl\nC) $25.19/bbl\nD) $29.12/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $27.16/bbl", + "B) $23.23/bbl", + "C) $25.19/bbl", + "D) $29.12/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $23.23/bbl\nC) $25.19/bbl\nD) $29.12/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $27.16/bbl", + "B) $23.23/bbl", + "C) $25.19/bbl", + "D) $29.12/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $29.12/bbl\nC) $23.23/bbl\nD) $21.27/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $27.16/bbl", + "B) $29.12/bbl", + "C) $23.23/bbl", + "D) $21.27/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $29.12/bbl\nC) $23.23/bbl\nD) $21.27/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $27.16/bbl", + "B) $29.12/bbl", + "C) $23.23/bbl", + "D) $21.27/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 19.11\nB) 31.27\nC) 22.15\nD) 28.23", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 19.11", + "B) 31.27", + "C) 22.15", + "D) 28.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "28.23", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 19.11\nB) 31.27\nC) 22.15\nD) 28.23", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 19.11", + "B) 31.27", + "C) 22.15", + "D) 28.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "28.23", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 27.75\nB) 18.63\nC) 36.87\nD) 33.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 27.75", + "B) 18.63", + "C) 36.87", + "D) 33.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "27.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 27.75\nB) 18.63\nC) 36.87\nD) 33.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 27.75", + "B) 18.63", + "C) 36.87", + "D) 33.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "27.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 28.60\nB) 22.52\nC) 31.64\nD) 16.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 28.60", + "B) 22.52", + "C) 31.64", + "D) 16.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 28.60\nB) 22.52\nC) 31.64\nD) 16.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 28.60", + "B) 22.52", + "C) 31.64", + "D) 16.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 16.20\nB) 28.36\nC) 19.24\nD) 10.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 16.20", + "B) 28.36", + "C) 19.24", + "D) 10.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 16.20\nB) 28.36\nC) 19.24\nD) 10.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 16.20", + "B) 28.36", + "C) 19.24", + "D) 10.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 12.32\nB) 9.28\nC) 21.44\nD) 18.40", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 12.32", + "B) 9.28", + "C) 21.44", + "D) 18.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18.40", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 12.32\nB) 9.28\nC) 21.44\nD) 18.40", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 12.32", + "B) 9.28", + "C) 21.44", + "D) 18.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18.40", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 23.83\nC) 8.63\nD) 20.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 17.75", + "B) 23.83", + "C) 8.63", + "D) 20.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 23.83\nC) 8.63\nD) 20.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 17.75", + "B) 23.83", + "C) 8.63", + "D) 20.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,520.26\nB) 1,368.37\nC) 1,216.48\nD) 1,672.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,520.26", + "B) 1,368.37", + "C) 1,216.48", + "D) 1,672.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,368.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,520.26\nB) 1,368.37\nC) 1,216.48\nD) 1,672.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,520.26", + "B) 1,368.37", + "C) 1,216.48", + "D) 1,672.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,368.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,812.03\nB) 1,508.26\nC) 1,356.37\nD) 1,052.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,812.03", + "B) 1,508.26", + "C) 1,356.37", + "D) 1,052.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,356.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,812.03\nB) 1,508.26\nC) 1,356.37\nD) 1,052.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,812.03", + "B) 1,508.26", + "C) 1,356.37", + "D) 1,052.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,356.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,201.85\nD) 1,353.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,809.40", + "B) 1,049.97", + "C) 1,201.85", + "D) 1,353.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,201.85\nD) 1,353.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,809.40", + "B) 1,049.97", + "C) 1,201.85", + "D) 1,353.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,353.74\nB) 1,201.85\nC) 1,809.40\nD) 1,657.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,353.74", + "B) 1,201.85", + "C) 1,809.40", + "D) 1,657.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,353.74\nB) 1,201.85\nC) 1,809.40\nD) 1,657.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,353.74", + "B) 1,201.85", + "C) 1,809.40", + "D) 1,657.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,353.74\nC) 1,505.63\nD) 1,049.97", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,809.40", + "B) 1,353.74", + "C) 1,505.63", + "D) 1,049.97" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,353.74\nC) 1,505.63\nD) 1,049.97", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,809.40", + "B) 1,353.74", + "C) 1,505.63", + "D) 1,049.97" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,505.63\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,353.74\nD) 1,201.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,505.63", + "B) 1,049.97", + "C) 1,353.74", + "D) 1,201.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,505.63\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,353.74\nD) 1,201.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,505.63", + "B) 1,049.97", + "C) 1,353.74", + "D) 1,201.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", + "year": 2003 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2003.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2003.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..e9fa0959de6d7158e0ebd3ba5e2576edb7e470ba --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2003.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:025012949c9febef065ce6548384b9a44b49e990fb08ca94e6314f3ba49efe25 +size 27620 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2004.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2004.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..ba4b58e77ddaef6b09cfdbce2fbe7426ccd35a4f --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2004.json @@ -0,0 +1,2501 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.55%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 3.40%\nD) 4.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.55%", + "B) 3.83%", + "C) 3.40%", + "D) 4.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.75%\nB) -9.96%\nC) -5.86%\nD) -14.06%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.75%", + "B) -9.96%", + "C) -5.86%", + "D) -14.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.90%\nB) 15.76%\nC) 23.62%\nD) 19.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.90%", + "B) 15.76%", + "C) 23.62%", + "D) 19.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 74.38%\nB) 85.40%\nC) 78.51%\nD) 82.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 74.38%", + "B) 85.40%", + "C) 78.51%", + "D) 82.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "78.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.89%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 8.91%\nD) 6.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.89%", + "B) 4.73%", + "C) 8.91%", + "D) 6.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 339,000\nB) 422,472\nC) 255,528\nD) 366,824", + "options": [ + "A) 339,000", + "B) 422,472", + "C) 255,528", + "D) 366,824" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "339,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 85.35\nB) 80.10\nC) 83.25\nD) 76.96", + "options": [ + "A) 85.35", + "B) 80.10", + "C) 83.25", + "D) 76.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $9,378B\nB) $9,666B\nC) $8,803B\nD) $8,227B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,378B", + "B) $9,666B", + "C) $8,803B", + "D) $8,227B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$8,803B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 98.14\nB) 95.36\nC) 89.81\nD) 92.59", + "options": [ + "A) 98.14", + "B) 95.36", + "C) 89.81", + "D) 92.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "92.59", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,035B\nB) $9,319B\nC) $8,181B\nD) $9,604B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,035B", + "B) $9,319B", + "C) $8,181B", + "D) $9,604B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$9,035B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.23%\nB) 5.44%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 3.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.23%", + "B) 5.44%", + "C) 7.80%", + "D) 3.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.68%\nB) 11.28%\nC) 7.38%\nD) 9.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.68%", + "B) 11.28%", + "C) 7.38%", + "D) 9.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 6.72%\nC) 7.55%\nD) 5.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.22%", + "B) 6.72%", + "C) 7.55%", + "D) 5.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.20%\nB) 57.85%\nC) 64.07%\nD) 60.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.20%", + "B) 57.85%", + "C) 64.07%", + "D) 60.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "62.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.71%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 7.89%\nD) -3.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.71%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 7.89%", + "D) -3.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) -13.66%\nB) 7.45%\nC) 28.56%\nD) 91.89%", + "options": [ + "A) -13.66%", + "B) 7.45%", + "C) 28.56%", + "D) 91.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "28.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $64,268M\nB) $58,086M\nC) $51,904M\nD) $54,995M", + "options": [ + "A) $64,268M", + "B) $58,086M", + "C) $51,904M", + "D) $54,995M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$54,995M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) -0.73pp\nC) +0.53pp\nD) +0.22pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.10pp", + "B) -0.73pp", + "C) +0.53pp", + "D) +0.22pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 67.12%\nB) 65.80%\nC) 62.51%\nD) 64.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 67.12%", + "B) 65.80%", + "C) 62.51%", + "D) 64.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "65.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1545\nB) 1.2733\nC) 1.2139\nD) 1.0952", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1545", + "B) 1.2733", + "C) 1.2139", + "D) 1.0952" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2139", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,176B\nB) $6,902B\nC) $5,803B\nD) $6,352B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,176B", + "B) $6,902B", + "C) $5,803B", + "D) $6,352B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$6,352B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 5.94%\nD) 0.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.63%", + "B) 4.50%", + "C) 5.94%", + "D) 0.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 4.37%\nD) 2.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.36%", + "B) 1.34%", + "C) 4.37%", + "D) 2.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +11.83pp\nB) +1.17pp\nC) +6.50pp\nD) -4.17pp", + "options": [ + "A) +11.83pp", + "B) +1.17pp", + "C) +6.50pp", + "D) -4.17pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+6.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $302,187M\nB) $325,075M\nC) $340,334M\nD) $317,446M", + "options": [ + "A) $302,187M", + "B) $325,075M", + "C) $340,334M", + "D) $317,446M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$317,446M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 144.08\nB) 157.79\nC) 130.37\nD) 137.23", + "options": [ + "A) 144.08", + "B) 157.79", + "C) 130.37", + "D) 137.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "144.08", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 69.76%\nB) 77.47%\nC) 74.39%\nD) 80.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 69.76%", + "B) 77.47%", + "C) 74.39%", + "D) 80.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "77.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.76pp\nB) -1.36pp\nC) +1.44pp\nD) +2.85pp", + "options": [ + "A) -2.76pp", + "B) -1.36pp", + "C) +1.44pp", + "D) +2.85pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.44pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.45%\nB) 13.92%\nC) 11.63%\nD) 13.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.45%", + "B) 13.92%", + "C) 11.63%", + "D) 13.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,006.58\nB) 1,089.22\nC) 2,465.26\nD) 1,547.90", + "options": [ + "A) 2,006.58", + "B) 1,089.22", + "C) 2,465.26", + "D) 1,547.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,006.58", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) +7.90pp\nB) +18.20pp\nC) +28.50pp\nD) +33.65pp", + "options": [ + "A) +7.90pp", + "B) +18.20pp", + "C) +28.50pp", + "D) +33.65pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+18.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.83/hr\nB) $16.42/hr\nC) $15.78/hr\nD) $15.46/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $14.83/hr", + "B) $16.42/hr", + "C) $15.78/hr", + "D) $15.46/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$15.78/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.24%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 4.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.24%", + "B) 3.72%", + "C) 2.96%", + "D) 4.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) $34.66/bbl\nB) $32.45/bbl\nC) $39.07/bbl\nD) $30.25/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $34.66/bbl", + "B) $32.45/bbl", + "C) $39.07/bbl", + "D) $30.25/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$34.66/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.60%", + "B) 1.90%", + "C) 1.01%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 69.96%\nB) 64.02%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 67.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 69.96%", + "B) 64.02%", + "C) 66.00%", + "D) 67.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "66.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 1.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.58%", + "B) 0.94%", + "C) 2.22%", + "D) 1.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2,041K\nB) 2,208K\nC) 1,874K\nD) 2,125K", + "options": [ + "A) 2,041K", + "B) 2,208K", + "C) 1,874K", + "D) 2,125K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,041K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 14.51%\nB) 17.59%\nC) 20.66%\nD) 11.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.51%", + "B) 17.59%", + "C) 20.66%", + "D) 11.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "17.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.20%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 7.39%\nD) 3.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.20%", + "B) 5.02%", + "C) 7.39%", + "D) 3.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.90%\nB) 3.67%\nC) 2.06%\nD) 4.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.90%", + "B) 3.67%", + "C) 2.06%", + "D) 4.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 131,140K\nB) 135,074K\nC) 128,517K\nD) 124,583K", + "options": [ + "A) 131,140K", + "B) 135,074K", + "C) 128,517K", + "D) 124,583K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "131,140K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $62,259M\nB) $56,227M\nC) $47,178M\nD) $50,195M", + "options": [ + "A) $62,259M", + "B) $56,227M", + "C) $47,178M", + "D) $50,195M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$56,227M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 183.20\nB) 206.08\nC) 197.50\nD) 188.92", + "options": [ + "A) 183.20", + "B) 206.08", + "C) 197.50", + "D) 188.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "197.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,598B\nB) $7,828B\nC) $8,085B\nD) $8,342B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,598B", + "B) $7,828B", + "C) $8,085B", + "D) $8,342B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$8,342B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,158B\nB) $5,885B\nC) $5,339B\nD) $6,704B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,158B", + "B) $5,885B", + "C) $5,339B", + "D) $6,704B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$6,158B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,036,330\nB) 2,990,000\nC) 2,354,220\nD) 3,943,670", + "options": [ + "A) 2,036,330", + "B) 2,990,000", + "C) 2,354,220", + "D) 3,943,670" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,990,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 82.33\nB) 77.11\nC) 79.20\nD) 73.98", + "options": [ + "A) 82.33", + "B) 77.11", + "C) 79.20", + "D) 73.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "79.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.56pp\nB) +0.82pp\nC) +1.09pp\nD) +0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.56pp", + "B) +0.82pp", + "C) +1.09pp", + "D) +0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2,066K\nB) 2,252K\nC) 1,942K\nD) 2,004K", + "options": [ + "A) 2,066K", + "B) 2,252K", + "C) 1,942K", + "D) 2,004K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,066K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.77%\nB) 6.64%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 0.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.77%", + "B) 6.64%", + "C) 2.38%", + "D) 0.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) -0.60%\nC) 0.69%\nD) -1.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.99%", + "B) -0.60%", + "C) 0.69%", + "D) -1.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,797K\nB) 1,931K\nC) 1,864K\nD) 1,998K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,797K", + "B) 1,931K", + "C) 1,864K", + "D) 1,998K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,998K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 3.15%\nD) 1.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.27%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 3.15%", + "D) 1.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 1.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.19%", + "B) 1.86%", + "C) 1.64%", + "D) 1.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 6.35%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.81%", + "B) 6.35%", + "C) 4.93%", + "D) 5.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.47\nB) 6.68\nC) 17.84\nD) 15.05", + "options": [ + "A) 9.47", + "B) 6.68", + "C) 17.84", + "D) 15.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.05", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 5.22%\nC) -1.70%\nD) 6.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.45%", + "B) 5.22%", + "C) -1.70%", + "D) 6.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 155.72\nB) 147.70\nC) 134.34\nD) 139.68", + "options": [ + "A) 155.72", + "B) 147.70", + "C) 134.34", + "D) 139.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "147.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.37%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.80%\nD) 4.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.37%", + "B) 4.94%", + "C) 5.80%", + "D) 4.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 210.59\nB) 189.46\nC) 204.55\nD) 195.50", + "options": [ + "A) 210.59", + "B) 189.46", + "C) 204.55", + "D) 195.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "195.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $737M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $737M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$737M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $15.90/hr\nB) $15.56/hr\nC) $16.58/hr\nD) $16.24/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $15.90/hr", + "B) $15.56/hr", + "C) $16.58/hr", + "D) $16.24/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$15.56/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 18.42%\nB) 3.21%\nC) 10.81%\nD) -0.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 18.42%", + "B) 3.21%", + "C) 10.81%", + "D) -0.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 3.07%\nD) 1.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 2.04%", + "C) 3.07%", + "D) 1.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) $6,106B\nB) $5,868B\nC) $6,818B\nD) $6,580B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,106B", + "B) $5,868B", + "C) $6,818B", + "D) $6,580B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$6,106B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,825K\nB) 1,905K\nC) 2,145K\nD) 2,065K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,825K", + "B) 1,905K", + "C) 2,145K", + "D) 2,065K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,905K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.82%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 6.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.82%", + "B) 4.14%", + "C) 5.40%", + "D) 6.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 1.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 4.82%", + "C) 3.75%", + "D) 1.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 4.11%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 3.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.50%", + "B) 4.11%", + "C) 5.29%", + "D) 3.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.01pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.01pp", + "B) -0.30pp", + "C) -0.40pp", + "D) -0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 0.78%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 2.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.82%", + "B) 0.78%", + "C) 1.56%", + "D) 2.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) -1.75%\nC) 13.16%\nD) 8.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.22%", + "B) -1.75%", + "C) 13.16%", + "D) 8.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 2.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.96%", + "B) 2.48%", + "C) 1.18%", + "D) 2.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 141,335K\nB) 132,089K\nC) 136,052K\nD) 128,126K", + "options": [ + "A) 141,335K", + "B) 132,089K", + "C) 136,052K", + "D) 128,126K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "132,089K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.31%\nB) 17.02%\nC) 5.46%\nD) 1.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.31%", + "B) 17.02%", + "C) 5.46%", + "D) 1.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 11.31%\nB) -8.89%\nC) 21.40%\nD) 6.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.31%", + "B) -8.89%", + "C) 21.40%", + "D) 6.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 109.5900\nB) 101.5497\nC) 97.5295\nD) 113.6102", + "options": [ + "A) 109.5900", + "B) 101.5497", + "C) 97.5295", + "D) 113.6102" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "109.5900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) $41.99/bbl\nB) $37.18/bbl\nC) $29.96/bbl\nD) $39.59/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $41.99/bbl", + "B) $37.18/bbl", + "C) $29.96/bbl", + "D) $39.59/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$37.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 1.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.62%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 1.95%", + "D) 1.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.72\nB) 83.59\nC) 85.54\nD) 80.66", + "options": [ + "A) 77.72", + "B) 83.59", + "C) 85.54", + "D) 80.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "80.66", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $309,471M\nB) $301,924M\nC) $332,113M\nD) $286,829M", + "options": [ + "A) $309,471M", + "B) $301,924M", + "C) $332,113M", + "D) $286,829M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$309,471M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,328B\nB) $8,099B\nC) $8,356B\nD) $7,585B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,328B", + "B) $8,099B", + "C) $8,356B", + "D) $7,585B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$8,099B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.41%\nB) 7.01%\nC) 6.21%\nD) 3.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.41%", + "B) 7.01%", + "C) 6.21%", + "D) 3.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 1.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.93%", + "B) 2.14%", + "C) 2.55%", + "D) 1.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.32%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 4.97%\nD) 7.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.32%", + "B) 6.77%", + "C) 4.97%", + "D) 7.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 5.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.88%", + "B) 5.45%", + "C) 4.81%", + "D) 5.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 1.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.46%", + "B) 1.96%", + "C) 2.33%", + "D) 1.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.0283\nB) 8.6904\nC) 8.4421\nD) 8.2766", + "options": [ + "A) 8.0283", + "B) 8.6904", + "C) 8.4421", + "D) 8.2766" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.2766", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $188,444M\nB) $193,974M\nC) $177,383M\nD) $171,853M", + "options": [ + "A) $188,444M", + "B) $193,974M", + "C) $177,383M", + "D) $171,853M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$188,444M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.70%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 3.32%\nD) 2.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.70%", + "B) 2.54%", + "C) 3.32%", + "D) 2.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 10.52%\nB) 12.33%\nC) 11.42%\nD) 10.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.52%", + "B) 12.33%", + "C) 11.42%", + "D) 10.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.29%\nB) 2.88%\nC) 7.11%\nD) 5.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.29%", + "B) 2.88%", + "C) 7.11%", + "D) 5.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -0.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.30pp", + "B) -0.40pp", + "C) -0.60pp", + "D) -0.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.31pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) -1.71pp\nD) -1.04pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.31pp", + "B) -0.70pp", + "C) -1.71pp", + "D) -1.04pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $-36,273M\nB) $-50,248M\nC) $-46,754M\nD) $-57,235M", + "options": [ + "A) $-36,273M", + "B) $-50,248M", + "C) $-46,754M", + "D) $-57,235M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-46,754M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 138.36\nB) 133.61\nC) 147.84\nD) 143.10", + "options": [ + "A) 138.36", + "B) 133.61", + "C) 147.84", + "D) 143.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "143.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 94.20\nB) 107.67\nC) 80.73\nD) 85.22", + "options": [ + "A) 94.20", + "B) 107.67", + "C) 80.73", + "D) 85.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "94.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 56.01%\nB) 17.21%\nC) 36.61%\nD) 75.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 56.01%", + "B) 17.21%", + "C) 36.61%", + "D) 75.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "17.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 4.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.85%", + "B) 0.93%", + "C) 2.77%", + "D) 4.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.93\nB) 98.43\nC) 96.56\nD) 93.75", + "options": [ + "A) 90.93", + "B) 98.43", + "C) 96.56", + "D) 93.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "93.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 23.55%\nB) -18.88%\nC) 87.20%\nD) 2.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 23.55%", + "B) -18.88%", + "C) 87.20%", + "D) 2.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "23.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.07\nB) 79.93\nC) 78.00\nD) 82.83", + "options": [ + "A) 76.07", + "B) 79.93", + "C) 78.00", + "D) 82.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "79.93", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 0.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.03%", + "B) 2.65%", + "C) 1.41%", + "D) 0.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 0.07%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 4.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.54%", + "B) 0.07%", + "C) 5.93%", + "D) 4.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 187.10\nB) 193.30\nC) 180.90\nD) 171.61", + "options": [ + "A) 187.10", + "B) 193.30", + "C) 180.90", + "D) 171.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "187.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.43%\nB) 62.30%\nC) 59.18%\nD) 64.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.43%", + "B) 62.30%", + "C) 59.18%", + "D) 64.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "62.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $762M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $762M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$762M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.36pp\nB) +2.96pp\nC) +0.88pp\nD) +1.92pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.36pp", + "B) +2.96pp", + "C) +0.88pp", + "D) +1.92pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+1.92pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 155.11\nB) 178.23\nC) 147.40\nD) 170.52", + "options": [ + "A) 155.11", + "B) 178.23", + "C) 147.40", + "D) 170.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "155.11", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.65%\nB) 4.08%\nC) -5.78%\nD) -2.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.65%", + "B) 4.08%", + "C) -5.78%", + "D) -2.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.72%\nB) 2.68%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 7.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.72%", + "B) 2.68%", + "C) 6.20%", + "D) 7.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 198.70\nB) 183.86\nC) 174.96\nD) 189.80", + "options": [ + "A) 198.70", + "B) 183.86", + "C) 174.96", + "D) 189.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "189.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.80\nB) 81.24\nC) 86.09\nD) 105.51", + "options": [ + "A) 95.80", + "B) 81.24", + "C) 86.09", + "D) 105.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "95.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.59pp\nB) +2.03pp\nC) +4.90pp\nD) +6.33pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.59pp", + "B) +2.03pp", + "C) +4.90pp", + "D) +6.33pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+2.03pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.55%", + "B) 5.20%", + "C) 3.90%", + "D) 3.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $-47,927M\nB) $-44,168M\nC) $-62,964M\nD) $-51,686M", + "options": [ + "A) $-47,927M", + "B) $-44,168M", + "C) $-62,964M", + "D) $-51,686M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-51,686M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $190,869M\nB) $207,499M\nC) $196,412M\nD) $201,956M", + "options": [ + "A) $190,869M", + "B) $207,499M", + "C) $196,412M", + "D) $201,956M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$190,869M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.98pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) +0.58pp\nD) +0.32pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.98pp", + "B) -0.20pp", + "C) +0.58pp", + "D) +0.32pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2004.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2004.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..aa1fc1e7c95cc3fc1182c9d7f17246e930acd345 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2004.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:aa4514734b8644df06b522642b2f8fa6cb51d1516fd854448558c71251d7f714 +size 23804 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2005.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2005.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..de2215606f9003f0e15dcb4832ead6882860fde3 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2005.json @@ -0,0 +1,3653 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.37%\nB) 4.42%\nC) 5.20%\nD) 5.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.37%", + "B) 4.42%", + "C) 5.20%", + "D) 5.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 166.30\nB) 158.10\nC) 174.49\nD) 162.20", + "options": [ + "A) 166.30", + "B) 158.10", + "C) 174.49", + "D) 162.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "162.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2,151K\nB) 2,248K\nC) 2,441K\nD) 1,958K", + "options": [ + "A) 2,151K", + "B) 2,248K", + "C) 2,441K", + "D) 1,958K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,151K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.62%\nB) 10.88%\nC) 8.13%\nD) 19.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.62%", + "B) 10.88%", + "C) 8.13%", + "D) 19.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 207.92\nB) 201.99\nC) 193.10\nD) 187.17", + "options": [ + "A) 207.92", + "B) 201.99", + "C) 193.10", + "D) 187.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "193.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.34\nB) 91.62\nC) 93.55\nD) 96.45", + "options": [ + "A) 99.34", + "B) 91.62", + "C) 93.55", + "D) 96.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "96.45", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.50pp\nB) +1.04pp\nC) -0.04pp\nD) +1.31pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.50pp", + "B) +1.04pp", + "C) -0.04pp", + "D) +1.31pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +0.30pp\nC) +0.59pp\nD) +0.01pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.40pp", + "B) +0.30pp", + "C) +0.59pp", + "D) +0.01pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.31%\nB) 11.35%\nC) 14.23%\nD) 13.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.31%", + "B) 11.35%", + "C) 14.23%", + "D) 13.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.53%\nB) 2.16%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 3.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.53%", + "B) 2.16%", + "C) 3.84%", + "D) 3.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.06%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 2.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.06%", + "B) 4.98%", + "C) 5.89%", + "D) 2.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) +7.16pp\nB) -3.20pp\nC) -18.74pp\nD) -13.56pp", + "options": [ + "A) +7.16pp", + "B) -3.20pp", + "C) -18.74pp", + "D) -13.56pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-3.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $788M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $788M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$788M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,884B\nB) $9,454B\nC) $10,025B\nD) $9,169B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,884B", + "B) $9,454B", + "C) $10,025B", + "D) $9,169B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$9,169B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) $54.12/bbl\nB) $45.79/bbl\nC) $41.63/bbl\nD) $49.96/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $54.12/bbl", + "B) $45.79/bbl", + "C) $41.63/bbl", + "D) $49.96/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$54.12/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.06%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 61.54%\nD) 65.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.06%", + "B) 62.80%", + "C) 61.54%", + "D) 65.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "62.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.18pp\nB) -22.42pp\nC) -17.30pp\nD) -27.53pp", + "options": [ + "A) -12.18pp", + "B) -22.42pp", + "C) -17.30pp", + "D) -27.53pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-17.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.00pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.29pp\nD) -0.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.00pp", + "B) -0.20pp", + "C) -0.29pp", + "D) -0.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 177.61\nB) 187.53\nC) 207.36\nD) 167.70", + "options": [ + "A) 177.61", + "B) 187.53", + "C) 207.36", + "D) 167.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "177.61", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 85.70\nB) 81.38\nC) 78.13\nD) 83.54", + "options": [ + "A) 85.70", + "B) 81.38", + "C) 78.13", + "D) 83.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "81.38", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 5.10%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 3.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.34%", + "B) 5.10%", + "C) 3.72%", + "D) 3.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,782K\nB) 2,249K\nC) 1,875K\nD) 2,062K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,782K", + "B) 2,249K", + "C) 1,875K", + "D) 2,062K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,062K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) $55.53/bbl\nB) $51.16/bbl\nC) $59.90/bbl\nD) $68.63/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $55.53/bbl", + "B) $51.16/bbl", + "C) $59.90/bbl", + "D) $68.63/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$55.53/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.94pp\nB) -0.60pp\nC) +0.42pp\nD) -1.62pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.94pp", + "B) -0.60pp", + "C) +0.42pp", + "D) -1.62pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 195.99\nB) 190.69\nC) 201.30\nD) 206.61", + "options": [ + "A) 195.99", + "B) 190.69", + "C) 201.30", + "D) 206.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "201.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $16.88/hr\nB) $15.36/hr\nC) $14.76/hr\nD) $15.97/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $16.88/hr", + "B) $15.36/hr", + "C) $14.76/hr", + "D) $15.97/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$15.97/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,452B\nB) $10,315B\nC) $8,877B\nD) $9,740B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,452B", + "B) $10,315B", + "C) $8,877B", + "D) $9,740B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$9,452B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 79.75\nB) 81.74\nC) 86.69\nD) 84.71", + "options": [ + "A) 79.75", + "B) 81.74", + "C) 86.69", + "D) 84.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "81.74", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 8.05%\nC) 6.70%\nD) 4.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.35%", + "B) 8.05%", + "C) 6.70%", + "D) 4.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 82.95%\nB) 85.44%\nC) 77.98%\nD) 80.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 82.95%", + "B) 85.44%", + "C) 77.98%", + "D) 80.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "80.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.87%\nB) -7.08%\nC) 7.85%\nD) -2.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.87%", + "B) -7.08%", + "C) 7.85%", + "D) -2.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.53%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 8.81%\nD) 3.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.53%", + "B) 4.98%", + "C) 8.81%", + "D) 3.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.98\nB) 79.94\nC) 76.90\nD) 86.02", + "options": [ + "A) 82.98", + "B) 79.94", + "C) 76.90", + "D) 86.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "76.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -15.00%\nB) 1.59%\nC) -19.15%\nD) -6.71%", + "options": [ + "A) -15.00%", + "B) 1.59%", + "C) -19.15%", + "D) -6.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-6.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $16.19/hr\nB) $15.33/hr\nC) $17.34/hr\nD) $16.76/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $16.19/hr", + "B) $15.33/hr", + "C) $17.34/hr", + "D) $16.76/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$16.19/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $356,977M\nB) $336,600M\nC) $306,035M\nD) $326,412M", + "options": [ + "A) $356,977M", + "B) $336,600M", + "C) $306,035M", + "D) $326,412M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$336,600M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.13%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 3.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.74%", + "B) 4.13%", + "C) 3.83%", + "D) 3.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -9.82%\nB) 1.56%\nC) -6.03%\nD) -2.23%", + "options": [ + "A) -9.82%", + "B) 1.56%", + "C) -6.03%", + "D) -2.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-2.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 4.33%\nC) 0.32%\nD) -2.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.66%", + "B) 4.33%", + "C) 0.32%", + "D) -2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $-59,915M\nB) $-64,882M\nC) $-49,981M\nD) $-74,816M", + "options": [ + "A) $-59,915M", + "B) $-64,882M", + "C) $-49,981M", + "D) $-74,816M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-64,882M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) 2.17%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 2.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.19%", + "B) 2.17%", + "C) 1.92%", + "D) 2.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 0.32%\nD) 1.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.14%", + "B) 0.93%", + "C) 0.32%", + "D) 1.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 47.76%\nB) 32.91%\nC) 18.05%\nD) 77.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 47.76%", + "B) 32.91%", + "C) 18.05%", + "D) 77.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "47.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 5.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.86%", + "B) 4.74%", + "C) 4.00%", + "D) 5.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 1.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.07%", + "B) 1.94%", + "C) 2.19%", + "D) 1.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.82%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 3.21%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.82%", + "B) 2.04%", + "C) 3.98%", + "D) 3.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.99pp\nB) +4.46pp\nC) +5.92pp\nD) +0.06pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.99pp", + "B) +4.46pp", + "C) +5.92pp", + "D) +0.06pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+2.99pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 0.77%\nD) 1.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.96%", + "B) 1.86%", + "C) 0.77%", + "D) 1.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.35%", + "B) 4.38%", + "C) 3.90%", + "D) 3.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.07pp\nB) -0.33pp\nC) +0.73pp\nD) +0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.07pp", + "B) -0.33pp", + "C) +0.73pp", + "D) +0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,448B\nB) $5,904B\nC) $5,632B\nD) $6,176B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,448B", + "B) $5,904B", + "C) $5,632B", + "D) $6,176B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$6,448B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $774M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $774M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$774M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.03\nB) 89.08\nC) 95.30\nD) 92.81", + "options": [ + "A) 99.03", + "B) 89.08", + "C) 95.30", + "D) 92.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "95.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2,464K\nB) 1,961K\nC) 2,364K\nD) 2,263K", + "options": [ + "A) 2,464K", + "B) 1,961K", + "C) 2,364K", + "D) 2,263K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,263K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 6.00%\nD) 4.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.63%", + "B) 6.38%", + "C) 6.00%", + "D) 4.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) $6,411B\nB) $6,698B\nC) $6,124B\nD) $5,837B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,411B", + "B) $6,698B", + "C) $6,124B", + "D) $5,837B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$6,698B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,866B\nB) $9,134B\nC) $8,598B\nD) $9,402B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,866B", + "B) $9,134B", + "C) $8,598B", + "D) $9,402B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$8,598B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.27%\nB) 65.52%\nC) 60.53%\nD) 62.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.27%", + "B) 65.52%", + "C) 60.53%", + "D) 62.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "62.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) -2.79pp\nC) +1.88pp\nD) -4.35pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.32pp", + "B) -2.79pp", + "C) +1.88pp", + "D) -4.35pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.32pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 2.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.85%", + "B) 2.35%", + "C) 2.86%", + "D) 2.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.65%\nB) 14.16%\nC) 9.82%\nD) 3.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.65%", + "B) 14.16%", + "C) 9.82%", + "D) 3.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 365,437\nB) 343,219\nC) 298,781\nD) 321,000", + "options": [ + "A) 365,437", + "B) 343,219", + "C) 298,781", + "D) 321,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "321,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $-53,134M\nB) $-66,007M\nC) $-48,843M\nD) $-61,716M", + "options": [ + "A) $-53,134M", + "B) $-66,007M", + "C) $-48,843M", + "D) $-61,716M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-53,134M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 7.15%\nD) 5.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.09%", + "B) 4.72%", + "C) 7.15%", + "D) 5.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 2.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.52%", + "B) 3.01%", + "C) 2.63%", + "D) 2.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 15.94%\nC) -3.28%\nD) 8.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.41%", + "B) 15.94%", + "C) -3.28%", + "D) 8.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 5.52%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 1.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.17%", + "B) 5.52%", + "C) 6.88%", + "D) 1.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 12.43%\nB) 9.71%\nC) 11.07%\nD) 5.62%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.43%", + "B) 9.71%", + "C) 11.07%", + "D) 5.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 3.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.16%", + "B) 3.34%", + "C) 2.75%", + "D) 3.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.74%\nB) 41.33%\nC) 85.10%\nD) 55.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 26.74%", + "B) 41.33%", + "C) 85.10%", + "D) 55.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "55.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.2765\nB) 8.4420\nC) 8.6903\nD) 8.0282", + "options": [ + "A) 8.2765", + "B) 8.4420", + "C) 8.6903", + "D) 8.0282" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "8.2765", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,953K\nB) 1,864K\nC) 1,775K\nD) 1,596K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,953K", + "B) 1,864K", + "C) 1,775K", + "D) 1,596K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,864K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.74%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.74%", + "B) 1.26%", + "C) 2.50%", + "D) 3.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $175,867M\nB) $197,349M\nC) $181,237M\nD) $186,608M", + "options": [ + "A) $175,867M", + "B) $197,349M", + "C) $181,237M", + "D) $186,608M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$186,608M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2106\nB) 1.2907\nC) 1.1305\nD) 1.0504", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2106", + "B) 1.2907", + "C) 1.1305", + "D) 1.0504" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2106", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.83\nB) 11.46\nC) 21.58\nD) 8.09", + "options": [ + "A) 14.83", + "B) 11.46", + "C) 21.58", + "D) 8.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11.46", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 191.83\nB) 213.89\nC) 200.10\nD) 208.37", + "options": [ + "A) 191.83", + "B) 213.89", + "C) 200.10", + "D) 208.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "200.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 160.02\nB) 144.22\nC) 150.54\nD) 153.70", + "options": [ + "A) 160.02", + "B) 144.22", + "C) 150.54", + "D) 153.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "153.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.41%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 0.93%\nD) 13.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.41%", + "B) 5.25%", + "C) 0.93%", + "D) 13.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 4.12%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.09%", + "B) 4.12%", + "C) 4.44%", + "D) 4.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.40%\nB) 19.25%\nC) 3.77%\nD) -11.72%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.40%", + "B) 19.25%", + "C) 3.77%", + "D) -11.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.66\nB) 85.52\nC) 89.03\nD) 83.17", + "options": [ + "A) 79.66", + "B) 85.52", + "C) 89.03", + "D) 83.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "83.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $326,179M\nB) $351,547M\nC) $317,723M\nD) $309,267M", + "options": [ + "A) $326,179M", + "B) $351,547M", + "C) $317,723M", + "D) $309,267M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$326,179M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.45%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 4.89%\nD) 3.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.45%", + "B) 6.03%", + "C) 4.89%", + "D) 3.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 78.31\nB) 85.51\nC) 82.42\nD) 80.37", + "options": [ + "A) 78.31", + "B) 85.51", + "C) 82.42", + "D) 80.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "82.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $221,023M\nB) $186,971M\nC) $215,347M\nD) $203,997M", + "options": [ + "A) $221,023M", + "B) $186,971M", + "C) $215,347M", + "D) $203,997M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$203,997M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,074.92\nB) 1,756.66\nC) 2,393.18\nD) 3,029.71", + "options": [ + "A) 2,074.92", + "B) 1,756.66", + "C) 2,393.18", + "D) 3,029.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,074.92", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.37%\nD) 2.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.59%", + "B) 2.26%", + "C) 2.37%", + "D) 2.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 3.21%\nC) 4.62%\nD) 3.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.03%", + "B) 3.21%", + "C) 4.62%", + "D) 3.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,124B\nB) $6,096B\nC) $6,353B\nD) $6,610B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,124B", + "B) $6,096B", + "C) $6,353B", + "D) $6,610B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$6,610B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 134,552K\nB) 141,280K\nC) 131,861K\nD) 137,243K", + "options": [ + "A) 134,552K", + "B) 141,280K", + "C) 131,861K", + "D) 137,243K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "134,552K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $51,073M\nB) $56,576M\nC) $64,831M\nD) $62,079M", + "options": [ + "A) $51,073M", + "B) $56,576M", + "C) $64,831M", + "D) $62,079M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$56,576M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $60,580M\nB) $65,051M\nC) $58,344M\nD) $62,816M", + "options": [ + "A) $60,580M", + "B) $65,051M", + "C) $58,344M", + "D) $62,816M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$58,344M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.81%", + "B) 1.40%", + "C) 2.60%", + "D) 2.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,900B\nB) $8,309B\nC) $8,605B\nD) $9,788B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,900B", + "B) $8,309B", + "C) $8,605B", + "D) $9,788B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$8,900B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.65%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 5.32%\nD) 4.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.65%", + "B) 5.00%", + "C) 5.32%", + "D) 4.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.53%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.53%", + "B) 1.80%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.37%\nB) -29.82%\nC) -13.09%\nD) 3.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.37%", + "B) -29.82%", + "C) -13.09%", + "D) 3.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.05pp\nC) +0.65pp\nD) -1.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.40pp", + "B) -0.05pp", + "C) +0.65pp", + "D) -1.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 12.91%\nC) 25.13%\nD) 16.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.77%", + "B) 12.91%", + "C) 25.13%", + "D) 16.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) -6.56%\nC) -0.19%\nD) 6.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.99%", + "B) -6.56%", + "C) -0.19%", + "D) 6.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 6.07%\nC) 2.80%\nD) 3.62%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.17%", + "B) 6.07%", + "C) 2.80%", + "D) 3.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 164.58\nB) 173.04\nC) 181.50\nD) 189.96", + "options": [ + "A) 164.58", + "B) 173.04", + "C) 181.50", + "D) 189.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "164.58", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 137,149K\nB) 133,154K\nC) 139,812K\nD) 130,491K", + "options": [ + "A) 137,149K", + "B) 133,154K", + "C) 139,812K", + "D) 130,491K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "133,154K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.58%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 5.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.58%", + "B) 3.65%", + "C) 2.63%", + "D) 5.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 205.02\nB) 183.26\nC) 189.48\nD) 198.80", + "options": [ + "A) 205.02", + "B) 183.26", + "C) 189.48", + "D) 198.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "198.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 78.83%\nB) 73.37%\nC) 76.65%\nD) 82.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 78.83%", + "B) 73.37%", + "C) 76.65%", + "D) 82.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "78.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.85%\nB) 6.17%\nC) 6.94%\nD) 5.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.85%", + "B) 6.17%", + "C) 6.94%", + "D) 5.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 5.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.65%", + "B) 0.82%", + "C) 3.37%", + "D) 5.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.25%", + "B) 1.55%", + "C) 2.95%", + "D) 2.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,602,000\nB) 3,107,288\nC) 2,349,356\nD) 2,854,644", + "options": [ + "A) 2,602,000", + "B) 3,107,288", + "C) 2,349,356", + "D) 2,854,644" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,602,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 88.53\nB) 92.60\nC) 84.47\nD) 80.40", + "options": [ + "A) 88.53", + "B) 92.60", + "C) 84.47", + "D) 80.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "92.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 67.88%\nB) 63.92%\nC) 65.90%\nD) 62.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 67.88%", + "B) 63.92%", + "C) 65.90%", + "D) 62.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "65.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 121.4987\nB) 97.1813\nC) 113.3929\nD) 109.3400", + "options": [ + "A) 121.4987", + "B) 97.1813", + "C) 113.3929", + "D) 109.3400" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "109.3400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.10%\nB) 64.12%\nC) 68.08%\nD) 69.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 66.10%", + "B) 64.12%", + "C) 68.08%", + "D) 69.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "66.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 6.56%\nD) 7.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.93%", + "B) 5.40%", + "C) 6.56%", + "D) 7.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.47pp\nB) +0.83pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +1.70pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.47pp", + "B) +0.83pp", + "C) +0.40pp", + "D) +1.70pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.86%\nB) 15.73%\nC) 12.08%\nD) 14.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.86%", + "B) 15.73%", + "C) 12.08%", + "D) 14.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.44%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 4.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.44%", + "B) 5.00%", + "C) 3.88%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.94/bbl\nB) $65.83/bbl\nC) $70.72/bbl\nD) $51.17/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $60.94/bbl", + "B) $65.83/bbl", + "C) $70.72/bbl", + "D) $51.17/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$65.83/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.94/bbl\nB) $65.83/bbl\nC) $70.72/bbl\nD) $51.17/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $60.94/bbl", + "B) $65.83/bbl", + "C) $70.72/bbl", + "D) $51.17/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$65.83/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $58.29/bbl\nB) $48.52/bbl\nC) $63.18/bbl\nD) $68.07/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $58.29/bbl", + "B) $48.52/bbl", + "C) $63.18/bbl", + "D) $68.07/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$63.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $58.29/bbl\nB) $48.52/bbl\nC) $63.18/bbl\nD) $68.07/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $58.29/bbl", + "B) $48.52/bbl", + "C) $63.18/bbl", + "D) $68.07/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$63.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $67.80/bbl\nB) $58.02/bbl\nC) $72.68/bbl\nD) $62.91/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $67.80/bbl", + "B) $58.02/bbl", + "C) $72.68/bbl", + "D) $62.91/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$62.91/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $67.80/bbl\nB) $58.02/bbl\nC) $72.68/bbl\nD) $62.91/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $67.80/bbl", + "B) $58.02/bbl", + "C) $72.68/bbl", + "D) $62.91/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$62.91/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.63/bbl\nB) $50.86/bbl\nC) $75.29/bbl\nD) $55.74/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $60.63/bbl", + "B) $50.86/bbl", + "C) $75.29/bbl", + "D) $55.74/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$60.63/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.63/bbl\nB) $50.86/bbl\nC) $75.29/bbl\nD) $55.74/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $60.63/bbl", + "B) $50.86/bbl", + "C) $75.29/bbl", + "D) $55.74/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$60.63/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $65.97/bbl\nB) $56.20/bbl\nC) $70.86/bbl\nD) $41.54/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $65.97/bbl", + "B) $56.20/bbl", + "C) $70.86/bbl", + "D) $41.54/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $65.97/bbl\nB) $56.20/bbl\nC) $70.86/bbl\nD) $41.54/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $65.97/bbl", + "B) $56.20/bbl", + "C) $70.86/bbl", + "D) $41.54/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $46.43/bbl\nB) $51.31/bbl\nC) $56.20/bbl\nD) $65.97/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $46.43/bbl", + "B) $51.31/bbl", + "C) $56.20/bbl", + "D) $65.97/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $46.43/bbl\nB) $51.31/bbl\nC) $56.20/bbl\nD) $65.97/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $46.43/bbl", + "B) $51.31/bbl", + "C) $56.20/bbl", + "D) $65.97/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $61.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $61.80/bbl", + "B) $56.81/bbl", + "C) $81.79/bbl", + "D) $66.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $61.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $61.80/bbl", + "B) $56.81/bbl", + "C) $81.79/bbl", + "D) $66.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $56.81/bbl\nD) $51.81/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $66.80/bbl", + "B) $81.79/bbl", + "C) $56.81/bbl", + "D) $51.81/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $56.81/bbl\nD) $51.81/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $66.80/bbl", + "B) $81.79/bbl", + "C) $56.81/bbl", + "D) $51.81/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $66.80/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $56.81/bbl", + "B) $66.80/bbl", + "C) $81.79/bbl", + "D) $76.79/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $66.80/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $56.81/bbl", + "B) $66.80/bbl", + "C) $81.79/bbl", + "D) $76.79/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $71.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $66.80/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $71.80/bbl", + "B) $81.79/bbl", + "C) $66.80/bbl", + "D) $76.79/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $71.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $66.80/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $71.80/bbl", + "B) $81.79/bbl", + "C) $66.80/bbl", + "D) $76.79/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $61.80/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $56.81/bbl", + "B) $81.79/bbl", + "C) $61.80/bbl", + "D) $66.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $61.80/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $56.81/bbl", + "B) $81.79/bbl", + "C) $61.80/bbl", + "D) $66.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $76.79/bbl\nD) $71.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $66.80/bbl", + "B) $56.81/bbl", + "C) $76.79/bbl", + "D) $71.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $76.79/bbl\nD) $71.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $66.80/bbl", + "B) $56.81/bbl", + "C) $76.79/bbl", + "D) $71.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 15.06\nB) 12.60\nC) 10.14\nD) 13.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15.06", + "B) 12.60", + "C) 10.14", + "D) 13.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 15.06\nB) 12.60\nC) 10.14\nD) 13.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15.06", + "B) 12.60", + "C) 10.14", + "D) 13.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.88\nB) 14.11\nC) 11.65\nD) 7.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 12.88", + "B) 14.11", + "C) 11.65", + "D) 7.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.88\nB) 14.11\nC) 11.65\nD) 7.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 12.88", + "B) 14.11", + "C) 11.65", + "D) 7.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.45\nB) 14.91\nC) 9.99\nD) 11.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 12.45", + "B) 14.91", + "C) 9.99", + "D) 11.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.45\nB) 14.91\nC) 9.99\nD) 11.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 12.45", + "B) 14.91", + "C) 9.99", + "D) 11.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 11.22\nB) 9.99\nC) 7.53\nD) 14.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 11.22", + "B) 9.99", + "C) 7.53", + "D) 14.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 11.22\nB) 9.99\nC) 7.53\nD) 14.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 11.22", + "B) 9.99", + "C) 7.53", + "D) 14.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 9.37\nB) 10.60\nC) 13.06\nD) 14.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 9.37", + "B) 10.60", + "C) 13.06", + "D) 14.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 9.37\nB) 10.60\nC) 13.06\nD) 14.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 9.37", + "B) 10.60", + "C) 13.06", + "D) 14.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 7.81\nB) 11.50\nC) 10.27\nD) 9.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 7.81", + "B) 11.50", + "C) 10.27", + "D) 9.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.27", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 7.81\nB) 11.50\nC) 10.27\nD) 9.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 7.81", + "B) 11.50", + "C) 10.27", + "D) 9.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.27", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,313.33\nB) 2,020.39\nC) 2,118.04\nD) 2,166.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,313.33", + "B) 2,020.39", + "C) 2,118.04", + "D) 2,166.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,166.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,313.33\nB) 2,020.39\nC) 2,118.04\nD) 2,166.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,313.33", + "B) 2,020.39", + "C) 2,118.04", + "D) 2,166.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,166.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,182.83\nB) 2,036.36\nC) 2,085.19\nD) 2,280.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,182.83", + "B) 2,036.36", + "C) 2,085.19", + "D) 2,280.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,182.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,182.83\nB) 2,036.36\nC) 2,085.19\nD) 2,280.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,182.83", + "B) 2,036.36", + "C) 2,085.19", + "D) 2,280.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,182.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,134.01\nB) 2,182.83\nC) 2,231.65\nD) 2,036.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,134.01", + "B) 2,182.83", + "C) 2,231.65", + "D) 2,036.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,182.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,134.01\nB) 2,182.83\nC) 2,231.65\nD) 2,036.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,134.01", + "B) 2,182.83", + "C) 2,231.65", + "D) 2,036.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,182.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,036.36\nB) 2,231.65\nC) 2,182.83\nD) 2,329.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,036.36", + "B) 2,231.65", + "C) 2,182.83", + "D) 2,329.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,182.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,036.36\nB) 2,231.65\nC) 2,182.83\nD) 2,329.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,036.36", + "B) 2,231.65", + "C) 2,182.83", + "D) 2,329.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,182.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,155.92\nB) 2,204.74\nC) 2,107.09\nD) 2,253.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,155.92", + "B) 2,204.74", + "C) 2,107.09", + "D) 2,253.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,253.56", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,155.92\nB) 2,204.74\nC) 2,107.09\nD) 2,253.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,155.92", + "B) 2,204.74", + "C) 2,107.09", + "D) 2,253.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,253.56", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,331.36\nB) 2,184.89\nC) 2,380.18\nD) 2,282.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,331.36", + "B) 2,184.89", + "C) 2,380.18", + "D) 2,282.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,331.36", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,331.36\nB) 2,184.89\nC) 2,380.18\nD) 2,282.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,331.36", + "B) 2,184.89", + "C) 2,380.18", + "D) 2,282.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,331.36", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max", + "year": 2005 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2005.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2005.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..3d1bd46ca8a8c0ba885377fbea2b0abee775a88d --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2005.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:8dd4ad6a028d65884d3bad39a3521365d93ffc02f88aa9710f2824ad040f289f +size 27907 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2006.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2006.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..d0a99773f476056828066732378a90c535dabbe7 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2006.json @@ -0,0 +1,2501 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 88.85\nB) 83.51\nC) 80.31\nD) 85.64", + "options": [ + "A) 88.85", + "B) 83.51", + "C) 80.31", + "D) 85.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "83.51", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $-83,160M\nB) $-71,117M\nC) $-65,095M\nD) $-59,073M", + "options": [ + "A) $-83,160M", + "B) $-71,117M", + "C) $-65,095M", + "D) $-59,073M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-65,095M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 133,317K\nB) 129,236K\nC) 138,759K\nD) 136,038K", + "options": [ + "A) 133,317K", + "B) 129,236K", + "C) 138,759K", + "D) 136,038K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "136,038K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $-62,397M\nB) $-44,882M\nC) $-50,720M\nD) $-68,235M", + "options": [ + "A) $-62,397M", + "B) $-44,882M", + "C) $-50,720M", + "D) $-68,235M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-62,397M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -15.33%\nB) -20.04%\nC) -29.46%\nD) -24.75%", + "options": [ + "A) -15.33%", + "B) -20.04%", + "C) -29.46%", + "D) -24.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-20.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) $84.62/bbl\nB) $54.94/bbl\nC) $69.78/bbl\nD) $62.36/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $84.62/bbl", + "B) $54.94/bbl", + "C) $69.78/bbl", + "D) $62.36/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$69.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.82%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 4.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.82%", + "B) 3.98%", + "C) 3.36%", + "D) 4.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 5.21%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 4.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.70%", + "B) 5.21%", + "C) 3.93%", + "D) 4.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) -0.04pp\nC) +0.38pp\nD) +1.23pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.46pp", + "B) -0.04pp", + "C) +0.38pp", + "D) +1.23pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.04pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.33\nB) 79.86\nC) 83.75\nD) 90.22", + "options": [ + "A) 86.33", + "B) 79.86", + "C) 83.75", + "D) 90.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "83.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.29%\nB) 7.96%\nC) 9.13%\nD) 6.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.29%", + "B) 7.96%", + "C) 9.13%", + "D) 6.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.20\nB) 201.77\nC) 212.63\nD) 220.79", + "options": [ + "A) 207.20", + "B) 201.77", + "C) 212.63", + "D) 220.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "207.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.58%\nB) 1.97%\nC) 4.27%\nD) -2.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.58%", + "B) 1.97%", + "C) 4.27%", + "D) -2.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $63,103M\nB) $67,089M\nC) $65,096M\nD) $69,083M", + "options": [ + "A) $63,103M", + "B) $67,089M", + "C) $65,096M", + "D) $69,083M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$65,096M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.11%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 7.05%\nD) 5.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.11%", + "B) 2.38%", + "C) 7.05%", + "D) 5.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) $7,439B\nB) $7,809B\nC) $8,179B\nD) $6,700B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,439B", + "B) $7,809B", + "C) $8,179B", + "D) $6,700B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$7,439B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.42%\nB) 2.09%\nC) -1.90%\nD) 0.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.42%", + "B) 2.09%", + "C) -1.90%", + "D) 0.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 3.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.84%", + "B) 1.05%", + "C) 2.17%", + "D) 3.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 86.37%\nB) 84.00%\nC) 78.08%\nD) 80.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 86.37%", + "B) 84.00%", + "C) 78.08%", + "D) 80.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "80.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) -4.44%\nC) 7.49%\nD) 9.87%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.72%", + "B) -4.44%", + "C) 7.49%", + "D) 9.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.52%\nB) 5.13%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.52%", + "B) 5.13%", + "C) 4.93%", + "D) 5.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -23.03%\nB) -38.38%\nC) -26.87%\nD) -19.19%", + "options": [ + "A) -23.03%", + "B) -38.38%", + "C) -26.87%", + "D) -19.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-26.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $15.69/hr\nB) $17.11/hr\nC) $15.12/hr\nD) $16.54/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $15.69/hr", + "B) $17.11/hr", + "C) $15.12/hr", + "D) $16.54/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$16.54/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 21.75%\nB) 13.68%\nC) 25.78%\nD) 17.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 21.75%", + "B) 13.68%", + "C) 25.78%", + "D) 17.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.24pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) +0.61pp\nD) -1.61pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.24pp", + "B) -0.50pp", + "C) +0.61pp", + "D) -1.61pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,452B\nB) $8,176B\nC) $9,133B\nD) $9,771B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,452B", + "B) $8,176B", + "C) $9,133B", + "D) $9,771B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$9,133B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,937K\nB) 1,843K\nC) 1,373K\nD) 1,655K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,937K", + "B) 1,843K", + "C) 1,373K", + "D) 1,655K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,655K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.10%\nB) 69.41%\nC) 64.78%\nD) 68.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 66.10%", + "B) 69.41%", + "C) 64.78%", + "D) 68.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "66.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,493B\nB) $6,952B\nC) $7,641B\nD) $6,723B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,493B", + "B) $6,952B", + "C) $7,641B", + "D) $6,723B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$6,952B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.10\nB) 90.37\nC) 84.57\nD) 88.05", + "options": [ + "A) 81.10", + "B) 90.37", + "C) 84.57", + "D) 88.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "84.57", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 14.01%\nB) 12.54%\nC) 6.64%\nD) 11.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.01%", + "B) 12.54%", + "C) 6.64%", + "D) 11.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 98.46\nB) 95.58\nC) 101.35\nD) 104.24", + "options": [ + "A) 98.46", + "B) 95.58", + "C) 101.35", + "D) 104.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "98.46", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.94%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 1.88%\nD) 3.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.94%", + "B) 2.91%", + "C) 1.88%", + "D) 3.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 2.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.96%", + "B) 3.87%", + "C) 3.57%", + "D) 2.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 94.19\nB) 102.74\nC) 90.77\nD) 99.32", + "options": [ + "A) 94.19", + "B) 102.74", + "C) 90.77", + "D) 99.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "99.32", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 13.42%\nC) 1.74%\nD) -6.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.63%", + "B) 13.42%", + "C) 1.74%", + "D) -6.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 2.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.92%", + "B) 2.01%", + "C) 0.66%", + "D) 2.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.91%\nB) 6.05%\nC) 7.29%\nD) 5.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.91%", + "B) 6.05%", + "C) 7.29%", + "D) 5.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 183.29\nB) 191.09\nC) 214.51\nD) 202.80", + "options": [ + "A) 183.29", + "B) 191.09", + "C) 214.51", + "D) 202.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "202.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 7.70%\nD) 3.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.22%", + "B) 0.73%", + "C) 7.70%", + "D) 3.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.83\nB) 84.90\nC) 80.51\nD) 77.58", + "options": [ + "A) 87.83", + "B) 84.90", + "C) 80.51", + "D) 77.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "84.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 22.39%\nB) 4.05%\nC) 15.05%\nD) 18.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 22.39%", + "B) 4.05%", + "C) 15.05%", + "D) 18.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2,167K\nB) 1,672K\nC) 1,870K\nD) 1,969K", + "options": [ + "A) 2,167K", + "B) 1,672K", + "C) 1,870K", + "D) 1,969K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,969K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $348,357M\nB) $359,654M\nC) $314,465M\nD) $325,762M", + "options": [ + "A) $348,357M", + "B) $359,654M", + "C) $314,465M", + "D) $325,762M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$348,357M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,347B\nB) $10,018B\nC) $10,676B\nD) $9,689B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,347B", + "B) $10,018B", + "C) $10,676B", + "D) $9,689B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$10,018B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.07%\nB) 3.91%\nC) 5.99%\nD) 5.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.07%", + "B) 3.91%", + "C) 5.99%", + "D) 5.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 6.62%\nC) 3.67%\nD) 4.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.03%", + "B) 6.62%", + "C) 3.67%", + "D) 4.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 162.20\nB) 172.72\nC) 156.94\nD) 151.68", + "options": [ + "A) 162.20", + "B) 172.72", + "C) 156.94", + "D) 151.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "162.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 199.08\nB) 204.30\nC) 191.25\nD) 212.13", + "options": [ + "A) 199.08", + "B) 204.30", + "C) 191.25", + "D) 212.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "204.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.28pp\nB) +1.57pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) +0.41pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.28pp", + "B) +1.57pp", + "C) +0.70pp", + "D) +0.41pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.41%\nB) 13.67%\nC) 12.36%\nD) 11.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.41%", + "B) 13.67%", + "C) 12.36%", + "D) 11.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.42%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 4.65%\nD) 2.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.42%", + "B) 3.83%", + "C) 4.65%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.45%\nB) 15.06%\nC) -0.85%\nD) 9.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.45%", + "B) 15.06%", + "C) -0.85%", + "D) 9.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.01/bbl\nB) $44.07/bbl\nC) $66.04/bbl\nD) $51.39/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $88.01/bbl", + "B) $44.07/bbl", + "C) $66.04/bbl", + "D) $51.39/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$66.04/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.96\nB) 8.53\nC) 23.27\nD) 15.90", + "options": [ + "A) 26.96", + "B) 8.53", + "C) 23.27", + "D) 15.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,144.15\nB) 1,993.58\nC) 2,294.72\nD) 1,843.00", + "options": [ + "A) 2,144.15", + "B) 1,993.58", + "C) 2,294.72", + "D) 1,843.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,144.15", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.95%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 7.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.95%", + "B) 4.98%", + "C) 2.05%", + "D) 7.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,179,871\nB) 1,749,614\nC) 2,395,000\nD) 1,964,743", + "options": [ + "A) 2,179,871", + "B) 1,749,614", + "C) 2,395,000", + "D) 1,964,743" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,395,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.31%\nB) 3.25%\nC) 7.81%\nD) 5.53%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.31%", + "B) 3.25%", + "C) 7.81%", + "D) 5.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.9990\nB) 7.5991\nC) 7.7590\nD) 8.2390", + "options": [ + "A) 7.9990", + "B) 7.5991", + "C) 7.7590", + "D) 8.2390" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.9990", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,028B\nB) $9,375B\nC) $8,334B\nD) $10,416B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,028B", + "B) $9,375B", + "C) $8,334B", + "D) $10,416B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$9,375B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.28%\nB) 9.77%\nC) 14.80%\nD) 19.83%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.28%", + "B) 9.77%", + "C) 14.80%", + "D) 19.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.06\nB) 97.41\nC) 80.39\nD) 88.90", + "options": [ + "A) 86.06", + "B) 97.41", + "C) 80.39", + "D) 88.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "88.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 5.58%\nC) 6.85%\nD) 8.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.22%", + "B) 5.58%", + "C) 6.85%", + "D) 8.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.56%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 5.91%\nD) 4.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.56%", + "B) 5.25%", + "C) 5.91%", + "D) 4.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.75\nB) 195.97\nC) 184.20\nD) 148.87", + "options": [ + "A) 207.75", + "B) 195.97", + "C) 184.20", + "D) 148.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "184.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.98%\nB) 3.23%\nC) 6.59%\nD) 4.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.98%", + "B) 3.23%", + "C) 6.59%", + "D) 4.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $810M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $810M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$810M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.16%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 2.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.16%", + "B) 2.93%", + "C) 3.38%", + "D) 2.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.92%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 2.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.92%", + "B) 2.85%", + "C) 2.08%", + "D) 2.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.70%\nB) 5.66%\nC) 4.62%\nD) 5.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.70%", + "B) 5.66%", + "C) 4.62%", + "D) 5.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.30%\nD) 1.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.17%", + "B) 2.44%", + "C) 2.30%", + "D) 1.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.00%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 1.46%\nD) 2.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.00%", + "B) 4.73%", + "C) 1.46%", + "D) 2.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 3.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.91%", + "B) 4.78%", + "C) 4.20%", + "D) 3.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.63pp\nB) -0.03pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.63pp", + "B) -0.03pp", + "C) +0.52pp", + "D) +0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.10%\nB) 66.25%\nC) 61.84%\nD) 64.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.10%", + "B) 66.25%", + "C) 61.84%", + "D) 64.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "63.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1154\nB) 1.2616\nC) 1.4809\nD) 1.1885", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1154", + "B) 1.2616", + "C) 1.4809", + "D) 1.1885" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.2616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $64,405M\nB) $72,133M\nC) $66,981M\nD) $69,557M", + "options": [ + "A) $64,405M", + "B) $72,133M", + "C) $66,981M", + "D) $69,557M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$66,981M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.83pp\nB) +3.29pp\nC) -2.89pp\nD) +0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.83pp", + "B) +3.29pp", + "C) -2.89pp", + "D) +0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.80%\nB) 55.49%\nC) 12.46%\nD) -16.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 26.80%", + "B) 55.49%", + "C) 12.46%", + "D) -16.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "26.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.86%\nD) 2.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.57%", + "B) 2.10%", + "C) 1.86%", + "D) 2.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 45.79%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 17.80%\nD) 31.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 45.79%", + "B) 3.81%", + "C) 17.80%", + "D) 31.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.80%\nB) 0.30%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.80%", + "B) 0.30%", + "C) 1.70%", + "D) 2.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 308,000\nB) 261,631\nC) 284,816\nD) 377,553", + "options": [ + "A) 308,000", + "B) 261,631", + "C) 284,816", + "D) 377,553" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "308,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 6.63%\nC) 7.12%\nD) 6.39%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.14%", + "B) 6.63%", + "C) 7.12%", + "D) 6.39%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 5.08%\nC) 3.71%\nD) 2.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.96%", + "B) 5.08%", + "C) 3.71%", + "D) 2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,283B\nB) $7,012B\nC) $7,498B\nD) $6,769B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,283B", + "B) $7,012B", + "C) $7,498B", + "D) $6,769B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$6,769B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.50pp\nB) -1.58pp\nC) -0.86pp\nD) -0.14pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.50pp", + "B) -1.58pp", + "C) -0.86pp", + "D) -0.14pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 184.21\nB) 165.40\nC) 152.86\nD) 159.13", + "options": [ + "A) 184.21", + "B) 165.40", + "C) 152.86", + "D) 159.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "165.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.42\nB) 79.44\nC) 85.40\nD) 94.34", + "options": [ + "A) 82.42", + "B) 79.44", + "C) 85.40", + "D) 94.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "85.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.90pp\nB) +1.50pp\nC) -14.10pp\nD) -3.70pp", + "options": [ + "A) -8.90pp", + "B) +1.50pp", + "C) -14.10pp", + "D) -3.70pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-3.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 5.19%\nC) 4.27%\nD) 4.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.50%", + "B) 5.19%", + "C) 4.27%", + "D) 4.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.21%\nB) 66.20%\nC) 68.19%\nD) 62.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.21%", + "B) 66.20%", + "C) 68.19%", + "D) 62.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "66.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) -11.02%\nB) -39.73%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 32.05%", + "options": [ + "A) -11.02%", + "B) -39.73%", + "C) 3.34%", + "D) 32.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 182.49\nB) 189.37\nC) 210.03\nD) 199.70", + "options": [ + "A) 182.49", + "B) 189.37", + "C) 210.03", + "D) 199.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "199.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 5.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.63%", + "C) 1.28%", + "D) 5.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 5.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.76%", + "B) 2.86%", + "C) 3.95%", + "D) 5.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.55%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 5.10%\nD) 5.78%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.55%", + "B) 4.65%", + "C) 5.10%", + "D) 5.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.76%\nB) 5.42%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 5.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.76%", + "B) 5.42%", + "C) 4.06%", + "D) 5.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $234,701M\nB) $225,630M\nC) $207,487M\nD) $252,844M", + "options": [ + "A) $234,701M", + "B) $225,630M", + "C) $207,487M", + "D) $252,844M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$234,701M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $810M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $810M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$810M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.23pp\nB) +0.23pp\nC) +0.00pp\nD) +0.35pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.23pp", + "B) +0.23pp", + "C) +0.00pp", + "D) +0.35pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $17.78/hr\nB) $15.66/hr\nC) $16.27/hr\nD) $16.87/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $17.78/hr", + "B) $15.66/hr", + "C) $16.27/hr", + "D) $16.87/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$16.87/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 2.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.69%", + "B) 1.08%", + "C) 2.91%", + "D) 2.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.84%\nB) 63.10%\nC) 59.95%\nD) 64.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.84%", + "B) 63.10%", + "C) 59.95%", + "D) 64.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "63.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 140,931K\nB) 129,985K\nC) 136,826K\nD) 132,721K", + "options": [ + "A) 140,931K", + "B) 129,985K", + "C) 136,826K", + "D) 132,721K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "136,826K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 2.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.44%", + "B) 2.11%", + "C) 2.94%", + "D) 2.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,720K\nB) 1,906K\nC) 1,999K\nD) 1,627K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,720K", + "B) 1,906K", + "C) 1,999K", + "D) 1,627K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,720K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $326,000M\nB) $351,240M\nC) $389,100M\nD) $376,480M", + "options": [ + "A) $326,000M", + "B) $351,240M", + "C) $389,100M", + "D) $376,480M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$351,240M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) +22.45pp\nB) +3.85pp\nC) +8.50pp\nD) -0.80pp", + "options": [ + "A) +22.45pp", + "B) +3.85pp", + "C) +8.50pp", + "D) -0.80pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+8.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.01%\nB) 77.45%\nC) 82.80%\nD) 80.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 86.01%", + "B) 77.45%", + "C) 82.80%", + "D) 80.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "80.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 7.26%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 3.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.34%", + "B) 7.26%", + "C) 4.70%", + "D) 3.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $219,918M\nB) $227,188M\nC) $212,647M\nD) $248,999M", + "options": [ + "A) $219,918M", + "B) $227,188M", + "C) $212,647M", + "D) $248,999M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$227,188M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) +5.41pp\nB) -2.18pp\nC) +1.62pp\nD) -0.91pp", + "options": [ + "A) +5.41pp", + "B) -2.18pp", + "C) +1.62pp", + "D) -0.91pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.62pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2,323K\nB) 1,913K\nC) 2,221K\nD) 2,118K", + "options": [ + "A) 2,323K", + "B) 1,913K", + "C) 2,221K", + "D) 2,118K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,118K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,838B\nB) $10,439B\nC) $8,935B\nD) $9,537B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,838B", + "B) $10,439B", + "C) $8,935B", + "D) $9,537B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$9,838B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.01pp\nB) +0.30pp\nC) -0.62pp\nD) +0.61pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.01pp", + "B) +0.30pp", + "C) -0.62pp", + "D) +0.61pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 215.66\nB) 171.78\nC) 182.75\nD) 160.81", + "options": [ + "A) 215.66", + "B) 171.78", + "C) 182.75", + "D) 160.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "182.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 111.2092\nB) 103.5077\nC) 126.6123\nD) 115.0600", + "options": [ + "A) 111.2092", + "B) 103.5077", + "C) 126.6123", + "D) 115.0600" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "115.0600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2006.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2006.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..1519150f78512391b5b7c237414fcb4e9663f90d --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2006.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:0511c0b84c6b710ac0a5555e63603eb99a01c44cdd1ddf9fb1235e279093460d +size 23735 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2007.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2007.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..7ce4352e47058f69f0eb64eebedf01a1b5ae11c1 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2007.json @@ -0,0 +1,3695 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,495K\nB) 1,399K\nC) 1,591K\nD) 1,687K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,495K", + "B) 1,399K", + "C) 1,591K", + "D) 1,687K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,495K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $-56,625M\nB) $-62,183M\nC) $-73,298M\nD) $-45,510M", + "options": [ + "A) $-56,625M", + "B) $-62,183M", + "C) $-73,298M", + "D) $-45,510M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-62,183M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.24%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 2.80%\nD) 4.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.24%", + "B) 1.91%", + "C) 2.80%", + "D) 4.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.08%\nB) 6.23%\nC) 6.57%\nD) 6.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.08%", + "B) 6.23%", + "C) 6.57%", + "D) 6.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 179.12\nB) 189.84\nC) 211.29\nD) 168.40", + "options": [ + "A) 179.12", + "B) 189.84", + "C) 211.29", + "D) 168.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "179.12", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $199,678M\nB) $229,526M\nC) $219,577M\nD) $209,627M", + "options": [ + "A) $199,678M", + "B) $229,526M", + "C) $219,577M", + "D) $209,627M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$229,526M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 0.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.91%", + "B) 1.28%", + "C) 2.10%", + "D) 0.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) $83.16/bbl\nB) $90.71/bbl\nC) $60.48/bbl\nD) $68.04/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $83.16/bbl", + "B) $90.71/bbl", + "C) $60.48/bbl", + "D) $68.04/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$68.04/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 2.95%\nC) 0.91%\nD) 6.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.97%", + "B) 2.95%", + "C) 0.91%", + "D) 6.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 226.99\nB) 211.55\nC) 202.29\nD) 217.73", + "options": [ + "A) 226.99", + "B) 211.55", + "C) 202.29", + "D) 217.73" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "211.55", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.15pp\nB) +0.02pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) +0.27pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.15pp", + "B) +0.02pp", + "C) -0.10pp", + "D) +0.27pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $215,580M\nB) $237,366M\nC) $204,688M\nD) $226,473M", + "options": [ + "A) $215,580M", + "B) $237,366M", + "C) $204,688M", + "D) $226,473M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$226,473M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.90%\nB) 59.75%\nC) 64.16%\nD) 61.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.90%", + "B) 59.75%", + "C) 64.16%", + "D) 61.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "62.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 3.17%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.13%", + "B) 3.17%", + "C) 1.08%", + "D) 0.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -45.45%\nB) -9.38%\nC) -23.81%\nD) -2.17%", + "options": [ + "A) -45.45%", + "B) -9.38%", + "C) -23.81%", + "D) -2.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-23.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 6.21%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 5.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.84%", + "B) 6.21%", + "C) 4.73%", + "D) 5.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 1.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.79%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 3.78%", + "D) 1.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 96.53\nB) 102.09\nC) 92.82\nD) 107.65", + "options": [ + "A) 96.53", + "B) 102.09", + "C) 92.82", + "D) 107.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "102.09", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.75%\nB) 6.99%\nC) 4.56%\nD) 2.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.75%", + "B) 6.99%", + "C) 4.56%", + "D) 2.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,066K\nB) 1,534K\nC) 949K\nD) 1,183K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,066K", + "B) 1,534K", + "C) 949K", + "D) 1,183K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,183K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) -4.63%\nB) -5.86%\nC) -5.04%\nD) -4.22%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.63%", + "B) -5.86%", + "C) -5.04%", + "D) -4.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-4.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +6.50pp\nB) -2.00pp\nC) -14.76pp\nD) -10.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) +6.50pp", + "B) -2.00pp", + "C) -14.76pp", + "D) -10.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-2.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) 3.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.65%", + "B) 3.26%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 4.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 10.37\nB) 21.07\nC) 17.51\nD) 13.94", + "options": [ + "A) 10.37", + "B) 21.07", + "C) 17.51", + "D) 13.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13.94", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.64%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 2.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.10%", + "B) 1.64%", + "C) 2.41%", + "D) 2.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 217.18\nB) 182.19\nC) 205.52\nD) 147.20", + "options": [ + "A) 217.18", + "B) 182.19", + "C) 205.52", + "D) 147.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "182.19", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $16.84/hr\nB) $18.26/hr\nC) $17.55/hr\nD) $18.62/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $16.84/hr", + "B) $18.26/hr", + "C) $17.55/hr", + "D) $18.62/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$17.55/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $15.93/hr\nB) $18.19/hr\nC) $16.58/hr\nD) $17.22/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $15.93/hr", + "B) $18.19/hr", + "C) $16.58/hr", + "D) $17.22/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$17.22/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -24.07%\nB) -36.98%\nC) -11.16%\nD) -43.44%", + "options": [ + "A) -24.07%", + "B) -36.98%", + "C) -11.16%", + "D) -43.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-24.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.64%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 0.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.64%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 1.63%", + "D) 0.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.44%\nB) 4.85%\nC) 6.63%\nD) 6.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.44%", + "B) 4.85%", + "C) 6.63%", + "D) 6.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.3879\nB) 1.2337\nC) 1.2851\nD) 1.3365", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3879", + "B) 1.2337", + "C) 1.2851", + "D) 1.3365" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3365", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.44%\nC) 5.12%\nD) 3.78%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 3.44%", + "C) 5.12%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 3.26%\nD) 0.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.00%", + "B) 2.53%", + "C) 3.26%", + "D) 0.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 5.88%\nC) 5.01%\nD) 5.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.58%", + "B) 5.88%", + "C) 5.01%", + "D) 5.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.81%\nB) 4.07%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 4.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.81%", + "B) 4.07%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 4.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 2.89%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 2.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.38%", + "B) 2.89%", + "C) 2.55%", + "D) 2.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 2.83%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 2.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.99%", + "B) 2.83%", + "C) 3.22%", + "D) 2.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 5.05%\nD) 5.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.34%", + "B) 3.76%", + "C) 5.05%", + "D) 5.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.65%\nB) 10.47%\nC) 14.29%\nD) 2.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.65%", + "B) 10.47%", + "C) 14.29%", + "D) 2.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.00pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) +0.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.20pp", + "B) -0.00pp", + "C) -0.40pp", + "D) +0.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) +12.18pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -13.18pp\nD) -4.73pp", + "options": [ + "A) +12.18pp", + "B) -0.50pp", + "C) -13.18pp", + "D) -4.73pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $352,089M\nB) $339,000M\nC) $365,178M\nD) $391,356M", + "options": [ + "A) $352,089M", + "B) $339,000M", + "C) $365,178M", + "D) $391,356M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$365,178M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 5.35%\nC) 4.77%\nD) 5.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.58%", + "B) 5.35%", + "C) 4.77%", + "D) 5.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 85.89\nB) 90.40\nC) 93.41\nD) 81.38", + "options": [ + "A) 85.89", + "B) 90.40", + "C) 93.41", + "D) 81.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "85.89", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.03%\nB) -3.51%\nC) -10.93%\nD) 3.92%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.03%", + "B) -3.51%", + "C) -10.93%", + "D) 3.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-3.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.30%\nB) 2.27%\nC) -2.76%\nD) 4.78%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.30%", + "B) 2.27%", + "C) -2.76%", + "D) 4.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-2.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 32.74%\nB) 21.46%\nC) -23.66%\nD) 10.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 32.74%", + "B) 21.46%", + "C) -23.66%", + "D) 10.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 169.30\nB) 175.61\nC) 150.36\nD) 181.93", + "options": [ + "A) 169.30", + "B) 175.61", + "C) 150.36", + "D) 181.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "169.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $821M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $821M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$821M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $827M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $827M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$827M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $62,287M\nB) $74,712M\nC) $56,074M\nD) $65,393M", + "options": [ + "A) $62,287M", + "B) $74,712M", + "C) $56,074M", + "D) $65,393M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$65,393M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,612B\nB) $8,539B\nC) $8,896B\nD) $9,969B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,612B", + "B) $8,539B", + "C) $8,896B", + "D) $9,969B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$9,612B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.14%\nB) -2.37%\nC) -9.91%\nD) 5.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.14%", + "B) -2.37%", + "C) -9.91%", + "D) 5.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-2.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $-53,397M\nB) $-48,636M\nC) $-58,158M\nD) $-43,875M", + "options": [ + "A) $-53,397M", + "B) $-48,636M", + "C) $-58,158M", + "D) $-43,875M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-58,158M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.8075\nB) 7.4415\nC) 7.1671\nD) 7.6245", + "options": [ + "A) 7.8075", + "B) 7.4415", + "C) 7.1671", + "D) 7.6245" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.6245", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 123.5500\nB) 126.3925\nC) 115.0225\nD) 120.7075", + "options": [ + "A) 123.5500", + "B) 126.3925", + "C) 115.0225", + "D) 120.7075" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "123.5500", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 135,293K\nB) 138,099K\nC) 132,487K\nD) 142,308K", + "options": [ + "A) 135,293K", + "B) 138,099K", + "C) 132,487K", + "D) 142,308K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "138,099K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 7.30%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 4.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 7.30%", + "C) 5.89%", + "D) 4.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 3.31%\nC) 2.79%\nD) 2.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.76%", + "B) 3.31%", + "C) 2.79%", + "D) 2.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 320,000\nB) 381,325\nC) 340,442\nD) 360,883", + "options": [ + "A) 320,000", + "B) 381,325", + "C) 340,442", + "D) 360,883" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "320,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.74pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) -0.16pp\nD) -0.34pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.74pp", + "B) +0.20pp", + "C) -0.16pp", + "D) -0.34pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.93%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 3.87%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.93%", + "B) 5.20%", + "C) 4.40%", + "D) 3.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.86%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 3.46%\nD) 1.33%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.86%", + "B) 2.40%", + "C) 3.46%", + "D) 1.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 1.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.10%", + "B) 2.79%", + "C) 1.42%", + "D) 1.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.60pp\nB) +0.03pp\nC) -1.53pp\nD) -0.75pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.60pp", + "B) +0.03pp", + "C) -1.53pp", + "D) -0.75pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.03pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 68.19%\nB) 64.21%\nC) 66.20%\nD) 61.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.19%", + "B) 64.21%", + "C) 66.20%", + "D) 61.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "66.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,007,103\nB) 1,784,154\nC) 2,898,897\nD) 2,453,000", + "options": [ + "A) 2,007,103", + "B) 1,784,154", + "C) 2,898,897", + "D) 2,453,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,453,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $10,337B\nB) $11,009B\nC) $10,001B\nD) $9,665B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,337B", + "B) $11,009B", + "C) $10,001B", + "D) $9,665B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$10,337B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.47%\nB) 1.03%\nC) -1.79%\nD) -7.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.47%", + "B) 1.03%", + "C) -1.79%", + "D) -7.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 67.98%\nB) 61.38%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 64.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 67.98%", + "B) 61.38%", + "C) 66.00%", + "D) 64.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "66.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 141,918K\nB) 144,673K\nC) 133,650K\nD) 137,784K", + "options": [ + "A) 141,918K", + "B) 144,673K", + "C) 133,650K", + "D) 137,784K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "137,784K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 88.40\nB) 79.56\nC) 82.51\nD) 94.29", + "options": [ + "A) 88.40", + "B) 79.56", + "C) 82.51", + "D) 94.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "88.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $75,792M\nB) $66,936M\nC) $63,984M\nD) $72,840M", + "options": [ + "A) $75,792M", + "B) $66,936M", + "C) $63,984M", + "D) $72,840M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$66,936M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 95.79\nB) 104.40\nC) 100.95\nD) 107.85", + "options": [ + "A) 95.79", + "B) 104.40", + "C) 100.95", + "D) 107.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "100.95", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.58%\nB) 5.10%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 5.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.58%", + "B) 5.10%", + "C) 4.78%", + "D) 5.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,413B\nB) $7,880B\nC) $6,712B\nD) $7,647B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,413B", + "B) $7,880B", + "C) $6,712B", + "D) $7,647B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$7,413B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.95%\nB) 80.94%\nC) 78.95%\nD) 83.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 76.95%", + "B) 80.94%", + "C) 78.95%", + "D) 83.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,269.98\nB) 2,448.35\nC) 2,626.71\nD) 3,161.80", + "options": [ + "A) 2,269.98", + "B) 2,448.35", + "C) 2,626.71", + "D) 3,161.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,626.71", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) $47.95/bbl\nB) $87.41/bbl\nC) $63.74/bbl\nD) $71.63/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $47.95/bbl", + "B) $87.41/bbl", + "C) $63.74/bbl", + "D) $71.63/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$71.63/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 205.29\nB) 197.25\nC) 213.32\nD) 185.20", + "options": [ + "A) 205.29", + "B) 197.25", + "C) 213.32", + "D) 185.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "205.29", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.13pp\nB) +0.00pp\nC) -0.38pp\nD) +0.13pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.13pp", + "B) +0.00pp", + "C) -0.38pp", + "D) +0.13pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) $9,331B\nB) $8,898B\nC) $8,031B\nD) $6,732B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,331B", + "B) $8,898B", + "C) $8,031B", + "D) $6,732B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$8,031B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) -12.33%\nB) -35.72%\nC) 11.05%\nD) -0.64%", + "options": [ + "A) -12.33%", + "B) -35.72%", + "C) 11.05%", + "D) -0.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.30%\nB) 65.20%\nC) 61.40%\nD) 66.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.30%", + "B) 65.20%", + "C) 61.40%", + "D) 66.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "63.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 212.75\nB) 208.55\nC) 200.14\nD) 221.15", + "options": [ + "A) 212.75", + "B) 208.55", + "C) 200.14", + "D) 221.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "208.55", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 91.78\nB) 97.46\nC) 94.62\nD) 100.30", + "options": [ + "A) 91.78", + "B) 97.46", + "C) 94.62", + "D) 100.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "94.62", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,858B\nB) $6,708B\nC) $7,628B\nD) $7,168B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,858B", + "B) $6,708B", + "C) $7,628B", + "D) $7,168B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$7,168B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,596K\nB) 1,310K\nC) 1,787K\nD) 1,691K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,596K", + "B) 1,310K", + "C) 1,787K", + "D) 1,691K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,596K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.47pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +1.02pp\nD) -0.34pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.47pp", + "B) +0.20pp", + "C) +1.02pp", + "D) -0.34pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.54\nB) 88.89\nC) 86.35\nD) 92.71", + "options": [ + "A) 82.54", + "B) 88.89", + "C) 86.35", + "D) 92.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "86.35", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.75\nB) 79.23\nC) 82.36\nD) 87.05", + "options": [ + "A) 91.75", + "B) 79.23", + "C) 82.36", + "D) 87.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "87.05", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 173.50\nB) 186.35\nC) 192.77\nD) 154.23", + "options": [ + "A) 173.50", + "B) 186.35", + "C) 192.77", + "D) 154.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "173.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 0.70%\nD) 3.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.45%", + "B) 1.28%", + "C) 0.70%", + "D) 3.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 3.00%\nD) 5.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.89%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 3.00%", + "D) 5.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.23pp\nB) +0.01pp\nC) -0.61pp\nD) -0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.23pp", + "B) +0.01pp", + "C) -0.61pp", + "D) -0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -31.22%\nB) -16.04%\nC) -23.63%\nD) -8.44%", + "options": [ + "A) -31.22%", + "B) -16.04%", + "C) -23.63%", + "D) -8.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-31.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.04%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 0.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.04%", + "B) 0.93%", + "C) 1.38%", + "D) 0.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 5.05%\nD) 3.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.63%", + "B) 4.47%", + "C) 5.05%", + "D) 3.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 2.28%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.96%", + "B) 2.28%", + "C) 2.05%", + "D) 2.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 3.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.90%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 6.20%", + "D) 3.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 5.26%\nC) 6.03%\nD) 7.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.94%", + "B) 5.26%", + "C) 6.03%", + "D) 7.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -7.07%\nB) -30.50%\nC) -24.65%\nD) -12.93%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.07%", + "B) -30.50%", + "C) -24.65%", + "D) -12.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-24.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 59.39%\nB) -7.54%\nC) 14.77%\nD) 25.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.39%", + "B) -7.54%", + "C) 14.77%", + "D) 25.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "25.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.38%\nB) 6.36%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 10.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.38%", + "B) 6.36%", + "C) 2.40%", + "D) 10.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 4.70%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 4.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.84%", + "B) 4.70%", + "C) 4.13%", + "D) 4.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,586B\nB) $10,878B\nC) $10,524B\nD) $9,816B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,586B", + "B) $10,878B", + "C) $10,524B", + "D) $9,816B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$10,524B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 79.46\nB) 83.08\nC) 87.91\nD) 85.49", + "options": [ + "A) 79.46", + "B) 83.08", + "C) 87.91", + "D) 85.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "85.49", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.96%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 10.01%\nD) 4.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.96%", + "B) 5.90%", + "C) 10.01%", + "D) 4.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) -1.43pp\nB) +0.11pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) +1.14pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.43pp", + "B) +0.11pp", + "C) -0.40pp", + "D) +1.14pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.11pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,479B\nB) $9,112B\nC) $9,845B\nD) $8,745B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,479B", + "B) $9,112B", + "C) $9,845B", + "D) $8,745B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$9,845B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.37%\nB) 84.01%\nC) 86.22%\nD) 80.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 77.37%", + "B) 84.01%", + "C) 86.22%", + "D) 80.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "80.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.49pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) +2.01pp\nD) -1.04pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.49pp", + "B) -0.02pp", + "C) +2.01pp", + "D) -1.04pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.49pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 901K\nB) 1,261K\nC) 1,501K\nD) 1,021K", + "options": [ + "A) 901K", + "B) 1,261K", + "C) 1,501K", + "D) 1,021K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,261K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $398,398M\nB) $372,409M\nC) $359,415M\nD) $385,404M", + "options": [ + "A) $398,398M", + "B) $372,409M", + "C) $359,415M", + "D) $385,404M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$359,415M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.26%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 2.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.26%", + "B) 2.91%", + "C) 3.61%", + "D) 2.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.08%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 6.99%\nD) 5.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.08%", + "B) 4.44%", + "C) 6.99%", + "D) 5.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.77%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 6.30%\nD) 6.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.77%", + "B) 5.24%", + "C) 6.30%", + "D) 6.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 215.15\nB) 200.82\nC) 209.42\nD) 223.74", + "options": [ + "A) 215.15", + "B) 200.82", + "C) 209.42", + "D) 223.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "209.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.52%\nB) 1.43%\nC) 4.91%\nD) -0.31%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.52%", + "B) 1.43%", + "C) 4.91%", + "D) -0.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 83.40\nB) 86.31\nC) 89.21\nD) 80.49", + "options": [ + "A) 83.40", + "B) 86.31", + "C) 89.21", + "D) 80.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "83.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 34.59\nB) 30.83\nC) 32.08\nD) 28.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 34.59", + "B) 30.83", + "C) 32.08", + "D) 28.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 34.59\nB) 30.83\nC) 32.08\nD) 28.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 34.59", + "B) 30.83", + "C) 32.08", + "D) 28.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 27.07\nB) 32.08\nC) 30.83\nD) 28.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 27.07", + "B) 32.08", + "C) 30.83", + "D) 28.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 27.07\nB) 32.08\nC) 30.83\nD) 28.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 27.07", + "B) 32.08", + "C) 30.83", + "D) 28.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 34.59\nC) 27.07\nD) 30.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 29.58", + "B) 34.59", + "C) 27.07", + "D) 30.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 34.59\nC) 27.07\nD) 30.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 29.58", + "B) 34.59", + "C) 27.07", + "D) 30.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 30.83\nB) 28.32\nC) 34.59\nD) 32.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 30.83", + "B) 28.32", + "C) 34.59", + "D) 32.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 30.83\nB) 28.32\nC) 34.59\nD) 32.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 30.83", + "B) 28.32", + "C) 34.59", + "D) 32.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 30.83\nC) 33.34\nD) 34.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 29.58", + "B) 30.83", + "C) 33.34", + "D) 34.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 30.83\nC) 33.34\nD) 34.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 29.58", + "B) 30.83", + "C) 33.34", + "D) 34.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 32.34\nB) 34.85\nC) 31.09\nD) 33.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 32.34", + "B) 34.85", + "C) 31.09", + "D) 33.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "31.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 32.34\nB) 34.85\nC) 31.09\nD) 33.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 32.34", + "B) 34.85", + "C) 31.09", + "D) 33.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "31.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 4.33%\nC) 4.47%\nD) 4.60%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.20%", + "B) 4.33%", + "C) 4.47%", + "D) 4.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-5d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 4.33%\nC) 4.47%\nD) 4.60%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.20%", + "B) 4.33%", + "C) 4.47%", + "D) 4.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-5d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.60%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 5.00%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.60%", + "B) 4.73%", + "C) 4.33%", + "D) 5.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-10d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.60%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 5.00%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.60%", + "B) 4.73%", + "C) 4.33%", + "D) 5.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-10d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.11%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.98%", + "B) 4.38%", + "C) 4.51%", + "D) 4.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-20d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.11%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.98%", + "B) 4.38%", + "C) 4.51%", + "D) 4.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-20d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 4.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.74%", + "B) 4.47%", + "C) 4.34%", + "D) 4.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-40d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 4.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.74%", + "B) 4.47%", + "C) 4.34%", + "D) 4.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-40d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 4.71%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.31%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.91%", + "B) 4.71%", + "C) 4.44%", + "D) 4.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.31%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-60d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 4.71%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.31%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.91%", + "B) 4.71%", + "C) 4.44%", + "D) 4.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.31%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-60d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.51%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 3.24%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.51%", + "B) 3.11%", + "C) 3.78%", + "D) 3.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-120d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.51%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 3.24%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.51%", + "B) 3.11%", + "C) 3.78%", + "D) 3.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-120d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 4.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.54%", + "B) 3.79%", + "C) 4.55%", + "D) 4.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.79%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 4.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.54%", + "B) 3.79%", + "C) 4.55%", + "D) 4.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.79%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 3.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.37%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.12%", + "D) 3.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 3.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.37%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.12%", + "D) 3.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.88%", + "B) 2.87%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.88%", + "B) 2.87%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.12%", + "B) 2.36%", + "C) 2.62%", + "D) 3.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.12%", + "B) 2.36%", + "C) 2.62%", + "D) 3.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.88%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2.62%", + "B) 3.12%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 3.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.88%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2.62%", + "B) 3.12%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 3.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.46%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2.72%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 1.96%", + "D) 2.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.46%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2.72%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 1.96%", + "D) 2.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,377.47\nB) 2,628.60\nC) 2,461.18\nD) 2,544.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,377.47", + "B) 2,628.60", + "C) 2,461.18", + "D) 2,544.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,544.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,377.47\nB) 2,628.60\nC) 2,461.18\nD) 2,544.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,377.47", + "B) 2,628.60", + "C) 2,461.18", + "D) 2,544.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,544.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.80\nB) 2,385.38\nC) 2,301.67\nD) 2,720.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,552.80", + "B) 2,385.38", + "C) 2,301.67", + "D) 2,720.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,552.80", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.80\nB) 2,385.38\nC) 2,301.67\nD) 2,720.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,552.80", + "B) 2,385.38", + "C) 2,301.67", + "D) 2,720.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,552.80", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,379.11\nB) 2,630.24\nC) 2,546.53\nD) 2,881.37", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,379.11", + "B) 2,630.24", + "C) 2,546.53", + "D) 2,881.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,630.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,379.11\nB) 2,630.24\nC) 2,546.53\nD) 2,881.37", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,379.11", + "B) 2,630.24", + "C) 2,546.53", + "D) 2,881.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,630.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,612.90\nB) 2,529.19\nC) 2,780.32\nD) 2,864.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,612.90", + "B) 2,529.19", + "C) 2,780.32", + "D) 2,864.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,780.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,612.90\nB) 2,529.19\nC) 2,780.32\nD) 2,864.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,612.90", + "B) 2,529.19", + "C) 2,780.32", + "D) 2,864.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,780.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3,026.54\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,607.99\nD) 2,859.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3,026.54", + "B) 3,110.25", + "C) 2,607.99", + "D) 2,859.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,859.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3,026.54\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,607.99\nD) 2,859.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3,026.54", + "B) 3,110.25", + "C) 2,607.99", + "D) 2,859.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,859.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,859.12\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,942.83\nD) 2,607.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,859.12", + "B) 3,110.25", + "C) 2,942.83", + "D) 2,607.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,859.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,859.12\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,942.83\nD) 2,607.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,859.12", + "B) 3,110.25", + "C) 2,942.83", + "D) 2,607.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,859.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max", + "year": 2007 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2007.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2007.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..bcf6fa12bf17a952b2c1c0fa276caa46a57373e6 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2007.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:f997c9179ae9982e316116c38ba784b321c62c6b02c740da913e44132d18f7f2 +size 28058 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2008.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2008.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..74cf8b49afc0c8b400d2f3076cde4b8b51a786f7 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2008.json @@ -0,0 +1,7247 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) $112.80/bbl\nB) $134.52/bbl\nC) $123.66/bbl\nD) $167.10/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $112.80/bbl", + "B) $134.52/bbl", + "C) $123.66/bbl", + "D) $167.10/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$134.52/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +1.23pp\nB) +1.06pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) +0.88pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.23pp", + "B) +1.06pp", + "C) +0.70pp", + "D) +0.88pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 133,878K\nB) 142,640K\nC) 130,958K\nD) 138,259K", + "options": [ + "A) 133,878K", + "B) 142,640K", + "C) 130,958K", + "D) 138,259K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "138,259K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.73%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 4.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.73%", + "B) 4.82%", + "C) 3.01%", + "D) 4.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.33\nB) 20.95\nC) 18.74\nD) 23.16", + "options": [ + "A) 14.33", + "B) 20.95", + "C) 18.74", + "D) 23.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.95", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 186.99\nB) 177.45\nC) 167.90\nD) 139.26", + "options": [ + "A) 186.99", + "B) 177.45", + "C) 167.90", + "D) 139.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "167.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 188.82\nB) 213.07\nC) 172.65\nD) 196.90", + "options": [ + "A) 188.82", + "B) 213.07", + "C) 172.65", + "D) 196.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "196.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 378,000\nB) 421,763\nC) 334,237\nD) 348,825", + "options": [ + "A) 378,000", + "B) 421,763", + "C) 334,237", + "D) 348,825" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "378,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.89%\nB) -8.13%\nC) -5.84%\nD) -9.66%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.89%", + "B) -8.13%", + "C) -5.84%", + "D) -9.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-8.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 84.32%\nB) 137.86%\nC) 97.71%\nD) 111.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 84.32%", + "B) 137.86%", + "C) 97.71%", + "D) 111.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "97.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 4.45%\nD) 4.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.85%", + "B) 3.65%", + "C) 4.45%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $10,035B\nB) $8,932B\nC) $11,139B\nD) $9,300B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,035B", + "B) $8,932B", + "C) $11,139B", + "D) $9,300B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$10,035B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 204.66\nB) 213.45\nC) 222.23\nD) 209.06", + "options": [ + "A) 204.66", + "B) 213.45", + "C) 222.23", + "D) 209.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "213.45", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.31%\nB) -2.28%\nC) -4.96%\nD) 3.08%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.31%", + "B) -2.28%", + "C) -4.96%", + "D) 3.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-4.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) $122.88/bbl\nB) $166.96/bbl\nC) $100.84/bbl\nD) $133.90/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $122.88/bbl", + "B) $166.96/bbl", + "C) $100.84/bbl", + "D) $133.90/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$133.90/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) $8,696B\nB) $8,214B\nC) $10,140B\nD) $9,659B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,696B", + "B) $8,214B", + "C) $10,140B", + "D) $9,659B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$8,696B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 3.90%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 5.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.13%", + "B) 3.90%", + "C) 4.49%", + "D) 5.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -23.94%\nB) -31.67%\nC) -39.41%\nD) -16.20%", + "options": [ + "A) -23.94%", + "B) -31.67%", + "C) -39.41%", + "D) -16.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-39.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,281K\nB) 810K\nC) 496K\nD) 967K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,281K", + "B) 810K", + "C) 496K", + "D) 967K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "967K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.72pp\nB) -6.06pp\nC) -4.76pp\nD) -7.37pp", + "options": [ + "A) -6.72pp", + "B) -6.06pp", + "C) -4.76pp", + "D) -7.37pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-6.72pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $370,411M\nB) $358,991M\nC) $393,251M\nD) $347,571M", + "options": [ + "A) $370,411M", + "B) $358,991M", + "C) $393,251M", + "D) $347,571M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$358,991M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 228.48\nB) 214.08\nC) 218.88\nD) 209.28", + "options": [ + "A) 228.48", + "B) 214.08", + "C) 218.88", + "D) 209.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "218.88", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.12\nB) 66.31\nC) 79.07\nD) 69.50", + "options": [ + "A) 63.12", + "B) 66.31", + "C) 79.07", + "D) 69.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "69.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.70%\nB) 60.82%\nC) 64.58%\nD) 65.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.70%", + "B) 60.82%", + "C) 64.58%", + "D) 65.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "62.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.61%\nB) -0.97%\nC) -0.25%\nD) -1.33%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.61%", + "B) -0.97%", + "C) -0.25%", + "D) -1.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,157K\nB) 1,309K\nC) 1,005K\nD) 549K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,157K", + "B) 1,309K", + "C) 1,005K", + "D) 549K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,005K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.36\nB) 92.17\nC) 84.06\nD) 88.12", + "options": [ + "A) 81.36", + "B) 92.17", + "C) 84.06", + "D) 88.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "88.12", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 4.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.77%", + "B) 5.25%", + "C) 4.29%", + "D) 4.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.18pp\nB) +1.23pp\nC) +2.17pp\nD) +2.64pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.18pp", + "B) +1.23pp", + "C) +2.17pp", + "D) +2.64pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+1.23pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 12.25%\nB) 8.45%\nC) 10.99%\nD) 13.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.25%", + "B) 8.45%", + "C) 10.99%", + "D) 13.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 3.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.46%", + "B) 2.65%", + "C) 2.38%", + "D) 3.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -36.80%\nB) -28.16%\nC) -54.07%\nD) -62.71%", + "options": [ + "A) -36.80%", + "B) -28.16%", + "C) -54.07%", + "D) -62.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-36.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $18.62/hr\nB) $18.20/hr\nC) $16.93/hr\nD) $17.78/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $18.62/hr", + "B) $18.20/hr", + "C) $16.93/hr", + "D) $17.78/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$18.20/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 68.08%\nB) 64.12%\nC) 66.10%\nD) 69.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.08%", + "B) 64.12%", + "C) 66.10%", + "D) 69.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "66.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,739.25\nB) 2,210.31\nC) 2,078.07\nD) 2,474.78", + "options": [ + "A) 2,739.25", + "B) 2,210.31", + "C) 2,078.07", + "D) 2,474.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,474.78", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,057,000\nB) 2,560,109\nC) 3,222,630\nD) 2,725,739", + "options": [ + "A) 3,057,000", + "B) 2,560,109", + "C) 3,222,630", + "D) 2,725,739" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,057,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $18.25/hr\nB) $17.87/hr\nC) $18.64/hr\nD) $19.02/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $18.25/hr", + "B) $17.87/hr", + "C) $18.64/hr", + "D) $19.02/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$17.87/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 4.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.00%", + "B) 1.63%", + "C) 2.90%", + "D) 4.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.81%\nB) 6.49%\nC) 6.66%\nD) 6.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.81%", + "B) 6.49%", + "C) 6.66%", + "D) 6.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 88.64\nB) 96.73\nC) 91.87\nD) 83.78", + "options": [ + "A) 88.64", + "B) 96.73", + "C) 91.87", + "D) 83.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "88.64", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $377,933M\nB) $365,164M\nC) $339,626M\nD) $403,470M", + "options": [ + "A) $377,933M", + "B) $365,164M", + "C) $339,626M", + "D) $403,470M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$365,164M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.00%\nB) 63.76%\nC) 61.90%\nD) 60.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 65.00%", + "B) 63.76%", + "C) 61.90%", + "D) 60.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "61.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -40.94%\nB) -24.61%\nC) -57.28%\nD) -32.78%", + "options": [ + "A) -40.94%", + "B) -24.61%", + "C) -57.28%", + "D) -32.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-32.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 7.24%\nC) -2.59%\nD) 9.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 7.24%", + "C) -2.59%", + "D) 9.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.74%\nB) -9.61%\nC) -21.80%\nD) -1.48%", + "options": [ + "A) -17.74%", + "B) -9.61%", + "C) -21.80%", + "D) -1.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-9.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.43%\nB) 0.39%\nC) -1.69%\nD) -3.78%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.43%", + "B) 0.39%", + "C) -1.69%", + "D) -3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 140,863K\nB) 129,922K\nC) 134,025K\nD) 136,760K", + "options": [ + "A) 140,863K", + "B) 129,922K", + "C) 134,025K", + "D) 136,760K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "136,760K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 88.11%\nB) 125.53%\nC) 75.64%\nD) 113.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 88.11%", + "B) 125.53%", + "C) 75.64%", + "D) 113.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "88.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.59pp\nB) -1.00pp\nC) -1.21pp\nD) -0.79pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.59pp", + "B) -1.00pp", + "C) -1.21pp", + "D) -0.79pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.37pp\nB) -0.12pp\nC) +0.00pp\nD) +0.12pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.37pp", + "B) -0.12pp", + "C) +0.00pp", + "D) +0.12pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.01%\nD) 2.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.79%", + "B) 2.22%", + "C) 2.01%", + "D) 2.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.95%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 3.54%\nD) 5.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.95%", + "B) 4.01%", + "C) 3.54%", + "D) 5.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -28.20pp\nB) -18.90pp\nC) -9.60pp\nD) -14.25pp", + "options": [ + "A) -28.20pp", + "B) -18.90pp", + "C) -9.60pp", + "D) -14.25pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-18.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.96%\nB) 1.73%\nC) -0.61%\nD) 6.43%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.96%", + "B) 1.73%", + "C) -0.61%", + "D) 6.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.29%\nB) 9.88%\nC) 18.90%\nD) 13.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.29%", + "B) 9.88%", + "C) 18.90%", + "D) 13.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,670B\nB) $8,392B\nC) $8,151B\nD) $6,948B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,670B", + "B) $8,392B", + "C) $8,151B", + "D) $6,948B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$7,670B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 116.7217\nB) 108.1900\nC) 111.0339\nD) 102.5022", + "options": [ + "A) 116.7217", + "B) 108.1900", + "C) 111.0339", + "D) 102.5022" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "108.1900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,084B\nB) $10,218B\nC) $10,964B\nD) $9,844B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,084B", + "B) $10,218B", + "C) $10,964B", + "D) $9,844B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$10,964B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.14%\nB) 3.09%\nC) -0.95%\nD) 1.47%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.14%", + "B) 3.09%", + "C) -0.95%", + "D) 1.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $63,854M\nB) $60,996M\nC) $55,279M\nD) $58,137M", + "options": [ + "A) $63,854M", + "B) $60,996M", + "C) $55,279M", + "D) $58,137M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$63,854M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.04%\nB) 80.54%\nC) 82.34%\nD) 77.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 76.04%", + "B) 80.54%", + "C) 82.34%", + "D) 77.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.49%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 3.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.49%", + "C) 2.76%", + "D) 3.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 69.77%\nB) 71.99%\nC) 76.45%\nD) 74.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 69.77%", + "B) 71.99%", + "C) 76.45%", + "D) 74.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "74.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.70%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.70%", + "B) 4.94%", + "C) 2.88%", + "D) 2.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 84.71\nB) 87.35\nC) 93.94\nD) 89.99", + "options": [ + "A) 84.71", + "B) 87.35", + "C) 93.94", + "D) 89.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "87.35", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 2.62%\nC) 2.39%\nD) 1.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.16%", + "B) 2.62%", + "C) 2.39%", + "D) 1.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.16pp\nB) -30.92pp\nC) -19.04pp\nD) -13.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) -7.16pp", + "B) -30.92pp", + "C) -19.04pp", + "D) -13.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-13.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.39\nB) 85.17\nC) 80.71\nD) 82.94", + "options": [ + "A) 87.39", + "B) 85.17", + "C) 80.71", + "D) 82.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "87.39", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.86pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) -1.67pp\nD) +1.36pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.86pp", + "B) -0.16pp", + "C) -1.67pp", + "D) +1.36pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.16pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 206.39\nB) 227.03\nC) 216.71\nD) 199.51", + "options": [ + "A) 206.39", + "B) 227.03", + "C) 216.71", + "D) 199.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "216.71", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,038B\nB) $9,397B\nC) $10,835B\nD) $10,116B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,038B", + "B) $9,397B", + "C) $10,835B", + "D) $10,116B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$10,116B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $10,765B\nB) $9,687B\nC) $11,844B\nD) $10,406B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,765B", + "B) $9,687B", + "C) $11,844B", + "D) $10,406B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$10,765B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.73%\nB) 6.20%\nC) 7.13%\nD) 6.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.73%", + "B) 6.20%", + "C) 7.13%", + "D) 6.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,136B\nB) $8,400B\nC) $7,872B\nD) $7,082B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,136B", + "B) $8,400B", + "C) $7,872B", + "D) $7,082B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$7,872B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 59.86\nB) 54.64\nC) 85.96\nD) 70.30", + "options": [ + "A) 59.86", + "B) 54.64", + "C) 85.96", + "D) 70.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "70.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.40pp\nB) +1.65pp\nC) +2.15pp\nD) +1.90pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.40pp", + "B) +1.65pp", + "C) +2.15pp", + "D) +1.90pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+1.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.71%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 3.38%\nD) -1.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.71%", + "B) 1.60%", + "C) 3.38%", + "D) -1.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.83%\nB) 8.36%\nC) 7.59%\nD) 6.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.83%", + "B) 8.36%", + "C) 7.59%", + "D) 6.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -57.59%\nB) -48.62%\nC) -3.78%\nD) -30.68%", + "options": [ + "A) -57.59%", + "B) -48.62%", + "C) -3.78%", + "D) -30.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-30.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.81%", + "B) 1.00%", + "C) 2.62%", + "D) 3.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 219K\nB) 820K\nC) 1,421K\nD) 419K", + "options": [ + "A) 219K", + "B) 820K", + "C) 1,421K", + "D) 419K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "820K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $-72,920M\nB) $-64,440M\nC) $-60,200M\nD) $-47,480M", + "options": [ + "A) $-72,920M", + "B) $-64,440M", + "C) $-60,200M", + "D) $-47,480M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-60,200M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 3.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.78%", + "B) 3.37%", + "C) 3.96%", + "D) 3.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 5.19%\nD) 3.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.97%", + "B) 4.38%", + "C) 5.19%", + "D) 3.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 6.10%\nC) 5.86%\nD) 6.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.34%", + "B) 6.10%", + "C) 5.86%", + "D) 6.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 375K\nB) 1,219K\nC) 797K\nD) 1,429K", + "options": [ + "A) 375K", + "B) 1,219K", + "C) 797K", + "D) 1,429K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "797K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.38%\nB) 67.98%\nC) 64.02%\nD) 66.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.38%", + "B) 67.98%", + "C) 64.02%", + "D) 66.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "66.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 187.90\nB) 174.88\nC) 200.92\nD) 207.43", + "options": [ + "A) 187.90", + "B) 174.88", + "C) 200.92", + "D) 207.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "187.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 4.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.84%", + "B) 4.14%", + "C) 3.01%", + "D) 4.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.17%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 4.41%\nD) 3.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.17%", + "B) 3.64%", + "C) 4.41%", + "D) 3.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -5.95%\nB) -9.90%\nC) -8.58%\nD) -7.27%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.95%", + "B) -9.90%", + "C) -8.58%", + "D) -7.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-7.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.35%\nB) -8.84%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 4.14%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.35%", + "B) -8.84%", + "C) 1.97%", + "D) 4.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-2.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.4939\nB) 1.5472\nC) 1.4407\nD) 1.6537", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4939", + "B) 1.5472", + "C) 1.4407", + "D) 1.6537" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.5472", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.92%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 1.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.92%", + "B) 2.29%", + "C) 2.04%", + "D) 1.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.93%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 5.66%\nD) 5.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.93%", + "B) 4.27%", + "C) 5.66%", + "D) 5.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -5.78%\nB) -29.81%\nC) -21.80%\nD) 2.22%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.78%", + "B) -29.81%", + "C) -21.80%", + "D) 2.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-5.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) -0.60pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.80pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.00pp", + "B) -0.60pp", + "C) -0.40pp", + "D) -0.80pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.5141\nB) 7.2681\nC) 6.8911\nD) 6.3255", + "options": [ + "A) 6.5141", + "B) 7.2681", + "C) 6.8911", + "D) 6.3255" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.8911", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.65\nB) 86.81\nC) 93.69\nD) 90.25", + "options": [ + "A) 81.65", + "B) 86.81", + "C) 93.69", + "D) 90.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "90.25", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $-60,292M\nB) $-63,782M\nC) $-67,272M\nD) $-56,802M", + "options": [ + "A) $-60,292M", + "B) $-63,782M", + "C) $-67,272M", + "D) $-56,802M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-60,292M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.02pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) -0.47pp\nD) +0.27pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.02pp", + "B) -0.10pp", + "C) -0.47pp", + "D) +0.27pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $225,005M\nB) $195,725M\nC) $215,245M\nD) $205,485M", + "options": [ + "A) $225,005M", + "B) $195,725M", + "C) $215,245M", + "D) $205,485M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$215,245M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $213,149M\nB) $224,008M\nC) $202,289M\nD) $234,868M", + "options": [ + "A) $213,149M", + "B) $224,008M", + "C) $202,289M", + "D) $234,868M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$234,868M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.02%\nB) 2.41%\nC) 4.84%\nD) 4.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.02%", + "B) 2.41%", + "C) 4.84%", + "D) 4.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.77%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 3.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.18%", + "B) 3.77%", + "C) 2.97%", + "D) 3.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.97%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 4.18%\nD) 3.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.97%", + "B) 5.38%", + "C) 4.18%", + "D) 3.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.42%\nB) 8.74%\nC) 8.16%\nD) 7.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.42%", + "B) 8.74%", + "C) 8.16%", + "D) 7.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 161.91\nB) 154.47\nC) 139.59\nD) 176.79", + "options": [ + "A) 161.91", + "B) 154.47", + "C) 139.59", + "D) 176.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "161.91", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 0.57%\nC) -0.90%\nD) -0.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.55%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) -0.90%", + "D) -0.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 98.77\nB) 88.80\nC) 93.79\nD) 102.10", + "options": [ + "A) 98.77", + "B) 88.80", + "C) 93.79", + "D) 102.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "93.79", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 2.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.75%", + "B) 5.20%", + "C) 4.33%", + "D) 2.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $66,526M\nB) $60,422M\nC) $63,474M\nD) $75,682M", + "options": [ + "A) $66,526M", + "B) $60,422M", + "C) $63,474M", + "D) $75,682M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$66,526M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.54%\nB) -7.84%\nC) -4.69%\nD) -11.00%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.54%", + "B) -7.84%", + "C) -4.69%", + "D) -11.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-7.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.04%\nB) 1.11%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 1.49%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.04%", + "B) 1.11%", + "C) 0.34%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.50%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 2.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.50%", + "B) 2.86%", + "C) 1.28%", + "D) 2.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $833M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $833M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$833M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.18%\nB) 9.95%\nC) 12.26%\nD) 11.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.18%", + "B) 9.95%", + "C) 12.26%", + "D) 11.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 2.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.47%", + "B) 2.02%", + "C) 2.17%", + "D) 2.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 230.75\nB) 220.95\nC) 204.62\nD) 214.42", + "options": [ + "A) 230.75", + "B) 220.95", + "C) 204.62", + "D) 214.42" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "214.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 101.53\nB) 107.22\nC) 111.01\nD) 97.74", + "options": [ + "A) 101.53", + "B) 107.22", + "C) 111.01", + "D) 97.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "101.53", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $910M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $910M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$910M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 23.77\nB) 37.89\nC) 32.24\nD) 40.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 23.77", + "B) 37.89", + "C) 32.24", + "D) 40.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 23.77\nB) 37.89\nC) 32.24\nD) 40.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 23.77", + "B) 37.89", + "C) 32.24", + "D) 40.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 35.06\nC) 26.59\nD) 32.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 35.06", + "C) 26.59", + "D) 32.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 35.06\nC) 26.59\nD) 32.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 35.06", + "C) 26.59", + "D) 32.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 29.42\nC) 35.06\nD) 23.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 32.24", + "B) 29.42", + "C) 35.06", + "D) 23.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 29.42\nC) 35.06\nD) 23.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 32.24", + "B) 29.42", + "C) 35.06", + "D) 23.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 32.24\nC) 35.06\nD) 26.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 32.24", + "C) 35.06", + "D) 26.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 32.24\nC) 35.06\nD) 26.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 32.24", + "C) 35.06", + "D) 26.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 23.77\nC) 32.24\nD) 37.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 23.77", + "C) 32.24", + "D) 37.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 23.77\nC) 32.24\nD) 37.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 23.77", + "C) 32.24", + "D) 37.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 26.59\nC) 29.42\nD) 32.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 26.59", + "C) 29.42", + "D) 32.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 26.59\nC) 29.42\nD) 32.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 26.59", + "C) 29.42", + "D) 32.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.18%\nC) 3.77%\nD) 3.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 4.18%", + "C) 3.77%", + "D) 3.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.18%\nC) 3.77%\nD) 3.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 4.18%", + "C) 3.77%", + "D) 3.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 3.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.18%", + "B) 3.56%", + "C) 2.94%", + "D) 3.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 3.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.18%", + "B) 3.56%", + "C) 2.94%", + "D) 3.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 4.23%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2.99%", + "B) 3.82%", + "C) 3.61%", + "D) 4.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.61%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 4.23%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2.99%", + "B) 3.82%", + "C) 3.61%", + "D) 4.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.61%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 3.93%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.14%", + "B) 3.72%", + "C) 4.35%", + "D) 3.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.93%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 3.93%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.14%", + "B) 3.72%", + "C) 4.35%", + "D) 3.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.93%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 4.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 3.49%", + "C) 4.32%", + "D) 4.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.11%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 4.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 3.49%", + "C) 4.32%", + "D) 4.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.11%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 3.65%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.48%", + "B) 4.27%", + "C) 3.85%", + "D) 3.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.27%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 3.65%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.48%", + "B) 4.27%", + "C) 3.85%", + "D) 3.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.27%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,464.99\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,464.99", + "B) 2,081.02", + "C) 2,177.01", + "D) 1,889.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,464.99\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,464.99", + "B) 2,081.02", + "C) 2,177.01", + "D) 1,889.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,464.99\nD) 2,177.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,369.00", + "B) 2,081.02", + "C) 2,464.99", + "D) 2,177.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,464.99\nD) 2,177.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,369.00", + "B) 2,081.02", + "C) 2,464.99", + "D) 2,177.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,177.01\nB) 2,273.00\nC) 2,369.00\nD) 1,889.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,177.01", + "B) 2,273.00", + "C) 2,369.00", + "D) 1,889.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,177.01\nB) 2,273.00\nC) 2,369.00\nD) 1,889.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,177.01", + "B) 2,273.00", + "C) 2,369.00", + "D) 1,889.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,177.01\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,081.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,369.00", + "B) 2,177.01", + "C) 1,985.02", + "D) 2,081.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,177.01\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,081.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,369.00", + "B) 2,177.01", + "C) 1,985.02", + "D) 2,081.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,273.00\nB) 1,985.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,273.00", + "B) 1,985.02", + "C) 2,177.01", + "D) 1,889.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,273.00\nB) 1,985.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,273.00", + "B) 1,985.02", + "C) 2,177.01", + "D) 1,889.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 1,889.03\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,177.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,369.00", + "B) 1,889.03", + "C) 1,985.02", + "D) 2,177.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 1,889.03\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,177.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,369.00", + "B) 1,889.03", + "C) 1,985.02", + "D) 2,177.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 1.35%", + "B) 2.26%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 1.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 1.35%", + "B) 2.26%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 1.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 1.81%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 2.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 1.81%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 2.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2.72%", + "B) 2.26%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 0.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2.72%", + "B) 2.26%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 0.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2.26%", + "B) 0.89%", + "C) 1.81%", + "D) 1.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2.26%", + "B) 0.89%", + "C) 1.81%", + "D) 1.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 0.44%\nD) 0.89%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 1.35%", + "B) 1.81%", + "C) 0.44%", + "D) 0.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 0.44%\nD) 0.89%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 1.35%", + "B) 1.81%", + "C) 0.44%", + "D) 0.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 0.44%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 2.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 0.44%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 2.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 39.06\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 24.46", + "B) 39.06", + "C) 30.30", + "D) 36.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 39.06\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 24.46", + "B) 39.06", + "C) 30.30", + "D) 36.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.38\nB) 36.14\nC) 21.54\nD) 30.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 27.38", + "B) 36.14", + "C) 21.54", + "D) 30.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.38\nB) 36.14\nC) 21.54\nD) 30.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 27.38", + "B) 36.14", + "C) 21.54", + "D) 30.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.30\nB) 24.46\nC) 36.14\nD) 21.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 30.30", + "B) 24.46", + "C) 36.14", + "D) 21.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.30\nB) 24.46\nC) 36.14\nD) 21.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 30.30", + "B) 24.46", + "C) 36.14", + "D) 21.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 39.06\nB) 30.30\nC) 36.14\nD) 27.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 39.06", + "B) 30.30", + "C) 36.14", + "D) 27.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 39.06\nB) 30.30\nC) 36.14\nD) 27.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 39.06", + "B) 30.30", + "C) 36.14", + "D) 27.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 27.38\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 24.46", + "B) 27.38", + "C) 30.30", + "D) 36.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 27.38\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 24.46", + "B) 27.38", + "C) 30.30", + "D) 36.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 36.14\nB) 33.22\nC) 27.38\nD) 30.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 36.14", + "B) 33.22", + "C) 27.38", + "D) 30.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 36.14\nB) 33.22\nC) 27.38\nD) 30.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 36.14", + "B) 33.22", + "C) 27.38", + "D) 30.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 3.60%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.83%", + "B) 4.53%", + "C) 4.29%", + "D) 3.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 3.60%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.83%", + "B) 4.53%", + "C) 4.29%", + "D) 3.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 4.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.42%", + "D) 4.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.88%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 4.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.42%", + "D) 4.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.88%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 4.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.31%", + "B) 3.38%", + "C) 4.08%", + "D) 4.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 4.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.31%", + "B) 3.38%", + "C) 4.08%", + "D) 4.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.08%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.38%", + "B) 4.78%", + "C) 4.31%", + "D) 4.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.08%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.38%", + "B) 4.78%", + "C) 4.31%", + "D) 4.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 3.38%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 3.62%", + "C) 4.78%", + "D) 3.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 3.38%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 3.62%", + "C) 4.78%", + "D) 3.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 4.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.31%", + "B) 4.08%", + "C) 3.62%", + "D) 4.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 4.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.31%", + "B) 4.08%", + "C) 3.62%", + "D) 4.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,127.68", + "B) 2,054.57", + "C) 2,273.90", + "D) 2,200.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,127.68", + "B) 2,054.57", + "C) 2,273.90", + "D) 2,200.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,420.12\nD) 2,273.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,127.68", + "B) 2,054.57", + "C) 2,420.12", + "D) 2,273.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,420.12\nD) 2,273.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,127.68", + "B) 2,054.57", + "C) 2,420.12", + "D) 2,273.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,273.90\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,420.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,273.90", + "B) 2,054.57", + "C) 2,127.68", + "D) 2,420.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,273.90\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,420.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,273.90", + "B) 2,054.57", + "C) 2,127.68", + "D) 2,420.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,273.90\nC) 2,493.23\nD) 2,054.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,420.12", + "B) 2,273.90", + "C) 2,493.23", + "D) 2,054.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,273.90\nC) 2,493.23\nD) 2,054.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,420.12", + "B) 2,273.90", + "C) 2,493.23", + "D) 2,054.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,493.23\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,420.12", + "B) 2,493.23", + "C) 2,273.90", + "D) 2,200.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,493.23\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,420.12", + "B) 2,493.23", + "C) 2,273.90", + "D) 2,200.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,347.01\nB) 2,200.79\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,273.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,347.01", + "B) 2,200.79", + "C) 2,127.68", + "D) 2,273.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,347.01\nB) 2,200.79\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,273.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,347.01", + "B) 2,200.79", + "C) 2,127.68", + "D) 2,273.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.03%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 0.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.03%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 0.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.23%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.76%", + "B) 0.03%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 2.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.23%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.76%", + "B) 0.03%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 2.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.76%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 0.03%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.76%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 0.03%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.03%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 1.49%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 0.76%", + "D) 0.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.03%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 1.49%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 0.76%", + "D) 0.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.00%", + "B) 1.46%", + "C) 2.20%", + "D) 0.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.00%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.00%", + "B) 1.46%", + "C) 2.20%", + "D) 0.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.00%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 1.46%", + "B) 0.00%", + "C) 2.20%", + "D) 0.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.00%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 1.46%", + "B) 0.00%", + "C) 2.20%", + "D) 0.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.00%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 0.39%\nD) 2.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.79%", + "B) 1.09%", + "C) 0.39%", + "D) 2.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.39%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 0.39%\nD) 2.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.79%", + "B) 1.09%", + "C) 0.39%", + "D) 2.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.39%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 0.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.86%", + "B) 1.56%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 0.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 0.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.86%", + "B) 1.56%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 0.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.55%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.15%", + "B) 2.25%", + "C) 0.85%", + "D) 1.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.55%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.15%", + "B) 2.25%", + "C) 0.85%", + "D) 1.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 100.6454\nB) 107.1800\nC) 113.7146\nD) 116.9818", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 100.6454", + "B) 107.1800", + "C) 113.7146", + "D) 116.9818" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 100.6454\nB) 107.1800\nC) 113.7146\nD) 116.9818", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 100.6454", + "B) 107.1800", + "C) 113.7146", + "D) 116.9818" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 103.9127\nB) 97.3782\nC) 107.1800\nD) 100.6454", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 103.9127", + "B) 97.3782", + "C) 107.1800", + "D) 100.6454" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 103.9127\nB) 97.3782\nC) 107.1800\nD) 100.6454", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 103.9127", + "B) 97.3782", + "C) 107.1800", + "D) 100.6454" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 116.9818\nC) 100.6454\nD) 107.1800", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 110.4473", + "B) 116.9818", + "C) 100.6454", + "D) 107.1800" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 116.9818\nC) 100.6454\nD) 107.1800", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 110.4473", + "B) 116.9818", + "C) 100.6454", + "D) 107.1800" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 107.1800\nB) 97.3782\nC) 100.6454\nD) 116.9818", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 107.1800", + "B) 97.3782", + "C) 100.6454", + "D) 116.9818" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 107.1800\nB) 97.3782\nC) 100.6454\nD) 116.9818", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 107.1800", + "B) 97.3782", + "C) 100.6454", + "D) 116.9818" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 113.7146\nB) 107.1800\nC) 116.9818\nD) 110.4473", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 113.7146", + "B) 107.1800", + "C) 116.9818", + "D) 110.4473" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 113.7146\nB) 107.1800\nC) 116.9818\nD) 110.4473", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 113.7146", + "B) 107.1800", + "C) 116.9818", + "D) 110.4473" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 113.7146\nC) 107.1800\nD) 103.9127", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 110.4473", + "B) 113.7146", + "C) 107.1800", + "D) 103.9127" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 113.7146\nC) 107.1800\nD) 103.9127", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 110.4473", + "B) 113.7146", + "C) 107.1800", + "D) 103.9127" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,314.78\nB) 1,943.28\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,314.78", + "B) 1,943.28", + "C) 2,240.48", + "D) 2,091.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,314.78\nB) 1,943.28\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,314.78", + "B) 1,943.28", + "C) 2,240.48", + "D) 2,091.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 1,943.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.88", + "B) 2,017.58", + "C) 2,314.78", + "D) 1,943.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 1,943.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.88", + "B) 2,017.58", + "C) 2,314.78", + "D) 1,943.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,091.88\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,868.98", + "B) 2,091.88", + "C) 2,314.78", + "D) 2,017.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,091.88\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,868.98", + "B) 2,091.88", + "C) 2,314.78", + "D) 2,017.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,240.48\nB) 2,314.78\nC) 2,091.88\nD) 1,943.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,240.48", + "B) 2,314.78", + "C) 2,091.88", + "D) 1,943.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,240.48\nB) 2,314.78\nC) 2,091.88\nD) 1,943.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,240.48", + "B) 2,314.78", + "C) 2,091.88", + "D) 1,943.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,868.98", + "B) 2,017.58", + "C) 2,240.48", + "D) 2,091.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,868.98", + "B) 2,017.58", + "C) 2,240.48", + "D) 2,091.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 1,868.98\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.88", + "B) 1,868.98", + "C) 2,314.78", + "D) 2,017.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 1,868.98\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.88", + "B) 1,868.98", + "C) 2,314.78", + "D) 2,017.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 55.12\nB) 52.05\nC) 61.25\nD) 45.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 55.12", + "B) 52.05", + "C) 61.25", + "D) 45.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "52.05", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 55.12\nB) 52.05\nC) 61.25\nD) 45.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 55.12", + "B) 52.05", + "C) 61.25", + "D) 45.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "52.05", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 66.88\nB) 76.08\nC) 69.95\nD) 73.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 66.88", + "B) 76.08", + "C) 69.95", + "D) 73.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "69.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 66.88\nB) 76.08\nC) 69.95\nD) 73.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 66.88", + "B) 76.08", + "C) 69.95", + "D) 73.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "69.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 70.86\nB) 83.13\nC) 89.26\nD) 80.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 70.86", + "B) 83.13", + "C) 89.26", + "D) 80.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "80.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 70.86\nB) 83.13\nC) 89.26\nD) 80.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 70.86", + "B) 83.13", + "C) 89.26", + "D) 80.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "80.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 80.86\nB) 74.73\nC) 77.79\nD) 86.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 80.86", + "B) 74.73", + "C) 77.79", + "D) 86.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "80.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 80.86\nB) 74.73\nC) 77.79\nD) 86.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 80.86", + "B) 74.73", + "C) 77.79", + "D) 86.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "80.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 83.93\nB) 80.86\nC) 86.99\nD) 71.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 83.93", + "B) 80.86", + "C) 86.99", + "D) 71.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 83.93\nB) 80.86\nC) 86.99\nD) 71.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 83.93", + "B) 80.86", + "C) 86.99", + "D) 71.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 86.99\nB) 71.66\nC) 80.86\nD) 77.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 86.99", + "B) 71.66", + "C) 80.86", + "D) 77.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "80.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 86.99\nB) 71.66\nC) 80.86\nD) 77.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 86.99", + "B) 71.66", + "C) 80.86", + "D) 77.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "80.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 3.85%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.14%", + "B) 4.32%", + "C) 4.09%", + "D) 3.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.85%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 3.85%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.14%", + "B) 4.32%", + "C) 4.09%", + "D) 3.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.85%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 3.37%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 3.61%", + "C) 4.55%", + "D) 3.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 3.37%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 3.61%", + "C) 4.55%", + "D) 3.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.84%", + "B) 4.08%", + "C) 3.37%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.84%", + "B) 4.08%", + "C) 3.37%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.32%", + "B) 3.37%", + "C) 4.08%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.32%", + "B) 3.37%", + "C) 4.08%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 4.08%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.55%", + "B) 4.79%", + "C) 3.37%", + "D) 4.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 4.08%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.55%", + "B) 4.79%", + "C) 3.37%", + "D) 4.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.79%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 4.32%", + "C) 4.79%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.79%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 4.32%", + "C) 4.79%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.48%", + "B) 2.99%", + "C) 3.23%", + "D) 2.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.48%", + "B) 2.99%", + "C) 3.23%", + "D) 2.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 3.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.23%", + "B) 3.48%", + "C) 2.99%", + "D) 3.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 3.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.23%", + "B) 3.48%", + "C) 2.99%", + "D) 3.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 2.99%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.23%", + "B) 2.26%", + "C) 2.75%", + "D) 2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 2.99%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.23%", + "B) 2.26%", + "C) 2.75%", + "D) 2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.99%", + "B) 2.75%", + "C) 2.50%", + "D) 3.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.99%", + "B) 2.75%", + "C) 2.50%", + "D) 3.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 3.31%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 3.07%", + "C) 2.58%", + "D) 3.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.07%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 3.31%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 3.07%", + "C) 2.58%", + "D) 3.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.07%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.29%\nD) 4.02%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.05%", + "B) 3.53%", + "C) 3.29%", + "D) 4.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.29%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.29%\nD) 4.02%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.05%", + "B) 3.53%", + "C) 3.29%", + "D) 4.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.29%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 1.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 0.47%", + "D) 1.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 1.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 0.47%", + "D) 1.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.09%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 2.95%", + "D) 2.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.09%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 2.95%", + "D) 2.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 2.95%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.09%", + "C) 1.71%", + "D) 2.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 2.95%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.09%", + "C) 1.71%", + "D) 2.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.09%\nD) 1.71%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 0.47%", + "B) 2.33%", + "C) 1.09%", + "D) 1.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.09%\nD) 1.71%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 0.47%", + "B) 2.33%", + "C) 1.09%", + "D) 1.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 1.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 2.95%", + "D) 1.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 1.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 2.95%", + "D) 1.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 2.95%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.09%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 2.33%", + "D) 2.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 2.95%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.09%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 2.33%", + "D) 2.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 5.47%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 5.86%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 5.34%", + "B) 5.47%", + "C) 5.08%", + "D) 5.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.47%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 5.47%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 5.86%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 5.34%", + "B) 5.47%", + "C) 5.08%", + "D) 5.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.47%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 5.53%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 5.27%", + "B) 5.40%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) 5.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.14%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 5.53%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 5.27%", + "B) 5.40%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) 5.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.14%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 4.96%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 4.57%", + "B) 5.09%", + "C) 4.83%", + "D) 4.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 4.96%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 4.57%", + "B) 5.09%", + "C) 4.83%", + "D) 4.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 4.57%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 4.96%", + "B) 4.83%", + "C) 4.70%", + "D) 4.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 4.57%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 4.96%", + "B) 4.83%", + "C) 4.70%", + "D) 4.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.04%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 5.17%\nD) 4.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 5.04%", + "B) 4.78%", + "C) 5.17%", + "D) 4.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.04%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 5.17%\nD) 4.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 5.04%", + "B) 4.78%", + "C) 5.17%", + "D) 4.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.0429\nB) 1.4268\nC) 1.2828\nD) 1.1388", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0429", + "B) 1.4268", + "C) 1.2828", + "D) 1.1388" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2828", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.0429\nB) 1.4268\nC) 1.2828\nD) 1.1388", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0429", + "B) 1.4268", + "C) 1.2828", + "D) 1.1388" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2828", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3984\nB) 1.0625\nC) 1.1584\nD) 1.3024", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3984", + "B) 1.0625", + "C) 1.1584", + "D) 1.3024" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3024", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3984\nB) 1.0625\nC) 1.1584\nD) 1.3024", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3984", + "B) 1.0625", + "C) 1.1584", + "D) 1.3024" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3024", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.4358\nB) 1.5798\nC) 1.1959\nD) 1.2918", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4358", + "B) 1.5798", + "C) 1.1959", + "D) 1.2918" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.4358\nB) 1.5798\nC) 1.1959\nD) 1.2918", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4358", + "B) 1.5798", + "C) 1.1959", + "D) 1.2918" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5798\nB) 1.4358\nC) 1.6757\nD) 1.2918", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.5798", + "B) 1.4358", + "C) 1.6757", + "D) 1.2918" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5798\nB) 1.4358\nC) 1.6757\nD) 1.2918", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.5798", + "B) 1.4358", + "C) 1.6757", + "D) 1.2918" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5318\nB) 1.2918\nC) 1.4358\nD) 1.6277", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.5318", + "B) 1.2918", + "C) 1.4358", + "D) 1.6277" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5318\nB) 1.2918\nC) 1.4358\nD) 1.6277", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.5318", + "B) 1.2918", + "C) 1.4358", + "D) 1.6277" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.2918\nB) 1.6757\nC) 1.5318\nD) 1.4358", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2918", + "B) 1.6757", + "C) 1.5318", + "D) 1.4358" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.2918\nB) 1.6757\nC) 1.5318\nD) 1.4358", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2918", + "B) 1.6757", + "C) 1.5318", + "D) 1.4358" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2008.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2008.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..9c6560554fbdfd38db032c7f08a506e4cfa1d20c --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2008.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:85f26b42871dbc440d8b76d0a5338ec8d6dacf91c8a48a498ed5d52357d3bf06 +size 36509 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2009.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2009.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..04882f354682ad74d0584af8d064be397e48e280 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2009.json @@ -0,0 +1,2543 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) +3.60pp\nB) +4.81pp\nC) +3.20pp\nD) +4.41pp", + "options": [ + "A) +3.60pp", + "B) +4.81pp", + "C) +3.20pp", + "D) +4.41pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+3.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.08%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 1.00%\nD) 1.27%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.08%", + "B) 0.73%", + "C) 1.00%", + "D) 1.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 145.11\nB) 175.76\nC) 168.10\nD) 191.09", + "options": [ + "A) 145.11", + "B) 175.76", + "C) 168.10", + "D) 191.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "168.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $-29,711M\nB) $-18,640M\nC) $-51,854M\nD) $-35,247M", + "options": [ + "A) $-29,711M", + "B) $-18,640M", + "C) $-51,854M", + "D) $-35,247M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-35,247M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.90%\nB) 61.70%\nC) 56.91%\nD) 58.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.90%", + "B) 61.70%", + "C) 56.91%", + "D) 58.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "59.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.63%\nB) 68.09%\nC) 62.33%\nD) 71.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.63%", + "B) 68.09%", + "C) 62.33%", + "D) 71.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "68.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -29.63%\nB) -22.30%\nC) -25.96%\nD) -14.96%", + "options": [ + "A) -29.63%", + "B) -22.30%", + "C) -25.96%", + "D) -14.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-25.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 84.95\nB) 94.78\nC) 82.49\nD) 87.41", + "options": [ + "A) 84.95", + "B) 94.78", + "C) 82.49", + "D) 87.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "87.41", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $1,647M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $1,647M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$1,647M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $19.82/hr\nB) $18.49/hr\nC) $17.16/hr\nD) $18.93/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $19.82/hr", + "B) $18.49/hr", + "C) $17.16/hr", + "D) $18.93/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$18.49/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.80\nB) 86.34\nC) 89.32\nD) 96.79", + "options": [ + "A) 93.80", + "B) 86.34", + "C) 89.32", + "D) 96.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "89.32", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) +20.15pp\nB) -8.10pp\nC) -2.45pp\nD) +3.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) +20.15pp", + "B) -8.10pp", + "C) -2.45pp", + "D) +3.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+3.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -10.54%\nB) -4.00%\nC) -12.72%\nD) -8.36%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.54%", + "B) -4.00%", + "C) -12.72%", + "D) -8.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-10.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 3.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.33%", + "B) 2.75%", + "C) 3.63%", + "D) 3.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.38%\nB) -30.21%\nC) -49.00%\nD) -11.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.38%", + "B) -30.21%", + "C) -49.00%", + "D) -11.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-49.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) -2.25%\nC) 0.38%\nD) -1.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.25%", + "B) -2.25%", + "C) 0.38%", + "D) -1.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -28.66%\nB) 0.28%\nC) -57.59%\nD) -47.95%", + "options": [ + "A) -28.66%", + "B) 0.28%", + "C) -57.59%", + "D) -47.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-28.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 11.68%\nB) -47.69%\nC) -87.26%\nD) -27.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.68%", + "B) -47.69%", + "C) -87.26%", + "D) -27.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-47.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 43.65%\nB) 134.23%\nC) 98.00%\nD) 79.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 43.65%", + "B) 134.23%", + "C) 98.00%", + "D) 79.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "98.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) $56.97/bbl\nB) $91.53/bbl\nC) $103.06/bbl\nD) $68.49/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $56.97/bbl", + "B) $91.53/bbl", + "C) $103.06/bbl", + "D) $68.49/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$68.49/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.20pp\nB) -4.28pp\nC) -1.58pp\nD) -2.66pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.20pp", + "B) -4.28pp", + "C) -1.58pp", + "D) -2.66pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-3.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $1,801M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $1,801M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$1,801M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 3.26%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 2.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.93%", + "B) 3.26%", + "C) 1.26%", + "D) 2.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -37.33%\nB) -56.56%\nC) -27.72%\nD) -46.95%", + "options": [ + "A) -37.33%", + "B) -56.56%", + "C) -27.72%", + "D) -46.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-46.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $18.70/hr\nB) $19.16/hr\nC) $17.78/hr\nD) $17.33/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $18.70/hr", + "B) $19.16/hr", + "C) $17.78/hr", + "D) $17.33/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$18.70/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $293,217M\nB) $322,634M\nC) $303,022M\nD) $312,828M", + "options": [ + "A) $293,217M", + "B) $322,634M", + "C) $303,022M", + "D) $312,828M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$322,634M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) -3.05%\nC) -4.17%\nD) -5.85%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.49%", + "B) -3.05%", + "C) -4.17%", + "D) -5.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 867K\nB) 1,150K\nC) 303K\nD) 585K", + "options": [ + "A) 867K", + "B) 1,150K", + "C) 303K", + "D) 585K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "585K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -14.66%\nB) -16.51%\nC) -18.37%\nD) -9.09%", + "options": [ + "A) -14.66%", + "B) -16.51%", + "C) -18.37%", + "D) -9.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-14.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 128.18%\nB) 97.76%\nC) 77.47%\nD) 107.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 128.18%", + "B) 97.76%", + "C) 77.47%", + "D) 107.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "97.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.01pp\nB) -9.57pp\nC) -12.45pp\nD) -13.89pp", + "options": [ + "A) -11.01pp", + "B) -9.57pp", + "C) -12.45pp", + "D) -13.89pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-12.45pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.67%\nB) -1.84%\nC) 0.97%\nD) 0.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.67%", + "B) -1.84%", + "C) 0.97%", + "D) 0.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.36%\nB) -3.84%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 1.96%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.36%", + "B) -3.84%", + "C) 3.12%", + "D) 1.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 771K\nB) 513K\nC) 1,029K\nD) 255K", + "options": [ + "A) 771K", + "B) 513K", + "C) 1,029K", + "D) 255K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "513K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.32%\nB) 67.57%\nC) 65.60%\nD) 63.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.32%", + "B) 67.57%", + "C) 65.60%", + "D) 63.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "65.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $-20,728M\nB) $-33,348M\nC) $-39,658M\nD) $-30,193M", + "options": [ + "A) $-20,728M", + "B) $-33,348M", + "C) $-39,658M", + "D) $-30,193M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-30,193M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.65%\nB) -5.27%\nC) -15.90%\nD) -13.77%", + "options": [ + "A) -11.65%", + "B) -5.27%", + "C) -15.90%", + "D) -13.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-11.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.31%\nB) -7.59%\nC) -22.48%\nD) -12.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.31%", + "B) -7.59%", + "C) -22.48%", + "D) -12.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-7.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.27%\nB) 6.52%\nC) 11.10%\nD) 24.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.27%", + "B) 6.52%", + "C) 11.10%", + "D) 24.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 3.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.23%", + "B) 4.61%", + "C) 2.33%", + "D) 3.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 505K\nB) 263K\nC) 747K\nD) 1,231K", + "options": [ + "A) 505K", + "B) 263K", + "C) 747K", + "D) 1,231K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "505K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.68%\nB) 5.80%\nC) 6.43%\nD) 4.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.68%", + "B) 5.80%", + "C) 6.43%", + "D) 4.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.10pp\nB) -7.83pp\nC) -5.47pp\nD) -12.56pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.10pp", + "B) -7.83pp", + "C) -5.47pp", + "D) -12.56pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-5.47pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 217.19\nB) 207.80\nC) 221.88\nD) 212.50", + "options": [ + "A) 217.19", + "B) 207.80", + "C) 221.88", + "D) 212.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "212.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.38%\nB) 4.69%\nC) 5.61%\nD) 5.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.38%", + "B) 4.69%", + "C) 5.61%", + "D) 5.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $56,033M\nB) $53,034M\nC) $50,035M\nD) $62,032M", + "options": [ + "A) $56,033M", + "B) $53,034M", + "C) $50,035M", + "D) $62,032M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$53,034M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2181\nB) 1.2715\nC) 1.3784\nD) 1.4853", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2181", + "B) 1.2715", + "C) 1.3784", + "D) 1.4853" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.3784", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.42%\nB) -10.68%\nC) 1.84%\nD) -16.94%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.42%", + "B) -10.68%", + "C) 1.84%", + "D) -16.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-16.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.17%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 1.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.17%", + "B) 1.01%", + "C) 2.69%", + "D) 1.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.28%\nB) 1.79%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 1.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.28%", + "B) 1.79%", + "C) 1.95%", + "D) 1.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.3752\nB) 6.2970\nC) 6.8361\nD) 6.5665", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3752", + "B) 6.2970", + "C) 6.8361", + "D) 6.5665" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.8361", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 43.38\nB) 11.95\nC) 37.10\nD) 30.81", + "options": [ + "A) 43.38", + "B) 11.95", + "C) 37.10", + "D) 30.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "30.81", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) -26.00%\nB) -17.39%\nC) -51.83%\nD) -34.61%", + "options": [ + "A) -26.00%", + "B) -17.39%", + "C) -51.83%", + "D) -34.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-26.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 4.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.85%", + "B) 4.61%", + "C) 5.34%", + "D) 4.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.44pp\nB) -23.96pp\nC) -12.20pp\nD) -18.08pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.44pp", + "B) -23.96pp", + "C) -12.20pp", + "D) -18.08pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-12.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.52%\nB) -3.42%\nC) 2.79%\nD) -1.86%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.52%", + "B) -3.42%", + "C) 2.79%", + "D) -1.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 6,525,000\nB) 6,046,574\nC) 7,003,426\nD) 5,089,722", + "options": [ + "A) 6,525,000", + "B) 6,046,574", + "C) 7,003,426", + "D) 5,089,722" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,525,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -17.39%\nB) -12.74%\nC) -3.44%\nD) 1.22%", + "options": [ + "A) -17.39%", + "B) -12.74%", + "C) -3.44%", + "D) 1.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-12.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.71%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 3.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.71%", + "B) 4.08%", + "C) 3.76%", + "D) 3.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,202B\nB) $9,654B\nC) $9,106B\nD) $9,928B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,202B", + "B) $9,654B", + "C) $9,106B", + "D) $9,928B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$9,928B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 3.23%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 3.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.75%", + "B) 3.23%", + "C) 2.27%", + "D) 3.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -33.12%\nB) -23.59%\nC) -4.53%\nD) -52.18%", + "options": [ + "A) -33.12%", + "B) -23.59%", + "C) -4.53%", + "D) -52.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-23.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.81%\nB) 56.94%\nC) 58.70%\nD) 60.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.81%", + "B) 56.94%", + "C) 58.70%", + "D) 60.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "58.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.66%\nB) 8.35%\nC) 9.39%\nD) 8.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.66%", + "B) 8.35%", + "C) 9.39%", + "D) 8.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,925B\nB) $11,588B\nC) $11,920B\nD) $10,261B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,925B", + "B) $11,588B", + "C) $11,920B", + "D) $10,261B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$10,925B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,809B\nB) $8,386B\nC) $8,675B\nD) $7,520B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,809B", + "B) $8,386B", + "C) $8,675B", + "D) $7,520B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$8,386B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.28%\nB) 12.02%\nC) 9.80%\nD) 9.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.28%", + "B) 12.02%", + "C) 9.80%", + "D) 9.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,883B\nB) $9,705B\nC) $10,068B\nD) $10,794B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,883B", + "B) $9,705B", + "C) $10,068B", + "D) $10,794B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$10,794B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 1.97%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 1.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.15%", + "B) 1.97%", + "C) 2.88%", + "D) 1.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.99%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 0.70%\nD) 7.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.99%", + "B) 3.87%", + "C) 0.70%", + "D) 7.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.58%\nB) 1.25%\nC) -0.45%\nD) 0.12%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.58%", + "B) 1.25%", + "C) -0.45%", + "D) 0.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,470B\nB) $9,123B\nC) $9,453B\nD) $8,462B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,470B", + "B) $9,123B", + "C) $9,453B", + "D) $8,462B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$8,462B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.81%\nB) -3.72%\nC) 2.45%\nD) -16.06%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.81%", + "B) -3.72%", + "C) 2.45%", + "D) -16.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-6.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.35%\nB) 65.10%\nC) 66.40%\nD) 63.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.35%", + "B) 65.10%", + "C) 66.40%", + "D) 63.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "65.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.67\nB) 79.96\nC) 86.65\nD) 83.31", + "options": [ + "A) 91.67", + "B) 79.96", + "C) 86.65", + "D) 83.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "86.65", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.01%\nB) 1.32%\nC) 1.79%\nD) 1.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.01%", + "B) 1.32%", + "C) 1.79%", + "D) 1.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.18%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.18%", + "B) 1.84%", + "C) 1.01%", + "D) 2.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.39\nB) 215.86\nC) 194.68\nD) 224.33", + "options": [ + "A) 207.39", + "B) 215.86", + "C) 194.68", + "D) 224.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "215.86", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $10,104B\nB) $9,442B\nC) $9,773B\nD) $10,435B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,104B", + "B) $9,442B", + "C) $9,773B", + "D) $10,435B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$9,773B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) $105.55/bbl\nB) $93.88/bbl\nC) $82.21/bbl\nD) $70.54/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $105.55/bbl", + "B) $93.88/bbl", + "C) $82.21/bbl", + "D) $70.54/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$70.54/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.10\nB) 154.22\nC) 180.73\nD) 193.98", + "options": [ + "A) 174.10", + "B) 154.22", + "C) 180.73", + "D) 193.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "174.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $322,891M\nB) $330,998M\nC) $339,105M\nD) $347,213M", + "options": [ + "A) $322,891M", + "B) $330,998M", + "C) $339,105M", + "D) $347,213M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$330,998M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) -1.72%\nC) -0.53%\nD) -0.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) -1.72%", + "C) -0.53%", + "D) -0.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.28pp\nB) +5.12pp\nC) +2.99pp\nD) +3.70pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.28pp", + "B) +5.12pp", + "C) +2.99pp", + "D) +3.70pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+3.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 146.51\nB) 133.89\nC) 152.83\nD) 140.20", + "options": [ + "A) 146.51", + "B) 133.89", + "C) 152.83", + "D) 140.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "146.51", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.54%\nB) -2.61%\nC) -5.39%\nD) 0.17%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.54%", + "B) -2.61%", + "C) -5.39%", + "D) 0.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-2.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 83.16\nB) 91.51\nC) 88.17\nD) 94.84", + "options": [ + "A) 83.16", + "B) 91.51", + "C) 88.17", + "D) 94.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "88.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) $7,609B\nB) $10,457B\nC) $8,083B\nD) $9,033B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,609B", + "B) $10,457B", + "C) $8,083B", + "D) $9,033B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$9,033B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.50pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) -0.27pp\nD) -0.84pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.50pp", + "B) -0.16pp", + "C) -0.27pp", + "D) -0.84pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.73%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.24%\nD) 3.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.73%", + "B) 5.50%", + "C) 6.24%", + "D) 3.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 226.77\nB) 213.07\nC) 219.92\nD) 202.80", + "options": [ + "A) 226.77", + "B) 213.07", + "C) 219.92", + "D) 202.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "219.92", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 136,469K\nB) 139,119K\nC) 129,844K\nD) 132,494K", + "options": [ + "A) 136,469K", + "B) 139,119K", + "C) 129,844K", + "D) 132,494K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "132,494K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.50\nB) 60.54\nC) 79.98\nD) 54.06", + "options": [ + "A) 73.50", + "B) 60.54", + "C) 79.98", + "D) 54.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "73.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 500,632\nB) 595,000\nC) 547,816\nD) 642,184", + "options": [ + "A) 500,632", + "B) 595,000", + "C) 547,816", + "D) 642,184" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "595,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.22%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.22%", + "B) 1.07%", + "C) 0.76%", + "D) 0.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 126,339K\nB) 132,851K\nC) 136,758K\nD) 130,246K", + "options": [ + "A) 126,339K", + "B) 132,851K", + "C) 136,758K", + "D) 130,246K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "130,246K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 88.75\nB) 92.49\nC) 85.02\nD) 94.98", + "options": [ + "A) 88.75", + "B) 92.49", + "C) 85.02", + "D) 94.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "88.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.98%\nB) -26.58%\nC) -3.19%\nD) -18.78%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.98%", + "B) -26.58%", + "C) -3.19%", + "D) -18.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-26.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 45.05\nB) 69.55\nC) 57.30\nD) 63.43", + "options": [ + "A) 45.05", + "B) 69.55", + "C) 57.30", + "D) 63.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "57.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -27.82%\nB) -22.88%\nC) -32.76%\nD) -37.70%", + "options": [ + "A) -27.82%", + "B) -22.88%", + "C) -32.76%", + "D) -37.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-37.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.75%\nB) 64.27%\nC) 75.49%\nD) 62.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.75%", + "B) 64.27%", + "C) 75.49%", + "D) 62.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "68.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.26%\nB) 9.34%\nC) 7.42%\nD) 8.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.26%", + "B) 9.34%", + "C) 7.42%", + "D) 8.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $144,322M\nB) $199,199M\nC) $158,041M\nD) $185,479M", + "options": [ + "A) $144,322M", + "B) $199,199M", + "C) $158,041M", + "D) $185,479M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$158,041M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 99.26\nB) 104.28\nC) 101.77\nD) 96.75", + "options": [ + "A) 99.26", + "B) 104.28", + "C) 101.77", + "D) 96.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "96.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 609K\nB) 906K\nC) 1,203K\nD) 312K", + "options": [ + "A) 609K", + "B) 906K", + "C) 1,203K", + "D) 312K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "609K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 207.87\nB) 218.25\nC) 235.56\nD) 228.64", + "options": [ + "A) 207.87", + "B) 218.25", + "C) 235.56", + "D) 228.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "218.25", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 162.10\nB) 143.39\nC) 149.63\nD) 130.92", + "options": [ + "A) 162.10", + "B) 143.39", + "C) 149.63", + "D) 130.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "149.63", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.30pp\nB) +3.30pp\nC) +2.90pp\nD) +2.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.30pp", + "B) +3.30pp", + "C) +2.90pp", + "D) +2.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+2.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 98.0300\nB) 106.0112\nC) 86.0582\nD) 90.0488", + "options": [ + "A) 98.0300", + "B) 106.0112", + "C) 86.0582", + "D) 90.0488" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "98.0300", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 94.65\nB) 88.02\nC) 84.04\nD) 90.67", + "options": [ + "A) 94.65", + "B) 88.02", + "C) 84.04", + "D) 90.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "88.02", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,138.82\nB) 2,300.04\nC) 1,816.38\nD) 1,655.16", + "options": [ + "A) 2,138.82", + "B) 2,300.04", + "C) 1,816.38", + "D) 1,655.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,816.38", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -20.95%\nB) -68.95%\nC) -40.15%\nD) -49.75%", + "options": [ + "A) -20.95%", + "B) -68.95%", + "C) -40.15%", + "D) -49.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-49.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $146,323M\nB) $156,438M\nC) $126,093M\nD) $166,553M", + "options": [ + "A) $146,323M", + "B) $156,438M", + "C) $126,093M", + "D) $166,553M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$146,323M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.32%\nB) -1.02%\nC) -2.42%\nD) -1.72%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.32%", + "B) -1.02%", + "C) -2.42%", + "D) -1.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -18.99%\nB) -22.69%\nC) -11.58%\nD) -0.47%", + "options": [ + "A) -18.99%", + "B) -22.69%", + "C) -11.58%", + "D) -0.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-11.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.27pp\nB) -1.02pp\nC) -0.53pp\nD) -0.90pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.27pp", + "B) -1.02pp", + "C) -0.53pp", + "D) -0.90pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.48%\nB) 5.85%\nC) 6.67%\nD) 5.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.48%", + "B) 5.85%", + "C) 6.67%", + "D) 5.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.93%\nB) -4.76%\nC) -3.71%\nD) -6.87%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.93%", + "B) -4.76%", + "C) -3.71%", + "D) -6.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-4.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.69pp\nB) -3.10pp\nC) -2.80pp\nD) -2.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.69pp", + "B) -3.10pp", + "C) -2.80pp", + "D) -2.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-2.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $57,206M\nB) $41,302M\nC) $54,555M\nD) $49,254M", + "options": [ + "A) $57,206M", + "B) $41,302M", + "C) $54,555M", + "D) $49,254M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$49,254M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.80%\nB) -1.75%\nC) 1.28%\nD) -13.85%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.80%", + "B) -1.75%", + "C) 1.28%", + "D) -13.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-7.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2009.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2009.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..68c947a467d20b6988ae26f4cf6266814e6bf6f9 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2009.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:f2bd5ae05fc7109abff1310f4cb676c6e9a3402d0f8adca932e0175308edcf6d +size 24336 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2010.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2010.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..9b0c8b8ee5dcb9b180ca5d8713d7568203120f0f --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2010.json @@ -0,0 +1,5156 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 3.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.28%", + "B) 0.19%", + "C) 2.38%", + "D) 3.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.03pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) -1.40pp\nD) -2.65pp", + "options": [ + "A) -2.03pp", + "B) -0.15pp", + "C) -1.40pp", + "D) -2.65pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 227.92\nB) 212.40\nC) 234.13\nD) 221.71", + "options": [ + "A) 227.92", + "B) 212.40", + "C) 234.13", + "D) 221.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "221.71", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 220.78\nB) 230.84\nC) 237.54\nD) 210.73", + "options": [ + "A) 220.78", + "B) 230.84", + "C) 237.54", + "D) 210.73" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "220.78", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.48%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 5.52%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.48%", + "B) 4.02%", + "C) 2.52%", + "D) 5.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.04%\nB) 12.83%\nC) -0.35%\nD) 8.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.04%", + "B) 12.83%", + "C) -0.35%", + "D) 8.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.73\nB) 92.08\nC) 85.55\nD) 89.91", + "options": [ + "A) 87.73", + "B) 92.08", + "C) 85.55", + "D) 89.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "89.91", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.16%\nB) 0.98%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.16%", + "B) 0.98%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.09pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -1.12pp\nD) -0.71pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.09pp", + "B) -0.50pp", + "C) -1.12pp", + "D) -0.71pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.52pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) -1.24pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.52pp", + "B) -0.16pp", + "C) -0.70pp", + "D) -1.24pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.95%\nB) 0.77%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 1.63%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.95%", + "B) 0.77%", + "C) 3.36%", + "D) 1.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 24.48%\nB) 40.68%\nC) 48.78%\nD) 16.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 24.48%", + "B) 40.68%", + "C) 48.78%", + "D) 16.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 869K\nB) 594K\nC) 1,419K\nD) 1,144K", + "options": [ + "A) 869K", + "B) 594K", + "C) 1,419K", + "D) 1,144K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "594K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2873\nB) 1.1234\nC) 1.2327\nD) 1.3420", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2873", + "B) 1.1234", + "C) 1.2327", + "D) 1.3420" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2327", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.0432\nB) 6.5693\nC) 7.6214\nD) 6.8323", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0432", + "B) 6.5693", + "C) 7.6214", + "D) 6.8323" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.8323", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $-44,333M\nB) $-31,527M\nC) $-50,736M\nD) $-37,930M", + "options": [ + "A) $-44,333M", + "B) $-31,527M", + "C) $-50,736M", + "D) $-37,930M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-44,333M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -29.86%\nB) 1.54%\nC) 12.00%\nD) 22.47%", + "options": [ + "A) -29.86%", + "B) 1.54%", + "C) 12.00%", + "D) 22.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) -0.08%\nC) 3.04%\nD) 4.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.96%", + "B) -0.08%", + "C) 3.04%", + "D) 4.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) +28.40pp\nB) +34.44pp\nC) +22.35pp\nD) +16.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) +28.40pp", + "B) +34.44pp", + "C) +22.35pp", + "D) +16.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+16.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.81%\nB) 0.04%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 1.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.81%", + "B) 0.04%", + "C) 1.07%", + "D) 1.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.89%\nD) 1.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.61%", + "B) 2.33%", + "C) 2.89%", + "D) 1.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 18.75%\nB) 36.79%\nC) 27.77%\nD) 45.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 18.75%", + "B) 36.79%", + "C) 27.77%", + "D) 45.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "27.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 3.27%\nC) 2.44%\nD) 0.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.62%", + "B) 3.27%", + "C) 2.44%", + "D) 0.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.36%\nB) -15.02%\nC) 4.42%\nD) 8.31%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.36%", + "B) -15.02%", + "C) 4.42%", + "D) 8.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-3.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -16.06%\nB) -1.99%\nC) 7.39%\nD) -11.37%", + "options": [ + "A) -16.06%", + "B) -1.99%", + "C) 7.39%", + "D) -11.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 107.5487\nB) 80.3842\nC) 91.2500\nD) 96.6829", + "options": [ + "A) 107.5487", + "B) 80.3842", + "C) 91.2500", + "D) 96.6829" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "91.2500", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) $65.14/bbl\nB) $85.44/bbl\nC) $44.83/bbl\nD) $75.29/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $65.14/bbl", + "B) $85.44/bbl", + "C) $44.83/bbl", + "D) $75.29/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$75.29/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.88%\nB) 64.93%\nC) 46.25%\nD) -28.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.88%", + "B) 64.93%", + "C) 46.25%", + "D) -28.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "8.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.42%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 3.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.42%", + "B) 2.29%", + "C) 4.15%", + "D) 3.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -18.27pp\nB) -11.79pp\nC) -5.30pp\nD) +1.19pp", + "options": [ + "A) -18.27pp", + "B) -11.79pp", + "C) -5.30pp", + "D) +1.19pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-5.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 5,276,657\nB) 5,947,313\nC) 2,594,030\nD) 4,606,000", + "options": [ + "A) 5,276,657", + "B) 5,947,313", + "C) 2,594,030", + "D) 4,606,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,606,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.90%\nB) 66.85%\nC) 61.66%\nD) 63.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.90%", + "B) 66.85%", + "C) 61.66%", + "D) 63.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "64.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,131K\nB) 563K\nC) 1,416K\nD) 847K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,131K", + "B) 563K", + "C) 1,416K", + "D) 847K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "563K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 56.96%\nB) 62.35%\nC) 58.50%\nD) 60.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 56.96%", + "B) 62.35%", + "C) 58.50%", + "D) 60.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "58.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) 2.12%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 0.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.10%", + "B) 2.12%", + "C) 3.13%", + "D) 0.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,305.88\nB) 2,623.74\nC) 2,782.67\nD) 2,146.95", + "options": [ + "A) 2,305.88", + "B) 2,623.74", + "C) 2,782.67", + "D) 2,146.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,305.88", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 209.45\nB) 217.35\nC) 237.10\nD) 225.25", + "options": [ + "A) 209.45", + "B) 217.35", + "C) 237.10", + "D) 225.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "217.35", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,201B\nB) $11,936B\nC) $11,405B\nD) $11,670B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,201B", + "B) $11,936B", + "C) $11,405B", + "D) $11,670B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$11,405B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $1,961M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $1,961M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$1,961M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.07%\nB) 1.24%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 3.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.07%", + "B) 1.24%", + "C) 2.42%", + "D) 3.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 2.19%\nC) 2.80%\nD) 1.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.59%", + "B) 2.19%", + "C) 2.80%", + "D) 1.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 26.51%\nC) 13.39%\nD) 6.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 26.51%", + "C) 13.39%", + "D) 6.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "13.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 24.41%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 14.91%\nD) 33.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 24.41%", + "B) 5.40%", + "C) 14.91%", + "D) 33.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "33.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,327B\nB) $11,298B\nC) $9,939B\nD) $10,716B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,327B", + "B) $11,298B", + "C) $9,939B", + "D) $10,716B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$10,327B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.25\nB) 73.60\nC) 92.13\nD) 79.78", + "options": [ + "A) 61.25", + "B) 73.60", + "C) 92.13", + "D) 79.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "73.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.30%\nB) 56.63%\nC) 58.50%\nD) 53.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.30%", + "B) 56.63%", + "C) 58.50%", + "D) 53.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "58.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 136.86\nB) 152.35\nC) 129.11\nD) 144.61", + "options": [ + "A) 136.86", + "B) 152.35", + "C) 129.11", + "D) 144.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "144.61", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.30%\nB) 6.84%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 4.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.30%", + "B) 6.84%", + "C) 3.76%", + "D) 4.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 927K\nB) 636K\nC) 1,217K\nD) 345K", + "options": [ + "A) 927K", + "B) 636K", + "C) 1,217K", + "D) 345K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "636K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) +3.42pp\nB) +13.55pp\nC) +5.95pp\nD) +0.89pp", + "options": [ + "A) +3.42pp", + "B) +13.55pp", + "C) +5.95pp", + "D) +0.89pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+5.95pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.66%\nB) 5.36%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 4.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.66%", + "B) 5.36%", + "C) 3.84%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.37%\nB) 3.86%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 3.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.37%", + "B) 3.86%", + "C) 4.61%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 125,822K\nB) 129,866K\nC) 133,910K\nD) 136,606K", + "options": [ + "A) 125,822K", + "B) 129,866K", + "C) 133,910K", + "D) 136,606K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "129,866K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 69.59%\nB) 77.27%\nC) 74.71%\nD) 79.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 69.59%", + "B) 77.27%", + "C) 74.71%", + "D) 79.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "74.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 93.43\nB) 97.98\nC) 91.16\nD) 95.70", + "options": [ + "A) 93.43", + "B) 97.98", + "C) 91.16", + "D) 95.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "95.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.54%\nB) -1.50%\nC) 13.57%\nD) 16.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.54%", + "B) -1.50%", + "C) 13.57%", + "D) 16.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.19%\nB) -1.98%\nC) -4.39%\nD) -0.78%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.19%", + "B) -1.98%", + "C) -4.39%", + "D) -0.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $19.55/hr\nB) $18.67/hr\nC) $19.11/hr\nD) $19.99/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $19.55/hr", + "B) $18.67/hr", + "C) $19.11/hr", + "D) $19.99/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$19.11/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 69.26%\nB) 74.33%\nC) 64.19%\nD) 71.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 69.26%", + "B) 74.33%", + "C) 64.19%", + "D) 71.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "71.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $182,148M\nB) $167,280M\nC) $211,883M\nD) $137,545M", + "options": [ + "A) $182,148M", + "B) $167,280M", + "C) $211,883M", + "D) $137,545M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$182,148M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 4.23%\nC) 4.69%\nD) 4.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.00%", + "B) 4.23%", + "C) 4.69%", + "D) 4.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.89%\nB) 62.66%\nC) 64.60%\nD) 67.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 65.89%", + "B) 62.66%", + "C) 64.60%", + "D) 67.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "64.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,751B\nB) $11,445B\nC) $12,058B\nD) $11,138B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,751B", + "B) $11,445B", + "C) $12,058B", + "D) $11,138B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$11,138B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.10%\nB) 8.53%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 4.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.10%", + "B) 8.53%", + "C) 5.29%", + "D) 4.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.12%\nC) -0.76%\nD) 3.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.06%", + "B) 1.12%", + "C) -0.76%", + "D) 3.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.30%\nB) 8.40%\nC) 9.50%\nD) 12.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.30%", + "B) 8.40%", + "C) 9.50%", + "D) 12.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $62,752M\nB) $53,354M\nC) $50,222M\nD) $56,487M", + "options": [ + "A) $62,752M", + "B) $53,354M", + "C) $50,222M", + "D) $56,487M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$56,487M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 130,341K\nB) 138,192K\nC) 125,630K\nD) 133,481K", + "options": [ + "A) 130,341K", + "B) 138,192K", + "C) 125,630K", + "D) 133,481K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "130,341K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $332,339M\nB) $346,974M\nC) $354,291M\nD) $361,609M", + "options": [ + "A) $332,339M", + "B) $346,974M", + "C) $354,291M", + "D) $361,609M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$346,974M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.09%\nB) 3.10%\nC) 6.35%\nD) -0.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.09%", + "B) 3.10%", + "C) 6.35%", + "D) -0.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) -4.40%\nC) 27.41%\nD) 14.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.96%", + "B) -4.40%", + "C) 27.41%", + "D) 14.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $60,134M\nB) $53,710M\nC) $66,558M\nD) $69,769M", + "options": [ + "A) $60,134M", + "B) $53,710M", + "C) $66,558M", + "D) $69,769M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$60,134M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.00%\nB) 6.20%\nC) -1.59%\nD) 17.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.00%", + "B) 6.20%", + "C) -1.59%", + "D) 17.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 54.13%\nB) -36.26%\nC) 8.93%\nD) -58.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 54.13%", + "B) -36.26%", + "C) 8.93%", + "D) -58.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.80pp\nB) +1.20pp\nC) -2.56pp\nD) -0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.80pp", + "B) +1.20pp", + "C) -2.56pp", + "D) -0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 25.94%\nB) 6.41%\nC) 45.47%\nD) 35.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 25.94%", + "B) 6.41%", + "C) 45.47%", + "D) 35.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "25.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 31.20%\nB) 9.93%\nC) 52.46%\nD) -53.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 31.20%", + "B) 9.93%", + "C) 52.46%", + "D) -53.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 211.50\nB) 235.22\nC) 218.28\nD) 228.44", + "options": [ + "A) 211.50", + "B) 235.22", + "C) 218.28", + "D) 228.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "218.28", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.24\nB) 90.10\nC) 101.53\nD) 92.95", + "options": [ + "A) 87.24", + "B) 90.10", + "C) 101.53", + "D) 92.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "92.95", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,719B\nB) $9,748B\nC) $8,032B\nD) $7,689B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,719B", + "B) $9,748B", + "C) $8,032B", + "D) $7,689B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$8,719B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.95%\nB) 9.90%\nC) 7.05%\nD) 12.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.95%", + "B) 9.90%", + "C) 7.05%", + "D) 12.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.66%\nB) 83.09%\nC) 26.24%\nD) 45.19%", + "options": [ + "A) -11.66%", + "B) 83.09%", + "C) 26.24%", + "D) 45.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $17.55/hr\nB) $18.00/hr\nC) $19.84/hr\nD) $18.92/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $17.55/hr", + "B) $18.00/hr", + "C) $19.84/hr", + "D) $18.92/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$18.92/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 467,000\nB) 304,778\nC) 412,926\nD) 575,148", + "options": [ + "A) 467,000", + "B) 304,778", + "C) 412,926", + "D) 575,148" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "467,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.40%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 7.30%\nD) 13.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.40%", + "B) 4.20%", + "C) 7.30%", + "D) 13.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $2,080M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $2,080M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$2,080M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.66%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 3.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.34%", + "B) 3.66%", + "C) 4.00%", + "D) 3.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.78%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.78%", + "B) 1.20%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 2.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.30%\nC) 0.71%\nD) 0.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.59%", + "B) 1.30%", + "C) 0.71%", + "D) 0.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $-46,408M\nB) $-58,683M\nC) $-40,271M\nD) $-27,997M", + "options": [ + "A) $-46,408M", + "B) $-58,683M", + "C) $-40,271M", + "D) $-27,997M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-40,271M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) +4.13pp\nB) +1.46pp\nC) +3.06pp\nD) +2.53pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.13pp", + "B) +1.46pp", + "C) +3.06pp", + "D) +2.53pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+2.53pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) $76.84/bbl\nB) $87.31/bbl\nC) $108.25/bbl\nD) $55.90/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $76.84/bbl", + "B) $87.31/bbl", + "C) $108.25/bbl", + "D) $55.90/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$76.84/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,212B\nB) $8,524B\nC) $8,179B\nD) $9,556B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,212B", + "B) $8,524B", + "C) $8,179B", + "D) $9,556B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$8,524B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.81pp\nB) -2.02pp\nC) -0.20pp\nD) +1.62pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.81pp", + "B) -2.02pp", + "C) -0.20pp", + "D) +1.62pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $10,629B\nB) $10,865B\nC) $9,683B\nD) $10,156B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,629B", + "B) $10,865B", + "C) $9,683B", + "D) $10,156B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$10,156B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 184.90\nB) 179.61\nC) 195.48\nD) 200.78", + "options": [ + "A) 184.90", + "B) 179.61", + "C) 195.48", + "D) 200.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "184.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 1.13%\nB) -1.20%\nC) -3.52%\nD) -5.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.13%", + "B) -1.20%", + "C) -3.52%", + "D) -5.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.39pp\nB) -0.93pp\nC) +3.71pp\nD) +6.03pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.39pp", + "B) -0.93pp", + "C) +3.71pp", + "D) +6.03pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+3.71pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 384K\nB) 1,595K\nC) 1,292K\nD) 687K", + "options": [ + "A) 384K", + "B) 1,595K", + "C) 1,292K", + "D) 687K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "687K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.19%\nB) -0.53%\nC) 6.91%\nD) 5.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.19%", + "B) -0.53%", + "C) 6.91%", + "D) 5.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 189.28\nB) 183.30\nC) 165.36\nD) 195.26", + "options": [ + "A) 189.28", + "B) 183.30", + "C) 165.36", + "D) 195.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "183.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 95.50\nB) 93.13\nC) 89.58\nD) 86.03", + "options": [ + "A) 95.50", + "B) 93.13", + "C) 89.58", + "D) 86.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "89.58", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.16\nB) 94.40\nC) 86.12\nD) 90.26", + "options": [ + "A) 97.16", + "B) 94.40", + "C) 86.12", + "D) 90.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "90.26", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) $8,924B\nB) $9,665B\nC) $10,035B\nD) $8,184B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,924B", + "B) $9,665B", + "C) $10,035B", + "D) $8,184B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$8,924B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.80%\nB) 1.42%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 0.68%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.80%", + "B) 1.42%", + "C) 2.90%", + "D) 0.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 3.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.00%", + "B) 1.55%", + "C) 2.10%", + "D) 3.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 130.01\nB) 163.97\nC) 157.18\nD) 143.59", + "options": [ + "A) 130.01", + "B) 163.97", + "C) 157.18", + "D) 143.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "143.59", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.20pp\nB) -0.35pp\nC) +3.53pp\nD) +0.42pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.20pp", + "B) -0.35pp", + "C) +3.53pp", + "D) +0.42pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+1.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 62.84%\nB) 26.95%\nC) 50.87%\nD) -8.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.84%", + "B) 26.95%", + "C) 50.87%", + "D) -8.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "26.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.75%\nB) 12.84%\nC) -7.55%\nD) -38.15%", + "options": [ + "A) -17.75%", + "B) 12.84%", + "C) -7.55%", + "D) -38.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-7.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.99\nB) 96.59\nC) 86.99\nD) 90.59", + "options": [ + "A) 92.99", + "B) 96.59", + "C) 86.99", + "D) 90.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "90.59", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 8.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.92%", + "B) 2.32%", + "C) 5.52%", + "D) 8.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $385,583M\nB) $352,179M\nC) $338,817M\nD) $365,541M", + "options": [ + "A) $385,583M", + "B) $352,179M", + "C) $338,817M", + "D) $365,541M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$352,179M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 84.81\nB) 95.77\nC) 90.29\nD) 82.08", + "options": [ + "A) 84.81", + "B) 95.77", + "C) 90.29", + "D) 82.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "90.29", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $186,813M\nB) $217,051M\nC) $232,170M\nD) $201,932M", + "options": [ + "A) $186,813M", + "B) $217,051M", + "C) $232,170M", + "D) $201,932M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$201,932M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.04%\nB) 16.78%\nC) 20.65%\nD) 12.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.04%", + "B) 16.78%", + "C) 20.65%", + "D) 12.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 105.16\nB) 102.10\nC) 96.99\nD) 100.06", + "options": [ + "A) 105.16", + "B) 102.10", + "C) 96.99", + "D) 100.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "102.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.16%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 6.40%\nD) 12.24%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.16%", + "B) 3.48%", + "C) 6.40%", + "D) 12.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.84\nB) 62.56\nC) 51.27\nD) 68.20", + "options": [ + "A) 73.84", + "B) 62.56", + "C) 51.27", + "D) 68.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "68.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 8.15%\nC) 5.65%\nD) 6.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.40%", + "B) 8.15%", + "C) 5.65%", + "D) 6.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 38.25\nB) 25.87\nC) 32.06\nD) 13.49", + "options": [ + "A) 38.25", + "B) 25.87", + "C) 32.06", + "D) 13.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "25.87", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 1.15%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 2.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.14%", + "B) 1.15%", + "C) 0.16%", + "D) 2.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.90\nB) 2,612.16\nC) 2,785.43\nD) 2,265.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,438.90", + "B) 2,612.16", + "C) 2,785.43", + "D) 2,265.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,265.64", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.90\nB) 2,612.16\nC) 2,785.43\nD) 2,265.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,438.90", + "B) 2,612.16", + "C) 2,785.43", + "D) 2,265.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,265.64", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,204.01\nB) 1,857.49\nC) 2,030.75\nD) 2,550.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,204.01", + "B) 1,857.49", + "C) 2,030.75", + "D) 2,550.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,204.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,204.01\nB) 1,857.49\nC) 2,030.75\nD) 2,550.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,204.01", + "B) 1,857.49", + "C) 2,030.75", + "D) 2,550.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,204.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,542.40\nB) 2,195.88\nC) 2,369.14\nD) 2,022.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,542.40", + "B) 2,195.88", + "C) 2,369.14", + "D) 2,022.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,195.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,542.40\nB) 2,195.88\nC) 2,369.14\nD) 2,022.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,542.40", + "B) 2,195.88", + "C) 2,369.14", + "D) 2,022.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,195.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 1,745.27\nB) 2,611.58\nC) 2,091.79\nD) 1,918.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 1,745.27", + "B) 2,611.58", + "C) 2,091.79", + "D) 1,918.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 1,745.27\nB) 2,611.58\nC) 2,091.79\nD) 1,918.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 1,745.27", + "B) 2,611.58", + "C) 2,091.79", + "D) 1,918.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.31\nB) 1,918.53\nC) 2,611.58\nD) 2,091.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,438.31", + "B) 1,918.53", + "C) 2,611.58", + "D) 2,091.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.31\nB) 1,918.53\nC) 2,611.58\nD) 2,091.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,438.31", + "B) 1,918.53", + "C) 2,611.58", + "D) 2,091.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 1,745.27\nC) 2,265.05\nD) 1,572.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.79", + "B) 1,745.27", + "C) 2,265.05", + "D) 1,572.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 1,745.27\nC) 2,265.05\nD) 1,572.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.79", + "B) 1,745.27", + "C) 2,265.05", + "D) 1,572.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 11.65\nB) 25.52\nC) 39.39\nD) 46.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 11.65", + "B) 25.52", + "C) 39.39", + "D) 46.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "25.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 11.65\nB) 25.52\nC) 39.39\nD) 46.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 11.65", + "B) 25.52", + "C) 39.39", + "D) 46.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "25.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 32.45\nB) 39.39\nC) 25.52\nD) 11.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 32.45", + "B) 39.39", + "C) 25.52", + "D) 11.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "25.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 32.45\nB) 39.39\nC) 25.52\nD) 11.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 32.45", + "B) 39.39", + "C) 25.52", + "D) 11.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "25.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.39\nB) 18.59\nC) 32.45\nD) 25.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 39.39", + "B) 18.59", + "C) 32.45", + "D) 25.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "25.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.39\nB) 18.59\nC) 32.45\nD) 25.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 39.39", + "B) 18.59", + "C) 32.45", + "D) 25.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "25.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 23.95\nB) 37.82\nC) 17.02\nD) 10.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 23.95", + "B) 37.82", + "C) 17.02", + "D) 10.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "23.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 23.95\nB) 37.82\nC) 17.02\nD) 10.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 23.95", + "B) 37.82", + "C) 17.02", + "D) 10.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "23.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 35.88\nB) 22.01\nC) 28.94\nD) 42.81", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 35.88", + "B) 22.01", + "C) 28.94", + "D) 42.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 35.88\nB) 22.01\nC) 28.94\nD) 42.81", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 35.88", + "B) 22.01", + "C) 28.94", + "D) 42.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.58\nB) 11.85\nC) 18.78\nD) 32.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 39.58", + "B) 11.85", + "C) 18.78", + "D) 32.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.78", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.58\nB) 11.85\nC) 18.78\nD) 32.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 39.58", + "B) 11.85", + "C) 18.78", + "D) 32.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.78", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.3602\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.4932\nD) 1.2715", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3602", + "B) 1.1828", + "C) 1.4932", + "D) 1.2715" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.3602\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.4932\nD) 1.2715", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3602", + "B) 1.1828", + "C) 1.4932", + "D) 1.2715" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.2715\nB) 1.4045\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.0498", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2715", + "B) 1.4045", + "C) 1.1385", + "D) 1.0498" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.2715\nB) 1.4045\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.0498", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2715", + "B) 1.4045", + "C) 1.1385", + "D) 1.0498" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0498\nB) 1.2715\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.4045", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0498", + "B) 1.2715", + "C) 1.1385", + "D) 1.4045" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0498\nB) 1.2715\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.4045", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0498", + "B) 1.2715", + "C) 1.1385", + "D) 1.4045" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0942\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.2715\nD) 1.4045", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0942", + "B) 1.1828", + "C) 1.2715", + "D) 1.4045" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0942\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.2715\nD) 1.4045", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0942", + "B) 1.1828", + "C) 1.2715", + "D) 1.4045" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4569\nB) 1.1466\nC) 1.2352\nD) 1.3239", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4569", + "B) 1.1466", + "C) 1.2352", + "D) 1.3239" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3239", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4569\nB) 1.1466\nC) 1.2352\nD) 1.3239", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4569", + "B) 1.1466", + "C) 1.2352", + "D) 1.3239" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3239", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4066\nB) 1.3179\nC) 1.5396\nD) 1.6283", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4066", + "B) 1.3179", + "C) 1.5396", + "D) 1.6283" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.4066", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4066\nB) 1.3179\nC) 1.5396\nD) 1.6283", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4066", + "B) 1.3179", + "C) 1.5396", + "D) 1.6283" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.4066", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.10\nB) 31.24\nC) 52.03\nD) 10.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 45.10", + "B) 31.24", + "C) 52.03", + "D) 10.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "31.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.10\nB) 31.24\nC) 52.03\nD) 10.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 45.10", + "B) 31.24", + "C) 52.03", + "D) 10.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "31.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 52.72", + "B) 25.00", + "C) 45.79", + "D) 31.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 52.72", + "B) 25.00", + "C) 45.79", + "D) 31.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 66.58\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 45.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 66.58", + "B) 59.65", + "C) 31.93", + "D) 45.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 66.58\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 45.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 66.58", + "B) 59.65", + "C) 31.93", + "D) 45.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 66.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 45.79", + "B) 59.65", + "C) 31.93", + "D) 66.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 66.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 45.79", + "B) 59.65", + "C) 31.93", + "D) 66.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 38.86\nB) 45.79\nC) 25.00\nD) 52.72", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 38.86", + "B) 45.79", + "C) 25.00", + "D) 52.72" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 38.86\nB) 45.79\nC) 25.00\nD) 52.72", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 38.86", + "B) 45.79", + "C) 25.00", + "D) 52.72" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 52.72", + "B) 25.00", + "C) 45.79", + "D) 31.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 52.72", + "B) 25.00", + "C) 45.79", + "D) 31.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.33%", + "B) 4.26%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 3.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.33%", + "B) 4.26%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 3.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 2.86%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 4.03%", + "C) 4.26%", + "D) 2.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 2.86%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 4.03%", + "C) 4.26%", + "D) 2.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.33%", + "B) 3.56%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.33%", + "B) 3.56%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.56%\nD) 3.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 4.03%", + "B) 2.86%", + "C) 3.56%", + "D) 3.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.56%\nD) 3.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 4.03%", + "B) 2.86%", + "C) 3.56%", + "D) 3.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 3.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 4.03%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 3.79%", + "D) 3.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 3.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 4.03%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 3.79%", + "D) 3.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 4.26%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 4.26%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.4648\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1507", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4648", + "B) 1.3302", + "C) 1.2405", + "D) 1.1507" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.4648\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1507", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4648", + "B) 1.3302", + "C) 1.2405", + "D) 1.1507" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.1956\nB) 1.1059\nC) 1.3302\nD) 1.4199", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1956", + "B) 1.1059", + "C) 1.3302", + "D) 1.4199" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.1956\nB) 1.1059\nC) 1.3302\nD) 1.4199", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1956", + "B) 1.1059", + "C) 1.3302", + "D) 1.4199" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.2405\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.1507\nD) 1.3302", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2405", + "B) 1.4199", + "C) 1.1507", + "D) 1.3302" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.2405\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.1507\nD) 1.3302", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2405", + "B) 1.4199", + "C) 1.1507", + "D) 1.3302" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3302\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1059", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3302", + "B) 1.4199", + "C) 1.2405", + "D) 1.1059" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3302\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1059", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3302", + "B) 1.4199", + "C) 1.2405", + "D) 1.1059" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.5097\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.4199", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.5097", + "B) 1.3302", + "C) 1.2405", + "D) 1.4199" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.5097\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.4199", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.5097", + "B) 1.3302", + "C) 1.2405", + "D) 1.4199" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3169\nB) 1.4963\nC) 1.4066\nD) 1.1823", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3169", + "B) 1.4963", + "C) 1.4066", + "D) 1.1823" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.4066", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3169\nB) 1.4963\nC) 1.4066\nD) 1.1823", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3169", + "B) 1.4963", + "C) 1.4066", + "D) 1.1823" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.4066", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 37.74\nB) 44.68\nC) 30.79\nD) 23.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 37.74", + "B) 44.68", + "C) 30.79", + "D) 23.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "23.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 37.74\nB) 44.68\nC) 30.79\nD) 23.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 37.74", + "B) 44.68", + "C) 30.79", + "D) 23.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "23.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 40.95\nB) 54.85\nC) 47.90\nD) 61.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 40.95", + "B) 54.85", + "C) 47.90", + "D) 61.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "40.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 40.95\nB) 54.85\nC) 47.90\nD) 61.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 40.95", + "B) 54.85", + "C) 47.90", + "D) 61.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "40.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 45.79\nC) 24.95\nD) 38.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 59.69", + "B) 45.79", + "C) 24.95", + "D) 38.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 45.79\nC) 24.95\nD) 38.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 59.69", + "B) 45.79", + "C) 24.95", + "D) 38.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 45.79\nD) 66.63", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 59.69", + "B) 31.89", + "C) 45.79", + "D) 66.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 45.79\nD) 66.63", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 59.69", + "B) 31.89", + "C) 45.79", + "D) 66.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 66.63\nD) 45.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 59.69", + "B) 31.89", + "C) 66.63", + "D) 45.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 66.63\nD) 45.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 59.69", + "B) 31.89", + "C) 66.63", + "D) 45.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 66.63\nC) 59.69\nD) 52.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 45.79", + "B) 66.63", + "C) 59.69", + "D) 52.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 66.63\nC) 59.69\nD) 52.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 45.79", + "B) 66.63", + "C) 59.69", + "D) 52.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.16%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 3.87%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.16%", + "B) 3.63%", + "C) 3.39%", + "D) 3.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.16%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 3.87%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.16%", + "B) 3.63%", + "C) 3.39%", + "D) 3.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 3.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2.94%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.41%", + "D) 3.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.41%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 3.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2.94%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.41%", + "D) 3.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.41%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.94%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 3.18%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2.47%", + "B) 2.94%", + "C) 3.89%", + "D) 3.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.18%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.94%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 3.18%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2.47%", + "B) 2.94%", + "C) 3.89%", + "D) 3.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.18%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 2.42%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.13%", + "B) 3.37%", + "C) 3.84%", + "D) 2.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.13%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 2.42%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.13%", + "B) 3.37%", + "C) 3.84%", + "D) 2.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.13%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.66%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2.66%", + "B) 2.90%", + "C) 3.37%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.90%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.66%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2.66%", + "B) 2.90%", + "C) 3.37%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.90%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 3.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 2.65%", + "C) 2.41%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.41%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 3.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 2.65%", + "C) 2.41%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.41%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,943.24\nB) 1,905.26\nC) 2,251.25\nD) 2,424.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,943.24", + "B) 1,905.26", + "C) 2,251.25", + "D) 2,424.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,424.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,943.24\nB) 1,905.26\nC) 2,251.25\nD) 2,424.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,943.24", + "B) 1,905.26", + "C) 2,251.25", + "D) 2,424.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,424.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,265.64\nB) 1,919.64\nC) 2,092.64\nD) 2,438.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,265.64", + "B) 1,919.64", + "C) 2,092.64", + "D) 2,438.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,265.64", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,265.64\nB) 1,919.64\nC) 2,092.64\nD) 2,438.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,265.64", + "B) 1,919.64", + "C) 2,092.64", + "D) 2,438.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,265.64", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,858.01\nB) 2,204.01\nC) 2,377.01\nD) 2,723.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,858.01", + "B) 2,204.01", + "C) 2,377.01", + "D) 2,723.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,204.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,858.01\nB) 2,204.01\nC) 2,377.01\nD) 2,723.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,858.01", + "B) 2,204.01", + "C) 2,377.01", + "D) 2,723.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,204.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,985.85\nB) 1,812.85\nC) 2,158.85\nD) 2,504.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,985.85", + "B) 1,812.85", + "C) 2,158.85", + "D) 2,504.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,158.85", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,985.85\nB) 1,812.85\nC) 2,158.85\nD) 2,504.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,985.85", + "B) 1,812.85", + "C) 2,158.85", + "D) 2,504.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,158.85", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,745.79\nB) 1,572.80\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 2,091.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,745.79", + "B) 1,572.80", + "C) 2,264.79", + "D) 2,091.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,745.79\nB) 1,572.80\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 2,091.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,745.79", + "B) 1,572.80", + "C) 2,264.79", + "D) 2,091.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 2,610.78\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 1,918.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.79", + "B) 2,610.78", + "C) 2,264.79", + "D) 1,918.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 2,610.78\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 1,918.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.79", + "B) 2,610.78", + "C) 2,264.79", + "D) 1,918.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2010.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2010.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..9cc35c52f4c73cc4f61fd14fa4493d2e3cf7399d --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2010.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:ea2fa615f834680ff361a5dafb71aba5aa6b8d53cc15eeef2a3ed64248be6c19 +size 31988 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2011.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2011.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..0769138ab6b9a30411b79e51dc90acb2af1cd26d --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2011.json @@ -0,0 +1,6062 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $-60,852M\nB) $-43,477M\nC) $-31,894M\nD) $-37,685M", + "options": [ + "A) $-60,852M", + "B) $-43,477M", + "C) $-31,894M", + "D) $-37,685M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-43,477M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) -2.22%\nB) 4.80%\nC) 0.12%\nD) 2.46%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.22%", + "B) 4.80%", + "C) 0.12%", + "D) 2.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -35.63%\nB) -25.64%\nC) 4.33%\nD) -5.66%", + "options": [ + "A) -35.63%", + "B) -25.64%", + "C) 4.33%", + "D) -5.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-5.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $19.49/hr\nB) $18.71/hr\nC) $19.10/hr\nD) $19.88/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $19.49/hr", + "B) $18.71/hr", + "C) $19.10/hr", + "D) $19.88/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$19.49/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.3663\nB) 80.7100\nC) 74.0537\nD) 94.0225", + "options": [ + "A) 87.3663", + "B) 80.7100", + "C) 74.0537", + "D) 94.0225" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.7100", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 229.38\nB) 213.54\nC) 223.05\nD) 207.21", + "options": [ + "A) 229.38", + "B) 213.54", + "C) 223.05", + "D) 207.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "223.05", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.17%\nB) 3.04%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 4.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.17%", + "B) 3.04%", + "C) 5.79%", + "D) 4.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.00%\nB) 10.14%\nC) 12.43%\nD) 6.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.00%", + "B) 10.14%", + "C) 12.43%", + "D) 6.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.95%\nB) 4.59%\nC) 5.71%\nD) 6.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.95%", + "B) 4.59%", + "C) 5.71%", + "D) 6.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 38.52%\nB) -10.29%\nC) 14.12%\nD) 50.73%", + "options": [ + "A) 38.52%", + "B) -10.29%", + "C) 14.12%", + "D) 50.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 22.01%\nB) 2.27%\nC) 14.11%\nD) 10.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 22.01%", + "B) 2.27%", + "C) 14.11%", + "D) 10.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 21.32\nB) 38.75\nC) 9.70\nD) 27.13", + "options": [ + "A) 21.32", + "B) 38.75", + "C) 9.70", + "D) 27.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.32", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) $8,444B\nB) $8,935B\nC) $9,180B\nD) $8,199B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,444B", + "B) $8,935B", + "C) $9,180B", + "D) $8,199B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$8,935B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 9.12%\nC) 5.44%\nD) 6.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.22%", + "B) 9.12%", + "C) 5.44%", + "D) 6.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) -0.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.80pp", + "B) -0.20pp", + "C) +0.20pp", + "D) -0.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 6.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.81%", + "B) 2.92%", + "C) 4.70%", + "D) 6.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.79%\nB) 2.41%\nC) 9.18%\nD) 12.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.79%", + "B) 2.41%", + "C) 9.18%", + "D) 12.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 185.56\nB) 221.84\nC) 203.70\nD) 197.65", + "options": [ + "A) 185.56", + "B) 221.84", + "C) 203.70", + "D) 197.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "203.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.10%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 3.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.10%", + "B) 0.93%", + "C) 1.63%", + "D) 3.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 3.32%\nC) 5.69%\nD) 5.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.51%", + "B) 3.32%", + "C) 5.69%", + "D) 5.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) -4.88%\nB) -8.84%\nC) -12.81%\nD) -20.73%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.88%", + "B) -8.84%", + "C) -12.81%", + "D) -20.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-8.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 3.71%", + "C) 2.98%", + "D) 2.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 116.08\nB) 156.21\nC) 132.13\nD) 140.16", + "options": [ + "A) 116.08", + "B) 156.21", + "C) 132.13", + "D) 140.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "140.16", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.40%\nB) 78.76%\nC) 71.68%\nD) 81.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 76.40%", + "B) 78.76%", + "C) 71.68%", + "D) 81.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "76.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.03pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -2.03pp\nD) -2.79pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.03pp", + "B) -0.50pp", + "C) -2.03pp", + "D) -2.79pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.92%\nB) -44.20%\nC) -15.14%\nD) -24.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.92%", + "B) -44.20%", + "C) -15.14%", + "D) -24.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-15.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $384,093M\nB) $350,799M\nC) $337,481M\nD) $370,775M", + "options": [ + "A) $384,093M", + "B) $350,799M", + "C) $337,481M", + "D) $370,775M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$370,775M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) -1.21pp\nC) +0.45pp\nD) -1.76pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.10pp", + "B) -1.21pp", + "C) +0.45pp", + "D) -1.76pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.74\nB) 93.33\nC) 95.53\nD) 90.02", + "options": [ + "A) 97.74", + "B) 93.33", + "C) 95.53", + "D) 90.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "93.33", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.83%\nB) -0.05%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 4.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.83%", + "B) -0.05%", + "C) 2.11%", + "D) 4.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.11%\nB) -1.00%\nC) -7.10%\nD) -4.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.11%", + "B) -1.00%", + "C) -7.10%", + "D) -4.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-4.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 416,000\nB) 515,853\nC) 266,220\nD) 366,073", + "options": [ + "A) 416,000", + "B) 515,853", + "C) 266,220", + "D) 366,073" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "416,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.07pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) +1.66pp\nD) -0.69pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.07pp", + "B) -0.10pp", + "C) +1.66pp", + "D) -0.69pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.60\nB) 92.40\nC) 95.20\nD) 98.00", + "options": [ + "A) 103.60", + "B) 92.40", + "C) 95.20", + "D) 98.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "95.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.43%\nB) 35.54%\nC) -1.94%\nD) 16.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.43%", + "B) 35.54%", + "C) -1.94%", + "D) 16.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "16.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,395M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,395M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$2,395M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -12.48pp\nB) -6.10pp\nC) -18.86pp\nD) +6.66pp", + "options": [ + "A) -12.48pp", + "B) -6.10pp", + "C) -18.86pp", + "D) +6.66pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-6.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.7079\nB) 7.1597\nC) 6.4820\nD) 6.2561", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7079", + "B) 7.1597", + "C) 6.4820", + "D) 6.2561" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4820", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.64%\nB) -1.72%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 1.54%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.64%", + "B) -1.72%", + "C) 2.62%", + "D) 1.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.91%\nB) 13.97%\nC) 1.85%\nD) 10.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.91%", + "B) 13.97%", + "C) 1.85%", + "D) 10.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.26%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.26%", + "B) 4.50%", + "C) 3.74%", + "D) 3.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 3.18%\nC) -3.07%\nD) -0.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.09%", + "B) 3.18%", + "C) -3.07%", + "D) -0.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-3.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 29.55%\nB) -4.60%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 9.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 29.55%", + "B) -4.60%", + "C) 2.23%", + "D) 9.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,929B\nB) $12,425B\nC) $12,177B\nD) $11,680B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,929B", + "B) $12,425B", + "C) $12,177B", + "D) $11,680B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$11,929B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 137,463K\nB) 132,344K\nC) 140,875K\nD) 127,225K", + "options": [ + "A) 137,463K", + "B) 132,344K", + "C) 140,875K", + "D) 127,225K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "132,344K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -27.81pp\nB) -2.33pp\nC) -8.70pp\nD) -21.44pp", + "options": [ + "A) -27.81pp", + "B) -2.33pp", + "C) -8.70pp", + "D) -21.44pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-8.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.50%\nB) 55.30%\nC) 63.57%\nD) 58.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.50%", + "B) 55.30%", + "C) 63.57%", + "D) 58.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "58.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.64%\nB) 24.13%\nC) -9.60%\nD) 3.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.64%", + "B) 24.13%", + "C) -9.60%", + "D) 3.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "10.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 67.41%\nB) 64.20%\nC) 65.48%\nD) 62.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 67.41%", + "B) 64.20%", + "C) 65.48%", + "D) 62.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "64.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 30.14%\nB) 19.78%\nC) 9.43%\nD) 40.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 30.14%", + "B) 19.78%", + "C) 9.43%", + "D) 40.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.36pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) +0.60pp\nD) -0.90pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.36pp", + "B) -0.15pp", + "C) +0.60pp", + "D) -0.90pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $380,042M\nB) $417,883M\nC) $357,338M\nD) $402,746M", + "options": [ + "A) $380,042M", + "B) $417,883M", + "C) $357,338M", + "D) $402,746M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$380,042M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.99%\nB) 1.39%\nC) 29.52%\nD) -17.37%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.99%", + "B) 1.39%", + "C) 29.52%", + "D) -17.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $20.14/hr\nB) $19.72/hr\nC) $19.30/hr\nD) $18.46/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $20.14/hr", + "B) $19.72/hr", + "C) $19.30/hr", + "D) $18.46/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$19.30/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,638M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $2,638M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$2,638M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $-44,312M\nB) $-50,572M\nC) $-31,791M\nD) $-25,531M", + "options": [ + "A) $-44,312M", + "B) $-50,572M", + "C) $-31,791M", + "D) $-25,531M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-44,312M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 831K\nB) 583K\nC) 1,078K\nD) 1,326K", + "options": [ + "A) 831K", + "B) 583K", + "C) 1,078K", + "D) 1,326K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "583K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 28.64%\nB) -22.09%\nC) 8.35%\nD) 18.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 28.64%", + "B) -22.09%", + "C) 8.35%", + "D) 18.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 0.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.11%", + "B) 1.08%", + "C) 3.13%", + "D) 0.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 137.78\nB) 129.59\nC) 154.16\nD) 162.34", + "options": [ + "A) 137.78", + "B) 129.59", + "C) 154.16", + "D) 162.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "137.78", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.25%\nB) 6.40%\nC) 4.69%\nD) 8.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.25%", + "B) 6.40%", + "C) 4.69%", + "D) 8.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.54pp\nB) +2.07pp\nC) +2.60pp\nD) +4.19pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.54pp", + "B) +2.07pp", + "C) +2.60pp", + "D) +4.19pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+2.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,633B\nB) $9,649B\nC) $7,955B\nD) $8,972B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,633B", + "B) $9,649B", + "C) $7,955B", + "D) $8,972B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$8,972B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) $94.83/bbl\nB) $126.82/bbl\nC) $84.17/bbl\nD) $116.16/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $94.83/bbl", + "B) $126.82/bbl", + "C) $84.17/bbl", + "D) $116.16/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$94.83/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.54%\nB) 4.19%\nC) 0.84%\nD) -2.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.54%", + "B) 4.19%", + "C) 0.84%", + "D) -2.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $75,180M\nB) $62,381M\nC) $65,581M\nD) $68,781M", + "options": [ + "A) $75,180M", + "B) $62,381M", + "C) $65,581M", + "D) $68,781M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$65,581M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 44.29%\nB) -22.31%\nC) -0.11%\nD) 22.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 44.29%", + "B) -22.31%", + "C) -0.11%", + "D) 22.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $62,497M\nB) $56,071M\nC) $52,857M\nD) $72,137M", + "options": [ + "A) $62,497M", + "B) $56,071M", + "C) $52,857M", + "D) $72,137M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$62,497M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.76%\nB) 9.55%\nC) 8.45%\nD) 7.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.76%", + "B) 9.55%", + "C) 8.45%", + "D) 7.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,319K\nB) 1,080K\nC) 600K\nD) 360K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,319K", + "B) 1,080K", + "C) 600K", + "D) 360K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "600K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 89.75%\nB) 52.91%\nC) -2.34%\nD) 34.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 89.75%", + "B) 52.91%", + "C) -2.34%", + "D) 34.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "34.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 1.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.38%", + "B) 2.92%", + "C) 2.08%", + "D) 1.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.30%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 2.22%\nD) -0.04%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.30%", + "B) 1.09%", + "C) 2.22%", + "D) -0.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 204.48\nB) 183.37\nC) 199.20\nD) 215.03", + "options": [ + "A) 204.48", + "B) 183.37", + "C) 199.20", + "D) 215.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "199.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 139,673K\nB) 126,249K\nC) 136,317K\nD) 131,283K", + "options": [ + "A) 139,673K", + "B) 126,249K", + "C) 136,317K", + "D) 131,283K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "131,283K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 2.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.55%", + "B) 0.96%", + "C) 0.37%", + "D) 2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.54%\nB) 15.18%\nC) 71.36%\nD) -22.27%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.54%", + "B) 15.18%", + "C) 71.36%", + "D) -22.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 87.65\nB) 85.64\nC) 90.67\nD) 93.68", + "options": [ + "A) 87.65", + "B) 85.64", + "C) 90.67", + "D) 93.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "90.67", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.42%\nB) 4.89%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 4.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.42%", + "B) 4.89%", + "C) 3.72%", + "D) 4.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.08pp\nB) +9.49pp\nC) -4.04pp\nD) +1.37pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.08pp", + "B) +9.49pp", + "C) -4.04pp", + "D) +1.37pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+4.08pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.23%\nB) 9.00%\nC) 12.35%\nD) 10.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.23%", + "B) 9.00%", + "C) 12.35%", + "D) 10.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.79%\nB) 12.72%\nC) 6.86%\nD) 15.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.79%", + "B) 12.72%", + "C) 6.86%", + "D) 15.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 233.94\nB) 220.91\nC) 213.09\nD) 226.12", + "options": [ + "A) 233.94", + "B) 220.91", + "C) 213.09", + "D) 226.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "226.12", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) $114.67/bbl\nB) $81.59/bbl\nC) $103.64/bbl\nD) $125.70/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $114.67/bbl", + "B) $81.59/bbl", + "C) $103.64/bbl", + "D) $125.70/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$114.67/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 43.60\nB) 59.50\nC) 54.20\nD) 64.80", + "options": [ + "A) 43.60", + "B) 59.50", + "C) 54.20", + "D) 64.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "59.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.46%\nB) 7.39%\nC) 5.26%\nD) 3.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.46%", + "B) 7.39%", + "C) 5.26%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,854,252\nB) 5,649,748\nC) 3,119,417\nD) 3,752,000", + "options": [ + "A) 1,854,252", + "B) 5,649,748", + "C) 3,119,417", + "D) 3,752,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,752,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.87%\nB) 83.39%\nC) 80.89%\nD) 68.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 75.87%", + "B) 83.39%", + "C) 80.89%", + "D) 68.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "75.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 2.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.15%", + "B) 0.08%", + "C) 3.30%", + "D) 2.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.10pp\nB) -6.68pp\nC) +1.69pp\nD) -3.89pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.10pp", + "B) -6.68pp", + "C) +1.69pp", + "D) -3.89pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.69pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $182,693M\nB) $227,776M\nC) $197,720M\nD) $212,748M", + "options": [ + "A) $182,693M", + "B) $227,776M", + "C) $197,720M", + "D) $212,748M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$212,748M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 1.60%\nD) 3.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.99%", + "B) 0.82%", + "C) 1.60%", + "D) 3.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,147B\nB) $10,620B\nC) $9,917B\nD) $10,268B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,147B", + "B) $10,620B", + "C) $9,917B", + "D) $10,268B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$10,620B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $249,159M\nB) $219,545M\nC) $204,738M\nD) $160,317M", + "options": [ + "A) $249,159M", + "B) $219,545M", + "C) $204,738M", + "D) $160,317M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$204,738M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 3.52%\nC) 1.27%\nD) 0.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.39%", + "B) 3.52%", + "C) 1.27%", + "D) 0.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,552B\nB) $9,893B\nC) $8,868B\nD) $9,210B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,552B", + "B) $9,893B", + "C) $8,868B", + "D) $9,210B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$9,552B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 6.30%\nC) 8.78%\nD) 5.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.65%", + "B) 6.30%", + "C) 8.78%", + "D) 5.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 94.81%\nB) -10.54%\nC) 52.67%\nD) 115.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 94.81%", + "B) -10.54%", + "C) 52.67%", + "D) 115.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "52.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 53.36%\nB) 61.43%\nC) 55.37%\nD) 58.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 53.36%", + "B) 61.43%", + "C) 55.37%", + "D) 58.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "58.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.21%\nB) 0.31%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 0.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.21%", + "B) 0.31%", + "C) 1.82%", + "D) 0.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.33%\nD) 2.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.99%", + "B) 2.01%", + "C) 1.33%", + "D) 2.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,131B\nB) $10,261B\nC) $10,783B\nD) $11,479B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,131B", + "B) $10,261B", + "C) $10,783B", + "D) $11,479B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$10,783B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 214.90\nB) 229.16\nC) 209.20\nD) 223.45", + "options": [ + "A) 214.90", + "B) 229.16", + "C) 209.20", + "D) 223.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "223.45", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 4.45%\nD) -0.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.62%", + "B) 5.37%", + "C) 4.45%", + "D) -0.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 51.08\nB) 67.50\nC) 83.92\nD) 72.97", + "options": [ + "A) 51.08", + "B) 67.50", + "C) 83.92", + "D) 72.97" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "67.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 2.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.89%", + "B) 0.26%", + "C) 1.21%", + "D) 2.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 87.69\nB) 89.93\nC) 95.52\nD) 92.17", + "options": [ + "A) 87.69", + "B) 89.93", + "C) 95.52", + "D) 92.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "92.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 226.60\nB) 220.36\nC) 211.01\nD) 235.95", + "options": [ + "A) 226.60", + "B) 220.36", + "C) 211.01", + "D) 235.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "226.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 991K\nB) 610K\nC) 1,182K\nD) 229K", + "options": [ + "A) 991K", + "B) 610K", + "C) 1,182K", + "D) 229K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "610K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.6476\nB) 1.5574\nC) 1.4221\nD) 1.3319", + "options": [ + "A) 1.6476", + "B) 1.5574", + "C) 1.4221", + "D) 1.3319" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.4221", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 20.16%\nB) 12.50%\nC) 4.85%\nD) 8.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.16%", + "B) 12.50%", + "C) 4.85%", + "D) 8.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 2.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.99%", + "B) 1.06%", + "C) 2.61%", + "D) 2.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.45%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 1.68%\nD) 0.24%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.45%", + "B) 4.57%", + "C) 1.68%", + "D) 0.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.46\nB) 86.86\nC) 91.57\nD) 88.74", + "options": [ + "A) 93.46", + "B) 86.86", + "C) 91.57", + "D) 88.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "91.57", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.27%\nB) 66.13%\nC) 68.69%\nD) 64.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.27%", + "B) 66.13%", + "C) 68.69%", + "D) 64.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "64.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 1.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.85%", + "B) 2.70%", + "C) 2.41%", + "D) 1.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.50\nB) 106.70\nC) 110.97\nD) 108.83", + "options": [ + "A) 103.50", + "B) 106.70", + "C) 110.97", + "D) 108.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "106.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.65\nB) 108.15\nC) 105.00\nD) 101.85", + "options": [ + "A) 97.65", + "B) 108.15", + "C) 105.00", + "D) 101.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "105.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 89.56\nB) 85.11\nC) 91.79\nD) 87.33", + "options": [ + "A) 89.56", + "B) 85.11", + "C) 91.79", + "D) 87.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "87.33", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 650K\nB) 838K\nC) 1,025K\nD) 462K", + "options": [ + "A) 650K", + "B) 838K", + "C) 1,025K", + "D) 462K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "650K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.95\nB) 94.08\nC) 99.81\nD) 91.21", + "options": [ + "A) 96.95", + "B) 94.08", + "C) 99.81", + "D) 91.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "94.08", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,095.97\nB) 3,166.95\nC) 2,631.46\nD) 2,452.96", + "options": [ + "A) 2,095.97", + "B) 3,166.95", + "C) 2,631.46", + "D) 2,452.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,631.46", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,005B\nB) $12,484B\nC) $12,237B\nD) $11,744B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,005B", + "B) $12,484B", + "C) $12,237B", + "D) $11,744B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$11,744B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.90pp\nC) -1.30pp\nD) -0.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.70pp", + "B) -0.90pp", + "C) -1.30pp", + "D) -0.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,488.81\nB) 2,357.69\nC) 1,964.34\nD) 2,751.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,488.81", + "B) 2,357.69", + "C) 1,964.34", + "D) 2,751.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,357.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,488.81\nB) 2,357.69\nC) 1,964.34\nD) 2,751.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,488.81", + "B) 2,357.69", + "C) 1,964.34", + "D) 2,751.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,357.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1,948.49\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,079.61", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1,948.49", + "B) 2,472.96", + "C) 2,341.84", + "D) 2,079.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1,948.49\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,079.61", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1,948.49", + "B) 2,472.96", + "C) 2,341.84", + "D) 2,079.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,735.19\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,079.61\nD) 2,341.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,735.19", + "B) 2,472.96", + "C) 2,079.61", + "D) 2,341.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,735.19\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,079.61\nD) 2,341.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,735.19", + "B) 2,472.96", + "C) 2,079.61", + "D) 2,341.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,335.83\nB) 2,073.60\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 1,942.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,335.83", + "B) 2,073.60", + "C) 2,729.18", + "D) 1,942.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,335.83\nB) 2,073.60\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 1,942.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,335.83", + "B) 2,073.60", + "C) 2,729.18", + "D) 1,942.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,073.60\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 2,598.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,073.60", + "B) 2,335.83", + "C) 2,729.18", + "D) 2,598.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,073.60\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 2,598.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,073.60", + "B) 2,335.83", + "C) 2,729.18", + "D) 2,598.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,598.06\nB) 2,466.95\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,942.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,598.06", + "B) 2,466.95", + "C) 2,335.83", + "D) 1,942.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,598.06\nB) 2,466.95\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,942.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,598.06", + "B) 2,466.95", + "C) 2,335.83", + "D) 1,942.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.79%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 2.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.79%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 2.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.64%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2.07%", + "B) 2.45%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 2.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.07%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.64%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2.07%", + "B) 2.45%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 2.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.07%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.59%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.64%", + "B) 2.02%", + "C) 2.40%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.02%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.59%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.64%", + "B) 2.02%", + "C) 2.40%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.02%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.15%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.34%", + "B) 1.91%", + "C) 1.72%", + "D) 1.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.15%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.34%", + "B) 1.91%", + "C) 1.72%", + "D) 1.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.15%", + "B) 1.34%", + "C) 2.29%", + "D) 1.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.15%", + "B) 1.34%", + "C) 2.29%", + "D) 1.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 2.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.72%", + "B) 1.53%", + "C) 2.10%", + "D) 2.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 2.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.72%", + "B) 1.53%", + "C) 2.10%", + "D) 2.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 32.73\nB) 35.06\nC) 37.39\nD) 28.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 32.73", + "B) 35.06", + "C) 37.39", + "D) 28.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "35.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 32.73\nB) 35.06\nC) 37.39\nD) 28.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 32.73", + "B) 35.06", + "C) 37.39", + "D) 28.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "35.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 33.91\nB) 29.25\nC) 31.58\nD) 26.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 33.91", + "B) 29.25", + "C) 31.58", + "D) 26.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "31.58", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 33.91\nB) 29.25\nC) 31.58\nD) 26.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 33.91", + "B) 29.25", + "C) 31.58", + "D) 26.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "31.58", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 29.25\nB) 24.58\nC) 38.58\nD) 31.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 29.25", + "B) 24.58", + "C) 38.58", + "D) 31.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "31.58", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 29.25\nB) 24.58\nC) 38.58\nD) 31.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 29.25", + "B) 24.58", + "C) 38.58", + "D) 31.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "31.58", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 30.98\nB) 28.65\nC) 23.98\nD) 35.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 30.98", + "B) 28.65", + "C) 23.98", + "D) 35.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "30.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 30.98\nB) 28.65\nC) 23.98\nD) 35.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 30.98", + "B) 28.65", + "C) 23.98", + "D) 35.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "30.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 22.20\nB) 24.53\nC) 29.19\nD) 31.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22.20", + "B) 24.53", + "C) 29.19", + "D) 31.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.53", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 22.20\nB) 24.53\nC) 29.19\nD) 31.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22.20", + "B) 24.53", + "C) 29.19", + "D) 31.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.53", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 11.28\nB) 13.62\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 11.28", + "B) 13.62", + "C) 18.28", + "D) 20.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.28", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 11.28\nB) 13.62\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 11.28", + "B) 13.62", + "C) 18.28", + "D) 20.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.28", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.2337\nC) 1.3080\nD) 1.4193", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4935", + "B) 1.2337", + "C) 1.3080", + "D) 1.4193" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.4193", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.2337\nC) 1.3080\nD) 1.4193", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4935", + "B) 1.2337", + "C) 1.3080", + "D) 1.4193" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.4193", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4193\nB) 1.5306\nC) 1.2337\nD) 1.3080", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4193", + "B) 1.5306", + "C) 1.2337", + "D) 1.3080" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.4193", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4193\nB) 1.5306\nC) 1.2337\nD) 1.3080", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4193", + "B) 1.5306", + "C) 1.2337", + "D) 1.3080" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.4193", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.4193\nC) 1.3451\nD) 1.5678", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4935", + "B) 1.4193", + "C) 1.3451", + "D) 1.5678" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.4193", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.4193\nC) 1.3451\nD) 1.5678", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4935", + "B) 1.4193", + "C) 1.3451", + "D) 1.5678" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.4193", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2168\nB) 1.4394\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.5137", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2168", + "B) 1.4394", + "C) 1.3281", + "D) 1.5137" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.3281", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2168\nB) 1.4394\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.5137", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2168", + "B) 1.4394", + "C) 1.3281", + "D) 1.5137" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.3281", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4023\nB) 1.2539\nC) 1.1425\nD) 1.3281", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4023", + "B) 1.2539", + "C) 1.1425", + "D) 1.3281" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3281", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4023\nB) 1.2539\nC) 1.1425\nD) 1.3281", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4023", + "B) 1.2539", + "C) 1.1425", + "D) 1.3281" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3281", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2682\nB) 1.1940\nC) 1.3424\nD) 1.0826", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2682", + "B) 1.1940", + "C) 1.3424", + "D) 1.0826" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2682", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2682\nB) 1.1940\nC) 1.3424\nD) 1.0826", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2682", + "B) 1.1940", + "C) 1.3424", + "D) 1.0826" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2682", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 78.7400\nC) 83.9713\nD) 73.5087", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 70.8931", + "B) 78.7400", + "C) 83.9713", + "D) 73.5087" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 78.7400\nC) 83.9713\nD) 73.5087", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 70.8931", + "B) 78.7400", + "C) 83.9713", + "D) 73.5087" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 76.1244\nB) 86.5869\nC) 78.7400\nD) 83.9713", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 76.1244", + "B) 86.5869", + "C) 78.7400", + "D) 83.9713" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 76.1244\nB) 86.5869\nC) 78.7400\nD) 83.9713", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 76.1244", + "B) 86.5869", + "C) 78.7400", + "D) 83.9713" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 83.9713\nB) 76.1244\nC) 70.8931\nD) 78.7400", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 83.9713", + "B) 76.1244", + "C) 70.8931", + "D) 78.7400" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 83.9713\nB) 76.1244\nC) 70.8931\nD) 78.7400", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 83.9713", + "B) 76.1244", + "C) 70.8931", + "D) 78.7400" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 78.7400\nB) 76.1244\nC) 86.5869\nD) 83.9713", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 78.7400", + "B) 76.1244", + "C) 86.5869", + "D) 83.9713" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 78.7400\nB) 76.1244\nC) 86.5869\nD) 83.9713", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 78.7400", + "B) 76.1244", + "C) 86.5869", + "D) 83.9713" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.5087\nB) 78.7400\nC) 86.5869\nD) 70.8931", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 73.5087", + "B) 78.7400", + "C) 86.5869", + "D) 70.8931" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.5087\nB) 78.7400\nC) 86.5869\nD) 70.8931", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 73.5087", + "B) 78.7400", + "C) 86.5869", + "D) 70.8931" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 79.0256\nB) 73.7944\nC) 76.4100\nD) 84.2569", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 79.0256", + "B) 73.7944", + "C) 76.4100", + "D) 84.2569" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "76.4100", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 79.0256\nB) 73.7944\nC) 76.4100\nD) 84.2569", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 79.0256", + "B) 73.7944", + "C) 76.4100", + "D) 84.2569" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "76.4100", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 24.41\nB) 27.69\nC) 17.85\nD) 21.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 24.41", + "B) 27.69", + "C) 17.85", + "D) 21.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "21.13", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 24.41\nB) 27.69\nC) 17.85\nD) 21.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 24.41", + "B) 27.69", + "C) 17.85", + "D) 21.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "21.13", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.91\nB) 14.63\nC) 27.75\nD) 24.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 17.91", + "B) 14.63", + "C) 27.75", + "D) 24.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.91\nB) 14.63\nC) 27.75\nD) 24.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 17.91", + "B) 14.63", + "C) 27.75", + "D) 24.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 26.74\nB) 16.90\nC) 20.18\nD) 13.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 26.74", + "B) 16.90", + "C) 20.18", + "D) 13.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 26.74\nB) 16.90\nC) 20.18\nD) 13.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 26.74", + "B) 16.90", + "C) 20.18", + "D) 13.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 11.34\nC) 14.62\nD) 24.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 17.90", + "B) 11.34", + "C) 14.62", + "D) 24.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 11.34\nC) 14.62\nD) 24.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 17.90", + "B) 11.34", + "C) 14.62", + "D) 24.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 24.46\nC) 21.18\nD) 14.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 17.90", + "B) 24.46", + "C) 21.18", + "D) 14.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 24.46\nC) 21.18\nD) 14.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 17.90", + "B) 24.46", + "C) 21.18", + "D) 14.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 11.34\nC) 17.90\nD) 24.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 14.62", + "B) 11.34", + "C) 17.90", + "D) 24.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 11.34\nC) 17.90\nD) 24.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 14.62", + "B) 11.34", + "C) 17.90", + "D) 24.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,297.82\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,776.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,297.82", + "B) 2,616.82", + "C) 2,457.32", + "D) 2,776.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,297.82\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,776.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,297.82", + "B) 2,616.82", + "C) 2,457.32", + "D) 2,776.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,776.32\nB) 2,138.31\nC) 2,616.82\nD) 2,457.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,776.32", + "B) 2,138.31", + "C) 2,616.82", + "D) 2,457.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,776.32\nB) 2,138.31\nC) 2,616.82\nD) 2,457.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,776.32", + "B) 2,138.31", + "C) 2,616.82", + "D) 2,457.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,138.31\nB) 2,457.32\nC) 3,095.33\nD) 2,616.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,138.31", + "B) 2,457.32", + "C) 3,095.33", + "D) 2,616.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,138.31\nB) 2,457.32\nC) 3,095.33\nD) 2,616.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,138.31", + "B) 2,457.32", + "C) 3,095.33", + "D) 2,616.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,616.82\nB) 3,095.33\nC) 2,297.82\nD) 2,935.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,616.82", + "B) 3,095.33", + "C) 2,297.82", + "D) 2,935.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,616.82\nB) 3,095.33\nC) 2,297.82\nD) 2,935.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,616.82", + "B) 3,095.33", + "C) 2,297.82", + "D) 2,935.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,095.33\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,297.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 3,095.33", + "B) 2,616.82", + "C) 2,457.32", + "D) 2,297.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,095.33\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,297.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 3,095.33", + "B) 2,616.82", + "C) 2,457.32", + "D) 2,297.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 1,863.33\nB) 2,022.84\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,660.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 1,863.33", + "B) 2,022.84", + "C) 2,341.84", + "D) 2,660.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 1,863.33\nB) 2,022.84\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,660.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 1,863.33", + "B) 2,022.84", + "C) 2,341.84", + "D) 2,660.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $86.28/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $97.23/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $80.81/bbl", + "B) $86.28/bbl", + "C) $102.70/bbl", + "D) $97.23/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $86.28/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $97.23/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $80.81/bbl", + "B) $86.28/bbl", + "C) $102.70/bbl", + "D) $97.23/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $97.23/bbl\nB) $108.18/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $113.65/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $97.23/bbl", + "B) $108.18/bbl", + "C) $102.70/bbl", + "D) $113.65/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $97.23/bbl\nB) $108.18/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $113.65/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $97.23/bbl", + "B) $108.18/bbl", + "C) $102.70/bbl", + "D) $113.65/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $97.23/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $91.76/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $80.81/bbl", + "B) $97.23/bbl", + "C) $102.70/bbl", + "D) $91.76/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $97.23/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $91.76/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $80.81/bbl", + "B) $97.23/bbl", + "C) $102.70/bbl", + "D) $91.76/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $113.29/bbl\nB) $91.40/bbl\nC) $96.87/bbl\nD) $85.92/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $113.29/bbl", + "B) $91.40/bbl", + "C) $96.87/bbl", + "D) $85.92/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$96.87/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $113.29/bbl\nB) $91.40/bbl\nC) $96.87/bbl\nD) $85.92/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $113.29/bbl", + "B) $91.40/bbl", + "C) $96.87/bbl", + "D) $85.92/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$96.87/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $101.87/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $79.98/bbl\nD) $96.40/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $101.87/bbl", + "B) $107.35/bbl", + "C) $79.98/bbl", + "D) $96.40/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$96.40/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $101.87/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $79.98/bbl\nD) $96.40/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $101.87/bbl", + "B) $107.35/bbl", + "C) $79.98/bbl", + "D) $96.40/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$96.40/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $79.32/bbl\nB) $73.85/bbl\nC) $68.37/bbl\nD) $95.74/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $79.32/bbl", + "B) $73.85/bbl", + "C) $68.37/bbl", + "D) $95.74/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$79.32/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $79.32/bbl\nB) $73.85/bbl\nC) $68.37/bbl\nD) $95.74/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $79.32/bbl", + "B) $73.85/bbl", + "C) $68.37/bbl", + "D) $95.74/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$79.32/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,796.69\nB) 2,532.41\nC) 2,664.55\nD) 2,268.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,796.69", + "B) 2,532.41", + "C) 2,664.55", + "D) 2,268.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,532.41", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,796.69\nB) 2,532.41\nC) 2,664.55\nD) 2,268.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,796.69", + "B) 2,532.41", + "C) 2,664.55", + "D) 2,268.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,532.41", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,225.55\nB) 2,621.97\nC) 2,357.69\nD) 2,093.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,225.55", + "B) 2,621.97", + "C) 2,357.69", + "D) 2,093.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,357.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,225.55\nB) 2,621.97\nC) 2,357.69\nD) 2,093.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,225.55", + "B) 2,621.97", + "C) 2,357.69", + "D) 2,093.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,357.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,077.56\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,341.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,077.56", + "B) 2,209.70", + "C) 2,473.98", + "D) 2,341.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,077.56\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,341.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,077.56", + "B) 2,209.70", + "C) 2,473.98", + "D) 2,341.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,341.84\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,738.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,341.84", + "B) 2,209.70", + "C) 2,473.98", + "D) 2,738.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,341.84\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,738.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,341.84", + "B) 2,209.70", + "C) 2,473.98", + "D) 2,738.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,467.97\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,600.11\nD) 1,939.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,467.97", + "B) 2,335.83", + "C) 2,600.11", + "D) 1,939.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,467.97\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,600.11\nD) 1,939.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,467.97", + "B) 2,335.83", + "C) 2,600.11", + "D) 1,939.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,732.25\nB) 2,467.97\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,939.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,732.25", + "B) 2,467.97", + "C) 2,335.83", + "D) 1,939.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,732.25\nB) 2,467.97\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,939.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,732.25", + "B) 2,467.97", + "C) 2,335.83", + "D) 1,939.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.21%", + "B) 2.96%", + "C) 3.14%", + "D) 2.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.21%", + "B) 2.96%", + "C) 3.14%", + "D) 2.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 3.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.77%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 2.96%", + "D) 3.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 3.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.77%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 2.96%", + "D) 3.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 2.96%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.21%", + "B) 2.77%", + "C) 3.33%", + "D) 2.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 2.96%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.21%", + "B) 2.77%", + "C) 3.33%", + "D) 2.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.40%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.96%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 2.77%", + "D) 2.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.40%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.96%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 2.77%", + "D) 2.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 3.14%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 2.58%", + "D) 2.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 3.14%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 2.58%", + "D) 2.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.40%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.77%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 3.14%", + "D) 2.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.40%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.77%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 3.14%", + "D) 2.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 23.38\nC) 28.03\nD) 30.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 25.71", + "B) 23.38", + "C) 28.03", + "D) 30.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 23.38\nC) 28.03\nD) 30.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 25.71", + "B) 23.38", + "C) 28.03", + "D) 30.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 18.73\nB) 16.40\nC) 23.38\nD) 25.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 18.73", + "B) 16.40", + "C) 23.38", + "D) 25.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 18.73\nB) 16.40\nC) 23.38\nD) 25.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 18.73", + "B) 16.40", + "C) 23.38", + "D) 25.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 30.36\nC) 28.03\nD) 23.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 25.71", + "B) 30.36", + "C) 28.03", + "D) 23.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 30.36\nC) 28.03\nD) 23.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 25.71", + "B) 30.36", + "C) 28.03", + "D) 23.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 23.38\nB) 21.05\nC) 18.73\nD) 25.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 23.38", + "B) 21.05", + "C) 18.73", + "D) 25.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 23.38\nB) 21.05\nC) 18.73\nD) 25.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 23.38", + "B) 21.05", + "C) 18.73", + "D) 25.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 28.03\nB) 23.38\nC) 16.40\nD) 25.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 28.03", + "B) 23.38", + "C) 16.40", + "D) 25.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 28.03\nB) 23.38\nC) 16.40\nD) 25.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 28.03", + "B) 23.38", + "C) 16.40", + "D) 25.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 13.63\nB) 25.26\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 13.63", + "B) 25.26", + "C) 18.28", + "D) 20.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.28", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 13.63\nB) 25.26\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 13.63", + "B) 25.26", + "C) 18.28", + "D) 20.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.28", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.61%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.27%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.38%", + "B) 0.61%", + "C) 0.49%", + "D) 0.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.27%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.61%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.27%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.38%", + "B) 0.61%", + "C) 0.49%", + "D) 0.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.27%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.53%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.19%", + "B) 0.08%", + "C) 0.41%", + "D) 0.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.53%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.19%", + "B) 0.08%", + "C) 0.41%", + "D) 0.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 0.41%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.30%", + "B) 0.19%", + "C) 0.08%", + "D) 0.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 0.41%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.30%", + "B) 0.19%", + "C) 0.08%", + "D) 0.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 0.05%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.50%", + "C) 0.16%", + "D) 0.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 0.05%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.50%", + "C) 0.16%", + "D) 0.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 0.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.05%", + "B) 0.38%", + "C) 0.50%", + "D) 0.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 0.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.05%", + "B) 0.38%", + "C) 0.50%", + "D) 0.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.27%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.16%", + "B) 0.05%", + "C) 0.38%", + "D) 0.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.27%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.16%", + "B) 0.05%", + "C) 0.38%", + "D) 0.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2011.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2011.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..8ce14900127b8d4ee4e42d93789a6f370a5e22c6 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2011.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:4fe2c5a4f333b4d1e4a5a4da2779ef95581cde5ac14018254cf07a6ab26afae1 +size 34394 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2012.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2012.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..10dce89c7f813b8be444118f10d94c966c691fcb --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2012.json @@ -0,0 +1,3491 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,663B\nB) $12,386B\nC) $11,834B\nD) $13,215B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,663B", + "B) $12,386B", + "C) $11,834B", + "D) $13,215B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$12,386B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +8.58pp\nB) -2.75pp\nC) +0.09pp\nD) -5.58pp", + "options": [ + "A) +8.58pp", + "B) -2.75pp", + "C) +0.09pp", + "D) -5.58pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.09pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.75%\nB) 1.42%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 0.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.75%", + "B) 1.42%", + "C) 2.08%", + "D) 0.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.68%\nB) 0.17%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 1.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.68%", + "B) 0.17%", + "C) 1.69%", + "D) 1.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 0.14%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.14%", + "B) 0.14%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 9.24%\nB) 6.13%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 10.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.24%", + "B) 6.13%", + "C) 8.20%", + "D) 10.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $11,353B\nB) $11,893B\nC) $10,455B\nD) $10,994B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,353B", + "B) $11,893B", + "C) $10,455B", + "D) $10,994B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$10,994B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 0.84%\nC) 4.86%\nD) 2.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.52%", + "B) 0.84%", + "C) 4.86%", + "D) 2.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $8,776B\nB) $9,854B\nC) $10,572B\nD) $10,931B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,776B", + "B) $9,854B", + "C) $10,572B", + "D) $10,931B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$9,854B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,120K\nB) 963K\nC) 806K\nD) 649K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,120K", + "B) 963K", + "C) 806K", + "D) 649K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "806K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.75\nB) 74.85\nC) 85.20\nD) 78.30", + "options": [ + "A) 81.75", + "B) 74.85", + "C) 85.20", + "D) 78.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "78.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.60%\nB) 9.26%\nC) 10.08%\nD) 5.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.60%", + "B) 9.26%", + "C) 10.08%", + "D) 5.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.28%\nB) 2.99%\nC) -0.90%\nD) 1.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.28%", + "B) 2.99%", + "C) -0.90%", + "D) 1.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.95pp\nB) -0.25pp\nC) +0.30pp\nD) -1.35pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.95pp", + "B) -0.25pp", + "C) +0.30pp", + "D) -1.35pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.79%", + "B) 1.20%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 58.70%\nB) 56.11%\nC) 61.29%\nD) 54.39%", + "options": [ + "A) 58.70%", + "B) 56.11%", + "C) 61.29%", + "D) 54.39%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "58.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 7.06%\nC) 9.68%\nD) 5.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.13%", + "B) 7.06%", + "C) 9.68%", + "D) 5.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $79,204M\nB) $59,778M\nC) $69,491M\nD) $66,253M", + "options": [ + "A) $79,204M", + "B) $59,778M", + "C) $69,491M", + "D) $66,253M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$69,491M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 222.49\nB) 192.34\nC) 198.37\nD) 204.40", + "options": [ + "A) 222.49", + "B) 192.34", + "C) 198.37", + "D) 204.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "204.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 1.93%\nD) 1.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.69%", + "B) 2.18%", + "C) 1.93%", + "D) 1.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $13,072B\nB) $12,319B\nC) $11,567B\nD) $11,818B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,072B", + "B) $12,319B", + "C) $11,567B", + "D) $11,818B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$12,319B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.42pp\nB) -0.39pp\nC) -1.20pp\nD) -3.63pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.42pp", + "B) -0.39pp", + "C) -1.20pp", + "D) -3.63pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 1.48%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.08%", + "B) 1.48%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 0.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 13.65%\nC) 32.51%\nD) 23.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.22%", + "B) 13.65%", + "C) 32.51%", + "D) 23.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.30\nB) 93.12\nC) 88.42\nD) 95.00", + "options": [ + "A) 90.30", + "B) 93.12", + "C) 88.42", + "D) 95.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "93.12", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 216.05\nB) 222.04\nC) 231.01\nD) 237.00", + "options": [ + "A) 216.05", + "B) 222.04", + "C) 231.01", + "D) 237.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "231.01", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 235.65\nB) 240.64\nC) 225.67\nD) 230.66", + "options": [ + "A) 235.65", + "B) 240.64", + "C) 225.67", + "D) 230.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "230.66", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.48%\nB) 74.43%\nC) 70.31%\nD) 72.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 76.48%", + "B) 74.43%", + "C) 70.31%", + "D) 72.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "76.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -18.96%\nB) 15.83%\nC) -7.36%\nD) 39.03%", + "options": [ + "A) -18.96%", + "B) 15.83%", + "C) -7.36%", + "D) 39.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +31.37pp\nB) +6.23pp\nC) +18.80pp\nD) +37.66pp", + "options": [ + "A) +31.37pp", + "B) +6.23pp", + "C) +18.80pp", + "D) +37.66pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+18.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,458B\nB) $10,995B\nC) $9,073B\nD) $10,226B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,458B", + "B) $10,995B", + "C) $9,073B", + "D) $10,226B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$10,226B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.29%\nB) 2.98%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 1.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.29%", + "B) 2.98%", + "C) 2.63%", + "D) 1.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 128,803K\nB) 133,748K\nC) 141,990K\nD) 137,045K", + "options": [ + "A) 128,803K", + "B) 133,748K", + "C) 141,990K", + "D) 137,045K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "133,748K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 192.21\nB) 210.20\nC) 204.20\nD) 222.19", + "options": [ + "A) 192.21", + "B) 210.20", + "C) 204.20", + "D) 222.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "204.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) $94.39/bbl\nB) $104.74/bbl\nC) $115.10/bbl\nD) $84.03/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $94.39/bbl", + "B) $104.74/bbl", + "C) $115.10/bbl", + "D) $84.03/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$84.03/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) $97.13/bbl\nB) $133.17/bbl\nC) $73.10/bbl\nD) $121.16/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $97.13/bbl", + "B) $133.17/bbl", + "C) $73.10/bbl", + "D) $121.16/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$97.13/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) +1.72pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) -0.98pp\nD) +1.18pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.72pp", + "B) +0.10pp", + "C) -0.98pp", + "D) +1.18pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $376,824M\nB) $408,110M\nC) $397,681M\nD) $418,538M", + "options": [ + "A) $376,824M", + "B) $408,110M", + "C) $397,681M", + "D) $418,538M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$397,681M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 127,208K\nB) 131,593K\nC) 137,441K\nD) 134,517K", + "options": [ + "A) 127,208K", + "B) 131,593K", + "C) 137,441K", + "D) 134,517K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "134,517K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 1.68%\nC) 2.53%\nD) 1.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.25%", + "B) 1.68%", + "C) 2.53%", + "D) 1.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 85.27\nB) 76.20\nC) 67.13\nD) 71.66", + "options": [ + "A) 85.27", + "B) 76.20", + "C) 67.13", + "D) 71.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "76.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 84.8676\nB) 91.0852\nC) 78.6500\nD) 72.4324", + "options": [ + "A) 84.8676", + "B) 91.0852", + "C) 78.6500", + "D) 72.4324" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "78.6500", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.68pp\nB) +9.38pp\nC) +6.57pp\nD) +0.94pp", + "options": [ + "A) -4.68pp", + "B) +9.38pp", + "C) +6.57pp", + "D) +0.94pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.94pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,323,000\nB) 2,775,151\nC) 4,418,698\nD) 2,227,302", + "options": [ + "A) 3,323,000", + "B) 2,775,151", + "C) 4,418,698", + "D) 2,227,302" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,323,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 10.40%\nB) -11.50%\nC) -55.30%\nD) -33.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.40%", + "B) -11.50%", + "C) -55.30%", + "D) -33.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-11.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.96%\nB) 7.80%\nC) 4.64%\nD) 1.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.96%", + "B) 7.80%", + "C) 4.64%", + "D) 1.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.42%\nB) 55.55%\nC) 60.47%\nD) 58.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.42%", + "B) 55.55%", + "C) 60.47%", + "D) 58.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "58.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) -0.77pp\nD) -0.27pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.60pp", + "B) -1.10pp", + "C) -0.77pp", + "D) -0.27pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.71\nB) 21.11\nC) 31.90\nD) 37.30", + "options": [ + "A) 15.71", + "B) 21.11", + "C) 31.90", + "D) 37.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "21.11", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 515,294\nB) 296,471\nC) 384,000\nD) 427,765", + "options": [ + "A) 515,294", + "B) 296,471", + "C) 384,000", + "D) 427,765" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "384,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.86\nB) 104.82\nC) 94.90\nD) 97.38", + "options": [ + "A) 99.86", + "B) 104.82", + "C) 94.90", + "D) 97.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "97.38", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $-49,749M\nB) $-33,225M\nC) $-55,257M\nD) $-44,241M", + "options": [ + "A) $-49,749M", + "B) $-33,225M", + "C) $-55,257M", + "D) $-44,241M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-49,749M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 81.34%\nB) 76.82%\nC) 74.56%\nD) 72.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 81.34%", + "B) 76.82%", + "C) 74.56%", + "D) 72.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "76.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.78%\nB) 61.69%\nC) 63.60%\nD) 65.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 66.78%", + "B) 61.69%", + "C) 63.60%", + "D) 65.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "63.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.35pp\nB) +0.96pp\nC) +1.66pp\nD) +1.31pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.35pp", + "B) +0.96pp", + "C) +1.66pp", + "D) +1.31pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+1.31pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.40%\nB) 2.18%\nC) -6.76%\nD) -3.19%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.40%", + "B) 2.18%", + "C) -6.76%", + "D) -3.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -3.44pp\nB) +8.70pp\nC) +20.84pp\nD) +2.63pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.44pp", + "B) +8.70pp", + "C) +20.84pp", + "D) +2.63pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+8.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,715B\nB) $10,699B\nC) $11,105B\nD) $10,090B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,715B", + "B) $10,699B", + "C) $11,105B", + "D) $10,090B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$11,105B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 15.58%\nB) 60.92%\nC) 49.58%\nD) 38.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.58%", + "B) 60.92%", + "C) 49.58%", + "D) 38.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "38.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 9.84%\nB) 12.28%\nC) 6.17%\nD) 7.39%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.84%", + "B) 12.28%", + "C) 6.17%", + "D) 7.39%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $18.91/hr\nB) $19.64/hr\nC) $18.18/hr\nD) $20.37/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $18.91/hr", + "B) $19.64/hr", + "C) $18.18/hr", + "D) $20.37/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$19.64/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,936M\nB) $-43,865M\nC) $-38,794M\nD) $-23,580M", + "options": [ + "A) $-48,936M", + "B) $-43,865M", + "C) $-38,794M", + "D) $-23,580M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-38,794M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 2.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.19%", + "B) 2.56%", + "C) 2.28%", + "D) 2.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.20%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 6.41%\nD) 9.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.20%", + "B) 4.83%", + "C) 6.41%", + "D) 9.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 97.80\nB) 93.52\nC) 91.38\nD) 89.24", + "options": [ + "A) 97.80", + "B) 93.52", + "C) 91.38", + "D) 89.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "93.52", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.97%\nB) 3.09%\nC) 1.68%\nD) 3.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.97%", + "B) 3.09%", + "C) 1.68%", + "D) 3.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 109.73\nB) 101.57\nC) 105.07\nD) 107.40", + "options": [ + "A) 109.73", + "B) 101.57", + "C) 105.07", + "D) 107.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "107.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.58pp\nC) -0.93pp\nD) -0.75pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.40pp", + "B) -0.58pp", + "C) -0.93pp", + "D) -0.75pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 4.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.13%", + "B) 3.71%", + "C) 2.46%", + "D) 4.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $178,115M\nB) $265,343M\nC) $221,729M\nD) $192,653M", + "options": [ + "A) $178,115M", + "B) $265,343M", + "C) $221,729M", + "D) $192,653M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$221,729M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.58pp\nB) +1.53pp\nC) -3.13pp\nD) -0.80pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.58pp", + "B) +1.53pp", + "C) -3.13pp", + "D) -0.80pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2633\nB) 1.1342\nC) 1.0481\nD) 1.3924", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2633", + "B) 1.1342", + "C) 1.0481", + "D) 1.3924" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2633", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 102.18\nB) 96.74\nC) 99.46\nD) 88.58", + "options": [ + "A) 102.18", + "B) 96.74", + "C) 99.46", + "D) 88.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "96.74", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.28%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 1.54%\nD) 2.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.28%", + "B) 0.70%", + "C) 1.54%", + "D) 2.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -3.15%\nB) 9.29%\nC) 12.40%\nD) 6.18%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.15%", + "B) 9.29%", + "C) 12.40%", + "D) 6.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.80%\nB) 65.71%\nC) 67.63%\nD) 61.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.80%", + "B) 65.71%", + "C) 67.63%", + "D) 61.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "63.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.38%\nB) 1.88%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 0.79%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.38%", + "B) 1.88%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) 0.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 132.41\nB) 162.26\nC) 144.35\nD) 156.29", + "options": [ + "A) 132.41", + "B) 162.26", + "C) 144.35", + "D) 156.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "144.35", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $411,000M\nB) $385,047M\nC) $376,396M\nD) $393,698M", + "options": [ + "A) $411,000M", + "B) $385,047M", + "C) $376,396M", + "D) $393,698M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$393,698M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $19.79/hr\nB) $19.14/hr\nC) $21.10/hr\nD) $20.44/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $19.79/hr", + "B) $19.14/hr", + "C) $21.10/hr", + "D) $20.44/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$19.79/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $2,595M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $2,595M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$2,595M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.62\nB) 98.17\nC) 94.89\nD) 100.35", + "options": [ + "A) 91.62", + "B) 98.17", + "C) 94.89", + "D) 100.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "94.89", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -7.35%\nB) 9.61%\nC) -0.56%\nD) 2.83%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.35%", + "B) 9.61%", + "C) -0.56%", + "D) 2.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $63,822M\nB) $70,549M\nC) $73,912M\nD) $60,459M", + "options": [ + "A) $63,822M", + "B) $70,549M", + "C) $73,912M", + "D) $60,459M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$63,822M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) -2.68%\nC) 11.40%\nD) -16.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.36%", + "B) -2.68%", + "C) 11.40%", + "D) -16.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-2.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 0.13%\nD) 2.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.09%", + "B) 3.01%", + "C) 0.13%", + "D) 2.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) $9,105B\nB) $8,837B\nC) $9,775B\nD) $9,373B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,105B", + "B) $8,837B", + "C) $9,775B", + "D) $9,373B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$9,373B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,872.80\nB) 2,465.41\nC) 3,076.49\nD) 2,669.11", + "options": [ + "A) 2,872.80", + "B) 2,465.41", + "C) 3,076.49", + "D) 2,669.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,872.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.67%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 12.37%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.67%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 4.35%", + "D) 12.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.61%\nB) 2.76%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 4.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.61%", + "B) 2.76%", + "C) 3.84%", + "D) 4.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) -61.37%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 44.49%\nD) -19.02%", + "options": [ + "A) -61.37%", + "B) 2.15%", + "C) 44.49%", + "D) -19.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-19.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 228.48\nB) 233.54\nC) 215.83\nD) 223.42", + "options": [ + "A) 228.48", + "B) 233.54", + "C) 215.83", + "D) 223.42" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "228.48", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.96%\nB) 30.31%\nC) 43.66%\nD) 57.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.96%", + "B) 30.31%", + "C) 43.66%", + "D) 57.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 2.70%\nD) 2.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.62%", + "B) 2.39%", + "C) 2.70%", + "D) 2.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 34.31%\nB) -3.54%\nC) 24.85%\nD) 5.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 34.31%", + "B) -3.54%", + "C) 24.85%", + "D) 5.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 10.37%\nC) 6.44%\nD) -5.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.51%", + "B) 10.37%", + "C) 6.44%", + "D) -5.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 11.16%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 9.07%\nD) -1.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.16%", + "B) 4.91%", + "C) 9.07%", + "D) -1.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 96.44\nB) 88.90\nC) 94.28\nD) 91.05", + "options": [ + "A) 96.44", + "B) 88.90", + "C) 94.28", + "D) 91.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "94.28", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 2.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.89%", + "B) 1.59%", + "C) 0.18%", + "D) 2.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 135.85\nB) 128.31\nC) 120.76\nD) 113.21", + "options": [ + "A) 135.85", + "B) 128.31", + "C) 120.76", + "D) 113.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "135.85", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $258,729M\nB) $216,864M\nC) $188,954M\nD) $174,999M", + "options": [ + "A) $258,729M", + "B) $216,864M", + "C) $188,954M", + "D) $174,999M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$216,864M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) -2.56%\nC) 11.19%\nD) -9.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.31%", + "B) -2.56%", + "C) 11.19%", + "D) -9.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 38.95%\nB) 92.99%\nC) 79.48%\nD) 52.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 38.95%", + "B) 92.99%", + "C) 79.48%", + "D) 52.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "52.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 695K\nB) 1,157K\nC) 233K\nD) 1,003K", + "options": [ + "A) 695K", + "B) 1,157K", + "C) 233K", + "D) 1,003K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "695K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.13%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 9.14%\nD) -4.55%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.13%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 9.14%", + "D) -4.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.37%\nB) 8.66%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 6.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.37%", + "B) 8.66%", + "C) 7.80%", + "D) 6.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.8617\nB) 6.8681\nC) 6.7004\nD) 6.3649", + "options": [ + "A) 5.8617", + "B) 6.8681", + "C) 6.7004", + "D) 6.3649" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.3649", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 847K\nB) 550K\nC) 946K\nD) 1,045K", + "options": [ + "A) 847K", + "B) 550K", + "C) 946K", + "D) 1,045K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "847K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 2.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.58%", + "B) 1.76%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 2.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.87%\nB) -0.59%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 4.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.87%", + "B) -0.59%", + "C) 1.64%", + "D) 4.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 18.82%\nB) -0.74%\nC) 3.17%\nD) 7.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 18.82%", + "B) -0.74%", + "C) 3.17%", + "D) 7.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 7.07%\nD) 8.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.90%", + "B) 3.81%", + "C) 7.07%", + "D) 8.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) -2.79%\nB) 9.49%\nC) 46.33%\nD) 21.77%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.79%", + "B) 9.49%", + "C) 46.33%", + "D) 21.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 0.29%\nC) 1.41%\nD) -0.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.53%", + "B) 0.29%", + "C) 1.41%", + "D) -0.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 2.82%\nD) 2.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.53%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 2.82%", + "D) 2.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 228.81\nB) 234.86\nC) 243.94\nD) 219.73", + "options": [ + "A) 228.81", + "B) 234.86", + "C) 243.94", + "D) 219.73" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "228.81", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,655M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $2,655M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$2,655M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.31%\nB) 52.17%\nC) -1.62%\nD) -19.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.31%", + "B) 52.17%", + "C) -1.62%", + "D) -19.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.30%\nB) 4.40%\nC) 3.49%\nD) 2.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.30%", + "B) 4.40%", + "C) 3.49%", + "D) 2.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 930K\nB) 831K\nC) 632K\nD) 731K", + "options": [ + "A) 930K", + "B) 831K", + "C) 632K", + "D) 731K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "930K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 112.09\nB) 108.20\nC) 101.72\nD) 104.31", + "options": [ + "A) 112.09", + "B) 108.20", + "C) 101.72", + "D) 104.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "108.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.30\nB) 98.07\nC) 92.52\nD) 89.75", + "options": [ + "A) 95.30", + "B) 98.07", + "C) 92.52", + "D) 89.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "92.52", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.67%\nB) 6.76%\nC) -0.78%\nD) 2.99%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.67%", + "B) 6.76%", + "C) -0.78%", + "D) 2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 1.04%\nC) 4.68%\nD) 2.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.95%", + "B) 1.04%", + "C) 4.68%", + "D) 2.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -25.22%\nB) 10.85%\nC) -7.18%\nD) 46.92%", + "options": [ + "A) -25.22%", + "B) 10.85%", + "C) -7.18%", + "D) 46.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.0592\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.3083", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1526", + "B) 1.0592", + "C) 1.2149", + "D) 1.3083" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.0592\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.3083", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1526", + "B) 1.0592", + "C) 1.2149", + "D) 1.3083" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.0592\nD) 1.2149", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1526", + "B) 1.3083", + "C) 1.0592", + "D) 1.2149" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.0592\nD) 1.2149", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1526", + "B) 1.3083", + "C) 1.0592", + "D) 1.2149" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.2149\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.1526\nD) 1.2772", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2149", + "B) 1.3706", + "C) 1.1526", + "D) 1.2772" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.2149\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.1526\nD) 1.2772", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2149", + "B) 1.3706", + "C) 1.1526", + "D) 1.2772" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.2149\nC) 1.0904\nD) 1.3083", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1526", + "B) 1.2149", + "C) 1.0904", + "D) 1.3083" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.2149\nC) 1.0904\nD) 1.3083", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1526", + "B) 1.2149", + "C) 1.0904", + "D) 1.3083" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.0592\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.1215", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0592", + "B) 1.3083", + "C) 1.2149", + "D) 1.1215" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.0592\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.1215", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0592", + "B) 1.3083", + "C) 1.2149", + "D) 1.1215" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1215\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.2772\nD) 1.2149", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1215", + "B) 1.3706", + "C) 1.2772", + "D) 1.2149" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1215\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.2772\nD) 1.2149", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1215", + "B) 1.3706", + "C) 1.2772", + "D) 1.2149" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 9.26\nC) 28.66\nD) 25.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 18.96", + "B) 9.26", + "C) 28.66", + "D) 25.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 9.26\nC) 28.66\nD) 25.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 18.96", + "B) 9.26", + "C) 28.66", + "D) 25.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 12.49\nB) 18.96\nC) 9.26\nD) 22.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 12.49", + "B) 18.96", + "C) 9.26", + "D) 22.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 12.49\nB) 18.96\nC) 9.26\nD) 22.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 12.49", + "B) 18.96", + "C) 9.26", + "D) 22.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 25.43\nB) 9.26\nC) 18.96\nD) 22.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 25.43", + "B) 9.26", + "C) 18.96", + "D) 22.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 25.43\nB) 9.26\nC) 18.96\nD) 22.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 25.43", + "B) 9.26", + "C) 18.96", + "D) 22.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 9.26\nB) 12.49\nC) 25.43\nD) 18.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 9.26", + "B) 12.49", + "C) 25.43", + "D) 18.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 9.26\nB) 12.49\nC) 25.43\nD) 18.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 9.26", + "B) 12.49", + "C) 25.43", + "D) 18.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 15.73\nC) 28.66\nD) 12.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 18.96", + "B) 15.73", + "C) 28.66", + "D) 12.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 15.73\nC) 28.66\nD) 12.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 18.96", + "B) 15.73", + "C) 28.66", + "D) 12.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 13.02\nB) 22.72\nC) 16.25\nD) 25.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 13.02", + "B) 22.72", + "C) 16.25", + "D) 25.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.72", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 13.02\nB) 22.72\nC) 16.25\nD) 25.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 13.02", + "B) 22.72", + "C) 16.25", + "D) 25.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.72", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 2.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 0.88%", + "B) 2.45%", + "C) 1.51%", + "D) 2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 2.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 0.88%", + "B) 2.45%", + "C) 1.51%", + "D) 2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.20%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 1.82%", + "D) 1.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.20%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 1.82%", + "D) 1.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 0.88%\nD) 1.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.51%", + "B) 2.14%", + "C) 0.88%", + "D) 1.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 0.88%\nD) 1.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.51%", + "B) 2.14%", + "C) 0.88%", + "D) 1.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.51%\nC) 2.14%\nD) 1.82%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.20%", + "B) 1.51%", + "C) 2.14%", + "D) 1.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.51%\nC) 2.14%\nD) 1.82%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.20%", + "B) 1.51%", + "C) 2.14%", + "D) 1.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 1.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 0.57%", + "B) 0.88%", + "C) 1.51%", + "D) 1.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 1.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 0.57%", + "B) 0.88%", + "C) 1.51%", + "D) 1.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 1.82%\nC) 2.45%\nD) 1.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 0.88%", + "B) 1.82%", + "C) 2.45%", + "D) 1.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 1.82%\nC) 2.45%\nD) 1.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 0.88%", + "B) 1.82%", + "C) 2.45%", + "D) 1.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", + "year": 2012 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2012.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2012.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..69d8fcc5f5f4c2c60ddddf69bdaef523ec984101 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2012.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:a5cd42356f2ed6dfa4e812e2f607844018289d6649b8eb840729a4a57f465429 +size 27422 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2013.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2013.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..4fda20580b79f02f86c6976683e2a1a9e4c45ae6 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2013.json @@ -0,0 +1,3779 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.88%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 0.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.88%", + "B) 1.06%", + "C) 3.12%", + "D) 0.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $2,935M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $2,935M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$2,935M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $204,111M\nB) $244,218M\nC) $217,480M\nD) $190,742M", + "options": [ + "A) $204,111M", + "B) $244,218M", + "C) $217,480M", + "D) $190,742M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$217,480M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,092K\nB) 780K\nC) 858K\nD) 936K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,092K", + "B) 780K", + "C) 858K", + "D) 936K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "936K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,996,000\nB) 3,985,263\nC) 3,490,631\nD) 4,479,894", + "options": [ + "A) 2,996,000", + "B) 3,985,263", + "C) 3,490,631", + "D) 4,479,894" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,996,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 10.61%\nC) 16.87%\nD) 20.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.35%", + "B) 10.61%", + "C) 16.87%", + "D) 20.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.74\nB) 101.97\nC) 108.90\nD) 113.06", + "options": [ + "A) 104.74", + "B) 101.97", + "C) 108.90", + "D) 113.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "108.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) +8.87pp\nB) -2.43pp\nC) -8.08pp\nD) +0.39pp", + "options": [ + "A) +8.87pp", + "B) -2.43pp", + "C) -8.08pp", + "D) +0.39pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.39pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) -5.90pp\nC) +9.40pp\nD) +4.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.80pp", + "B) -5.90pp", + "C) +9.40pp", + "D) +4.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.60pp\nB) +1.85pp\nC) +1.10pp\nD) +1.60pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.60pp", + "B) +1.85pp", + "C) +1.10pp", + "D) +1.60pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+1.85pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $438,003M\nB) $396,065M\nC) $410,044M\nD) $451,982M", + "options": [ + "A) $438,003M", + "B) $396,065M", + "C) $410,044M", + "D) $451,982M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$410,044M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 393,816\nB) 434,632\nC) 312,184\nD) 353,000", + "options": [ + "A) 393,816", + "B) 434,632", + "C) 312,184", + "D) 353,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "353,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 147.95\nB) 134.35\nC) 143.42\nD) 157.02", + "options": [ + "A) 147.95", + "B) 134.35", + "C) 143.42", + "D) 157.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "147.95", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -13.16%\nB) 16.13%\nC) 30.78%\nD) 60.07%", + "options": [ + "A) -13.16%", + "B) 16.13%", + "C) 30.78%", + "D) 60.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $3,487M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $3,487M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$3,487M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 242.71\nB) 221.35\nC) 229.36\nD) 234.70", + "options": [ + "A) 242.71", + "B) 221.35", + "C) 229.36", + "D) 234.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "234.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $65,898M\nB) $76,016M\nC) $55,780M\nD) $69,271M", + "options": [ + "A) $65,898M", + "B) $76,016M", + "C) $55,780M", + "D) $69,271M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$65,898M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.80\nB) 77.50\nC) 81.20\nD) 66.39", + "options": [ + "A) 73.80", + "B) 77.50", + "C) 81.20", + "D) 66.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "77.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.04%\nB) 2.46%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 1.28%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.04%", + "B) 2.46%", + "C) 1.75%", + "D) 1.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.87%\nB) -0.83%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 1.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.87%", + "B) -0.83%", + "C) 2.59%", + "D) 1.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 0.95%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 2.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.53%", + "B) 0.95%", + "C) 1.34%", + "D) 2.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,726B\nB) $10,862B\nC) $9,998B\nD) $11,294B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,726B", + "B) $10,862B", + "C) $9,998B", + "D) $11,294B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$10,862B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.87%\nB) 69.21%\nC) 34.38%\nD) 86.62%", + "options": [ + "A) -17.87%", + "B) 69.21%", + "C) 34.38%", + "D) 86.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "34.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 104.45\nB) 93.73\nC) 95.87\nD) 100.16", + "options": [ + "A) 104.45", + "B) 93.73", + "C) 95.87", + "D) 100.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "100.16", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.12pp\nC) -0.26pp\nD) -0.82pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.40pp", + "B) -0.12pp", + "C) -0.26pp", + "D) -0.82pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.77%\nB) -0.24%\nC) 10.28%\nD) 3.26%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.77%", + "B) -0.24%", + "C) 10.28%", + "D) 3.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 129,980K\nB) 134,085K\nC) 136,821K\nD) 140,926K", + "options": [ + "A) 129,980K", + "B) 134,085K", + "C) 136,821K", + "D) 140,926K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "136,821K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.04%\nB) 65.10%\nC) 61.94%\nD) 63.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.04%", + "B) 65.10%", + "C) 61.94%", + "D) 63.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "63.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 1.03%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 1.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.48%", + "B) 1.03%", + "C) 1.70%", + "D) 1.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 15.94%\nB) -5.17%\nC) -12.21%\nD) -26.28%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.94%", + "B) -5.17%", + "C) -12.21%", + "D) -26.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-5.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.36\nB) 115.18\nC) 109.30\nD) 112.24", + "options": [ + "A) 106.36", + "B) 115.18", + "C) 109.30", + "D) 112.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "109.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.86%\nB) -9.47%\nC) 5.20%\nD) -2.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.86%", + "B) -9.47%", + "C) 5.20%", + "D) -2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.21%\nB) 73.49%\nC) 79.07%\nD) 75.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 77.21%", + "B) 73.49%", + "C) 79.07%", + "D) 75.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "77.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,803B\nB) $10,584B\nC) $9,771B\nD) $9,364B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,803B", + "B) $10,584B", + "C) $9,771B", + "D) $9,364B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$10,584B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -28.30%\nB) 29.00%\nC) 0.35%\nD) -42.62%", + "options": [ + "A) -28.30%", + "B) 29.00%", + "C) 0.35%", + "D) -42.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 988K\nB) 642K\nC) 919K\nD) 850K", + "options": [ + "A) 988K", + "B) 642K", + "C) 919K", + "D) 850K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "850K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 95.49\nB) 89.76\nC) 93.20\nD) 98.92", + "options": [ + "A) 95.49", + "B) 89.76", + "C) 93.20", + "D) 98.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "95.49", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,088K\nB) 1,010K\nC) 1,166K\nD) 854K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,088K", + "B) 1,010K", + "C) 1,166K", + "D) 854K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,010K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 3.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.97%", + "B) 0.82%", + "C) 1.40%", + "D) 3.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.02%\nB) 1.72%\nC) 2.89%\nD) 1.14%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.02%", + "B) 1.72%", + "C) 2.89%", + "D) 1.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) $105.10/bbl\nB) $129.45/bbl\nC) $92.92/bbl\nD) $68.57/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $105.10/bbl", + "B) $129.45/bbl", + "C) $92.92/bbl", + "D) $68.57/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$105.10/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $20.78/hr\nB) $20.23/hr\nC) $19.40/hr\nD) $18.84/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $20.78/hr", + "B) $20.23/hr", + "C) $19.40/hr", + "D) $18.84/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$20.23/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 0.29%\nD) 0.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.86%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 0.29%", + "D) 0.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 75.18%\nB) 55.69%\nC) -41.78%\nD) 16.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 75.18%", + "B) 55.69%", + "C) -41.78%", + "D) 16.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "16.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.42%\nB) 44.77%\nC) 56.95%\nD) -3.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.42%", + "B) 44.77%", + "C) 56.95%", + "D) -3.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.43%\nB) 1.04%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 0.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.43%", + "B) 1.04%", + "C) 1.82%", + "D) 0.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 139,760K\nB) 131,618K\nC) 135,689K\nD) 145,187K", + "options": [ + "A) 139,760K", + "B) 131,618K", + "C) 135,689K", + "D) 145,187K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "135,689K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -4.07%\nB) -8.05%\nC) -12.03%\nD) -0.10%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.07%", + "B) -8.05%", + "C) -12.03%", + "D) -0.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.50%\nB) 82.56%\nC) 79.19%\nD) 74.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 77.50%", + "B) 82.56%", + "C) 79.19%", + "D) 74.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "77.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.17pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.83pp\nD) +0.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.17pp", + "B) -0.50pp", + "C) -0.83pp", + "D) +0.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.46%\nB) 56.94%\nC) 58.70%\nD) 62.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.46%", + "B) 56.94%", + "C) 58.70%", + "D) 62.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "58.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,079K\nB) 1,228K\nC) 929K\nD) 1,004K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,079K", + "B) 1,228K", + "C) 929K", + "D) 1,004K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,004K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.41%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 6.09%\nD) 8.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.41%", + "B) 4.78%", + "C) 6.09%", + "D) 8.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $-24,883M\nB) $-34,314M\nC) $-43,745M\nD) $-39,030M", + "options": [ + "A) $-24,883M", + "B) $-34,314M", + "C) $-43,745M", + "D) $-39,030M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-34,314M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $20.91/hr\nB) $19.11/hr\nC) $20.01/hr\nD) $18.51/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $20.91/hr", + "B) $19.11/hr", + "C) $20.01/hr", + "D) $18.51/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$20.01/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) $9,448B\nB) $10,179B\nC) $9,010B\nD) $9,741B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,448B", + "B) $10,179B", + "C) $9,010B", + "D) $9,741B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$9,741B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) -0.37%\nC) 0.36%\nD) 1.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.09%", + "B) -0.37%", + "C) 0.36%", + "D) 1.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,573B\nB) $12,272B\nC) $11,671B\nD) $13,173B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,573B", + "B) $12,272B", + "C) $11,671B", + "D) $13,173B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$12,272B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.77\nB) 93.45\nC) 95.98\nD) 89.66", + "options": [ + "A) 99.77", + "B) 93.45", + "C) 95.98", + "D) 89.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "95.98", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $210,369M\nB) $251,055M\nC) $223,931M\nD) $237,493M", + "options": [ + "A) $210,369M", + "B) $251,055M", + "C) $223,931M", + "D) $237,493M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$237,493M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.02pp\nB) -7.44pp\nC) +3.84pp\nD) -1.80pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.02pp", + "B) -7.44pp", + "C) +3.84pp", + "D) -1.80pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+1.02pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 1.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.63%", + "B) 1.89%", + "C) 2.41%", + "D) 1.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) +22.08pp\nB) +8.96pp\nC) +2.40pp\nD) -17.28pp", + "options": [ + "A) +22.08pp", + "B) +8.96pp", + "C) +2.40pp", + "D) -17.28pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+2.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 85.5872\nB) 107.4692\nC) 89.9636\nD) 94.3400", + "options": [ + "A) 85.5872", + "B) 107.4692", + "C) 89.9636", + "D) 94.3400" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "94.3400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 204.00\nB) 197.92\nC) 210.08\nD) 222.23", + "options": [ + "A) 204.00", + "B) 197.92", + "C) 210.08", + "D) 222.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "204.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.02%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 0.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.60%", + "B) 1.02%", + "C) 2.19%", + "D) 0.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.54pp\nB) +0.14pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) +0.98pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.54pp", + "B) +0.14pp", + "C) -0.70pp", + "D) +0.98pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.25%\nB) 6.29%\nC) -0.07%\nD) 3.11%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.25%", + "B) 6.29%", + "C) -0.07%", + "D) 3.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,446B\nB) $11,184B\nC) $12,231B\nD) $11,969B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,446B", + "B) $11,184B", + "C) $12,231B", + "D) $11,969B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$11,446B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.59pp\nB) +0.00pp\nC) +1.77pp\nD) -1.77pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.59pp", + "B) +0.00pp", + "C) +1.77pp", + "D) -1.77pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 184.92\nB) 210.23\nC) 203.90\nD) 197.57", + "options": [ + "A) 184.92", + "B) 210.23", + "C) 203.90", + "D) 197.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "203.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.7598\nB) 6.0070\nC) 6.5014\nD) 6.1306", + "options": [ + "A) 5.7598", + "B) 6.0070", + "C) 6.5014", + "D) 6.1306" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.1306", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $66,459M\nB) $56,369M\nC) $69,822M\nD) $63,096M", + "options": [ + "A) $66,459M", + "B) $56,369M", + "C) $69,822M", + "D) $63,096M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$66,459M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.15%\nB) 5.30%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 5.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.15%", + "B) 5.30%", + "C) 3.57%", + "D) 5.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.73%\nB) -3.73%\nC) -0.38%\nD) 1.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.73%", + "B) -3.73%", + "C) -0.38%", + "D) 1.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.53%\nB) 16.97%\nC) 26.42%\nD) -1.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.53%", + "B) 16.97%", + "C) 26.42%", + "D) -1.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.3330\nB) 1.5321\nC) 1.2135\nD) 1.4127", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3330", + "B) 1.5321", + "C) 1.2135", + "D) 1.4127" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.3330", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 243.92\nB) 233.54\nC) 216.25\nD) 226.63", + "options": [ + "A) 243.92", + "B) 233.54", + "C) 216.25", + "D) 226.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "233.54", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.67%\nB) 88.35%\nC) 45.32%\nD) 74.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.67%", + "B) 88.35%", + "C) 45.32%", + "D) 74.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 66.47%\nB) 61.40%\nC) 64.57%\nD) 63.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 66.47%", + "B) 61.40%", + "C) 64.57%", + "D) 63.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "63.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 0.77%\nD) 7.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.92%", + "B) 2.35%", + "C) 0.77%", + "D) 7.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.99%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 9.70%\nD) -0.57%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.99%", + "B) 2.85%", + "C) 9.70%", + "D) -0.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 12.66%\nC) 3.18%\nD) -3.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.34%", + "B) 12.66%", + "C) 3.18%", + "D) -3.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) $126.67/bbl\nB) $107.44/bbl\nC) $78.60/bbl\nD) $97.83/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $126.67/bbl", + "B) $107.44/bbl", + "C) $78.60/bbl", + "D) $97.83/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$97.83/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) -1.71pp\nC) +0.57pp\nD) +1.14pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.00pp", + "B) -1.71pp", + "C) +0.57pp", + "D) +1.14pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 89.35\nB) 94.54\nC) 97.66\nD) 92.47", + "options": [ + "A) 89.35", + "B) 94.54", + "C) 97.66", + "D) 92.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "94.54", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 240.42\nB) 245.51\nC) 232.79\nD) 225.17", + "options": [ + "A) 240.42", + "B) 245.51", + "C) 232.79", + "D) 225.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "232.79", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 3,678.08\nB) 3,932.61\nC) 2,914.51\nD) 3,423.56", + "options": [ + "A) 3,678.08", + "B) 3,932.61", + "C) 2,914.51", + "D) 3,423.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,423.56", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 3.59%\nC) 10.16%\nD) 7.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.22%", + "B) 3.59%", + "C) 10.16%", + "D) 7.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 6.65%\nD) 5.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.87%", + "B) 3.07%", + "C) 6.65%", + "D) 5.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.17\nB) 85.46\nC) 78.60\nD) 82.03", + "options": [ + "A) 75.17", + "B) 85.46", + "C) 78.60", + "D) 82.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "78.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 50.77%\nB) -20.58%\nC) -6.31%\nD) 7.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 50.77%", + "B) -20.58%", + "C) -6.31%", + "D) 7.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) +0.27pp\nC) +2.00pp\nD) +1.13pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.60pp", + "B) +0.27pp", + "C) +2.00pp", + "D) +1.13pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 0.94%\nC) -0.19%\nD) -2.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.08%", + "B) 0.94%", + "C) -0.19%", + "D) -2.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 0.44%\nC) 0.05%\nD) 0.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.64%", + "B) 0.44%", + "C) 0.05%", + "D) 0.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 5.21%\nD) 3.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.39%", + "B) 2.75%", + "C) 5.21%", + "D) 3.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $406,223M\nB) $441,778M\nC) $382,520M\nD) $429,926M", + "options": [ + "A) $406,223M", + "B) $441,778M", + "C) $382,520M", + "D) $429,926M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$406,223M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 25.27%\nB) 4.13%\nC) 11.18%\nD) 18.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 25.27%", + "B) 4.13%", + "C) 11.18%", + "D) 18.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,970B\nB) $10,837B\nC) $11,290B\nD) $11,743B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,970B", + "B) $10,837B", + "C) $11,290B", + "D) $11,743B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$11,290B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.24%\nB) 7.68%\nC) 8.16%\nD) 7.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.24%", + "B) 7.68%", + "C) 8.16%", + "D) 7.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.96%\nB) -10.80%\nC) 48.48%\nD) 68.24%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.96%", + "B) -10.80%", + "C) 48.48%", + "D) 68.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "8.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 150.16\nB) 159.66\nC) 175.50\nD) 169.17", + "options": [ + "A) 150.16", + "B) 159.66", + "C) 175.50", + "D) 169.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "159.66", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 55.61%\nB) 60.66%\nC) 58.50%\nD) 57.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 55.61%", + "B) 60.66%", + "C) 58.50%", + "D) 57.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "58.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 1.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.65%", + "B) 2.39%", + "C) 4.13%", + "D) 1.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 5.94%\nC) -7.70%\nD) -4.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.53%", + "B) 5.94%", + "C) -7.70%", + "D) -4.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.70%\nB) 8.90%\nC) 11.30%\nD) 6.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.70%", + "B) 8.90%", + "C) 11.30%", + "D) 6.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $-36,541M\nB) $-29,789M\nC) $-39,917M\nD) $-46,669M", + "options": [ + "A) $-36,541M", + "B) $-29,789M", + "C) $-39,917M", + "D) $-46,669M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-39,917M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 34.38\nB) 5.66\nC) 22.89\nD) 17.15", + "options": [ + "A) 34.38", + "B) 5.66", + "C) 22.89", + "D) 17.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17.15", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.50%\nB) 6.80%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 5.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.50%", + "B) 6.80%", + "C) 8.20%", + "D) 5.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.18%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.57%\nD) 2.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.18%", + "B) 2.22%", + "C) 2.57%", + "D) 2.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.97%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 4.80%\nD) 6.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.97%", + "B) 4.08%", + "C) 4.80%", + "D) 6.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 0.20%\nC) 0.45%\nD) 0.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.32%", + "B) 0.20%", + "C) 0.45%", + "D) 0.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.69%\nB) -1.03%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 6.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.69%", + "B) -1.03%", + "C) 1.45%", + "D) 6.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 92.45\nB) 99.19\nC) 105.94\nD) 103.69", + "options": [ + "A) 92.45", + "B) 99.19", + "C) 105.94", + "D) 103.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "99.19", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 3.96%\nC) 3.28%\nD) 2.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.30%", + "B) 3.96%", + "C) 3.28%", + "D) 2.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.81\nB) 98.76\nC) 91.94\nD) 93.89", + "options": [ + "A) 96.81", + "B) 98.76", + "C) 91.94", + "D) 93.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "93.89", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,503B\nB) $12,809B\nC) $11,585B\nD) $13,421B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,503B", + "B) $12,809B", + "C) $11,585B", + "D) $13,421B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$12,503B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 3.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.53%", + "B) 2.14%", + "C) 1.75%", + "D) 3.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 238.53\nB) 222.90\nC) 232.28\nD) 247.91", + "options": [ + "A) 238.53", + "B) 222.90", + "C) 232.28", + "D) 247.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "232.28", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.29%\nB) -0.74%\nC) 0.61%\nD) 1.28%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.29%", + "B) -0.74%", + "C) 0.61%", + "D) 1.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.51%\nB) -18.92%\nC) 37.94%\nD) -9.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.51%", + "B) -18.92%", + "C) 37.94%", + "D) -9.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -25.38%\nB) 10.54%\nC) 28.50%\nD) 64.41%", + "options": [ + "A) -25.38%", + "B) 10.54%", + "C) 28.50%", + "D) 64.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.50%\nB) 1.22%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 0.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.50%", + "B) 1.22%", + "C) 0.14%", + "D) 0.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 4.09%\nC) -0.66%\nD) 1.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.52%", + "B) 4.09%", + "C) -0.66%", + "D) 1.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 92.19\nB) 90.18\nC) 98.20\nD) 96.20", + "options": [ + "A) 92.19", + "B) 90.18", + "C) 98.20", + "D) 96.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "92.19", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 2.74%\nD) 2.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 1.76%", + "B) 2.15%", + "C) 2.74%", + "D) 2.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 2.74%\nD) 2.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 1.76%", + "B) 2.15%", + "C) 2.74%", + "D) 2.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 2.36%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.75%", + "B) 1.96%", + "C) 2.16%", + "D) 2.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 2.36%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.75%", + "B) 1.96%", + "C) 2.16%", + "D) 2.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 2.41%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.61%", + "B) 2.21%", + "C) 1.82%", + "D) 2.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.41%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 2.41%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.61%", + "B) 2.21%", + "C) 1.82%", + "D) 2.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.41%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 2.53%\nD) 3.32%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.73%", + "B) 2.93%", + "C) 2.53%", + "D) 3.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.73%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 2.53%\nD) 3.32%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.73%", + "B) 2.93%", + "C) 2.53%", + "D) 3.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.73%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 2.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3.43%", + "B) 2.84%", + "C) 2.64%", + "D) 2.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.84%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 2.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3.43%", + "B) 2.84%", + "C) 2.64%", + "D) 2.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.84%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 3.57%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.59%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.78%", + "B) 3.57%", + "C) 2.98%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.98%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 3.57%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.59%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.78%", + "B) 3.57%", + "C) 2.98%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.98%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.43%\nB) 0.22%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 0.31%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.43%", + "B) 0.22%", + "C) 0.37%", + "D) 0.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.31%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.43%\nB) 0.22%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 0.31%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.43%", + "B) 0.22%", + "C) 0.37%", + "D) 0.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.31%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.32%", + "B) 0.47%", + "C) 0.38%", + "D) 0.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.32%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.32%", + "B) 0.47%", + "C) 0.38%", + "D) 0.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.32%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.40%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.25%\nD) 0.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.40%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 0.25%", + "D) 0.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.40%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.25%\nD) 0.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.40%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 0.25%", + "D) 0.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.37%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.37%", + "B) 0.58%", + "C) 0.43%", + "D) 0.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.43%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.37%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.37%", + "B) 0.58%", + "C) 0.43%", + "D) 0.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.43%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 0.43%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.52%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 0.58%", + "D) 0.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.43%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 0.43%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.52%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 0.58%", + "D) 0.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.43%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.64%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.52%", + "B) 0.58%", + "C) 0.43%", + "D) 0.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.64%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.52%", + "B) 0.58%", + "C) 0.43%", + "D) 0.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 3.45%\nD) 3.63%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 3.99%", + "B) 3.81%", + "C) 3.45%", + "D) 3.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.81%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 3.45%\nD) 3.63%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 3.99%", + "B) 3.81%", + "C) 3.45%", + "D) 3.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.81%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 4.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 3.37%", + "B) 4.27%", + "C) 3.91%", + "D) 4.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.91%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 4.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 3.37%", + "B) 4.27%", + "C) 3.91%", + "D) 4.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.91%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 4.34%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 3.98%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 3.62%", + "B) 4.34%", + "C) 3.80%", + "D) 3.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.98%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 4.34%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 3.98%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 3.62%", + "B) 4.34%", + "C) 3.80%", + "D) 3.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.98%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 4.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 4.51%", + "B) 4.15%", + "C) 4.33%", + "D) 4.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 4.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 4.51%", + "B) 4.15%", + "C) 4.33%", + "D) 4.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.76%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 5.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 4.76%", + "B) 4.58%", + "C) 4.40%", + "D) 5.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.76%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 5.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 4.76%", + "B) 4.58%", + "C) 4.40%", + "D) 5.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 4.04%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.22%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 4.40%", + "B) 4.04%", + "C) 4.58%", + "D) 4.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 4.04%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.22%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 4.40%", + "B) 4.04%", + "C) 4.58%", + "D) 4.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 11.16\nB) 25.85\nC) 7.48\nD) 14.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 11.16", + "B) 25.85", + "C) 7.48", + "D) 14.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 11.16\nB) 25.85\nC) 7.48\nD) 14.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 11.16", + "B) 25.85", + "C) 7.48", + "D) 14.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 17.50\nB) 28.52\nC) 10.15\nD) 6.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 17.50", + "B) 28.52", + "C) 10.15", + "D) 6.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.50", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 17.50\nB) 28.52\nC) 10.15\nD) 6.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 17.50", + "B) 28.52", + "C) 10.15", + "D) 6.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.50", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 24.16\nB) 20.49\nC) 27.84\nD) 13.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.16", + "B) 20.49", + "C) 27.84", + "D) 13.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 24.16\nB) 20.49\nC) 27.84\nD) 13.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.16", + "B) 20.49", + "C) 27.84", + "D) 13.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 13.14\nB) 31.51\nC) 20.49\nD) 27.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 13.14", + "B) 31.51", + "C) 20.49", + "D) 27.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 13.14\nB) 31.51\nC) 20.49\nD) 27.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 13.14", + "B) 31.51", + "C) 20.49", + "D) 27.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 27.84\nB) 31.51\nC) 24.16\nD) 20.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 27.84", + "B) 31.51", + "C) 24.16", + "D) 20.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 27.84\nB) 31.51\nC) 24.16\nD) 20.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 27.84", + "B) 31.51", + "C) 24.16", + "D) 20.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 20.49\nB) 27.84\nC) 13.14\nD) 16.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 20.49", + "B) 27.84", + "C) 13.14", + "D) 16.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 20.49\nB) 27.84\nC) 13.14\nD) 16.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 20.49", + "B) 27.84", + "C) 13.14", + "D) 16.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2013.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2013.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..26ad86df8574357af3d3a4135d7de8d4d08f7707 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2013.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:c32c90309195f4d4ff75f48b8d50794522196e42399e321409678d2bc7d1cb32 +size 28140 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2014.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2014.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..32b75fff2c9987802a1b061bede42cfab34be57f --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2014.json @@ -0,0 +1,4643 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 83.59%\nB) 78.46%\nC) 81.88%\nD) 75.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 83.59%", + "B) 78.46%", + "C) 81.88%", + "D) 75.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "78.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.4545\nB) 1.2289\nC) 1.3578\nD) 1.2933", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4545", + "B) 1.2289", + "C) 1.3578", + "D) 1.2933" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.3578", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.60\nB) 95.00\nC) 97.30\nD) 101.89", + "options": [ + "A) 99.60", + "B) 95.00", + "C) 97.30", + "D) 101.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.89", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 1.13%\nD) 3.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.00%", + "B) 4.62%", + "C) 1.13%", + "D) 3.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.47%\nB) 2.72%\nC) -0.37%\nD) 5.82%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.47%", + "B) 2.72%", + "C) -0.37%", + "D) 5.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.53pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.27pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.53pp", + "B) -0.02pp", + "C) -0.40pp", + "D) -0.27pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 2.76%\nC) -0.02%\nD) 1.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 2.76%", + "C) -0.02%", + "D) 1.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) $10,176B\nB) $9,570B\nC) $10,782B\nD) $9,167B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,176B", + "B) $9,570B", + "C) $10,782B", + "D) $9,167B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$10,176B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.33pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.59pp\nD) -0.07pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.33pp", + "B) -0.20pp", + "C) -0.59pp", + "D) -0.07pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.17%\nB) -1.78%\nC) 3.69%\nD) -4.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.17%", + "B) -1.78%", + "C) 3.69%", + "D) -4.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) $96.44/bbl\nB) $138.90/bbl\nC) $130.40/bbl\nD) $113.42/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $96.44/bbl", + "B) $138.90/bbl", + "C) $130.40/bbl", + "D) $113.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$113.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $421,230M\nB) $435,655M\nC) $377,955M\nD) $450,080M", + "options": [ + "A) $421,230M", + "B) $435,655M", + "C) $377,955M", + "D) $450,080M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$421,230M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.59%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 7.56%\nD) 8.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.59%", + "B) 4.91%", + "C) 7.56%", + "D) 8.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,065,687\nB) 1,653,627\nC) 2,595,000\nD) 4,007,060", + "options": [ + "A) 3,065,687", + "B) 1,653,627", + "C) 2,595,000", + "D) 4,007,060" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,595,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.00%", + "B) 1.63%", + "C) 1.81%", + "D) 1.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) -1.39%\nC) 3.67%\nD) 6.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.14%", + "B) -1.39%", + "C) 3.67%", + "D) 6.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.73%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 6.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.73%", + "B) 5.90%", + "C) 4.15%", + "D) 6.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.88pp\nB) +6.38pp\nC) +1.25pp\nD) -6.45pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.88pp", + "B) +6.38pp", + "C) +1.25pp", + "D) -6.45pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.25pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 3.66%\nC) 8.44%\nD) 6.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.46%", + "B) 3.66%", + "C) 8.44%", + "D) 6.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.00%\nB) 38.58%\nC) 50.87%\nD) -22.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.00%", + "B) 38.58%", + "C) 50.87%", + "D) -22.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 3.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.92%", + "B) 4.20%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 3.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 0.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.81%", + "B) 6.77%", + "C) 4.29%", + "D) 0.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 2.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.32%", + "B) 1.53%", + "C) 2.52%", + "D) 2.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 0.16%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 0.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.08%", + "B) 0.16%", + "C) 0.03%", + "D) 0.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.77%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 7.21%\nD) 1.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.77%", + "B) 2.90%", + "C) 7.21%", + "D) 1.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 5.35%\nC) 4.77%\nD) 6.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.18%", + "B) 5.35%", + "C) 4.77%", + "D) 6.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 131,086K\nB) 142,125K\nC) 135,225K\nD) 137,985K", + "options": [ + "A) 131,086K", + "B) 142,125K", + "C) 135,225K", + "D) 137,985K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "137,985K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.90%\nB) 52.21%\nC) -4.20%\nD) 24.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.90%", + "B) 52.21%", + "C) -4.20%", + "D) 24.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $-34,146M\nB) $-42,940M\nC) $-45,871M\nD) $-37,078M", + "options": [ + "A) $-34,146M", + "B) $-42,940M", + "C) $-45,871M", + "D) $-37,078M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-42,940M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $20.11/hr\nB) $19.56/hr\nC) $20.66/hr\nD) $21.21/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $20.11/hr", + "B) $19.56/hr", + "C) $20.66/hr", + "D) $21.21/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$20.66/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 107.65\nB) 103.06\nC) 113.75\nD) 110.70", + "options": [ + "A) 107.65", + "B) 103.06", + "C) 113.75", + "D) 110.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "110.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.70%\nB) 5.76%\nC) 7.64%\nD) 7.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.70%", + "B) 5.76%", + "C) 7.64%", + "D) 7.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -9.09%\nB) 8.28%\nC) -17.77%\nD) 25.65%", + "options": [ + "A) -9.09%", + "B) 8.28%", + "C) -17.77%", + "D) 25.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.19%\nB) -11.81%\nC) -0.58%\nD) 5.03%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.19%", + "B) -11.81%", + "C) -0.58%", + "D) 5.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 231.06\nB) 242.19\nC) 247.75\nD) 236.62", + "options": [ + "A) 231.06", + "B) 242.19", + "C) 247.75", + "D) 236.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "236.62", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 59.10%\nB) 57.33%\nC) 60.87%\nD) 54.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.10%", + "B) 57.33%", + "C) 60.87%", + "D) 54.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "59.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 146,913K\nB) 139,563K\nC) 142,503K\nD) 135,153K", + "options": [ + "A) 146,913K", + "B) 139,563K", + "C) 142,503K", + "D) 135,153K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "139,563K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.25%\nB) 15.56%\nC) 8.94%\nD) -0.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.25%", + "B) 15.56%", + "C) 8.94%", + "D) -0.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 280,466\nB) 246,932\nC) 347,534\nD) 314,000", + "options": [ + "A) 280,466", + "B) 246,932", + "C) 347,534", + "D) 314,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "314,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $3,886M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $3,886M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$3,886M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $223,626M\nB) $236,112M\nC) $198,653M\nD) $248,598M", + "options": [ + "A) $223,626M", + "B) $236,112M", + "C) $198,653M", + "D) $248,598M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$236,112M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -15.99%\nB) 17.04%\nC) 3.82%\nD) 23.64%", + "options": [ + "A) -15.99%", + "B) 17.04%", + "C) 3.82%", + "D) 23.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.91\nB) 96.25\nC) 90.29\nD) 93.86", + "options": [ + "A) 87.91", + "B) 96.25", + "C) 90.29", + "D) 93.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "93.86", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 32.40%\nB) 79.95%\nC) 48.25%\nD) 16.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 32.40%", + "B) 79.95%", + "C) 48.25%", + "D) 16.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "32.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.68%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 61.54%\nD) 65.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.68%", + "B) 62.80%", + "C) 61.54%", + "D) 65.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "62.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 1.55%\nD) 1.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.42%", + "B) 1.95%", + "C) 1.55%", + "D) 1.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 92.04\nB) 89.90\nC) 98.46\nD) 95.25", + "options": [ + "A) 92.04", + "B) 89.90", + "C) 98.46", + "D) 95.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "95.25", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,137B\nB) $12,536B\nC) $14,038B\nD) $12,236B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,137B", + "B) $12,536B", + "C) $14,038B", + "D) $12,236B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$13,137B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 69.77\nB) 80.00\nC) 76.59\nD) 90.23", + "options": [ + "A) 69.77", + "B) 80.00", + "C) 76.59", + "D) 90.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $19.14/hr\nB) $21.32/hr\nC) $20.50/hr\nD) $19.96/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $19.14/hr", + "B) $21.32/hr", + "C) $20.50/hr", + "D) $19.96/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$20.50/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.51\nB) 101.09\nC) 94.96\nD) 97.41", + "options": [ + "A) 92.51", + "B) 101.09", + "C) 94.96", + "D) 97.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "97.41", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.40%", + "B) 3.71%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 253.67\nB) 236.03\nC) 243.08\nD) 225.44", + "options": [ + "A) 253.67", + "B) 236.03", + "C) 243.08", + "D) 225.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "236.03", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 180.85\nB) 171.77\nC) 167.23\nD) 153.61", + "options": [ + "A) 180.85", + "B) 171.77", + "C) 167.23", + "D) 153.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "167.23", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 34.00%\nB) -1.75%\nC) -10.68%\nD) 16.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 34.00%", + "B) -1.75%", + "C) -10.68%", + "D) 16.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "16.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 970K\nB) 1,126K\nC) 735K\nD) 892K", + "options": [ + "A) 970K", + "B) 1,126K", + "C) 735K", + "D) 892K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "970K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.29%\nB) 1.74%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.29%", + "B) 1.74%", + "C) 2.19%", + "D) 2.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.34pp\nB) -2.85pp\nC) +1.40pp\nD) +14.14pp", + "options": [ + "A) -11.34pp", + "B) -2.85pp", + "C) +1.40pp", + "D) +14.14pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.19%\nB) 11.55%\nC) -1.89%\nD) 1.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.19%", + "B) 11.55%", + "C) -1.89%", + "D) 1.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) +1.74pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +0.05pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.80pp", + "B) +1.74pp", + "C) +0.90pp", + "D) +0.05pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.86\nB) 111.10\nC) 116.04\nD) 106.16", + "options": [ + "A) 102.86", + "B) 111.10", + "C) 116.04", + "D) 106.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "111.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,016B\nB) $13,011B\nC) $11,519B\nD) $10,027B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,016B", + "B) $13,011B", + "C) $11,519B", + "D) $10,027B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$11,519B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.99\nB) 96.85\nC) 109.28\nD) 103.06", + "options": [ + "A) 100.99", + "B) 96.85", + "C) 109.28", + "D) 103.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "103.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 0.29%\nD) 2.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.68%", + "B) 3.08%", + "C) 0.29%", + "D) 2.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,602B\nB) $11,233B\nC) $10,320B\nD) $11,689B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,602B", + "B) $11,233B", + "C) $10,320B", + "D) $11,689B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$11,233B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.33\nB) 18.97\nC) 12.65\nD) 22.13", + "options": [ + "A) 6.33", + "B) 18.97", + "C) 12.65", + "D) 22.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12.65", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $207,451M\nB) $249,502M\nC) $193,434M\nD) $235,485M", + "options": [ + "A) $207,451M", + "B) $249,502M", + "C) $193,434M", + "D) $235,485M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$235,485M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 207.00\nB) 188.73\nC) 213.09\nD) 219.18", + "options": [ + "A) 207.00", + "B) 188.73", + "C) 213.09", + "D) 219.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "207.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 2.24%\nD) 2.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.43%", + "B) 1.65%", + "C) 2.24%", + "D) 2.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.84pp\nB) +1.29pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +1.73pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.84pp", + "B) +1.29pp", + "C) +0.40pp", + "D) +1.73pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 229.94\nB) 224.04\nC) 247.64\nD) 238.79", + "options": [ + "A) 229.94", + "B) 224.04", + "C) 247.64", + "D) 238.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "238.79", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,321.11\nB) 5,281.92\nC) 4,641.38\nD) 4,000.84", + "options": [ + "A) 4,321.11", + "B) 5,281.92", + "C) 4,641.38", + "D) 4,000.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,321.11", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 6.07%\nD) 7.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.47%", + "B) 3.83%", + "C) 6.07%", + "D) 7.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.72%\nB) 21.41%\nC) -3.96%\nD) 34.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.72%", + "B) 21.41%", + "C) -3.96%", + "D) 34.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-3.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,236K\nB) 814K\nC) 983K\nD) 1,067K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,236K", + "B) 814K", + "C) 983K", + "D) 1,067K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,067K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) -1.35pp\nC) +0.98pp\nD) -0.18pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.40pp", + "B) -1.35pp", + "C) +0.98pp", + "D) -0.18pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) -36.74%\nB) 7.80%\nC) 37.50%\nD) -21.89%", + "options": [ + "A) -36.74%", + "B) 7.80%", + "C) 37.50%", + "D) -21.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.36%\nB) 11.36%\nC) 20.35%\nD) -6.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.36%", + "B) 11.36%", + "C) 20.35%", + "D) -6.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.24%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 2.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.24%", + "B) 1.66%", + "C) 2.97%", + "D) 2.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 5.79%\nC) 3.44%\nD) 4.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.20%", + "B) 5.79%", + "C) 3.44%", + "D) 4.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.86\nB) 96.01\nC) 98.16\nD) 101.39", + "options": [ + "A) 93.86", + "B) 96.01", + "C) 98.16", + "D) 101.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "96.01", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $-39,492M\nB) $-43,852M\nC) $-41,672M\nD) $-48,213M", + "options": [ + "A) $-39,492M", + "B) $-43,852M", + "C) $-41,672M", + "D) $-48,213M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-41,672M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,109K\nB) 765K\nC) 851K\nD) 1,023K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,109K", + "B) 765K", + "C) 851K", + "D) 1,023K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,023K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 161.18\nB) 171.33\nC) 157.79\nD) 154.41", + "options": [ + "A) 161.18", + "B) 171.33", + "C) 157.79", + "D) 154.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "161.18", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 0.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.09%", + "C) 0.01%", + "D) 0.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,494B\nB) $11,884B\nC) $12,798B\nD) $13,103B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,494B", + "B) $11,884B", + "C) $12,798B", + "D) $13,103B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$12,798B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 1.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.87%", + "B) 2.10%", + "C) 2.32%", + "D) 1.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,722B\nB) $11,998B\nC) $11,170B\nD) $11,446B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,722B", + "B) $11,998B", + "C) $11,170B", + "D) $11,446B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$11,722B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.59pp\nB) +2.12pp\nC) +1.42pp\nD) +1.89pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.59pp", + "B) +2.12pp", + "C) +1.42pp", + "D) +1.89pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+2.12pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.37\nB) 78.14\nC) 84.60\nD) 87.83", + "options": [ + "A) 81.37", + "B) 78.14", + "C) 84.60", + "D) 87.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "84.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.12%\nD) 0.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.29%", + "B) 0.19%", + "C) 0.12%", + "D) 0.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.30pp\nB) -3.03pp\nC) -2.45pp\nD) -1.88pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.30pp", + "B) -3.03pp", + "C) -2.45pp", + "D) -1.88pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.11pp\nB) +1.42pp\nC) +4.03pp\nD) +2.72pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.11pp", + "B) +1.42pp", + "C) +4.03pp", + "D) +2.72pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+1.42pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 985K\nB) 801K\nC) 1,077K\nD) 893K", + "options": [ + "A) 985K", + "B) 801K", + "C) 1,077K", + "D) 893K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,077K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +11.05pp\nB) -4.74pp\nC) +18.94pp\nD) +7.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) +11.05pp", + "B) -4.74pp", + "C) +18.94pp", + "D) +7.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+7.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.27%\nB) -1.02%\nC) 23.85%\nD) 32.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.27%", + "B) -1.02%", + "C) 23.85%", + "D) 32.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.77%\nB) 0.49%\nC) 0.35%\nD) 0.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.77%", + "B) 0.49%", + "C) 0.35%", + "D) 0.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 42.70%\nB) 1.50%\nC) 26.22%\nD) 9.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 42.70%", + "B) 1.50%", + "C) 26.22%", + "D) 9.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 4.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.11%", + "B) 1.76%", + "C) 0.41%", + "D) 4.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.13%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 4.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.13%", + "B) 2.29%", + "C) 3.57%", + "D) 4.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 254.57\nB) 237.48\nC) 227.22\nD) 244.32", + "options": [ + "A) 254.57", + "B) 237.48", + "C) 227.22", + "D) 244.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "237.48", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $387,743M\nB) $401,892M\nC) $430,189M\nD) $472,635M", + "options": [ + "A) $387,743M", + "B) $401,892M", + "C) $430,189M", + "D) $472,635M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$430,189M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 103.26\nB) 94.24\nC) 100.68\nD) 96.81", + "options": [ + "A) 103.26", + "B) 94.24", + "C) 100.68", + "D) 96.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "96.81", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) -0.40%\nC) 0.94%\nD) 2.28%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.61%", + "B) -0.40%", + "C) 0.94%", + "D) 2.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 1.50%\nC) 2.18%\nD) 0.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.53%", + "B) 1.50%", + "C) 2.18%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.85%\nB) 3.02%\nC) 1.39%\nD) -0.24%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.85%", + "B) 3.02%", + "C) 1.39%", + "D) -0.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,146B\nB) $12,273B\nC) $11,428B\nD) $11,991B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,146B", + "B) $12,273B", + "C) $11,428B", + "D) $11,991B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$11,991B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.2250\nB) 5.9598\nC) 6.6228\nD) 6.4902", + "options": [ + "A) 6.2250", + "B) 5.9598", + "C) 6.6228", + "D) 6.4902" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.2250", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.65%\nB) 4.74%\nC) -1.10%\nD) 13.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.65%", + "B) 4.74%", + "C) -1.10%", + "D) 13.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.16%\nB) 82.68%\nC) 78.92%\nD) 85.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 75.16%", + "B) 82.68%", + "C) 78.92%", + "D) 85.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "78.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 57.13%\nB) 63.02%\nC) 60.67%\nD) 58.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 57.13%", + "B) 63.02%", + "C) 60.67%", + "D) 58.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "58.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,049M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,049M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$4,049M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.76%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 12.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.76%", + "B) 4.56%", + "C) 0.49%", + "D) 12.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.57%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 2.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.57%", + "B) 3.65%", + "C) 2.61%", + "D) 2.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 191.78\nB) 211.27\nC) 221.02\nD) 206.40", + "options": [ + "A) 191.78", + "B) 211.27", + "C) 221.02", + "D) 206.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "206.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.07%\nB) 8.40%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 3.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.07%", + "B) 8.40%", + "C) 1.74%", + "D) 3.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $75,157M\nB) $68,418M\nC) $58,310M\nD) $61,679M", + "options": [ + "A) $75,157M", + "B) $68,418M", + "C) $58,310M", + "D) $61,679M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$68,418M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $72,143M\nB) $64,185M\nC) $69,490M\nD) $77,448M", + "options": [ + "A) $72,143M", + "B) $64,185M", + "C) $69,490M", + "D) $77,448M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$69,490M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.25%\nB) -0.68%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 1.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.25%", + "B) -0.68%", + "C) 4.06%", + "D) 1.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 101.8200\nB) 93.1497\nC) 88.8146\nD) 114.8254", + "options": [ + "A) 101.8200", + "B) 93.1497", + "C) 88.8146", + "D) 114.8254" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "101.8200", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) $96.12/bbl\nB) $107.52/bbl\nC) $124.62/bbl\nD) $118.92/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $96.12/bbl", + "B) $107.52/bbl", + "C) $124.62/bbl", + "D) $118.92/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$107.52/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.99%\nB) 61.21%\nC) 63.10%\nD) 59.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.99%", + "B) 61.21%", + "C) 63.10%", + "D) 59.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "63.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.66%\nB) 0.76%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 1.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.66%", + "B) 0.76%", + "C) 1.08%", + "D) 1.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.50%\nB) 6.08%\nC) 6.65%\nD) 7.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.50%", + "B) 6.08%", + "C) 6.65%", + "D) 7.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.85%\nB) 1.23%\nC) 3.43%\nD) -0.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.85%", + "B) 1.23%", + "C) 3.43%", + "D) -0.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.20/bbl\nB) $103.25/bbl\nC) $106.49/bbl\nD) $96.78/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $116.20/bbl", + "B) $103.25/bbl", + "C) $106.49/bbl", + "D) $96.78/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$106.49/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.20/bbl\nB) $103.25/bbl\nC) $106.49/bbl\nD) $96.78/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $116.20/bbl", + "B) $103.25/bbl", + "C) $106.49/bbl", + "D) $96.78/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$106.49/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $108.00/bbl\nB) $98.29/bbl\nC) $95.05/bbl\nD) $104.76/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $108.00/bbl", + "B) $98.29/bbl", + "C) $95.05/bbl", + "D) $104.76/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$104.76/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $108.00/bbl\nB) $98.29/bbl\nC) $95.05/bbl\nD) $104.76/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $108.00/bbl", + "B) $98.29/bbl", + "C) $95.05/bbl", + "D) $104.76/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$104.76/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $100.56/bbl\nB) $107.03/bbl\nC) $90.85/bbl\nD) $94.09/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $100.56/bbl", + "B) $107.03/bbl", + "C) $90.85/bbl", + "D) $94.09/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$100.56/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $100.56/bbl\nB) $107.03/bbl\nC) $90.85/bbl\nD) $94.09/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $100.56/bbl", + "B) $107.03/bbl", + "C) $90.85/bbl", + "D) $94.09/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$100.56/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $92.30/bbl\nB) $95.54/bbl\nC) $102.01/bbl\nD) $105.25/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $92.30/bbl", + "B) $95.54/bbl", + "C) $102.01/bbl", + "D) $105.25/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$95.54/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $92.30/bbl\nB) $95.54/bbl\nC) $102.01/bbl\nD) $105.25/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $92.30/bbl", + "B) $95.54/bbl", + "C) $102.01/bbl", + "D) $105.25/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$95.54/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $98.18/bbl\nB) $88.47/bbl\nC) $91.71/bbl\nD) $82.00/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $98.18/bbl", + "B) $88.47/bbl", + "C) $91.71/bbl", + "D) $82.00/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$91.71/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $98.18/bbl\nB) $88.47/bbl\nC) $91.71/bbl\nD) $82.00/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $98.18/bbl", + "B) $88.47/bbl", + "C) $91.71/bbl", + "D) $82.00/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$91.71/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $56.66/bbl\nB) $59.89/bbl\nC) $72.84/bbl\nD) $63.13/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $56.66/bbl", + "B) $59.89/bbl", + "C) $72.84/bbl", + "D) $63.13/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $56.66/bbl\nB) $59.89/bbl\nC) $72.84/bbl\nD) $63.13/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $56.66/bbl", + "B) $59.89/bbl", + "C) $72.84/bbl", + "D) $63.13/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $114.55/bbl", + "B) $121.58/bbl", + "C) $109.86/bbl", + "D) $119.24/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $114.55/bbl", + "B) $121.58/bbl", + "C) $109.86/bbl", + "D) $119.24/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $121.58/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $119.24/bbl\nD) $112.21/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $121.58/bbl", + "B) $114.55/bbl", + "C) $119.24/bbl", + "D) $112.21/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $121.58/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $119.24/bbl\nD) $112.21/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $121.58/bbl", + "B) $114.55/bbl", + "C) $119.24/bbl", + "D) $112.21/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $112.21/bbl\nB) $109.86/bbl\nC) $114.55/bbl\nD) $116.89/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $112.21/bbl", + "B) $109.86/bbl", + "C) $114.55/bbl", + "D) $116.89/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $112.21/bbl\nB) $109.86/bbl\nC) $114.55/bbl\nD) $116.89/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $112.21/bbl", + "B) $109.86/bbl", + "C) $114.55/bbl", + "D) $116.89/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $119.24/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $107.52/bbl\nD) $114.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $119.24/bbl", + "B) $121.58/bbl", + "C) $107.52/bbl", + "D) $114.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $119.24/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $107.52/bbl\nD) $114.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $119.24/bbl", + "B) $121.58/bbl", + "C) $107.52/bbl", + "D) $114.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $119.24/bbl\nC) $121.58/bbl\nD) $109.86/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $114.55/bbl", + "B) $119.24/bbl", + "C) $121.58/bbl", + "D) $109.86/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $119.24/bbl\nC) $121.58/bbl\nD) $109.86/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $114.55/bbl", + "B) $119.24/bbl", + "C) $121.58/bbl", + "D) $109.86/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.89/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $116.89/bbl", + "B) $114.55/bbl", + "C) $109.86/bbl", + "D) $119.24/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.89/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $116.89/bbl", + "B) $114.55/bbl", + "C) $109.86/bbl", + "D) $119.24/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 93.76\nD) 96.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 90.95", + "B) 99.38", + "C) 93.76", + "D) 96.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "93.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 93.76\nD) 96.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 90.95", + "B) 99.38", + "C) 93.76", + "D) 96.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "93.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 96.57\nD) 93.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 90.95", + "B) 99.38", + "C) 96.57", + "D) 93.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "93.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 96.57\nD) 93.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 90.95", + "B) 99.38", + "C) 96.57", + "D) 93.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "93.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 93.76\nB) 96.57\nC) 99.38\nD) 90.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 93.76", + "B) 96.57", + "C) 99.38", + "D) 90.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "93.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 93.76\nB) 96.57\nC) 99.38\nD) 90.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 93.76", + "B) 96.57", + "C) 99.38", + "D) 90.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "93.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 91.84\nB) 94.68\nC) 97.52\nD) 100.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 91.84", + "B) 94.68", + "C) 97.52", + "D) 100.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "94.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 91.84\nB) 94.68\nC) 97.52\nD) 100.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 91.84", + "B) 94.68", + "C) 97.52", + "D) 100.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "94.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 99.00\nB) 93.24\nC) 96.12\nD) 91.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 99.00", + "B) 93.24", + "C) 96.12", + "D) 91.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "96.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 99.00\nB) 93.24\nC) 96.12\nD) 91.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 99.00", + "B) 93.24", + "C) 96.12", + "D) 91.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "96.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 103.47\nB) 99.42\nC) 105.50\nD) 101.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 103.47", + "B) 99.42", + "C) 105.50", + "D) 101.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 103.47\nB) 99.42\nC) 105.50\nD) 101.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 103.47", + "B) 99.42", + "C) 105.50", + "D) 101.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $54.18/bbl\nB) $45.41/bbl\nC) $67.33/bbl\nD) $62.95/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $54.18/bbl", + "B) $45.41/bbl", + "C) $67.33/bbl", + "D) $62.95/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$54.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $54.18/bbl\nB) $45.41/bbl\nC) $67.33/bbl\nD) $62.95/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $54.18/bbl", + "B) $45.41/bbl", + "C) $67.33/bbl", + "D) $62.95/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$54.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $40.30/bbl\nB) $53.45/bbl\nC) $66.60/bbl\nD) $57.83/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $40.30/bbl", + "B) $53.45/bbl", + "C) $66.60/bbl", + "D) $57.83/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$53.45/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $40.30/bbl\nB) $53.45/bbl\nC) $66.60/bbl\nD) $57.83/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $40.30/bbl", + "B) $53.45/bbl", + "C) $66.60/bbl", + "D) $57.83/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$53.45/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $37.15/bbl\nB) $41.54/bbl\nC) $45.92/bbl\nD) $32.77/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $37.15/bbl", + "B) $41.54/bbl", + "C) $45.92/bbl", + "D) $32.77/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$45.92/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $37.15/bbl\nB) $41.54/bbl\nC) $45.92/bbl\nD) $32.77/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $37.15/bbl", + "B) $41.54/bbl", + "C) $45.92/bbl", + "D) $32.77/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$45.92/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $57.23/bbl\nB) $39.70/bbl\nC) $35.31/bbl\nD) $44.08/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $57.23/bbl", + "B) $39.70/bbl", + "C) $35.31/bbl", + "D) $44.08/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$44.08/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $57.23/bbl\nB) $39.70/bbl\nC) $35.31/bbl\nD) $44.08/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $57.23/bbl", + "B) $39.70/bbl", + "C) $35.31/bbl", + "D) $44.08/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$44.08/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $43.93/bbl\nB) $35.16/bbl\nC) $57.08/bbl\nD) $39.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $43.93/bbl", + "B) $35.16/bbl", + "C) $57.08/bbl", + "D) $39.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$43.93/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $43.93/bbl\nB) $35.16/bbl\nC) $57.08/bbl\nD) $39.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $43.93/bbl", + "B) $35.16/bbl", + "C) $57.08/bbl", + "D) $39.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$43.93/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $52.16/bbl\nB) $43.39/bbl\nC) $30.24/bbl\nD) $56.54/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $52.16/bbl", + "B) $43.39/bbl", + "C) $30.24/bbl", + "D) $56.54/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$43.39/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $52.16/bbl\nB) $43.39/bbl\nC) $30.24/bbl\nD) $56.54/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $52.16/bbl", + "B) $43.39/bbl", + "C) $30.24/bbl", + "D) $56.54/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$43.39/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.69\nB) 16.06\nC) 19.44\nD) 18.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 21.69", + "B) 16.06", + "C) 19.44", + "D) 18.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.69\nB) 16.06\nC) 19.44\nD) 18.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 21.69", + "B) 16.06", + "C) 19.44", + "D) 18.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.82\nB) 16.06\nC) 17.19\nD) 19.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 22.82", + "B) 16.06", + "C) 17.19", + "D) 19.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.82\nB) 16.06\nC) 17.19\nD) 19.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 22.82", + "B) 16.06", + "C) 17.19", + "D) 19.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.39\nB) 21.26\nC) 23.52\nD) 25.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 22.39", + "B) 21.26", + "C) 23.52", + "D) 25.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.39\nB) 21.26\nC) 23.52\nD) 25.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 22.39", + "B) 21.26", + "C) 23.52", + "D) 25.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 22.39\nC) 19.01\nD) 23.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 21.26", + "B) 22.39", + "C) 19.01", + "D) 23.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 22.39\nC) 19.01\nD) 23.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 21.26", + "B) 22.39", + "C) 19.01", + "D) 23.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 24.64\nB) 25.77\nC) 22.39\nD) 19.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 24.64", + "B) 25.77", + "C) 22.39", + "D) 19.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 24.64\nB) 25.77\nC) 22.39\nD) 19.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 24.64", + "B) 25.77", + "C) 22.39", + "D) 19.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 24.64\nC) 23.52\nD) 22.39", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 21.26", + "B) 24.64", + "C) 23.52", + "D) 22.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 24.64\nC) 23.52\nD) 22.39", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 21.26", + "B) 24.64", + "C) 23.52", + "D) 22.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 102.35\nB) 104.44\nC) 98.16\nD) 100.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 102.35", + "B) 104.44", + "C) 98.16", + "D) 100.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "102.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 102.35\nB) 104.44\nC) 98.16\nD) 100.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 102.35", + "B) 104.44", + "C) 98.16", + "D) 100.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "102.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 104.99\nB) 102.90\nC) 108.13\nD) 99.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 104.99", + "B) 102.90", + "C) 108.13", + "D) 99.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "102.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 104.99\nB) 102.90\nC) 108.13\nD) 99.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 104.99", + "B) 102.90", + "C) 108.13", + "D) 99.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "102.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 100.49\nB) 105.72\nC) 103.63\nD) 108.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 100.49", + "B) 105.72", + "C) 103.63", + "D) 108.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "103.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 100.49\nB) 105.72\nC) 103.63\nD) 108.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 100.49", + "B) 105.72", + "C) 103.63", + "D) 108.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "103.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 103.67\nB) 107.91\nC) 111.08\nD) 105.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 103.67", + "B) 107.91", + "C) 111.08", + "D) 105.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "105.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 103.67\nB) 107.91\nC) 111.08\nD) 105.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 103.67", + "B) 107.91", + "C) 111.08", + "D) 105.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "105.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 108.92\nB) 116.54\nC) 105.65\nD) 112.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 108.92", + "B) 116.54", + "C) 105.65", + "D) 112.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "108.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 108.92\nB) 116.54\nC) 105.65\nD) 112.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 108.92", + "B) 116.54", + "C) 105.65", + "D) 112.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "108.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 115.45\nB) 108.92\nC) 112.18\nD) 105.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 115.45", + "B) 108.92", + "C) 112.18", + "D) 105.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "108.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 115.45\nB) 108.92\nC) 112.18\nD) 105.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 115.45", + "B) 108.92", + "C) 112.18", + "D) 105.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "108.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,284.38\nB) 5,526.97\nC) 4,781.42\nD) 5,278.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,284.38", + "B) 5,526.97", + "C) 4,781.42", + "D) 5,278.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,781.42", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,284.38\nB) 5,526.97\nC) 4,781.42\nD) 5,278.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,284.38", + "B) 5,526.97", + "C) 4,781.42", + "D) 5,278.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,781.42", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,309.87\nB) 5,055.43\nC) 4,061.36\nD) 4,806.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,309.87", + "B) 5,055.43", + "C) 4,061.36", + "D) 4,806.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,806.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,309.87\nB) 5,055.43\nC) 4,061.36\nD) 4,806.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,309.87", + "B) 5,055.43", + "C) 4,061.36", + "D) 4,806.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,806.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,806.91\nB) 4,558.39\nC) 5,055.43\nD) 4,061.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,806.91", + "B) 4,558.39", + "C) 5,055.43", + "D) 4,061.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,806.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,806.91\nB) 4,558.39\nC) 5,055.43\nD) 4,061.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,806.91", + "B) 4,558.39", + "C) 5,055.43", + "D) 4,061.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,806.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,390.88\nB) 4,893.84\nC) 4,645.32\nD) 5,639.39", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 5,390.88", + "B) 4,893.84", + "C) 4,645.32", + "D) 5,639.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,893.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,390.88\nB) 4,893.84\nC) 4,645.32\nD) 5,639.39", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 5,390.88", + "B) 4,893.84", + "C) 4,645.32", + "D) 5,639.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,893.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,256.62\nB) 4,511.06\nC) 5,008.10\nD) 5,753.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 5,256.62", + "B) 4,511.06", + "C) 5,008.10", + "D) 5,753.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,008.10", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,256.62\nB) 4,511.06\nC) 5,008.10\nD) 5,753.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 5,256.62", + "B) 4,511.06", + "C) 5,008.10", + "D) 5,753.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,008.10", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,609.55\nB) 4,361.04\nC) 4,858.07\nD) 5,106.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,609.55", + "B) 4,361.04", + "C) 4,858.07", + "D) 5,106.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,106.59", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,609.55\nB) 4,361.04\nC) 4,858.07\nD) 5,106.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,609.55", + "B) 4,361.04", + "C) 4,858.07", + "D) 5,106.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,106.59", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2014.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2014.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f8bec0367cd70fee42e9ed60dab097d3ecad42da --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2014.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:a3fc85293ff2bc3360292e23c0e2fbb21d1b673da1256e5f2ff35cdffd852124 +size 31307 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2015.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2015.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f77bcc725bdc782126787770b1ba82d4a77ddb15 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2015.json @@ -0,0 +1,4499 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 1.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.28%", + "B) 0.92%", + "C) 1.16%", + "D) 1.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2087\nB) 1.1266\nC) 1.0445\nD) 1.2908", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2087", + "B) 1.1266", + "C) 1.0445", + "D) 1.2908" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1266", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.42%\nB) -9.51%\nC) -7.49%\nD) -3.45%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.42%", + "B) -9.51%", + "C) -7.49%", + "D) -3.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-7.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $64,726M\nB) $67,583M\nC) $59,011M\nD) $63,297M", + "options": [ + "A) $64,726M", + "B) $67,583M", + "C) $59,011M", + "D) $63,297M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$63,297M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.47\nB) 91.07\nC) 94.31\nD) 99.71", + "options": [ + "A) 96.47", + "B) 91.07", + "C) 94.31", + "D) 99.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "96.47", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.16pp\nB) -1.94pp\nC) -4.62pp\nD) -1.05pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.16pp", + "B) -1.94pp", + "C) -4.62pp", + "D) -1.05pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.94pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.39%\nB) 17.97%\nC) 12.81%\nD) 5.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.39%", + "B) 17.97%", + "C) 12.81%", + "D) 5.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.20%\nB) 12.49%\nC) 9.75%\nD) 4.27%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.20%", + "B) 12.49%", + "C) 9.75%", + "D) 4.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 23.37%\nC) 15.74%\nD) -14.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.47%", + "B) 23.37%", + "C) 15.74%", + "D) -14.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 3.67%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 5.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.44%", + "B) 3.67%", + "C) 2.59%", + "D) 5.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.65%\nB) 0.82%\nC) -0.00%\nD) 1.65%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.65%", + "B) 0.82%", + "C) -0.00%", + "D) 1.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) $10,698B\nB) $11,862B\nC) $10,116B\nD) $10,989B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,698B", + "B) $11,862B", + "C) $10,116B", + "D) $10,989B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$10,989B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.38%\nB) -5.90%\nC) -10.87%\nD) -13.35%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.38%", + "B) -5.90%", + "C) -10.87%", + "D) -13.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-8.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,417K\nB) 1,224K\nC) 935K\nD) 1,128K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,417K", + "B) 1,224K", + "C) 935K", + "D) 1,128K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,224K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 20.58%\nB) -7.54%\nC) -0.51%\nD) -21.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.58%", + "B) -7.54%", + "C) -0.51%", + "D) -21.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.55%\nB) 6.55%\nC) -17.33%\nD) -7.78%", + "options": [ + "A) -12.55%", + "B) 6.55%", + "C) -17.33%", + "D) -7.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-7.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.20\nB) 95.07\nC) 100.38\nD) 92.94", + "options": [ + "A) 97.20", + "B) 95.07", + "C) 100.38", + "D) 92.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "97.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 57.42%\nB) 59.20%\nC) 63.34%\nD) 60.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 57.42%", + "B) 59.20%", + "C) 63.34%", + "D) 60.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "59.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.78%\nB) 5.56%\nC) 7.99%\nD) 9.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.78%", + "B) 5.56%", + "C) 7.99%", + "D) 9.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 168.71\nB) 193.95\nC) 156.09\nD) 175.02", + "options": [ + "A) 168.71", + "B) 193.95", + "C) 156.09", + "D) 175.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "175.02", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.80%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 4.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.80%", + "B) 5.23%", + "C) 4.09%", + "D) 4.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.62%", + "B) 1.94%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 2.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.27%\nB) 60.53%\nC) 62.40%\nD) 65.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.27%", + "B) 60.53%", + "C) 62.40%", + "D) 65.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "62.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 16.94%\nB) -16.09%\nC) -9.49%\nD) 3.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.94%", + "B) -16.09%", + "C) -9.49%", + "D) 3.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.60pp\nB) -1.46pp\nC) +14.79pp\nD) +6.66pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.60pp", + "B) -1.46pp", + "C) +14.79pp", + "D) +6.66pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+2.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.92%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 4.22%\nD) 3.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.92%", + "B) 3.87%", + "C) 4.22%", + "D) 3.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -17.16%\nB) -25.22%\nC) -1.03%\nD) 15.10%", + "options": [ + "A) -17.16%", + "B) -25.22%", + "C) -1.03%", + "D) 15.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) -0.60%\nC) 7.29%\nD) 4.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.03%", + "B) -0.60%", + "C) 7.29%", + "D) 4.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.90%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 6.47%\nD) 7.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.90%", + "B) 5.33%", + "C) 6.47%", + "D) 7.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.04pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.53pp\nD) -0.19pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.04pp", + "B) +0.10pp", + "C) +0.53pp", + "D) -0.19pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.22%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 0.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.22%", + "B) 0.09%", + "C) 0.14%", + "D) 0.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.0128\nB) 6.6959\nC) 6.4032\nD) 6.2080", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0128", + "B) 6.6959", + "C) 6.4032", + "D) 6.2080" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.2080", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.90%\nB) 2.09%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.90%", + "B) 2.09%", + "C) 1.70%", + "D) 2.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,040K\nB) 1,144K\nC) 1,248K\nD) 832K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,040K", + "B) 1,144K", + "C) 1,248K", + "D) 832K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,144K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 183.85\nB) 210.62\nC) 191.50\nD) 199.15", + "options": [ + "A) 183.85", + "B) 210.62", + "C) 191.50", + "D) 199.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "191.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) -0.70%\nC) 0.80%\nD) 0.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.10%", + "B) -0.70%", + "C) 0.80%", + "D) 0.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,176B\nB) $11,318B\nC) $12,748B\nD) $12,462B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,176B", + "B) $11,318B", + "C) $12,748B", + "D) $12,462B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$12,176B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.75pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.37pp\nD) -0.12pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.75pp", + "B) -0.50pp", + "C) -0.37pp", + "D) -0.12pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.82/bbl\nB) $33.16/bbl\nC) $60.99/bbl\nD) $51.71/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $88.82/bbl", + "B) $33.16/bbl", + "C) $60.99/bbl", + "D) $51.71/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$60.99/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 249.94\nB) 231.57\nC) 256.07\nD) 240.75", + "options": [ + "A) 249.94", + "B) 231.57", + "C) 256.07", + "D) 240.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "240.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.78%\nB) 79.57%\nC) 75.10%\nD) 82.24%", + "options": [ + "A) 77.78%", + "B) 79.57%", + "C) 75.10%", + "D) 82.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "77.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 116.08\nB) 109.80\nC) 105.09\nD) 112.94", + "options": [ + "A) 116.08", + "B) 109.80", + "C) 105.09", + "D) 112.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "109.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,094B\nB) $13,263B\nC) $12,386B\nD) $11,509B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,094B", + "B) $13,263B", + "C) $12,386B", + "D) $11,509B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$12,386B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) +2.33pp\nC) -3.69pp\nD) -0.68pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.32pp", + "B) +2.33pp", + "C) -3.69pp", + "D) -0.68pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.68pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,920B\nB) $12,946B\nC) $10,382B\nD) $10,895B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,920B", + "B) $12,946B", + "C) $10,382B", + "D) $10,895B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$11,920B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) -1.30pp\nC) -0.74pp\nD) -1.58pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.46pp", + "B) -1.30pp", + "C) -0.74pp", + "D) -1.58pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,887,686\nB) 1,958,157\nC) 2,268,000\nD) 3,197,528", + "options": [ + "A) 2,887,686", + "B) 1,958,157", + "C) 2,268,000", + "D) 3,197,528" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,268,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.10%", + "B) 1.62%", + "C) 0.85%", + "D) 1.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $439,867M\nB) $403,225M\nC) $452,081M\nD) $427,653M", + "options": [ + "A) $439,867M", + "B) $403,225M", + "C) $452,081M", + "D) $427,653M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$439,867M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 145,752K\nB) 142,275K\nC) 149,230K\nD) 137,059K", + "options": [ + "A) 145,752K", + "B) 142,275K", + "C) 149,230K", + "D) 137,059K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "142,275K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.43%\nB) 6.56%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 3.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.43%", + "B) 6.56%", + "C) 5.68%", + "D) 3.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.54pp\nB) +0.79pp\nC) +1.03pp\nD) +0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.54pp", + "B) +0.79pp", + "C) +1.03pp", + "D) +0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 960K\nB) 1,142K\nC) 1,233K\nD) 869K", + "options": [ + "A) 960K", + "B) 1,142K", + "C) 1,233K", + "D) 869K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "960K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -5.26%\nB) -8.91%\nC) -1.61%\nD) -16.21%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.26%", + "B) -8.91%", + "C) -1.61%", + "D) -16.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-8.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.42%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 1.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.42%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 2.08%", + "D) 1.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.98%\nB) 63.34%\nC) 57.42%\nD) 59.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.98%", + "B) 63.34%", + "C) 57.42%", + "D) 59.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "59.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) -46.23%\nB) -84.83%\nC) -7.62%\nD) -33.36%", + "options": [ + "A) -46.23%", + "B) -84.83%", + "C) -7.62%", + "D) -33.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-46.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) $82.23/bbl\nB) $59.53/bbl\nC) $44.39/bbl\nD) $51.96/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $82.23/bbl", + "B) $59.53/bbl", + "C) $44.39/bbl", + "D) $51.96/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$59.53/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,518K\nB) 137,720K\nC) 140,923K\nD) 145,727K", + "options": [ + "A) 134,518K", + "B) 137,720K", + "C) 140,923K", + "D) 145,727K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "140,923K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 321,583\nB) 295,291\nC) 190,126\nD) 269,000", + "options": [ + "A) 321,583", + "B) 295,291", + "C) 190,126", + "D) 269,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "269,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 2.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.09%", + "B) 3.38%", + "C) 3.95%", + "D) 2.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.78%\nB) -4.93%\nC) 2.21%\nD) -8.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.78%", + "B) -4.93%", + "C) 2.21%", + "D) -8.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-4.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 109.6064\nB) 102.7196\nC) 123.3800\nD) 130.2668", + "options": [ + "A) 109.6064", + "B) 102.7196", + "C) 123.3800", + "D) 130.2668" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "123.3800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.49\nB) 96.62\nC) 73.06\nD) 87.20", + "options": [ + "A) 82.49", + "B) 96.62", + "C) 73.06", + "D) 87.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "87.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 1.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.75%", + "B) 1.29%", + "C) 2.42%", + "D) 1.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 35.13%\nB) 19.65%\nC) -3.57%\nD) 11.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 35.13%", + "B) 19.65%", + "C) -3.57%", + "D) 11.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 7.29%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 4.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.14%", + "B) 7.29%", + "C) 5.40%", + "D) 4.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 2.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.62%", + "B) 3.79%", + "C) 0.43%", + "D) 2.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.48\nB) 95.48\nC) 93.47\nD) 99.48", + "options": [ + "A) 97.48", + "B) 95.48", + "C) 93.47", + "D) 99.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "97.48", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.58\nB) 189.10\nC) 180.39\nD) 197.81", + "options": [ + "A) 174.58", + "B) 189.10", + "C) 180.39", + "D) 197.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "189.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $-39,482M\nB) $-45,959M\nC) $-41,641M\nD) $-43,800M", + "options": [ + "A) $-39,482M", + "B) $-45,959M", + "C) $-41,641M", + "D) $-43,800M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-41,641M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.89%\nB) -0.39%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 2.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.89%", + "B) -0.39%", + "C) 0.49%", + "D) 2.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.81%\nB) -1.38%\nC) 0.88%\nD) -1.94%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.81%", + "B) -1.38%", + "C) 0.88%", + "D) -1.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.09%\nD) 3.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.56%", + "B) 2.36%", + "C) 2.09%", + "D) 3.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,031M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $4,031M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$4,031M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $234,295M\nB) $192,918M\nC) $226,019M\nD) $217,744M", + "options": [ + "A) $234,295M", + "B) $192,918M", + "C) $226,019M", + "D) $217,744M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$217,744M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 7.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.68%", + "B) 3.61%", + "C) 1.45%", + "D) 7.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 233.97\nB) 243.32\nC) 252.67\nD) 258.90", + "options": [ + "A) 233.97", + "B) 243.32", + "C) 252.67", + "D) 258.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "243.32", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.45%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 0.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.45%", + "B) 1.21%", + "C) 0.07%", + "D) 0.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,718B\nB) $11,145B\nC) $12,688B\nD) $12,174B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,718B", + "B) $11,145B", + "C) $12,688B", + "D) $12,174B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$12,174B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $-48,732M\nB) $-42,514M\nC) $-54,950M\nD) $-44,587M", + "options": [ + "A) $-48,732M", + "B) $-42,514M", + "C) $-54,950M", + "D) $-44,587M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-48,732M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.47%\nB) 62.60%\nC) 63.85%\nD) 61.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.47%", + "B) 62.60%", + "C) 63.85%", + "D) 61.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "62.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.08%\nB) -11.84%\nC) -2.27%\nD) -7.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.08%", + "B) -11.84%", + "C) -2.27%", + "D) -7.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-2.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.19\nB) 92.38\nC) 105.69\nD) 101.89", + "options": [ + "A) 96.19", + "B) 92.38", + "C) 105.69", + "D) 101.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.89", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 1.64%\nC) 2.18%\nD) 2.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.00%", + "B) 1.64%", + "C) 2.18%", + "D) 2.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.06%\nB) 0.11%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 0.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.06%", + "B) 0.11%", + "C) 0.01%", + "D) 0.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.72%\nD) 0.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.88%", + "B) 0.64%", + "C) 0.72%", + "D) 0.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $21.46/hr\nB) $22.02/hr\nC) $20.08/hr\nD) $20.91/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $21.46/hr", + "B) $22.02/hr", + "C) $20.08/hr", + "D) $20.91/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$20.91/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 237.50\nB) 245.78\nC) 229.22\nD) 251.30", + "options": [ + "A) 237.50", + "B) 245.78", + "C) 229.22", + "D) 251.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "237.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 784K\nB) 1,072K\nC) 1,264K\nD) 1,360K", + "options": [ + "A) 784K", + "B) 1,072K", + "C) 1,264K", + "D) 1,360K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,072K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 108.84\nB) 105.61\nC) 100.75\nD) 97.52", + "options": [ + "A) 108.84", + "B) 105.61", + "C) 100.75", + "D) 97.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "100.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 93.51\nB) 100.50\nC) 102.83\nD) 97.01", + "options": [ + "A) 93.51", + "B) 100.50", + "C) 102.83", + "D) 97.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "97.01", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 1.49%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.71%", + "B) 1.49%", + "C) 2.38%", + "D) 1.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.29%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 3.97%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.31%", + "B) 3.29%", + "C) 3.63%", + "D) 3.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 1.15%\nC) 2.13%\nD) 0.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.60%", + "B) 1.15%", + "C) 2.13%", + "D) 0.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.28\nB) 114.72\nC) 112.31\nD) 109.90", + "options": [ + "A) 106.28", + "B) 114.72", + "C) 112.31", + "D) 109.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "109.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 28.67%\nC) 21.18%\nD) 13.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.22%", + "B) 28.67%", + "C) 21.18%", + "D) 13.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.20%\nB) 0.02%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 0.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.20%", + "B) 0.02%", + "C) 0.07%", + "D) 0.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 173.33\nB) 152.29\nC) 168.07\nD) 162.81", + "options": [ + "A) 173.33", + "B) 152.29", + "C) 168.07", + "D) 162.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "168.07", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.97pp\nB) +2.09pp\nC) +2.31pp\nD) +1.64pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.97pp", + "B) +2.09pp", + "C) +2.31pp", + "D) +1.64pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+1.64pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $21.09/hr\nB) $22.53/hr\nC) $21.66/hr\nD) $20.23/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $21.09/hr", + "B) $22.53/hr", + "C) $21.66/hr", + "D) $20.23/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$21.09/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) -65.19%\nB) -44.62%\nC) -54.90%\nD) -34.33%", + "options": [ + "A) -65.19%", + "B) -44.62%", + "C) -54.90%", + "D) -34.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-44.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,028M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $4,028M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$4,028M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.42%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 4.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.37%", + "B) 4.42%", + "C) 3.79%", + "D) 4.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.24%\nB) -4.80%\nC) -1.39%\nD) -3.09%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.24%", + "B) -4.80%", + "C) -1.39%", + "D) -3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-2.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $58,688M\nB) $65,042M\nC) $67,160M\nD) $62,924M", + "options": [ + "A) $58,688M", + "B) $65,042M", + "C) $67,160M", + "D) $62,924M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$65,042M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,522B\nB) $12,717B\nC) $13,620B\nD) $14,221B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,522B", + "B) $12,717B", + "C) $13,620B", + "D) $14,221B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$13,620B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.64pp\nB) -0.04pp\nC) -0.16pp\nD) -0.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.64pp", + "B) -0.04pp", + "C) -0.16pp", + "D) -0.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,398B\nB) $13,100B\nC) $14,291B\nD) $13,695B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,398B", + "B) $13,100B", + "C) $14,291B", + "D) $13,695B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$13,398B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 219.61\nB) 235.98\nC) 242.52\nD) 226.16", + "options": [ + "A) 219.61", + "B) 235.98", + "C) 242.52", + "D) 226.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "235.98", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $240,307M\nB) $209,794M\nC) $230,136M\nD) $199,623M", + "options": [ + "A) $240,307M", + "B) $209,794M", + "C) $230,136M", + "D) $199,623M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$230,136M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.28%\nB) 0.82%\nC) -0.86%\nD) -0.02%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.28%", + "B) 0.82%", + "C) -0.86%", + "D) -0.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $433,647M\nB) $447,081M\nC) $406,778M\nD) $460,516M", + "options": [ + "A) $433,647M", + "B) $447,081M", + "C) $406,778M", + "D) $460,516M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$433,647M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.02%\nB) 0.01%\nC) -1.53%\nD) 1.03%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.02%", + "B) 0.01%", + "C) -1.53%", + "D) 1.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 101.28\nB) 103.64\nC) 106.00\nD) 98.92", + "options": [ + "A) 101.28", + "B) 103.64", + "C) 106.00", + "D) 98.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "106.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 5.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.34%", + "B) 5.67%", + "C) 4.33%", + "D) 5.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +13.00pp\nB) +21.02pp\nC) +4.98pp\nD) +17.01pp", + "options": [ + "A) +13.00pp", + "B) +21.02pp", + "C) +4.98pp", + "D) +17.01pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+13.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.13%\nB) 76.98%\nC) 79.29%\nD) 74.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 73.13%", + "B) 76.98%", + "C) 79.29%", + "D) 74.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "76.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,614.04\nB) 4,198.12\nC) 5,029.97\nD) 3,782.19", + "options": [ + "A) 4,614.04", + "B) 4,198.12", + "C) 5,029.97", + "D) 3,782.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,029.97", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 100.81\nB) 96.91\nC) 81.28\nD) 93.00", + "options": [ + "A) 100.81", + "B) 96.91", + "C) 81.28", + "D) 93.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "93.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.90pp\nB) -0.75pp\nC) -1.20pp\nD) -1.05pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.90pp", + "B) -0.75pp", + "C) -1.20pp", + "D) -1.05pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.23%\nB) -1.08%\nC) -2.51%\nD) 1.07%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.23%", + "B) -1.08%", + "C) -2.51%", + "D) 1.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.17%\nB) 25.71%\nC) 16.69%\nD) 3.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.17%", + "B) 25.71%", + "C) 16.69%", + "D) 3.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "16.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.59%\nB) 4.97%\nC) 3.81%\nD) 6.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.59%", + "B) 4.97%", + "C) 3.81%", + "D) 6.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.39\nB) 6.48\nC) 12.42\nD) 9.45", + "options": [ + "A) 15.39", + "B) 6.48", + "C) 12.42", + "D) 9.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.39", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.2702\nB) 6.3982\nC) 6.5901\nD) 6.7181", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.2702", + "B) 6.3982", + "C) 6.5901", + "D) 6.7181" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.3982", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.2702\nB) 6.3982\nC) 6.5901\nD) 6.7181", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.2702", + "B) 6.3982", + "C) 6.5901", + "D) 6.7181" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.3982", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.6046\nC) 6.4122\nD) 6.2198", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0916", + "B) 6.6046", + "C) 6.4122", + "D) 6.2198" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.6046\nC) 6.4122\nD) 6.2198", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0916", + "B) 6.6046", + "C) 6.4122", + "D) 6.2198" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.4122", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0916", + "B) 6.2198", + "C) 6.6046", + "D) 6.4122" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.4122", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0916", + "B) 6.2198", + "C) 6.6046", + "D) 6.4122" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.4122\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.7328", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.4122", + "B) 6.2198", + "C) 6.6046", + "D) 6.7328" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.4122\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.7328", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.4122", + "B) 6.2198", + "C) 6.6046", + "D) 6.7328" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.6046\nB) 6.4122\nC) 6.7328\nD) 6.2198", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.6046", + "B) 6.4122", + "C) 6.7328", + "D) 6.2198" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.6046\nB) 6.4122\nC) 6.7328\nD) 6.2198", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.6046", + "B) 6.4122", + "C) 6.7328", + "D) 6.2198" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.7251\nB) 6.2635\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.4613", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7251", + "B) 6.2635", + "C) 6.5932", + "D) 6.4613" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.5932", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.7251\nB) 6.2635\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.4613", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7251", + "B) 6.2635", + "C) 6.5932", + "D) 6.4613" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.5932", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 4,877.30\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,091.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,448.50", + "B) 4,877.30", + "C) 4,662.90", + "D) 5,091.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 4,877.30\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,091.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,448.50", + "B) 4,877.30", + "C) 4,662.90", + "D) 5,091.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,091.70\nB) 5,734.90\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,520.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 5,091.70", + "B) 5,734.90", + "C) 4,662.90", + "D) 5,520.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,091.70\nB) 5,734.90\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,520.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 5,091.70", + "B) 5,734.90", + "C) 4,662.90", + "D) 5,520.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 5,091.70\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,306.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,448.50", + "B) 5,091.70", + "C) 4,662.90", + "D) 5,306.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 5,091.70\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,306.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,448.50", + "B) 5,091.70", + "C) 4,662.90", + "D) 5,306.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,877.30\nB) 4,448.50\nC) 5,091.70\nD) 5,306.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,877.30", + "B) 4,448.50", + "C) 5,091.70", + "D) 5,306.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,877.30\nB) 4,448.50\nC) 5,091.70\nD) 5,306.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,877.30", + "B) 4,448.50", + "C) 5,091.70", + "D) 5,306.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,716.33\nB) 5,573.93\nC) 5,359.53\nD) 5,145.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,716.33", + "B) 5,573.93", + "C) 5,359.53", + "D) 5,145.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,145.13", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,716.33\nB) 5,573.93\nC) 5,359.53\nD) 5,145.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,716.33", + "B) 5,573.93", + "C) 5,359.53", + "D) 5,145.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,145.13", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,156.31\nB) 5,799.51\nC) 4,727.51\nD) 4,513.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 5,156.31", + "B) 5,799.51", + "C) 4,727.51", + "D) 4,513.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,156.31", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,156.31\nB) 5,799.51\nC) 4,727.51\nD) 4,513.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 5,156.31", + "B) 5,799.51", + "C) 4,727.51", + "D) 4,513.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,156.31", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 15.00\nB) 13.79\nC) 10.15\nD) 17.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 15.00", + "B) 13.79", + "C) 10.15", + "D) 17.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 15.00\nB) 13.79\nC) 10.15\nD) 17.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 15.00", + "B) 13.79", + "C) 10.15", + "D) 17.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 39.53\nB) 44.38\nC) 40.74\nD) 41.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 39.53", + "B) 44.38", + "C) 40.74", + "D) 41.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 39.53\nB) 44.38\nC) 40.74\nD) 41.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 39.53", + "B) 44.38", + "C) 40.74", + "D) 41.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 43.17\nC) 37.10\nD) 40.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 43.17", + "C) 37.10", + "D) 40.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 43.17\nC) 37.10\nD) 40.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 43.17", + "C) 37.10", + "D) 40.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 40.74\nB) 39.53\nC) 43.17\nD) 44.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 40.74", + "B) 39.53", + "C) 43.17", + "D) 44.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 40.74\nB) 39.53\nC) 43.17\nD) 44.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 40.74", + "B) 39.53", + "C) 43.17", + "D) 44.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.74\nC) 44.38\nD) 41.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 40.74", + "C) 44.38", + "D) 41.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.74\nC) 44.38\nD) 41.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 40.74", + "C) 44.38", + "D) 41.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 41.95\nC) 40.74\nD) 39.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 41.95", + "C) 40.74", + "D) 39.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 41.95\nC) 40.74\nD) 39.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 41.95", + "C) 40.74", + "D) 39.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $19.58/bbl\nB) $53.10/bbl\nC) $75.45/bbl\nD) $41.93/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $19.58/bbl", + "B) $53.10/bbl", + "C) $75.45/bbl", + "D) $41.93/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$41.93/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $19.58/bbl\nB) $53.10/bbl\nC) $75.45/bbl\nD) $41.93/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $19.58/bbl", + "B) $53.10/bbl", + "C) $75.45/bbl", + "D) $41.93/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$41.93/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $38.22/bbl\nB) $27.05/bbl\nC) $4.70/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $38.22/bbl", + "B) $27.05/bbl", + "C) $4.70/bbl", + "D) $49.39/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $38.22/bbl\nB) $27.05/bbl\nC) $4.70/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $38.22/bbl", + "B) $27.05/bbl", + "C) $4.70/bbl", + "D) $49.39/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $71.74/bbl\nB) $38.22/bbl\nC) $27.05/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $71.74/bbl", + "B) $38.22/bbl", + "C) $27.05/bbl", + "D) $49.39/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $71.74/bbl\nB) $38.22/bbl\nC) $27.05/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $71.74/bbl", + "B) $38.22/bbl", + "C) $27.05/bbl", + "D) $49.39/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $4.70/bbl\nB) $60.57/bbl\nC) $38.22/bbl\nD) $71.74/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $4.70/bbl", + "B) $60.57/bbl", + "C) $38.22/bbl", + "D) $71.74/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $4.70/bbl\nB) $60.57/bbl\nC) $38.22/bbl\nD) $71.74/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $4.70/bbl", + "B) $60.57/bbl", + "C) $38.22/bbl", + "D) $71.74/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $4.70/bbl\nC) $71.74/bbl\nD) $38.22/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $15.87/bbl", + "B) $4.70/bbl", + "C) $71.74/bbl", + "D) $38.22/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $4.70/bbl\nC) $71.74/bbl\nD) $38.22/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $15.87/bbl", + "B) $4.70/bbl", + "C) $71.74/bbl", + "D) $38.22/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $60.20/bbl\nC) $4.33/bbl\nD) $15.51/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $26.68/bbl", + "B) $60.20/bbl", + "C) $4.33/bbl", + "D) $15.51/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $60.20/bbl\nC) $4.33/bbl\nD) $15.51/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $26.68/bbl", + "B) $60.20/bbl", + "C) $4.33/bbl", + "D) $15.51/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 0.42%", + "D) 0.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 0.42%", + "D) 0.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 0.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.42%", + "C) 0.34%", + "D) 0.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 0.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.42%", + "C) 0.34%", + "D) 0.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.49%", + "B) 0.27%", + "C) 0.42%", + "D) 0.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.49%", + "B) 0.27%", + "C) 0.42%", + "D) 0.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.03%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.96%", + "B) 0.81%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 1.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.03%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.96%", + "B) 0.81%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 1.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.03%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.03%", + "B) 0.96%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.03%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.03%", + "B) 0.96%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) 0.63%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 0.92%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.78%", + "B) 0.63%", + "C) 0.85%", + "D) 0.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.85%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) 0.63%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 0.92%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.78%", + "B) 0.63%", + "C) 0.85%", + "D) 0.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.85%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.64%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.79%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 0.42%", + "D) 0.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.64%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.79%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 0.42%", + "D) 0.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.79%\nD) 0.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.64%", + "B) 0.42%", + "C) 0.79%", + "D) 0.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.79%\nD) 0.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.64%", + "B) 0.42%", + "C) 0.79%", + "D) 0.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.71%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.86%", + "B) 0.64%", + "C) 0.49%", + "D) 0.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.71%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.86%", + "B) 0.64%", + "C) 0.49%", + "D) 0.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.48%", + "B) 1.90%", + "C) 2.19%", + "D) 2.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.48%", + "B) 1.90%", + "C) 2.19%", + "D) 2.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 2.19%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.48%", + "B) 2.33%", + "C) 2.62%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 2.19%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.48%", + "B) 2.33%", + "C) 2.62%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.17%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 2.32%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.03%", + "B) 2.17%", + "C) 1.74%", + "D) 2.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.17%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 2.32%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.03%", + "B) 2.17%", + "C) 1.74%", + "D) 2.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.20%", + "B) 1.63%", + "C) 1.92%", + "D) 1.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.20%", + "B) 1.63%", + "C) 1.92%", + "D) 1.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.06%", + "B) 1.77%", + "C) 1.63%", + "D) 1.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.06%", + "B) 1.77%", + "C) 1.63%", + "D) 1.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.63%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.77%", + "B) 1.20%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 1.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.63%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.77%", + "B) 1.20%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 1.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2015.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2015.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..8445bcd512a0ab11399da441e5c6542905a0bc5b --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2015.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:8936e7123814ade05fb5f6071d92803fff7d664aa481eaf98ed850126ec00338 +size 30286 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2016.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2016.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..9d8c0447fc215a7623e16b768ac8b3d85ed3a301 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2016.json @@ -0,0 +1,6392 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.30%", + "B) 2.63%", + "C) 1.96%", + "D) 2.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.22pp\nB) -1.66pp\nC) -4.00pp\nD) -0.89pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.22pp", + "B) -1.66pp", + "C) -4.00pp", + "D) -0.89pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.66pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.82\nB) 76.53\nC) 91.00\nD) 105.47", + "options": [ + "A) 95.82", + "B) 76.53", + "C) 91.00", + "D) 105.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "91.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 91.33\nB) 94.12\nC) 101.10\nD) 98.31", + "options": [ + "A) 91.33", + "B) 94.12", + "C) 101.10", + "D) 98.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "98.31", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 8.45%\nC) 5.48%\nD) 7.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.22%", + "B) 8.45%", + "C) 5.48%", + "D) 7.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 113.9208\nB) 105.8700\nC) 89.7684\nD) 81.7176", + "options": [ + "A) 113.9208", + "B) 105.8700", + "C) 89.7684", + "D) 81.7176" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "105.8700", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.90%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.79%", + "B) 0.90%", + "C) 0.69%", + "D) 0.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.24%\nB) -0.75%\nC) -4.48%\nD) -1.99%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.24%", + "B) -0.75%", + "C) -4.48%", + "D) -1.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 5.85%\nD) 9.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.05%", + "B) 4.64%", + "C) 5.85%", + "D) 9.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 190.88\nB) 186.90\nC) 174.97\nD) 178.95", + "options": [ + "A) 190.88", + "B) 186.90", + "C) 174.97", + "D) 178.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "186.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $-32,589M\nB) $-34,695M\nC) $-36,801M\nD) $-41,013M", + "options": [ + "A) $-32,589M", + "B) $-34,695M", + "C) $-36,801M", + "D) $-41,013M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-36,801M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -8.30%\nB) 15.39%\nC) 3.54%\nD) -20.15%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.30%", + "B) 15.39%", + "C) 3.54%", + "D) -20.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-20.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 110.60\nB) 108.39\nC) 106.18\nD) 113.92", + "options": [ + "A) 110.60", + "B) 108.39", + "C) 106.18", + "D) 113.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "110.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 20.46%\nB) 13.90%\nC) 33.59%\nD) 27.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.46%", + "B) 13.90%", + "C) 33.59%", + "D) 27.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $12,898B\nB) $14,411B\nC) $13,806B\nD) $14,109B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,898B", + "B) $14,411B", + "C) $13,806B", + "D) $14,109B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$13,806B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $21.99/hr\nB) $20.79/hr\nC) $20.20/hr\nD) $21.39/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $21.99/hr", + "B) $20.79/hr", + "C) $20.20/hr", + "D) $21.39/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$21.39/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.91pp\nB) +0.48pp\nC) +1.34pp\nD) +1.55pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.91pp", + "B) +0.48pp", + "C) +1.34pp", + "D) +1.55pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.91pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.79%\nB) 62.90%\nC) 61.01%\nD) 59.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.79%", + "B) 62.90%", + "C) 61.01%", + "D) 59.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "62.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) -0.21%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 6.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.98%", + "B) -0.21%", + "C) 2.93%", + "D) 6.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) $23.93/bbl\nB) $83.90/bbl\nC) $35.93/bbl\nD) $47.92/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $23.93/bbl", + "B) $83.90/bbl", + "C) $35.93/bbl", + "D) $47.92/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$47.92/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.14\nB) 23.10\nC) 29.01\nD) 17.18", + "options": [ + "A) 20.14", + "B) 23.10", + "C) 29.01", + "D) 17.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.14", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.83\nB) 97.88\nC) 100.94\nD) 102.99", + "options": [ + "A) 95.83", + "B) 97.88", + "C) 100.94", + "D) 102.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "97.88", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) -0.89%\nC) -0.09%\nD) -1.69%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.49%", + "B) -0.89%", + "C) -0.09%", + "D) -1.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +6.10pp\nB) -14.15pp\nC) -6.05pp\nD) -2.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) +6.10pp", + "B) -14.15pp", + "C) -6.05pp", + "D) -2.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-2.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 3.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.51%", + "B) 1.96%", + "C) 2.15%", + "D) 3.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70%\nB) 0.64%\nC) -1.36%\nD) 1.30%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.70%", + "B) 0.64%", + "C) -1.36%", + "D) 1.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.72%\nB) 8.22%\nC) 15.73%\nD) -6.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.72%", + "B) 8.22%", + "C) 15.73%", + "D) -6.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 919K\nB) 820K\nC) 1,217K\nD) 1,118K", + "options": [ + "A) 919K", + "B) 820K", + "C) 1,217K", + "D) 1,118K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,118K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.60pp\nB) +0.87pp\nC) +1.00pp\nD) +0.47pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.60pp", + "B) +0.87pp", + "C) +1.00pp", + "D) +0.47pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 5.07%\nC) 12.32%\nD) 2.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.23%", + "B) 5.07%", + "C) 12.32%", + "D) 2.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.95%\nB) 0.62%\nC) 1.55%\nD) 2.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.95%", + "B) 0.62%", + "C) 1.55%", + "D) 2.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 0.91%\nD) 1.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.66%", + "B) 0.73%", + "C) 0.91%", + "D) 1.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.82%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 1.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.46%", + "B) 1.82%", + "C) 1.21%", + "D) 1.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 162.92\nB) 176.58\nC) 190.24\nD) 183.41", + "options": [ + "A) 162.92", + "B) 176.58", + "C) 190.24", + "D) 183.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "176.58", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.26%\nB) -14.52%\nC) -7.26%\nD) -29.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.26%", + "B) -14.52%", + "C) -7.26%", + "D) -29.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-7.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0703\nB) 1.1775\nC) 1.0167\nD) 1.1239", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0703", + "B) 1.1775", + "C) 1.0167", + "D) 1.1239" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1239", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 143,662K\nB) 152,648K\nC) 149,054K\nD) 140,068K", + "options": [ + "A) 143,662K", + "B) 152,648K", + "C) 149,054K", + "D) 140,068K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "143,662K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 4.76%\nD) 7.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.47%", + "B) 5.90%", + "C) 4.76%", + "D) 7.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,053K\nB) 1,553K\nC) 1,303K\nD) 1,220K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,053K", + "B) 1,553K", + "C) 1,303K", + "D) 1,220K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,303K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -5.07pp\nB) -0.18pp\nC) -1.81pp\nD) -2.62pp", + "options": [ + "A) -5.07pp", + "B) -0.18pp", + "C) -1.81pp", + "D) -2.62pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-2.62pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.00pp\nB) -7.76pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +7.92pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.00pp", + "B) -7.76pp", + "C) +0.08pp", + "D) +7.92pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+4.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 58.01%\nB) 59.80%\nC) 62.79%\nD) 61.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 58.01%", + "B) 59.80%", + "C) 62.79%", + "D) 61.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "59.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.31%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.40%\nD) 0.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.31%", + "B) 0.64%", + "C) 0.40%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,369B\nB) $10,974B\nC) $12,948B\nD) $11,764B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,369B", + "B) $10,974B", + "C) $12,948B", + "D) $11,764B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$11,764B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 245.91\nB) 239.69\nC) 261.47\nD) 252.14", + "options": [ + "A) 245.91", + "B) 239.69", + "C) 261.47", + "D) 252.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "245.91", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 18,169.38\nB) 17,640.17\nC) 17,110.96\nD) 18,522.18", + "options": [ + "A) 18,169.38", + "B) 17,640.17", + "C) 17,110.96", + "D) 18,522.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "17,640.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,414,175\nB) 1,651,650\nC) 2,160,000\nD) 1,905,825", + "options": [ + "A) 2,414,175", + "B) 1,651,650", + "C) 2,160,000", + "D) 1,905,825" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,160,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $22.26/hr\nB) $20.35/hr\nC) $20.98/hr\nD) $21.62/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $22.26/hr", + "B) $20.35/hr", + "C) $20.98/hr", + "D) $21.62/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$21.62/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.37%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 0.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.26%", + "B) 0.37%", + "C) 0.15%", + "D) 0.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $197,391M\nB) $217,396M\nC) $224,064M\nD) $230,733M", + "options": [ + "A) $197,391M", + "B) $217,396M", + "C) $224,064M", + "D) $230,733M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$217,396M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.49%\nB) 57.91%\nC) 59.70%\nD) 56.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.49%", + "B) 57.91%", + "C) 59.70%", + "D) 56.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "59.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 2.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.31%", + "B) 3.65%", + "C) 2.28%", + "D) 2.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $59,556M\nB) $58,092M\nC) $62,484M\nD) $55,165M", + "options": [ + "A) $59,556M", + "B) $58,092M", + "C) $62,484M", + "D) $55,165M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$59,556M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.34%", + "B) 3.72%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 4.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.15%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 1.11%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.15%", + "B) 0.27%", + "C) 0.69%", + "D) 1.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.08%\nB) -7.57%\nC) -2.25%\nD) -4.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.08%", + "B) -7.57%", + "C) -2.25%", + "D) -4.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-4.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.61%\nB) -13.66%\nC) 3.96%\nD) -17.19%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.61%", + "B) -13.66%", + "C) 3.96%", + "D) -17.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-6.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.81pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.54pp\nD) -0.26pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.81pp", + "B) -0.40pp", + "C) -0.54pp", + "D) -0.26pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,700.64\nB) 3,969.22\nC) 4,834.93\nD) 3,536.36", + "options": [ + "A) 5,700.64", + "B) 3,969.22", + "C) 4,834.93", + "D) 3,536.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,834.93", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 73.66%\nB) 78.92%\nC) 76.66%\nD) 75.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 73.66%", + "B) 78.92%", + "C) 76.66%", + "D) 75.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "75.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 1.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 2.10%", + "C) 2.25%", + "D) 1.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 119.89\nB) 111.77\nC) 99.58\nD) 123.95", + "options": [ + "A) 119.89", + "B) 111.77", + "C) 99.58", + "D) 123.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "111.77", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,898M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $3,898M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$3,898M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.03%\nC) 5.66%\nD) 5.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.34%", + "B) 3.03%", + "C) 5.66%", + "D) 5.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -4.36%\nB) -20.46%\nC) 11.74%\nD) 1.00%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.36%", + "B) -20.46%", + "C) 11.74%", + "D) 1.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-4.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 191.54\nB) 182.10\nC) 166.37\nD) 175.81", + "options": [ + "A) 191.54", + "B) 182.10", + "C) 166.37", + "D) 175.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "182.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.04%\nB) -5.37%\nC) -1.16%\nD) 0.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.04%", + "B) -5.37%", + "C) -1.16%", + "D) 0.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) $90.60/bbl\nB) $18.72/bbl\nC) $33.09/bbl\nD) $47.47/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $90.60/bbl", + "B) $18.72/bbl", + "C) $33.09/bbl", + "D) $47.47/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$47.47/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 98.83\nB) 95.83\nC) 102.84\nD) 100.84", + "options": [ + "A) 98.83", + "B) 95.83", + "C) 102.84", + "D) 100.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "98.83", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,558B\nB) $13,055B\nC) $13,554B\nD) $14,552B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,558B", + "B) $13,055B", + "C) $13,554B", + "D) $14,552B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$13,055B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,953B\nB) $14,642B\nC) $14,019B\nD) $13,396B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,953B", + "B) $14,642B", + "C) $14,019B", + "D) $13,396B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$14,019B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 7.04%\nC) 6.36%\nD) 5.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.32%", + "B) 7.04%", + "C) 6.36%", + "D) 5.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) +0.44pp\nC) -0.44pp\nD) -0.15pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.00pp", + "B) +0.44pp", + "C) -0.44pp", + "D) -0.15pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -9.05%\nB) -5.91%\nC) 0.37%\nD) -15.33%", + "options": [ + "A) -9.05%", + "B) -5.91%", + "C) 0.37%", + "D) -15.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-5.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 827K\nB) 1,395K\nC) 1,111K\nD) 922K", + "options": [ + "A) 827K", + "B) 1,395K", + "C) 1,111K", + "D) 922K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,111K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.28%\nB) 0.43%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.28%", + "B) 0.43%", + "C) 0.51%", + "D) 0.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.24%\nB) 9.30%\nC) 6.55%\nD) 8.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.24%", + "B) 9.30%", + "C) 6.55%", + "D) 8.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $64,588M\nB) $60,742M\nC) $56,896M\nD) $59,460M", + "options": [ + "A) $64,588M", + "B) $60,742M", + "C) $56,896M", + "D) $59,460M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$60,742M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.60\nB) 95.72\nC) 97.67\nD) 92.79", + "options": [ + "A) 100.60", + "B) 95.72", + "C) 97.67", + "D) 92.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "97.67", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.77%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 3.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.77%", + "B) 0.70%", + "C) 5.30%", + "D) 3.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.00%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 64.89%\nD) 66.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.00%", + "B) 61.11%", + "C) 64.89%", + "D) 66.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "63.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $442,660M\nB) $453,056M\nC) $421,867M\nD) $432,264M", + "options": [ + "A) $442,660M", + "B) $453,056M", + "C) $421,867M", + "D) $432,264M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$453,056M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 258.32\nB) 242.52\nC) 248.84\nD) 236.20", + "options": [ + "A) 258.32", + "B) 242.52", + "C) 248.84", + "D) 236.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "248.84", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $225,760M\nB) $203,645M\nC) $233,131M\nD) $218,388M", + "options": [ + "A) $225,760M", + "B) $203,645M", + "C) $233,131M", + "D) $218,388M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$218,388M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -20.10%\nB) -33.57%\nC) -47.04%\nD) -6.63%", + "options": [ + "A) -20.10%", + "B) -33.57%", + "C) -47.04%", + "D) -6.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-20.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 245.22\nB) 238.08\nC) 230.94\nD) 223.80", + "options": [ + "A) 245.22", + "B) 238.08", + "C) 230.94", + "D) 223.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "238.08", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 161.99\nB) 205.86\nC) 183.93\nD) 198.55", + "options": [ + "A) 161.99", + "B) 205.86", + "C) 183.93", + "D) 198.55" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "183.93", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.10pp\nB) +0.90pp\nC) +0.24pp\nD) +0.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.10pp", + "B) +0.90pp", + "C) +0.24pp", + "D) +0.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 261,000\nB) 308,153\nC) 237,424\nD) 213,847", + "options": [ + "A) 261,000", + "B) 308,153", + "C) 237,424", + "D) 213,847" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "261,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.57%\nB) 75.31%\nC) 71.55%\nD) 73.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 77.57%", + "B) 75.31%", + "C) 71.55%", + "D) 73.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "75.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 2.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.16%", + "B) 2.05%", + "C) 2.27%", + "D) 2.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $13,421B\nB) $11,653B\nC) $13,126B\nD) $12,537B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,421B", + "B) $11,653B", + "C) $13,126B", + "D) $12,537B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$12,537B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.89%\nB) 0.99%\nC) -0.82%\nD) 4.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.89%", + "B) 0.99%", + "C) -0.82%", + "D) 4.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.26%\nB) 3.05%\nC) -0.16%\nD) 4.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.26%", + "B) 3.05%", + "C) -0.16%", + "D) 4.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.73\nB) 96.69\nC) 98.67\nD) 100.64", + "options": [ + "A) 93.73", + "B) 96.69", + "C) 98.67", + "D) 100.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "98.67", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 150,533K\nB) 139,401K\nC) 154,243K\nD) 144,967K", + "options": [ + "A) 150,533K", + "B) 139,401K", + "C) 154,243K", + "D) 144,967K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "144,967K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.10%\nB) 6.26%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 6.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.10%", + "B) 6.26%", + "C) 5.68%", + "D) 6.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $-38,966M\nB) $-37,004M\nC) $-33,080M\nD) $-35,042M", + "options": [ + "A) $-38,966M", + "B) $-37,004M", + "C) $-33,080M", + "D) $-35,042M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-37,004M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 3.06%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 2.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.01%", + "B) 3.06%", + "C) 2.43%", + "D) 2.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 3.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.21%", + "B) 3.70%", + "C) 3.05%", + "D) 3.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.99%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 1.21%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.60%", + "B) 1.99%", + "C) 1.41%", + "D) 1.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.49%\nB) -0.16%\nC) -12.65%\nD) -4.32%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.49%", + "B) -0.16%", + "C) -12.65%", + "D) -4.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.15%\nB) 1.19%\nC) -12.75%\nD) -26.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.15%", + "B) 1.19%", + "C) -12.75%", + "D) -26.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-12.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.35%\nB) 2.52%\nC) -0.19%\nD) 0.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.35%", + "B) 2.52%", + "C) -0.19%", + "D) 0.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 1.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.14%", + "B) 2.39%", + "C) 2.52%", + "D) 1.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -10.41%\nB) -3.28%\nC) 3.85%\nD) -24.68%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.41%", + "B) -3.28%", + "C) 3.85%", + "D) -24.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-3.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 111.89\nB) 106.41\nC) 109.70\nD) 115.19", + "options": [ + "A) 111.89", + "B) 106.41", + "C) 109.70", + "D) 115.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "109.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.48%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.48%", + "B) 1.59%", + "C) 1.96%", + "D) 1.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,068K\nB) 898K\nC) 1,153K\nD) 1,322K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,068K", + "B) 898K", + "C) 1,153K", + "D) 1,322K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,068K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 17.91%\nB) 4.29%\nC) 24.72%\nD) -16.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 17.91%", + "B) 4.29%", + "C) 24.72%", + "D) -16.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.81%\nB) 1.16%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 10.99%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.81%", + "B) 1.16%", + "C) 5.09%", + "D) 10.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.84pp\nB) +0.16pp\nC) +0.61pp\nD) +0.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.84pp", + "B) +0.16pp", + "C) +0.61pp", + "D) +0.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +0.04pp\nC) +0.76pp\nD) +0.52pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.40pp", + "B) +0.04pp", + "C) +0.76pp", + "D) +0.52pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 2.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.10%", + "B) 1.89%", + "C) 1.58%", + "D) 2.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.1838\nB) 6.3811\nC) 6.5785\nD) 6.7759", + "options": [ + "A) 6.1838", + "B) 6.3811", + "C) 6.5785", + "D) 6.7759" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.5785", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,736M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $3,736M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$3,736M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,847B\nB) $13,762B\nC) $13,457B\nD) $11,931B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,847B", + "B) $13,762B", + "C) $13,457B", + "D) $11,931B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$12,847B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 95.56\nB) 98.75\nC) 93.43\nD) 101.94", + "options": [ + "A) 95.56", + "B) 98.75", + "C) 93.43", + "D) 101.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "98.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.85%\nB) -9.36%\nC) -5.10%\nD) -17.88%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.85%", + "B) -9.36%", + "C) -5.10%", + "D) -17.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-5.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.45%\nB) -5.65%\nC) -4.58%\nD) -3.52%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.45%", + "B) -5.65%", + "C) -4.58%", + "D) -3.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-3.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 241.18\nB) 236.35\nC) 231.53\nD) 248.41", + "options": [ + "A) 241.18", + "B) 236.35", + "C) 231.53", + "D) 248.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "241.18", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $453,080M\nB) $441,856M\nC) $475,527M\nD) $464,303M", + "options": [ + "A) $453,080M", + "B) $441,856M", + "C) $475,527M", + "D) $464,303M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$441,856M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.36%\nB) 8.54%\nC) 5.64%\nD) -3.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.36%", + "B) 8.54%", + "C) 5.64%", + "D) -3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $11,655B\nB) $13,165B\nC) $14,173B\nD) $12,662B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,655B", + "B) $13,165B", + "C) $14,173B", + "D) $12,662B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$12,662B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.20\nB) 77.85\nC) 95.65\nD) 104.55", + "options": [ + "A) 91.20", + "B) 77.85", + "C) 95.65", + "D) 104.55" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "91.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 1.69%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 1.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.04%", + "B) 1.69%", + "C) 1.45%", + "D) 1.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2402\nB) 0.8999\nC) 1.1126\nD) 1.0275", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2402", + "B) 0.8999", + "C) 1.1126", + "D) 1.0275" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1126", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2402\nB) 0.8999\nC) 1.1126\nD) 1.0275", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2402", + "B) 0.8999", + "C) 1.1126", + "D) 1.0275" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1126", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0294\nB) 1.2421\nC) 1.3272\nD) 1.1145", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0294", + "B) 1.2421", + "C) 1.3272", + "D) 1.1145" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1145", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0294\nB) 1.2421\nC) 1.3272\nD) 1.1145", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0294", + "B) 1.2421", + "C) 1.3272", + "D) 1.1145" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1145", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.1145\nB) 1.0294\nC) 0.9018\nD) 1.2421", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1145", + "B) 1.0294", + "C) 0.9018", + "D) 1.2421" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.1145", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.1145\nB) 1.0294\nC) 0.9018\nD) 1.2421", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1145", + "B) 1.0294", + "C) 0.9018", + "D) 1.2421" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.1145", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2185\nB) 1.1334\nC) 1.0483\nD) 0.9633", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2185", + "B) 1.1334", + "C) 1.0483", + "D) 0.9633" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1334", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2185\nB) 1.1334\nC) 1.0483\nD) 0.9633", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2185", + "B) 1.1334", + "C) 1.0483", + "D) 0.9633" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1334", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.1334\nD) 1.3035", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0058", + "B) 1.2185", + "C) 1.1334", + "D) 1.3035" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1334", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.1334\nD) 1.3035", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0058", + "B) 1.2185", + "C) 1.1334", + "D) 1.3035" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1334", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.3461\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.0058\nD) 1.1334", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3461", + "B) 1.2185", + "C) 1.0058", + "D) 1.1334" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1334", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.3461\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.0058\nD) 1.1334", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3461", + "B) 1.2185", + "C) 1.0058", + "D) 1.1334" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1334", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.63\nB) 19.84\nC) 17.73\nD) 13.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 15.63", + "B) 19.84", + "C) 17.73", + "D) 13.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.63\nB) 19.84\nC) 17.73\nD) 13.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 15.63", + "B) 19.84", + "C) 17.73", + "D) 13.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.30\nB) 13.20\nC) 19.51\nD) 8.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 15.30", + "B) 13.20", + "C) 19.51", + "D) 8.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.30\nB) 13.20\nC) 19.51\nD) 8.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 15.30", + "B) 13.20", + "C) 19.51", + "D) 8.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 7.56\nB) 9.67\nC) 11.77\nD) 5.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 7.56", + "B) 9.67", + "C) 11.77", + "D) 5.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 7.56\nB) 9.67\nC) 11.77\nD) 5.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 7.56", + "B) 9.67", + "C) 11.77", + "D) 5.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 5.03\nC) 7.13\nD) 11.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 9.24", + "B) 5.03", + "C) 7.13", + "D) 11.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 5.03\nC) 7.13\nD) 11.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 9.24", + "B) 5.03", + "C) 7.13", + "D) 11.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 7.13\nC) 15.55\nD) 13.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 11.34", + "B) 7.13", + "C) 15.55", + "D) 13.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 7.13\nC) 15.55\nD) 13.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 11.34", + "B) 7.13", + "C) 15.55", + "D) 13.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 11.34\nC) 13.44\nD) 7.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 9.24", + "B) 11.34", + "C) 13.44", + "D) 7.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 11.34\nC) 13.44\nD) 7.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 9.24", + "B) 11.34", + "C) 13.44", + "D) 7.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,077.94\nB) 4,489.76\nC) 4,842.67\nD) 5,195.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,077.94", + "B) 4,489.76", + "C) 4,842.67", + "D) 5,195.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,842.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,077.94\nB) 4,489.76\nC) 4,842.67\nD) 5,195.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,077.94", + "B) 4,489.76", + "C) 4,842.67", + "D) 5,195.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,842.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,839.12\nB) 4,603.85\nC) 5,074.40\nD) 4,956.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 4,839.12", + "B) 4,603.85", + "C) 5,074.40", + "D) 4,956.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,956.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,839.12\nB) 4,603.85\nC) 5,074.40\nD) 4,956.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 4,839.12", + "B) 4,603.85", + "C) 5,074.40", + "D) 4,956.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,956.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,100.16\nB) 5,453.07\nC) 4,864.89\nD) 5,335.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,100.16", + "B) 5,453.07", + "C) 4,864.89", + "D) 5,335.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,100.16", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,100.16\nB) 5,453.07\nC) 4,864.89\nD) 5,335.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,100.16", + "B) 5,453.07", + "C) 4,864.89", + "D) 5,335.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,100.16", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,909.11\nB) 5,262.02\nC) 5,144.38\nD) 5,497.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 4,909.11", + "B) 5,262.02", + "C) 5,144.38", + "D) 5,497.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,262.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,909.11\nB) 5,262.02\nC) 5,144.38\nD) 5,497.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 4,909.11", + "B) 5,262.02", + "C) 5,144.38", + "D) 5,497.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,262.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,636.84\nB) 4,931.02\nC) 5,283.93\nD) 5,166.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,636.84", + "B) 4,931.02", + "C) 5,283.93", + "D) 5,166.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,283.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,636.84\nB) 4,931.02\nC) 5,283.93\nD) 5,166.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,636.84", + "B) 4,931.02", + "C) 5,283.93", + "D) 5,166.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,283.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,699.10\nB) 5,110.92\nC) 5,816.74\nD) 5,463.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,699.10", + "B) 5,110.92", + "C) 5,816.74", + "D) 5,463.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,463.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,699.10\nB) 5,110.92\nC) 5,816.74\nD) 5,463.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,699.10", + "B) 5,110.92", + "C) 5,816.74", + "D) 5,463.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,463.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 1.71%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.46%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 1.83%", + "D) 1.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.46%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 1.71%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.46%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 1.83%", + "D) 1.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.46%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.12%", + "B) 1.37%", + "C) 1.25%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.12%", + "B) 1.37%", + "C) 1.25%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.00%", + "B) 1.62%", + "C) 1.37%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.00%", + "B) 1.62%", + "C) 1.37%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 1.12%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.37%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.62%", + "B) 1.12%", + "C) 1.25%", + "D) 1.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 1.12%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.37%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.62%", + "B) 1.12%", + "C) 1.25%", + "D) 1.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.37%", + "B) 1.00%", + "C) 1.25%", + "D) 1.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.37%", + "B) 1.00%", + "C) 1.25%", + "D) 1.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.74%", + "B) 1.37%", + "C) 1.12%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.74%", + "B) 1.37%", + "C) 1.12%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,600.27\nB) 5,383.84\nC) 5,275.62\nD) 4,950.97", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,600.27", + "B) 5,383.84", + "C) 5,275.62", + "D) 4,950.97" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,275.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,600.27\nB) 5,383.84\nC) 5,275.62\nD) 4,950.97", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,600.27", + "B) 5,383.84", + "C) 5,275.62", + "D) 4,950.97" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,275.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,711.00\nB) 5,494.57\nC) 5,169.91\nD) 5,386.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,711.00", + "B) 5,494.57", + "C) 5,169.91", + "D) 5,386.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,386.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,711.00\nB) 5,494.57\nC) 5,169.91\nD) 5,386.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,711.00", + "B) 5,494.57", + "C) 5,169.91", + "D) 5,386.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,386.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,398.92\nB) 5,507.14\nC) 5,182.48\nD) 5,290.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,398.92", + "B) 5,507.14", + "C) 5,182.48", + "D) 5,290.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,398.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,398.92\nB) 5,507.14\nC) 5,182.48\nD) 5,290.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,398.92", + "B) 5,507.14", + "C) 5,182.48", + "D) 5,290.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,398.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,737.50\nB) 5,521.06\nC) 5,088.19\nD) 5,304.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,737.50", + "B) 5,521.06", + "C) 5,088.19", + "D) 5,304.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,521.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,737.50\nB) 5,521.06\nC) 5,088.19\nD) 5,304.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,737.50", + "B) 5,521.06", + "C) 5,088.19", + "D) 5,304.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,521.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,125.68\nB) 5,342.12\nC) 5,666.77\nD) 5,883.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,125.68", + "B) 5,342.12", + "C) 5,666.77", + "D) 5,883.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,666.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,125.68\nB) 5,342.12\nC) 5,666.77\nD) 5,883.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,125.68", + "B) 5,342.12", + "C) 5,666.77", + "D) 5,883.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,666.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,878.93\nB) 5,554.28\nC) 6,420.02\nD) 6,095.37", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,878.93", + "B) 5,554.28", + "C) 6,420.02", + "D) 6,095.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,095.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,878.93\nB) 5,554.28\nC) 6,420.02\nD) 6,095.37", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,878.93", + "B) 5,554.28", + "C) 6,420.02", + "D) 6,095.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,095.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,163.26", + "B) 2,228.16", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,293.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,163.26", + "B) 2,228.16", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,293.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,228.16", + "B) 2,163.26", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,293.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,228.16", + "B) 2,163.26", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,293.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,033.46\nC) 2,163.26\nD) 2,098.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,228.16", + "B) 2,033.46", + "C) 2,163.26", + "D) 2,098.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,033.46\nC) 2,163.26\nD) 2,098.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,228.16", + "B) 2,033.46", + "C) 2,163.26", + "D) 2,098.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,011.83\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,163.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,228.16", + "B) 2,011.83", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,163.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,011.83\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,163.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,228.16", + "B) 2,011.83", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,163.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,314.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,163.26", + "B) 2,228.16", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,314.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,314.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,163.26", + "B) 2,228.16", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,314.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,314.69\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,228.16\nD) 2,098.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,314.69", + "B) 2,163.26", + "C) 2,228.16", + "D) 2,098.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,314.69\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,228.16\nD) 2,098.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,314.69", + "B) 2,163.26", + "C) 2,228.16", + "D) 2,098.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.10%", + "B) 1.84%", + "C) 2.23%", + "D) 2.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.23%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.10%", + "B) 1.84%", + "C) 2.23%", + "D) 2.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.23%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 2.36%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.49%", + "B) 2.10%", + "C) 1.97%", + "D) 2.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.36%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 2.36%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.49%", + "B) 2.10%", + "C) 1.97%", + "D) 2.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.36%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.45%", + "B) 2.71%", + "C) 2.84%", + "D) 2.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.45%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.45%", + "B) 2.71%", + "C) 2.84%", + "D) 2.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.45%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.60%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 2.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.47%", + "B) 2.60%", + "C) 2.34%", + "D) 2.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.60%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 2.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.47%", + "B) 2.60%", + "C) 2.34%", + "D) 2.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.73%", + "B) 2.99%", + "C) 2.60%", + "D) 2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.73%", + "B) 2.99%", + "C) 2.60%", + "D) 2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.23%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.23%", + "B) 3.01%", + "C) 2.88%", + "D) 2.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.62%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.23%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.23%", + "B) 3.01%", + "C) 2.88%", + "D) 2.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.62%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.1452\nD) 1.1952", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0952", + "B) 1.0202", + "C) 1.1452", + "D) 1.1952" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.1452\nD) 1.1952", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0952", + "B) 1.0202", + "C) 1.1452", + "D) 1.1952" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1702\nB) 1.0952\nC) 1.2202\nD) 1.0202", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1702", + "B) 1.0952", + "C) 1.2202", + "D) 1.0202" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1702\nB) 1.0952\nC) 1.2202\nD) 1.0202", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1702", + "B) 1.0952", + "C) 1.2202", + "D) 1.0202" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 0.9702\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.0952\nD) 1.1702", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9702", + "B) 1.0202", + "C) 1.0952", + "D) 1.1702" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 0.9702\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.0952\nD) 1.1702", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9702", + "B) 1.0202", + "C) 1.0952", + "D) 1.1702" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0452\nB) 1.1702\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0952", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0452", + "B) 1.1702", + "C) 0.9702", + "D) 1.0952" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0452\nB) 1.1702\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0952", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0452", + "B) 1.1702", + "C) 0.9702", + "D) 1.0952" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1452\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0202", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0952", + "B) 1.1452", + "C) 0.9702", + "D) 1.0202" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1452\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0202", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0952", + "B) 1.1452", + "C) 0.9702", + "D) 1.0202" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1467\nB) 1.0967\nC) 1.2217\nD) 1.0217", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1467", + "B) 1.0967", + "C) 1.2217", + "D) 1.0217" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0967", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1467\nB) 1.0967\nC) 1.2217\nD) 1.0217", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1467", + "B) 1.0967", + "C) 1.2217", + "D) 1.0217" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0967", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 14.74\nD) 18.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.82", + "B) 20.97", + "C) 14.74", + "D) 18.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 14.74\nD) 18.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.82", + "B) 20.97", + "C) 14.74", + "D) 18.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 12.66\nD) 14.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.82", + "B) 20.97", + "C) 12.66", + "D) 14.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 12.66\nD) 14.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.82", + "B) 20.97", + "C) 12.66", + "D) 14.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.74\nB) 8.51\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 14.74", + "B) 8.51", + "C) 18.89", + "D) 10.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.74\nB) 8.51\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 14.74", + "B) 8.51", + "C) 18.89", + "D) 10.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 14.74\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.82", + "B) 14.74", + "C) 18.89", + "D) 10.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 14.74\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.82", + "B) 14.74", + "C) 18.89", + "D) 10.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 8.51\nC) 14.74\nD) 10.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 20.97", + "B) 8.51", + "C) 14.74", + "D) 10.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 8.51\nC) 14.74\nD) 10.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 20.97", + "B) 8.51", + "C) 14.74", + "D) 10.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 22.19\nC) 18.04\nD) 15.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 13.88", + "B) 22.19", + "C) 18.04", + "D) 15.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 22.19\nC) 18.04\nD) 15.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 13.88", + "B) 22.19", + "C) 18.04", + "D) 15.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,637.99\nB) 4,978.13\nC) 5,148.19\nD) 4,127.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,637.99", + "B) 4,978.13", + "C) 5,148.19", + "D) 4,127.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,637.99", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,637.99\nB) 4,978.13\nC) 5,148.19\nD) 4,127.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,637.99", + "B) 4,978.13", + "C) 5,148.19", + "D) 4,127.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,637.99", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,647.02\nB) 4,476.95\nC) 4,987.15\nD) 4,817.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,647.02", + "B) 4,476.95", + "C) 4,987.15", + "D) 4,817.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,476.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,647.02\nB) 4,476.95\nC) 4,987.15\nD) 4,817.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,647.02", + "B) 4,476.95", + "C) 4,987.15", + "D) 4,817.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,476.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,978.37\nB) 4,808.31\nC) 4,468.17\nD) 4,638.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,978.37", + "B) 4,808.31", + "C) 4,468.17", + "D) 4,638.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,468.17", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,978.37\nB) 4,808.31\nC) 4,468.17\nD) 4,638.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,978.37", + "B) 4,808.31", + "C) 4,468.17", + "D) 4,638.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,468.17", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 3,756.64\nC) 4,777.04\nD) 4,266.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,096.77", + "B) 3,756.64", + "C) 4,777.04", + "D) 4,266.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,266.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 3,756.64\nC) 4,777.04\nD) 4,266.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,096.77", + "B) 3,756.64", + "C) 4,777.04", + "D) 4,266.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,266.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,266.84\nB) 4,436.91\nC) 3,926.70\nD) 4,606.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,266.84", + "B) 4,436.91", + "C) 3,926.70", + "D) 4,606.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,266.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,266.84\nB) 4,436.91\nC) 3,926.70\nD) 4,606.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,266.84", + "B) 4,436.91", + "C) 3,926.70", + "D) 4,606.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,266.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 4,266.84\nC) 3,756.64\nD) 4,777.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,096.77", + "B) 4,266.84", + "C) 3,756.64", + "D) 4,777.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,266.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 4,266.84\nC) 3,756.64\nD) 4,777.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,096.77", + "B) 4,266.84", + "C) 3,756.64", + "D) 4,777.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,266.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3262\nB) 6.0654\nC) 6.5219\nD) 6.7176", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3262", + "B) 6.0654", + "C) 6.5219", + "D) 6.7176" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.5219", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3262\nB) 6.0654\nC) 6.5219\nD) 6.7176", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3262", + "B) 6.0654", + "C) 6.5219", + "D) 6.7176" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.5219", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.0654\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.3262\nD) 6.5219", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0654", + "B) 6.7176", + "C) 6.3262", + "D) 6.5219" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.5219", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.0654\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.3262\nD) 6.5219", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0654", + "B) 6.7176", + "C) 6.3262", + "D) 6.5219" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.5219", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.5219\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.1306\nD) 6.3262", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.5219", + "B) 6.7176", + "C) 6.1306", + "D) 6.3262" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.5219", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.5219\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.1306\nD) 6.3262", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.5219", + "B) 6.7176", + "C) 6.1306", + "D) 6.3262" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.5219", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.6457\nB) 6.5154\nC) 6.1896\nD) 6.3851", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.6457", + "B) 6.5154", + "C) 6.1896", + "D) 6.3851" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.5154", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.6457\nB) 6.5154\nC) 6.1896\nD) 6.3851", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.6457", + "B) 6.5154", + "C) 6.1896", + "D) 6.3851" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.5154", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3355\nB) 6.2062\nC) 6.4648\nD) 6.6587", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3355", + "B) 6.2062", + "C) 6.4648", + "D) 6.6587" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4648", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3355\nB) 6.2062\nC) 6.4648\nD) 6.6587", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3355", + "B) 6.2062", + "C) 6.4648", + "D) 6.6587" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4648", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.7059\nB) 6.5770\nC) 6.3190\nD) 6.4480", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7059", + "B) 6.5770", + "C) 6.3190", + "D) 6.4480" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.4480", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.7059\nB) 6.5770\nC) 6.3190\nD) 6.4480", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7059", + "B) 6.5770", + "C) 6.3190", + "D) 6.4480" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.4480", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 13.64\nC) 15.54\nD) 21.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 19.34", + "B) 13.64", + "C) 15.54", + "D) 21.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 13.64\nC) 15.54\nD) 21.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 19.34", + "B) 13.64", + "C) 15.54", + "D) 21.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 25.04\nB) 19.34\nC) 17.44\nD) 13.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 25.04", + "B) 19.34", + "C) 17.44", + "D) 13.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 25.04\nB) 19.34\nC) 17.44\nD) 13.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 25.04", + "B) 19.34", + "C) 17.44", + "D) 13.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 21.24\nB) 17.44\nC) 19.34\nD) 15.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 21.24", + "B) 17.44", + "C) 19.34", + "D) 15.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 21.24\nB) 17.44\nC) 19.34\nD) 15.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 21.24", + "B) 17.44", + "C) 19.34", + "D) 15.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 22.79\nC) 13.29\nD) 17.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 18.99", + "B) 22.79", + "C) 13.29", + "D) 17.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 22.79\nC) 13.29\nD) 17.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 18.99", + "B) 22.79", + "C) 13.29", + "D) 17.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.56\nB) 9.76\nC) 11.66\nD) 19.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 13.56", + "B) 9.76", + "C) 11.66", + "D) 19.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13.56", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.56\nB) 9.76\nC) 11.66\nD) 19.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 13.56", + "B) 9.76", + "C) 11.66", + "D) 19.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13.56", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 7.40\nB) 13.10\nC) 9.30\nD) 16.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 7.40", + "B) 13.10", + "C) 9.30", + "D) 16.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.10", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 7.40\nB) 13.10\nC) 9.30\nD) 16.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 7.40", + "B) 13.10", + "C) 9.30", + "D) 16.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.10", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $6.69/bbl\nB) $68.51/bbl\nC) $31.42/bbl\nD) $43.78/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $6.69/bbl", + "B) $68.51/bbl", + "C) $31.42/bbl", + "D) $43.78/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$31.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $6.69/bbl\nB) $68.51/bbl\nC) $31.42/bbl\nD) $43.78/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $6.69/bbl", + "B) $68.51/bbl", + "C) $31.42/bbl", + "D) $43.78/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$31.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $65.56/bbl\nB) $40.83/bbl\nC) $3.74/bbl\nD) $28.47/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $65.56/bbl", + "B) $40.83/bbl", + "C) $3.74/bbl", + "D) $28.47/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$28.47/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $65.56/bbl\nB) $40.83/bbl\nC) $3.74/bbl\nD) $28.47/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $65.56/bbl", + "B) $40.83/bbl", + "C) $3.74/bbl", + "D) $28.47/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$28.47/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $51.41/bbl\nC) $39.04/bbl\nD) $14.32/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $26.68/bbl", + "B) $51.41/bbl", + "C) $39.04/bbl", + "D) $14.32/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $51.41/bbl\nC) $39.04/bbl\nD) $14.32/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $26.68/bbl", + "B) $51.41/bbl", + "C) $39.04/bbl", + "D) $14.32/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $13.83/bbl\nB) $26.19/bbl\nC) $-10.90/bbl\nD) $38.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $13.83/bbl", + "B) $26.19/bbl", + "C) $-10.90/bbl", + "D) $38.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $13.83/bbl\nB) $26.19/bbl\nC) $-10.90/bbl\nD) $38.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $13.83/bbl", + "B) $26.19/bbl", + "C) $-10.90/bbl", + "D) $38.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $38.55/bbl\nB) $1.46/bbl\nC) $26.19/bbl\nD) $13.83/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $38.55/bbl", + "B) $1.46/bbl", + "C) $26.19/bbl", + "D) $13.83/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $38.55/bbl\nB) $1.46/bbl\nC) $26.19/bbl\nD) $13.83/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $38.55/bbl", + "B) $1.46/bbl", + "C) $26.19/bbl", + "D) $13.83/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $-10.90/bbl\nB) $38.55/bbl\nC) $63.28/bbl\nD) $26.19/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $-10.90/bbl", + "B) $38.55/bbl", + "C) $63.28/bbl", + "D) $26.19/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $-10.90/bbl\nB) $38.55/bbl\nC) $63.28/bbl\nD) $26.19/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $-10.90/bbl", + "B) $38.55/bbl", + "C) $63.28/bbl", + "D) $26.19/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2016.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2016.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..b4cd31b3814b88be220a65f425ddeaae03933cc9 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2016.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:31f1ccf572a6218e9ec1d4d9f60865a247c41509719f2ac9fefa7fd8ab32a2a4 +size 35693 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2017.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2017.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..3023bf85a6ff6be5ceab12dd736f77cd29a3c6d0 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2017.json @@ -0,0 +1,2711 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 1.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.15%", + "B) 1.01%", + "C) 1.58%", + "D) 1.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.38%", + "B) 2.05%", + "C) 1.82%", + "D) 1.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $23.89/hr\nB) $21.15/hr\nC) $22.18/hr\nD) $23.21/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $23.89/hr", + "B) $21.15/hr", + "C) $22.18/hr", + "D) $23.21/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$22.18/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.0602\nB) 7.4412\nC) 6.4250\nD) 6.8061", + "options": [ + "A) 7.0602", + "B) 7.4412", + "C) 6.4250", + "D) 6.8061" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.8061", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $222,944M\nB) $216,440M\nC) $242,456M\nD) $209,936M", + "options": [ + "A) $222,944M", + "B) $216,440M", + "C) $242,456M", + "D) $209,936M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$222,944M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,088B\nB) $13,417B\nC) $14,076B\nD) $12,430B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,088B", + "B) $13,417B", + "C) $14,076B", + "D) $12,430B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$13,417B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $453,408M\nB) $473,940M\nC) $463,674M\nD) $494,472M", + "options": [ + "A) $453,408M", + "B) $473,940M", + "C) $463,674M", + "D) $494,472M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$463,674M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 2.78%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.40%", + "B) 3.19%", + "C) 2.99%", + "D) 2.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.18%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 1.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.18%", + "B) 2.92%", + "C) 2.55%", + "D) 1.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.41\nB) 100.40\nC) 94.38\nD) 97.39", + "options": [ + "A) 103.41", + "B) 100.40", + "C) 94.38", + "D) 97.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "100.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 1.11%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 1.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.71%", + "B) 1.11%", + "C) 1.41%", + "D) 1.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.77%", + "B) 2.75%", + "C) 1.96%", + "D) 2.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.77%\nB) 33.64%\nC) 0.53%\nD) 7.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.77%", + "B) 33.64%", + "C) 0.53%", + "D) 7.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.28%\nB) 2.62%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 3.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.28%", + "B) 2.62%", + "C) 2.07%", + "D) 3.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.16%\nB) 21.70%\nC) 21.09%\nD) 22.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.16%", + "B) 21.70%", + "C) 21.09%", + "D) 22.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "21.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 38.43%\nB) 32.98%\nC) 22.06%\nD) 27.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 38.43%", + "B) 32.98%", + "C) 22.06%", + "D) 27.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "27.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.60%", + "B) 1.28%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 1.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 140,321K\nB) 145,970K\nC) 149,736K\nD) 155,385K", + "options": [ + "A) 140,321K", + "B) 145,970K", + "C) 149,736K", + "D) 155,385K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "145,970K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.36%\nB) 6.88%\nC) 5.90%\nD) 4.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.36%", + "B) 6.88%", + "C) 5.90%", + "D) 4.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 31.73%\nB) -10.57%\nC) -3.52%\nD) 10.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 31.73%", + "B) -10.57%", + "C) -3.52%", + "D) 10.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 17.43%\nB) 18.99%\nC) 16.49%\nD) 18.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 17.43%", + "B) 18.99%", + "C) 16.49%", + "D) 18.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 199.91\nB) 191.50\nC) 187.30\nD) 204.11", + "options": [ + "A) 199.91", + "B) 191.50", + "C) 187.30", + "D) 204.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "191.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.20%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 0.72%\nD) -1.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.20%", + "B) 1.96%", + "C) 0.72%", + "D) -1.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.16%\nB) 8.18%\nC) -1.71%\nD) 4.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.16%", + "B) 8.18%", + "C) -1.71%", + "D) 4.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.20pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) -0.27pp\nD) +0.67pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.20pp", + "B) +0.51pp", + "C) -0.27pp", + "D) +0.67pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.89%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 1.81%", + "D) 1.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.44%\nB) 6.92%\nC) 5.16%\nD) 3.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.44%", + "B) 6.92%", + "C) 5.16%", + "D) 3.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 4.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.26%", + "B) 1.34%", + "C) 6.88%", + "D) 4.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.68%", + "B) 2.01%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 1.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,698,777\nB) 1,915,000\nC) 2,131,223\nD) 1,482,554", + "options": [ + "A) 1,698,777", + "B) 1,915,000", + "C) 2,131,223", + "D) 1,482,554" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,915,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) -47.18%\nB) -33.40%\nC) -5.82%\nD) 35.54%", + "options": [ + "A) -47.18%", + "B) -33.40%", + "C) -5.82%", + "D) 35.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-5.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 137,484K\nB) 152,722K\nC) 143,198K\nD) 147,008K", + "options": [ + "A) 137,484K", + "B) 152,722K", + "C) 143,198K", + "D) 147,008K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "147,008K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,432.46\nB) 2,378.17\nC) 2,486.75\nD) 2,595.33", + "options": [ + "A) 2,432.46", + "B) 2,378.17", + "C) 2,486.75", + "D) 2,595.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,432.46", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.05%\nB) 2.09%\nC) 10.06%\nD) 6.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.05%", + "B) 2.09%", + "C) 10.06%", + "D) 6.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0584\nB) 1.2287\nC) 1.1152\nD) 1.0017", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0584", + "B) 1.2287", + "C) 1.1152", + "D) 1.0017" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1152", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $455,334M\nB) $496,114M\nC) $506,309M\nD) $475,724M", + "options": [ + "A) $455,334M", + "B) $496,114M", + "C) $506,309M", + "D) $475,724M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$475,724M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.01\nB) 101.98\nC) 104.95\nD) 96.04", + "options": [ + "A) 99.01", + "B) 101.98", + "C) 104.95", + "D) 96.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "99.01", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) $82.27/bbl\nB) $44.47/bbl\nC) $19.27/bbl\nD) $31.87/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $82.27/bbl", + "B) $44.47/bbl", + "C) $19.27/bbl", + "D) $31.87/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$44.47/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,375B\nB) $13,764B\nC) $14,408B\nD) $14,086B", + "options": [ + "A) $15,375B", + "B) $13,764B", + "C) $14,408B", + "D) $14,086B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$14,408B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,769B\nB) $12,825B\nC) $14,084B\nD) $13,140B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,769B", + "B) $12,825B", + "C) $14,084B", + "D) $13,140B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$13,140B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.81pp\nB) +0.57pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +1.05pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.81pp", + "B) +0.57pp", + "C) +0.08pp", + "D) +1.05pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.81pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.79%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 4.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.79%", + "B) 4.44%", + "C) 5.41%", + "D) 4.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 1.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.15%", + "B) 1.61%", + "C) 1.42%", + "D) 1.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.03%\nB) 4.46%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 5.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.03%", + "B) 4.46%", + "C) 3.88%", + "D) 5.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.23%\nB) 6.14%\nC) 8.60%\nD) 3.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.23%", + "B) 6.14%", + "C) 8.60%", + "D) 3.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $59,624M\nB) $61,260M\nC) $56,352M\nD) $66,168M", + "options": [ + "A) $59,624M", + "B) $61,260M", + "C) $56,352M", + "D) $66,168M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$61,260M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.55pp\nB) +0.05pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) +0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.55pp", + "B) +0.05pp", + "C) -0.10pp", + "D) +0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 2.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.11%", + "B) 2.84%", + "C) 1.92%", + "D) 2.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $-41,124M\nB) $-44,561M\nC) $-39,406M\nD) $-37,687M", + "options": [ + "A) $-41,124M", + "B) $-44,561M", + "C) $-39,406M", + "D) $-37,687M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-41,124M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.07\nB) 194.79\nC) 187.88\nD) 201.69", + "options": [ + "A) 174.07", + "B) 194.79", + "C) 187.88", + "D) 201.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "194.79", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 108.74\nB) 117.70\nC) 112.10\nD) 115.46", + "options": [ + "A) 108.74", + "B) 117.70", + "C) 112.10", + "D) 115.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "112.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,087K\nB) 1,335K\nC) 1,459K\nD) 1,273K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,087K", + "B) 1,335K", + "C) 1,459K", + "D) 1,273K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,273K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.91%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 2.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.91%", + "B) 1.60%", + "C) 1.30%", + "D) 2.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 98.70\nB) 112.87\nC) 127.04\nD) 103.43", + "options": [ + "A) 98.70", + "B) 112.87", + "C) 127.04", + "D) 103.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "112.87", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.75%\nB) 61.01%\nC) 62.90%\nD) 64.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.75%", + "B) 61.01%", + "C) 62.90%", + "D) 64.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "62.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 91.7728\nB) 104.3643\nC) 123.2515\nD) 110.6600", + "options": [ + "A) 91.7728", + "B) 104.3643", + "C) 123.2515", + "D) 110.6600" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "110.6600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $63,747M\nB) $60,501M\nC) $62,124M\nD) $65,370M", + "options": [ + "A) $63,747M", + "B) $60,501M", + "C) $62,124M", + "D) $65,370M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$63,747M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +7.39pp\nB) +3.90pp\nC) -6.58pp\nD) -3.09pp", + "options": [ + "A) +7.39pp", + "B) +3.90pp", + "C) -6.58pp", + "D) -3.09pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+3.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,312K\nB) 1,378K\nC) 1,181K\nD) 1,050K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,312K", + "B) 1,378K", + "C) 1,181K", + "D) 1,050K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,181K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.92pp\nB) +0.59pp\nC) +0.48pp\nD) +0.70pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.92pp", + "B) +0.59pp", + "C) +0.48pp", + "D) +0.70pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 3.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.59%", + "B) 2.29%", + "C) 2.15%", + "D) 3.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.37%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 4.50%\nD) -0.08%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.37%", + "B) 1.06%", + "C) 4.50%", + "D) -0.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,264B\nB) $15,301B\nC) $13,745B\nD) $12,189B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,264B", + "B) $15,301B", + "C) $13,745B", + "D) $12,189B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$13,745B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.18pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) +0.73pp\nD) +0.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.18pp", + "B) +0.51pp", + "C) +0.73pp", + "D) +0.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 249,000\nB) 204,121\nC) 226,561\nD) 316,318", + "options": [ + "A) 249,000", + "B) 204,121", + "C) 226,561", + "D) 316,318" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "249,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 242.82\nB) 252.81\nC) 262.81\nD) 269.47", + "options": [ + "A) 242.82", + "B) 252.81", + "C) 262.81", + "D) 269.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "252.81", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.44%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 1.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.44%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 4.36%", + "D) 1.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 257.43\nB) 267.17\nC) 244.45\nD) 250.94", + "options": [ + "A) 257.43", + "B) 267.17", + "C) 244.45", + "D) 250.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "250.94", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 1.41%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 1.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.61%", + "B) 1.41%", + "C) 1.70%", + "D) 1.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $20.89/hr\nB) $21.88/hr\nC) $22.54/hr\nD) $23.20/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $20.89/hr", + "B) $21.88/hr", + "C) $22.54/hr", + "D) $23.20/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$21.88/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.06%\nB) 9.13%\nC) 5.91%\nD) 2.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.06%", + "B) 9.13%", + "C) 5.91%", + "D) 2.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.86\nB) 98.72\nC) 102.34\nD) 95.10", + "options": [ + "A) 87.86", + "B) 98.72", + "C) 102.34", + "D) 95.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "95.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.33%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 7.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.33%", + "B) 5.24%", + "C) 5.79%", + "D) 7.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.59%\nB) -2.30%\nC) 15.37%\nD) -8.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.59%", + "B) -2.30%", + "C) 15.37%", + "D) -8.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-2.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 231.70\nB) 251.21\nC) 243.89\nD) 236.58", + "options": [ + "A) 231.70", + "B) 251.21", + "C) 243.89", + "D) 236.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "243.89", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.32%\nB) -7.31%\nC) 21.53%\nD) 7.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.32%", + "B) -7.31%", + "C) 21.53%", + "D) 7.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 6.82%\nC) 6.19%\nD) 5.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.94%", + "B) 6.82%", + "C) 6.19%", + "D) 5.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) $30.80/bbl\nB) $45.61/bbl\nC) $1.18/bbl\nD) $90.04/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $30.80/bbl", + "B) $45.61/bbl", + "C) $1.18/bbl", + "D) $90.04/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$45.61/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,198K\nB) 1,493K\nC) 1,272K\nD) 1,051K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,198K", + "B) 1,493K", + "C) 1,272K", + "D) 1,051K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,272K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) -4.44%\nC) 3.50%\nD) 0.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.14%", + "B) -4.44%", + "C) 3.50%", + "D) 0.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.52\nB) 96.52\nC) 102.52\nD) 104.52", + "options": [ + "A) 99.52", + "B) 96.52", + "C) 102.52", + "D) 104.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "99.52", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,032K\nB) 1,190K\nC) 1,111K\nD) 954K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,032K", + "B) 1,190K", + "C) 1,111K", + "D) 954K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,190K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.68%\nB) 10.84%\nC) 3.71%\nD) -3.42%", + "options": [ + "A) -17.68%", + "B) 10.84%", + "C) 3.71%", + "D) -3.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.70%\nB) 78.65%\nC) 74.07%\nD) 76.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 81.70%", + "B) 78.65%", + "C) 74.07%", + "D) 76.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "76.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 1.33%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 3.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.44%", + "B) 1.33%", + "C) 2.07%", + "D) 3.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.18%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.18%", + "B) 1.76%", + "C) 1.38%", + "D) 2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -0.46pp\nC) +0.29pp\nD) +1.78pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.20pp", + "B) -0.46pp", + "C) +0.29pp", + "D) +1.78pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.29pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.02%\nB) -8.18%\nC) 20.21%\nD) -1.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.02%", + "B) -8.18%", + "C) 20.21%", + "D) -1.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.44%\nB) 70.92%\nC) 77.71%\nD) 73.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 75.44%", + "B) 70.92%", + "C) 77.71%", + "D) 73.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "75.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.64%\nB) 4.40%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 3.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.64%", + "B) 4.40%", + "C) 5.02%", + "D) 3.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 2.73%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 1.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.57%", + "B) 2.73%", + "C) 2.19%", + "D) 1.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.27%\nB) 9.07%\nC) 16.74%\nD) 5.24%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.27%", + "B) 9.07%", + "C) 16.74%", + "D) 5.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 113.50\nB) 110.09\nC) 116.91\nD) 120.31", + "options": [ + "A) 113.50", + "B) 110.09", + "C) 116.91", + "D) 120.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "113.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.55\nB) 99.53\nC) 92.57\nD) 102.52", + "options": [ + "A) 96.55", + "B) 99.53", + "C) 92.57", + "D) 102.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "99.53", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.69%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 3.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.12%", + "B) 6.69%", + "C) 5.00%", + "D) 3.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 193.68\nB) 208.03\nC) 179.33\nD) 186.51", + "options": [ + "A) 193.68", + "B) 208.03", + "C) 179.33", + "D) 186.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "186.51", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.34pp\nC) -0.16pp\nD) -0.88pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.70pp", + "B) -0.34pp", + "C) -0.16pp", + "D) -0.88pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 253.83\nB) 246.44\nC) 239.04\nD) 234.11", + "options": [ + "A) 253.83", + "B) 246.44", + "C) 239.04", + "D) 234.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "246.44", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.95%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 4.62%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.95%", + "B) 5.62%", + "C) 5.29%", + "D) 4.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,856M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $3,856M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$3,856M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.10%\nB) 64.99%\nC) 61.21%\nD) 59.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.10%", + "B) 64.99%", + "C) 61.21%", + "D) 59.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "63.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 7.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.61%", + "B) 5.62%", + "C) 4.12%", + "D) 7.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.43pp\nB) -0.25pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -1.12pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.43pp", + "B) -0.25pp", + "C) -0.60pp", + "D) -1.12pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.88%\nB) 35.05%\nC) -35.37%\nD) -7.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.88%", + "B) 35.05%", + "C) -35.37%", + "D) -7.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-7.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.80\nB) 102.79\nC) 93.81\nD) 96.80", + "options": [ + "A) 99.80", + "B) 102.79", + "C) 93.81", + "D) 96.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "99.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.21%\nB) 60.40%\nC) 57.38%\nD) 58.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.21%", + "B) 60.40%", + "C) 57.38%", + "D) 58.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "60.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,735.41\nB) 4,875.22\nC) 6,165.50\nD) 7,455.78", + "options": [ + "A) 5,735.41", + "B) 4,875.22", + "C) 6,165.50", + "D) 7,455.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,165.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) 4.88%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 4.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.57%", + "B) 4.88%", + "C) 3.72%", + "D) 4.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 10.90\nB) 9.18\nC) 14.33\nD) 16.05", + "options": [ + "A) 10.90", + "B) 9.18", + "C) 14.33", + "D) 16.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "10.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.49%\nB) 4.81%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 5.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.49%", + "B) 4.81%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 5.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 19,574.92\nB) 20,764.91\nC) 21,359.90\nD) 21,954.89", + "options": [ + "A) 19,574.92", + "B) 20,764.91", + "C) 21,359.90", + "D) 21,954.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "21,359.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.41%\nB) 4.41%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 3.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.41%", + "B) 4.41%", + "C) 3.57%", + "D) 3.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 194.80\nB) 186.51\nC) 190.65\nD) 198.95", + "options": [ + "A) 194.80", + "B) 186.51", + "C) 190.65", + "D) 198.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "194.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.42%\nB) 5.31%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 4.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.42%", + "B) 5.31%", + "C) 2.16%", + "D) 4.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,972B\nB) $12,447B\nC) $13,464B\nD) $14,480B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,972B", + "B) $12,447B", + "C) $13,464B", + "D) $14,480B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$13,464B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.59%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 0.72%\nD) 0.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.59%", + "B) 0.92%", + "C) 0.72%", + "D) 0.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.24\nB) 95.14\nC) 97.18\nD) 103.30", + "options": [ + "A) 100.24", + "B) 95.14", + "C) 97.18", + "D) 103.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "100.24", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $3,874M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $3,874M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$3,874M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.14%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 7.04%\nD) 8.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.14%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 7.04%", + "D) 8.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $235,064M\nB) $209,935M\nC) $241,346M\nD) $228,782M", + "options": [ + "A) $235,064M", + "B) $209,935M", + "C) $241,346M", + "D) $228,782M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$228,782M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,764B\nB) $13,679B\nC) $15,849B\nD) $15,126B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,764B", + "B) $13,679B", + "C) $15,849B", + "D) $15,126B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$14,764B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,780B\nB) $12,247B\nC) $11,312B\nD) $12,714B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,780B", + "B) $12,247B", + "C) $11,312B", + "D) $12,714B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$12,247B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.23%\nB) 0.91%\nC) 1.02%\nD) 0.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.23%", + "B) 0.91%", + "C) 1.02%", + "D) 0.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 1.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.34%", + "B) 2.05%", + "C) 2.63%", + "D) 1.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.90\nB) 104.45\nC) 89.35\nD) 108.23", + "options": [ + "A) 96.90", + "B) 104.45", + "C) 89.35", + "D) 108.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "96.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $-43,128M\nB) $-41,593M\nC) $-36,989M\nD) $-38,524M", + "options": [ + "A) $-43,128M", + "B) $-41,593M", + "C) $-36,989M", + "D) $-38,524M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-41,593M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.47pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) +1.04pp\nD) +3.19pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.47pp", + "B) -1.10pp", + "C) +1.04pp", + "D) +3.19pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.04pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.01pp\nB) +13.18pp\nC) +9.54pp\nD) +5.90pp", + "options": [ + "A) -5.01pp", + "B) +13.18pp", + "C) +9.54pp", + "D) +5.90pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+5.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.20%\nB) 62.01%\nC) 59.00%\nD) 63.21%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.20%", + "B) 62.01%", + "C) 59.00%", + "D) 63.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "60.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2017.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2017.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..55a064c5222b20dcbea8d8bdf42abd666e28b6ff --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2017.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:a7abe32955aa15717f780e3709345ec04cede2f67c3c0228471ba7f139c00ab9 +size 24806 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2018.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2018.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..2ff6c46c4a42684db2b454a80eeda6161e9736ce --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2018.json @@ -0,0 +1,5591 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.55%\nB) 5.51%\nC) 3.47%\nD) 8.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.55%", + "B) 5.51%", + "C) 3.47%", + "D) 8.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.33%\nB) 83.93%\nC) 79.93%\nD) 78.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 82.33%", + "B) 83.93%", + "C) 79.93%", + "D) 78.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "79.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 98.48\nB) 104.57\nC) 95.43\nD) 101.52", + "options": [ + "A) 98.48", + "B) 104.57", + "C) 95.43", + "D) 101.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.52", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) 5.54%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 4.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.22%", + "B) 5.54%", + "C) 2.07%", + "D) 4.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.02\nB) 104.10\nC) 109.31\nD) 107.22", + "options": [ + "A) 102.02", + "B) 104.10", + "C) 109.31", + "D) 107.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "104.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 29.92%\nB) 75.59%\nC) 45.14%\nD) 60.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 29.92%", + "B) 75.59%", + "C) 45.14%", + "D) 60.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,801M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $3,801M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$3,801M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) 13.76%\nC) 10.24%\nD) -7.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.22%", + "B) 13.76%", + "C) 10.24%", + "D) -7.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 114.37\nB) 116.70\nC) 119.03\nD) 110.87", + "options": [ + "A) 114.37", + "B) 116.70", + "C) 119.03", + "D) 110.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "116.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.54\nB) 97.26\nC) 101.42\nD) 99.34", + "options": [ + "A) 104.54", + "B) 97.26", + "C) 101.42", + "D) 99.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "101.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.15pp\nB) +0.46pp\nC) -0.15pp\nD) +0.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.15pp", + "B) +0.46pp", + "C) -0.15pp", + "D) +0.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) 7.20%\nC) 4.53%\nD) 8.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.42%", + "B) 7.20%", + "C) 4.53%", + "D) 8.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.00%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 3.11%\nD) 2.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.00%", + "B) 2.79%", + "C) 3.11%", + "D) 2.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.00%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.99%\nD) 2.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.00%", + "B) 5.00%", + "C) 3.99%", + "D) 2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.44%", + "B) 2.64%", + "C) 2.85%", + "D) 3.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 218,000\nB) 181,868\nC) 199,934\nD) 163,802", + "options": [ + "A) 218,000", + "B) 181,868", + "C) 199,934", + "D) 163,802" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "218,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $16,458B\nB) $15,606B\nC) $14,753B\nD) $15,179B", + "options": [ + "A) $16,458B", + "B) $15,606B", + "C) $14,753B", + "D) $15,179B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$15,606B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,754B\nB) $13,718B\nC) $12,736B\nD) $12,245B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,754B", + "B) $13,718B", + "C) $12,736B", + "D) $12,245B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$12,736B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.34%", + "B) 1.80%", + "C) 2.23%", + "D) 2.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,314K\nB) 1,430K\nC) 1,140K\nD) 1,198K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,314K", + "B) 1,430K", + "C) 1,140K", + "D) 1,198K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,314K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 145,669K\nB) 149,358K\nC) 154,892K\nD) 140,135K", + "options": [ + "A) 145,669K", + "B) 149,358K", + "C) 154,892K", + "D) 140,135K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "149,358K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.10%\nC) 3.64%\nD) 3.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.55%", + "B) 4.10%", + "C) 3.64%", + "D) 3.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 257.06\nB) 242.09\nC) 262.06\nD) 249.58", + "options": [ + "A) 257.06", + "B) 242.09", + "C) 262.06", + "D) 249.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "249.58", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 3.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.95%", + "C) 1.57%", + "D) 3.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 19.72%\nB) -1.44%\nC) -8.50%\nD) 5.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 19.72%", + "B) -1.44%", + "C) -8.50%", + "D) 5.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.53pp\nB) +0.09pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) -0.13pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.53pp", + "B) +0.09pp", + "C) +0.20pp", + "D) -0.13pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.86%\nD) 2.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.14%", + "B) 3.50%", + "C) 4.86%", + "D) 2.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 102.21\nB) 99.14\nC) 105.27\nD) 95.05", + "options": [ + "A) 102.21", + "B) 99.14", + "C) 105.27", + "D) 95.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "102.21", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.39%\nB) 8.38%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 4.46%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.39%", + "B) 8.38%", + "C) 0.54%", + "D) 4.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 153,916K\nB) 142,644K\nC) 148,280K\nD) 138,887K", + "options": [ + "A) 153,916K", + "B) 142,644K", + "C) 148,280K", + "D) 138,887K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "148,280K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.86%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.54%\nD) 2.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.86%", + "B) 2.31%", + "C) 2.54%", + "D) 2.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +3.13pp\nB) +5.51pp\nC) +2.33pp\nD) +0.74pp", + "options": [ + "A) +3.13pp", + "B) +5.51pp", + "C) +2.33pp", + "D) +0.74pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+3.13pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,651B\nB) $14,018B\nC) $15,120B\nD) $14,385B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,651B", + "B) $14,018B", + "C) $15,120B", + "D) $14,385B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$14,018B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 3.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.40%", + "B) 2.22%", + "C) 2.81%", + "D) 3.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 4.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.85%", + "B) 3.72%", + "C) 3.34%", + "D) 4.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.88%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.00%", + "B) 2.88%", + "C) 2.29%", + "D) 1.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 1.51%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.93%", + "B) 1.51%", + "C) 1.70%", + "D) 2.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.38%\nB) -8.79%\nC) 0.31%\nD) -5.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.38%", + "B) -8.79%", + "C) 0.31%", + "D) -5.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $66,286M\nB) $60,070M\nC) $69,394M\nD) $64,732M", + "options": [ + "A) $66,286M", + "B) $60,070M", + "C) $69,394M", + "D) $64,732M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$64,732M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) +3.57pp\nB) +0.74pp\nC) +1.68pp\nD) +6.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) +3.57pp", + "B) +0.74pp", + "C) +1.68pp", + "D) +6.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+3.57pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.98%\nB) 25.64%\nC) 36.75%\nD) 14.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.98%", + "B) 25.64%", + "C) 36.75%", + "D) 14.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "25.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.19%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 1.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.19%", + "B) 3.62%", + "C) 2.33%", + "D) 1.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) $53.21/bbl\nB) $88.60/bbl\nC) $100.40/bbl\nD) $65.01/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $53.21/bbl", + "B) $88.60/bbl", + "C) $100.40/bbl", + "D) $65.01/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$65.01/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 198.54\nB) 218.44\nC) 178.64\nD) 185.27", + "options": [ + "A) 198.54", + "B) 218.44", + "C) 178.64", + "D) 185.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "198.54", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.23%\nB) 17.47%\nC) 19.70%\nD) 24.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.23%", + "B) 17.47%", + "C) 19.70%", + "D) 24.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "17.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,190K\nB) 1,125K\nC) 1,318K\nD) 1,446K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,190K", + "B) 1,125K", + "C) 1,318K", + "D) 1,446K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,318K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 22.46%\nB) -4.69%\nC) 13.41%\nD) 8.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 22.46%", + "B) -4.69%", + "C) 13.41%", + "D) 8.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 2.52%\nC) 1.67%\nD) 2.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.95%", + "B) 2.52%", + "C) 1.67%", + "D) 2.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.16%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 7.91%\nD) 12.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.16%", + "B) 5.67%", + "C) 7.91%", + "D) 12.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 2.08%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 1.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.66%", + "B) 2.08%", + "C) 1.91%", + "D) 1.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.02%\nB) 5.27%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 3.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.02%", + "B) 5.27%", + "C) 1.37%", + "D) 3.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $-43,514M\nB) $-48,425M\nC) $-41,877M\nD) $-45,151M", + "options": [ + "A) $-43,514M", + "B) $-48,425M", + "C) $-41,877M", + "D) $-45,151M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-43,514M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,454.30\nB) 2,779.66\nC) 2,671.21\nD) 2,562.75", + "options": [ + "A) 2,454.30", + "B) 2,779.66", + "C) 2,671.21", + "D) 2,562.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,779.66", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 225.82\nB) 184.86\nC) 205.34\nD) 191.69", + "options": [ + "A) 225.82", + "B) 184.86", + "C) 205.34", + "D) 191.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "205.34", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.14pp\nB) -0.78pp\nC) -0.24pp\nD) -0.60pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.14pp", + "B) -0.78pp", + "C) -0.24pp", + "D) -0.60pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $3,560M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $3,560M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$3,560M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.80%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 7.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.12%", + "B) 6.80%", + "C) 7.26%", + "D) 7.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.37%\nB) 5.41%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 8.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.37%", + "B) 5.41%", + "C) 6.45%", + "D) 8.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) $46.29/bbl\nB) $59.15/bbl\nC) $84.89/bbl\nD) $72.02/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $46.29/bbl", + "B) $59.15/bbl", + "C) $84.89/bbl", + "D) $72.02/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$72.02/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.50pp\nB) -4.87pp\nC) +7.62pp\nD) +1.38pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.50pp", + "B) -4.87pp", + "C) +7.62pp", + "D) +1.38pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+4.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.54%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 64.68%\nD) 59.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.54%", + "B) 62.80%", + "C) 64.68%", + "D) 59.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "62.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $514,946M\nB) $526,665M\nC) $491,507M\nD) $468,068M", + "options": [ + "A) $514,946M", + "B) $526,665M", + "C) $491,507M", + "D) $468,068M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$491,507M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 6.19%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 4.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.00%", + "B) 6.19%", + "C) 2.62%", + "D) 4.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) +0.16pp\nC) -0.76pp\nD) -0.45pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.30pp", + "B) +0.16pp", + "C) -0.76pp", + "D) -0.45pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 3.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.27%", + "B) 2.55%", + "C) 1.98%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.05%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.05%", + "B) 4.65%", + "C) 2.85%", + "D) 3.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,189K\nB) 1,371K\nC) 1,068K\nD) 1,250K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,189K", + "B) 1,371K", + "C) 1,068K", + "D) 1,250K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,250K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.40%\nB) 62.21%\nC) 57.38%\nD) 58.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.40%", + "B) 62.21%", + "C) 57.38%", + "D) 58.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "60.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 7.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.05%", + "B) 5.70%", + "C) 3.93%", + "D) 7.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 275.98\nB) 265.41\nC) 258.37\nD) 251.32", + "options": [ + "A) 275.98", + "B) 265.41", + "C) 258.37", + "D) 251.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "258.37", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $267,310M\nB) $260,859M\nC) $241,506M\nD) $247,957M", + "options": [ + "A) $267,310M", + "B) $260,859M", + "C) $241,506M", + "D) $247,957M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$247,957M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.62%", + "B) 4.32%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 4.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 3.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.93%", + "C) 3.12%", + "D) 3.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 211.37\nB) 203.32\nC) 199.30\nD) 191.25", + "options": [ + "A) 211.37", + "B) 203.32", + "C) 199.30", + "D) 191.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "199.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.86%\nB) 80.93%\nC) 76.21%\nD) 78.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 73.86%", + "B) 80.93%", + "C) 76.21%", + "D) 78.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "78.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 110.5800\nB) 121.9804\nC) 99.1796\nD) 118.1803", + "options": [ + "A) 110.5800", + "B) 121.9804", + "C) 99.1796", + "D) 118.1803" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "110.5800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.53%\nB) 5.84%\nC) 21.78%\nD) 11.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.53%", + "B) 5.84%", + "C) 21.78%", + "D) 11.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 96.71\nB) 105.50\nC) 102.20\nD) 98.91", + "options": [ + "A) 96.71", + "B) 105.50", + "C) 102.20", + "D) 98.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "102.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.26%", + "B) 1.80%", + "C) 1.37%", + "D) 1.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 1.97%\nC) -2.25%\nD) 6.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.07%", + "B) 1.97%", + "C) -2.25%", + "D) 6.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 21.29%\nB) 9.60%\nC) -2.09%\nD) 5.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 21.29%", + "B) 9.60%", + "C) -2.09%", + "D) 5.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1083\nB) 1.0550\nC) 1.1616\nD) 1.2149", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1083", + "B) 1.0550", + "C) 1.1616", + "D) 1.2149" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.20%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 3.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.20%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 2.81%", + "D) 3.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) +5.00pp\nB) -4.10pp\nC) +14.10pp\nD) +8.03pp", + "options": [ + "A) +5.00pp", + "B) -4.10pp", + "C) +14.10pp", + "D) +8.03pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+5.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -15.07%\nB) -8.12%\nC) -28.95%\nD) 5.76%", + "options": [ + "A) -15.07%", + "B) -8.12%", + "C) -28.95%", + "D) 5.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-8.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.64%", + "B) 2.18%", + "C) 1.96%", + "D) 1.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,565K\nB) 1,325K\nC) 1,445K\nD) 1,385K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,565K", + "B) 1,325K", + "C) 1,445K", + "D) 1,385K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,385K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $244,343M\nB) $231,880M\nC) $263,038M\nD) $256,806M", + "options": [ + "A) $244,343M", + "B) $231,880M", + "C) $263,038M", + "D) $256,806M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$244,343M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.07%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.07%", + "B) 3.70%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 2.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,728B\nB) $15,799B\nC) $14,246B\nD) $15,281B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,728B", + "B) $15,799B", + "C) $14,246B", + "D) $15,281B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$14,246B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 122.22\nB) 111.84\nC) 118.76\nD) 115.30", + "options": [ + "A) 122.22", + "B) 111.84", + "C) 118.76", + "D) 115.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "115.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.4379\nB) 6.1734\nC) 6.0412\nD) 6.7024", + "options": [ + "A) 6.4379", + "B) 6.1734", + "C) 6.0412", + "D) 6.7024" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.4379", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.42%\nB) 60.40%\nC) 62.21%\nD) 58.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.42%", + "B) 60.40%", + "C) 62.21%", + "D) 58.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "60.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,009,514\nB) 2,178,772\nC) 1,671,000\nD) 1,501,743", + "options": [ + "A) 2,009,514", + "B) 2,178,772", + "C) 1,671,000", + "D) 1,501,743" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,671,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 28,843.89\nB) 21,337.07\nC) 27,592.75\nD) 25,090.48", + "options": [ + "A) 28,843.89", + "B) 21,337.07", + "C) 27,592.75", + "D) 25,090.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "25,090.48", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 203.60\nB) 195.76\nC) 211.44\nD) 223.19", + "options": [ + "A) 203.60", + "B) 195.76", + "C) 211.44", + "D) 223.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "203.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.00%\nB) 10.76%\nC) 23.26%\nD) -1.75%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.00%", + "B) 10.76%", + "C) 23.26%", + "D) -1.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $72,621M\nB) $66,493M\nC) $68,025M\nD) $63,429M", + "options": [ + "A) $72,621M", + "B) $66,493M", + "C) $68,025M", + "D) $63,429M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$68,025M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.92\nB) 94.44\nC) 108.36\nD) 101.40", + "options": [ + "A) 97.92", + "B) 94.44", + "C) 108.36", + "D) 101.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.10\nB) 89.99\nC) 106.84\nD) 110.21", + "options": [ + "A) 100.10", + "B) 89.99", + "C) 106.84", + "D) 110.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "100.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.87%\nB) 6.71%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 9.57%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.87%", + "B) 6.71%", + "C) 3.85%", + "D) 9.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.19%\nB) 72.68%\nC) 56.80%\nD) 25.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.19%", + "B) 72.68%", + "C) 56.80%", + "D) 25.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "56.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 117.40\nB) 125.53\nC) 109.27\nD) 113.34", + "options": [ + "A) 117.40", + "B) 125.53", + "C) 109.27", + "D) 113.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "113.34", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 1.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 1.67%", + "C) 2.48%", + "D) 1.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.01%", + "B) 2.01%", + "C) 1.01%", + "D) 2.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,453M\nB) $-53,830M\nC) $-50,245M\nD) $-46,660M", + "options": [ + "A) $-48,453M", + "B) $-53,830M", + "C) $-50,245M", + "D) $-46,660M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-50,245M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $21.10/hr\nB) $23.53/hr\nC) $21.79/hr\nD) $22.49/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $21.10/hr", + "B) $23.53/hr", + "C) $21.79/hr", + "D) $22.49/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$22.49/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,013B\nB) $12,964B\nC) $13,489B\nD) $15,585B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,013B", + "B) $12,964B", + "C) $13,489B", + "D) $15,585B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$14,013B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.33%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 6.55%\nD) 6.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.33%", + "B) 5.90%", + "C) 6.55%", + "D) 6.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 4.97%\nD) 5.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.03%", + "B) 4.62%", + "C) 4.97%", + "D) 5.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 265.23\nB) 260.01\nC) 244.35\nD) 252.18", + "options": [ + "A) 265.23", + "B) 260.01", + "C) 244.35", + "D) 252.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "252.18", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.90%\nB) 64.16%\nC) 66.05%\nD) 61.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.90%", + "B) 64.16%", + "C) 66.05%", + "D) 61.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "62.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 7,234.53\nB) 7,746.38\nC) 8,770.07\nD) 6,722.69", + "options": [ + "A) 7,234.53", + "B) 7,746.38", + "C) 8,770.07", + "D) 6,722.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7,746.38", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,139B\nB) $13,103B\nC) $13,793B\nD) $14,484B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,139B", + "B) $13,103B", + "C) $13,793B", + "D) $14,484B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$13,793B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.07%\nB) 2.24%\nC) -2.32%\nD) 4.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.07%", + "B) 2.24%", + "C) -2.32%", + "D) 4.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 5.60%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 4.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.00%", + "B) 5.60%", + "C) 2.93%", + "D) 4.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.57pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.75pp\nD) -0.92pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.57pp", + "B) -0.40pp", + "C) -0.75pp", + "D) -0.92pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $494,920M\nB) $451,681M\nC) $484,110M\nD) $473,300M", + "options": [ + "A) $494,920M", + "B) $451,681M", + "C) $484,110M", + "D) $473,300M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$484,110M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 1.27%\nC) 1.93%\nD) 1.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.82%", + "B) 1.27%", + "C) 1.93%", + "D) 1.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 256.27\nB) 273.27\nC) 246.07\nD) 266.47", + "options": [ + "A) 256.27", + "B) 273.27", + "C) 246.07", + "D) 266.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "256.27", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $21.76/hr\nB) $22.86/hr\nC) $24.69/hr\nD) $23.96/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $21.76/hr", + "B) $22.86/hr", + "C) $24.69/hr", + "D) $23.96/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$22.86/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.07\nB) 6.11\nC) 11.98\nD) 13.94", + "options": [ + "A) 8.07", + "B) 6.11", + "C) 11.98", + "D) 13.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.98", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.11pp\nB) +0.21pp\nC) +0.11pp\nD) +0.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.11pp", + "B) +0.21pp", + "C) +0.11pp", + "D) +0.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.06%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 3.06%", + "C) 3.74%", + "D) 3.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.02%\nB) 14.27%\nC) 17.77%\nD) 10.78%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.02%", + "B) 14.27%", + "C) 17.77%", + "D) 10.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,409B\nB) $14,806B\nC) $15,203B\nD) $15,996B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,409B", + "B) $14,806B", + "C) $15,203B", + "D) $15,996B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$15,203B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.53pp\nB) -0.23pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +0.38pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.53pp", + "B) -0.23pp", + "C) +0.08pp", + "D) +0.38pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.38pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.42\nB) 100.37\nC) 98.32\nD) 105.49", + "options": [ + "A) 102.42", + "B) 100.37", + "C) 98.32", + "D) 105.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "102.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.63%\nB) 4.31%\nC) 7.99%\nD) 5.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.63%", + "B) 4.31%", + "C) 7.99%", + "D) 5.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,734.55\nB) 8,127.21\nC) 6,949.23\nD) 6,163.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,734.55", + "B) 8,127.21", + "C) 6,949.23", + "D) 6,163.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,949.23", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,734.55\nB) 8,127.21\nC) 6,949.23\nD) 6,163.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,734.55", + "B) 8,127.21", + "C) 6,949.23", + "D) 6,163.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,949.23", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,262.78\nB) 8,048.10\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,262.78", + "B) 8,048.10", + "C) 6,084.80", + "D) 6,870.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,262.78\nB) 8,048.10\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,262.78", + "B) 8,048.10", + "C) 6,084.80", + "D) 6,870.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,477.46\nC) 7,262.78\nD) 6,084.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,870.12", + "B) 6,477.46", + "C) 7,262.78", + "D) 6,084.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,477.46\nC) 7,262.78\nD) 6,084.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,870.12", + "B) 6,477.46", + "C) 7,262.78", + "D) 6,084.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 7,655.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 5,692.14", + "B) 6,870.12", + "C) 6,084.80", + "D) 7,655.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 7,655.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 5,692.14", + "B) 6,870.12", + "C) 6,084.80", + "D) 7,655.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,477.46", + "B) 6,084.80", + "C) 6,870.12", + "D) 5,692.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,477.46", + "B) 6,084.80", + "C) 6,870.12", + "D) 5,692.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,477.46", + "B) 7,655.44", + "C) 6,084.80", + "D) 6,870.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,477.46", + "B) 7,655.44", + "C) 6,084.80", + "D) 6,870.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,588.26\nB) 2,484.44\nC) 2,276.81\nD) 2,692.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,588.26", + "B) 2,484.44", + "C) 2,276.81", + "D) 2,692.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,588.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,588.26\nB) 2,484.44\nC) 2,276.81\nD) 2,692.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,588.26", + "B) 2,484.44", + "C) 2,276.81", + "D) 2,692.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,588.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,374.25\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,270.43\nD) 2,893.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,374.25", + "B) 2,581.88", + "C) 2,270.43", + "D) 2,893.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,374.25\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,270.43\nD) 2,893.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,374.25", + "B) 2,581.88", + "C) 2,270.43", + "D) 2,893.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,893.33\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,581.88\nD) 2,789.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,893.33", + "B) 2,478.06", + "C) 2,581.88", + "D) 2,789.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,893.33\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,581.88\nD) 2,789.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,893.33", + "B) 2,478.06", + "C) 2,581.88", + "D) 2,789.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,581.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,270.43", + "B) 2,478.06", + "C) 2,789.51", + "D) 2,581.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,581.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,270.43", + "B) 2,478.06", + "C) 2,789.51", + "D) 2,581.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,581.88\nB) 2,685.70\nC) 2,478.06\nD) 2,893.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,581.88", + "B) 2,685.70", + "C) 2,478.06", + "D) 2,893.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,581.88\nB) 2,685.70\nC) 2,478.06\nD) 2,893.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,581.88", + "B) 2,685.70", + "C) 2,478.06", + "D) 2,893.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,374.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,270.43", + "B) 2,581.88", + "C) 2,789.51", + "D) 2,374.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,374.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,270.43", + "B) 2,581.88", + "C) 2,789.51", + "D) 2,374.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8744\nB) 6.0491\nC) 6.3110\nD) 6.5729", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 5.8744", + "B) 6.0491", + "C) 6.3110", + "D) 6.5729" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.3110", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8744\nB) 6.0491\nC) 6.3110\nD) 6.5729", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 5.8744", + "B) 6.0491", + "C) 6.3110", + "D) 6.5729" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.3110", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4856\nB) 5.8744\nC) 6.1364\nD) 6.3110", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.4856", + "B) 5.8744", + "C) 6.1364", + "D) 6.3110" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.3110", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4856\nB) 5.8744\nC) 6.1364\nD) 6.3110", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.4856", + "B) 5.8744", + "C) 6.1364", + "D) 6.3110" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.3110", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.3110\nB) 6.5729\nC) 6.1364\nD) 5.8744", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3110", + "B) 6.5729", + "C) 6.1364", + "D) 5.8744" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.3110", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.3110\nB) 6.5729\nC) 6.1364\nD) 5.8744", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3110", + "B) 6.5729", + "C) 6.1364", + "D) 5.8744" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.3110", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.1141\nB) 6.3760\nC) 6.5506\nD) 5.9394", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.1141", + "B) 6.3760", + "C) 6.5506", + "D) 5.9394" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.3760", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.1141\nB) 6.3760\nC) 6.5506\nD) 5.9394", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.1141", + "B) 6.3760", + "C) 6.5506", + "D) 5.9394" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.3760", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0013\nB) 6.6998\nC) 6.4379\nD) 6.1760", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0013", + "B) 6.6998", + "C) 6.4379", + "D) 6.1760" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4379", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0013\nB) 6.6998\nC) 6.4379\nD) 6.1760", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0013", + "B) 6.6998", + "C) 6.4379", + "D) 6.1760" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4379", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7584\nB) 6.5838\nC) 7.1949\nD) 6.9330", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7584", + "B) 6.5838", + "C) 7.1949", + "D) 6.9330" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.9330", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7584\nB) 6.5838\nC) 7.1949\nD) 6.9330", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7584", + "B) 6.5838", + "C) 7.1949", + "D) 6.9330" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.9330", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 29.98\nC) 26.57\nD) 19.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.87", + "B) 29.98", + "C) 26.57", + "D) 19.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 29.98\nC) 26.57\nD) 19.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.87", + "B) 29.98", + "C) 26.57", + "D) 19.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 19.76\nB) 24.87\nC) 26.57\nD) 28.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 19.76", + "B) 24.87", + "C) 26.57", + "D) 28.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 19.76\nB) 24.87\nC) 26.57\nD) 28.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 19.76", + "B) 24.87", + "C) 26.57", + "D) 28.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 29.98\nB) 28.28\nC) 24.87\nD) 21.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 29.98", + "B) 28.28", + "C) 24.87", + "D) 21.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 29.98\nB) 28.28\nC) 24.87\nD) 21.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 29.98", + "B) 28.28", + "C) 24.87", + "D) 21.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 21.46\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 28.28", + "B) 21.46", + "C) 23.17", + "D) 24.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 21.46\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 28.28", + "B) 21.46", + "C) 23.17", + "D) 24.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 19.76\nC) 29.98\nD) 21.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.87", + "B) 19.76", + "C) 29.98", + "D) 21.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 19.76\nC) 29.98\nD) 21.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.87", + "B) 19.76", + "C) 29.98", + "D) 21.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 19.76\nD) 23.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 26.57", + "B) 24.87", + "C) 19.76", + "D) 23.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 19.76\nD) 23.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 26.57", + "B) 24.87", + "C) 19.76", + "D) 23.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,713.32\nB) 5,557.24\nC) 6,635.28\nD) 6,275.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,713.32", + "B) 5,557.24", + "C) 6,635.28", + "D) 6,275.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,635.28", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,713.32\nB) 5,557.24\nC) 6,635.28\nD) 6,275.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,713.32", + "B) 5,557.24", + "C) 6,635.28", + "D) 6,275.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,635.28", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,597.73\nB) 5,879.04\nC) 7,675.77\nD) 6,957.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,597.73", + "B) 5,879.04", + "C) 7,675.77", + "D) 6,957.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,957.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,597.73\nB) 5,879.04\nC) 7,675.77\nD) 6,957.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,597.73", + "B) 5,879.04", + "C) 7,675.77", + "D) 6,957.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,957.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,157.23\nB) 8,235.27\nC) 6,438.54\nD) 7,875.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,157.23", + "B) 8,235.27", + "C) 6,438.54", + "D) 7,875.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7,157.23", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,157.23\nB) 8,235.27\nC) 6,438.54\nD) 7,875.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,157.23", + "B) 8,235.27", + "C) 6,438.54", + "D) 7,875.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7,157.23", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,886.89\nB) 7,527.54\nC) 6,808.85\nD) 6,449.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,886.89", + "B) 7,527.54", + "C) 6,808.85", + "D) 6,449.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7,527.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,886.89\nB) 7,527.54\nC) 6,808.85\nD) 6,449.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,886.89", + "B) 7,527.54", + "C) 6,808.85", + "D) 6,449.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7,527.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 8,557.65\nB) 7,120.27\nC) 7,838.96\nD) 6,760.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,557.65", + "B) 7,120.27", + "C) 7,838.96", + "D) 6,760.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7,838.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 8,557.65\nB) 7,120.27\nC) 7,838.96\nD) 6,760.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,557.65", + "B) 7,120.27", + "C) 7,838.96", + "D) 6,760.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7,838.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,445.31\nB) 8,882.69\nC) 7,085.96\nD) 8,164.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,445.31", + "B) 8,882.69", + "C) 7,085.96", + "D) 8,164.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8,164.00", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,445.31\nB) 8,882.69\nC) 7,085.96\nD) 8,164.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,445.31", + "B) 8,882.69", + "C) 7,085.96", + "D) 8,164.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8,164.00", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,467.70\nB) 2,375.61\nC) 2,191.42\nD) 2,559.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,467.70", + "B) 2,375.61", + "C) 2,191.42", + "D) 2,559.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,467.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,467.70\nB) 2,375.61\nC) 2,191.42\nD) 2,559.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,467.70", + "B) 2,375.61", + "C) 2,191.42", + "D) 2,559.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,467.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,724.17\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,724.17", + "B) 2,447.89", + "C) 2,632.07", + "D) 2,355.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,724.17\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,724.17", + "B) 2,447.89", + "C) 2,632.07", + "D) 2,355.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,539.98\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,447.89\nD) 2,632.07", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,539.98", + "B) 2,724.17", + "C) 2,447.89", + "D) 2,632.07" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,539.98\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,447.89\nD) 2,632.07", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,539.98", + "B) 2,724.17", + "C) 2,447.89", + "D) 2,632.07" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,632.07\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,263.71\nD) 2,447.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,632.07", + "B) 2,724.17", + "C) 2,263.71", + "D) 2,447.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,632.07\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,263.71\nD) 2,447.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,632.07", + "B) 2,724.17", + "C) 2,263.71", + "D) 2,447.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,447.89\nB) 2,171.61\nC) 2,355.80\nD) 2,632.07", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,447.89", + "B) 2,171.61", + "C) 2,355.80", + "D) 2,632.07" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,447.89\nB) 2,171.61\nC) 2,355.80\nD) 2,632.07", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,447.89", + "B) 2,171.61", + "C) 2,355.80", + "D) 2,632.07" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,171.61\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,171.61", + "B) 2,447.89", + "C) 2,632.07", + "D) 2,355.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,171.61\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,171.61", + "B) 2,447.89", + "C) 2,632.07", + "D) 2,355.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 29.76\nC) 25.42\nD) 18.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 23.25", + "B) 29.76", + "C) 25.42", + "D) 18.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "25.42", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 29.76\nC) 25.42\nD) 18.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 23.25", + "B) 29.76", + "C) 25.42", + "D) 18.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "25.42", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 24.32\nB) 17.81\nC) 26.49\nD) 19.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.32", + "B) 17.81", + "C) 26.49", + "D) 19.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 24.32\nB) 17.81\nC) 26.49\nD) 19.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.32", + "B) 17.81", + "C) 26.49", + "D) 19.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 17.80\nB) 15.63\nC) 24.31\nD) 11.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 17.80", + "B) 15.63", + "C) 24.31", + "D) 11.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.80", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 17.80\nB) 15.63\nC) 24.31\nD) 11.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 17.80", + "B) 15.63", + "C) 24.31", + "D) 11.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.80", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 13.51\nC) 17.85\nD) 20.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 11.34", + "B) 13.51", + "C) 17.85", + "D) 20.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.51", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 13.51\nC) 17.85\nD) 20.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 11.34", + "B) 13.51", + "C) 17.85", + "D) 20.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.51", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 19.39\nB) 15.05\nC) 12.88\nD) 6.37", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 19.39", + "B) 15.05", + "C) 12.88", + "D) 6.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 19.39\nB) 15.05\nC) 12.88\nD) 6.37", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 19.39", + "B) 15.05", + "C) 12.88", + "D) 6.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 18.52\nB) 9.84\nC) 7.67\nD) 12.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 18.52", + "B) 9.84", + "C) 7.67", + "D) 12.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 18.52\nB) 9.84\nC) 7.67\nD) 12.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 18.52", + "B) 9.84", + "C) 7.67", + "D) 12.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 35.01\nC) 38.10\nD) 36.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 33.46", + "B) 35.01", + "C) 38.10", + "D) 36.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 35.01\nC) 38.10\nD) 36.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 33.46", + "B) 35.01", + "C) 38.10", + "D) 36.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 30.36", + "B) 33.46", + "C) 28.82", + "D) 31.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 30.36", + "B) 33.46", + "C) 28.82", + "D) 31.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 28.82\nC) 33.46\nD) 38.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 31.91", + "B) 28.82", + "C) 33.46", + "D) 38.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 28.82\nC) 33.46\nD) 38.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 31.91", + "B) 28.82", + "C) 33.46", + "D) 38.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 28.82\nB) 35.01\nC) 36.56\nD) 33.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 28.82", + "B) 35.01", + "C) 36.56", + "D) 33.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 28.82\nB) 35.01\nC) 36.56\nD) 33.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 28.82", + "B) 35.01", + "C) 36.56", + "D) 33.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 28.82\nC) 30.36\nD) 36.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 33.46", + "B) 28.82", + "C) 30.36", + "D) 36.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 28.82\nC) 30.36\nD) 36.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 33.46", + "B) 28.82", + "C) 30.36", + "D) 36.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 36.56", + "B) 33.46", + "C) 28.82", + "D) 31.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 36.56", + "B) 33.46", + "C) 28.82", + "D) 31.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,874.08\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 7,115.88\nD) 8,253.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,874.08", + "B) 7,494.98", + "C) 7,115.88", + "D) 8,253.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7,115.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,874.08\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 7,115.88\nD) 8,253.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,874.08", + "B) 7,494.98", + "C) 7,115.88", + "D) 8,253.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7,115.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,635.53\nB) 6,119.13\nC) 8,014.63\nD) 7,256.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,635.53", + "B) 6,119.13", + "C) 8,014.63", + "D) 7,256.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7,256.43", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,635.53\nB) 6,119.13\nC) 8,014.63\nD) 7,256.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,635.53", + "B) 6,119.13", + "C) 8,014.63", + "D) 7,256.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7,256.43", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,421.46\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 8,179.66\nD) 6,663.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,421.46", + "B) 6,284.16", + "C) 8,179.66", + "D) 6,663.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7,421.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,421.46\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 8,179.66\nD) 6,663.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,421.46", + "B) 6,284.16", + "C) 8,179.66", + "D) 6,663.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7,421.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,830.12\nB) 7,588.32\nC) 8,346.52\nD) 7,209.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 6,830.12", + "B) 7,588.32", + "C) 8,346.52", + "D) 7,209.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7,588.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,830.12\nB) 7,588.32\nC) 8,346.52\nD) 7,209.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 6,830.12", + "B) 7,588.32", + "C) 8,346.52", + "D) 7,209.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7,588.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,209.22\nB) 6,451.02\nC) 7,588.32\nD) 8,725.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,209.22", + "B) 6,451.02", + "C) 7,588.32", + "D) 8,725.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7,588.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,209.22\nB) 6,451.02\nC) 7,588.32\nD) 8,725.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,209.22", + "B) 6,451.02", + "C) 7,588.32", + "D) 8,725.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7,588.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,553.14\nB) 6,794.94\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,932.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,553.14", + "B) 6,794.94", + "C) 8,690.44", + "D) 7,932.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7,932.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,553.14\nB) 6,794.94\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,932.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,553.14", + "B) 6,794.94", + "C) 8,690.44", + "D) 7,932.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7,932.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,695.14\nB) 2,598.19\nC) 2,404.30\nD) 2,501.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,695.14", + "B) 2,598.19", + "C) 2,404.30", + "D) 2,501.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,695.14", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,695.14\nB) 2,598.19\nC) 2,404.30\nD) 2,501.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,695.14", + "B) 2,598.19", + "C) 2,404.30", + "D) 2,501.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,695.14", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,926.12\nB) 2,732.22\nC) 2,829.17\nD) 2,635.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,926.12", + "B) 2,732.22", + "C) 2,829.17", + "D) 2,635.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,732.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,926.12\nB) 2,732.22\nC) 2,829.17\nD) 2,635.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,926.12", + "B) 2,732.22", + "C) 2,829.17", + "D) 2,635.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,732.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,488.76\nB) 3,070.44\nC) 2,779.60\nD) 2,876.55", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,488.76", + "B) 3,070.44", + "C) 2,779.60", + "D) 2,876.55" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,779.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,488.76\nB) 3,070.44\nC) 2,779.60\nD) 2,876.55", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,488.76", + "B) 3,070.44", + "C) 2,779.60", + "D) 2,876.55" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,779.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,980.47\nB) 2,883.52\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,786.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,980.47", + "B) 2,883.52", + "C) 2,592.67", + "D) 2,786.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,786.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,980.47\nB) 2,883.52\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,786.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,980.47", + "B) 2,883.52", + "C) 2,592.67", + "D) 2,786.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,786.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,786.57\nB) 2,980.47\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,883.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,786.57", + "B) 2,980.47", + "C) 2,592.67", + "D) 2,883.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,786.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,786.57\nB) 2,980.47\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,883.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,786.57", + "B) 2,980.47", + "C) 2,592.67", + "D) 2,883.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,786.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,943.02\nB) 2,846.07\nC) 2,749.12\nD) 2,652.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,943.02", + "B) 2,846.07", + "C) 2,749.12", + "D) 2,652.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,846.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,943.02\nB) 2,846.07\nC) 2,749.12\nD) 2,652.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,943.02", + "B) 2,846.07", + "C) 2,749.12", + "D) 2,652.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,846.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2018.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2018.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..cc9b1a5c437457b688c19bfdf619a05974cf6f59 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2018.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:ab92ba9f21df700ac986f67c1dc236df7d04c8f778e6026fcab2703735232a90 +size 33771 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2019.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2019.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..6491ffee5130ab91ba1477689d26143126dd27fa --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2019.json @@ -0,0 +1,3719 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 123.83\nB) 121.34\nC) 117.60\nD) 113.86", + "options": [ + "A) 123.83", + "B) 121.34", + "C) 117.60", + "D) 113.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "117.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.79pp\nB) -0.29pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +0.25pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.79pp", + "B) -0.29pp", + "C) +0.52pp", + "D) +0.25pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.25pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 256.43\nB) 243.14\nC) 263.08\nD) 249.78", + "options": [ + "A) 256.43", + "B) 243.14", + "C) 263.08", + "D) 249.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "256.43", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1907\nB) 1.1217\nC) 1.0527\nD) 1.2598", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1907", + "B) 1.1217", + "C) 1.0527", + "D) 1.2598" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1217", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,247,196\nB) 2,020,804\nC) 1,634,000\nD) 1,376,131", + "options": [ + "A) 1,247,196", + "B) 2,020,804", + "C) 1,634,000", + "D) 1,376,131" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,634,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.83%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 2.56%\nD) 1.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.83%", + "B) 2.21%", + "C) 2.56%", + "D) 1.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.20%\nB) 65.10%\nC) 60.04%\nD) 61.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.20%", + "B) 65.10%", + "C) 60.04%", + "D) 61.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "63.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.3175\nB) 6.9247\nC) 6.5319\nD) 7.5793", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3175", + "B) 6.9247", + "C) 6.5319", + "D) 7.5793" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.9247", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 0.60%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 0.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.97%", + "B) 0.60%", + "C) 1.28%", + "D) 0.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 1.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.00%", + "B) 3.20%", + "C) 2.32%", + "D) 1.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.29\nB) 99.22\nC) 108.43\nD) 105.36", + "options": [ + "A) 102.29", + "B) 99.22", + "C) 108.43", + "D) 105.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "102.29", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.24%\nB) 7.00%\nC) 7.83%\nD) 7.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.24%", + "B) 7.00%", + "C) 7.83%", + "D) 7.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.95%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.95%", + "B) 1.21%", + "C) 1.34%", + "D) 1.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 3.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.83%", + "B) 2.84%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 3.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,886.98\nB) 2,632.98\nC) 3,013.98\nD) 3,267.98", + "options": [ + "A) 2,886.98", + "B) 2,632.98", + "C) 3,013.98", + "D) 3,267.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,886.98", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 2.97%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.17%", + "B) 3.56%", + "C) 4.14%", + "D) 2.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.70\nB) 99.79\nC) 102.88\nD) 105.96", + "options": [ + "A) 96.70", + "B) 99.79", + "C) 102.88", + "D) 105.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "102.88", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.45pp\nB) +0.12pp\nC) +0.03pp\nD) +0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.45pp", + "B) +0.12pp", + "C) +0.03pp", + "D) +0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.16%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 3.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.16%", + "C) 4.06%", + "D) 3.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 24,687.83\nB) 26,089.61\nC) 27,491.39\nD) 30,294.96", + "options": [ + "A) 24,687.83", + "B) 26,089.61", + "C) 27,491.39", + "D) 30,294.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "26,089.61", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.83%\nB) 57.34%\nC) 61.00%\nD) 59.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.83%", + "B) 57.34%", + "C) 61.00%", + "D) 59.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "61.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.93%\nB) -0.55%\nC) -5.31%\nD) -1.74%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.93%", + "B) -0.55%", + "C) -5.31%", + "D) -1.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 2.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.84%", + "B) 1.45%", + "C) 0.66%", + "D) 2.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 117.3186\nB) 108.4400\nC) 111.3995\nD) 99.5614", + "options": [ + "A) 117.3186", + "B) 108.4400", + "C) 111.3995", + "D) 99.5614" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "108.4400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.29%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 2.09%\nD) 1.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.29%", + "B) 1.89%", + "C) 2.09%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,189K\nB) 1,136K\nC) 1,454K\nD) 1,295K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,189K", + "B) 1,136K", + "C) 1,454K", + "D) 1,295K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,295K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $226,791M\nB) $212,932M\nC) $217,552M\nD) $231,411M", + "options": [ + "A) $226,791M", + "B) $212,932M", + "C) $217,552M", + "D) $231,411M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$226,791M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.47%", + "B) 3.82%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 4.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.06%\nB) 3.32%\nC) 3.59%\nD) 3.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.06%", + "B) 3.32%", + "C) 3.59%", + "D) 3.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 1.39%\nC) 1.27%\nD) 1.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.75%", + "B) 1.39%", + "C) 1.27%", + "D) 1.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -6.50%\nB) -2.87%\nC) -13.75%\nD) -10.12%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.50%", + "B) -2.87%", + "C) -13.75%", + "D) -10.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-6.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.38\nB) 103.73\nC) 107.09\nD) 98.14", + "options": [ + "A) 100.38", + "B) 103.73", + "C) 107.09", + "D) 98.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "103.73", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,846B\nB) $16,762B\nC) $16,283B\nD) $17,719B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,846B", + "B) $16,762B", + "C) $16,283B", + "D) $17,719B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$16,283B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.01%\nB) -2.82%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 6.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.01%", + "B) -2.82%", + "C) 0.14%", + "D) 6.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.09%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 3.31%\nD) 4.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.09%", + "B) 5.25%", + "C) 3.31%", + "D) 4.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 1.84%\nD) 1.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.41%", + "B) 2.07%", + "C) 1.84%", + "D) 1.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 268.77\nB) 254.37\nC) 261.57\nD) 243.57", + "options": [ + "A) 268.77", + "B) 254.37", + "C) 261.57", + "D) 243.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "261.57", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,571B\nB) $13,037B\nC) $15,064B\nD) $14,558B", + "options": [ + "A) $15,571B", + "B) $13,037B", + "C) $15,064B", + "D) $14,558B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$14,558B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 78.53%\nB) 76.16%\nC) 74.58%\nD) 80.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 78.53%", + "B) 76.16%", + "C) 74.58%", + "D) 80.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "78.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.25%\nB) 7.90%\nC) 8.22%\nD) 6.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.25%", + "B) 7.90%", + "C) 8.22%", + "D) 6.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.15%\nB) -3.09%\nC) 0.65%\nD) 1.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.15%", + "B) -3.09%", + "C) 0.65%", + "D) 1.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 198.77\nB) 219.68\nC) 226.65\nD) 205.74", + "options": [ + "A) 198.77", + "B) 219.68", + "C) 226.65", + "D) 205.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "205.74", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $-48,154M\nB) $-41,991M\nC) $-44,045M\nD) $-54,317M", + "options": [ + "A) $-48,154M", + "B) $-41,991M", + "C) $-44,045M", + "D) $-54,317M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-48,154M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.29pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.49pp\nD) -0.16pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.29pp", + "B) +0.10pp", + "C) +0.49pp", + "D) -0.16pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 106.16\nB) 96.88\nC) 103.07\nD) 99.98", + "options": [ + "A) 106.16", + "B) 96.88", + "C) 103.07", + "D) 99.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "103.07", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.59%\nB) 3.09%\nC) -3.92%\nD) 0.75%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.59%", + "B) 3.09%", + "C) -3.92%", + "D) 0.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.31pp\nB) -3.31pp\nC) -0.31pp\nD) +0.68pp", + "options": [ + "A) -2.31pp", + "B) -3.31pp", + "C) -0.31pp", + "D) +0.68pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-2.31pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $64,006M\nB) $68,651M\nC) $73,296M\nD) $65,555M", + "options": [ + "A) $64,006M", + "B) $68,651M", + "C) $73,296M", + "D) $65,555M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$68,651M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,565K\nB) 1,326K\nC) 1,469K\nD) 1,421K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,565K", + "B) 1,326K", + "C) 1,469K", + "D) 1,421K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,469K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $3,382M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $3,382M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$3,382M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.90pp\nB) -0.99pp\nC) -9.86pp\nD) -15.77pp", + "options": [ + "A) -6.90pp", + "B) -0.99pp", + "C) -9.86pp", + "D) -15.77pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-6.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 1.62%\nD) 2.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.04%", + "C) 1.62%", + "D) 2.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.92%\nB) 5.57%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 2.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.92%", + "B) 5.57%", + "C) 3.62%", + "D) 2.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 3.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.99%", + "B) 4.20%", + "C) 3.01%", + "D) 3.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $240,465M\nB) $247,018M\nC) $260,123M\nD) $220,807M", + "options": [ + "A) $240,465M", + "B) $247,018M", + "C) $260,123M", + "D) $220,807M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$240,465M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.43%\nB) -2.55%\nC) -7.21%\nD) 2.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.43%", + "B) -2.55%", + "C) -7.21%", + "D) 2.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-2.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $22.40/hr\nB) $24.53/hr\nC) $23.68/hr\nD) $25.81/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $22.40/hr", + "B) $24.53/hr", + "C) $23.68/hr", + "D) $25.81/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$23.68/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -10.45%\nB) 8.18%\nC) 17.50%\nD) 3.53%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.45%", + "B) 8.18%", + "C) 17.50%", + "D) 3.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.00%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 66.15%\nD) 64.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.00%", + "B) 61.11%", + "C) 66.15%", + "D) 64.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "63.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,500B\nB) $14,249B\nC) $13,874B\nD) $14,623B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,500B", + "B) $14,249B", + "C) $13,874B", + "D) $14,623B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$14,249B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 92.92\nB) 103.88\nC) 98.40\nD) 106.62", + "options": [ + "A) 92.92", + "B) 103.88", + "C) 98.40", + "D) 106.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "98.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 153,881K\nB) 159,261K\nC) 146,709K\nD) 150,295K", + "options": [ + "A) 153,881K", + "B) 159,261K", + "C) 146,709K", + "D) 150,295K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "150,295K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.87\nB) 106.27\nC) 108.68\nD) 101.47", + "options": [ + "A) 103.87", + "B) 106.27", + "C) 108.68", + "D) 101.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "103.87", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 3.52%\nD) 0.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.80%", + "B) 1.37%", + "C) 3.52%", + "D) 0.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.87%\nB) -4.95%\nC) 0.46%\nD) 16.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.87%", + "B) -4.95%", + "C) 0.46%", + "D) 16.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $521,891M\nB) $471,455M\nC) $534,500M\nD) $509,282M", + "options": [ + "A) $521,891M", + "B) $471,455M", + "C) $534,500M", + "D) $509,282M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$509,282M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,591B\nB) $14,978B\nC) $15,366B\nD) $13,427B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,591B", + "B) $14,978B", + "C) $15,366B", + "D) $13,427B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$14,591B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -4.37%\nB) -9.64%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 6.15%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.37%", + "B) -9.64%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 6.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-9.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -7.05%\nB) -3.36%\nC) 4.01%\nD) 15.08%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.05%", + "B) -3.36%", + "C) 4.01%", + "D) 15.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 5.25%\nD) 3.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.17%", + "B) 2.54%", + "C) 5.25%", + "D) 3.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $23.29/hr\nB) $24.45/hr\nC) $22.52/hr\nD) $21.36/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $23.29/hr", + "B) $24.45/hr", + "C) $22.52/hr", + "D) $21.36/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$23.29/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.03pp\nD) +0.13pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.30pp", + "B) -0.20pp", + "C) -0.03pp", + "D) +0.13pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 6,616.22\nB) 8,977.10\nC) 7,796.66\nD) 7,206.44", + "options": [ + "A) 6,616.22", + "B) 8,977.10", + "C) 7,796.66", + "D) 7,206.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7,796.66", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.31%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.31%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 2.12%", + "D) 1.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.04pp\nB) -3.00pp\nC) +1.94pp\nD) -1.02pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.04pp", + "B) -3.00pp", + "C) +1.94pp", + "D) -1.02pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.04pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.63%\nB) 60.60%\nC) 58.78%\nD) 62.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.63%", + "B) 60.60%", + "C) 58.78%", + "D) 62.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "60.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) $44.69/bbl\nB) $60.25/bbl\nC) $52.47/bbl\nD) $29.13/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $44.69/bbl", + "B) $60.25/bbl", + "C) $52.47/bbl", + "D) $29.13/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$52.47/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $15,544B\nB) $16,041B\nC) $14,550B\nD) $15,047B", + "options": [ + "A) $15,544B", + "B) $16,041B", + "C) $14,550B", + "D) $15,047B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$15,047B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.03%\nB) -13.31%\nC) -6.75%\nD) -3.47%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.03%", + "B) -13.31%", + "C) -6.75%", + "D) -3.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-10.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -67.96%\nB) -15.68%\nC) 36.60%\nD) -33.11%", + "options": [ + "A) -67.96%", + "B) -15.68%", + "C) 36.60%", + "D) -33.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-15.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.83\nB) 21.73\nC) 15.28\nD) 10.98", + "options": [ + "A) 8.83", + "B) 21.73", + "C) 15.28", + "D) 10.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15.28", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 5.53%\nD) 3.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.99%", + "B) 4.44%", + "C) 5.53%", + "D) 3.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.38pp\nC) +0.16pp\nD) -0.02pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.20pp", + "B) -0.38pp", + "C) +0.16pp", + "D) -0.02pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.07%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 1.33%\nD) 3.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.07%", + "B) 2.20%", + "C) 1.33%", + "D) 3.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 1.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.58%", + "B) 1.70%", + "C) 1.36%", + "D) 1.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 2.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.19%", + "B) 2.32%", + "C) 2.86%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.39%\nB) 6.40%\nC) -5.64%\nD) 12.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.39%", + "B) 6.40%", + "C) -5.64%", + "D) 12.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.91%\nB) 4.34%\nC) 6.06%\nD) 3.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.91%", + "B) 4.34%", + "C) 6.06%", + "D) 3.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,597B\nB) $16,937B\nC) $16,044B\nD) $16,490B", + "options": [ + "A) $15,597B", + "B) $16,937B", + "C) $16,044B", + "D) $16,490B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$16,044B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 1.74%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.62%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.49%", + "B) 1.74%", + "C) 1.98%", + "D) 1.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 115.91\nB) 107.09\nC) 112.97\nD) 118.84", + "options": [ + "A) 115.91", + "B) 107.09", + "C) 112.97", + "D) 118.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "115.91", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $475,681M\nB) $499,292M\nC) $511,098M\nD) $522,903M", + "options": [ + "A) $475,681M", + "B) $499,292M", + "C) $511,098M", + "D) $522,903M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$499,292M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -21.88%\nB) -0.17%\nC) -11.03%\nD) 5.25%", + "options": [ + "A) -21.88%", + "B) -0.17%", + "C) -11.03%", + "D) 5.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-11.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 146,261K\nB) 142,859K\nC) 154,768K\nD) 151,365K", + "options": [ + "A) 146,261K", + "B) 142,859K", + "C) 154,768K", + "D) 151,365K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "151,365K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.88%\nB) -5.55%\nC) 20.53%\nD) 10.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.88%", + "B) -5.55%", + "C) 20.53%", + "D) 10.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 202,426\nB) 217,000\nC) 231,574\nD) 246,148", + "options": [ + "A) 202,426", + "B) 217,000", + "C) 231,574", + "D) 246,148" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "217,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $-37,818M\nB) $-40,012M\nC) $-44,400M\nD) $-48,788M", + "options": [ + "A) $-37,818M", + "B) $-40,012M", + "C) $-44,400M", + "D) $-48,788M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-44,400M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 275.52\nB) 282.94\nC) 253.26\nD) 264.39", + "options": [ + "A) 275.52", + "B) 282.94", + "C) 253.26", + "D) 264.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "264.39", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.42%\nB) 6.48%\nC) 3.51%\nD) -5.39%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.42%", + "B) 6.48%", + "C) 3.51%", + "D) -5.39%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-2.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.47%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 1.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.47%", + "B) 3.14%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) 1.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,203M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $3,203M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$3,203M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -53.69%\nB) -4.09%\nC) -37.15%\nD) -20.62%", + "options": [ + "A) -53.69%", + "B) -4.09%", + "C) -37.15%", + "D) -20.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-20.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 118.30\nB) 110.62\nC) 121.37\nD) 115.23", + "options": [ + "A) 118.30", + "B) 110.62", + "C) 121.37", + "D) 115.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "118.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 215.35\nB) 198.40\nC) 188.23\nD) 208.57", + "options": [ + "A) 215.35", + "B) 198.40", + "C) 188.23", + "D) 208.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "198.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) $12,084B\nB) $14,808B\nC) $13,446B\nD) $13,900B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,084B", + "B) $14,808B", + "C) $13,446B", + "D) $13,900B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$13,446B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 6.67%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 5.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.96%", + "B) 6.67%", + "C) 3.83%", + "D) 5.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 0.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.99%", + "B) 2.71%", + "C) 3.42%", + "D) 0.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 105.34\nB) 103.06\nC) 107.63\nD) 99.63", + "options": [ + "A) 105.34", + "B) 103.06", + "C) 107.63", + "D) 99.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "103.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,298K\nB) 1,245K\nC) 1,191K\nD) 1,352K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,298K", + "B) 1,245K", + "C) 1,191K", + "D) 1,352K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,191K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 4.46%\nD) 3.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.87%", + "B) 4.02%", + "C) 4.46%", + "D) 3.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 254.28\nB) 260.03\nC) 265.79\nD) 245.64", + "options": [ + "A) 254.28", + "B) 260.03", + "C) 265.79", + "D) 245.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "254.28", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) $79.99/bbl\nB) $63.13/bbl\nC) $46.27/bbl\nD) $37.84/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $79.99/bbl", + "B) $63.13/bbl", + "C) $46.27/bbl", + "D) $37.84/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 192.99\nB) 212.51\nC) 200.80\nD) 185.18", + "options": [ + "A) 192.99", + "B) 212.51", + "C) 200.80", + "D) 185.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "200.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 6.41%\nC) 8.08%\nD) 5.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.74%", + "B) 6.41%", + "C) 8.08%", + "D) 5.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 2.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 2.66%", + "C) 2.11%", + "D) 2.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.95%\nB) 77.62%\nC) 82.28%\nD) 75.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 79.95%", + "B) 77.62%", + "C) 82.28%", + "D) 75.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "77.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.07pp\nB) +0.73pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +0.29pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.07pp", + "B) +0.73pp", + "C) +0.40pp", + "D) +0.29pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 218.96\nB) 204.72\nC) 197.60\nD) 211.84", + "options": [ + "A) 218.96", + "B) 204.72", + "C) 197.60", + "D) 211.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "211.84", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.41%", + "B) 1.70%", + "C) 2.05%", + "D) 2.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $67,918M\nB) $66,378M\nC) $70,997M\nD) $61,759M", + "options": [ + "A) $67,918M", + "B) $66,378M", + "C) $70,997M", + "D) $61,759M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$66,378M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.86pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) +0.60pp\nD) +0.77pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.86pp", + "B) +0.51pp", + "C) +0.60pp", + "D) +0.77pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 1.25%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.38%", + "B) 1.25%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,311K\nB) 1,169K\nC) 1,264K\nD) 1,358K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,311K", + "B) 1,169K", + "C) 1,264K", + "D) 1,358K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,311K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) -1.59%\nC) -13.11%\nD) -5.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.25%", + "B) -1.59%", + "C) -13.11%", + "D) -5.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.72pp\nB) +5.58pp\nC) -3.00pp\nD) -11.58pp", + "options": [ + "A) -8.72pp", + "B) +5.58pp", + "C) -3.00pp", + "D) -11.58pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-3.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.92%\nB) 23.42%\nC) 15.67%\nD) 11.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.92%", + "B) 23.42%", + "C) 15.67%", + "D) 11.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.54%\nB) 0.87%\nC) -14.80%\nD) -11.67%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.54%", + "B) 0.87%", + "C) -14.80%", + "D) -11.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-8.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 95.17\nB) 93.20\nC) 89.25\nD) 97.15", + "options": [ + "A) 95.17", + "B) 93.20", + "C) 89.25", + "D) 97.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "93.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 7.31%\nC) 5.63%\nD) 4.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.06%", + "B) 7.31%", + "C) 5.63%", + "D) 4.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 1.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.49%", + "B) 2.33%", + "C) 1.28%", + "D) 1.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.91%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 1.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.49%", + "B) 2.33%", + "C) 1.28%", + "D) 1.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.91%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.01%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.80%", + "B) 2.22%", + "C) 1.38%", + "D) 2.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.80%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.01%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.80%", + "B) 2.22%", + "C) 1.38%", + "D) 2.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.80%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 1.03%\nD) 1.24%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.45%", + "B) 1.66%", + "C) 1.03%", + "D) 1.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.66%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 1.03%\nD) 1.24%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.45%", + "B) 1.66%", + "C) 1.03%", + "D) 1.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.66%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 1.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 0.89%", + "B) 1.10%", + "C) 1.52%", + "D) 1.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 1.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 0.89%", + "B) 1.10%", + "C) 1.52%", + "D) 1.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 1.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.15%", + "B) 1.31%", + "C) 1.10%", + "D) 1.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 1.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.15%", + "B) 1.31%", + "C) 1.10%", + "D) 1.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 0.75%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 0.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 0.33%", + "B) 0.75%", + "C) 0.96%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.33%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 0.75%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 0.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 0.33%", + "B) 0.75%", + "C) 0.96%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.33%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.19%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.35%", + "B) 1.77%", + "C) 2.40%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.19%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.35%", + "B) 1.77%", + "C) 2.40%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 1.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.40%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 1.77%", + "D) 1.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 1.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.40%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 1.77%", + "D) 1.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 1.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.40%", + "B) 1.56%", + "C) 1.14%", + "D) 1.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 1.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.40%", + "B) 1.56%", + "C) 1.14%", + "D) 1.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.77%", + "B) 2.40%", + "C) 1.98%", + "D) 1.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.77%", + "B) 2.40%", + "C) 1.98%", + "D) 1.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.40%", + "B) 1.77%", + "C) 1.56%", + "D) 1.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.40%", + "B) 1.77%", + "C) 1.56%", + "D) 1.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 2.19%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.14%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 1.77%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 2.19%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.14%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 1.77%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.83%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 2.05%", + "B) 1.18%", + "C) 1.61%", + "D) 1.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.83%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 2.05%", + "B) 1.18%", + "C) 1.61%", + "D) 1.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.83%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.18%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.83%", + "B) 1.40%", + "C) 1.61%", + "D) 1.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.83%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.18%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.83%", + "B) 1.40%", + "C) 1.61%", + "D) 1.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 2.48%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.40%", + "B) 1.83%", + "C) 1.61%", + "D) 2.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 2.48%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.40%", + "B) 1.83%", + "C) 1.61%", + "D) 2.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 9.45\nB) 18.45\nC) 13.95\nD) 16.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 9.45", + "B) 18.45", + "C) 13.95", + "D) 16.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "13.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 9.45\nB) 18.45\nC) 13.95\nD) 16.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 9.45", + "B) 18.45", + "C) 13.95", + "D) 16.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "13.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 20.69\nB) 11.70\nC) 18.45\nD) 13.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 20.69", + "B) 11.70", + "C) 18.45", + "D) 13.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 20.69\nB) 11.70\nC) 18.45\nD) 13.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 20.69", + "B) 11.70", + "C) 18.45", + "D) 13.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 13.54\nB) 20.28\nC) 9.04\nD) 15.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 13.54", + "B) 20.28", + "C) 9.04", + "D) 15.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 13.54\nB) 20.28\nC) 9.04\nD) 15.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 13.54", + "B) 20.28", + "C) 9.04", + "D) 15.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 5.33\nB) 12.07\nC) 16.57\nD) 7.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 5.33", + "B) 12.07", + "C) 16.57", + "D) 7.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 5.33\nB) 12.07\nC) 16.57\nD) 7.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 5.33", + "B) 12.07", + "C) 16.57", + "D) 7.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 16.04\nB) 9.29\nC) 11.54\nD) 7.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 16.04", + "B) 9.29", + "C) 11.54", + "D) 7.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 16.04\nB) 9.29\nC) 11.54\nD) 7.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 16.04", + "B) 9.29", + "C) 11.54", + "D) 7.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 7.04\nB) 13.79\nC) 18.28\nD) 11.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 7.04", + "B) 13.79", + "C) 18.28", + "D) 11.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 7.04\nB) 13.79\nC) 18.28\nD) 11.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 7.04", + "B) 13.79", + "C) 18.28", + "D) 11.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", + "year": 2019 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2019.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2019.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..7d07129b149fb30b5bc7a8f9eaff79b25d8b28d0 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2019.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:b0e1c36006d6af506050d07647db1ca15c091ac97dc62fffe5332e653847a4ea +size 28206 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2020.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2020.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..02e23420e3ff2f761caa55ace7d4a572ebfb2a51 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2020.json @@ -0,0 +1,6023 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.40pp\nB) -2.38pp\nC) -3.39pp\nD) -6.42pp", + "options": [ + "A) -4.40pp", + "B) -2.38pp", + "C) -3.39pp", + "D) -6.42pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-4.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 101.75\nB) 105.41\nC) 111.51\nD) 107.85", + "options": [ + "A) 101.75", + "B) 105.41", + "C) 111.51", + "D) 107.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "105.41", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -8.81%\nB) -1.82%\nC) -5.32%\nD) -2.99%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.81%", + "B) -1.82%", + "C) -5.32%", + "D) -2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-5.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.91pp\nB) -6.19pp\nC) -1.04pp\nD) -4.48pp", + "options": [ + "A) -7.91pp", + "B) -6.19pp", + "C) -1.04pp", + "D) -4.48pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-4.48pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 118.00\nB) 111.25\nC) 114.62\nD) 123.06", + "options": [ + "A) 118.00", + "B) 111.25", + "C) 114.62", + "D) 123.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "118.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) $32.73/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $19.31/bbl\nD) $52.86/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $32.73/bbl", + "B) $39.44/bbl", + "C) $19.31/bbl", + "D) $52.86/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$39.44/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.33\nB) 94.49\nC) 97.41\nD) 103.25", + "options": [ + "A) 100.33", + "B) 94.49", + "C) 97.41", + "D) 103.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "97.41", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 248.11\nB) 255.68\nC) 278.42\nD) 267.05", + "options": [ + "A) 248.11", + "B) 255.68", + "C) 278.42", + "D) 267.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "267.05", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 25,763.16\nB) 24,217.74\nC) 22,672.33\nD) 21,126.91", + "options": [ + "A) 25,763.16", + "B) 24,217.74", + "C) 22,672.33", + "D) 21,126.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "25,763.16", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 2.47%\nD) -0.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.05%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 2.47%", + "D) -0.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.31%\nB) 12.68%\nC) 1.63%\nD) -2.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.31%", + "B) 12.68%", + "C) 1.63%", + "D) -2.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $15,623B\nB) $18,704B\nC) $18,088B\nD) $17,472B", + "options": [ + "A) $15,623B", + "B) $18,704B", + "C) $18,088B", + "D) $17,472B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$17,472B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 1.30%\nC) 0.93%\nD) 0.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.19%", + "B) 1.30%", + "C) 0.93%", + "D) 0.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.20%\nB) 11.37%\nC) 3.70%\nD) -0.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.20%", + "B) 11.37%", + "C) 3.70%", + "D) -0.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 12.82%\nB) 11.98%\nC) 12.40%\nD) 13.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.82%", + "B) 11.98%", + "C) 12.40%", + "D) 13.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0020\nB) 1.0520\nC) 1.2020\nD) 1.1270", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0020", + "B) 1.0520", + "C) 1.2020", + "D) 1.1270" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1270", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 107.3300\nB) 99.7383\nC) 112.3911\nD) 114.9217", + "options": [ + "A) 107.3300", + "B) 99.7383", + "C) 112.3911", + "D) 114.9217" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "107.3300", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.25%\nB) -3.06%\nC) -3.86%\nD) -2.26%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.25%", + "B) -3.06%", + "C) -3.86%", + "D) -2.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-3.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 1.48%\nD) 1.73%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.61%", + "B) 1.86%", + "C) 1.48%", + "D) 1.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $223,410M\nB) $209,267M\nC) $216,338M\nD) $230,481M", + "options": [ + "A) $223,410M", + "B) $209,267M", + "C) $216,338M", + "D) $230,481M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$230,481M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -9.30pp\nB) -17.38pp\nC) -6.61pp\nD) -3.91pp", + "options": [ + "A) -9.30pp", + "B) -17.38pp", + "C) -6.61pp", + "D) -3.91pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-9.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) $19.72/bbl\nB) $37.07/bbl\nC) $42.85/bbl\nD) $54.42/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $19.72/bbl", + "B) $37.07/bbl", + "C) $42.85/bbl", + "D) $54.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$37.07/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 5.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.10%", + "B) 3.14%", + "C) 4.58%", + "D) 5.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $14,217B\nB) $13,409B\nC) $12,601B\nD) $13,813B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,217B", + "B) $13,409B", + "C) $12,601B", + "D) $13,813B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$13,813B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 15.07%\nC) -2.62%\nD) 19.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.22%", + "B) 15.07%", + "C) -2.62%", + "D) 19.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.71%\nB) 73.15%\nC) 76.10%\nD) 74.62%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.71%", + "B) 73.15%", + "C) 76.10%", + "D) 74.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "73.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,530K\nB) 1,689K\nC) 1,636K\nD) 1,742K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,530K", + "B) 1,689K", + "C) 1,636K", + "D) 1,742K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,636K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 247.91\nB) 240.86\nC) 219.71\nD) 226.76", + "options": [ + "A) 247.91", + "B) 240.86", + "C) 219.71", + "D) 226.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "226.76", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) $14,865B\nB) $14,393B\nC) $13,922B\nD) $13,450B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,865B", + "B) $14,393B", + "C) $13,922B", + "D) $13,450B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$14,865B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.85%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 4.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.85%", + "B) 3.56%", + "C) 4.13%", + "D) 4.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.17%\nB) 9.42%\nC) 3.91%\nD) -1.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.17%", + "B) 9.42%", + "C) 3.91%", + "D) -1.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 36.28%\nB) 76.53%\nC) 44.33%\nD) 52.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 36.28%", + "B) 76.53%", + "C) 44.33%", + "D) 52.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "52.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.74pp\nB) -3.71pp\nC) -6.82pp\nD) -7.86pp", + "options": [ + "A) -4.74pp", + "B) -3.71pp", + "C) -6.82pp", + "D) -7.86pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-4.74pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 272.37\nB) 258.08\nC) 265.22\nD) 247.36", + "options": [ + "A) 272.37", + "B) 258.08", + "C) 265.22", + "D) 247.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "258.08", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.62\nB) 90.49\nC) 95.97\nD) 103.27", + "options": [ + "A) 99.62", + "B) 90.49", + "C) 95.97", + "D) 103.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "95.97", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $61,914M\nB) $65,214M\nC) $60,265M\nD) $63,564M", + "options": [ + "A) $61,914M", + "B) $65,214M", + "C) $60,265M", + "D) $63,564M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$63,564M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 268.93\nB) 253.99\nC) 261.46\nD) 280.14", + "options": [ + "A) 268.93", + "B) 253.99", + "C) 261.46", + "D) 280.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "268.93", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.95pp\nB) -0.80pp\nC) -1.03pp\nD) -0.88pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.95pp", + "B) -0.80pp", + "C) -1.03pp", + "D) -0.88pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 94.44\nB) 83.76\nC) 89.10\nD) 98.01", + "options": [ + "A) 94.44", + "B) 83.76", + "C) 89.10", + "D) 98.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "89.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,913B\nB) $14,291B\nC) $13,536B\nD) $14,668B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,913B", + "B) $14,291B", + "C) $13,536B", + "D) $14,668B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$14,668B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 73.79%\nB) 70.10%\nC) 76.00%\nD) 71.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 73.79%", + "B) 70.10%", + "C) 76.00%", + "D) 71.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "73.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.33\nB) 80.40\nC) 69.80\nD) 91.00", + "options": [ + "A) 73.33", + "B) 80.40", + "C) 69.80", + "D) 91.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.48%\nB) 12.20%\nC) 10.34%\nD) 13.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.48%", + "B) 12.20%", + "C) 10.34%", + "D) 13.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.7142\nB) 7.4632\nC) 6.4646\nD) 7.0887", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7142", + "B) 7.4632", + "C) 6.4646", + "D) 7.0887" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.0887", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.30pp\nB) +3.09pp\nC) +7.92pp\nD) +0.68pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.30pp", + "B) +3.09pp", + "C) +7.92pp", + "D) +0.68pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+4.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.75pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.63pp\nD) -0.52pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.75pp", + "B) -0.40pp", + "C) -0.63pp", + "D) -0.52pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 252.88\nB) 267.11\nC) 260.00\nD) 245.76", + "options": [ + "A) 252.88", + "B) 267.11", + "C) 260.00", + "D) 245.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "260.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $17,871B\nB) $14,870B\nC) $15,370B\nD) $16,370B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,871B", + "B) $14,870B", + "C) $15,370B", + "D) $16,370B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$16,370B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 5.01%\nD) 3.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.40%", + "B) 3.79%", + "C) 5.01%", + "D) 3.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 1.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.89%", + "B) 0.09%", + "C) 0.49%", + "D) 1.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.14%\nB) -8.44%\nC) -3.83%\nD) 3.08%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.14%", + "B) -8.44%", + "C) -3.83%", + "D) 3.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-3.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.35%\nB) 31.42%\nC) 18.71%\nD) 12.36%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.35%", + "B) 31.42%", + "C) 18.71%", + "D) 12.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.80pp\nB) -4.73pp\nC) -16.83pp\nD) -20.87pp", + "options": [ + "A) -12.80pp", + "B) -4.73pp", + "C) -16.83pp", + "D) -20.87pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-12.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -3.35%\nB) -9.27%\nC) -15.19%\nD) -12.23%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.35%", + "B) -9.27%", + "C) -15.19%", + "D) -12.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-9.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 0.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.02%", + "B) 1.44%", + "C) 0.18%", + "D) 0.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 23.28%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 9.20%\nD) 14.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 23.28%", + "B) 6.38%", + "C) 9.20%", + "D) 14.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 0.36%\nC) 0.92%\nD) 2.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.04%", + "B) 0.36%", + "C) 0.92%", + "D) 2.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.79%\nB) 59.80%\nC) 58.01%\nD) 61.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.79%", + "B) 59.80%", + "C) 58.01%", + "D) 61.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "59.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 0.01%\nC) 0.33%\nD) 0.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.65%", + "B) 0.01%", + "C) 0.33%", + "D) 0.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 194.10\nB) 201.12\nC) 236.21\nD) 215.16", + "options": [ + "A) 194.10", + "B) 201.12", + "C) 236.21", + "D) 215.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "215.16", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 195.50\nB) 185.50\nC) 178.83\nD) 202.17", + "options": [ + "A) 195.50", + "B) 185.50", + "C) 178.83", + "D) 202.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "195.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $57,781M\nB) $62,287M\nC) $65,291M\nD) $63,789M", + "options": [ + "A) $57,781M", + "B) $62,287M", + "C) $65,291M", + "D) $63,789M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$62,287M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.11%\nB) 9.93%\nC) 6.29%\nD) 2.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.11%", + "B) 9.93%", + "C) 6.29%", + "D) 2.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $24.28/hr\nB) $25.90/hr\nC) $23.20/hr\nD) $24.82/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $24.28/hr", + "B) $25.90/hr", + "C) $23.20/hr", + "D) $24.82/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$24.82/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -27.50%\nB) -60.80%\nC) -10.85%\nD) 22.45%", + "options": [ + "A) -27.50%", + "B) -60.80%", + "C) -10.85%", + "D) 22.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-27.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.98%\nB) 24.75%\nC) 36.51%\nD) 18.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.98%", + "B) 24.75%", + "C) 36.51%", + "D) 18.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 202.93\nB) 209.48\nC) 193.10\nD) 183.27", + "options": [ + "A) 202.93", + "B) 209.48", + "C) 193.10", + "D) 183.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "193.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.67%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 1.39%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.67%", + "B) 1.75%", + "C) 2.11%", + "D) 1.39%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $204,710M\nB) $218,650M\nC) $209,357M\nD) $214,003M", + "options": [ + "A) $204,710M", + "B) $218,650M", + "C) $209,357M", + "D) $214,003M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$204,710M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.07%\nB) 0.53%\nC) -4.27%\nD) 3.73%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.07%", + "B) 0.53%", + "C) -4.27%", + "D) 3.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.38%\nB) 10.72%\nC) 10.14%\nD) 8.97%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.38%", + "B) 10.72%", + "C) 10.14%", + "D) 8.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.85%\nB) -8.15%\nC) -7.50%\nD) -6.20%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.85%", + "B) -8.15%", + "C) -7.50%", + "D) -6.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-6.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.17%\nD) 1.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.17%", + "B) 0.50%", + "C) 0.17%", + "D) 1.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.72%\nB) 7.30%\nC) 10.88%\nD) 6.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.72%", + "B) 7.30%", + "C) 10.88%", + "D) 6.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.52%\nB) 5.61%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 9.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.52%", + "B) 5.61%", + "C) 7.80%", + "D) 9.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 4.90%\nC) 0.66%\nD) -1.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.78%", + "B) 4.90%", + "C) 0.66%", + "D) -1.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 150,895K\nB) 155,845K\nC) 144,295K\nD) 147,595K", + "options": [ + "A) 150,895K", + "B) 155,845K", + "C) 144,295K", + "D) 147,595K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "150,895K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 2.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.68%", + "B) 1.45%", + "C) 1.91%", + "D) 2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 6.43%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 3.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.35%", + "B) 6.43%", + "C) 4.81%", + "D) 3.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $15,030B\nB) $17,537B\nC) $14,529B\nD) $16,033B", + "options": [ + "A) $15,030B", + "B) $17,537B", + "C) $14,529B", + "D) $16,033B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$16,033B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $18,602B\nB) $20,066B\nC) $20,798B\nD) $19,334B", + "options": [ + "A) $18,602B", + "B) $20,066B", + "C) $20,798B", + "D) $19,334B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$18,602B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 99.51\nB) 104.27\nC) 106.65\nD) 101.89", + "options": [ + "A) 99.51", + "B) 104.27", + "C) 106.65", + "D) 101.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "104.27", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 380,038\nB) 2,565,962\nC) 1,473,000\nD) 2,201,641", + "options": [ + "A) 380,038", + "B) 2,565,962", + "C) 1,473,000", + "D) 2,201,641" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,473,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.78%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 0.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.46%", + "B) 1.78%", + "C) 1.10%", + "D) 0.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $-42,374M\nB) $-35,852M\nC) $-40,200M\nD) $-48,896M", + "options": [ + "A) $-42,374M", + "B) $-35,852M", + "C) $-40,200M", + "D) $-48,896M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-42,374M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -14.39%\nB) -4.24%\nC) -0.86%\nD) -7.62%", + "options": [ + "A) -14.39%", + "B) -4.24%", + "C) -0.86%", + "D) -7.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-4.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $-62,242M\nB) $-51,762M\nC) $-57,002M\nD) $-49,142M", + "options": [ + "A) $-62,242M", + "B) $-51,762M", + "C) $-57,002M", + "D) $-49,142M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-57,002M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 25.99%\nB) 16.55%\nC) 28.35%\nD) 23.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 25.99%", + "B) 16.55%", + "C) 28.35%", + "D) 23.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "23.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $541,302M\nB) $555,123M\nC) $582,764M\nD) $513,661M", + "options": [ + "A) $541,302M", + "B) $555,123M", + "C) $582,764M", + "D) $513,661M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$541,302M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.95%\nB) -6.34%\nC) -1.50%\nD) -11.18%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.95%", + "B) -6.34%", + "C) -1.50%", + "D) -11.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-6.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.20%\nB) -8.47%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 8.07%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.20%", + "B) -8.47%", + "C) 3.94%", + "D) 8.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 12,868,729\nB) 16,196,243\nC) 21,187,514\nD) 17,860,000", + "options": [ + "A) 12,868,729", + "B) 16,196,243", + "C) 21,187,514", + "D) 17,860,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17,860,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.30%\nB) 23.24%\nC) -5.00%\nD) -10.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.30%", + "B) 23.24%", + "C) -5.00%", + "D) -10.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.95\nB) 104.63\nC) 110.78\nD) 107.09", + "options": [ + "A) 100.95", + "B) 104.63", + "C) 110.78", + "D) 107.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "104.63", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.17%\nB) 64.47%\nC) 61.40%\nD) 62.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.17%", + "B) 64.47%", + "C) 61.40%", + "D) 62.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "61.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $21.85/hr\nB) $22.76/hr\nC) $25.48/hr\nD) $24.12/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $21.85/hr", + "B) $22.76/hr", + "C) $25.48/hr", + "D) $24.12/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$24.12/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 1.06%\nD) 1.87%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.65%", + "B) 1.46%", + "C) 1.06%", + "D) 1.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -18.10%\nB) -14.87%\nC) -24.56%\nD) -21.33%", + "options": [ + "A) -18.10%", + "B) -14.87%", + "C) -24.56%", + "D) -21.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-14.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 123.77\nB) 115.49\nC) 118.80\nD) 127.08", + "options": [ + "A) 123.77", + "B) 115.49", + "C) 118.80", + "D) 127.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "118.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.29%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 1.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.29%", + "B) 1.65%", + "C) 1.76%", + "D) 1.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.52pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) +0.75pp\nD) +0.97pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.52pp", + "B) -0.16pp", + "C) +0.75pp", + "D) +0.97pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.52pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -1.80pp\nC) -2.10pp\nD) -1.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.20pp", + "B) -1.80pp", + "C) -2.10pp", + "D) -1.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 8.00%\nC) 7.04%\nD) 6.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.57%", + "B) 8.00%", + "C) 7.04%", + "D) 6.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.33%\nB) 58.46%\nC) 53.80%\nD) 56.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.33%", + "B) 58.46%", + "C) 53.80%", + "D) 56.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "56.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 3.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.13%", + "B) 2.53%", + "C) 3.53%", + "D) 3.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $3,883M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $3,883M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$3,883M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,752.39\nB) 2,909.49\nC) 3,066.59\nD) 2,595.29", + "options": [ + "A) 2,752.39", + "B) 2,909.49", + "C) 3,066.59", + "D) 2,595.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,066.59", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,099K\nB) 1,433K\nC) 1,322K\nD) 1,266K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,099K", + "B) 1,433K", + "C) 1,322K", + "D) 1,266K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,266K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 0.71%\nD) 1.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.28%", + "B) 1.56%", + "C) 0.71%", + "D) 1.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 7,639.85\nB) 9,726.02\nC) 9,030.63\nD) 8,335.24", + "options": [ + "A) 7,639.85", + "B) 9,726.02", + "C) 9,030.63", + "D) 8,335.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9,726.02", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 46.84\nB) 21.96\nC) 34.40\nD) 26.10", + "options": [ + "A) 46.84", + "B) 21.96", + "C) 34.40", + "D) 26.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "34.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) -10.36%\nC) -12.45%\nD) -6.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.08%", + "B) -10.36%", + "C) -12.45%", + "D) -6.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-6.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,880M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,880M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$4,880M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 0.71%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.99%", + "B) 0.71%", + "C) 1.56%", + "D) 1.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,292K\nB) 1,593K\nC) 1,473K\nD) 1,353K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,292K", + "B) 1,593K", + "C) 1,473K", + "D) 1,353K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,473K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -12.28%\nB) -6.76%\nC) 4.26%\nD) -1.25%", + "options": [ + "A) -12.28%", + "B) -6.76%", + "C) 4.26%", + "D) -1.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.60pp\nB) +0.46pp\nC) +0.18pp\nD) +0.88pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.60pp", + "B) +0.46pp", + "C) +0.18pp", + "D) +0.88pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 130,873K\nB) 141,770K\nC) 146,129K\nD) 135,232K", + "options": [ + "A) 130,873K", + "B) 141,770K", + "C) 146,129K", + "D) 135,232K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "141,770K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.01%\nB) 17.88%\nC) 13.30%\nD) 8.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.01%", + "B) 17.88%", + "C) 13.30%", + "D) 8.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "13.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 112.77\nB) 116.36\nC) 123.55\nD) 119.95", + "options": [ + "A) 112.77", + "B) 116.36", + "C) 123.55", + "D) 119.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "119.95", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.21%\nD) 2.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.10%", + "B) 2.31%", + "C) 2.21%", + "D) 2.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.40%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 0.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.40%", + "C) 0.66%", + "D) 0.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 60.72%\nB) 64.48%\nC) 62.60%\nD) 59.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.72%", + "B) 64.48%", + "C) 62.60%", + "D) 59.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "62.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.07\nB) 101.46\nC) 108.65\nD) 105.06", + "options": [ + "A) 99.07", + "B) 101.46", + "C) 108.65", + "D) 105.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "105.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $468,324M\nB) $494,581M\nC) $428,938M\nD) $442,067M", + "options": [ + "A) $468,324M", + "B) $494,581M", + "C) $428,938M", + "D) $442,067M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$468,324M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -72.05%\nB) -37.25%\nC) -19.85%\nD) -2.45%", + "options": [ + "A) -72.05%", + "B) -37.25%", + "C) -19.85%", + "D) -2.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-37.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.13%", + "B) 1.44%", + "C) 1.72%", + "D) 1.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,447K\nB) 1,245K\nC) 1,397K\nD) 1,346K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,447K", + "B) 1,245K", + "C) 1,397K", + "D) 1,346K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,346K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 0.64%\nD) 2.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.49%", + "B) 2.77%", + "C) 0.64%", + "D) 2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,020.22\nB) 8,980.77\nC) 9,941.32\nD) 9,621.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,020.22", + "B) 8,980.77", + "C) 9,941.32", + "D) 9,621.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8,980.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,020.22\nB) 8,980.77\nC) 9,941.32\nD) 9,621.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,020.22", + "B) 8,980.77", + "C) 9,941.32", + "D) 9,621.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8,980.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,377.72\nB) 9,338.27\nC) 9,018.09\nD) 9,658.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,377.72", + "B) 9,338.27", + "C) 9,018.09", + "D) 9,658.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9,018.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,377.72\nB) 9,338.27\nC) 9,018.09\nD) 9,658.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,377.72", + "B) 9,338.27", + "C) 9,018.09", + "D) 9,658.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9,018.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,978.64\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,697.91\nD) 9,018.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 9,978.64", + "B) 8,377.72", + "C) 8,697.91", + "D) 9,018.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9,018.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,978.64\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,697.91\nD) 9,018.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 9,978.64", + "B) 8,377.72", + "C) 8,697.91", + "D) 9,018.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9,018.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,018.09\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,057.54\nD) 9,338.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 9,018.09", + "B) 8,377.72", + "C) 8,057.54", + "D) 9,338.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9,018.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,018.09\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,057.54\nD) 9,338.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 9,018.09", + "B) 8,377.72", + "C) 8,057.54", + "D) 9,338.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9,018.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,594.46\nB) 9,234.83\nC) 10,195.38\nD) 8,914.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,594.46", + "B) 9,234.83", + "C) 10,195.38", + "D) 8,914.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9,234.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,594.46\nB) 9,234.83\nC) 10,195.38\nD) 8,914.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,594.46", + "B) 9,234.83", + "C) 10,195.38", + "D) 8,914.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9,234.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 10,787.89\nB) 10,147.52\nC) 11,108.07\nD) 10,467.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 10,787.89", + "B) 10,147.52", + "C) 11,108.07", + "D) 10,467.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11,108.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 10,787.89\nB) 10,147.52\nC) 11,108.07\nD) 10,467.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 10,787.89", + "B) 10,147.52", + "C) 11,108.07", + "D) 10,467.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11,108.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,417.19\nB) 3,224.54\nC) 3,320.86\nD) 3,128.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,417.19", + "B) 3,224.54", + "C) 3,320.86", + "D) 3,128.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,128.21", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,417.19\nB) 3,224.54\nC) 3,320.86\nD) 3,128.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,417.19", + "B) 3,224.54", + "C) 3,320.86", + "D) 3,128.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,128.21", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,130.12\nB) 3,226.45\nC) 3,419.10\nD) 2,841.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,130.12", + "B) 3,226.45", + "C) 3,419.10", + "D) 2,841.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,130.12\nB) 3,226.45\nC) 3,419.10\nD) 2,841.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,130.12", + "B) 3,226.45", + "C) 3,419.10", + "D) 2,841.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,130.12\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 2,937.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,419.10", + "B) 3,130.12", + "C) 3,033.79", + "D) 2,937.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,130.12\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 2,937.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,419.10", + "B) 3,130.12", + "C) 3,033.79", + "D) 2,937.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,130.12\nD) 2,841.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,419.10", + "B) 3,322.77", + "C) 3,130.12", + "D) 2,841.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,130.12\nD) 2,841.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,419.10", + "B) 3,322.77", + "C) 3,130.12", + "D) 2,841.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,226.45\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 3,130.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,226.45", + "B) 3,322.77", + "C) 3,033.79", + "D) 3,130.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,226.45\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 3,130.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,226.45", + "B) 3,322.77", + "C) 3,033.79", + "D) 3,130.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,380.35\nB) 3,091.37\nC) 3,573.00\nD) 3,669.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,380.35", + "B) 3,091.37", + "C) 3,573.00", + "D) 3,669.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,380.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,380.35\nB) 3,091.37\nC) 3,573.00\nD) 3,669.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,380.35", + "B) 3,091.37", + "C) 3,573.00", + "D) 3,669.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,380.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.11\nC) 45.51\nD) 43.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 40.11", + "C) 45.51", + "D) 43.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "40.11", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.11\nC) 45.51\nD) 43.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 40.11", + "C) 45.51", + "D) 43.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "40.11", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 49.06\nB) 56.26\nC) 54.46\nD) 52.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 49.06", + "B) 56.26", + "C) 54.46", + "D) 52.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "54.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 49.06\nB) 56.26\nC) 54.46\nD) 52.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 49.06", + "B) 56.26", + "C) 54.46", + "D) 52.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "54.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 86.29\nB) 79.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 82.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 86.29", + "B) 79.09", + "C) 80.89", + "D) 82.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 86.29\nB) 79.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 82.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 86.29", + "B) 79.09", + "C) 80.89", + "D) 82.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 88.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 86.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 82.69", + "B) 88.09", + "C) 80.89", + "D) 86.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 88.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 86.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 82.69", + "B) 88.09", + "C) 80.89", + "D) 86.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 80.89\nB) 82.69\nC) 88.09\nD) 77.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 80.89", + "B) 82.69", + "C) 88.09", + "D) 77.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 80.89\nB) 82.69\nC) 88.09\nD) 77.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 80.89", + "B) 82.69", + "C) 88.09", + "D) 77.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 79.09\nB) 88.09\nC) 82.69\nD) 80.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 79.09", + "B) 88.09", + "C) 82.69", + "D) 80.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 79.09\nB) 88.09\nC) 82.69\nD) 80.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 79.09", + "B) 88.09", + "C) 82.69", + "D) 80.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 1.10%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 1.63%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 1.90%", + "D) 1.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.10%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 1.10%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 1.63%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 1.90%", + "D) 1.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.10%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.07%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 1.34%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.07%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 1.34%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.07%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.01%", + "B) 0.54%", + "C) 1.34%", + "D) 1.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.07%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.01%", + "B) 0.54%", + "C) 1.34%", + "D) 1.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 1.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 1.07%", + "C) 0.54%", + "D) 1.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 1.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 1.07%", + "C) 0.54%", + "D) 1.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 1.34%", + "B) 0.27%", + "C) 1.07%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 1.34%", + "B) 0.27%", + "C) 1.07%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 0.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.52%", + "B) 1.05%", + "C) 1.32%", + "D) 0.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 0.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.52%", + "B) 1.05%", + "C) 1.32%", + "D) 0.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $60.20/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $53.25/bbl", + "B) $49.78/bbl", + "C) $42.83/bbl", + "D) $60.20/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $60.20/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $53.25/bbl", + "B) $49.78/bbl", + "C) $42.83/bbl", + "D) $60.20/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $56.73/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $56.73/bbl", + "B) $39.36/bbl", + "C) $49.78/bbl", + "D) $46.31/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $56.73/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $56.73/bbl", + "B) $39.36/bbl", + "C) $49.78/bbl", + "D) $46.31/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $56.73/bbl\nD) $49.78/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $46.31/bbl", + "B) $39.36/bbl", + "C) $56.73/bbl", + "D) $49.78/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $56.73/bbl\nD) $49.78/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $46.31/bbl", + "B) $39.36/bbl", + "C) $56.73/bbl", + "D) $49.78/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $49.78/bbl\nB) $46.31/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $49.78/bbl", + "B) $46.31/bbl", + "C) $42.83/bbl", + "D) $39.36/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $49.78/bbl\nB) $46.31/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $49.78/bbl", + "B) $46.31/bbl", + "C) $42.83/bbl", + "D) $39.36/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $39.36/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $53.25/bbl", + "B) $49.78/bbl", + "C) $39.36/bbl", + "D) $46.31/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $39.36/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $53.25/bbl", + "B) $49.78/bbl", + "C) $39.36/bbl", + "D) $46.31/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $42.83/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $42.83/bbl", + "B) $56.73/bbl", + "C) $49.78/bbl", + "D) $46.31/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $42.83/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $42.83/bbl", + "B) $56.73/bbl", + "C) $49.78/bbl", + "D) $46.31/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.05%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.26%", + "B) 0.69%", + "C) 0.47%", + "D) 0.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.05%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.26%", + "B) 0.69%", + "C) 0.47%", + "D) 0.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.05%", + "B) 0.47%", + "C) 0.26%", + "D) 0.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.05%", + "B) 0.47%", + "C) 0.26%", + "D) 0.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.47%", + "B) 0.05%", + "C) 0.69%", + "D) 0.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.47%", + "B) 0.05%", + "C) 0.69%", + "D) 0.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 0.73%\nD) 0.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.02%", + "B) 1.60%", + "C) 0.73%", + "D) 0.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.73%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 0.73%\nD) 0.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.02%", + "B) 1.60%", + "C) 0.73%", + "D) 0.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.73%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.59%", + "B) 1.01%", + "C) 1.30%", + "D) 0.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.59%", + "B) 1.01%", + "C) 1.30%", + "D) 0.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.62%", + "B) 1.20%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 0.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.62%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.62%", + "B) 1.20%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 0.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.62%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 0.87%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.45%", + "B) 0.58%", + "C) 1.16%", + "D) 0.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 0.87%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.45%", + "B) 0.58%", + "C) 1.16%", + "D) 0.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 1.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.29%", + "B) 0.87%", + "C) 0.58%", + "D) 1.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 1.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.29%", + "B) 0.87%", + "C) 0.58%", + "D) 1.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.23%", + "B) 1.10%", + "C) 1.39%", + "D) 0.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.23%", + "B) 1.10%", + "C) 1.39%", + "D) 0.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 0.00%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 0.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 0.00%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 0.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.54%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.54%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.08%", + "B) 0.00%", + "C) 0.54%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.08%", + "B) 0.00%", + "C) 0.54%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.00%\nD) 0.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.08%", + "B) 0.81%", + "C) 0.00%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.00%\nD) 0.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.08%", + "B) 0.81%", + "C) 0.00%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.08%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 0.81%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 1.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.08%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 0.81%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 1.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.54%", + "C) 1.08%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.54%", + "C) 1.08%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 75.30\nB) 59.87\nC) 66.04\nD) 69.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 75.30", + "B) 59.87", + "C) 66.04", + "D) 69.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "66.04", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 75.30\nB) 59.87\nC) 66.04\nD) 69.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 75.30", + "B) 59.87", + "C) 66.04", + "D) 69.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "66.04", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 70.26\nB) 67.17\nC) 51.74\nD) 61.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 70.26", + "B) 67.17", + "C) 51.74", + "D) 61.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "61.00", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 70.26\nB) 67.17\nC) 51.74\nD) 61.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 70.26", + "B) 67.17", + "C) 51.74", + "D) 61.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "61.00", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 41.17\nB) 35.00\nC) 38.08\nD) 44.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 41.17", + "B) 35.00", + "C) 38.08", + "D) 44.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "41.17", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 41.17\nB) 35.00\nC) 38.08\nD) 44.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 41.17", + "B) 35.00", + "C) 38.08", + "D) 44.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "41.17", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 30.66\nB) 27.57\nC) 18.31\nD) 21.40", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 30.66", + "B) 27.57", + "C) 18.31", + "D) 21.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "27.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 30.66\nB) 27.57\nC) 18.31\nD) 21.40", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 30.66", + "B) 27.57", + "C) 18.31", + "D) 21.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "27.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 33.78\nB) 30.69\nC) 24.52\nD) 15.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 33.78", + "B) 30.69", + "C) 24.52", + "D) 15.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 33.78\nB) 30.69\nC) 24.52\nD) 15.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 33.78", + "B) 30.69", + "C) 24.52", + "D) 15.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 12.09\nB) 30.61\nC) 15.18\nD) 21.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 12.09", + "B) 30.61", + "C) 15.18", + "D) 21.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "21.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 12.09\nB) 30.61\nC) 15.18\nD) 21.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 12.09", + "B) 30.61", + "C) 15.18", + "D) 21.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "21.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,879.52\nB) 6,553.79\nC) 7,205.25\nD) 6,228.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 6,879.52", + "B) 6,553.79", + "C) 7,205.25", + "D) 6,228.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,879.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,879.52\nB) 6,553.79\nC) 7,205.25\nD) 6,228.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 6,879.52", + "B) 6,553.79", + "C) 7,205.25", + "D) 6,228.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,879.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,837.85\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 7,186.40\nD) 6,534.94", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 7,837.85", + "B) 6,860.67", + "C) 7,186.40", + "D) 6,534.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,837.85\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 7,186.40\nD) 6,534.94", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 7,837.85", + "B) 6,860.67", + "C) 7,186.40", + "D) 6,534.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,209.21\nB) 5,883.49\nC) 6,860.67\nD) 6,534.94", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 6,209.21", + "B) 5,883.49", + "C) 6,860.67", + "D) 6,534.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,209.21\nB) 5,883.49\nC) 6,860.67\nD) 6,534.94", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 6,209.21", + "B) 5,883.49", + "C) 6,860.67", + "D) 6,534.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,209.21\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 6,860.67", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 7,186.40", + "B) 6,209.21", + "C) 6,534.94", + "D) 6,860.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,209.21\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 6,860.67", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 7,186.40", + "B) 6,209.21", + "C) 6,534.94", + "D) 6,860.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,860.67\nB) 7,512.13\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 6,860.67", + "B) 7,512.13", + "C) 6,534.94", + "D) 7,837.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,860.67\nB) 7,512.13\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 6,860.67", + "B) 7,512.13", + "C) 6,534.94", + "D) 7,837.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 7,186.40", + "B) 6,860.67", + "C) 6,534.94", + "D) 7,837.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 7,186.40", + "B) 6,860.67", + "C) 6,534.94", + "D) 7,837.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-0.76/bbl\nB) $32.74/bbl\nC) $15.99/bbl\nD) $4.82/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $-0.76/bbl", + "B) $32.74/bbl", + "C) $15.99/bbl", + "D) $4.82/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$15.99/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-0.76/bbl\nB) $32.74/bbl\nC) $15.99/bbl\nD) $4.82/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $-0.76/bbl", + "B) $32.74/bbl", + "C) $15.99/bbl", + "D) $4.82/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$15.99/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.89/bbl\nB) $31.64/bbl\nC) $9.30/bbl\nD) $20.47/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $14.89/bbl", + "B) $31.64/bbl", + "C) $9.30/bbl", + "D) $20.47/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$20.47/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.89/bbl\nB) $31.64/bbl\nC) $9.30/bbl\nD) $20.47/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $14.89/bbl", + "B) $31.64/bbl", + "C) $9.30/bbl", + "D) $20.47/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$20.47/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $31.83/bbl\nB) $37.41/bbl\nC) $43.00/bbl\nD) $20.66/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $31.83/bbl", + "B) $37.41/bbl", + "C) $43.00/bbl", + "D) $20.66/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$31.83/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $31.83/bbl\nB) $37.41/bbl\nC) $43.00/bbl\nD) $20.66/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $31.83/bbl", + "B) $37.41/bbl", + "C) $43.00/bbl", + "D) $20.66/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$31.83/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $50.71/bbl\nB) $39.54/bbl\nC) $45.12/bbl\nD) $22.79/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $50.71/bbl", + "B) $39.54/bbl", + "C) $45.12/bbl", + "D) $22.79/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$39.54/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $50.71/bbl\nB) $39.54/bbl\nC) $45.12/bbl\nD) $22.79/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $50.71/bbl", + "B) $39.54/bbl", + "C) $45.12/bbl", + "D) $22.79/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$39.54/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $30.03/bbl\nB) $46.78/bbl\nC) $41.20/bbl\nD) $35.62/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $30.03/bbl", + "B) $46.78/bbl", + "C) $41.20/bbl", + "D) $35.62/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$41.20/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $30.03/bbl\nB) $46.78/bbl\nC) $41.20/bbl\nD) $35.62/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $30.03/bbl", + "B) $46.78/bbl", + "C) $41.20/bbl", + "D) $35.62/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$41.20/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $48.79/bbl\nB) $32.04/bbl\nC) $59.96/bbl\nD) $43.21/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $48.79/bbl", + "B) $32.04/bbl", + "C) $59.96/bbl", + "D) $43.21/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$43.21/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $48.79/bbl\nB) $32.04/bbl\nC) $59.96/bbl\nD) $43.21/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $48.79/bbl", + "B) $32.04/bbl", + "C) $59.96/bbl", + "D) $43.21/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$43.21/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $9.73/bbl\nC) $3.59/bbl\nD) $28.15/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $15.87/bbl", + "B) $9.73/bbl", + "C) $3.59/bbl", + "D) $28.15/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$15.87/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $9.73/bbl\nC) $3.59/bbl\nD) $28.15/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $15.87/bbl", + "B) $9.73/bbl", + "C) $3.59/bbl", + "D) $28.15/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$15.87/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.26/bbl\nB) $20.40/bbl\nC) $26.54/bbl\nD) $32.68/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $14.26/bbl", + "B) $20.40/bbl", + "C) $26.54/bbl", + "D) $32.68/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$20.40/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.26/bbl\nB) $20.40/bbl\nC) $26.54/bbl\nD) $32.68/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $14.26/bbl", + "B) $20.40/bbl", + "C) $26.54/bbl", + "D) $32.68/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$20.40/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.88/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $33.30/bbl\nD) $21.02/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $14.88/bbl", + "B) $39.44/bbl", + "C) $33.30/bbl", + "D) $21.02/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$33.30/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.88/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $33.30/bbl\nD) $21.02/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $14.88/bbl", + "B) $39.44/bbl", + "C) $33.30/bbl", + "D) $21.02/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$33.30/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $59.60/bbl\nB) $35.04/bbl\nC) $28.90/bbl\nD) $41.18/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $59.60/bbl", + "B) $35.04/bbl", + "C) $28.90/bbl", + "D) $41.18/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$41.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $59.60/bbl\nB) $35.04/bbl\nC) $28.90/bbl\nD) $41.18/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $59.60/bbl", + "B) $35.04/bbl", + "C) $28.90/bbl", + "D) $41.18/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$41.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $43.96/bbl\nB) $25.54/bbl\nC) $56.24/bbl\nD) $62.38/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $43.96/bbl", + "B) $25.54/bbl", + "C) $56.24/bbl", + "D) $62.38/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$43.96/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $43.96/bbl\nB) $25.54/bbl\nC) $56.24/bbl\nD) $62.38/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $43.96/bbl", + "B) $25.54/bbl", + "C) $56.24/bbl", + "D) $62.38/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$43.96/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $39.87/bbl\nB) $46.01/bbl\nC) $64.43/bbl\nD) $58.29/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $39.87/bbl", + "B) $46.01/bbl", + "C) $64.43/bbl", + "D) $58.29/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$46.01/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $39.87/bbl\nB) $46.01/bbl\nC) $64.43/bbl\nD) $58.29/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $39.87/bbl", + "B) $46.01/bbl", + "C) $64.43/bbl", + "D) $58.29/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$46.01/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2020.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2020.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..652eee05e053d53b7f40819b67a958ee8ad8ae2d --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2020.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:c5694a22a6bb24ac7712cae3970d968a4e458eac7bb5d8f74a0591f386c7d982 +size 35105 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2021.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2021.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f71630009cb95836f2ef87a286141b152f63336e --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2021.json @@ -0,0 +1,4727 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,183,595\nB) 805,797\nC) 428,000\nD) 1,561,392", + "options": [ + "A) 1,183,595", + "B) 805,797", + "C) 428,000", + "D) 1,561,392" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "428,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 52.87%\nB) 15.06%\nC) 21.36%\nD) 33.97%", + "options": [ + "A) 52.87%", + "B) 15.06%", + "C) 21.36%", + "D) 33.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "33.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 4.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.07%", + "B) 2.90%", + "C) 2.32%", + "D) 4.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $63,893M\nB) $68,846M\nC) $73,799M\nD) $72,148M", + "options": [ + "A) $63,893M", + "B) $68,846M", + "C) $73,799M", + "D) $72,148M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$68,846M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 150,807K\nB) 135,466K\nC) 144,232K\nD) 139,849K", + "options": [ + "A) 150,807K", + "B) 135,466K", + "C) 144,232K", + "D) 139,849K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "144,232K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 126.06\nB) 129.32\nC) 119.54\nD) 122.80", + "options": [ + "A) 126.06", + "B) 129.32", + "C) 119.54", + "D) 122.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "122.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 34.14%\nB) 24.41%\nC) 20.24%\nD) 23.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 34.14%", + "B) 24.41%", + "C) 20.24%", + "D) 23.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "34.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.17%\nB) 11.34%\nC) 16.83%\nD) 5.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.17%", + "B) 11.34%", + "C) 16.83%", + "D) 5.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 27.89%\nB) 61.50%\nC) 44.69%\nD) 53.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 27.89%", + "B) 61.50%", + "C) 44.69%", + "D) 53.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "44.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $-70,083M\nB) $-65,509M\nC) $-79,231M\nD) $-74,657M", + "options": [ + "A) $-70,083M", + "B) $-65,509M", + "C) $-79,231M", + "D) $-74,657M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-74,657M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) -3.23%\nC) 5.24%\nD) 7.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.00%", + "B) -3.23%", + "C) 5.24%", + "D) 7.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.24pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) -0.72pp\nD) +0.04pp", + "options": [ + "A) -2.24pp", + "B) -1.10pp", + "C) -0.72pp", + "D) +0.04pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.82%\nB) 6.85%\nC) 8.78%\nD) 5.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.82%", + "B) 6.85%", + "C) 8.78%", + "D) 5.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.66%\nB) 58.42%\nC) 63.34%\nD) 61.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.66%", + "B) 58.42%", + "C) 63.34%", + "D) 61.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "61.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $-65,658M\nB) $-58,843M\nC) $-62,251M\nD) $-69,065M", + "options": [ + "A) $-65,658M", + "B) $-58,843M", + "C) $-62,251M", + "D) $-69,065M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-65,658M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 18.29%\nB) 12.42%\nC) 9.48%\nD) 15.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 18.29%", + "B) 12.42%", + "C) 9.48%", + "D) 15.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.29%\nB) 12.98%\nC) 7.60%\nD) 2.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.29%", + "B) 12.98%", + "C) 7.60%", + "D) 2.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) -12.65%\nB) -1.74%\nC) -3.92%\nD) -6.10%", + "options": [ + "A) -12.65%", + "B) -1.74%", + "C) -3.92%", + "D) -6.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-6.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.65%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.20%\nD) 1.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.65%", + "B) 2.10%", + "C) 1.20%", + "D) 1.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.90/bbl\nB) $72.06/bbl\nC) $66.45/bbl\nD) $55.22/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $88.90/bbl", + "B) $72.06/bbl", + "C) $66.45/bbl", + "D) $55.22/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$72.06/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 143,437K\nB) 136,935K\nC) 147,771K\nD) 154,273K", + "options": [ + "A) 143,437K", + "B) 136,935K", + "C) 147,771K", + "D) 154,273K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "147,771K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.85%\nB) 79.92%\nC) 82.96%\nD) 76.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 73.85%", + "B) 79.92%", + "C) 82.96%", + "D) 76.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "76.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $5,839M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $5,839M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$5,839M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1620\nB) 1.2120\nC) 1.2870\nD) 1.3370", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1620", + "B) 1.2120", + "C) 1.2870", + "D) 1.3370" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.2120", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.67%\nD) 1.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.36%", + "B) 2.44%", + "C) 2.67%", + "D) 1.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) 7,756,018\nB) 10,000,027\nC) 1,023,991\nD) 3,268,000", + "options": [ + "A) 7,756,018", + "B) 10,000,027", + "C) 1,023,991", + "D) 3,268,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,268,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 81.32%\nB) 54.36%\nC) 0.45%\nD) 27.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 81.32%", + "B) 54.36%", + "C) 0.45%", + "D) 27.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "81.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.48%\nB) 0.07%\nC) 1.29%\nD) 0.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.48%", + "B) 0.07%", + "C) 1.29%", + "D) 0.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.8481\nB) 6.7394\nC) 6.4052\nD) 6.1824", + "options": [ + "A) 5.8481", + "B) 6.7394", + "C) 6.4052", + "D) 6.1824" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4052", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 20.51%\nC) 16.41%\nD) 12.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 20.51%", + "C) 16.41%", + "D) 12.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.06pp\nB) +7.23pp\nC) +5.51pp\nD) -3.11pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.06pp", + "B) +7.23pp", + "C) +5.51pp", + "D) -3.11pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+2.06pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $675,737M\nB) $609,671M\nC) $587,649M\nD) $653,715M", + "options": [ + "A) $675,737M", + "B) $609,671M", + "C) $587,649M", + "D) $653,715M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$609,671M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,728K\nB) 1,465K\nC) 1,640K\nD) 1,377K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,728K", + "B) 1,465K", + "C) 1,640K", + "D) 1,377K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,640K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.94%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 7.63%\nD) 5.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.94%", + "B) 3.01%", + "C) 7.63%", + "D) 5.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) $15,580B\nB) $16,711B\nC) $14,448B\nD) $15,014B", + "options": [ + "A) $15,580B", + "B) $16,711B", + "C) $14,448B", + "D) $15,014B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$15,580B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.49%\nB) 20.55%\nC) 11.36%\nD) 29.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 17.49%", + "B) 20.55%", + "C) 11.36%", + "D) 29.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 28,441.97\nB) 36,251.78\nC) 34,299.33\nD) 32,346.88", + "options": [ + "A) 28,441.97", + "B) 36,251.78", + "C) 34,299.33", + "D) 32,346.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "34,299.33", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 0.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.04%", + "B) 1.21%", + "C) 1.63%", + "D) 0.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.06%\nB) -8.79%\nC) -0.86%\nD) 30.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.06%", + "B) -8.79%", + "C) -0.86%", + "D) 30.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 118.4924\nB) 110.1200\nC) 105.0966\nD) 113.4689", + "options": [ + "A) 118.4924", + "B) 110.1200", + "C) 105.0966", + "D) 113.4689" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "110.1200", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 44.61%\nB) 20.09%\nC) 38.48%\nD) 50.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 44.61%", + "B) 20.09%", + "C) 38.48%", + "D) 50.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "38.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $16,080B\nB) $16,821B\nC) $14,969B\nD) $15,710B", + "options": [ + "A) $16,080B", + "B) $16,821B", + "C) $14,969B", + "D) $15,710B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$15,710B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 129.23\nB) 133.23\nC) 139.23\nD) 123.22", + "options": [ + "A) 129.23", + "B) 133.23", + "C) 139.23", + "D) 123.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "129.23", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.97%\nB) 6.10%\nC) 8.37%\nD) 3.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.97%", + "B) 6.10%", + "C) 8.37%", + "D) 3.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 25.14%\nB) 27.01%\nC) 28.88%\nD) 23.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 25.14%", + "B) 27.01%", + "C) 28.88%", + "D) 23.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "28.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.76%\nB) 3.85%\nC) 4.43%\nD) 5.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.76%", + "B) 3.85%", + "C) 4.43%", + "D) 5.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 12.79%\nB) 24.08%\nC) 5.26%\nD) 1.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.79%", + "B) 24.08%", + "C) 5.26%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "12.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 107.31\nB) 110.03\nC) 103.22\nD) 114.12", + "options": [ + "A) 107.31", + "B) 110.03", + "C) 103.22", + "D) 114.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "110.03", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.67pp\nB) -7.87pp\nC) -3.10pp\nD) -6.28pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.67pp", + "B) -7.87pp", + "C) -3.10pp", + "D) -6.28pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-3.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.36%\nB) 0.51%\nC) 0.93%\nD) 0.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.36%", + "B) 0.51%", + "C) 0.93%", + "D) 0.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) -5.19%\nC) 8.48%\nD) 5.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.01%", + "B) -5.19%", + "C) 8.48%", + "D) 5.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 27.33%\nB) 23.95%\nC) 20.57%\nD) 13.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 27.33%", + "B) 23.95%", + "C) 20.57%", + "D) 13.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "23.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,404K\nB) 1,491K\nC) 1,577K\nD) 1,750K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,404K", + "B) 1,491K", + "C) 1,577K", + "D) 1,750K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,577K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 116.49\nB) 113.75\nC) 105.53\nD) 109.64", + "options": [ + "A) 116.49", + "B) 113.75", + "C) 105.53", + "D) 109.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "109.64", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) 2.93%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 3.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.93%", + "B) 2.05%", + "C) 2.34%", + "D) 3.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 68.31%\nB) 75.85%\nC) 78.86%\nD) 72.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.31%", + "B) 75.85%", + "C) 78.86%", + "D) 72.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "75.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 272.05\nB) 254.33\nC) 264.96\nD) 279.14", + "options": [ + "A) 272.05", + "B) 254.33", + "C) 264.96", + "D) 279.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "264.96", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 54.72%\nB) 60.68%\nC) 52.73%\nD) 57.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 54.72%", + "B) 60.68%", + "C) 52.73%", + "D) 57.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "57.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.20%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 2.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.20%", + "B) 2.31%", + "C) 2.08%", + "D) 2.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) -5.61%\nB) 0.24%\nC) 11.96%\nD) 17.82%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.61%", + "B) 0.24%", + "C) 11.96%", + "D) 17.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 278.92\nB) 264.00\nC) 271.46\nD) 252.80", + "options": [ + "A) 278.92", + "B) 264.00", + "C) 271.46", + "D) 252.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "271.46", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 4.84%\nC) 6.38%\nD) 5.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.86%", + "B) 4.84%", + "C) 6.38%", + "D) 5.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 84.90\nB) 92.93\nC) 88.92\nD) 80.88", + "options": [ + "A) 84.90", + "B) 92.93", + "C) 88.92", + "D) 80.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "84.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 21.45\nB) 17.02\nC) 30.32\nD) 8.15", + "options": [ + "A) 21.45", + "B) 17.02", + "C) 30.32", + "D) 8.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "17.02", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.55pp\nB) +0.95pp\nC) +1.35pp\nD) +1.15pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.55pp", + "B) +0.95pp", + "C) +1.35pp", + "D) +1.15pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.35pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.98pp\nB) -5.45pp\nC) -4.33pp\nD) -2.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.98pp", + "B) -5.45pp", + "C) -4.33pp", + "D) -2.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-2.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.20%\nB) 2.80%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 3.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.20%", + "B) 2.80%", + "C) 1.90%", + "D) 3.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $73,178M\nB) $71,387M\nC) $76,759M\nD) $74,968M", + "options": [ + "A) $73,178M", + "B) $71,387M", + "C) $76,759M", + "D) $74,968M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$71,387M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 17,656.26\nB) 16,461.79\nC) 14,072.86\nD) 15,267.33", + "options": [ + "A) 17,656.26", + "B) 16,461.79", + "C) 14,072.86", + "D) 15,267.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,072.86", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) 0.61%\nC) 1.50%\nD) 0.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.05%", + "B) 0.61%", + "C) 1.50%", + "D) 0.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) +3.74pp\nB) +1.55pp\nC) -2.85pp\nD) +8.13pp", + "options": [ + "A) +3.74pp", + "B) +1.55pp", + "C) -2.85pp", + "D) +8.13pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+3.74pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 105.86\nB) 98.39\nC) 102.12\nD) 94.65", + "options": [ + "A) 105.86", + "B) 98.39", + "C) 102.12", + "D) 94.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "98.39", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 28.67%\nB) 21.26%\nC) 26.20%\nD) 18.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 28.67%", + "B) 21.26%", + "C) 26.20%", + "D) 18.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) -22.91pp\nB) -12.70pp\nC) -2.50pp\nD) -7.60pp", + "options": [ + "A) -22.91pp", + "B) -12.70pp", + "C) -2.50pp", + "D) -7.60pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-7.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $26.30/hr\nB) $28.28/hr\nC) $24.98/hr\nD) $26.96/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $26.30/hr", + "B) $28.28/hr", + "C) $24.98/hr", + "D) $26.96/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$26.30/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.10%\nB) 50.37%\nC) 71.84%\nD) 82.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.10%", + "B) 50.37%", + "C) 71.84%", + "D) 82.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "50.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 34.54%\nB) 38.61%\nC) 30.46%\nD) 22.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 34.54%", + "B) 38.61%", + "C) 30.46%", + "D) 22.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,550K\nB) 1,477K\nC) 1,915K\nD) 1,696K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,550K", + "B) 1,477K", + "C) 1,915K", + "D) 1,696K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,696K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 0.40%\nD) 0.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.51%", + "B) 2.25%", + "C) 0.40%", + "D) 0.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 240.80\nB) 235.68\nC) 220.31\nD) 225.43", + "options": [ + "A) 240.80", + "B) 235.68", + "C) 220.31", + "D) 225.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "235.68", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $268,428M\nB) $246,493M\nC) $253,805M\nD) $275,740M", + "options": [ + "A) $268,428M", + "B) $246,493M", + "C) $253,805M", + "D) $275,740M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$253,805M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.53%\nB) 15.58%\nC) 23.77%\nD) 19.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.53%", + "B) 15.58%", + "C) 23.77%", + "D) 19.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $21,959B\nB) $23,953B\nC) $23,289B\nD) $21,295B", + "options": [ + "A) $21,959B", + "B) $23,953B", + "C) $23,289B", + "D) $21,295B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$21,959B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.84%\nB) 10.53%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 17.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.84%", + "B) 10.53%", + "C) 3.91%", + "D) 17.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.39\nB) 102.62\nC) 98.86\nD) 93.21", + "options": [ + "A) 106.39", + "B) 102.62", + "C) 98.86", + "D) 93.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "98.86", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.73%\nB) 39.83%\nC) 26.43%\nD) 33.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 19.73%", + "B) 39.83%", + "C) 26.43%", + "D) 33.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "33.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 107.05\nB) 103.47\nC) 113.02\nD) 109.44", + "options": [ + "A) 107.05", + "B) 103.47", + "C) 113.02", + "D) 109.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "107.05", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 263.44\nB) 279.70\nC) 291.89\nD) 271.57", + "options": [ + "A) 263.44", + "B) 279.70", + "C) 291.89", + "D) 271.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "279.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.81%\nB) 18.65%\nC) 13.73%\nD) 15.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.81%", + "B) 18.65%", + "C) 13.73%", + "D) 15.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "13.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 100.85\nB) 104.50\nC) 110.58\nD) 106.93", + "options": [ + "A) 100.85", + "B) 104.50", + "C) 110.58", + "D) 106.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "106.93", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $16,490B\nB) $16,035B\nC) $17,400B\nD) $15,125B", + "options": [ + "A) $16,490B", + "B) $16,035B", + "C) $17,400B", + "D) $15,125B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$16,490B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $23.58/hr\nB) $25.33/hr\nC) $24.16/hr\nD) $27.08/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $23.58/hr", + "B) $25.33/hr", + "C) $24.16/hr", + "D) $27.08/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$25.33/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 7.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.61%", + "B) 5.90%", + "C) 4.81%", + "D) 7.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.58%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 4.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.58%", + "B) 3.47%", + "C) 3.89%", + "D) 4.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) $73.38/bbl\nB) $86.18/bbl\nC) $60.58/bbl\nD) $79.78/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $73.38/bbl", + "B) $86.18/bbl", + "C) $60.58/bbl", + "D) $79.78/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$73.38/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $19,991B\nB) $18,401B\nC) $17,607B\nD) $19,196B", + "options": [ + "A) $19,991B", + "B) $18,401B", + "C) $17,607B", + "D) $19,196B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$18,401B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 285.74\nB) 258.14\nC) 273.91\nD) 266.02", + "options": [ + "A) 285.74", + "B) 258.14", + "C) 273.91", + "D) 266.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "273.91", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.33%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 4.95%\nD) 4.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.33%", + "B) 3.08%", + "C) 4.95%", + "D) 4.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $603,581M\nB) $618,818M\nC) $573,107M\nD) $588,344M", + "options": [ + "A) $603,581M", + "B) $618,818M", + "C) $573,107M", + "D) $588,344M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$603,581M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 5.96%\nC) 7.20%\nD) 6.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.35%", + "B) 5.96%", + "C) 7.20%", + "D) 6.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.98%\nB) 8.13%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 3.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.98%", + "B) 8.13%", + "C) 4.70%", + "D) 3.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $6,389M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $6,389M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$6,389M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $19,873B\nB) $18,943B\nC) $22,664B\nD) $17,083B", + "options": [ + "A) $19,873B", + "B) $18,943B", + "C) $22,664B", + "D) $17,083B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$19,873B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,501.75\nB) 4,246.59\nC) 3,481.11\nD) 3,991.43", + "options": [ + "A) 4,501.75", + "B) 4,246.59", + "C) 3,481.11", + "D) 3,991.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,246.59", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 179.34%\nB) 152.51%\nC) 98.84%\nD) 18.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 179.34%", + "B) 152.51%", + "C) 98.84%", + "D) 18.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "98.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 259.48\nB) 267.14\nC) 251.83\nD) 244.17", + "options": [ + "A) 259.48", + "B) 267.14", + "C) 251.83", + "D) 244.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "244.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 271.36\nB) 260.92\nC) 292.26\nD) 240.02", + "options": [ + "A) 271.36", + "B) 260.92", + "C) 292.26", + "D) 240.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "271.36", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) -5.75%\nB) 12.46%\nC) 0.32%\nD) 18.53%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.75%", + "B) 12.46%", + "C) 0.32%", + "D) 18.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $275,932M\nB) $250,822M\nC) $259,192M\nD) $234,081M", + "options": [ + "A) $275,932M", + "B) $250,822M", + "C) $259,192M", + "D) $234,081M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$259,192M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,831K\nB) 1,681K\nC) 1,530K\nD) 1,756K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,831K", + "B) 1,681K", + "C) 1,530K", + "D) 1,756K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,756K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.70pp\nB) -2.10pp\nC) +2.97pp\nD) +0.43pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.70pp", + "B) -2.10pp", + "C) +2.97pp", + "D) +0.43pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+1.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $17,342B\nB) $20,981B\nC) $23,407B\nD) $24,620B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,342B", + "B) $20,981B", + "C) $23,407B", + "D) $24,620B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$20,981B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.95%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 4.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.37%", + "B) 4.95%", + "C) 4.00%", + "D) 4.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.07%\nB) 14.29%\nC) 12.68%\nD) 13.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.07%", + "B) 14.29%", + "C) 12.68%", + "D) 13.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 23.98%\nB) 20.20%\nC) 35.34%\nD) 27.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 23.98%", + "B) 20.20%", + "C) 35.34%", + "D) 27.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "23.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) +9.59pp\nB) -4.20pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +5.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) +9.59pp", + "B) -4.20pp", + "C) +0.40pp", + "D) +5.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-4.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.49%\nB) 42.62%\nC) 30.91%\nD) 66.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.49%", + "B) 42.62%", + "C) 30.91%", + "D) 66.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.26%\nB) 25.76%\nC) 21.38%\nD) 12.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.26%", + "B) 25.76%", + "C) 21.38%", + "D) 12.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.67%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 3.29%\nD) 2.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.67%", + "B) 2.36%", + "C) 3.29%", + "D) 2.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 107.92\nB) 111.35\nC) 114.78\nD) 102.77", + "options": [ + "A) 107.92", + "B) 111.35", + "C) 114.78", + "D) 102.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "111.35", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.47pp\nB) +3.53pp\nC) +2.20pp\nD) +4.87pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.47pp", + "B) +3.53pp", + "C) +2.20pp", + "D) +4.87pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+2.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 59.85%\nB) 62.93%\nC) 64.17%\nD) 61.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.85%", + "B) 62.93%", + "C) 64.17%", + "D) 61.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "61.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) +1.14pp\nC) +0.72pp\nD) -0.95pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.30pp", + "B) +1.14pp", + "C) +0.72pp", + "D) -0.95pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.73%\nB) -4.42%\nC) -6.26%\nD) -9.95%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.73%", + "B) -4.42%", + "C) -6.26%", + "D) -9.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-4.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.76%\nB) 6.41%\nC) 4.23%\nD) -2.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.76%", + "B) 6.41%", + "C) 4.23%", + "D) -2.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 54.71%\nB) 61.87%\nC) 56.75%\nD) 58.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 54.71%", + "B) 61.87%", + "C) 56.75%", + "D) 58.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "58.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 215.00\nB) 221.28\nC) 208.72\nD) 202.45", + "options": [ + "A) 215.00", + "B) 221.28", + "C) 208.72", + "D) 202.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "215.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.31\nB) 72.80\nC) 86.33\nD) 63.78", + "options": [ + "A) 77.31", + "B) 72.80", + "C) 86.33", + "D) 63.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "72.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.32%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 0.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.32%", + "B) 0.89%", + "C) 0.03%", + "D) 0.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 17.26\nB) 5.96\nC) 11.61\nD) 22.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 17.26", + "B) 5.96", + "C) 11.61", + "D) 22.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 17.26\nB) 5.96\nC) 11.61\nD) 22.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 17.26", + "B) 5.96", + "C) 11.61", + "D) 22.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 20.87\nB) 9.57\nC) 26.52\nD) 37.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 20.87", + "B) 9.57", + "C) 26.52", + "D) 37.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 20.87\nB) 9.57\nC) 26.52\nD) 37.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 20.87", + "B) 9.57", + "C) 26.52", + "D) 37.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 25.62\nB) 19.97\nC) 31.27\nD) 36.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 25.62", + "B) 19.97", + "C) 31.27", + "D) 36.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.97", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 25.62\nB) 19.97\nC) 31.27\nD) 36.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 25.62", + "B) 19.97", + "C) 31.27", + "D) 36.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.97", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 13.23\nB) 30.18\nC) 18.88\nD) 7.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 13.23", + "B) 30.18", + "C) 18.88", + "D) 7.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 13.23\nB) 30.18\nC) 18.88\nD) 7.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 13.23", + "B) 30.18", + "C) 18.88", + "D) 7.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 10.60\nB) 21.90\nC) 27.55\nD) 16.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 10.60", + "B) 21.90", + "C) 27.55", + "D) 16.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "16.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 10.60\nB) 21.90\nC) 27.55\nD) 16.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 10.60", + "B) 21.90", + "C) 27.55", + "D) 16.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "16.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15.07\nB) 26.37\nC) 20.72\nD) 32.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15.07", + "B) 26.37", + "C) 20.72", + "D) 32.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15.07\nB) 26.37\nC) 20.72\nD) 32.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15.07", + "B) 26.37", + "C) 20.72", + "D) 32.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,773.22\nB) 13,612.78\nC) 16,131.45\nD) 14,452.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 12,773.22", + "B) 13,612.78", + "C) 16,131.45", + "D) 14,452.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13,612.78", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,773.22\nB) 13,612.78\nC) 16,131.45\nD) 14,452.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 12,773.22", + "B) 13,612.78", + "C) 16,131.45", + "D) 14,452.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13,612.78", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 13,168.14\nB) 15,686.82\nC) 14,007.70\nD) 14,847.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 13,168.14", + "B) 15,686.82", + "C) 14,007.70", + "D) 14,847.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,007.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 13,168.14\nB) 15,686.82\nC) 14,007.70\nD) 14,847.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 13,168.14", + "B) 15,686.82", + "C) 14,007.70", + "D) 14,847.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,007.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,774.59\nB) 14,935.03\nC) 13,255.91\nD) 14,095.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15,774.59", + "B) 14,935.03", + "C) 13,255.91", + "D) 14,095.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14,095.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,774.59\nB) 14,935.03\nC) 13,255.91\nD) 14,095.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15,774.59", + "B) 14,935.03", + "C) 13,255.91", + "D) 14,095.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14,095.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 14,095.47\nB) 15,774.59\nC) 12,416.35\nD) 11,576.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 14,095.47", + "B) 15,774.59", + "C) 12,416.35", + "D) 11,576.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14,095.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 14,095.47\nB) 15,774.59\nC) 12,416.35\nD) 11,576.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 14,095.47", + "B) 15,774.59", + "C) 12,416.35", + "D) 11,576.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14,095.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,774.59\nB) 14,095.47\nC) 11,576.80\nD) 12,416.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15,774.59", + "B) 14,095.47", + "C) 11,576.80", + "D) 12,416.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,095.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,774.59\nB) 14,095.47\nC) 11,576.80\nD) 12,416.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15,774.59", + "B) 14,095.47", + "C) 11,576.80", + "D) 12,416.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,095.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 17,251.91\nB) 13,054.12\nC) 14,733.24\nD) 13,893.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 17,251.91", + "B) 13,054.12", + "C) 14,733.24", + "D) 13,893.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,733.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 17,251.91\nB) 13,054.12\nC) 14,733.24\nD) 13,893.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 17,251.91", + "B) 13,054.12", + "C) 14,733.24", + "D) 13,893.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,733.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,254.99\nB) 3,408.07\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 3,714.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,254.99", + "B) 3,408.07", + "C) 3,867.32", + "D) 3,714.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,254.99\nB) 3,408.07\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 3,714.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,254.99", + "B) 3,408.07", + "C) 3,867.32", + "D) 3,714.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,408.07\nD) 3,561.16", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,714.24", + "B) 3,867.32", + "C) 3,408.07", + "D) 3,561.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,408.07\nD) 3,561.16", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,714.24", + "B) 3,867.32", + "C) 3,408.07", + "D) 3,561.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,408.07\nB) 3,714.24\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 4,173.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,408.07", + "B) 3,714.24", + "C) 3,867.32", + "D) 4,173.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,408.07\nB) 3,714.24\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 4,173.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,408.07", + "B) 3,714.24", + "C) 3,867.32", + "D) 4,173.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,561.16\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,714.24\nD) 3,254.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,561.16", + "B) 3,867.32", + "C) 3,714.24", + "D) 3,254.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,561.16\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,714.24\nD) 3,254.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,561.16", + "B) 3,867.32", + "C) 3,714.24", + "D) 3,254.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,020.41\nB) 3,408.07\nC) 4,173.49\nD) 3,714.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4,020.41", + "B) 3,408.07", + "C) 4,173.49", + "D) 3,714.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,020.41\nB) 3,408.07\nC) 4,173.49\nD) 3,714.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4,020.41", + "B) 3,408.07", + "C) 4,173.49", + "D) 3,714.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,173.49\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,867.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,714.24", + "B) 4,173.49", + "C) 3,561.16", + "D) 3,867.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,173.49\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,867.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,714.24", + "B) 4,173.49", + "C) 3,561.16", + "D) 3,867.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15,933.00\nB) 14,746.40\nC) 17,119.60\nD) 18,306.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 15,933.00", + "B) 14,746.40", + "C) 17,119.60", + "D) 18,306.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,746.40", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15,933.00\nB) 14,746.40\nC) 17,119.60\nD) 18,306.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 15,933.00", + "B) 14,746.40", + "C) 17,119.60", + "D) 18,306.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,746.40", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 13,068.88\nB) 17,815.28\nC) 14,255.48\nD) 10,695.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 13,068.88", + "B) 17,815.28", + "C) 14,255.48", + "D) 10,695.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 13,068.88\nB) 17,815.28\nC) 14,255.48\nD) 10,695.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 13,068.88", + "B) 17,815.28", + "C) 14,255.48", + "D) 10,695.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17,815.28\nB) 15,442.08\nC) 16,628.68\nD) 14,255.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 17,815.28", + "B) 15,442.08", + "C) 16,628.68", + "D) 14,255.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17,815.28\nB) 15,442.08\nC) 16,628.68\nD) 14,255.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 17,815.28", + "B) 15,442.08", + "C) 16,628.68", + "D) 14,255.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 14,255.48\nB) 17,815.28\nC) 15,442.08\nD) 10,695.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 14,255.48", + "B) 17,815.28", + "C) 15,442.08", + "D) 10,695.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 14,255.48\nB) 17,815.28\nC) 15,442.08\nD) 10,695.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 14,255.48", + "B) 17,815.28", + "C) 15,442.08", + "D) 10,695.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17,815.28\nB) 14,255.48\nC) 16,628.68\nD) 13,068.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 17,815.28", + "B) 14,255.48", + "C) 16,628.68", + "D) 13,068.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17,815.28\nB) 14,255.48\nC) 16,628.68\nD) 13,068.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 17,815.28", + "B) 14,255.48", + "C) 16,628.68", + "D) 13,068.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 11,608.95\nB) 13,982.15\nC) 12,795.55\nD) 9,235.75", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 11,608.95", + "B) 13,982.15", + "C) 12,795.55", + "D) 9,235.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,795.55", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 11,608.95\nB) 13,982.15\nC) 12,795.55\nD) 9,235.75", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 11,608.95", + "B) 13,982.15", + "C) 12,795.55", + "D) 9,235.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,795.55", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,085.79\nB) 5,159.38\nC) 3,817.40\nD) 4,354.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,085.79", + "B) 5,159.38", + "C) 3,817.40", + "D) 4,354.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,354.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,085.79\nB) 5,159.38\nC) 3,817.40\nD) 4,354.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,085.79", + "B) 5,159.38", + "C) 3,817.40", + "D) 4,354.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,354.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,300.46\nB) 3,763.67\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,568.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,300.46", + "B) 3,763.67", + "C) 4,032.06", + "D) 4,568.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,300.46\nB) 3,763.67\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,568.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,300.46", + "B) 3,763.67", + "C) 4,032.06", + "D) 4,568.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,032.06\nB) 4,300.46\nC) 3,763.67\nD) 4,568.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,032.06", + "B) 4,300.46", + "C) 3,763.67", + "D) 4,568.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,032.06\nB) 4,300.46\nC) 3,763.67\nD) 4,568.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,032.06", + "B) 4,300.46", + "C) 3,763.67", + "D) 4,568.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,568.86\nB) 4,032.06\nC) 4,300.46\nD) 4,837.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,568.86", + "B) 4,032.06", + "C) 4,300.46", + "D) 4,837.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,568.86\nB) 4,032.06\nC) 4,300.46\nD) 4,837.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,568.86", + "B) 4,032.06", + "C) 4,300.46", + "D) 4,837.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5,105.65\nB) 3,495.27\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,300.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 5,105.65", + "B) 3,495.27", + "C) 4,032.06", + "D) 4,300.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5,105.65\nB) 3,495.27\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,300.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 5,105.65", + "B) 3,495.27", + "C) 4,032.06", + "D) 4,300.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,170.70\nB) 3,633.91\nC) 3,902.30\nD) 4,439.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,170.70", + "B) 3,633.91", + "C) 3,902.30", + "D) 4,439.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,170.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,170.70\nB) 3,633.91\nC) 3,902.30\nD) 4,439.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,170.70", + "B) 3,633.91", + "C) 3,902.30", + "D) 4,439.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,170.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.3237\nB) 6.4560\nC) 6.5883\nD) 6.8529", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3237", + "B) 6.4560", + "C) 6.5883", + "D) 6.8529" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.4560", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.3237\nB) 6.4560\nC) 6.5883\nD) 6.8529", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3237", + "B) 6.4560", + "C) 6.5883", + "D) 6.8529" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.4560", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.1788\nB) 6.5757\nC) 6.4434\nD) 6.8403", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.1788", + "B) 6.5757", + "C) 6.4434", + "D) 6.8403" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4434", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.1788\nB) 6.5757\nC) 6.4434\nD) 6.8403", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.1788", + "B) 6.5757", + "C) 6.4434", + "D) 6.8403" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4434", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5.9853\nB) 6.1176\nC) 6.7791\nD) 6.3822", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 5.9853", + "B) 6.1176", + "C) 6.7791", + "D) 6.3822" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.3822", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5.9853\nB) 6.1176\nC) 6.7791\nD) 6.3822", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 5.9853", + "B) 6.1176", + "C) 6.7791", + "D) 6.3822" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.3822", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.3775\nB) 6.7744\nC) 6.2452\nD) 6.6421", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3775", + "B) 6.7744", + "C) 6.2452", + "D) 6.6421" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.3775", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.3775\nB) 6.7744\nC) 6.2452\nD) 6.6421", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3775", + "B) 6.7744", + "C) 6.2452", + "D) 6.6421" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.3775", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0789\nB) 6.3435\nC) 6.7404\nD) 6.2112", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0789", + "B) 6.3435", + "C) 6.7404", + "D) 6.2112" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.3435", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0789\nB) 6.3435\nC) 6.7404\nD) 6.2112", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0789", + "B) 6.3435", + "C) 6.7404", + "D) 6.2112" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.3435", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5.9115\nB) 6.4407\nC) 6.3084\nD) 6.7053", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 5.9115", + "B) 6.4407", + "C) 6.3084", + "D) 6.7053" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.3084", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5.9115\nB) 6.4407\nC) 6.3084\nD) 6.7053", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 5.9115", + "B) 6.4407", + "C) 6.3084", + "D) 6.7053" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.3084", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 23.13\nB) 6.99\nC) 12.37\nD) 17.75", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 23.13", + "B) 6.99", + "C) 12.37", + "D) 17.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 23.13\nB) 6.99\nC) 12.37\nD) 17.75", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 23.13", + "B) 6.99", + "C) 12.37", + "D) 17.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 33.88\nC) 12.37\nD) 28.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 17.75", + "B) 33.88", + "C) 12.37", + "D) 28.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 33.88\nC) 12.37\nD) 28.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 17.75", + "B) 33.88", + "C) 12.37", + "D) 28.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 10.92\nB) 16.30\nC) 21.68\nD) 27.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 10.92", + "B) 16.30", + "C) 21.68", + "D) 27.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 10.92\nB) 16.30\nC) 21.68\nD) 27.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 10.92", + "B) 16.30", + "C) 21.68", + "D) 27.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 20.39\nB) 25.77\nC) 15.01\nD) 31.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 20.39", + "B) 25.77", + "C) 15.01", + "D) 31.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 20.39\nB) 25.77\nC) 15.01\nD) 31.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 20.39", + "B) 25.77", + "C) 15.01", + "D) 31.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 25.77\nB) 31.14\nC) 20.39\nD) 15.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 25.77", + "B) 31.14", + "C) 20.39", + "D) 15.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 25.77\nB) 31.14\nC) 20.39\nD) 15.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 25.77", + "B) 31.14", + "C) 20.39", + "D) 15.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15.01\nB) 25.77\nC) 20.39\nD) 9.63", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 15.01", + "B) 25.77", + "C) 20.39", + "D) 9.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15.01\nB) 25.77\nC) 20.39\nD) 9.63", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 15.01", + "B) 25.77", + "C) 20.39", + "D) 9.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2021.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2021.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..26a73a0e61671cbfbbf021d409e4101af4234c4d --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2021.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:847b526a6936d4d3246edac18fb854b85d140493fa5847370a18f59df4fd3b05 +size 31752 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2022.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2022.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..eae27de46b0106e89457e6cf8e5382dbfc8f9cc1 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2022.json @@ -0,0 +1,8039 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 111.68\nB) 115.79\nC) 107.57\nD) 119.90", + "options": [ + "A) 111.68", + "B) 115.79", + "C) 107.57", + "D) 119.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "115.79", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.19%\nB) 8.53%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 5.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.19%", + "B) 8.53%", + "C) 3.20%", + "D) 5.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.35%\nB) 15.12%\nC) -9.51%\nD) 8.97%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.35%", + "B) 15.12%", + "C) -9.51%", + "D) 8.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 3,789.99\nB) 2,735.53\nC) 3,087.02\nD) 4,492.96", + "options": [ + "A) 3,789.99", + "B) 2,735.53", + "C) 3,087.02", + "D) 4,492.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,789.99", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.33%\nB) 2.46%\nC) -5.90%\nD) 8.04%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.33%", + "B) 2.46%", + "C) -5.90%", + "D) 8.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,281K\nB) 1,812K\nC) 1,600K\nD) 1,706K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,281K", + "B) 1,812K", + "C) 1,600K", + "D) 1,706K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,600K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 110.78\nB) 95.76\nC) 105.15\nD) 101.39", + "options": [ + "A) 110.78", + "B) 95.76", + "C) 105.15", + "D) 101.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.39", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) 214,000\nB) 1,345,889\nC) 591,296\nD) 968,593", + "options": [ + "A) 214,000", + "B) 1,345,889", + "C) 591,296", + "D) 968,593" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "214,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 100.35%\nB) 71.37%\nC) 158.33%\nD) -15.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 100.35%", + "B) 71.37%", + "C) 158.33%", + "D) -15.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "71.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 7.00%\nC) 3.50%\nD) 4.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.84%", + "B) 7.00%", + "C) 3.50%", + "D) 4.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,791K\nB) 1,185K\nC) 1,286K\nD) 1,488K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,791K", + "B) 1,185K", + "C) 1,286K", + "D) 1,488K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,488K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 112.91\nB) 109.70\nC) 117.73\nD) 106.49", + "options": [ + "A) 112.91", + "B) 109.70", + "C) 117.73", + "D) 106.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "112.91", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.68%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 7.17%\nD) -1.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.68%", + "B) 4.91%", + "C) 7.17%", + "D) -1.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.37%\nB) 15.76%\nC) 11.59%\nD) 7.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.37%", + "B) 15.76%", + "C) 11.59%", + "D) 7.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.54%\nB) 6.75%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 5.97%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.54%", + "B) 6.75%", + "C) 3.61%", + "D) 5.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.19%\nB) 5.71%\nC) 6.95%\nD) 4.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.19%", + "B) 5.71%", + "C) 6.95%", + "D) 4.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "8.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.02%\nB) 8.49%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 6.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.02%", + "B) 8.49%", + "C) 4.81%", + "D) 6.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 151.67\nB) 147.85\nC) 140.20\nD) 128.73", + "options": [ + "A) 151.67", + "B) 147.85", + "C) 140.20", + "D) 128.73" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "140.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 289.59\nB) 276.07\nC) 316.62\nD) 296.35", + "options": [ + "A) 289.59", + "B) 276.07", + "C) 316.62", + "D) 296.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "296.35", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.13pp\nB) -0.26pp\nC) +0.32pp\nD) -0.06pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.13pp", + "B) -0.26pp", + "C) +0.32pp", + "D) -0.06pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.13pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 72.38%\nB) 78.61%\nC) 75.50%\nD) 83.28%", + "options": [ + "A) 72.38%", + "B) 78.61%", + "C) 75.50%", + "D) 83.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "78.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $17,307B\nB) $18,678B\nC) $17,993B\nD) $19,363B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,307B", + "B) $18,678B", + "C) $17,993B", + "D) $19,363B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$17,993B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 280.47\nB) 310.06\nC) 268.64\nD) 298.23", + "options": [ + "A) 280.47", + "B) 310.06", + "C) 268.64", + "D) 298.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "298.23", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 79.03%\nB) 75.98%\nC) 86.65%\nD) 82.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 79.03%", + "B) 75.98%", + "C) 86.65%", + "D) 82.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "79.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.03%\nB) 6.62%\nC) 4.23%\nD) 5.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.03%", + "B) 6.62%", + "C) 4.23%", + "D) 5.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) -3.20%\nB) -29.95%\nC) -9.89%\nD) 3.49%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.20%", + "B) -29.95%", + "C) -9.89%", + "D) 3.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-9.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,134M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,134M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$6,134M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.20%\nB) 1.52%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.20%", + "B) 1.52%", + "C) 1.08%", + "D) 0.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 245.20\nB) 260.01\nC) 274.83\nD) 267.42", + "options": [ + "A) 245.20", + "B) 260.01", + "C) 274.83", + "D) 267.42" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "260.01", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.71%\nB) 3.69%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 4.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.71%", + "B) 3.69%", + "C) 3.20%", + "D) 4.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $26.36/hr\nB) $25.63/hr\nC) $28.57/hr\nD) $27.10/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $26.36/hr", + "B) $25.63/hr", + "C) $28.57/hr", + "D) $27.10/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$27.10/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $76,146M\nB) $74,196M\nC) $78,096M\nD) $70,296M", + "options": [ + "A) $76,146M", + "B) $74,196M", + "C) $78,096M", + "D) $70,296M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$76,146M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $-74,838M\nB) $-67,781M\nC) $-88,951M\nD) $-46,611M", + "options": [ + "A) $-74,838M", + "B) $-67,781M", + "C) $-88,951M", + "D) $-46,611M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-67,781M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 20.58%\nB) -0.74%\nC) 7.79%\nD) -5.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.58%", + "B) -0.74%", + "C) 7.79%", + "D) -5.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.83%\nB) 13.62%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 10.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.83%", + "B) 13.62%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 10.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.10%\nB) 63.17%\nC) 58.06%\nD) 56.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.10%", + "B) 63.17%", + "C) 58.06%", + "D) 56.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "60.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.57%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 11.33%\nD) -5.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.57%", + "B) 3.05%", + "C) 11.33%", + "D) -5.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,605,285\nB) 8,099,856\nC) 1,358,000\nD) 5,852,571", + "options": [ + "A) 3,605,285", + "B) 8,099,856", + "C) 1,358,000", + "D) 5,852,571" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,358,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 6,570.73\nB) 12,608.62\nC) 8,080.20\nD) 11,099.15", + "options": [ + "A) 6,570.73", + "B) 12,608.62", + "C) 8,080.20", + "D) 11,099.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11,099.15", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.59%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 5.07%\nD) 7.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.59%", + "B) 4.03%", + "C) 5.07%", + "D) 7.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.40%\nB) -2.44%\nC) -8.38%\nD) -14.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.40%", + "B) -2.44%", + "C) -8.38%", + "D) -14.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-2.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 150.06\nB) 142.25\nC) 137.04\nD) 129.22", + "options": [ + "A) 150.06", + "B) 142.25", + "C) 137.04", + "D) 129.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "137.04", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $-87,997M\nB) $-82,297M\nC) $-110,799M\nD) $-99,398M", + "options": [ + "A) $-87,997M", + "B) $-82,297M", + "C) $-110,799M", + "D) $-99,398M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-99,398M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.93%\nB) 5.56%\nC) 6.24%\nD) 8.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.93%", + "B) 5.56%", + "C) 6.24%", + "D) 8.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.25/bbl\nB) $115.32/bbl\nC) $133.37/bbl\nD) $106.30/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $88.25/bbl", + "B) $115.32/bbl", + "C) $133.37/bbl", + "D) $106.30/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$115.32/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.55pp\nB) +0.94pp\nC) +3.18pp\nD) +5.42pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.55pp", + "B) +0.94pp", + "C) +3.18pp", + "D) +5.42pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+3.18pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.95%\nB) 9.38%\nC) 7.76%\nD) 8.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.95%", + "B) 9.38%", + "C) 7.76%", + "D) 8.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $18,458B\nB) $20,034B\nC) $20,823B\nD) $19,246B", + "options": [ + "A) $18,458B", + "B) $20,034B", + "C) $20,823B", + "D) $19,246B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$18,458B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.95pp\nB) +1.30pp\nC) +2.72pp\nD) -0.12pp", + "options": [ + "A) -2.95pp", + "B) +1.30pp", + "C) +2.72pp", + "D) -0.12pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+1.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 127.4641\nB) 122.7735\nC) 134.5000\nD) 141.5359", + "options": [ + "A) 127.4641", + "B) 122.7735", + "C) 134.5000", + "D) 141.5359" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "134.5000", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 146,613K\nB) 162,874K\nC) 158,228K\nD) 153,582K", + "options": [ + "A) 146,613K", + "B) 162,874K", + "C) 158,228K", + "D) 153,582K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "153,582K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) -10.27%\nB) -23.25%\nC) -29.75%\nD) 9.21%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.27%", + "B) -23.25%", + "C) -29.75%", + "D) 9.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-10.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $27.03/hr\nB) $27.87/hr\nC) $25.35/hr\nD) $28.71/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $27.03/hr", + "B) $27.87/hr", + "C) $25.35/hr", + "D) $28.71/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$27.87/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 278.02\nB) 297.33\nC) 287.67\nD) 268.37", + "options": [ + "A) 278.02", + "B) 297.33", + "C) 287.67", + "D) 268.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "287.67", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $598,850M\nB) $624,939M\nC) $703,204M\nD) $651,027M", + "options": [ + "A) $598,850M", + "B) $624,939M", + "C) $703,204M", + "D) $651,027M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$651,027M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.48%\nB) 5.96%\nC) 5.43%\nD) 8.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.48%", + "B) 5.96%", + "C) 5.43%", + "D) 8.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $305,967M\nB) $282,430M\nC) $258,893M\nD) $317,735M", + "options": [ + "A) $305,967M", + "B) $282,430M", + "C) $258,893M", + "D) $317,735M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$282,430M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 7.15%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 6.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.55%", + "B) 7.15%", + "C) 3.70%", + "D) 6.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 55.01%\nB) 57.04%\nC) 63.16%\nD) 60.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 55.01%", + "B) 57.04%", + "C) 63.16%", + "D) 60.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "60.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -14.20pp\nB) -8.24pp\nC) -26.12pp\nD) -32.08pp", + "options": [ + "A) -14.20pp", + "B) -8.24pp", + "C) -26.12pp", + "D) -32.08pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-14.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $258,054M\nB) $277,554M\nC) $267,804M\nD) $297,054M", + "options": [ + "A) $258,054M", + "B) $277,554M", + "C) $267,804M", + "D) $297,054M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$277,554M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 24,175.53\nB) 26,339.86\nC) 30,668.53\nD) 28,504.20", + "options": [ + "A) 24,175.53", + "B) 26,339.86", + "C) 30,668.53", + "D) 28,504.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30,668.53", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.84pp\nB) -0.84pp\nC) -0.39pp\nD) +0.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.84pp", + "B) -0.84pp", + "C) -0.39pp", + "D) +0.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.62%\nB) 7.36%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 16.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.62%", + "B) 7.36%", + "C) 5.09%", + "D) 16.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 23.16%\nB) 10.60%\nC) -1.95%\nD) 14.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 23.16%", + "B) 10.60%", + "C) -1.95%", + "D) 14.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.88pp\nB) -5.68pp\nC) -2.40pp\nD) -0.76pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.88pp", + "B) -5.68pp", + "C) -2.40pp", + "D) -0.76pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-2.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 317.80\nB) 282.83\nC) 247.86\nD) 300.31", + "options": [ + "A) 317.80", + "B) 282.83", + "C) 247.86", + "D) 300.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "300.31", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 114.47\nB) 121.12\nC) 117.79\nD) 109.48", + "options": [ + "A) 114.47", + "B) 121.12", + "C) 117.79", + "D) 109.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "114.47", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 1.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.48%", + "B) 2.56%", + "C) 3.94%", + "D) 1.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 12.22%\nC) 6.38%\nD) -5.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 12.22%", + "C) 6.38%", + "D) -5.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.01%\nB) 11.82%\nC) 6.21%\nD) 3.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.01%", + "B) 11.82%", + "C) 6.21%", + "D) 3.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 2.57%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 4.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.33%", + "B) 2.57%", + "C) 4.09%", + "D) 4.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -30.62pp\nB) -25.50pp\nC) -20.38pp\nD) -35.75pp", + "options": [ + "A) -30.62pp", + "B) -25.50pp", + "C) -20.38pp", + "D) -35.75pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-25.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.76%\nB) 6.80%\nC) 5.78%\nD) 6.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.76%", + "B) 6.80%", + "C) 5.78%", + "D) 6.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $16,996B\nB) $18,516B\nC) $20,796B\nD) $19,276B", + "options": [ + "A) $16,996B", + "B) $18,516B", + "C) $20,796B", + "D) $19,276B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$19,276B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -4.56pp\nC) -2.88pp\nD) +3.84pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.20pp", + "B) -4.56pp", + "C) -2.88pp", + "D) +3.84pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 18.11%\nB) 20.78%\nC) 23.44%\nD) 28.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 18.11%", + "B) 20.78%", + "C) 23.44%", + "D) 28.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 13.39%\nC) 9.63%\nD) 20.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.11%", + "B) 13.39%", + "C) 9.63%", + "D) 20.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.27%\nB) 4.84%\nC) 8.42%\nD) 6.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.27%", + "B) 4.84%", + "C) 8.42%", + "D) 6.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.67%\nB) 18.34%\nC) 23.01%\nD) 27.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.67%", + "B) 18.34%", + "C) 23.01%", + "D) 27.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.36%\nB) -5.64%\nC) -13.65%\nD) 10.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.36%", + "B) -5.64%", + "C) -13.65%", + "D) 10.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-5.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) $17,833B\nB) $19,258B\nC) $17,120B\nD) $16,407B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,833B", + "B) $19,258B", + "C) $17,120B", + "D) $16,407B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$17,120B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 42.89\nB) 38.47\nC) 25.20\nD) 29.62", + "options": [ + "A) 42.89", + "B) 38.47", + "C) 25.20", + "D) 29.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "29.62", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.40pp\nB) +5.14pp\nC) +6.52pp\nD) -1.72pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.40pp", + "B) +5.14pp", + "C) +6.52pp", + "D) -1.72pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+2.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) $106.42/bbl\nB) $124.96/bbl\nC) $152.77/bbl\nD) $143.50/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $106.42/bbl", + "B) $124.96/bbl", + "C) $152.77/bbl", + "D) $143.50/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$124.96/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.98%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 9.36%\nD) 15.53%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.98%", + "B) 3.19%", + "C) 9.36%", + "D) 15.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.07%\nB) 65.93%\nC) 60.33%\nD) 62.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.07%", + "B) 65.93%", + "C) 60.33%", + "D) 62.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "62.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 60.03%\nB) 89.31%\nC) 30.75%\nD) 147.87%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.03%", + "B) 89.31%", + "C) 30.75%", + "D) 147.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "60.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 333.96\nB) 294.90\nC) 307.92\nD) 255.84", + "options": [ + "A) 333.96", + "B) 294.90", + "C) 307.92", + "D) 255.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "294.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 2.49%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 4.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.94%", + "B) 2.49%", + "C) 3.38%", + "D) 4.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 65.52%\nB) 64.27%\nC) 60.53%\nD) 62.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 65.52%", + "B) 64.27%", + "C) 60.53%", + "D) 62.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "62.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.67%\nB) 5.66%\nC) 8.68%\nD) 9.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.67%", + "B) 5.66%", + "C) 8.68%", + "D) 9.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.40%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 10.15%\nD) -1.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.40%", + "B) 2.65%", + "C) 10.15%", + "D) -1.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 128.85\nB) 110.48\nC) 117.37\nD) 121.96", + "options": [ + "A) 128.85", + "B) 110.48", + "C) 117.37", + "D) 121.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "117.37", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -29.62%\nB) -18.06%\nC) 16.62%\nD) 5.06%", + "options": [ + "A) -29.62%", + "B) -18.06%", + "C) 16.62%", + "D) 5.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.7128\nB) 6.4588\nC) 7.3479\nD) 7.0939", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7128", + "B) 6.4588", + "C) 7.3479", + "D) 7.0939" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.7128", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.95%\nB) -15.95%\nC) -6.35%\nD) -8.75%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.95%", + "B) -15.95%", + "C) -6.35%", + "D) -8.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-15.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 130.22\nB) 116.49\nC) 121.64\nD) 126.79", + "options": [ + "A) 130.22", + "B) 116.49", + "C) 121.64", + "D) 126.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "121.64", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.68%\nB) 6.28%\nC) 12.29%\nD) 9.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.68%", + "B) 6.28%", + "C) 12.29%", + "D) 9.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $76,945M\nB) $72,165M\nC) $74,555M\nD) $79,335M", + "options": [ + "A) $76,945M", + "B) $72,165M", + "C) $74,555M", + "D) $79,335M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$76,945M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 312.46\nB) 289.06\nC) 303.10\nD) 279.70", + "options": [ + "A) 312.46", + "B) 289.06", + "C) 303.10", + "D) 279.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "289.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) -0.78%\nC) 3.93%\nD) -3.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.58%", + "B) -0.78%", + "C) 3.93%", + "D) -3.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.08%\nB) 4.87%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 5.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.08%", + "B) 4.87%", + "C) 4.14%", + "D) 5.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -15.30%\nB) -27.04%\nC) 19.89%\nD) -3.57%", + "options": [ + "A) -15.30%", + "B) -27.04%", + "C) 19.89%", + "D) -3.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-15.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.77\nB) 59.40\nC) 70.13\nD) 48.67", + "options": [ + "A) 64.77", + "B) 59.40", + "C) 70.13", + "D) 48.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "59.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) -47.62%\nB) -3.16%\nC) -20.94%\nD) 5.73%", + "options": [ + "A) -47.62%", + "B) -3.16%", + "C) -20.94%", + "D) 5.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-20.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.13%\nB) -5.16%\nC) 3.99%\nD) 8.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.13%", + "B) -5.16%", + "C) 3.99%", + "D) 8.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $17,347B\nB) $17,893B\nC) $15,710B\nD) $16,802B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,347B", + "B) $17,893B", + "C) $15,710B", + "D) $16,802B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$17,347B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.48pp\nB) +0.90pp\nC) -0.37pp\nD) +2.17pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.48pp", + "B) +0.90pp", + "C) -0.37pp", + "D) +2.17pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 292.59\nB) 255.55\nC) 267.90\nD) 304.94", + "options": [ + "A) 292.59", + "B) 255.55", + "C) 267.90", + "D) 304.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "267.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.74%\nB) -0.81%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 9.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.74%", + "B) -0.81%", + "C) 2.50%", + "D) 9.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0388\nB) 1.1388\nC) 0.9638\nD) 1.0888", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0388", + "B) 1.1388", + "C) 0.9638", + "D) 1.0888" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0388", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,012B\nB) $21,536B\nC) $26,109B\nD) $18,488B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,012B", + "B) $21,536B", + "C) $26,109B", + "D) $18,488B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$21,536B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $726,545M\nB) $564,818M\nC) $661,854M\nD) $629,509M", + "options": [ + "A) $726,545M", + "B) $564,818M", + "C) $661,854M", + "D) $629,509M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$661,854M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.40%\nB) -1.21%\nC) -5.75%\nD) 7.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.40%", + "B) -1.21%", + "C) -5.75%", + "D) 7.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $21,787B\nB) $24,555B\nC) $25,939B\nD) $20,403B", + "options": [ + "A) $21,787B", + "B) $24,555B", + "C) $25,939B", + "D) $20,403B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$21,787B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,968K\nB) 1,868K\nC) 1,567K\nD) 2,169K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,968K", + "B) 1,868K", + "C) 1,567K", + "D) 2,169K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,868K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,998K\nB) 1,426K\nC) 1,712K\nD) 1,807K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,998K", + "B) 1,426K", + "C) 1,712K", + "D) 1,807K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,712K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 16.99%\nB) 9.08%\nC) 24.89%\nD) 20.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.99%", + "B) 9.08%", + "C) 24.89%", + "D) 20.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "20.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.67%\nB) 13.81%\nC) 16.95%\nD) 4.39%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.67%", + "B) 13.81%", + "C) 16.95%", + "D) 4.39%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "10.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.32%\nB) 4.75%\nC) -0.96%\nD) -3.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.32%", + "B) 4.75%", + "C) -0.96%", + "D) -3.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $5,411M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $5,411M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$5,411M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.94\nB) 95.64\nC) 91.88\nD) 101.29", + "options": [ + "A) 106.94", + "B) 95.64", + "C) 91.88", + "D) 101.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.29", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 1.29%\nD) 0.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.74%", + "B) 2.64%", + "C) 1.29%", + "D) 0.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 157,857K\nB) 151,315K\nC) 146,954K\nD) 162,218K", + "options": [ + "A) 157,857K", + "B) 151,315K", + "C) 146,954K", + "D) 162,218K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "151,315K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 4.29%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 2.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.49%", + "B) 4.29%", + "C) 3.39%", + "D) 2.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 24.11%\nB) 16.39%\nC) -14.50%\nD) 0.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 24.11%", + "B) 16.39%", + "C) -14.50%", + "D) 0.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.72pp\nB) -0.55pp\nC) +4.00pp\nD) +8.55pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.72pp", + "B) -0.55pp", + "C) +4.00pp", + "D) +8.55pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+1.72pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.87\nB) 58.60\nC) 80.41\nD) 44.06", + "options": [ + "A) 65.87", + "B) 58.60", + "C) 80.41", + "D) 44.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "58.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $120.56/bbl\nB) $100.92/bbl\nC) $110.74/bbl\nD) $140.20/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $120.56/bbl", + "B) $100.92/bbl", + "C) $110.74/bbl", + "D) $140.20/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$110.74/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $120.56/bbl\nB) $100.92/bbl\nC) $110.74/bbl\nD) $140.20/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $120.56/bbl", + "B) $100.92/bbl", + "C) $110.74/bbl", + "D) $140.20/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$110.74/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $113.82/bbl\nB) $143.28/bbl\nC) $94.18/bbl\nD) $123.64/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $113.82/bbl", + "B) $143.28/bbl", + "C) $94.18/bbl", + "D) $123.64/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $113.82/bbl\nB) $143.28/bbl\nC) $94.18/bbl\nD) $123.64/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $113.82/bbl", + "B) $143.28/bbl", + "C) $94.18/bbl", + "D) $123.64/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $123.64/bbl\nB) $113.82/bbl\nC) $133.46/bbl\nD) $153.10/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $123.64/bbl", + "B) $113.82/bbl", + "C) $133.46/bbl", + "D) $153.10/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $123.64/bbl\nB) $113.82/bbl\nC) $133.46/bbl\nD) $153.10/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $123.64/bbl", + "B) $113.82/bbl", + "C) $133.46/bbl", + "D) $153.10/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.46/bbl\nB) $123.64/bbl\nC) $104.00/bbl\nD) $153.10/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $133.46/bbl", + "B) $123.64/bbl", + "C) $104.00/bbl", + "D) $153.10/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.46/bbl\nB) $123.64/bbl\nC) $104.00/bbl\nD) $153.10/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $133.46/bbl", + "B) $123.64/bbl", + "C) $104.00/bbl", + "D) $153.10/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $104.00/bbl\nB) $133.46/bbl\nC) $123.64/bbl\nD) $113.82/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $104.00/bbl", + "B) $133.46/bbl", + "C) $123.64/bbl", + "D) $113.82/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $104.00/bbl\nB) $133.46/bbl\nC) $123.64/bbl\nD) $113.82/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $104.00/bbl", + "B) $133.46/bbl", + "C) $123.64/bbl", + "D) $113.82/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $104.00/bbl\nB) $153.10/bbl\nC) $133.46/bbl\nD) $123.64/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $104.00/bbl", + "B) $153.10/bbl", + "C) $133.46/bbl", + "D) $123.64/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $104.00/bbl\nB) $153.10/bbl\nC) $133.46/bbl\nD) $123.64/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $104.00/bbl", + "B) $153.10/bbl", + "C) $133.46/bbl", + "D) $123.64/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $118.94/bbl\nB) $108.97/bbl\nC) $138.88/bbl\nD) $99.00/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $118.94/bbl", + "B) $108.97/bbl", + "C) $138.88/bbl", + "D) $99.00/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$118.94/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $118.94/bbl\nB) $108.97/bbl\nC) $138.88/bbl\nD) $99.00/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $118.94/bbl", + "B) $108.97/bbl", + "C) $138.88/bbl", + "D) $99.00/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$118.94/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $143.15/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $163.10/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $143.15/bbl", + "B) $133.18/bbl", + "C) $163.10/bbl", + "D) $153.12/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $143.15/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $163.10/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $143.15/bbl", + "B) $133.18/bbl", + "C) $163.10/bbl", + "D) $153.12/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $153.12/bbl\nB) $123.21/bbl\nC) $133.18/bbl\nD) $143.15/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $153.12/bbl", + "B) $123.21/bbl", + "C) $133.18/bbl", + "D) $143.15/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $153.12/bbl\nB) $123.21/bbl\nC) $133.18/bbl\nD) $143.15/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $153.12/bbl", + "B) $123.21/bbl", + "C) $133.18/bbl", + "D) $143.15/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $163.10/bbl\nB) $153.12/bbl\nC) $113.24/bbl\nD) $133.18/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $163.10/bbl", + "B) $153.12/bbl", + "C) $113.24/bbl", + "D) $133.18/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $163.10/bbl\nB) $153.12/bbl\nC) $113.24/bbl\nD) $133.18/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $163.10/bbl", + "B) $153.12/bbl", + "C) $113.24/bbl", + "D) $133.18/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.18/bbl\nB) $123.21/bbl\nC) $103.26/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $133.18/bbl", + "B) $123.21/bbl", + "C) $103.26/bbl", + "D) $153.12/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.18/bbl\nB) $123.21/bbl\nC) $103.26/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $133.18/bbl", + "B) $123.21/bbl", + "C) $103.26/bbl", + "D) $153.12/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $123.21/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $153.12/bbl\nD) $103.26/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $123.21/bbl", + "B) $133.18/bbl", + "C) $153.12/bbl", + "D) $103.26/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $123.21/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $153.12/bbl\nD) $103.26/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $123.21/bbl", + "B) $133.18/bbl", + "C) $153.12/bbl", + "D) $103.26/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 48.28\nB) 38.31\nC) 33.32\nD) 43.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 48.28", + "B) 38.31", + "C) 33.32", + "D) 43.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "33.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 48.28\nB) 38.31\nC) 33.32\nD) 43.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 48.28", + "B) 38.31", + "C) 33.32", + "D) 43.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "33.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 51.41\nB) 26.48\nC) 46.42\nD) 36.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 51.41", + "B) 26.48", + "C) 46.42", + "D) 36.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 51.41\nB) 26.48\nC) 46.42\nD) 36.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 51.41", + "B) 26.48", + "C) 46.42", + "D) 36.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 36.45\nB) 51.41\nC) 46.42\nD) 21.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 36.45", + "B) 51.41", + "C) 46.42", + "D) 21.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 36.45\nB) 51.41\nC) 46.42\nD) 21.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 36.45", + "B) 51.41", + "C) 46.42", + "D) 21.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 46.42\nB) 36.45\nC) 51.41\nD) 26.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 46.42", + "B) 36.45", + "C) 51.41", + "D) 26.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 46.42\nB) 36.45\nC) 51.41\nD) 26.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 46.42", + "B) 36.45", + "C) 51.41", + "D) 26.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 26.48\nB) 41.44\nC) 36.45\nD) 51.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 26.48", + "B) 41.44", + "C) 36.45", + "D) 51.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 26.48\nB) 41.44\nC) 36.45\nD) 51.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 26.48", + "B) 41.44", + "C) 36.45", + "D) 51.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 26.48\nB) 21.49\nC) 46.42\nD) 36.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 26.48", + "B) 21.49", + "C) 46.42", + "D) 36.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 26.48\nB) 21.49\nC) 46.42\nD) 36.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 26.48", + "B) 21.49", + "C) 46.42", + "D) 36.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.97%", + "B) 2.38%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 1.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.97%", + "B) 2.38%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 1.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 1.57%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 2.19%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 2.60%", + "D) 1.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.98%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 1.57%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 2.19%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 2.60%", + "D) 1.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.98%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 3.00%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 2.17%", + "B) 3.00%", + "C) 2.38%", + "D) 1.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 3.00%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 2.17%", + "B) 3.00%", + "C) 2.38%", + "D) 1.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 2.72%\nC) 3.55%\nD) 2.93%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 3.34%", + "B) 2.72%", + "C) 3.55%", + "D) 2.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.93%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 2.72%\nC) 3.55%\nD) 2.93%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 3.34%", + "B) 2.72%", + "C) 3.55%", + "D) 2.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.93%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 3.12%", + "B) 2.91%", + "C) 3.74%", + "D) 3.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 3.12%", + "B) 2.91%", + "C) 3.74%", + "D) 3.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 3.28%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 3.49%", + "C) 3.08%", + "D) 3.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.49%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 3.28%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 3.49%", + "C) 3.08%", + "D) 3.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.49%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0761\nB) 1.2511\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.2011", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0761", + "B) 1.2511", + "C) 1.1261", + "D) 1.2011" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0761\nB) 1.2511\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.2011", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0761", + "B) 1.2511", + "C) 1.1261", + "D) 1.2011" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.2511\nC) 1.0761\nD) 1.1261", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2011", + "B) 1.2511", + "C) 1.0761", + "D) 1.1261" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.2511\nC) 1.0761\nD) 1.1261", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2011", + "B) 1.2511", + "C) 1.0761", + "D) 1.1261" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.1261\nB) 1.1761\nC) 1.2261\nD) 1.0761", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1261", + "B) 1.1761", + "C) 1.2261", + "D) 1.0761" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.1261\nB) 1.1761\nC) 1.2261\nD) 1.0761", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1261", + "B) 1.1761", + "C) 1.2261", + "D) 1.0761" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.1261\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.0761", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2011", + "B) 1.1261", + "C) 1.0011", + "D) 1.0761" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.1261\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.0761", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2011", + "B) 1.1261", + "C) 1.0011", + "D) 1.0761" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0511\nB) 1.2011\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.0011", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0511", + "B) 1.2011", + "C) 1.1261", + "D) 1.0011" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0511\nB) 1.2011\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.0011", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0511", + "B) 1.2011", + "C) 1.1261", + "D) 1.0011" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.0511\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.1261", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2011", + "B) 1.0511", + "C) 1.0011", + "D) 1.1261" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.0511\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.1261", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2011", + "B) 1.0511", + "C) 1.0011", + "D) 1.1261" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.77%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 0.82%\nD) 0.65%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.77%", + "B) 0.70%", + "C) 0.82%", + "D) 0.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.77%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 0.82%\nD) 0.65%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.77%", + "B) 0.70%", + "C) 0.82%", + "D) 0.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 1.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.08%", + "B) 1.21%", + "C) 1.16%", + "D) 1.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.21%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 1.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.08%", + "B) 1.21%", + "C) 1.16%", + "D) 1.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.21%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 3.17%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 2.99%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 2.86%", + "B) 3.17%", + "C) 3.08%", + "D) 2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 3.17%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 2.99%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 2.86%", + "B) 3.17%", + "C) 3.08%", + "D) 2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 1.94%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.76%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 2.48%", + "D) 1.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 1.94%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.76%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 2.48%", + "D) 1.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 2.48%", + "C) 1.40%", + "D) 1.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 2.48%", + "C) 1.40%", + "D) 1.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.30%", + "B) 1.94%", + "C) 2.12%", + "D) 1.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.30%", + "B) 1.94%", + "C) 2.12%", + "D) 1.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.12%", + "B) 2.48%", + "C) 1.94%", + "D) 2.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.12%", + "B) 2.48%", + "C) 1.94%", + "D) 2.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.94%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.30%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 1.40%", + "D) 1.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.94%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.30%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 1.40%", + "D) 1.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 2.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 1.40%", + "D) 2.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 2.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 1.40%", + "D) 2.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 3.02%\nD) 2.59%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.81%", + "B) 2.38%", + "C) 3.02%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 3.02%\nD) 2.59%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.81%", + "B) 2.38%", + "C) 3.02%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 2.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.27%", + "B) 3.12%", + "C) 2.48%", + "D) 2.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.48%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 2.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.27%", + "B) 3.12%", + "C) 2.48%", + "D) 2.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.48%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 2.58%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 2.79%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 3.43%", + "B) 2.58%", + "C) 3.22%", + "D) 2.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.79%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 2.58%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 2.79%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 3.43%", + "B) 2.58%", + "C) 3.22%", + "D) 2.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.79%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 3.55%\nD) 2.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 3.12%", + "B) 3.76%", + "C) 3.55%", + "D) 2.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 3.55%\nD) 2.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 3.12%", + "B) 3.76%", + "C) 3.55%", + "D) 2.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 3.15%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 2.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.72%", + "B) 3.15%", + "C) 3.79%", + "D) 2.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 3.15%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 2.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.72%", + "B) 3.15%", + "C) 3.79%", + "D) 2.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.28%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 3.49%\nD) 4.13%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 3.28%", + "B) 2.85%", + "C) 3.49%", + "D) 4.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.49%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.28%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 3.49%\nD) 4.13%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 3.28%", + "B) 2.85%", + "C) 3.49%", + "D) 4.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.49%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 3.88%", + "B) 4.57%", + "C) 4.44%", + "D) 4.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 3.88%", + "B) 4.57%", + "C) 4.44%", + "D) 4.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 4.30%\nC) 4.02%\nD) 3.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.16%", + "B) 4.30%", + "C) 4.02%", + "D) 3.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 4.30%\nC) 4.02%\nD) 3.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.16%", + "B) 4.30%", + "C) 4.02%", + "D) 3.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 4.16%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 4.02%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.30%", + "B) 4.16%", + "C) 3.75%", + "D) 4.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 4.16%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 4.02%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.30%", + "B) 4.16%", + "C) 3.75%", + "D) 4.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 4.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.57%", + "B) 3.75%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 4.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 4.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.57%", + "B) 3.75%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 4.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 4.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.30%", + "B) 4.44%", + "C) 3.88%", + "D) 4.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 4.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.30%", + "B) 4.44%", + "C) 3.88%", + "D) 4.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 4.02%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.16%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 4.30%", + "D) 4.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 4.02%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.16%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 4.30%", + "D) 4.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,803.56\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 10,330.43\nD) 9,635.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 13,803.56", + "B) 11,719.68", + "C) 10,330.43", + "D) 9,635.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,803.56\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 10,330.43\nD) 9,635.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 13,803.56", + "B) 11,719.68", + "C) 10,330.43", + "D) 9,635.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 9,635.80\nB) 12,414.31\nC) 11,719.68\nD) 11,025.05", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 9,635.80", + "B) 12,414.31", + "C) 11,719.68", + "D) 11,025.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 9,635.80\nB) 12,414.31\nC) 11,719.68\nD) 11,025.05", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 9,635.80", + "B) 12,414.31", + "C) 11,719.68", + "D) 11,025.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12,414.31\nB) 9,635.80\nC) 11,025.05\nD) 11,719.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 12,414.31", + "B) 9,635.80", + "C) 11,025.05", + "D) 11,719.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12,414.31\nB) 9,635.80\nC) 11,025.05\nD) 11,719.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 12,414.31", + "B) 9,635.80", + "C) 11,025.05", + "D) 11,719.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 11,719.68\nB) 10,330.43\nC) 13,108.93\nD) 12,414.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 11,719.68", + "B) 10,330.43", + "C) 13,108.93", + "D) 12,414.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 11,719.68\nB) 10,330.43\nC) 13,108.93\nD) 12,414.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 11,719.68", + "B) 10,330.43", + "C) 13,108.93", + "D) 12,414.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,108.93\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 12,414.31\nD) 13,803.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 13,108.93", + "B) 11,719.68", + "C) 12,414.31", + "D) 13,803.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,108.93\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 12,414.31\nD) 13,803.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 13,108.93", + "B) 11,719.68", + "C) 12,414.31", + "D) 13,803.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 14,284.70\nB) 10,116.94\nC) 12,200.82\nD) 11,506.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 14,284.70", + "B) 10,116.94", + "C) 12,200.82", + "D) 11,506.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,200.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 14,284.70\nB) 10,116.94\nC) 12,200.82\nD) 11,506.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 14,284.70", + "B) 10,116.94", + "C) 12,200.82", + "D) 11,506.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,200.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,668.88\nB) 3,294.77\nC) 3,481.82\nD) 3,855.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,668.88", + "B) 3,294.77", + "C) 3,481.82", + "D) 3,855.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,855.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,668.88\nB) 3,294.77\nC) 3,481.82\nD) 3,855.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,668.88", + "B) 3,294.77", + "C) 3,481.82", + "D) 3,855.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,855.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,647.29\nB) 3,834.34\nC) 4,208.45\nD) 3,086.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,647.29", + "B) 3,834.34", + "C) 4,208.45", + "D) 3,086.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,647.29", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,647.29\nB) 3,834.34\nC) 4,208.45\nD) 3,086.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,647.29", + "B) 3,834.34", + "C) 4,208.45", + "D) 3,086.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,647.29", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,211.51\nB) 3,585.62\nC) 3,024.46\nD) 4,146.78", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,211.51", + "B) 3,585.62", + "C) 3,024.46", + "D) 4,146.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3,585.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,211.51\nB) 3,585.62\nC) 3,024.46\nD) 4,146.78", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,211.51", + "B) 3,585.62", + "C) 3,024.46", + "D) 4,146.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3,585.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,015.87\nB) 4,138.19\nC) 3,577.03\nD) 3,764.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,015.87", + "B) 4,138.19", + "C) 3,577.03", + "D) 3,764.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,577.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,015.87\nB) 4,138.19\nC) 3,577.03\nD) 3,764.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,015.87", + "B) 4,138.19", + "C) 3,577.03", + "D) 3,764.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,577.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,202.92\nB) 3,389.98\nC) 3,764.08\nD) 3,577.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,202.92", + "B) 3,389.98", + "C) 3,764.08", + "D) 3,577.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,577.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,202.92\nB) 3,389.98\nC) 3,764.08\nD) 3,577.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,202.92", + "B) 3,389.98", + "C) 3,764.08", + "D) 3,577.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,577.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,577.03\nB) 3,764.08\nC) 3,202.92\nD) 3,951.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,577.03", + "B) 3,764.08", + "C) 3,202.92", + "D) 3,951.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,577.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,577.03\nB) 3,764.08\nC) 3,202.92\nD) 3,951.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,577.03", + "B) 3,764.08", + "C) 3,202.92", + "D) 3,951.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,577.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.57%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 4.66%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.21%", + "B) 3.57%", + "C) 2.48%", + "D) 4.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.57%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.57%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 4.66%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.21%", + "B) 3.57%", + "C) 2.48%", + "D) 4.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.57%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 2.88%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.70%", + "B) 3.61%", + "C) 3.97%", + "D) 2.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 2.88%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.70%", + "B) 3.61%", + "C) 3.97%", + "D) 2.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 3.97%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 5.06%", + "B) 3.24%", + "C) 3.61%", + "D) 3.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 3.97%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 5.06%", + "B) 3.24%", + "C) 3.61%", + "D) 3.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 5.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.25%", + "B) 4.61%", + "C) 4.98%", + "D) 5.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 5.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.25%", + "B) 4.61%", + "C) 4.98%", + "D) 5.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 3.89%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.52%", + "B) 4.25%", + "C) 4.98%", + "D) 3.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 3.89%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.52%", + "B) 4.25%", + "C) 4.98%", + "D) 3.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.89%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 3.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.89%", + "B) 4.98%", + "C) 4.25%", + "D) 3.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.89%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 3.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.89%", + "B) 4.98%", + "C) 4.25%", + "D) 3.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2.06%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2.06%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 5.50%\nD) 3.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 5.50%", + "D) 3.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 5.50%\nD) 3.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 5.50%", + "D) 3.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 3.78%\nC) 5.50%\nD) 2.06%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.35%", + "B) 3.78%", + "C) 5.50%", + "D) 2.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 3.78%\nC) 5.50%\nD) 2.06%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.35%", + "B) 3.78%", + "C) 5.50%", + "D) 2.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 2.63%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.21%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 3.78%", + "D) 2.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 2.63%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.21%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 3.78%", + "D) 2.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.63%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2.63%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.63%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2.63%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 5.50%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 2.63%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 5.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 5.50%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 2.63%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 5.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.73\nB) 25.76\nC) 18.30\nD) 20.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 30.73", + "B) 25.76", + "C) 18.30", + "D) 20.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "25.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.73\nB) 25.76\nC) 18.30\nD) 20.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 30.73", + "B) 25.76", + "C) 18.30", + "D) 20.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "25.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 28.25\nB) 18.30\nC) 25.76\nD) 33.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 28.25", + "B) 18.30", + "C) 25.76", + "D) 33.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "25.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 28.25\nB) 18.30\nC) 25.76\nD) 33.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 28.25", + "B) 18.30", + "C) 25.76", + "D) 33.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "25.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 23.27\nB) 30.73\nC) 33.22\nD) 25.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 23.27", + "B) 30.73", + "C) 33.22", + "D) 25.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "25.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 23.27\nB) 30.73\nC) 33.22\nD) 25.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 23.27", + "B) 30.73", + "C) 33.22", + "D) 25.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "25.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.35\nB) 31.81\nC) 26.84\nD) 19.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 24.35", + "B) 31.81", + "C) 26.84", + "D) 19.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.35\nB) 31.81\nC) 26.84\nD) 19.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 24.35", + "B) 31.81", + "C) 26.84", + "D) 19.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 16.57\nB) 19.06\nC) 14.09\nD) 26.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 16.57", + "B) 19.06", + "C) 14.09", + "D) 26.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 16.57\nB) 19.06\nC) 14.09\nD) 26.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 16.57", + "B) 19.06", + "C) 14.09", + "D) 26.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12.90\nB) 25.33\nC) 17.87\nD) 15.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 12.90", + "B) 25.33", + "C) 17.87", + "D) 15.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12.90\nB) 25.33\nC) 17.87\nD) 15.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 12.90", + "B) 25.33", + "C) 17.87", + "D) 15.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 3.60%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 3.97%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5.09%", + "B) 3.60%", + "C) 4.34%", + "D) 3.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 3.60%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 3.97%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5.09%", + "B) 3.60%", + "C) 4.34%", + "D) 3.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 3.97%", + "B) 4.72%", + "C) 3.22%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 3.97%", + "B) 4.72%", + "C) 3.22%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 3.50%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 3.88%", + "B) 4.25%", + "C) 5.00%", + "D) 3.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 3.50%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 3.88%", + "B) 4.25%", + "C) 5.00%", + "D) 3.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.37%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 4.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5.37%", + "B) 5.00%", + "C) 4.25%", + "D) 4.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.37%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 4.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5.37%", + "B) 5.00%", + "C) 4.25%", + "D) 4.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 4.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 3.50%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.13%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 4.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 3.50%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.13%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 3.50%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 4.25%", + "B) 5.37%", + "C) 3.88%", + "D) 3.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 3.50%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 4.25%", + "B) 5.37%", + "C) 3.88%", + "D) 3.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 30.11\nB) 32.60\nC) 35.09\nD) 25.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 30.11", + "B) 32.60", + "C) 35.09", + "D) 25.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "32.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 30.11\nB) 32.60\nC) 35.09\nD) 25.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 30.11", + "B) 32.60", + "C) 35.09", + "D) 25.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "32.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 37.57\nB) 25.14\nC) 32.60\nD) 30.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 37.57", + "B) 25.14", + "C) 32.60", + "D) 30.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "32.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 37.57\nB) 25.14\nC) 32.60\nD) 30.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 37.57", + "B) 25.14", + "C) 32.60", + "D) 30.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "32.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 31.14\nC) 36.12\nD) 33.63", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 28.66", + "B) 31.14", + "C) 36.12", + "D) 33.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 31.14\nC) 36.12\nD) 33.63", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 28.66", + "B) 31.14", + "C) 36.12", + "D) 33.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 38.60\nC) 28.66\nD) 41.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 33.63", + "B) 38.60", + "C) 28.66", + "D) 41.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 38.60\nC) 28.66\nD) 41.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 33.63", + "B) 38.60", + "C) 28.66", + "D) 41.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 33.63\nC) 36.12\nD) 26.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 28.66", + "B) 33.63", + "C) 36.12", + "D) 26.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 33.63\nC) 36.12\nD) 26.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 28.66", + "B) 33.63", + "C) 36.12", + "D) 26.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 36.12\nB) 41.09\nC) 33.63\nD) 28.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 36.12", + "B) 41.09", + "C) 33.63", + "D) 28.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 36.12\nB) 41.09\nC) 33.63\nD) 28.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 36.12", + "B) 41.09", + "C) 33.63", + "D) 28.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.8608\nB) 0.7936\nC) 1.0288\nD) 0.9616", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.8608", + "B) 0.7936", + "C) 1.0288", + "D) 0.9616" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.8608\nB) 0.7936\nC) 1.0288\nD) 0.9616", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.8608", + "B) 0.7936", + "C) 1.0288", + "D) 0.9616" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9616\nB) 0.8608\nC) 1.0960\nD) 1.0288", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9616", + "B) 0.8608", + "C) 1.0960", + "D) 1.0288" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9616\nB) 0.8608\nC) 1.0960\nD) 1.0288", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9616", + "B) 0.8608", + "C) 1.0960", + "D) 1.0288" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.7936\nB) 0.9616\nC) 1.0624\nD) 0.8608", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.7936", + "B) 0.9616", + "C) 1.0624", + "D) 0.8608" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.7936\nB) 0.9616\nC) 1.0624\nD) 0.8608", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.7936", + "B) 0.9616", + "C) 1.0624", + "D) 0.8608" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.0288\nB) 0.8608\nC) 0.9616\nD) 0.7936", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0288", + "B) 0.8608", + "C) 0.9616", + "D) 0.7936" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.0288\nB) 0.8608\nC) 0.9616\nD) 0.7936", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0288", + "B) 0.8608", + "C) 0.9616", + "D) 0.7936" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.1296\nB) 1.0624\nC) 0.8608\nD) 0.9616", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1296", + "B) 1.0624", + "C) 0.8608", + "D) 0.9616" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.1296\nB) 1.0624\nC) 0.8608\nD) 0.9616", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1296", + "B) 1.0624", + "C) 0.8608", + "D) 0.9616" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9616\nB) 1.0288\nC) 1.0960\nD) 0.8608", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9616", + "B) 1.0288", + "C) 1.0960", + "D) 0.8608" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9616\nB) 1.0288\nC) 1.0960\nD) 0.8608", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9616", + "B) 1.0288", + "C) 1.0960", + "D) 0.8608" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,638.54\nB) 11,358.41\nC) 13,518.01\nD) 9,198.81", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 10,638.54", + "B) 11,358.41", + "C) 13,518.01", + "D) 9,198.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11,358.41", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,638.54\nB) 11,358.41\nC) 13,518.01\nD) 9,198.81", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 10,638.54", + "B) 11,358.41", + "C) 13,518.01", + "D) 9,198.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11,358.41", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,518.01\nB) 9,198.81\nC) 11,358.41\nD) 9,918.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 13,518.01", + "B) 9,198.81", + "C) 11,358.41", + "D) 9,918.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11,358.41", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,518.01\nB) 9,198.81\nC) 11,358.41\nD) 9,918.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 13,518.01", + "B) 9,198.81", + "C) 11,358.41", + "D) 9,918.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11,358.41", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,642.05\nB) 12,202.32\nC) 12,922.18\nD) 11,482.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 13,642.05", + "B) 12,202.32", + "C) 12,922.18", + "D) 11,482.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11,482.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,642.05\nB) 12,202.32\nC) 12,922.18\nD) 11,482.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 13,642.05", + "B) 12,202.32", + "C) 12,922.18", + "D) 11,482.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11,482.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 11,482.45\nB) 12,202.32\nC) 13,642.05\nD) 10,042.72", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 11,482.45", + "B) 12,202.32", + "C) 13,642.05", + "D) 10,042.72" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11,482.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 11,482.45\nB) 12,202.32\nC) 13,642.05\nD) 10,042.72", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 11,482.45", + "B) 12,202.32", + "C) 13,642.05", + "D) 10,042.72" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11,482.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 12,920.69\nB) 12,200.82\nC) 14,360.42\nD) 10,761.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 12,920.69", + "B) 12,200.82", + "C) 14,360.42", + "D) 10,761.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12,200.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 12,920.69\nB) 12,200.82\nC) 14,360.42\nD) 10,761.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 12,920.69", + "B) 12,200.82", + "C) 14,360.42", + "D) 10,761.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12,200.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,786.85\nB) 12,946.45\nC) 12,226.58\nD) 13,666.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 10,786.85", + "B) 12,946.45", + "C) 12,226.58", + "D) 13,666.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,226.58", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,786.85\nB) 12,946.45\nC) 12,226.58\nD) 13,666.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 10,786.85", + "B) 12,946.45", + "C) 12,226.58", + "D) 13,666.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,226.58", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 17.59\nB) 20.05\nC) 15.12\nD) 22.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 17.59", + "B) 20.05", + "C) 15.12", + "D) 22.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 17.59\nB) 20.05\nC) 15.12\nD) 22.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 17.59", + "B) 20.05", + "C) 15.12", + "D) 22.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 21.29\nB) 13.89\nC) 23.76\nD) 28.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 21.29", + "B) 13.89", + "C) 23.76", + "D) 28.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.29", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 21.29\nB) 13.89\nC) 23.76\nD) 28.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 21.29", + "B) 13.89", + "C) 23.76", + "D) 28.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.29", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.13\nB) 19.06\nC) 23.99\nD) 11.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 14.13", + "B) 19.06", + "C) 23.99", + "D) 11.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.13\nB) 19.06\nC) 23.99\nD) 11.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 14.13", + "B) 19.06", + "C) 23.99", + "D) 11.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.59\nB) 11.66\nC) 19.06\nD) 26.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.59", + "B) 11.66", + "C) 19.06", + "D) 26.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.59\nB) 11.66\nC) 19.06\nD) 26.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.59", + "B) 11.66", + "C) 19.06", + "D) 26.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10.47\nB) 12.94\nC) 20.34\nD) 17.87", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 10.47", + "B) 12.94", + "C) 20.34", + "D) 17.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10.47\nB) 12.94\nC) 20.34\nD) 17.87", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 10.47", + "B) 12.94", + "C) 20.34", + "D) 17.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 15.78\nB) 13.31\nC) 18.25\nD) 23.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 15.78", + "B) 13.31", + "C) 18.25", + "D) 23.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.78", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 15.78\nB) 13.31\nC) 18.25\nD) 23.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 15.78", + "B) 13.31", + "C) 18.25", + "D) 23.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.78", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2022.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2022.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..493b8a01c6a6c7a27b2e98f04042c23a57ef3317 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2022.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:02b1ccdcda50b469304c9d791cea606069939d9bbf7abee10a77410b449028b8 +size 39796 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2023.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2023.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..dff78d11eb9dde4a4c7bc1c0a10319eaacb58aa3 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2023.json @@ -0,0 +1,6599 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.26\nB) 101.02\nC) 104.78\nD) 91.62", + "options": [ + "A) 97.26", + "B) 101.02", + "C) 104.78", + "D) 91.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "101.02", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.93%\nB) 2.24%\nC) 4.92%\nD) 3.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.93%", + "B) 2.24%", + "C) 4.92%", + "D) 3.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $-79,285M\nB) $-66,138M\nC) $-52,992M\nD) $-59,565M", + "options": [ + "A) $-79,285M", + "B) $-66,138M", + "C) $-52,992M", + "D) $-59,565M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-59,565M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.70%\nB) 65.84%\nC) 60.82%\nD) 64.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.70%", + "B) 65.84%", + "C) 60.82%", + "D) 64.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "62.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) -3.13%\nC) 1.14%\nD) -11.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.42%", + "B) -3.13%", + "C) 1.14%", + "D) -11.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-3.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 160,114K\nB) 147,664K\nC) 155,134K\nD) 167,583K", + "options": [ + "A) 160,114K", + "B) 147,664K", + "C) 155,134K", + "D) 167,583K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "155,134K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) -70.65%\nB) 19.44%\nC) -10.59%\nD) -40.62%", + "options": [ + "A) -70.65%", + "B) 19.44%", + "C) -10.59%", + "D) -40.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-40.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +9.20pp\nB) +3.04pp\nC) +15.36pp\nD) -3.13pp", + "options": [ + "A) +9.20pp", + "B) +3.04pp", + "C) +15.36pp", + "D) -3.13pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+9.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.3808\nB) 7.1300\nC) 7.7569\nD) 6.8792", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3808", + "B) 7.1300", + "C) 7.7569", + "D) 6.8792" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.1300", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 111.85\nB) 118.23\nC) 121.42\nD) 124.61", + "options": [ + "A) 111.85", + "B) 118.23", + "C) 121.42", + "D) 124.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "121.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.27%\nB) -6.16%\nC) 0.65%\nD) 4.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.27%", + "B) -6.16%", + "C) 0.65%", + "D) 4.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.40%\nB) 57.35%\nC) 62.43%\nD) 64.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.40%", + "B) 57.35%", + "C) 62.43%", + "D) 64.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "60.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.89pp\nB) +2.60pp\nC) -3.15pp\nD) -14.64pp", + "options": [ + "A) -8.89pp", + "B) +2.60pp", + "C) -3.15pp", + "D) -14.64pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+2.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.18%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 3.45%\nD) 4.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.18%", + "B) 2.36%", + "C) 3.45%", + "D) 4.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 6.12%\nC) 6.91%\nD) 5.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.96%", + "B) 6.12%", + "C) 6.91%", + "D) 5.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.94%\nB) 3.67%\nC) -26.76%\nD) -11.55%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.94%", + "B) 3.67%", + "C) -26.76%", + "D) -11.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-3.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) 8,545,204\nB) 1,753,000\nC) 4,017,068\nD) 6,281,136", + "options": [ + "A) 8,545,204", + "B) 1,753,000", + "C) 4,017,068", + "D) 6,281,136" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,753,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 27.60%\nB) 39.96%\nC) 2.88%\nD) -21.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 27.60%", + "B) 39.96%", + "C) 2.88%", + "D) -21.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.95pp\nB) -7.93pp\nC) +5.39pp\nD) -1.27pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.95pp", + "B) -7.93pp", + "C) +5.39pp", + "D) -1.27pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.27pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.27%\nB) -8.44%\nC) 7.90%\nD) -2.99%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.27%", + "B) -8.44%", + "C) 7.90%", + "D) -2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 34.91%\nB) 13.32%\nC) -8.27%\nD) 27.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 34.91%", + "B) 13.32%", + "C) -8.27%", + "D) 27.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 28,446.44\nB) 38,382.47\nC) 34,408.06\nD) 40,369.68", + "options": [ + "A) 28,446.44", + "B) 38,382.47", + "C) 34,408.06", + "D) 40,369.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "34,408.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 22.65%\nB) -8.06%\nC) -14.20%\nD) 4.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 22.65%", + "B) -8.06%", + "C) -14.20%", + "D) 4.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) -2.54pp\nC) +3.14pp\nD) -3.97pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.30pp", + "B) -2.54pp", + "C) +3.14pp", + "D) -3.97pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,342K\nB) 1,537K\nC) 1,634K\nD) 1,829K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,342K", + "B) 1,537K", + "C) 1,634K", + "D) 1,829K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,537K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.75pp\nB) +3.31pp\nC) -1.22pp\nD) +5.58pp", + "options": [ + "A) -5.75pp", + "B) +3.31pp", + "C) -1.22pp", + "D) +5.58pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.22pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) -9.01%\nB) 2.43%\nC) -6.72%\nD) -2.15%", + "options": [ + "A) -9.01%", + "B) 2.43%", + "C) -6.72%", + "D) -2.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-2.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $289,270M\nB) $315,437M\nC) $276,187M\nD) $263,103M", + "options": [ + "A) $289,270M", + "B) $315,437M", + "C) $276,187M", + "D) $263,103M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$289,270M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -45.32%\nB) -19.57%\nC) 6.19%\nD) -10.98%", + "options": [ + "A) -45.32%", + "B) -19.57%", + "C) 6.19%", + "D) -10.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-19.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 243.24\nB) 298.54\nC) 257.06\nD) 270.89", + "options": [ + "A) 243.24", + "B) 298.54", + "C) 257.06", + "D) 270.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "257.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 7.70%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 4.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.34%", + "B) 7.70%", + "C) 1.16%", + "D) 4.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 301.82\nB) 325.78\nC) 285.85\nD) 309.81", + "options": [ + "A) 301.82", + "B) 325.78", + "C) 285.85", + "D) 309.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "301.82", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 57.36%\nB) 60.40%\nC) 55.33%\nD) 63.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 57.36%", + "B) 60.40%", + "C) 55.33%", + "D) 63.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "60.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 18.02%\nB) -9.70%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 13.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 18.02%", + "B) -9.70%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 13.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.17%\nB) 11.04%\nC) 13.91%\nD) 5.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.17%", + "B) 11.04%", + "C) 13.91%", + "D) 5.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 3.48%\nD) 4.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.65%", + "B) 5.24%", + "C) 3.48%", + "D) 4.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 108.28\nB) 101.02\nC) 95.57\nD) 104.65", + "options": [ + "A) 108.28", + "B) 101.02", + "C) 95.57", + "D) 104.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "101.02", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,274K\nB) 1,788K\nC) 1,480K\nD) 1,172K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,274K", + "B) 1,788K", + "C) 1,480K", + "D) 1,172K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,480K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.27%\nB) 6.08%\nC) 4.89%\nD) 3.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.27%", + "B) 6.08%", + "C) 4.89%", + "D) 3.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.86%\nB) 7.97%\nC) 0.09%\nD) 4.03%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.86%", + "B) 7.97%", + "C) 0.09%", + "D) 4.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-3.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,475K\nB) 1,377K\nC) 1,084K\nD) 1,573K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,475K", + "B) 1,377K", + "C) 1,084K", + "D) 1,573K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,377K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) -0.77%\nC) 5.87%\nD) 9.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.55%", + "B) -0.77%", + "C) 5.87%", + "D) 9.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) -2.29%\nC) 10.27%\nD) 0.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.99%", + "B) -2.29%", + "C) 10.27%", + "D) 0.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 6.72%\nC) -6.97%\nD) -2.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.16%", + "B) 6.72%", + "C) -6.97%", + "D) -2.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 128.03\nB) 142.74\nC) 132.93\nD) 152.56", + "options": [ + "A) 128.03", + "B) 142.74", + "C) 132.93", + "D) 152.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "142.74", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) -1.76pp\nB) -0.61pp\nC) -0.90pp\nD) -1.47pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.76pp", + "B) -0.61pp", + "C) -0.90pp", + "D) -1.47pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 7.04%\nC) 4.68%\nD) 3.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.86%", + "B) 7.04%", + "C) 4.68%", + "D) 3.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.37%\nB) 7.96%\nC) -8.69%\nD) 5.19%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.37%", + "B) 7.96%", + "C) -8.69%", + "D) 5.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.26%\nB) 0.90%\nC) -0.29%\nD) -2.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.26%", + "B) 0.90%", + "C) -0.29%", + "D) -2.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.89%\nB) 84.92%\nC) 77.34%\nD) 72.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 81.89%", + "B) 84.92%", + "C) 77.34%", + "D) 72.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "77.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.82%\nB) -6.63%\nC) 23.93%\nD) 5.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 17.82%", + "B) -6.63%", + "C) 23.93%", + "D) 5.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.50\nB) 10.38\nC) 6.26\nD) 18.62", + "options": [ + "A) 14.50", + "B) 10.38", + "C) 6.26", + "D) 18.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) $80.87/bbl\nB) $70.61/bbl\nC) $101.39/bbl\nD) $50.09/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $80.87/bbl", + "B) $70.61/bbl", + "C) $101.39/bbl", + "D) $50.09/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$70.61/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) -7.28%\nC) -3.01%\nD) -11.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.25%", + "B) -7.28%", + "C) -3.01%", + "D) -11.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-3.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 4.63%\nD) 3.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.46%", + "B) 5.02%", + "C) 4.63%", + "D) 3.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $689,403M\nB) $651,907M\nC) $801,891M\nD) $764,395M", + "options": [ + "A) $689,403M", + "B) $651,907M", + "C) $801,891M", + "D) $764,395M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$689,403M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.71%\nD) 2.73%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.20%", + "B) 3.72%", + "C) 4.71%", + "D) 2.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.13%\nB) 7.62%\nC) 5.39%\nD) 6.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.13%", + "B) 7.62%", + "C) 5.39%", + "D) 6.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 286.08\nB) 294.23\nC) 302.39\nD) 310.54", + "options": [ + "A) 286.08", + "B) 294.23", + "C) 302.39", + "D) 310.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "310.54", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,748B\nB) $16,493B\nC) $23,584B\nD) $22,166B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,748B", + "B) $16,493B", + "C) $23,584B", + "D) $22,166B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$20,748B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1775\nB) 1.0933\nC) 1.2336\nD) 1.0091", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1775", + "B) 1.0933", + "C) 1.2336", + "D) 1.0091" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0933", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 288.67\nB) 297.97\nC) 307.28\nD) 316.58", + "options": [ + "A) 288.67", + "B) 297.97", + "C) 307.28", + "D) 316.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "307.28", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -16.98%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 19.50%\nD) -7.86%", + "options": [ + "A) -16.98%", + "B) 1.26%", + "C) 19.50%", + "D) -7.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-7.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.78%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 5.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.78%", + "B) 2.36%", + "C) 3.97%", + "D) 5.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.63%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 4.24%\nD) -0.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.63%", + "B) 1.85%", + "C) 4.24%", + "D) -0.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $16,362B\nB) $24,003B\nC) $20,947B\nD) $19,419B", + "options": [ + "A) $16,362B", + "B) $24,003B", + "C) $20,947B", + "D) $19,419B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$20,947B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 17,750.52\nB) 11,137.68\nC) 15,105.39\nD) 13,782.82", + "options": [ + "A) 17,750.52", + "B) 11,137.68", + "C) 15,105.39", + "D) 13,782.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13,782.82", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) -2.04%\nC) -0.12%\nD) 5.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.81%", + "B) -2.04%", + "C) -0.12%", + "D) 5.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $17,270B\nB) $19,048B\nC) $16,381B\nD) $19,937B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,270B", + "B) $19,048B", + "C) $16,381B", + "D) $19,937B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$19,048B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 5.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.36%", + "B) 4.03%", + "C) 4.70%", + "D) 5.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.55pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) -1.15pp\nD) +0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.55pp", + "B) -0.70pp", + "C) -1.15pp", + "D) +0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -20.77%\nB) 0.10%\nC) -41.64%\nD) -13.81%", + "options": [ + "A) -20.77%", + "B) 0.10%", + "C) -41.64%", + "D) -13.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-20.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 16.47%\nB) 10.73%\nC) 19.35%\nD) 7.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.47%", + "B) 10.73%", + "C) 19.35%", + "D) 7.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,466K\nB) 1,276K\nC) 1,371K\nD) 1,561K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,466K", + "B) 1,276K", + "C) 1,371K", + "D) 1,561K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,371K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 134.6023\nB) 122.8270\nC) 152.2654\nD) 140.4900", + "options": [ + "A) 134.6023", + "B) 122.8270", + "C) 152.2654", + "D) 140.4900" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "140.4900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.69%\nB) 7.31%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 7.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.69%", + "B) 7.31%", + "C) 4.83%", + "D) 7.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 291.37\nB) 305.15\nC) 325.82\nD) 284.48", + "options": [ + "A) 291.37", + "B) 305.15", + "C) 325.82", + "D) 284.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "305.15", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.76%\nB) 10.21%\nC) 18.48%\nD) 43.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 26.76%", + "B) 10.21%", + "C) 18.48%", + "D) 43.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.88pp\nB) +5.24pp\nC) +3.56pp\nD) +0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.88pp", + "B) +5.24pp", + "C) +3.56pp", + "D) +0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 140.74\nB) 154.04\nC) 145.17\nD) 149.61", + "options": [ + "A) 140.74", + "B) 154.04", + "C) 145.17", + "D) 149.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "140.74", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $27.23/hr\nB) $29.18/hr\nC) $32.10/hr\nD) $31.13/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $27.23/hr", + "B) $29.18/hr", + "C) $32.10/hr", + "D) $31.13/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$29.18/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.24pp\nB) +1.48pp\nC) -0.20pp\nD) +3.16pp", + "options": [ + "A) -5.24pp", + "B) +1.48pp", + "C) -0.20pp", + "D) +3.16pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) $18,864B\nB) $16,478B\nC) $15,683B\nD) $17,273B", + "options": [ + "A) $18,864B", + "B) $16,478B", + "C) $15,683B", + "D) $17,273B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$17,273B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $-58,587M\nB) $-72,497M\nC) $-44,677M\nD) $-79,452M", + "options": [ + "A) $-58,587M", + "B) $-72,497M", + "C) $-44,677M", + "D) $-79,452M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-58,587M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $5,572M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $5,572M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$5,572M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.79%\nB) 8.24%\nC) 5.57%\nD) 2.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.79%", + "B) 8.24%", + "C) 5.57%", + "D) 2.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.57pp\nB) -3.97pp\nC) -1.12pp\nD) +0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.57pp", + "B) -3.97pp", + "C) -1.12pp", + "D) +0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $298,229M\nB) $313,067M\nC) $283,391M\nD) $327,905M", + "options": [ + "A) $298,229M", + "B) $313,067M", + "C) $283,391M", + "D) $327,905M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$298,229M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.29%\nB) 4.13%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 5.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.29%", + "B) 4.13%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 5.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 82.49%\nB) 76.24%\nC) 77.80%\nD) 74.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 82.49%", + "B) 76.24%", + "C) 77.80%", + "D) 74.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "77.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.70%\nB) 0.79%\nC) 5.25%\nD) -3.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.70%", + "B) 0.79%", + "C) 5.25%", + "D) -3.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-3.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -9.17%\nB) 15.46%\nC) 27.78%\nD) -21.49%", + "options": [ + "A) -9.17%", + "B) 15.46%", + "C) 27.78%", + "D) -21.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-9.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.11%\nB) 27.28%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 63.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.11%", + "B) 27.28%", + "C) 2.94%", + "D) 63.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "27.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 45.07\nB) 82.95\nC) 67.80\nD) 60.22", + "options": [ + "A) 45.07", + "B) 82.95", + "C) 67.80", + "D) 60.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "67.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.09%\nB) 5.87%\nC) 11.83%\nD) 8.85%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.09%", + "B) 5.87%", + "C) 11.83%", + "D) 8.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $73,852M\nB) $79,051M\nC) $71,252M\nD) $66,053M", + "options": [ + "A) $73,852M", + "B) $79,051M", + "C) $71,252M", + "D) $66,053M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$73,852M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $17,744B\nB) $18,520B\nC) $19,297B\nD) $20,074B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,744B", + "B) $18,520B", + "C) $19,297B", + "D) $20,074B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$18,520B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 150,892K\nB) 142,604K\nC) 156,417K\nD) 164,705K", + "options": [ + "A) 150,892K", + "B) 142,604K", + "C) 156,417K", + "D) 164,705K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "156,417K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.96pp\nB) +0.04pp\nC) -0.41pp\nD) +0.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.96pp", + "B) +0.04pp", + "C) -0.41pp", + "D) +0.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) $75.75/bbl\nB) $107.75/bbl\nC) $43.75/bbl\nD) $86.42/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $75.75/bbl", + "B) $107.75/bbl", + "C) $43.75/bbl", + "D) $86.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$75.75/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 3.91%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 2.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.31%", + "B) 3.91%", + "C) 2.71%", + "D) 2.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.28%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 6.00%\nD) 11.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.28%", + "B) 3.14%", + "C) 6.00%", + "D) 11.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $77,259M\nB) $82,709M\nC) $66,359M\nD) $74,534M", + "options": [ + "A) $77,259M", + "B) $82,709M", + "C) $66,359M", + "D) $74,534M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$74,534M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.14%\nB) 8.24%\nC) 12.93%\nD) -15.20%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.14%", + "B) 8.24%", + "C) 12.93%", + "D) -15.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.01%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 6.17%\nD) 3.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.01%", + "B) 5.33%", + "C) 6.17%", + "D) 3.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.02%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 3.69%\nD) 6.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.02%", + "B) 2.85%", + "C) 3.69%", + "D) 6.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.67%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 2.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.67%", + "B) 4.91%", + "C) 0.14%", + "D) 2.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $20,439B\nB) $21,963B\nC) $19,677B\nD) $18,915B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,439B", + "B) $21,963B", + "C) $19,677B", + "D) $18,915B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$20,439B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $594,726M\nB) $665,071M\nC) $700,244M\nD) $735,416M", + "options": [ + "A) $594,726M", + "B) $665,071M", + "C) $700,244M", + "D) $735,416M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$665,071M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,170B\nB) $18,544B\nC) $20,983B\nD) $22,609B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,170B", + "B) $18,544B", + "C) $20,983B", + "D) $22,609B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$20,983B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.02%\nB) 7.69%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 3.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.02%", + "B) 7.69%", + "C) 2.35%", + "D) 3.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 6.07%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 6.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.62%", + "B) 6.07%", + "C) 3.89%", + "D) 6.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.59\nB) 62.00\nC) 46.41\nD) 69.79", + "options": [ + "A) 77.59", + "B) 62.00", + "C) 46.41", + "D) 69.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "62.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 115.92\nB) 113.52\nC) 118.31\nD) 111.12", + "options": [ + "A) 115.92", + "B) 113.52", + "C) 118.31", + "D) 111.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "118.31", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.20%\nB) 3.44%\nC) 10.08%\nD) 6.76%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.20%", + "B) 3.44%", + "C) 10.08%", + "D) 6.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.35%\nB) 11.84%\nC) 1.71%\nD) -8.41%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.35%", + "B) 11.84%", + "C) 1.71%", + "D) -8.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-3.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,073.89\nB) 4,425.84\nC) 4,101.81\nD) 3,453.76", + "options": [ + "A) 5,073.89", + "B) 4,425.84", + "C) 4,101.81", + "D) 3,453.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,425.84", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,393,641\nB) 637,214\nC) 259,000\nD) 1,015,427", + "options": [ + "A) 1,393,641", + "B) 637,214", + "C) 259,000", + "D) 1,015,427" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "259,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 229.67\nB) 288.20\nC) 273.57\nD) 258.93", + "options": [ + "A) 229.67", + "B) 288.20", + "C) 273.57", + "D) 258.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "258.93", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 297.41\nB) 334.79\nC) 260.04\nD) 316.10", + "options": [ + "A) 297.41", + "B) 334.79", + "C) 260.04", + "D) 316.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "297.41", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $5,567M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $5,567M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$5,567M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $27.66/hr\nB) $25.85/hr\nC) $28.56/hr\nD) $26.75/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $27.66/hr", + "B) $25.85/hr", + "C) $28.56/hr", + "D) $26.75/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$28.56/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 124.97\nB) 116.82\nC) 111.40\nD) 119.54", + "options": [ + "A) 124.97", + "B) 116.82", + "C) 111.40", + "D) 119.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "119.54", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.60%\nB) 64.48%\nC) 59.47%\nD) 61.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.60%", + "B) 64.48%", + "C) 59.47%", + "D) 61.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "62.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 352.08\nB) 312.48\nC) 332.28\nD) 272.89", + "options": [ + "A) 352.08", + "B) 312.48", + "C) 332.28", + "D) 272.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "312.48", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 128.05\nB) 112.85\nC) 118.55\nD) 122.35", + "options": [ + "A) 128.05", + "B) 112.85", + "C) 118.55", + "D) 122.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "118.55", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.16%\nB) -70.12%\nC) 48.92%\nD) -40.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 19.16%", + "B) -70.12%", + "C) 48.92%", + "D) -40.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-40.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.70%\nB) -1.08%\nC) 8.37%\nD) -2.97%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.70%", + "B) -1.08%", + "C) 8.37%", + "D) -2.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 122.91\nB) 120.06\nC) 117.21\nD) 111.50", + "options": [ + "A) 122.91", + "B) 120.06", + "C) 117.21", + "D) 111.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "120.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 3.35%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 6.74%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.51%", + "B) 3.35%", + "C) 4.20%", + "D) 6.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 3.35%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 6.74%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.51%", + "B) 3.35%", + "C) 4.20%", + "D) 6.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 5.89%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 3.35%\nD) 4.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5.89%", + "B) 1.66%", + "C) 3.35%", + "D) 4.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 5.89%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 3.35%\nD) 4.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5.89%", + "B) 1.66%", + "C) 3.35%", + "D) 4.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 5.05%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 3.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4.20%", + "B) 5.05%", + "C) 5.89%", + "D) 3.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 5.05%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 3.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4.20%", + "B) 5.05%", + "C) 5.89%", + "D) 3.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 6.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.55%", + "B) 4.24%", + "C) 5.09%", + "D) 6.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.24%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 6.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.55%", + "B) 4.24%", + "C) 5.09%", + "D) 6.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.24%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 3.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.00%", + "B) 2.85%", + "C) 4.54%", + "D) 3.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 3.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.00%", + "B) 2.85%", + "C) 4.54%", + "D) 3.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 5.88%\nD) 5.03%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.49%", + "B) 3.34%", + "C) 5.88%", + "D) 5.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 5.88%\nD) 5.03%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.49%", + "B) 3.34%", + "C) 5.88%", + "D) 5.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 3.39%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 3.87%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 3.39%", + "B) 4.82%", + "C) 2.91%", + "D) 3.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.39%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 3.39%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 3.87%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 3.39%", + "B) 4.82%", + "C) 2.91%", + "D) 3.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.39%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 3.86%\nD) 4.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4.81%", + "B) 3.38%", + "C) 3.86%", + "D) 4.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 3.86%\nD) 4.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4.81%", + "B) 3.38%", + "C) 3.86%", + "D) 4.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 4.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 1.87%", + "B) 4.73%", + "C) 3.30%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 4.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 1.87%", + "B) 4.73%", + "C) 3.30%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.82%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 1.87%\nD) 3.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.82%", + "B) 2.35%", + "C) 1.87%", + "D) 3.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.82%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 1.87%\nD) 3.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.82%", + "B) 2.35%", + "C) 1.87%", + "D) 3.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.35%", + "C) 4.73%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.35%", + "C) 4.73%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 4.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 1.87%", + "B) 3.30%", + "C) 2.35%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 4.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 1.87%", + "B) 3.30%", + "C) 2.35%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 31.38\nB) 33.80\nC) 26.52\nD) 21.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 31.38", + "B) 33.80", + "C) 26.52", + "D) 21.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 31.38\nB) 33.80\nC) 26.52\nD) 21.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 31.38", + "B) 33.80", + "C) 26.52", + "D) 21.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 28.95\nB) 24.09\nC) 19.24\nD) 26.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 28.95", + "B) 24.09", + "C) 19.24", + "D) 26.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 28.95\nB) 24.09\nC) 19.24\nD) 26.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 28.95", + "B) 24.09", + "C) 19.24", + "D) 26.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 26.52\nB) 19.24\nC) 21.66\nD) 31.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 26.52", + "B) 19.24", + "C) 21.66", + "D) 31.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 26.52\nB) 19.24\nC) 21.66\nD) 31.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 26.52", + "B) 19.24", + "C) 21.66", + "D) 31.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 33.80\nB) 26.52\nC) 31.38\nD) 19.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 33.80", + "B) 26.52", + "C) 31.38", + "D) 19.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 33.80\nB) 26.52\nC) 31.38\nD) 19.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 33.80", + "B) 26.52", + "C) 31.38", + "D) 19.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 28.95\nB) 33.80\nC) 26.52\nD) 21.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 28.95", + "B) 33.80", + "C) 26.52", + "D) 21.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 28.95\nB) 33.80\nC) 26.52\nD) 21.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 28.95", + "B) 33.80", + "C) 26.52", + "D) 21.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 24.09\nB) 33.80\nC) 31.38\nD) 26.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 24.09", + "B) 33.80", + "C) 31.38", + "D) 26.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 24.09\nB) 33.80\nC) 31.38\nD) 26.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 24.09", + "B) 33.80", + "C) 31.38", + "D) 26.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20230310-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 4.83%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 7.44%\nD) 3.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.83%", + "B) 5.70%", + "C) 7.44%", + "D) 3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20230310-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 4.83%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 7.44%\nD) 3.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.83%", + "B) 5.70%", + "C) 7.44%", + "D) 3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20230310-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 6.57%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.09%", + "B) 4.83%", + "C) 2.22%", + "D) 6.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20230310-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 6.57%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.09%", + "B) 4.83%", + "C) 2.22%", + "D) 6.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20230310-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 7.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.09%", + "B) 5.70%", + "C) 4.83%", + "D) 7.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20230310-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 7.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.09%", + "B) 5.70%", + "C) 4.83%", + "D) 7.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.23/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $100.79/bbl\nD) $87.67/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $94.23/bbl", + "B) $107.35/bbl", + "C) $100.79/bbl", + "D) $87.67/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$87.67/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.23/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $100.79/bbl\nD) $87.67/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $94.23/bbl", + "B) $107.35/bbl", + "C) $100.79/bbl", + "D) $87.67/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$87.67/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $89.35/bbl\nB) $69.67/bbl\nC) $95.91/bbl\nD) $109.03/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $89.35/bbl", + "B) $69.67/bbl", + "C) $95.91/bbl", + "D) $109.03/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $89.35/bbl\nB) $69.67/bbl\nC) $95.91/bbl\nD) $109.03/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $89.35/bbl", + "B) $69.67/bbl", + "C) $95.91/bbl", + "D) $109.03/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $109.03/bbl\nB) $89.35/bbl\nC) $82.79/bbl\nD) $102.47/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $109.03/bbl", + "B) $89.35/bbl", + "C) $82.79/bbl", + "D) $102.47/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $109.03/bbl\nB) $89.35/bbl\nC) $82.79/bbl\nD) $102.47/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $109.03/bbl", + "B) $89.35/bbl", + "C) $82.79/bbl", + "D) $102.47/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $82.79/bbl\nB) $95.91/bbl\nC) $89.35/bbl\nD) $76.23/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $82.79/bbl", + "B) $95.91/bbl", + "C) $89.35/bbl", + "D) $76.23/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $82.79/bbl\nB) $95.91/bbl\nC) $89.35/bbl\nD) $76.23/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $82.79/bbl", + "B) $95.91/bbl", + "C) $89.35/bbl", + "D) $76.23/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $69.67/bbl\nB) $82.79/bbl\nC) $76.23/bbl\nD) $89.35/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $69.67/bbl", + "B) $82.79/bbl", + "C) $76.23/bbl", + "D) $89.35/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $69.67/bbl\nB) $82.79/bbl\nC) $76.23/bbl\nD) $89.35/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $69.67/bbl", + "B) $82.79/bbl", + "C) $76.23/bbl", + "D) $89.35/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $89.35/bbl\nB) $102.47/bbl\nC) $82.79/bbl\nD) $95.91/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $89.35/bbl", + "B) $102.47/bbl", + "C) $82.79/bbl", + "D) $95.91/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $89.35/bbl\nB) $102.47/bbl\nC) $82.79/bbl\nD) $95.91/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $89.35/bbl", + "B) $102.47/bbl", + "C) $82.79/bbl", + "D) $95.91/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.69/bbl\nB) $87.58/bbl\nC) $73.36/bbl\nD) $66.25/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $94.69/bbl", + "B) $87.58/bbl", + "C) $73.36/bbl", + "D) $66.25/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$87.58/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.69/bbl\nB) $87.58/bbl\nC) $73.36/bbl\nD) $66.25/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $94.69/bbl", + "B) $87.58/bbl", + "C) $73.36/bbl", + "D) $66.25/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$87.58/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.69/bbl\nB) $108.91/bbl\nC) $87.58/bbl\nD) $101.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $94.69/bbl", + "B) $108.91/bbl", + "C) $87.58/bbl", + "D) $101.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$87.58/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.69/bbl\nB) $108.91/bbl\nC) $87.58/bbl\nD) $101.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $94.69/bbl", + "B) $108.91/bbl", + "C) $87.58/bbl", + "D) $101.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$87.58/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $108.15/bbl\nB) $101.04/bbl\nC) $93.93/bbl\nD) $86.82/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $108.15/bbl", + "B) $101.04/bbl", + "C) $93.93/bbl", + "D) $86.82/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$86.82/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $108.15/bbl\nB) $101.04/bbl\nC) $93.93/bbl\nD) $86.82/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $108.15/bbl", + "B) $101.04/bbl", + "C) $93.93/bbl", + "D) $86.82/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$86.82/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $77.73/bbl\nB) $91.95/bbl\nC) $63.51/bbl\nD) $56.40/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $77.73/bbl", + "B) $91.95/bbl", + "C) $63.51/bbl", + "D) $56.40/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$77.73/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $77.73/bbl\nB) $91.95/bbl\nC) $63.51/bbl\nD) $56.40/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $77.73/bbl", + "B) $91.95/bbl", + "C) $63.51/bbl", + "D) $56.40/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$77.73/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $52.78/bbl\nB) $74.11/bbl\nC) $81.22/bbl\nD) $67.00/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $52.78/bbl", + "B) $74.11/bbl", + "C) $81.22/bbl", + "D) $67.00/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$74.11/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $52.78/bbl\nB) $74.11/bbl\nC) $81.22/bbl\nD) $67.00/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $52.78/bbl", + "B) $74.11/bbl", + "C) $81.22/bbl", + "D) $67.00/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$74.11/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $59.89/bbl\nB) $81.22/bbl\nC) $74.11/bbl\nD) $95.44/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $59.89/bbl", + "B) $81.22/bbl", + "C) $74.11/bbl", + "D) $95.44/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$74.11/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $59.89/bbl\nB) $81.22/bbl\nC) $74.11/bbl\nD) $95.44/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $59.89/bbl", + "B) $81.22/bbl", + "C) $74.11/bbl", + "D) $95.44/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$74.11/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 11.15\nC) 24.76\nD) 19.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 13.88", + "B) 11.15", + "C) 24.76", + "D) 19.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 11.15\nC) 24.76\nD) 19.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 13.88", + "B) 11.15", + "C) 24.76", + "D) 19.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 21.71\nB) 29.88\nC) 16.27\nD) 24.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 21.71", + "B) 29.88", + "C) 16.27", + "D) 24.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 21.71\nB) 29.88\nC) 16.27\nD) 24.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 21.71", + "B) 29.88", + "C) 16.27", + "D) 24.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 29.88\nB) 21.71\nC) 16.27\nD) 13.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 29.88", + "B) 21.71", + "C) 16.27", + "D) 13.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 29.88\nB) 21.71\nC) 16.27\nD) 13.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 29.88", + "B) 21.71", + "C) 16.27", + "D) 13.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 13.54\nC) 21.71\nD) 27.15", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 18.99", + "B) 13.54", + "C) 21.71", + "D) 27.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 13.54\nC) 21.71\nD) 27.15", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 18.99", + "B) 13.54", + "C) 21.71", + "D) 27.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 24.43\nC) 13.54\nD) 21.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 18.99", + "B) 24.43", + "C) 13.54", + "D) 21.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 24.43\nC) 13.54\nD) 21.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 18.99", + "B) 24.43", + "C) 13.54", + "D) 21.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 21.71\nB) 27.15\nC) 29.88\nD) 13.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 21.71", + "B) 27.15", + "C) 29.88", + "D) 13.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 21.71\nB) 27.15\nC) 29.88\nD) 13.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 21.71", + "B) 27.15", + "C) 29.88", + "D) 13.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 5.45%\nD) 2.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.61%", + "B) 3.76%", + "C) 5.45%", + "D) 2.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.76%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 5.45%\nD) 2.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.61%", + "B) 3.76%", + "C) 5.45%", + "D) 2.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.76%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 2.07%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.61%", + "B) 2.91%", + "C) 3.76%", + "D) 2.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.76%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 2.07%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.61%", + "B) 2.91%", + "C) 3.76%", + "D) 2.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.76%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 5.45%\nD) 3.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 2.91%", + "B) 2.07%", + "C) 5.45%", + "D) 3.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.76%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 5.45%\nD) 3.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 2.91%", + "B) 2.07%", + "C) 5.45%", + "D) 3.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.76%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.75%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 1.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.75%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 2.90%", + "D) 1.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.75%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 1.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.75%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 2.90%", + "D) 1.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 6.29%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 5.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.29%", + "B) 3.75%", + "C) 4.60%", + "D) 5.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 6.29%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 5.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.29%", + "B) 3.75%", + "C) 4.60%", + "D) 5.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.21%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 6.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.21%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 3.75%", + "D) 6.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.21%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 6.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.21%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 3.75%", + "D) 6.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 3.86%\nD) 3.38%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.81%", + "B) 1.95%", + "C) 3.86%", + "D) 3.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 3.86%\nD) 3.38%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.81%", + "B) 1.95%", + "C) 3.86%", + "D) 3.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 2.42%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.38%", + "B) 2.42%", + "C) 1.95%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 2.42%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.38%", + "B) 2.42%", + "C) 1.95%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 1.87%\nD) 2.82%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.26%", + "B) 3.30%", + "C) 1.87%", + "D) 2.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 1.87%\nD) 2.82%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.26%", + "B) 3.30%", + "C) 1.87%", + "D) 2.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 2.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 2.82%", + "C) 3.30%", + "D) 2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 2.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 2.82%", + "C) 3.30%", + "D) 2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.34%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 3.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 2.34%", + "C) 4.26%", + "D) 3.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.34%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 3.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 2.34%", + "C) 4.26%", + "D) 3.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 4.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.82%", + "C) 2.34%", + "D) 4.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 4.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.82%", + "C) 2.34%", + "D) 4.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 26.58\nB) 24.15\nC) 29.02\nD) 31.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 26.58", + "B) 24.15", + "C) 29.02", + "D) 31.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 26.58\nB) 24.15\nC) 29.02\nD) 31.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 26.58", + "B) 24.15", + "C) 29.02", + "D) 31.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 29.02\nB) 31.45\nC) 24.15\nD) 16.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 29.02", + "B) 31.45", + "C) 24.15", + "D) 16.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 29.02\nB) 31.45\nC) 24.15\nD) 16.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 29.02", + "B) 31.45", + "C) 24.15", + "D) 16.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 29.02\nB) 21.72\nC) 16.85\nD) 24.15", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 29.02", + "B) 21.72", + "C) 16.85", + "D) 24.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 29.02\nB) 21.72\nC) 16.85\nD) 24.15", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 29.02", + "B) 21.72", + "C) 16.85", + "D) 24.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 24.15\nB) 31.45\nC) 21.72\nD) 16.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 24.15", + "B) 31.45", + "C) 21.72", + "D) 16.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 24.15\nB) 31.45\nC) 21.72\nD) 16.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 24.15", + "B) 31.45", + "C) 21.72", + "D) 16.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 26.58\nB) 24.15\nC) 19.28\nD) 31.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 26.58", + "B) 24.15", + "C) 19.28", + "D) 31.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 26.58\nB) 24.15\nC) 19.28\nD) 31.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 26.58", + "B) 24.15", + "C) 19.28", + "D) 31.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 16.85\nB) 21.72\nC) 24.15\nD) 26.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 16.85", + "B) 21.72", + "C) 24.15", + "D) 26.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 16.85\nB) 21.72\nC) 24.15\nD) 26.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 16.85", + "B) 21.72", + "C) 24.15", + "D) 26.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9828\nB) 1.1598\nC) 1.2307\nD) 1.0890", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9828", + "B) 1.1598", + "C) 1.2307", + "D) 1.0890" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0890", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9828\nB) 1.1598\nC) 1.2307\nD) 1.0890", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9828", + "B) 1.1598", + "C) 1.2307", + "D) 1.0890" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0890", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.0899\nB) 1.0191\nC) 1.1607\nD) 0.9128", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0899", + "B) 1.0191", + "C) 1.1607", + "D) 0.9128" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0899", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.0899\nB) 1.0191\nC) 1.1607\nD) 0.9128", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0899", + "B) 1.0191", + "C) 1.1607", + "D) 0.9128" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0899", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9992\nB) 1.1054\nC) 1.2825\nD) 1.1762", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9992", + "B) 1.1054", + "C) 1.2825", + "D) 1.1762" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1054", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9992\nB) 1.1054\nC) 1.2825\nD) 1.1762", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9992", + "B) 1.1054", + "C) 1.2825", + "D) 1.1762" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1054", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9637\nB) 1.0346\nC) 1.1054\nD) 1.1762", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9637", + "B) 1.0346", + "C) 1.1054", + "D) 1.1762" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1054", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9637\nB) 1.0346\nC) 1.1054\nD) 1.1762", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9637", + "B) 1.0346", + "C) 1.1054", + "D) 1.1762" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1054", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.2116\nB) 0.9283\nC) 0.9992\nD) 1.1054", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2116", + "B) 0.9283", + "C) 0.9992", + "D) 1.1054" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1054", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.2116\nB) 0.9283\nC) 0.9992\nD) 1.1054", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2116", + "B) 0.9283", + "C) 0.9992", + "D) 1.1054" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1054", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.1237\nB) 1.0529\nC) 1.1945\nD) 0.9466", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1237", + "B) 1.0529", + "C) 1.1945", + "D) 0.9466" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.1237", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.1237\nB) 1.0529\nC) 1.1945\nD) 0.9466", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1237", + "B) 1.0529", + "C) 1.1945", + "D) 0.9466" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.1237", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 3.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 1.48%", + "B) 4.00%", + "C) 2.32%", + "D) 3.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.00%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 3.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 1.48%", + "B) 4.00%", + "C) 2.32%", + "D) 3.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.00%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) 5.69%\nC) 4.01%\nD) 4.85%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 3.17%", + "B) 5.69%", + "C) 4.01%", + "D) 4.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) 5.69%\nC) 4.01%\nD) 4.85%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 3.17%", + "B) 5.69%", + "C) 4.01%", + "D) 4.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 4.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.86%", + "B) 5.38%", + "C) 3.70%", + "D) 4.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 4.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.86%", + "B) 5.38%", + "C) 3.70%", + "D) 4.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 3.93%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 5.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 4.77%", + "B) 3.93%", + "C) 6.45%", + "D) 5.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 3.93%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 5.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 4.77%", + "B) 3.93%", + "C) 6.45%", + "D) 5.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 4.99%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 6.67%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 3.31%", + "B) 4.99%", + "C) 2.47%", + "D) 6.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 4.99%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 6.67%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 3.31%", + "B) 4.99%", + "C) 2.47%", + "D) 6.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 6.87%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 5.19%\nD) 2.67%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 6.87%", + "B) 6.03%", + "C) 5.19%", + "D) 2.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 6.87%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 5.19%\nD) 2.67%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 6.87%", + "B) 6.03%", + "C) 5.19%", + "D) 2.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14.56\nB) 12.13\nC) 19.40\nD) 16.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 14.56", + "B) 12.13", + "C) 19.40", + "D) 16.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "16.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14.56\nB) 12.13\nC) 19.40\nD) 16.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 14.56", + "B) 12.13", + "C) 19.40", + "D) 16.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "16.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 16.93\nB) 9.66\nC) 14.51\nD) 21.78", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 16.93", + "B) 9.66", + "C) 14.51", + "D) 21.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "16.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 16.93\nB) 9.66\nC) 14.51\nD) 21.78", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 16.93", + "B) 9.66", + "C) 14.51", + "D) 21.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "16.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 8.78\nB) 16.05\nC) 11.20\nD) 23.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 8.78", + "B) 16.05", + "C) 11.20", + "D) 23.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.05", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 8.78\nB) 16.05\nC) 11.20\nD) 23.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 8.78", + "B) 16.05", + "C) 11.20", + "D) 23.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.05", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 8.06\nB) 17.76\nC) 12.91\nD) 15.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 8.06", + "B) 17.76", + "C) 12.91", + "D) 15.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 8.06\nB) 17.76\nC) 12.91\nD) 15.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 8.06", + "B) 17.76", + "C) 12.91", + "D) 15.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 17.76\nB) 10.49\nC) 15.33\nD) 12.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 17.76", + "B) 10.49", + "C) 15.33", + "D) 12.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 17.76\nB) 10.49\nC) 15.33\nD) 12.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 17.76", + "B) 10.49", + "C) 15.33", + "D) 12.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 12.82\nB) 17.67\nC) 15.24\nD) 5.55", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 12.82", + "B) 17.67", + "C) 15.24", + "D) 5.55" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "12.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 12.82\nB) 17.67\nC) 15.24\nD) 5.55", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 12.82", + "B) 17.67", + "C) 15.24", + "D) 5.55" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "12.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14,762.39\nB) 12,256.92\nC) 10,586.60\nD) 13,927.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 14,762.39", + "B) 12,256.92", + "C) 10,586.60", + "D) 13,927.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12,256.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14,762.39\nB) 12,256.92\nC) 10,586.60\nD) 13,927.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 14,762.39", + "B) 12,256.92", + "C) 10,586.60", + "D) 13,927.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12,256.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14,035.53\nB) 13,200.37\nC) 12,365.21\nD) 10,694.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 14,035.53", + "B) 13,200.37", + "C) 12,365.21", + "D) 10,694.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,365.21", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14,035.53\nB) 13,200.37\nC) 12,365.21\nD) 10,694.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 14,035.53", + "B) 13,200.37", + "C) 12,365.21", + "D) 10,694.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,365.21", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 15,522.90\nB) 11,347.11\nC) 13,852.59\nD) 13,017.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 15,522.90", + "B) 11,347.11", + "C) 13,852.59", + "D) 13,017.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13,017.43", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 15,522.90\nB) 11,347.11\nC) 13,852.59\nD) 13,017.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 15,522.90", + "B) 11,347.11", + "C) 13,852.59", + "D) 13,017.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13,017.43", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 13,782.82\nB) 12,947.66\nC) 16,288.29\nD) 12,112.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 13,782.82", + "B) 12,947.66", + "C) 16,288.29", + "D) 12,112.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13,782.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 13,782.82\nB) 12,947.66\nC) 16,288.29\nD) 12,112.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 13,782.82", + "B) 12,947.66", + "C) 16,288.29", + "D) 12,112.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13,782.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 12,687.70\nB) 14,358.02\nC) 16,863.49\nD) 15,193.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 12,687.70", + "B) 14,358.02", + "C) 16,863.49", + "D) 15,193.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,358.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 12,687.70\nB) 14,358.02\nC) 16,863.49\nD) 15,193.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 12,687.70", + "B) 14,358.02", + "C) 16,863.49", + "D) 15,193.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,358.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 16,863.49\nB) 16,028.34\nC) 14,358.02\nD) 12,687.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 16,863.49", + "B) 16,028.34", + "C) 14,358.02", + "D) 12,687.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,358.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 16,863.49\nB) 16,028.34\nC) 14,358.02\nD) 12,687.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 16,863.49", + "B) 16,028.34", + "C) 14,358.02", + "D) 12,687.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,358.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2023.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2023.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..0025ad35cbc0c4097f89e76db0d91a3f3a660c64 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2023.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:bbca4dff74757ecb2a2a17b2c651750ea5dff14b2af6facb1f6fd524fb3a184d +size 36364 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2024.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2024.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..bf76b3ca89f7a9b96b54e4793994739919d3c21f --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2024.json @@ -0,0 +1,5015 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.60%\nB) 2.78%\nC) -12.79%\nD) -2.41%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.60%", + "B) 2.78%", + "C) -12.79%", + "D) -2.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-2.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.64%\nB) 17.75%\nC) 11.62%\nD) -6.77%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.64%", + "B) 17.75%", + "C) 11.62%", + "D) -6.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) 4,098,159\nB) 1,839,000\nC) 6,357,319\nD) 8,616,478", + "options": [ + "A) 4,098,159", + "B) 1,839,000", + "C) 6,357,319", + "D) 8,616,478" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,839,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 304.27\nB) 293.81\nC) 314.73\nD) 283.35", + "options": [ + "A) 304.27", + "B) 293.81", + "C) 314.73", + "D) 283.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "314.73", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.96pp\nB) -1.28pp\nC) -4.64pp\nD) +0.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) -2.96pp", + "B) -1.28pp", + "C) -4.64pp", + "D) +0.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 24.22%\nB) 49.36%\nC) 7.46%\nD) 40.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 24.22%", + "B) 49.36%", + "C) 7.46%", + "D) 40.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.73%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 6.56%\nD) 1.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.73%", + "B) 4.67%", + "C) 6.56%", + "D) 1.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.02%\nB) 12.19%\nC) 2.51%\nD) -2.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 17.02%", + "B) 12.19%", + "C) 2.51%", + "D) -2.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.28%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 3.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.28%", + "B) 5.09%", + "C) 2.71%", + "D) 3.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $20,974B\nB) $22,250B\nC) $24,802B\nD) $18,422B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,974B", + "B) $22,250B", + "C) $24,802B", + "D) $18,422B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$20,974B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $65,669M\nB) $73,986M\nC) $68,441M\nD) $71,214M", + "options": [ + "A) $65,669M", + "B) $73,986M", + "C) $68,441M", + "D) $71,214M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$73,986M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) +23.87pp\nB) +10.93pp\nC) +17.40pp\nD) +36.82pp", + "options": [ + "A) +23.87pp", + "B) +10.93pp", + "C) +17.40pp", + "D) +36.82pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+17.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 27.81%\nB) 6.44%\nC) 34.93%\nD) 13.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 27.81%", + "B) 6.44%", + "C) 34.93%", + "D) 13.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 255.09\nB) 240.40\nC) 284.49\nD) 269.79", + "options": [ + "A) 255.09", + "B) 240.40", + "C) 284.49", + "D) 269.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "255.09", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) -1.93%\nC) 10.08%\nD) -19.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.07%", + "B) -1.93%", + "C) 10.08%", + "D) -19.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.32%\nB) 55.26%\nC) 60.30%\nD) 58.28%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.32%", + "B) 55.26%", + "C) 60.30%", + "D) 58.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "60.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $323,621M\nB) $339,197M\nC) $245,741M\nD) $292,469M", + "options": [ + "A) $323,621M", + "B) $339,197M", + "C) $245,741M", + "D) $292,469M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$292,469M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.10%\nB) 58.12%\nC) 63.06%\nD) 65.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.10%", + "B) 58.12%", + "C) 63.06%", + "D) 65.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "60.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $5,588M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $5,588M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$5,588M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 9.04%\nB) 15.03%\nC) 6.04%\nD) 0.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.04%", + "B) 15.03%", + "C) 6.04%", + "D) 0.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 140.63\nB) 150.97\nC) 156.14\nD) 145.80", + "options": [ + "A) 140.63", + "B) 150.97", + "C) 156.14", + "D) 145.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "145.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.62pp\nB) -3.80pp\nC) +2.76pp\nD) +4.95pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.62pp", + "B) -3.80pp", + "C) +2.76pp", + "D) +4.95pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.62pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.82pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.56pp\nD) +1.48pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.82pp", + "B) +0.10pp", + "C) +0.56pp", + "D) +1.48pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 54.64%\nB) -7.43%\nC) 29.81%\nD) 67.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 54.64%", + "B) -7.43%", + "C) 29.81%", + "D) 67.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "29.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) -8.61%\nC) -5.93%\nD) -0.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.13%", + "B) -8.61%", + "C) -5.93%", + "D) -0.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 123.47\nB) 116.86\nC) 113.55\nD) 126.77", + "options": [ + "A) 123.47", + "B) 116.86", + "C) 113.55", + "D) 126.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "123.47", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 1.99%\nC) 5.64%\nD) 7.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.81%", + "B) 1.99%", + "C) 5.64%", + "D) 7.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.32%\nB) 4.30%\nC) 2.26%\nD) -0.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.32%", + "B) 4.30%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) -0.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,112K\nB) 1,193K\nC) 1,275K\nD) 1,357K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,112K", + "B) 1,193K", + "C) 1,275K", + "D) 1,357K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,357K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 8.01%\nC) -3.73%\nD) 0.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.14%", + "B) 8.01%", + "C) -3.73%", + "D) 0.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 3.28%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 2.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.58%", + "B) 3.28%", + "C) 4.98%", + "D) 2.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.88%\nB) 3.94%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 5.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.88%", + "B) 3.94%", + "C) 1.98%", + "D) 5.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $22,424B\nB) $21,477B\nC) $20,529B\nD) $19,582B", + "options": [ + "A) $22,424B", + "B) $21,477B", + "C) $20,529B", + "D) $19,582B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$19,582B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.27%\nB) 4.90%\nC) 5.54%\nD) 3.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.27%", + "B) 4.90%", + "C) 5.54%", + "D) 3.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 299.14\nB) 316.79\nC) 334.44\nD) 307.97", + "options": [ + "A) 299.14", + "B) 316.79", + "C) 334.44", + "D) 307.97" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "316.79", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.23%\nB) 5.74%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 8.14%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.23%", + "B) 5.74%", + "C) 0.96%", + "D) 8.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.43%\nB) 3.25%\nC) 4.88%\nD) 4.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.43%", + "B) 3.25%", + "C) 4.88%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 124.16\nB) 127.77\nC) 120.56\nD) 116.96", + "options": [ + "A) 124.16", + "B) 127.77", + "C) 120.56", + "D) 116.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "124.16", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 2.03%\nD) 5.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.92%", + "B) 3.82%", + "C) 2.03%", + "D) 5.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -10.46%\nB) 17.25%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 8.01%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.46%", + "B) 17.25%", + "C) 3.39%", + "D) 8.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.12pp\nB) -4.56pp\nC) -3.14pp\nD) -0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.12pp", + "B) -4.56pp", + "C) -3.14pp", + "D) -0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) $17,617B\nB) $16,254B\nC) $18,980B\nD) $15,572B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,617B", + "B) $16,254B", + "C) $18,980B", + "D) $15,572B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$17,617B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -13.84%\nB) -4.72%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 13.51%", + "options": [ + "A) -13.84%", + "B) -4.72%", + "C) 4.40%", + "D) 13.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-4.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.37pp\nB) +2.74pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) +4.17pp", + "options": [ + "A) -4.37pp", + "B) +2.74pp", + "C) -0.10pp", + "D) +4.17pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 13.34%\nB) 16.74%\nC) 9.94%\nD) 6.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.34%", + "B) 16.74%", + "C) 9.94%", + "D) 6.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.77%\nB) -5.98%\nC) 14.87%\nD) -16.40%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.77%", + "B) -5.98%", + "C) 14.87%", + "D) -16.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $-79,027M\nB) $-66,266M\nC) $-59,885M\nD) $-85,408M", + "options": [ + "A) $-79,027M", + "B) $-66,266M", + "C) $-59,885M", + "D) $-85,408M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-66,266M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 142,659K\nB) 163,389K\nC) 157,466K\nD) 148,582K", + "options": [ + "A) 142,659K", + "B) 163,389K", + "C) 157,466K", + "D) 148,582K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "157,466K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.72%\nB) 10.65%\nC) 13.57%\nD) 4.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.72%", + "B) 10.65%", + "C) 13.57%", + "D) 4.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,476K\nB) 1,746K\nC) 1,206K\nD) 1,386K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,476K", + "B) 1,746K", + "C) 1,206K", + "D) 1,386K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,476K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 11.08%\nB) 4.18%\nC) -0.43%\nD) -2.73%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.08%", + "B) 4.18%", + "C) -0.43%", + "D) -2.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.82%\nB) 64.58%\nC) 62.70%\nD) 65.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.82%", + "B) 64.58%", + "C) 62.70%", + "D) 65.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "62.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 65.84%\nB) 64.58%\nC) 60.82%\nD) 62.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 65.84%", + "B) 64.58%", + "C) 60.82%", + "D) 62.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "62.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.93%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 6.13%\nD) 5.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.93%", + "B) 1.86%", + "C) 6.13%", + "D) 5.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 5.13%\nC) 7.39%\nD) 8.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.00%", + "B) 5.13%", + "C) 7.39%", + "D) 8.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.9277\nB) 1.1552\nC) 1.0699\nD) 1.0130", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9277", + "B) 1.1552", + "C) 1.0699", + "D) 1.0130" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0699", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 13,972.35\nB) 16,450.04\nC) 15,211.19\nD) 17,688.88", + "options": [ + "A) 13,972.35", + "B) 16,450.04", + "C) 15,211.19", + "D) 17,688.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17,688.88", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.70%\nB) 0.92%\nC) -21.94%\nD) -14.32%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.70%", + "B) 0.92%", + "C) -21.94%", + "D) -14.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-6.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.83%\nB) 3.90%\nC) 10.52%\nD) 7.21%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.83%", + "B) 3.90%", + "C) 10.52%", + "D) 7.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.35%\nB) 1.17%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 3.69%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.35%", + "B) 1.17%", + "C) 2.43%", + "D) 3.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 15.55%\nC) -4.00%\nD) 5.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.51%", + "B) 15.55%", + "C) -4.00%", + "D) 5.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,148B\nB) $19,137B\nC) $18,126B\nD) $22,170B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,148B", + "B) $19,137B", + "C) $18,126B", + "D) $22,170B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$20,148B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 342.19\nB) 312.35\nC) 332.24\nD) 302.40", + "options": [ + "A) 342.19", + "B) 312.35", + "C) 332.24", + "D) 302.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "312.35", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.28%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 6.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.28%", + "B) 2.38%", + "C) 5.33%", + "D) 6.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,351K\nB) 1,269K\nC) 1,682K\nD) 1,434K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,351K", + "B) 1,269K", + "C) 1,682K", + "D) 1,434K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,434K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.37%\nB) -22.41%\nC) -11.02%\nD) 34.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.37%", + "B) -22.41%", + "C) -11.02%", + "D) 34.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.79%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 0.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.79%", + "B) 5.90%", + "C) 3.01%", + "D) 0.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.63%\nB) 4.39%\nC) 5.51%\nD) 8.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.63%", + "B) 4.39%", + "C) 5.51%", + "D) 8.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $303,190M\nB) $271,656M\nC) $318,956M\nD) $287,423M", + "options": [ + "A) $303,190M", + "B) $271,656M", + "C) $318,956M", + "D) $287,423M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$287,423M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) $81.49/bbl\nB) $103.34/bbl\nC) $59.64/bbl\nD) $70.56/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $81.49/bbl", + "B) $103.34/bbl", + "C) $59.64/bbl", + "D) $70.56/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$81.49/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.68%\nB) 4.22%\nC) 4.99%\nD) 5.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.68%", + "B) 4.22%", + "C) 4.99%", + "D) 5.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 265.80\nB) 344.29\nC) 324.66\nD) 363.91", + "options": [ + "A) 265.80", + "B) 344.29", + "C) 324.66", + "D) 363.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "324.66", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.68%\nB) -5.68%\nC) -3.28%\nD) 1.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.68%", + "B) -5.68%", + "C) -3.28%", + "D) 1.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.72%\nB) 82.85%\nC) 72.87%\nD) 78.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 75.72%", + "B) 82.85%", + "C) 72.87%", + "D) 78.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "75.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 29.56%\nB) 5.58%\nC) -18.39%\nD) -6.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 29.56%", + "B) 5.58%", + "C) -18.39%", + "D) -6.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 5.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.54%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 4.20%", + "D) 5.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 109.04\nB) 103.89\nC) 97.02\nD) 100.46", + "options": [ + "A) 109.04", + "B) 103.89", + "C) 97.02", + "D) 100.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "100.46", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $74,487M\nB) $71,705M\nC) $66,142M\nD) $68,924M", + "options": [ + "A) $74,487M", + "B) $71,705M", + "C) $66,142M", + "D) $68,924M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$74,487M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $27.77/hr\nB) $29.78/hr\nC) $32.79/hr\nD) $28.78/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $27.77/hr", + "B) $29.78/hr", + "C) $32.79/hr", + "D) $28.78/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$29.78/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $19,457B\nB) $24,668B\nC) $22,062B\nD) $21,194B", + "options": [ + "A) $19,457B", + "B) $24,668B", + "C) $22,062B", + "D) $21,194B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$22,062B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 9.54%\nB) -4.58%\nC) 14.24%\nD) 0.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.54%", + "B) -4.58%", + "C) 14.24%", + "D) 0.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.21pp\nB) +3.18pp\nC) -3.40pp\nD) +5.37pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.21pp", + "B) +3.18pp", + "C) -3.40pp", + "D) +5.37pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.21pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.92pp\nB) +0.00pp\nC) -0.46pp\nD) +1.38pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.92pp", + "B) +0.00pp", + "C) -0.46pp", + "D) +1.38pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 224.25\nB) 266.90\nC) 252.68\nD) 281.11", + "options": [ + "A) 224.25", + "B) 266.90", + "C) 252.68", + "D) 281.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "252.68", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.10%\nB) 8.66%\nC) 4.39%\nD) 6.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.10%", + "B) 8.66%", + "C) 4.39%", + "D) 6.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.27%\nB) 7.34%\nC) -23.09%\nD) 22.55%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.27%", + "B) 7.34%", + "C) -23.09%", + "D) 22.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 119.62\nB) 123.04\nC) 126.45\nD) 112.79", + "options": [ + "A) 119.62", + "B) 123.04", + "C) 126.45", + "D) 112.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "123.04", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 148.6984\nB) 140.1169\nC) 157.2800\nD) 183.0247", + "options": [ + "A) 148.6984", + "B) 140.1169", + "C) 157.2800", + "D) 183.0247" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "157.2800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.68%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 3.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.68%", + "B) 2.31%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $21,674B\nB) $19,988B\nC) $20,831B\nD) $19,145B", + "options": [ + "A) $21,674B", + "B) $19,988B", + "C) $20,831B", + "D) $19,145B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$21,674B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,441.66\nB) 5,431.60\nC) 5,761.58\nD) 6,091.56", + "options": [ + "A) 4,441.66", + "B) 5,431.60", + "C) 5,761.58", + "D) 6,091.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,431.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 104.75\nB) 91.58\nC) 99.81\nD) 94.87", + "options": [ + "A) 104.75", + "B) 91.58", + "C) 99.81", + "D) 94.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "99.81", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.15%\nB) 8.84%\nC) -8.48%\nD) 0.18%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.15%", + "B) 8.84%", + "C) -8.48%", + "D) 0.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) $79.41/bbl\nB) $110.77/bbl\nC) $89.86/bbl\nD) $48.05/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $79.41/bbl", + "B) $110.77/bbl", + "C) $89.86/bbl", + "D) $48.05/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$79.41/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.41%\nB) -1.02%\nC) -10.24%\nD) 26.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 17.41%", + "B) -1.02%", + "C) -10.24%", + "D) 26.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 88.28\nB) 64.04\nC) 70.10\nD) 57.98", + "options": [ + "A) 88.28", + "B) 64.04", + "C) 70.10", + "D) 57.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "70.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.42%\nB) 6.11%\nC) 4.80%\nD) 3.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.42%", + "B) 6.11%", + "C) 4.80%", + "D) 3.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +3.76pp\nC) -2.96pp\nD) +2.08pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.40pp", + "B) +3.76pp", + "C) -2.96pp", + "D) +2.08pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $31.41/hr\nB) $30.39/hr\nC) $33.45/hr\nD) $27.33/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $31.41/hr", + "B) $30.39/hr", + "C) $33.45/hr", + "D) $27.33/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$30.39/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.81%\nB) 14.10%\nC) 5.14%\nD) -0.83%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.81%", + "B) 14.10%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) -0.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 36,554.24\nB) 42,658.99\nC) 40,624.08\nD) 38,589.16", + "options": [ + "A) 36,554.24", + "B) 42,658.99", + "C) 40,624.08", + "D) 38,589.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "38,589.16", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.30pp\nB) +23.01pp\nC) +9.20pp\nD) -18.41pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.30pp", + "B) +23.01pp", + "C) +9.20pp", + "D) -18.41pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+2.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,575K\nB) 1,312K\nC) 1,224K\nD) 1,400K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,575K", + "B) 1,312K", + "C) 1,224K", + "D) 1,400K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,312K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.87%\nB) -4.17%\nC) 5.73%\nD) 12.33%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.87%", + "B) -4.17%", + "C) 5.73%", + "D) 12.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $739,973M\nB) $776,890M\nC) $666,137M\nD) $703,055M", + "options": [ + "A) $739,973M", + "B) $776,890M", + "C) $666,137M", + "D) $703,055M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$703,055M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 157,912K\nB) 148,226K\nC) 164,369K\nD) 161,141K", + "options": [ + "A) 157,912K", + "B) 148,226K", + "C) 164,369K", + "D) 161,141K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "157,912K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 339.76\nB) 320.73\nC) 349.28\nD) 311.22", + "options": [ + "A) 339.76", + "B) 320.73", + "C) 349.28", + "D) 311.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "320.73", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $5,882M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $5,882M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$5,882M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 376.91\nB) 336.88\nC) 356.89\nD) 316.86", + "options": [ + "A) 376.91", + "B) 336.88", + "C) 356.89", + "D) 316.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "316.86", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.98%\nB) 15.87%\nC) -11.91%\nD) 6.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.98%", + "B) 15.87%", + "C) -11.91%", + "D) 6.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 93.66\nB) 79.40\nC) 72.27\nD) 58.00", + "options": [ + "A) 93.66", + "B) 79.40", + "C) 72.27", + "D) 58.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "79.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.88%\nB) 4.16%\nC) -1.20%\nD) -6.56%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.88%", + "B) 4.16%", + "C) -1.20%", + "D) -6.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) -53.39%\nB) 35.94%\nC) 95.49%\nD) 6.16%", + "options": [ + "A) -53.39%", + "B) 35.94%", + "C) 95.49%", + "D) 6.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.06%\nB) 8.62%\nC) -13.08%\nD) -4.40%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.06%", + "B) 8.62%", + "C) -13.08%", + "D) -4.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.07%", + "B) 2.84%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) 4.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.55%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 2.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.55%", + "B) 4.75%", + "C) 4.15%", + "D) 2.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 5.28%\nD) 4.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.47%", + "B) 2.92%", + "C) 5.28%", + "D) 4.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $21,270B\nB) $23,255B\nC) $20,277B\nD) $19,284B", + "options": [ + "A) $21,270B", + "B) $23,255B", + "C) $20,277B", + "D) $19,284B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$21,270B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) -1.48pp\nB) -0.47pp\nC) -0.81pp\nD) +0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.48pp", + "B) -0.47pp", + "C) -0.81pp", + "D) +0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.47pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 83.86%\nB) 80.96%\nC) 76.60%\nD) 72.24%", + "options": [ + "A) 83.86%", + "B) 80.96%", + "C) 76.60%", + "D) 72.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "76.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 128.10\nB) 120.24\nC) 133.99\nD) 124.17", + "options": [ + "A) 128.10", + "B) 120.24", + "C) 133.99", + "D) 124.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "124.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.2557\nB) 7.1024\nC) 6.9491\nD) 7.4090", + "options": [ + "A) 7.2557", + "B) 7.1024", + "C) 6.9491", + "D) 7.4090" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.2557", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 112.78\nB) 122.01\nC) 118.93\nD) 125.09", + "options": [ + "A) 112.78", + "B) 122.01", + "C) 118.93", + "D) 125.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "122.01", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $-75,470M\nB) $-69,442M\nC) $-81,498M\nD) $-63,414M", + "options": [ + "A) $-75,470M", + "B) $-69,442M", + "C) $-81,498M", + "D) $-63,414M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-81,498M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 78.18%\nB) -41.42%\nC) -71.31%\nD) 18.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 78.18%", + "B) -41.42%", + "C) -71.31%", + "D) 18.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) 236,000\nB) 992,122\nC) 1,370,183\nD) 614,061", + "options": [ + "A) 236,000", + "B) 992,122", + "C) 1,370,183", + "D) 614,061" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "236,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.98\nB) 12.66\nC) 8.50\nD) 16.82", + "options": [ + "A) 20.98", + "B) 12.66", + "C) 8.50", + "D) 16.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.66", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $725,586M\nB) $649,696M\nC) $687,641M\nD) $763,531M", + "options": [ + "A) $725,586M", + "B) $649,696M", + "C) $687,641M", + "D) $763,531M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$687,641M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 133.35\nB) 158.78\nC) 153.70\nD) 143.52", + "options": [ + "A) 133.35", + "B) 158.78", + "C) 153.70", + "D) 143.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "143.52", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 145.1100\nB) 153.2548\nC) 157.3272\nD) 141.0376", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 145.1100", + "B) 153.2548", + "C) 157.3272", + "D) 141.0376" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "145.1100", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 145.1100\nB) 153.2548\nC) 157.3272\nD) 141.0376", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 145.1100", + "B) 153.2548", + "C) 157.3272", + "D) 141.0376" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "145.1100", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 157.3272\nB) 145.1100\nC) 153.2548\nD) 141.0376", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 157.3272", + "B) 145.1100", + "C) 153.2548", + "D) 141.0376" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "145.1100", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 157.3272\nB) 145.1100\nC) 153.2548\nD) 141.0376", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 157.3272", + "B) 145.1100", + "C) 153.2548", + "D) 141.0376" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "145.1100", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 156.4772\nB) 136.1152\nC) 144.2600\nD) 132.0428", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 156.4772", + "B) 136.1152", + "C) 144.2600", + "D) 132.0428" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "144.2600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 156.4772\nB) 136.1152\nC) 144.2600\nD) 132.0428", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 156.4772", + "B) 136.1152", + "C) 144.2600", + "D) 132.0428" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "144.2600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 128.4428\nB) 152.8772\nC) 132.5152\nD) 140.6600", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 128.4428", + "B) 152.8772", + "C) 132.5152", + "D) 140.6600" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "140.6600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 128.4428\nB) 152.8772\nC) 132.5152\nD) 140.6600", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 128.4428", + "B) 152.8772", + "C) 132.5152", + "D) 140.6600" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "140.6600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 140.6600\nB) 148.8048\nC) 152.8772\nD) 144.7324", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 140.6600", + "B) 148.8048", + "C) 152.8772", + "D) 144.7324" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "140.6600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 140.6600\nB) 148.8048\nC) 152.8772\nD) 144.7324", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 140.6600", + "B) 148.8048", + "C) 152.8772", + "D) 144.7324" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "140.6600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 128.4428\nB) 140.6600\nC) 136.5876\nD) 152.8772", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 128.4428", + "B) 140.6600", + "C) 136.5876", + "D) 152.8772" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "140.6600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 128.4428\nB) 140.6600\nC) 136.5876\nD) 152.8772", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 128.4428", + "B) 140.6600", + "C) 136.5876", + "D) 152.8772" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "140.6600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 15.46\nB) 17.91\nC) 20.37\nD) 22.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 15.46", + "B) 17.91", + "C) 20.37", + "D) 22.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 15.46\nB) 17.91\nC) 20.37\nD) 22.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 15.46", + "B) 17.91", + "C) 20.37", + "D) 22.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 22.02\nB) 19.56\nC) 12.19\nD) 14.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 22.02", + "B) 19.56", + "C) 12.19", + "D) 14.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 22.02\nB) 19.56\nC) 12.19\nD) 14.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 22.02", + "B) 19.56", + "C) 12.19", + "D) 14.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 14.65\nB) 22.02\nC) 17.11\nD) 7.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 14.65", + "B) 22.02", + "C) 17.11", + "D) 7.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 14.65\nB) 22.02\nC) 17.11\nD) 7.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 14.65", + "B) 22.02", + "C) 17.11", + "D) 7.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 17.11\nB) 14.65\nC) 12.19\nD) 22.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 17.11", + "B) 14.65", + "C) 12.19", + "D) 22.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 17.11\nB) 14.65\nC) 12.19\nD) 22.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 17.11", + "B) 14.65", + "C) 12.19", + "D) 22.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 12.19\nB) 22.02\nC) 14.65\nD) 17.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 12.19", + "B) 22.02", + "C) 14.65", + "D) 17.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 12.19\nB) 22.02\nC) 14.65\nD) 17.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 12.19", + "B) 22.02", + "C) 14.65", + "D) 17.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 7.86\nB) 15.23\nC) 10.31\nD) 12.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7.86", + "B) 15.23", + "C) 10.31", + "D) 12.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 7.86\nB) 15.23\nC) 10.31\nD) 12.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7.86", + "B) 15.23", + "C) 10.31", + "D) 12.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 16,780.61\nB) 17,866.17\nC) 13,523.92\nD) 15,695.05", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 16,780.61", + "B) 17,866.17", + "C) 13,523.92", + "D) 15,695.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "16,780.61", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 16,780.61\nB) 17,866.17\nC) 13,523.92\nD) 15,695.05", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 16,780.61", + "B) 17,866.17", + "C) 13,523.92", + "D) 15,695.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "16,780.61", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 21,133.46\nB) 17,876.77\nC) 18,962.33\nD) 16,791.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 21,133.46", + "B) 17,876.77", + "C) 18,962.33", + "D) 16,791.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "17,876.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 21,133.46\nB) 17,876.77\nC) 18,962.33\nD) 16,791.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 21,133.46", + "B) 17,876.77", + "C) 18,962.33", + "D) 16,791.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "17,876.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 20,090.11\nB) 15,747.87\nC) 17,918.99\nD) 21,175.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 20,090.11", + "B) 15,747.87", + "C) 17,918.99", + "D) 21,175.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17,918.99", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 20,090.11\nB) 15,747.87\nC) 17,918.99\nD) 21,175.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 20,090.11", + "B) 15,747.87", + "C) 17,918.99", + "D) 21,175.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17,918.99", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 21,446.98\nB) 19,275.85\nC) 20,361.41\nD) 18,190.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 21,446.98", + "B) 19,275.85", + "C) 20,361.41", + "D) 18,190.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18,190.29", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 21,446.98\nB) 19,275.85\nC) 20,361.41\nD) 18,190.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 21,446.98", + "B) 19,275.85", + "C) 20,361.41", + "D) 18,190.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18,190.29", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 18,712.75\nB) 21,969.44\nC) 15,456.06\nD) 17,627.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 18,712.75", + "B) 21,969.44", + "C) 15,456.06", + "D) 17,627.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18,712.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 18,712.75\nB) 21,969.44\nC) 15,456.06\nD) 17,627.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 18,712.75", + "B) 21,969.44", + "C) 15,456.06", + "D) 17,627.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18,712.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 18,002.77\nB) 20,173.89\nC) 22,345.01\nD) 16,917.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 18,002.77", + "B) 20,173.89", + "C) 22,345.01", + "D) 16,917.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20,173.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 18,002.77\nB) 20,173.89\nC) 22,345.01\nD) 16,917.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 18,002.77", + "B) 20,173.89", + "C) 22,345.01", + "D) 16,917.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20,173.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,537.30\nB) 15,429.64\nC) 18,983.47\nD) 21,352.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22,537.30", + "B) 15,429.64", + "C) 18,983.47", + "D) 21,352.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18,983.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,537.30\nB) 15,429.64\nC) 18,983.47\nD) 21,352.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22,537.30", + "B) 15,429.64", + "C) 18,983.47", + "D) 21,352.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18,983.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,233.95\nB) 17,495.51\nC) 19,864.73\nD) 18,680.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22,233.95", + "B) 17,495.51", + "C) 19,864.73", + "D) 18,680.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,233.95\nB) 17,495.51\nC) 19,864.73\nD) 18,680.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22,233.95", + "B) 17,495.51", + "C) 19,864.73", + "D) 18,680.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 18,680.12\nB) 19,864.73\nC) 21,049.34\nD) 16,310.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 18,680.12", + "B) 19,864.73", + "C) 21,049.34", + "D) 16,310.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 18,680.12\nB) 19,864.73\nC) 21,049.34\nD) 16,310.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 18,680.12", + "B) 19,864.73", + "C) 21,049.34", + "D) 16,310.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,233.95\nB) 18,680.12\nC) 15,126.29\nD) 17,495.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22,233.95", + "B) 18,680.12", + "C) 15,126.29", + "D) 17,495.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,233.95\nB) 18,680.12\nC) 15,126.29\nD) 17,495.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22,233.95", + "B) 18,680.12", + "C) 15,126.29", + "D) 17,495.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 15,126.29\nB) 16,310.90\nC) 18,680.12\nD) 21,049.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 15,126.29", + "B) 16,310.90", + "C) 18,680.12", + "D) 21,049.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 15,126.29\nB) 16,310.90\nC) 18,680.12\nD) 21,049.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 15,126.29", + "B) 16,310.90", + "C) 18,680.12", + "D) 21,049.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 17,637.13\nB) 14,083.30\nC) 11,714.08\nD) 15,267.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 17,637.13", + "B) 14,083.30", + "C) 11,714.08", + "D) 15,267.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 17,637.13\nB) 14,083.30\nC) 11,714.08\nD) 15,267.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 17,637.13", + "B) 14,083.30", + "C) 11,714.08", + "D) 15,267.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,001.35\nB) 6,303.41\nC) 5,699.29\nD) 6,605.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,001.35", + "B) 6,303.41", + "C) 5,699.29", + "D) 6,605.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,001.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,001.35\nB) 6,303.41\nC) 5,699.29\nD) 6,605.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,001.35", + "B) 6,303.41", + "C) 5,699.29", + "D) 6,605.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,001.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,605.46\nB) 6,001.35\nC) 6,907.52\nD) 5,095.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,605.46", + "B) 6,001.35", + "C) 6,907.52", + "D) 5,095.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,001.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,605.46\nB) 6,001.35\nC) 6,907.52\nD) 5,095.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,605.46", + "B) 6,001.35", + "C) 6,907.52", + "D) 5,095.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,001.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,992.66\nB) 5,482.38\nC) 6,086.49\nD) 5,784.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,992.66", + "B) 5,482.38", + "C) 6,086.49", + "D) 5,784.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,086.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,992.66\nB) 5,482.38\nC) 6,086.49\nD) 5,784.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,992.66", + "B) 5,482.38", + "C) 6,086.49", + "D) 5,784.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,086.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,694.38\nB) 5,788.21\nC) 6,392.33\nD) 6,090.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,694.38", + "B) 5,788.21", + "C) 6,392.33", + "D) 6,090.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,090.27", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,694.38\nB) 5,788.21\nC) 6,392.33\nD) 6,090.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,694.38", + "B) 5,788.21", + "C) 6,392.33", + "D) 6,090.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,090.27", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,118.71\nB) 7,024.88\nC) 5,212.54\nD) 6,722.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,118.71", + "B) 7,024.88", + "C) 5,212.54", + "D) 6,722.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,118.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,118.71\nB) 7,024.88\nC) 5,212.54\nD) 6,722.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,118.71", + "B) 7,024.88", + "C) 5,212.54", + "D) 6,722.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,118.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,748.26\nB) 6,144.15\nC) 5,540.04\nD) 5,237.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,748.26", + "B) 6,144.15", + "C) 5,540.04", + "D) 5,237.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,144.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,748.26\nB) 6,144.15\nC) 5,540.04\nD) 5,237.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,748.26", + "B) 6,144.15", + "C) 5,540.04", + "D) 5,237.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,144.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 4.11%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.68%", + "B) 3.73%", + "C) 4.30%", + "D) 4.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 4.11%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.68%", + "B) 3.73%", + "C) 4.30%", + "D) 4.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.49%\nB) 4.11%\nC) 3.73%\nD) 4.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.49%", + "B) 4.11%", + "C) 3.73%", + "D) 4.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.49%\nB) 4.11%\nC) 3.73%\nD) 4.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.49%", + "B) 4.11%", + "C) 3.73%", + "D) 4.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.55%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 3.60%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.17%", + "B) 4.55%", + "C) 3.98%", + "D) 3.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.55%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 3.60%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.17%", + "B) 4.55%", + "C) 3.98%", + "D) 3.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.53%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 3.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.53%", + "B) 4.15%", + "C) 3.96%", + "D) 3.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.53%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 3.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.53%", + "B) 4.15%", + "C) 3.96%", + "D) 3.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 3.77%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 4.53%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 3.77%", + "B) 4.72%", + "C) 4.15%", + "D) 4.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 3.77%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 4.53%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 3.77%", + "B) 4.72%", + "C) 4.15%", + "D) 4.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 4.01%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.39%", + "B) 4.58%", + "C) 3.63%", + "D) 4.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 4.01%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.39%", + "B) 4.58%", + "C) 3.63%", + "D) 4.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0792\nB) 1.1292\nC) 1.0292\nD) 1.2042", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0792", + "B) 1.1292", + "C) 1.0292", + "D) 1.2042" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0792\nB) 1.1292\nC) 1.0292\nD) 1.2042", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0792", + "B) 1.1292", + "C) 1.0292", + "D) 1.2042" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0042\nB) 1.0792\nC) 1.1792\nD) 1.1292", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0042", + "B) 1.0792", + "C) 1.1792", + "D) 1.1292" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0042\nB) 1.0792\nC) 1.1792\nD) 1.1292", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0042", + "B) 1.0792", + "C) 1.1792", + "D) 1.1292" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0292\nB) 1.2042\nC) 1.0792\nD) 1.1542", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0292", + "B) 1.2042", + "C) 1.0792", + "D) 1.1542" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0292\nB) 1.2042\nC) 1.0792\nD) 1.1542", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0292", + "B) 1.2042", + "C) 1.0792", + "D) 1.1542" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0042\nB) 1.1292\nC) 0.9542\nD) 1.0792", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0042", + "B) 1.1292", + "C) 0.9542", + "D) 1.0792" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0042\nB) 1.1292\nC) 0.9542\nD) 1.0792", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0042", + "B) 1.1292", + "C) 0.9542", + "D) 1.0792" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0792\nB) 1.1292\nC) 1.2042\nD) 1.0292", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0792", + "B) 1.1292", + "C) 1.2042", + "D) 1.0292" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0792\nB) 1.1292\nC) 1.2042\nD) 1.0292", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0792", + "B) 1.1292", + "C) 1.2042", + "D) 1.0292" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0758\nB) 1.1508\nC) 1.2258\nD) 1.0258", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0758", + "B) 1.1508", + "C) 1.2258", + "D) 1.0258" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1508", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0758\nB) 1.1508\nC) 1.2258\nD) 1.0258", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0758", + "B) 1.1508", + "C) 1.2258", + "D) 1.0258" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1508", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6.9299\nB) 7.3830\nC) 7.2320\nD) 7.0810", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6.9299", + "B) 7.3830", + "C) 7.2320", + "D) 7.0810" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.2320", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6.9299\nB) 7.3830\nC) 7.2320\nD) 7.0810", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6.9299", + "B) 7.3830", + "C) 7.2320", + "D) 7.0810" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.2320", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.3969\nB) 7.0193\nC) 6.8683\nD) 7.2459", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3969", + "B) 7.0193", + "C) 6.8683", + "D) 7.2459" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.2459", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.3969\nB) 7.0193\nC) 6.8683\nD) 7.2459", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3969", + "B) 7.0193", + "C) 6.8683", + "D) 7.2459" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.2459", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.2858\nB) 7.0592\nC) 7.5124\nD) 7.6634", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.2858", + "B) 7.0592", + "C) 7.5124", + "D) 7.6634" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.2858", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.2858\nB) 7.0592\nC) 7.5124\nD) 7.6634", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.2858", + "B) 7.0592", + "C) 7.5124", + "D) 7.6634" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.2858", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.6999\nB) 7.3223\nC) 7.4733\nD) 7.1713", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.6999", + "B) 7.3223", + "C) 7.4733", + "D) 7.1713" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3223", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.6999\nB) 7.3223\nC) 7.4733\nD) 7.1713", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.6999", + "B) 7.3223", + "C) 7.4733", + "D) 7.1713" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3223", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.4836\nB) 7.1816\nC) 7.3326\nD) 7.7102", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.4836", + "B) 7.1816", + "C) 7.3326", + "D) 7.7102" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3326", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.4836\nB) 7.1816\nC) 7.3326\nD) 7.7102", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.4836", + "B) 7.1816", + "C) 7.3326", + "D) 7.7102" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3326", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.1989\nB) 7.6520\nC) 7.5009\nD) 7.3499", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1989", + "B) 7.6520", + "C) 7.5009", + "D) 7.3499" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.1989\nB) 7.6520\nC) 7.5009\nD) 7.3499", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1989", + "B) 7.6520", + "C) 7.5009", + "D) 7.3499" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2024.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2024.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..77da9e98d10ac370a3c4afa51ee3c3c12dcac733 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2024.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:7fcdc2315de1626293943c5c42f0ec504731364cfa543101fbbcce7c125927b6 +size 32680 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2025.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2025.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..4e6219803e7494424a55b802d4bb4bbd0932271a --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2025.json @@ -0,0 +1,6743 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.33%\nB) 3.16%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 7.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.33%", + "B) 3.16%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 7.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.47%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 18.35%\nD) -6.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.47%", + "B) 3.71%", + "C) 18.35%", + "D) -6.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -22.05%\nB) 15.26%\nC) 0.34%\nD) -7.12%", + "options": [ + "A) -22.05%", + "B) 15.26%", + "C) 0.34%", + "D) -7.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 298.73\nB) 309.26\nC) 340.84\nD) 319.79", + "options": [ + "A) 298.73", + "B) 309.26", + "C) 340.84", + "D) 319.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "319.79", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) +2.60pp\nC) -3.16pp\nD) -2.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.30pp", + "B) +2.60pp", + "C) -3.16pp", + "D) -2.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.83%\nB) 4.46%\nC) 3.09%\nD) 5.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.83%", + "B) 4.46%", + "C) 3.09%", + "D) 5.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $28.55/hr\nB) $33.57/hr\nC) $31.56/hr\nD) $32.56/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $28.55/hr", + "B) $33.57/hr", + "C) $31.56/hr", + "D) $32.56/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$31.56/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.57%\nB) -3.85%\nC) 3.77%\nD) 1.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.57%", + "B) -3.85%", + "C) 3.77%", + "D) 1.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) -0.10%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 1.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.38%", + "B) -0.10%", + "C) 3.62%", + "D) 1.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $-33,635M\nB) $-49,168M\nC) $-64,701M\nD) $-25,869M", + "options": [ + "A) $-33,635M", + "B) $-49,168M", + "C) $-64,701M", + "D) $-25,869M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-49,168M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.49%\nB) -23.02%\nC) 3.28%\nD) 12.04%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.49%", + "B) -23.02%", + "C) 3.28%", + "D) 12.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.07%\nB) -4.80%\nC) 3.87%\nD) 0.40%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.07%", + "B) -4.80%", + "C) 3.87%", + "D) 0.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) -2.97%\nB) -7.62%\nC) 1.69%\nD) -9.95%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.97%", + "B) -7.62%", + "C) 1.69%", + "D) -9.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-2.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $271,748M\nB) $316,215M\nC) $331,037M\nD) $345,859M", + "options": [ + "A) $271,748M", + "B) $316,215M", + "C) $331,037M", + "D) $345,859M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$316,215M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.88%\nB) 36.53%\nC) 11.29%\nD) -13.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.88%", + "B) 36.53%", + "C) 11.29%", + "D) -13.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $653,720M\nB) $758,349M\nC) $679,878M\nD) $732,192M", + "options": [ + "A) $653,720M", + "B) $758,349M", + "C) $679,878M", + "D) $732,192M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$732,192M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) +1.16pp\nC) -1.56pp\nD) +0.71pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.20pp", + "B) +1.16pp", + "C) -1.56pp", + "D) +0.71pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.76%\nB) 76.05%\nC) 70.72%\nD) 78.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 73.76%", + "B) 76.05%", + "C) 70.72%", + "D) 78.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "76.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 22.05%\nB) 5.93%\nC) -2.14%\nD) -26.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 22.05%", + "B) 5.93%", + "C) -2.14%", + "D) -26.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $75,895M\nB) $80,983M\nC) $74,199M\nD) $77,591M", + "options": [ + "A) $75,895M", + "B) $80,983M", + "C) $74,199M", + "D) $77,591M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$77,591M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 42,515.09\nB) 35,835.05\nC) 38,061.73\nD) 49,195.13", + "options": [ + "A) 42,515.09", + "B) 35,835.05", + "C) 38,061.73", + "D) 49,195.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "42,515.09", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.43%\nB) 4.30%\nC) 6.34%\nD) 2.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.43%", + "B) 4.30%", + "C) 6.34%", + "D) 2.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 271.76\nB) 232.05\nC) 258.52\nD) 245.29", + "options": [ + "A) 271.76", + "B) 232.05", + "C) 258.52", + "D) 245.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "258.52", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 313.72\nB) 298.57\nC) 344.04\nD) 328.88", + "options": [ + "A) 313.72", + "B) 298.57", + "C) 344.04", + "D) 328.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "328.88", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 19,701.21\nB) 18,395.91\nC) 21,006.51\nD) 23,617.11", + "options": [ + "A) 19,701.21", + "B) 18,395.91", + "C) 21,006.51", + "D) 23,617.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19,701.21", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,533K\nB) 1,328K\nC) 1,464K\nD) 1,123K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,533K", + "B) 1,328K", + "C) 1,464K", + "D) 1,123K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,328K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.02pp\nB) +2.44pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) +3.86pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.02pp", + "B) +2.44pp", + "C) -0.40pp", + "D) +3.86pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.38%\nB) 61.25%\nC) 59.38%\nD) 62.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.38%", + "B) 61.25%", + "C) 59.38%", + "D) 62.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "62.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 6,033.11\nB) 6,797.68\nC) 5,650.82\nD) 6,415.40", + "options": [ + "A) 6,033.11", + "B) 6,797.68", + "C) 5,650.82", + "D) 6,415.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,033.11", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 353.90\nB) 324.25\nC) 334.13\nD) 314.36", + "options": [ + "A) 353.90", + "B) 324.25", + "C) 334.13", + "D) 314.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "324.25", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 47.36\nB) 42.54\nC) 57.00\nD) 61.82", + "options": [ + "A) 47.36", + "B) 42.54", + "C) 57.00", + "D) 61.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "57.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 56.72%\nB) 61.49%\nC) 57.91%\nD) 59.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 56.72%", + "B) 61.49%", + "C) 57.91%", + "D) 59.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "59.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $23,092B\nB) $22,210B\nC) $24,854B\nD) $25,736B", + "options": [ + "A) $23,092B", + "B) $22,210B", + "C) $24,854B", + "D) $25,736B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$23,092B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.61%\nB) 4.43%\nC) 3.25%\nD) 7.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.61%", + "B) 4.43%", + "C) 3.25%", + "D) 7.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.59%\nB) -7.43%\nC) 0.58%\nD) -2.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.59%", + "B) -7.43%", + "C) 0.58%", + "D) -2.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $22,398B\nB) $19,581B\nC) $23,806B\nD) $21,694B", + "options": [ + "A) $22,398B", + "B) $19,581B", + "C) $23,806B", + "D) $21,694B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$21,694B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.53%\nB) -0.88%\nC) 6.34%\nD) 2.73%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.53%", + "B) -0.88%", + "C) 6.34%", + "D) 2.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.23%\nB) 3.05%\nC) -0.47%\nD) 1.29%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.23%", + "B) 3.05%", + "C) -0.47%", + "D) 1.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 2.83%\nD) 4.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.21%", + "B) 4.67%", + "C) 2.83%", + "D) 4.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 345.26\nB) 306.12\nC) 315.90\nD) 325.69", + "options": [ + "A) 345.26", + "B) 306.12", + "C) 315.90", + "D) 325.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "325.69", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 76.13%\nB) 69.01%\nC) 78.98%\nD) 71.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 76.13%", + "B) 69.01%", + "C) 78.98%", + "D) 71.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "76.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 3.97%\nC) 6.84%\nD) 5.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.01%", + "B) 3.97%", + "C) 6.84%", + "D) 5.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) $20,042B\nB) $17,414B\nC) $18,465B\nD) $19,516B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,042B", + "B) $17,414B", + "C) $18,465B", + "D) $19,516B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$18,465B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $23,824B\nB) $18,589B\nC) $19,636B\nD) $20,683B", + "options": [ + "A) $23,824B", + "B) $18,589B", + "C) $19,636B", + "D) $20,683B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$20,683B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) -4.45pp\nC) -2.86pp\nD) +5.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.32pp", + "B) -4.45pp", + "C) -2.86pp", + "D) +5.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.32pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -4.10%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 8.86%\nD) 2.38%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.10%", + "B) 5.62%", + "C) 8.86%", + "D) 2.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.02%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 5.10%\nD) 13.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.02%", + "B) 2.14%", + "C) 5.10%", + "D) 13.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 131.88\nB) 113.12\nC) 127.19\nD) 120.16", + "options": [ + "A) 131.88", + "B) 113.12", + "C) 127.19", + "D) 120.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "120.16", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 101.04\nB) 96.21\nC) 105.87\nD) 109.09", + "options": [ + "A) 101.04", + "B) 96.21", + "C) 105.87", + "D) 109.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "101.04", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 135.0279\nB) 144.1400\nC) 116.8038\nD) 171.4762", + "options": [ + "A) 135.0279", + "B) 144.1400", + "C) 116.8038", + "D) 171.4762" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "144.1400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,600K\nB) 1,518K\nC) 1,355K\nD) 1,437K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,600K", + "B) 1,518K", + "C) 1,355K", + "D) 1,437K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,355K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.50%\nB) 3.39%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 2.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.50%", + "B) 3.39%", + "C) 4.12%", + "D) 2.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 327.75\nB) 382.60\nC) 309.47\nD) 364.32", + "options": [ + "A) 327.75", + "B) 382.60", + "C) 309.47", + "D) 364.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "327.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.37%\nB) -1.32%\nC) 20.71%\nD) -23.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.37%", + "B) -1.32%", + "C) 20.71%", + "D) -23.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $5,478M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $5,478M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$5,478M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.19pp\nB) +0.83pp\nC) +1.51pp\nD) +0.49pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.19pp", + "B) +0.83pp", + "C) +1.51pp", + "D) +0.49pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.49pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) $75.05/bbl\nB) $56.91/bbl\nC) $84.12/bbl\nD) $65.98/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $75.05/bbl", + "B) $56.91/bbl", + "C) $84.12/bbl", + "D) $65.98/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$75.05/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.02%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 13.20%\nD) -3.87%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.02%", + "B) 4.67%", + "C) 13.20%", + "D) -3.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $33.04/hr\nB) $30.01/hr\nC) $31.02/hr\nD) $29.00/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $33.04/hr", + "B) $30.01/hr", + "C) $31.02/hr", + "D) $29.00/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$31.02/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 12.27%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 17.13%\nD) 7.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.27%", + "B) 2.55%", + "C) 17.13%", + "D) 7.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 7.72%\nC) -4.15%\nD) 10.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.75%", + "B) 7.72%", + "C) -4.15%", + "D) 10.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 98.62\nB) 101.67\nC) 106.75\nD) 103.70", + "options": [ + "A) 98.62", + "B) 101.67", + "C) 106.75", + "D) 103.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "101.67", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 165,174K\nB) 148,181K\nC) 158,377K\nD) 161,776K", + "options": [ + "A) 165,174K", + "B) 148,181K", + "C) 158,377K", + "D) 161,776K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "158,377K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) 378,475\nB) 107,525\nC) 649,425\nD) 243,000", + "options": [ + "A) 378,475", + "B) 107,525", + "C) 649,425", + "D) 243,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "243,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 125.94\nB) 118.70\nC) 122.32\nD) 133.18", + "options": [ + "A) 125.94", + "B) 118.70", + "C) 122.32", + "D) 133.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "125.94", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 4.22%\nC) 3.09%\nD) 0.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.96%", + "B) 4.22%", + "C) 3.09%", + "D) 0.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $5,775M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $5,775M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$5,775M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.25%\nB) 63.75%\nC) 65.00%\nD) 62.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.25%", + "B) 63.75%", + "C) 65.00%", + "D) 62.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "62.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 330.42\nB) 320.78\nC) 349.69\nD) 340.05", + "options": [ + "A) 330.42", + "B) 320.78", + "C) 349.69", + "D) 340.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "330.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.61%\nB) 6.84%\nC) 4.19%\nD) 9.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.61%", + "B) 6.84%", + "C) 4.19%", + "D) 9.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) $64.08/bbl\nB) $47.18/bbl\nC) $72.53/bbl\nD) $97.88/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $64.08/bbl", + "B) $47.18/bbl", + "C) $72.53/bbl", + "D) $97.88/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$72.53/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.25%\nB) 0.24%\nC) 7.73%\nD) 5.24%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.25%", + "B) 0.24%", + "C) 7.73%", + "D) 5.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 3.02%\nD) 5.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.16%", + "B) 2.45%", + "C) 3.02%", + "D) 5.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,577B\nB) $22,170B\nC) $21,374B\nD) $23,365B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,577B", + "B) $22,170B", + "C) $21,374B", + "D) $23,365B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$22,170B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.72%\nB) 14.50%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 11.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.72%", + "B) 14.50%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 11.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) -37.54%\nB) 19.59%\nC) -94.66%\nD) -8.98%", + "options": [ + "A) -37.54%", + "B) 19.59%", + "C) -94.66%", + "D) -8.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-8.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.19%\nB) 9.83%\nC) -4.08%\nD) -8.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.19%", + "B) 9.83%", + "C) -4.08%", + "D) -8.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.38pp\nB) +0.30pp\nC) +1.98pp\nD) +3.66pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.38pp", + "B) +0.30pp", + "C) +1.98pp", + "D) +3.66pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 159.22\nB) 136.78\nC) 150.25\nD) 145.76", + "options": [ + "A) 159.22", + "B) 136.78", + "C) 150.25", + "D) 145.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "150.25", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 16.79%\nB) 11.64%\nC) 6.49%\nD) 1.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.79%", + "B) 11.64%", + "C) 6.49%", + "D) 1.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.11\nB) 27.82\nC) 22.01\nD) 10.40", + "options": [ + "A) 19.11", + "B) 27.82", + "C) 22.01", + "D) 10.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19.11", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 124.19\nB) 127.62\nC) 134.49\nD) 137.92", + "options": [ + "A) 124.19", + "B) 127.62", + "C) 134.49", + "D) 137.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "127.62", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.16%\nB) 10.03%\nC) 3.44%\nD) 13.33%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.16%", + "B) 10.03%", + "C) 3.44%", + "D) 13.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0094\nB) 1.0689\nC) 1.2473\nD) 1.1581", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0094", + "B) 1.0689", + "C) 1.2473", + "D) 1.1581" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1581", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 6.55%\nD) 7.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.20%", + "B) 5.37%", + "C) 6.55%", + "D) 7.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) +5.08pp\nB) -15.00pp\nC) -28.38pp\nD) -35.08pp", + "options": [ + "A) +5.08pp", + "B) -15.00pp", + "C) -28.38pp", + "D) -35.08pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-15.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $-149,126M\nB) $-115,951M\nC) $-135,856M\nD) $-122,586M", + "options": [ + "A) $-149,126M", + "B) $-115,951M", + "C) $-135,856M", + "D) $-122,586M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-135,856M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.93%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 5.47%\nD) 3.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.93%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 5.47%", + "D) 3.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,415K\nB) 1,568K\nC) 1,262K\nD) 1,339K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,415K", + "B) 1,568K", + "C) 1,262K", + "D) 1,339K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,415K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 36.66%\nB) 11.89%\nC) -0.50%\nD) 24.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 36.66%", + "B) 11.89%", + "C) -0.50%", + "D) 24.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.0105\nB) 7.5160\nC) 7.1790\nD) 7.3475", + "options": [ + "A) 7.0105", + "B) 7.5160", + "C) 7.1790", + "D) 7.3475" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.1790", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 28.02%\nB) 8.03%\nC) -11.96%\nD) -1.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 28.02%", + "B) 8.03%", + "C) -11.96%", + "D) -1.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 158,548K\nB) 163,890K\nC) 171,902K\nD) 150,535K", + "options": [ + "A) 158,548K", + "B) 163,890K", + "C) 171,902K", + "D) 150,535K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "158,548K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.67%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 1.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.67%", + "B) 2.79%", + "C) 0.15%", + "D) 1.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 27.54%\nB) 21.70%\nC) 10.02%\nD) 4.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 27.54%", + "B) 21.70%", + "C) 10.02%", + "D) 4.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 123.65\nB) 130.26\nC) 133.56\nD) 126.95", + "options": [ + "A) 123.65", + "B) 130.26", + "C) 133.56", + "D) 126.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "126.95", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.93pp\nC) +0.16pp\nD) +0.53pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.20pp", + "B) -0.93pp", + "C) +0.16pp", + "D) +0.53pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 158.25\nB) 148.06\nC) 132.76\nD) 163.35", + "options": [ + "A) 158.25", + "B) 148.06", + "C) 132.76", + "D) 163.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "148.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) -65.26%\nB) 20.78%\nC) -7.90%\nD) -36.58%", + "options": [ + "A) -65.26%", + "B) 20.78%", + "C) -7.90%", + "D) -36.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-7.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.71pp\nB) -2.63pp\nC) -4.81pp\nD) -0.46pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.71pp", + "B) -2.63pp", + "C) -4.81pp", + "D) -0.46pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.46pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.83%\nB) 20.80%\nC) 9.49%\nD) 32.12%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.83%", + "B) 20.80%", + "C) 9.49%", + "D) 32.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $78,456M\nB) $75,781M\nC) $73,106M\nD) $81,130M", + "options": [ + "A) $78,456M", + "B) $75,781M", + "C) $73,106M", + "D) $81,130M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$75,781M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -43.37pp\nB) -1.43pp\nC) -22.40pp\nD) -29.39pp", + "options": [ + "A) -43.37pp", + "B) -1.43pp", + "C) -22.40pp", + "D) -29.39pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-22.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 115.16\nB) 128.64\nC) 118.53\nD) 125.27", + "options": [ + "A) 115.16", + "B) 128.64", + "C) 118.53", + "D) 125.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "125.27", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.90%\nB) 62.77%\nC) 56.08%\nD) 57.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.90%", + "B) 62.77%", + "C) 56.08%", + "D) 57.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "59.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.83%\nB) 2.43%\nC) -6.09%\nD) 6.68%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.83%", + "B) 2.43%", + "C) -6.09%", + "D) 6.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.76%\nB) -4.21%\nC) 0.58%\nD) -1.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.76%", + "B) -4.21%", + "C) 0.58%", + "D) -1.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 292.14\nB) 231.97\nC) 252.03\nD) 262.05", + "options": [ + "A) 292.14", + "B) 231.97", + "C) 252.03", + "D) 262.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "262.05", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.02%\nB) 1.88%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 5.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.02%", + "B) 1.88%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 5.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.37%\nB) 4.96%\nC) 6.13%\nD) 6.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.37%", + "B) 4.96%", + "C) 6.13%", + "D) 6.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $18,413B\nB) $20,273B\nC) $21,202B\nD) $19,343B", + "options": [ + "A) $18,413B", + "B) $20,273B", + "C) $21,202B", + "D) $19,343B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$21,202B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.39pp\nB) +0.60pp\nC) -2.39pp\nD) -0.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.39pp", + "B) +0.60pp", + "C) -2.39pp", + "D) -0.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 5.97%\nC) 4.92%\nD) 3.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.40%", + "B) 5.97%", + "C) 4.92%", + "D) 3.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.16%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 8.63%\nD) -4.56%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.16%", + "B) 4.24%", + "C) 8.63%", + "D) -4.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.76%\nB) 2.89%\nC) 9.82%\nD) -4.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.76%", + "B) 2.89%", + "C) 9.82%", + "D) -4.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.34%\nB) 1.16%\nC) 1.99%\nD) 2.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.34%", + "B) 1.16%", + "C) 1.99%", + "D) 2.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.30%\nB) 11.51%\nC) 8.10%\nD) -5.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.30%", + "B) 11.51%", + "C) 8.10%", + "D) -5.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.60%\nB) 3.16%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 8.92%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.60%", + "B) 3.16%", + "C) 5.08%", + "D) 8.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $345,460M\nB) $335,022M\nC) $314,147M\nD) $282,834M", + "options": [ + "A) $345,460M", + "B) $335,022M", + "C) $314,147M", + "D) $282,834M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$314,147M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $21,849B\nB) $24,416B\nC) $20,137B\nD) $22,704B", + "options": [ + "A) $21,849B", + "B) $24,416B", + "C) $20,137B", + "D) $22,704B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$22,704B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 55.10\nB) 59.72\nC) 50.48\nD) 68.95", + "options": [ + "A) 55.10", + "B) 59.72", + "C) 50.48", + "D) 68.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "55.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.28%\nB) 3.02%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 0.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.28%", + "B) 3.02%", + "C) 4.49%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.39%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 5.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.39%", + "B) 3.34%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 5.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.19%\nB) -1.45%\nC) 8.31%\nD) 3.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.19%", + "B) -1.45%", + "C) 8.31%", + "D) 3.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 8.26%\nC) 0.03%\nD) -8.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.14%", + "B) 8.26%", + "C) 0.03%", + "D) -8.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,607,597\nB) 1,960,000\nC) 6,902,790\nD) 5,255,193", + "options": [ + "A) 3,607,597", + "B) 1,960,000", + "C) 6,902,790", + "D) 5,255,193" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,960,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.41%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 2.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.41%", + "B) 1.67%", + "C) 4.04%", + "D) 2.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,398K\nB) 1,314K\nC) 1,648K\nD) 1,481K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,398K", + "B) 1,314K", + "C) 1,648K", + "D) 1,481K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,481K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $723,339M\nB) $652,209M\nC) $758,904M\nD) $794,469M", + "options": [ + "A) $723,339M", + "B) $652,209M", + "C) $758,904M", + "D) $794,469M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$723,339M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 17,619.71\nB) 15,267.91\nC) 14,092.01\nD) 11,740.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 17,619.71", + "B) 15,267.91", + "C) 14,092.01", + "D) 11,740.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 17,619.71\nB) 15,267.91\nC) 14,092.01\nD) 11,740.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 17,619.71", + "B) 15,267.91", + "C) 14,092.01", + "D) 11,740.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 14,092.01\nB) 12,916.11\nC) 15,267.91\nD) 18,795.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 14,092.01", + "B) 12,916.11", + "C) 15,267.91", + "D) 18,795.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 14,092.01\nB) 12,916.11\nC) 15,267.91\nD) 18,795.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 14,092.01", + "B) 12,916.11", + "C) 15,267.91", + "D) 18,795.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 16,443.81\nB) 17,619.71\nC) 11,740.22\nD) 15,267.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 16,443.81", + "B) 17,619.71", + "C) 11,740.22", + "D) 15,267.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 16,443.81\nB) 17,619.71\nC) 11,740.22\nD) 15,267.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 16,443.81", + "B) 17,619.71", + "C) 11,740.22", + "D) 15,267.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 15,267.91\nB) 17,619.71\nC) 14,092.01\nD) 18,795.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 15,267.91", + "B) 17,619.71", + "C) 14,092.01", + "D) 18,795.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 15,267.91\nB) 17,619.71\nC) 14,092.01\nD) 18,795.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 15,267.91", + "B) 17,619.71", + "C) 14,092.01", + "D) 18,795.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 18,795.60\nB) 15,267.91\nC) 11,740.22\nD) 14,092.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 18,795.60", + "B) 15,267.91", + "C) 11,740.22", + "D) 14,092.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 18,795.60\nB) 15,267.91\nC) 11,740.22\nD) 14,092.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 18,795.60", + "B) 15,267.91", + "C) 11,740.22", + "D) 14,092.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 14,092.01\nB) 11,740.22\nC) 15,267.91\nD) 12,916.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 14,092.01", + "B) 11,740.22", + "C) 15,267.91", + "D) 12,916.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 14,092.01\nB) 11,740.22\nC) 15,267.91\nD) 12,916.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 14,092.01", + "B) 11,740.22", + "C) 15,267.91", + "D) 12,916.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 6,097.97\nB) 5,777.44\nC) 6,418.51\nD) 5,456.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 6,097.97", + "B) 5,777.44", + "C) 6,418.51", + "D) 5,456.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,456.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 6,097.97\nB) 5,777.44\nC) 6,418.51\nD) 5,456.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 6,097.97", + "B) 5,777.44", + "C) 6,418.51", + "D) 5,456.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,456.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,456.90\nB) 6,097.97\nC) 4,495.29\nD) 6,418.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,456.90", + "B) 6,097.97", + "C) 4,495.29", + "D) 6,418.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,456.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,456.90\nB) 6,097.97\nC) 4,495.29\nD) 6,418.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,456.90", + "B) 6,097.97", + "C) 4,495.29", + "D) 6,418.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,456.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,924.68\nB) 5,604.14\nC) 4,642.53\nD) 6,245.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,924.68", + "B) 5,604.14", + "C) 4,642.53", + "D) 6,245.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,604.14", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,924.68\nB) 5,604.14\nC) 4,642.53\nD) 6,245.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,924.68", + "B) 5,604.14", + "C) 4,642.53", + "D) 6,245.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,604.14", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,322.53\nB) 5,001.99\nC) 5,963.60\nD) 6,604.67", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,322.53", + "B) 5,001.99", + "C) 5,963.60", + "D) 6,604.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,963.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,322.53\nB) 5,001.99\nC) 5,963.60\nD) 6,604.67", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,322.53", + "B) 5,001.99", + "C) 5,963.60", + "D) 6,604.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,963.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,243.34\nB) 6,846.02\nC) 6,525.49\nD) 6,204.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,243.34", + "B) 6,846.02", + "C) 6,525.49", + "D) 6,204.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,204.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,243.34\nB) 6,846.02\nC) 6,525.49\nD) 6,204.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,243.34", + "B) 6,846.02", + "C) 6,525.49", + "D) 6,204.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,204.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 6,693.75\nB) 6,373.21\nC) 6,052.68\nD) 7,655.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 6,693.75", + "B) 6,373.21", + "C) 6,052.68", + "D) 7,655.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,693.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 6,693.75\nB) 6,373.21\nC) 6,052.68\nD) 7,655.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 6,693.75", + "B) 6,373.21", + "C) 6,052.68", + "D) 7,655.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,693.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 25.33\nB) 30.02\nC) 34.71\nD) 26.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 25.33", + "B) 30.02", + "C) 34.71", + "D) 26.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 25.33\nB) 30.02\nC) 34.71\nD) 26.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 25.33", + "B) 30.02", + "C) 34.71", + "D) 26.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 33.15\nB) 26.89\nC) 30.02\nD) 34.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 33.15", + "B) 26.89", + "C) 30.02", + "D) 34.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 33.15\nB) 26.89\nC) 30.02\nD) 34.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 33.15", + "B) 26.89", + "C) 30.02", + "D) 34.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 22.61\nB) 21.04\nC) 28.86\nD) 24.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 22.61", + "B) 21.04", + "C) 28.86", + "D) 24.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "24.17", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 22.61\nB) 21.04\nC) 28.86\nD) 24.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 22.61", + "B) 21.04", + "C) 28.86", + "D) 24.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "24.17", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 17.24\nB) 14.11\nC) 18.80\nD) 21.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 17.24", + "B) 14.11", + "C) 18.80", + "D) 21.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 17.24\nB) 14.11\nC) 18.80\nD) 21.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 17.24", + "B) 14.11", + "C) 18.80", + "D) 21.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 18.15\nB) 16.59\nC) 19.72\nD) 21.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 18.15", + "B) 16.59", + "C) 19.72", + "D) 21.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.59", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 18.15\nB) 16.59\nC) 19.72\nD) 21.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 18.15", + "B) 16.59", + "C) 19.72", + "D) 21.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.59", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 11.09\nB) 17.35\nC) 14.22\nD) 12.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 11.09", + "B) 17.35", + "C) 14.22", + "D) 12.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 11.09\nB) 17.35\nC) 14.22\nD) 12.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 11.09", + "B) 17.35", + "C) 14.22", + "D) 12.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.82%", + "B) 4.17%", + "C) 4.51%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.82%", + "B) 4.17%", + "C) 4.51%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.13%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.48%", + "B) 4.65%", + "C) 5.00%", + "D) 4.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.48%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.13%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.48%", + "B) 4.65%", + "C) 5.00%", + "D) 4.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.48%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 3.96%\nB) 4.48%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.65%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.96%", + "B) 4.48%", + "C) 4.31%", + "D) 4.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.48%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 3.96%\nB) 4.48%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.65%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.96%", + "B) 4.48%", + "C) 4.31%", + "D) 4.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.48%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.41%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 4.58%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.41%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 4.58%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 4.06%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.23%", + "B) 4.06%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 4.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 4.06%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.23%", + "B) 4.06%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 4.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.23%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.58%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 4.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.23%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.58%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 4.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.2162\nB) 1.0912\nC) 1.1412\nD) 1.0162", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2162", + "B) 1.0912", + "C) 1.1412", + "D) 1.0162" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.2162\nB) 1.0912\nC) 1.1412\nD) 1.0162", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2162", + "B) 1.0912", + "C) 1.1412", + "D) 1.0162" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1412\nB) 1.0412\nC) 1.0912\nD) 1.1912", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1412", + "B) 1.0412", + "C) 1.0912", + "D) 1.1912" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1412\nB) 1.0412\nC) 1.0912\nD) 1.1912", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1412", + "B) 1.0412", + "C) 1.0912", + "D) 1.1912" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1662\nB) 1.0412\nC) 1.2162\nD) 1.0912", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1662", + "B) 1.0412", + "C) 1.2162", + "D) 1.0912" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1662\nB) 1.0412\nC) 1.2162\nD) 1.0912", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1662", + "B) 1.0412", + "C) 1.2162", + "D) 1.0912" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.0912\nB) 0.9662\nC) 1.0162\nD) 1.1412", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0912", + "B) 0.9662", + "C) 1.0162", + "D) 1.1412" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.0912\nB) 0.9662\nC) 1.0162\nD) 1.1412", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0912", + "B) 0.9662", + "C) 1.0162", + "D) 1.1412" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1662\nB) 1.0912\nC) 1.0162\nD) 1.2162", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1662", + "B) 1.0912", + "C) 1.0162", + "D) 1.2162" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1662\nB) 1.0912\nC) 1.0162\nD) 1.2162", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1662", + "B) 1.0912", + "C) 1.0162", + "D) 1.2162" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.0412\nB) 0.9662\nC) 1.0912\nD) 1.1662", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0412", + "B) 0.9662", + "C) 1.0912", + "D) 1.1662" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.0412\nB) 0.9662\nC) 1.0912\nD) 1.1662", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0412", + "B) 0.9662", + "C) 1.0912", + "D) 1.1662" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.7909\nC) 7.5704\nD) 7.3499", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 7.7909", + "C) 7.5704", + "D) 7.3499" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.7909\nC) 7.5704\nD) 7.3499", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 7.7909", + "C) 7.5704", + "D) 7.3499" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.3499\nB) 6.8354\nC) 7.1294\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3499", + "B) 6.8354", + "C) 7.1294", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.3499\nB) 6.8354\nC) 7.1294\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3499", + "B) 6.8354", + "C) 7.1294", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.3499\nC) 7.8644\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 7.3499", + "C) 7.8644", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.3499\nC) 7.8644\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 7.3499", + "C) 7.8644", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 6.8354\nC) 7.3499\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 6.8354", + "C) 7.3499", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 6.8354\nC) 7.3499\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 6.8354", + "C) 7.3499", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.5704\nC) 6.9089\nD) 7.3499", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 7.5704", + "C) 6.9089", + "D) 7.3499" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.5704\nC) 6.9089\nD) 7.3499", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 7.5704", + "C) 6.9089", + "D) 7.3499" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.3499\nB) 7.1294\nC) 7.7909\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3499", + "B) 7.1294", + "C) 7.7909", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.3499\nB) 7.1294\nC) 7.7909\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3499", + "B) 7.1294", + "C) 7.7909", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 19,155.88\nB) 16,831.48\nC) 15,669.28\nD) 14,507.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 19,155.88", + "B) 16,831.48", + "C) 15,669.28", + "D) 14,507.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16,831.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 19,155.88\nB) 16,831.48\nC) 15,669.28\nD) 14,507.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 19,155.88", + "B) 16,831.48", + "C) 15,669.28", + "D) 14,507.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16,831.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 16,003.84\nB) 13,679.44\nC) 17,166.04\nD) 18,328.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 16,003.84", + "B) 13,679.44", + "C) 17,166.04", + "D) 18,328.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17,166.04", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 16,003.84\nB) 13,679.44\nC) 17,166.04\nD) 18,328.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 16,003.84", + "B) 13,679.44", + "C) 17,166.04", + "D) 18,328.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17,166.04", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 15,653.33\nB) 16,815.53\nC) 21,464.33\nD) 17,977.73", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 15,653.33", + "B) 16,815.53", + "C) 21,464.33", + "D) 17,977.73" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17,977.73", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 15,653.33\nB) 16,815.53\nC) 21,464.33\nD) 17,977.73", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 15,653.33", + "B) 16,815.53", + "C) 21,464.33", + "D) 17,977.73" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17,977.73", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 19,529.95\nB) 18,367.75\nC) 17,205.55\nD) 16,043.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 19,529.95", + "B) 18,367.75", + "C) 17,205.55", + "D) 16,043.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19,529.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 19,529.95\nB) 18,367.75\nC) 17,205.55\nD) 16,043.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 19,529.95", + "B) 18,367.75", + "C) 17,205.55", + "D) 16,043.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19,529.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 17,114.50\nB) 20,601.10\nC) 18,276.70\nD) 24,087.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 17,114.50", + "B) 20,601.10", + "C) 18,276.70", + "D) 24,087.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20,601.10", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 17,114.50\nB) 20,601.10\nC) 18,276.70\nD) 24,087.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 17,114.50", + "B) 20,601.10", + "C) 18,276.70", + "D) 24,087.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20,601.10", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 26,275.58\nB) 20,464.58\nC) 22,788.98\nD) 25,113.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 26,275.58", + "B) 20,464.58", + "C) 22,788.98", + "D) 25,113.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "22,788.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 26,275.58\nB) 20,464.58\nC) 22,788.98\nD) 25,113.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 26,275.58", + "B) 20,464.58", + "C) 22,788.98", + "D) 25,113.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "22,788.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,633.07\nB) 6,220.53\nC) 5,585.54\nD) 5,268.05", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,633.07", + "B) 6,220.53", + "C) 5,585.54", + "D) 5,268.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,268.05", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,633.07\nB) 6,220.53\nC) 5,585.54\nD) 5,268.05", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,633.07", + "B) 6,220.53", + "C) 5,585.54", + "D) 5,268.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,268.05", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 5,158.20\nB) 5,475.69\nC) 4,205.72\nD) 4,840.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 5,158.20", + "B) 5,475.69", + "C) 4,205.72", + "D) 4,840.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 5,158.20\nB) 5,475.69\nC) 4,205.72\nD) 4,840.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 5,158.20", + "B) 5,475.69", + "C) 4,205.72", + "D) 4,840.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,523.22\nB) 5,158.20\nC) 6,110.68\nD) 5,793.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,523.22", + "B) 5,158.20", + "C) 6,110.68", + "D) 5,793.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,523.22\nB) 5,158.20\nC) 6,110.68\nD) 5,793.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,523.22", + "B) 5,158.20", + "C) 6,110.68", + "D) 5,793.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,840.71\nB) 4,205.72\nC) 5,158.20\nD) 5,475.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,840.71", + "B) 4,205.72", + "C) 5,158.20", + "D) 5,475.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,840.71\nB) 4,205.72\nC) 5,158.20\nD) 5,475.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,840.71", + "B) 4,205.72", + "C) 5,158.20", + "D) 5,475.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,205.72\nB) 4,523.22\nC) 4,840.71\nD) 5,158.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,205.72", + "B) 4,523.22", + "C) 4,840.71", + "D) 5,158.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,205.72\nB) 4,523.22\nC) 4,840.71\nD) 5,158.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,205.72", + "B) 4,523.22", + "C) 4,840.71", + "D) 5,158.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 5,158.20\nB) 4,523.22\nC) 4,205.72\nD) 6,110.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 5,158.20", + "B) 4,523.22", + "C) 4,205.72", + "D) 6,110.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 5,158.20\nB) 4,523.22\nC) 4,205.72\nD) 6,110.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 5,158.20", + "B) 4,523.22", + "C) 4,205.72", + "D) 6,110.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 32.13\nB) 30.12\nC) 24.08\nD) 34.15", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 32.13", + "B) 30.12", + "C) 24.08", + "D) 34.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 32.13\nB) 30.12\nC) 24.08\nD) 34.15", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 32.13", + "B) 30.12", + "C) 24.08", + "D) 34.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 28.48\nB) 20.43\nC) 26.47\nD) 32.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 28.48", + "B) 20.43", + "C) 26.47", + "D) 32.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 28.48\nB) 20.43\nC) 26.47\nD) 32.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 28.48", + "B) 20.43", + "C) 26.47", + "D) 32.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 26.51\nB) 28.52\nC) 16.44\nD) 22.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 26.51", + "B) 28.52", + "C) 16.44", + "D) 22.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 26.51\nB) 28.52\nC) 16.44\nD) 22.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 26.51", + "B) 28.52", + "C) 16.44", + "D) 22.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 17.24\nB) 23.28\nC) 13.21\nD) 21.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 17.24", + "B) 23.28", + "C) 13.21", + "D) 21.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 17.24\nB) 23.28\nC) 13.21\nD) 21.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 17.24", + "B) 23.28", + "C) 13.21", + "D) 21.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 22.36\nB) 16.32\nC) 14.31\nD) 18.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 22.36", + "B) 16.32", + "C) 14.31", + "D) 18.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 22.36\nB) 16.32\nC) 14.31\nD) 18.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 22.36", + "B) 16.32", + "C) 14.31", + "D) 18.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 18.25\nB) 20.26\nC) 14.22\nD) 10.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 18.25", + "B) 20.26", + "C) 14.22", + "D) 10.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 18.25\nB) 20.26\nC) 14.22\nD) 10.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 18.25", + "B) 20.26", + "C) 14.22", + "D) 10.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 3.95%\nB) 4.46%\nC) 4.63%\nD) 4.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.95%", + "B) 4.46%", + "C) 4.63%", + "D) 4.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.29%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 3.95%\nB) 4.46%\nC) 4.63%\nD) 4.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.95%", + "B) 4.46%", + "C) 4.63%", + "D) 4.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.29%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.29%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 4.46%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.29%", + "B) 3.95%", + "C) 4.46%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.29%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.29%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 4.46%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.29%", + "B) 3.95%", + "C) 4.46%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.29%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 3.66%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.68%", + "B) 4.17%", + "C) 3.66%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 3.66%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.68%", + "B) 4.17%", + "C) 3.66%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.83%", + "B) 4.00%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 4.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.83%", + "B) 4.00%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 4.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 4.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.68%", + "B) 4.00%", + "C) 3.83%", + "D) 4.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 4.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.68%", + "B) 4.00%", + "C) 3.83%", + "D) 4.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.01%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 4.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.01%", + "B) 3.50%", + "C) 4.35%", + "D) 4.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.01%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 4.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.01%", + "B) 3.50%", + "C) 4.35%", + "D) 4.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.1687\nB) 7.3150\nC) 7.0224\nD) 7.4613", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1687", + "B) 7.3150", + "C) 7.0224", + "D) 7.4613" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.1687\nB) 7.3150\nC) 7.0224\nD) 7.4613", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1687", + "B) 7.3150", + "C) 7.0224", + "D) 7.4613" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 6.9493\nB) 7.5345\nC) 7.3150\nD) 7.1687", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 6.9493", + "B) 7.5345", + "C) 7.3150", + "D) 7.1687" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 6.9493\nB) 7.5345\nC) 7.3150\nD) 7.1687", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 6.9493", + "B) 7.5345", + "C) 7.3150", + "D) 7.1687" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.6808\nB) 7.4613\nC) 7.0956\nD) 7.3150", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.6808", + "B) 7.4613", + "C) 7.0956", + "D) 7.3150" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.6808\nB) 7.4613\nC) 7.0956\nD) 7.3150", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.6808", + "B) 7.4613", + "C) 7.0956", + "D) 7.3150" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.3150\nB) 7.1687\nC) 7.5345\nD) 7.6808", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3150", + "B) 7.1687", + "C) 7.5345", + "D) 7.6808" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.3150\nB) 7.1687\nC) 7.5345\nD) 7.6808", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3150", + "B) 7.1687", + "C) 7.5345", + "D) 7.6808" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.0956\nB) 7.3150\nC) 7.4613\nD) 7.6076", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.0956", + "B) 7.3150", + "C) 7.4613", + "D) 7.6076" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.0956\nB) 7.3150\nC) 7.4613\nD) 7.6076", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.0956", + "B) 7.3150", + "C) 7.4613", + "D) 7.6076" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.0956\nB) 7.6808\nC) 7.3150\nD) 7.4613", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.0956", + "B) 7.6808", + "C) 7.3150", + "D) 7.4613" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.0956\nB) 7.6808\nC) 7.3150\nD) 7.4613", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.0956", + "B) 7.6808", + "C) 7.3150", + "D) 7.4613" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 16,928.25\nB) 21,855.67\nC) 18,160.10\nD) 19,391.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 16,928.25", + "B) 21,855.67", + "C) 18,160.10", + "D) 19,391.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19,391.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 16,928.25\nB) 21,855.67\nC) 18,160.10\nD) 19,391.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 16,928.25", + "B) 21,855.67", + "C) 18,160.10", + "D) 19,391.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19,391.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 19,391.96\nB) 20,623.82\nC) 15,696.39\nD) 16,928.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 19,391.96", + "B) 20,623.82", + "C) 15,696.39", + "D) 16,928.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19,391.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 19,391.96\nB) 20,623.82\nC) 15,696.39\nD) 16,928.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 19,391.96", + "B) 20,623.82", + "C) 15,696.39", + "D) 16,928.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19,391.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 16,562.68\nB) 19,026.39\nC) 15,330.82\nD) 20,258.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 16,562.68", + "B) 19,026.39", + "C) 15,330.82", + "D) 20,258.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19,026.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 16,562.68\nB) 19,026.39\nC) 15,330.82\nD) 20,258.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 16,562.68", + "B) 19,026.39", + "C) 15,330.82", + "D) 20,258.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19,026.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 18,534.87\nB) 13,607.44\nC) 17,303.01\nD) 14,839.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 18,534.87", + "B) 13,607.44", + "C) 17,303.01", + "D) 14,839.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17,303.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 18,534.87\nB) 13,607.44\nC) 17,303.01\nD) 14,839.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 18,534.87", + "B) 13,607.44", + "C) 17,303.01", + "D) 14,839.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17,303.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 17,731.62\nB) 14,036.05\nC) 12,804.20\nD) 15,267.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 17,731.62", + "B) 14,036.05", + "C) 12,804.20", + "D) 15,267.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 17,731.62\nB) 14,036.05\nC) 12,804.20\nD) 15,267.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 17,731.62", + "B) 14,036.05", + "C) 12,804.20", + "D) 15,267.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 15,267.91\nB) 12,804.20\nC) 14,036.05\nD) 11,572.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 15,267.91", + "B) 12,804.20", + "C) 14,036.05", + "D) 11,572.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 15,267.91\nB) 12,804.20\nC) 14,036.05\nD) 11,572.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 15,267.91", + "B) 12,804.20", + "C) 14,036.05", + "D) 11,572.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,014.11\nB) 5,994.57\nC) 6,648.21\nD) 5,667.75", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,014.11", + "B) 5,994.57", + "C) 6,648.21", + "D) 5,667.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,994.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,014.11\nB) 5,994.57\nC) 6,648.21\nD) 5,667.75", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,014.11", + "B) 5,994.57", + "C) 6,648.21", + "D) 5,667.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,994.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 6,321.39\nB) 6,975.03\nC) 5,994.57\nD) 5,014.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 6,321.39", + "B) 6,975.03", + "C) 5,994.57", + "D) 5,014.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,994.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 6,321.39\nB) 6,975.03\nC) 5,994.57\nD) 5,014.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 6,321.39", + "B) 6,975.03", + "C) 5,994.57", + "D) 5,014.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,994.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 6,608.89\nB) 6,282.07\nC) 4,974.79\nD) 5,955.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 6,608.89", + "B) 6,282.07", + "C) 4,974.79", + "D) 5,955.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,955.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 6,608.89\nB) 6,282.07\nC) 4,974.79\nD) 5,955.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 6,608.89", + "B) 6,282.07", + "C) 4,974.79", + "D) 5,955.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,955.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,521.52\nB) 6,501.98\nC) 4,541.06\nD) 6,175.16", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,521.52", + "B) 6,501.98", + "C) 4,541.06", + "D) 6,175.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,521.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,521.52\nB) 6,501.98\nC) 4,541.06\nD) 6,175.16", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,521.52", + "B) 6,501.98", + "C) 4,541.06", + "D) 6,175.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,521.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,963.23\nB) 4,982.77\nC) 4,002.31\nD) 5,309.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,963.23", + "B) 4,982.77", + "C) 4,002.31", + "D) 5,309.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,982.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,963.23\nB) 4,982.77\nC) 4,002.31\nD) 5,309.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,963.23", + "B) 4,982.77", + "C) 4,002.31", + "D) 5,309.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,982.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,636.41\nB) 4,329.13\nC) 4,982.77\nD) 5,309.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,636.41", + "B) 4,329.13", + "C) 4,982.77", + "D) 5,309.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,982.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,636.41\nB) 4,329.13\nC) 4,982.77\nD) 5,309.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,636.41", + "B) 4,329.13", + "C) 4,982.77", + "D) 5,309.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,982.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 21.84\nB) 20.23\nC) 15.40\nD) 18.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 21.84", + "B) 20.23", + "C) 15.40", + "D) 18.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 21.84\nB) 20.23\nC) 15.40\nD) 18.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 21.84", + "B) 20.23", + "C) 15.40", + "D) 18.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 18.62\nB) 17.01\nC) 13.79\nD) 20.23", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 18.62", + "B) 17.01", + "C) 13.79", + "D) 20.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 18.62\nB) 17.01\nC) 13.79\nD) 20.23", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 18.62", + "B) 17.01", + "C) 13.79", + "D) 20.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 15.76\nB) 18.98\nC) 14.15\nD) 20.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 15.76", + "B) 18.98", + "C) 14.15", + "D) 20.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "18.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 15.76\nB) 18.98\nC) 14.15\nD) 20.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 15.76", + "B) 18.98", + "C) 14.15", + "D) 20.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "18.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 23.03\nB) 32.69\nC) 27.86\nD) 31.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 23.03", + "B) 32.69", + "C) 27.86", + "D) 31.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "27.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 23.03\nB) 32.69\nC) 27.86\nD) 31.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 23.03", + "B) 32.69", + "C) 27.86", + "D) 31.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "27.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 50.72\nB) 53.94\nC) 55.55\nD) 52.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 50.72", + "B) 53.94", + "C) 55.55", + "D) 52.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "52.33", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 50.72\nB) 53.94\nC) 55.55\nD) 52.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 50.72", + "B) 53.94", + "C) 55.55", + "D) 52.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "52.33", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 52.33\nB) 53.94\nC) 55.55\nD) 47.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 52.33", + "B) 53.94", + "C) 55.55", + "D) 47.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "52.33", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 52.33\nB) 53.94\nC) 55.55\nD) 47.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 52.33", + "B) 53.94", + "C) 55.55", + "D) 47.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "52.33", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2025.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2025.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..4bc64c036afc344c3e4d7c87dc0ab6d1424d8b79 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2025.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:387cc80ca05b1ed539ec78cffe531411dde6408ef1a268cf6472521d42fe2c01 +size 36771 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2026.json b/*.parquet/mcq_2026.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..9d35053f10a461f659fd297c90f4201712f54f67 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2026.json @@ -0,0 +1,1031 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.86\nB) 101.81\nC) 98.75\nD) 108.93", + "options": [ + "A) 104.86", + "B) 101.81", + "C) 98.75", + "D) 108.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "101.81", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.56%\nB) 2.78%\nC) 9.47%\nD) 19.51%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.56%", + "B) 2.78%", + "C) 9.47%", + "D) 19.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $25,347B\nB) $21,857B\nC) $26,220B\nD) $23,602B", + "options": [ + "A) $25,347B", + "B) $21,857B", + "C) $26,220B", + "D) $23,602B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$23,602B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.20%\nB) 57.42%\nC) 60.98%\nD) 63.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.20%", + "B) 57.42%", + "C) 60.98%", + "D) 63.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "59.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 296.83\nB) 276.42\nC) 283.22\nD) 256.01", + "options": [ + "A) 296.83", + "B) 276.42", + "C) 283.22", + "D) 256.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "276.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.97%\nB) -2.69%\nC) 0.76%\nD) -4.42%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.97%", + "B) -2.69%", + "C) 0.76%", + "D) -4.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $817,063M\nB) $689,677M\nC) $795,832M\nD) $753,370M", + "options": [ + "A) $817,063M", + "B) $689,677M", + "C) $795,832M", + "D) $753,370M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$753,370M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.67%\nB) 73.40%\nC) 77.94%\nD) 80.21%", + "options": [ + "A) 75.67%", + "B) 73.40%", + "C) 77.94%", + "D) 80.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "75.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 146.66\nB) 154.37\nC) 142.80\nD) 158.23", + "options": [ + "A) 146.66", + "B) 154.37", + "C) 142.80", + "D) 158.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "154.37", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $-68,659M\nB) $-51,955M\nC) $-60,307M\nD) $-43,604M", + "options": [ + "A) $-68,659M", + "B) $-51,955M", + "C) $-60,307M", + "D) $-43,604M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-60,307M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.60%\nD) 4.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.65%", + "B) 5.00%", + "C) 3.60%", + "D) 4.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 5.12%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 1.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.50%", + "B) 5.12%", + "C) 5.93%", + "D) 1.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.66%\nB) 3.55%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 2.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.66%", + "B) 3.55%", + "C) 2.99%", + "D) 2.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 65.00%\nB) 60.04%\nC) 61.90%\nD) 63.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 65.00%", + "B) 60.04%", + "C) 61.90%", + "D) 63.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "61.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.09%\nB) -13.07%\nC) 18.82%\nD) 10.85%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.09%", + "B) -13.07%", + "C) 18.82%", + "D) 10.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.67%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 3.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.67%", + "B) 2.01%", + "C) 0.69%", + "D) 3.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 5.73%\nD) 2.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.55%", + "B) 3.64%", + "C) 5.73%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $5,459M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $5,459M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$5,459M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 119.84\nB) 135.57\nC) 132.42\nD) 129.28", + "options": [ + "A) 119.84", + "B) 135.57", + "C) 132.42", + "D) 129.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "129.28", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 158,621K\nB) 169,690K\nC) 163,048K\nD) 154,194K", + "options": [ + "A) 158,621K", + "B) 169,690K", + "C) 163,048K", + "D) 154,194K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "158,621K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.66%\nB) 3.60%\nC) 6.97%\nD) 5.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.66%", + "B) 3.60%", + "C) 6.97%", + "D) 5.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -13.71%\nB) 15.42%\nC) 0.85%\nD) -8.86%", + "options": [ + "A) -13.71%", + "B) 15.42%", + "C) 0.85%", + "D) -8.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 0.12%\nC) 6.53%\nD) 3.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.39%", + "B) 0.12%", + "C) 6.53%", + "D) 3.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $22,686B\nB) $21,804B\nC) $23,274B\nD) $24,156B", + "options": [ + "A) $22,686B", + "B) $21,804B", + "C) $23,274B", + "D) $24,156B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$22,686B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $79,268M\nB) $82,960M\nC) $85,421M\nD) $76,806M", + "options": [ + "A) $79,268M", + "B) $82,960M", + "C) $85,421M", + "D) $76,806M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$82,960M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 4.28%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 2.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.81%", + "B) 4.28%", + "C) 3.20%", + "D) 2.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 352.38\nB) 361.49\nC) 325.06\nD) 334.17", + "options": [ + "A) 352.38", + "B) 361.49", + "C) 325.06", + "D) 334.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "334.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 1.45%\nC) -2.44%\nD) 2.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.15%", + "B) 1.45%", + "C) -2.44%", + "D) 2.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.66pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) +0.88pp\nD) -2.28pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.66pp", + "B) -0.70pp", + "C) +0.88pp", + "D) -2.28pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) +16.44pp\nB) +3.01pp\nC) -3.70pp\nD) -23.84pp", + "options": [ + "A) +16.44pp", + "B) +3.01pp", + "C) -3.70pp", + "D) -23.84pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-3.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $20,142B\nB) $19,283B\nC) $21,001B\nD) $21,860B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,142B", + "B) $19,283B", + "C) $21,001B", + "D) $21,860B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$21,860B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.69%\nB) 12.56%\nC) -1.17%\nD) 1.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.69%", + "B) 12.56%", + "C) -1.17%", + "D) 1.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 57.96\nB) 53.30\nC) 62.61\nD) 67.27", + "options": [ + "A) 57.96", + "B) 53.30", + "C) 62.61", + "D) 67.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "53.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 21.37%\nC) 6.92%\nD) -7.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.11%", + "B) 21.37%", + "C) 6.92%", + "D) -7.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $309,526M\nB) $337,676M\nC) $300,142M\nD) $318,909M", + "options": [ + "A) $309,526M", + "B) $337,676M", + "C) $300,142M", + "D) $318,909M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$318,909M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -7.97%\nB) 6.05%\nC) -28.99%\nD) -0.96%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.97%", + "B) 6.05%", + "C) -28.99%", + "D) -0.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-7.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,211K\nB) 1,363K\nC) 1,515K\nD) 1,439K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,211K", + "B) 1,363K", + "C) 1,515K", + "D) 1,439K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,363K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 348.25\nB) 357.23\nC) 330.29\nD) 303.36", + "options": [ + "A) 348.25", + "B) 357.23", + "C) 330.29", + "D) 303.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "330.29", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $35.03/hr\nB) $33.09/hr\nC) $29.21/hr\nD) $32.12/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $35.03/hr", + "B) $33.09/hr", + "C) $29.21/hr", + "D) $32.12/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$32.12/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) +0.14pp\nC) -1.34pp\nD) -0.11pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.60pp", + "B) +0.14pp", + "C) -1.34pp", + "D) -0.11pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.91pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +3.12pp\nD) +2.11pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.91pp", + "B) +0.10pp", + "C) +3.12pp", + "D) +2.11pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,433K\nB) 1,709K\nC) 1,502K\nD) 1,571K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,433K", + "B) 1,709K", + "C) 1,502K", + "D) 1,571K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,502K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 16.60%\nC) 12.45%\nD) 4.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.00%", + "B) 16.60%", + "C) 12.45%", + "D) 4.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) +4.07pp\nC) +2.56pp\nD) -3.48pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.46pp", + "B) +4.07pp", + "C) +2.56pp", + "D) -3.48pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.46pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.39%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 1.17%\nD) 7.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.39%", + "B) 4.57%", + "C) 1.17%", + "D) 7.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.23%\nB) -4.33%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 9.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.23%", + "B) -4.33%", + "C) 3.95%", + "D) 9.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.95%\nB) 7.63%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 4.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.95%", + "B) 7.63%", + "C) 2.58%", + "D) 4.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 130.34\nB) 139.85\nC) 124.01\nD) 133.51", + "options": [ + "A) 130.34", + "B) 139.85", + "C) 124.01", + "D) 133.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "130.34", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -20.71%\nB) -5.48%\nC) 9.76%\nD) 2.14%", + "options": [ + "A) -20.71%", + "B) -5.48%", + "C) 9.76%", + "D) 2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-5.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_2026.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_2026.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..3f83b304f9ff07830fc9febd27f7ada0c1b31b05 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_2026.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:4b96531b4d04756012cecd5a096513a3aba760fea3d9665a09a71e507b51d212 +size 16332 diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_all.json b/*.parquet/mcq_all.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..bedcdef6dda8ff30fde93eb289c7b013a9d7da89 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_all.json @@ -0,0 +1,120743 @@ +[ + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) +0.39pp\nC) +0.47pp\nD) +0.25pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.32pp", + "B) +0.39pp", + "C) +0.47pp", + "D) +0.25pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.32pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,738K\nB) 1,635K\nC) 1,566K\nD) 1,601K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,738K", + "B) 1,635K", + "C) 1,566K", + "D) 1,601K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,635K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.11%\nD) 5.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.47%", + "B) 5.50%", + "C) 6.11%", + "D) 5.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 6.35%\nC) 5.55%\nD) 5.87%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.39%", + "B) 6.35%", + "C) 5.55%", + "D) 5.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.84\nB) 76.05\nC) 77.53\nD) 71.62", + "options": [ + "A) 73.84", + "B) 76.05", + "C) 77.53", + "D) 71.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "73.84", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $-25,462M\nB) $-22,699M\nC) $-18,555M\nD) $-26,843M", + "options": [ + "A) $-25,462M", + "B) $-22,699M", + "C) $-18,555M", + "D) $-26,843M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-22,699M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,395B\nB) $7,119B\nC) $6,912B\nD) $6,704B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,395B", + "B) $7,119B", + "C) $6,912B", + "D) $6,704B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$6,912B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 296,936\nB) 310,808\nC) 269,192\nD) 290,000", + "options": [ + "A) 296,936", + "B) 310,808", + "C) 269,192", + "D) 290,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "290,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,318B\nB) $4,102B\nC) $4,448B\nD) $4,232B", + "options": [ + "A) $4,318B", + "B) $4,102B", + "C) $4,448B", + "D) $4,232B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$4,318B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) $14.94/bbl\nB) $18.61/bbl\nC) $22.28/bbl\nD) $21.06/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $14.94/bbl", + "B) $18.61/bbl", + "C) $22.28/bbl", + "D) $21.06/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$18.61/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $557M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $557M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$557M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,465.11\nB) 2,313.78\nC) 2,566.00\nD) 2,414.67", + "options": [ + "A) 2,465.11", + "B) 2,313.78", + "C) 2,566.00", + "D) 2,414.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,414.67", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.91\nB) 29.80\nC) 22.02\nD) 27.21", + "options": [ + "A) 25.91", + "B) 29.80", + "C) 22.02", + "D) 27.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "25.91", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,465K\nB) 1,551K\nC) 1,616K\nD) 1,508K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,465K", + "B) 1,551K", + "C) 1,616K", + "D) 1,508K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,551K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.51%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 5.98%\nD) 6.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.51%", + "B) 5.67%", + "C) 5.98%", + "D) 6.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.09%\nB) 7.83%\nC) 7.47%\nD) 7.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.09%", + "B) 7.83%", + "C) 7.47%", + "D) 7.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 128.00\nB) 124.16\nC) 130.56\nD) 134.40", + "options": [ + "A) 128.00", + "B) 124.16", + "C) 130.56", + "D) 134.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "128.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $66,480M\nB) $63,231M\nC) $60,794M\nD) $64,855M", + "options": [ + "A) $66,480M", + "B) $63,231M", + "C) $60,794M", + "D) $64,855M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$63,231M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 112.56\nB) 110.42\nC) 107.20\nD) 103.98", + "options": [ + "A) 112.56", + "B) 110.42", + "C) 107.20", + "D) 103.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "107.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.8576\nB) 8.0298\nC) 8.5264\nD) 8.2781", + "options": [ + "A) 8.8576", + "B) 8.0298", + "C) 8.5264", + "D) 8.2781" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.2781", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.36%\nB) 84.62%\nC) 79.74%\nD) 82.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 81.36%", + "B) 84.62%", + "C) 79.74%", + "D) 82.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "81.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.98%\nB) 67.00%\nC) 64.99%\nD) 69.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.98%", + "B) 67.00%", + "C) 64.99%", + "D) 69.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "67.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 124.1342\nB) 115.3737\nC) 120.6300\nD) 127.6384", + "options": [ + "A) 124.1342", + "B) 115.3737", + "C) 120.6300", + "D) 127.6384" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "120.6300", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0920\nB) 0.9170\nC) 0.9670\nD) 1.0420", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0920", + "B) 0.9170", + "C) 0.9670", + "D) 1.0420" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0420", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $188,910M\nB) $192,688M\nC) $183,243M\nD) $198,356M", + "options": [ + "A) $188,910M", + "B) $192,688M", + "C) $183,243M", + "D) $198,356M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$188,910M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,340B\nB) $4,569B\nC) $4,477B\nD) $4,660B", + "options": [ + "A) $4,340B", + "B) $4,569B", + "C) $4,477B", + "D) $4,660B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$4,569B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.08%\nB) 5.44%\nC) 5.22%\nD) 4.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.08%", + "B) 5.44%", + "C) 5.22%", + "D) 4.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 4.09%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 3.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.31%", + "B) 4.09%", + "C) 2.52%", + "D) 3.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 129,771K\nB) 121,985K\nC) 133,664K\nD) 125,878K", + "options": [ + "A) 129,771K", + "B) 121,985K", + "C) 133,664K", + "D) 125,878K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "129,771K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 181.36\nB) 177.80\nC) 186.69\nD) 174.24", + "options": [ + "A) 181.36", + "B) 177.80", + "C) 186.69", + "D) 174.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "177.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.43/hr\nB) $14.02/hr\nC) $13.61/hr\nD) $13.20/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $14.43/hr", + "B) $14.02/hr", + "C) $13.61/hr", + "D) $13.20/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$13.61/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $247,378M\nB) $267,780M\nC) $262,680M\nD) $255,029M", + "options": [ + "A) $247,378M", + "B) $267,780M", + "C) $262,680M", + "D) $255,029M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$255,029M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,215,000\nB) 2,148,550\nC) 2,104,250\nD) 2,259,300", + "options": [ + "A) 2,215,000", + "B) 2,148,550", + "C) 2,104,250", + "D) 2,259,300" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,215,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 70.23\nB) 72.41\nC) 74.58\nD) 76.03", + "options": [ + "A) 70.23", + "B) 72.41", + "C) 74.58", + "D) 76.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "72.41", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) $14.12/bbl\nB) $17.44/bbl\nC) $16.33/bbl\nD) $13.01/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $14.12/bbl", + "B) $17.44/bbl", + "C) $16.33/bbl", + "D) $13.01/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$16.33/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,770B\nB) $6,195B\nC) $6,578B\nD) $6,386B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,770B", + "B) $6,195B", + "C) $6,578B", + "D) $6,386B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$6,386B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.20%\nB) 62.27%\nC) 59.71%\nD) 66.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.20%", + "B) 62.27%", + "C) 59.71%", + "D) 66.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "64.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 4.90%\nD) 5.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.58%", + "B) 4.74%", + "C) 4.90%", + "D) 5.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.33%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 4.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.33%", + "B) 3.95%", + "C) 4.20%", + "D) 4.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-19990615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "1999-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.53%\nB) 6.05%\nC) 5.27%\nD) 5.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.53%", + "B) 6.05%", + "C) 5.27%", + "D) 5.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 167.80\nB) 162.77\nC) 177.87\nD) 172.83", + "options": [ + "A) 167.80", + "B) 162.77", + "C) 177.87", + "D) 172.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "167.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-19990901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 1999", + "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 84.96\nB) 89.43\nC) 86.75\nD) 92.11", + "options": [ + "A) 84.96", + "B) 89.43", + "C) 86.75", + "D) 92.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "89.43", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 1999 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.08%\nB) 0.46%\nC) 5.54%\nD) 3.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.08%", + "B) 0.46%", + "C) 5.54%", + "D) 3.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 75.71\nB) 69.83\nC) 71.30\nD) 73.50", + "options": [ + "A) 75.71", + "B) 69.83", + "C) 71.30", + "D) 73.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "73.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 5.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.10%", + "B) 4.44%", + "C) 3.08%", + "D) 5.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 278,005\nB) 294,000\nC) 309,995\nD) 270,008", + "options": [ + "A) 278,005", + "B) 294,000", + "C) 309,995", + "D) 270,008" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "294,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.35%\nB) 9.23%\nC) 8.88%\nD) 9.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.35%", + "B) 9.23%", + "C) 8.88%", + "D) 9.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 137.34\nB) 126.88\nC) 133.42\nD) 130.80", + "options": [ + "A) 137.34", + "B) 126.88", + "C) 133.42", + "D) 130.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "130.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.80\nB) 112.72\nC) 110.35\nD) 103.25", + "options": [ + "A) 106.80", + "B) 112.72", + "C) 110.35", + "D) 103.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "106.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.48\nB) 74.25\nC) 79.45\nD) 72.02", + "options": [ + "A) 76.48", + "B) 74.25", + "C) 79.45", + "D) 72.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "74.25", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.34pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) -0.18pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.34pp", + "B) -0.02pp", + "C) -0.10pp", + "D) -0.18pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 11.31%\nB) 10.20%\nC) 10.76%\nD) 9.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.31%", + "B) 10.20%", + "C) 10.76%", + "D) 9.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.26%\nB) 7.18%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 6.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.26%", + "B) 7.18%", + "C) 5.34%", + "D) 6.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.13%\nB) 1.23%\nC) -0.56%\nD) 6.58%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.13%", + "B) 1.23%", + "C) -0.56%", + "D) 6.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.60%\nB) 3.40%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 4.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.60%", + "B) 3.40%", + "C) 3.80%", + "D) 4.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.06\nB) 72.33\nC) 78.30\nD) 74.57", + "options": [ + "A) 76.06", + "B) 72.33", + "C) 78.30", + "D) 74.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "74.57", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 92.15\nB) 96.76\nC) 94.91\nD) 89.39", + "options": [ + "A) 92.15", + "B) 96.76", + "C) 94.91", + "D) 89.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "92.15", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $212,511M\nB) $199,947M\nC) $187,383M\nD) $195,759M", + "options": [ + "A) $212,511M", + "B) $199,947M", + "C) $187,383M", + "D) $195,759M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$199,947M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 104.84\nB) 109.36\nC) 107.10\nD) 101.45", + "options": [ + "A) 104.84", + "B) 109.36", + "C) 107.10", + "D) 101.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "107.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.29pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.19pp\nD) +0.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.29pp", + "B) +0.10pp", + "C) +0.19pp", + "D) +0.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 16.42%\nC) 12.89%\nD) -1.21%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.84%", + "B) 16.42%", + "C) 12.89%", + "D) -1.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.44%\nC) 6.76%\nD) 7.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.12%", + "B) 6.44%", + "C) 6.76%", + "D) 7.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,055B\nB) $4,722B\nC) $4,855B\nD) $5,188B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,055B", + "B) $4,722B", + "C) $4,855B", + "D) $5,188B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$4,855B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.41/hr\nB) $13.71/hr\nC) $14.70/hr\nD) $14.13/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $14.41/hr", + "B) $13.71/hr", + "C) $14.70/hr", + "D) $14.13/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$14.13/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.90%\nB) 64.89%\nC) 62.89%\nD) 68.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 66.90%", + "B) 64.89%", + "C) 62.89%", + "D) 68.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "66.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) $38.68/bbl\nB) $29.77/bbl\nC) $35.71/bbl\nD) $23.83/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $38.68/bbl", + "B) $29.77/bbl", + "C) $35.71/bbl", + "D) $23.83/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$29.77/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.62pp\nB) +0.23pp\nC) +0.04pp\nD) -0.34pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.62pp", + "B) +0.23pp", + "C) +0.04pp", + "D) -0.34pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.04pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.65%\nB) 6.46%\nC) 6.85%\nD) 6.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.65%", + "B) 6.46%", + "C) 6.85%", + "D) 6.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 180.00\nB) 174.60\nC) 167.40\nD) 185.40", + "options": [ + "A) 180.00", + "B) 174.60", + "C) 167.40", + "D) 185.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "180.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,032B\nB) $7,250B\nC) $7,467B\nD) $7,612B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,032B", + "B) $7,250B", + "C) $7,467B", + "D) $7,612B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$7,250B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $293,541M\nB) $256,712M\nC) $270,523M\nD) $279,730M", + "options": [ + "A) $293,541M", + "B) $256,712M", + "C) $270,523M", + "D) $279,730M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$270,523M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $183,846M\nB) $200,414M\nC) $205,937M\nD) $192,130M", + "options": [ + "A) $183,846M", + "B) $200,414M", + "C) $205,937M", + "D) $192,130M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$192,130M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 64.60%\nB) 66.54%\nC) 63.31%\nD) 61.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.60%", + "B) 66.54%", + "C) 63.31%", + "D) 61.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "64.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $4,806B\nB) $4,712B\nC) $4,947B\nD) $4,617B", + "options": [ + "A) $4,806B", + "B) $4,712B", + "C) $4,947B", + "D) $4,617B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$4,712B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 116.5666\nB) 109.8689\nC) 106.5200\nD) 113.2177", + "options": [ + "A) 116.5666", + "B) 109.8689", + "C) 106.5200", + "D) 113.2177" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "106.5200", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $-35,757M\nB) $-25,357M\nC) $-27,090M\nD) $-30,557M", + "options": [ + "A) $-35,757M", + "B) $-25,357M", + "C) $-27,090M", + "D) $-30,557M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-30,557M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 6.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.84%", + "B) 6.38%", + "C) 5.30%", + "D) 6.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 177.07\nB) 173.60\nC) 168.39\nD) 164.92", + "options": [ + "A) 177.07", + "B) 173.60", + "C) 168.39", + "D) 164.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "173.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $-30,888M\nB) $-25,998M\nC) $-33,333M\nD) $-28,443M", + "options": [ + "A) $-30,888M", + "B) $-25,998M", + "C) $-33,333M", + "D) $-28,443M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-33,333M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.90%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 2.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.90%", + "B) 2.66%", + "C) 2.43%", + "D) 2.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.98\nB) 88.33\nC) 95.77\nD) 90.19", + "options": [ + "A) 92.98", + "B) 88.33", + "C) 95.77", + "D) 90.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "92.98", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,129B\nB) $6,889B\nC) $6,289B\nD) $6,529B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,129B", + "B) $6,889B", + "C) $6,289B", + "D) $6,529B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$6,889B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 27.25%\nB) 63.11%\nC) 51.16%\nD) 75.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 27.25%", + "B) 63.11%", + "C) 51.16%", + "D) 75.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "51.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.45%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 4.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.45%", + "B) 6.15%", + "C) 2.25%", + "D) 4.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 67.30%\nB) 63.93%\nC) 69.32%\nD) 65.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 67.30%", + "B) 63.93%", + "C) 69.32%", + "D) 65.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "67.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 5.85%\nC) 6.28%\nD) 5.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.14%", + "B) 5.85%", + "C) 6.28%", + "D) 5.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.03pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) -0.39pp\nD) -0.27pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.03pp", + "B) -0.15pp", + "C) -0.39pp", + "D) -0.27pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.39pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) -1.98%\nC) -10.75%\nD) -7.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.94%", + "B) -1.98%", + "C) -10.75%", + "D) -7.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-7.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.05%\nD) 4.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.90%", + "B) 3.75%", + "C) 4.05%", + "D) 4.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.74%", + "B) 1.85%", + "C) 1.96%", + "D) 1.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.67%\nB) 8.49%\nC) 8.22%\nD) 7.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.67%", + "B) 8.49%", + "C) 8.22%", + "D) 7.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.42%\nB) 7.40%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 8.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.42%", + "B) 7.40%", + "C) 8.20%", + "D) 8.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,041,000\nB) 1,998,576\nC) 2,168,272\nD) 2,125,848", + "options": [ + "A) 2,041,000", + "B) 1,998,576", + "C) 2,168,272", + "D) 2,125,848" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,041,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.28\nB) 20.68\nC) 17.89\nD) 24.87", + "options": [ + "A) 19.28", + "B) 20.68", + "C) 17.89", + "D) 24.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.68", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 83.85%\nB) 80.56%\nC) 82.20%\nD) 78.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 83.85%", + "B) 80.56%", + "C) 82.20%", + "D) 78.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "82.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $279,542M\nB) $286,558M\nC) $258,496M\nD) $269,019M", + "options": [ + "A) $279,542M", + "B) $286,558M", + "C) $258,496M", + "D) $269,019M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$269,019M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 3.51%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 3.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.82%", + "B) 3.51%", + "C) 3.70%", + "D) 3.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $71,016M\nB) $66,733M\nC) $68,161M\nD) $63,878M", + "options": [ + "A) $71,016M", + "B) $66,733M", + "C) $68,161M", + "D) $63,878M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$66,733M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $60,066M\nB) $67,218M\nC) $63,642M\nD) $69,602M", + "options": [ + "A) $60,066M", + "B) $67,218M", + "C) $63,642M", + "D) $69,602M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$63,642M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $584M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $584M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$584M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $577M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $577M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$577M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 6.11%\nD) 5.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.39%", + "B) 5.93%", + "C) 6.11%", + "D) 5.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,471K\nB) 1,435K\nC) 1,507K\nD) 1,615K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,471K", + "B) 1,435K", + "C) 1,507K", + "D) 1,615K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,507K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,689K\nB) 1,491K\nC) 1,547K\nD) 1,604K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,689K", + "B) 1,491K", + "C) 1,547K", + "D) 1,604K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,604K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 171.00\nB) 179.55\nC) 176.13\nD) 165.87", + "options": [ + "A) 171.00", + "B) 179.55", + "C) 176.13", + "D) 165.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "171.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.24pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.13pp\nD) -0.42pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.24pp", + "B) -0.30pp", + "C) -0.13pp", + "D) -0.42pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 4.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.88%", + "B) 3.76%", + "C) 4.00%", + "D) 4.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.27%\nB) 68.05%\nC) 66.13%\nD) 64.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.27%", + "B) 68.05%", + "C) 66.13%", + "D) 64.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "64.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,570K\nB) 1,474K\nC) 1,538K\nD) 1,602K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,570K", + "B) 1,474K", + "C) 1,538K", + "D) 1,602K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,570K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 3.97%\nC) 4.82%\nD) 3.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.11%", + "B) 3.97%", + "C) 4.82%", + "D) 3.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,600K\nB) 1,702K\nC) 1,651K\nD) 1,753K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,600K", + "B) 1,702K", + "C) 1,651K", + "D) 1,753K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,651K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.91%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 8.59%\nD) 6.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.91%", + "B) 3.56%", + "C) 8.59%", + "D) 6.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 131,604K\nB) 128,972K\nC) 135,552K\nD) 138,184K", + "options": [ + "A) 131,604K", + "B) 128,972K", + "C) 135,552K", + "D) 138,184K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "131,604K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 2.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.26%", + "B) 2.53%", + "C) 2.71%", + "D) 2.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0462\nB) 0.8598\nC) 0.9530\nD) 1.1083", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0462", + "B) 0.8598", + "C) 0.9530", + "D) 1.1083" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.9530", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) $26.96/bbl\nB) $41.32/bbl\nC) $24.08/bbl\nD) $32.70/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $26.96/bbl", + "B) $41.32/bbl", + "C) $24.08/bbl", + "D) $32.70/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$32.70/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 134.70\nB) 140.18\nC) 129.22\nD) 143.83", + "options": [ + "A) 134.70", + "B) 140.18", + "C) 129.22", + "D) 143.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "134.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 3.46%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 2.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.63%", + "B) 3.46%", + "C) 3.98%", + "D) 2.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 97.59\nB) 107.93\nC) 101.47\nD) 105.35", + "options": [ + "A) 97.59", + "B) 107.93", + "C) 101.47", + "D) 105.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "101.47", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 111.31\nB) 102.96\nC) 117.57\nD) 107.14", + "options": [ + "A) 111.31", + "B) 102.96", + "C) 117.57", + "D) 107.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "107.14", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.20\nB) 80.47\nC) 72.95\nD) 77.46", + "options": [ + "A) 75.20", + "B) 80.47", + "C) 72.95", + "D) 77.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "75.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $14.27/hr\nB) $13.85/hr\nC) $13.16/hr\nD) $13.43/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $14.27/hr", + "B) $13.85/hr", + "C) $13.16/hr", + "D) $13.43/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$13.85/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,751B\nB) $7,140B\nC) $7,507B\nD) $8,117B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,751B", + "B) $7,140B", + "C) $7,507B", + "D) $8,117B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$7,507B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.5251\nB) 8.0285\nC) 7.8630\nD) 8.2768", + "options": [ + "A) 8.5251", + "B) 8.0285", + "C) 7.8630", + "D) 8.2768" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.2768", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,735B\nB) $5,107B\nC) $4,958B\nD) $4,586B", + "options": [ + "A) $4,735B", + "B) $5,107B", + "C) $4,958B", + "D) $4,586B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$4,735B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.01%\nB) 85.48%\nC) 108.64%\nD) 62.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.01%", + "B) 85.48%", + "C) 108.64%", + "D) 62.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "85.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.85%\nB) 5.52%\nC) 6.05%\nD) 5.78%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.85%", + "B) 5.52%", + "C) 6.05%", + "D) 5.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 114.63%\nB) 56.26%\nC) 134.08%\nD) 75.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 114.63%", + "B) 56.26%", + "C) 134.08%", + "D) 75.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "75.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.52%\nB) 5.53%\nC) 6.19%\nD) 7.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.52%", + "B) 5.53%", + "C) 6.19%", + "D) 7.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.78%\nB) 81.41%\nC) 77.34%\nD) 83.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 79.78%", + "B) 81.41%", + "C) 77.34%", + "D) 83.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "81.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20000615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2000-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,003.16\nB) 4,231.55\nC) 3,845.74\nD) 3,459.93", + "options": [ + "A) 5,003.16", + "B) 4,231.55", + "C) 3,845.74", + "D) 3,459.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,845.74", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 191.42\nB) 176.83\nC) 187.77\nD) 182.30", + "options": [ + "A) 191.42", + "B) 176.83", + "C) 187.77", + "D) 182.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "182.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.86%\nB) 8.42%\nC) 8.14%\nD) 8.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.86%", + "B) 8.42%", + "C) 8.14%", + "D) 8.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 5.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.57%", + "B) 5.23%", + "C) 3.90%", + "D) 5.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 2.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.19%", + "B) 1.76%", + "C) 1.98%", + "D) 2.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 136,307K\nB) 129,690K\nC) 138,954K\nD) 132,337K", + "options": [ + "A) 136,307K", + "B) 129,690K", + "C) 138,954K", + "D) 132,337K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "132,337K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,686B\nB) $6,843B\nC) $7,000B\nD) $6,530B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,686B", + "B) $6,843B", + "C) $7,000B", + "D) $6,530B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$6,686B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20000901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2000", + "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.70pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +3.51pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.70pp", + "B) -0.40pp", + "C) +0.90pp", + "D) +3.51pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,956.03\nB) 5,606.43\nC) 4,907.24\nD) 5,256.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5,956.03", + "B) 5,606.43", + "C) 4,907.24", + "D) 5,256.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,907.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,956.03\nB) 5,606.43\nC) 4,907.24\nD) 5,256.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5,956.03", + "B) 5,606.43", + "C) 4,907.24", + "D) 5,256.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,907.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,914.24\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 5,662.22\nD) 4,963.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 3,914.24", + "B) 4,263.84", + "C) 5,662.22", + "D) 4,963.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,914.24\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 5,662.22\nD) 4,963.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 3,914.24", + "B) 4,263.84", + "C) 5,662.22", + "D) 4,963.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,963.03\nB) 4,613.43\nC) 6,011.82\nD) 3,914.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4,963.03", + "B) 4,613.43", + "C) 6,011.82", + "D) 3,914.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,963.03\nB) 4,613.43\nC) 6,011.82\nD) 3,914.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4,963.03", + "B) 4,613.43", + "C) 6,011.82", + "D) 3,914.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,613.43\nB) 4,963.03\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 6,011.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4,613.43", + "B) 4,963.03", + "C) 3,914.24", + "D) 6,011.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,613.43\nB) 4,963.03\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 6,011.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4,613.43", + "B) 4,963.03", + "C) 3,914.24", + "D) 6,011.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 3,914.24\nC) 4,963.03\nD) 4,613.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5,662.22", + "B) 3,914.24", + "C) 4,963.03", + "D) 4,613.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 3,914.24\nC) 4,963.03\nD) 4,613.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5,662.22", + "B) 3,914.24", + "C) 4,963.03", + "D) 4,613.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 4,963.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5,662.22", + "B) 4,263.84", + "C) 3,914.24", + "D) 4,963.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 4,963.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5,662.22", + "B) 4,263.84", + "C) 3,914.24", + "D) 4,963.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,963.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 16.62\nC) 24.92\nD) 23.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 20.77", + "B) 16.62", + "C) 24.92", + "D) 23.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 16.62\nC) 24.92\nD) 23.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 20.77", + "B) 16.62", + "C) 24.92", + "D) 23.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 20.77\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 23.54", + "B) 20.77", + "C) 24.92", + "D) 16.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 20.77\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 23.54", + "B) 20.77", + "C) 24.92", + "D) 16.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 18.00\nC) 20.77\nD) 16.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 23.54", + "B) 18.00", + "C) 20.77", + "D) 16.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 18.00\nC) 20.77\nD) 16.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 23.54", + "B) 18.00", + "C) 20.77", + "D) 16.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.62\nB) 22.15\nC) 23.54\nD) 20.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 16.62", + "B) 22.15", + "C) 23.54", + "D) 20.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.62\nB) 22.15\nC) 23.54\nD) 20.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 16.62", + "B) 22.15", + "C) 23.54", + "D) 20.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 23.54\nC) 24.92\nD) 19.39", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 20.77", + "B) 23.54", + "C) 24.92", + "D) 19.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 23.54\nC) 24.92\nD) 19.39", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 20.77", + "B) 23.54", + "C) 24.92", + "D) 19.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 13.76\nB) 16.53\nC) 15.15\nD) 12.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 13.76", + "B) 16.53", + "C) 15.15", + "D) 12.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.53", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 13.76\nB) 16.53\nC) 15.15\nD) 12.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 13.76", + "B) 16.53", + "C) 15.15", + "D) 12.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.53", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", + "event_date": "2000-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", + "year": 2000 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) $37.70/bbl\nB) $21.75/bbl\nC) $28.13/bbl\nD) $31.32/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $37.70/bbl", + "B) $21.75/bbl", + "C) $28.13/bbl", + "D) $31.32/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$28.13/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.44%\nB) 1.14%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 1.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.44%", + "B) 1.14%", + "C) 1.07%", + "D) 1.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 4.10%\nD) 3.78%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.74%", + "B) 5.06%", + "C) 4.10%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.88%\nB) 7.71%\nC) 8.23%\nD) 7.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.88%", + "B) 7.71%", + "C) 8.23%", + "D) 7.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 71.45\nB) 78.29\nC) 76.01\nD) 73.73", + "options": [ + "A) 71.45", + "B) 78.29", + "C) 76.01", + "D) 73.73" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "76.01", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 190.24\nB) 175.46\nC) 179.16\nD) 184.70", + "options": [ + "A) 190.24", + "B) 175.46", + "C) 179.16", + "D) 184.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "184.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.80\nB) 92.41\nC) 71.19\nD) 85.34", + "options": [ + "A) 81.80", + "B) 92.41", + "C) 71.19", + "D) 85.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "81.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,836,648\nB) 2,939,000\nC) 2,734,295\nD) 3,143,705", + "options": [ + "A) 2,836,648", + "B) 2,939,000", + "C) 2,734,295", + "D) 3,143,705" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,939,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 126,113K\nB) 136,734K\nC) 132,751K\nD) 130,096K", + "options": [ + "A) 126,113K", + "B) 136,734K", + "C) 132,751K", + "D) 130,096K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "132,751K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.00pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.30pp\nD) -0.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.00pp", + "B) -0.40pp", + "C) -0.30pp", + "D) -0.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,562K\nB) 1,628K\nC) 1,595K\nD) 1,661K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,562K", + "B) 1,628K", + "C) 1,595K", + "D) 1,661K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,562K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 72.80\nB) 75.06\nC) 78.81\nD) 77.31", + "options": [ + "A) 72.80", + "B) 75.06", + "C) 78.81", + "D) 77.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "75.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.01%\nB) 5.53%\nC) 5.27%\nD) 4.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.01%", + "B) 5.53%", + "C) 5.27%", + "D) 4.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $62,258M\nB) $54,034M\nC) $59,517M\nD) $58,146M", + "options": [ + "A) $62,258M", + "B) $54,034M", + "C) $59,517M", + "D) $58,146M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$58,146M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,355B\nB) $4,978B\nC) $5,104B\nD) $5,732B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,355B", + "B) $4,978B", + "C) $5,104B", + "D) $5,732B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$5,355B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $173,832M\nB) $164,123M\nC) $149,560M\nD) $168,977M", + "options": [ + "A) $173,832M", + "B) $164,123M", + "C) $149,560M", + "D) $168,977M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$164,123M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 17.86\nB) 27.76\nC) 22.81\nD) 21.16", + "options": [ + "A) 17.86", + "B) 27.76", + "C) 22.81", + "D) 21.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "22.81", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.43%\nB) -2.17%\nC) 2.35%\nD) -1.04%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.43%", + "B) -2.17%", + "C) 2.35%", + "D) -1.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.96pp\nB) -5.06pp\nC) -3.40pp\nD) -4.51pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.96pp", + "B) -5.06pp", + "C) -3.40pp", + "D) -4.51pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-3.96pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $54,413M\nB) $50,735M\nC) $47,057M\nD) $52,574M", + "options": [ + "A) $54,413M", + "B) $50,735M", + "C) $47,057M", + "D) $52,574M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$50,735M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 4.28%\nC) 3.52%\nD) 3.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.38%", + "B) 4.28%", + "C) 3.52%", + "D) 3.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.44%", + "B) 2.70%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 2.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 67.20%\nB) 62.50%\nC) 69.22%\nD) 65.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 67.20%", + "B) 62.50%", + "C) 69.22%", + "D) 65.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "67.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,339B\nB) $7,007B\nC) $7,505B\nD) $6,841B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,339B", + "B) $7,007B", + "C) $7,505B", + "D) $6,841B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$7,007B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.69%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.69%", + "B) 2.11%", + "C) 3.90%", + "D) 3.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 6.22%\nC) 7.24%\nD) 6.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.88%", + "B) 6.22%", + "C) 7.24%", + "D) 6.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.62/hr\nB) $14.00/hr\nC) $15.24/hr\nD) $13.58/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $14.62/hr", + "B) $14.00/hr", + "C) $15.24/hr", + "D) $13.58/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$14.62/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.39%", + "B) 2.11%", + "C) 1.92%", + "D) 1.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.67pp\nB) +0.72pp\nC) +1.10pp\nD) +1.29pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.67pp", + "B) +0.72pp", + "C) +1.10pp", + "D) +1.29pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $647M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $647M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$647M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.28pp\nC) -0.91pp\nD) -0.07pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.70pp", + "B) -0.28pp", + "C) -0.91pp", + "D) -0.07pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 143.11\nB) 135.90\nC) 123.89\nD) 131.09", + "options": [ + "A) 143.11", + "B) 135.90", + "C) 123.89", + "D) 131.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "135.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -12.43pp\nB) -6.09pp\nC) -15.60pp\nD) -9.26pp", + "options": [ + "A) -12.43pp", + "B) -6.09pp", + "C) -15.60pp", + "D) -9.26pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-15.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 120.87\nB) 138.27\nC) 125.84\nD) 133.30", + "options": [ + "A) 120.87", + "B) 138.27", + "C) 125.84", + "D) 133.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "133.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.12\nB) 92.96\nC) 88.36\nD) 94.80", + "options": [ + "A) 91.12", + "B) 92.96", + "C) 88.36", + "D) 94.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "91.12", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.1115\nB) 8.2770\nC) 8.5253\nD) 7.8631", + "options": [ + "A) 8.1115", + "B) 8.2770", + "C) 8.5253", + "D) 7.8631" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.2770", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 6.93%\nC) 6.16%\nD) 5.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.39%", + "B) 6.93%", + "C) 6.16%", + "D) 5.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) -1.23%\nC) 5.61%\nD) 0.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.90%", + "B) -1.23%", + "C) 5.61%", + "D) 0.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.64%\nB) -5.68%\nC) -17.51%\nD) -2.72%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.64%", + "B) -5.68%", + "C) -17.51%", + "D) -2.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-8.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 3.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.99%", + "B) 4.64%", + "C) 5.68%", + "D) 3.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) $34.79/bbl\nB) $31.66/bbl\nC) $28.52/bbl\nD) $19.11/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $34.79/bbl", + "B) $31.66/bbl", + "C) $28.52/bbl", + "D) $19.11/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$28.52/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -26.72%\nB) -31.13%\nC) -13.51%\nD) -17.92%", + "options": [ + "A) -26.72%", + "B) -31.13%", + "C) -13.51%", + "D) -17.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-17.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $269,820M\nB) $255,003M\nC) $294,515M\nD) $279,698M", + "options": [ + "A) $269,820M", + "B) $255,003M", + "C) $294,515M", + "D) $279,698M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$269,820M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 2.98%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.13%", + "B) 2.98%", + "C) 2.84%", + "D) 2.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,460B\nB) $8,002B\nC) $7,696B\nD) $7,238B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,460B", + "B) $8,002B", + "C) $7,696B", + "D) $7,238B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$7,696B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 171.65\nB) 182.40\nC) 186.70\nD) 178.10", + "options": [ + "A) 171.65", + "B) 182.40", + "C) 186.70", + "D) 178.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "178.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 0.99%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 0.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.72%", + "B) 0.99%", + "C) 3.18%", + "D) 0.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 69.59%\nB) 74.92%\nC) 77.06%\nD) 72.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 69.59%", + "B) 74.92%", + "C) 77.06%", + "D) 72.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "74.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 3.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.82%", + "B) 4.02%", + "C) 4.12%", + "D) 3.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 1.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.99%", + "B) 1.75%", + "C) 2.05%", + "D) 1.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,590K\nB) 1,626K\nC) 1,663K\nD) 1,517K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,590K", + "B) 1,626K", + "C) 1,663K", + "D) 1,517K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,590K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.37%\nB) 10.30%\nC) 11.90%\nD) 9.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.37%", + "B) 10.30%", + "C) 11.90%", + "D) 9.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.31%\nD) 1.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.53%", + "B) 1.20%", + "C) 1.31%", + "D) 1.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.24%\nD) 4.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.63%", + "B) 2.86%", + "C) 3.24%", + "D) 4.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.8628\nB) 0.7780\nC) 1.0748\nD) 0.9900", + "options": [ + "A) 0.8628", + "B) 0.7780", + "C) 1.0748", + "D) 0.9900" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.8628", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.65pp\nB) +1.26pp\nC) +1.84pp\nD) +1.07pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.65pp", + "B) +1.26pp", + "C) +1.84pp", + "D) +1.07pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+1.26pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,417.30\nB) 2,806.16\nC) 2,028.43\nD) 1,250.70", + "options": [ + "A) 2,417.30", + "B) 2,806.16", + "C) 2,028.43", + "D) 1,250.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,028.43", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.12%\nB) 68.80%\nC) 64.80%\nD) 66.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.12%", + "B) 68.80%", + "C) 64.80%", + "D) 66.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "66.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 122.9700\nB) 129.5892\nC) 116.3508\nD) 119.6604", + "options": [ + "A) 122.9700", + "B) 129.5892", + "C) 116.3508", + "D) 119.6604" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "122.9700", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 112.11\nB) 115.47\nC) 108.75\nD) 122.18", + "options": [ + "A) 112.11", + "B) 115.47", + "C) 108.75", + "D) 122.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "115.47", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.23%\nB) 5.12%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.23%", + "B) 5.12%", + "C) 5.00%", + "D) 4.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.08%\nB) 62.37%\nC) 66.23%\nD) 64.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.08%", + "B) 62.37%", + "C) 66.23%", + "D) 64.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "64.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.87%\nB) -5.92%\nC) 1.65%\nD) 4.18%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.87%", + "B) -5.92%", + "C) 1.65%", + "D) 4.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,490B\nB) $7,863B\nC) $8,050B\nD) $8,236B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,490B", + "B) $7,863B", + "C) $8,050B", + "D) $8,236B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$7,863B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.08pp\nB) -7.68pp\nC) -6.48pp\nD) -8.88pp", + "options": [ + "A) -10.08pp", + "B) -7.68pp", + "C) -6.48pp", + "D) -8.88pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-6.48pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $599M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $599M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$599M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.32%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 4.34%\nD) -4.98%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.32%", + "B) 2.01%", + "C) 4.34%", + "D) -4.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -14.90pp\nB) -25.00pp\nC) -19.95pp\nD) -9.85pp", + "options": [ + "A) -14.90pp", + "B) -25.00pp", + "C) -19.95pp", + "D) -9.85pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-25.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.17%\nB) 9.22%\nC) 8.80%\nD) 9.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.17%", + "B) 9.22%", + "C) 8.80%", + "D) 9.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.00%\nB) 3.22%\nC) -3.30%\nD) -0.69%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.00%", + "B) 3.22%", + "C) -3.30%", + "D) -0.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) 6.77%\nC) -2.59%\nD) 0.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.65%", + "B) 6.77%", + "C) -2.59%", + "D) 0.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) -47.26%\nC) 28.66%\nD) -21.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.36%", + "B) -47.26%", + "C) 28.66%", + "D) -21.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-47.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.74%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 6.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.74%", + "B) 5.33%", + "C) 4.54%", + "D) 6.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 3.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.21%", + "B) 2.64%", + "C) 3.93%", + "D) 3.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.14%\nB) 6.36%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 6.62%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.14%", + "B) 6.36%", + "C) 6.88%", + "D) 6.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 192.71\nB) 187.10\nC) 181.49\nD) 200.20", + "options": [ + "A) 192.71", + "B) 187.10", + "C) 181.49", + "D) 200.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "187.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) -61.41%\nB) 45.20%\nC) -8.10%\nD) -34.75%", + "options": [ + "A) -61.41%", + "B) 45.20%", + "C) -8.10%", + "D) -34.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-8.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.22%\nB) 7.10%\nC) 8.00%\nD) 7.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.22%", + "B) 7.10%", + "C) 8.00%", + "D) 7.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.43%\nB) 0.99%\nC) -1.86%\nD) -0.91%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.43%", + "B) 0.99%", + "C) -1.86%", + "D) -0.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 6.40%\nD) 5.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.65%", + "B) 4.75%", + "C) 6.40%", + "D) 5.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 170.82\nB) 167.29\nC) 176.10\nD) 181.38", + "options": [ + "A) 170.82", + "B) 167.29", + "C) 176.10", + "D) 181.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "176.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.03pp\nB) -0.19pp\nC) -0.52pp\nD) -0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.03pp", + "B) -0.19pp", + "C) -0.52pp", + "D) -0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,659K\nB) 1,723K\nC) 1,562K\nD) 1,820K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,659K", + "B) 1,723K", + "C) 1,562K", + "D) 1,820K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,659K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.33%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 0.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.33%", + "B) 0.87%", + "C) 0.18%", + "D) 0.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.14pp\nB) +0.38pp\nC) +0.30pp\nD) +0.22pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.14pp", + "B) +0.38pp", + "C) +0.30pp", + "D) +0.22pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,707B\nB) $7,287B\nC) $6,852B\nD) $6,997B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,707B", + "B) $7,287B", + "C) $6,852B", + "D) $6,997B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$6,997B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.47%", + "B) 3.65%", + "C) 3.74%", + "D) 3.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) $5,321B\nB) $4,950B\nC) $5,074B\nD) $5,198B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,321B", + "B) $4,950B", + "C) $5,074B", + "D) $5,198B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$4,950B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.22%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 3.81%\nD) -2.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.22%", + "B) 1.61%", + "C) 3.81%", + "D) -2.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.72\nB) 78.99\nC) 76.73\nD) 75.23", + "options": [ + "A) 73.72", + "B) 78.99", + "C) 76.73", + "D) 75.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "75.23", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -23.97%\nB) -13.81%\nC) -8.72%\nD) -18.89%", + "options": [ + "A) -23.97%", + "B) -13.81%", + "C) -8.72%", + "D) -18.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-23.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.41%\nB) 63.50%\nC) 60.33%\nD) 62.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 65.41%", + "B) 63.50%", + "C) 60.33%", + "D) 62.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "63.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.41\nB) 84.31\nC) 88.75\nD) 86.09", + "options": [ + "A) 91.41", + "B) 84.31", + "C) 88.75", + "D) 86.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "88.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.72%\nB) -1.38%\nC) 0.20%\nD) -4.55%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.72%", + "B) -1.38%", + "C) 0.20%", + "D) -4.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-4.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $-30,217M\nB) $-27,593M\nC) $-32,841M\nD) $-38,089M", + "options": [ + "A) $-30,217M", + "B) $-27,593M", + "C) $-32,841M", + "D) $-38,089M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-30,217M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.01%\nB) 5.68%\nC) 5.51%\nD) 5.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.01%", + "B) 5.68%", + "C) 5.51%", + "D) 5.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.35%\nB) -35.02%\nC) -12.84%\nD) -79.39%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.35%", + "B) -35.02%", + "C) -12.84%", + "D) -79.39%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-12.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $284,534M\nB) $252,770M\nC) $295,122M\nD) $268,652M", + "options": [ + "A) $284,534M", + "B) $252,770M", + "C) $295,122M", + "D) $268,652M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$268,652M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.12%\nB) 0.41%\nC) -0.36%\nD) -1.89%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.12%", + "B) 0.41%", + "C) -0.36%", + "D) -1.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $5,329B\nB) $5,075B\nC) $4,820B\nD) $5,499B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,329B", + "B) $5,075B", + "C) $4,820B", + "D) $5,499B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$5,075B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) -1.94%\nC) 0.30%\nD) 3.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.42%", + "B) -1.94%", + "C) 0.30%", + "D) 3.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.06%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 14.47%\nD) 10.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.06%", + "B) 5.45%", + "C) 14.47%", + "D) 10.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.76%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 2.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.59%", + "B) 2.76%", + "C) 3.08%", + "D) 2.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $-29,961M\nB) $-32,812M\nC) $-38,514M\nD) $-24,259M", + "options": [ + "A) $-29,961M", + "B) $-32,812M", + "C) $-38,514M", + "D) $-24,259M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-32,812M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.90%\nB) 82.16%\nC) 78.25%\nD) 80.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 75.90%", + "B) 82.16%", + "C) 78.25%", + "D) 80.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "78.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.03\nB) 95.14\nC) 82.39\nD) 91.50", + "options": [ + "A) 86.03", + "B) 95.14", + "C) 82.39", + "D) 91.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "91.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 5.21%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 3.97%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.90%", + "B) 5.21%", + "C) 5.52%", + "D) 3.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,507K\nB) 1,565K\nC) 1,652K\nD) 1,449K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,507K", + "B) 1,565K", + "C) 1,652K", + "D) 1,449K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,565K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20010615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2001-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 338,345\nB) 412,552\nC) 394,000\nD) 431,103", + "options": [ + "A) 338,345", + "B) 412,552", + "C) 394,000", + "D) 431,103" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "394,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.37%\nB) 2.81%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 2.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.37%", + "B) 2.81%", + "C) 2.46%", + "D) 2.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.31%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 4.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.31%", + "B) 4.24%", + "C) 4.60%", + "D) 4.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $14.74/hr\nB) $14.42/hr\nC) $13.61/hr\nD) $14.10/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $14.74/hr", + "B) $14.42/hr", + "C) $13.61/hr", + "D) $14.10/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$14.42/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 135,716K\nB) 127,810K\nC) 131,763K\nD) 122,540K", + "options": [ + "A) 135,716K", + "B) 127,810K", + "C) 131,763K", + "D) 122,540K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "131,763K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 4.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.14%", + "B) 3.98%", + "C) 4.54%", + "D) 4.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 110.39\nB) 113.03\nC) 107.76\nD) 115.67", + "options": [ + "A) 110.39", + "B) 113.03", + "C) 107.76", + "D) 115.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "110.39", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $194,545M\nB) $182,209M\nC) $169,873M\nD) $186,321M", + "options": [ + "A) $194,545M", + "B) $182,209M", + "C) $169,873M", + "D) $186,321M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$182,209M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20010901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.64\nB) 79.92\nC) 76.12\nD) 73.83", + "options": [ + "A) 77.64", + "B) 79.92", + "C) 76.12", + "D) 73.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "76.12", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.18pp\nB) -0.26pp\nC) +0.06pp\nD) -0.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.18pp", + "B) -0.26pp", + "C) +0.06pp", + "D) -0.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20010301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2001", + "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.16%\nB) 6.32%\nC) -1.34%\nD) 2.49%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.16%", + "B) 6.32%", + "C) -1.34%", + "D) 2.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-5.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,087.74\nB) 1,527.80\nC) 2,847.97\nD) 2,407.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 1,087.74", + "B) 1,527.80", + "C) 2,847.97", + "D) 2,407.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,527.80", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,087.74\nB) 1,527.80\nC) 2,847.97\nD) 2,407.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 1,087.74", + "B) 1,527.80", + "C) 2,847.97", + "D) 2,407.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,527.80", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,303.30", + "B) 2,743.36", + "C) 1,423.19", + "D) 1,863.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,303.30", + "B) 2,743.36", + "C) 1,423.19", + "D) 1,863.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 1,423.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,303.30", + "B) 2,743.36", + "C) 1,863.25", + "D) 1,423.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 1,423.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,303.30", + "B) 2,743.36", + "C) 1,863.25", + "D) 1,423.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,423.19\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 2,303.30\nD) 1,863.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 1,423.19", + "B) 2,743.36", + "C) 2,303.30", + "D) 1,863.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,423.19\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 2,303.30\nD) 1,863.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 1,423.19", + "B) 2,743.36", + "C) 2,303.30", + "D) 1,863.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 1,423.19\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 2,743.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,303.30", + "B) 1,423.19", + "C) 1,863.25", + "D) 2,743.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 1,423.19\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 2,743.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,303.30", + "B) 1,423.19", + "C) 1,863.25", + "D) 2,743.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,743.36\nB) 2,303.30\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,743.36", + "B) 2,303.30", + "C) 1,423.19", + "D) 1,863.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,743.36\nB) 2,303.30\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,743.36", + "B) 2,303.30", + "C) 1,423.19", + "D) 1,863.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,423.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 42.16\nB) 33.93\nC) 35.58\nD) 38.87", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 42.16", + "B) 33.93", + "C) 35.58", + "D) 38.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "38.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 42.16\nB) 33.93\nC) 35.58\nD) 38.87", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 42.16", + "B) 33.93", + "C) 35.58", + "D) 38.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "38.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 31.93\nB) 36.87\nC) 28.64\nD) 33.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 31.93", + "B) 36.87", + "C) 28.64", + "D) 33.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "31.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 31.93\nB) 36.87\nC) 28.64\nD) 33.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 31.93", + "B) 36.87", + "C) 28.64", + "D) 33.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "31.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 29.53\nB) 31.18\nC) 36.12\nD) 34.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 29.53", + "B) 31.18", + "C) 36.12", + "D) 34.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "31.18", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 29.53\nB) 31.18\nC) 36.12\nD) 34.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 29.53", + "B) 31.18", + "C) 36.12", + "D) 34.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "31.18", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 32.38\nB) 22.50\nC) 27.44\nD) 25.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 32.38", + "B) 22.50", + "C) 27.44", + "D) 25.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "27.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 32.38\nB) 22.50\nC) 27.44\nD) 25.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 32.38", + "B) 22.50", + "C) 27.44", + "D) 25.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "27.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 24.67\nB) 21.37\nC) 27.96\nD) 23.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 24.67", + "B) 21.37", + "C) 27.96", + "D) 23.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "23.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 24.67\nB) 21.37\nC) 27.96\nD) 23.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 24.67", + "B) 21.37", + "C) 27.96", + "D) 23.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "23.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 19.27\nB) 17.62\nC) 15.98\nD) 14.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 19.27", + "B) 17.62", + "C) 15.98", + "D) 14.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19.27", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 19.27\nB) 17.62\nC) 15.98\nD) 14.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 19.27", + "B) 17.62", + "C) 15.98", + "D) 14.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19.27", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.19%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 4.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.19%", + "B) 4.72%", + "C) 5.52%", + "D) 4.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.19%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 4.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.19%", + "B) 4.72%", + "C) 5.52%", + "D) 4.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 5.55%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.28%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.48%", + "B) 5.55%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 5.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 5.55%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.28%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.48%", + "B) 5.55%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 5.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 5.28%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 5.28%", + "B) 5.02%", + "C) 3.95%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 5.28%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 5.28%", + "B) 5.02%", + "C) 3.95%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 4.22%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.75%", + "B) 3.95%", + "C) 5.02%", + "D) 4.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 4.22%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.75%", + "B) 3.95%", + "C) 5.02%", + "D) 4.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 6.00%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.47%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.00%", + "B) 5.20%", + "C) 4.93%", + "D) 5.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 6.00%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.47%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.00%", + "B) 5.20%", + "C) 4.93%", + "D) 5.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.80%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 5.86%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.80%", + "B) 5.06%", + "C) 5.33%", + "D) 5.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.33%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.80%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 5.86%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.80%", + "B) 5.06%", + "C) 5.33%", + "D) 5.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.33%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $32.33/bbl\nB) $24.52/bbl\nC) $29.20/bbl\nD) $27.64/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $32.33/bbl", + "B) $24.52/bbl", + "C) $29.20/bbl", + "D) $27.64/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$27.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $32.33/bbl\nB) $24.52/bbl\nC) $29.20/bbl\nD) $27.64/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $32.33/bbl", + "B) $24.52/bbl", + "C) $29.20/bbl", + "D) $27.64/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$27.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $21.46/bbl\nB) $24.58/bbl\nC) $23.02/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $21.46/bbl", + "B) $24.58/bbl", + "C) $23.02/bbl", + "D) $18.34/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $21.46/bbl\nB) $24.58/bbl\nC) $23.02/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $21.46/bbl", + "B) $24.58/bbl", + "C) $23.02/bbl", + "D) $18.34/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $24.58/bbl\nB) $21.46/bbl\nC) $19.90/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $24.58/bbl", + "B) $21.46/bbl", + "C) $19.90/bbl", + "D) $18.34/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $24.58/bbl\nB) $21.46/bbl\nC) $19.90/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $24.58/bbl", + "B) $21.46/bbl", + "C) $19.90/bbl", + "D) $18.34/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $16.81/bbl\nB) $24.62/bbl\nC) $19.93/bbl\nD) $18.37/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $16.81/bbl", + "B) $24.62/bbl", + "C) $19.93/bbl", + "D) $18.37/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$19.93/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $16.81/bbl\nB) $24.62/bbl\nC) $19.93/bbl\nD) $18.37/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $16.81/bbl", + "B) $24.62/bbl", + "C) $19.93/bbl", + "D) $18.37/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$19.93/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $14.38/bbl\nB) $12.81/bbl\nC) $19.06/bbl\nD) $17.50/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $14.38/bbl", + "B) $12.81/bbl", + "C) $19.06/bbl", + "D) $17.50/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $14.38/bbl\nB) $12.81/bbl\nC) $19.06/bbl\nD) $17.50/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $14.38/bbl", + "B) $12.81/bbl", + "C) $19.06/bbl", + "D) $17.50/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $17.50/bbl\nB) $22.19/bbl\nC) $15.94/bbl\nD) $19.06/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $17.50/bbl", + "B) $22.19/bbl", + "C) $15.94/bbl", + "D) $19.06/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $17.50/bbl\nB) $22.19/bbl\nC) $15.94/bbl\nD) $19.06/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) $17.50/bbl", + "B) $22.19/bbl", + "C) $15.94/bbl", + "D) $19.06/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 113.7169\nB) 117.3200\nC) 110.1137\nD) 106.5106", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 113.7169", + "B) 117.3200", + "C) 110.1137", + "D) 106.5106" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "117.3200", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 113.7169\nB) 117.3200\nC) 110.1137\nD) 106.5106", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 113.7169", + "B) 117.3200", + "C) 110.1137", + "D) 106.5106" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "117.3200", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 108.6837\nB) 126.6994\nC) 115.8900\nD) 112.2869", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 108.6837", + "B) 126.6994", + "C) 115.8900", + "D) 112.2869" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 108.6837\nB) 126.6994\nC) 115.8900\nD) 112.2869", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 108.6837", + "B) 126.6994", + "C) 115.8900", + "D) 112.2869" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 112.2869\nB) 126.6994\nC) 108.6837\nD) 115.8900", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 112.2869", + "B) 126.6994", + "C) 108.6837", + "D) 115.8900" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 112.2869\nB) 126.6994\nC) 108.6837\nD) 115.8900", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 112.2869", + "B) 126.6994", + "C) 108.6837", + "D) 115.8900" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 115.8900\nB) 123.0963\nC) 108.6837\nD) 119.4931", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 115.8900", + "B) 123.0963", + "C) 108.6837", + "D) 119.4931" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 115.8900\nB) 123.0963\nC) 108.6837\nD) 119.4931", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 115.8900", + "B) 123.0963", + "C) 108.6837", + "D) 119.4931" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 123.0963\nB) 115.8900\nC) 126.6994\nD) 105.0806", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 123.0963", + "B) 115.8900", + "C) 126.6994", + "D) 105.0806" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 123.0963\nB) 115.8900\nC) 126.6994\nD) 105.0806", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 123.0963", + "B) 115.8900", + "C) 126.6994", + "D) 105.0806" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 105.0806\nB) 112.2869\nC) 115.8900\nD) 108.6837", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 105.0806", + "B) 112.2869", + "C) 115.8900", + "D) 108.6837" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 105.0806\nB) 112.2869\nC) 115.8900\nD) 108.6837", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", + "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", + "options": [ + "A) 105.0806", + "B) 112.2869", + "C) 115.8900", + "D) 108.6837" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "115.8900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "9/11 attacks", + "event_date": "2001-09-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", + "year": 2001 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 123,977K\nB) 133,112K\nC) 126,587K\nD) 130,502K", + "options": [ + "A) 123,977K", + "B) 133,112K", + "C) 126,587K", + "D) 130,502K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "130,502K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) 1.52%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 0.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.94%", + "B) 1.52%", + "C) 1.81%", + "D) 0.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.44pp\nB) +1.40pp\nC) +0.71pp\nD) +0.36pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.44pp", + "B) +1.40pp", + "C) +0.71pp", + "D) +0.36pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+1.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.41pp\nB) -2.11pp\nC) -1.50pp\nD) -1.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) -2.41pp", + "B) -2.11pp", + "C) -1.50pp", + "D) -1.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 1.14%\nC) 1.66%\nD) 1.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.76%", + "B) 1.14%", + "C) 1.66%", + "D) 1.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $659M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $659M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$659M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.49\nB) 75.76\nC) 78.04\nD) 71.22", + "options": [ + "A) 73.49", + "B) 75.76", + "C) 78.04", + "D) 71.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "75.76", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $155,098M\nB) $172,708M\nC) $166,838M\nD) $184,449M", + "options": [ + "A) $155,098M", + "B) $172,708M", + "C) $166,838M", + "D) $184,449M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$166,838M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.34%\nD) -0.96%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.49%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 1.34%", + "D) -0.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.27%\nB) 0.28%\nC) 12.24%\nD) -2.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.27%", + "B) 0.28%", + "C) 12.24%", + "D) -2.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.49%\nB) 5.74%\nC) 7.24%\nD) 4.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.49%", + "B) 5.74%", + "C) 7.24%", + "D) 4.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.35%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 3.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.35%", + "B) 2.91%", + "C) 2.77%", + "D) 3.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.4354\nB) 8.6835\nC) 8.1046\nD) 8.2700", + "options": [ + "A) 8.4354", + "B) 8.6835", + "C) 8.1046", + "D) 8.2700" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.2700", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.65\nB) 92.47\nC) 86.12\nD) 88.84", + "options": [ + "A) 90.65", + "B) 92.47", + "C) 86.12", + "D) 88.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "90.65", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 2.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 2.44%", + "C) 2.76%", + "D) 2.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.81pp\nB) -0.19pp\nC) -0.50pp\nD) +0.44pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.81pp", + "B) -0.19pp", + "C) -0.50pp", + "D) +0.44pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $13.71/hr\nB) $14.51/hr\nC) $15.85/hr\nD) $15.05/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $13.71/hr", + "B) $14.51/hr", + "C) $15.85/hr", + "D) $15.05/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$15.05/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 132.30\nB) 143.04\nC) 138.74\nD) 128.00", + "options": [ + "A) 132.30", + "B) 143.04", + "C) 138.74", + "D) 128.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "132.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.62%\nB) 1.65%\nC) -2.44%\nD) 13.93%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.62%", + "B) 1.65%", + "C) -2.44%", + "D) 13.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 133.0180\nB) 115.4820\nC) 124.2500\nD) 111.0980", + "options": [ + "A) 133.0180", + "B) 115.4820", + "C) 124.2500", + "D) 111.0980" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "124.2500", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.24%\nB) 0.01%\nC) 2.25%\nD) -4.49%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.24%", + "B) 0.01%", + "C) 2.25%", + "D) -4.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-4.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 3.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.94%", + "B) 2.45%", + "C) 2.69%", + "D) 3.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 2.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.61%", + "B) 2.44%", + "C) 2.35%", + "D) 2.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,577K\nB) 1,777K\nC) 1,691K\nD) 1,634K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,577K", + "B) 1,777K", + "C) 1,691K", + "D) 1,634K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,691K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -8.30%\nB) 39.23%\nC) -55.84%\nD) -32.07%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.30%", + "B) 39.23%", + "C) -55.84%", + "D) -32.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-32.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,154B\nB) $8,823B\nC) $8,600B\nD) $7,930B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,154B", + "B) $8,823B", + "C) $8,600B", + "D) $7,930B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$8,154B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.8620\nB) 0.9448\nC) 1.1519\nD) 1.0276", + "options": [ + "A) 0.8620", + "B) 0.9448", + "C) 1.1519", + "D) 1.0276" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.9448", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,679B\nB) $5,537B\nC) $5,108B\nD) $5,251B", + "options": [ + "A) $4,679B", + "B) $5,537B", + "C) $5,108B", + "D) $5,251B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$5,108B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 4.43%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 3.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.33%", + "B) 4.43%", + "C) 5.79%", + "D) 3.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $5,502B\nB) $5,821B\nC) $5,183B\nD) $5,342B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,502B", + "B) $5,821B", + "C) $5,183B", + "D) $5,342B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$5,502B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,181B\nB) $7,984B\nC) $7,591B\nD) $8,378B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,181B", + "B) $7,984B", + "C) $7,591B", + "D) $8,378B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$7,984B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 6.47%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 5.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.56%", + "B) 6.47%", + "C) 3.53%", + "D) 5.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,708K\nB) 1,866K\nC) 1,930K\nD) 1,803K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,708K", + "B) 1,866K", + "C) 1,930K", + "D) 1,803K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,803K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 0.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.71%", + "B) 3.24%", + "C) 2.47%", + "D) 0.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 203.49\nB) 191.30\nC) 196.17\nD) 186.43", + "options": [ + "A) 203.49", + "B) 191.30", + "C) 196.17", + "D) 186.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "191.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.13%\nB) -3.21%\nC) -0.75%\nD) 6.63%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.13%", + "B) -3.21%", + "C) -0.75%", + "D) 6.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $272,346M\nB) $283,812M\nC) $266,614M\nD) $278,079M", + "options": [ + "A) $272,346M", + "B) $283,812M", + "C) $266,614M", + "D) $278,079M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$278,079M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.14%\nB) -3.98%\nC) 1.55%\nD) -0.29%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.14%", + "B) -3.98%", + "C) 1.55%", + "D) -0.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 4.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.20%", + "B) 5.70%", + "C) 6.20%", + "D) 4.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,644K\nB) 128,108K\nC) 130,722K\nD) 124,186K", + "options": [ + "A) 134,644K", + "B) 128,108K", + "C) 130,722K", + "D) 124,186K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "130,722K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,783B\nB) $6,804B\nC) $7,979B\nD) $7,392B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,783B", + "B) $6,804B", + "C) $7,979B", + "D) $7,392B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$7,392B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 189.20\nB) 193.32\nC) 199.51\nD) 183.02", + "options": [ + "A) 189.20", + "B) 193.32", + "C) 199.51", + "D) 183.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "189.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.07%\nB) 8.42%\nC) 9.24%\nD) 5.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.07%", + "B) 8.42%", + "C) 9.24%", + "D) 5.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.05pp\nB) +1.07pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) -0.42pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.05pp", + "B) +1.07pp", + "C) +0.70pp", + "D) -0.42pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.70%\nB) 20.20%\nC) 22.69%\nD) 15.21%", + "options": [ + "A) 17.70%", + "B) 20.20%", + "C) 22.69%", + "D) 15.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.24%\nB) 2.42%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 2.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.24%", + "B) 2.42%", + "C) 1.98%", + "D) 2.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 74.80\nB) 77.11\nC) 79.42\nD) 73.25", + "options": [ + "A) 74.80", + "B) 77.11", + "C) 79.42", + "D) 73.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "77.11", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $14.11/hr\nB) $15.76/hr\nC) $14.82/hr\nD) $15.29/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $14.11/hr", + "B) $15.76/hr", + "C) $14.82/hr", + "D) $15.29/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$14.82/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1,071.79\nB) 1,937.69\nC) 2,803.59\nD) 1,504.74", + "options": [ + "A) 1,071.79", + "B) 1,937.69", + "C) 2,803.59", + "D) 1,504.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,504.74", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 180.80\nB) 170.84\nC) 185.78\nD) 175.82", + "options": [ + "A) 180.80", + "B) 170.84", + "C) 185.78", + "D) 175.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "180.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 121.72\nB) 117.93\nC) 106.55\nD) 114.14", + "options": [ + "A) 121.72", + "B) 117.93", + "C) 106.55", + "D) 114.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "117.93", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 0.37%\nC) 1.73%\nD) 1.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.41%", + "B) 0.37%", + "C) 1.73%", + "D) 1.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 74.31\nB) 72.73\nC) 79.05\nD) 76.68", + "options": [ + "A) 74.31", + "B) 72.73", + "C) 79.05", + "D) 76.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "76.68", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,642K\nB) 1,739K\nC) 1,577K\nD) 1,512K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,642K", + "B) 1,739K", + "C) 1,577K", + "D) 1,512K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,642K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 134.62\nB) 125.50\nC) 116.37\nD) 120.93", + "options": [ + "A) 134.62", + "B) 125.50", + "C) 116.37", + "D) 120.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "125.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 82.29\nB) 100.17\nC) 95.70\nD) 104.64", + "options": [ + "A) 82.29", + "B) 100.17", + "C) 95.70", + "D) 104.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "95.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 24.83%\nB) 21.72%\nC) 6.16%\nD) 15.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 24.83%", + "B) 21.72%", + "C) 6.16%", + "D) 15.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 129.80\nB) 141.48\nC) 125.13\nD) 136.81", + "options": [ + "A) 129.80", + "B) 141.48", + "C) 125.13", + "D) 136.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "129.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,007,436\nB) 3,604,000\nC) 4,200,564\nD) 2,709,154", + "options": [ + "A) 3,007,436", + "B) 3,604,000", + "C) 4,200,564", + "D) 2,709,154" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3,604,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.85\nB) 87.38\nC) 89.17\nD) 85.59", + "options": [ + "A) 91.85", + "B) 87.38", + "C) 89.17", + "D) 85.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "89.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 31.80\nB) 20.12\nC) 27.91\nD) 25.96", + "options": [ + "A) 31.80", + "B) 20.12", + "C) 27.91", + "D) 25.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "25.96", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 7.20%\nD) 5.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.62%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 7.20%", + "D) 5.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.21pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) -0.42pp\nD) +0.22pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.21pp", + "B) -0.10pp", + "C) -0.42pp", + "D) +0.22pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.15%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 63.00%\nD) 64.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 66.15%", + "B) 61.11%", + "C) 63.00%", + "D) 64.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "63.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 4.90%\nD) 4.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.50%", + "B) 3.70%", + "C) 4.90%", + "D) 4.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $47,371M\nB) $39,744M\nC) $54,998M\nD) $49,913M", + "options": [ + "A) $47,371M", + "B) $39,744M", + "C) $54,998M", + "D) $49,913M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$47,371M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.60%\nB) 66.60%\nC) 64.60%\nD) 68.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.60%", + "B) 66.60%", + "C) 64.60%", + "D) 68.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "66.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 7.23%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 1.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.88%", + "B) 7.23%", + "C) 3.20%", + "D) 1.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.41%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 6.60%\nD) 1.93%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.41%", + "B) 4.26%", + "C) 6.60%", + "D) 1.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 178.50\nB) 189.93\nC) 183.07\nD) 173.93", + "options": [ + "A) 178.50", + "B) 189.93", + "C) 183.07", + "D) 173.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "178.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.48%\nB) 3.74%\nC) 4.65%\nD) 5.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.48%", + "B) 3.74%", + "C) 4.65%", + "D) 5.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.46%\nB) 6.48%\nC) 5.49%\nD) 3.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.46%", + "B) 6.48%", + "C) 5.49%", + "D) 3.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -16.38%\nB) 5.95%\nC) -21.96%\nD) -5.22%", + "options": [ + "A) -16.38%", + "B) 5.95%", + "C) -21.96%", + "D) -5.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-5.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -10.16%\nB) 43.58%\nC) 70.45%\nD) -37.03%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.16%", + "B) 43.58%", + "C) 70.45%", + "D) -37.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-10.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.03%\nB) 66.70%\nC) 65.37%\nD) 63.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.03%", + "B) 66.70%", + "C) 65.37%", + "D) 63.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "66.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 5.59%\nD) 5.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.42%", + "B) 5.93%", + "C) 5.59%", + "D) 5.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.71pp\nB) -0.81pp\nC) -0.92pp\nD) -0.60pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.71pp", + "B) -0.81pp", + "C) -0.92pp", + "D) -0.60pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.30pp\nB) -11.29pp\nC) -6.10pp\nD) -0.90pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.30pp", + "B) -11.29pp", + "C) -6.10pp", + "D) -0.90pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+4.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $53,997M\nB) $48,089M\nC) $42,181M\nD) $45,135M", + "options": [ + "A) $53,997M", + "B) $48,089M", + "C) $42,181M", + "D) $45,135M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$48,089M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 5.11%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 5.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.99%", + "B) 5.11%", + "C) 4.83%", + "D) 5.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.68%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 2.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -11.09%\nB) 60.98%\nC) -83.16%\nD) -59.13%", + "options": [ + "A) -11.09%", + "B) 60.98%", + "C) -83.16%", + "D) -59.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-11.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -16.88%\nB) -7.88%\nC) 1.12%\nD) -21.38%", + "options": [ + "A) -16.88%", + "B) -7.88%", + "C) 1.12%", + "D) -21.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-7.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 426,077\nB) 486,232\nC) 396,000\nD) 305,768", + "options": [ + "A) 426,077", + "B) 486,232", + "C) 396,000", + "D) 305,768" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "396,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,468B\nB) $5,856B\nC) $6,244B\nD) $5,662B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,468B", + "B) $5,856B", + "C) $6,244B", + "D) $5,662B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$5,662B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.53%\nB) -3.52%\nC) -0.20%\nD) 0.47%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.53%", + "B) -3.52%", + "C) -0.20%", + "D) 0.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 7.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.82%", + "B) 2.15%", + "C) 0.47%", + "D) 7.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.11%\nB) 5.36%\nC) 5.80%\nD) 4.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.11%", + "B) 5.36%", + "C) 5.80%", + "D) 4.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.39pp\nB) +3.12pp\nC) +1.85pp\nD) +0.58pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.39pp", + "B) +3.12pp", + "C) +1.85pp", + "D) +0.58pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.58pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 74.46%\nB) 69.97%\nC) 78.94%\nD) 77.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 74.46%", + "B) 69.97%", + "C) 78.94%", + "D) 77.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "74.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 5.13%\nC) 10.51%\nD) 8.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.54%", + "B) 5.13%", + "C) 10.51%", + "D) 8.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $179,561M\nB) $185,415M\nC) $167,853M\nD) $161,999M", + "options": [ + "A) $179,561M", + "B) $185,415M", + "C) $167,853M", + "D) $161,999M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$167,853M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $274,980M\nB) $299,315M\nC) $268,897M\nD) $281,064M", + "options": [ + "A) $274,980M", + "B) $299,315M", + "C) $268,897M", + "D) $281,064M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$281,064M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.20pp\nB) -1.23pp\nC) -12.10pp\nD) -6.67pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.20pp", + "B) -1.23pp", + "C) -12.10pp", + "D) -6.67pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+4.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.87%\nB) 1.93%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 2.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.87%", + "B) 1.93%", + "C) 2.64%", + "D) 2.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,877K\nB) 1,731K\nC) 1,804K\nD) 1,767K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,877K", + "B) 1,731K", + "C) 1,804K", + "D) 1,767K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,804K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.90%\nB) 9.09%\nC) 7.88%\nD) 8.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.90%", + "B) 9.09%", + "C) 7.88%", + "D) 8.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.69%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 1.79%\nD) 5.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.69%", + "B) 4.64%", + "C) 1.79%", + "D) 5.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 80.43%\nB) 75.50%\nC) 72.21%\nD) 77.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 80.43%", + "B) 75.50%", + "C) 72.21%", + "D) 77.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "75.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.70%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 0.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.70%", + "B) 2.39%", + "C) 1.36%", + "D) 0.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) $31.53/bbl\nB) $23.09/bbl\nC) $17.46/bbl\nD) $25.90/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $31.53/bbl", + "B) $23.09/bbl", + "C) $17.46/bbl", + "D) $25.90/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$25.90/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.79pp\nB) -7.87pp\nC) -1.07pp\nD) -6.51pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.79pp", + "B) -7.87pp", + "C) -1.07pp", + "D) -6.51pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-3.79pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.63\nB) 77.97\nC) 73.29\nD) 80.31", + "options": [ + "A) 75.63", + "B) 77.97", + "C) 73.29", + "D) 80.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "77.97", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.71pp\nB) +3.11pp\nC) +1.91pp\nD) +0.71pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.71pp", + "B) +3.11pp", + "C) +1.91pp", + "D) +0.71pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.91pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 1.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.03%", + "B) 3.47%", + "C) 2.61%", + "D) 1.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $-31,161M\nB) $-23,717M\nC) $-33,642M\nD) $-28,680M", + "options": [ + "A) $-31,161M", + "B) $-23,717M", + "C) $-33,642M", + "D) $-28,680M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-31,161M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.92%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.35%\nD) 5.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.92%", + "B) 5.50%", + "C) 6.35%", + "D) 5.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.40%\nB) -6.44%\nC) -18.53%\nD) -12.49%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.40%", + "B) -6.44%", + "C) -18.53%", + "D) -12.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-18.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) $21.14/bbl\nB) $15.48/bbl\nC) $18.31/bbl\nD) $23.97/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $21.14/bbl", + "B) $15.48/bbl", + "C) $18.31/bbl", + "D) $23.97/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$23.97/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,243B\nB) $6,713B\nC) $7,597B\nD) $7,066B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,243B", + "B) $6,713B", + "C) $7,597B", + "D) $7,066B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$7,243B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $-38,664M\nB) $-36,088M\nC) $-30,936M\nD) $-41,240M", + "options": [ + "A) $-38,664M", + "B) $-36,088M", + "C) $-30,936M", + "D) $-41,240M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-36,088M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.98%\nB) 6.06%\nC) 6.83%\nD) 7.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.98%", + "B) 6.06%", + "C) 6.83%", + "D) 7.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.40%\nB) 8.20%\nC) 11.80%\nD) 10.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.40%", + "B) 8.20%", + "C) 11.80%", + "D) 10.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 86.10\nB) 94.98\nC) 90.54\nD) 77.22", + "options": [ + "A) 86.10", + "B) 94.98", + "C) 90.54", + "D) 77.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "86.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.40%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.40%", + "B) 5.70%", + "C) 5.00%", + "D) 4.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20020301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 65.94%\nB) 61.54%\nC) 62.80%\nD) 64.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 65.94%", + "B) 61.54%", + "C) 62.80%", + "D) 64.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "62.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $680M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $680M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$680M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20020901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2002", + "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 2.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.52%", + "B) 2.44%", + "C) 0.14%", + "D) 2.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20020615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2002-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.99%\nB) 6.71%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 6.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.99%", + "B) 6.71%", + "C) 7.26%", + "D) 6.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,511.78\nB) 1,006.23\nC) 1,382.62\nD) 1,759.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,511.78", + "B) 1,006.23", + "C) 1,382.62", + "D) 1,759.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,382.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,511.78\nB) 1,006.23\nC) 1,382.62\nD) 1,759.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,511.78", + "B) 1,006.23", + "C) 1,382.62", + "D) 1,759.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,382.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,150.02\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 2,526.41\nD) 1,397.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,150.02", + "B) 1,020.86", + "C) 2,526.41", + "D) 1,397.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,397.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,150.02\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 2,526.41\nD) 1,397.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,150.02", + "B) 1,020.86", + "C) 2,526.41", + "D) 1,397.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,397.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,397.25\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 1,773.64\nD) 2,150.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 1,397.25", + "B) 1,020.86", + "C) 1,773.64", + "D) 2,150.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,397.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,397.25\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 1,773.64\nD) 2,150.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 1,397.25", + "B) 1,020.86", + "C) 1,773.64", + "D) 2,150.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,397.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,175.72\nB) 1,422.95\nC) 1,799.34\nD) 2,552.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,175.72", + "B) 1,422.95", + "C) 1,799.34", + "D) 2,552.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,422.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,175.72\nB) 1,422.95\nC) 1,799.34\nD) 2,552.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,175.72", + "B) 1,422.95", + "C) 1,799.34", + "D) 2,552.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,422.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.11\nB) 1,799.34\nC) 1,422.95\nD) 1,046.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,552.11", + "B) 1,799.34", + "C) 1,422.95", + "D) 1,046.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,422.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.11\nB) 1,799.34\nC) 1,422.95\nD) 1,046.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,552.11", + "B) 1,799.34", + "C) 1,422.95", + "D) 1,046.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,422.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,617.10\nB) 2,240.71\nC) 1,864.33\nD) 1,487.94", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,617.10", + "B) 2,240.71", + "C) 1,864.33", + "D) 1,487.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,487.94", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,617.10\nB) 2,240.71\nC) 1,864.33\nD) 1,487.94", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,617.10", + "B) 2,240.71", + "C) 1,864.33", + "D) 1,487.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,487.94", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 36.65\nB) 32.14\nC) 34.39\nD) 29.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 36.65", + "B) 32.14", + "C) 34.39", + "D) 29.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "36.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 36.65\nB) 32.14\nC) 34.39\nD) 29.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 36.65", + "B) 32.14", + "C) 34.39", + "D) 29.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "36.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 40.41\nB) 44.92\nC) 38.15\nD) 47.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 40.41", + "B) 44.92", + "C) 38.15", + "D) 47.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "44.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 40.41\nB) 44.92\nC) 38.15\nD) 47.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 40.41", + "B) 44.92", + "C) 38.15", + "D) 47.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "44.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 51.85\nB) 42.82\nC) 45.08\nD) 49.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 51.85", + "B) 42.82", + "C) 45.08", + "D) 49.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 51.85\nB) 42.82\nC) 45.08\nD) 49.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 51.85", + "B) 42.82", + "C) 45.08", + "D) 49.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 47.34\nB) 51.85\nC) 42.82\nD) 45.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 47.34", + "B) 51.85", + "C) 42.82", + "D) 45.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 47.34\nB) 51.85\nC) 42.82\nD) 45.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 47.34", + "B) 51.85", + "C) 42.82", + "D) 45.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 45.08\nB) 40.57\nC) 47.34\nD) 42.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 45.08", + "B) 40.57", + "C) 47.34", + "D) 42.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 45.08\nB) 40.57\nC) 47.34\nD) 42.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 45.08", + "B) 40.57", + "C) 47.34", + "D) 42.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 49.59\nB) 45.08\nC) 51.85\nD) 40.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 49.59", + "B) 45.08", + "C) 51.85", + "D) 40.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 49.59\nB) 45.08\nC) 51.85\nD) 40.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 49.59", + "B) 45.08", + "C) 51.85", + "D) 40.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "45.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 5.33%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 5.33%", + "B) 4.56%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 5.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 5.33%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 5.33%", + "B) 4.56%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 5.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.17%", + "B) 4.56%", + "C) 4.36%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.17%", + "B) 4.56%", + "C) 4.36%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.36%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.75%", + "B) 5.33%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 4.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.36%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.75%", + "B) 5.33%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 4.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 5.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.56%", + "B) 4.75%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 5.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 5.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.56%", + "B) 4.75%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 5.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.94%", + "B) 4.56%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 4.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.94%", + "B) 4.56%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 4.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.36%", + "B) 4.94%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", + "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.36%", + "B) 4.94%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", + "event_date": "2002-07-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", + "year": 2002 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.60\nB) 82.42\nC) 63.13\nD) 92.07", + "options": [ + "A) 77.60", + "B) 82.42", + "C) 63.13", + "D) 92.07" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "77.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.73\nB) 87.70\nC) 72.79\nD) 102.61", + "options": [ + "A) 82.73", + "B) 87.70", + "C) 72.79", + "D) 102.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "87.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.85%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.85%", + "B) 1.46%", + "C) 1.25%", + "D) 1.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.68%\nB) 6.95%\nC) 7.37%\nD) 6.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.68%", + "B) 6.95%", + "C) 7.37%", + "D) 6.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,726K\nB) 1,683K\nC) 1,640K\nD) 1,812K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,726K", + "B) 1,683K", + "C) 1,640K", + "D) 1,812K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,726K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 208.30\nB) 193.70\nC) 187.86\nD) 202.46", + "options": [ + "A) 208.30", + "B) 193.70", + "C) 187.86", + "D) 202.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "193.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 7.92%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 6.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.13%", + "B) 7.92%", + "C) 5.08%", + "D) 6.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,306B\nB) $6,525B\nC) $6,087B\nD) $5,868B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,306B", + "B) $6,525B", + "C) $6,087B", + "D) $5,868B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$5,868B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.19%\nB) 1.17%\nC) -0.87%\nD) -1.56%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.19%", + "B) 1.17%", + "C) -0.87%", + "D) -1.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) +3.45pp\nB) +2.00pp\nC) +1.52pp\nD) +0.55pp", + "options": [ + "A) +3.45pp", + "B) +2.00pp", + "C) +1.52pp", + "D) +0.55pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+2.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) -2.71%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 0.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.05%", + "B) -2.71%", + "C) 2.17%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,628M\nB) $-38,449M\nC) $-31,663M\nD) $-41,842M", + "options": [ + "A) $-48,628M", + "B) $-38,449M", + "C) $-31,663M", + "D) $-41,842M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-41,842M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.00%\nB) 63.24%\nC) 60.14%\nD) 65.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.00%", + "B) 63.24%", + "C) 60.14%", + "D) 65.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "62.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $-40,832M\nB) $-43,806M\nC) $-52,729M\nD) $-46,780M", + "options": [ + "A) $-40,832M", + "B) $-43,806M", + "C) $-52,729M", + "D) $-46,780M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-43,806M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 1,193.28\nB) 2,142.26\nC) 1,667.77\nD) 3,091.24", + "options": [ + "A) 1,193.28", + "B) 2,142.26", + "C) 1,667.77", + "D) 3,091.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,667.77", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.84%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 5.94%\nD) 4.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.84%", + "B) 2.31%", + "C) 5.94%", + "D) 4.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 3.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.25%", + "B) 2.18%", + "C) 4.04%", + "D) 3.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $721M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $721M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$721M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.60%\nB) 4.04%\nC) 5.21%\nD) 6.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.60%", + "B) 4.04%", + "C) 5.21%", + "D) 6.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.61pp\nB) +11.07pp\nC) -7.87pp\nD) +1.60pp", + "options": [ + "A) -12.61pp", + "B) +11.07pp", + "C) -7.87pp", + "D) +1.60pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+1.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,939K\nB) 1,842K\nC) 2,036K\nD) 1,987K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,939K", + "B) 1,842K", + "C) 2,036K", + "D) 1,987K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,939K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.66%\nB) 9.23%\nC) 10.53%\nD) 7.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.66%", + "B) 9.23%", + "C) 10.53%", + "D) 7.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 149.39\nB) 124.77\nC) 137.08\nD) 118.61", + "options": [ + "A) 149.39", + "B) 124.77", + "C) 137.08", + "D) 118.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "137.08", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 3.25%\nD) 2.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.93%", + "B) 2.92%", + "C) 3.25%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 78.47\nB) 74.49\nC) 76.08\nD) 80.07", + "options": [ + "A) 78.47", + "B) 74.49", + "C) 76.08", + "D) 80.07" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "78.47", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 151.60\nB) 141.20\nC) 147.44\nD) 137.04", + "options": [ + "A) 151.60", + "B) 141.20", + "C) 147.44", + "D) 137.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "141.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.42\nB) 75.14\nC) 77.72\nD) 80.31", + "options": [ + "A) 73.42", + "B) 75.14", + "C) 77.72", + "D) 80.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "77.72", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 4,688,135\nB) 3,032,910\nC) 4,026,045\nD) 3,695,000", + "options": [ + "A) 4,688,135", + "B) 3,032,910", + "C) 4,026,045", + "D) 3,695,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,695,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,961K\nB) 1,861K\nC) 2,011K\nD) 1,911K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,961K", + "B) 1,861K", + "C) 2,011K", + "D) 1,911K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,961K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 450,961\nB) 421,000\nC) 331,116\nD) 361,078", + "options": [ + "A) 450,961", + "B) 421,000", + "C) 331,116", + "D) 361,078" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "421,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.21%", + "B) 3.63%", + "C) 2.38%", + "D) 1.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.38pp\nB) +3.78pp\nC) -0.41pp\nD) +0.98pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.38pp", + "B) +3.78pp", + "C) -0.41pp", + "D) +0.98pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.98pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 76.03%\nB) 74.39%\nC) 72.74%\nD) 80.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 76.03%", + "B) 74.39%", + "C) 72.74%", + "D) 80.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "76.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 139.72\nB) 129.31\nC) 144.93\nD) 118.90", + "options": [ + "A) 139.72", + "B) 129.31", + "C) 144.93", + "D) 118.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "129.31", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.21\nB) 22.72\nC) 20.22\nD) 15.23", + "options": [ + "A) 25.21", + "B) 22.72", + "C) 20.22", + "D) 15.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.22", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.3131\nB) 1.0984\nC) 1.3989\nD) 1.1843", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3131", + "B) 1.0984", + "C) 1.3989", + "D) 1.1843" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1843", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 2.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.46%", + "B) 1.96%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 2.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,312B\nB) $6,080B\nC) $6,336B\nD) $5,568B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,312B", + "B) $6,080B", + "C) $6,336B", + "D) $5,568B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$6,080B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.16%\nB) 6.99%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 0.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.16%", + "B) 6.99%", + "C) 3.90%", + "D) 0.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.45\nB) 75.40\nC) 80.27\nD) 78.32", + "options": [ + "A) 73.45", + "B) 75.40", + "C) 80.27", + "D) 78.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "78.32", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.48%\nB) 3.86%\nC) -3.38%\nD) 11.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.48%", + "B) 3.86%", + "C) -3.38%", + "D) 11.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 6.25%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 8.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.50%", + "B) 6.25%", + "C) 3.63%", + "D) 8.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 88.76\nB) 94.25\nC) 91.51\nD) 97.00", + "options": [ + "A) 88.76", + "B) 94.25", + "C) 91.51", + "D) 97.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "91.51", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 1.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.01%", + "B) 4.01%", + "C) 3.01%", + "D) 1.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) $5,686B\nB) $5,494B\nC) $5,109B\nD) $5,878B", + "options": [ + "A) $5,686B", + "B) $5,494B", + "C) $5,109B", + "D) $5,878B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$5,686B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $705M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $705M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$705M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.04%\nD) 2.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.79%", + "B) 3.53%", + "C) 3.04%", + "D) 2.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 15.05%\nB) 9.73%\nC) 12.39%\nD) 11.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.05%", + "B) 9.73%", + "C) 12.39%", + "D) 11.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.47%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 4.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.47%", + "B) 4.67%", + "C) 4.06%", + "D) 4.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 6.28%\nD) 6.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.05%", + "B) 5.90%", + "C) 6.28%", + "D) 6.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,377B\nB) $8,299B\nC) $8,569B\nD) $8,030B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,377B", + "B) $8,299B", + "C) $8,569B", + "D) $8,030B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$8,569B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 7.58%\nC) 10.03%\nD) 6.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.90%", + "B) 7.58%", + "C) 10.03%", + "D) 6.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.03%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.03%", + "B) 3.47%", + "C) 2.58%", + "D) 2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.78%\nB) 66.10%\nC) 62.79%\nD) 68.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.78%", + "B) 66.10%", + "C) 62.79%", + "D) 68.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "66.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $307,224M\nB) $300,875M\nC) $288,177M\nD) $275,479M", + "options": [ + "A) $307,224M", + "B) $300,875M", + "C) $288,177M", + "D) $275,479M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$288,177M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 80.70%\nB) -37.06%\nC) 33.60%\nD) 10.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 80.70%", + "B) -37.06%", + "C) 33.60%", + "D) 10.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 0.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.14%", + "B) 1.55%", + "C) 3.33%", + "D) 0.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 78.09%\nB) 76.48%\nC) 73.27%\nD) 71.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 78.09%", + "B) 76.48%", + "C) 73.27%", + "D) 71.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "76.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.98%\nB) 11.87%\nC) 8.76%\nD) -0.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.98%", + "B) 11.87%", + "C) 8.76%", + "D) -0.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.19pp\nB) -1.54pp\nC) -1.81pp\nD) -1.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.19pp", + "B) -1.54pp", + "C) -1.81pp", + "D) -1.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 7.60%\nC) -0.34%\nD) 2.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.63%", + "B) 7.60%", + "C) -0.34%", + "D) 2.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 93.84\nB) 91.10\nC) 95.66\nD) 88.37", + "options": [ + "A) 93.84", + "B) 91.10", + "C) 95.66", + "D) 88.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "91.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.71%\nB) 1.79%\nC) 0.87%\nD) 3.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.71%", + "B) 1.79%", + "C) 0.87%", + "D) 3.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $16.15/hr\nB) $14.39/hr\nC) $13.80/hr\nD) $15.27/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $16.15/hr", + "B) $14.39/hr", + "C) $13.80/hr", + "D) $15.27/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$15.27/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) -1.30%\nC) 10.45%\nD) -5.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.62%", + "B) -1.30%", + "C) 10.45%", + "D) -5.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $15.09/hr\nB) $15.42/hr\nC) $14.44/hr\nD) $16.40/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $15.09/hr", + "B) $15.42/hr", + "C) $14.44/hr", + "D) $16.40/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$15.42/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) $33.90/bbl\nB) $36.66/bbl\nC) $31.14/bbl\nD) $39.42/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $33.90/bbl", + "B) $36.66/bbl", + "C) $31.14/bbl", + "D) $39.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$31.14/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 179.18\nB) 191.02\nC) 196.95\nD) 185.10", + "options": [ + "A) 179.18", + "B) 191.02", + "C) 196.95", + "D) 185.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "185.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 4.48%\nD) 3.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.90%", + "B) 6.15%", + "C) 4.48%", + "D) 3.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $305,994M\nB) $298,921M\nC) $284,775M\nD) $320,140M", + "options": [ + "A) $305,994M", + "B) $298,921M", + "C) $284,775M", + "D) $320,140M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$298,921M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.19pp\nB) +0.48pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -1.28pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.19pp", + "B) +0.48pp", + "C) -0.40pp", + "D) -1.28pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.0286\nB) 7.7803\nC) 8.5252\nD) 8.2769", + "options": [ + "A) 8.0286", + "B) 7.7803", + "C) 8.5252", + "D) 8.2769" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.2769", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.62%\nB) 68.86%\nC) 3.99%\nD) -39.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 25.62%", + "B) 68.86%", + "C) 3.99%", + "D) -39.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "25.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.15pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +1.25pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.15pp", + "B) +0.20pp", + "C) +0.90pp", + "D) +1.25pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,832B\nB) $8,554B\nC) $8,313B\nD) $8,795B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,832B", + "B) $8,554B", + "C) $8,313B", + "D) $8,795B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$8,313B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 133.93\nB) 145.35\nC) 149.91\nD) 138.50", + "options": [ + "A) 133.93", + "B) 145.35", + "C) 149.91", + "D) 138.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "138.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $51,971M\nB) $45,699M\nC) $42,562M\nD) $61,380M", + "options": [ + "A) $51,971M", + "B) $45,699M", + "C) $42,562M", + "D) $61,380M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$51,971M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) $19.35/bbl\nB) $27.50/bbl\nC) $32.93/bbl\nD) $35.65/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $19.35/bbl", + "B) $27.50/bbl", + "C) $32.93/bbl", + "D) $35.65/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$27.50/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $61,114M\nB) $42,400M\nC) $51,757M\nD) $45,519M", + "options": [ + "A) $61,114M", + "B) $42,400M", + "C) $51,757M", + "D) $45,519M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$51,757M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,033B\nB) $8,244B\nC) $6,979B\nD) $7,612B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,033B", + "B) $8,244B", + "C) $6,979B", + "D) $7,612B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$7,612B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.57pp\nB) +0.19pp\nC) -1.19pp\nD) +5.72pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.57pp", + "B) +0.19pp", + "C) -1.19pp", + "D) +5.72pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+1.57pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $190,190M\nB) $178,690M\nC) $161,440M\nD) $184,440M", + "options": [ + "A) $190,190M", + "B) $178,690M", + "C) $161,440M", + "D) $184,440M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$178,690M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) -51.27%\nB) -9.87%\nC) 10.83%\nD) 72.94%", + "options": [ + "A) -51.27%", + "B) -9.87%", + "C) 10.83%", + "D) 72.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.61%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 4.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.61%", + "B) 5.33%", + "C) 4.04%", + "D) 4.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.54%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 1.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.77%", + "B) 1.54%", + "C) 2.11%", + "D) 1.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.10%\nB) 8.78%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 13.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.10%", + "B) 8.78%", + "C) 4.14%", + "D) 13.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.09%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 1.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.09%", + "B) 1.40%", + "C) 1.74%", + "D) 1.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.72pp\nB) +0.08pp\nC) +1.05pp\nD) +0.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.72pp", + "B) +0.08pp", + "C) +1.05pp", + "D) +0.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 183.90\nB) 173.18\nC) 178.54\nD) 191.94", + "options": [ + "A) 183.90", + "B) 173.18", + "C) 178.54", + "D) 191.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "183.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.51\nB) 79.11\nC) 81.81\nD) 77.31", + "options": [ + "A) 75.51", + "B) 79.11", + "C) 81.81", + "D) 77.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "79.11", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 5.97%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 7.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.34%", + "B) 5.97%", + "C) 5.09%", + "D) 7.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.70%\nB) 2.00%\nC) 5.35%\nD) 7.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.70%", + "B) 2.00%", + "C) 5.35%", + "D) 7.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) -2.08%\nC) 5.47%\nD) -0.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.94%", + "B) -2.08%", + "C) 5.47%", + "D) -0.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.89%\nB) 7.10%\nC) 10.77%\nD) 3.44%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.89%", + "B) 7.10%", + "C) 10.77%", + "D) 3.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,092B\nB) $7,377B\nC) $7,854B\nD) $7,139B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,092B", + "B) $7,377B", + "C) $7,854B", + "D) $7,139B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$7,854B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.27%\nB) 65.52%\nC) 60.53%\nD) 62.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.27%", + "B) 65.52%", + "C) 60.53%", + "D) 62.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "62.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.24%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 1.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.46%", + "B) 1.24%", + "C) 1.69%", + "D) 1.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.51pp\nD) -0.09pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.40pp", + "B) -0.30pp", + "C) -0.51pp", + "D) -0.09pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.57%\nB) 1.82%\nC) -0.37%\nD) 0.36%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.57%", + "B) 1.82%", + "C) -0.37%", + "D) 0.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.05%\nB) 6.69%\nC) 8.73%\nD) 7.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.05%", + "B) 6.69%", + "C) 8.73%", + "D) 7.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -18.10pp\nB) -28.02pp\nC) -8.18pp\nD) -13.14pp", + "options": [ + "A) -18.10pp", + "B) -28.02pp", + "C) -8.18pp", + "D) -13.14pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-18.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $160,302M\nB) $172,245M\nC) $184,188M\nD) $178,216M", + "options": [ + "A) $160,302M", + "B) $172,245M", + "C) $184,188M", + "D) $178,216M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$172,245M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.87%\nB) 12.10%\nC) 5.12%\nD) 1.62%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.87%", + "B) 12.10%", + "C) 5.12%", + "D) 1.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.34%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 1.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.34%", + "B) 2.02%", + "C) 2.86%", + "D) 1.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) -0.80pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.60pp", + "B) -0.50pp", + "C) -0.70pp", + "D) -0.80pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 121.7672\nB) 117.7900\nC) 105.8585\nD) 129.7215", + "options": [ + "A) 121.7672", + "B) 117.7900", + "C) 105.8585", + "D) 129.7215" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "117.7900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 9.06%\nC) 5.98%\nD) 10.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.91%", + "B) 9.06%", + "C) 5.98%", + "D) 10.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.12%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 8.85%\nD) 6.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.12%", + "B) 5.93%", + "C) 8.85%", + "D) 6.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 1.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.14%", + "B) 1.83%", + "C) 1.21%", + "D) 1.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.10%\nB) 8.07%\nC) 23.15%\nD) -7.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.10%", + "B) 8.07%", + "C) 23.15%", + "D) -7.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,797K\nB) 1,717K\nC) 1,757K\nD) 1,877K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,797K", + "B) 1,717K", + "C) 1,757K", + "D) 1,877K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,757K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 25.02%\nC) -6.50%\nD) 9.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.00%", + "B) 25.02%", + "C) -6.50%", + "D) 9.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.69%\nB) 0.14%\nC) 6.96%\nD) -2.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.69%", + "B) 0.14%", + "C) 6.96%", + "D) -2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20030901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 126,344K\nB) 130,252K\nC) 132,857K\nD) 136,765K", + "options": [ + "A) 126,344K", + "B) 130,252K", + "C) 132,857K", + "D) 136,765K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "130,252K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,142K\nB) 136,747K\nC) 130,235K\nD) 126,328K", + "options": [ + "A) 134,142K", + "B) 136,747K", + "C) 130,235K", + "D) 126,328K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "130,235K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.37%\nB) 10.93%\nC) 10.07%\nD) 9.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.37%", + "B) 10.93%", + "C) 10.07%", + "D) 9.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 192.50\nB) 181.80\nC) 200.53\nD) 187.15", + "options": [ + "A) 192.50", + "B) 181.80", + "C) 200.53", + "D) 187.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "192.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20030301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2003", + "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 68.29%\nB) 66.30%\nC) 64.31%\nD) 62.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.29%", + "B) 66.30%", + "C) 64.31%", + "D) 62.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "66.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20030615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2003-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.38%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 2.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.38%", + "B) 3.98%", + "C) 3.18%", + "D) 2.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.15/bbl\nB) $37.69/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $29.15/bbl", + "B) $37.69/bbl", + "C) $31.29/bbl", + "D) $33.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.15/bbl\nB) $37.69/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $29.15/bbl", + "B) $37.69/bbl", + "C) $31.29/bbl", + "D) $33.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $39.82/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $35.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $33.42/bbl", + "B) $39.82/bbl", + "C) $31.29/bbl", + "D) $35.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $39.82/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $35.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $33.42/bbl", + "B) $39.82/bbl", + "C) $31.29/bbl", + "D) $35.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $33.42/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $39.82/bbl", + "B) $33.42/bbl", + "C) $29.15/bbl", + "D) $27.02/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $33.42/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $39.82/bbl", + "B) $33.42/bbl", + "C) $29.15/bbl", + "D) $27.02/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $31.29/bbl\nC) $33.42/bbl\nD) $29.15/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $39.82/bbl", + "B) $31.29/bbl", + "C) $33.42/bbl", + "D) $29.15/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $31.29/bbl\nC) $33.42/bbl\nD) $29.15/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $39.82/bbl", + "B) $31.29/bbl", + "C) $33.42/bbl", + "D) $29.15/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $31.29/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $31.29/bbl", + "B) $35.55/bbl", + "C) $29.15/bbl", + "D) $33.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $31.29/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $31.29/bbl", + "B) $35.55/bbl", + "C) $29.15/bbl", + "D) $33.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $33.42/bbl", + "B) $35.55/bbl", + "C) $31.29/bbl", + "D) $27.02/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $33.42/bbl", + "B) $35.55/bbl", + "C) $31.29/bbl", + "D) $27.02/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.52/bbl\nB) $25.59/bbl\nC) $19.70/bbl\nD) $21.66/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $29.52/bbl", + "B) $25.59/bbl", + "C) $19.70/bbl", + "D) $21.66/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.52/bbl\nB) $25.59/bbl\nC) $19.70/bbl\nD) $21.66/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $29.52/bbl", + "B) $25.59/bbl", + "C) $19.70/bbl", + "D) $21.66/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $19.70/bbl\nB) $21.66/bbl\nC) $25.59/bbl\nD) $23.63/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $19.70/bbl", + "B) $21.66/bbl", + "C) $25.59/bbl", + "D) $23.63/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $19.70/bbl\nB) $21.66/bbl\nC) $25.59/bbl\nD) $23.63/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $19.70/bbl", + "B) $21.66/bbl", + "C) $25.59/bbl", + "D) $23.63/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $26.35/bbl\nB) $18.50/bbl\nC) $20.46/bbl\nD) $24.39/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $26.35/bbl", + "B) $18.50/bbl", + "C) $20.46/bbl", + "D) $24.39/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$24.39/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $26.35/bbl\nB) $18.50/bbl\nC) $20.46/bbl\nD) $24.39/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $26.35/bbl", + "B) $18.50/bbl", + "C) $20.46/bbl", + "D) $24.39/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$24.39/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $23.23/bbl\nB) $27.16/bbl\nC) $29.12/bbl\nD) $25.19/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $23.23/bbl", + "B) $27.16/bbl", + "C) $29.12/bbl", + "D) $25.19/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $23.23/bbl\nB) $27.16/bbl\nC) $29.12/bbl\nD) $25.19/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $23.23/bbl", + "B) $27.16/bbl", + "C) $29.12/bbl", + "D) $25.19/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $23.23/bbl\nC) $25.19/bbl\nD) $29.12/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $27.16/bbl", + "B) $23.23/bbl", + "C) $25.19/bbl", + "D) $29.12/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $23.23/bbl\nC) $25.19/bbl\nD) $29.12/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $27.16/bbl", + "B) $23.23/bbl", + "C) $25.19/bbl", + "D) $29.12/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $29.12/bbl\nC) $23.23/bbl\nD) $21.27/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $27.16/bbl", + "B) $29.12/bbl", + "C) $23.23/bbl", + "D) $21.27/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $29.12/bbl\nC) $23.23/bbl\nD) $21.27/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) $27.16/bbl", + "B) $29.12/bbl", + "C) $23.23/bbl", + "D) $21.27/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 19.11\nB) 31.27\nC) 22.15\nD) 28.23", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 19.11", + "B) 31.27", + "C) 22.15", + "D) 28.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "28.23", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 19.11\nB) 31.27\nC) 22.15\nD) 28.23", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 19.11", + "B) 31.27", + "C) 22.15", + "D) 28.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "28.23", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 27.75\nB) 18.63\nC) 36.87\nD) 33.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 27.75", + "B) 18.63", + "C) 36.87", + "D) 33.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "27.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 27.75\nB) 18.63\nC) 36.87\nD) 33.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 27.75", + "B) 18.63", + "C) 36.87", + "D) 33.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "27.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 28.60\nB) 22.52\nC) 31.64\nD) 16.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 28.60", + "B) 22.52", + "C) 31.64", + "D) 16.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 28.60\nB) 22.52\nC) 31.64\nD) 16.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 28.60", + "B) 22.52", + "C) 31.64", + "D) 16.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 16.20\nB) 28.36\nC) 19.24\nD) 10.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 16.20", + "B) 28.36", + "C) 19.24", + "D) 10.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 16.20\nB) 28.36\nC) 19.24\nD) 10.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 16.20", + "B) 28.36", + "C) 19.24", + "D) 10.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 12.32\nB) 9.28\nC) 21.44\nD) 18.40", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 12.32", + "B) 9.28", + "C) 21.44", + "D) 18.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18.40", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 12.32\nB) 9.28\nC) 21.44\nD) 18.40", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 12.32", + "B) 9.28", + "C) 21.44", + "D) 18.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18.40", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 23.83\nC) 8.63\nD) 20.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 17.75", + "B) 23.83", + "C) 8.63", + "D) 20.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 23.83\nC) 8.63\nD) 20.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 17.75", + "B) 23.83", + "C) 8.63", + "D) 20.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,520.26\nB) 1,368.37\nC) 1,216.48\nD) 1,672.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,520.26", + "B) 1,368.37", + "C) 1,216.48", + "D) 1,672.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,368.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,520.26\nB) 1,368.37\nC) 1,216.48\nD) 1,672.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,520.26", + "B) 1,368.37", + "C) 1,216.48", + "D) 1,672.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,368.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,812.03\nB) 1,508.26\nC) 1,356.37\nD) 1,052.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,812.03", + "B) 1,508.26", + "C) 1,356.37", + "D) 1,052.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,356.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,812.03\nB) 1,508.26\nC) 1,356.37\nD) 1,052.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,812.03", + "B) 1,508.26", + "C) 1,356.37", + "D) 1,052.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,356.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,201.85\nD) 1,353.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,809.40", + "B) 1,049.97", + "C) 1,201.85", + "D) 1,353.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,201.85\nD) 1,353.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,809.40", + "B) 1,049.97", + "C) 1,201.85", + "D) 1,353.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,353.74\nB) 1,201.85\nC) 1,809.40\nD) 1,657.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,353.74", + "B) 1,201.85", + "C) 1,809.40", + "D) 1,657.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,353.74\nB) 1,201.85\nC) 1,809.40\nD) 1,657.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,353.74", + "B) 1,201.85", + "C) 1,809.40", + "D) 1,657.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,353.74\nC) 1,505.63\nD) 1,049.97", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,809.40", + "B) 1,353.74", + "C) 1,505.63", + "D) 1,049.97" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,353.74\nC) 1,505.63\nD) 1,049.97", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,809.40", + "B) 1,353.74", + "C) 1,505.63", + "D) 1,049.97" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,505.63\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,353.74\nD) 1,201.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,505.63", + "B) 1,049.97", + "C) 1,353.74", + "D) 1,201.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,505.63\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,353.74\nD) 1,201.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", + "options": [ + "A) 1,505.63", + "B) 1,049.97", + "C) 1,353.74", + "D) 1,201.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,353.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Iraq War begins", + "event_date": "2003-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", + "year": 2003 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.55%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 3.40%\nD) 4.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.55%", + "B) 3.83%", + "C) 3.40%", + "D) 4.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.75%\nB) -9.96%\nC) -5.86%\nD) -14.06%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.75%", + "B) -9.96%", + "C) -5.86%", + "D) -14.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.90%\nB) 15.76%\nC) 23.62%\nD) 19.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.90%", + "B) 15.76%", + "C) 23.62%", + "D) 19.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 74.38%\nB) 85.40%\nC) 78.51%\nD) 82.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 74.38%", + "B) 85.40%", + "C) 78.51%", + "D) 82.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "78.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.89%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 8.91%\nD) 6.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.89%", + "B) 4.73%", + "C) 8.91%", + "D) 6.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 339,000\nB) 422,472\nC) 255,528\nD) 366,824", + "options": [ + "A) 339,000", + "B) 422,472", + "C) 255,528", + "D) 366,824" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "339,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 85.35\nB) 80.10\nC) 83.25\nD) 76.96", + "options": [ + "A) 85.35", + "B) 80.10", + "C) 83.25", + "D) 76.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $9,378B\nB) $9,666B\nC) $8,803B\nD) $8,227B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,378B", + "B) $9,666B", + "C) $8,803B", + "D) $8,227B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$8,803B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 98.14\nB) 95.36\nC) 89.81\nD) 92.59", + "options": [ + "A) 98.14", + "B) 95.36", + "C) 89.81", + "D) 92.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "92.59", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,035B\nB) $9,319B\nC) $8,181B\nD) $9,604B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,035B", + "B) $9,319B", + "C) $8,181B", + "D) $9,604B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$9,035B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.23%\nB) 5.44%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 3.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.23%", + "B) 5.44%", + "C) 7.80%", + "D) 3.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.68%\nB) 11.28%\nC) 7.38%\nD) 9.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.68%", + "B) 11.28%", + "C) 7.38%", + "D) 9.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 6.72%\nC) 7.55%\nD) 5.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.22%", + "B) 6.72%", + "C) 7.55%", + "D) 5.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.20%\nB) 57.85%\nC) 64.07%\nD) 60.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.20%", + "B) 57.85%", + "C) 64.07%", + "D) 60.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "62.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.71%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 7.89%\nD) -3.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.71%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 7.89%", + "D) -3.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) -13.66%\nB) 7.45%\nC) 28.56%\nD) 91.89%", + "options": [ + "A) -13.66%", + "B) 7.45%", + "C) 28.56%", + "D) 91.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "28.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $64,268M\nB) $58,086M\nC) $51,904M\nD) $54,995M", + "options": [ + "A) $64,268M", + "B) $58,086M", + "C) $51,904M", + "D) $54,995M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$54,995M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) -0.73pp\nC) +0.53pp\nD) +0.22pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.10pp", + "B) -0.73pp", + "C) +0.53pp", + "D) +0.22pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 67.12%\nB) 65.80%\nC) 62.51%\nD) 64.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 67.12%", + "B) 65.80%", + "C) 62.51%", + "D) 64.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "65.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1545\nB) 1.2733\nC) 1.2139\nD) 1.0952", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1545", + "B) 1.2733", + "C) 1.2139", + "D) 1.0952" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2139", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,176B\nB) $6,902B\nC) $5,803B\nD) $6,352B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,176B", + "B) $6,902B", + "C) $5,803B", + "D) $6,352B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$6,352B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 5.94%\nD) 0.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.63%", + "B) 4.50%", + "C) 5.94%", + "D) 0.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 4.37%\nD) 2.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.36%", + "B) 1.34%", + "C) 4.37%", + "D) 2.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +11.83pp\nB) +1.17pp\nC) +6.50pp\nD) -4.17pp", + "options": [ + "A) +11.83pp", + "B) +1.17pp", + "C) +6.50pp", + "D) -4.17pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+6.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $302,187M\nB) $325,075M\nC) $340,334M\nD) $317,446M", + "options": [ + "A) $302,187M", + "B) $325,075M", + "C) $340,334M", + "D) $317,446M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$317,446M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 144.08\nB) 157.79\nC) 130.37\nD) 137.23", + "options": [ + "A) 144.08", + "B) 157.79", + "C) 130.37", + "D) 137.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "144.08", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 69.76%\nB) 77.47%\nC) 74.39%\nD) 80.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 69.76%", + "B) 77.47%", + "C) 74.39%", + "D) 80.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "77.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.76pp\nB) -1.36pp\nC) +1.44pp\nD) +2.85pp", + "options": [ + "A) -2.76pp", + "B) -1.36pp", + "C) +1.44pp", + "D) +2.85pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.44pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.45%\nB) 13.92%\nC) 11.63%\nD) 13.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.45%", + "B) 13.92%", + "C) 11.63%", + "D) 13.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,006.58\nB) 1,089.22\nC) 2,465.26\nD) 1,547.90", + "options": [ + "A) 2,006.58", + "B) 1,089.22", + "C) 2,465.26", + "D) 1,547.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,006.58", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) +7.90pp\nB) +18.20pp\nC) +28.50pp\nD) +33.65pp", + "options": [ + "A) +7.90pp", + "B) +18.20pp", + "C) +28.50pp", + "D) +33.65pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+18.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.83/hr\nB) $16.42/hr\nC) $15.78/hr\nD) $15.46/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $14.83/hr", + "B) $16.42/hr", + "C) $15.78/hr", + "D) $15.46/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$15.78/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.24%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 4.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.24%", + "B) 3.72%", + "C) 2.96%", + "D) 4.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) $34.66/bbl\nB) $32.45/bbl\nC) $39.07/bbl\nD) $30.25/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $34.66/bbl", + "B) $32.45/bbl", + "C) $39.07/bbl", + "D) $30.25/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$34.66/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.60%", + "B) 1.90%", + "C) 1.01%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 69.96%\nB) 64.02%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 67.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 69.96%", + "B) 64.02%", + "C) 66.00%", + "D) 67.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "66.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 1.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.58%", + "B) 0.94%", + "C) 2.22%", + "D) 1.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2,041K\nB) 2,208K\nC) 1,874K\nD) 2,125K", + "options": [ + "A) 2,041K", + "B) 2,208K", + "C) 1,874K", + "D) 2,125K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,041K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 14.51%\nB) 17.59%\nC) 20.66%\nD) 11.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.51%", + "B) 17.59%", + "C) 20.66%", + "D) 11.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "17.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.20%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 7.39%\nD) 3.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.20%", + "B) 5.02%", + "C) 7.39%", + "D) 3.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.90%\nB) 3.67%\nC) 2.06%\nD) 4.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.90%", + "B) 3.67%", + "C) 2.06%", + "D) 4.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 131,140K\nB) 135,074K\nC) 128,517K\nD) 124,583K", + "options": [ + "A) 131,140K", + "B) 135,074K", + "C) 128,517K", + "D) 124,583K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "131,140K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $62,259M\nB) $56,227M\nC) $47,178M\nD) $50,195M", + "options": [ + "A) $62,259M", + "B) $56,227M", + "C) $47,178M", + "D) $50,195M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$56,227M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 183.20\nB) 206.08\nC) 197.50\nD) 188.92", + "options": [ + "A) 183.20", + "B) 206.08", + "C) 197.50", + "D) 188.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "197.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,598B\nB) $7,828B\nC) $8,085B\nD) $8,342B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,598B", + "B) $7,828B", + "C) $8,085B", + "D) $8,342B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$8,342B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,158B\nB) $5,885B\nC) $5,339B\nD) $6,704B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,158B", + "B) $5,885B", + "C) $5,339B", + "D) $6,704B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$6,158B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,036,330\nB) 2,990,000\nC) 2,354,220\nD) 3,943,670", + "options": [ + "A) 2,036,330", + "B) 2,990,000", + "C) 2,354,220", + "D) 3,943,670" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,990,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 82.33\nB) 77.11\nC) 79.20\nD) 73.98", + "options": [ + "A) 82.33", + "B) 77.11", + "C) 79.20", + "D) 73.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "79.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.56pp\nB) +0.82pp\nC) +1.09pp\nD) +0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.56pp", + "B) +0.82pp", + "C) +1.09pp", + "D) +0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2,066K\nB) 2,252K\nC) 1,942K\nD) 2,004K", + "options": [ + "A) 2,066K", + "B) 2,252K", + "C) 1,942K", + "D) 2,004K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,066K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.77%\nB) 6.64%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 0.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.77%", + "B) 6.64%", + "C) 2.38%", + "D) 0.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) -0.60%\nC) 0.69%\nD) -1.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.99%", + "B) -0.60%", + "C) 0.69%", + "D) -1.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,797K\nB) 1,931K\nC) 1,864K\nD) 1,998K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,797K", + "B) 1,931K", + "C) 1,864K", + "D) 1,998K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,998K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 3.15%\nD) 1.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.27%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 3.15%", + "D) 1.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 1.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.19%", + "B) 1.86%", + "C) 1.64%", + "D) 1.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 6.35%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.81%", + "B) 6.35%", + "C) 4.93%", + "D) 5.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.47\nB) 6.68\nC) 17.84\nD) 15.05", + "options": [ + "A) 9.47", + "B) 6.68", + "C) 17.84", + "D) 15.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.05", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 5.22%\nC) -1.70%\nD) 6.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.45%", + "B) 5.22%", + "C) -1.70%", + "D) 6.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 155.72\nB) 147.70\nC) 134.34\nD) 139.68", + "options": [ + "A) 155.72", + "B) 147.70", + "C) 134.34", + "D) 139.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "147.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.37%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.80%\nD) 4.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.37%", + "B) 4.94%", + "C) 5.80%", + "D) 4.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 210.59\nB) 189.46\nC) 204.55\nD) 195.50", + "options": [ + "A) 210.59", + "B) 189.46", + "C) 204.55", + "D) 195.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "195.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $737M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $737M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$737M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $15.90/hr\nB) $15.56/hr\nC) $16.58/hr\nD) $16.24/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $15.90/hr", + "B) $15.56/hr", + "C) $16.58/hr", + "D) $16.24/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$15.56/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 18.42%\nB) 3.21%\nC) 10.81%\nD) -0.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 18.42%", + "B) 3.21%", + "C) 10.81%", + "D) -0.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 3.07%\nD) 1.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 2.04%", + "C) 3.07%", + "D) 1.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) $6,106B\nB) $5,868B\nC) $6,818B\nD) $6,580B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,106B", + "B) $5,868B", + "C) $6,818B", + "D) $6,580B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$6,106B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,825K\nB) 1,905K\nC) 2,145K\nD) 2,065K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,825K", + "B) 1,905K", + "C) 2,145K", + "D) 2,065K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,905K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.82%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 6.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.82%", + "B) 4.14%", + "C) 5.40%", + "D) 6.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 1.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 4.82%", + "C) 3.75%", + "D) 1.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 4.11%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 3.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.50%", + "B) 4.11%", + "C) 5.29%", + "D) 3.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.01pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.01pp", + "B) -0.30pp", + "C) -0.40pp", + "D) -0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 0.78%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 2.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.82%", + "B) 0.78%", + "C) 1.56%", + "D) 2.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) -1.75%\nC) 13.16%\nD) 8.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.22%", + "B) -1.75%", + "C) 13.16%", + "D) 8.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 2.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.96%", + "B) 2.48%", + "C) 1.18%", + "D) 2.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 141,335K\nB) 132,089K\nC) 136,052K\nD) 128,126K", + "options": [ + "A) 141,335K", + "B) 132,089K", + "C) 136,052K", + "D) 128,126K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "132,089K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.31%\nB) 17.02%\nC) 5.46%\nD) 1.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.31%", + "B) 17.02%", + "C) 5.46%", + "D) 1.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 11.31%\nB) -8.89%\nC) 21.40%\nD) 6.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.31%", + "B) -8.89%", + "C) 21.40%", + "D) 6.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 109.5900\nB) 101.5497\nC) 97.5295\nD) 113.6102", + "options": [ + "A) 109.5900", + "B) 101.5497", + "C) 97.5295", + "D) 113.6102" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "109.5900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) $41.99/bbl\nB) $37.18/bbl\nC) $29.96/bbl\nD) $39.59/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $41.99/bbl", + "B) $37.18/bbl", + "C) $29.96/bbl", + "D) $39.59/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$37.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 1.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.62%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 1.95%", + "D) 1.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.72\nB) 83.59\nC) 85.54\nD) 80.66", + "options": [ + "A) 77.72", + "B) 83.59", + "C) 85.54", + "D) 80.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "80.66", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $309,471M\nB) $301,924M\nC) $332,113M\nD) $286,829M", + "options": [ + "A) $309,471M", + "B) $301,924M", + "C) $332,113M", + "D) $286,829M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$309,471M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,328B\nB) $8,099B\nC) $8,356B\nD) $7,585B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,328B", + "B) $8,099B", + "C) $8,356B", + "D) $7,585B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$8,099B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.41%\nB) 7.01%\nC) 6.21%\nD) 3.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.41%", + "B) 7.01%", + "C) 6.21%", + "D) 3.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 1.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.93%", + "B) 2.14%", + "C) 2.55%", + "D) 1.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.32%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 4.97%\nD) 7.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.32%", + "B) 6.77%", + "C) 4.97%", + "D) 7.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 5.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.88%", + "B) 5.45%", + "C) 4.81%", + "D) 5.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 1.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.46%", + "B) 1.96%", + "C) 2.33%", + "D) 1.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.0283\nB) 8.6904\nC) 8.4421\nD) 8.2766", + "options": [ + "A) 8.0283", + "B) 8.6904", + "C) 8.4421", + "D) 8.2766" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.2766", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $188,444M\nB) $193,974M\nC) $177,383M\nD) $171,853M", + "options": [ + "A) $188,444M", + "B) $193,974M", + "C) $177,383M", + "D) $171,853M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$188,444M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.70%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 3.32%\nD) 2.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.70%", + "B) 2.54%", + "C) 3.32%", + "D) 2.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 10.52%\nB) 12.33%\nC) 11.42%\nD) 10.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.52%", + "B) 12.33%", + "C) 11.42%", + "D) 10.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.29%\nB) 2.88%\nC) 7.11%\nD) 5.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.29%", + "B) 2.88%", + "C) 7.11%", + "D) 5.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -0.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.30pp", + "B) -0.40pp", + "C) -0.60pp", + "D) -0.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.31pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) -1.71pp\nD) -1.04pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.31pp", + "B) -0.70pp", + "C) -1.71pp", + "D) -1.04pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $-36,273M\nB) $-50,248M\nC) $-46,754M\nD) $-57,235M", + "options": [ + "A) $-36,273M", + "B) $-50,248M", + "C) $-46,754M", + "D) $-57,235M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-46,754M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 138.36\nB) 133.61\nC) 147.84\nD) 143.10", + "options": [ + "A) 138.36", + "B) 133.61", + "C) 147.84", + "D) 143.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "143.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 94.20\nB) 107.67\nC) 80.73\nD) 85.22", + "options": [ + "A) 94.20", + "B) 107.67", + "C) 80.73", + "D) 85.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "94.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 56.01%\nB) 17.21%\nC) 36.61%\nD) 75.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 56.01%", + "B) 17.21%", + "C) 36.61%", + "D) 75.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "17.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 4.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.85%", + "B) 0.93%", + "C) 2.77%", + "D) 4.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.93\nB) 98.43\nC) 96.56\nD) 93.75", + "options": [ + "A) 90.93", + "B) 98.43", + "C) 96.56", + "D) 93.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "93.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 23.55%\nB) -18.88%\nC) 87.20%\nD) 2.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 23.55%", + "B) -18.88%", + "C) 87.20%", + "D) 2.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "23.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.07\nB) 79.93\nC) 78.00\nD) 82.83", + "options": [ + "A) 76.07", + "B) 79.93", + "C) 78.00", + "D) 82.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "79.93", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 0.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.03%", + "B) 2.65%", + "C) 1.41%", + "D) 0.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 0.07%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 4.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.54%", + "B) 0.07%", + "C) 5.93%", + "D) 4.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 187.10\nB) 193.30\nC) 180.90\nD) 171.61", + "options": [ + "A) 187.10", + "B) 193.30", + "C) 180.90", + "D) 171.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "187.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.43%\nB) 62.30%\nC) 59.18%\nD) 64.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.43%", + "B) 62.30%", + "C) 59.18%", + "D) 64.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "62.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $762M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $762M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$762M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.36pp\nB) +2.96pp\nC) +0.88pp\nD) +1.92pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.36pp", + "B) +2.96pp", + "C) +0.88pp", + "D) +1.92pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+1.92pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 155.11\nB) 178.23\nC) 147.40\nD) 170.52", + "options": [ + "A) 155.11", + "B) 178.23", + "C) 147.40", + "D) 170.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "155.11", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.65%\nB) 4.08%\nC) -5.78%\nD) -2.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.65%", + "B) 4.08%", + "C) -5.78%", + "D) -2.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.72%\nB) 2.68%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 7.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.72%", + "B) 2.68%", + "C) 6.20%", + "D) 7.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 198.70\nB) 183.86\nC) 174.96\nD) 189.80", + "options": [ + "A) 198.70", + "B) 183.86", + "C) 174.96", + "D) 189.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "189.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.80\nB) 81.24\nC) 86.09\nD) 105.51", + "options": [ + "A) 95.80", + "B) 81.24", + "C) 86.09", + "D) 105.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "95.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.59pp\nB) +2.03pp\nC) +4.90pp\nD) +6.33pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.59pp", + "B) +2.03pp", + "C) +4.90pp", + "D) +6.33pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+2.03pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20040615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2004-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.55%", + "B) 5.20%", + "C) 3.90%", + "D) 3.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $-47,927M\nB) $-44,168M\nC) $-62,964M\nD) $-51,686M", + "options": [ + "A) $-47,927M", + "B) $-44,168M", + "C) $-62,964M", + "D) $-51,686M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-51,686M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $190,869M\nB) $207,499M\nC) $196,412M\nD) $201,956M", + "options": [ + "A) $190,869M", + "B) $207,499M", + "C) $196,412M", + "D) $201,956M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$190,869M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2004", + "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.98pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) +0.58pp\nD) +0.32pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.98pp", + "B) -0.20pp", + "C) +0.58pp", + "D) +0.32pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2004 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.37%\nB) 4.42%\nC) 5.20%\nD) 5.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.37%", + "B) 4.42%", + "C) 5.20%", + "D) 5.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 166.30\nB) 158.10\nC) 174.49\nD) 162.20", + "options": [ + "A) 166.30", + "B) 158.10", + "C) 174.49", + "D) 162.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "162.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2,151K\nB) 2,248K\nC) 2,441K\nD) 1,958K", + "options": [ + "A) 2,151K", + "B) 2,248K", + "C) 2,441K", + "D) 1,958K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,151K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.62%\nB) 10.88%\nC) 8.13%\nD) 19.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.62%", + "B) 10.88%", + "C) 8.13%", + "D) 19.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 207.92\nB) 201.99\nC) 193.10\nD) 187.17", + "options": [ + "A) 207.92", + "B) 201.99", + "C) 193.10", + "D) 187.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "193.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.34\nB) 91.62\nC) 93.55\nD) 96.45", + "options": [ + "A) 99.34", + "B) 91.62", + "C) 93.55", + "D) 96.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "96.45", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.50pp\nB) +1.04pp\nC) -0.04pp\nD) +1.31pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.50pp", + "B) +1.04pp", + "C) -0.04pp", + "D) +1.31pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +0.30pp\nC) +0.59pp\nD) +0.01pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.40pp", + "B) +0.30pp", + "C) +0.59pp", + "D) +0.01pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.31%\nB) 11.35%\nC) 14.23%\nD) 13.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.31%", + "B) 11.35%", + "C) 14.23%", + "D) 13.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.53%\nB) 2.16%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 3.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.53%", + "B) 2.16%", + "C) 3.84%", + "D) 3.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.06%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 2.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.06%", + "B) 4.98%", + "C) 5.89%", + "D) 2.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) +7.16pp\nB) -3.20pp\nC) -18.74pp\nD) -13.56pp", + "options": [ + "A) +7.16pp", + "B) -3.20pp", + "C) -18.74pp", + "D) -13.56pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-3.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $788M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $788M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$788M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,884B\nB) $9,454B\nC) $10,025B\nD) $9,169B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,884B", + "B) $9,454B", + "C) $10,025B", + "D) $9,169B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$9,169B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) $54.12/bbl\nB) $45.79/bbl\nC) $41.63/bbl\nD) $49.96/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $54.12/bbl", + "B) $45.79/bbl", + "C) $41.63/bbl", + "D) $49.96/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$54.12/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.06%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 61.54%\nD) 65.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.06%", + "B) 62.80%", + "C) 61.54%", + "D) 65.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "62.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.18pp\nB) -22.42pp\nC) -17.30pp\nD) -27.53pp", + "options": [ + "A) -12.18pp", + "B) -22.42pp", + "C) -17.30pp", + "D) -27.53pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-17.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.00pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.29pp\nD) -0.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.00pp", + "B) -0.20pp", + "C) -0.29pp", + "D) -0.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 177.61\nB) 187.53\nC) 207.36\nD) 167.70", + "options": [ + "A) 177.61", + "B) 187.53", + "C) 207.36", + "D) 167.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "177.61", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 85.70\nB) 81.38\nC) 78.13\nD) 83.54", + "options": [ + "A) 85.70", + "B) 81.38", + "C) 78.13", + "D) 83.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "81.38", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 5.10%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 3.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.34%", + "B) 5.10%", + "C) 3.72%", + "D) 3.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,782K\nB) 2,249K\nC) 1,875K\nD) 2,062K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,782K", + "B) 2,249K", + "C) 1,875K", + "D) 2,062K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,062K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) $55.53/bbl\nB) $51.16/bbl\nC) $59.90/bbl\nD) $68.63/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $55.53/bbl", + "B) $51.16/bbl", + "C) $59.90/bbl", + "D) $68.63/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$55.53/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.94pp\nB) -0.60pp\nC) +0.42pp\nD) -1.62pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.94pp", + "B) -0.60pp", + "C) +0.42pp", + "D) -1.62pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 195.99\nB) 190.69\nC) 201.30\nD) 206.61", + "options": [ + "A) 195.99", + "B) 190.69", + "C) 201.30", + "D) 206.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "201.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $16.88/hr\nB) $15.36/hr\nC) $14.76/hr\nD) $15.97/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $16.88/hr", + "B) $15.36/hr", + "C) $14.76/hr", + "D) $15.97/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$15.97/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,452B\nB) $10,315B\nC) $8,877B\nD) $9,740B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,452B", + "B) $10,315B", + "C) $8,877B", + "D) $9,740B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$9,452B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 79.75\nB) 81.74\nC) 86.69\nD) 84.71", + "options": [ + "A) 79.75", + "B) 81.74", + "C) 86.69", + "D) 84.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "81.74", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 8.05%\nC) 6.70%\nD) 4.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.35%", + "B) 8.05%", + "C) 6.70%", + "D) 4.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 82.95%\nB) 85.44%\nC) 77.98%\nD) 80.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 82.95%", + "B) 85.44%", + "C) 77.98%", + "D) 80.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "80.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.87%\nB) -7.08%\nC) 7.85%\nD) -2.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.87%", + "B) -7.08%", + "C) 7.85%", + "D) -2.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.53%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 8.81%\nD) 3.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.53%", + "B) 4.98%", + "C) 8.81%", + "D) 3.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.98\nB) 79.94\nC) 76.90\nD) 86.02", + "options": [ + "A) 82.98", + "B) 79.94", + "C) 76.90", + "D) 86.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "76.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -15.00%\nB) 1.59%\nC) -19.15%\nD) -6.71%", + "options": [ + "A) -15.00%", + "B) 1.59%", + "C) -19.15%", + "D) -6.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-6.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $16.19/hr\nB) $15.33/hr\nC) $17.34/hr\nD) $16.76/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $16.19/hr", + "B) $15.33/hr", + "C) $17.34/hr", + "D) $16.76/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$16.19/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $356,977M\nB) $336,600M\nC) $306,035M\nD) $326,412M", + "options": [ + "A) $356,977M", + "B) $336,600M", + "C) $306,035M", + "D) $326,412M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$336,600M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.13%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 3.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.74%", + "B) 4.13%", + "C) 3.83%", + "D) 3.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -9.82%\nB) 1.56%\nC) -6.03%\nD) -2.23%", + "options": [ + "A) -9.82%", + "B) 1.56%", + "C) -6.03%", + "D) -2.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-2.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 4.33%\nC) 0.32%\nD) -2.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.66%", + "B) 4.33%", + "C) 0.32%", + "D) -2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $-59,915M\nB) $-64,882M\nC) $-49,981M\nD) $-74,816M", + "options": [ + "A) $-59,915M", + "B) $-64,882M", + "C) $-49,981M", + "D) $-74,816M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-64,882M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) 2.17%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 2.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.19%", + "B) 2.17%", + "C) 1.92%", + "D) 2.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 0.32%\nD) 1.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.14%", + "B) 0.93%", + "C) 0.32%", + "D) 1.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 47.76%\nB) 32.91%\nC) 18.05%\nD) 77.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 47.76%", + "B) 32.91%", + "C) 18.05%", + "D) 77.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "47.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 5.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.86%", + "B) 4.74%", + "C) 4.00%", + "D) 5.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 1.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.07%", + "B) 1.94%", + "C) 2.19%", + "D) 1.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.82%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 3.21%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.82%", + "B) 2.04%", + "C) 3.98%", + "D) 3.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.99pp\nB) +4.46pp\nC) +5.92pp\nD) +0.06pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.99pp", + "B) +4.46pp", + "C) +5.92pp", + "D) +0.06pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+2.99pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 0.77%\nD) 1.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.96%", + "B) 1.86%", + "C) 0.77%", + "D) 1.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.35%", + "B) 4.38%", + "C) 3.90%", + "D) 3.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.07pp\nB) -0.33pp\nC) +0.73pp\nD) +0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.07pp", + "B) -0.33pp", + "C) +0.73pp", + "D) +0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,448B\nB) $5,904B\nC) $5,632B\nD) $6,176B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,448B", + "B) $5,904B", + "C) $5,632B", + "D) $6,176B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$6,448B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $774M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $774M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$774M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.03\nB) 89.08\nC) 95.30\nD) 92.81", + "options": [ + "A) 99.03", + "B) 89.08", + "C) 95.30", + "D) 92.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "95.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2,464K\nB) 1,961K\nC) 2,364K\nD) 2,263K", + "options": [ + "A) 2,464K", + "B) 1,961K", + "C) 2,364K", + "D) 2,263K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,263K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 6.00%\nD) 4.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.63%", + "B) 6.38%", + "C) 6.00%", + "D) 4.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) $6,411B\nB) $6,698B\nC) $6,124B\nD) $5,837B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,411B", + "B) $6,698B", + "C) $6,124B", + "D) $5,837B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$6,698B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,866B\nB) $9,134B\nC) $8,598B\nD) $9,402B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,866B", + "B) $9,134B", + "C) $8,598B", + "D) $9,402B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$8,598B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.27%\nB) 65.52%\nC) 60.53%\nD) 62.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.27%", + "B) 65.52%", + "C) 60.53%", + "D) 62.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "62.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) -2.79pp\nC) +1.88pp\nD) -4.35pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.32pp", + "B) -2.79pp", + "C) +1.88pp", + "D) -4.35pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.32pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 2.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.85%", + "B) 2.35%", + "C) 2.86%", + "D) 2.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.65%\nB) 14.16%\nC) 9.82%\nD) 3.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.65%", + "B) 14.16%", + "C) 9.82%", + "D) 3.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 365,437\nB) 343,219\nC) 298,781\nD) 321,000", + "options": [ + "A) 365,437", + "B) 343,219", + "C) 298,781", + "D) 321,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "321,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $-53,134M\nB) $-66,007M\nC) $-48,843M\nD) $-61,716M", + "options": [ + "A) $-53,134M", + "B) $-66,007M", + "C) $-48,843M", + "D) $-61,716M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-53,134M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 7.15%\nD) 5.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.09%", + "B) 4.72%", + "C) 7.15%", + "D) 5.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 2.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.52%", + "B) 3.01%", + "C) 2.63%", + "D) 2.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 15.94%\nC) -3.28%\nD) 8.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.41%", + "B) 15.94%", + "C) -3.28%", + "D) 8.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 5.52%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 1.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.17%", + "B) 5.52%", + "C) 6.88%", + "D) 1.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 12.43%\nB) 9.71%\nC) 11.07%\nD) 5.62%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.43%", + "B) 9.71%", + "C) 11.07%", + "D) 5.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 3.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.16%", + "B) 3.34%", + "C) 2.75%", + "D) 3.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.74%\nB) 41.33%\nC) 85.10%\nD) 55.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 26.74%", + "B) 41.33%", + "C) 85.10%", + "D) 55.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "55.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.2765\nB) 8.4420\nC) 8.6903\nD) 8.0282", + "options": [ + "A) 8.2765", + "B) 8.4420", + "C) 8.6903", + "D) 8.0282" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "8.2765", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,953K\nB) 1,864K\nC) 1,775K\nD) 1,596K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,953K", + "B) 1,864K", + "C) 1,775K", + "D) 1,596K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,864K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.74%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.74%", + "B) 1.26%", + "C) 2.50%", + "D) 3.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $175,867M\nB) $197,349M\nC) $181,237M\nD) $186,608M", + "options": [ + "A) $175,867M", + "B) $197,349M", + "C) $181,237M", + "D) $186,608M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$186,608M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2106\nB) 1.2907\nC) 1.1305\nD) 1.0504", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2106", + "B) 1.2907", + "C) 1.1305", + "D) 1.0504" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2106", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.83\nB) 11.46\nC) 21.58\nD) 8.09", + "options": [ + "A) 14.83", + "B) 11.46", + "C) 21.58", + "D) 8.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11.46", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 191.83\nB) 213.89\nC) 200.10\nD) 208.37", + "options": [ + "A) 191.83", + "B) 213.89", + "C) 200.10", + "D) 208.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "200.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 160.02\nB) 144.22\nC) 150.54\nD) 153.70", + "options": [ + "A) 160.02", + "B) 144.22", + "C) 150.54", + "D) 153.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "153.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.41%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 0.93%\nD) 13.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.41%", + "B) 5.25%", + "C) 0.93%", + "D) 13.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 4.12%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.09%", + "B) 4.12%", + "C) 4.44%", + "D) 4.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.40%\nB) 19.25%\nC) 3.77%\nD) -11.72%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.40%", + "B) 19.25%", + "C) 3.77%", + "D) -11.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.66\nB) 85.52\nC) 89.03\nD) 83.17", + "options": [ + "A) 79.66", + "B) 85.52", + "C) 89.03", + "D) 83.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "83.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $326,179M\nB) $351,547M\nC) $317,723M\nD) $309,267M", + "options": [ + "A) $326,179M", + "B) $351,547M", + "C) $317,723M", + "D) $309,267M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$326,179M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.45%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 4.89%\nD) 3.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.45%", + "B) 6.03%", + "C) 4.89%", + "D) 3.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 78.31\nB) 85.51\nC) 82.42\nD) 80.37", + "options": [ + "A) 78.31", + "B) 85.51", + "C) 82.42", + "D) 80.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "82.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $221,023M\nB) $186,971M\nC) $215,347M\nD) $203,997M", + "options": [ + "A) $221,023M", + "B) $186,971M", + "C) $215,347M", + "D) $203,997M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$203,997M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,074.92\nB) 1,756.66\nC) 2,393.18\nD) 3,029.71", + "options": [ + "A) 2,074.92", + "B) 1,756.66", + "C) 2,393.18", + "D) 3,029.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,074.92", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.37%\nD) 2.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.59%", + "B) 2.26%", + "C) 2.37%", + "D) 2.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 3.21%\nC) 4.62%\nD) 3.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.03%", + "B) 3.21%", + "C) 4.62%", + "D) 3.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,124B\nB) $6,096B\nC) $6,353B\nD) $6,610B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,124B", + "B) $6,096B", + "C) $6,353B", + "D) $6,610B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$6,610B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 134,552K\nB) 141,280K\nC) 131,861K\nD) 137,243K", + "options": [ + "A) 134,552K", + "B) 141,280K", + "C) 131,861K", + "D) 137,243K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "134,552K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $51,073M\nB) $56,576M\nC) $64,831M\nD) $62,079M", + "options": [ + "A) $51,073M", + "B) $56,576M", + "C) $64,831M", + "D) $62,079M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$56,576M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $60,580M\nB) $65,051M\nC) $58,344M\nD) $62,816M", + "options": [ + "A) $60,580M", + "B) $65,051M", + "C) $58,344M", + "D) $62,816M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$58,344M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.81%", + "B) 1.40%", + "C) 2.60%", + "D) 2.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,900B\nB) $8,309B\nC) $8,605B\nD) $9,788B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,900B", + "B) $8,309B", + "C) $8,605B", + "D) $9,788B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$8,900B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.65%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 5.32%\nD) 4.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.65%", + "B) 5.00%", + "C) 5.32%", + "D) 4.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.53%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.53%", + "B) 1.80%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.37%\nB) -29.82%\nC) -13.09%\nD) 3.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.37%", + "B) -29.82%", + "C) -13.09%", + "D) 3.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.05pp\nC) +0.65pp\nD) -1.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.40pp", + "B) -0.05pp", + "C) +0.65pp", + "D) -1.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 12.91%\nC) 25.13%\nD) 16.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.77%", + "B) 12.91%", + "C) 25.13%", + "D) 16.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) -6.56%\nC) -0.19%\nD) 6.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.99%", + "B) -6.56%", + "C) -0.19%", + "D) 6.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 6.07%\nC) 2.80%\nD) 3.62%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.17%", + "B) 6.07%", + "C) 2.80%", + "D) 3.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 164.58\nB) 173.04\nC) 181.50\nD) 189.96", + "options": [ + "A) 164.58", + "B) 173.04", + "C) 181.50", + "D) 189.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "164.58", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 137,149K\nB) 133,154K\nC) 139,812K\nD) 130,491K", + "options": [ + "A) 137,149K", + "B) 133,154K", + "C) 139,812K", + "D) 130,491K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "133,154K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.58%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 5.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.58%", + "B) 3.65%", + "C) 2.63%", + "D) 5.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 205.02\nB) 183.26\nC) 189.48\nD) 198.80", + "options": [ + "A) 205.02", + "B) 183.26", + "C) 189.48", + "D) 198.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "198.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 78.83%\nB) 73.37%\nC) 76.65%\nD) 82.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 78.83%", + "B) 73.37%", + "C) 76.65%", + "D) 82.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "78.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.85%\nB) 6.17%\nC) 6.94%\nD) 5.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.85%", + "B) 6.17%", + "C) 6.94%", + "D) 5.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 5.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.65%", + "B) 0.82%", + "C) 3.37%", + "D) 5.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.25%", + "B) 1.55%", + "C) 2.95%", + "D) 2.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,602,000\nB) 3,107,288\nC) 2,349,356\nD) 2,854,644", + "options": [ + "A) 2,602,000", + "B) 3,107,288", + "C) 2,349,356", + "D) 2,854,644" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,602,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 88.53\nB) 92.60\nC) 84.47\nD) 80.40", + "options": [ + "A) 88.53", + "B) 92.60", + "C) 84.47", + "D) 80.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "92.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 67.88%\nB) 63.92%\nC) 65.90%\nD) 62.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 67.88%", + "B) 63.92%", + "C) 65.90%", + "D) 62.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "65.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 121.4987\nB) 97.1813\nC) 113.3929\nD) 109.3400", + "options": [ + "A) 121.4987", + "B) 97.1813", + "C) 113.3929", + "D) 109.3400" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "109.3400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.10%\nB) 64.12%\nC) 68.08%\nD) 69.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 66.10%", + "B) 64.12%", + "C) 68.08%", + "D) 69.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "66.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20050301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 6.56%\nD) 7.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.93%", + "B) 5.40%", + "C) 6.56%", + "D) 7.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.47pp\nB) +0.83pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +1.70pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.47pp", + "B) +0.83pp", + "C) +0.40pp", + "D) +1.70pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20050901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2005", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.86%\nB) 15.73%\nC) 12.08%\nD) 14.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.86%", + "B) 15.73%", + "C) 12.08%", + "D) 14.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20050615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2005-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.44%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 4.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.44%", + "B) 5.00%", + "C) 3.88%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.94/bbl\nB) $65.83/bbl\nC) $70.72/bbl\nD) $51.17/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $60.94/bbl", + "B) $65.83/bbl", + "C) $70.72/bbl", + "D) $51.17/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$65.83/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.94/bbl\nB) $65.83/bbl\nC) $70.72/bbl\nD) $51.17/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $60.94/bbl", + "B) $65.83/bbl", + "C) $70.72/bbl", + "D) $51.17/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$65.83/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $58.29/bbl\nB) $48.52/bbl\nC) $63.18/bbl\nD) $68.07/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $58.29/bbl", + "B) $48.52/bbl", + "C) $63.18/bbl", + "D) $68.07/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$63.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $58.29/bbl\nB) $48.52/bbl\nC) $63.18/bbl\nD) $68.07/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $58.29/bbl", + "B) $48.52/bbl", + "C) $63.18/bbl", + "D) $68.07/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$63.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $67.80/bbl\nB) $58.02/bbl\nC) $72.68/bbl\nD) $62.91/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $67.80/bbl", + "B) $58.02/bbl", + "C) $72.68/bbl", + "D) $62.91/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$62.91/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $67.80/bbl\nB) $58.02/bbl\nC) $72.68/bbl\nD) $62.91/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $67.80/bbl", + "B) $58.02/bbl", + "C) $72.68/bbl", + "D) $62.91/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$62.91/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.63/bbl\nB) $50.86/bbl\nC) $75.29/bbl\nD) $55.74/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $60.63/bbl", + "B) $50.86/bbl", + "C) $75.29/bbl", + "D) $55.74/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$60.63/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.63/bbl\nB) $50.86/bbl\nC) $75.29/bbl\nD) $55.74/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $60.63/bbl", + "B) $50.86/bbl", + "C) $75.29/bbl", + "D) $55.74/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$60.63/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $65.97/bbl\nB) $56.20/bbl\nC) $70.86/bbl\nD) $41.54/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $65.97/bbl", + "B) $56.20/bbl", + "C) $70.86/bbl", + "D) $41.54/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $65.97/bbl\nB) $56.20/bbl\nC) $70.86/bbl\nD) $41.54/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $65.97/bbl", + "B) $56.20/bbl", + "C) $70.86/bbl", + "D) $41.54/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $46.43/bbl\nB) $51.31/bbl\nC) $56.20/bbl\nD) $65.97/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $46.43/bbl", + "B) $51.31/bbl", + "C) $56.20/bbl", + "D) $65.97/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $46.43/bbl\nB) $51.31/bbl\nC) $56.20/bbl\nD) $65.97/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $46.43/bbl", + "B) $51.31/bbl", + "C) $56.20/bbl", + "D) $65.97/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $61.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $61.80/bbl", + "B) $56.81/bbl", + "C) $81.79/bbl", + "D) $66.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $61.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $61.80/bbl", + "B) $56.81/bbl", + "C) $81.79/bbl", + "D) $66.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $56.81/bbl\nD) $51.81/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $66.80/bbl", + "B) $81.79/bbl", + "C) $56.81/bbl", + "D) $51.81/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $56.81/bbl\nD) $51.81/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $66.80/bbl", + "B) $81.79/bbl", + "C) $56.81/bbl", + "D) $51.81/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $66.80/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $56.81/bbl", + "B) $66.80/bbl", + "C) $81.79/bbl", + "D) $76.79/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $66.80/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $56.81/bbl", + "B) $66.80/bbl", + "C) $81.79/bbl", + "D) $76.79/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $71.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $66.80/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $71.80/bbl", + "B) $81.79/bbl", + "C) $66.80/bbl", + "D) $76.79/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $71.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $66.80/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $71.80/bbl", + "B) $81.79/bbl", + "C) $66.80/bbl", + "D) $76.79/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $61.80/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $56.81/bbl", + "B) $81.79/bbl", + "C) $61.80/bbl", + "D) $66.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $61.80/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $56.81/bbl", + "B) $81.79/bbl", + "C) $61.80/bbl", + "D) $66.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $76.79/bbl\nD) $71.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $66.80/bbl", + "B) $56.81/bbl", + "C) $76.79/bbl", + "D) $71.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $76.79/bbl\nD) $71.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) $66.80/bbl", + "B) $56.81/bbl", + "C) $76.79/bbl", + "D) $71.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 15.06\nB) 12.60\nC) 10.14\nD) 13.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15.06", + "B) 12.60", + "C) 10.14", + "D) 13.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 15.06\nB) 12.60\nC) 10.14\nD) 13.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15.06", + "B) 12.60", + "C) 10.14", + "D) 13.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.88\nB) 14.11\nC) 11.65\nD) 7.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 12.88", + "B) 14.11", + "C) 11.65", + "D) 7.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.88\nB) 14.11\nC) 11.65\nD) 7.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 12.88", + "B) 14.11", + "C) 11.65", + "D) 7.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.45\nB) 14.91\nC) 9.99\nD) 11.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 12.45", + "B) 14.91", + "C) 9.99", + "D) 11.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.45\nB) 14.91\nC) 9.99\nD) 11.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 12.45", + "B) 14.91", + "C) 9.99", + "D) 11.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 11.22\nB) 9.99\nC) 7.53\nD) 14.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 11.22", + "B) 9.99", + "C) 7.53", + "D) 14.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 11.22\nB) 9.99\nC) 7.53\nD) 14.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 11.22", + "B) 9.99", + "C) 7.53", + "D) 14.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 9.37\nB) 10.60\nC) 13.06\nD) 14.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 9.37", + "B) 10.60", + "C) 13.06", + "D) 14.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 9.37\nB) 10.60\nC) 13.06\nD) 14.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 9.37", + "B) 10.60", + "C) 13.06", + "D) 14.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 7.81\nB) 11.50\nC) 10.27\nD) 9.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 7.81", + "B) 11.50", + "C) 10.27", + "D) 9.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.27", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 7.81\nB) 11.50\nC) 10.27\nD) 9.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 7.81", + "B) 11.50", + "C) 10.27", + "D) 9.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.27", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,313.33\nB) 2,020.39\nC) 2,118.04\nD) 2,166.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,313.33", + "B) 2,020.39", + "C) 2,118.04", + "D) 2,166.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,166.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,313.33\nB) 2,020.39\nC) 2,118.04\nD) 2,166.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,313.33", + "B) 2,020.39", + "C) 2,118.04", + "D) 2,166.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,166.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,182.83\nB) 2,036.36\nC) 2,085.19\nD) 2,280.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,182.83", + "B) 2,036.36", + "C) 2,085.19", + "D) 2,280.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,182.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,182.83\nB) 2,036.36\nC) 2,085.19\nD) 2,280.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,182.83", + "B) 2,036.36", + "C) 2,085.19", + "D) 2,280.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,182.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,134.01\nB) 2,182.83\nC) 2,231.65\nD) 2,036.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,134.01", + "B) 2,182.83", + "C) 2,231.65", + "D) 2,036.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,182.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,134.01\nB) 2,182.83\nC) 2,231.65\nD) 2,036.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,134.01", + "B) 2,182.83", + "C) 2,231.65", + "D) 2,036.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,182.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,036.36\nB) 2,231.65\nC) 2,182.83\nD) 2,329.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,036.36", + "B) 2,231.65", + "C) 2,182.83", + "D) 2,329.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,182.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,036.36\nB) 2,231.65\nC) 2,182.83\nD) 2,329.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,036.36", + "B) 2,231.65", + "C) 2,182.83", + "D) 2,329.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,182.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,155.92\nB) 2,204.74\nC) 2,107.09\nD) 2,253.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,155.92", + "B) 2,204.74", + "C) 2,107.09", + "D) 2,253.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,253.56", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,155.92\nB) 2,204.74\nC) 2,107.09\nD) 2,253.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,155.92", + "B) 2,204.74", + "C) 2,107.09", + "D) 2,253.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,253.56", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,331.36\nB) 2,184.89\nC) 2,380.18\nD) 2,282.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,331.36", + "B) 2,184.89", + "C) 2,380.18", + "D) 2,282.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,331.36", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,331.36\nB) 2,184.89\nC) 2,380.18\nD) 2,282.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", + "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,331.36", + "B) 2,184.89", + "C) 2,380.18", + "D) 2,282.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,331.36", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", + "event_date": "2005-08-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max", + "year": 2005 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 88.85\nB) 83.51\nC) 80.31\nD) 85.64", + "options": [ + "A) 88.85", + "B) 83.51", + "C) 80.31", + "D) 85.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "83.51", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $-83,160M\nB) $-71,117M\nC) $-65,095M\nD) $-59,073M", + "options": [ + "A) $-83,160M", + "B) $-71,117M", + "C) $-65,095M", + "D) $-59,073M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-65,095M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 133,317K\nB) 129,236K\nC) 138,759K\nD) 136,038K", + "options": [ + "A) 133,317K", + "B) 129,236K", + "C) 138,759K", + "D) 136,038K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "136,038K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $-62,397M\nB) $-44,882M\nC) $-50,720M\nD) $-68,235M", + "options": [ + "A) $-62,397M", + "B) $-44,882M", + "C) $-50,720M", + "D) $-68,235M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-62,397M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -15.33%\nB) -20.04%\nC) -29.46%\nD) -24.75%", + "options": [ + "A) -15.33%", + "B) -20.04%", + "C) -29.46%", + "D) -24.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-20.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) $84.62/bbl\nB) $54.94/bbl\nC) $69.78/bbl\nD) $62.36/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $84.62/bbl", + "B) $54.94/bbl", + "C) $69.78/bbl", + "D) $62.36/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$69.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.82%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 4.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.82%", + "B) 3.98%", + "C) 3.36%", + "D) 4.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 5.21%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 4.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.70%", + "B) 5.21%", + "C) 3.93%", + "D) 4.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) -0.04pp\nC) +0.38pp\nD) +1.23pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.46pp", + "B) -0.04pp", + "C) +0.38pp", + "D) +1.23pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.04pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.33\nB) 79.86\nC) 83.75\nD) 90.22", + "options": [ + "A) 86.33", + "B) 79.86", + "C) 83.75", + "D) 90.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "83.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.29%\nB) 7.96%\nC) 9.13%\nD) 6.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.29%", + "B) 7.96%", + "C) 9.13%", + "D) 6.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.20\nB) 201.77\nC) 212.63\nD) 220.79", + "options": [ + "A) 207.20", + "B) 201.77", + "C) 212.63", + "D) 220.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "207.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.58%\nB) 1.97%\nC) 4.27%\nD) -2.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.58%", + "B) 1.97%", + "C) 4.27%", + "D) -2.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $63,103M\nB) $67,089M\nC) $65,096M\nD) $69,083M", + "options": [ + "A) $63,103M", + "B) $67,089M", + "C) $65,096M", + "D) $69,083M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$65,096M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.11%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 7.05%\nD) 5.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.11%", + "B) 2.38%", + "C) 7.05%", + "D) 5.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) $7,439B\nB) $7,809B\nC) $8,179B\nD) $6,700B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,439B", + "B) $7,809B", + "C) $8,179B", + "D) $6,700B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$7,439B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.42%\nB) 2.09%\nC) -1.90%\nD) 0.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.42%", + "B) 2.09%", + "C) -1.90%", + "D) 0.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 3.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.84%", + "B) 1.05%", + "C) 2.17%", + "D) 3.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 86.37%\nB) 84.00%\nC) 78.08%\nD) 80.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 86.37%", + "B) 84.00%", + "C) 78.08%", + "D) 80.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "80.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) -4.44%\nC) 7.49%\nD) 9.87%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.72%", + "B) -4.44%", + "C) 7.49%", + "D) 9.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.52%\nB) 5.13%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.52%", + "B) 5.13%", + "C) 4.93%", + "D) 5.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -23.03%\nB) -38.38%\nC) -26.87%\nD) -19.19%", + "options": [ + "A) -23.03%", + "B) -38.38%", + "C) -26.87%", + "D) -19.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-26.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $15.69/hr\nB) $17.11/hr\nC) $15.12/hr\nD) $16.54/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $15.69/hr", + "B) $17.11/hr", + "C) $15.12/hr", + "D) $16.54/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$16.54/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 21.75%\nB) 13.68%\nC) 25.78%\nD) 17.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 21.75%", + "B) 13.68%", + "C) 25.78%", + "D) 17.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.24pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) +0.61pp\nD) -1.61pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.24pp", + "B) -0.50pp", + "C) +0.61pp", + "D) -1.61pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,452B\nB) $8,176B\nC) $9,133B\nD) $9,771B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,452B", + "B) $8,176B", + "C) $9,133B", + "D) $9,771B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$9,133B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,937K\nB) 1,843K\nC) 1,373K\nD) 1,655K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,937K", + "B) 1,843K", + "C) 1,373K", + "D) 1,655K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,655K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.10%\nB) 69.41%\nC) 64.78%\nD) 68.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 66.10%", + "B) 69.41%", + "C) 64.78%", + "D) 68.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "66.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,493B\nB) $6,952B\nC) $7,641B\nD) $6,723B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,493B", + "B) $6,952B", + "C) $7,641B", + "D) $6,723B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$6,952B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.10\nB) 90.37\nC) 84.57\nD) 88.05", + "options": [ + "A) 81.10", + "B) 90.37", + "C) 84.57", + "D) 88.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "84.57", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 14.01%\nB) 12.54%\nC) 6.64%\nD) 11.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.01%", + "B) 12.54%", + "C) 6.64%", + "D) 11.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 98.46\nB) 95.58\nC) 101.35\nD) 104.24", + "options": [ + "A) 98.46", + "B) 95.58", + "C) 101.35", + "D) 104.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "98.46", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.94%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 1.88%\nD) 3.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.94%", + "B) 2.91%", + "C) 1.88%", + "D) 3.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 2.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.96%", + "B) 3.87%", + "C) 3.57%", + "D) 2.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 94.19\nB) 102.74\nC) 90.77\nD) 99.32", + "options": [ + "A) 94.19", + "B) 102.74", + "C) 90.77", + "D) 99.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "99.32", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 13.42%\nC) 1.74%\nD) -6.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.63%", + "B) 13.42%", + "C) 1.74%", + "D) -6.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 2.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.92%", + "B) 2.01%", + "C) 0.66%", + "D) 2.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.91%\nB) 6.05%\nC) 7.29%\nD) 5.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.91%", + "B) 6.05%", + "C) 7.29%", + "D) 5.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 183.29\nB) 191.09\nC) 214.51\nD) 202.80", + "options": [ + "A) 183.29", + "B) 191.09", + "C) 214.51", + "D) 202.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "202.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 7.70%\nD) 3.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.22%", + "B) 0.73%", + "C) 7.70%", + "D) 3.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.83\nB) 84.90\nC) 80.51\nD) 77.58", + "options": [ + "A) 87.83", + "B) 84.90", + "C) 80.51", + "D) 77.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "84.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 22.39%\nB) 4.05%\nC) 15.05%\nD) 18.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 22.39%", + "B) 4.05%", + "C) 15.05%", + "D) 18.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2,167K\nB) 1,672K\nC) 1,870K\nD) 1,969K", + "options": [ + "A) 2,167K", + "B) 1,672K", + "C) 1,870K", + "D) 1,969K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,969K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $348,357M\nB) $359,654M\nC) $314,465M\nD) $325,762M", + "options": [ + "A) $348,357M", + "B) $359,654M", + "C) $314,465M", + "D) $325,762M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$348,357M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,347B\nB) $10,018B\nC) $10,676B\nD) $9,689B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,347B", + "B) $10,018B", + "C) $10,676B", + "D) $9,689B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$10,018B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.07%\nB) 3.91%\nC) 5.99%\nD) 5.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.07%", + "B) 3.91%", + "C) 5.99%", + "D) 5.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 6.62%\nC) 3.67%\nD) 4.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.03%", + "B) 6.62%", + "C) 3.67%", + "D) 4.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 162.20\nB) 172.72\nC) 156.94\nD) 151.68", + "options": [ + "A) 162.20", + "B) 172.72", + "C) 156.94", + "D) 151.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "162.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 199.08\nB) 204.30\nC) 191.25\nD) 212.13", + "options": [ + "A) 199.08", + "B) 204.30", + "C) 191.25", + "D) 212.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "204.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.28pp\nB) +1.57pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) +0.41pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.28pp", + "B) +1.57pp", + "C) +0.70pp", + "D) +0.41pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.41%\nB) 13.67%\nC) 12.36%\nD) 11.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.41%", + "B) 13.67%", + "C) 12.36%", + "D) 11.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.42%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 4.65%\nD) 2.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.42%", + "B) 3.83%", + "C) 4.65%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.45%\nB) 15.06%\nC) -0.85%\nD) 9.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.45%", + "B) 15.06%", + "C) -0.85%", + "D) 9.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.01/bbl\nB) $44.07/bbl\nC) $66.04/bbl\nD) $51.39/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $88.01/bbl", + "B) $44.07/bbl", + "C) $66.04/bbl", + "D) $51.39/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$66.04/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.96\nB) 8.53\nC) 23.27\nD) 15.90", + "options": [ + "A) 26.96", + "B) 8.53", + "C) 23.27", + "D) 15.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,144.15\nB) 1,993.58\nC) 2,294.72\nD) 1,843.00", + "options": [ + "A) 2,144.15", + "B) 1,993.58", + "C) 2,294.72", + "D) 1,843.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,144.15", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.95%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 7.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.95%", + "B) 4.98%", + "C) 2.05%", + "D) 7.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,179,871\nB) 1,749,614\nC) 2,395,000\nD) 1,964,743", + "options": [ + "A) 2,179,871", + "B) 1,749,614", + "C) 2,395,000", + "D) 1,964,743" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,395,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.31%\nB) 3.25%\nC) 7.81%\nD) 5.53%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.31%", + "B) 3.25%", + "C) 7.81%", + "D) 5.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.9990\nB) 7.5991\nC) 7.7590\nD) 8.2390", + "options": [ + "A) 7.9990", + "B) 7.5991", + "C) 7.7590", + "D) 8.2390" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.9990", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,028B\nB) $9,375B\nC) $8,334B\nD) $10,416B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,028B", + "B) $9,375B", + "C) $8,334B", + "D) $10,416B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$9,375B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.28%\nB) 9.77%\nC) 14.80%\nD) 19.83%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.28%", + "B) 9.77%", + "C) 14.80%", + "D) 19.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.06\nB) 97.41\nC) 80.39\nD) 88.90", + "options": [ + "A) 86.06", + "B) 97.41", + "C) 80.39", + "D) 88.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "88.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 5.58%\nC) 6.85%\nD) 8.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.22%", + "B) 5.58%", + "C) 6.85%", + "D) 8.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.56%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 5.91%\nD) 4.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.56%", + "B) 5.25%", + "C) 5.91%", + "D) 4.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.75\nB) 195.97\nC) 184.20\nD) 148.87", + "options": [ + "A) 207.75", + "B) 195.97", + "C) 184.20", + "D) 148.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "184.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.98%\nB) 3.23%\nC) 6.59%\nD) 4.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.98%", + "B) 3.23%", + "C) 6.59%", + "D) 4.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $810M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $810M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$810M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.16%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 2.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.16%", + "B) 2.93%", + "C) 3.38%", + "D) 2.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.92%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 2.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.92%", + "B) 2.85%", + "C) 2.08%", + "D) 2.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.70%\nB) 5.66%\nC) 4.62%\nD) 5.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.70%", + "B) 5.66%", + "C) 4.62%", + "D) 5.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.30%\nD) 1.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.17%", + "B) 2.44%", + "C) 2.30%", + "D) 1.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.00%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 1.46%\nD) 2.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.00%", + "B) 4.73%", + "C) 1.46%", + "D) 2.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 3.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.91%", + "B) 4.78%", + "C) 4.20%", + "D) 3.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.63pp\nB) -0.03pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.63pp", + "B) -0.03pp", + "C) +0.52pp", + "D) +0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.10%\nB) 66.25%\nC) 61.84%\nD) 64.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.10%", + "B) 66.25%", + "C) 61.84%", + "D) 64.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "63.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1154\nB) 1.2616\nC) 1.4809\nD) 1.1885", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1154", + "B) 1.2616", + "C) 1.4809", + "D) 1.1885" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.2616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $64,405M\nB) $72,133M\nC) $66,981M\nD) $69,557M", + "options": [ + "A) $64,405M", + "B) $72,133M", + "C) $66,981M", + "D) $69,557M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$66,981M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.83pp\nB) +3.29pp\nC) -2.89pp\nD) +0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.83pp", + "B) +3.29pp", + "C) -2.89pp", + "D) +0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.80%\nB) 55.49%\nC) 12.46%\nD) -16.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 26.80%", + "B) 55.49%", + "C) 12.46%", + "D) -16.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "26.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.86%\nD) 2.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.57%", + "B) 2.10%", + "C) 1.86%", + "D) 2.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 45.79%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 17.80%\nD) 31.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 45.79%", + "B) 3.81%", + "C) 17.80%", + "D) 31.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.80%\nB) 0.30%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.80%", + "B) 0.30%", + "C) 1.70%", + "D) 2.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 308,000\nB) 261,631\nC) 284,816\nD) 377,553", + "options": [ + "A) 308,000", + "B) 261,631", + "C) 284,816", + "D) 377,553" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "308,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 6.63%\nC) 7.12%\nD) 6.39%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.14%", + "B) 6.63%", + "C) 7.12%", + "D) 6.39%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 5.08%\nC) 3.71%\nD) 2.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.96%", + "B) 5.08%", + "C) 3.71%", + "D) 2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,283B\nB) $7,012B\nC) $7,498B\nD) $6,769B", + "options": [ + "A) $6,283B", + "B) $7,012B", + "C) $7,498B", + "D) $6,769B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$6,769B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.50pp\nB) -1.58pp\nC) -0.86pp\nD) -0.14pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.50pp", + "B) -1.58pp", + "C) -0.86pp", + "D) -0.14pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 184.21\nB) 165.40\nC) 152.86\nD) 159.13", + "options": [ + "A) 184.21", + "B) 165.40", + "C) 152.86", + "D) 159.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "165.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.42\nB) 79.44\nC) 85.40\nD) 94.34", + "options": [ + "A) 82.42", + "B) 79.44", + "C) 85.40", + "D) 94.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "85.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.90pp\nB) +1.50pp\nC) -14.10pp\nD) -3.70pp", + "options": [ + "A) -8.90pp", + "B) +1.50pp", + "C) -14.10pp", + "D) -3.70pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-3.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 5.19%\nC) 4.27%\nD) 4.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.50%", + "B) 5.19%", + "C) 4.27%", + "D) 4.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.21%\nB) 66.20%\nC) 68.19%\nD) 62.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.21%", + "B) 66.20%", + "C) 68.19%", + "D) 62.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "66.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) -11.02%\nB) -39.73%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 32.05%", + "options": [ + "A) -11.02%", + "B) -39.73%", + "C) 3.34%", + "D) 32.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 182.49\nB) 189.37\nC) 210.03\nD) 199.70", + "options": [ + "A) 182.49", + "B) 189.37", + "C) 210.03", + "D) 199.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "199.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 5.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.63%", + "C) 1.28%", + "D) 5.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 5.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.76%", + "B) 2.86%", + "C) 3.95%", + "D) 5.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.55%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 5.10%\nD) 5.78%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.55%", + "B) 4.65%", + "C) 5.10%", + "D) 5.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.76%\nB) 5.42%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 5.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.76%", + "B) 5.42%", + "C) 4.06%", + "D) 5.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $234,701M\nB) $225,630M\nC) $207,487M\nD) $252,844M", + "options": [ + "A) $234,701M", + "B) $225,630M", + "C) $207,487M", + "D) $252,844M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$234,701M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $810M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $810M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$810M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.23pp\nB) +0.23pp\nC) +0.00pp\nD) +0.35pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.23pp", + "B) +0.23pp", + "C) +0.00pp", + "D) +0.35pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $17.78/hr\nB) $15.66/hr\nC) $16.27/hr\nD) $16.87/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $17.78/hr", + "B) $15.66/hr", + "C) $16.27/hr", + "D) $16.87/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$16.87/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 2.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.69%", + "B) 1.08%", + "C) 2.91%", + "D) 2.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.84%\nB) 63.10%\nC) 59.95%\nD) 64.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.84%", + "B) 63.10%", + "C) 59.95%", + "D) 64.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "63.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 140,931K\nB) 129,985K\nC) 136,826K\nD) 132,721K", + "options": [ + "A) 140,931K", + "B) 129,985K", + "C) 136,826K", + "D) 132,721K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "136,826K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 2.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.44%", + "B) 2.11%", + "C) 2.94%", + "D) 2.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,720K\nB) 1,906K\nC) 1,999K\nD) 1,627K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,720K", + "B) 1,906K", + "C) 1,999K", + "D) 1,627K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,720K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $326,000M\nB) $351,240M\nC) $389,100M\nD) $376,480M", + "options": [ + "A) $326,000M", + "B) $351,240M", + "C) $389,100M", + "D) $376,480M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$351,240M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) +22.45pp\nB) +3.85pp\nC) +8.50pp\nD) -0.80pp", + "options": [ + "A) +22.45pp", + "B) +3.85pp", + "C) +8.50pp", + "D) -0.80pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+8.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.01%\nB) 77.45%\nC) 82.80%\nD) 80.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 86.01%", + "B) 77.45%", + "C) 82.80%", + "D) 80.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "80.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 7.26%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 3.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.34%", + "B) 7.26%", + "C) 4.70%", + "D) 3.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $219,918M\nB) $227,188M\nC) $212,647M\nD) $248,999M", + "options": [ + "A) $219,918M", + "B) $227,188M", + "C) $212,647M", + "D) $248,999M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$227,188M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) +5.41pp\nB) -2.18pp\nC) +1.62pp\nD) -0.91pp", + "options": [ + "A) +5.41pp", + "B) -2.18pp", + "C) +1.62pp", + "D) -0.91pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.62pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2,323K\nB) 1,913K\nC) 2,221K\nD) 2,118K", + "options": [ + "A) 2,323K", + "B) 1,913K", + "C) 2,221K", + "D) 2,118K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,118K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,838B\nB) $10,439B\nC) $8,935B\nD) $9,537B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,838B", + "B) $10,439B", + "C) $8,935B", + "D) $9,537B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$9,838B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20060901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.01pp\nB) +0.30pp\nC) -0.62pp\nD) +0.61pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.01pp", + "B) +0.30pp", + "C) -0.62pp", + "D) +0.61pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20060301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2006", + "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 215.66\nB) 171.78\nC) 182.75\nD) 160.81", + "options": [ + "A) 215.66", + "B) 171.78", + "C) 182.75", + "D) 160.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "182.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20060615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2006-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 111.2092\nB) 103.5077\nC) 126.6123\nD) 115.0600", + "options": [ + "A) 111.2092", + "B) 103.5077", + "C) 126.6123", + "D) 115.0600" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "115.0600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2006 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,495K\nB) 1,399K\nC) 1,591K\nD) 1,687K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,495K", + "B) 1,399K", + "C) 1,591K", + "D) 1,687K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,495K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $-56,625M\nB) $-62,183M\nC) $-73,298M\nD) $-45,510M", + "options": [ + "A) $-56,625M", + "B) $-62,183M", + "C) $-73,298M", + "D) $-45,510M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-62,183M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.24%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 2.80%\nD) 4.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.24%", + "B) 1.91%", + "C) 2.80%", + "D) 4.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.08%\nB) 6.23%\nC) 6.57%\nD) 6.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.08%", + "B) 6.23%", + "C) 6.57%", + "D) 6.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 179.12\nB) 189.84\nC) 211.29\nD) 168.40", + "options": [ + "A) 179.12", + "B) 189.84", + "C) 211.29", + "D) 168.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "179.12", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $199,678M\nB) $229,526M\nC) $219,577M\nD) $209,627M", + "options": [ + "A) $199,678M", + "B) $229,526M", + "C) $219,577M", + "D) $209,627M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$229,526M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 0.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.91%", + "B) 1.28%", + "C) 2.10%", + "D) 0.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) $83.16/bbl\nB) $90.71/bbl\nC) $60.48/bbl\nD) $68.04/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $83.16/bbl", + "B) $90.71/bbl", + "C) $60.48/bbl", + "D) $68.04/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$68.04/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 2.95%\nC) 0.91%\nD) 6.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.97%", + "B) 2.95%", + "C) 0.91%", + "D) 6.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 226.99\nB) 211.55\nC) 202.29\nD) 217.73", + "options": [ + "A) 226.99", + "B) 211.55", + "C) 202.29", + "D) 217.73" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "211.55", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.15pp\nB) +0.02pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) +0.27pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.15pp", + "B) +0.02pp", + "C) -0.10pp", + "D) +0.27pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $215,580M\nB) $237,366M\nC) $204,688M\nD) $226,473M", + "options": [ + "A) $215,580M", + "B) $237,366M", + "C) $204,688M", + "D) $226,473M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$226,473M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.90%\nB) 59.75%\nC) 64.16%\nD) 61.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.90%", + "B) 59.75%", + "C) 64.16%", + "D) 61.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "62.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 3.17%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.13%", + "B) 3.17%", + "C) 1.08%", + "D) 0.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -45.45%\nB) -9.38%\nC) -23.81%\nD) -2.17%", + "options": [ + "A) -45.45%", + "B) -9.38%", + "C) -23.81%", + "D) -2.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-23.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 6.21%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 5.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.84%", + "B) 6.21%", + "C) 4.73%", + "D) 5.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 1.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.79%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 3.78%", + "D) 1.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 96.53\nB) 102.09\nC) 92.82\nD) 107.65", + "options": [ + "A) 96.53", + "B) 102.09", + "C) 92.82", + "D) 107.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "102.09", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.75%\nB) 6.99%\nC) 4.56%\nD) 2.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.75%", + "B) 6.99%", + "C) 4.56%", + "D) 2.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,066K\nB) 1,534K\nC) 949K\nD) 1,183K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,066K", + "B) 1,534K", + "C) 949K", + "D) 1,183K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,183K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) -4.63%\nB) -5.86%\nC) -5.04%\nD) -4.22%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.63%", + "B) -5.86%", + "C) -5.04%", + "D) -4.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-4.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +6.50pp\nB) -2.00pp\nC) -14.76pp\nD) -10.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) +6.50pp", + "B) -2.00pp", + "C) -14.76pp", + "D) -10.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-2.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) 3.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.65%", + "B) 3.26%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 4.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 10.37\nB) 21.07\nC) 17.51\nD) 13.94", + "options": [ + "A) 10.37", + "B) 21.07", + "C) 17.51", + "D) 13.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13.94", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.64%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 2.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.10%", + "B) 1.64%", + "C) 2.41%", + "D) 2.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 217.18\nB) 182.19\nC) 205.52\nD) 147.20", + "options": [ + "A) 217.18", + "B) 182.19", + "C) 205.52", + "D) 147.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "182.19", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $16.84/hr\nB) $18.26/hr\nC) $17.55/hr\nD) $18.62/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $16.84/hr", + "B) $18.26/hr", + "C) $17.55/hr", + "D) $18.62/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$17.55/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $15.93/hr\nB) $18.19/hr\nC) $16.58/hr\nD) $17.22/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $15.93/hr", + "B) $18.19/hr", + "C) $16.58/hr", + "D) $17.22/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$17.22/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -24.07%\nB) -36.98%\nC) -11.16%\nD) -43.44%", + "options": [ + "A) -24.07%", + "B) -36.98%", + "C) -11.16%", + "D) -43.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-24.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.64%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 0.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.64%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 1.63%", + "D) 0.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.44%\nB) 4.85%\nC) 6.63%\nD) 6.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.44%", + "B) 4.85%", + "C) 6.63%", + "D) 6.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.3879\nB) 1.2337\nC) 1.2851\nD) 1.3365", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3879", + "B) 1.2337", + "C) 1.2851", + "D) 1.3365" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3365", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.44%\nC) 5.12%\nD) 3.78%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 3.44%", + "C) 5.12%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 3.26%\nD) 0.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.00%", + "B) 2.53%", + "C) 3.26%", + "D) 0.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 5.88%\nC) 5.01%\nD) 5.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.58%", + "B) 5.88%", + "C) 5.01%", + "D) 5.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.81%\nB) 4.07%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 4.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.81%", + "B) 4.07%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 4.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 2.89%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 2.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.38%", + "B) 2.89%", + "C) 2.55%", + "D) 2.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 2.83%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 2.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.99%", + "B) 2.83%", + "C) 3.22%", + "D) 2.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 5.05%\nD) 5.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.34%", + "B) 3.76%", + "C) 5.05%", + "D) 5.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.65%\nB) 10.47%\nC) 14.29%\nD) 2.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.65%", + "B) 10.47%", + "C) 14.29%", + "D) 2.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.00pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) +0.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.20pp", + "B) -0.00pp", + "C) -0.40pp", + "D) +0.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) +12.18pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -13.18pp\nD) -4.73pp", + "options": [ + "A) +12.18pp", + "B) -0.50pp", + "C) -13.18pp", + "D) -4.73pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $352,089M\nB) $339,000M\nC) $365,178M\nD) $391,356M", + "options": [ + "A) $352,089M", + "B) $339,000M", + "C) $365,178M", + "D) $391,356M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$365,178M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 5.35%\nC) 4.77%\nD) 5.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.58%", + "B) 5.35%", + "C) 4.77%", + "D) 5.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 85.89\nB) 90.40\nC) 93.41\nD) 81.38", + "options": [ + "A) 85.89", + "B) 90.40", + "C) 93.41", + "D) 81.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "85.89", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.03%\nB) -3.51%\nC) -10.93%\nD) 3.92%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.03%", + "B) -3.51%", + "C) -10.93%", + "D) 3.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-3.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.30%\nB) 2.27%\nC) -2.76%\nD) 4.78%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.30%", + "B) 2.27%", + "C) -2.76%", + "D) 4.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-2.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 32.74%\nB) 21.46%\nC) -23.66%\nD) 10.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 32.74%", + "B) 21.46%", + "C) -23.66%", + "D) 10.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 169.30\nB) 175.61\nC) 150.36\nD) 181.93", + "options": [ + "A) 169.30", + "B) 175.61", + "C) 150.36", + "D) 181.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "169.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $821M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $821M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$821M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $827M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $827M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$827M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $62,287M\nB) $74,712M\nC) $56,074M\nD) $65,393M", + "options": [ + "A) $62,287M", + "B) $74,712M", + "C) $56,074M", + "D) $65,393M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$65,393M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,612B\nB) $8,539B\nC) $8,896B\nD) $9,969B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,612B", + "B) $8,539B", + "C) $8,896B", + "D) $9,969B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$9,612B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.14%\nB) -2.37%\nC) -9.91%\nD) 5.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.14%", + "B) -2.37%", + "C) -9.91%", + "D) 5.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-2.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $-53,397M\nB) $-48,636M\nC) $-58,158M\nD) $-43,875M", + "options": [ + "A) $-53,397M", + "B) $-48,636M", + "C) $-58,158M", + "D) $-43,875M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-58,158M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.8075\nB) 7.4415\nC) 7.1671\nD) 7.6245", + "options": [ + "A) 7.8075", + "B) 7.4415", + "C) 7.1671", + "D) 7.6245" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.6245", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 123.5500\nB) 126.3925\nC) 115.0225\nD) 120.7075", + "options": [ + "A) 123.5500", + "B) 126.3925", + "C) 115.0225", + "D) 120.7075" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "123.5500", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 135,293K\nB) 138,099K\nC) 132,487K\nD) 142,308K", + "options": [ + "A) 135,293K", + "B) 138,099K", + "C) 132,487K", + "D) 142,308K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "138,099K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 7.30%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 4.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 7.30%", + "C) 5.89%", + "D) 4.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 3.31%\nC) 2.79%\nD) 2.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.76%", + "B) 3.31%", + "C) 2.79%", + "D) 2.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 320,000\nB) 381,325\nC) 340,442\nD) 360,883", + "options": [ + "A) 320,000", + "B) 381,325", + "C) 340,442", + "D) 360,883" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "320,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.74pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) -0.16pp\nD) -0.34pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.74pp", + "B) +0.20pp", + "C) -0.16pp", + "D) -0.34pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.93%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 3.87%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.93%", + "B) 5.20%", + "C) 4.40%", + "D) 3.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.86%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 3.46%\nD) 1.33%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.86%", + "B) 2.40%", + "C) 3.46%", + "D) 1.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 1.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.10%", + "B) 2.79%", + "C) 1.42%", + "D) 1.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.60pp\nB) +0.03pp\nC) -1.53pp\nD) -0.75pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.60pp", + "B) +0.03pp", + "C) -1.53pp", + "D) -0.75pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.03pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 68.19%\nB) 64.21%\nC) 66.20%\nD) 61.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.19%", + "B) 64.21%", + "C) 66.20%", + "D) 61.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "66.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,007,103\nB) 1,784,154\nC) 2,898,897\nD) 2,453,000", + "options": [ + "A) 2,007,103", + "B) 1,784,154", + "C) 2,898,897", + "D) 2,453,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,453,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $10,337B\nB) $11,009B\nC) $10,001B\nD) $9,665B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,337B", + "B) $11,009B", + "C) $10,001B", + "D) $9,665B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$10,337B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.47%\nB) 1.03%\nC) -1.79%\nD) -7.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.47%", + "B) 1.03%", + "C) -1.79%", + "D) -7.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 67.98%\nB) 61.38%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 64.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 67.98%", + "B) 61.38%", + "C) 66.00%", + "D) 64.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "66.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 141,918K\nB) 144,673K\nC) 133,650K\nD) 137,784K", + "options": [ + "A) 141,918K", + "B) 144,673K", + "C) 133,650K", + "D) 137,784K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "137,784K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 88.40\nB) 79.56\nC) 82.51\nD) 94.29", + "options": [ + "A) 88.40", + "B) 79.56", + "C) 82.51", + "D) 94.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "88.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $75,792M\nB) $66,936M\nC) $63,984M\nD) $72,840M", + "options": [ + "A) $75,792M", + "B) $66,936M", + "C) $63,984M", + "D) $72,840M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$66,936M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 95.79\nB) 104.40\nC) 100.95\nD) 107.85", + "options": [ + "A) 95.79", + "B) 104.40", + "C) 100.95", + "D) 107.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "100.95", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.58%\nB) 5.10%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 5.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.58%", + "B) 5.10%", + "C) 4.78%", + "D) 5.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,413B\nB) $7,880B\nC) $6,712B\nD) $7,647B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,413B", + "B) $7,880B", + "C) $6,712B", + "D) $7,647B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$7,413B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.95%\nB) 80.94%\nC) 78.95%\nD) 83.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 76.95%", + "B) 80.94%", + "C) 78.95%", + "D) 83.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,269.98\nB) 2,448.35\nC) 2,626.71\nD) 3,161.80", + "options": [ + "A) 2,269.98", + "B) 2,448.35", + "C) 2,626.71", + "D) 3,161.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,626.71", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) $47.95/bbl\nB) $87.41/bbl\nC) $63.74/bbl\nD) $71.63/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $47.95/bbl", + "B) $87.41/bbl", + "C) $63.74/bbl", + "D) $71.63/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$71.63/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 205.29\nB) 197.25\nC) 213.32\nD) 185.20", + "options": [ + "A) 205.29", + "B) 197.25", + "C) 213.32", + "D) 185.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "205.29", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.13pp\nB) +0.00pp\nC) -0.38pp\nD) +0.13pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.13pp", + "B) +0.00pp", + "C) -0.38pp", + "D) +0.13pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) $9,331B\nB) $8,898B\nC) $8,031B\nD) $6,732B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,331B", + "B) $8,898B", + "C) $8,031B", + "D) $6,732B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$8,031B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) -12.33%\nB) -35.72%\nC) 11.05%\nD) -0.64%", + "options": [ + "A) -12.33%", + "B) -35.72%", + "C) 11.05%", + "D) -0.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.30%\nB) 65.20%\nC) 61.40%\nD) 66.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.30%", + "B) 65.20%", + "C) 61.40%", + "D) 66.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "63.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 212.75\nB) 208.55\nC) 200.14\nD) 221.15", + "options": [ + "A) 212.75", + "B) 208.55", + "C) 200.14", + "D) 221.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "208.55", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 91.78\nB) 97.46\nC) 94.62\nD) 100.30", + "options": [ + "A) 91.78", + "B) 97.46", + "C) 94.62", + "D) 100.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "94.62", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,858B\nB) $6,708B\nC) $7,628B\nD) $7,168B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,858B", + "B) $6,708B", + "C) $7,628B", + "D) $7,168B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$7,168B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,596K\nB) 1,310K\nC) 1,787K\nD) 1,691K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,596K", + "B) 1,310K", + "C) 1,787K", + "D) 1,691K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,596K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.47pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +1.02pp\nD) -0.34pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.47pp", + "B) +0.20pp", + "C) +1.02pp", + "D) -0.34pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.54\nB) 88.89\nC) 86.35\nD) 92.71", + "options": [ + "A) 82.54", + "B) 88.89", + "C) 86.35", + "D) 92.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "86.35", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.75\nB) 79.23\nC) 82.36\nD) 87.05", + "options": [ + "A) 91.75", + "B) 79.23", + "C) 82.36", + "D) 87.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "87.05", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 173.50\nB) 186.35\nC) 192.77\nD) 154.23", + "options": [ + "A) 173.50", + "B) 186.35", + "C) 192.77", + "D) 154.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "173.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 0.70%\nD) 3.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.45%", + "B) 1.28%", + "C) 0.70%", + "D) 3.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 3.00%\nD) 5.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.89%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 3.00%", + "D) 5.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.23pp\nB) +0.01pp\nC) -0.61pp\nD) -0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.23pp", + "B) +0.01pp", + "C) -0.61pp", + "D) -0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -31.22%\nB) -16.04%\nC) -23.63%\nD) -8.44%", + "options": [ + "A) -31.22%", + "B) -16.04%", + "C) -23.63%", + "D) -8.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-31.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.04%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 0.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.04%", + "B) 0.93%", + "C) 1.38%", + "D) 0.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 5.05%\nD) 3.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.63%", + "B) 4.47%", + "C) 5.05%", + "D) 3.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 2.28%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.96%", + "B) 2.28%", + "C) 2.05%", + "D) 2.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 3.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.90%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 6.20%", + "D) 3.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 5.26%\nC) 6.03%\nD) 7.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.94%", + "B) 5.26%", + "C) 6.03%", + "D) 7.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -7.07%\nB) -30.50%\nC) -24.65%\nD) -12.93%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.07%", + "B) -30.50%", + "C) -24.65%", + "D) -12.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-24.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 59.39%\nB) -7.54%\nC) 14.77%\nD) 25.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.39%", + "B) -7.54%", + "C) 14.77%", + "D) 25.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "25.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.38%\nB) 6.36%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 10.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.38%", + "B) 6.36%", + "C) 2.40%", + "D) 10.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 4.70%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 4.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.84%", + "B) 4.70%", + "C) 4.13%", + "D) 4.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,586B\nB) $10,878B\nC) $10,524B\nD) $9,816B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,586B", + "B) $10,878B", + "C) $10,524B", + "D) $9,816B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$10,524B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 79.46\nB) 83.08\nC) 87.91\nD) 85.49", + "options": [ + "A) 79.46", + "B) 83.08", + "C) 87.91", + "D) 85.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "85.49", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.96%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 10.01%\nD) 4.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.96%", + "B) 5.90%", + "C) 10.01%", + "D) 4.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20070615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2007-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) -1.43pp\nB) +0.11pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) +1.14pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.43pp", + "B) +0.11pp", + "C) -0.40pp", + "D) +1.14pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.11pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,479B\nB) $9,112B\nC) $9,845B\nD) $8,745B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,479B", + "B) $9,112B", + "C) $9,845B", + "D) $8,745B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$9,845B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.37%\nB) 84.01%\nC) 86.22%\nD) 80.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 77.37%", + "B) 84.01%", + "C) 86.22%", + "D) 80.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "80.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.49pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) +2.01pp\nD) -1.04pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.49pp", + "B) -0.02pp", + "C) +2.01pp", + "D) -1.04pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.49pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 901K\nB) 1,261K\nC) 1,501K\nD) 1,021K", + "options": [ + "A) 901K", + "B) 1,261K", + "C) 1,501K", + "D) 1,021K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,261K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $398,398M\nB) $372,409M\nC) $359,415M\nD) $385,404M", + "options": [ + "A) $398,398M", + "B) $372,409M", + "C) $359,415M", + "D) $385,404M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$359,415M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.26%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 2.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.26%", + "B) 2.91%", + "C) 3.61%", + "D) 2.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.08%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 6.99%\nD) 5.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.08%", + "B) 4.44%", + "C) 6.99%", + "D) 5.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.77%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 6.30%\nD) 6.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.77%", + "B) 5.24%", + "C) 6.30%", + "D) 6.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 215.15\nB) 200.82\nC) 209.42\nD) 223.74", + "options": [ + "A) 215.15", + "B) 200.82", + "C) 209.42", + "D) 223.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "209.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20070301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.52%\nB) 1.43%\nC) 4.91%\nD) -0.31%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.52%", + "B) 1.43%", + "C) 4.91%", + "D) -0.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20070901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2007", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 83.40\nB) 86.31\nC) 89.21\nD) 80.49", + "options": [ + "A) 83.40", + "B) 86.31", + "C) 89.21", + "D) 80.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "83.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 34.59\nB) 30.83\nC) 32.08\nD) 28.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 34.59", + "B) 30.83", + "C) 32.08", + "D) 28.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 34.59\nB) 30.83\nC) 32.08\nD) 28.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 34.59", + "B) 30.83", + "C) 32.08", + "D) 28.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 27.07\nB) 32.08\nC) 30.83\nD) 28.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 27.07", + "B) 32.08", + "C) 30.83", + "D) 28.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 27.07\nB) 32.08\nC) 30.83\nD) 28.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 27.07", + "B) 32.08", + "C) 30.83", + "D) 28.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 34.59\nC) 27.07\nD) 30.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 29.58", + "B) 34.59", + "C) 27.07", + "D) 30.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 34.59\nC) 27.07\nD) 30.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 29.58", + "B) 34.59", + "C) 27.07", + "D) 30.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 30.83\nB) 28.32\nC) 34.59\nD) 32.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 30.83", + "B) 28.32", + "C) 34.59", + "D) 32.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 30.83\nB) 28.32\nC) 34.59\nD) 32.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 30.83", + "B) 28.32", + "C) 34.59", + "D) 32.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 30.83\nC) 33.34\nD) 34.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 29.58", + "B) 30.83", + "C) 33.34", + "D) 34.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 30.83\nC) 33.34\nD) 34.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 29.58", + "B) 30.83", + "C) 33.34", + "D) 34.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 32.34\nB) 34.85\nC) 31.09\nD) 33.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 32.34", + "B) 34.85", + "C) 31.09", + "D) 33.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "31.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 32.34\nB) 34.85\nC) 31.09\nD) 33.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 32.34", + "B) 34.85", + "C) 31.09", + "D) 33.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "31.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 4.33%\nC) 4.47%\nD) 4.60%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.20%", + "B) 4.33%", + "C) 4.47%", + "D) 4.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-5d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 4.33%\nC) 4.47%\nD) 4.60%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.20%", + "B) 4.33%", + "C) 4.47%", + "D) 4.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-5d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.60%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 5.00%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.60%", + "B) 4.73%", + "C) 4.33%", + "D) 5.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-10d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.60%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 5.00%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.60%", + "B) 4.73%", + "C) 4.33%", + "D) 5.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-10d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.11%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.98%", + "B) 4.38%", + "C) 4.51%", + "D) 4.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-20d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.11%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.98%", + "B) 4.38%", + "C) 4.51%", + "D) 4.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-20d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 4.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.74%", + "B) 4.47%", + "C) 4.34%", + "D) 4.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-40d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 4.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.74%", + "B) 4.47%", + "C) 4.34%", + "D) 4.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-40d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 4.71%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.31%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.91%", + "B) 4.71%", + "C) 4.44%", + "D) 4.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.31%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-60d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 4.71%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.31%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.91%", + "B) 4.71%", + "C) 4.44%", + "D) 4.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.31%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-60d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.51%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 3.24%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.51%", + "B) 3.11%", + "C) 3.78%", + "D) 3.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-120d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.51%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 3.24%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.51%", + "B) 3.11%", + "C) 3.78%", + "D) 3.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-120d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 4.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.54%", + "B) 3.79%", + "C) 4.55%", + "D) 4.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.79%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 4.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.54%", + "B) 3.79%", + "C) 4.55%", + "D) 4.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.79%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 3.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.37%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.12%", + "D) 3.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 3.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.37%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.12%", + "D) 3.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.88%", + "B) 2.87%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.88%", + "B) 2.87%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.12%", + "B) 2.36%", + "C) 2.62%", + "D) 3.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.12%", + "B) 2.36%", + "C) 2.62%", + "D) 3.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.88%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2.62%", + "B) 3.12%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 3.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.88%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2.62%", + "B) 3.12%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 3.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.46%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2.72%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 1.96%", + "D) 2.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.46%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2.72%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 1.96%", + "D) 2.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,377.47\nB) 2,628.60\nC) 2,461.18\nD) 2,544.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,377.47", + "B) 2,628.60", + "C) 2,461.18", + "D) 2,544.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,544.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,377.47\nB) 2,628.60\nC) 2,461.18\nD) 2,544.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,377.47", + "B) 2,628.60", + "C) 2,461.18", + "D) 2,544.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,544.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.80\nB) 2,385.38\nC) 2,301.67\nD) 2,720.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,552.80", + "B) 2,385.38", + "C) 2,301.67", + "D) 2,720.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,552.80", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.80\nB) 2,385.38\nC) 2,301.67\nD) 2,720.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,552.80", + "B) 2,385.38", + "C) 2,301.67", + "D) 2,720.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,552.80", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,379.11\nB) 2,630.24\nC) 2,546.53\nD) 2,881.37", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,379.11", + "B) 2,630.24", + "C) 2,546.53", + "D) 2,881.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,630.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,379.11\nB) 2,630.24\nC) 2,546.53\nD) 2,881.37", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,379.11", + "B) 2,630.24", + "C) 2,546.53", + "D) 2,881.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,630.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,612.90\nB) 2,529.19\nC) 2,780.32\nD) 2,864.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,612.90", + "B) 2,529.19", + "C) 2,780.32", + "D) 2,864.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,780.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,612.90\nB) 2,529.19\nC) 2,780.32\nD) 2,864.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,612.90", + "B) 2,529.19", + "C) 2,780.32", + "D) 2,864.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,780.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3,026.54\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,607.99\nD) 2,859.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3,026.54", + "B) 3,110.25", + "C) 2,607.99", + "D) 2,859.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,859.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3,026.54\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,607.99\nD) 2,859.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3,026.54", + "B) 3,110.25", + "C) 2,607.99", + "D) 2,859.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,859.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,859.12\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,942.83\nD) 2,607.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,859.12", + "B) 3,110.25", + "C) 2,942.83", + "D) 2,607.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,859.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,859.12\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,942.83\nD) 2,607.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", + "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", + "options": [ + "A) 2,859.12", + "B) 3,110.25", + "C) 2,942.83", + "D) 2,607.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,859.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", + "event_date": "2007-08-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max", + "year": 2007 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) $112.80/bbl\nB) $134.52/bbl\nC) $123.66/bbl\nD) $167.10/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $112.80/bbl", + "B) $134.52/bbl", + "C) $123.66/bbl", + "D) $167.10/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$134.52/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +1.23pp\nB) +1.06pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) +0.88pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.23pp", + "B) +1.06pp", + "C) +0.70pp", + "D) +0.88pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 133,878K\nB) 142,640K\nC) 130,958K\nD) 138,259K", + "options": [ + "A) 133,878K", + "B) 142,640K", + "C) 130,958K", + "D) 138,259K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "138,259K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.73%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 4.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.73%", + "B) 4.82%", + "C) 3.01%", + "D) 4.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.33\nB) 20.95\nC) 18.74\nD) 23.16", + "options": [ + "A) 14.33", + "B) 20.95", + "C) 18.74", + "D) 23.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.95", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 186.99\nB) 177.45\nC) 167.90\nD) 139.26", + "options": [ + "A) 186.99", + "B) 177.45", + "C) 167.90", + "D) 139.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "167.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 188.82\nB) 213.07\nC) 172.65\nD) 196.90", + "options": [ + "A) 188.82", + "B) 213.07", + "C) 172.65", + "D) 196.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "196.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 378,000\nB) 421,763\nC) 334,237\nD) 348,825", + "options": [ + "A) 378,000", + "B) 421,763", + "C) 334,237", + "D) 348,825" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "378,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.89%\nB) -8.13%\nC) -5.84%\nD) -9.66%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.89%", + "B) -8.13%", + "C) -5.84%", + "D) -9.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-8.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 84.32%\nB) 137.86%\nC) 97.71%\nD) 111.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 84.32%", + "B) 137.86%", + "C) 97.71%", + "D) 111.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "97.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 4.45%\nD) 4.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.85%", + "B) 3.65%", + "C) 4.45%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $10,035B\nB) $8,932B\nC) $11,139B\nD) $9,300B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,035B", + "B) $8,932B", + "C) $11,139B", + "D) $9,300B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$10,035B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 204.66\nB) 213.45\nC) 222.23\nD) 209.06", + "options": [ + "A) 204.66", + "B) 213.45", + "C) 222.23", + "D) 209.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "213.45", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.31%\nB) -2.28%\nC) -4.96%\nD) 3.08%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.31%", + "B) -2.28%", + "C) -4.96%", + "D) 3.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-4.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) $122.88/bbl\nB) $166.96/bbl\nC) $100.84/bbl\nD) $133.90/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $122.88/bbl", + "B) $166.96/bbl", + "C) $100.84/bbl", + "D) $133.90/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$133.90/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) $8,696B\nB) $8,214B\nC) $10,140B\nD) $9,659B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,696B", + "B) $8,214B", + "C) $10,140B", + "D) $9,659B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$8,696B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 3.90%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 5.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.13%", + "B) 3.90%", + "C) 4.49%", + "D) 5.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -23.94%\nB) -31.67%\nC) -39.41%\nD) -16.20%", + "options": [ + "A) -23.94%", + "B) -31.67%", + "C) -39.41%", + "D) -16.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-39.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,281K\nB) 810K\nC) 496K\nD) 967K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,281K", + "B) 810K", + "C) 496K", + "D) 967K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "967K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.72pp\nB) -6.06pp\nC) -4.76pp\nD) -7.37pp", + "options": [ + "A) -6.72pp", + "B) -6.06pp", + "C) -4.76pp", + "D) -7.37pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-6.72pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $370,411M\nB) $358,991M\nC) $393,251M\nD) $347,571M", + "options": [ + "A) $370,411M", + "B) $358,991M", + "C) $393,251M", + "D) $347,571M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$358,991M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 228.48\nB) 214.08\nC) 218.88\nD) 209.28", + "options": [ + "A) 228.48", + "B) 214.08", + "C) 218.88", + "D) 209.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "218.88", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.12\nB) 66.31\nC) 79.07\nD) 69.50", + "options": [ + "A) 63.12", + "B) 66.31", + "C) 79.07", + "D) 69.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "69.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.70%\nB) 60.82%\nC) 64.58%\nD) 65.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.70%", + "B) 60.82%", + "C) 64.58%", + "D) 65.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "62.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.61%\nB) -0.97%\nC) -0.25%\nD) -1.33%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.61%", + "B) -0.97%", + "C) -0.25%", + "D) -1.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,157K\nB) 1,309K\nC) 1,005K\nD) 549K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,157K", + "B) 1,309K", + "C) 1,005K", + "D) 549K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,005K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.36\nB) 92.17\nC) 84.06\nD) 88.12", + "options": [ + "A) 81.36", + "B) 92.17", + "C) 84.06", + "D) 88.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "88.12", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 4.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.77%", + "B) 5.25%", + "C) 4.29%", + "D) 4.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.18pp\nB) +1.23pp\nC) +2.17pp\nD) +2.64pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.18pp", + "B) +1.23pp", + "C) +2.17pp", + "D) +2.64pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+1.23pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 12.25%\nB) 8.45%\nC) 10.99%\nD) 13.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.25%", + "B) 8.45%", + "C) 10.99%", + "D) 13.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 3.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.46%", + "B) 2.65%", + "C) 2.38%", + "D) 3.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -36.80%\nB) -28.16%\nC) -54.07%\nD) -62.71%", + "options": [ + "A) -36.80%", + "B) -28.16%", + "C) -54.07%", + "D) -62.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-36.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $18.62/hr\nB) $18.20/hr\nC) $16.93/hr\nD) $17.78/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $18.62/hr", + "B) $18.20/hr", + "C) $16.93/hr", + "D) $17.78/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$18.20/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 68.08%\nB) 64.12%\nC) 66.10%\nD) 69.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.08%", + "B) 64.12%", + "C) 66.10%", + "D) 69.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "66.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,739.25\nB) 2,210.31\nC) 2,078.07\nD) 2,474.78", + "options": [ + "A) 2,739.25", + "B) 2,210.31", + "C) 2,078.07", + "D) 2,474.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,474.78", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,057,000\nB) 2,560,109\nC) 3,222,630\nD) 2,725,739", + "options": [ + "A) 3,057,000", + "B) 2,560,109", + "C) 3,222,630", + "D) 2,725,739" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,057,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $18.25/hr\nB) $17.87/hr\nC) $18.64/hr\nD) $19.02/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $18.25/hr", + "B) $17.87/hr", + "C) $18.64/hr", + "D) $19.02/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$17.87/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 4.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.00%", + "B) 1.63%", + "C) 2.90%", + "D) 4.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.81%\nB) 6.49%\nC) 6.66%\nD) 6.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.81%", + "B) 6.49%", + "C) 6.66%", + "D) 6.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 88.64\nB) 96.73\nC) 91.87\nD) 83.78", + "options": [ + "A) 88.64", + "B) 96.73", + "C) 91.87", + "D) 83.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "88.64", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $377,933M\nB) $365,164M\nC) $339,626M\nD) $403,470M", + "options": [ + "A) $377,933M", + "B) $365,164M", + "C) $339,626M", + "D) $403,470M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$365,164M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.00%\nB) 63.76%\nC) 61.90%\nD) 60.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 65.00%", + "B) 63.76%", + "C) 61.90%", + "D) 60.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "61.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -40.94%\nB) -24.61%\nC) -57.28%\nD) -32.78%", + "options": [ + "A) -40.94%", + "B) -24.61%", + "C) -57.28%", + "D) -32.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-32.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 7.24%\nC) -2.59%\nD) 9.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 7.24%", + "C) -2.59%", + "D) 9.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.74%\nB) -9.61%\nC) -21.80%\nD) -1.48%", + "options": [ + "A) -17.74%", + "B) -9.61%", + "C) -21.80%", + "D) -1.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-9.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.43%\nB) 0.39%\nC) -1.69%\nD) -3.78%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.43%", + "B) 0.39%", + "C) -1.69%", + "D) -3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 140,863K\nB) 129,922K\nC) 134,025K\nD) 136,760K", + "options": [ + "A) 140,863K", + "B) 129,922K", + "C) 134,025K", + "D) 136,760K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "136,760K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 88.11%\nB) 125.53%\nC) 75.64%\nD) 113.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 88.11%", + "B) 125.53%", + "C) 75.64%", + "D) 113.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "88.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.59pp\nB) -1.00pp\nC) -1.21pp\nD) -0.79pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.59pp", + "B) -1.00pp", + "C) -1.21pp", + "D) -0.79pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.37pp\nB) -0.12pp\nC) +0.00pp\nD) +0.12pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.37pp", + "B) -0.12pp", + "C) +0.00pp", + "D) +0.12pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.01%\nD) 2.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.79%", + "B) 2.22%", + "C) 2.01%", + "D) 2.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.95%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 3.54%\nD) 5.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.95%", + "B) 4.01%", + "C) 3.54%", + "D) 5.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -28.20pp\nB) -18.90pp\nC) -9.60pp\nD) -14.25pp", + "options": [ + "A) -28.20pp", + "B) -18.90pp", + "C) -9.60pp", + "D) -14.25pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-18.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.96%\nB) 1.73%\nC) -0.61%\nD) 6.43%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.96%", + "B) 1.73%", + "C) -0.61%", + "D) 6.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.29%\nB) 9.88%\nC) 18.90%\nD) 13.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.29%", + "B) 9.88%", + "C) 18.90%", + "D) 13.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,670B\nB) $8,392B\nC) $8,151B\nD) $6,948B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,670B", + "B) $8,392B", + "C) $8,151B", + "D) $6,948B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$7,670B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 116.7217\nB) 108.1900\nC) 111.0339\nD) 102.5022", + "options": [ + "A) 116.7217", + "B) 108.1900", + "C) 111.0339", + "D) 102.5022" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "108.1900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,084B\nB) $10,218B\nC) $10,964B\nD) $9,844B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,084B", + "B) $10,218B", + "C) $10,964B", + "D) $9,844B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$10,964B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.14%\nB) 3.09%\nC) -0.95%\nD) 1.47%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.14%", + "B) 3.09%", + "C) -0.95%", + "D) 1.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $63,854M\nB) $60,996M\nC) $55,279M\nD) $58,137M", + "options": [ + "A) $63,854M", + "B) $60,996M", + "C) $55,279M", + "D) $58,137M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$63,854M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.04%\nB) 80.54%\nC) 82.34%\nD) 77.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 76.04%", + "B) 80.54%", + "C) 82.34%", + "D) 77.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.49%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 3.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.49%", + "C) 2.76%", + "D) 3.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 69.77%\nB) 71.99%\nC) 76.45%\nD) 74.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 69.77%", + "B) 71.99%", + "C) 76.45%", + "D) 74.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "74.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.70%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.70%", + "B) 4.94%", + "C) 2.88%", + "D) 2.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 84.71\nB) 87.35\nC) 93.94\nD) 89.99", + "options": [ + "A) 84.71", + "B) 87.35", + "C) 93.94", + "D) 89.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "87.35", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 2.62%\nC) 2.39%\nD) 1.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.16%", + "B) 2.62%", + "C) 2.39%", + "D) 1.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.16pp\nB) -30.92pp\nC) -19.04pp\nD) -13.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) -7.16pp", + "B) -30.92pp", + "C) -19.04pp", + "D) -13.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-13.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.39\nB) 85.17\nC) 80.71\nD) 82.94", + "options": [ + "A) 87.39", + "B) 85.17", + "C) 80.71", + "D) 82.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "87.39", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.86pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) -1.67pp\nD) +1.36pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.86pp", + "B) -0.16pp", + "C) -1.67pp", + "D) +1.36pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.16pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 206.39\nB) 227.03\nC) 216.71\nD) 199.51", + "options": [ + "A) 206.39", + "B) 227.03", + "C) 216.71", + "D) 199.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "216.71", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,038B\nB) $9,397B\nC) $10,835B\nD) $10,116B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,038B", + "B) $9,397B", + "C) $10,835B", + "D) $10,116B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$10,116B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $10,765B\nB) $9,687B\nC) $11,844B\nD) $10,406B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,765B", + "B) $9,687B", + "C) $11,844B", + "D) $10,406B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$10,765B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.73%\nB) 6.20%\nC) 7.13%\nD) 6.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.73%", + "B) 6.20%", + "C) 7.13%", + "D) 6.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,136B\nB) $8,400B\nC) $7,872B\nD) $7,082B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,136B", + "B) $8,400B", + "C) $7,872B", + "D) $7,082B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$7,872B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 59.86\nB) 54.64\nC) 85.96\nD) 70.30", + "options": [ + "A) 59.86", + "B) 54.64", + "C) 85.96", + "D) 70.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "70.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.40pp\nB) +1.65pp\nC) +2.15pp\nD) +1.90pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.40pp", + "B) +1.65pp", + "C) +2.15pp", + "D) +1.90pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+1.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.71%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 3.38%\nD) -1.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.71%", + "B) 1.60%", + "C) 3.38%", + "D) -1.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.83%\nB) 8.36%\nC) 7.59%\nD) 6.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.83%", + "B) 8.36%", + "C) 7.59%", + "D) 6.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -57.59%\nB) -48.62%\nC) -3.78%\nD) -30.68%", + "options": [ + "A) -57.59%", + "B) -48.62%", + "C) -3.78%", + "D) -30.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-30.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.81%", + "B) 1.00%", + "C) 2.62%", + "D) 3.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 219K\nB) 820K\nC) 1,421K\nD) 419K", + "options": [ + "A) 219K", + "B) 820K", + "C) 1,421K", + "D) 419K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "820K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $-72,920M\nB) $-64,440M\nC) $-60,200M\nD) $-47,480M", + "options": [ + "A) $-72,920M", + "B) $-64,440M", + "C) $-60,200M", + "D) $-47,480M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-60,200M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 3.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.78%", + "B) 3.37%", + "C) 3.96%", + "D) 3.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 5.19%\nD) 3.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.97%", + "B) 4.38%", + "C) 5.19%", + "D) 3.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 6.10%\nC) 5.86%\nD) 6.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.34%", + "B) 6.10%", + "C) 5.86%", + "D) 6.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 375K\nB) 1,219K\nC) 797K\nD) 1,429K", + "options": [ + "A) 375K", + "B) 1,219K", + "C) 797K", + "D) 1,429K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "797K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.38%\nB) 67.98%\nC) 64.02%\nD) 66.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.38%", + "B) 67.98%", + "C) 64.02%", + "D) 66.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "66.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 187.90\nB) 174.88\nC) 200.92\nD) 207.43", + "options": [ + "A) 187.90", + "B) 174.88", + "C) 200.92", + "D) 207.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "187.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 4.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.84%", + "B) 4.14%", + "C) 3.01%", + "D) 4.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.17%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 4.41%\nD) 3.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.17%", + "B) 3.64%", + "C) 4.41%", + "D) 3.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -5.95%\nB) -9.90%\nC) -8.58%\nD) -7.27%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.95%", + "B) -9.90%", + "C) -8.58%", + "D) -7.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-7.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.35%\nB) -8.84%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 4.14%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.35%", + "B) -8.84%", + "C) 1.97%", + "D) 4.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-2.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.4939\nB) 1.5472\nC) 1.4407\nD) 1.6537", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4939", + "B) 1.5472", + "C) 1.4407", + "D) 1.6537" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.5472", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.92%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 1.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.92%", + "B) 2.29%", + "C) 2.04%", + "D) 1.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.93%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 5.66%\nD) 5.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.93%", + "B) 4.27%", + "C) 5.66%", + "D) 5.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -5.78%\nB) -29.81%\nC) -21.80%\nD) 2.22%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.78%", + "B) -29.81%", + "C) -21.80%", + "D) 2.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-5.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) -0.60pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.80pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.00pp", + "B) -0.60pp", + "C) -0.40pp", + "D) -0.80pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.5141\nB) 7.2681\nC) 6.8911\nD) 6.3255", + "options": [ + "A) 6.5141", + "B) 7.2681", + "C) 6.8911", + "D) 6.3255" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.8911", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.65\nB) 86.81\nC) 93.69\nD) 90.25", + "options": [ + "A) 81.65", + "B) 86.81", + "C) 93.69", + "D) 90.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "90.25", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $-60,292M\nB) $-63,782M\nC) $-67,272M\nD) $-56,802M", + "options": [ + "A) $-60,292M", + "B) $-63,782M", + "C) $-67,272M", + "D) $-56,802M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-60,292M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.02pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) -0.47pp\nD) +0.27pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.02pp", + "B) -0.10pp", + "C) -0.47pp", + "D) +0.27pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $225,005M\nB) $195,725M\nC) $215,245M\nD) $205,485M", + "options": [ + "A) $225,005M", + "B) $195,725M", + "C) $215,245M", + "D) $205,485M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$215,245M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $213,149M\nB) $224,008M\nC) $202,289M\nD) $234,868M", + "options": [ + "A) $213,149M", + "B) $224,008M", + "C) $202,289M", + "D) $234,868M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$234,868M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.02%\nB) 2.41%\nC) 4.84%\nD) 4.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.02%", + "B) 2.41%", + "C) 4.84%", + "D) 4.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.77%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 3.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.18%", + "B) 3.77%", + "C) 2.97%", + "D) 3.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.97%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 4.18%\nD) 3.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.97%", + "B) 5.38%", + "C) 4.18%", + "D) 3.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.42%\nB) 8.74%\nC) 8.16%\nD) 7.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.42%", + "B) 8.74%", + "C) 8.16%", + "D) 7.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 161.91\nB) 154.47\nC) 139.59\nD) 176.79", + "options": [ + "A) 161.91", + "B) 154.47", + "C) 139.59", + "D) 176.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "161.91", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 0.57%\nC) -0.90%\nD) -0.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.55%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) -0.90%", + "D) -0.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 98.77\nB) 88.80\nC) 93.79\nD) 102.10", + "options": [ + "A) 98.77", + "B) 88.80", + "C) 93.79", + "D) 102.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "93.79", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 2.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.75%", + "B) 5.20%", + "C) 4.33%", + "D) 2.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $66,526M\nB) $60,422M\nC) $63,474M\nD) $75,682M", + "options": [ + "A) $66,526M", + "B) $60,422M", + "C) $63,474M", + "D) $75,682M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$66,526M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.54%\nB) -7.84%\nC) -4.69%\nD) -11.00%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.54%", + "B) -7.84%", + "C) -4.69%", + "D) -11.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-7.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.04%\nB) 1.11%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 1.49%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.04%", + "B) 1.11%", + "C) 0.34%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20080615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2008-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.50%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 2.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.50%", + "B) 2.86%", + "C) 1.28%", + "D) 2.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $833M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $833M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$833M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.18%\nB) 9.95%\nC) 12.26%\nD) 11.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.18%", + "B) 9.95%", + "C) 12.26%", + "D) 11.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 2.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.47%", + "B) 2.02%", + "C) 2.17%", + "D) 2.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 230.75\nB) 220.95\nC) 204.62\nD) 214.42", + "options": [ + "A) 230.75", + "B) 220.95", + "C) 204.62", + "D) 214.42" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "214.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20080301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 101.53\nB) 107.22\nC) 111.01\nD) 97.74", + "options": [ + "A) 101.53", + "B) 107.22", + "C) 111.01", + "D) 97.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "101.53", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20080901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2008", + "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $910M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $910M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$910M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 23.77\nB) 37.89\nC) 32.24\nD) 40.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 23.77", + "B) 37.89", + "C) 32.24", + "D) 40.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 23.77\nB) 37.89\nC) 32.24\nD) 40.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 23.77", + "B) 37.89", + "C) 32.24", + "D) 40.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 35.06\nC) 26.59\nD) 32.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 35.06", + "C) 26.59", + "D) 32.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 35.06\nC) 26.59\nD) 32.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 35.06", + "C) 26.59", + "D) 32.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 29.42\nC) 35.06\nD) 23.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 32.24", + "B) 29.42", + "C) 35.06", + "D) 23.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 29.42\nC) 35.06\nD) 23.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 32.24", + "B) 29.42", + "C) 35.06", + "D) 23.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 32.24\nC) 35.06\nD) 26.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 32.24", + "C) 35.06", + "D) 26.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 32.24\nC) 35.06\nD) 26.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 32.24", + "C) 35.06", + "D) 26.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 23.77\nC) 32.24\nD) 37.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 23.77", + "C) 32.24", + "D) 37.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 23.77\nC) 32.24\nD) 37.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 23.77", + "C) 32.24", + "D) 37.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 26.59\nC) 29.42\nD) 32.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 26.59", + "C) 29.42", + "D) 32.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 26.59\nC) 29.42\nD) 32.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 40.71", + "B) 26.59", + "C) 29.42", + "D) 32.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "32.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.18%\nC) 3.77%\nD) 3.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 4.18%", + "C) 3.77%", + "D) 3.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.18%\nC) 3.77%\nD) 3.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 4.18%", + "C) 3.77%", + "D) 3.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 3.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.18%", + "B) 3.56%", + "C) 2.94%", + "D) 3.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 3.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.18%", + "B) 3.56%", + "C) 2.94%", + "D) 3.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 4.23%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2.99%", + "B) 3.82%", + "C) 3.61%", + "D) 4.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.61%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 4.23%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2.99%", + "B) 3.82%", + "C) 3.61%", + "D) 4.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.61%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 3.93%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.14%", + "B) 3.72%", + "C) 4.35%", + "D) 3.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.93%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 3.93%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.14%", + "B) 3.72%", + "C) 4.35%", + "D) 3.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.93%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 4.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 3.49%", + "C) 4.32%", + "D) 4.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.11%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 4.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 3.49%", + "C) 4.32%", + "D) 4.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.11%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 3.65%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.48%", + "B) 4.27%", + "C) 3.85%", + "D) 3.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.27%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 3.65%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 4.48%", + "B) 4.27%", + "C) 3.85%", + "D) 3.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.27%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,464.99\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,464.99", + "B) 2,081.02", + "C) 2,177.01", + "D) 1,889.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,464.99\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,464.99", + "B) 2,081.02", + "C) 2,177.01", + "D) 1,889.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,464.99\nD) 2,177.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,369.00", + "B) 2,081.02", + "C) 2,464.99", + "D) 2,177.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,464.99\nD) 2,177.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,369.00", + "B) 2,081.02", + "C) 2,464.99", + "D) 2,177.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,177.01\nB) 2,273.00\nC) 2,369.00\nD) 1,889.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,177.01", + "B) 2,273.00", + "C) 2,369.00", + "D) 1,889.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,177.01\nB) 2,273.00\nC) 2,369.00\nD) 1,889.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,177.01", + "B) 2,273.00", + "C) 2,369.00", + "D) 1,889.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,177.01\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,081.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,369.00", + "B) 2,177.01", + "C) 1,985.02", + "D) 2,081.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,177.01\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,081.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,369.00", + "B) 2,177.01", + "C) 1,985.02", + "D) 2,081.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,273.00\nB) 1,985.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,273.00", + "B) 1,985.02", + "C) 2,177.01", + "D) 1,889.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,273.00\nB) 1,985.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,273.00", + "B) 1,985.02", + "C) 2,177.01", + "D) 1,889.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 1,889.03\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,177.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,369.00", + "B) 1,889.03", + "C) 1,985.02", + "D) 2,177.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 1,889.03\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,177.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2,369.00", + "B) 1,889.03", + "C) 1,985.02", + "D) 2,177.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,177.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 1.35%", + "B) 2.26%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 1.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 1.35%", + "B) 2.26%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 1.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 1.81%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 2.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 1.81%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 2.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2.72%", + "B) 2.26%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 0.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2.72%", + "B) 2.26%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 0.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2.26%", + "B) 0.89%", + "C) 1.81%", + "D) 1.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 2.26%", + "B) 0.89%", + "C) 1.81%", + "D) 1.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 0.44%\nD) 0.89%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 1.35%", + "B) 1.81%", + "C) 0.44%", + "D) 0.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 0.44%\nD) 0.89%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 1.35%", + "B) 1.81%", + "C) 0.44%", + "D) 0.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 0.44%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 2.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", + "options": [ + "A) 0.44%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 2.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", + "event_date": "2008-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 39.06\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 24.46", + "B) 39.06", + "C) 30.30", + "D) 36.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 39.06\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 24.46", + "B) 39.06", + "C) 30.30", + "D) 36.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.38\nB) 36.14\nC) 21.54\nD) 30.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 27.38", + "B) 36.14", + "C) 21.54", + "D) 30.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.38\nB) 36.14\nC) 21.54\nD) 30.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 27.38", + "B) 36.14", + "C) 21.54", + "D) 30.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.30\nB) 24.46\nC) 36.14\nD) 21.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 30.30", + "B) 24.46", + "C) 36.14", + "D) 21.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.30\nB) 24.46\nC) 36.14\nD) 21.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 30.30", + "B) 24.46", + "C) 36.14", + "D) 21.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 39.06\nB) 30.30\nC) 36.14\nD) 27.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 39.06", + "B) 30.30", + "C) 36.14", + "D) 27.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 39.06\nB) 30.30\nC) 36.14\nD) 27.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 39.06", + "B) 30.30", + "C) 36.14", + "D) 27.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 27.38\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 24.46", + "B) 27.38", + "C) 30.30", + "D) 36.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 27.38\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 24.46", + "B) 27.38", + "C) 30.30", + "D) 36.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 36.14\nB) 33.22\nC) 27.38\nD) 30.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 36.14", + "B) 33.22", + "C) 27.38", + "D) 30.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 36.14\nB) 33.22\nC) 27.38\nD) 30.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 36.14", + "B) 33.22", + "C) 27.38", + "D) 30.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "30.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 3.60%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.83%", + "B) 4.53%", + "C) 4.29%", + "D) 3.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 3.60%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.83%", + "B) 4.53%", + "C) 4.29%", + "D) 3.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 4.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.42%", + "D) 4.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.88%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 4.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.42%", + "D) 4.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.88%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 4.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.31%", + "B) 3.38%", + "C) 4.08%", + "D) 4.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 4.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.31%", + "B) 3.38%", + "C) 4.08%", + "D) 4.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.08%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.38%", + "B) 4.78%", + "C) 4.31%", + "D) 4.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.08%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.38%", + "B) 4.78%", + "C) 4.31%", + "D) 4.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 3.38%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 3.62%", + "C) 4.78%", + "D) 3.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 3.38%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 3.62%", + "C) 4.78%", + "D) 3.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 4.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.31%", + "B) 4.08%", + "C) 3.62%", + "D) 4.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 4.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.31%", + "B) 4.08%", + "C) 3.62%", + "D) 4.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,127.68", + "B) 2,054.57", + "C) 2,273.90", + "D) 2,200.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,127.68", + "B) 2,054.57", + "C) 2,273.90", + "D) 2,200.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,420.12\nD) 2,273.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,127.68", + "B) 2,054.57", + "C) 2,420.12", + "D) 2,273.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,420.12\nD) 2,273.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,127.68", + "B) 2,054.57", + "C) 2,420.12", + "D) 2,273.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,273.90\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,420.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,273.90", + "B) 2,054.57", + "C) 2,127.68", + "D) 2,420.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,273.90\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,420.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,273.90", + "B) 2,054.57", + "C) 2,127.68", + "D) 2,420.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,273.90\nC) 2,493.23\nD) 2,054.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,420.12", + "B) 2,273.90", + "C) 2,493.23", + "D) 2,054.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,273.90\nC) 2,493.23\nD) 2,054.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,420.12", + "B) 2,273.90", + "C) 2,493.23", + "D) 2,054.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,493.23\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,420.12", + "B) 2,493.23", + "C) 2,273.90", + "D) 2,200.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,493.23\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,420.12", + "B) 2,493.23", + "C) 2,273.90", + "D) 2,200.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,347.01\nB) 2,200.79\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,273.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,347.01", + "B) 2,200.79", + "C) 2,127.68", + "D) 2,273.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,347.01\nB) 2,200.79\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,273.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2,347.01", + "B) 2,200.79", + "C) 2,127.68", + "D) 2,273.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,273.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.03%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 0.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.03%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 0.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.23%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.76%", + "B) 0.03%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 2.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.23%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.76%", + "B) 0.03%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 2.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.76%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 0.03%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.76%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 0.03%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.03%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 1.49%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 0.76%", + "D) 0.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.03%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 1.49%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 0.76%", + "D) 0.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.00%", + "B) 1.46%", + "C) 2.20%", + "D) 0.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.00%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 0.00%", + "B) 1.46%", + "C) 2.20%", + "D) 0.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.00%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 1.46%", + "B) 0.00%", + "C) 2.20%", + "D) 0.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.00%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 1.46%", + "B) 0.00%", + "C) 2.20%", + "D) 0.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.00%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 0.39%\nD) 2.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.79%", + "B) 1.09%", + "C) 0.39%", + "D) 2.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.39%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 0.39%\nD) 2.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.79%", + "B) 1.09%", + "C) 0.39%", + "D) 2.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.39%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 0.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.86%", + "B) 1.56%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 0.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 0.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.86%", + "B) 1.56%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 0.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.55%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.15%", + "B) 2.25%", + "C) 0.85%", + "D) 1.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.55%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.15%", + "B) 2.25%", + "C) 0.85%", + "D) 1.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 100.6454\nB) 107.1800\nC) 113.7146\nD) 116.9818", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 100.6454", + "B) 107.1800", + "C) 113.7146", + "D) 116.9818" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 100.6454\nB) 107.1800\nC) 113.7146\nD) 116.9818", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 100.6454", + "B) 107.1800", + "C) 113.7146", + "D) 116.9818" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 103.9127\nB) 97.3782\nC) 107.1800\nD) 100.6454", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 103.9127", + "B) 97.3782", + "C) 107.1800", + "D) 100.6454" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 103.9127\nB) 97.3782\nC) 107.1800\nD) 100.6454", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 103.9127", + "B) 97.3782", + "C) 107.1800", + "D) 100.6454" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 116.9818\nC) 100.6454\nD) 107.1800", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 110.4473", + "B) 116.9818", + "C) 100.6454", + "D) 107.1800" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 116.9818\nC) 100.6454\nD) 107.1800", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 110.4473", + "B) 116.9818", + "C) 100.6454", + "D) 107.1800" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 107.1800\nB) 97.3782\nC) 100.6454\nD) 116.9818", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 107.1800", + "B) 97.3782", + "C) 100.6454", + "D) 116.9818" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 107.1800\nB) 97.3782\nC) 100.6454\nD) 116.9818", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 107.1800", + "B) 97.3782", + "C) 100.6454", + "D) 116.9818" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 113.7146\nB) 107.1800\nC) 116.9818\nD) 110.4473", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 113.7146", + "B) 107.1800", + "C) 116.9818", + "D) 110.4473" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 113.7146\nB) 107.1800\nC) 116.9818\nD) 110.4473", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 113.7146", + "B) 107.1800", + "C) 116.9818", + "D) 110.4473" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 113.7146\nC) 107.1800\nD) 103.9127", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 110.4473", + "B) 113.7146", + "C) 107.1800", + "D) 103.9127" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 113.7146\nC) 107.1800\nD) 103.9127", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 110.4473", + "B) 113.7146", + "C) 107.1800", + "D) 103.9127" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "107.1800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", + "event_date": "2008-09-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,314.78\nB) 1,943.28\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,314.78", + "B) 1,943.28", + "C) 2,240.48", + "D) 2,091.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,314.78\nB) 1,943.28\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,314.78", + "B) 1,943.28", + "C) 2,240.48", + "D) 2,091.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 1,943.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.88", + "B) 2,017.58", + "C) 2,314.78", + "D) 1,943.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 1,943.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.88", + "B) 2,017.58", + "C) 2,314.78", + "D) 1,943.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,091.88\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,868.98", + "B) 2,091.88", + "C) 2,314.78", + "D) 2,017.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,091.88\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,868.98", + "B) 2,091.88", + "C) 2,314.78", + "D) 2,017.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,240.48\nB) 2,314.78\nC) 2,091.88\nD) 1,943.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,240.48", + "B) 2,314.78", + "C) 2,091.88", + "D) 1,943.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,240.48\nB) 2,314.78\nC) 2,091.88\nD) 1,943.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,240.48", + "B) 2,314.78", + "C) 2,091.88", + "D) 1,943.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,868.98", + "B) 2,017.58", + "C) 2,240.48", + "D) 2,091.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,868.98", + "B) 2,017.58", + "C) 2,240.48", + "D) 2,091.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 1,868.98\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.88", + "B) 1,868.98", + "C) 2,314.78", + "D) 2,017.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 1,868.98\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.88", + "B) 1,868.98", + "C) 2,314.78", + "D) 2,017.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 55.12\nB) 52.05\nC) 61.25\nD) 45.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 55.12", + "B) 52.05", + "C) 61.25", + "D) 45.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "52.05", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 55.12\nB) 52.05\nC) 61.25\nD) 45.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 55.12", + "B) 52.05", + "C) 61.25", + "D) 45.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "52.05", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 66.88\nB) 76.08\nC) 69.95\nD) 73.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 66.88", + "B) 76.08", + "C) 69.95", + "D) 73.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "69.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 66.88\nB) 76.08\nC) 69.95\nD) 73.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 66.88", + "B) 76.08", + "C) 69.95", + "D) 73.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "69.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 70.86\nB) 83.13\nC) 89.26\nD) 80.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 70.86", + "B) 83.13", + "C) 89.26", + "D) 80.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "80.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 70.86\nB) 83.13\nC) 89.26\nD) 80.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 70.86", + "B) 83.13", + "C) 89.26", + "D) 80.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "80.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 80.86\nB) 74.73\nC) 77.79\nD) 86.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 80.86", + "B) 74.73", + "C) 77.79", + "D) 86.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "80.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 80.86\nB) 74.73\nC) 77.79\nD) 86.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 80.86", + "B) 74.73", + "C) 77.79", + "D) 86.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "80.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 83.93\nB) 80.86\nC) 86.99\nD) 71.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 83.93", + "B) 80.86", + "C) 86.99", + "D) 71.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 83.93\nB) 80.86\nC) 86.99\nD) 71.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 83.93", + "B) 80.86", + "C) 86.99", + "D) 71.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 86.99\nB) 71.66\nC) 80.86\nD) 77.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 86.99", + "B) 71.66", + "C) 80.86", + "D) 77.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "80.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 86.99\nB) 71.66\nC) 80.86\nD) 77.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 86.99", + "B) 71.66", + "C) 80.86", + "D) 77.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "80.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 3.85%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.14%", + "B) 4.32%", + "C) 4.09%", + "D) 3.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.85%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 3.85%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.14%", + "B) 4.32%", + "C) 4.09%", + "D) 3.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.85%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 3.37%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 3.61%", + "C) 4.55%", + "D) 3.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 3.37%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 3.61%", + "C) 4.55%", + "D) 3.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.84%", + "B) 4.08%", + "C) 3.37%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.84%", + "B) 4.08%", + "C) 3.37%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.32%", + "B) 3.37%", + "C) 4.08%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.32%", + "B) 3.37%", + "C) 4.08%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 4.08%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.55%", + "B) 4.79%", + "C) 3.37%", + "D) 4.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 4.08%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.55%", + "B) 4.79%", + "C) 3.37%", + "D) 4.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.79%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 4.32%", + "C) 4.79%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.79%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", + "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 4.32%", + "C) 4.79%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", + "event_date": "2008-09-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.48%", + "B) 2.99%", + "C) 3.23%", + "D) 2.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.48%", + "B) 2.99%", + "C) 3.23%", + "D) 2.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 3.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.23%", + "B) 3.48%", + "C) 2.99%", + "D) 3.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 3.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.23%", + "B) 3.48%", + "C) 2.99%", + "D) 3.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 2.99%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.23%", + "B) 2.26%", + "C) 2.75%", + "D) 2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 2.99%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.23%", + "B) 2.26%", + "C) 2.75%", + "D) 2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.99%", + "B) 2.75%", + "C) 2.50%", + "D) 3.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.99%", + "B) 2.75%", + "C) 2.50%", + "D) 3.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 3.31%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 3.07%", + "C) 2.58%", + "D) 3.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.07%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 3.31%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 3.07%", + "C) 2.58%", + "D) 3.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.07%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.29%\nD) 4.02%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.05%", + "B) 3.53%", + "C) 3.29%", + "D) 4.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.29%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.29%\nD) 4.02%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 3.05%", + "B) 3.53%", + "C) 3.29%", + "D) 4.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.29%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 1.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 0.47%", + "D) 1.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 1.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 0.47%", + "D) 1.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.09%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 2.95%", + "D) 2.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.09%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 2.95%", + "D) 2.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 2.95%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.09%", + "C) 1.71%", + "D) 2.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 2.95%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.09%", + "C) 1.71%", + "D) 2.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.09%\nD) 1.71%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 0.47%", + "B) 2.33%", + "C) 1.09%", + "D) 1.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.09%\nD) 1.71%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 0.47%", + "B) 2.33%", + "C) 1.09%", + "D) 1.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 1.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 2.95%", + "D) 1.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 1.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 2.95%", + "D) 1.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 2.95%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.09%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 2.33%", + "D) 2.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 2.95%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.09%", + "B) 1.71%", + "C) 2.33%", + "D) 2.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 5.47%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 5.86%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 5.34%", + "B) 5.47%", + "C) 5.08%", + "D) 5.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.47%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 5.47%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 5.86%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 5.34%", + "B) 5.47%", + "C) 5.08%", + "D) 5.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.47%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 5.53%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 5.27%", + "B) 5.40%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) 5.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.14%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 5.53%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 5.27%", + "B) 5.40%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) 5.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.14%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 4.96%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 4.57%", + "B) 5.09%", + "C) 4.83%", + "D) 4.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 4.96%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 4.57%", + "B) 5.09%", + "C) 4.83%", + "D) 4.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 4.57%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 4.96%", + "B) 4.83%", + "C) 4.70%", + "D) 4.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 4.57%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 4.96%", + "B) 4.83%", + "C) 4.70%", + "D) 4.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.04%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 5.17%\nD) 4.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 5.04%", + "B) 4.78%", + "C) 5.17%", + "D) 4.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.04%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 5.17%\nD) 4.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", + "options": [ + "A) 5.04%", + "B) 4.78%", + "C) 5.17%", + "D) 4.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.0429\nB) 1.4268\nC) 1.2828\nD) 1.1388", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0429", + "B) 1.4268", + "C) 1.2828", + "D) 1.1388" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2828", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.0429\nB) 1.4268\nC) 1.2828\nD) 1.1388", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0429", + "B) 1.4268", + "C) 1.2828", + "D) 1.1388" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2828", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3984\nB) 1.0625\nC) 1.1584\nD) 1.3024", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3984", + "B) 1.0625", + "C) 1.1584", + "D) 1.3024" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3024", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3984\nB) 1.0625\nC) 1.1584\nD) 1.3024", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3984", + "B) 1.0625", + "C) 1.1584", + "D) 1.3024" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3024", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.4358\nB) 1.5798\nC) 1.1959\nD) 1.2918", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4358", + "B) 1.5798", + "C) 1.1959", + "D) 1.2918" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.4358\nB) 1.5798\nC) 1.1959\nD) 1.2918", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4358", + "B) 1.5798", + "C) 1.1959", + "D) 1.2918" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5798\nB) 1.4358\nC) 1.6757\nD) 1.2918", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.5798", + "B) 1.4358", + "C) 1.6757", + "D) 1.2918" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5798\nB) 1.4358\nC) 1.6757\nD) 1.2918", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.5798", + "B) 1.4358", + "C) 1.6757", + "D) 1.2918" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5318\nB) 1.2918\nC) 1.4358\nD) 1.6277", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.5318", + "B) 1.2918", + "C) 1.4358", + "D) 1.6277" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5318\nB) 1.2918\nC) 1.4358\nD) 1.6277", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.5318", + "B) 1.2918", + "C) 1.4358", + "D) 1.6277" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.2918\nB) 1.6757\nC) 1.5318\nD) 1.4358", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2918", + "B) 1.6757", + "C) 1.5318", + "D) 1.4358" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.2918\nB) 1.6757\nC) 1.5318\nD) 1.4358", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", + "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2918", + "B) 1.6757", + "C) 1.5318", + "D) 1.4358" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.4358", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", + "event_date": "2008-11-25", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", + "year": 2008 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) +3.60pp\nB) +4.81pp\nC) +3.20pp\nD) +4.41pp", + "options": [ + "A) +3.60pp", + "B) +4.81pp", + "C) +3.20pp", + "D) +4.41pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+3.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.08%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 1.00%\nD) 1.27%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.08%", + "B) 0.73%", + "C) 1.00%", + "D) 1.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 145.11\nB) 175.76\nC) 168.10\nD) 191.09", + "options": [ + "A) 145.11", + "B) 175.76", + "C) 168.10", + "D) 191.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "168.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $-29,711M\nB) $-18,640M\nC) $-51,854M\nD) $-35,247M", + "options": [ + "A) $-29,711M", + "B) $-18,640M", + "C) $-51,854M", + "D) $-35,247M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-35,247M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.90%\nB) 61.70%\nC) 56.91%\nD) 58.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.90%", + "B) 61.70%", + "C) 56.91%", + "D) 58.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "59.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.63%\nB) 68.09%\nC) 62.33%\nD) 71.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.63%", + "B) 68.09%", + "C) 62.33%", + "D) 71.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "68.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -29.63%\nB) -22.30%\nC) -25.96%\nD) -14.96%", + "options": [ + "A) -29.63%", + "B) -22.30%", + "C) -25.96%", + "D) -14.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-25.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 84.95\nB) 94.78\nC) 82.49\nD) 87.41", + "options": [ + "A) 84.95", + "B) 94.78", + "C) 82.49", + "D) 87.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "87.41", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $1,647M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $1,647M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$1,647M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $19.82/hr\nB) $18.49/hr\nC) $17.16/hr\nD) $18.93/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $19.82/hr", + "B) $18.49/hr", + "C) $17.16/hr", + "D) $18.93/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$18.49/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.80\nB) 86.34\nC) 89.32\nD) 96.79", + "options": [ + "A) 93.80", + "B) 86.34", + "C) 89.32", + "D) 96.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "89.32", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) +20.15pp\nB) -8.10pp\nC) -2.45pp\nD) +3.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) +20.15pp", + "B) -8.10pp", + "C) -2.45pp", + "D) +3.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+3.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -10.54%\nB) -4.00%\nC) -12.72%\nD) -8.36%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.54%", + "B) -4.00%", + "C) -12.72%", + "D) -8.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-10.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 3.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.33%", + "B) 2.75%", + "C) 3.63%", + "D) 3.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.38%\nB) -30.21%\nC) -49.00%\nD) -11.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.38%", + "B) -30.21%", + "C) -49.00%", + "D) -11.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-49.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) -2.25%\nC) 0.38%\nD) -1.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.25%", + "B) -2.25%", + "C) 0.38%", + "D) -1.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -28.66%\nB) 0.28%\nC) -57.59%\nD) -47.95%", + "options": [ + "A) -28.66%", + "B) 0.28%", + "C) -57.59%", + "D) -47.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-28.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 11.68%\nB) -47.69%\nC) -87.26%\nD) -27.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.68%", + "B) -47.69%", + "C) -87.26%", + "D) -27.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-47.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 43.65%\nB) 134.23%\nC) 98.00%\nD) 79.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 43.65%", + "B) 134.23%", + "C) 98.00%", + "D) 79.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "98.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) $56.97/bbl\nB) $91.53/bbl\nC) $103.06/bbl\nD) $68.49/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $56.97/bbl", + "B) $91.53/bbl", + "C) $103.06/bbl", + "D) $68.49/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$68.49/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.20pp\nB) -4.28pp\nC) -1.58pp\nD) -2.66pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.20pp", + "B) -4.28pp", + "C) -1.58pp", + "D) -2.66pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-3.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $1,801M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $1,801M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$1,801M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 3.26%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 2.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.93%", + "B) 3.26%", + "C) 1.26%", + "D) 2.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -37.33%\nB) -56.56%\nC) -27.72%\nD) -46.95%", + "options": [ + "A) -37.33%", + "B) -56.56%", + "C) -27.72%", + "D) -46.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-46.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $18.70/hr\nB) $19.16/hr\nC) $17.78/hr\nD) $17.33/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $18.70/hr", + "B) $19.16/hr", + "C) $17.78/hr", + "D) $17.33/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$18.70/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $293,217M\nB) $322,634M\nC) $303,022M\nD) $312,828M", + "options": [ + "A) $293,217M", + "B) $322,634M", + "C) $303,022M", + "D) $312,828M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$322,634M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) -3.05%\nC) -4.17%\nD) -5.85%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.49%", + "B) -3.05%", + "C) -4.17%", + "D) -5.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 867K\nB) 1,150K\nC) 303K\nD) 585K", + "options": [ + "A) 867K", + "B) 1,150K", + "C) 303K", + "D) 585K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "585K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -14.66%\nB) -16.51%\nC) -18.37%\nD) -9.09%", + "options": [ + "A) -14.66%", + "B) -16.51%", + "C) -18.37%", + "D) -9.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-14.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 128.18%\nB) 97.76%\nC) 77.47%\nD) 107.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 128.18%", + "B) 97.76%", + "C) 77.47%", + "D) 107.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "97.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.01pp\nB) -9.57pp\nC) -12.45pp\nD) -13.89pp", + "options": [ + "A) -11.01pp", + "B) -9.57pp", + "C) -12.45pp", + "D) -13.89pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-12.45pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.67%\nB) -1.84%\nC) 0.97%\nD) 0.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.67%", + "B) -1.84%", + "C) 0.97%", + "D) 0.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.36%\nB) -3.84%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 1.96%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.36%", + "B) -3.84%", + "C) 3.12%", + "D) 1.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 771K\nB) 513K\nC) 1,029K\nD) 255K", + "options": [ + "A) 771K", + "B) 513K", + "C) 1,029K", + "D) 255K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "513K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.32%\nB) 67.57%\nC) 65.60%\nD) 63.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.32%", + "B) 67.57%", + "C) 65.60%", + "D) 63.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "65.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $-20,728M\nB) $-33,348M\nC) $-39,658M\nD) $-30,193M", + "options": [ + "A) $-20,728M", + "B) $-33,348M", + "C) $-39,658M", + "D) $-30,193M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-30,193M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.65%\nB) -5.27%\nC) -15.90%\nD) -13.77%", + "options": [ + "A) -11.65%", + "B) -5.27%", + "C) -15.90%", + "D) -13.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-11.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.31%\nB) -7.59%\nC) -22.48%\nD) -12.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.31%", + "B) -7.59%", + "C) -22.48%", + "D) -12.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-7.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.27%\nB) 6.52%\nC) 11.10%\nD) 24.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.27%", + "B) 6.52%", + "C) 11.10%", + "D) 24.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 3.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.23%", + "B) 4.61%", + "C) 2.33%", + "D) 3.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 505K\nB) 263K\nC) 747K\nD) 1,231K", + "options": [ + "A) 505K", + "B) 263K", + "C) 747K", + "D) 1,231K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "505K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.68%\nB) 5.80%\nC) 6.43%\nD) 4.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.68%", + "B) 5.80%", + "C) 6.43%", + "D) 4.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.10pp\nB) -7.83pp\nC) -5.47pp\nD) -12.56pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.10pp", + "B) -7.83pp", + "C) -5.47pp", + "D) -12.56pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-5.47pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 217.19\nB) 207.80\nC) 221.88\nD) 212.50", + "options": [ + "A) 217.19", + "B) 207.80", + "C) 221.88", + "D) 212.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "212.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.38%\nB) 4.69%\nC) 5.61%\nD) 5.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.38%", + "B) 4.69%", + "C) 5.61%", + "D) 5.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $56,033M\nB) $53,034M\nC) $50,035M\nD) $62,032M", + "options": [ + "A) $56,033M", + "B) $53,034M", + "C) $50,035M", + "D) $62,032M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$53,034M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2181\nB) 1.2715\nC) 1.3784\nD) 1.4853", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2181", + "B) 1.2715", + "C) 1.3784", + "D) 1.4853" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.3784", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.42%\nB) -10.68%\nC) 1.84%\nD) -16.94%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.42%", + "B) -10.68%", + "C) 1.84%", + "D) -16.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-16.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.17%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 1.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.17%", + "B) 1.01%", + "C) 2.69%", + "D) 1.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.28%\nB) 1.79%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 1.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.28%", + "B) 1.79%", + "C) 1.95%", + "D) 1.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.3752\nB) 6.2970\nC) 6.8361\nD) 6.5665", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3752", + "B) 6.2970", + "C) 6.8361", + "D) 6.5665" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.8361", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 43.38\nB) 11.95\nC) 37.10\nD) 30.81", + "options": [ + "A) 43.38", + "B) 11.95", + "C) 37.10", + "D) 30.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "30.81", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) -26.00%\nB) -17.39%\nC) -51.83%\nD) -34.61%", + "options": [ + "A) -26.00%", + "B) -17.39%", + "C) -51.83%", + "D) -34.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-26.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 4.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.85%", + "B) 4.61%", + "C) 5.34%", + "D) 4.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.44pp\nB) -23.96pp\nC) -12.20pp\nD) -18.08pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.44pp", + "B) -23.96pp", + "C) -12.20pp", + "D) -18.08pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-12.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.52%\nB) -3.42%\nC) 2.79%\nD) -1.86%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.52%", + "B) -3.42%", + "C) 2.79%", + "D) -1.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 6,525,000\nB) 6,046,574\nC) 7,003,426\nD) 5,089,722", + "options": [ + "A) 6,525,000", + "B) 6,046,574", + "C) 7,003,426", + "D) 5,089,722" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,525,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -17.39%\nB) -12.74%\nC) -3.44%\nD) 1.22%", + "options": [ + "A) -17.39%", + "B) -12.74%", + "C) -3.44%", + "D) 1.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-12.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.71%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 3.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.71%", + "B) 4.08%", + "C) 3.76%", + "D) 3.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,202B\nB) $9,654B\nC) $9,106B\nD) $9,928B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,202B", + "B) $9,654B", + "C) $9,106B", + "D) $9,928B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$9,928B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 3.23%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 3.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.75%", + "B) 3.23%", + "C) 2.27%", + "D) 3.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -33.12%\nB) -23.59%\nC) -4.53%\nD) -52.18%", + "options": [ + "A) -33.12%", + "B) -23.59%", + "C) -4.53%", + "D) -52.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-23.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.81%\nB) 56.94%\nC) 58.70%\nD) 60.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.81%", + "B) 56.94%", + "C) 58.70%", + "D) 60.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "58.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.66%\nB) 8.35%\nC) 9.39%\nD) 8.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.66%", + "B) 8.35%", + "C) 9.39%", + "D) 8.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,925B\nB) $11,588B\nC) $11,920B\nD) $10,261B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,925B", + "B) $11,588B", + "C) $11,920B", + "D) $10,261B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$10,925B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,809B\nB) $8,386B\nC) $8,675B\nD) $7,520B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,809B", + "B) $8,386B", + "C) $8,675B", + "D) $7,520B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$8,386B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.28%\nB) 12.02%\nC) 9.80%\nD) 9.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.28%", + "B) 12.02%", + "C) 9.80%", + "D) 9.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,883B\nB) $9,705B\nC) $10,068B\nD) $10,794B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,883B", + "B) $9,705B", + "C) $10,068B", + "D) $10,794B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$10,794B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 1.97%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 1.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.15%", + "B) 1.97%", + "C) 2.88%", + "D) 1.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.99%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 0.70%\nD) 7.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.99%", + "B) 3.87%", + "C) 0.70%", + "D) 7.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.58%\nB) 1.25%\nC) -0.45%\nD) 0.12%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.58%", + "B) 1.25%", + "C) -0.45%", + "D) 0.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,470B\nB) $9,123B\nC) $9,453B\nD) $8,462B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,470B", + "B) $9,123B", + "C) $9,453B", + "D) $8,462B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$8,462B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.81%\nB) -3.72%\nC) 2.45%\nD) -16.06%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.81%", + "B) -3.72%", + "C) 2.45%", + "D) -16.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-6.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.35%\nB) 65.10%\nC) 66.40%\nD) 63.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.35%", + "B) 65.10%", + "C) 66.40%", + "D) 63.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "65.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.67\nB) 79.96\nC) 86.65\nD) 83.31", + "options": [ + "A) 91.67", + "B) 79.96", + "C) 86.65", + "D) 83.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "86.65", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.01%\nB) 1.32%\nC) 1.79%\nD) 1.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.01%", + "B) 1.32%", + "C) 1.79%", + "D) 1.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.18%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.18%", + "B) 1.84%", + "C) 1.01%", + "D) 2.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.39\nB) 215.86\nC) 194.68\nD) 224.33", + "options": [ + "A) 207.39", + "B) 215.86", + "C) 194.68", + "D) 224.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "215.86", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $10,104B\nB) $9,442B\nC) $9,773B\nD) $10,435B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,104B", + "B) $9,442B", + "C) $9,773B", + "D) $10,435B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$9,773B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) $105.55/bbl\nB) $93.88/bbl\nC) $82.21/bbl\nD) $70.54/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $105.55/bbl", + "B) $93.88/bbl", + "C) $82.21/bbl", + "D) $70.54/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$70.54/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.10\nB) 154.22\nC) 180.73\nD) 193.98", + "options": [ + "A) 174.10", + "B) 154.22", + "C) 180.73", + "D) 193.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "174.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $322,891M\nB) $330,998M\nC) $339,105M\nD) $347,213M", + "options": [ + "A) $322,891M", + "B) $330,998M", + "C) $339,105M", + "D) $347,213M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$330,998M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) -1.72%\nC) -0.53%\nD) -0.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) -1.72%", + "C) -0.53%", + "D) -0.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.28pp\nB) +5.12pp\nC) +2.99pp\nD) +3.70pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.28pp", + "B) +5.12pp", + "C) +2.99pp", + "D) +3.70pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+3.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 146.51\nB) 133.89\nC) 152.83\nD) 140.20", + "options": [ + "A) 146.51", + "B) 133.89", + "C) 152.83", + "D) 140.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "146.51", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.54%\nB) -2.61%\nC) -5.39%\nD) 0.17%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.54%", + "B) -2.61%", + "C) -5.39%", + "D) 0.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-2.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 83.16\nB) 91.51\nC) 88.17\nD) 94.84", + "options": [ + "A) 83.16", + "B) 91.51", + "C) 88.17", + "D) 94.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "88.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) $7,609B\nB) $10,457B\nC) $8,083B\nD) $9,033B", + "options": [ + "A) $7,609B", + "B) $10,457B", + "C) $8,083B", + "D) $9,033B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$9,033B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.50pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) -0.27pp\nD) -0.84pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.50pp", + "B) -0.16pp", + "C) -0.27pp", + "D) -0.84pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.73%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.24%\nD) 3.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.73%", + "B) 5.50%", + "C) 6.24%", + "D) 3.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 226.77\nB) 213.07\nC) 219.92\nD) 202.80", + "options": [ + "A) 226.77", + "B) 213.07", + "C) 219.92", + "D) 202.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "219.92", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 136,469K\nB) 139,119K\nC) 129,844K\nD) 132,494K", + "options": [ + "A) 136,469K", + "B) 139,119K", + "C) 129,844K", + "D) 132,494K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "132,494K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.50\nB) 60.54\nC) 79.98\nD) 54.06", + "options": [ + "A) 73.50", + "B) 60.54", + "C) 79.98", + "D) 54.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "73.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 500,632\nB) 595,000\nC) 547,816\nD) 642,184", + "options": [ + "A) 500,632", + "B) 595,000", + "C) 547,816", + "D) 642,184" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "595,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.22%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.22%", + "B) 1.07%", + "C) 0.76%", + "D) 0.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 126,339K\nB) 132,851K\nC) 136,758K\nD) 130,246K", + "options": [ + "A) 126,339K", + "B) 132,851K", + "C) 136,758K", + "D) 130,246K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "130,246K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 88.75\nB) 92.49\nC) 85.02\nD) 94.98", + "options": [ + "A) 88.75", + "B) 92.49", + "C) 85.02", + "D) 94.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "88.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.98%\nB) -26.58%\nC) -3.19%\nD) -18.78%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.98%", + "B) -26.58%", + "C) -3.19%", + "D) -18.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-26.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 45.05\nB) 69.55\nC) 57.30\nD) 63.43", + "options": [ + "A) 45.05", + "B) 69.55", + "C) 57.30", + "D) 63.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "57.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -27.82%\nB) -22.88%\nC) -32.76%\nD) -37.70%", + "options": [ + "A) -27.82%", + "B) -22.88%", + "C) -32.76%", + "D) -37.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-37.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.75%\nB) 64.27%\nC) 75.49%\nD) 62.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.75%", + "B) 64.27%", + "C) 75.49%", + "D) 62.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "68.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.26%\nB) 9.34%\nC) 7.42%\nD) 8.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.26%", + "B) 9.34%", + "C) 7.42%", + "D) 8.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $144,322M\nB) $199,199M\nC) $158,041M\nD) $185,479M", + "options": [ + "A) $144,322M", + "B) $199,199M", + "C) $158,041M", + "D) $185,479M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$158,041M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 99.26\nB) 104.28\nC) 101.77\nD) 96.75", + "options": [ + "A) 99.26", + "B) 104.28", + "C) 101.77", + "D) 96.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "96.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 609K\nB) 906K\nC) 1,203K\nD) 312K", + "options": [ + "A) 609K", + "B) 906K", + "C) 1,203K", + "D) 312K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "609K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 207.87\nB) 218.25\nC) 235.56\nD) 228.64", + "options": [ + "A) 207.87", + "B) 218.25", + "C) 235.56", + "D) 228.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "218.25", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 162.10\nB) 143.39\nC) 149.63\nD) 130.92", + "options": [ + "A) 162.10", + "B) 143.39", + "C) 149.63", + "D) 130.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "149.63", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.30pp\nB) +3.30pp\nC) +2.90pp\nD) +2.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.30pp", + "B) +3.30pp", + "C) +2.90pp", + "D) +2.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+2.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 98.0300\nB) 106.0112\nC) 86.0582\nD) 90.0488", + "options": [ + "A) 98.0300", + "B) 106.0112", + "C) 86.0582", + "D) 90.0488" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "98.0300", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 94.65\nB) 88.02\nC) 84.04\nD) 90.67", + "options": [ + "A) 94.65", + "B) 88.02", + "C) 84.04", + "D) 90.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "88.02", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20090615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2009-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,138.82\nB) 2,300.04\nC) 1,816.38\nD) 1,655.16", + "options": [ + "A) 2,138.82", + "B) 2,300.04", + "C) 1,816.38", + "D) 1,655.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,816.38", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -20.95%\nB) -68.95%\nC) -40.15%\nD) -49.75%", + "options": [ + "A) -20.95%", + "B) -68.95%", + "C) -40.15%", + "D) -49.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-49.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $146,323M\nB) $156,438M\nC) $126,093M\nD) $166,553M", + "options": [ + "A) $146,323M", + "B) $156,438M", + "C) $126,093M", + "D) $166,553M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$146,323M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.32%\nB) -1.02%\nC) -2.42%\nD) -1.72%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.32%", + "B) -1.02%", + "C) -2.42%", + "D) -1.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -18.99%\nB) -22.69%\nC) -11.58%\nD) -0.47%", + "options": [ + "A) -18.99%", + "B) -22.69%", + "C) -11.58%", + "D) -0.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-11.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.27pp\nB) -1.02pp\nC) -0.53pp\nD) -0.90pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.27pp", + "B) -1.02pp", + "C) -0.53pp", + "D) -0.90pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.48%\nB) 5.85%\nC) 6.67%\nD) 5.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.48%", + "B) 5.85%", + "C) 6.67%", + "D) 5.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.93%\nB) -4.76%\nC) -3.71%\nD) -6.87%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.93%", + "B) -4.76%", + "C) -3.71%", + "D) -6.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-4.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.69pp\nB) -3.10pp\nC) -2.80pp\nD) -2.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.69pp", + "B) -3.10pp", + "C) -2.80pp", + "D) -2.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-2.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20090301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $57,206M\nB) $41,302M\nC) $54,555M\nD) $49,254M", + "options": [ + "A) $57,206M", + "B) $41,302M", + "C) $54,555M", + "D) $49,254M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$49,254M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20090901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2009", + "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.80%\nB) -1.75%\nC) 1.28%\nD) -13.85%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.80%", + "B) -1.75%", + "C) 1.28%", + "D) -13.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-7.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2009 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 3.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.28%", + "B) 0.19%", + "C) 2.38%", + "D) 3.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.03pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) -1.40pp\nD) -2.65pp", + "options": [ + "A) -2.03pp", + "B) -0.15pp", + "C) -1.40pp", + "D) -2.65pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 227.92\nB) 212.40\nC) 234.13\nD) 221.71", + "options": [ + "A) 227.92", + "B) 212.40", + "C) 234.13", + "D) 221.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "221.71", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 220.78\nB) 230.84\nC) 237.54\nD) 210.73", + "options": [ + "A) 220.78", + "B) 230.84", + "C) 237.54", + "D) 210.73" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "220.78", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.48%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 5.52%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.48%", + "B) 4.02%", + "C) 2.52%", + "D) 5.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.04%\nB) 12.83%\nC) -0.35%\nD) 8.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.04%", + "B) 12.83%", + "C) -0.35%", + "D) 8.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.73\nB) 92.08\nC) 85.55\nD) 89.91", + "options": [ + "A) 87.73", + "B) 92.08", + "C) 85.55", + "D) 89.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "89.91", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.16%\nB) 0.98%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.16%", + "B) 0.98%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.09pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -1.12pp\nD) -0.71pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.09pp", + "B) -0.50pp", + "C) -1.12pp", + "D) -0.71pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.52pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) -1.24pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.52pp", + "B) -0.16pp", + "C) -0.70pp", + "D) -1.24pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.95%\nB) 0.77%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 1.63%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.95%", + "B) 0.77%", + "C) 3.36%", + "D) 1.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 24.48%\nB) 40.68%\nC) 48.78%\nD) 16.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 24.48%", + "B) 40.68%", + "C) 48.78%", + "D) 16.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 869K\nB) 594K\nC) 1,419K\nD) 1,144K", + "options": [ + "A) 869K", + "B) 594K", + "C) 1,419K", + "D) 1,144K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "594K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2873\nB) 1.1234\nC) 1.2327\nD) 1.3420", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2873", + "B) 1.1234", + "C) 1.2327", + "D) 1.3420" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2327", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.0432\nB) 6.5693\nC) 7.6214\nD) 6.8323", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0432", + "B) 6.5693", + "C) 7.6214", + "D) 6.8323" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.8323", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $-44,333M\nB) $-31,527M\nC) $-50,736M\nD) $-37,930M", + "options": [ + "A) $-44,333M", + "B) $-31,527M", + "C) $-50,736M", + "D) $-37,930M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-44,333M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -29.86%\nB) 1.54%\nC) 12.00%\nD) 22.47%", + "options": [ + "A) -29.86%", + "B) 1.54%", + "C) 12.00%", + "D) 22.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) -0.08%\nC) 3.04%\nD) 4.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.96%", + "B) -0.08%", + "C) 3.04%", + "D) 4.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) +28.40pp\nB) +34.44pp\nC) +22.35pp\nD) +16.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) +28.40pp", + "B) +34.44pp", + "C) +22.35pp", + "D) +16.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+16.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.81%\nB) 0.04%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 1.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.81%", + "B) 0.04%", + "C) 1.07%", + "D) 1.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.89%\nD) 1.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.61%", + "B) 2.33%", + "C) 2.89%", + "D) 1.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 18.75%\nB) 36.79%\nC) 27.77%\nD) 45.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 18.75%", + "B) 36.79%", + "C) 27.77%", + "D) 45.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "27.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 3.27%\nC) 2.44%\nD) 0.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.62%", + "B) 3.27%", + "C) 2.44%", + "D) 0.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.36%\nB) -15.02%\nC) 4.42%\nD) 8.31%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.36%", + "B) -15.02%", + "C) 4.42%", + "D) 8.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-3.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -16.06%\nB) -1.99%\nC) 7.39%\nD) -11.37%", + "options": [ + "A) -16.06%", + "B) -1.99%", + "C) 7.39%", + "D) -11.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 107.5487\nB) 80.3842\nC) 91.2500\nD) 96.6829", + "options": [ + "A) 107.5487", + "B) 80.3842", + "C) 91.2500", + "D) 96.6829" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "91.2500", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) $65.14/bbl\nB) $85.44/bbl\nC) $44.83/bbl\nD) $75.29/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $65.14/bbl", + "B) $85.44/bbl", + "C) $44.83/bbl", + "D) $75.29/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$75.29/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.88%\nB) 64.93%\nC) 46.25%\nD) -28.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.88%", + "B) 64.93%", + "C) 46.25%", + "D) -28.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "8.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.42%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 3.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.42%", + "B) 2.29%", + "C) 4.15%", + "D) 3.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -18.27pp\nB) -11.79pp\nC) -5.30pp\nD) +1.19pp", + "options": [ + "A) -18.27pp", + "B) -11.79pp", + "C) -5.30pp", + "D) +1.19pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-5.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 5,276,657\nB) 5,947,313\nC) 2,594,030\nD) 4,606,000", + "options": [ + "A) 5,276,657", + "B) 5,947,313", + "C) 2,594,030", + "D) 4,606,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,606,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.90%\nB) 66.85%\nC) 61.66%\nD) 63.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.90%", + "B) 66.85%", + "C) 61.66%", + "D) 63.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "64.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,131K\nB) 563K\nC) 1,416K\nD) 847K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,131K", + "B) 563K", + "C) 1,416K", + "D) 847K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "563K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 56.96%\nB) 62.35%\nC) 58.50%\nD) 60.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 56.96%", + "B) 62.35%", + "C) 58.50%", + "D) 60.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "58.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) 2.12%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 0.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.10%", + "B) 2.12%", + "C) 3.13%", + "D) 0.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,305.88\nB) 2,623.74\nC) 2,782.67\nD) 2,146.95", + "options": [ + "A) 2,305.88", + "B) 2,623.74", + "C) 2,782.67", + "D) 2,146.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,305.88", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 209.45\nB) 217.35\nC) 237.10\nD) 225.25", + "options": [ + "A) 209.45", + "B) 217.35", + "C) 237.10", + "D) 225.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "217.35", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,201B\nB) $11,936B\nC) $11,405B\nD) $11,670B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,201B", + "B) $11,936B", + "C) $11,405B", + "D) $11,670B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$11,405B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $1,961M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $1,961M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$1,961M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.07%\nB) 1.24%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 3.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.07%", + "B) 1.24%", + "C) 2.42%", + "D) 3.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 2.19%\nC) 2.80%\nD) 1.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.59%", + "B) 2.19%", + "C) 2.80%", + "D) 1.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 26.51%\nC) 13.39%\nD) 6.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 26.51%", + "C) 13.39%", + "D) 6.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "13.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 24.41%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 14.91%\nD) 33.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 24.41%", + "B) 5.40%", + "C) 14.91%", + "D) 33.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "33.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,327B\nB) $11,298B\nC) $9,939B\nD) $10,716B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,327B", + "B) $11,298B", + "C) $9,939B", + "D) $10,716B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$10,327B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.25\nB) 73.60\nC) 92.13\nD) 79.78", + "options": [ + "A) 61.25", + "B) 73.60", + "C) 92.13", + "D) 79.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "73.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.30%\nB) 56.63%\nC) 58.50%\nD) 53.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.30%", + "B) 56.63%", + "C) 58.50%", + "D) 53.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "58.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 136.86\nB) 152.35\nC) 129.11\nD) 144.61", + "options": [ + "A) 136.86", + "B) 152.35", + "C) 129.11", + "D) 144.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "144.61", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.30%\nB) 6.84%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 4.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.30%", + "B) 6.84%", + "C) 3.76%", + "D) 4.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 927K\nB) 636K\nC) 1,217K\nD) 345K", + "options": [ + "A) 927K", + "B) 636K", + "C) 1,217K", + "D) 345K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "636K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) +3.42pp\nB) +13.55pp\nC) +5.95pp\nD) +0.89pp", + "options": [ + "A) +3.42pp", + "B) +13.55pp", + "C) +5.95pp", + "D) +0.89pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+5.95pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.66%\nB) 5.36%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 4.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.66%", + "B) 5.36%", + "C) 3.84%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.37%\nB) 3.86%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 3.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.37%", + "B) 3.86%", + "C) 4.61%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 125,822K\nB) 129,866K\nC) 133,910K\nD) 136,606K", + "options": [ + "A) 125,822K", + "B) 129,866K", + "C) 133,910K", + "D) 136,606K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "129,866K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 69.59%\nB) 77.27%\nC) 74.71%\nD) 79.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 69.59%", + "B) 77.27%", + "C) 74.71%", + "D) 79.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "74.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 93.43\nB) 97.98\nC) 91.16\nD) 95.70", + "options": [ + "A) 93.43", + "B) 97.98", + "C) 91.16", + "D) 95.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "95.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.54%\nB) -1.50%\nC) 13.57%\nD) 16.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.54%", + "B) -1.50%", + "C) 13.57%", + "D) 16.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.19%\nB) -1.98%\nC) -4.39%\nD) -0.78%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.19%", + "B) -1.98%", + "C) -4.39%", + "D) -0.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $19.55/hr\nB) $18.67/hr\nC) $19.11/hr\nD) $19.99/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $19.55/hr", + "B) $18.67/hr", + "C) $19.11/hr", + "D) $19.99/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$19.11/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 69.26%\nB) 74.33%\nC) 64.19%\nD) 71.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 69.26%", + "B) 74.33%", + "C) 64.19%", + "D) 71.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "71.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $182,148M\nB) $167,280M\nC) $211,883M\nD) $137,545M", + "options": [ + "A) $182,148M", + "B) $167,280M", + "C) $211,883M", + "D) $137,545M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$182,148M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 4.23%\nC) 4.69%\nD) 4.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.00%", + "B) 4.23%", + "C) 4.69%", + "D) 4.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.89%\nB) 62.66%\nC) 64.60%\nD) 67.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 65.89%", + "B) 62.66%", + "C) 64.60%", + "D) 67.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "64.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,751B\nB) $11,445B\nC) $12,058B\nD) $11,138B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,751B", + "B) $11,445B", + "C) $12,058B", + "D) $11,138B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$11,138B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.10%\nB) 8.53%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 4.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.10%", + "B) 8.53%", + "C) 5.29%", + "D) 4.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.12%\nC) -0.76%\nD) 3.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.06%", + "B) 1.12%", + "C) -0.76%", + "D) 3.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.30%\nB) 8.40%\nC) 9.50%\nD) 12.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.30%", + "B) 8.40%", + "C) 9.50%", + "D) 12.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $62,752M\nB) $53,354M\nC) $50,222M\nD) $56,487M", + "options": [ + "A) $62,752M", + "B) $53,354M", + "C) $50,222M", + "D) $56,487M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$56,487M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 130,341K\nB) 138,192K\nC) 125,630K\nD) 133,481K", + "options": [ + "A) 130,341K", + "B) 138,192K", + "C) 125,630K", + "D) 133,481K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "130,341K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $332,339M\nB) $346,974M\nC) $354,291M\nD) $361,609M", + "options": [ + "A) $332,339M", + "B) $346,974M", + "C) $354,291M", + "D) $361,609M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$346,974M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.09%\nB) 3.10%\nC) 6.35%\nD) -0.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.09%", + "B) 3.10%", + "C) 6.35%", + "D) -0.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) -4.40%\nC) 27.41%\nD) 14.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.96%", + "B) -4.40%", + "C) 27.41%", + "D) 14.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $60,134M\nB) $53,710M\nC) $66,558M\nD) $69,769M", + "options": [ + "A) $60,134M", + "B) $53,710M", + "C) $66,558M", + "D) $69,769M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$60,134M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.00%\nB) 6.20%\nC) -1.59%\nD) 17.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.00%", + "B) 6.20%", + "C) -1.59%", + "D) 17.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 54.13%\nB) -36.26%\nC) 8.93%\nD) -58.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 54.13%", + "B) -36.26%", + "C) 8.93%", + "D) -58.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.80pp\nB) +1.20pp\nC) -2.56pp\nD) -0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.80pp", + "B) +1.20pp", + "C) -2.56pp", + "D) -0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 25.94%\nB) 6.41%\nC) 45.47%\nD) 35.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 25.94%", + "B) 6.41%", + "C) 45.47%", + "D) 35.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "25.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 31.20%\nB) 9.93%\nC) 52.46%\nD) -53.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 31.20%", + "B) 9.93%", + "C) 52.46%", + "D) -53.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 211.50\nB) 235.22\nC) 218.28\nD) 228.44", + "options": [ + "A) 211.50", + "B) 235.22", + "C) 218.28", + "D) 228.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "218.28", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.24\nB) 90.10\nC) 101.53\nD) 92.95", + "options": [ + "A) 87.24", + "B) 90.10", + "C) 101.53", + "D) 92.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "92.95", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,719B\nB) $9,748B\nC) $8,032B\nD) $7,689B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,719B", + "B) $9,748B", + "C) $8,032B", + "D) $7,689B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$8,719B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.95%\nB) 9.90%\nC) 7.05%\nD) 12.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.95%", + "B) 9.90%", + "C) 7.05%", + "D) 12.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.66%\nB) 83.09%\nC) 26.24%\nD) 45.19%", + "options": [ + "A) -11.66%", + "B) 83.09%", + "C) 26.24%", + "D) 45.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $17.55/hr\nB) $18.00/hr\nC) $19.84/hr\nD) $18.92/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $17.55/hr", + "B) $18.00/hr", + "C) $19.84/hr", + "D) $18.92/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$18.92/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 467,000\nB) 304,778\nC) 412,926\nD) 575,148", + "options": [ + "A) 467,000", + "B) 304,778", + "C) 412,926", + "D) 575,148" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "467,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.40%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 7.30%\nD) 13.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.40%", + "B) 4.20%", + "C) 7.30%", + "D) 13.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $2,080M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $2,080M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$2,080M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.66%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 3.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.34%", + "B) 3.66%", + "C) 4.00%", + "D) 3.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.78%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.78%", + "B) 1.20%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 2.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.30%\nC) 0.71%\nD) 0.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.59%", + "B) 1.30%", + "C) 0.71%", + "D) 0.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $-46,408M\nB) $-58,683M\nC) $-40,271M\nD) $-27,997M", + "options": [ + "A) $-46,408M", + "B) $-58,683M", + "C) $-40,271M", + "D) $-27,997M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-40,271M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) +4.13pp\nB) +1.46pp\nC) +3.06pp\nD) +2.53pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.13pp", + "B) +1.46pp", + "C) +3.06pp", + "D) +2.53pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+2.53pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) $76.84/bbl\nB) $87.31/bbl\nC) $108.25/bbl\nD) $55.90/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $76.84/bbl", + "B) $87.31/bbl", + "C) $108.25/bbl", + "D) $55.90/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$76.84/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,212B\nB) $8,524B\nC) $8,179B\nD) $9,556B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,212B", + "B) $8,524B", + "C) $8,179B", + "D) $9,556B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$8,524B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.81pp\nB) -2.02pp\nC) -0.20pp\nD) +1.62pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.81pp", + "B) -2.02pp", + "C) -0.20pp", + "D) +1.62pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $10,629B\nB) $10,865B\nC) $9,683B\nD) $10,156B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,629B", + "B) $10,865B", + "C) $9,683B", + "D) $10,156B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$10,156B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 184.90\nB) 179.61\nC) 195.48\nD) 200.78", + "options": [ + "A) 184.90", + "B) 179.61", + "C) 195.48", + "D) 200.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "184.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 1.13%\nB) -1.20%\nC) -3.52%\nD) -5.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.13%", + "B) -1.20%", + "C) -3.52%", + "D) -5.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.39pp\nB) -0.93pp\nC) +3.71pp\nD) +6.03pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.39pp", + "B) -0.93pp", + "C) +3.71pp", + "D) +6.03pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+3.71pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 384K\nB) 1,595K\nC) 1,292K\nD) 687K", + "options": [ + "A) 384K", + "B) 1,595K", + "C) 1,292K", + "D) 687K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "687K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.19%\nB) -0.53%\nC) 6.91%\nD) 5.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.19%", + "B) -0.53%", + "C) 6.91%", + "D) 5.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 189.28\nB) 183.30\nC) 165.36\nD) 195.26", + "options": [ + "A) 189.28", + "B) 183.30", + "C) 165.36", + "D) 195.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "183.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 95.50\nB) 93.13\nC) 89.58\nD) 86.03", + "options": [ + "A) 95.50", + "B) 93.13", + "C) 89.58", + "D) 86.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "89.58", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.16\nB) 94.40\nC) 86.12\nD) 90.26", + "options": [ + "A) 97.16", + "B) 94.40", + "C) 86.12", + "D) 90.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "90.26", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) $8,924B\nB) $9,665B\nC) $10,035B\nD) $8,184B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,924B", + "B) $9,665B", + "C) $10,035B", + "D) $8,184B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$8,924B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.80%\nB) 1.42%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 0.68%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.80%", + "B) 1.42%", + "C) 2.90%", + "D) 0.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 3.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.00%", + "B) 1.55%", + "C) 2.10%", + "D) 3.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 130.01\nB) 163.97\nC) 157.18\nD) 143.59", + "options": [ + "A) 130.01", + "B) 163.97", + "C) 157.18", + "D) 143.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "143.59", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.20pp\nB) -0.35pp\nC) +3.53pp\nD) +0.42pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.20pp", + "B) -0.35pp", + "C) +3.53pp", + "D) +0.42pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+1.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 62.84%\nB) 26.95%\nC) 50.87%\nD) -8.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.84%", + "B) 26.95%", + "C) 50.87%", + "D) -8.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "26.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.75%\nB) 12.84%\nC) -7.55%\nD) -38.15%", + "options": [ + "A) -17.75%", + "B) 12.84%", + "C) -7.55%", + "D) -38.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-7.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.99\nB) 96.59\nC) 86.99\nD) 90.59", + "options": [ + "A) 92.99", + "B) 96.59", + "C) 86.99", + "D) 90.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "90.59", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 8.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.92%", + "B) 2.32%", + "C) 5.52%", + "D) 8.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $385,583M\nB) $352,179M\nC) $338,817M\nD) $365,541M", + "options": [ + "A) $385,583M", + "B) $352,179M", + "C) $338,817M", + "D) $365,541M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$352,179M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 84.81\nB) 95.77\nC) 90.29\nD) 82.08", + "options": [ + "A) 84.81", + "B) 95.77", + "C) 90.29", + "D) 82.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "90.29", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $186,813M\nB) $217,051M\nC) $232,170M\nD) $201,932M", + "options": [ + "A) $186,813M", + "B) $217,051M", + "C) $232,170M", + "D) $201,932M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$201,932M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.04%\nB) 16.78%\nC) 20.65%\nD) 12.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.04%", + "B) 16.78%", + "C) 20.65%", + "D) 12.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 105.16\nB) 102.10\nC) 96.99\nD) 100.06", + "options": [ + "A) 105.16", + "B) 102.10", + "C) 96.99", + "D) 100.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "102.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.16%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 6.40%\nD) 12.24%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.16%", + "B) 3.48%", + "C) 6.40%", + "D) 12.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.84\nB) 62.56\nC) 51.27\nD) 68.20", + "options": [ + "A) 73.84", + "B) 62.56", + "C) 51.27", + "D) 68.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "68.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20100901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 8.15%\nC) 5.65%\nD) 6.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.40%", + "B) 8.15%", + "C) 5.65%", + "D) 6.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20100615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2010-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 38.25\nB) 25.87\nC) 32.06\nD) 13.49", + "options": [ + "A) 38.25", + "B) 25.87", + "C) 32.06", + "D) 13.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "25.87", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20100301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2010", + "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 1.15%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 2.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.14%", + "B) 1.15%", + "C) 0.16%", + "D) 2.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.90\nB) 2,612.16\nC) 2,785.43\nD) 2,265.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,438.90", + "B) 2,612.16", + "C) 2,785.43", + "D) 2,265.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,265.64", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.90\nB) 2,612.16\nC) 2,785.43\nD) 2,265.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,438.90", + "B) 2,612.16", + "C) 2,785.43", + "D) 2,265.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,265.64", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,204.01\nB) 1,857.49\nC) 2,030.75\nD) 2,550.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,204.01", + "B) 1,857.49", + "C) 2,030.75", + "D) 2,550.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,204.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,204.01\nB) 1,857.49\nC) 2,030.75\nD) 2,550.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,204.01", + "B) 1,857.49", + "C) 2,030.75", + "D) 2,550.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,204.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,542.40\nB) 2,195.88\nC) 2,369.14\nD) 2,022.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,542.40", + "B) 2,195.88", + "C) 2,369.14", + "D) 2,022.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,195.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,542.40\nB) 2,195.88\nC) 2,369.14\nD) 2,022.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,542.40", + "B) 2,195.88", + "C) 2,369.14", + "D) 2,022.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,195.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 1,745.27\nB) 2,611.58\nC) 2,091.79\nD) 1,918.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 1,745.27", + "B) 2,611.58", + "C) 2,091.79", + "D) 1,918.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 1,745.27\nB) 2,611.58\nC) 2,091.79\nD) 1,918.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 1,745.27", + "B) 2,611.58", + "C) 2,091.79", + "D) 1,918.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.31\nB) 1,918.53\nC) 2,611.58\nD) 2,091.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,438.31", + "B) 1,918.53", + "C) 2,611.58", + "D) 2,091.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.31\nB) 1,918.53\nC) 2,611.58\nD) 2,091.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,438.31", + "B) 1,918.53", + "C) 2,611.58", + "D) 2,091.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 1,745.27\nC) 2,265.05\nD) 1,572.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.79", + "B) 1,745.27", + "C) 2,265.05", + "D) 1,572.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 1,745.27\nC) 2,265.05\nD) 1,572.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.79", + "B) 1,745.27", + "C) 2,265.05", + "D) 1,572.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 11.65\nB) 25.52\nC) 39.39\nD) 46.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 11.65", + "B) 25.52", + "C) 39.39", + "D) 46.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "25.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 11.65\nB) 25.52\nC) 39.39\nD) 46.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 11.65", + "B) 25.52", + "C) 39.39", + "D) 46.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "25.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 32.45\nB) 39.39\nC) 25.52\nD) 11.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 32.45", + "B) 39.39", + "C) 25.52", + "D) 11.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "25.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 32.45\nB) 39.39\nC) 25.52\nD) 11.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 32.45", + "B) 39.39", + "C) 25.52", + "D) 11.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "25.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.39\nB) 18.59\nC) 32.45\nD) 25.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 39.39", + "B) 18.59", + "C) 32.45", + "D) 25.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "25.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.39\nB) 18.59\nC) 32.45\nD) 25.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 39.39", + "B) 18.59", + "C) 32.45", + "D) 25.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "25.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 23.95\nB) 37.82\nC) 17.02\nD) 10.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 23.95", + "B) 37.82", + "C) 17.02", + "D) 10.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "23.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 23.95\nB) 37.82\nC) 17.02\nD) 10.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 23.95", + "B) 37.82", + "C) 17.02", + "D) 10.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "23.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 35.88\nB) 22.01\nC) 28.94\nD) 42.81", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 35.88", + "B) 22.01", + "C) 28.94", + "D) 42.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 35.88\nB) 22.01\nC) 28.94\nD) 42.81", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 35.88", + "B) 22.01", + "C) 28.94", + "D) 42.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.58\nB) 11.85\nC) 18.78\nD) 32.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 39.58", + "B) 11.85", + "C) 18.78", + "D) 32.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.78", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.58\nB) 11.85\nC) 18.78\nD) 32.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", + "options": [ + "A) 39.58", + "B) 11.85", + "C) 18.78", + "D) 32.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.78", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Flash Crash", + "event_date": "2010-05-06", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.3602\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.4932\nD) 1.2715", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3602", + "B) 1.1828", + "C) 1.4932", + "D) 1.2715" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.3602\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.4932\nD) 1.2715", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3602", + "B) 1.1828", + "C) 1.4932", + "D) 1.2715" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.2715\nB) 1.4045\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.0498", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2715", + "B) 1.4045", + "C) 1.1385", + "D) 1.0498" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.2715\nB) 1.4045\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.0498", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2715", + "B) 1.4045", + "C) 1.1385", + "D) 1.0498" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0498\nB) 1.2715\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.4045", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0498", + "B) 1.2715", + "C) 1.1385", + "D) 1.4045" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0498\nB) 1.2715\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.4045", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0498", + "B) 1.2715", + "C) 1.1385", + "D) 1.4045" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0942\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.2715\nD) 1.4045", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0942", + "B) 1.1828", + "C) 1.2715", + "D) 1.4045" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0942\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.2715\nD) 1.4045", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0942", + "B) 1.1828", + "C) 1.2715", + "D) 1.4045" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2715", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4569\nB) 1.1466\nC) 1.2352\nD) 1.3239", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4569", + "B) 1.1466", + "C) 1.2352", + "D) 1.3239" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3239", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4569\nB) 1.1466\nC) 1.2352\nD) 1.3239", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4569", + "B) 1.1466", + "C) 1.2352", + "D) 1.3239" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3239", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4066\nB) 1.3179\nC) 1.5396\nD) 1.6283", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4066", + "B) 1.3179", + "C) 1.5396", + "D) 1.6283" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.4066", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4066\nB) 1.3179\nC) 1.5396\nD) 1.6283", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4066", + "B) 1.3179", + "C) 1.5396", + "D) 1.6283" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.4066", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.10\nB) 31.24\nC) 52.03\nD) 10.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 45.10", + "B) 31.24", + "C) 52.03", + "D) 10.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "31.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.10\nB) 31.24\nC) 52.03\nD) 10.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 45.10", + "B) 31.24", + "C) 52.03", + "D) 10.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "31.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 52.72", + "B) 25.00", + "C) 45.79", + "D) 31.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 52.72", + "B) 25.00", + "C) 45.79", + "D) 31.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 66.58\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 45.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 66.58", + "B) 59.65", + "C) 31.93", + "D) 45.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 66.58\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 45.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 66.58", + "B) 59.65", + "C) 31.93", + "D) 45.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 66.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 45.79", + "B) 59.65", + "C) 31.93", + "D) 66.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 66.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 45.79", + "B) 59.65", + "C) 31.93", + "D) 66.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 38.86\nB) 45.79\nC) 25.00\nD) 52.72", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 38.86", + "B) 45.79", + "C) 25.00", + "D) 52.72" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 38.86\nB) 45.79\nC) 25.00\nD) 52.72", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 38.86", + "B) 45.79", + "C) 25.00", + "D) 52.72" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 52.72", + "B) 25.00", + "C) 45.79", + "D) 31.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 52.72", + "B) 25.00", + "C) 45.79", + "D) 31.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.33%", + "B) 4.26%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 3.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.33%", + "B) 4.26%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 3.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 2.86%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 4.03%", + "C) 4.26%", + "D) 2.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 2.86%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 4.03%", + "C) 4.26%", + "D) 2.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.33%", + "B) 3.56%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.33%", + "B) 3.56%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.56%\nD) 3.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 4.03%", + "B) 2.86%", + "C) 3.56%", + "D) 3.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.56%\nD) 3.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 4.03%", + "B) 2.86%", + "C) 3.56%", + "D) 3.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 3.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 4.03%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 3.79%", + "D) 3.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 3.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 4.03%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 3.79%", + "D) 3.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 4.26%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", + "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", + "options": [ + "A) 3.56%", + "B) 4.26%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", + "event_date": "2010-05-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.4648\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1507", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4648", + "B) 1.3302", + "C) 1.2405", + "D) 1.1507" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.4648\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1507", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4648", + "B) 1.3302", + "C) 1.2405", + "D) 1.1507" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.1956\nB) 1.1059\nC) 1.3302\nD) 1.4199", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1956", + "B) 1.1059", + "C) 1.3302", + "D) 1.4199" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.1956\nB) 1.1059\nC) 1.3302\nD) 1.4199", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1956", + "B) 1.1059", + "C) 1.3302", + "D) 1.4199" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.2405\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.1507\nD) 1.3302", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2405", + "B) 1.4199", + "C) 1.1507", + "D) 1.3302" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.2405\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.1507\nD) 1.3302", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2405", + "B) 1.4199", + "C) 1.1507", + "D) 1.3302" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3302\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1059", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3302", + "B) 1.4199", + "C) 1.2405", + "D) 1.1059" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3302\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1059", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3302", + "B) 1.4199", + "C) 1.2405", + "D) 1.1059" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.5097\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.4199", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.5097", + "B) 1.3302", + "C) 1.2405", + "D) 1.4199" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.5097\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.4199", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.5097", + "B) 1.3302", + "C) 1.2405", + "D) 1.4199" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.3302", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3169\nB) 1.4963\nC) 1.4066\nD) 1.1823", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3169", + "B) 1.4963", + "C) 1.4066", + "D) 1.1823" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.4066", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3169\nB) 1.4963\nC) 1.4066\nD) 1.1823", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3169", + "B) 1.4963", + "C) 1.4066", + "D) 1.1823" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.4066", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 37.74\nB) 44.68\nC) 30.79\nD) 23.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 37.74", + "B) 44.68", + "C) 30.79", + "D) 23.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "23.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 37.74\nB) 44.68\nC) 30.79\nD) 23.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 37.74", + "B) 44.68", + "C) 30.79", + "D) 23.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "23.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 40.95\nB) 54.85\nC) 47.90\nD) 61.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 40.95", + "B) 54.85", + "C) 47.90", + "D) 61.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "40.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 40.95\nB) 54.85\nC) 47.90\nD) 61.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 40.95", + "B) 54.85", + "C) 47.90", + "D) 61.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "40.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 45.79\nC) 24.95\nD) 38.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 59.69", + "B) 45.79", + "C) 24.95", + "D) 38.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 45.79\nC) 24.95\nD) 38.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 59.69", + "B) 45.79", + "C) 24.95", + "D) 38.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 45.79\nD) 66.63", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 59.69", + "B) 31.89", + "C) 45.79", + "D) 66.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 45.79\nD) 66.63", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 59.69", + "B) 31.89", + "C) 45.79", + "D) 66.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 66.63\nD) 45.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 59.69", + "B) 31.89", + "C) 66.63", + "D) 45.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 66.63\nD) 45.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 59.69", + "B) 31.89", + "C) 66.63", + "D) 45.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 66.63\nC) 59.69\nD) 52.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 45.79", + "B) 66.63", + "C) 59.69", + "D) 52.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 66.63\nC) 59.69\nD) 52.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 45.79", + "B) 66.63", + "C) 59.69", + "D) 52.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "45.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.16%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 3.87%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.16%", + "B) 3.63%", + "C) 3.39%", + "D) 3.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.16%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 3.87%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.16%", + "B) 3.63%", + "C) 3.39%", + "D) 3.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 3.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2.94%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.41%", + "D) 3.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.41%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 3.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2.94%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.41%", + "D) 3.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.41%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.94%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 3.18%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2.47%", + "B) 2.94%", + "C) 3.89%", + "D) 3.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.18%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.94%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 3.18%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2.47%", + "B) 2.94%", + "C) 3.89%", + "D) 3.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.18%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 2.42%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.13%", + "B) 3.37%", + "C) 3.84%", + "D) 2.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.13%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 2.42%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3.13%", + "B) 3.37%", + "C) 3.84%", + "D) 2.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.13%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.66%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2.66%", + "B) 2.90%", + "C) 3.37%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.90%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.66%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2.66%", + "B) 2.90%", + "C) 3.37%", + "D) 3.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.90%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 3.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 2.65%", + "C) 2.41%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.41%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 3.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 2.65%", + "C) 2.41%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.41%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,943.24\nB) 1,905.26\nC) 2,251.25\nD) 2,424.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,943.24", + "B) 1,905.26", + "C) 2,251.25", + "D) 2,424.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,424.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,943.24\nB) 1,905.26\nC) 2,251.25\nD) 2,424.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,943.24", + "B) 1,905.26", + "C) 2,251.25", + "D) 2,424.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,424.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,265.64\nB) 1,919.64\nC) 2,092.64\nD) 2,438.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,265.64", + "B) 1,919.64", + "C) 2,092.64", + "D) 2,438.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,265.64", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,265.64\nB) 1,919.64\nC) 2,092.64\nD) 2,438.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,265.64", + "B) 1,919.64", + "C) 2,092.64", + "D) 2,438.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,265.64", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,858.01\nB) 2,204.01\nC) 2,377.01\nD) 2,723.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,858.01", + "B) 2,204.01", + "C) 2,377.01", + "D) 2,723.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,204.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,858.01\nB) 2,204.01\nC) 2,377.01\nD) 2,723.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,858.01", + "B) 2,204.01", + "C) 2,377.01", + "D) 2,723.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,204.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,985.85\nB) 1,812.85\nC) 2,158.85\nD) 2,504.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,985.85", + "B) 1,812.85", + "C) 2,158.85", + "D) 2,504.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,158.85", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,985.85\nB) 1,812.85\nC) 2,158.85\nD) 2,504.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,985.85", + "B) 1,812.85", + "C) 2,158.85", + "D) 2,504.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,158.85", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,745.79\nB) 1,572.80\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 2,091.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,745.79", + "B) 1,572.80", + "C) 2,264.79", + "D) 2,091.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,745.79\nB) 1,572.80\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 2,091.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 1,745.79", + "B) 1,572.80", + "C) 2,264.79", + "D) 2,091.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 2,610.78\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 1,918.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.79", + "B) 2,610.78", + "C) 2,264.79", + "D) 1,918.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 2,610.78\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 1,918.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", + "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", + "options": [ + "A) 2,091.79", + "B) 2,610.78", + "C) 2,264.79", + "D) 1,918.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,091.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", + "event_date": "2010-04-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", + "year": 2010 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $-60,852M\nB) $-43,477M\nC) $-31,894M\nD) $-37,685M", + "options": [ + "A) $-60,852M", + "B) $-43,477M", + "C) $-31,894M", + "D) $-37,685M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-43,477M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) -2.22%\nB) 4.80%\nC) 0.12%\nD) 2.46%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.22%", + "B) 4.80%", + "C) 0.12%", + "D) 2.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -35.63%\nB) -25.64%\nC) 4.33%\nD) -5.66%", + "options": [ + "A) -35.63%", + "B) -25.64%", + "C) 4.33%", + "D) -5.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-5.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $19.49/hr\nB) $18.71/hr\nC) $19.10/hr\nD) $19.88/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $19.49/hr", + "B) $18.71/hr", + "C) $19.10/hr", + "D) $19.88/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$19.49/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.3663\nB) 80.7100\nC) 74.0537\nD) 94.0225", + "options": [ + "A) 87.3663", + "B) 80.7100", + "C) 74.0537", + "D) 94.0225" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.7100", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 229.38\nB) 213.54\nC) 223.05\nD) 207.21", + "options": [ + "A) 229.38", + "B) 213.54", + "C) 223.05", + "D) 207.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "223.05", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.17%\nB) 3.04%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 4.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.17%", + "B) 3.04%", + "C) 5.79%", + "D) 4.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.00%\nB) 10.14%\nC) 12.43%\nD) 6.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.00%", + "B) 10.14%", + "C) 12.43%", + "D) 6.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.95%\nB) 4.59%\nC) 5.71%\nD) 6.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.95%", + "B) 4.59%", + "C) 5.71%", + "D) 6.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 38.52%\nB) -10.29%\nC) 14.12%\nD) 50.73%", + "options": [ + "A) 38.52%", + "B) -10.29%", + "C) 14.12%", + "D) 50.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 22.01%\nB) 2.27%\nC) 14.11%\nD) 10.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 22.01%", + "B) 2.27%", + "C) 14.11%", + "D) 10.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 21.32\nB) 38.75\nC) 9.70\nD) 27.13", + "options": [ + "A) 21.32", + "B) 38.75", + "C) 9.70", + "D) 27.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.32", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) $8,444B\nB) $8,935B\nC) $9,180B\nD) $8,199B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,444B", + "B) $8,935B", + "C) $9,180B", + "D) $8,199B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$8,935B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 9.12%\nC) 5.44%\nD) 6.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.22%", + "B) 9.12%", + "C) 5.44%", + "D) 6.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) -0.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.80pp", + "B) -0.20pp", + "C) +0.20pp", + "D) -0.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 6.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.81%", + "B) 2.92%", + "C) 4.70%", + "D) 6.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.79%\nB) 2.41%\nC) 9.18%\nD) 12.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.79%", + "B) 2.41%", + "C) 9.18%", + "D) 12.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 185.56\nB) 221.84\nC) 203.70\nD) 197.65", + "options": [ + "A) 185.56", + "B) 221.84", + "C) 203.70", + "D) 197.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "203.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.10%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 3.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.10%", + "B) 0.93%", + "C) 1.63%", + "D) 3.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 3.32%\nC) 5.69%\nD) 5.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.51%", + "B) 3.32%", + "C) 5.69%", + "D) 5.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) -4.88%\nB) -8.84%\nC) -12.81%\nD) -20.73%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.88%", + "B) -8.84%", + "C) -12.81%", + "D) -20.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-8.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 3.71%", + "C) 2.98%", + "D) 2.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 116.08\nB) 156.21\nC) 132.13\nD) 140.16", + "options": [ + "A) 116.08", + "B) 156.21", + "C) 132.13", + "D) 140.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "140.16", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.40%\nB) 78.76%\nC) 71.68%\nD) 81.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 76.40%", + "B) 78.76%", + "C) 71.68%", + "D) 81.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "76.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.03pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -2.03pp\nD) -2.79pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.03pp", + "B) -0.50pp", + "C) -2.03pp", + "D) -2.79pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.92%\nB) -44.20%\nC) -15.14%\nD) -24.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.92%", + "B) -44.20%", + "C) -15.14%", + "D) -24.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-15.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $384,093M\nB) $350,799M\nC) $337,481M\nD) $370,775M", + "options": [ + "A) $384,093M", + "B) $350,799M", + "C) $337,481M", + "D) $370,775M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$370,775M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) -1.21pp\nC) +0.45pp\nD) -1.76pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.10pp", + "B) -1.21pp", + "C) +0.45pp", + "D) -1.76pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.74\nB) 93.33\nC) 95.53\nD) 90.02", + "options": [ + "A) 97.74", + "B) 93.33", + "C) 95.53", + "D) 90.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "93.33", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.83%\nB) -0.05%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 4.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.83%", + "B) -0.05%", + "C) 2.11%", + "D) 4.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.11%\nB) -1.00%\nC) -7.10%\nD) -4.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.11%", + "B) -1.00%", + "C) -7.10%", + "D) -4.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-4.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 416,000\nB) 515,853\nC) 266,220\nD) 366,073", + "options": [ + "A) 416,000", + "B) 515,853", + "C) 266,220", + "D) 366,073" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "416,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.07pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) +1.66pp\nD) -0.69pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.07pp", + "B) -0.10pp", + "C) +1.66pp", + "D) -0.69pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.60\nB) 92.40\nC) 95.20\nD) 98.00", + "options": [ + "A) 103.60", + "B) 92.40", + "C) 95.20", + "D) 98.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "95.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.43%\nB) 35.54%\nC) -1.94%\nD) 16.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.43%", + "B) 35.54%", + "C) -1.94%", + "D) 16.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "16.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,395M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,395M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$2,395M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -12.48pp\nB) -6.10pp\nC) -18.86pp\nD) +6.66pp", + "options": [ + "A) -12.48pp", + "B) -6.10pp", + "C) -18.86pp", + "D) +6.66pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-6.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.7079\nB) 7.1597\nC) 6.4820\nD) 6.2561", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7079", + "B) 7.1597", + "C) 6.4820", + "D) 6.2561" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4820", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.64%\nB) -1.72%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 1.54%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.64%", + "B) -1.72%", + "C) 2.62%", + "D) 1.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.91%\nB) 13.97%\nC) 1.85%\nD) 10.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.91%", + "B) 13.97%", + "C) 1.85%", + "D) 10.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.26%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.26%", + "B) 4.50%", + "C) 3.74%", + "D) 3.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 3.18%\nC) -3.07%\nD) -0.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.09%", + "B) 3.18%", + "C) -3.07%", + "D) -0.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-3.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 29.55%\nB) -4.60%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 9.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 29.55%", + "B) -4.60%", + "C) 2.23%", + "D) 9.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,929B\nB) $12,425B\nC) $12,177B\nD) $11,680B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,929B", + "B) $12,425B", + "C) $12,177B", + "D) $11,680B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$11,929B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 137,463K\nB) 132,344K\nC) 140,875K\nD) 127,225K", + "options": [ + "A) 137,463K", + "B) 132,344K", + "C) 140,875K", + "D) 127,225K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "132,344K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -27.81pp\nB) -2.33pp\nC) -8.70pp\nD) -21.44pp", + "options": [ + "A) -27.81pp", + "B) -2.33pp", + "C) -8.70pp", + "D) -21.44pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-8.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.50%\nB) 55.30%\nC) 63.57%\nD) 58.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.50%", + "B) 55.30%", + "C) 63.57%", + "D) 58.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "58.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.64%\nB) 24.13%\nC) -9.60%\nD) 3.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.64%", + "B) 24.13%", + "C) -9.60%", + "D) 3.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "10.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 67.41%\nB) 64.20%\nC) 65.48%\nD) 62.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 67.41%", + "B) 64.20%", + "C) 65.48%", + "D) 62.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "64.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 30.14%\nB) 19.78%\nC) 9.43%\nD) 40.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 30.14%", + "B) 19.78%", + "C) 9.43%", + "D) 40.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.36pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) +0.60pp\nD) -0.90pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.36pp", + "B) -0.15pp", + "C) +0.60pp", + "D) -0.90pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $380,042M\nB) $417,883M\nC) $357,338M\nD) $402,746M", + "options": [ + "A) $380,042M", + "B) $417,883M", + "C) $357,338M", + "D) $402,746M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$380,042M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.99%\nB) 1.39%\nC) 29.52%\nD) -17.37%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.99%", + "B) 1.39%", + "C) 29.52%", + "D) -17.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $20.14/hr\nB) $19.72/hr\nC) $19.30/hr\nD) $18.46/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $20.14/hr", + "B) $19.72/hr", + "C) $19.30/hr", + "D) $18.46/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$19.30/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,638M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $2,638M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$2,638M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $-44,312M\nB) $-50,572M\nC) $-31,791M\nD) $-25,531M", + "options": [ + "A) $-44,312M", + "B) $-50,572M", + "C) $-31,791M", + "D) $-25,531M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-44,312M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 831K\nB) 583K\nC) 1,078K\nD) 1,326K", + "options": [ + "A) 831K", + "B) 583K", + "C) 1,078K", + "D) 1,326K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "583K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 28.64%\nB) -22.09%\nC) 8.35%\nD) 18.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 28.64%", + "B) -22.09%", + "C) 8.35%", + "D) 18.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 0.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.11%", + "B) 1.08%", + "C) 3.13%", + "D) 0.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 137.78\nB) 129.59\nC) 154.16\nD) 162.34", + "options": [ + "A) 137.78", + "B) 129.59", + "C) 154.16", + "D) 162.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "137.78", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.25%\nB) 6.40%\nC) 4.69%\nD) 8.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.25%", + "B) 6.40%", + "C) 4.69%", + "D) 8.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.54pp\nB) +2.07pp\nC) +2.60pp\nD) +4.19pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.54pp", + "B) +2.07pp", + "C) +2.60pp", + "D) +4.19pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+2.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,633B\nB) $9,649B\nC) $7,955B\nD) $8,972B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,633B", + "B) $9,649B", + "C) $7,955B", + "D) $8,972B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$8,972B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) $94.83/bbl\nB) $126.82/bbl\nC) $84.17/bbl\nD) $116.16/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $94.83/bbl", + "B) $126.82/bbl", + "C) $84.17/bbl", + "D) $116.16/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$94.83/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.54%\nB) 4.19%\nC) 0.84%\nD) -2.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.54%", + "B) 4.19%", + "C) 0.84%", + "D) -2.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $75,180M\nB) $62,381M\nC) $65,581M\nD) $68,781M", + "options": [ + "A) $75,180M", + "B) $62,381M", + "C) $65,581M", + "D) $68,781M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$65,581M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 44.29%\nB) -22.31%\nC) -0.11%\nD) 22.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 44.29%", + "B) -22.31%", + "C) -0.11%", + "D) 22.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $62,497M\nB) $56,071M\nC) $52,857M\nD) $72,137M", + "options": [ + "A) $62,497M", + "B) $56,071M", + "C) $52,857M", + "D) $72,137M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$62,497M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.76%\nB) 9.55%\nC) 8.45%\nD) 7.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.76%", + "B) 9.55%", + "C) 8.45%", + "D) 7.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,319K\nB) 1,080K\nC) 600K\nD) 360K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,319K", + "B) 1,080K", + "C) 600K", + "D) 360K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "600K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 89.75%\nB) 52.91%\nC) -2.34%\nD) 34.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 89.75%", + "B) 52.91%", + "C) -2.34%", + "D) 34.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "34.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 1.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.38%", + "B) 2.92%", + "C) 2.08%", + "D) 1.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.30%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 2.22%\nD) -0.04%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.30%", + "B) 1.09%", + "C) 2.22%", + "D) -0.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 204.48\nB) 183.37\nC) 199.20\nD) 215.03", + "options": [ + "A) 204.48", + "B) 183.37", + "C) 199.20", + "D) 215.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "199.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 139,673K\nB) 126,249K\nC) 136,317K\nD) 131,283K", + "options": [ + "A) 139,673K", + "B) 126,249K", + "C) 136,317K", + "D) 131,283K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "131,283K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 2.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.55%", + "B) 0.96%", + "C) 0.37%", + "D) 2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.54%\nB) 15.18%\nC) 71.36%\nD) -22.27%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.54%", + "B) 15.18%", + "C) 71.36%", + "D) -22.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 87.65\nB) 85.64\nC) 90.67\nD) 93.68", + "options": [ + "A) 87.65", + "B) 85.64", + "C) 90.67", + "D) 93.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "90.67", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.42%\nB) 4.89%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 4.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.42%", + "B) 4.89%", + "C) 3.72%", + "D) 4.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.08pp\nB) +9.49pp\nC) -4.04pp\nD) +1.37pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.08pp", + "B) +9.49pp", + "C) -4.04pp", + "D) +1.37pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+4.08pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.23%\nB) 9.00%\nC) 12.35%\nD) 10.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.23%", + "B) 9.00%", + "C) 12.35%", + "D) 10.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.79%\nB) 12.72%\nC) 6.86%\nD) 15.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.79%", + "B) 12.72%", + "C) 6.86%", + "D) 15.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 233.94\nB) 220.91\nC) 213.09\nD) 226.12", + "options": [ + "A) 233.94", + "B) 220.91", + "C) 213.09", + "D) 226.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "226.12", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) $114.67/bbl\nB) $81.59/bbl\nC) $103.64/bbl\nD) $125.70/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $114.67/bbl", + "B) $81.59/bbl", + "C) $103.64/bbl", + "D) $125.70/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$114.67/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 43.60\nB) 59.50\nC) 54.20\nD) 64.80", + "options": [ + "A) 43.60", + "B) 59.50", + "C) 54.20", + "D) 64.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "59.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.46%\nB) 7.39%\nC) 5.26%\nD) 3.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.46%", + "B) 7.39%", + "C) 5.26%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,854,252\nB) 5,649,748\nC) 3,119,417\nD) 3,752,000", + "options": [ + "A) 1,854,252", + "B) 5,649,748", + "C) 3,119,417", + "D) 3,752,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,752,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.87%\nB) 83.39%\nC) 80.89%\nD) 68.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 75.87%", + "B) 83.39%", + "C) 80.89%", + "D) 68.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "75.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 2.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.15%", + "B) 0.08%", + "C) 3.30%", + "D) 2.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.10pp\nB) -6.68pp\nC) +1.69pp\nD) -3.89pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.10pp", + "B) -6.68pp", + "C) +1.69pp", + "D) -3.89pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.69pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $182,693M\nB) $227,776M\nC) $197,720M\nD) $212,748M", + "options": [ + "A) $182,693M", + "B) $227,776M", + "C) $197,720M", + "D) $212,748M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$212,748M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 1.60%\nD) 3.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.99%", + "B) 0.82%", + "C) 1.60%", + "D) 3.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,147B\nB) $10,620B\nC) $9,917B\nD) $10,268B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,147B", + "B) $10,620B", + "C) $9,917B", + "D) $10,268B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$10,620B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $249,159M\nB) $219,545M\nC) $204,738M\nD) $160,317M", + "options": [ + "A) $249,159M", + "B) $219,545M", + "C) $204,738M", + "D) $160,317M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$204,738M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 3.52%\nC) 1.27%\nD) 0.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.39%", + "B) 3.52%", + "C) 1.27%", + "D) 0.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,552B\nB) $9,893B\nC) $8,868B\nD) $9,210B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,552B", + "B) $9,893B", + "C) $8,868B", + "D) $9,210B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$9,552B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 6.30%\nC) 8.78%\nD) 5.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.65%", + "B) 6.30%", + "C) 8.78%", + "D) 5.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 94.81%\nB) -10.54%\nC) 52.67%\nD) 115.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 94.81%", + "B) -10.54%", + "C) 52.67%", + "D) 115.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "52.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 53.36%\nB) 61.43%\nC) 55.37%\nD) 58.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 53.36%", + "B) 61.43%", + "C) 55.37%", + "D) 58.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "58.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.21%\nB) 0.31%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 0.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.21%", + "B) 0.31%", + "C) 1.82%", + "D) 0.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.33%\nD) 2.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.99%", + "B) 2.01%", + "C) 1.33%", + "D) 2.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,131B\nB) $10,261B\nC) $10,783B\nD) $11,479B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,131B", + "B) $10,261B", + "C) $10,783B", + "D) $11,479B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$10,783B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 214.90\nB) 229.16\nC) 209.20\nD) 223.45", + "options": [ + "A) 214.90", + "B) 229.16", + "C) 209.20", + "D) 223.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "223.45", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 4.45%\nD) -0.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.62%", + "B) 5.37%", + "C) 4.45%", + "D) -0.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 51.08\nB) 67.50\nC) 83.92\nD) 72.97", + "options": [ + "A) 51.08", + "B) 67.50", + "C) 83.92", + "D) 72.97" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "67.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 2.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.89%", + "B) 0.26%", + "C) 1.21%", + "D) 2.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 87.69\nB) 89.93\nC) 95.52\nD) 92.17", + "options": [ + "A) 87.69", + "B) 89.93", + "C) 95.52", + "D) 92.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "92.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 226.60\nB) 220.36\nC) 211.01\nD) 235.95", + "options": [ + "A) 226.60", + "B) 220.36", + "C) 211.01", + "D) 235.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "226.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 991K\nB) 610K\nC) 1,182K\nD) 229K", + "options": [ + "A) 991K", + "B) 610K", + "C) 1,182K", + "D) 229K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "610K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.6476\nB) 1.5574\nC) 1.4221\nD) 1.3319", + "options": [ + "A) 1.6476", + "B) 1.5574", + "C) 1.4221", + "D) 1.3319" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.4221", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 20.16%\nB) 12.50%\nC) 4.85%\nD) 8.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.16%", + "B) 12.50%", + "C) 4.85%", + "D) 8.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 2.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.99%", + "B) 1.06%", + "C) 2.61%", + "D) 2.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.45%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 1.68%\nD) 0.24%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.45%", + "B) 4.57%", + "C) 1.68%", + "D) 0.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.46\nB) 86.86\nC) 91.57\nD) 88.74", + "options": [ + "A) 93.46", + "B) 86.86", + "C) 91.57", + "D) 88.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "91.57", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.27%\nB) 66.13%\nC) 68.69%\nD) 64.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.27%", + "B) 66.13%", + "C) 68.69%", + "D) 64.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "64.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 1.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.85%", + "B) 2.70%", + "C) 2.41%", + "D) 1.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.50\nB) 106.70\nC) 110.97\nD) 108.83", + "options": [ + "A) 103.50", + "B) 106.70", + "C) 110.97", + "D) 108.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "106.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.65\nB) 108.15\nC) 105.00\nD) 101.85", + "options": [ + "A) 97.65", + "B) 108.15", + "C) 105.00", + "D) 101.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "105.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 89.56\nB) 85.11\nC) 91.79\nD) 87.33", + "options": [ + "A) 89.56", + "B) 85.11", + "C) 91.79", + "D) 87.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "87.33", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 650K\nB) 838K\nC) 1,025K\nD) 462K", + "options": [ + "A) 650K", + "B) 838K", + "C) 1,025K", + "D) 462K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "650K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.95\nB) 94.08\nC) 99.81\nD) 91.21", + "options": [ + "A) 96.95", + "B) 94.08", + "C) 99.81", + "D) 91.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "94.08", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20110615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2011-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,095.97\nB) 3,166.95\nC) 2,631.46\nD) 2,452.96", + "options": [ + "A) 2,095.97", + "B) 3,166.95", + "C) 2,631.46", + "D) 2,452.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,631.46", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,005B\nB) $12,484B\nC) $12,237B\nD) $11,744B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,005B", + "B) $12,484B", + "C) $12,237B", + "D) $11,744B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$11,744B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2011", + "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.90pp\nC) -1.30pp\nD) -0.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.70pp", + "B) -0.90pp", + "C) -1.30pp", + "D) -0.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,488.81\nB) 2,357.69\nC) 1,964.34\nD) 2,751.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,488.81", + "B) 2,357.69", + "C) 1,964.34", + "D) 2,751.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,357.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,488.81\nB) 2,357.69\nC) 1,964.34\nD) 2,751.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,488.81", + "B) 2,357.69", + "C) 1,964.34", + "D) 2,751.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,357.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1,948.49\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,079.61", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1,948.49", + "B) 2,472.96", + "C) 2,341.84", + "D) 2,079.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1,948.49\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,079.61", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1,948.49", + "B) 2,472.96", + "C) 2,341.84", + "D) 2,079.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,735.19\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,079.61\nD) 2,341.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,735.19", + "B) 2,472.96", + "C) 2,079.61", + "D) 2,341.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,735.19\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,079.61\nD) 2,341.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,735.19", + "B) 2,472.96", + "C) 2,079.61", + "D) 2,341.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,335.83\nB) 2,073.60\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 1,942.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,335.83", + "B) 2,073.60", + "C) 2,729.18", + "D) 1,942.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,335.83\nB) 2,073.60\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 1,942.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,335.83", + "B) 2,073.60", + "C) 2,729.18", + "D) 1,942.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,073.60\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 2,598.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,073.60", + "B) 2,335.83", + "C) 2,729.18", + "D) 2,598.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,073.60\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 2,598.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,073.60", + "B) 2,335.83", + "C) 2,729.18", + "D) 2,598.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,598.06\nB) 2,466.95\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,942.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,598.06", + "B) 2,466.95", + "C) 2,335.83", + "D) 1,942.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,598.06\nB) 2,466.95\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,942.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2,598.06", + "B) 2,466.95", + "C) 2,335.83", + "D) 1,942.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.79%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 2.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.79%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 2.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.64%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2.07%", + "B) 2.45%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 2.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.07%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.64%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 2.07%", + "B) 2.45%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) 2.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.07%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.59%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.64%", + "B) 2.02%", + "C) 2.40%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.02%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.59%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.64%", + "B) 2.02%", + "C) 2.40%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.02%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.15%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.34%", + "B) 1.91%", + "C) 1.72%", + "D) 1.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.15%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.34%", + "B) 1.91%", + "C) 1.72%", + "D) 1.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.15%", + "B) 1.34%", + "C) 2.29%", + "D) 1.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.15%", + "B) 1.34%", + "C) 2.29%", + "D) 1.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 2.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.72%", + "B) 1.53%", + "C) 2.10%", + "D) 2.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 2.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.72%", + "B) 1.53%", + "C) 2.10%", + "D) 2.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 32.73\nB) 35.06\nC) 37.39\nD) 28.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 32.73", + "B) 35.06", + "C) 37.39", + "D) 28.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "35.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 32.73\nB) 35.06\nC) 37.39\nD) 28.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 32.73", + "B) 35.06", + "C) 37.39", + "D) 28.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "35.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 33.91\nB) 29.25\nC) 31.58\nD) 26.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 33.91", + "B) 29.25", + "C) 31.58", + "D) 26.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "31.58", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 33.91\nB) 29.25\nC) 31.58\nD) 26.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 33.91", + "B) 29.25", + "C) 31.58", + "D) 26.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "31.58", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 29.25\nB) 24.58\nC) 38.58\nD) 31.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 29.25", + "B) 24.58", + "C) 38.58", + "D) 31.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "31.58", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 29.25\nB) 24.58\nC) 38.58\nD) 31.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 29.25", + "B) 24.58", + "C) 38.58", + "D) 31.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "31.58", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 30.98\nB) 28.65\nC) 23.98\nD) 35.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 30.98", + "B) 28.65", + "C) 23.98", + "D) 35.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "30.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 30.98\nB) 28.65\nC) 23.98\nD) 35.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 30.98", + "B) 28.65", + "C) 23.98", + "D) 35.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "30.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 22.20\nB) 24.53\nC) 29.19\nD) 31.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22.20", + "B) 24.53", + "C) 29.19", + "D) 31.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.53", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 22.20\nB) 24.53\nC) 29.19\nD) 31.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22.20", + "B) 24.53", + "C) 29.19", + "D) 31.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.53", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 11.28\nB) 13.62\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 11.28", + "B) 13.62", + "C) 18.28", + "D) 20.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.28", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 11.28\nB) 13.62\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 11.28", + "B) 13.62", + "C) 18.28", + "D) 20.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.28", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.2337\nC) 1.3080\nD) 1.4193", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4935", + "B) 1.2337", + "C) 1.3080", + "D) 1.4193" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.4193", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.2337\nC) 1.3080\nD) 1.4193", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4935", + "B) 1.2337", + "C) 1.3080", + "D) 1.4193" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.4193", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4193\nB) 1.5306\nC) 1.2337\nD) 1.3080", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4193", + "B) 1.5306", + "C) 1.2337", + "D) 1.3080" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.4193", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4193\nB) 1.5306\nC) 1.2337\nD) 1.3080", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4193", + "B) 1.5306", + "C) 1.2337", + "D) 1.3080" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.4193", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.4193\nC) 1.3451\nD) 1.5678", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4935", + "B) 1.4193", + "C) 1.3451", + "D) 1.5678" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.4193", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.4193\nC) 1.3451\nD) 1.5678", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4935", + "B) 1.4193", + "C) 1.3451", + "D) 1.5678" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.4193", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2168\nB) 1.4394\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.5137", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2168", + "B) 1.4394", + "C) 1.3281", + "D) 1.5137" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.3281", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2168\nB) 1.4394\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.5137", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2168", + "B) 1.4394", + "C) 1.3281", + "D) 1.5137" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.3281", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4023\nB) 1.2539\nC) 1.1425\nD) 1.3281", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4023", + "B) 1.2539", + "C) 1.1425", + "D) 1.3281" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3281", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4023\nB) 1.2539\nC) 1.1425\nD) 1.3281", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4023", + "B) 1.2539", + "C) 1.1425", + "D) 1.3281" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.3281", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2682\nB) 1.1940\nC) 1.3424\nD) 1.0826", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2682", + "B) 1.1940", + "C) 1.3424", + "D) 1.0826" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2682", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2682\nB) 1.1940\nC) 1.3424\nD) 1.0826", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2682", + "B) 1.1940", + "C) 1.3424", + "D) 1.0826" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2682", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", + "event_date": "2011-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 78.7400\nC) 83.9713\nD) 73.5087", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 70.8931", + "B) 78.7400", + "C) 83.9713", + "D) 73.5087" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 78.7400\nC) 83.9713\nD) 73.5087", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 70.8931", + "B) 78.7400", + "C) 83.9713", + "D) 73.5087" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 76.1244\nB) 86.5869\nC) 78.7400\nD) 83.9713", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 76.1244", + "B) 86.5869", + "C) 78.7400", + "D) 83.9713" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 76.1244\nB) 86.5869\nC) 78.7400\nD) 83.9713", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 76.1244", + "B) 86.5869", + "C) 78.7400", + "D) 83.9713" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 83.9713\nB) 76.1244\nC) 70.8931\nD) 78.7400", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 83.9713", + "B) 76.1244", + "C) 70.8931", + "D) 78.7400" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 83.9713\nB) 76.1244\nC) 70.8931\nD) 78.7400", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 83.9713", + "B) 76.1244", + "C) 70.8931", + "D) 78.7400" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 78.7400\nB) 76.1244\nC) 86.5869\nD) 83.9713", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 78.7400", + "B) 76.1244", + "C) 86.5869", + "D) 83.9713" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 78.7400\nB) 76.1244\nC) 86.5869\nD) 83.9713", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 78.7400", + "B) 76.1244", + "C) 86.5869", + "D) 83.9713" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.5087\nB) 78.7400\nC) 86.5869\nD) 70.8931", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 73.5087", + "B) 78.7400", + "C) 86.5869", + "D) 70.8931" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.5087\nB) 78.7400\nC) 86.5869\nD) 70.8931", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 73.5087", + "B) 78.7400", + "C) 86.5869", + "D) 70.8931" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "78.7400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 79.0256\nB) 73.7944\nC) 76.4100\nD) 84.2569", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 79.0256", + "B) 73.7944", + "C) 76.4100", + "D) 84.2569" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "76.4100", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 79.0256\nB) 73.7944\nC) 76.4100\nD) 84.2569", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 79.0256", + "B) 73.7944", + "C) 76.4100", + "D) 84.2569" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "76.4100", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 24.41\nB) 27.69\nC) 17.85\nD) 21.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 24.41", + "B) 27.69", + "C) 17.85", + "D) 21.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "21.13", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 24.41\nB) 27.69\nC) 17.85\nD) 21.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 24.41", + "B) 27.69", + "C) 17.85", + "D) 21.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "21.13", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.91\nB) 14.63\nC) 27.75\nD) 24.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 17.91", + "B) 14.63", + "C) 27.75", + "D) 24.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.91\nB) 14.63\nC) 27.75\nD) 24.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 17.91", + "B) 14.63", + "C) 27.75", + "D) 24.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 26.74\nB) 16.90\nC) 20.18\nD) 13.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 26.74", + "B) 16.90", + "C) 20.18", + "D) 13.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 26.74\nB) 16.90\nC) 20.18\nD) 13.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 26.74", + "B) 16.90", + "C) 20.18", + "D) 13.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 11.34\nC) 14.62\nD) 24.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 17.90", + "B) 11.34", + "C) 14.62", + "D) 24.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 11.34\nC) 14.62\nD) 24.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 17.90", + "B) 11.34", + "C) 14.62", + "D) 24.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 24.46\nC) 21.18\nD) 14.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 17.90", + "B) 24.46", + "C) 21.18", + "D) 14.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 24.46\nC) 21.18\nD) 14.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 17.90", + "B) 24.46", + "C) 21.18", + "D) 14.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 11.34\nC) 17.90\nD) 24.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 14.62", + "B) 11.34", + "C) 17.90", + "D) 24.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 11.34\nC) 17.90\nD) 24.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 14.62", + "B) 11.34", + "C) 17.90", + "D) 24.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,297.82\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,776.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,297.82", + "B) 2,616.82", + "C) 2,457.32", + "D) 2,776.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,297.82\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,776.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,297.82", + "B) 2,616.82", + "C) 2,457.32", + "D) 2,776.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,776.32\nB) 2,138.31\nC) 2,616.82\nD) 2,457.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,776.32", + "B) 2,138.31", + "C) 2,616.82", + "D) 2,457.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,776.32\nB) 2,138.31\nC) 2,616.82\nD) 2,457.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,776.32", + "B) 2,138.31", + "C) 2,616.82", + "D) 2,457.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,138.31\nB) 2,457.32\nC) 3,095.33\nD) 2,616.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,138.31", + "B) 2,457.32", + "C) 3,095.33", + "D) 2,616.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,138.31\nB) 2,457.32\nC) 3,095.33\nD) 2,616.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,138.31", + "B) 2,457.32", + "C) 3,095.33", + "D) 2,616.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,616.82\nB) 3,095.33\nC) 2,297.82\nD) 2,935.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,616.82", + "B) 3,095.33", + "C) 2,297.82", + "D) 2,935.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,616.82\nB) 3,095.33\nC) 2,297.82\nD) 2,935.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 2,616.82", + "B) 3,095.33", + "C) 2,297.82", + "D) 2,935.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,095.33\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,297.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 3,095.33", + "B) 2,616.82", + "C) 2,457.32", + "D) 2,297.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,095.33\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,297.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 3,095.33", + "B) 2,616.82", + "C) 2,457.32", + "D) 2,297.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,616.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 1,863.33\nB) 2,022.84\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,660.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 1,863.33", + "B) 2,022.84", + "C) 2,341.84", + "D) 2,660.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 1,863.33\nB) 2,022.84\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,660.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 1,863.33", + "B) 2,022.84", + "C) 2,341.84", + "D) 2,660.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $86.28/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $97.23/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $80.81/bbl", + "B) $86.28/bbl", + "C) $102.70/bbl", + "D) $97.23/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $86.28/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $97.23/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $80.81/bbl", + "B) $86.28/bbl", + "C) $102.70/bbl", + "D) $97.23/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $97.23/bbl\nB) $108.18/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $113.65/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $97.23/bbl", + "B) $108.18/bbl", + "C) $102.70/bbl", + "D) $113.65/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $97.23/bbl\nB) $108.18/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $113.65/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $97.23/bbl", + "B) $108.18/bbl", + "C) $102.70/bbl", + "D) $113.65/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $97.23/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $91.76/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $80.81/bbl", + "B) $97.23/bbl", + "C) $102.70/bbl", + "D) $91.76/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $97.23/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $91.76/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $80.81/bbl", + "B) $97.23/bbl", + "C) $102.70/bbl", + "D) $91.76/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $113.29/bbl\nB) $91.40/bbl\nC) $96.87/bbl\nD) $85.92/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $113.29/bbl", + "B) $91.40/bbl", + "C) $96.87/bbl", + "D) $85.92/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$96.87/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $113.29/bbl\nB) $91.40/bbl\nC) $96.87/bbl\nD) $85.92/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $113.29/bbl", + "B) $91.40/bbl", + "C) $96.87/bbl", + "D) $85.92/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$96.87/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $101.87/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $79.98/bbl\nD) $96.40/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $101.87/bbl", + "B) $107.35/bbl", + "C) $79.98/bbl", + "D) $96.40/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$96.40/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $101.87/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $79.98/bbl\nD) $96.40/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $101.87/bbl", + "B) $107.35/bbl", + "C) $79.98/bbl", + "D) $96.40/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$96.40/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $79.32/bbl\nB) $73.85/bbl\nC) $68.37/bbl\nD) $95.74/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $79.32/bbl", + "B) $73.85/bbl", + "C) $68.37/bbl", + "D) $95.74/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$79.32/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $79.32/bbl\nB) $73.85/bbl\nC) $68.37/bbl\nD) $95.74/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", + "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) $79.32/bbl", + "B) $73.85/bbl", + "C) $68.37/bbl", + "D) $95.74/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$79.32/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", + "event_date": "2011-03-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,796.69\nB) 2,532.41\nC) 2,664.55\nD) 2,268.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,796.69", + "B) 2,532.41", + "C) 2,664.55", + "D) 2,268.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,532.41", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,796.69\nB) 2,532.41\nC) 2,664.55\nD) 2,268.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,796.69", + "B) 2,532.41", + "C) 2,664.55", + "D) 2,268.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,532.41", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,225.55\nB) 2,621.97\nC) 2,357.69\nD) 2,093.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,225.55", + "B) 2,621.97", + "C) 2,357.69", + "D) 2,093.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,357.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,225.55\nB) 2,621.97\nC) 2,357.69\nD) 2,093.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,225.55", + "B) 2,621.97", + "C) 2,357.69", + "D) 2,093.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,357.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,077.56\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,341.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,077.56", + "B) 2,209.70", + "C) 2,473.98", + "D) 2,341.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,077.56\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,341.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,077.56", + "B) 2,209.70", + "C) 2,473.98", + "D) 2,341.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,341.84\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,738.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,341.84", + "B) 2,209.70", + "C) 2,473.98", + "D) 2,738.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,341.84\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,738.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,341.84", + "B) 2,209.70", + "C) 2,473.98", + "D) 2,738.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,341.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,467.97\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,600.11\nD) 1,939.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,467.97", + "B) 2,335.83", + "C) 2,600.11", + "D) 1,939.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,467.97\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,600.11\nD) 1,939.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,467.97", + "B) 2,335.83", + "C) 2,600.11", + "D) 1,939.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,732.25\nB) 2,467.97\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,939.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,732.25", + "B) 2,467.97", + "C) 2,335.83", + "D) 1,939.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,732.25\nB) 2,467.97\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,939.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2,732.25", + "B) 2,467.97", + "C) 2,335.83", + "D) 1,939.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,335.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.21%", + "B) 2.96%", + "C) 3.14%", + "D) 2.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.21%", + "B) 2.96%", + "C) 3.14%", + "D) 2.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 3.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.77%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 2.96%", + "D) 3.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 3.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.77%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 2.96%", + "D) 3.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 2.96%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.21%", + "B) 2.77%", + "C) 3.33%", + "D) 2.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 2.96%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.21%", + "B) 2.77%", + "C) 3.33%", + "D) 2.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.40%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.96%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 2.77%", + "D) 2.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.40%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.96%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 2.77%", + "D) 2.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 3.14%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 2.58%", + "D) 2.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 3.14%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 2.58%", + "D) 2.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.40%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.77%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 3.14%", + "D) 2.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.40%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.77%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 3.14%", + "D) 2.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 23.38\nC) 28.03\nD) 30.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 25.71", + "B) 23.38", + "C) 28.03", + "D) 30.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 23.38\nC) 28.03\nD) 30.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 25.71", + "B) 23.38", + "C) 28.03", + "D) 30.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 18.73\nB) 16.40\nC) 23.38\nD) 25.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 18.73", + "B) 16.40", + "C) 23.38", + "D) 25.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 18.73\nB) 16.40\nC) 23.38\nD) 25.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 18.73", + "B) 16.40", + "C) 23.38", + "D) 25.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 30.36\nC) 28.03\nD) 23.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 25.71", + "B) 30.36", + "C) 28.03", + "D) 23.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 30.36\nC) 28.03\nD) 23.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 25.71", + "B) 30.36", + "C) 28.03", + "D) 23.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 23.38\nB) 21.05\nC) 18.73\nD) 25.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 23.38", + "B) 21.05", + "C) 18.73", + "D) 25.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 23.38\nB) 21.05\nC) 18.73\nD) 25.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 23.38", + "B) 21.05", + "C) 18.73", + "D) 25.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 28.03\nB) 23.38\nC) 16.40\nD) 25.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 28.03", + "B) 23.38", + "C) 16.40", + "D) 25.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 28.03\nB) 23.38\nC) 16.40\nD) 25.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 28.03", + "B) 23.38", + "C) 16.40", + "D) 25.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "23.38", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 13.63\nB) 25.26\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 13.63", + "B) 25.26", + "C) 18.28", + "D) 20.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.28", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 13.63\nB) 25.26\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 13.63", + "B) 25.26", + "C) 18.28", + "D) 20.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.28", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.61%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.27%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.38%", + "B) 0.61%", + "C) 0.49%", + "D) 0.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.27%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.61%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.27%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.38%", + "B) 0.61%", + "C) 0.49%", + "D) 0.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.27%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.53%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.19%", + "B) 0.08%", + "C) 0.41%", + "D) 0.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.53%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.19%", + "B) 0.08%", + "C) 0.41%", + "D) 0.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 0.41%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.30%", + "B) 0.19%", + "C) 0.08%", + "D) 0.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 0.41%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.30%", + "B) 0.19%", + "C) 0.08%", + "D) 0.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 0.05%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.50%", + "C) 0.16%", + "D) 0.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 0.05%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.50%", + "C) 0.16%", + "D) 0.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 0.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.05%", + "B) 0.38%", + "C) 0.50%", + "D) 0.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 0.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.05%", + "B) 0.38%", + "C) 0.50%", + "D) 0.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.27%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.16%", + "B) 0.05%", + "C) 0.38%", + "D) 0.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.27%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", + "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", + "options": [ + "A) 0.16%", + "B) 0.05%", + "C) 0.38%", + "D) 0.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", + "event_date": "2011-07-29", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", + "year": 2011 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,663B\nB) $12,386B\nC) $11,834B\nD) $13,215B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,663B", + "B) $12,386B", + "C) $11,834B", + "D) $13,215B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$12,386B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +8.58pp\nB) -2.75pp\nC) +0.09pp\nD) -5.58pp", + "options": [ + "A) +8.58pp", + "B) -2.75pp", + "C) +0.09pp", + "D) -5.58pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.09pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.75%\nB) 1.42%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 0.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.75%", + "B) 1.42%", + "C) 2.08%", + "D) 0.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.68%\nB) 0.17%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 1.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.68%", + "B) 0.17%", + "C) 1.69%", + "D) 1.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 0.14%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.14%", + "B) 0.14%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 9.24%\nB) 6.13%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 10.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.24%", + "B) 6.13%", + "C) 8.20%", + "D) 10.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $11,353B\nB) $11,893B\nC) $10,455B\nD) $10,994B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,353B", + "B) $11,893B", + "C) $10,455B", + "D) $10,994B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$10,994B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 0.84%\nC) 4.86%\nD) 2.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.52%", + "B) 0.84%", + "C) 4.86%", + "D) 2.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $8,776B\nB) $9,854B\nC) $10,572B\nD) $10,931B", + "options": [ + "A) $8,776B", + "B) $9,854B", + "C) $10,572B", + "D) $10,931B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$9,854B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,120K\nB) 963K\nC) 806K\nD) 649K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,120K", + "B) 963K", + "C) 806K", + "D) 649K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "806K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.75\nB) 74.85\nC) 85.20\nD) 78.30", + "options": [ + "A) 81.75", + "B) 74.85", + "C) 85.20", + "D) 78.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "78.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.60%\nB) 9.26%\nC) 10.08%\nD) 5.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.60%", + "B) 9.26%", + "C) 10.08%", + "D) 5.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.28%\nB) 2.99%\nC) -0.90%\nD) 1.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.28%", + "B) 2.99%", + "C) -0.90%", + "D) 1.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.95pp\nB) -0.25pp\nC) +0.30pp\nD) -1.35pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.95pp", + "B) -0.25pp", + "C) +0.30pp", + "D) -1.35pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.79%", + "B) 1.20%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 58.70%\nB) 56.11%\nC) 61.29%\nD) 54.39%", + "options": [ + "A) 58.70%", + "B) 56.11%", + "C) 61.29%", + "D) 54.39%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "58.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 7.06%\nC) 9.68%\nD) 5.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.13%", + "B) 7.06%", + "C) 9.68%", + "D) 5.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $79,204M\nB) $59,778M\nC) $69,491M\nD) $66,253M", + "options": [ + "A) $79,204M", + "B) $59,778M", + "C) $69,491M", + "D) $66,253M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$69,491M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 222.49\nB) 192.34\nC) 198.37\nD) 204.40", + "options": [ + "A) 222.49", + "B) 192.34", + "C) 198.37", + "D) 204.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "204.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 1.93%\nD) 1.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.69%", + "B) 2.18%", + "C) 1.93%", + "D) 1.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $13,072B\nB) $12,319B\nC) $11,567B\nD) $11,818B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,072B", + "B) $12,319B", + "C) $11,567B", + "D) $11,818B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$12,319B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.42pp\nB) -0.39pp\nC) -1.20pp\nD) -3.63pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.42pp", + "B) -0.39pp", + "C) -1.20pp", + "D) -3.63pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 1.48%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.08%", + "B) 1.48%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 0.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 13.65%\nC) 32.51%\nD) 23.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.22%", + "B) 13.65%", + "C) 32.51%", + "D) 23.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.30\nB) 93.12\nC) 88.42\nD) 95.00", + "options": [ + "A) 90.30", + "B) 93.12", + "C) 88.42", + "D) 95.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "93.12", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 216.05\nB) 222.04\nC) 231.01\nD) 237.00", + "options": [ + "A) 216.05", + "B) 222.04", + "C) 231.01", + "D) 237.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "231.01", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 235.65\nB) 240.64\nC) 225.67\nD) 230.66", + "options": [ + "A) 235.65", + "B) 240.64", + "C) 225.67", + "D) 230.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "230.66", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.48%\nB) 74.43%\nC) 70.31%\nD) 72.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 76.48%", + "B) 74.43%", + "C) 70.31%", + "D) 72.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "76.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -18.96%\nB) 15.83%\nC) -7.36%\nD) 39.03%", + "options": [ + "A) -18.96%", + "B) 15.83%", + "C) -7.36%", + "D) 39.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +31.37pp\nB) +6.23pp\nC) +18.80pp\nD) +37.66pp", + "options": [ + "A) +31.37pp", + "B) +6.23pp", + "C) +18.80pp", + "D) +37.66pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+18.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,458B\nB) $10,995B\nC) $9,073B\nD) $10,226B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,458B", + "B) $10,995B", + "C) $9,073B", + "D) $10,226B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$10,226B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.29%\nB) 2.98%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 1.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.29%", + "B) 2.98%", + "C) 2.63%", + "D) 1.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 128,803K\nB) 133,748K\nC) 141,990K\nD) 137,045K", + "options": [ + "A) 128,803K", + "B) 133,748K", + "C) 141,990K", + "D) 137,045K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "133,748K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 192.21\nB) 210.20\nC) 204.20\nD) 222.19", + "options": [ + "A) 192.21", + "B) 210.20", + "C) 204.20", + "D) 222.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "204.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) $94.39/bbl\nB) $104.74/bbl\nC) $115.10/bbl\nD) $84.03/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $94.39/bbl", + "B) $104.74/bbl", + "C) $115.10/bbl", + "D) $84.03/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$84.03/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) $97.13/bbl\nB) $133.17/bbl\nC) $73.10/bbl\nD) $121.16/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $97.13/bbl", + "B) $133.17/bbl", + "C) $73.10/bbl", + "D) $121.16/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$97.13/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) +1.72pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) -0.98pp\nD) +1.18pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.72pp", + "B) +0.10pp", + "C) -0.98pp", + "D) +1.18pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $376,824M\nB) $408,110M\nC) $397,681M\nD) $418,538M", + "options": [ + "A) $376,824M", + "B) $408,110M", + "C) $397,681M", + "D) $418,538M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$397,681M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 127,208K\nB) 131,593K\nC) 137,441K\nD) 134,517K", + "options": [ + "A) 127,208K", + "B) 131,593K", + "C) 137,441K", + "D) 134,517K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "134,517K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 1.68%\nC) 2.53%\nD) 1.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.25%", + "B) 1.68%", + "C) 2.53%", + "D) 1.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 85.27\nB) 76.20\nC) 67.13\nD) 71.66", + "options": [ + "A) 85.27", + "B) 76.20", + "C) 67.13", + "D) 71.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "76.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 84.8676\nB) 91.0852\nC) 78.6500\nD) 72.4324", + "options": [ + "A) 84.8676", + "B) 91.0852", + "C) 78.6500", + "D) 72.4324" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "78.6500", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.68pp\nB) +9.38pp\nC) +6.57pp\nD) +0.94pp", + "options": [ + "A) -4.68pp", + "B) +9.38pp", + "C) +6.57pp", + "D) +0.94pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.94pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,323,000\nB) 2,775,151\nC) 4,418,698\nD) 2,227,302", + "options": [ + "A) 3,323,000", + "B) 2,775,151", + "C) 4,418,698", + "D) 2,227,302" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,323,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 10.40%\nB) -11.50%\nC) -55.30%\nD) -33.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.40%", + "B) -11.50%", + "C) -55.30%", + "D) -33.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-11.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.96%\nB) 7.80%\nC) 4.64%\nD) 1.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.96%", + "B) 7.80%", + "C) 4.64%", + "D) 1.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.42%\nB) 55.55%\nC) 60.47%\nD) 58.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.42%", + "B) 55.55%", + "C) 60.47%", + "D) 58.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "58.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) -0.77pp\nD) -0.27pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.60pp", + "B) -1.10pp", + "C) -0.77pp", + "D) -0.27pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.71\nB) 21.11\nC) 31.90\nD) 37.30", + "options": [ + "A) 15.71", + "B) 21.11", + "C) 31.90", + "D) 37.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "21.11", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 515,294\nB) 296,471\nC) 384,000\nD) 427,765", + "options": [ + "A) 515,294", + "B) 296,471", + "C) 384,000", + "D) 427,765" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "384,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.86\nB) 104.82\nC) 94.90\nD) 97.38", + "options": [ + "A) 99.86", + "B) 104.82", + "C) 94.90", + "D) 97.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "97.38", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $-49,749M\nB) $-33,225M\nC) $-55,257M\nD) $-44,241M", + "options": [ + "A) $-49,749M", + "B) $-33,225M", + "C) $-55,257M", + "D) $-44,241M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-49,749M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 81.34%\nB) 76.82%\nC) 74.56%\nD) 72.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 81.34%", + "B) 76.82%", + "C) 74.56%", + "D) 72.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "76.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.78%\nB) 61.69%\nC) 63.60%\nD) 65.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 66.78%", + "B) 61.69%", + "C) 63.60%", + "D) 65.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "63.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.35pp\nB) +0.96pp\nC) +1.66pp\nD) +1.31pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.35pp", + "B) +0.96pp", + "C) +1.66pp", + "D) +1.31pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+1.31pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.40%\nB) 2.18%\nC) -6.76%\nD) -3.19%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.40%", + "B) 2.18%", + "C) -6.76%", + "D) -3.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -3.44pp\nB) +8.70pp\nC) +20.84pp\nD) +2.63pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.44pp", + "B) +8.70pp", + "C) +20.84pp", + "D) +2.63pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+8.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,715B\nB) $10,699B\nC) $11,105B\nD) $10,090B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,715B", + "B) $10,699B", + "C) $11,105B", + "D) $10,090B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$11,105B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 15.58%\nB) 60.92%\nC) 49.58%\nD) 38.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.58%", + "B) 60.92%", + "C) 49.58%", + "D) 38.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "38.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 9.84%\nB) 12.28%\nC) 6.17%\nD) 7.39%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.84%", + "B) 12.28%", + "C) 6.17%", + "D) 7.39%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $18.91/hr\nB) $19.64/hr\nC) $18.18/hr\nD) $20.37/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $18.91/hr", + "B) $19.64/hr", + "C) $18.18/hr", + "D) $20.37/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$19.64/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,936M\nB) $-43,865M\nC) $-38,794M\nD) $-23,580M", + "options": [ + "A) $-48,936M", + "B) $-43,865M", + "C) $-38,794M", + "D) $-23,580M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-38,794M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 2.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.19%", + "B) 2.56%", + "C) 2.28%", + "D) 2.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.20%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 6.41%\nD) 9.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.20%", + "B) 4.83%", + "C) 6.41%", + "D) 9.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 97.80\nB) 93.52\nC) 91.38\nD) 89.24", + "options": [ + "A) 97.80", + "B) 93.52", + "C) 91.38", + "D) 89.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "93.52", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.97%\nB) 3.09%\nC) 1.68%\nD) 3.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.97%", + "B) 3.09%", + "C) 1.68%", + "D) 3.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 109.73\nB) 101.57\nC) 105.07\nD) 107.40", + "options": [ + "A) 109.73", + "B) 101.57", + "C) 105.07", + "D) 107.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "107.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.58pp\nC) -0.93pp\nD) -0.75pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.40pp", + "B) -0.58pp", + "C) -0.93pp", + "D) -0.75pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 4.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.13%", + "B) 3.71%", + "C) 2.46%", + "D) 4.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $178,115M\nB) $265,343M\nC) $221,729M\nD) $192,653M", + "options": [ + "A) $178,115M", + "B) $265,343M", + "C) $221,729M", + "D) $192,653M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$221,729M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.58pp\nB) +1.53pp\nC) -3.13pp\nD) -0.80pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.58pp", + "B) +1.53pp", + "C) -3.13pp", + "D) -0.80pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2633\nB) 1.1342\nC) 1.0481\nD) 1.3924", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2633", + "B) 1.1342", + "C) 1.0481", + "D) 1.3924" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2633", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 102.18\nB) 96.74\nC) 99.46\nD) 88.58", + "options": [ + "A) 102.18", + "B) 96.74", + "C) 99.46", + "D) 88.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "96.74", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.28%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 1.54%\nD) 2.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.28%", + "B) 0.70%", + "C) 1.54%", + "D) 2.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -3.15%\nB) 9.29%\nC) 12.40%\nD) 6.18%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.15%", + "B) 9.29%", + "C) 12.40%", + "D) 6.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.80%\nB) 65.71%\nC) 67.63%\nD) 61.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.80%", + "B) 65.71%", + "C) 67.63%", + "D) 61.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "63.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.38%\nB) 1.88%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 0.79%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.38%", + "B) 1.88%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) 0.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 132.41\nB) 162.26\nC) 144.35\nD) 156.29", + "options": [ + "A) 132.41", + "B) 162.26", + "C) 144.35", + "D) 156.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "144.35", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $411,000M\nB) $385,047M\nC) $376,396M\nD) $393,698M", + "options": [ + "A) $411,000M", + "B) $385,047M", + "C) $376,396M", + "D) $393,698M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$393,698M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $19.79/hr\nB) $19.14/hr\nC) $21.10/hr\nD) $20.44/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $19.79/hr", + "B) $19.14/hr", + "C) $21.10/hr", + "D) $20.44/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$19.79/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $2,595M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $2,595M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$2,595M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.62\nB) 98.17\nC) 94.89\nD) 100.35", + "options": [ + "A) 91.62", + "B) 98.17", + "C) 94.89", + "D) 100.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "94.89", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -7.35%\nB) 9.61%\nC) -0.56%\nD) 2.83%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.35%", + "B) 9.61%", + "C) -0.56%", + "D) 2.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $63,822M\nB) $70,549M\nC) $73,912M\nD) $60,459M", + "options": [ + "A) $63,822M", + "B) $70,549M", + "C) $73,912M", + "D) $60,459M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$63,822M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) -2.68%\nC) 11.40%\nD) -16.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.36%", + "B) -2.68%", + "C) 11.40%", + "D) -16.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-2.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 0.13%\nD) 2.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.09%", + "B) 3.01%", + "C) 0.13%", + "D) 2.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) $9,105B\nB) $8,837B\nC) $9,775B\nD) $9,373B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,105B", + "B) $8,837B", + "C) $9,775B", + "D) $9,373B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$9,373B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,872.80\nB) 2,465.41\nC) 3,076.49\nD) 2,669.11", + "options": [ + "A) 2,872.80", + "B) 2,465.41", + "C) 3,076.49", + "D) 2,669.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,872.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.67%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 12.37%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.67%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 4.35%", + "D) 12.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.61%\nB) 2.76%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 4.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.61%", + "B) 2.76%", + "C) 3.84%", + "D) 4.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) -61.37%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 44.49%\nD) -19.02%", + "options": [ + "A) -61.37%", + "B) 2.15%", + "C) 44.49%", + "D) -19.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-19.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 228.48\nB) 233.54\nC) 215.83\nD) 223.42", + "options": [ + "A) 228.48", + "B) 233.54", + "C) 215.83", + "D) 223.42" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "228.48", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.96%\nB) 30.31%\nC) 43.66%\nD) 57.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.96%", + "B) 30.31%", + "C) 43.66%", + "D) 57.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 2.70%\nD) 2.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.62%", + "B) 2.39%", + "C) 2.70%", + "D) 2.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 34.31%\nB) -3.54%\nC) 24.85%\nD) 5.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 34.31%", + "B) -3.54%", + "C) 24.85%", + "D) 5.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 10.37%\nC) 6.44%\nD) -5.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.51%", + "B) 10.37%", + "C) 6.44%", + "D) -5.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 11.16%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 9.07%\nD) -1.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.16%", + "B) 4.91%", + "C) 9.07%", + "D) -1.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 96.44\nB) 88.90\nC) 94.28\nD) 91.05", + "options": [ + "A) 96.44", + "B) 88.90", + "C) 94.28", + "D) 91.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "94.28", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 2.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.89%", + "B) 1.59%", + "C) 0.18%", + "D) 2.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 135.85\nB) 128.31\nC) 120.76\nD) 113.21", + "options": [ + "A) 135.85", + "B) 128.31", + "C) 120.76", + "D) 113.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "135.85", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $258,729M\nB) $216,864M\nC) $188,954M\nD) $174,999M", + "options": [ + "A) $258,729M", + "B) $216,864M", + "C) $188,954M", + "D) $174,999M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$216,864M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) -2.56%\nC) 11.19%\nD) -9.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.31%", + "B) -2.56%", + "C) 11.19%", + "D) -9.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 38.95%\nB) 92.99%\nC) 79.48%\nD) 52.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 38.95%", + "B) 92.99%", + "C) 79.48%", + "D) 52.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "52.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 695K\nB) 1,157K\nC) 233K\nD) 1,003K", + "options": [ + "A) 695K", + "B) 1,157K", + "C) 233K", + "D) 1,003K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "695K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.13%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 9.14%\nD) -4.55%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.13%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 9.14%", + "D) -4.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.37%\nB) 8.66%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 6.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.37%", + "B) 8.66%", + "C) 7.80%", + "D) 6.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.8617\nB) 6.8681\nC) 6.7004\nD) 6.3649", + "options": [ + "A) 5.8617", + "B) 6.8681", + "C) 6.7004", + "D) 6.3649" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.3649", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 847K\nB) 550K\nC) 946K\nD) 1,045K", + "options": [ + "A) 847K", + "B) 550K", + "C) 946K", + "D) 1,045K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "847K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 2.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.58%", + "B) 1.76%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 2.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.87%\nB) -0.59%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 4.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.87%", + "B) -0.59%", + "C) 1.64%", + "D) 4.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 18.82%\nB) -0.74%\nC) 3.17%\nD) 7.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 18.82%", + "B) -0.74%", + "C) 3.17%", + "D) 7.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 7.07%\nD) 8.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.90%", + "B) 3.81%", + "C) 7.07%", + "D) 8.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20120615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2012-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) -2.79%\nB) 9.49%\nC) 46.33%\nD) 21.77%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.79%", + "B) 9.49%", + "C) 46.33%", + "D) 21.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 0.29%\nC) 1.41%\nD) -0.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.53%", + "B) 0.29%", + "C) 1.41%", + "D) -0.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 2.82%\nD) 2.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.53%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 2.82%", + "D) 2.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 228.81\nB) 234.86\nC) 243.94\nD) 219.73", + "options": [ + "A) 228.81", + "B) 234.86", + "C) 243.94", + "D) 219.73" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "228.81", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,655M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $2,655M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$2,655M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.31%\nB) 52.17%\nC) -1.62%\nD) -19.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.31%", + "B) 52.17%", + "C) -1.62%", + "D) -19.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.30%\nB) 4.40%\nC) 3.49%\nD) 2.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.30%", + "B) 4.40%", + "C) 3.49%", + "D) 2.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 930K\nB) 831K\nC) 632K\nD) 731K", + "options": [ + "A) 930K", + "B) 831K", + "C) 632K", + "D) 731K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "930K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 112.09\nB) 108.20\nC) 101.72\nD) 104.31", + "options": [ + "A) 112.09", + "B) 108.20", + "C) 101.72", + "D) 104.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "108.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.30\nB) 98.07\nC) 92.52\nD) 89.75", + "options": [ + "A) 95.30", + "B) 98.07", + "C) 92.52", + "D) 89.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "92.52", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.67%\nB) 6.76%\nC) -0.78%\nD) 2.99%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.67%", + "B) 6.76%", + "C) -0.78%", + "D) 2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20120901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 1.04%\nC) 4.68%\nD) 2.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.95%", + "B) 1.04%", + "C) 4.68%", + "D) 2.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20120301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2012", + "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -25.22%\nB) 10.85%\nC) -7.18%\nD) 46.92%", + "options": [ + "A) -25.22%", + "B) 10.85%", + "C) -7.18%", + "D) 46.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.0592\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.3083", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1526", + "B) 1.0592", + "C) 1.2149", + "D) 1.3083" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.0592\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.3083", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1526", + "B) 1.0592", + "C) 1.2149", + "D) 1.3083" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.0592\nD) 1.2149", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1526", + "B) 1.3083", + "C) 1.0592", + "D) 1.2149" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.0592\nD) 1.2149", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1526", + "B) 1.3083", + "C) 1.0592", + "D) 1.2149" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.2149\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.1526\nD) 1.2772", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2149", + "B) 1.3706", + "C) 1.1526", + "D) 1.2772" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.2149\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.1526\nD) 1.2772", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2149", + "B) 1.3706", + "C) 1.1526", + "D) 1.2772" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.2149\nC) 1.0904\nD) 1.3083", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1526", + "B) 1.2149", + "C) 1.0904", + "D) 1.3083" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.2149\nC) 1.0904\nD) 1.3083", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1526", + "B) 1.2149", + "C) 1.0904", + "D) 1.3083" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.0592\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.1215", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0592", + "B) 1.3083", + "C) 1.2149", + "D) 1.1215" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.0592\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.1215", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0592", + "B) 1.3083", + "C) 1.2149", + "D) 1.1215" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1215\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.2772\nD) 1.2149", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1215", + "B) 1.3706", + "C) 1.2772", + "D) 1.2149" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1215\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.2772\nD) 1.2149", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1215", + "B) 1.3706", + "C) 1.2772", + "D) 1.2149" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.2149", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 9.26\nC) 28.66\nD) 25.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 18.96", + "B) 9.26", + "C) 28.66", + "D) 25.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 9.26\nC) 28.66\nD) 25.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 18.96", + "B) 9.26", + "C) 28.66", + "D) 25.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 12.49\nB) 18.96\nC) 9.26\nD) 22.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 12.49", + "B) 18.96", + "C) 9.26", + "D) 22.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 12.49\nB) 18.96\nC) 9.26\nD) 22.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 12.49", + "B) 18.96", + "C) 9.26", + "D) 22.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 25.43\nB) 9.26\nC) 18.96\nD) 22.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 25.43", + "B) 9.26", + "C) 18.96", + "D) 22.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 25.43\nB) 9.26\nC) 18.96\nD) 22.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 25.43", + "B) 9.26", + "C) 18.96", + "D) 22.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 9.26\nB) 12.49\nC) 25.43\nD) 18.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 9.26", + "B) 12.49", + "C) 25.43", + "D) 18.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 9.26\nB) 12.49\nC) 25.43\nD) 18.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 9.26", + "B) 12.49", + "C) 25.43", + "D) 18.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 15.73\nC) 28.66\nD) 12.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 18.96", + "B) 15.73", + "C) 28.66", + "D) 12.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 15.73\nC) 28.66\nD) 12.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 18.96", + "B) 15.73", + "C) 28.66", + "D) 12.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 13.02\nB) 22.72\nC) 16.25\nD) 25.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 13.02", + "B) 22.72", + "C) 16.25", + "D) 25.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.72", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 13.02\nB) 22.72\nC) 16.25\nD) 25.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 13.02", + "B) 22.72", + "C) 16.25", + "D) 25.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.72", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 2.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 0.88%", + "B) 2.45%", + "C) 1.51%", + "D) 2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 2.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 0.88%", + "B) 2.45%", + "C) 1.51%", + "D) 2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.20%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 1.82%", + "D) 1.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.20%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 1.82%", + "D) 1.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 0.88%\nD) 1.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.51%", + "B) 2.14%", + "C) 0.88%", + "D) 1.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 0.88%\nD) 1.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.51%", + "B) 2.14%", + "C) 0.88%", + "D) 1.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.51%\nC) 2.14%\nD) 1.82%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.20%", + "B) 1.51%", + "C) 2.14%", + "D) 1.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.51%\nC) 2.14%\nD) 1.82%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 1.20%", + "B) 1.51%", + "C) 2.14%", + "D) 1.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 1.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 0.57%", + "B) 0.88%", + "C) 1.51%", + "D) 1.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 1.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 0.57%", + "B) 0.88%", + "C) 1.51%", + "D) 1.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 1.82%\nC) 2.45%\nD) 1.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 0.88%", + "B) 1.82%", + "C) 2.45%", + "D) 1.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 1.82%\nC) 2.45%\nD) 1.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", + "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", + "options": [ + "A) 0.88%", + "B) 1.82%", + "C) 2.45%", + "D) 1.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", + "event_date": "2012-07-26", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", + "year": 2012 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.88%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 0.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.88%", + "B) 1.06%", + "C) 3.12%", + "D) 0.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $2,935M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $2,935M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$2,935M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $204,111M\nB) $244,218M\nC) $217,480M\nD) $190,742M", + "options": [ + "A) $204,111M", + "B) $244,218M", + "C) $217,480M", + "D) $190,742M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$217,480M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,092K\nB) 780K\nC) 858K\nD) 936K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,092K", + "B) 780K", + "C) 858K", + "D) 936K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "936K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,996,000\nB) 3,985,263\nC) 3,490,631\nD) 4,479,894", + "options": [ + "A) 2,996,000", + "B) 3,985,263", + "C) 3,490,631", + "D) 4,479,894" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,996,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 10.61%\nC) 16.87%\nD) 20.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.35%", + "B) 10.61%", + "C) 16.87%", + "D) 20.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.74\nB) 101.97\nC) 108.90\nD) 113.06", + "options": [ + "A) 104.74", + "B) 101.97", + "C) 108.90", + "D) 113.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "108.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) +8.87pp\nB) -2.43pp\nC) -8.08pp\nD) +0.39pp", + "options": [ + "A) +8.87pp", + "B) -2.43pp", + "C) -8.08pp", + "D) +0.39pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.39pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) -5.90pp\nC) +9.40pp\nD) +4.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.80pp", + "B) -5.90pp", + "C) +9.40pp", + "D) +4.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.60pp\nB) +1.85pp\nC) +1.10pp\nD) +1.60pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.60pp", + "B) +1.85pp", + "C) +1.10pp", + "D) +1.60pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+1.85pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $438,003M\nB) $396,065M\nC) $410,044M\nD) $451,982M", + "options": [ + "A) $438,003M", + "B) $396,065M", + "C) $410,044M", + "D) $451,982M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$410,044M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 393,816\nB) 434,632\nC) 312,184\nD) 353,000", + "options": [ + "A) 393,816", + "B) 434,632", + "C) 312,184", + "D) 353,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "353,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 147.95\nB) 134.35\nC) 143.42\nD) 157.02", + "options": [ + "A) 147.95", + "B) 134.35", + "C) 143.42", + "D) 157.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "147.95", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -13.16%\nB) 16.13%\nC) 30.78%\nD) 60.07%", + "options": [ + "A) -13.16%", + "B) 16.13%", + "C) 30.78%", + "D) 60.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $3,487M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $3,487M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$3,487M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 242.71\nB) 221.35\nC) 229.36\nD) 234.70", + "options": [ + "A) 242.71", + "B) 221.35", + "C) 229.36", + "D) 234.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "234.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $65,898M\nB) $76,016M\nC) $55,780M\nD) $69,271M", + "options": [ + "A) $65,898M", + "B) $76,016M", + "C) $55,780M", + "D) $69,271M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$65,898M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.80\nB) 77.50\nC) 81.20\nD) 66.39", + "options": [ + "A) 73.80", + "B) 77.50", + "C) 81.20", + "D) 66.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "77.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.04%\nB) 2.46%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 1.28%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.04%", + "B) 2.46%", + "C) 1.75%", + "D) 1.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.87%\nB) -0.83%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 1.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.87%", + "B) -0.83%", + "C) 2.59%", + "D) 1.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 0.95%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 2.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.53%", + "B) 0.95%", + "C) 1.34%", + "D) 2.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,726B\nB) $10,862B\nC) $9,998B\nD) $11,294B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,726B", + "B) $10,862B", + "C) $9,998B", + "D) $11,294B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$10,862B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.87%\nB) 69.21%\nC) 34.38%\nD) 86.62%", + "options": [ + "A) -17.87%", + "B) 69.21%", + "C) 34.38%", + "D) 86.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "34.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 104.45\nB) 93.73\nC) 95.87\nD) 100.16", + "options": [ + "A) 104.45", + "B) 93.73", + "C) 95.87", + "D) 100.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "100.16", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.12pp\nC) -0.26pp\nD) -0.82pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.40pp", + "B) -0.12pp", + "C) -0.26pp", + "D) -0.82pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.77%\nB) -0.24%\nC) 10.28%\nD) 3.26%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.77%", + "B) -0.24%", + "C) 10.28%", + "D) 3.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 129,980K\nB) 134,085K\nC) 136,821K\nD) 140,926K", + "options": [ + "A) 129,980K", + "B) 134,085K", + "C) 136,821K", + "D) 140,926K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "136,821K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.04%\nB) 65.10%\nC) 61.94%\nD) 63.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.04%", + "B) 65.10%", + "C) 61.94%", + "D) 63.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "63.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 1.03%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 1.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.48%", + "B) 1.03%", + "C) 1.70%", + "D) 1.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 15.94%\nB) -5.17%\nC) -12.21%\nD) -26.28%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.94%", + "B) -5.17%", + "C) -12.21%", + "D) -26.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-5.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.36\nB) 115.18\nC) 109.30\nD) 112.24", + "options": [ + "A) 106.36", + "B) 115.18", + "C) 109.30", + "D) 112.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "109.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.86%\nB) -9.47%\nC) 5.20%\nD) -2.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.86%", + "B) -9.47%", + "C) 5.20%", + "D) -2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.21%\nB) 73.49%\nC) 79.07%\nD) 75.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 77.21%", + "B) 73.49%", + "C) 79.07%", + "D) 75.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "77.21%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,803B\nB) $10,584B\nC) $9,771B\nD) $9,364B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,803B", + "B) $10,584B", + "C) $9,771B", + "D) $9,364B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$10,584B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -28.30%\nB) 29.00%\nC) 0.35%\nD) -42.62%", + "options": [ + "A) -28.30%", + "B) 29.00%", + "C) 0.35%", + "D) -42.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 988K\nB) 642K\nC) 919K\nD) 850K", + "options": [ + "A) 988K", + "B) 642K", + "C) 919K", + "D) 850K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "850K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 95.49\nB) 89.76\nC) 93.20\nD) 98.92", + "options": [ + "A) 95.49", + "B) 89.76", + "C) 93.20", + "D) 98.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "95.49", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,088K\nB) 1,010K\nC) 1,166K\nD) 854K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,088K", + "B) 1,010K", + "C) 1,166K", + "D) 854K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,010K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 3.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.97%", + "B) 0.82%", + "C) 1.40%", + "D) 3.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.02%\nB) 1.72%\nC) 2.89%\nD) 1.14%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.02%", + "B) 1.72%", + "C) 2.89%", + "D) 1.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) $105.10/bbl\nB) $129.45/bbl\nC) $92.92/bbl\nD) $68.57/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $105.10/bbl", + "B) $129.45/bbl", + "C) $92.92/bbl", + "D) $68.57/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$105.10/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $20.78/hr\nB) $20.23/hr\nC) $19.40/hr\nD) $18.84/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $20.78/hr", + "B) $20.23/hr", + "C) $19.40/hr", + "D) $18.84/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$20.23/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 0.29%\nD) 0.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.86%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 0.29%", + "D) 0.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 75.18%\nB) 55.69%\nC) -41.78%\nD) 16.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 75.18%", + "B) 55.69%", + "C) -41.78%", + "D) 16.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "16.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.42%\nB) 44.77%\nC) 56.95%\nD) -3.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.42%", + "B) 44.77%", + "C) 56.95%", + "D) -3.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.43%\nB) 1.04%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 0.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.43%", + "B) 1.04%", + "C) 1.82%", + "D) 0.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 139,760K\nB) 131,618K\nC) 135,689K\nD) 145,187K", + "options": [ + "A) 139,760K", + "B) 131,618K", + "C) 135,689K", + "D) 145,187K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "135,689K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -4.07%\nB) -8.05%\nC) -12.03%\nD) -0.10%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.07%", + "B) -8.05%", + "C) -12.03%", + "D) -0.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.50%\nB) 82.56%\nC) 79.19%\nD) 74.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 77.50%", + "B) 82.56%", + "C) 79.19%", + "D) 74.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "77.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.17pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.83pp\nD) +0.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.17pp", + "B) -0.50pp", + "C) -0.83pp", + "D) +0.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.46%\nB) 56.94%\nC) 58.70%\nD) 62.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.46%", + "B) 56.94%", + "C) 58.70%", + "D) 62.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "58.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,079K\nB) 1,228K\nC) 929K\nD) 1,004K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,079K", + "B) 1,228K", + "C) 929K", + "D) 1,004K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,004K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.41%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 6.09%\nD) 8.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.41%", + "B) 4.78%", + "C) 6.09%", + "D) 8.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $-24,883M\nB) $-34,314M\nC) $-43,745M\nD) $-39,030M", + "options": [ + "A) $-24,883M", + "B) $-34,314M", + "C) $-43,745M", + "D) $-39,030M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-34,314M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $20.91/hr\nB) $19.11/hr\nC) $20.01/hr\nD) $18.51/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $20.91/hr", + "B) $19.11/hr", + "C) $20.01/hr", + "D) $18.51/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$20.01/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) $9,448B\nB) $10,179B\nC) $9,010B\nD) $9,741B", + "options": [ + "A) $9,448B", + "B) $10,179B", + "C) $9,010B", + "D) $9,741B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$9,741B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) -0.37%\nC) 0.36%\nD) 1.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.09%", + "B) -0.37%", + "C) 0.36%", + "D) 1.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,573B\nB) $12,272B\nC) $11,671B\nD) $13,173B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,573B", + "B) $12,272B", + "C) $11,671B", + "D) $13,173B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$12,272B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.77\nB) 93.45\nC) 95.98\nD) 89.66", + "options": [ + "A) 99.77", + "B) 93.45", + "C) 95.98", + "D) 89.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "95.98", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $210,369M\nB) $251,055M\nC) $223,931M\nD) $237,493M", + "options": [ + "A) $210,369M", + "B) $251,055M", + "C) $223,931M", + "D) $237,493M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$237,493M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.02pp\nB) -7.44pp\nC) +3.84pp\nD) -1.80pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.02pp", + "B) -7.44pp", + "C) +3.84pp", + "D) -1.80pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+1.02pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 1.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.63%", + "B) 1.89%", + "C) 2.41%", + "D) 1.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) +22.08pp\nB) +8.96pp\nC) +2.40pp\nD) -17.28pp", + "options": [ + "A) +22.08pp", + "B) +8.96pp", + "C) +2.40pp", + "D) -17.28pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+2.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 85.5872\nB) 107.4692\nC) 89.9636\nD) 94.3400", + "options": [ + "A) 85.5872", + "B) 107.4692", + "C) 89.9636", + "D) 94.3400" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "94.3400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 204.00\nB) 197.92\nC) 210.08\nD) 222.23", + "options": [ + "A) 204.00", + "B) 197.92", + "C) 210.08", + "D) 222.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "204.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.02%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 0.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.60%", + "B) 1.02%", + "C) 2.19%", + "D) 0.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.54pp\nB) +0.14pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) +0.98pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.54pp", + "B) +0.14pp", + "C) -0.70pp", + "D) +0.98pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.25%\nB) 6.29%\nC) -0.07%\nD) 3.11%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.25%", + "B) 6.29%", + "C) -0.07%", + "D) 3.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,446B\nB) $11,184B\nC) $12,231B\nD) $11,969B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,446B", + "B) $11,184B", + "C) $12,231B", + "D) $11,969B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$11,446B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.59pp\nB) +0.00pp\nC) +1.77pp\nD) -1.77pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.59pp", + "B) +0.00pp", + "C) +1.77pp", + "D) -1.77pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 184.92\nB) 210.23\nC) 203.90\nD) 197.57", + "options": [ + "A) 184.92", + "B) 210.23", + "C) 203.90", + "D) 197.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "203.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.7598\nB) 6.0070\nC) 6.5014\nD) 6.1306", + "options": [ + "A) 5.7598", + "B) 6.0070", + "C) 6.5014", + "D) 6.1306" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.1306", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $66,459M\nB) $56,369M\nC) $69,822M\nD) $63,096M", + "options": [ + "A) $66,459M", + "B) $56,369M", + "C) $69,822M", + "D) $63,096M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$66,459M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.15%\nB) 5.30%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 5.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.15%", + "B) 5.30%", + "C) 3.57%", + "D) 5.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.73%\nB) -3.73%\nC) -0.38%\nD) 1.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.73%", + "B) -3.73%", + "C) -0.38%", + "D) 1.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.53%\nB) 16.97%\nC) 26.42%\nD) -1.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.53%", + "B) 16.97%", + "C) 26.42%", + "D) -1.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.3330\nB) 1.5321\nC) 1.2135\nD) 1.4127", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3330", + "B) 1.5321", + "C) 1.2135", + "D) 1.4127" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.3330", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 243.92\nB) 233.54\nC) 216.25\nD) 226.63", + "options": [ + "A) 243.92", + "B) 233.54", + "C) 216.25", + "D) 226.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "233.54", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.67%\nB) 88.35%\nC) 45.32%\nD) 74.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.67%", + "B) 88.35%", + "C) 45.32%", + "D) 74.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 66.47%\nB) 61.40%\nC) 64.57%\nD) 63.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 66.47%", + "B) 61.40%", + "C) 64.57%", + "D) 63.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "63.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 0.77%\nD) 7.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.92%", + "B) 2.35%", + "C) 0.77%", + "D) 7.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.99%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 9.70%\nD) -0.57%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.99%", + "B) 2.85%", + "C) 9.70%", + "D) -0.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 12.66%\nC) 3.18%\nD) -3.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.34%", + "B) 12.66%", + "C) 3.18%", + "D) -3.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) $126.67/bbl\nB) $107.44/bbl\nC) $78.60/bbl\nD) $97.83/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $126.67/bbl", + "B) $107.44/bbl", + "C) $78.60/bbl", + "D) $97.83/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$97.83/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) -1.71pp\nC) +0.57pp\nD) +1.14pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.00pp", + "B) -1.71pp", + "C) +0.57pp", + "D) +1.14pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 89.35\nB) 94.54\nC) 97.66\nD) 92.47", + "options": [ + "A) 89.35", + "B) 94.54", + "C) 97.66", + "D) 92.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "94.54", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 240.42\nB) 245.51\nC) 232.79\nD) 225.17", + "options": [ + "A) 240.42", + "B) 245.51", + "C) 232.79", + "D) 225.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "232.79", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 3,678.08\nB) 3,932.61\nC) 2,914.51\nD) 3,423.56", + "options": [ + "A) 3,678.08", + "B) 3,932.61", + "C) 2,914.51", + "D) 3,423.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,423.56", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 3.59%\nC) 10.16%\nD) 7.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.22%", + "B) 3.59%", + "C) 10.16%", + "D) 7.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 6.65%\nD) 5.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.87%", + "B) 3.07%", + "C) 6.65%", + "D) 5.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.17\nB) 85.46\nC) 78.60\nD) 82.03", + "options": [ + "A) 75.17", + "B) 85.46", + "C) 78.60", + "D) 82.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "78.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 50.77%\nB) -20.58%\nC) -6.31%\nD) 7.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 50.77%", + "B) -20.58%", + "C) -6.31%", + "D) 7.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) +0.27pp\nC) +2.00pp\nD) +1.13pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.60pp", + "B) +0.27pp", + "C) +2.00pp", + "D) +1.13pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 0.94%\nC) -0.19%\nD) -2.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.08%", + "B) 0.94%", + "C) -0.19%", + "D) -2.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 0.44%\nC) 0.05%\nD) 0.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.64%", + "B) 0.44%", + "C) 0.05%", + "D) 0.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 5.21%\nD) 3.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.39%", + "B) 2.75%", + "C) 5.21%", + "D) 3.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $406,223M\nB) $441,778M\nC) $382,520M\nD) $429,926M", + "options": [ + "A) $406,223M", + "B) $441,778M", + "C) $382,520M", + "D) $429,926M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$406,223M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 25.27%\nB) 4.13%\nC) 11.18%\nD) 18.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 25.27%", + "B) 4.13%", + "C) 11.18%", + "D) 18.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,970B\nB) $10,837B\nC) $11,290B\nD) $11,743B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,970B", + "B) $10,837B", + "C) $11,290B", + "D) $11,743B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$11,290B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.24%\nB) 7.68%\nC) 8.16%\nD) 7.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.24%", + "B) 7.68%", + "C) 8.16%", + "D) 7.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.96%\nB) -10.80%\nC) 48.48%\nD) 68.24%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.96%", + "B) -10.80%", + "C) 48.48%", + "D) 68.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "8.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 150.16\nB) 159.66\nC) 175.50\nD) 169.17", + "options": [ + "A) 150.16", + "B) 159.66", + "C) 175.50", + "D) 169.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "159.66", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 55.61%\nB) 60.66%\nC) 58.50%\nD) 57.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 55.61%", + "B) 60.66%", + "C) 58.50%", + "D) 57.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "58.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 1.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.65%", + "B) 2.39%", + "C) 4.13%", + "D) 1.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 5.94%\nC) -7.70%\nD) -4.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.53%", + "B) 5.94%", + "C) -7.70%", + "D) -4.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.70%\nB) 8.90%\nC) 11.30%\nD) 6.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.70%", + "B) 8.90%", + "C) 11.30%", + "D) 6.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $-36,541M\nB) $-29,789M\nC) $-39,917M\nD) $-46,669M", + "options": [ + "A) $-36,541M", + "B) $-29,789M", + "C) $-39,917M", + "D) $-46,669M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-39,917M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 34.38\nB) 5.66\nC) 22.89\nD) 17.15", + "options": [ + "A) 34.38", + "B) 5.66", + "C) 22.89", + "D) 17.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17.15", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.50%\nB) 6.80%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 5.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.50%", + "B) 6.80%", + "C) 8.20%", + "D) 5.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.18%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.57%\nD) 2.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.18%", + "B) 2.22%", + "C) 2.57%", + "D) 2.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.97%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 4.80%\nD) 6.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.97%", + "B) 4.08%", + "C) 4.80%", + "D) 6.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 0.20%\nC) 0.45%\nD) 0.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.32%", + "B) 0.20%", + "C) 0.45%", + "D) 0.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.69%\nB) -1.03%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 6.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.69%", + "B) -1.03%", + "C) 1.45%", + "D) 6.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 92.45\nB) 99.19\nC) 105.94\nD) 103.69", + "options": [ + "A) 92.45", + "B) 99.19", + "C) 105.94", + "D) 103.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "99.19", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 3.96%\nC) 3.28%\nD) 2.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.30%", + "B) 3.96%", + "C) 3.28%", + "D) 2.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.81\nB) 98.76\nC) 91.94\nD) 93.89", + "options": [ + "A) 96.81", + "B) 98.76", + "C) 91.94", + "D) 93.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "93.89", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,503B\nB) $12,809B\nC) $11,585B\nD) $13,421B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,503B", + "B) $12,809B", + "C) $11,585B", + "D) $13,421B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$12,503B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 3.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.53%", + "B) 2.14%", + "C) 1.75%", + "D) 3.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 238.53\nB) 222.90\nC) 232.28\nD) 247.91", + "options": [ + "A) 238.53", + "B) 222.90", + "C) 232.28", + "D) 247.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "232.28", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.29%\nB) -0.74%\nC) 0.61%\nD) 1.28%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.29%", + "B) -0.74%", + "C) 0.61%", + "D) 1.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.51%\nB) -18.92%\nC) 37.94%\nD) -9.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.51%", + "B) -18.92%", + "C) 37.94%", + "D) -9.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -25.38%\nB) 10.54%\nC) 28.50%\nD) 64.41%", + "options": [ + "A) -25.38%", + "B) 10.54%", + "C) 28.50%", + "D) 64.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20130301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.50%\nB) 1.22%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 0.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.50%", + "B) 1.22%", + "C) 0.14%", + "D) 0.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20130901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2013", + "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 4.09%\nC) -0.66%\nD) 1.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.52%", + "B) 4.09%", + "C) -0.66%", + "D) 1.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20130615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2013-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 92.19\nB) 90.18\nC) 98.20\nD) 96.20", + "options": [ + "A) 92.19", + "B) 90.18", + "C) 98.20", + "D) 96.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "92.19", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 2.74%\nD) 2.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 1.76%", + "B) 2.15%", + "C) 2.74%", + "D) 2.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 2.74%\nD) 2.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 1.76%", + "B) 2.15%", + "C) 2.74%", + "D) 2.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 2.36%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.75%", + "B) 1.96%", + "C) 2.16%", + "D) 2.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 2.36%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.75%", + "B) 1.96%", + "C) 2.16%", + "D) 2.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 2.41%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.61%", + "B) 2.21%", + "C) 1.82%", + "D) 2.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.41%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 2.41%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.61%", + "B) 2.21%", + "C) 1.82%", + "D) 2.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.41%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 2.53%\nD) 3.32%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.73%", + "B) 2.93%", + "C) 2.53%", + "D) 3.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.73%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 2.53%\nD) 3.32%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.73%", + "B) 2.93%", + "C) 2.53%", + "D) 3.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.73%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 2.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3.43%", + "B) 2.84%", + "C) 2.64%", + "D) 2.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.84%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 2.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3.43%", + "B) 2.84%", + "C) 2.64%", + "D) 2.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.84%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 3.57%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.59%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.78%", + "B) 3.57%", + "C) 2.98%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.98%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 3.57%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.59%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2.78%", + "B) 3.57%", + "C) 2.98%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.98%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.43%\nB) 0.22%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 0.31%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.43%", + "B) 0.22%", + "C) 0.37%", + "D) 0.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.31%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.43%\nB) 0.22%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 0.31%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.43%", + "B) 0.22%", + "C) 0.37%", + "D) 0.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.31%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.32%", + "B) 0.47%", + "C) 0.38%", + "D) 0.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.32%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.32%", + "B) 0.47%", + "C) 0.38%", + "D) 0.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.32%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.40%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.25%\nD) 0.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.40%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 0.25%", + "D) 0.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.40%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.25%\nD) 0.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.40%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 0.25%", + "D) 0.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.37%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.37%", + "B) 0.58%", + "C) 0.43%", + "D) 0.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.43%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.37%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.37%", + "B) 0.58%", + "C) 0.43%", + "D) 0.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.43%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 0.43%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.52%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 0.58%", + "D) 0.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.43%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 0.43%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.52%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 0.58%", + "D) 0.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.43%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.64%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.52%", + "B) 0.58%", + "C) 0.43%", + "D) 0.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.64%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.52%", + "B) 0.58%", + "C) 0.43%", + "D) 0.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 3.45%\nD) 3.63%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 3.99%", + "B) 3.81%", + "C) 3.45%", + "D) 3.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.81%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 3.45%\nD) 3.63%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 3.99%", + "B) 3.81%", + "C) 3.45%", + "D) 3.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.81%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 4.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 3.37%", + "B) 4.27%", + "C) 3.91%", + "D) 4.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.91%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 4.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 3.37%", + "B) 4.27%", + "C) 3.91%", + "D) 4.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.91%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 4.34%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 3.98%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 3.62%", + "B) 4.34%", + "C) 3.80%", + "D) 3.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.98%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 4.34%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 3.98%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 3.62%", + "B) 4.34%", + "C) 3.80%", + "D) 3.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.98%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 4.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 4.51%", + "B) 4.15%", + "C) 4.33%", + "D) 4.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 4.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 4.51%", + "B) 4.15%", + "C) 4.33%", + "D) 4.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.51%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.76%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 5.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 4.76%", + "B) 4.58%", + "C) 4.40%", + "D) 5.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.76%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 5.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 4.76%", + "B) 4.58%", + "C) 4.40%", + "D) 5.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 4.04%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.22%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 4.40%", + "B) 4.04%", + "C) 4.58%", + "D) 4.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 4.04%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.22%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", + "options": [ + "A) 4.40%", + "B) 4.04%", + "C) 4.58%", + "D) 4.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 11.16\nB) 25.85\nC) 7.48\nD) 14.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 11.16", + "B) 25.85", + "C) 7.48", + "D) 14.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 11.16\nB) 25.85\nC) 7.48\nD) 14.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 11.16", + "B) 25.85", + "C) 7.48", + "D) 14.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 17.50\nB) 28.52\nC) 10.15\nD) 6.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 17.50", + "B) 28.52", + "C) 10.15", + "D) 6.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.50", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 17.50\nB) 28.52\nC) 10.15\nD) 6.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 17.50", + "B) 28.52", + "C) 10.15", + "D) 6.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.50", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 24.16\nB) 20.49\nC) 27.84\nD) 13.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.16", + "B) 20.49", + "C) 27.84", + "D) 13.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 24.16\nB) 20.49\nC) 27.84\nD) 13.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.16", + "B) 20.49", + "C) 27.84", + "D) 13.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 13.14\nB) 31.51\nC) 20.49\nD) 27.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 13.14", + "B) 31.51", + "C) 20.49", + "D) 27.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 13.14\nB) 31.51\nC) 20.49\nD) 27.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 13.14", + "B) 31.51", + "C) 20.49", + "D) 27.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 27.84\nB) 31.51\nC) 24.16\nD) 20.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 27.84", + "B) 31.51", + "C) 24.16", + "D) 20.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 27.84\nB) 31.51\nC) 24.16\nD) 20.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 27.84", + "B) 31.51", + "C) 24.16", + "D) 20.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 20.49\nB) 27.84\nC) 13.14\nD) 16.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 20.49", + "B) 27.84", + "C) 13.14", + "D) 16.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 20.49\nB) 27.84\nC) 13.14\nD) 16.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", + "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", + "options": [ + "A) 20.49", + "B) 27.84", + "C) 13.14", + "D) 16.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", + "event_date": "2013-05-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max", + "year": 2013 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 83.59%\nB) 78.46%\nC) 81.88%\nD) 75.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 83.59%", + "B) 78.46%", + "C) 81.88%", + "D) 75.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "78.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.4545\nB) 1.2289\nC) 1.3578\nD) 1.2933", + "options": [ + "A) 1.4545", + "B) 1.2289", + "C) 1.3578", + "D) 1.2933" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.3578", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.60\nB) 95.00\nC) 97.30\nD) 101.89", + "options": [ + "A) 99.60", + "B) 95.00", + "C) 97.30", + "D) 101.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.89", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 1.13%\nD) 3.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.00%", + "B) 4.62%", + "C) 1.13%", + "D) 3.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.47%\nB) 2.72%\nC) -0.37%\nD) 5.82%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.47%", + "B) 2.72%", + "C) -0.37%", + "D) 5.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.53pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.27pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.53pp", + "B) -0.02pp", + "C) -0.40pp", + "D) -0.27pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 2.76%\nC) -0.02%\nD) 1.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 2.76%", + "C) -0.02%", + "D) 1.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) $10,176B\nB) $9,570B\nC) $10,782B\nD) $9,167B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,176B", + "B) $9,570B", + "C) $10,782B", + "D) $9,167B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$10,176B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.33pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.59pp\nD) -0.07pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.33pp", + "B) -0.20pp", + "C) -0.59pp", + "D) -0.07pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.17%\nB) -1.78%\nC) 3.69%\nD) -4.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.17%", + "B) -1.78%", + "C) 3.69%", + "D) -4.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) $96.44/bbl\nB) $138.90/bbl\nC) $130.40/bbl\nD) $113.42/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $96.44/bbl", + "B) $138.90/bbl", + "C) $130.40/bbl", + "D) $113.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$113.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $421,230M\nB) $435,655M\nC) $377,955M\nD) $450,080M", + "options": [ + "A) $421,230M", + "B) $435,655M", + "C) $377,955M", + "D) $450,080M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$421,230M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.59%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 7.56%\nD) 8.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.59%", + "B) 4.91%", + "C) 7.56%", + "D) 8.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,065,687\nB) 1,653,627\nC) 2,595,000\nD) 4,007,060", + "options": [ + "A) 3,065,687", + "B) 1,653,627", + "C) 2,595,000", + "D) 4,007,060" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,595,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.00%", + "B) 1.63%", + "C) 1.81%", + "D) 1.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) -1.39%\nC) 3.67%\nD) 6.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.14%", + "B) -1.39%", + "C) 3.67%", + "D) 6.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.73%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 6.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.73%", + "B) 5.90%", + "C) 4.15%", + "D) 6.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.88pp\nB) +6.38pp\nC) +1.25pp\nD) -6.45pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.88pp", + "B) +6.38pp", + "C) +1.25pp", + "D) -6.45pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.25pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 3.66%\nC) 8.44%\nD) 6.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.46%", + "B) 3.66%", + "C) 8.44%", + "D) 6.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.00%\nB) 38.58%\nC) 50.87%\nD) -22.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.00%", + "B) 38.58%", + "C) 50.87%", + "D) -22.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 3.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.92%", + "B) 4.20%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 3.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 0.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.81%", + "B) 6.77%", + "C) 4.29%", + "D) 0.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 2.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.32%", + "B) 1.53%", + "C) 2.52%", + "D) 2.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 0.16%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 0.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.08%", + "B) 0.16%", + "C) 0.03%", + "D) 0.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.77%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 7.21%\nD) 1.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.77%", + "B) 2.90%", + "C) 7.21%", + "D) 1.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 5.35%\nC) 4.77%\nD) 6.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.18%", + "B) 5.35%", + "C) 4.77%", + "D) 6.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 131,086K\nB) 142,125K\nC) 135,225K\nD) 137,985K", + "options": [ + "A) 131,086K", + "B) 142,125K", + "C) 135,225K", + "D) 137,985K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "137,985K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.90%\nB) 52.21%\nC) -4.20%\nD) 24.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.90%", + "B) 52.21%", + "C) -4.20%", + "D) 24.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $-34,146M\nB) $-42,940M\nC) $-45,871M\nD) $-37,078M", + "options": [ + "A) $-34,146M", + "B) $-42,940M", + "C) $-45,871M", + "D) $-37,078M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-42,940M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $20.11/hr\nB) $19.56/hr\nC) $20.66/hr\nD) $21.21/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $20.11/hr", + "B) $19.56/hr", + "C) $20.66/hr", + "D) $21.21/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$20.66/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 107.65\nB) 103.06\nC) 113.75\nD) 110.70", + "options": [ + "A) 107.65", + "B) 103.06", + "C) 113.75", + "D) 110.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "110.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.70%\nB) 5.76%\nC) 7.64%\nD) 7.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.70%", + "B) 5.76%", + "C) 7.64%", + "D) 7.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -9.09%\nB) 8.28%\nC) -17.77%\nD) 25.65%", + "options": [ + "A) -9.09%", + "B) 8.28%", + "C) -17.77%", + "D) 25.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.19%\nB) -11.81%\nC) -0.58%\nD) 5.03%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.19%", + "B) -11.81%", + "C) -0.58%", + "D) 5.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 231.06\nB) 242.19\nC) 247.75\nD) 236.62", + "options": [ + "A) 231.06", + "B) 242.19", + "C) 247.75", + "D) 236.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "236.62", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 59.10%\nB) 57.33%\nC) 60.87%\nD) 54.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.10%", + "B) 57.33%", + "C) 60.87%", + "D) 54.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "59.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 146,913K\nB) 139,563K\nC) 142,503K\nD) 135,153K", + "options": [ + "A) 146,913K", + "B) 139,563K", + "C) 142,503K", + "D) 135,153K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "139,563K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.25%\nB) 15.56%\nC) 8.94%\nD) -0.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.25%", + "B) 15.56%", + "C) 8.94%", + "D) -0.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 280,466\nB) 246,932\nC) 347,534\nD) 314,000", + "options": [ + "A) 280,466", + "B) 246,932", + "C) 347,534", + "D) 314,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "314,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $3,886M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $3,886M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$3,886M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $223,626M\nB) $236,112M\nC) $198,653M\nD) $248,598M", + "options": [ + "A) $223,626M", + "B) $236,112M", + "C) $198,653M", + "D) $248,598M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$236,112M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -15.99%\nB) 17.04%\nC) 3.82%\nD) 23.64%", + "options": [ + "A) -15.99%", + "B) 17.04%", + "C) 3.82%", + "D) 23.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.91\nB) 96.25\nC) 90.29\nD) 93.86", + "options": [ + "A) 87.91", + "B) 96.25", + "C) 90.29", + "D) 93.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "93.86", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 32.40%\nB) 79.95%\nC) 48.25%\nD) 16.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 32.40%", + "B) 79.95%", + "C) 48.25%", + "D) 16.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "32.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.68%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 61.54%\nD) 65.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.68%", + "B) 62.80%", + "C) 61.54%", + "D) 65.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "62.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 1.55%\nD) 1.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.42%", + "B) 1.95%", + "C) 1.55%", + "D) 1.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 92.04\nB) 89.90\nC) 98.46\nD) 95.25", + "options": [ + "A) 92.04", + "B) 89.90", + "C) 98.46", + "D) 95.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "95.25", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,137B\nB) $12,536B\nC) $14,038B\nD) $12,236B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,137B", + "B) $12,536B", + "C) $14,038B", + "D) $12,236B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$13,137B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 69.77\nB) 80.00\nC) 76.59\nD) 90.23", + "options": [ + "A) 69.77", + "B) 80.00", + "C) 76.59", + "D) 90.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $19.14/hr\nB) $21.32/hr\nC) $20.50/hr\nD) $19.96/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $19.14/hr", + "B) $21.32/hr", + "C) $20.50/hr", + "D) $19.96/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$20.50/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.51\nB) 101.09\nC) 94.96\nD) 97.41", + "options": [ + "A) 92.51", + "B) 101.09", + "C) 94.96", + "D) 97.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "97.41", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.40%", + "B) 3.71%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 253.67\nB) 236.03\nC) 243.08\nD) 225.44", + "options": [ + "A) 253.67", + "B) 236.03", + "C) 243.08", + "D) 225.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "236.03", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 180.85\nB) 171.77\nC) 167.23\nD) 153.61", + "options": [ + "A) 180.85", + "B) 171.77", + "C) 167.23", + "D) 153.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "167.23", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 34.00%\nB) -1.75%\nC) -10.68%\nD) 16.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 34.00%", + "B) -1.75%", + "C) -10.68%", + "D) 16.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "16.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 970K\nB) 1,126K\nC) 735K\nD) 892K", + "options": [ + "A) 970K", + "B) 1,126K", + "C) 735K", + "D) 892K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "970K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.29%\nB) 1.74%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.29%", + "B) 1.74%", + "C) 2.19%", + "D) 2.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.34pp\nB) -2.85pp\nC) +1.40pp\nD) +14.14pp", + "options": [ + "A) -11.34pp", + "B) -2.85pp", + "C) +1.40pp", + "D) +14.14pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.19%\nB) 11.55%\nC) -1.89%\nD) 1.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.19%", + "B) 11.55%", + "C) -1.89%", + "D) 1.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) +1.74pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +0.05pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.80pp", + "B) +1.74pp", + "C) +0.90pp", + "D) +0.05pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.86\nB) 111.10\nC) 116.04\nD) 106.16", + "options": [ + "A) 102.86", + "B) 111.10", + "C) 116.04", + "D) 106.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "111.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,016B\nB) $13,011B\nC) $11,519B\nD) $10,027B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,016B", + "B) $13,011B", + "C) $11,519B", + "D) $10,027B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$11,519B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.99\nB) 96.85\nC) 109.28\nD) 103.06", + "options": [ + "A) 100.99", + "B) 96.85", + "C) 109.28", + "D) 103.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "103.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 0.29%\nD) 2.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.68%", + "B) 3.08%", + "C) 0.29%", + "D) 2.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,602B\nB) $11,233B\nC) $10,320B\nD) $11,689B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,602B", + "B) $11,233B", + "C) $10,320B", + "D) $11,689B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$11,233B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.33\nB) 18.97\nC) 12.65\nD) 22.13", + "options": [ + "A) 6.33", + "B) 18.97", + "C) 12.65", + "D) 22.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12.65", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $207,451M\nB) $249,502M\nC) $193,434M\nD) $235,485M", + "options": [ + "A) $207,451M", + "B) $249,502M", + "C) $193,434M", + "D) $235,485M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$235,485M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 207.00\nB) 188.73\nC) 213.09\nD) 219.18", + "options": [ + "A) 207.00", + "B) 188.73", + "C) 213.09", + "D) 219.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "207.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 2.24%\nD) 2.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.43%", + "B) 1.65%", + "C) 2.24%", + "D) 2.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.84pp\nB) +1.29pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +1.73pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.84pp", + "B) +1.29pp", + "C) +0.40pp", + "D) +1.73pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 229.94\nB) 224.04\nC) 247.64\nD) 238.79", + "options": [ + "A) 229.94", + "B) 224.04", + "C) 247.64", + "D) 238.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "238.79", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,321.11\nB) 5,281.92\nC) 4,641.38\nD) 4,000.84", + "options": [ + "A) 4,321.11", + "B) 5,281.92", + "C) 4,641.38", + "D) 4,000.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,321.11", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 6.07%\nD) 7.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.47%", + "B) 3.83%", + "C) 6.07%", + "D) 7.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.72%\nB) 21.41%\nC) -3.96%\nD) 34.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.72%", + "B) 21.41%", + "C) -3.96%", + "D) 34.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-3.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,236K\nB) 814K\nC) 983K\nD) 1,067K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,236K", + "B) 814K", + "C) 983K", + "D) 1,067K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,067K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) -1.35pp\nC) +0.98pp\nD) -0.18pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.40pp", + "B) -1.35pp", + "C) +0.98pp", + "D) -0.18pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) -36.74%\nB) 7.80%\nC) 37.50%\nD) -21.89%", + "options": [ + "A) -36.74%", + "B) 7.80%", + "C) 37.50%", + "D) -21.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.36%\nB) 11.36%\nC) 20.35%\nD) -6.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.36%", + "B) 11.36%", + "C) 20.35%", + "D) -6.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.24%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 2.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.24%", + "B) 1.66%", + "C) 2.97%", + "D) 2.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 5.79%\nC) 3.44%\nD) 4.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.20%", + "B) 5.79%", + "C) 3.44%", + "D) 4.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.86\nB) 96.01\nC) 98.16\nD) 101.39", + "options": [ + "A) 93.86", + "B) 96.01", + "C) 98.16", + "D) 101.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "96.01", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $-39,492M\nB) $-43,852M\nC) $-41,672M\nD) $-48,213M", + "options": [ + "A) $-39,492M", + "B) $-43,852M", + "C) $-41,672M", + "D) $-48,213M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-41,672M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,109K\nB) 765K\nC) 851K\nD) 1,023K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,109K", + "B) 765K", + "C) 851K", + "D) 1,023K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,023K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 161.18\nB) 171.33\nC) 157.79\nD) 154.41", + "options": [ + "A) 161.18", + "B) 171.33", + "C) 157.79", + "D) 154.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "161.18", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 0.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.09%", + "C) 0.01%", + "D) 0.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,494B\nB) $11,884B\nC) $12,798B\nD) $13,103B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,494B", + "B) $11,884B", + "C) $12,798B", + "D) $13,103B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$12,798B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 1.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.87%", + "B) 2.10%", + "C) 2.32%", + "D) 1.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,722B\nB) $11,998B\nC) $11,170B\nD) $11,446B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,722B", + "B) $11,998B", + "C) $11,170B", + "D) $11,446B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$11,722B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.59pp\nB) +2.12pp\nC) +1.42pp\nD) +1.89pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.59pp", + "B) +2.12pp", + "C) +1.42pp", + "D) +1.89pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+2.12pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.37\nB) 78.14\nC) 84.60\nD) 87.83", + "options": [ + "A) 81.37", + "B) 78.14", + "C) 84.60", + "D) 87.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "84.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.12%\nD) 0.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.29%", + "B) 0.19%", + "C) 0.12%", + "D) 0.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.30pp\nB) -3.03pp\nC) -2.45pp\nD) -1.88pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.30pp", + "B) -3.03pp", + "C) -2.45pp", + "D) -1.88pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.11pp\nB) +1.42pp\nC) +4.03pp\nD) +2.72pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.11pp", + "B) +1.42pp", + "C) +4.03pp", + "D) +2.72pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+1.42pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 985K\nB) 801K\nC) 1,077K\nD) 893K", + "options": [ + "A) 985K", + "B) 801K", + "C) 1,077K", + "D) 893K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,077K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +11.05pp\nB) -4.74pp\nC) +18.94pp\nD) +7.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) +11.05pp", + "B) -4.74pp", + "C) +18.94pp", + "D) +7.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+7.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.27%\nB) -1.02%\nC) 23.85%\nD) 32.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.27%", + "B) -1.02%", + "C) 23.85%", + "D) 32.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.77%\nB) 0.49%\nC) 0.35%\nD) 0.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.77%", + "B) 0.49%", + "C) 0.35%", + "D) 0.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 42.70%\nB) 1.50%\nC) 26.22%\nD) 9.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 42.70%", + "B) 1.50%", + "C) 26.22%", + "D) 9.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 4.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.11%", + "B) 1.76%", + "C) 0.41%", + "D) 4.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.13%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 4.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.13%", + "B) 2.29%", + "C) 3.57%", + "D) 4.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 254.57\nB) 237.48\nC) 227.22\nD) 244.32", + "options": [ + "A) 254.57", + "B) 237.48", + "C) 227.22", + "D) 244.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "237.48", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $387,743M\nB) $401,892M\nC) $430,189M\nD) $472,635M", + "options": [ + "A) $387,743M", + "B) $401,892M", + "C) $430,189M", + "D) $472,635M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$430,189M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 103.26\nB) 94.24\nC) 100.68\nD) 96.81", + "options": [ + "A) 103.26", + "B) 94.24", + "C) 100.68", + "D) 96.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "96.81", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) -0.40%\nC) 0.94%\nD) 2.28%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.61%", + "B) -0.40%", + "C) 0.94%", + "D) 2.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 1.50%\nC) 2.18%\nD) 0.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.53%", + "B) 1.50%", + "C) 2.18%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.85%\nB) 3.02%\nC) 1.39%\nD) -0.24%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.85%", + "B) 3.02%", + "C) 1.39%", + "D) -0.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,146B\nB) $12,273B\nC) $11,428B\nD) $11,991B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,146B", + "B) $12,273B", + "C) $11,428B", + "D) $11,991B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$11,991B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.2250\nB) 5.9598\nC) 6.6228\nD) 6.4902", + "options": [ + "A) 6.2250", + "B) 5.9598", + "C) 6.6228", + "D) 6.4902" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.2250", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.65%\nB) 4.74%\nC) -1.10%\nD) 13.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.65%", + "B) 4.74%", + "C) -1.10%", + "D) 13.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.16%\nB) 82.68%\nC) 78.92%\nD) 85.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 75.16%", + "B) 82.68%", + "C) 78.92%", + "D) 85.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "78.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 57.13%\nB) 63.02%\nC) 60.67%\nD) 58.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 57.13%", + "B) 63.02%", + "C) 60.67%", + "D) 58.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "58.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,049M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,049M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$4,049M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.76%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 12.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.76%", + "B) 4.56%", + "C) 0.49%", + "D) 12.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.57%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 2.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.57%", + "B) 3.65%", + "C) 2.61%", + "D) 2.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 191.78\nB) 211.27\nC) 221.02\nD) 206.40", + "options": [ + "A) 191.78", + "B) 211.27", + "C) 221.02", + "D) 206.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "206.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.07%\nB) 8.40%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 3.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.07%", + "B) 8.40%", + "C) 1.74%", + "D) 3.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $75,157M\nB) $68,418M\nC) $58,310M\nD) $61,679M", + "options": [ + "A) $75,157M", + "B) $68,418M", + "C) $58,310M", + "D) $61,679M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$68,418M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $72,143M\nB) $64,185M\nC) $69,490M\nD) $77,448M", + "options": [ + "A) $72,143M", + "B) $64,185M", + "C) $69,490M", + "D) $77,448M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$69,490M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.25%\nB) -0.68%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 1.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.25%", + "B) -0.68%", + "C) 4.06%", + "D) 1.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 101.8200\nB) 93.1497\nC) 88.8146\nD) 114.8254", + "options": [ + "A) 101.8200", + "B) 93.1497", + "C) 88.8146", + "D) 114.8254" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "101.8200", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) $96.12/bbl\nB) $107.52/bbl\nC) $124.62/bbl\nD) $118.92/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $96.12/bbl", + "B) $107.52/bbl", + "C) $124.62/bbl", + "D) $118.92/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$107.52/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20140301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.99%\nB) 61.21%\nC) 63.10%\nD) 59.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.99%", + "B) 61.21%", + "C) 63.10%", + "D) 59.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "63.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20140615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2014-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.66%\nB) 0.76%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 1.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.66%", + "B) 0.76%", + "C) 1.08%", + "D) 1.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.50%\nB) 6.08%\nC) 6.65%\nD) 7.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.50%", + "B) 6.08%", + "C) 6.65%", + "D) 7.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20140901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2014", + "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.85%\nB) 1.23%\nC) 3.43%\nD) -0.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.85%", + "B) 1.23%", + "C) 3.43%", + "D) -0.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.20/bbl\nB) $103.25/bbl\nC) $106.49/bbl\nD) $96.78/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $116.20/bbl", + "B) $103.25/bbl", + "C) $106.49/bbl", + "D) $96.78/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$106.49/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.20/bbl\nB) $103.25/bbl\nC) $106.49/bbl\nD) $96.78/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $116.20/bbl", + "B) $103.25/bbl", + "C) $106.49/bbl", + "D) $96.78/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$106.49/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $108.00/bbl\nB) $98.29/bbl\nC) $95.05/bbl\nD) $104.76/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $108.00/bbl", + "B) $98.29/bbl", + "C) $95.05/bbl", + "D) $104.76/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$104.76/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $108.00/bbl\nB) $98.29/bbl\nC) $95.05/bbl\nD) $104.76/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $108.00/bbl", + "B) $98.29/bbl", + "C) $95.05/bbl", + "D) $104.76/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$104.76/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $100.56/bbl\nB) $107.03/bbl\nC) $90.85/bbl\nD) $94.09/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $100.56/bbl", + "B) $107.03/bbl", + "C) $90.85/bbl", + "D) $94.09/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$100.56/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $100.56/bbl\nB) $107.03/bbl\nC) $90.85/bbl\nD) $94.09/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $100.56/bbl", + "B) $107.03/bbl", + "C) $90.85/bbl", + "D) $94.09/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$100.56/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $92.30/bbl\nB) $95.54/bbl\nC) $102.01/bbl\nD) $105.25/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $92.30/bbl", + "B) $95.54/bbl", + "C) $102.01/bbl", + "D) $105.25/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$95.54/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $92.30/bbl\nB) $95.54/bbl\nC) $102.01/bbl\nD) $105.25/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $92.30/bbl", + "B) $95.54/bbl", + "C) $102.01/bbl", + "D) $105.25/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$95.54/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $98.18/bbl\nB) $88.47/bbl\nC) $91.71/bbl\nD) $82.00/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $98.18/bbl", + "B) $88.47/bbl", + "C) $91.71/bbl", + "D) $82.00/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$91.71/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $98.18/bbl\nB) $88.47/bbl\nC) $91.71/bbl\nD) $82.00/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $98.18/bbl", + "B) $88.47/bbl", + "C) $91.71/bbl", + "D) $82.00/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$91.71/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $56.66/bbl\nB) $59.89/bbl\nC) $72.84/bbl\nD) $63.13/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $56.66/bbl", + "B) $59.89/bbl", + "C) $72.84/bbl", + "D) $63.13/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $56.66/bbl\nB) $59.89/bbl\nC) $72.84/bbl\nD) $63.13/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $56.66/bbl", + "B) $59.89/bbl", + "C) $72.84/bbl", + "D) $63.13/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $114.55/bbl", + "B) $121.58/bbl", + "C) $109.86/bbl", + "D) $119.24/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $114.55/bbl", + "B) $121.58/bbl", + "C) $109.86/bbl", + "D) $119.24/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $121.58/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $119.24/bbl\nD) $112.21/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $121.58/bbl", + "B) $114.55/bbl", + "C) $119.24/bbl", + "D) $112.21/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $121.58/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $119.24/bbl\nD) $112.21/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $121.58/bbl", + "B) $114.55/bbl", + "C) $119.24/bbl", + "D) $112.21/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $112.21/bbl\nB) $109.86/bbl\nC) $114.55/bbl\nD) $116.89/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $112.21/bbl", + "B) $109.86/bbl", + "C) $114.55/bbl", + "D) $116.89/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $112.21/bbl\nB) $109.86/bbl\nC) $114.55/bbl\nD) $116.89/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $112.21/bbl", + "B) $109.86/bbl", + "C) $114.55/bbl", + "D) $116.89/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $119.24/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $107.52/bbl\nD) $114.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $119.24/bbl", + "B) $121.58/bbl", + "C) $107.52/bbl", + "D) $114.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $119.24/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $107.52/bbl\nD) $114.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $119.24/bbl", + "B) $121.58/bbl", + "C) $107.52/bbl", + "D) $114.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $119.24/bbl\nC) $121.58/bbl\nD) $109.86/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $114.55/bbl", + "B) $119.24/bbl", + "C) $121.58/bbl", + "D) $109.86/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $119.24/bbl\nC) $121.58/bbl\nD) $109.86/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $114.55/bbl", + "B) $119.24/bbl", + "C) $121.58/bbl", + "D) $109.86/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.89/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $116.89/bbl", + "B) $114.55/bbl", + "C) $109.86/bbl", + "D) $119.24/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.89/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) $116.89/bbl", + "B) $114.55/bbl", + "C) $109.86/bbl", + "D) $119.24/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 93.76\nD) 96.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 90.95", + "B) 99.38", + "C) 93.76", + "D) 96.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "93.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 93.76\nD) 96.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 90.95", + "B) 99.38", + "C) 93.76", + "D) 96.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "93.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 96.57\nD) 93.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 90.95", + "B) 99.38", + "C) 96.57", + "D) 93.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "93.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 96.57\nD) 93.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 90.95", + "B) 99.38", + "C) 96.57", + "D) 93.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "93.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 93.76\nB) 96.57\nC) 99.38\nD) 90.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 93.76", + "B) 96.57", + "C) 99.38", + "D) 90.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "93.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 93.76\nB) 96.57\nC) 99.38\nD) 90.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 93.76", + "B) 96.57", + "C) 99.38", + "D) 90.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "93.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 91.84\nB) 94.68\nC) 97.52\nD) 100.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 91.84", + "B) 94.68", + "C) 97.52", + "D) 100.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "94.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 91.84\nB) 94.68\nC) 97.52\nD) 100.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 91.84", + "B) 94.68", + "C) 97.52", + "D) 100.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "94.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 99.00\nB) 93.24\nC) 96.12\nD) 91.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 99.00", + "B) 93.24", + "C) 96.12", + "D) 91.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "96.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 99.00\nB) 93.24\nC) 96.12\nD) 91.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 99.00", + "B) 93.24", + "C) 96.12", + "D) 91.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "96.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 103.47\nB) 99.42\nC) 105.50\nD) 101.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 103.47", + "B) 99.42", + "C) 105.50", + "D) 101.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 103.47\nB) 99.42\nC) 105.50\nD) 101.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", + "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", + "options": [ + "A) 103.47", + "B) 99.42", + "C) 105.50", + "D) 101.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", + "event_date": "2014-06-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $54.18/bbl\nB) $45.41/bbl\nC) $67.33/bbl\nD) $62.95/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $54.18/bbl", + "B) $45.41/bbl", + "C) $67.33/bbl", + "D) $62.95/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$54.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $54.18/bbl\nB) $45.41/bbl\nC) $67.33/bbl\nD) $62.95/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $54.18/bbl", + "B) $45.41/bbl", + "C) $67.33/bbl", + "D) $62.95/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$54.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $40.30/bbl\nB) $53.45/bbl\nC) $66.60/bbl\nD) $57.83/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $40.30/bbl", + "B) $53.45/bbl", + "C) $66.60/bbl", + "D) $57.83/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$53.45/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $40.30/bbl\nB) $53.45/bbl\nC) $66.60/bbl\nD) $57.83/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $40.30/bbl", + "B) $53.45/bbl", + "C) $66.60/bbl", + "D) $57.83/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$53.45/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $37.15/bbl\nB) $41.54/bbl\nC) $45.92/bbl\nD) $32.77/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $37.15/bbl", + "B) $41.54/bbl", + "C) $45.92/bbl", + "D) $32.77/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$45.92/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $37.15/bbl\nB) $41.54/bbl\nC) $45.92/bbl\nD) $32.77/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $37.15/bbl", + "B) $41.54/bbl", + "C) $45.92/bbl", + "D) $32.77/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$45.92/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $57.23/bbl\nB) $39.70/bbl\nC) $35.31/bbl\nD) $44.08/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $57.23/bbl", + "B) $39.70/bbl", + "C) $35.31/bbl", + "D) $44.08/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$44.08/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $57.23/bbl\nB) $39.70/bbl\nC) $35.31/bbl\nD) $44.08/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $57.23/bbl", + "B) $39.70/bbl", + "C) $35.31/bbl", + "D) $44.08/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$44.08/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $43.93/bbl\nB) $35.16/bbl\nC) $57.08/bbl\nD) $39.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $43.93/bbl", + "B) $35.16/bbl", + "C) $57.08/bbl", + "D) $39.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$43.93/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $43.93/bbl\nB) $35.16/bbl\nC) $57.08/bbl\nD) $39.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $43.93/bbl", + "B) $35.16/bbl", + "C) $57.08/bbl", + "D) $39.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$43.93/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $52.16/bbl\nB) $43.39/bbl\nC) $30.24/bbl\nD) $56.54/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $52.16/bbl", + "B) $43.39/bbl", + "C) $30.24/bbl", + "D) $56.54/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$43.39/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $52.16/bbl\nB) $43.39/bbl\nC) $30.24/bbl\nD) $56.54/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) $52.16/bbl", + "B) $43.39/bbl", + "C) $30.24/bbl", + "D) $56.54/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$43.39/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.69\nB) 16.06\nC) 19.44\nD) 18.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 21.69", + "B) 16.06", + "C) 19.44", + "D) 18.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.69\nB) 16.06\nC) 19.44\nD) 18.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 21.69", + "B) 16.06", + "C) 19.44", + "D) 18.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.82\nB) 16.06\nC) 17.19\nD) 19.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 22.82", + "B) 16.06", + "C) 17.19", + "D) 19.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.82\nB) 16.06\nC) 17.19\nD) 19.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 22.82", + "B) 16.06", + "C) 17.19", + "D) 19.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19.44", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.39\nB) 21.26\nC) 23.52\nD) 25.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 22.39", + "B) 21.26", + "C) 23.52", + "D) 25.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.39\nB) 21.26\nC) 23.52\nD) 25.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 22.39", + "B) 21.26", + "C) 23.52", + "D) 25.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 22.39\nC) 19.01\nD) 23.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 21.26", + "B) 22.39", + "C) 19.01", + "D) 23.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 22.39\nC) 19.01\nD) 23.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 21.26", + "B) 22.39", + "C) 19.01", + "D) 23.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 24.64\nB) 25.77\nC) 22.39\nD) 19.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 24.64", + "B) 25.77", + "C) 22.39", + "D) 19.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 24.64\nB) 25.77\nC) 22.39\nD) 19.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 24.64", + "B) 25.77", + "C) 22.39", + "D) 19.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 24.64\nC) 23.52\nD) 22.39", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 21.26", + "B) 24.64", + "C) 23.52", + "D) 22.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 24.64\nC) 23.52\nD) 22.39", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 21.26", + "B) 24.64", + "C) 23.52", + "D) 22.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 102.35\nB) 104.44\nC) 98.16\nD) 100.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 102.35", + "B) 104.44", + "C) 98.16", + "D) 100.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "102.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 102.35\nB) 104.44\nC) 98.16\nD) 100.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 102.35", + "B) 104.44", + "C) 98.16", + "D) 100.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "102.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 104.99\nB) 102.90\nC) 108.13\nD) 99.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 104.99", + "B) 102.90", + "C) 108.13", + "D) 99.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "102.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 104.99\nB) 102.90\nC) 108.13\nD) 99.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 104.99", + "B) 102.90", + "C) 108.13", + "D) 99.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "102.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 100.49\nB) 105.72\nC) 103.63\nD) 108.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 100.49", + "B) 105.72", + "C) 103.63", + "D) 108.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "103.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 100.49\nB) 105.72\nC) 103.63\nD) 108.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 100.49", + "B) 105.72", + "C) 103.63", + "D) 108.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "103.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 103.67\nB) 107.91\nC) 111.08\nD) 105.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 103.67", + "B) 107.91", + "C) 111.08", + "D) 105.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "105.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 103.67\nB) 107.91\nC) 111.08\nD) 105.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 103.67", + "B) 107.91", + "C) 111.08", + "D) 105.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "105.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 108.92\nB) 116.54\nC) 105.65\nD) 112.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 108.92", + "B) 116.54", + "C) 105.65", + "D) 112.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "108.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 108.92\nB) 116.54\nC) 105.65\nD) 112.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 108.92", + "B) 116.54", + "C) 105.65", + "D) 112.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "108.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 115.45\nB) 108.92\nC) 112.18\nD) 105.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 115.45", + "B) 108.92", + "C) 112.18", + "D) 105.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "108.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 115.45\nB) 108.92\nC) 112.18\nD) 105.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 115.45", + "B) 108.92", + "C) 112.18", + "D) 105.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "108.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,284.38\nB) 5,526.97\nC) 4,781.42\nD) 5,278.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,284.38", + "B) 5,526.97", + "C) 4,781.42", + "D) 5,278.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,781.42", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,284.38\nB) 5,526.97\nC) 4,781.42\nD) 5,278.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,284.38", + "B) 5,526.97", + "C) 4,781.42", + "D) 5,278.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,781.42", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,309.87\nB) 5,055.43\nC) 4,061.36\nD) 4,806.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,309.87", + "B) 5,055.43", + "C) 4,061.36", + "D) 4,806.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,806.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,309.87\nB) 5,055.43\nC) 4,061.36\nD) 4,806.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,309.87", + "B) 5,055.43", + "C) 4,061.36", + "D) 4,806.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,806.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,806.91\nB) 4,558.39\nC) 5,055.43\nD) 4,061.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,806.91", + "B) 4,558.39", + "C) 5,055.43", + "D) 4,061.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,806.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,806.91\nB) 4,558.39\nC) 5,055.43\nD) 4,061.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,806.91", + "B) 4,558.39", + "C) 5,055.43", + "D) 4,061.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,806.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,390.88\nB) 4,893.84\nC) 4,645.32\nD) 5,639.39", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 5,390.88", + "B) 4,893.84", + "C) 4,645.32", + "D) 5,639.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,893.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,390.88\nB) 4,893.84\nC) 4,645.32\nD) 5,639.39", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 5,390.88", + "B) 4,893.84", + "C) 4,645.32", + "D) 5,639.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,893.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,256.62\nB) 4,511.06\nC) 5,008.10\nD) 5,753.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 5,256.62", + "B) 4,511.06", + "C) 5,008.10", + "D) 5,753.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,008.10", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,256.62\nB) 4,511.06\nC) 5,008.10\nD) 5,753.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 5,256.62", + "B) 4,511.06", + "C) 5,008.10", + "D) 5,753.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,008.10", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,609.55\nB) 4,361.04\nC) 4,858.07\nD) 5,106.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,609.55", + "B) 4,361.04", + "C) 4,858.07", + "D) 5,106.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,106.59", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,609.55\nB) 4,361.04\nC) 4,858.07\nD) 5,106.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 4,609.55", + "B) 4,361.04", + "C) 4,858.07", + "D) 5,106.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,106.59", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", + "event_date": "2014-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", + "year": 2014 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 1.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.28%", + "B) 0.92%", + "C) 1.16%", + "D) 1.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2087\nB) 1.1266\nC) 1.0445\nD) 1.2908", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2087", + "B) 1.1266", + "C) 1.0445", + "D) 1.2908" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1266", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.42%\nB) -9.51%\nC) -7.49%\nD) -3.45%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.42%", + "B) -9.51%", + "C) -7.49%", + "D) -3.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-7.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $64,726M\nB) $67,583M\nC) $59,011M\nD) $63,297M", + "options": [ + "A) $64,726M", + "B) $67,583M", + "C) $59,011M", + "D) $63,297M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$63,297M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.47\nB) 91.07\nC) 94.31\nD) 99.71", + "options": [ + "A) 96.47", + "B) 91.07", + "C) 94.31", + "D) 99.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "96.47", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.16pp\nB) -1.94pp\nC) -4.62pp\nD) -1.05pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.16pp", + "B) -1.94pp", + "C) -4.62pp", + "D) -1.05pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.94pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.39%\nB) 17.97%\nC) 12.81%\nD) 5.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.39%", + "B) 17.97%", + "C) 12.81%", + "D) 5.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.20%\nB) 12.49%\nC) 9.75%\nD) 4.27%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.20%", + "B) 12.49%", + "C) 9.75%", + "D) 4.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 23.37%\nC) 15.74%\nD) -14.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.47%", + "B) 23.37%", + "C) 15.74%", + "D) -14.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 3.67%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 5.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.44%", + "B) 3.67%", + "C) 2.59%", + "D) 5.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.65%\nB) 0.82%\nC) -0.00%\nD) 1.65%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.65%", + "B) 0.82%", + "C) -0.00%", + "D) 1.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) $10,698B\nB) $11,862B\nC) $10,116B\nD) $10,989B", + "options": [ + "A) $10,698B", + "B) $11,862B", + "C) $10,116B", + "D) $10,989B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$10,989B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.38%\nB) -5.90%\nC) -10.87%\nD) -13.35%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.38%", + "B) -5.90%", + "C) -10.87%", + "D) -13.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-8.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,417K\nB) 1,224K\nC) 935K\nD) 1,128K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,417K", + "B) 1,224K", + "C) 935K", + "D) 1,128K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,224K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 20.58%\nB) -7.54%\nC) -0.51%\nD) -21.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.58%", + "B) -7.54%", + "C) -0.51%", + "D) -21.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.55%\nB) 6.55%\nC) -17.33%\nD) -7.78%", + "options": [ + "A) -12.55%", + "B) 6.55%", + "C) -17.33%", + "D) -7.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-7.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.20\nB) 95.07\nC) 100.38\nD) 92.94", + "options": [ + "A) 97.20", + "B) 95.07", + "C) 100.38", + "D) 92.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "97.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 57.42%\nB) 59.20%\nC) 63.34%\nD) 60.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 57.42%", + "B) 59.20%", + "C) 63.34%", + "D) 60.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "59.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.78%\nB) 5.56%\nC) 7.99%\nD) 9.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.78%", + "B) 5.56%", + "C) 7.99%", + "D) 9.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 168.71\nB) 193.95\nC) 156.09\nD) 175.02", + "options": [ + "A) 168.71", + "B) 193.95", + "C) 156.09", + "D) 175.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "175.02", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.80%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 4.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.80%", + "B) 5.23%", + "C) 4.09%", + "D) 4.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.62%", + "B) 1.94%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 2.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.27%\nB) 60.53%\nC) 62.40%\nD) 65.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.27%", + "B) 60.53%", + "C) 62.40%", + "D) 65.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "62.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 16.94%\nB) -16.09%\nC) -9.49%\nD) 3.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.94%", + "B) -16.09%", + "C) -9.49%", + "D) 3.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.60pp\nB) -1.46pp\nC) +14.79pp\nD) +6.66pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.60pp", + "B) -1.46pp", + "C) +14.79pp", + "D) +6.66pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+2.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.92%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 4.22%\nD) 3.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.92%", + "B) 3.87%", + "C) 4.22%", + "D) 3.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -17.16%\nB) -25.22%\nC) -1.03%\nD) 15.10%", + "options": [ + "A) -17.16%", + "B) -25.22%", + "C) -1.03%", + "D) 15.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) -0.60%\nC) 7.29%\nD) 4.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.03%", + "B) -0.60%", + "C) 7.29%", + "D) 4.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.90%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 6.47%\nD) 7.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.90%", + "B) 5.33%", + "C) 6.47%", + "D) 7.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.04pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.53pp\nD) -0.19pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.04pp", + "B) +0.10pp", + "C) +0.53pp", + "D) -0.19pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.22%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 0.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.22%", + "B) 0.09%", + "C) 0.14%", + "D) 0.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.0128\nB) 6.6959\nC) 6.4032\nD) 6.2080", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0128", + "B) 6.6959", + "C) 6.4032", + "D) 6.2080" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.2080", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.90%\nB) 2.09%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.90%", + "B) 2.09%", + "C) 1.70%", + "D) 2.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,040K\nB) 1,144K\nC) 1,248K\nD) 832K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,040K", + "B) 1,144K", + "C) 1,248K", + "D) 832K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,144K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 183.85\nB) 210.62\nC) 191.50\nD) 199.15", + "options": [ + "A) 183.85", + "B) 210.62", + "C) 191.50", + "D) 199.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "191.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) -0.70%\nC) 0.80%\nD) 0.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.10%", + "B) -0.70%", + "C) 0.80%", + "D) 0.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,176B\nB) $11,318B\nC) $12,748B\nD) $12,462B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,176B", + "B) $11,318B", + "C) $12,748B", + "D) $12,462B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$12,176B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.75pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.37pp\nD) -0.12pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.75pp", + "B) -0.50pp", + "C) -0.37pp", + "D) -0.12pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.82/bbl\nB) $33.16/bbl\nC) $60.99/bbl\nD) $51.71/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $88.82/bbl", + "B) $33.16/bbl", + "C) $60.99/bbl", + "D) $51.71/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$60.99/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 249.94\nB) 231.57\nC) 256.07\nD) 240.75", + "options": [ + "A) 249.94", + "B) 231.57", + "C) 256.07", + "D) 240.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "240.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.78%\nB) 79.57%\nC) 75.10%\nD) 82.24%", + "options": [ + "A) 77.78%", + "B) 79.57%", + "C) 75.10%", + "D) 82.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "77.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 116.08\nB) 109.80\nC) 105.09\nD) 112.94", + "options": [ + "A) 116.08", + "B) 109.80", + "C) 105.09", + "D) 112.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "109.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,094B\nB) $13,263B\nC) $12,386B\nD) $11,509B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,094B", + "B) $13,263B", + "C) $12,386B", + "D) $11,509B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$12,386B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) +2.33pp\nC) -3.69pp\nD) -0.68pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.32pp", + "B) +2.33pp", + "C) -3.69pp", + "D) -0.68pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.68pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,920B\nB) $12,946B\nC) $10,382B\nD) $10,895B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,920B", + "B) $12,946B", + "C) $10,382B", + "D) $10,895B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$11,920B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) -1.30pp\nC) -0.74pp\nD) -1.58pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.46pp", + "B) -1.30pp", + "C) -0.74pp", + "D) -1.58pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,887,686\nB) 1,958,157\nC) 2,268,000\nD) 3,197,528", + "options": [ + "A) 2,887,686", + "B) 1,958,157", + "C) 2,268,000", + "D) 3,197,528" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,268,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.10%", + "B) 1.62%", + "C) 0.85%", + "D) 1.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $439,867M\nB) $403,225M\nC) $452,081M\nD) $427,653M", + "options": [ + "A) $439,867M", + "B) $403,225M", + "C) $452,081M", + "D) $427,653M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$439,867M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 145,752K\nB) 142,275K\nC) 149,230K\nD) 137,059K", + "options": [ + "A) 145,752K", + "B) 142,275K", + "C) 149,230K", + "D) 137,059K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "142,275K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.43%\nB) 6.56%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 3.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.43%", + "B) 6.56%", + "C) 5.68%", + "D) 3.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.54pp\nB) +0.79pp\nC) +1.03pp\nD) +0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.54pp", + "B) +0.79pp", + "C) +1.03pp", + "D) +0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 960K\nB) 1,142K\nC) 1,233K\nD) 869K", + "options": [ + "A) 960K", + "B) 1,142K", + "C) 1,233K", + "D) 869K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "960K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -5.26%\nB) -8.91%\nC) -1.61%\nD) -16.21%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.26%", + "B) -8.91%", + "C) -1.61%", + "D) -16.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-8.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.42%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 1.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.42%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 2.08%", + "D) 1.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.98%\nB) 63.34%\nC) 57.42%\nD) 59.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.98%", + "B) 63.34%", + "C) 57.42%", + "D) 59.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "59.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) -46.23%\nB) -84.83%\nC) -7.62%\nD) -33.36%", + "options": [ + "A) -46.23%", + "B) -84.83%", + "C) -7.62%", + "D) -33.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-46.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) $82.23/bbl\nB) $59.53/bbl\nC) $44.39/bbl\nD) $51.96/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $82.23/bbl", + "B) $59.53/bbl", + "C) $44.39/bbl", + "D) $51.96/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$59.53/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,518K\nB) 137,720K\nC) 140,923K\nD) 145,727K", + "options": [ + "A) 134,518K", + "B) 137,720K", + "C) 140,923K", + "D) 145,727K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "140,923K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 321,583\nB) 295,291\nC) 190,126\nD) 269,000", + "options": [ + "A) 321,583", + "B) 295,291", + "C) 190,126", + "D) 269,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "269,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 2.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.09%", + "B) 3.38%", + "C) 3.95%", + "D) 2.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.78%\nB) -4.93%\nC) 2.21%\nD) -8.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.78%", + "B) -4.93%", + "C) 2.21%", + "D) -8.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-4.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 109.6064\nB) 102.7196\nC) 123.3800\nD) 130.2668", + "options": [ + "A) 109.6064", + "B) 102.7196", + "C) 123.3800", + "D) 130.2668" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "123.3800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.49\nB) 96.62\nC) 73.06\nD) 87.20", + "options": [ + "A) 82.49", + "B) 96.62", + "C) 73.06", + "D) 87.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "87.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 1.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.75%", + "B) 1.29%", + "C) 2.42%", + "D) 1.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 35.13%\nB) 19.65%\nC) -3.57%\nD) 11.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 35.13%", + "B) 19.65%", + "C) -3.57%", + "D) 11.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 7.29%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 4.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.14%", + "B) 7.29%", + "C) 5.40%", + "D) 4.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 2.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.62%", + "B) 3.79%", + "C) 0.43%", + "D) 2.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.48\nB) 95.48\nC) 93.47\nD) 99.48", + "options": [ + "A) 97.48", + "B) 95.48", + "C) 93.47", + "D) 99.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "97.48", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.58\nB) 189.10\nC) 180.39\nD) 197.81", + "options": [ + "A) 174.58", + "B) 189.10", + "C) 180.39", + "D) 197.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "189.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $-39,482M\nB) $-45,959M\nC) $-41,641M\nD) $-43,800M", + "options": [ + "A) $-39,482M", + "B) $-45,959M", + "C) $-41,641M", + "D) $-43,800M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-41,641M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.89%\nB) -0.39%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 2.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.89%", + "B) -0.39%", + "C) 0.49%", + "D) 2.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.81%\nB) -1.38%\nC) 0.88%\nD) -1.94%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.81%", + "B) -1.38%", + "C) 0.88%", + "D) -1.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.09%\nD) 3.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.56%", + "B) 2.36%", + "C) 2.09%", + "D) 3.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,031M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $4,031M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$4,031M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $234,295M\nB) $192,918M\nC) $226,019M\nD) $217,744M", + "options": [ + "A) $234,295M", + "B) $192,918M", + "C) $226,019M", + "D) $217,744M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$217,744M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 7.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.68%", + "B) 3.61%", + "C) 1.45%", + "D) 7.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 233.97\nB) 243.32\nC) 252.67\nD) 258.90", + "options": [ + "A) 233.97", + "B) 243.32", + "C) 252.67", + "D) 258.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "243.32", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.45%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 0.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.45%", + "B) 1.21%", + "C) 0.07%", + "D) 0.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,718B\nB) $11,145B\nC) $12,688B\nD) $12,174B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,718B", + "B) $11,145B", + "C) $12,688B", + "D) $12,174B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$12,174B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $-48,732M\nB) $-42,514M\nC) $-54,950M\nD) $-44,587M", + "options": [ + "A) $-48,732M", + "B) $-42,514M", + "C) $-54,950M", + "D) $-44,587M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-48,732M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.47%\nB) 62.60%\nC) 63.85%\nD) 61.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.47%", + "B) 62.60%", + "C) 63.85%", + "D) 61.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "62.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.08%\nB) -11.84%\nC) -2.27%\nD) -7.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.08%", + "B) -11.84%", + "C) -2.27%", + "D) -7.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-2.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.19\nB) 92.38\nC) 105.69\nD) 101.89", + "options": [ + "A) 96.19", + "B) 92.38", + "C) 105.69", + "D) 101.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.89", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 1.64%\nC) 2.18%\nD) 2.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.00%", + "B) 1.64%", + "C) 2.18%", + "D) 2.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.06%\nB) 0.11%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 0.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.06%", + "B) 0.11%", + "C) 0.01%", + "D) 0.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.72%\nD) 0.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.88%", + "B) 0.64%", + "C) 0.72%", + "D) 0.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $21.46/hr\nB) $22.02/hr\nC) $20.08/hr\nD) $20.91/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $21.46/hr", + "B) $22.02/hr", + "C) $20.08/hr", + "D) $20.91/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$20.91/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 237.50\nB) 245.78\nC) 229.22\nD) 251.30", + "options": [ + "A) 237.50", + "B) 245.78", + "C) 229.22", + "D) 251.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "237.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 784K\nB) 1,072K\nC) 1,264K\nD) 1,360K", + "options": [ + "A) 784K", + "B) 1,072K", + "C) 1,264K", + "D) 1,360K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,072K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 108.84\nB) 105.61\nC) 100.75\nD) 97.52", + "options": [ + "A) 108.84", + "B) 105.61", + "C) 100.75", + "D) 97.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "100.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 93.51\nB) 100.50\nC) 102.83\nD) 97.01", + "options": [ + "A) 93.51", + "B) 100.50", + "C) 102.83", + "D) 97.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "97.01", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 1.49%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.71%", + "B) 1.49%", + "C) 2.38%", + "D) 1.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.29%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 3.97%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.31%", + "B) 3.29%", + "C) 3.63%", + "D) 3.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 1.15%\nC) 2.13%\nD) 0.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.60%", + "B) 1.15%", + "C) 2.13%", + "D) 0.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.28\nB) 114.72\nC) 112.31\nD) 109.90", + "options": [ + "A) 106.28", + "B) 114.72", + "C) 112.31", + "D) 109.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "109.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 28.67%\nC) 21.18%\nD) 13.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.22%", + "B) 28.67%", + "C) 21.18%", + "D) 13.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.20%\nB) 0.02%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 0.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.20%", + "B) 0.02%", + "C) 0.07%", + "D) 0.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 173.33\nB) 152.29\nC) 168.07\nD) 162.81", + "options": [ + "A) 173.33", + "B) 152.29", + "C) 168.07", + "D) 162.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "168.07", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.97pp\nB) +2.09pp\nC) +2.31pp\nD) +1.64pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.97pp", + "B) +2.09pp", + "C) +2.31pp", + "D) +1.64pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+1.64pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $21.09/hr\nB) $22.53/hr\nC) $21.66/hr\nD) $20.23/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $21.09/hr", + "B) $22.53/hr", + "C) $21.66/hr", + "D) $20.23/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$21.09/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) -65.19%\nB) -44.62%\nC) -54.90%\nD) -34.33%", + "options": [ + "A) -65.19%", + "B) -44.62%", + "C) -54.90%", + "D) -34.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-44.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,028M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $4,028M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$4,028M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.42%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 4.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.37%", + "B) 4.42%", + "C) 3.79%", + "D) 4.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.24%\nB) -4.80%\nC) -1.39%\nD) -3.09%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.24%", + "B) -4.80%", + "C) -1.39%", + "D) -3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-2.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $58,688M\nB) $65,042M\nC) $67,160M\nD) $62,924M", + "options": [ + "A) $58,688M", + "B) $65,042M", + "C) $67,160M", + "D) $62,924M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$65,042M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,522B\nB) $12,717B\nC) $13,620B\nD) $14,221B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,522B", + "B) $12,717B", + "C) $13,620B", + "D) $14,221B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$13,620B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.64pp\nB) -0.04pp\nC) -0.16pp\nD) -0.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.64pp", + "B) -0.04pp", + "C) -0.16pp", + "D) -0.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,398B\nB) $13,100B\nC) $14,291B\nD) $13,695B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,398B", + "B) $13,100B", + "C) $14,291B", + "D) $13,695B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$13,398B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 219.61\nB) 235.98\nC) 242.52\nD) 226.16", + "options": [ + "A) 219.61", + "B) 235.98", + "C) 242.52", + "D) 226.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "235.98", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $240,307M\nB) $209,794M\nC) $230,136M\nD) $199,623M", + "options": [ + "A) $240,307M", + "B) $209,794M", + "C) $230,136M", + "D) $199,623M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$230,136M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.28%\nB) 0.82%\nC) -0.86%\nD) -0.02%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.28%", + "B) 0.82%", + "C) -0.86%", + "D) -0.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $433,647M\nB) $447,081M\nC) $406,778M\nD) $460,516M", + "options": [ + "A) $433,647M", + "B) $447,081M", + "C) $406,778M", + "D) $460,516M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$433,647M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.02%\nB) 0.01%\nC) -1.53%\nD) 1.03%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.02%", + "B) 0.01%", + "C) -1.53%", + "D) 1.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 101.28\nB) 103.64\nC) 106.00\nD) 98.92", + "options": [ + "A) 101.28", + "B) 103.64", + "C) 106.00", + "D) 98.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "106.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 5.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.34%", + "B) 5.67%", + "C) 4.33%", + "D) 5.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +13.00pp\nB) +21.02pp\nC) +4.98pp\nD) +17.01pp", + "options": [ + "A) +13.00pp", + "B) +21.02pp", + "C) +4.98pp", + "D) +17.01pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+13.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.13%\nB) 76.98%\nC) 79.29%\nD) 74.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 73.13%", + "B) 76.98%", + "C) 79.29%", + "D) 74.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "76.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,614.04\nB) 4,198.12\nC) 5,029.97\nD) 3,782.19", + "options": [ + "A) 4,614.04", + "B) 4,198.12", + "C) 5,029.97", + "D) 3,782.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,029.97", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 100.81\nB) 96.91\nC) 81.28\nD) 93.00", + "options": [ + "A) 100.81", + "B) 96.91", + "C) 81.28", + "D) 93.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "93.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.90pp\nB) -0.75pp\nC) -1.20pp\nD) -1.05pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.90pp", + "B) -0.75pp", + "C) -1.20pp", + "D) -1.05pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20150901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.23%\nB) -1.08%\nC) -2.51%\nD) 1.07%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.23%", + "B) -1.08%", + "C) -2.51%", + "D) 1.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.17%\nB) 25.71%\nC) 16.69%\nD) 3.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.17%", + "B) 25.71%", + "C) 16.69%", + "D) 3.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "16.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20150301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2015", + "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.59%\nB) 4.97%\nC) 3.81%\nD) 6.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.59%", + "B) 4.97%", + "C) 3.81%", + "D) 6.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20150615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2015-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.39\nB) 6.48\nC) 12.42\nD) 9.45", + "options": [ + "A) 15.39", + "B) 6.48", + "C) 12.42", + "D) 9.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.39", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.2702\nB) 6.3982\nC) 6.5901\nD) 6.7181", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.2702", + "B) 6.3982", + "C) 6.5901", + "D) 6.7181" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.3982", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.2702\nB) 6.3982\nC) 6.5901\nD) 6.7181", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.2702", + "B) 6.3982", + "C) 6.5901", + "D) 6.7181" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.3982", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.6046\nC) 6.4122\nD) 6.2198", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0916", + "B) 6.6046", + "C) 6.4122", + "D) 6.2198" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.6046\nC) 6.4122\nD) 6.2198", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0916", + "B) 6.6046", + "C) 6.4122", + "D) 6.2198" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.4122", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0916", + "B) 6.2198", + "C) 6.6046", + "D) 6.4122" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.4122", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0916", + "B) 6.2198", + "C) 6.6046", + "D) 6.4122" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.4122\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.7328", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.4122", + "B) 6.2198", + "C) 6.6046", + "D) 6.7328" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.4122\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.7328", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.4122", + "B) 6.2198", + "C) 6.6046", + "D) 6.7328" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.6046\nB) 6.4122\nC) 6.7328\nD) 6.2198", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.6046", + "B) 6.4122", + "C) 6.7328", + "D) 6.2198" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.6046\nB) 6.4122\nC) 6.7328\nD) 6.2198", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.6046", + "B) 6.4122", + "C) 6.7328", + "D) 6.2198" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.4122", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.7251\nB) 6.2635\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.4613", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7251", + "B) 6.2635", + "C) 6.5932", + "D) 6.4613" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.5932", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.7251\nB) 6.2635\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.4613", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7251", + "B) 6.2635", + "C) 6.5932", + "D) 6.4613" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.5932", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 4,877.30\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,091.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,448.50", + "B) 4,877.30", + "C) 4,662.90", + "D) 5,091.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 4,877.30\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,091.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,448.50", + "B) 4,877.30", + "C) 4,662.90", + "D) 5,091.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,091.70\nB) 5,734.90\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,520.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 5,091.70", + "B) 5,734.90", + "C) 4,662.90", + "D) 5,520.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,091.70\nB) 5,734.90\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,520.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 5,091.70", + "B) 5,734.90", + "C) 4,662.90", + "D) 5,520.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 5,091.70\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,306.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,448.50", + "B) 5,091.70", + "C) 4,662.90", + "D) 5,306.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 5,091.70\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,306.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,448.50", + "B) 5,091.70", + "C) 4,662.90", + "D) 5,306.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,877.30\nB) 4,448.50\nC) 5,091.70\nD) 5,306.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,877.30", + "B) 4,448.50", + "C) 5,091.70", + "D) 5,306.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,877.30\nB) 4,448.50\nC) 5,091.70\nD) 5,306.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,877.30", + "B) 4,448.50", + "C) 5,091.70", + "D) 5,306.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,091.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,716.33\nB) 5,573.93\nC) 5,359.53\nD) 5,145.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,716.33", + "B) 5,573.93", + "C) 5,359.53", + "D) 5,145.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,145.13", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,716.33\nB) 5,573.93\nC) 5,359.53\nD) 5,145.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4,716.33", + "B) 5,573.93", + "C) 5,359.53", + "D) 5,145.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,145.13", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,156.31\nB) 5,799.51\nC) 4,727.51\nD) 4,513.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 5,156.31", + "B) 5,799.51", + "C) 4,727.51", + "D) 4,513.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,156.31", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,156.31\nB) 5,799.51\nC) 4,727.51\nD) 4,513.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 5,156.31", + "B) 5,799.51", + "C) 4,727.51", + "D) 4,513.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,156.31", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 15.00\nB) 13.79\nC) 10.15\nD) 17.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 15.00", + "B) 13.79", + "C) 10.15", + "D) 17.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 15.00\nB) 13.79\nC) 10.15\nD) 17.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 15.00", + "B) 13.79", + "C) 10.15", + "D) 17.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.79", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 39.53\nB) 44.38\nC) 40.74\nD) 41.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 39.53", + "B) 44.38", + "C) 40.74", + "D) 41.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 39.53\nB) 44.38\nC) 40.74\nD) 41.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 39.53", + "B) 44.38", + "C) 40.74", + "D) 41.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 43.17\nC) 37.10\nD) 40.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 43.17", + "C) 37.10", + "D) 40.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 43.17\nC) 37.10\nD) 40.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 43.17", + "C) 37.10", + "D) 40.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 40.74\nB) 39.53\nC) 43.17\nD) 44.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 40.74", + "B) 39.53", + "C) 43.17", + "D) 44.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 40.74\nB) 39.53\nC) 43.17\nD) 44.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 40.74", + "B) 39.53", + "C) 43.17", + "D) 44.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.74\nC) 44.38\nD) 41.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 40.74", + "C) 44.38", + "D) 41.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.74\nC) 44.38\nD) 41.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 40.74", + "C) 44.38", + "D) 41.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 41.95\nC) 40.74\nD) 39.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 41.95", + "C) 40.74", + "D) 39.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 41.95\nC) 40.74\nD) 39.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 41.95", + "C) 40.74", + "D) 39.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "40.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $19.58/bbl\nB) $53.10/bbl\nC) $75.45/bbl\nD) $41.93/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $19.58/bbl", + "B) $53.10/bbl", + "C) $75.45/bbl", + "D) $41.93/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$41.93/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $19.58/bbl\nB) $53.10/bbl\nC) $75.45/bbl\nD) $41.93/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $19.58/bbl", + "B) $53.10/bbl", + "C) $75.45/bbl", + "D) $41.93/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$41.93/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $38.22/bbl\nB) $27.05/bbl\nC) $4.70/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $38.22/bbl", + "B) $27.05/bbl", + "C) $4.70/bbl", + "D) $49.39/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $38.22/bbl\nB) $27.05/bbl\nC) $4.70/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $38.22/bbl", + "B) $27.05/bbl", + "C) $4.70/bbl", + "D) $49.39/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $71.74/bbl\nB) $38.22/bbl\nC) $27.05/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $71.74/bbl", + "B) $38.22/bbl", + "C) $27.05/bbl", + "D) $49.39/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $71.74/bbl\nB) $38.22/bbl\nC) $27.05/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $71.74/bbl", + "B) $38.22/bbl", + "C) $27.05/bbl", + "D) $49.39/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $4.70/bbl\nB) $60.57/bbl\nC) $38.22/bbl\nD) $71.74/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $4.70/bbl", + "B) $60.57/bbl", + "C) $38.22/bbl", + "D) $71.74/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $4.70/bbl\nB) $60.57/bbl\nC) $38.22/bbl\nD) $71.74/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $4.70/bbl", + "B) $60.57/bbl", + "C) $38.22/bbl", + "D) $71.74/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $4.70/bbl\nC) $71.74/bbl\nD) $38.22/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $15.87/bbl", + "B) $4.70/bbl", + "C) $71.74/bbl", + "D) $38.22/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $4.70/bbl\nC) $71.74/bbl\nD) $38.22/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $15.87/bbl", + "B) $4.70/bbl", + "C) $71.74/bbl", + "D) $38.22/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $60.20/bbl\nC) $4.33/bbl\nD) $15.51/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $26.68/bbl", + "B) $60.20/bbl", + "C) $4.33/bbl", + "D) $15.51/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $60.20/bbl\nC) $4.33/bbl\nD) $15.51/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", + "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", + "options": [ + "A) $26.68/bbl", + "B) $60.20/bbl", + "C) $4.33/bbl", + "D) $15.51/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", + "event_date": "2015-08-11", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 0.42%", + "D) 0.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 0.42%", + "D) 0.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 0.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.42%", + "C) 0.34%", + "D) 0.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 0.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.42%", + "C) 0.34%", + "D) 0.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.49%", + "B) 0.27%", + "C) 0.42%", + "D) 0.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.49%", + "B) 0.27%", + "C) 0.42%", + "D) 0.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.03%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.96%", + "B) 0.81%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 1.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.03%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.96%", + "B) 0.81%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 1.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.03%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.03%", + "B) 0.96%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.03%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.03%", + "B) 0.96%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.96%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) 0.63%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 0.92%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.78%", + "B) 0.63%", + "C) 0.85%", + "D) 0.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.85%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) 0.63%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 0.92%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.78%", + "B) 0.63%", + "C) 0.85%", + "D) 0.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.85%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.64%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.79%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 0.42%", + "D) 0.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.64%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.79%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 0.42%", + "D) 0.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.79%\nD) 0.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.64%", + "B) 0.42%", + "C) 0.79%", + "D) 0.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.79%\nD) 0.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.64%", + "B) 0.42%", + "C) 0.79%", + "D) 0.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.71%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.86%", + "B) 0.64%", + "C) 0.49%", + "D) 0.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.71%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 0.86%", + "B) 0.64%", + "C) 0.49%", + "D) 0.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.48%", + "B) 1.90%", + "C) 2.19%", + "D) 2.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.48%", + "B) 1.90%", + "C) 2.19%", + "D) 2.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 2.19%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.48%", + "B) 2.33%", + "C) 2.62%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 2.19%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.48%", + "B) 2.33%", + "C) 2.62%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.17%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 2.32%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.03%", + "B) 2.17%", + "C) 1.74%", + "D) 2.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.17%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 2.32%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.03%", + "B) 2.17%", + "C) 1.74%", + "D) 2.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.20%", + "B) 1.63%", + "C) 1.92%", + "D) 1.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.20%", + "B) 1.63%", + "C) 1.92%", + "D) 1.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.06%", + "B) 1.77%", + "C) 1.63%", + "D) 1.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.06%", + "B) 1.77%", + "C) 1.63%", + "D) 1.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.63%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.77%", + "B) 1.20%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 1.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.63%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.77%", + "B) 1.20%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 1.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", + "event_date": "2015-12-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", + "year": 2015 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.30%", + "B) 2.63%", + "C) 1.96%", + "D) 2.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.22pp\nB) -1.66pp\nC) -4.00pp\nD) -0.89pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.22pp", + "B) -1.66pp", + "C) -4.00pp", + "D) -0.89pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.66pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.82\nB) 76.53\nC) 91.00\nD) 105.47", + "options": [ + "A) 95.82", + "B) 76.53", + "C) 91.00", + "D) 105.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "91.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 91.33\nB) 94.12\nC) 101.10\nD) 98.31", + "options": [ + "A) 91.33", + "B) 94.12", + "C) 101.10", + "D) 98.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "98.31", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 8.45%\nC) 5.48%\nD) 7.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.22%", + "B) 8.45%", + "C) 5.48%", + "D) 7.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 113.9208\nB) 105.8700\nC) 89.7684\nD) 81.7176", + "options": [ + "A) 113.9208", + "B) 105.8700", + "C) 89.7684", + "D) 81.7176" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "105.8700", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.90%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.79%", + "B) 0.90%", + "C) 0.69%", + "D) 0.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.24%\nB) -0.75%\nC) -4.48%\nD) -1.99%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.24%", + "B) -0.75%", + "C) -4.48%", + "D) -1.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 5.85%\nD) 9.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.05%", + "B) 4.64%", + "C) 5.85%", + "D) 9.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 190.88\nB) 186.90\nC) 174.97\nD) 178.95", + "options": [ + "A) 190.88", + "B) 186.90", + "C) 174.97", + "D) 178.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "186.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $-32,589M\nB) $-34,695M\nC) $-36,801M\nD) $-41,013M", + "options": [ + "A) $-32,589M", + "B) $-34,695M", + "C) $-36,801M", + "D) $-41,013M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-36,801M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -8.30%\nB) 15.39%\nC) 3.54%\nD) -20.15%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.30%", + "B) 15.39%", + "C) 3.54%", + "D) -20.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-20.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 110.60\nB) 108.39\nC) 106.18\nD) 113.92", + "options": [ + "A) 110.60", + "B) 108.39", + "C) 106.18", + "D) 113.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "110.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 20.46%\nB) 13.90%\nC) 33.59%\nD) 27.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.46%", + "B) 13.90%", + "C) 33.59%", + "D) 27.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $12,898B\nB) $14,411B\nC) $13,806B\nD) $14,109B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,898B", + "B) $14,411B", + "C) $13,806B", + "D) $14,109B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$13,806B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $21.99/hr\nB) $20.79/hr\nC) $20.20/hr\nD) $21.39/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $21.99/hr", + "B) $20.79/hr", + "C) $20.20/hr", + "D) $21.39/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$21.39/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.91pp\nB) +0.48pp\nC) +1.34pp\nD) +1.55pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.91pp", + "B) +0.48pp", + "C) +1.34pp", + "D) +1.55pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.91pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.79%\nB) 62.90%\nC) 61.01%\nD) 59.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.79%", + "B) 62.90%", + "C) 61.01%", + "D) 59.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "62.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) -0.21%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 6.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.98%", + "B) -0.21%", + "C) 2.93%", + "D) 6.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) $23.93/bbl\nB) $83.90/bbl\nC) $35.93/bbl\nD) $47.92/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $23.93/bbl", + "B) $83.90/bbl", + "C) $35.93/bbl", + "D) $47.92/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$47.92/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.14\nB) 23.10\nC) 29.01\nD) 17.18", + "options": [ + "A) 20.14", + "B) 23.10", + "C) 29.01", + "D) 17.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.14", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.83\nB) 97.88\nC) 100.94\nD) 102.99", + "options": [ + "A) 95.83", + "B) 97.88", + "C) 100.94", + "D) 102.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "97.88", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) -0.89%\nC) -0.09%\nD) -1.69%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.49%", + "B) -0.89%", + "C) -0.09%", + "D) -1.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +6.10pp\nB) -14.15pp\nC) -6.05pp\nD) -2.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) +6.10pp", + "B) -14.15pp", + "C) -6.05pp", + "D) -2.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-2.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 3.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.51%", + "B) 1.96%", + "C) 2.15%", + "D) 3.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70%\nB) 0.64%\nC) -1.36%\nD) 1.30%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.70%", + "B) 0.64%", + "C) -1.36%", + "D) 1.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.72%\nB) 8.22%\nC) 15.73%\nD) -6.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.72%", + "B) 8.22%", + "C) 15.73%", + "D) -6.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 919K\nB) 820K\nC) 1,217K\nD) 1,118K", + "options": [ + "A) 919K", + "B) 820K", + "C) 1,217K", + "D) 1,118K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,118K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.60pp\nB) +0.87pp\nC) +1.00pp\nD) +0.47pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.60pp", + "B) +0.87pp", + "C) +1.00pp", + "D) +0.47pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 5.07%\nC) 12.32%\nD) 2.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.23%", + "B) 5.07%", + "C) 12.32%", + "D) 2.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.95%\nB) 0.62%\nC) 1.55%\nD) 2.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.95%", + "B) 0.62%", + "C) 1.55%", + "D) 2.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 0.91%\nD) 1.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.66%", + "B) 0.73%", + "C) 0.91%", + "D) 1.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.82%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 1.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.46%", + "B) 1.82%", + "C) 1.21%", + "D) 1.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 162.92\nB) 176.58\nC) 190.24\nD) 183.41", + "options": [ + "A) 162.92", + "B) 176.58", + "C) 190.24", + "D) 183.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "176.58", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.26%\nB) -14.52%\nC) -7.26%\nD) -29.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.26%", + "B) -14.52%", + "C) -7.26%", + "D) -29.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-7.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0703\nB) 1.1775\nC) 1.0167\nD) 1.1239", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0703", + "B) 1.1775", + "C) 1.0167", + "D) 1.1239" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1239", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 143,662K\nB) 152,648K\nC) 149,054K\nD) 140,068K", + "options": [ + "A) 143,662K", + "B) 152,648K", + "C) 149,054K", + "D) 140,068K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "143,662K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 4.76%\nD) 7.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.47%", + "B) 5.90%", + "C) 4.76%", + "D) 7.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,053K\nB) 1,553K\nC) 1,303K\nD) 1,220K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,053K", + "B) 1,553K", + "C) 1,303K", + "D) 1,220K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,303K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -5.07pp\nB) -0.18pp\nC) -1.81pp\nD) -2.62pp", + "options": [ + "A) -5.07pp", + "B) -0.18pp", + "C) -1.81pp", + "D) -2.62pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-2.62pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.00pp\nB) -7.76pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +7.92pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.00pp", + "B) -7.76pp", + "C) +0.08pp", + "D) +7.92pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+4.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 58.01%\nB) 59.80%\nC) 62.79%\nD) 61.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 58.01%", + "B) 59.80%", + "C) 62.79%", + "D) 61.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "59.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.31%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.40%\nD) 0.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.31%", + "B) 0.64%", + "C) 0.40%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,369B\nB) $10,974B\nC) $12,948B\nD) $11,764B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,369B", + "B) $10,974B", + "C) $12,948B", + "D) $11,764B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$11,764B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 245.91\nB) 239.69\nC) 261.47\nD) 252.14", + "options": [ + "A) 245.91", + "B) 239.69", + "C) 261.47", + "D) 252.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "245.91", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 18,169.38\nB) 17,640.17\nC) 17,110.96\nD) 18,522.18", + "options": [ + "A) 18,169.38", + "B) 17,640.17", + "C) 17,110.96", + "D) 18,522.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "17,640.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,414,175\nB) 1,651,650\nC) 2,160,000\nD) 1,905,825", + "options": [ + "A) 2,414,175", + "B) 1,651,650", + "C) 2,160,000", + "D) 1,905,825" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,160,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $22.26/hr\nB) $20.35/hr\nC) $20.98/hr\nD) $21.62/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $22.26/hr", + "B) $20.35/hr", + "C) $20.98/hr", + "D) $21.62/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$21.62/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.37%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 0.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.26%", + "B) 0.37%", + "C) 0.15%", + "D) 0.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $197,391M\nB) $217,396M\nC) $224,064M\nD) $230,733M", + "options": [ + "A) $197,391M", + "B) $217,396M", + "C) $224,064M", + "D) $230,733M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$217,396M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.49%\nB) 57.91%\nC) 59.70%\nD) 56.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.49%", + "B) 57.91%", + "C) 59.70%", + "D) 56.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "59.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 2.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.31%", + "B) 3.65%", + "C) 2.28%", + "D) 2.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $59,556M\nB) $58,092M\nC) $62,484M\nD) $55,165M", + "options": [ + "A) $59,556M", + "B) $58,092M", + "C) $62,484M", + "D) $55,165M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$59,556M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.34%", + "B) 3.72%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 4.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.15%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 1.11%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.15%", + "B) 0.27%", + "C) 0.69%", + "D) 1.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.08%\nB) -7.57%\nC) -2.25%\nD) -4.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.08%", + "B) -7.57%", + "C) -2.25%", + "D) -4.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-4.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.61%\nB) -13.66%\nC) 3.96%\nD) -17.19%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.61%", + "B) -13.66%", + "C) 3.96%", + "D) -17.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-6.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.81pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.54pp\nD) -0.26pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.81pp", + "B) -0.40pp", + "C) -0.54pp", + "D) -0.26pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,700.64\nB) 3,969.22\nC) 4,834.93\nD) 3,536.36", + "options": [ + "A) 5,700.64", + "B) 3,969.22", + "C) 4,834.93", + "D) 3,536.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,834.93", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 73.66%\nB) 78.92%\nC) 76.66%\nD) 75.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 73.66%", + "B) 78.92%", + "C) 76.66%", + "D) 75.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "75.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 1.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 2.10%", + "C) 2.25%", + "D) 1.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 119.89\nB) 111.77\nC) 99.58\nD) 123.95", + "options": [ + "A) 119.89", + "B) 111.77", + "C) 99.58", + "D) 123.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "111.77", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,898M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $3,898M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$3,898M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.03%\nC) 5.66%\nD) 5.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.34%", + "B) 3.03%", + "C) 5.66%", + "D) 5.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -4.36%\nB) -20.46%\nC) 11.74%\nD) 1.00%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.36%", + "B) -20.46%", + "C) 11.74%", + "D) 1.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-4.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 191.54\nB) 182.10\nC) 166.37\nD) 175.81", + "options": [ + "A) 191.54", + "B) 182.10", + "C) 166.37", + "D) 175.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "182.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.04%\nB) -5.37%\nC) -1.16%\nD) 0.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.04%", + "B) -5.37%", + "C) -1.16%", + "D) 0.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) $90.60/bbl\nB) $18.72/bbl\nC) $33.09/bbl\nD) $47.47/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $90.60/bbl", + "B) $18.72/bbl", + "C) $33.09/bbl", + "D) $47.47/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$47.47/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 98.83\nB) 95.83\nC) 102.84\nD) 100.84", + "options": [ + "A) 98.83", + "B) 95.83", + "C) 102.84", + "D) 100.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "98.83", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,558B\nB) $13,055B\nC) $13,554B\nD) $14,552B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,558B", + "B) $13,055B", + "C) $13,554B", + "D) $14,552B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$13,055B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,953B\nB) $14,642B\nC) $14,019B\nD) $13,396B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,953B", + "B) $14,642B", + "C) $14,019B", + "D) $13,396B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$14,019B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 7.04%\nC) 6.36%\nD) 5.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.32%", + "B) 7.04%", + "C) 6.36%", + "D) 5.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) +0.44pp\nC) -0.44pp\nD) -0.15pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.00pp", + "B) +0.44pp", + "C) -0.44pp", + "D) -0.15pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -9.05%\nB) -5.91%\nC) 0.37%\nD) -15.33%", + "options": [ + "A) -9.05%", + "B) -5.91%", + "C) 0.37%", + "D) -15.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-5.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 827K\nB) 1,395K\nC) 1,111K\nD) 922K", + "options": [ + "A) 827K", + "B) 1,395K", + "C) 1,111K", + "D) 922K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,111K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.28%\nB) 0.43%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.28%", + "B) 0.43%", + "C) 0.51%", + "D) 0.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.24%\nB) 9.30%\nC) 6.55%\nD) 8.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.24%", + "B) 9.30%", + "C) 6.55%", + "D) 8.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $64,588M\nB) $60,742M\nC) $56,896M\nD) $59,460M", + "options": [ + "A) $64,588M", + "B) $60,742M", + "C) $56,896M", + "D) $59,460M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$60,742M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.60\nB) 95.72\nC) 97.67\nD) 92.79", + "options": [ + "A) 100.60", + "B) 95.72", + "C) 97.67", + "D) 92.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "97.67", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.77%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 3.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.77%", + "B) 0.70%", + "C) 5.30%", + "D) 3.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.00%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 64.89%\nD) 66.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.00%", + "B) 61.11%", + "C) 64.89%", + "D) 66.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "63.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $442,660M\nB) $453,056M\nC) $421,867M\nD) $432,264M", + "options": [ + "A) $442,660M", + "B) $453,056M", + "C) $421,867M", + "D) $432,264M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$453,056M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 258.32\nB) 242.52\nC) 248.84\nD) 236.20", + "options": [ + "A) 258.32", + "B) 242.52", + "C) 248.84", + "D) 236.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "248.84", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $225,760M\nB) $203,645M\nC) $233,131M\nD) $218,388M", + "options": [ + "A) $225,760M", + "B) $203,645M", + "C) $233,131M", + "D) $218,388M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$218,388M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -20.10%\nB) -33.57%\nC) -47.04%\nD) -6.63%", + "options": [ + "A) -20.10%", + "B) -33.57%", + "C) -47.04%", + "D) -6.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-20.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 245.22\nB) 238.08\nC) 230.94\nD) 223.80", + "options": [ + "A) 245.22", + "B) 238.08", + "C) 230.94", + "D) 223.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "238.08", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 161.99\nB) 205.86\nC) 183.93\nD) 198.55", + "options": [ + "A) 161.99", + "B) 205.86", + "C) 183.93", + "D) 198.55" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "183.93", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.10pp\nB) +0.90pp\nC) +0.24pp\nD) +0.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.10pp", + "B) +0.90pp", + "C) +0.24pp", + "D) +0.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 261,000\nB) 308,153\nC) 237,424\nD) 213,847", + "options": [ + "A) 261,000", + "B) 308,153", + "C) 237,424", + "D) 213,847" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "261,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.57%\nB) 75.31%\nC) 71.55%\nD) 73.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 77.57%", + "B) 75.31%", + "C) 71.55%", + "D) 73.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "75.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 2.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.16%", + "B) 2.05%", + "C) 2.27%", + "D) 2.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $13,421B\nB) $11,653B\nC) $13,126B\nD) $12,537B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,421B", + "B) $11,653B", + "C) $13,126B", + "D) $12,537B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$12,537B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.89%\nB) 0.99%\nC) -0.82%\nD) 4.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.89%", + "B) 0.99%", + "C) -0.82%", + "D) 4.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.26%\nB) 3.05%\nC) -0.16%\nD) 4.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.26%", + "B) 3.05%", + "C) -0.16%", + "D) 4.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.73\nB) 96.69\nC) 98.67\nD) 100.64", + "options": [ + "A) 93.73", + "B) 96.69", + "C) 98.67", + "D) 100.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "98.67", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 150,533K\nB) 139,401K\nC) 154,243K\nD) 144,967K", + "options": [ + "A) 150,533K", + "B) 139,401K", + "C) 154,243K", + "D) 144,967K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "144,967K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.10%\nB) 6.26%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 6.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.10%", + "B) 6.26%", + "C) 5.68%", + "D) 6.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $-38,966M\nB) $-37,004M\nC) $-33,080M\nD) $-35,042M", + "options": [ + "A) $-38,966M", + "B) $-37,004M", + "C) $-33,080M", + "D) $-35,042M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-37,004M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 3.06%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 2.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.01%", + "B) 3.06%", + "C) 2.43%", + "D) 2.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 3.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.21%", + "B) 3.70%", + "C) 3.05%", + "D) 3.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.99%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 1.21%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.60%", + "B) 1.99%", + "C) 1.41%", + "D) 1.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.49%\nB) -0.16%\nC) -12.65%\nD) -4.32%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.49%", + "B) -0.16%", + "C) -12.65%", + "D) -4.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.15%\nB) 1.19%\nC) -12.75%\nD) -26.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.15%", + "B) 1.19%", + "C) -12.75%", + "D) -26.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-12.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.35%\nB) 2.52%\nC) -0.19%\nD) 0.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.35%", + "B) 2.52%", + "C) -0.19%", + "D) 0.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 1.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.14%", + "B) 2.39%", + "C) 2.52%", + "D) 1.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -10.41%\nB) -3.28%\nC) 3.85%\nD) -24.68%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.41%", + "B) -3.28%", + "C) 3.85%", + "D) -24.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-3.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 111.89\nB) 106.41\nC) 109.70\nD) 115.19", + "options": [ + "A) 111.89", + "B) 106.41", + "C) 109.70", + "D) 115.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "109.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.48%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.48%", + "B) 1.59%", + "C) 1.96%", + "D) 1.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,068K\nB) 898K\nC) 1,153K\nD) 1,322K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,068K", + "B) 898K", + "C) 1,153K", + "D) 1,322K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,068K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 17.91%\nB) 4.29%\nC) 24.72%\nD) -16.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 17.91%", + "B) 4.29%", + "C) 24.72%", + "D) -16.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.81%\nB) 1.16%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 10.99%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.81%", + "B) 1.16%", + "C) 5.09%", + "D) 10.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.84pp\nB) +0.16pp\nC) +0.61pp\nD) +0.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.84pp", + "B) +0.16pp", + "C) +0.61pp", + "D) +0.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +0.04pp\nC) +0.76pp\nD) +0.52pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.40pp", + "B) +0.04pp", + "C) +0.76pp", + "D) +0.52pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 2.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.10%", + "B) 1.89%", + "C) 1.58%", + "D) 2.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.1838\nB) 6.3811\nC) 6.5785\nD) 6.7759", + "options": [ + "A) 6.1838", + "B) 6.3811", + "C) 6.5785", + "D) 6.7759" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.5785", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,736M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $3,736M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$3,736M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,847B\nB) $13,762B\nC) $13,457B\nD) $11,931B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,847B", + "B) $13,762B", + "C) $13,457B", + "D) $11,931B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$12,847B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 95.56\nB) 98.75\nC) 93.43\nD) 101.94", + "options": [ + "A) 95.56", + "B) 98.75", + "C) 93.43", + "D) 101.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "98.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.85%\nB) -9.36%\nC) -5.10%\nD) -17.88%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.85%", + "B) -9.36%", + "C) -5.10%", + "D) -17.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-5.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.45%\nB) -5.65%\nC) -4.58%\nD) -3.52%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.45%", + "B) -5.65%", + "C) -4.58%", + "D) -3.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-3.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 241.18\nB) 236.35\nC) 231.53\nD) 248.41", + "options": [ + "A) 241.18", + "B) 236.35", + "C) 231.53", + "D) 248.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "241.18", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $453,080M\nB) $441,856M\nC) $475,527M\nD) $464,303M", + "options": [ + "A) $453,080M", + "B) $441,856M", + "C) $475,527M", + "D) $464,303M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$441,856M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20160615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2016-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.36%\nB) 8.54%\nC) 5.64%\nD) -3.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.36%", + "B) 8.54%", + "C) 5.64%", + "D) -3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $11,655B\nB) $13,165B\nC) $14,173B\nD) $12,662B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,655B", + "B) $13,165B", + "C) $14,173B", + "D) $12,662B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$12,662B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.20\nB) 77.85\nC) 95.65\nD) 104.55", + "options": [ + "A) 91.20", + "B) 77.85", + "C) 95.65", + "D) 104.55" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "91.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2016", + "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 1.69%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 1.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.04%", + "B) 1.69%", + "C) 1.45%", + "D) 1.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2402\nB) 0.8999\nC) 1.1126\nD) 1.0275", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2402", + "B) 0.8999", + "C) 1.1126", + "D) 1.0275" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1126", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2402\nB) 0.8999\nC) 1.1126\nD) 1.0275", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2402", + "B) 0.8999", + "C) 1.1126", + "D) 1.0275" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1126", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0294\nB) 1.2421\nC) 1.3272\nD) 1.1145", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0294", + "B) 1.2421", + "C) 1.3272", + "D) 1.1145" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1145", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0294\nB) 1.2421\nC) 1.3272\nD) 1.1145", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0294", + "B) 1.2421", + "C) 1.3272", + "D) 1.1145" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1145", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.1145\nB) 1.0294\nC) 0.9018\nD) 1.2421", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1145", + "B) 1.0294", + "C) 0.9018", + "D) 1.2421" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.1145", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.1145\nB) 1.0294\nC) 0.9018\nD) 1.2421", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1145", + "B) 1.0294", + "C) 0.9018", + "D) 1.2421" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.1145", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2185\nB) 1.1334\nC) 1.0483\nD) 0.9633", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2185", + "B) 1.1334", + "C) 1.0483", + "D) 0.9633" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1334", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2185\nB) 1.1334\nC) 1.0483\nD) 0.9633", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2185", + "B) 1.1334", + "C) 1.0483", + "D) 0.9633" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1334", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.1334\nD) 1.3035", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0058", + "B) 1.2185", + "C) 1.1334", + "D) 1.3035" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1334", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.1334\nD) 1.3035", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0058", + "B) 1.2185", + "C) 1.1334", + "D) 1.3035" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1334", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.3461\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.0058\nD) 1.1334", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3461", + "B) 1.2185", + "C) 1.0058", + "D) 1.1334" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1334", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.3461\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.0058\nD) 1.1334", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.3461", + "B) 1.2185", + "C) 1.0058", + "D) 1.1334" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1334", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.63\nB) 19.84\nC) 17.73\nD) 13.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 15.63", + "B) 19.84", + "C) 17.73", + "D) 13.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.63\nB) 19.84\nC) 17.73\nD) 13.53", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 15.63", + "B) 19.84", + "C) 17.73", + "D) 13.53" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.30\nB) 13.20\nC) 19.51\nD) 8.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 15.30", + "B) 13.20", + "C) 19.51", + "D) 8.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.30\nB) 13.20\nC) 19.51\nD) 8.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 15.30", + "B) 13.20", + "C) 19.51", + "D) 8.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 7.56\nB) 9.67\nC) 11.77\nD) 5.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 7.56", + "B) 9.67", + "C) 11.77", + "D) 5.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 7.56\nB) 9.67\nC) 11.77\nD) 5.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 7.56", + "B) 9.67", + "C) 11.77", + "D) 5.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 5.03\nC) 7.13\nD) 11.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 9.24", + "B) 5.03", + "C) 7.13", + "D) 11.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 5.03\nC) 7.13\nD) 11.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 9.24", + "B) 5.03", + "C) 7.13", + "D) 11.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 7.13\nC) 15.55\nD) 13.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 11.34", + "B) 7.13", + "C) 15.55", + "D) 13.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 7.13\nC) 15.55\nD) 13.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 11.34", + "B) 7.13", + "C) 15.55", + "D) 13.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 11.34\nC) 13.44\nD) 7.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 9.24", + "B) 11.34", + "C) 13.44", + "D) 7.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 11.34\nC) 13.44\nD) 7.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 9.24", + "B) 11.34", + "C) 13.44", + "D) 7.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,077.94\nB) 4,489.76\nC) 4,842.67\nD) 5,195.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,077.94", + "B) 4,489.76", + "C) 4,842.67", + "D) 5,195.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,842.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,077.94\nB) 4,489.76\nC) 4,842.67\nD) 5,195.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,077.94", + "B) 4,489.76", + "C) 4,842.67", + "D) 5,195.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,842.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,839.12\nB) 4,603.85\nC) 5,074.40\nD) 4,956.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 4,839.12", + "B) 4,603.85", + "C) 5,074.40", + "D) 4,956.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,956.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,839.12\nB) 4,603.85\nC) 5,074.40\nD) 4,956.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 4,839.12", + "B) 4,603.85", + "C) 5,074.40", + "D) 4,956.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,956.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,100.16\nB) 5,453.07\nC) 4,864.89\nD) 5,335.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,100.16", + "B) 5,453.07", + "C) 4,864.89", + "D) 5,335.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,100.16", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,100.16\nB) 5,453.07\nC) 4,864.89\nD) 5,335.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,100.16", + "B) 5,453.07", + "C) 4,864.89", + "D) 5,335.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,100.16", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,909.11\nB) 5,262.02\nC) 5,144.38\nD) 5,497.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 4,909.11", + "B) 5,262.02", + "C) 5,144.38", + "D) 5,497.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,262.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,909.11\nB) 5,262.02\nC) 5,144.38\nD) 5,497.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 4,909.11", + "B) 5,262.02", + "C) 5,144.38", + "D) 5,497.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,262.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,636.84\nB) 4,931.02\nC) 5,283.93\nD) 5,166.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,636.84", + "B) 4,931.02", + "C) 5,283.93", + "D) 5,166.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,283.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,636.84\nB) 4,931.02\nC) 5,283.93\nD) 5,166.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,636.84", + "B) 4,931.02", + "C) 5,283.93", + "D) 5,166.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,283.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,699.10\nB) 5,110.92\nC) 5,816.74\nD) 5,463.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,699.10", + "B) 5,110.92", + "C) 5,816.74", + "D) 5,463.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,463.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,699.10\nB) 5,110.92\nC) 5,816.74\nD) 5,463.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5,699.10", + "B) 5,110.92", + "C) 5,816.74", + "D) 5,463.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,463.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 1.71%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.46%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 1.83%", + "D) 1.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.46%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 1.71%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.46%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 1.83%", + "D) 1.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.46%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.12%", + "B) 1.37%", + "C) 1.25%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.12%", + "B) 1.37%", + "C) 1.25%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.00%", + "B) 1.62%", + "C) 1.37%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.00%", + "B) 1.62%", + "C) 1.37%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 1.12%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.37%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.62%", + "B) 1.12%", + "C) 1.25%", + "D) 1.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 1.12%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.37%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.62%", + "B) 1.12%", + "C) 1.25%", + "D) 1.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.37%", + "B) 1.00%", + "C) 1.25%", + "D) 1.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.37%", + "B) 1.00%", + "C) 1.25%", + "D) 1.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.74%", + "B) 1.37%", + "C) 1.12%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.49%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", + "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.74%", + "B) 1.37%", + "C) 1.12%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Brexit referendum", + "event_date": "2016-06-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,600.27\nB) 5,383.84\nC) 5,275.62\nD) 4,950.97", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,600.27", + "B) 5,383.84", + "C) 5,275.62", + "D) 4,950.97" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,275.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,600.27\nB) 5,383.84\nC) 5,275.62\nD) 4,950.97", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,600.27", + "B) 5,383.84", + "C) 5,275.62", + "D) 4,950.97" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,275.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,711.00\nB) 5,494.57\nC) 5,169.91\nD) 5,386.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,711.00", + "B) 5,494.57", + "C) 5,169.91", + "D) 5,386.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,386.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,711.00\nB) 5,494.57\nC) 5,169.91\nD) 5,386.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,711.00", + "B) 5,494.57", + "C) 5,169.91", + "D) 5,386.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,386.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,398.92\nB) 5,507.14\nC) 5,182.48\nD) 5,290.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,398.92", + "B) 5,507.14", + "C) 5,182.48", + "D) 5,290.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,398.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,398.92\nB) 5,507.14\nC) 5,182.48\nD) 5,290.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,398.92", + "B) 5,507.14", + "C) 5,182.48", + "D) 5,290.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,398.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,737.50\nB) 5,521.06\nC) 5,088.19\nD) 5,304.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,737.50", + "B) 5,521.06", + "C) 5,088.19", + "D) 5,304.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,521.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,737.50\nB) 5,521.06\nC) 5,088.19\nD) 5,304.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,737.50", + "B) 5,521.06", + "C) 5,088.19", + "D) 5,304.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,521.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,125.68\nB) 5,342.12\nC) 5,666.77\nD) 5,883.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,125.68", + "B) 5,342.12", + "C) 5,666.77", + "D) 5,883.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,666.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,125.68\nB) 5,342.12\nC) 5,666.77\nD) 5,883.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,125.68", + "B) 5,342.12", + "C) 5,666.77", + "D) 5,883.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,666.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,878.93\nB) 5,554.28\nC) 6,420.02\nD) 6,095.37", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,878.93", + "B) 5,554.28", + "C) 6,420.02", + "D) 6,095.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,095.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,878.93\nB) 5,554.28\nC) 6,420.02\nD) 6,095.37", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 5,878.93", + "B) 5,554.28", + "C) 6,420.02", + "D) 6,095.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,095.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,163.26", + "B) 2,228.16", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,293.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,163.26", + "B) 2,228.16", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,293.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,228.16", + "B) 2,163.26", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,293.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,228.16", + "B) 2,163.26", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,293.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,033.46\nC) 2,163.26\nD) 2,098.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,228.16", + "B) 2,033.46", + "C) 2,163.26", + "D) 2,098.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,033.46\nC) 2,163.26\nD) 2,098.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,228.16", + "B) 2,033.46", + "C) 2,163.26", + "D) 2,098.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,011.83\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,163.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,228.16", + "B) 2,011.83", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,163.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,011.83\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,163.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,228.16", + "B) 2,011.83", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,163.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,314.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,163.26", + "B) 2,228.16", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,314.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,314.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,163.26", + "B) 2,228.16", + "C) 2,098.36", + "D) 2,314.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,314.69\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,228.16\nD) 2,098.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,314.69", + "B) 2,163.26", + "C) 2,228.16", + "D) 2,098.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,314.69\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,228.16\nD) 2,098.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2,314.69", + "B) 2,163.26", + "C) 2,228.16", + "D) 2,098.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,163.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.10%", + "B) 1.84%", + "C) 2.23%", + "D) 2.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.23%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.10%", + "B) 1.84%", + "C) 2.23%", + "D) 2.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.23%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 2.36%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.49%", + "B) 2.10%", + "C) 1.97%", + "D) 2.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.36%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 2.36%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.49%", + "B) 2.10%", + "C) 1.97%", + "D) 2.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.36%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.45%", + "B) 2.71%", + "C) 2.84%", + "D) 2.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.45%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.45%", + "B) 2.71%", + "C) 2.84%", + "D) 2.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.45%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.60%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 2.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.47%", + "B) 2.60%", + "C) 2.34%", + "D) 2.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.60%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 2.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.47%", + "B) 2.60%", + "C) 2.34%", + "D) 2.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.73%", + "B) 2.99%", + "C) 2.60%", + "D) 2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.73%", + "B) 2.99%", + "C) 2.60%", + "D) 2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.60%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.23%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.23%", + "B) 3.01%", + "C) 2.88%", + "D) 2.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.62%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.23%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 2.23%", + "B) 3.01%", + "C) 2.88%", + "D) 2.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.62%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.1452\nD) 1.1952", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0952", + "B) 1.0202", + "C) 1.1452", + "D) 1.1952" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.1452\nD) 1.1952", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0952", + "B) 1.0202", + "C) 1.1452", + "D) 1.1952" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1702\nB) 1.0952\nC) 1.2202\nD) 1.0202", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1702", + "B) 1.0952", + "C) 1.2202", + "D) 1.0202" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1702\nB) 1.0952\nC) 1.2202\nD) 1.0202", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1702", + "B) 1.0952", + "C) 1.2202", + "D) 1.0202" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 0.9702\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.0952\nD) 1.1702", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9702", + "B) 1.0202", + "C) 1.0952", + "D) 1.1702" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 0.9702\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.0952\nD) 1.1702", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9702", + "B) 1.0202", + "C) 1.0952", + "D) 1.1702" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0452\nB) 1.1702\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0952", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0452", + "B) 1.1702", + "C) 0.9702", + "D) 1.0952" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0452\nB) 1.1702\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0952", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0452", + "B) 1.1702", + "C) 0.9702", + "D) 1.0952" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1452\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0202", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0952", + "B) 1.1452", + "C) 0.9702", + "D) 1.0202" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1452\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0202", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0952", + "B) 1.1452", + "C) 0.9702", + "D) 1.0202" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0952", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1467\nB) 1.0967\nC) 1.2217\nD) 1.0217", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1467", + "B) 1.0967", + "C) 1.2217", + "D) 1.0217" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0967", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1467\nB) 1.0967\nC) 1.2217\nD) 1.0217", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1467", + "B) 1.0967", + "C) 1.2217", + "D) 1.0217" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0967", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 14.74\nD) 18.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.82", + "B) 20.97", + "C) 14.74", + "D) 18.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 14.74\nD) 18.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.82", + "B) 20.97", + "C) 14.74", + "D) 18.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 12.66\nD) 14.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.82", + "B) 20.97", + "C) 12.66", + "D) 14.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 12.66\nD) 14.74", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.82", + "B) 20.97", + "C) 12.66", + "D) 14.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.74\nB) 8.51\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 14.74", + "B) 8.51", + "C) 18.89", + "D) 10.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.74\nB) 8.51\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 14.74", + "B) 8.51", + "C) 18.89", + "D) 10.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 14.74\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.82", + "B) 14.74", + "C) 18.89", + "D) 10.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 14.74\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.82", + "B) 14.74", + "C) 18.89", + "D) 10.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 8.51\nC) 14.74\nD) 10.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 20.97", + "B) 8.51", + "C) 14.74", + "D) 10.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 8.51\nC) 14.74\nD) 10.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 20.97", + "B) 8.51", + "C) 14.74", + "D) 10.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.74", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 22.19\nC) 18.04\nD) 15.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 13.88", + "B) 22.19", + "C) 18.04", + "D) 15.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 22.19\nC) 18.04\nD) 15.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 13.88", + "B) 22.19", + "C) 18.04", + "D) 15.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump election victory", + "event_date": "2016-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,637.99\nB) 4,978.13\nC) 5,148.19\nD) 4,127.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,637.99", + "B) 4,978.13", + "C) 5,148.19", + "D) 4,127.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,637.99", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,637.99\nB) 4,978.13\nC) 5,148.19\nD) 4,127.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,637.99", + "B) 4,978.13", + "C) 5,148.19", + "D) 4,127.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,637.99", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,647.02\nB) 4,476.95\nC) 4,987.15\nD) 4,817.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,647.02", + "B) 4,476.95", + "C) 4,987.15", + "D) 4,817.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,476.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,647.02\nB) 4,476.95\nC) 4,987.15\nD) 4,817.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,647.02", + "B) 4,476.95", + "C) 4,987.15", + "D) 4,817.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,476.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,978.37\nB) 4,808.31\nC) 4,468.17\nD) 4,638.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,978.37", + "B) 4,808.31", + "C) 4,468.17", + "D) 4,638.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,468.17", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,978.37\nB) 4,808.31\nC) 4,468.17\nD) 4,638.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,978.37", + "B) 4,808.31", + "C) 4,468.17", + "D) 4,638.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,468.17", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 3,756.64\nC) 4,777.04\nD) 4,266.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,096.77", + "B) 3,756.64", + "C) 4,777.04", + "D) 4,266.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,266.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 3,756.64\nC) 4,777.04\nD) 4,266.84", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,096.77", + "B) 3,756.64", + "C) 4,777.04", + "D) 4,266.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,266.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,266.84\nB) 4,436.91\nC) 3,926.70\nD) 4,606.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,266.84", + "B) 4,436.91", + "C) 3,926.70", + "D) 4,606.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,266.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,266.84\nB) 4,436.91\nC) 3,926.70\nD) 4,606.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,266.84", + "B) 4,436.91", + "C) 3,926.70", + "D) 4,606.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,266.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 4,266.84\nC) 3,756.64\nD) 4,777.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,096.77", + "B) 4,266.84", + "C) 3,756.64", + "D) 4,777.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,266.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 4,266.84\nC) 3,756.64\nD) 4,777.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 4,096.77", + "B) 4,266.84", + "C) 3,756.64", + "D) 4,777.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,266.84", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3262\nB) 6.0654\nC) 6.5219\nD) 6.7176", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3262", + "B) 6.0654", + "C) 6.5219", + "D) 6.7176" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.5219", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3262\nB) 6.0654\nC) 6.5219\nD) 6.7176", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3262", + "B) 6.0654", + "C) 6.5219", + "D) 6.7176" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.5219", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.0654\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.3262\nD) 6.5219", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0654", + "B) 6.7176", + "C) 6.3262", + "D) 6.5219" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.5219", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.0654\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.3262\nD) 6.5219", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0654", + "B) 6.7176", + "C) 6.3262", + "D) 6.5219" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.5219", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.5219\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.1306\nD) 6.3262", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.5219", + "B) 6.7176", + "C) 6.1306", + "D) 6.3262" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.5219", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.5219\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.1306\nD) 6.3262", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.5219", + "B) 6.7176", + "C) 6.1306", + "D) 6.3262" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.5219", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.6457\nB) 6.5154\nC) 6.1896\nD) 6.3851", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.6457", + "B) 6.5154", + "C) 6.1896", + "D) 6.3851" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.5154", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.6457\nB) 6.5154\nC) 6.1896\nD) 6.3851", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.6457", + "B) 6.5154", + "C) 6.1896", + "D) 6.3851" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.5154", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3355\nB) 6.2062\nC) 6.4648\nD) 6.6587", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3355", + "B) 6.2062", + "C) 6.4648", + "D) 6.6587" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4648", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3355\nB) 6.2062\nC) 6.4648\nD) 6.6587", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3355", + "B) 6.2062", + "C) 6.4648", + "D) 6.6587" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4648", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.7059\nB) 6.5770\nC) 6.3190\nD) 6.4480", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7059", + "B) 6.5770", + "C) 6.3190", + "D) 6.4480" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.4480", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.7059\nB) 6.5770\nC) 6.3190\nD) 6.4480", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7059", + "B) 6.5770", + "C) 6.3190", + "D) 6.4480" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.4480", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 13.64\nC) 15.54\nD) 21.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 19.34", + "B) 13.64", + "C) 15.54", + "D) 21.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 13.64\nC) 15.54\nD) 21.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 19.34", + "B) 13.64", + "C) 15.54", + "D) 21.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 25.04\nB) 19.34\nC) 17.44\nD) 13.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 25.04", + "B) 19.34", + "C) 17.44", + "D) 13.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 25.04\nB) 19.34\nC) 17.44\nD) 13.64", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 25.04", + "B) 19.34", + "C) 17.44", + "D) 13.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 21.24\nB) 17.44\nC) 19.34\nD) 15.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 21.24", + "B) 17.44", + "C) 19.34", + "D) 15.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 21.24\nB) 17.44\nC) 19.34\nD) 15.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 21.24", + "B) 17.44", + "C) 19.34", + "D) 15.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.34", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 22.79\nC) 13.29\nD) 17.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 18.99", + "B) 22.79", + "C) 13.29", + "D) 17.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 22.79\nC) 13.29\nD) 17.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 18.99", + "B) 22.79", + "C) 13.29", + "D) 17.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.56\nB) 9.76\nC) 11.66\nD) 19.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 13.56", + "B) 9.76", + "C) 11.66", + "D) 19.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13.56", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.56\nB) 9.76\nC) 11.66\nD) 19.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 13.56", + "B) 9.76", + "C) 11.66", + "D) 19.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13.56", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 7.40\nB) 13.10\nC) 9.30\nD) 16.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 7.40", + "B) 13.10", + "C) 9.30", + "D) 16.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.10", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 7.40\nB) 13.10\nC) 9.30\nD) 16.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) 7.40", + "B) 13.10", + "C) 9.30", + "D) 16.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.10", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $6.69/bbl\nB) $68.51/bbl\nC) $31.42/bbl\nD) $43.78/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $6.69/bbl", + "B) $68.51/bbl", + "C) $31.42/bbl", + "D) $43.78/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$31.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $6.69/bbl\nB) $68.51/bbl\nC) $31.42/bbl\nD) $43.78/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $6.69/bbl", + "B) $68.51/bbl", + "C) $31.42/bbl", + "D) $43.78/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$31.42/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $65.56/bbl\nB) $40.83/bbl\nC) $3.74/bbl\nD) $28.47/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $65.56/bbl", + "B) $40.83/bbl", + "C) $3.74/bbl", + "D) $28.47/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$28.47/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $65.56/bbl\nB) $40.83/bbl\nC) $3.74/bbl\nD) $28.47/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $65.56/bbl", + "B) $40.83/bbl", + "C) $3.74/bbl", + "D) $28.47/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$28.47/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $51.41/bbl\nC) $39.04/bbl\nD) $14.32/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $26.68/bbl", + "B) $51.41/bbl", + "C) $39.04/bbl", + "D) $14.32/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $51.41/bbl\nC) $39.04/bbl\nD) $14.32/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $26.68/bbl", + "B) $51.41/bbl", + "C) $39.04/bbl", + "D) $14.32/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $13.83/bbl\nB) $26.19/bbl\nC) $-10.90/bbl\nD) $38.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $13.83/bbl", + "B) $26.19/bbl", + "C) $-10.90/bbl", + "D) $38.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $13.83/bbl\nB) $26.19/bbl\nC) $-10.90/bbl\nD) $38.55/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $13.83/bbl", + "B) $26.19/bbl", + "C) $-10.90/bbl", + "D) $38.55/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $38.55/bbl\nB) $1.46/bbl\nC) $26.19/bbl\nD) $13.83/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $38.55/bbl", + "B) $1.46/bbl", + "C) $26.19/bbl", + "D) $13.83/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $38.55/bbl\nB) $1.46/bbl\nC) $26.19/bbl\nD) $13.83/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $38.55/bbl", + "B) $1.46/bbl", + "C) $26.19/bbl", + "D) $13.83/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $-10.90/bbl\nB) $38.55/bbl\nC) $63.28/bbl\nD) $26.19/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $-10.90/bbl", + "B) $38.55/bbl", + "C) $63.28/bbl", + "D) $26.19/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $-10.90/bbl\nB) $38.55/bbl\nC) $63.28/bbl\nD) $26.19/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", + "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", + "options": [ + "A) $-10.90/bbl", + "B) $38.55/bbl", + "C) $63.28/bbl", + "D) $26.19/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", + "event_date": "2016-01-04", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", + "year": 2016 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 1.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.15%", + "B) 1.01%", + "C) 1.58%", + "D) 1.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.38%", + "B) 2.05%", + "C) 1.82%", + "D) 1.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $23.89/hr\nB) $21.15/hr\nC) $22.18/hr\nD) $23.21/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $23.89/hr", + "B) $21.15/hr", + "C) $22.18/hr", + "D) $23.21/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$22.18/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.0602\nB) 7.4412\nC) 6.4250\nD) 6.8061", + "options": [ + "A) 7.0602", + "B) 7.4412", + "C) 6.4250", + "D) 6.8061" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.8061", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $222,944M\nB) $216,440M\nC) $242,456M\nD) $209,936M", + "options": [ + "A) $222,944M", + "B) $216,440M", + "C) $242,456M", + "D) $209,936M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$222,944M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,088B\nB) $13,417B\nC) $14,076B\nD) $12,430B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,088B", + "B) $13,417B", + "C) $14,076B", + "D) $12,430B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$13,417B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $453,408M\nB) $473,940M\nC) $463,674M\nD) $494,472M", + "options": [ + "A) $453,408M", + "B) $473,940M", + "C) $463,674M", + "D) $494,472M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$463,674M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 2.78%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.40%", + "B) 3.19%", + "C) 2.99%", + "D) 2.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.18%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 1.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.18%", + "B) 2.92%", + "C) 2.55%", + "D) 1.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.41\nB) 100.40\nC) 94.38\nD) 97.39", + "options": [ + "A) 103.41", + "B) 100.40", + "C) 94.38", + "D) 97.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "100.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 1.11%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 1.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.71%", + "B) 1.11%", + "C) 1.41%", + "D) 1.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.77%", + "B) 2.75%", + "C) 1.96%", + "D) 2.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.77%\nB) 33.64%\nC) 0.53%\nD) 7.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.77%", + "B) 33.64%", + "C) 0.53%", + "D) 7.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.28%\nB) 2.62%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 3.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.28%", + "B) 2.62%", + "C) 2.07%", + "D) 3.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.16%\nB) 21.70%\nC) 21.09%\nD) 22.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.16%", + "B) 21.70%", + "C) 21.09%", + "D) 22.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "21.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 38.43%\nB) 32.98%\nC) 22.06%\nD) 27.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 38.43%", + "B) 32.98%", + "C) 22.06%", + "D) 27.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "27.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.60%", + "B) 1.28%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 1.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 140,321K\nB) 145,970K\nC) 149,736K\nD) 155,385K", + "options": [ + "A) 140,321K", + "B) 145,970K", + "C) 149,736K", + "D) 155,385K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "145,970K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.36%\nB) 6.88%\nC) 5.90%\nD) 4.92%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.36%", + "B) 6.88%", + "C) 5.90%", + "D) 4.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 31.73%\nB) -10.57%\nC) -3.52%\nD) 10.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 31.73%", + "B) -10.57%", + "C) -3.52%", + "D) 10.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 17.43%\nB) 18.99%\nC) 16.49%\nD) 18.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 17.43%", + "B) 18.99%", + "C) 16.49%", + "D) 18.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 199.91\nB) 191.50\nC) 187.30\nD) 204.11", + "options": [ + "A) 199.91", + "B) 191.50", + "C) 187.30", + "D) 204.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "191.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.20%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 0.72%\nD) -1.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.20%", + "B) 1.96%", + "C) 0.72%", + "D) -1.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.16%\nB) 8.18%\nC) -1.71%\nD) 4.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.16%", + "B) 8.18%", + "C) -1.71%", + "D) 4.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.20pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) -0.27pp\nD) +0.67pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.20pp", + "B) +0.51pp", + "C) -0.27pp", + "D) +0.67pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.89%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 1.81%", + "D) 1.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.44%\nB) 6.92%\nC) 5.16%\nD) 3.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.44%", + "B) 6.92%", + "C) 5.16%", + "D) 3.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 4.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.26%", + "B) 1.34%", + "C) 6.88%", + "D) 4.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.68%", + "B) 2.01%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 1.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,698,777\nB) 1,915,000\nC) 2,131,223\nD) 1,482,554", + "options": [ + "A) 1,698,777", + "B) 1,915,000", + "C) 2,131,223", + "D) 1,482,554" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,915,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) -47.18%\nB) -33.40%\nC) -5.82%\nD) 35.54%", + "options": [ + "A) -47.18%", + "B) -33.40%", + "C) -5.82%", + "D) 35.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-5.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 137,484K\nB) 152,722K\nC) 143,198K\nD) 147,008K", + "options": [ + "A) 137,484K", + "B) 152,722K", + "C) 143,198K", + "D) 147,008K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "147,008K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,432.46\nB) 2,378.17\nC) 2,486.75\nD) 2,595.33", + "options": [ + "A) 2,432.46", + "B) 2,378.17", + "C) 2,486.75", + "D) 2,595.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,432.46", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.05%\nB) 2.09%\nC) 10.06%\nD) 6.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.05%", + "B) 2.09%", + "C) 10.06%", + "D) 6.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0584\nB) 1.2287\nC) 1.1152\nD) 1.0017", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0584", + "B) 1.2287", + "C) 1.1152", + "D) 1.0017" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1152", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $455,334M\nB) $496,114M\nC) $506,309M\nD) $475,724M", + "options": [ + "A) $455,334M", + "B) $496,114M", + "C) $506,309M", + "D) $475,724M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$475,724M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.01\nB) 101.98\nC) 104.95\nD) 96.04", + "options": [ + "A) 99.01", + "B) 101.98", + "C) 104.95", + "D) 96.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "99.01", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) $82.27/bbl\nB) $44.47/bbl\nC) $19.27/bbl\nD) $31.87/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $82.27/bbl", + "B) $44.47/bbl", + "C) $19.27/bbl", + "D) $31.87/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$44.47/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,375B\nB) $13,764B\nC) $14,408B\nD) $14,086B", + "options": [ + "A) $15,375B", + "B) $13,764B", + "C) $14,408B", + "D) $14,086B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$14,408B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,769B\nB) $12,825B\nC) $14,084B\nD) $13,140B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,769B", + "B) $12,825B", + "C) $14,084B", + "D) $13,140B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$13,140B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.81pp\nB) +0.57pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +1.05pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.81pp", + "B) +0.57pp", + "C) +0.08pp", + "D) +1.05pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.81pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.79%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 4.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.79%", + "B) 4.44%", + "C) 5.41%", + "D) 4.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 1.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.15%", + "B) 1.61%", + "C) 1.42%", + "D) 1.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.03%\nB) 4.46%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 5.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.03%", + "B) 4.46%", + "C) 3.88%", + "D) 5.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.23%\nB) 6.14%\nC) 8.60%\nD) 3.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.23%", + "B) 6.14%", + "C) 8.60%", + "D) 3.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $59,624M\nB) $61,260M\nC) $56,352M\nD) $66,168M", + "options": [ + "A) $59,624M", + "B) $61,260M", + "C) $56,352M", + "D) $66,168M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$61,260M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.55pp\nB) +0.05pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) +0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.55pp", + "B) +0.05pp", + "C) -0.10pp", + "D) +0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 2.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.11%", + "B) 2.84%", + "C) 1.92%", + "D) 2.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $-41,124M\nB) $-44,561M\nC) $-39,406M\nD) $-37,687M", + "options": [ + "A) $-41,124M", + "B) $-44,561M", + "C) $-39,406M", + "D) $-37,687M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-41,124M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.07\nB) 194.79\nC) 187.88\nD) 201.69", + "options": [ + "A) 174.07", + "B) 194.79", + "C) 187.88", + "D) 201.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "194.79", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 108.74\nB) 117.70\nC) 112.10\nD) 115.46", + "options": [ + "A) 108.74", + "B) 117.70", + "C) 112.10", + "D) 115.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "112.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,087K\nB) 1,335K\nC) 1,459K\nD) 1,273K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,087K", + "B) 1,335K", + "C) 1,459K", + "D) 1,273K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,273K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.91%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 2.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.91%", + "B) 1.60%", + "C) 1.30%", + "D) 2.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 98.70\nB) 112.87\nC) 127.04\nD) 103.43", + "options": [ + "A) 98.70", + "B) 112.87", + "C) 127.04", + "D) 103.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "112.87", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.75%\nB) 61.01%\nC) 62.90%\nD) 64.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.75%", + "B) 61.01%", + "C) 62.90%", + "D) 64.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "62.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 91.7728\nB) 104.3643\nC) 123.2515\nD) 110.6600", + "options": [ + "A) 91.7728", + "B) 104.3643", + "C) 123.2515", + "D) 110.6600" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "110.6600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $63,747M\nB) $60,501M\nC) $62,124M\nD) $65,370M", + "options": [ + "A) $63,747M", + "B) $60,501M", + "C) $62,124M", + "D) $65,370M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$63,747M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +7.39pp\nB) +3.90pp\nC) -6.58pp\nD) -3.09pp", + "options": [ + "A) +7.39pp", + "B) +3.90pp", + "C) -6.58pp", + "D) -3.09pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+3.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,312K\nB) 1,378K\nC) 1,181K\nD) 1,050K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,312K", + "B) 1,378K", + "C) 1,181K", + "D) 1,050K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,181K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.92pp\nB) +0.59pp\nC) +0.48pp\nD) +0.70pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.92pp", + "B) +0.59pp", + "C) +0.48pp", + "D) +0.70pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 3.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.59%", + "B) 2.29%", + "C) 2.15%", + "D) 3.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.37%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 4.50%\nD) -0.08%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.37%", + "B) 1.06%", + "C) 4.50%", + "D) -0.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,264B\nB) $15,301B\nC) $13,745B\nD) $12,189B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,264B", + "B) $15,301B", + "C) $13,745B", + "D) $12,189B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$13,745B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.18pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) +0.73pp\nD) +0.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.18pp", + "B) +0.51pp", + "C) +0.73pp", + "D) +0.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 249,000\nB) 204,121\nC) 226,561\nD) 316,318", + "options": [ + "A) 249,000", + "B) 204,121", + "C) 226,561", + "D) 316,318" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "249,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 242.82\nB) 252.81\nC) 262.81\nD) 269.47", + "options": [ + "A) 242.82", + "B) 252.81", + "C) 262.81", + "D) 269.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "252.81", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.44%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 1.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.44%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 4.36%", + "D) 1.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 257.43\nB) 267.17\nC) 244.45\nD) 250.94", + "options": [ + "A) 257.43", + "B) 267.17", + "C) 244.45", + "D) 250.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "250.94", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 1.41%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 1.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.61%", + "B) 1.41%", + "C) 1.70%", + "D) 1.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $20.89/hr\nB) $21.88/hr\nC) $22.54/hr\nD) $23.20/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $20.89/hr", + "B) $21.88/hr", + "C) $22.54/hr", + "D) $23.20/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$21.88/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.06%\nB) 9.13%\nC) 5.91%\nD) 2.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.06%", + "B) 9.13%", + "C) 5.91%", + "D) 2.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.86\nB) 98.72\nC) 102.34\nD) 95.10", + "options": [ + "A) 87.86", + "B) 98.72", + "C) 102.34", + "D) 95.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "95.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.33%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 7.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.33%", + "B) 5.24%", + "C) 5.79%", + "D) 7.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.59%\nB) -2.30%\nC) 15.37%\nD) -8.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.59%", + "B) -2.30%", + "C) 15.37%", + "D) -8.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-2.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 231.70\nB) 251.21\nC) 243.89\nD) 236.58", + "options": [ + "A) 231.70", + "B) 251.21", + "C) 243.89", + "D) 236.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "243.89", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.32%\nB) -7.31%\nC) 21.53%\nD) 7.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.32%", + "B) -7.31%", + "C) 21.53%", + "D) 7.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.11%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 6.82%\nC) 6.19%\nD) 5.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.94%", + "B) 6.82%", + "C) 6.19%", + "D) 5.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) $30.80/bbl\nB) $45.61/bbl\nC) $1.18/bbl\nD) $90.04/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $30.80/bbl", + "B) $45.61/bbl", + "C) $1.18/bbl", + "D) $90.04/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$45.61/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,198K\nB) 1,493K\nC) 1,272K\nD) 1,051K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,198K", + "B) 1,493K", + "C) 1,272K", + "D) 1,051K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,272K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) -4.44%\nC) 3.50%\nD) 0.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.14%", + "B) -4.44%", + "C) 3.50%", + "D) 0.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.52\nB) 96.52\nC) 102.52\nD) 104.52", + "options": [ + "A) 99.52", + "B) 96.52", + "C) 102.52", + "D) 104.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "99.52", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,032K\nB) 1,190K\nC) 1,111K\nD) 954K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,032K", + "B) 1,190K", + "C) 1,111K", + "D) 954K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,190K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.68%\nB) 10.84%\nC) 3.71%\nD) -3.42%", + "options": [ + "A) -17.68%", + "B) 10.84%", + "C) 3.71%", + "D) -3.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.70%\nB) 78.65%\nC) 74.07%\nD) 76.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 81.70%", + "B) 78.65%", + "C) 74.07%", + "D) 76.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "76.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 1.33%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 3.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.44%", + "B) 1.33%", + "C) 2.07%", + "D) 3.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.18%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.18%", + "B) 1.76%", + "C) 1.38%", + "D) 2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -0.46pp\nC) +0.29pp\nD) +1.78pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.20pp", + "B) -0.46pp", + "C) +0.29pp", + "D) +1.78pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.29pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.02%\nB) -8.18%\nC) 20.21%\nD) -1.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.02%", + "B) -8.18%", + "C) 20.21%", + "D) -1.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.44%\nB) 70.92%\nC) 77.71%\nD) 73.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 75.44%", + "B) 70.92%", + "C) 77.71%", + "D) 73.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "75.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.64%\nB) 4.40%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 3.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.64%", + "B) 4.40%", + "C) 5.02%", + "D) 3.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 2.73%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 1.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.57%", + "B) 2.73%", + "C) 2.19%", + "D) 1.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.27%\nB) 9.07%\nC) 16.74%\nD) 5.24%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.27%", + "B) 9.07%", + "C) 16.74%", + "D) 5.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 113.50\nB) 110.09\nC) 116.91\nD) 120.31", + "options": [ + "A) 113.50", + "B) 110.09", + "C) 116.91", + "D) 120.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "113.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.55\nB) 99.53\nC) 92.57\nD) 102.52", + "options": [ + "A) 96.55", + "B) 99.53", + "C) 92.57", + "D) 102.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "99.53", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.69%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 3.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.12%", + "B) 6.69%", + "C) 5.00%", + "D) 3.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 193.68\nB) 208.03\nC) 179.33\nD) 186.51", + "options": [ + "A) 193.68", + "B) 208.03", + "C) 179.33", + "D) 186.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "186.51", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.34pp\nC) -0.16pp\nD) -0.88pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.70pp", + "B) -0.34pp", + "C) -0.16pp", + "D) -0.88pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 253.83\nB) 246.44\nC) 239.04\nD) 234.11", + "options": [ + "A) 253.83", + "B) 246.44", + "C) 239.04", + "D) 234.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "246.44", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.95%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 4.62%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.95%", + "B) 5.62%", + "C) 5.29%", + "D) 4.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,856M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $3,856M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$3,856M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.10%\nB) 64.99%\nC) 61.21%\nD) 59.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.10%", + "B) 64.99%", + "C) 61.21%", + "D) 59.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "63.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 7.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.61%", + "B) 5.62%", + "C) 4.12%", + "D) 7.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.43pp\nB) -0.25pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -1.12pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.43pp", + "B) -0.25pp", + "C) -0.60pp", + "D) -1.12pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.88%\nB) 35.05%\nC) -35.37%\nD) -7.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.88%", + "B) 35.05%", + "C) -35.37%", + "D) -7.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-7.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.80\nB) 102.79\nC) 93.81\nD) 96.80", + "options": [ + "A) 99.80", + "B) 102.79", + "C) 93.81", + "D) 96.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "99.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.21%\nB) 60.40%\nC) 57.38%\nD) 58.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.21%", + "B) 60.40%", + "C) 57.38%", + "D) 58.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "60.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,735.41\nB) 4,875.22\nC) 6,165.50\nD) 7,455.78", + "options": [ + "A) 5,735.41", + "B) 4,875.22", + "C) 6,165.50", + "D) 7,455.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,165.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) 4.88%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 4.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.57%", + "B) 4.88%", + "C) 3.72%", + "D) 4.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 10.90\nB) 9.18\nC) 14.33\nD) 16.05", + "options": [ + "A) 10.90", + "B) 9.18", + "C) 14.33", + "D) 16.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "10.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.49%\nB) 4.81%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 5.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.49%", + "B) 4.81%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 5.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 19,574.92\nB) 20,764.91\nC) 21,359.90\nD) 21,954.89", + "options": [ + "A) 19,574.92", + "B) 20,764.91", + "C) 21,359.90", + "D) 21,954.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "21,359.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.41%\nB) 4.41%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 3.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.41%", + "B) 4.41%", + "C) 3.57%", + "D) 3.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 194.80\nB) 186.51\nC) 190.65\nD) 198.95", + "options": [ + "A) 194.80", + "B) 186.51", + "C) 190.65", + "D) 198.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "194.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.42%\nB) 5.31%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 4.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.42%", + "B) 5.31%", + "C) 2.16%", + "D) 4.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,972B\nB) $12,447B\nC) $13,464B\nD) $14,480B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,972B", + "B) $12,447B", + "C) $13,464B", + "D) $14,480B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$13,464B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.59%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 0.72%\nD) 0.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.59%", + "B) 0.92%", + "C) 0.72%", + "D) 0.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.24\nB) 95.14\nC) 97.18\nD) 103.30", + "options": [ + "A) 100.24", + "B) 95.14", + "C) 97.18", + "D) 103.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "100.24", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $3,874M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $3,874M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$3,874M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.14%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 7.04%\nD) 8.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.14%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 7.04%", + "D) 8.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $235,064M\nB) $209,935M\nC) $241,346M\nD) $228,782M", + "options": [ + "A) $235,064M", + "B) $209,935M", + "C) $241,346M", + "D) $228,782M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$228,782M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,764B\nB) $13,679B\nC) $15,849B\nD) $15,126B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,764B", + "B) $13,679B", + "C) $15,849B", + "D) $15,126B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$14,764B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,780B\nB) $12,247B\nC) $11,312B\nD) $12,714B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,780B", + "B) $12,247B", + "C) $11,312B", + "D) $12,714B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$12,247B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20170615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2017-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.23%\nB) 0.91%\nC) 1.02%\nD) 0.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.23%", + "B) 0.91%", + "C) 1.02%", + "D) 0.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 1.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.34%", + "B) 2.05%", + "C) 2.63%", + "D) 1.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.90\nB) 104.45\nC) 89.35\nD) 108.23", + "options": [ + "A) 96.90", + "B) 104.45", + "C) 89.35", + "D) 108.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "96.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $-43,128M\nB) $-41,593M\nC) $-36,989M\nD) $-38,524M", + "options": [ + "A) $-43,128M", + "B) $-41,593M", + "C) $-36,989M", + "D) $-38,524M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-41,593M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20170901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.47pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) +1.04pp\nD) +3.19pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.47pp", + "B) -1.10pp", + "C) +1.04pp", + "D) +3.19pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.04pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.01pp\nB) +13.18pp\nC) +9.54pp\nD) +5.90pp", + "options": [ + "A) -5.01pp", + "B) +13.18pp", + "C) +9.54pp", + "D) +5.90pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+5.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20170301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2017", + "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.20%\nB) 62.01%\nC) 59.00%\nD) 63.21%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.20%", + "B) 62.01%", + "C) 59.00%", + "D) 63.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "60.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2017 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.55%\nB) 5.51%\nC) 3.47%\nD) 8.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.55%", + "B) 5.51%", + "C) 3.47%", + "D) 8.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.33%\nB) 83.93%\nC) 79.93%\nD) 78.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 82.33%", + "B) 83.93%", + "C) 79.93%", + "D) 78.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "79.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 98.48\nB) 104.57\nC) 95.43\nD) 101.52", + "options": [ + "A) 98.48", + "B) 104.57", + "C) 95.43", + "D) 101.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.52", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) 5.54%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 4.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.22%", + "B) 5.54%", + "C) 2.07%", + "D) 4.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.02\nB) 104.10\nC) 109.31\nD) 107.22", + "options": [ + "A) 102.02", + "B) 104.10", + "C) 109.31", + "D) 107.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "104.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 29.92%\nB) 75.59%\nC) 45.14%\nD) 60.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 29.92%", + "B) 75.59%", + "C) 45.14%", + "D) 60.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "45.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,801M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $3,801M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$3,801M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) 13.76%\nC) 10.24%\nD) -7.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.22%", + "B) 13.76%", + "C) 10.24%", + "D) -7.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 114.37\nB) 116.70\nC) 119.03\nD) 110.87", + "options": [ + "A) 114.37", + "B) 116.70", + "C) 119.03", + "D) 110.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "116.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.54\nB) 97.26\nC) 101.42\nD) 99.34", + "options": [ + "A) 104.54", + "B) 97.26", + "C) 101.42", + "D) 99.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "101.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.15pp\nB) +0.46pp\nC) -0.15pp\nD) +0.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.15pp", + "B) +0.46pp", + "C) -0.15pp", + "D) +0.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) 7.20%\nC) 4.53%\nD) 8.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.42%", + "B) 7.20%", + "C) 4.53%", + "D) 8.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.00%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 3.11%\nD) 2.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.00%", + "B) 2.79%", + "C) 3.11%", + "D) 2.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.00%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.99%\nD) 2.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.00%", + "B) 5.00%", + "C) 3.99%", + "D) 2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.44%", + "B) 2.64%", + "C) 2.85%", + "D) 3.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 218,000\nB) 181,868\nC) 199,934\nD) 163,802", + "options": [ + "A) 218,000", + "B) 181,868", + "C) 199,934", + "D) 163,802" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "218,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $16,458B\nB) $15,606B\nC) $14,753B\nD) $15,179B", + "options": [ + "A) $16,458B", + "B) $15,606B", + "C) $14,753B", + "D) $15,179B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$15,606B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,754B\nB) $13,718B\nC) $12,736B\nD) $12,245B", + "options": [ + "A) $11,754B", + "B) $13,718B", + "C) $12,736B", + "D) $12,245B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$12,736B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.34%", + "B) 1.80%", + "C) 2.23%", + "D) 2.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,314K\nB) 1,430K\nC) 1,140K\nD) 1,198K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,314K", + "B) 1,430K", + "C) 1,140K", + "D) 1,198K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,314K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 145,669K\nB) 149,358K\nC) 154,892K\nD) 140,135K", + "options": [ + "A) 145,669K", + "B) 149,358K", + "C) 154,892K", + "D) 140,135K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "149,358K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.10%\nC) 3.64%\nD) 3.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.55%", + "B) 4.10%", + "C) 3.64%", + "D) 3.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 257.06\nB) 242.09\nC) 262.06\nD) 249.58", + "options": [ + "A) 257.06", + "B) 242.09", + "C) 262.06", + "D) 249.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "249.58", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 3.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 1.95%", + "C) 1.57%", + "D) 3.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 19.72%\nB) -1.44%\nC) -8.50%\nD) 5.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 19.72%", + "B) -1.44%", + "C) -8.50%", + "D) 5.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.53pp\nB) +0.09pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) -0.13pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.53pp", + "B) +0.09pp", + "C) +0.20pp", + "D) -0.13pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.86%\nD) 2.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.14%", + "B) 3.50%", + "C) 4.86%", + "D) 2.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 102.21\nB) 99.14\nC) 105.27\nD) 95.05", + "options": [ + "A) 102.21", + "B) 99.14", + "C) 105.27", + "D) 95.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "102.21", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.39%\nB) 8.38%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 4.46%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.39%", + "B) 8.38%", + "C) 0.54%", + "D) 4.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 153,916K\nB) 142,644K\nC) 148,280K\nD) 138,887K", + "options": [ + "A) 153,916K", + "B) 142,644K", + "C) 148,280K", + "D) 138,887K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "148,280K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.86%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.54%\nD) 2.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.86%", + "B) 2.31%", + "C) 2.54%", + "D) 2.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +3.13pp\nB) +5.51pp\nC) +2.33pp\nD) +0.74pp", + "options": [ + "A) +3.13pp", + "B) +5.51pp", + "C) +2.33pp", + "D) +0.74pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+3.13pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,651B\nB) $14,018B\nC) $15,120B\nD) $14,385B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,651B", + "B) $14,018B", + "C) $15,120B", + "D) $14,385B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$14,018B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 3.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.40%", + "B) 2.22%", + "C) 2.81%", + "D) 3.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 4.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.85%", + "B) 3.72%", + "C) 3.34%", + "D) 4.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.88%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.00%", + "B) 2.88%", + "C) 2.29%", + "D) 1.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 1.51%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.93%", + "B) 1.51%", + "C) 1.70%", + "D) 2.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.38%\nB) -8.79%\nC) 0.31%\nD) -5.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.38%", + "B) -8.79%", + "C) 0.31%", + "D) -5.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $66,286M\nB) $60,070M\nC) $69,394M\nD) $64,732M", + "options": [ + "A) $66,286M", + "B) $60,070M", + "C) $69,394M", + "D) $64,732M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$64,732M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) +3.57pp\nB) +0.74pp\nC) +1.68pp\nD) +6.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) +3.57pp", + "B) +0.74pp", + "C) +1.68pp", + "D) +6.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+3.57pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.98%\nB) 25.64%\nC) 36.75%\nD) 14.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.98%", + "B) 25.64%", + "C) 36.75%", + "D) 14.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "25.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.19%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 1.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.19%", + "B) 3.62%", + "C) 2.33%", + "D) 1.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) $53.21/bbl\nB) $88.60/bbl\nC) $100.40/bbl\nD) $65.01/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $53.21/bbl", + "B) $88.60/bbl", + "C) $100.40/bbl", + "D) $65.01/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$65.01/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 198.54\nB) 218.44\nC) 178.64\nD) 185.27", + "options": [ + "A) 198.54", + "B) 218.44", + "C) 178.64", + "D) 185.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "198.54", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.23%\nB) 17.47%\nC) 19.70%\nD) 24.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.23%", + "B) 17.47%", + "C) 19.70%", + "D) 24.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "17.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,190K\nB) 1,125K\nC) 1,318K\nD) 1,446K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,190K", + "B) 1,125K", + "C) 1,318K", + "D) 1,446K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,318K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 22.46%\nB) -4.69%\nC) 13.41%\nD) 8.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 22.46%", + "B) -4.69%", + "C) 13.41%", + "D) 8.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 2.52%\nC) 1.67%\nD) 2.23%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.95%", + "B) 2.52%", + "C) 1.67%", + "D) 2.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.16%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 7.91%\nD) 12.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.16%", + "B) 5.67%", + "C) 7.91%", + "D) 12.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 2.08%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 1.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.66%", + "B) 2.08%", + "C) 1.91%", + "D) 1.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.02%\nB) 5.27%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 3.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.02%", + "B) 5.27%", + "C) 1.37%", + "D) 3.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $-43,514M\nB) $-48,425M\nC) $-41,877M\nD) $-45,151M", + "options": [ + "A) $-43,514M", + "B) $-48,425M", + "C) $-41,877M", + "D) $-45,151M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-43,514M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,454.30\nB) 2,779.66\nC) 2,671.21\nD) 2,562.75", + "options": [ + "A) 2,454.30", + "B) 2,779.66", + "C) 2,671.21", + "D) 2,562.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,779.66", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 225.82\nB) 184.86\nC) 205.34\nD) 191.69", + "options": [ + "A) 225.82", + "B) 184.86", + "C) 205.34", + "D) 191.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "205.34", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.14pp\nB) -0.78pp\nC) -0.24pp\nD) -0.60pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.14pp", + "B) -0.78pp", + "C) -0.24pp", + "D) -0.60pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $3,560M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $3,560M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$3,560M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.80%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 7.03%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.12%", + "B) 6.80%", + "C) 7.26%", + "D) 7.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.37%\nB) 5.41%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 8.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.37%", + "B) 5.41%", + "C) 6.45%", + "D) 8.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) $46.29/bbl\nB) $59.15/bbl\nC) $84.89/bbl\nD) $72.02/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $46.29/bbl", + "B) $59.15/bbl", + "C) $84.89/bbl", + "D) $72.02/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$72.02/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.50pp\nB) -4.87pp\nC) +7.62pp\nD) +1.38pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.50pp", + "B) -4.87pp", + "C) +7.62pp", + "D) +1.38pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+4.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.54%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 64.68%\nD) 59.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.54%", + "B) 62.80%", + "C) 64.68%", + "D) 59.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "62.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $514,946M\nB) $526,665M\nC) $491,507M\nD) $468,068M", + "options": [ + "A) $514,946M", + "B) $526,665M", + "C) $491,507M", + "D) $468,068M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$491,507M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 6.19%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 4.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.00%", + "B) 6.19%", + "C) 2.62%", + "D) 4.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) +0.16pp\nC) -0.76pp\nD) -0.45pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.30pp", + "B) +0.16pp", + "C) -0.76pp", + "D) -0.45pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 3.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.27%", + "B) 2.55%", + "C) 1.98%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.05%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.45%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.05%", + "B) 4.65%", + "C) 2.85%", + "D) 3.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,189K\nB) 1,371K\nC) 1,068K\nD) 1,250K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,189K", + "B) 1,371K", + "C) 1,068K", + "D) 1,250K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,250K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.40%\nB) 62.21%\nC) 57.38%\nD) 58.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.40%", + "B) 62.21%", + "C) 57.38%", + "D) 58.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "60.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 7.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.05%", + "B) 5.70%", + "C) 3.93%", + "D) 7.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 275.98\nB) 265.41\nC) 258.37\nD) 251.32", + "options": [ + "A) 275.98", + "B) 265.41", + "C) 258.37", + "D) 251.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "258.37", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $267,310M\nB) $260,859M\nC) $241,506M\nD) $247,957M", + "options": [ + "A) $267,310M", + "B) $260,859M", + "C) $241,506M", + "D) $247,957M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$247,957M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.62%", + "B) 4.32%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 4.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 3.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.93%", + "C) 3.12%", + "D) 3.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 211.37\nB) 203.32\nC) 199.30\nD) 191.25", + "options": [ + "A) 211.37", + "B) 203.32", + "C) 199.30", + "D) 191.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "199.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.86%\nB) 80.93%\nC) 76.21%\nD) 78.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 73.86%", + "B) 80.93%", + "C) 76.21%", + "D) 78.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "78.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 110.5800\nB) 121.9804\nC) 99.1796\nD) 118.1803", + "options": [ + "A) 110.5800", + "B) 121.9804", + "C) 99.1796", + "D) 118.1803" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "110.5800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.53%\nB) 5.84%\nC) 21.78%\nD) 11.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.53%", + "B) 5.84%", + "C) 21.78%", + "D) 11.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 96.71\nB) 105.50\nC) 102.20\nD) 98.91", + "options": [ + "A) 96.71", + "B) 105.50", + "C) 102.20", + "D) 98.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "102.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.26%", + "B) 1.80%", + "C) 1.37%", + "D) 1.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 1.97%\nC) -2.25%\nD) 6.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.07%", + "B) 1.97%", + "C) -2.25%", + "D) 6.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 21.29%\nB) 9.60%\nC) -2.09%\nD) 5.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 21.29%", + "B) 9.60%", + "C) -2.09%", + "D) 5.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1083\nB) 1.0550\nC) 1.1616\nD) 1.2149", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1083", + "B) 1.0550", + "C) 1.1616", + "D) 1.2149" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.20%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 3.07%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.20%", + "B) 3.33%", + "C) 2.81%", + "D) 3.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) +5.00pp\nB) -4.10pp\nC) +14.10pp\nD) +8.03pp", + "options": [ + "A) +5.00pp", + "B) -4.10pp", + "C) +14.10pp", + "D) +8.03pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+5.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -15.07%\nB) -8.12%\nC) -28.95%\nD) 5.76%", + "options": [ + "A) -15.07%", + "B) -8.12%", + "C) -28.95%", + "D) 5.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-8.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.64%", + "B) 2.18%", + "C) 1.96%", + "D) 1.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,565K\nB) 1,325K\nC) 1,445K\nD) 1,385K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,565K", + "B) 1,325K", + "C) 1,445K", + "D) 1,385K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,385K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $244,343M\nB) $231,880M\nC) $263,038M\nD) $256,806M", + "options": [ + "A) $244,343M", + "B) $231,880M", + "C) $263,038M", + "D) $256,806M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$244,343M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.07%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.07%", + "B) 3.70%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 2.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,728B\nB) $15,799B\nC) $14,246B\nD) $15,281B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,728B", + "B) $15,799B", + "C) $14,246B", + "D) $15,281B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$14,246B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 122.22\nB) 111.84\nC) 118.76\nD) 115.30", + "options": [ + "A) 122.22", + "B) 111.84", + "C) 118.76", + "D) 115.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "115.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.4379\nB) 6.1734\nC) 6.0412\nD) 6.7024", + "options": [ + "A) 6.4379", + "B) 6.1734", + "C) 6.0412", + "D) 6.7024" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.4379", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.42%\nB) 60.40%\nC) 62.21%\nD) 58.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.42%", + "B) 60.40%", + "C) 62.21%", + "D) 58.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "60.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,009,514\nB) 2,178,772\nC) 1,671,000\nD) 1,501,743", + "options": [ + "A) 2,009,514", + "B) 2,178,772", + "C) 1,671,000", + "D) 1,501,743" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,671,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 28,843.89\nB) 21,337.07\nC) 27,592.75\nD) 25,090.48", + "options": [ + "A) 28,843.89", + "B) 21,337.07", + "C) 27,592.75", + "D) 25,090.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "25,090.48", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 203.60\nB) 195.76\nC) 211.44\nD) 223.19", + "options": [ + "A) 203.60", + "B) 195.76", + "C) 211.44", + "D) 223.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "203.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.00%\nB) 10.76%\nC) 23.26%\nD) -1.75%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.00%", + "B) 10.76%", + "C) 23.26%", + "D) -1.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $72,621M\nB) $66,493M\nC) $68,025M\nD) $63,429M", + "options": [ + "A) $72,621M", + "B) $66,493M", + "C) $68,025M", + "D) $63,429M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$68,025M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.92\nB) 94.44\nC) 108.36\nD) 101.40", + "options": [ + "A) 97.92", + "B) 94.44", + "C) 108.36", + "D) 101.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.10\nB) 89.99\nC) 106.84\nD) 110.21", + "options": [ + "A) 100.10", + "B) 89.99", + "C) 106.84", + "D) 110.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "100.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.87%\nB) 6.71%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 9.57%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.87%", + "B) 6.71%", + "C) 3.85%", + "D) 9.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.19%\nB) 72.68%\nC) 56.80%\nD) 25.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.19%", + "B) 72.68%", + "C) 56.80%", + "D) 25.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "56.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 117.40\nB) 125.53\nC) 109.27\nD) 113.34", + "options": [ + "A) 117.40", + "B) 125.53", + "C) 109.27", + "D) 113.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "113.34", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 1.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 1.67%", + "C) 2.48%", + "D) 1.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.01%", + "B) 2.01%", + "C) 1.01%", + "D) 2.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,453M\nB) $-53,830M\nC) $-50,245M\nD) $-46,660M", + "options": [ + "A) $-48,453M", + "B) $-53,830M", + "C) $-50,245M", + "D) $-46,660M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-50,245M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $21.10/hr\nB) $23.53/hr\nC) $21.79/hr\nD) $22.49/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $21.10/hr", + "B) $23.53/hr", + "C) $21.79/hr", + "D) $22.49/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$22.49/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,013B\nB) $12,964B\nC) $13,489B\nD) $15,585B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,013B", + "B) $12,964B", + "C) $13,489B", + "D) $15,585B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$14,013B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.33%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 6.55%\nD) 6.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.33%", + "B) 5.90%", + "C) 6.55%", + "D) 6.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 4.97%\nD) 5.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.03%", + "B) 4.62%", + "C) 4.97%", + "D) 5.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 265.23\nB) 260.01\nC) 244.35\nD) 252.18", + "options": [ + "A) 265.23", + "B) 260.01", + "C) 244.35", + "D) 252.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "252.18", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.90%\nB) 64.16%\nC) 66.05%\nD) 61.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.90%", + "B) 64.16%", + "C) 66.05%", + "D) 61.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "62.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 7,234.53\nB) 7,746.38\nC) 8,770.07\nD) 6,722.69", + "options": [ + "A) 7,234.53", + "B) 7,746.38", + "C) 8,770.07", + "D) 6,722.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7,746.38", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,139B\nB) $13,103B\nC) $13,793B\nD) $14,484B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,139B", + "B) $13,103B", + "C) $13,793B", + "D) $14,484B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$13,793B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.07%\nB) 2.24%\nC) -2.32%\nD) 4.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.07%", + "B) 2.24%", + "C) -2.32%", + "D) 4.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 5.60%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 4.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.00%", + "B) 5.60%", + "C) 2.93%", + "D) 4.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.57pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.75pp\nD) -0.92pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.57pp", + "B) -0.40pp", + "C) -0.75pp", + "D) -0.92pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $494,920M\nB) $451,681M\nC) $484,110M\nD) $473,300M", + "options": [ + "A) $494,920M", + "B) $451,681M", + "C) $484,110M", + "D) $473,300M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$484,110M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 1.27%\nC) 1.93%\nD) 1.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.82%", + "B) 1.27%", + "C) 1.93%", + "D) 1.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 256.27\nB) 273.27\nC) 246.07\nD) 266.47", + "options": [ + "A) 256.27", + "B) 273.27", + "C) 246.07", + "D) 266.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "256.27", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $21.76/hr\nB) $22.86/hr\nC) $24.69/hr\nD) $23.96/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $21.76/hr", + "B) $22.86/hr", + "C) $24.69/hr", + "D) $23.96/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$22.86/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.07\nB) 6.11\nC) 11.98\nD) 13.94", + "options": [ + "A) 8.07", + "B) 6.11", + "C) 11.98", + "D) 13.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.98", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.11pp\nB) +0.21pp\nC) +0.11pp\nD) +0.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.11pp", + "B) +0.21pp", + "C) +0.11pp", + "D) +0.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.06%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.08%", + "B) 3.06%", + "C) 3.74%", + "D) 3.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.02%\nB) 14.27%\nC) 17.77%\nD) 10.78%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.02%", + "B) 14.27%", + "C) 17.77%", + "D) 10.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,409B\nB) $14,806B\nC) $15,203B\nD) $15,996B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,409B", + "B) $14,806B", + "C) $15,203B", + "D) $15,996B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$15,203B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20180615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2018-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.53pp\nB) -0.23pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +0.38pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.53pp", + "B) -0.23pp", + "C) +0.08pp", + "D) +0.38pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.38pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.42\nB) 100.37\nC) 98.32\nD) 105.49", + "options": [ + "A) 102.42", + "B) 100.37", + "C) 98.32", + "D) 105.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "102.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2018", + "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.63%\nB) 4.31%\nC) 7.99%\nD) 5.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.63%", + "B) 4.31%", + "C) 7.99%", + "D) 5.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,734.55\nB) 8,127.21\nC) 6,949.23\nD) 6,163.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,734.55", + "B) 8,127.21", + "C) 6,949.23", + "D) 6,163.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,949.23", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,734.55\nB) 8,127.21\nC) 6,949.23\nD) 6,163.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,734.55", + "B) 8,127.21", + "C) 6,949.23", + "D) 6,163.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,949.23", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,262.78\nB) 8,048.10\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,262.78", + "B) 8,048.10", + "C) 6,084.80", + "D) 6,870.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,262.78\nB) 8,048.10\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,262.78", + "B) 8,048.10", + "C) 6,084.80", + "D) 6,870.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,477.46\nC) 7,262.78\nD) 6,084.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,870.12", + "B) 6,477.46", + "C) 7,262.78", + "D) 6,084.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,477.46\nC) 7,262.78\nD) 6,084.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,870.12", + "B) 6,477.46", + "C) 7,262.78", + "D) 6,084.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 7,655.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 5,692.14", + "B) 6,870.12", + "C) 6,084.80", + "D) 7,655.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 7,655.44", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 5,692.14", + "B) 6,870.12", + "C) 6,084.80", + "D) 7,655.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,477.46", + "B) 6,084.80", + "C) 6,870.12", + "D) 5,692.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,477.46", + "B) 6,084.80", + "C) 6,870.12", + "D) 5,692.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,477.46", + "B) 7,655.44", + "C) 6,084.80", + "D) 6,870.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,477.46", + "B) 7,655.44", + "C) 6,084.80", + "D) 6,870.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,870.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,588.26\nB) 2,484.44\nC) 2,276.81\nD) 2,692.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,588.26", + "B) 2,484.44", + "C) 2,276.81", + "D) 2,692.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,588.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,588.26\nB) 2,484.44\nC) 2,276.81\nD) 2,692.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,588.26", + "B) 2,484.44", + "C) 2,276.81", + "D) 2,692.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,588.26", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,374.25\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,270.43\nD) 2,893.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,374.25", + "B) 2,581.88", + "C) 2,270.43", + "D) 2,893.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,374.25\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,270.43\nD) 2,893.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,374.25", + "B) 2,581.88", + "C) 2,270.43", + "D) 2,893.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,893.33\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,581.88\nD) 2,789.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,893.33", + "B) 2,478.06", + "C) 2,581.88", + "D) 2,789.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,893.33\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,581.88\nD) 2,789.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,893.33", + "B) 2,478.06", + "C) 2,581.88", + "D) 2,789.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,581.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,270.43", + "B) 2,478.06", + "C) 2,789.51", + "D) 2,581.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,581.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,270.43", + "B) 2,478.06", + "C) 2,789.51", + "D) 2,581.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,581.88\nB) 2,685.70\nC) 2,478.06\nD) 2,893.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,581.88", + "B) 2,685.70", + "C) 2,478.06", + "D) 2,893.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,581.88\nB) 2,685.70\nC) 2,478.06\nD) 2,893.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,581.88", + "B) 2,685.70", + "C) 2,478.06", + "D) 2,893.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,374.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,270.43", + "B) 2,581.88", + "C) 2,789.51", + "D) 2,374.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,374.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,270.43", + "B) 2,581.88", + "C) 2,789.51", + "D) 2,374.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,581.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8744\nB) 6.0491\nC) 6.3110\nD) 6.5729", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 5.8744", + "B) 6.0491", + "C) 6.3110", + "D) 6.5729" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.3110", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8744\nB) 6.0491\nC) 6.3110\nD) 6.5729", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 5.8744", + "B) 6.0491", + "C) 6.3110", + "D) 6.5729" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.3110", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4856\nB) 5.8744\nC) 6.1364\nD) 6.3110", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.4856", + "B) 5.8744", + "C) 6.1364", + "D) 6.3110" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.3110", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4856\nB) 5.8744\nC) 6.1364\nD) 6.3110", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.4856", + "B) 5.8744", + "C) 6.1364", + "D) 6.3110" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.3110", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.3110\nB) 6.5729\nC) 6.1364\nD) 5.8744", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3110", + "B) 6.5729", + "C) 6.1364", + "D) 5.8744" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.3110", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.3110\nB) 6.5729\nC) 6.1364\nD) 5.8744", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3110", + "B) 6.5729", + "C) 6.1364", + "D) 5.8744" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.3110", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.1141\nB) 6.3760\nC) 6.5506\nD) 5.9394", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.1141", + "B) 6.3760", + "C) 6.5506", + "D) 5.9394" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.3760", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.1141\nB) 6.3760\nC) 6.5506\nD) 5.9394", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.1141", + "B) 6.3760", + "C) 6.5506", + "D) 5.9394" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.3760", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0013\nB) 6.6998\nC) 6.4379\nD) 6.1760", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0013", + "B) 6.6998", + "C) 6.4379", + "D) 6.1760" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4379", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0013\nB) 6.6998\nC) 6.4379\nD) 6.1760", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0013", + "B) 6.6998", + "C) 6.4379", + "D) 6.1760" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4379", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7584\nB) 6.5838\nC) 7.1949\nD) 6.9330", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7584", + "B) 6.5838", + "C) 7.1949", + "D) 6.9330" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.9330", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7584\nB) 6.5838\nC) 7.1949\nD) 6.9330", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7584", + "B) 6.5838", + "C) 7.1949", + "D) 6.9330" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.9330", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 29.98\nC) 26.57\nD) 19.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.87", + "B) 29.98", + "C) 26.57", + "D) 19.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 29.98\nC) 26.57\nD) 19.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.87", + "B) 29.98", + "C) 26.57", + "D) 19.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 19.76\nB) 24.87\nC) 26.57\nD) 28.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 19.76", + "B) 24.87", + "C) 26.57", + "D) 28.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 19.76\nB) 24.87\nC) 26.57\nD) 28.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 19.76", + "B) 24.87", + "C) 26.57", + "D) 28.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 29.98\nB) 28.28\nC) 24.87\nD) 21.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 29.98", + "B) 28.28", + "C) 24.87", + "D) 21.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 29.98\nB) 28.28\nC) 24.87\nD) 21.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 29.98", + "B) 28.28", + "C) 24.87", + "D) 21.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 21.46\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 28.28", + "B) 21.46", + "C) 23.17", + "D) 24.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 21.46\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 28.28", + "B) 21.46", + "C) 23.17", + "D) 24.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 19.76\nC) 29.98\nD) 21.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.87", + "B) 19.76", + "C) 29.98", + "D) 21.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 19.76\nC) 29.98\nD) 21.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.87", + "B) 19.76", + "C) 29.98", + "D) 21.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 19.76\nD) 23.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 26.57", + "B) 24.87", + "C) 19.76", + "D) 23.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 19.76\nD) 23.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", + "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", + "options": [ + "A) 26.57", + "B) 24.87", + "C) 19.76", + "D) 23.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", + "event_date": "2018-03-22", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,713.32\nB) 5,557.24\nC) 6,635.28\nD) 6,275.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,713.32", + "B) 5,557.24", + "C) 6,635.28", + "D) 6,275.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,635.28", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,713.32\nB) 5,557.24\nC) 6,635.28\nD) 6,275.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,713.32", + "B) 5,557.24", + "C) 6,635.28", + "D) 6,275.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,635.28", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,597.73\nB) 5,879.04\nC) 7,675.77\nD) 6,957.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,597.73", + "B) 5,879.04", + "C) 7,675.77", + "D) 6,957.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,957.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,597.73\nB) 5,879.04\nC) 7,675.77\nD) 6,957.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 6,597.73", + "B) 5,879.04", + "C) 7,675.77", + "D) 6,957.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,957.08", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,157.23\nB) 8,235.27\nC) 6,438.54\nD) 7,875.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,157.23", + "B) 8,235.27", + "C) 6,438.54", + "D) 7,875.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7,157.23", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,157.23\nB) 8,235.27\nC) 6,438.54\nD) 7,875.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,157.23", + "B) 8,235.27", + "C) 6,438.54", + "D) 7,875.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7,157.23", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,886.89\nB) 7,527.54\nC) 6,808.85\nD) 6,449.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,886.89", + "B) 7,527.54", + "C) 6,808.85", + "D) 6,449.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7,527.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,886.89\nB) 7,527.54\nC) 6,808.85\nD) 6,449.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,886.89", + "B) 7,527.54", + "C) 6,808.85", + "D) 6,449.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7,527.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 8,557.65\nB) 7,120.27\nC) 7,838.96\nD) 6,760.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,557.65", + "B) 7,120.27", + "C) 7,838.96", + "D) 6,760.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7,838.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 8,557.65\nB) 7,120.27\nC) 7,838.96\nD) 6,760.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,557.65", + "B) 7,120.27", + "C) 7,838.96", + "D) 6,760.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7,838.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,445.31\nB) 8,882.69\nC) 7,085.96\nD) 8,164.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,445.31", + "B) 8,882.69", + "C) 7,085.96", + "D) 8,164.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8,164.00", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,445.31\nB) 8,882.69\nC) 7,085.96\nD) 8,164.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 7,445.31", + "B) 8,882.69", + "C) 7,085.96", + "D) 8,164.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8,164.00", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,467.70\nB) 2,375.61\nC) 2,191.42\nD) 2,559.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,467.70", + "B) 2,375.61", + "C) 2,191.42", + "D) 2,559.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,467.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,467.70\nB) 2,375.61\nC) 2,191.42\nD) 2,559.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,467.70", + "B) 2,375.61", + "C) 2,191.42", + "D) 2,559.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,467.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,724.17\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,724.17", + "B) 2,447.89", + "C) 2,632.07", + "D) 2,355.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,724.17\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,724.17", + "B) 2,447.89", + "C) 2,632.07", + "D) 2,355.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,539.98\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,447.89\nD) 2,632.07", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,539.98", + "B) 2,724.17", + "C) 2,447.89", + "D) 2,632.07" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,539.98\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,447.89\nD) 2,632.07", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,539.98", + "B) 2,724.17", + "C) 2,447.89", + "D) 2,632.07" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,632.07\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,263.71\nD) 2,447.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,632.07", + "B) 2,724.17", + "C) 2,263.71", + "D) 2,447.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,632.07\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,263.71\nD) 2,447.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,632.07", + "B) 2,724.17", + "C) 2,263.71", + "D) 2,447.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,447.89\nB) 2,171.61\nC) 2,355.80\nD) 2,632.07", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,447.89", + "B) 2,171.61", + "C) 2,355.80", + "D) 2,632.07" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,447.89\nB) 2,171.61\nC) 2,355.80\nD) 2,632.07", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,447.89", + "B) 2,171.61", + "C) 2,355.80", + "D) 2,632.07" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,171.61\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,171.61", + "B) 2,447.89", + "C) 2,632.07", + "D) 2,355.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,171.61\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 2,171.61", + "B) 2,447.89", + "C) 2,632.07", + "D) 2,355.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,447.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 29.76\nC) 25.42\nD) 18.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 23.25", + "B) 29.76", + "C) 25.42", + "D) 18.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "25.42", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 29.76\nC) 25.42\nD) 18.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 23.25", + "B) 29.76", + "C) 25.42", + "D) 18.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "25.42", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 24.32\nB) 17.81\nC) 26.49\nD) 19.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.32", + "B) 17.81", + "C) 26.49", + "D) 19.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 24.32\nB) 17.81\nC) 26.49\nD) 19.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 24.32", + "B) 17.81", + "C) 26.49", + "D) 19.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 17.80\nB) 15.63\nC) 24.31\nD) 11.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 17.80", + "B) 15.63", + "C) 24.31", + "D) 11.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.80", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 17.80\nB) 15.63\nC) 24.31\nD) 11.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 17.80", + "B) 15.63", + "C) 24.31", + "D) 11.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.80", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 13.51\nC) 17.85\nD) 20.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 11.34", + "B) 13.51", + "C) 17.85", + "D) 20.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.51", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 13.51\nC) 17.85\nD) 20.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 11.34", + "B) 13.51", + "C) 17.85", + "D) 20.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.51", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 19.39\nB) 15.05\nC) 12.88\nD) 6.37", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 19.39", + "B) 15.05", + "C) 12.88", + "D) 6.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 19.39\nB) 15.05\nC) 12.88\nD) 6.37", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 19.39", + "B) 15.05", + "C) 12.88", + "D) 6.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 18.52\nB) 9.84\nC) 7.67\nD) 12.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 18.52", + "B) 9.84", + "C) 7.67", + "D) 12.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 18.52\nB) 9.84\nC) 7.67\nD) 12.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", + "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", + "options": [ + "A) 18.52", + "B) 9.84", + "C) 7.67", + "D) 12.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", + "event_date": "2018-12-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 35.01\nC) 38.10\nD) 36.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 33.46", + "B) 35.01", + "C) 38.10", + "D) 36.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 35.01\nC) 38.10\nD) 36.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 33.46", + "B) 35.01", + "C) 38.10", + "D) 36.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 30.36", + "B) 33.46", + "C) 28.82", + "D) 31.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 30.36", + "B) 33.46", + "C) 28.82", + "D) 31.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 28.82\nC) 33.46\nD) 38.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 31.91", + "B) 28.82", + "C) 33.46", + "D) 38.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 28.82\nC) 33.46\nD) 38.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 31.91", + "B) 28.82", + "C) 33.46", + "D) 38.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 28.82\nB) 35.01\nC) 36.56\nD) 33.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 28.82", + "B) 35.01", + "C) 36.56", + "D) 33.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 28.82\nB) 35.01\nC) 36.56\nD) 33.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 28.82", + "B) 35.01", + "C) 36.56", + "D) 33.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 28.82\nC) 30.36\nD) 36.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 33.46", + "B) 28.82", + "C) 30.36", + "D) 36.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 28.82\nC) 30.36\nD) 36.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 33.46", + "B) 28.82", + "C) 30.36", + "D) 36.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 36.56", + "B) 33.46", + "C) 28.82", + "D) 31.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 36.56", + "B) 33.46", + "C) 28.82", + "D) 31.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "33.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,874.08\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 7,115.88\nD) 8,253.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,874.08", + "B) 7,494.98", + "C) 7,115.88", + "D) 8,253.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7,115.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,874.08\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 7,115.88\nD) 8,253.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,874.08", + "B) 7,494.98", + "C) 7,115.88", + "D) 8,253.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7,115.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,635.53\nB) 6,119.13\nC) 8,014.63\nD) 7,256.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,635.53", + "B) 6,119.13", + "C) 8,014.63", + "D) 7,256.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7,256.43", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,635.53\nB) 6,119.13\nC) 8,014.63\nD) 7,256.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,635.53", + "B) 6,119.13", + "C) 8,014.63", + "D) 7,256.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7,256.43", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,421.46\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 8,179.66\nD) 6,663.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,421.46", + "B) 6,284.16", + "C) 8,179.66", + "D) 6,663.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7,421.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,421.46\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 8,179.66\nD) 6,663.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,421.46", + "B) 6,284.16", + "C) 8,179.66", + "D) 6,663.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7,421.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,830.12\nB) 7,588.32\nC) 8,346.52\nD) 7,209.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 6,830.12", + "B) 7,588.32", + "C) 8,346.52", + "D) 7,209.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7,588.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,830.12\nB) 7,588.32\nC) 8,346.52\nD) 7,209.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 6,830.12", + "B) 7,588.32", + "C) 8,346.52", + "D) 7,209.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7,588.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,209.22\nB) 6,451.02\nC) 7,588.32\nD) 8,725.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,209.22", + "B) 6,451.02", + "C) 7,588.32", + "D) 8,725.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7,588.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,209.22\nB) 6,451.02\nC) 7,588.32\nD) 8,725.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,209.22", + "B) 6,451.02", + "C) 7,588.32", + "D) 8,725.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7,588.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,553.14\nB) 6,794.94\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,932.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,553.14", + "B) 6,794.94", + "C) 8,690.44", + "D) 7,932.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7,932.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,553.14\nB) 6,794.94\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,932.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7,553.14", + "B) 6,794.94", + "C) 8,690.44", + "D) 7,932.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7,932.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,695.14\nB) 2,598.19\nC) 2,404.30\nD) 2,501.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,695.14", + "B) 2,598.19", + "C) 2,404.30", + "D) 2,501.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,695.14", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,695.14\nB) 2,598.19\nC) 2,404.30\nD) 2,501.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,695.14", + "B) 2,598.19", + "C) 2,404.30", + "D) 2,501.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,695.14", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,926.12\nB) 2,732.22\nC) 2,829.17\nD) 2,635.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,926.12", + "B) 2,732.22", + "C) 2,829.17", + "D) 2,635.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,732.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,926.12\nB) 2,732.22\nC) 2,829.17\nD) 2,635.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,926.12", + "B) 2,732.22", + "C) 2,829.17", + "D) 2,635.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,732.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,488.76\nB) 3,070.44\nC) 2,779.60\nD) 2,876.55", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,488.76", + "B) 3,070.44", + "C) 2,779.60", + "D) 2,876.55" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,779.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,488.76\nB) 3,070.44\nC) 2,779.60\nD) 2,876.55", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,488.76", + "B) 3,070.44", + "C) 2,779.60", + "D) 2,876.55" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2,779.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,980.47\nB) 2,883.52\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,786.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,980.47", + "B) 2,883.52", + "C) 2,592.67", + "D) 2,786.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,786.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,980.47\nB) 2,883.52\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,786.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,980.47", + "B) 2,883.52", + "C) 2,592.67", + "D) 2,786.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2,786.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,786.57\nB) 2,980.47\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,883.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,786.57", + "B) 2,980.47", + "C) 2,592.67", + "D) 2,883.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,786.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,786.57\nB) 2,980.47\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,883.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,786.57", + "B) 2,980.47", + "C) 2,592.67", + "D) 2,883.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,786.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,943.02\nB) 2,846.07\nC) 2,749.12\nD) 2,652.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,943.02", + "B) 2,846.07", + "C) 2,749.12", + "D) 2,652.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,846.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,943.02\nB) 2,846.07\nC) 2,749.12\nD) 2,652.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", + "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", + "options": [ + "A) 2,943.02", + "B) 2,846.07", + "C) 2,749.12", + "D) 2,652.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2,846.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", + "event_date": "2018-02-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-max", + "year": 2018 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 123.83\nB) 121.34\nC) 117.60\nD) 113.86", + "options": [ + "A) 123.83", + "B) 121.34", + "C) 117.60", + "D) 113.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "117.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.79pp\nB) -0.29pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +0.25pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.79pp", + "B) -0.29pp", + "C) +0.52pp", + "D) +0.25pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.25pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 256.43\nB) 243.14\nC) 263.08\nD) 249.78", + "options": [ + "A) 256.43", + "B) 243.14", + "C) 263.08", + "D) 249.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "256.43", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1907\nB) 1.1217\nC) 1.0527\nD) 1.2598", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1907", + "B) 1.1217", + "C) 1.0527", + "D) 1.2598" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1217", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,247,196\nB) 2,020,804\nC) 1,634,000\nD) 1,376,131", + "options": [ + "A) 1,247,196", + "B) 2,020,804", + "C) 1,634,000", + "D) 1,376,131" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,634,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.83%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 2.56%\nD) 1.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.83%", + "B) 2.21%", + "C) 2.56%", + "D) 1.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.20%\nB) 65.10%\nC) 60.04%\nD) 61.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.20%", + "B) 65.10%", + "C) 60.04%", + "D) 61.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "63.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.3175\nB) 6.9247\nC) 6.5319\nD) 7.5793", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3175", + "B) 6.9247", + "C) 6.5319", + "D) 7.5793" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.9247", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 0.60%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 0.25%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.97%", + "B) 0.60%", + "C) 1.28%", + "D) 0.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 1.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.00%", + "B) 3.20%", + "C) 2.32%", + "D) 1.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.29\nB) 99.22\nC) 108.43\nD) 105.36", + "options": [ + "A) 102.29", + "B) 99.22", + "C) 108.43", + "D) 105.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "102.29", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.24%\nB) 7.00%\nC) 7.83%\nD) 7.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.24%", + "B) 7.00%", + "C) 7.83%", + "D) 7.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.95%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.95%", + "B) 1.21%", + "C) 1.34%", + "D) 1.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 3.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.83%", + "B) 2.84%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 3.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,886.98\nB) 2,632.98\nC) 3,013.98\nD) 3,267.98", + "options": [ + "A) 2,886.98", + "B) 2,632.98", + "C) 3,013.98", + "D) 3,267.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2,886.98", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 2.97%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.17%", + "B) 3.56%", + "C) 4.14%", + "D) 2.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.70\nB) 99.79\nC) 102.88\nD) 105.96", + "options": [ + "A) 96.70", + "B) 99.79", + "C) 102.88", + "D) 105.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "102.88", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.45pp\nB) +0.12pp\nC) +0.03pp\nD) +0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.45pp", + "B) +0.12pp", + "C) +0.03pp", + "D) +0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.16%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 3.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.16%", + "C) 4.06%", + "D) 3.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 24,687.83\nB) 26,089.61\nC) 27,491.39\nD) 30,294.96", + "options": [ + "A) 24,687.83", + "B) 26,089.61", + "C) 27,491.39", + "D) 30,294.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "26,089.61", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.83%\nB) 57.34%\nC) 61.00%\nD) 59.17%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.83%", + "B) 57.34%", + "C) 61.00%", + "D) 59.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "61.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.93%\nB) -0.55%\nC) -5.31%\nD) -1.74%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.93%", + "B) -0.55%", + "C) -5.31%", + "D) -1.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 2.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.84%", + "B) 1.45%", + "C) 0.66%", + "D) 2.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 117.3186\nB) 108.4400\nC) 111.3995\nD) 99.5614", + "options": [ + "A) 117.3186", + "B) 108.4400", + "C) 111.3995", + "D) 99.5614" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "108.4400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.29%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 2.09%\nD) 1.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.29%", + "B) 1.89%", + "C) 2.09%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,189K\nB) 1,136K\nC) 1,454K\nD) 1,295K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,189K", + "B) 1,136K", + "C) 1,454K", + "D) 1,295K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,295K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $226,791M\nB) $212,932M\nC) $217,552M\nD) $231,411M", + "options": [ + "A) $226,791M", + "B) $212,932M", + "C) $217,552M", + "D) $231,411M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$226,791M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.47%", + "B) 3.82%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 4.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.06%\nB) 3.32%\nC) 3.59%\nD) 3.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.06%", + "B) 3.32%", + "C) 3.59%", + "D) 3.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 1.39%\nC) 1.27%\nD) 1.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.75%", + "B) 1.39%", + "C) 1.27%", + "D) 1.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -6.50%\nB) -2.87%\nC) -13.75%\nD) -10.12%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.50%", + "B) -2.87%", + "C) -13.75%", + "D) -10.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-6.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.38\nB) 103.73\nC) 107.09\nD) 98.14", + "options": [ + "A) 100.38", + "B) 103.73", + "C) 107.09", + "D) 98.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "103.73", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,846B\nB) $16,762B\nC) $16,283B\nD) $17,719B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,846B", + "B) $16,762B", + "C) $16,283B", + "D) $17,719B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$16,283B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.01%\nB) -2.82%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 6.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.01%", + "B) -2.82%", + "C) 0.14%", + "D) 6.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.09%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 3.31%\nD) 4.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.09%", + "B) 5.25%", + "C) 3.31%", + "D) 4.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 1.84%\nD) 1.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.41%", + "B) 2.07%", + "C) 1.84%", + "D) 1.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 268.77\nB) 254.37\nC) 261.57\nD) 243.57", + "options": [ + "A) 268.77", + "B) 254.37", + "C) 261.57", + "D) 243.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "261.57", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,571B\nB) $13,037B\nC) $15,064B\nD) $14,558B", + "options": [ + "A) $15,571B", + "B) $13,037B", + "C) $15,064B", + "D) $14,558B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$14,558B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 78.53%\nB) 76.16%\nC) 74.58%\nD) 80.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 78.53%", + "B) 76.16%", + "C) 74.58%", + "D) 80.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "78.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.25%\nB) 7.90%\nC) 8.22%\nD) 6.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.25%", + "B) 7.90%", + "C) 8.22%", + "D) 6.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.15%\nB) -3.09%\nC) 0.65%\nD) 1.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.15%", + "B) -3.09%", + "C) 0.65%", + "D) 1.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 198.77\nB) 219.68\nC) 226.65\nD) 205.74", + "options": [ + "A) 198.77", + "B) 219.68", + "C) 226.65", + "D) 205.74" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "205.74", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $-48,154M\nB) $-41,991M\nC) $-44,045M\nD) $-54,317M", + "options": [ + "A) $-48,154M", + "B) $-41,991M", + "C) $-44,045M", + "D) $-54,317M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-48,154M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.29pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.49pp\nD) -0.16pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.29pp", + "B) +0.10pp", + "C) +0.49pp", + "D) -0.16pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 106.16\nB) 96.88\nC) 103.07\nD) 99.98", + "options": [ + "A) 106.16", + "B) 96.88", + "C) 103.07", + "D) 99.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "103.07", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.59%\nB) 3.09%\nC) -3.92%\nD) 0.75%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.59%", + "B) 3.09%", + "C) -3.92%", + "D) 0.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.31pp\nB) -3.31pp\nC) -0.31pp\nD) +0.68pp", + "options": [ + "A) -2.31pp", + "B) -3.31pp", + "C) -0.31pp", + "D) +0.68pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-2.31pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $64,006M\nB) $68,651M\nC) $73,296M\nD) $65,555M", + "options": [ + "A) $64,006M", + "B) $68,651M", + "C) $73,296M", + "D) $65,555M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$68,651M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,565K\nB) 1,326K\nC) 1,469K\nD) 1,421K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,565K", + "B) 1,326K", + "C) 1,469K", + "D) 1,421K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,469K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $3,382M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $3,382M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$3,382M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.90pp\nB) -0.99pp\nC) -9.86pp\nD) -15.77pp", + "options": [ + "A) -6.90pp", + "B) -0.99pp", + "C) -9.86pp", + "D) -15.77pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-6.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 1.62%\nD) 2.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.04%", + "C) 1.62%", + "D) 2.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.92%\nB) 5.57%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 2.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.92%", + "B) 5.57%", + "C) 3.62%", + "D) 2.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 3.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.99%", + "B) 4.20%", + "C) 3.01%", + "D) 3.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $240,465M\nB) $247,018M\nC) $260,123M\nD) $220,807M", + "options": [ + "A) $240,465M", + "B) $247,018M", + "C) $260,123M", + "D) $220,807M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$240,465M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.43%\nB) -2.55%\nC) -7.21%\nD) 2.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.43%", + "B) -2.55%", + "C) -7.21%", + "D) 2.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-2.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $22.40/hr\nB) $24.53/hr\nC) $23.68/hr\nD) $25.81/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $22.40/hr", + "B) $24.53/hr", + "C) $23.68/hr", + "D) $25.81/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$23.68/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -10.45%\nB) 8.18%\nC) 17.50%\nD) 3.53%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.45%", + "B) 8.18%", + "C) 17.50%", + "D) 3.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.00%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 66.15%\nD) 64.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.00%", + "B) 61.11%", + "C) 66.15%", + "D) 64.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "63.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,500B\nB) $14,249B\nC) $13,874B\nD) $14,623B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,500B", + "B) $14,249B", + "C) $13,874B", + "D) $14,623B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$14,249B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 92.92\nB) 103.88\nC) 98.40\nD) 106.62", + "options": [ + "A) 92.92", + "B) 103.88", + "C) 98.40", + "D) 106.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "98.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 153,881K\nB) 159,261K\nC) 146,709K\nD) 150,295K", + "options": [ + "A) 153,881K", + "B) 159,261K", + "C) 146,709K", + "D) 150,295K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "150,295K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.87\nB) 106.27\nC) 108.68\nD) 101.47", + "options": [ + "A) 103.87", + "B) 106.27", + "C) 108.68", + "D) 101.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "103.87", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 3.52%\nD) 0.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.80%", + "B) 1.37%", + "C) 3.52%", + "D) 0.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.87%\nB) -4.95%\nC) 0.46%\nD) 16.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.87%", + "B) -4.95%", + "C) 0.46%", + "D) 16.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $521,891M\nB) $471,455M\nC) $534,500M\nD) $509,282M", + "options": [ + "A) $521,891M", + "B) $471,455M", + "C) $534,500M", + "D) $509,282M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$509,282M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,591B\nB) $14,978B\nC) $15,366B\nD) $13,427B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,591B", + "B) $14,978B", + "C) $15,366B", + "D) $13,427B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$14,591B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -4.37%\nB) -9.64%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 6.15%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.37%", + "B) -9.64%", + "C) 0.89%", + "D) 6.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-9.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -7.05%\nB) -3.36%\nC) 4.01%\nD) 15.08%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.05%", + "B) -3.36%", + "C) 4.01%", + "D) 15.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 5.25%\nD) 3.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.17%", + "B) 2.54%", + "C) 5.25%", + "D) 3.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $23.29/hr\nB) $24.45/hr\nC) $22.52/hr\nD) $21.36/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $23.29/hr", + "B) $24.45/hr", + "C) $22.52/hr", + "D) $21.36/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$23.29/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.03pp\nD) +0.13pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.30pp", + "B) -0.20pp", + "C) -0.03pp", + "D) +0.13pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 6,616.22\nB) 8,977.10\nC) 7,796.66\nD) 7,206.44", + "options": [ + "A) 6,616.22", + "B) 8,977.10", + "C) 7,796.66", + "D) 7,206.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7,796.66", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.31%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.31%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 2.12%", + "D) 1.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.04pp\nB) -3.00pp\nC) +1.94pp\nD) -1.02pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.04pp", + "B) -3.00pp", + "C) +1.94pp", + "D) -1.02pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.04pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.63%\nB) 60.60%\nC) 58.78%\nD) 62.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 63.63%", + "B) 60.60%", + "C) 58.78%", + "D) 62.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "60.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) $44.69/bbl\nB) $60.25/bbl\nC) $52.47/bbl\nD) $29.13/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $44.69/bbl", + "B) $60.25/bbl", + "C) $52.47/bbl", + "D) $29.13/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$52.47/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $15,544B\nB) $16,041B\nC) $14,550B\nD) $15,047B", + "options": [ + "A) $15,544B", + "B) $16,041B", + "C) $14,550B", + "D) $15,047B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$15,047B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.03%\nB) -13.31%\nC) -6.75%\nD) -3.47%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.03%", + "B) -13.31%", + "C) -6.75%", + "D) -3.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-10.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -67.96%\nB) -15.68%\nC) 36.60%\nD) -33.11%", + "options": [ + "A) -67.96%", + "B) -15.68%", + "C) 36.60%", + "D) -33.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-15.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.83\nB) 21.73\nC) 15.28\nD) 10.98", + "options": [ + "A) 8.83", + "B) 21.73", + "C) 15.28", + "D) 10.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15.28", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 5.53%\nD) 3.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.99%", + "B) 4.44%", + "C) 5.53%", + "D) 3.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.38pp\nC) +0.16pp\nD) -0.02pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.20pp", + "B) -0.38pp", + "C) +0.16pp", + "D) -0.02pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.07%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 1.33%\nD) 3.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.07%", + "B) 2.20%", + "C) 1.33%", + "D) 3.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 1.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.58%", + "B) 1.70%", + "C) 1.36%", + "D) 1.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 2.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.19%", + "B) 2.32%", + "C) 2.86%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.39%\nB) 6.40%\nC) -5.64%\nD) 12.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.39%", + "B) 6.40%", + "C) -5.64%", + "D) 12.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.91%\nB) 4.34%\nC) 6.06%\nD) 3.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.91%", + "B) 4.34%", + "C) 6.06%", + "D) 3.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,597B\nB) $16,937B\nC) $16,044B\nD) $16,490B", + "options": [ + "A) $15,597B", + "B) $16,937B", + "C) $16,044B", + "D) $16,490B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$16,044B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 1.74%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.62%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.49%", + "B) 1.74%", + "C) 1.98%", + "D) 1.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 115.91\nB) 107.09\nC) 112.97\nD) 118.84", + "options": [ + "A) 115.91", + "B) 107.09", + "C) 112.97", + "D) 118.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "115.91", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $475,681M\nB) $499,292M\nC) $511,098M\nD) $522,903M", + "options": [ + "A) $475,681M", + "B) $499,292M", + "C) $511,098M", + "D) $522,903M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$499,292M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -21.88%\nB) -0.17%\nC) -11.03%\nD) 5.25%", + "options": [ + "A) -21.88%", + "B) -0.17%", + "C) -11.03%", + "D) 5.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-11.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 146,261K\nB) 142,859K\nC) 154,768K\nD) 151,365K", + "options": [ + "A) 146,261K", + "B) 142,859K", + "C) 154,768K", + "D) 151,365K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "151,365K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.88%\nB) -5.55%\nC) 20.53%\nD) 10.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.88%", + "B) -5.55%", + "C) 20.53%", + "D) 10.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 202,426\nB) 217,000\nC) 231,574\nD) 246,148", + "options": [ + "A) 202,426", + "B) 217,000", + "C) 231,574", + "D) 246,148" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "217,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $-37,818M\nB) $-40,012M\nC) $-44,400M\nD) $-48,788M", + "options": [ + "A) $-37,818M", + "B) $-40,012M", + "C) $-44,400M", + "D) $-48,788M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-44,400M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 275.52\nB) 282.94\nC) 253.26\nD) 264.39", + "options": [ + "A) 275.52", + "B) 282.94", + "C) 253.26", + "D) 264.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "264.39", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.42%\nB) 6.48%\nC) 3.51%\nD) -5.39%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.42%", + "B) 6.48%", + "C) 3.51%", + "D) -5.39%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-2.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.47%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 1.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.47%", + "B) 3.14%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) 1.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,203M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $3,203M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$3,203M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -53.69%\nB) -4.09%\nC) -37.15%\nD) -20.62%", + "options": [ + "A) -53.69%", + "B) -4.09%", + "C) -37.15%", + "D) -20.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-20.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 118.30\nB) 110.62\nC) 121.37\nD) 115.23", + "options": [ + "A) 118.30", + "B) 110.62", + "C) 121.37", + "D) 115.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "118.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 215.35\nB) 198.40\nC) 188.23\nD) 208.57", + "options": [ + "A) 215.35", + "B) 198.40", + "C) 188.23", + "D) 208.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "198.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) $12,084B\nB) $14,808B\nC) $13,446B\nD) $13,900B", + "options": [ + "A) $12,084B", + "B) $14,808B", + "C) $13,446B", + "D) $13,900B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$13,446B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 6.67%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 5.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.96%", + "B) 6.67%", + "C) 3.83%", + "D) 5.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 0.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.99%", + "B) 2.71%", + "C) 3.42%", + "D) 0.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 105.34\nB) 103.06\nC) 107.63\nD) 99.63", + "options": [ + "A) 105.34", + "B) 103.06", + "C) 107.63", + "D) 99.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "103.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,298K\nB) 1,245K\nC) 1,191K\nD) 1,352K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,298K", + "B) 1,245K", + "C) 1,191K", + "D) 1,352K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,191K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 4.46%\nD) 3.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.87%", + "B) 4.02%", + "C) 4.46%", + "D) 3.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 254.28\nB) 260.03\nC) 265.79\nD) 245.64", + "options": [ + "A) 254.28", + "B) 260.03", + "C) 265.79", + "D) 245.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "254.28", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) $79.99/bbl\nB) $63.13/bbl\nC) $46.27/bbl\nD) $37.84/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $79.99/bbl", + "B) $63.13/bbl", + "C) $46.27/bbl", + "D) $37.84/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 192.99\nB) 212.51\nC) 200.80\nD) 185.18", + "options": [ + "A) 192.99", + "B) 212.51", + "C) 200.80", + "D) 185.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "200.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20190615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2019-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 6.41%\nC) 8.08%\nD) 5.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.74%", + "B) 6.41%", + "C) 8.08%", + "D) 5.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 2.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.33%", + "B) 2.66%", + "C) 2.11%", + "D) 2.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.95%\nB) 77.62%\nC) 82.28%\nD) 75.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 79.95%", + "B) 77.62%", + "C) 82.28%", + "D) 75.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "77.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.07pp\nB) +0.73pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +0.29pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.07pp", + "B) +0.73pp", + "C) +0.40pp", + "D) +0.29pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 218.96\nB) 204.72\nC) 197.60\nD) 211.84", + "options": [ + "A) 218.96", + "B) 204.72", + "C) 197.60", + "D) 211.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "211.84", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.41%", + "B) 1.70%", + "C) 2.05%", + "D) 2.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $67,918M\nB) $66,378M\nC) $70,997M\nD) $61,759M", + "options": [ + "A) $67,918M", + "B) $66,378M", + "C) $70,997M", + "D) $61,759M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$66,378M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.86pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) +0.60pp\nD) +0.77pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.86pp", + "B) +0.51pp", + "C) +0.60pp", + "D) +0.77pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 1.25%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.38%", + "B) 1.25%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.68%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,311K\nB) 1,169K\nC) 1,264K\nD) 1,358K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,311K", + "B) 1,169K", + "C) 1,264K", + "D) 1,358K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,311K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) -1.59%\nC) -13.11%\nD) -5.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.25%", + "B) -1.59%", + "C) -13.11%", + "D) -5.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20190301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.72pp\nB) +5.58pp\nC) -3.00pp\nD) -11.58pp", + "options": [ + "A) -8.72pp", + "B) +5.58pp", + "C) -3.00pp", + "D) -11.58pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-3.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.92%\nB) 23.42%\nC) 15.67%\nD) 11.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.92%", + "B) 23.42%", + "C) 15.67%", + "D) 11.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.54%\nB) 0.87%\nC) -14.80%\nD) -11.67%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.54%", + "B) 0.87%", + "C) -14.80%", + "D) -11.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-8.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 95.17\nB) 93.20\nC) 89.25\nD) 97.15", + "options": [ + "A) 95.17", + "B) 93.20", + "C) 89.25", + "D) 97.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "93.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20190901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2019", + "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 7.31%\nC) 5.63%\nD) 4.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.06%", + "B) 7.31%", + "C) 5.63%", + "D) 4.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 1.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.49%", + "B) 2.33%", + "C) 1.28%", + "D) 1.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.91%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 1.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.49%", + "B) 2.33%", + "C) 1.28%", + "D) 1.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.91%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.01%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.80%", + "B) 2.22%", + "C) 1.38%", + "D) 2.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.80%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.01%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.80%", + "B) 2.22%", + "C) 1.38%", + "D) 2.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.80%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 1.03%\nD) 1.24%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.45%", + "B) 1.66%", + "C) 1.03%", + "D) 1.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.66%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 1.03%\nD) 1.24%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.45%", + "B) 1.66%", + "C) 1.03%", + "D) 1.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.66%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 1.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 0.89%", + "B) 1.10%", + "C) 1.52%", + "D) 1.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 1.73%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 0.89%", + "B) 1.10%", + "C) 1.52%", + "D) 1.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 1.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.15%", + "B) 1.31%", + "C) 1.10%", + "D) 1.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 1.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.15%", + "B) 1.31%", + "C) 1.10%", + "D) 1.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 0.75%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 0.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 0.33%", + "B) 0.75%", + "C) 0.96%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.33%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 0.75%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 0.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 0.33%", + "B) 0.75%", + "C) 0.96%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.33%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.19%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.35%", + "B) 1.77%", + "C) 2.40%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.19%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.35%", + "B) 1.77%", + "C) 2.40%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 1.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.40%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 1.77%", + "D) 1.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 1.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.40%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 1.77%", + "D) 1.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 1.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.40%", + "B) 1.56%", + "C) 1.14%", + "D) 1.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 1.77%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.40%", + "B) 1.56%", + "C) 1.14%", + "D) 1.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.77%", + "B) 2.40%", + "C) 1.98%", + "D) 1.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.77%", + "B) 2.40%", + "C) 1.98%", + "D) 1.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.40%", + "B) 1.77%", + "C) 1.56%", + "D) 1.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.14%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 2.40%", + "B) 1.77%", + "C) 1.56%", + "D) 1.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 2.19%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.14%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 1.77%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 2.19%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 1.14%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 1.77%", + "D) 2.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.83%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 2.05%", + "B) 1.18%", + "C) 1.61%", + "D) 1.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.83%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 2.05%", + "B) 1.18%", + "C) 1.61%", + "D) 1.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.83%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.18%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.83%", + "B) 1.40%", + "C) 1.61%", + "D) 1.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.83%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.18%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.83%", + "B) 1.40%", + "C) 1.61%", + "D) 1.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 2.48%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.40%", + "B) 1.83%", + "C) 1.61%", + "D) 2.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 2.48%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.40%", + "B) 1.83%", + "C) 1.61%", + "D) 2.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 9.45\nB) 18.45\nC) 13.95\nD) 16.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 9.45", + "B) 18.45", + "C) 13.95", + "D) 16.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "13.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 9.45\nB) 18.45\nC) 13.95\nD) 16.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 9.45", + "B) 18.45", + "C) 13.95", + "D) 16.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "13.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 20.69\nB) 11.70\nC) 18.45\nD) 13.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 20.69", + "B) 11.70", + "C) 18.45", + "D) 13.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 20.69\nB) 11.70\nC) 18.45\nD) 13.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 20.69", + "B) 11.70", + "C) 18.45", + "D) 13.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 13.54\nB) 20.28\nC) 9.04\nD) 15.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 13.54", + "B) 20.28", + "C) 9.04", + "D) 15.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 13.54\nB) 20.28\nC) 9.04\nD) 15.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 13.54", + "B) 20.28", + "C) 9.04", + "D) 15.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 5.33\nB) 12.07\nC) 16.57\nD) 7.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 5.33", + "B) 12.07", + "C) 16.57", + "D) 7.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 5.33\nB) 12.07\nC) 16.57\nD) 7.57", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 5.33", + "B) 12.07", + "C) 16.57", + "D) 7.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 16.04\nB) 9.29\nC) 11.54\nD) 7.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 16.04", + "B) 9.29", + "C) 11.54", + "D) 7.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 16.04\nB) 9.29\nC) 11.54\nD) 7.04", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 16.04", + "B) 9.29", + "C) 11.54", + "D) 7.04" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 7.04\nB) 13.79\nC) 18.28\nD) 11.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 7.04", + "B) 13.79", + "C) 18.28", + "D) 11.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 7.04\nB) 13.79\nC) 18.28\nD) 11.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", + "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", + "options": [ + "A) 7.04", + "B) 13.79", + "C) 18.28", + "D) 11.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11.54", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Repo-market spike", + "event_date": "2019-09-17", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", + "year": 2019 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.40pp\nB) -2.38pp\nC) -3.39pp\nD) -6.42pp", + "options": [ + "A) -4.40pp", + "B) -2.38pp", + "C) -3.39pp", + "D) -6.42pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-4.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 101.75\nB) 105.41\nC) 111.51\nD) 107.85", + "options": [ + "A) 101.75", + "B) 105.41", + "C) 111.51", + "D) 107.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "105.41", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -8.81%\nB) -1.82%\nC) -5.32%\nD) -2.99%", + "options": [ + "A) -8.81%", + "B) -1.82%", + "C) -5.32%", + "D) -2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-5.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.91pp\nB) -6.19pp\nC) -1.04pp\nD) -4.48pp", + "options": [ + "A) -7.91pp", + "B) -6.19pp", + "C) -1.04pp", + "D) -4.48pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-4.48pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 118.00\nB) 111.25\nC) 114.62\nD) 123.06", + "options": [ + "A) 118.00", + "B) 111.25", + "C) 114.62", + "D) 123.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "118.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) $32.73/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $19.31/bbl\nD) $52.86/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $32.73/bbl", + "B) $39.44/bbl", + "C) $19.31/bbl", + "D) $52.86/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$39.44/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.33\nB) 94.49\nC) 97.41\nD) 103.25", + "options": [ + "A) 100.33", + "B) 94.49", + "C) 97.41", + "D) 103.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "97.41", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 248.11\nB) 255.68\nC) 278.42\nD) 267.05", + "options": [ + "A) 248.11", + "B) 255.68", + "C) 278.42", + "D) 267.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "267.05", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 25,763.16\nB) 24,217.74\nC) 22,672.33\nD) 21,126.91", + "options": [ + "A) 25,763.16", + "B) 24,217.74", + "C) 22,672.33", + "D) 21,126.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "25,763.16", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 2.47%\nD) -0.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.05%", + "B) 0.34%", + "C) 2.47%", + "D) -0.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.31%\nB) 12.68%\nC) 1.63%\nD) -2.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.31%", + "B) 12.68%", + "C) 1.63%", + "D) -2.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $15,623B\nB) $18,704B\nC) $18,088B\nD) $17,472B", + "options": [ + "A) $15,623B", + "B) $18,704B", + "C) $18,088B", + "D) $17,472B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$17,472B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 1.30%\nC) 0.93%\nD) 0.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.19%", + "B) 1.30%", + "C) 0.93%", + "D) 0.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.20%\nB) 11.37%\nC) 3.70%\nD) -0.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.20%", + "B) 11.37%", + "C) 3.70%", + "D) -0.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 12.82%\nB) 11.98%\nC) 12.40%\nD) 13.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.82%", + "B) 11.98%", + "C) 12.40%", + "D) 13.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0020\nB) 1.0520\nC) 1.2020\nD) 1.1270", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0020", + "B) 1.0520", + "C) 1.2020", + "D) 1.1270" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1270", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 107.3300\nB) 99.7383\nC) 112.3911\nD) 114.9217", + "options": [ + "A) 107.3300", + "B) 99.7383", + "C) 112.3911", + "D) 114.9217" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "107.3300", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.25%\nB) -3.06%\nC) -3.86%\nD) -2.26%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.25%", + "B) -3.06%", + "C) -3.86%", + "D) -2.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-3.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 1.48%\nD) 1.73%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.61%", + "B) 1.86%", + "C) 1.48%", + "D) 1.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $223,410M\nB) $209,267M\nC) $216,338M\nD) $230,481M", + "options": [ + "A) $223,410M", + "B) $209,267M", + "C) $216,338M", + "D) $230,481M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$230,481M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -9.30pp\nB) -17.38pp\nC) -6.61pp\nD) -3.91pp", + "options": [ + "A) -9.30pp", + "B) -17.38pp", + "C) -6.61pp", + "D) -3.91pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-9.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) $19.72/bbl\nB) $37.07/bbl\nC) $42.85/bbl\nD) $54.42/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $19.72/bbl", + "B) $37.07/bbl", + "C) $42.85/bbl", + "D) $54.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$37.07/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 5.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.10%", + "B) 3.14%", + "C) 4.58%", + "D) 5.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $14,217B\nB) $13,409B\nC) $12,601B\nD) $13,813B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,217B", + "B) $13,409B", + "C) $12,601B", + "D) $13,813B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$13,813B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 15.07%\nC) -2.62%\nD) 19.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.22%", + "B) 15.07%", + "C) -2.62%", + "D) 19.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.71%\nB) 73.15%\nC) 76.10%\nD) 74.62%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.71%", + "B) 73.15%", + "C) 76.10%", + "D) 74.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "73.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,530K\nB) 1,689K\nC) 1,636K\nD) 1,742K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,530K", + "B) 1,689K", + "C) 1,636K", + "D) 1,742K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,636K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 247.91\nB) 240.86\nC) 219.71\nD) 226.76", + "options": [ + "A) 247.91", + "B) 240.86", + "C) 219.71", + "D) 226.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "226.76", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) $14,865B\nB) $14,393B\nC) $13,922B\nD) $13,450B", + "options": [ + "A) $14,865B", + "B) $14,393B", + "C) $13,922B", + "D) $13,450B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$14,865B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.85%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 4.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.85%", + "B) 3.56%", + "C) 4.13%", + "D) 4.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.17%\nB) 9.42%\nC) 3.91%\nD) -1.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.17%", + "B) 9.42%", + "C) 3.91%", + "D) -1.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 36.28%\nB) 76.53%\nC) 44.33%\nD) 52.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 36.28%", + "B) 76.53%", + "C) 44.33%", + "D) 52.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "52.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.74pp\nB) -3.71pp\nC) -6.82pp\nD) -7.86pp", + "options": [ + "A) -4.74pp", + "B) -3.71pp", + "C) -6.82pp", + "D) -7.86pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-4.74pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 272.37\nB) 258.08\nC) 265.22\nD) 247.36", + "options": [ + "A) 272.37", + "B) 258.08", + "C) 265.22", + "D) 247.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "258.08", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.62\nB) 90.49\nC) 95.97\nD) 103.27", + "options": [ + "A) 99.62", + "B) 90.49", + "C) 95.97", + "D) 103.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "95.97", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $61,914M\nB) $65,214M\nC) $60,265M\nD) $63,564M", + "options": [ + "A) $61,914M", + "B) $65,214M", + "C) $60,265M", + "D) $63,564M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$63,564M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 268.93\nB) 253.99\nC) 261.46\nD) 280.14", + "options": [ + "A) 268.93", + "B) 253.99", + "C) 261.46", + "D) 280.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "268.93", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.95pp\nB) -0.80pp\nC) -1.03pp\nD) -0.88pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.95pp", + "B) -0.80pp", + "C) -1.03pp", + "D) -0.88pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 94.44\nB) 83.76\nC) 89.10\nD) 98.01", + "options": [ + "A) 94.44", + "B) 83.76", + "C) 89.10", + "D) 98.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "89.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,913B\nB) $14,291B\nC) $13,536B\nD) $14,668B", + "options": [ + "A) $13,913B", + "B) $14,291B", + "C) $13,536B", + "D) $14,668B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$14,668B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 73.79%\nB) 70.10%\nC) 76.00%\nD) 71.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 73.79%", + "B) 70.10%", + "C) 76.00%", + "D) 71.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "73.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.33\nB) 80.40\nC) 69.80\nD) 91.00", + "options": [ + "A) 73.33", + "B) 80.40", + "C) 69.80", + "D) 91.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "80.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.48%\nB) 12.20%\nC) 10.34%\nD) 13.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.48%", + "B) 12.20%", + "C) 10.34%", + "D) 13.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.7142\nB) 7.4632\nC) 6.4646\nD) 7.0887", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7142", + "B) 7.4632", + "C) 6.4646", + "D) 7.0887" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.0887", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.30pp\nB) +3.09pp\nC) +7.92pp\nD) +0.68pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.30pp", + "B) +3.09pp", + "C) +7.92pp", + "D) +0.68pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+4.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.75pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.63pp\nD) -0.52pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.75pp", + "B) -0.40pp", + "C) -0.63pp", + "D) -0.52pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 252.88\nB) 267.11\nC) 260.00\nD) 245.76", + "options": [ + "A) 252.88", + "B) 267.11", + "C) 260.00", + "D) 245.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "260.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $17,871B\nB) $14,870B\nC) $15,370B\nD) $16,370B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,871B", + "B) $14,870B", + "C) $15,370B", + "D) $16,370B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$16,370B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 5.01%\nD) 3.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.40%", + "B) 3.79%", + "C) 5.01%", + "D) 3.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 1.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.89%", + "B) 0.09%", + "C) 0.49%", + "D) 1.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.09%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.14%\nB) -8.44%\nC) -3.83%\nD) 3.08%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.14%", + "B) -8.44%", + "C) -3.83%", + "D) 3.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-3.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.35%\nB) 31.42%\nC) 18.71%\nD) 12.36%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.35%", + "B) 31.42%", + "C) 18.71%", + "D) 12.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.80pp\nB) -4.73pp\nC) -16.83pp\nD) -20.87pp", + "options": [ + "A) -12.80pp", + "B) -4.73pp", + "C) -16.83pp", + "D) -20.87pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-12.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -3.35%\nB) -9.27%\nC) -15.19%\nD) -12.23%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.35%", + "B) -9.27%", + "C) -15.19%", + "D) -12.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-9.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 0.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.02%", + "B) 1.44%", + "C) 0.18%", + "D) 0.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 23.28%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 9.20%\nD) 14.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 23.28%", + "B) 6.38%", + "C) 9.20%", + "D) 14.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 0.36%\nC) 0.92%\nD) 2.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.04%", + "B) 0.36%", + "C) 0.92%", + "D) 2.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.79%\nB) 59.80%\nC) 58.01%\nD) 61.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.79%", + "B) 59.80%", + "C) 58.01%", + "D) 61.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "59.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 0.01%\nC) 0.33%\nD) 0.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.65%", + "B) 0.01%", + "C) 0.33%", + "D) 0.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 194.10\nB) 201.12\nC) 236.21\nD) 215.16", + "options": [ + "A) 194.10", + "B) 201.12", + "C) 236.21", + "D) 215.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "215.16", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 195.50\nB) 185.50\nC) 178.83\nD) 202.17", + "options": [ + "A) 195.50", + "B) 185.50", + "C) 178.83", + "D) 202.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "195.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $57,781M\nB) $62,287M\nC) $65,291M\nD) $63,789M", + "options": [ + "A) $57,781M", + "B) $62,287M", + "C) $65,291M", + "D) $63,789M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$62,287M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.11%\nB) 9.93%\nC) 6.29%\nD) 2.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.11%", + "B) 9.93%", + "C) 6.29%", + "D) 2.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $24.28/hr\nB) $25.90/hr\nC) $23.20/hr\nD) $24.82/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $24.28/hr", + "B) $25.90/hr", + "C) $23.20/hr", + "D) $24.82/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$24.82/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -27.50%\nB) -60.80%\nC) -10.85%\nD) 22.45%", + "options": [ + "A) -27.50%", + "B) -60.80%", + "C) -10.85%", + "D) 22.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-27.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.98%\nB) 24.75%\nC) 36.51%\nD) 18.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.98%", + "B) 24.75%", + "C) 36.51%", + "D) 18.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 202.93\nB) 209.48\nC) 193.10\nD) 183.27", + "options": [ + "A) 202.93", + "B) 209.48", + "C) 193.10", + "D) 183.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "193.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.67%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 1.39%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.67%", + "B) 1.75%", + "C) 2.11%", + "D) 1.39%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $204,710M\nB) $218,650M\nC) $209,357M\nD) $214,003M", + "options": [ + "A) $204,710M", + "B) $218,650M", + "C) $209,357M", + "D) $214,003M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$204,710M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.07%\nB) 0.53%\nC) -4.27%\nD) 3.73%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.07%", + "B) 0.53%", + "C) -4.27%", + "D) 3.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.38%\nB) 10.72%\nC) 10.14%\nD) 8.97%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.38%", + "B) 10.72%", + "C) 10.14%", + "D) 8.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.85%\nB) -8.15%\nC) -7.50%\nD) -6.20%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.85%", + "B) -8.15%", + "C) -7.50%", + "D) -6.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-6.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.17%\nD) 1.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.17%", + "B) 0.50%", + "C) 0.17%", + "D) 1.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.72%\nB) 7.30%\nC) 10.88%\nD) 6.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.72%", + "B) 7.30%", + "C) 10.88%", + "D) 6.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.52%\nB) 5.61%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 9.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.52%", + "B) 5.61%", + "C) 7.80%", + "D) 9.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 4.90%\nC) 0.66%\nD) -1.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.78%", + "B) 4.90%", + "C) 0.66%", + "D) -1.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 150,895K\nB) 155,845K\nC) 144,295K\nD) 147,595K", + "options": [ + "A) 150,895K", + "B) 155,845K", + "C) 144,295K", + "D) 147,595K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "150,895K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 2.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.68%", + "B) 1.45%", + "C) 1.91%", + "D) 2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 6.43%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 3.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.35%", + "B) 6.43%", + "C) 4.81%", + "D) 3.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $15,030B\nB) $17,537B\nC) $14,529B\nD) $16,033B", + "options": [ + "A) $15,030B", + "B) $17,537B", + "C) $14,529B", + "D) $16,033B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$16,033B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $18,602B\nB) $20,066B\nC) $20,798B\nD) $19,334B", + "options": [ + "A) $18,602B", + "B) $20,066B", + "C) $20,798B", + "D) $19,334B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$18,602B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 99.51\nB) 104.27\nC) 106.65\nD) 101.89", + "options": [ + "A) 99.51", + "B) 104.27", + "C) 106.65", + "D) 101.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "104.27", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 380,038\nB) 2,565,962\nC) 1,473,000\nD) 2,201,641", + "options": [ + "A) 380,038", + "B) 2,565,962", + "C) 1,473,000", + "D) 2,201,641" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,473,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.78%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 0.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.46%", + "B) 1.78%", + "C) 1.10%", + "D) 0.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $-42,374M\nB) $-35,852M\nC) $-40,200M\nD) $-48,896M", + "options": [ + "A) $-42,374M", + "B) $-35,852M", + "C) $-40,200M", + "D) $-48,896M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-42,374M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -14.39%\nB) -4.24%\nC) -0.86%\nD) -7.62%", + "options": [ + "A) -14.39%", + "B) -4.24%", + "C) -0.86%", + "D) -7.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-4.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $-62,242M\nB) $-51,762M\nC) $-57,002M\nD) $-49,142M", + "options": [ + "A) $-62,242M", + "B) $-51,762M", + "C) $-57,002M", + "D) $-49,142M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-57,002M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 25.99%\nB) 16.55%\nC) 28.35%\nD) 23.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 25.99%", + "B) 16.55%", + "C) 28.35%", + "D) 23.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "23.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $541,302M\nB) $555,123M\nC) $582,764M\nD) $513,661M", + "options": [ + "A) $541,302M", + "B) $555,123M", + "C) $582,764M", + "D) $513,661M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$541,302M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.95%\nB) -6.34%\nC) -1.50%\nD) -11.18%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.95%", + "B) -6.34%", + "C) -1.50%", + "D) -11.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-6.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.20%\nB) -8.47%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 8.07%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.20%", + "B) -8.47%", + "C) 3.94%", + "D) 8.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 12,868,729\nB) 16,196,243\nC) 21,187,514\nD) 17,860,000", + "options": [ + "A) 12,868,729", + "B) 16,196,243", + "C) 21,187,514", + "D) 17,860,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17,860,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.30%\nB) 23.24%\nC) -5.00%\nD) -10.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.30%", + "B) 23.24%", + "C) -5.00%", + "D) -10.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.95\nB) 104.63\nC) 110.78\nD) 107.09", + "options": [ + "A) 100.95", + "B) 104.63", + "C) 110.78", + "D) 107.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "104.63", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.17%\nB) 64.47%\nC) 61.40%\nD) 62.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.17%", + "B) 64.47%", + "C) 61.40%", + "D) 62.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "61.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $21.85/hr\nB) $22.76/hr\nC) $25.48/hr\nD) $24.12/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $21.85/hr", + "B) $22.76/hr", + "C) $25.48/hr", + "D) $24.12/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$24.12/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 1.06%\nD) 1.87%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.65%", + "B) 1.46%", + "C) 1.06%", + "D) 1.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -18.10%\nB) -14.87%\nC) -24.56%\nD) -21.33%", + "options": [ + "A) -18.10%", + "B) -14.87%", + "C) -24.56%", + "D) -21.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-14.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 123.77\nB) 115.49\nC) 118.80\nD) 127.08", + "options": [ + "A) 123.77", + "B) 115.49", + "C) 118.80", + "D) 127.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "118.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.29%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 1.53%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.29%", + "B) 1.65%", + "C) 1.76%", + "D) 1.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.52pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) +0.75pp\nD) +0.97pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.52pp", + "B) -0.16pp", + "C) +0.75pp", + "D) +0.97pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.52pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -1.80pp\nC) -2.10pp\nD) -1.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.20pp", + "B) -1.80pp", + "C) -2.10pp", + "D) -1.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.80pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 8.00%\nC) 7.04%\nD) 6.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.57%", + "B) 8.00%", + "C) 7.04%", + "D) 6.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.33%\nB) 58.46%\nC) 53.80%\nD) 56.60%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.33%", + "B) 58.46%", + "C) 53.80%", + "D) 56.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "56.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 3.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.13%", + "B) 2.53%", + "C) 3.53%", + "D) 3.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $3,883M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $3,883M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$3,883M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,752.39\nB) 2,909.49\nC) 3,066.59\nD) 2,595.29", + "options": [ + "A) 2,752.39", + "B) 2,909.49", + "C) 3,066.59", + "D) 2,595.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,066.59", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,099K\nB) 1,433K\nC) 1,322K\nD) 1,266K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,099K", + "B) 1,433K", + "C) 1,322K", + "D) 1,266K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,266K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 0.71%\nD) 1.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.28%", + "B) 1.56%", + "C) 0.71%", + "D) 1.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 7,639.85\nB) 9,726.02\nC) 9,030.63\nD) 8,335.24", + "options": [ + "A) 7,639.85", + "B) 9,726.02", + "C) 9,030.63", + "D) 8,335.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9,726.02", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 46.84\nB) 21.96\nC) 34.40\nD) 26.10", + "options": [ + "A) 46.84", + "B) 21.96", + "C) 34.40", + "D) 26.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "34.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) -10.36%\nC) -12.45%\nD) -6.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.08%", + "B) -10.36%", + "C) -12.45%", + "D) -6.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-6.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,880M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,880M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$4,880M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 0.71%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.99%", + "B) 0.71%", + "C) 1.56%", + "D) 1.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,292K\nB) 1,593K\nC) 1,473K\nD) 1,353K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,292K", + "B) 1,593K", + "C) 1,473K", + "D) 1,353K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,473K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -12.28%\nB) -6.76%\nC) 4.26%\nD) -1.25%", + "options": [ + "A) -12.28%", + "B) -6.76%", + "C) 4.26%", + "D) -1.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.60pp\nB) +0.46pp\nC) +0.18pp\nD) +0.88pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.60pp", + "B) +0.46pp", + "C) +0.18pp", + "D) +0.88pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 130,873K\nB) 141,770K\nC) 146,129K\nD) 135,232K", + "options": [ + "A) 130,873K", + "B) 141,770K", + "C) 146,129K", + "D) 135,232K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "141,770K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.01%\nB) 17.88%\nC) 13.30%\nD) 8.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.01%", + "B) 17.88%", + "C) 13.30%", + "D) 8.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "13.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 112.77\nB) 116.36\nC) 123.55\nD) 119.95", + "options": [ + "A) 112.77", + "B) 116.36", + "C) 123.55", + "D) 119.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "119.95", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.21%\nD) 2.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.10%", + "B) 2.31%", + "C) 2.21%", + "D) 2.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.40%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 0.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.40%", + "C) 0.66%", + "D) 0.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 60.72%\nB) 64.48%\nC) 62.60%\nD) 59.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.72%", + "B) 64.48%", + "C) 62.60%", + "D) 59.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "62.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.07\nB) 101.46\nC) 108.65\nD) 105.06", + "options": [ + "A) 99.07", + "B) 101.46", + "C) 108.65", + "D) 105.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "105.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $468,324M\nB) $494,581M\nC) $428,938M\nD) $442,067M", + "options": [ + "A) $468,324M", + "B) $494,581M", + "C) $428,938M", + "D) $442,067M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$468,324M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20200615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2020-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -72.05%\nB) -37.25%\nC) -19.85%\nD) -2.45%", + "options": [ + "A) -72.05%", + "B) -37.25%", + "C) -19.85%", + "D) -2.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-37.25%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.13%", + "B) 1.44%", + "C) 1.72%", + "D) 1.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,447K\nB) 1,245K\nC) 1,397K\nD) 1,346K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,447K", + "B) 1,245K", + "C) 1,397K", + "D) 1,346K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,346K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2020", + "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 0.64%\nD) 2.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.49%", + "B) 2.77%", + "C) 0.64%", + "D) 2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,020.22\nB) 8,980.77\nC) 9,941.32\nD) 9,621.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,020.22", + "B) 8,980.77", + "C) 9,941.32", + "D) 9,621.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8,980.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,020.22\nB) 8,980.77\nC) 9,941.32\nD) 9,621.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,020.22", + "B) 8,980.77", + "C) 9,941.32", + "D) 9,621.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8,980.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,377.72\nB) 9,338.27\nC) 9,018.09\nD) 9,658.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,377.72", + "B) 9,338.27", + "C) 9,018.09", + "D) 9,658.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9,018.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,377.72\nB) 9,338.27\nC) 9,018.09\nD) 9,658.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,377.72", + "B) 9,338.27", + "C) 9,018.09", + "D) 9,658.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9,018.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,978.64\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,697.91\nD) 9,018.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 9,978.64", + "B) 8,377.72", + "C) 8,697.91", + "D) 9,018.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9,018.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,978.64\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,697.91\nD) 9,018.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 9,978.64", + "B) 8,377.72", + "C) 8,697.91", + "D) 9,018.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9,018.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,018.09\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,057.54\nD) 9,338.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 9,018.09", + "B) 8,377.72", + "C) 8,057.54", + "D) 9,338.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9,018.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,018.09\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,057.54\nD) 9,338.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 9,018.09", + "B) 8,377.72", + "C) 8,057.54", + "D) 9,338.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9,018.09", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,594.46\nB) 9,234.83\nC) 10,195.38\nD) 8,914.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,594.46", + "B) 9,234.83", + "C) 10,195.38", + "D) 8,914.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9,234.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,594.46\nB) 9,234.83\nC) 10,195.38\nD) 8,914.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 8,594.46", + "B) 9,234.83", + "C) 10,195.38", + "D) 8,914.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "9,234.83", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 10,787.89\nB) 10,147.52\nC) 11,108.07\nD) 10,467.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 10,787.89", + "B) 10,147.52", + "C) 11,108.07", + "D) 10,467.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11,108.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 10,787.89\nB) 10,147.52\nC) 11,108.07\nD) 10,467.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 10,787.89", + "B) 10,147.52", + "C) 11,108.07", + "D) 10,467.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11,108.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,417.19\nB) 3,224.54\nC) 3,320.86\nD) 3,128.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,417.19", + "B) 3,224.54", + "C) 3,320.86", + "D) 3,128.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,128.21", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,417.19\nB) 3,224.54\nC) 3,320.86\nD) 3,128.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,417.19", + "B) 3,224.54", + "C) 3,320.86", + "D) 3,128.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,128.21", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,130.12\nB) 3,226.45\nC) 3,419.10\nD) 2,841.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,130.12", + "B) 3,226.45", + "C) 3,419.10", + "D) 2,841.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,130.12\nB) 3,226.45\nC) 3,419.10\nD) 2,841.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,130.12", + "B) 3,226.45", + "C) 3,419.10", + "D) 2,841.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,130.12\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 2,937.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,419.10", + "B) 3,130.12", + "C) 3,033.79", + "D) 2,937.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,130.12\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 2,937.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,419.10", + "B) 3,130.12", + "C) 3,033.79", + "D) 2,937.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,130.12\nD) 2,841.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,419.10", + "B) 3,322.77", + "C) 3,130.12", + "D) 2,841.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,130.12\nD) 2,841.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,419.10", + "B) 3,322.77", + "C) 3,130.12", + "D) 2,841.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,226.45\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 3,130.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,226.45", + "B) 3,322.77", + "C) 3,033.79", + "D) 3,130.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,226.45\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 3,130.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,226.45", + "B) 3,322.77", + "C) 3,033.79", + "D) 3,130.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,130.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,380.35\nB) 3,091.37\nC) 3,573.00\nD) 3,669.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,380.35", + "B) 3,091.37", + "C) 3,573.00", + "D) 3,669.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,380.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,380.35\nB) 3,091.37\nC) 3,573.00\nD) 3,669.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 3,380.35", + "B) 3,091.37", + "C) 3,573.00", + "D) 3,669.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,380.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.11\nC) 45.51\nD) 43.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 40.11", + "C) 45.51", + "D) 43.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "40.11", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.11\nC) 45.51\nD) 43.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 38.31", + "B) 40.11", + "C) 45.51", + "D) 43.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "40.11", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 49.06\nB) 56.26\nC) 54.46\nD) 52.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 49.06", + "B) 56.26", + "C) 54.46", + "D) 52.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "54.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 49.06\nB) 56.26\nC) 54.46\nD) 52.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 49.06", + "B) 56.26", + "C) 54.46", + "D) 52.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "54.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 86.29\nB) 79.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 82.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 86.29", + "B) 79.09", + "C) 80.89", + "D) 82.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 86.29\nB) 79.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 82.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 86.29", + "B) 79.09", + "C) 80.89", + "D) 82.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 88.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 86.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 82.69", + "B) 88.09", + "C) 80.89", + "D) 86.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 88.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 86.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 82.69", + "B) 88.09", + "C) 80.89", + "D) 86.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 80.89\nB) 82.69\nC) 88.09\nD) 77.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 80.89", + "B) 82.69", + "C) 88.09", + "D) 77.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 80.89\nB) 82.69\nC) 88.09\nD) 77.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 80.89", + "B) 82.69", + "C) 88.09", + "D) 77.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 79.09\nB) 88.09\nC) 82.69\nD) 80.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 79.09", + "B) 88.09", + "C) 82.69", + "D) 80.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 79.09\nB) 88.09\nC) 82.69\nD) 80.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 79.09", + "B) 88.09", + "C) 82.69", + "D) 80.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "82.69", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 1.10%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 1.63%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 1.90%", + "D) 1.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.10%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 1.10%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 1.63%", + "B) 0.57%", + "C) 1.90%", + "D) 1.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.10%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.07%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 1.34%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.07%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 1.34%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.07%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.01%", + "B) 0.54%", + "C) 1.34%", + "D) 1.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.07%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.01%", + "B) 0.54%", + "C) 1.34%", + "D) 1.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 1.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 1.07%", + "C) 0.54%", + "D) 1.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 1.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 1.07%", + "C) 0.54%", + "D) 1.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 1.34%", + "B) 0.27%", + "C) 1.07%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 1.34%", + "B) 0.27%", + "C) 1.07%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 0.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.52%", + "B) 1.05%", + "C) 1.32%", + "D) 0.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 0.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) 0.52%", + "B) 1.05%", + "C) 1.32%", + "D) 0.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $60.20/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $53.25/bbl", + "B) $49.78/bbl", + "C) $42.83/bbl", + "D) $60.20/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $60.20/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $53.25/bbl", + "B) $49.78/bbl", + "C) $42.83/bbl", + "D) $60.20/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $56.73/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $56.73/bbl", + "B) $39.36/bbl", + "C) $49.78/bbl", + "D) $46.31/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $56.73/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $56.73/bbl", + "B) $39.36/bbl", + "C) $49.78/bbl", + "D) $46.31/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $56.73/bbl\nD) $49.78/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $46.31/bbl", + "B) $39.36/bbl", + "C) $56.73/bbl", + "D) $49.78/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $56.73/bbl\nD) $49.78/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $46.31/bbl", + "B) $39.36/bbl", + "C) $56.73/bbl", + "D) $49.78/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $49.78/bbl\nB) $46.31/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $49.78/bbl", + "B) $46.31/bbl", + "C) $42.83/bbl", + "D) $39.36/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $49.78/bbl\nB) $46.31/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $49.78/bbl", + "B) $46.31/bbl", + "C) $42.83/bbl", + "D) $39.36/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $39.36/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $53.25/bbl", + "B) $49.78/bbl", + "C) $39.36/bbl", + "D) $46.31/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $39.36/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $53.25/bbl", + "B) $49.78/bbl", + "C) $39.36/bbl", + "D) $46.31/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $42.83/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $42.83/bbl", + "B) $56.73/bbl", + "C) $49.78/bbl", + "D) $46.31/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $42.83/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", + "options": [ + "A) $42.83/bbl", + "B) $56.73/bbl", + "C) $49.78/bbl", + "D) $46.31/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", + "event_date": "2020-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.05%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.26%", + "B) 0.69%", + "C) 0.47%", + "D) 0.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.05%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.26%", + "B) 0.69%", + "C) 0.47%", + "D) 0.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.05%", + "B) 0.47%", + "C) 0.26%", + "D) 0.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.05%", + "B) 0.47%", + "C) 0.26%", + "D) 0.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.47%", + "B) 0.05%", + "C) 0.69%", + "D) 0.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.47%", + "B) 0.05%", + "C) 0.69%", + "D) 0.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.05%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 0.73%\nD) 0.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.02%", + "B) 1.60%", + "C) 0.73%", + "D) 0.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.73%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 0.73%\nD) 0.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.02%", + "B) 1.60%", + "C) 0.73%", + "D) 0.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.73%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.59%", + "B) 1.01%", + "C) 1.30%", + "D) 0.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.72%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.59%", + "B) 1.01%", + "C) 1.30%", + "D) 0.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.72%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.62%", + "B) 1.20%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 0.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.62%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.62%", + "B) 1.20%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 0.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.62%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 0.87%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.45%", + "B) 0.58%", + "C) 1.16%", + "D) 0.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 0.87%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.45%", + "B) 0.58%", + "C) 1.16%", + "D) 0.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 1.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.29%", + "B) 0.87%", + "C) 0.58%", + "D) 1.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 1.45%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.29%", + "B) 0.87%", + "C) 0.58%", + "D) 1.45%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.23%", + "B) 1.10%", + "C) 1.39%", + "D) 0.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.23%", + "B) 1.10%", + "C) 1.39%", + "D) 0.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.52%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 0.00%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 0.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 0.00%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 1.35%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 0.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.54%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.54%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 1.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.08%", + "B) 0.00%", + "C) 0.54%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.08%", + "B) 0.00%", + "C) 0.54%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.00%\nD) 0.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.08%", + "B) 0.81%", + "C) 0.00%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.00%\nD) 0.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 1.08%", + "B) 0.81%", + "C) 0.00%", + "D) 0.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.08%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 0.81%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 1.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.08%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 0.81%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 1.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.54%", + "C) 1.08%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.81%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 0.27%", + "B) 0.54%", + "C) 1.08%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 75.30\nB) 59.87\nC) 66.04\nD) 69.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 75.30", + "B) 59.87", + "C) 66.04", + "D) 69.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "66.04", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 75.30\nB) 59.87\nC) 66.04\nD) 69.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 75.30", + "B) 59.87", + "C) 66.04", + "D) 69.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "66.04", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 70.26\nB) 67.17\nC) 51.74\nD) 61.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 70.26", + "B) 67.17", + "C) 51.74", + "D) 61.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "61.00", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 70.26\nB) 67.17\nC) 51.74\nD) 61.00", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 70.26", + "B) 67.17", + "C) 51.74", + "D) 61.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "61.00", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 41.17\nB) 35.00\nC) 38.08\nD) 44.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 41.17", + "B) 35.00", + "C) 38.08", + "D) 44.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "41.17", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 41.17\nB) 35.00\nC) 38.08\nD) 44.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 41.17", + "B) 35.00", + "C) 38.08", + "D) 44.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "41.17", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 30.66\nB) 27.57\nC) 18.31\nD) 21.40", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 30.66", + "B) 27.57", + "C) 18.31", + "D) 21.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "27.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 30.66\nB) 27.57\nC) 18.31\nD) 21.40", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 30.66", + "B) 27.57", + "C) 18.31", + "D) 21.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "27.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 33.78\nB) 30.69\nC) 24.52\nD) 15.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 33.78", + "B) 30.69", + "C) 24.52", + "D) 15.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 33.78\nB) 30.69\nC) 24.52\nD) 15.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 33.78", + "B) 30.69", + "C) 24.52", + "D) 15.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 12.09\nB) 30.61\nC) 15.18\nD) 21.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 12.09", + "B) 30.61", + "C) 15.18", + "D) 21.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "21.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 12.09\nB) 30.61\nC) 15.18\nD) 21.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 12.09", + "B) 30.61", + "C) 15.18", + "D) 21.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "21.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,879.52\nB) 6,553.79\nC) 7,205.25\nD) 6,228.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 6,879.52", + "B) 6,553.79", + "C) 7,205.25", + "D) 6,228.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,879.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,879.52\nB) 6,553.79\nC) 7,205.25\nD) 6,228.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 6,879.52", + "B) 6,553.79", + "C) 7,205.25", + "D) 6,228.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,879.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,837.85\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 7,186.40\nD) 6,534.94", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 7,837.85", + "B) 6,860.67", + "C) 7,186.40", + "D) 6,534.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,837.85\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 7,186.40\nD) 6,534.94", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 7,837.85", + "B) 6,860.67", + "C) 7,186.40", + "D) 6,534.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,209.21\nB) 5,883.49\nC) 6,860.67\nD) 6,534.94", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 6,209.21", + "B) 5,883.49", + "C) 6,860.67", + "D) 6,534.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,209.21\nB) 5,883.49\nC) 6,860.67\nD) 6,534.94", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 6,209.21", + "B) 5,883.49", + "C) 6,860.67", + "D) 6,534.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,209.21\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 6,860.67", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 7,186.40", + "B) 6,209.21", + "C) 6,534.94", + "D) 6,860.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,209.21\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 6,860.67", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 7,186.40", + "B) 6,209.21", + "C) 6,534.94", + "D) 6,860.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,860.67\nB) 7,512.13\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 6,860.67", + "B) 7,512.13", + "C) 6,534.94", + "D) 7,837.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,860.67\nB) 7,512.13\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 6,860.67", + "B) 7,512.13", + "C) 6,534.94", + "D) 7,837.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 7,186.40", + "B) 6,860.67", + "C) 6,534.94", + "D) 7,837.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", + "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", + "options": [ + "A) 7,186.40", + "B) 6,860.67", + "C) 6,534.94", + "D) 7,837.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,860.67", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", + "event_date": "2020-03-15", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-0.76/bbl\nB) $32.74/bbl\nC) $15.99/bbl\nD) $4.82/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $-0.76/bbl", + "B) $32.74/bbl", + "C) $15.99/bbl", + "D) $4.82/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$15.99/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-0.76/bbl\nB) $32.74/bbl\nC) $15.99/bbl\nD) $4.82/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $-0.76/bbl", + "B) $32.74/bbl", + "C) $15.99/bbl", + "D) $4.82/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$15.99/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.89/bbl\nB) $31.64/bbl\nC) $9.30/bbl\nD) $20.47/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $14.89/bbl", + "B) $31.64/bbl", + "C) $9.30/bbl", + "D) $20.47/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$20.47/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.89/bbl\nB) $31.64/bbl\nC) $9.30/bbl\nD) $20.47/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $14.89/bbl", + "B) $31.64/bbl", + "C) $9.30/bbl", + "D) $20.47/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$20.47/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $31.83/bbl\nB) $37.41/bbl\nC) $43.00/bbl\nD) $20.66/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $31.83/bbl", + "B) $37.41/bbl", + "C) $43.00/bbl", + "D) $20.66/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$31.83/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $31.83/bbl\nB) $37.41/bbl\nC) $43.00/bbl\nD) $20.66/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $31.83/bbl", + "B) $37.41/bbl", + "C) $43.00/bbl", + "D) $20.66/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$31.83/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $50.71/bbl\nB) $39.54/bbl\nC) $45.12/bbl\nD) $22.79/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $50.71/bbl", + "B) $39.54/bbl", + "C) $45.12/bbl", + "D) $22.79/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$39.54/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $50.71/bbl\nB) $39.54/bbl\nC) $45.12/bbl\nD) $22.79/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $50.71/bbl", + "B) $39.54/bbl", + "C) $45.12/bbl", + "D) $22.79/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$39.54/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $30.03/bbl\nB) $46.78/bbl\nC) $41.20/bbl\nD) $35.62/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $30.03/bbl", + "B) $46.78/bbl", + "C) $41.20/bbl", + "D) $35.62/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$41.20/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $30.03/bbl\nB) $46.78/bbl\nC) $41.20/bbl\nD) $35.62/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $30.03/bbl", + "B) $46.78/bbl", + "C) $41.20/bbl", + "D) $35.62/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$41.20/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $48.79/bbl\nB) $32.04/bbl\nC) $59.96/bbl\nD) $43.21/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $48.79/bbl", + "B) $32.04/bbl", + "C) $59.96/bbl", + "D) $43.21/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$43.21/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $48.79/bbl\nB) $32.04/bbl\nC) $59.96/bbl\nD) $43.21/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $48.79/bbl", + "B) $32.04/bbl", + "C) $59.96/bbl", + "D) $43.21/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$43.21/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $9.73/bbl\nC) $3.59/bbl\nD) $28.15/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $15.87/bbl", + "B) $9.73/bbl", + "C) $3.59/bbl", + "D) $28.15/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$15.87/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $9.73/bbl\nC) $3.59/bbl\nD) $28.15/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $15.87/bbl", + "B) $9.73/bbl", + "C) $3.59/bbl", + "D) $28.15/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$15.87/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.26/bbl\nB) $20.40/bbl\nC) $26.54/bbl\nD) $32.68/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $14.26/bbl", + "B) $20.40/bbl", + "C) $26.54/bbl", + "D) $32.68/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$20.40/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.26/bbl\nB) $20.40/bbl\nC) $26.54/bbl\nD) $32.68/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $14.26/bbl", + "B) $20.40/bbl", + "C) $26.54/bbl", + "D) $32.68/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$20.40/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.88/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $33.30/bbl\nD) $21.02/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $14.88/bbl", + "B) $39.44/bbl", + "C) $33.30/bbl", + "D) $21.02/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$33.30/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.88/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $33.30/bbl\nD) $21.02/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $14.88/bbl", + "B) $39.44/bbl", + "C) $33.30/bbl", + "D) $21.02/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$33.30/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $59.60/bbl\nB) $35.04/bbl\nC) $28.90/bbl\nD) $41.18/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $59.60/bbl", + "B) $35.04/bbl", + "C) $28.90/bbl", + "D) $41.18/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$41.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $59.60/bbl\nB) $35.04/bbl\nC) $28.90/bbl\nD) $41.18/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $59.60/bbl", + "B) $35.04/bbl", + "C) $28.90/bbl", + "D) $41.18/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$41.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $43.96/bbl\nB) $25.54/bbl\nC) $56.24/bbl\nD) $62.38/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $43.96/bbl", + "B) $25.54/bbl", + "C) $56.24/bbl", + "D) $62.38/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$43.96/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $43.96/bbl\nB) $25.54/bbl\nC) $56.24/bbl\nD) $62.38/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $43.96/bbl", + "B) $25.54/bbl", + "C) $56.24/bbl", + "D) $62.38/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$43.96/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $39.87/bbl\nB) $46.01/bbl\nC) $64.43/bbl\nD) $58.29/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $39.87/bbl", + "B) $46.01/bbl", + "C) $64.43/bbl", + "D) $58.29/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$46.01/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $39.87/bbl\nB) $46.01/bbl\nC) $64.43/bbl\nD) $58.29/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", + "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", + "options": [ + "A) $39.87/bbl", + "B) $46.01/bbl", + "C) $64.43/bbl", + "D) $58.29/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$46.01/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", + "event_date": "2020-04-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", + "year": 2020 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,183,595\nB) 805,797\nC) 428,000\nD) 1,561,392", + "options": [ + "A) 1,183,595", + "B) 805,797", + "C) 428,000", + "D) 1,561,392" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "428,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 52.87%\nB) 15.06%\nC) 21.36%\nD) 33.97%", + "options": [ + "A) 52.87%", + "B) 15.06%", + "C) 21.36%", + "D) 33.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "33.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 4.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.07%", + "B) 2.90%", + "C) 2.32%", + "D) 4.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $63,893M\nB) $68,846M\nC) $73,799M\nD) $72,148M", + "options": [ + "A) $63,893M", + "B) $68,846M", + "C) $73,799M", + "D) $72,148M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$68,846M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 150,807K\nB) 135,466K\nC) 144,232K\nD) 139,849K", + "options": [ + "A) 150,807K", + "B) 135,466K", + "C) 144,232K", + "D) 139,849K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "144,232K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 126.06\nB) 129.32\nC) 119.54\nD) 122.80", + "options": [ + "A) 126.06", + "B) 129.32", + "C) 119.54", + "D) 122.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "122.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 34.14%\nB) 24.41%\nC) 20.24%\nD) 23.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 34.14%", + "B) 24.41%", + "C) 20.24%", + "D) 23.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "34.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.17%\nB) 11.34%\nC) 16.83%\nD) 5.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.17%", + "B) 11.34%", + "C) 16.83%", + "D) 5.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 27.89%\nB) 61.50%\nC) 44.69%\nD) 53.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 27.89%", + "B) 61.50%", + "C) 44.69%", + "D) 53.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "44.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $-70,083M\nB) $-65,509M\nC) $-79,231M\nD) $-74,657M", + "options": [ + "A) $-70,083M", + "B) $-65,509M", + "C) $-79,231M", + "D) $-74,657M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-74,657M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) -3.23%\nC) 5.24%\nD) 7.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.00%", + "B) -3.23%", + "C) 5.24%", + "D) 7.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.24pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) -0.72pp\nD) +0.04pp", + "options": [ + "A) -2.24pp", + "B) -1.10pp", + "C) -0.72pp", + "D) +0.04pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.82%\nB) 6.85%\nC) 8.78%\nD) 5.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.82%", + "B) 6.85%", + "C) 8.78%", + "D) 5.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "8.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.66%\nB) 58.42%\nC) 63.34%\nD) 61.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.66%", + "B) 58.42%", + "C) 63.34%", + "D) 61.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "61.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $-65,658M\nB) $-58,843M\nC) $-62,251M\nD) $-69,065M", + "options": [ + "A) $-65,658M", + "B) $-58,843M", + "C) $-62,251M", + "D) $-69,065M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-65,658M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 18.29%\nB) 12.42%\nC) 9.48%\nD) 15.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 18.29%", + "B) 12.42%", + "C) 9.48%", + "D) 15.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.29%\nB) 12.98%\nC) 7.60%\nD) 2.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.29%", + "B) 12.98%", + "C) 7.60%", + "D) 2.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) -12.65%\nB) -1.74%\nC) -3.92%\nD) -6.10%", + "options": [ + "A) -12.65%", + "B) -1.74%", + "C) -3.92%", + "D) -6.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-6.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.65%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.20%\nD) 1.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.65%", + "B) 2.10%", + "C) 1.20%", + "D) 1.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.90/bbl\nB) $72.06/bbl\nC) $66.45/bbl\nD) $55.22/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $88.90/bbl", + "B) $72.06/bbl", + "C) $66.45/bbl", + "D) $55.22/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$72.06/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 143,437K\nB) 136,935K\nC) 147,771K\nD) 154,273K", + "options": [ + "A) 143,437K", + "B) 136,935K", + "C) 147,771K", + "D) 154,273K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "147,771K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.85%\nB) 79.92%\nC) 82.96%\nD) 76.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 73.85%", + "B) 79.92%", + "C) 82.96%", + "D) 76.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "76.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $5,839M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $5,839M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$5,839M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1620\nB) 1.2120\nC) 1.2870\nD) 1.3370", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1620", + "B) 1.2120", + "C) 1.2870", + "D) 1.3370" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.2120", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.67%\nD) 1.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.36%", + "B) 2.44%", + "C) 2.67%", + "D) 1.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) 7,756,018\nB) 10,000,027\nC) 1,023,991\nD) 3,268,000", + "options": [ + "A) 7,756,018", + "B) 10,000,027", + "C) 1,023,991", + "D) 3,268,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,268,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 81.32%\nB) 54.36%\nC) 0.45%\nD) 27.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 81.32%", + "B) 54.36%", + "C) 0.45%", + "D) 27.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "81.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.48%\nB) 0.07%\nC) 1.29%\nD) 0.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.48%", + "B) 0.07%", + "C) 1.29%", + "D) 0.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.07%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.8481\nB) 6.7394\nC) 6.4052\nD) 6.1824", + "options": [ + "A) 5.8481", + "B) 6.7394", + "C) 6.4052", + "D) 6.1824" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4052", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 20.51%\nC) 16.41%\nD) 12.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 20.51%", + "C) 16.41%", + "D) 12.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.31%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.06pp\nB) +7.23pp\nC) +5.51pp\nD) -3.11pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.06pp", + "B) +7.23pp", + "C) +5.51pp", + "D) -3.11pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+2.06pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $675,737M\nB) $609,671M\nC) $587,649M\nD) $653,715M", + "options": [ + "A) $675,737M", + "B) $609,671M", + "C) $587,649M", + "D) $653,715M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$609,671M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,728K\nB) 1,465K\nC) 1,640K\nD) 1,377K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,728K", + "B) 1,465K", + "C) 1,640K", + "D) 1,377K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,640K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.94%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 7.63%\nD) 5.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.94%", + "B) 3.01%", + "C) 7.63%", + "D) 5.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) $15,580B\nB) $16,711B\nC) $14,448B\nD) $15,014B", + "options": [ + "A) $15,580B", + "B) $16,711B", + "C) $14,448B", + "D) $15,014B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$15,580B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.49%\nB) 20.55%\nC) 11.36%\nD) 29.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 17.49%", + "B) 20.55%", + "C) 11.36%", + "D) 29.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 28,441.97\nB) 36,251.78\nC) 34,299.33\nD) 32,346.88", + "options": [ + "A) 28,441.97", + "B) 36,251.78", + "C) 34,299.33", + "D) 32,346.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "34,299.33", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 0.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.04%", + "B) 1.21%", + "C) 1.63%", + "D) 0.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.06%\nB) -8.79%\nC) -0.86%\nD) 30.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.06%", + "B) -8.79%", + "C) -0.86%", + "D) 30.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 118.4924\nB) 110.1200\nC) 105.0966\nD) 113.4689", + "options": [ + "A) 118.4924", + "B) 110.1200", + "C) 105.0966", + "D) 113.4689" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "110.1200", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 44.61%\nB) 20.09%\nC) 38.48%\nD) 50.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 44.61%", + "B) 20.09%", + "C) 38.48%", + "D) 50.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "38.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $16,080B\nB) $16,821B\nC) $14,969B\nD) $15,710B", + "options": [ + "A) $16,080B", + "B) $16,821B", + "C) $14,969B", + "D) $15,710B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$15,710B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 129.23\nB) 133.23\nC) 139.23\nD) 123.22", + "options": [ + "A) 129.23", + "B) 133.23", + "C) 139.23", + "D) 123.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "129.23", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.97%\nB) 6.10%\nC) 8.37%\nD) 3.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.97%", + "B) 6.10%", + "C) 8.37%", + "D) 3.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 25.14%\nB) 27.01%\nC) 28.88%\nD) 23.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 25.14%", + "B) 27.01%", + "C) 28.88%", + "D) 23.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "28.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.76%\nB) 3.85%\nC) 4.43%\nD) 5.02%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.76%", + "B) 3.85%", + "C) 4.43%", + "D) 5.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 12.79%\nB) 24.08%\nC) 5.26%\nD) 1.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.79%", + "B) 24.08%", + "C) 5.26%", + "D) 1.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "12.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 107.31\nB) 110.03\nC) 103.22\nD) 114.12", + "options": [ + "A) 107.31", + "B) 110.03", + "C) 103.22", + "D) 114.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "110.03", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.67pp\nB) -7.87pp\nC) -3.10pp\nD) -6.28pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.67pp", + "B) -7.87pp", + "C) -3.10pp", + "D) -6.28pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-3.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.36%\nB) 0.51%\nC) 0.93%\nD) 0.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.36%", + "B) 0.51%", + "C) 0.93%", + "D) 0.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.08%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) -5.19%\nC) 8.48%\nD) 5.75%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.01%", + "B) -5.19%", + "C) 8.48%", + "D) 5.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 27.33%\nB) 23.95%\nC) 20.57%\nD) 13.82%", + "options": [ + "A) 27.33%", + "B) 23.95%", + "C) 20.57%", + "D) 13.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "23.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,404K\nB) 1,491K\nC) 1,577K\nD) 1,750K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,404K", + "B) 1,491K", + "C) 1,577K", + "D) 1,750K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,577K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 116.49\nB) 113.75\nC) 105.53\nD) 109.64", + "options": [ + "A) 116.49", + "B) 113.75", + "C) 105.53", + "D) 109.64" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "109.64", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) 2.93%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 3.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.93%", + "B) 2.05%", + "C) 2.34%", + "D) 3.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 68.31%\nB) 75.85%\nC) 78.86%\nD) 72.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 68.31%", + "B) 75.85%", + "C) 78.86%", + "D) 72.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "75.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 272.05\nB) 254.33\nC) 264.96\nD) 279.14", + "options": [ + "A) 272.05", + "B) 254.33", + "C) 264.96", + "D) 279.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "264.96", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 54.72%\nB) 60.68%\nC) 52.73%\nD) 57.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 54.72%", + "B) 60.68%", + "C) 52.73%", + "D) 57.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "57.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.20%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 2.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.20%", + "B) 2.31%", + "C) 2.08%", + "D) 2.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) -5.61%\nB) 0.24%\nC) 11.96%\nD) 17.82%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.61%", + "B) 0.24%", + "C) 11.96%", + "D) 17.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 278.92\nB) 264.00\nC) 271.46\nD) 252.80", + "options": [ + "A) 278.92", + "B) 264.00", + "C) 271.46", + "D) 252.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "271.46", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 4.84%\nC) 6.38%\nD) 5.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.86%", + "B) 4.84%", + "C) 6.38%", + "D) 5.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 84.90\nB) 92.93\nC) 88.92\nD) 80.88", + "options": [ + "A) 84.90", + "B) 92.93", + "C) 88.92", + "D) 80.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "84.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 21.45\nB) 17.02\nC) 30.32\nD) 8.15", + "options": [ + "A) 21.45", + "B) 17.02", + "C) 30.32", + "D) 8.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "17.02", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.55pp\nB) +0.95pp\nC) +1.35pp\nD) +1.15pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.55pp", + "B) +0.95pp", + "C) +1.35pp", + "D) +1.15pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+1.35pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.98pp\nB) -5.45pp\nC) -4.33pp\nD) -2.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.98pp", + "B) -5.45pp", + "C) -4.33pp", + "D) -2.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-2.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.20%\nB) 2.80%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 3.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.20%", + "B) 2.80%", + "C) 1.90%", + "D) 3.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $73,178M\nB) $71,387M\nC) $76,759M\nD) $74,968M", + "options": [ + "A) $73,178M", + "B) $71,387M", + "C) $76,759M", + "D) $74,968M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$71,387M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 17,656.26\nB) 16,461.79\nC) 14,072.86\nD) 15,267.33", + "options": [ + "A) 17,656.26", + "B) 16,461.79", + "C) 14,072.86", + "D) 15,267.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,072.86", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) 0.61%\nC) 1.50%\nD) 0.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.05%", + "B) 0.61%", + "C) 1.50%", + "D) 0.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) +3.74pp\nB) +1.55pp\nC) -2.85pp\nD) +8.13pp", + "options": [ + "A) +3.74pp", + "B) +1.55pp", + "C) -2.85pp", + "D) +8.13pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+3.74pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 105.86\nB) 98.39\nC) 102.12\nD) 94.65", + "options": [ + "A) 105.86", + "B) 98.39", + "C) 102.12", + "D) 94.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "98.39", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 28.67%\nB) 21.26%\nC) 26.20%\nD) 18.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 28.67%", + "B) 21.26%", + "C) 26.20%", + "D) 18.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) -22.91pp\nB) -12.70pp\nC) -2.50pp\nD) -7.60pp", + "options": [ + "A) -22.91pp", + "B) -12.70pp", + "C) -2.50pp", + "D) -7.60pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-7.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $26.30/hr\nB) $28.28/hr\nC) $24.98/hr\nD) $26.96/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $26.30/hr", + "B) $28.28/hr", + "C) $24.98/hr", + "D) $26.96/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$26.30/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.10%\nB) 50.37%\nC) 71.84%\nD) 82.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.10%", + "B) 50.37%", + "C) 71.84%", + "D) 82.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "50.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 34.54%\nB) 38.61%\nC) 30.46%\nD) 22.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 34.54%", + "B) 38.61%", + "C) 30.46%", + "D) 22.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,550K\nB) 1,477K\nC) 1,915K\nD) 1,696K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,550K", + "B) 1,477K", + "C) 1,915K", + "D) 1,696K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,696K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 0.40%\nD) 0.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.51%", + "B) 2.25%", + "C) 0.40%", + "D) 0.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 240.80\nB) 235.68\nC) 220.31\nD) 225.43", + "options": [ + "A) 240.80", + "B) 235.68", + "C) 220.31", + "D) 225.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "235.68", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $268,428M\nB) $246,493M\nC) $253,805M\nD) $275,740M", + "options": [ + "A) $268,428M", + "B) $246,493M", + "C) $253,805M", + "D) $275,740M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$253,805M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.53%\nB) 15.58%\nC) 23.77%\nD) 19.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.53%", + "B) 15.58%", + "C) 23.77%", + "D) 19.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $21,959B\nB) $23,953B\nC) $23,289B\nD) $21,295B", + "options": [ + "A) $21,959B", + "B) $23,953B", + "C) $23,289B", + "D) $21,295B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$21,959B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.84%\nB) 10.53%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 17.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.84%", + "B) 10.53%", + "C) 3.91%", + "D) 17.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.39\nB) 102.62\nC) 98.86\nD) 93.21", + "options": [ + "A) 106.39", + "B) 102.62", + "C) 98.86", + "D) 93.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "98.86", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.73%\nB) 39.83%\nC) 26.43%\nD) 33.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 19.73%", + "B) 39.83%", + "C) 26.43%", + "D) 33.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "33.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 107.05\nB) 103.47\nC) 113.02\nD) 109.44", + "options": [ + "A) 107.05", + "B) 103.47", + "C) 113.02", + "D) 109.44" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "107.05", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 263.44\nB) 279.70\nC) 291.89\nD) 271.57", + "options": [ + "A) 263.44", + "B) 279.70", + "C) 291.89", + "D) 271.57" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "279.70", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.81%\nB) 18.65%\nC) 13.73%\nD) 15.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.81%", + "B) 18.65%", + "C) 13.73%", + "D) 15.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "13.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 100.85\nB) 104.50\nC) 110.58\nD) 106.93", + "options": [ + "A) 100.85", + "B) 104.50", + "C) 110.58", + "D) 106.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "106.93", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $16,490B\nB) $16,035B\nC) $17,400B\nD) $15,125B", + "options": [ + "A) $16,490B", + "B) $16,035B", + "C) $17,400B", + "D) $15,125B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$16,490B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $23.58/hr\nB) $25.33/hr\nC) $24.16/hr\nD) $27.08/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $23.58/hr", + "B) $25.33/hr", + "C) $24.16/hr", + "D) $27.08/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$25.33/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 7.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.61%", + "B) 5.90%", + "C) 4.81%", + "D) 7.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.58%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 4.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.58%", + "B) 3.47%", + "C) 3.89%", + "D) 4.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) $73.38/bbl\nB) $86.18/bbl\nC) $60.58/bbl\nD) $79.78/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $73.38/bbl", + "B) $86.18/bbl", + "C) $60.58/bbl", + "D) $79.78/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$73.38/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $19,991B\nB) $18,401B\nC) $17,607B\nD) $19,196B", + "options": [ + "A) $19,991B", + "B) $18,401B", + "C) $17,607B", + "D) $19,196B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$18,401B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 285.74\nB) 258.14\nC) 273.91\nD) 266.02", + "options": [ + "A) 285.74", + "B) 258.14", + "C) 273.91", + "D) 266.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "273.91", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.33%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 4.95%\nD) 4.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.33%", + "B) 3.08%", + "C) 4.95%", + "D) 4.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $603,581M\nB) $618,818M\nC) $573,107M\nD) $588,344M", + "options": [ + "A) $603,581M", + "B) $618,818M", + "C) $573,107M", + "D) $588,344M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$603,581M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 5.96%\nC) 7.20%\nD) 6.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.35%", + "B) 5.96%", + "C) 7.20%", + "D) 6.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.98%\nB) 8.13%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 3.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.98%", + "B) 8.13%", + "C) 4.70%", + "D) 3.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $6,389M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $6,200,000M", + "D) $6,389M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$6,389M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $19,873B\nB) $18,943B\nC) $22,664B\nD) $17,083B", + "options": [ + "A) $19,873B", + "B) $18,943B", + "C) $22,664B", + "D) $17,083B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$19,873B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,501.75\nB) 4,246.59\nC) 3,481.11\nD) 3,991.43", + "options": [ + "A) 4,501.75", + "B) 4,246.59", + "C) 3,481.11", + "D) 3,991.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,246.59", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 179.34%\nB) 152.51%\nC) 98.84%\nD) 18.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 179.34%", + "B) 152.51%", + "C) 98.84%", + "D) 18.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "98.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 259.48\nB) 267.14\nC) 251.83\nD) 244.17", + "options": [ + "A) 259.48", + "B) 267.14", + "C) 251.83", + "D) 244.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "244.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 271.36\nB) 260.92\nC) 292.26\nD) 240.02", + "options": [ + "A) 271.36", + "B) 260.92", + "C) 292.26", + "D) 240.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "271.36", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) -5.75%\nB) 12.46%\nC) 0.32%\nD) 18.53%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.75%", + "B) 12.46%", + "C) 0.32%", + "D) 18.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $275,932M\nB) $250,822M\nC) $259,192M\nD) $234,081M", + "options": [ + "A) $275,932M", + "B) $250,822M", + "C) $259,192M", + "D) $234,081M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$259,192M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,831K\nB) 1,681K\nC) 1,530K\nD) 1,756K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,831K", + "B) 1,681K", + "C) 1,530K", + "D) 1,756K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,756K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.70pp\nB) -2.10pp\nC) +2.97pp\nD) +0.43pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.70pp", + "B) -2.10pp", + "C) +2.97pp", + "D) +0.43pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+1.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $17,342B\nB) $20,981B\nC) $23,407B\nD) $24,620B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,342B", + "B) $20,981B", + "C) $23,407B", + "D) $24,620B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$20,981B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.95%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 4.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.37%", + "B) 4.95%", + "C) 4.00%", + "D) 4.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.07%\nB) 14.29%\nC) 12.68%\nD) 13.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.07%", + "B) 14.29%", + "C) 12.68%", + "D) 13.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 23.98%\nB) 20.20%\nC) 35.34%\nD) 27.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 23.98%", + "B) 20.20%", + "C) 35.34%", + "D) 27.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "23.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) +9.59pp\nB) -4.20pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +5.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) +9.59pp", + "B) -4.20pp", + "C) +0.40pp", + "D) +5.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-4.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.49%\nB) 42.62%\nC) 30.91%\nD) 66.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.49%", + "B) 42.62%", + "C) 30.91%", + "D) 66.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.26%\nB) 25.76%\nC) 21.38%\nD) 12.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.26%", + "B) 25.76%", + "C) 21.38%", + "D) 12.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.67%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 3.29%\nD) 2.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.67%", + "B) 2.36%", + "C) 3.29%", + "D) 2.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 107.92\nB) 111.35\nC) 114.78\nD) 102.77", + "options": [ + "A) 107.92", + "B) 111.35", + "C) 114.78", + "D) 102.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "111.35", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.47pp\nB) +3.53pp\nC) +2.20pp\nD) +4.87pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.47pp", + "B) +3.53pp", + "C) +2.20pp", + "D) +4.87pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+2.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 59.85%\nB) 62.93%\nC) 64.17%\nD) 61.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.85%", + "B) 62.93%", + "C) 64.17%", + "D) 61.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "61.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) +1.14pp\nC) +0.72pp\nD) -0.95pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.30pp", + "B) +1.14pp", + "C) +0.72pp", + "D) -0.95pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.73%\nB) -4.42%\nC) -6.26%\nD) -9.95%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.73%", + "B) -4.42%", + "C) -6.26%", + "D) -9.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-4.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.76%\nB) 6.41%\nC) 4.23%\nD) -2.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.76%", + "B) 6.41%", + "C) 4.23%", + "D) -2.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.23%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 54.71%\nB) 61.87%\nC) 56.75%\nD) 58.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 54.71%", + "B) 61.87%", + "C) 56.75%", + "D) 58.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "58.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 215.00\nB) 221.28\nC) 208.72\nD) 202.45", + "options": [ + "A) 215.00", + "B) 221.28", + "C) 208.72", + "D) 202.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "215.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2021", + "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.31\nB) 72.80\nC) 86.33\nD) 63.78", + "options": [ + "A) 77.31", + "B) 72.80", + "C) 86.33", + "D) 63.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "72.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20210615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2021-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.32%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 0.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.32%", + "B) 0.89%", + "C) 0.03%", + "D) 0.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 17.26\nB) 5.96\nC) 11.61\nD) 22.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 17.26", + "B) 5.96", + "C) 11.61", + "D) 22.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 17.26\nB) 5.96\nC) 11.61\nD) 22.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 17.26", + "B) 5.96", + "C) 11.61", + "D) 22.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 20.87\nB) 9.57\nC) 26.52\nD) 37.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 20.87", + "B) 9.57", + "C) 26.52", + "D) 37.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 20.87\nB) 9.57\nC) 26.52\nD) 37.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 20.87", + "B) 9.57", + "C) 26.52", + "D) 37.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "20.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 25.62\nB) 19.97\nC) 31.27\nD) 36.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 25.62", + "B) 19.97", + "C) 31.27", + "D) 36.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.97", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 25.62\nB) 19.97\nC) 31.27\nD) 36.92", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 25.62", + "B) 19.97", + "C) 31.27", + "D) 36.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.97", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 13.23\nB) 30.18\nC) 18.88\nD) 7.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 13.23", + "B) 30.18", + "C) 18.88", + "D) 7.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 13.23\nB) 30.18\nC) 18.88\nD) 7.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 13.23", + "B) 30.18", + "C) 18.88", + "D) 7.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.88", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 10.60\nB) 21.90\nC) 27.55\nD) 16.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 10.60", + "B) 21.90", + "C) 27.55", + "D) 16.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "16.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 10.60\nB) 21.90\nC) 27.55\nD) 16.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 10.60", + "B) 21.90", + "C) 27.55", + "D) 16.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "16.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15.07\nB) 26.37\nC) 20.72\nD) 32.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15.07", + "B) 26.37", + "C) 20.72", + "D) 32.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15.07\nB) 26.37\nC) 20.72\nD) 32.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15.07", + "B) 26.37", + "C) 20.72", + "D) 32.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.07", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,773.22\nB) 13,612.78\nC) 16,131.45\nD) 14,452.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 12,773.22", + "B) 13,612.78", + "C) 16,131.45", + "D) 14,452.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13,612.78", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,773.22\nB) 13,612.78\nC) 16,131.45\nD) 14,452.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 12,773.22", + "B) 13,612.78", + "C) 16,131.45", + "D) 14,452.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13,612.78", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 13,168.14\nB) 15,686.82\nC) 14,007.70\nD) 14,847.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 13,168.14", + "B) 15,686.82", + "C) 14,007.70", + "D) 14,847.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,007.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 13,168.14\nB) 15,686.82\nC) 14,007.70\nD) 14,847.26", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 13,168.14", + "B) 15,686.82", + "C) 14,007.70", + "D) 14,847.26" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,007.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,774.59\nB) 14,935.03\nC) 13,255.91\nD) 14,095.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15,774.59", + "B) 14,935.03", + "C) 13,255.91", + "D) 14,095.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14,095.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,774.59\nB) 14,935.03\nC) 13,255.91\nD) 14,095.47", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15,774.59", + "B) 14,935.03", + "C) 13,255.91", + "D) 14,095.47" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14,095.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 14,095.47\nB) 15,774.59\nC) 12,416.35\nD) 11,576.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 14,095.47", + "B) 15,774.59", + "C) 12,416.35", + "D) 11,576.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14,095.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 14,095.47\nB) 15,774.59\nC) 12,416.35\nD) 11,576.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 14,095.47", + "B) 15,774.59", + "C) 12,416.35", + "D) 11,576.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14,095.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,774.59\nB) 14,095.47\nC) 11,576.80\nD) 12,416.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15,774.59", + "B) 14,095.47", + "C) 11,576.80", + "D) 12,416.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,095.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,774.59\nB) 14,095.47\nC) 11,576.80\nD) 12,416.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 15,774.59", + "B) 14,095.47", + "C) 11,576.80", + "D) 12,416.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,095.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 17,251.91\nB) 13,054.12\nC) 14,733.24\nD) 13,893.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 17,251.91", + "B) 13,054.12", + "C) 14,733.24", + "D) 13,893.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,733.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 17,251.91\nB) 13,054.12\nC) 14,733.24\nD) 13,893.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 17,251.91", + "B) 13,054.12", + "C) 14,733.24", + "D) 13,893.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,733.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-max", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,254.99\nB) 3,408.07\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 3,714.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,254.99", + "B) 3,408.07", + "C) 3,867.32", + "D) 3,714.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,254.99\nB) 3,408.07\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 3,714.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,254.99", + "B) 3,408.07", + "C) 3,867.32", + "D) 3,714.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,408.07\nD) 3,561.16", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,714.24", + "B) 3,867.32", + "C) 3,408.07", + "D) 3,561.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,408.07\nD) 3,561.16", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,714.24", + "B) 3,867.32", + "C) 3,408.07", + "D) 3,561.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,408.07\nB) 3,714.24\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 4,173.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,408.07", + "B) 3,714.24", + "C) 3,867.32", + "D) 4,173.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,408.07\nB) 3,714.24\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 4,173.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,408.07", + "B) 3,714.24", + "C) 3,867.32", + "D) 4,173.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,561.16\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,714.24\nD) 3,254.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,561.16", + "B) 3,867.32", + "C) 3,714.24", + "D) 3,254.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,561.16\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,714.24\nD) 3,254.99", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,561.16", + "B) 3,867.32", + "C) 3,714.24", + "D) 3,254.99" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,020.41\nB) 3,408.07\nC) 4,173.49\nD) 3,714.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4,020.41", + "B) 3,408.07", + "C) 4,173.49", + "D) 3,714.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,020.41\nB) 3,408.07\nC) 4,173.49\nD) 3,714.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 4,020.41", + "B) 3,408.07", + "C) 4,173.49", + "D) 3,714.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,173.49\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,867.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,714.24", + "B) 4,173.49", + "C) 3,561.16", + "D) 3,867.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,173.49\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,867.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", + "options": [ + "A) 3,714.24", + "B) 4,173.49", + "C) 3,561.16", + "D) 3,867.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,714.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", + "event_date": "2021-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15,933.00\nB) 14,746.40\nC) 17,119.60\nD) 18,306.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 15,933.00", + "B) 14,746.40", + "C) 17,119.60", + "D) 18,306.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,746.40", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15,933.00\nB) 14,746.40\nC) 17,119.60\nD) 18,306.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 15,933.00", + "B) 14,746.40", + "C) 17,119.60", + "D) 18,306.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,746.40", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 13,068.88\nB) 17,815.28\nC) 14,255.48\nD) 10,695.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 13,068.88", + "B) 17,815.28", + "C) 14,255.48", + "D) 10,695.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 13,068.88\nB) 17,815.28\nC) 14,255.48\nD) 10,695.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 13,068.88", + "B) 17,815.28", + "C) 14,255.48", + "D) 10,695.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17,815.28\nB) 15,442.08\nC) 16,628.68\nD) 14,255.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 17,815.28", + "B) 15,442.08", + "C) 16,628.68", + "D) 14,255.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17,815.28\nB) 15,442.08\nC) 16,628.68\nD) 14,255.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 17,815.28", + "B) 15,442.08", + "C) 16,628.68", + "D) 14,255.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 14,255.48\nB) 17,815.28\nC) 15,442.08\nD) 10,695.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 14,255.48", + "B) 17,815.28", + "C) 15,442.08", + "D) 10,695.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 14,255.48\nB) 17,815.28\nC) 15,442.08\nD) 10,695.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 14,255.48", + "B) 17,815.28", + "C) 15,442.08", + "D) 10,695.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17,815.28\nB) 14,255.48\nC) 16,628.68\nD) 13,068.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 17,815.28", + "B) 14,255.48", + "C) 16,628.68", + "D) 13,068.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17,815.28\nB) 14,255.48\nC) 16,628.68\nD) 13,068.88", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 17,815.28", + "B) 14,255.48", + "C) 16,628.68", + "D) 13,068.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,255.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 11,608.95\nB) 13,982.15\nC) 12,795.55\nD) 9,235.75", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 11,608.95", + "B) 13,982.15", + "C) 12,795.55", + "D) 9,235.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,795.55", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 11,608.95\nB) 13,982.15\nC) 12,795.55\nD) 9,235.75", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 11,608.95", + "B) 13,982.15", + "C) 12,795.55", + "D) 9,235.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,795.55", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,085.79\nB) 5,159.38\nC) 3,817.40\nD) 4,354.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,085.79", + "B) 5,159.38", + "C) 3,817.40", + "D) 4,354.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,354.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,085.79\nB) 5,159.38\nC) 3,817.40\nD) 4,354.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,085.79", + "B) 5,159.38", + "C) 3,817.40", + "D) 4,354.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,354.19", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,300.46\nB) 3,763.67\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,568.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,300.46", + "B) 3,763.67", + "C) 4,032.06", + "D) 4,568.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,300.46\nB) 3,763.67\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,568.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,300.46", + "B) 3,763.67", + "C) 4,032.06", + "D) 4,568.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,032.06\nB) 4,300.46\nC) 3,763.67\nD) 4,568.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,032.06", + "B) 4,300.46", + "C) 3,763.67", + "D) 4,568.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,032.06\nB) 4,300.46\nC) 3,763.67\nD) 4,568.86", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,032.06", + "B) 4,300.46", + "C) 3,763.67", + "D) 4,568.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,568.86\nB) 4,032.06\nC) 4,300.46\nD) 4,837.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,568.86", + "B) 4,032.06", + "C) 4,300.46", + "D) 4,837.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,568.86\nB) 4,032.06\nC) 4,300.46\nD) 4,837.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,568.86", + "B) 4,032.06", + "C) 4,300.46", + "D) 4,837.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5,105.65\nB) 3,495.27\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,300.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 5,105.65", + "B) 3,495.27", + "C) 4,032.06", + "D) 4,300.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5,105.65\nB) 3,495.27\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,300.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 5,105.65", + "B) 3,495.27", + "C) 4,032.06", + "D) 4,300.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4,300.46", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,170.70\nB) 3,633.91\nC) 3,902.30\nD) 4,439.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,170.70", + "B) 3,633.91", + "C) 3,902.30", + "D) 4,439.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,170.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,170.70\nB) 3,633.91\nC) 3,902.30\nD) 4,439.10", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4,170.70", + "B) 3,633.91", + "C) 3,902.30", + "D) 4,439.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4,170.70", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.3237\nB) 6.4560\nC) 6.5883\nD) 6.8529", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3237", + "B) 6.4560", + "C) 6.5883", + "D) 6.8529" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.4560", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.3237\nB) 6.4560\nC) 6.5883\nD) 6.8529", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3237", + "B) 6.4560", + "C) 6.5883", + "D) 6.8529" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.4560", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.1788\nB) 6.5757\nC) 6.4434\nD) 6.8403", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.1788", + "B) 6.5757", + "C) 6.4434", + "D) 6.8403" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4434", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.1788\nB) 6.5757\nC) 6.4434\nD) 6.8403", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.1788", + "B) 6.5757", + "C) 6.4434", + "D) 6.8403" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.4434", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5.9853\nB) 6.1176\nC) 6.7791\nD) 6.3822", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 5.9853", + "B) 6.1176", + "C) 6.7791", + "D) 6.3822" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.3822", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5.9853\nB) 6.1176\nC) 6.7791\nD) 6.3822", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 5.9853", + "B) 6.1176", + "C) 6.7791", + "D) 6.3822" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.3822", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.3775\nB) 6.7744\nC) 6.2452\nD) 6.6421", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3775", + "B) 6.7744", + "C) 6.2452", + "D) 6.6421" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.3775", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.3775\nB) 6.7744\nC) 6.2452\nD) 6.6421", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.3775", + "B) 6.7744", + "C) 6.2452", + "D) 6.6421" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.3775", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0789\nB) 6.3435\nC) 6.7404\nD) 6.2112", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0789", + "B) 6.3435", + "C) 6.7404", + "D) 6.2112" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.3435", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0789\nB) 6.3435\nC) 6.7404\nD) 6.2112", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.0789", + "B) 6.3435", + "C) 6.7404", + "D) 6.2112" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.3435", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5.9115\nB) 6.4407\nC) 6.3084\nD) 6.7053", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 5.9115", + "B) 6.4407", + "C) 6.3084", + "D) 6.7053" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.3084", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5.9115\nB) 6.4407\nC) 6.3084\nD) 6.7053", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 5.9115", + "B) 6.4407", + "C) 6.3084", + "D) 6.7053" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.3084", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 23.13\nB) 6.99\nC) 12.37\nD) 17.75", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 23.13", + "B) 6.99", + "C) 12.37", + "D) 17.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 23.13\nB) 6.99\nC) 12.37\nD) 17.75", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 23.13", + "B) 6.99", + "C) 12.37", + "D) 17.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 33.88\nC) 12.37\nD) 28.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 17.75", + "B) 33.88", + "C) 12.37", + "D) 28.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 33.88\nC) 12.37\nD) 28.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 17.75", + "B) 33.88", + "C) 12.37", + "D) 28.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 10.92\nB) 16.30\nC) 21.68\nD) 27.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 10.92", + "B) 16.30", + "C) 21.68", + "D) 27.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 10.92\nB) 16.30\nC) 21.68\nD) 27.06", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 10.92", + "B) 16.30", + "C) 21.68", + "D) 27.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.30", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 20.39\nB) 25.77\nC) 15.01\nD) 31.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 20.39", + "B) 25.77", + "C) 15.01", + "D) 31.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 20.39\nB) 25.77\nC) 15.01\nD) 31.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 20.39", + "B) 25.77", + "C) 15.01", + "D) 31.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 25.77\nB) 31.14\nC) 20.39\nD) 15.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 25.77", + "B) 31.14", + "C) 20.39", + "D) 15.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 25.77\nB) 31.14\nC) 20.39\nD) 15.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 25.77", + "B) 31.14", + "C) 20.39", + "D) 15.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15.01\nB) 25.77\nC) 20.39\nD) 9.63", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 15.01", + "B) 25.77", + "C) 20.39", + "D) 9.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15.01\nB) 25.77\nC) 20.39\nD) 9.63", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", + "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", + "options": [ + "A) 15.01", + "B) 25.77", + "C) 20.39", + "D) 9.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", + "event_date": "2021-09-20", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-min", + "year": 2021 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 111.68\nB) 115.79\nC) 107.57\nD) 119.90", + "options": [ + "A) 111.68", + "B) 115.79", + "C) 107.57", + "D) 119.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "115.79", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.19%\nB) 8.53%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 5.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.19%", + "B) 8.53%", + "C) 3.20%", + "D) 5.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.35%\nB) 15.12%\nC) -9.51%\nD) 8.97%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.35%", + "B) 15.12%", + "C) -9.51%", + "D) 8.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 3,789.99\nB) 2,735.53\nC) 3,087.02\nD) 4,492.96", + "options": [ + "A) 3,789.99", + "B) 2,735.53", + "C) 3,087.02", + "D) 4,492.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,789.99", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.33%\nB) 2.46%\nC) -5.90%\nD) 8.04%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.33%", + "B) 2.46%", + "C) -5.90%", + "D) 8.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,281K\nB) 1,812K\nC) 1,600K\nD) 1,706K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,281K", + "B) 1,812K", + "C) 1,600K", + "D) 1,706K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,600K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 110.78\nB) 95.76\nC) 105.15\nD) 101.39", + "options": [ + "A) 110.78", + "B) 95.76", + "C) 105.15", + "D) 101.39" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.39", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) 214,000\nB) 1,345,889\nC) 591,296\nD) 968,593", + "options": [ + "A) 214,000", + "B) 1,345,889", + "C) 591,296", + "D) 968,593" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "214,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 100.35%\nB) 71.37%\nC) 158.33%\nD) -15.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 100.35%", + "B) 71.37%", + "C) 158.33%", + "D) -15.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "71.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 7.00%\nC) 3.50%\nD) 4.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.84%", + "B) 7.00%", + "C) 3.50%", + "D) 4.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,791K\nB) 1,185K\nC) 1,286K\nD) 1,488K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,791K", + "B) 1,185K", + "C) 1,286K", + "D) 1,488K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,488K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 112.91\nB) 109.70\nC) 117.73\nD) 106.49", + "options": [ + "A) 112.91", + "B) 109.70", + "C) 117.73", + "D) 106.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "112.91", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.68%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 7.17%\nD) -1.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.68%", + "B) 4.91%", + "C) 7.17%", + "D) -1.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.37%\nB) 15.76%\nC) 11.59%\nD) 7.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.37%", + "B) 15.76%", + "C) 11.59%", + "D) 7.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.54%\nB) 6.75%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 5.97%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.54%", + "B) 6.75%", + "C) 3.61%", + "D) 5.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.19%\nB) 5.71%\nC) 6.95%\nD) 4.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.19%", + "B) 5.71%", + "C) 6.95%", + "D) 4.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "8.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.02%\nB) 8.49%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 6.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.02%", + "B) 8.49%", + "C) 4.81%", + "D) 6.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "8.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 151.67\nB) 147.85\nC) 140.20\nD) 128.73", + "options": [ + "A) 151.67", + "B) 147.85", + "C) 140.20", + "D) 128.73" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "140.20", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 289.59\nB) 276.07\nC) 316.62\nD) 296.35", + "options": [ + "A) 289.59", + "B) 276.07", + "C) 316.62", + "D) 296.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "296.35", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.13pp\nB) -0.26pp\nC) +0.32pp\nD) -0.06pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.13pp", + "B) -0.26pp", + "C) +0.32pp", + "D) -0.06pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.13pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 72.38%\nB) 78.61%\nC) 75.50%\nD) 83.28%", + "options": [ + "A) 72.38%", + "B) 78.61%", + "C) 75.50%", + "D) 83.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "78.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $17,307B\nB) $18,678B\nC) $17,993B\nD) $19,363B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,307B", + "B) $18,678B", + "C) $17,993B", + "D) $19,363B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$17,993B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 280.47\nB) 310.06\nC) 268.64\nD) 298.23", + "options": [ + "A) 280.47", + "B) 310.06", + "C) 268.64", + "D) 298.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "298.23", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 79.03%\nB) 75.98%\nC) 86.65%\nD) 82.08%", + "options": [ + "A) 79.03%", + "B) 75.98%", + "C) 86.65%", + "D) 82.08%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "79.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.03%\nB) 6.62%\nC) 4.23%\nD) 5.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.03%", + "B) 6.62%", + "C) 4.23%", + "D) 5.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) -3.20%\nB) -29.95%\nC) -9.89%\nD) 3.49%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.20%", + "B) -29.95%", + "C) -9.89%", + "D) 3.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-9.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,134M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $4,300,000M", + "D) $6,134M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$6,134M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.20%\nB) 1.52%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.20%", + "B) 1.52%", + "C) 1.08%", + "D) 0.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 245.20\nB) 260.01\nC) 274.83\nD) 267.42", + "options": [ + "A) 245.20", + "B) 260.01", + "C) 274.83", + "D) 267.42" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "260.01", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.71%\nB) 3.69%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 4.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.71%", + "B) 3.69%", + "C) 3.20%", + "D) 4.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $26.36/hr\nB) $25.63/hr\nC) $28.57/hr\nD) $27.10/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $26.36/hr", + "B) $25.63/hr", + "C) $28.57/hr", + "D) $27.10/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$27.10/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $76,146M\nB) $74,196M\nC) $78,096M\nD) $70,296M", + "options": [ + "A) $76,146M", + "B) $74,196M", + "C) $78,096M", + "D) $70,296M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$76,146M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $-74,838M\nB) $-67,781M\nC) $-88,951M\nD) $-46,611M", + "options": [ + "A) $-74,838M", + "B) $-67,781M", + "C) $-88,951M", + "D) $-46,611M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-67,781M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 20.58%\nB) -0.74%\nC) 7.79%\nD) -5.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 20.58%", + "B) -0.74%", + "C) 7.79%", + "D) -5.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.83%\nB) 13.62%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 10.42%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.83%", + "B) 13.62%", + "C) 4.03%", + "D) 10.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.42%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.10%\nB) 63.17%\nC) 58.06%\nD) 56.01%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.10%", + "B) 63.17%", + "C) 58.06%", + "D) 56.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "60.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.57%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 11.33%\nD) -5.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.57%", + "B) 3.05%", + "C) 11.33%", + "D) -5.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,605,285\nB) 8,099,856\nC) 1,358,000\nD) 5,852,571", + "options": [ + "A) 3,605,285", + "B) 8,099,856", + "C) 1,358,000", + "D) 5,852,571" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,358,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 6,570.73\nB) 12,608.62\nC) 8,080.20\nD) 11,099.15", + "options": [ + "A) 6,570.73", + "B) 12,608.62", + "C) 8,080.20", + "D) 11,099.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11,099.15", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.59%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 5.07%\nD) 7.16%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.59%", + "B) 4.03%", + "C) 5.07%", + "D) 7.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.40%\nB) -2.44%\nC) -8.38%\nD) -14.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.40%", + "B) -2.44%", + "C) -8.38%", + "D) -14.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-2.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 150.06\nB) 142.25\nC) 137.04\nD) 129.22", + "options": [ + "A) 150.06", + "B) 142.25", + "C) 137.04", + "D) 129.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "137.04", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $-87,997M\nB) $-82,297M\nC) $-110,799M\nD) $-99,398M", + "options": [ + "A) $-87,997M", + "B) $-82,297M", + "C) $-110,799M", + "D) $-99,398M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-99,398M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.93%\nB) 5.56%\nC) 6.24%\nD) 8.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.93%", + "B) 5.56%", + "C) 6.24%", + "D) 8.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.25/bbl\nB) $115.32/bbl\nC) $133.37/bbl\nD) $106.30/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $88.25/bbl", + "B) $115.32/bbl", + "C) $133.37/bbl", + "D) $106.30/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$115.32/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.55pp\nB) +0.94pp\nC) +3.18pp\nD) +5.42pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.55pp", + "B) +0.94pp", + "C) +3.18pp", + "D) +5.42pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+3.18pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.95%\nB) 9.38%\nC) 7.76%\nD) 8.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.95%", + "B) 9.38%", + "C) 7.76%", + "D) 8.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $18,458B\nB) $20,034B\nC) $20,823B\nD) $19,246B", + "options": [ + "A) $18,458B", + "B) $20,034B", + "C) $20,823B", + "D) $19,246B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$18,458B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.95pp\nB) +1.30pp\nC) +2.72pp\nD) -0.12pp", + "options": [ + "A) -2.95pp", + "B) +1.30pp", + "C) +2.72pp", + "D) -0.12pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+1.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 127.4641\nB) 122.7735\nC) 134.5000\nD) 141.5359", + "options": [ + "A) 127.4641", + "B) 122.7735", + "C) 134.5000", + "D) 141.5359" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "134.5000", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 146,613K\nB) 162,874K\nC) 158,228K\nD) 153,582K", + "options": [ + "A) 146,613K", + "B) 162,874K", + "C) 158,228K", + "D) 153,582K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "153,582K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) -10.27%\nB) -23.25%\nC) -29.75%\nD) 9.21%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.27%", + "B) -23.25%", + "C) -29.75%", + "D) 9.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-10.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $27.03/hr\nB) $27.87/hr\nC) $25.35/hr\nD) $28.71/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $27.03/hr", + "B) $27.87/hr", + "C) $25.35/hr", + "D) $28.71/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$27.87/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 278.02\nB) 297.33\nC) 287.67\nD) 268.37", + "options": [ + "A) 278.02", + "B) 297.33", + "C) 287.67", + "D) 268.37" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "287.67", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $598,850M\nB) $624,939M\nC) $703,204M\nD) $651,027M", + "options": [ + "A) $598,850M", + "B) $624,939M", + "C) $703,204M", + "D) $651,027M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$651,027M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.48%\nB) 5.96%\nC) 5.43%\nD) 8.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.48%", + "B) 5.96%", + "C) 5.43%", + "D) 8.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $305,967M\nB) $282,430M\nC) $258,893M\nD) $317,735M", + "options": [ + "A) $305,967M", + "B) $282,430M", + "C) $258,893M", + "D) $317,735M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$282,430M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 7.15%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 6.00%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.55%", + "B) 7.15%", + "C) 3.70%", + "D) 6.00%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 55.01%\nB) 57.04%\nC) 63.16%\nD) 60.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 55.01%", + "B) 57.04%", + "C) 63.16%", + "D) 60.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "60.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -14.20pp\nB) -8.24pp\nC) -26.12pp\nD) -32.08pp", + "options": [ + "A) -14.20pp", + "B) -8.24pp", + "C) -26.12pp", + "D) -32.08pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-14.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $258,054M\nB) $277,554M\nC) $267,804M\nD) $297,054M", + "options": [ + "A) $258,054M", + "B) $277,554M", + "C) $267,804M", + "D) $297,054M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$277,554M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 24,175.53\nB) 26,339.86\nC) 30,668.53\nD) 28,504.20", + "options": [ + "A) 24,175.53", + "B) 26,339.86", + "C) 30,668.53", + "D) 28,504.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30,668.53", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.84pp\nB) -0.84pp\nC) -0.39pp\nD) +0.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.84pp", + "B) -0.84pp", + "C) -0.39pp", + "D) +0.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.62%\nB) 7.36%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 16.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.62%", + "B) 7.36%", + "C) 5.09%", + "D) 16.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "9.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 23.16%\nB) 10.60%\nC) -1.95%\nD) 14.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 23.16%", + "B) 10.60%", + "C) -1.95%", + "D) 14.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.88pp\nB) -5.68pp\nC) -2.40pp\nD) -0.76pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.88pp", + "B) -5.68pp", + "C) -2.40pp", + "D) -0.76pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-2.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 317.80\nB) 282.83\nC) 247.86\nD) 300.31", + "options": [ + "A) 317.80", + "B) 282.83", + "C) 247.86", + "D) 300.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "300.31", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 114.47\nB) 121.12\nC) 117.79\nD) 109.48", + "options": [ + "A) 114.47", + "B) 121.12", + "C) 117.79", + "D) 109.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "114.47", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 1.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.48%", + "B) 2.56%", + "C) 3.94%", + "D) 1.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 12.22%\nC) 6.38%\nD) -5.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.54%", + "B) 12.22%", + "C) 6.38%", + "D) -5.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.01%\nB) 11.82%\nC) 6.21%\nD) 3.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.01%", + "B) 11.82%", + "C) 6.21%", + "D) 3.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 2.57%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 4.48%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.33%", + "B) 2.57%", + "C) 4.09%", + "D) 4.48%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -30.62pp\nB) -25.50pp\nC) -20.38pp\nD) -35.75pp", + "options": [ + "A) -30.62pp", + "B) -25.50pp", + "C) -20.38pp", + "D) -35.75pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-25.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.76%\nB) 6.80%\nC) 5.78%\nD) 6.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.76%", + "B) 6.80%", + "C) 5.78%", + "D) 6.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $16,996B\nB) $18,516B\nC) $20,796B\nD) $19,276B", + "options": [ + "A) $16,996B", + "B) $18,516B", + "C) $20,796B", + "D) $19,276B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$19,276B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -4.56pp\nC) -2.88pp\nD) +3.84pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.20pp", + "B) -4.56pp", + "C) -2.88pp", + "D) +3.84pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 18.11%\nB) 20.78%\nC) 23.44%\nD) 28.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 18.11%", + "B) 20.78%", + "C) 23.44%", + "D) 28.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 13.39%\nC) 9.63%\nD) 20.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.11%", + "B) 13.39%", + "C) 9.63%", + "D) 20.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.63%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.27%\nB) 4.84%\nC) 8.42%\nD) 6.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.27%", + "B) 4.84%", + "C) 8.42%", + "D) 6.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.67%\nB) 18.34%\nC) 23.01%\nD) 27.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.67%", + "B) 18.34%", + "C) 23.01%", + "D) 27.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.36%\nB) -5.64%\nC) -13.65%\nD) 10.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.36%", + "B) -5.64%", + "C) -13.65%", + "D) 10.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-5.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) $17,833B\nB) $19,258B\nC) $17,120B\nD) $16,407B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,833B", + "B) $19,258B", + "C) $17,120B", + "D) $16,407B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$17,120B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 42.89\nB) 38.47\nC) 25.20\nD) 29.62", + "options": [ + "A) 42.89", + "B) 38.47", + "C) 25.20", + "D) 29.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "29.62", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.40pp\nB) +5.14pp\nC) +6.52pp\nD) -1.72pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.40pp", + "B) +5.14pp", + "C) +6.52pp", + "D) -1.72pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+2.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) $106.42/bbl\nB) $124.96/bbl\nC) $152.77/bbl\nD) $143.50/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $106.42/bbl", + "B) $124.96/bbl", + "C) $152.77/bbl", + "D) $143.50/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$124.96/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.98%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 9.36%\nD) 15.53%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.98%", + "B) 3.19%", + "C) 9.36%", + "D) 15.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.07%\nB) 65.93%\nC) 60.33%\nD) 62.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.07%", + "B) 65.93%", + "C) 60.33%", + "D) 62.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "62.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 60.03%\nB) 89.31%\nC) 30.75%\nD) 147.87%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.03%", + "B) 89.31%", + "C) 30.75%", + "D) 147.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "60.03%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 333.96\nB) 294.90\nC) 307.92\nD) 255.84", + "options": [ + "A) 333.96", + "B) 294.90", + "C) 307.92", + "D) 255.84" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "294.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 2.49%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 4.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.94%", + "B) 2.49%", + "C) 3.38%", + "D) 4.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 65.52%\nB) 64.27%\nC) 60.53%\nD) 62.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 65.52%", + "B) 64.27%", + "C) 60.53%", + "D) 62.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "62.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.67%\nB) 5.66%\nC) 8.68%\nD) 9.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.67%", + "B) 5.66%", + "C) 8.68%", + "D) 9.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.40%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 10.15%\nD) -1.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.40%", + "B) 2.65%", + "C) 10.15%", + "D) -1.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 128.85\nB) 110.48\nC) 117.37\nD) 121.96", + "options": [ + "A) 128.85", + "B) 110.48", + "C) 117.37", + "D) 121.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "117.37", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -29.62%\nB) -18.06%\nC) 16.62%\nD) 5.06%", + "options": [ + "A) -29.62%", + "B) -18.06%", + "C) 16.62%", + "D) 5.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.7128\nB) 6.4588\nC) 7.3479\nD) 7.0939", + "options": [ + "A) 6.7128", + "B) 6.4588", + "C) 7.3479", + "D) 7.0939" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.7128", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.95%\nB) -15.95%\nC) -6.35%\nD) -8.75%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.95%", + "B) -15.95%", + "C) -6.35%", + "D) -8.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-15.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 130.22\nB) 116.49\nC) 121.64\nD) 126.79", + "options": [ + "A) 130.22", + "B) 116.49", + "C) 121.64", + "D) 126.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "121.64", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.68%\nB) 6.28%\nC) 12.29%\nD) 9.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.68%", + "B) 6.28%", + "C) 12.29%", + "D) 9.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $76,945M\nB) $72,165M\nC) $74,555M\nD) $79,335M", + "options": [ + "A) $76,945M", + "B) $72,165M", + "C) $74,555M", + "D) $79,335M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$76,945M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 312.46\nB) 289.06\nC) 303.10\nD) 279.70", + "options": [ + "A) 312.46", + "B) 289.06", + "C) 303.10", + "D) 279.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "289.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) -0.78%\nC) 3.93%\nD) -3.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.58%", + "B) -0.78%", + "C) 3.93%", + "D) -3.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.08%\nB) 4.87%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 5.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.08%", + "B) 4.87%", + "C) 4.14%", + "D) 5.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.61%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -15.30%\nB) -27.04%\nC) 19.89%\nD) -3.57%", + "options": [ + "A) -15.30%", + "B) -27.04%", + "C) 19.89%", + "D) -3.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-15.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.77\nB) 59.40\nC) 70.13\nD) 48.67", + "options": [ + "A) 64.77", + "B) 59.40", + "C) 70.13", + "D) 48.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "59.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) -47.62%\nB) -3.16%\nC) -20.94%\nD) 5.73%", + "options": [ + "A) -47.62%", + "B) -3.16%", + "C) -20.94%", + "D) 5.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-20.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.13%\nB) -5.16%\nC) 3.99%\nD) 8.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.13%", + "B) -5.16%", + "C) 3.99%", + "D) 8.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $17,347B\nB) $17,893B\nC) $15,710B\nD) $16,802B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,347B", + "B) $17,893B", + "C) $15,710B", + "D) $16,802B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$17,347B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.48pp\nB) +0.90pp\nC) -0.37pp\nD) +2.17pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.48pp", + "B) +0.90pp", + "C) -0.37pp", + "D) +2.17pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 292.59\nB) 255.55\nC) 267.90\nD) 304.94", + "options": [ + "A) 292.59", + "B) 255.55", + "C) 267.90", + "D) 304.94" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "267.90", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.74%\nB) -0.81%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 9.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.74%", + "B) -0.81%", + "C) 2.50%", + "D) 9.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "9.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0388\nB) 1.1388\nC) 0.9638\nD) 1.0888", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0388", + "B) 1.1388", + "C) 0.9638", + "D) 1.0888" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0388", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,012B\nB) $21,536B\nC) $26,109B\nD) $18,488B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,012B", + "B) $21,536B", + "C) $26,109B", + "D) $18,488B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$21,536B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $726,545M\nB) $564,818M\nC) $661,854M\nD) $629,509M", + "options": [ + "A) $726,545M", + "B) $564,818M", + "C) $661,854M", + "D) $629,509M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$661,854M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.40%\nB) -1.21%\nC) -5.75%\nD) 7.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.40%", + "B) -1.21%", + "C) -5.75%", + "D) 7.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $21,787B\nB) $24,555B\nC) $25,939B\nD) $20,403B", + "options": [ + "A) $21,787B", + "B) $24,555B", + "C) $25,939B", + "D) $20,403B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$21,787B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,968K\nB) 1,868K\nC) 1,567K\nD) 2,169K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,968K", + "B) 1,868K", + "C) 1,567K", + "D) 2,169K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,868K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,998K\nB) 1,426K\nC) 1,712K\nD) 1,807K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,998K", + "B) 1,426K", + "C) 1,712K", + "D) 1,807K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,712K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 16.99%\nB) 9.08%\nC) 24.89%\nD) 20.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.99%", + "B) 9.08%", + "C) 24.89%", + "D) 20.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "20.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.67%\nB) 13.81%\nC) 16.95%\nD) 4.39%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.67%", + "B) 13.81%", + "C) 16.95%", + "D) 4.39%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "10.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.32%\nB) 4.75%\nC) -0.96%\nD) -3.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.32%", + "B) 4.75%", + "C) -0.96%", + "D) -3.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $5,411M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $5,411M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$5,411M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.94\nB) 95.64\nC) 91.88\nD) 101.29", + "options": [ + "A) 106.94", + "B) 95.64", + "C) 91.88", + "D) 101.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "101.29", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 1.29%\nD) 0.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.74%", + "B) 2.64%", + "C) 1.29%", + "D) 0.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.74%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 157,857K\nB) 151,315K\nC) 146,954K\nD) 162,218K", + "options": [ + "A) 157,857K", + "B) 151,315K", + "C) 146,954K", + "D) 162,218K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "151,315K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20220615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2022-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 4.29%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 2.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.49%", + "B) 4.29%", + "C) 3.39%", + "D) 2.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20220301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 24.11%\nB) 16.39%\nC) -14.50%\nD) 0.94%", + "options": [ + "A) 24.11%", + "B) 16.39%", + "C) -14.50%", + "D) 0.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.72pp\nB) -0.55pp\nC) +4.00pp\nD) +8.55pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.72pp", + "B) -0.55pp", + "C) +4.00pp", + "D) +8.55pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+1.72pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20220901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2022", + "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.87\nB) 58.60\nC) 80.41\nD) 44.06", + "options": [ + "A) 65.87", + "B) 58.60", + "C) 80.41", + "D) 44.06" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "58.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $120.56/bbl\nB) $100.92/bbl\nC) $110.74/bbl\nD) $140.20/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $120.56/bbl", + "B) $100.92/bbl", + "C) $110.74/bbl", + "D) $140.20/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$110.74/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $120.56/bbl\nB) $100.92/bbl\nC) $110.74/bbl\nD) $140.20/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $120.56/bbl", + "B) $100.92/bbl", + "C) $110.74/bbl", + "D) $140.20/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$110.74/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $113.82/bbl\nB) $143.28/bbl\nC) $94.18/bbl\nD) $123.64/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $113.82/bbl", + "B) $143.28/bbl", + "C) $94.18/bbl", + "D) $123.64/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $113.82/bbl\nB) $143.28/bbl\nC) $94.18/bbl\nD) $123.64/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $113.82/bbl", + "B) $143.28/bbl", + "C) $94.18/bbl", + "D) $123.64/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $123.64/bbl\nB) $113.82/bbl\nC) $133.46/bbl\nD) $153.10/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $123.64/bbl", + "B) $113.82/bbl", + "C) $133.46/bbl", + "D) $153.10/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $123.64/bbl\nB) $113.82/bbl\nC) $133.46/bbl\nD) $153.10/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $123.64/bbl", + "B) $113.82/bbl", + "C) $133.46/bbl", + "D) $153.10/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.46/bbl\nB) $123.64/bbl\nC) $104.00/bbl\nD) $153.10/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $133.46/bbl", + "B) $123.64/bbl", + "C) $104.00/bbl", + "D) $153.10/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.46/bbl\nB) $123.64/bbl\nC) $104.00/bbl\nD) $153.10/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $133.46/bbl", + "B) $123.64/bbl", + "C) $104.00/bbl", + "D) $153.10/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $104.00/bbl\nB) $133.46/bbl\nC) $123.64/bbl\nD) $113.82/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $104.00/bbl", + "B) $133.46/bbl", + "C) $123.64/bbl", + "D) $113.82/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $104.00/bbl\nB) $133.46/bbl\nC) $123.64/bbl\nD) $113.82/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $104.00/bbl", + "B) $133.46/bbl", + "C) $123.64/bbl", + "D) $113.82/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $104.00/bbl\nB) $153.10/bbl\nC) $133.46/bbl\nD) $123.64/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $104.00/bbl", + "B) $153.10/bbl", + "C) $133.46/bbl", + "D) $123.64/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $104.00/bbl\nB) $153.10/bbl\nC) $133.46/bbl\nD) $123.64/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $104.00/bbl", + "B) $153.10/bbl", + "C) $133.46/bbl", + "D) $123.64/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $118.94/bbl\nB) $108.97/bbl\nC) $138.88/bbl\nD) $99.00/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $118.94/bbl", + "B) $108.97/bbl", + "C) $138.88/bbl", + "D) $99.00/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$118.94/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $118.94/bbl\nB) $108.97/bbl\nC) $138.88/bbl\nD) $99.00/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $118.94/bbl", + "B) $108.97/bbl", + "C) $138.88/bbl", + "D) $99.00/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$118.94/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $143.15/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $163.10/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $143.15/bbl", + "B) $133.18/bbl", + "C) $163.10/bbl", + "D) $153.12/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $143.15/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $163.10/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $143.15/bbl", + "B) $133.18/bbl", + "C) $163.10/bbl", + "D) $153.12/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $153.12/bbl\nB) $123.21/bbl\nC) $133.18/bbl\nD) $143.15/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $153.12/bbl", + "B) $123.21/bbl", + "C) $133.18/bbl", + "D) $143.15/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $153.12/bbl\nB) $123.21/bbl\nC) $133.18/bbl\nD) $143.15/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $153.12/bbl", + "B) $123.21/bbl", + "C) $133.18/bbl", + "D) $143.15/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $163.10/bbl\nB) $153.12/bbl\nC) $113.24/bbl\nD) $133.18/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $163.10/bbl", + "B) $153.12/bbl", + "C) $113.24/bbl", + "D) $133.18/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $163.10/bbl\nB) $153.12/bbl\nC) $113.24/bbl\nD) $133.18/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $163.10/bbl", + "B) $153.12/bbl", + "C) $113.24/bbl", + "D) $133.18/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.18/bbl\nB) $123.21/bbl\nC) $103.26/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $133.18/bbl", + "B) $123.21/bbl", + "C) $103.26/bbl", + "D) $153.12/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.18/bbl\nB) $123.21/bbl\nC) $103.26/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $133.18/bbl", + "B) $123.21/bbl", + "C) $103.26/bbl", + "D) $153.12/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $123.21/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $153.12/bbl\nD) $103.26/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $123.21/bbl", + "B) $133.18/bbl", + "C) $153.12/bbl", + "D) $103.26/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $123.21/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $153.12/bbl\nD) $103.26/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) $123.21/bbl", + "B) $133.18/bbl", + "C) $153.12/bbl", + "D) $103.26/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 48.28\nB) 38.31\nC) 33.32\nD) 43.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 48.28", + "B) 38.31", + "C) 33.32", + "D) 43.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "33.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 48.28\nB) 38.31\nC) 33.32\nD) 43.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 48.28", + "B) 38.31", + "C) 33.32", + "D) 43.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "33.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 51.41\nB) 26.48\nC) 46.42\nD) 36.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 51.41", + "B) 26.48", + "C) 46.42", + "D) 36.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 51.41\nB) 26.48\nC) 46.42\nD) 36.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 51.41", + "B) 26.48", + "C) 46.42", + "D) 36.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 36.45\nB) 51.41\nC) 46.42\nD) 21.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 36.45", + "B) 51.41", + "C) 46.42", + "D) 21.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 36.45\nB) 51.41\nC) 46.42\nD) 21.49", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 36.45", + "B) 51.41", + "C) 46.42", + "D) 21.49" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 46.42\nB) 36.45\nC) 51.41\nD) 26.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 46.42", + "B) 36.45", + "C) 51.41", + "D) 26.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 46.42\nB) 36.45\nC) 51.41\nD) 26.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 46.42", + "B) 36.45", + "C) 51.41", + "D) 26.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 26.48\nB) 41.44\nC) 36.45\nD) 51.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 26.48", + "B) 41.44", + "C) 36.45", + "D) 51.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 26.48\nB) 41.44\nC) 36.45\nD) 51.41", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 26.48", + "B) 41.44", + "C) 36.45", + "D) 51.41" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 26.48\nB) 21.49\nC) 46.42\nD) 36.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 26.48", + "B) 21.49", + "C) 46.42", + "D) 36.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 26.48\nB) 21.49\nC) 46.42\nD) 36.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 26.48", + "B) 21.49", + "C) 46.42", + "D) 36.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "36.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.97%", + "B) 2.38%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 1.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.56%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.97%", + "B) 2.38%", + "C) 1.35%", + "D) 1.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 1.57%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 2.19%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 2.60%", + "D) 1.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.98%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 1.57%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 2.19%", + "B) 1.98%", + "C) 2.60%", + "D) 1.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.98%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 3.00%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 2.17%", + "B) 3.00%", + "C) 2.38%", + "D) 1.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 3.00%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 2.17%", + "B) 3.00%", + "C) 2.38%", + "D) 1.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 2.72%\nC) 3.55%\nD) 2.93%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 3.34%", + "B) 2.72%", + "C) 3.55%", + "D) 2.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.93%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 2.72%\nC) 3.55%\nD) 2.93%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 3.34%", + "B) 2.72%", + "C) 3.55%", + "D) 2.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.93%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 3.12%", + "B) 2.91%", + "C) 3.74%", + "D) 3.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 3.12%", + "B) 2.91%", + "C) 3.74%", + "D) 3.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 3.28%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 3.49%", + "C) 3.08%", + "D) 3.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.49%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 3.28%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 4.11%", + "B) 3.49%", + "C) 3.08%", + "D) 3.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.49%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0761\nB) 1.2511\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.2011", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0761", + "B) 1.2511", + "C) 1.1261", + "D) 1.2011" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0761\nB) 1.2511\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.2011", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0761", + "B) 1.2511", + "C) 1.1261", + "D) 1.2011" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.2511\nC) 1.0761\nD) 1.1261", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2011", + "B) 1.2511", + "C) 1.0761", + "D) 1.1261" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.2511\nC) 1.0761\nD) 1.1261", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2011", + "B) 1.2511", + "C) 1.0761", + "D) 1.1261" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.1261\nB) 1.1761\nC) 1.2261\nD) 1.0761", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1261", + "B) 1.1761", + "C) 1.2261", + "D) 1.0761" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.1261\nB) 1.1761\nC) 1.2261\nD) 1.0761", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1261", + "B) 1.1761", + "C) 1.2261", + "D) 1.0761" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.1261\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.0761", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2011", + "B) 1.1261", + "C) 1.0011", + "D) 1.0761" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.1261\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.0761", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2011", + "B) 1.1261", + "C) 1.0011", + "D) 1.0761" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0511\nB) 1.2011\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.0011", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0511", + "B) 1.2011", + "C) 1.1261", + "D) 1.0011" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0511\nB) 1.2011\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.0011", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0511", + "B) 1.2011", + "C) 1.1261", + "D) 1.0011" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.0511\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.1261", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2011", + "B) 1.0511", + "C) 1.0011", + "D) 1.1261" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.0511\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.1261", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", + "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2011", + "B) 1.0511", + "C) 1.0011", + "D) 1.1261" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1261", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", + "event_date": "2022-02-24", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.77%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 0.82%\nD) 0.65%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.77%", + "B) 0.70%", + "C) 0.82%", + "D) 0.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.77%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 0.82%\nD) 0.65%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 0.77%", + "B) 0.70%", + "C) 0.82%", + "D) 0.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 1.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.08%", + "B) 1.21%", + "C) 1.16%", + "D) 1.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.21%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 1.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.08%", + "B) 1.21%", + "C) 1.16%", + "D) 1.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.21%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 3.17%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 2.99%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 2.86%", + "B) 3.17%", + "C) 3.08%", + "D) 2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 3.17%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 2.99%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 2.86%", + "B) 3.17%", + "C) 3.08%", + "D) 2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.08%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 1.94%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.76%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 2.48%", + "D) 1.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 1.94%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.76%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 2.48%", + "D) 1.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 2.48%", + "C) 1.40%", + "D) 1.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 2.48%", + "C) 1.40%", + "D) 1.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.30%", + "B) 1.94%", + "C) 2.12%", + "D) 1.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.30%", + "B) 1.94%", + "C) 2.12%", + "D) 1.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.12%", + "B) 2.48%", + "C) 1.94%", + "D) 2.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.12%", + "B) 2.48%", + "C) 1.94%", + "D) 2.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.94%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.30%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 1.40%", + "D) 1.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.94%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.30%", + "B) 1.58%", + "C) 1.40%", + "D) 1.94%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 2.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 1.40%", + "D) 2.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 2.12%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 1.94%", + "B) 2.30%", + "C) 1.40%", + "D) 2.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.94%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 3.02%\nD) 2.59%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.81%", + "B) 2.38%", + "C) 3.02%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 3.02%\nD) 2.59%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.81%", + "B) 2.38%", + "C) 3.02%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 2.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.27%", + "B) 3.12%", + "C) 2.48%", + "D) 2.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.48%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 2.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.27%", + "B) 3.12%", + "C) 2.48%", + "D) 2.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.48%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 2.58%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 2.79%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 3.43%", + "B) 2.58%", + "C) 3.22%", + "D) 2.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.79%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 2.58%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 2.79%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 3.43%", + "B) 2.58%", + "C) 3.22%", + "D) 2.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.79%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 3.55%\nD) 2.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 3.12%", + "B) 3.76%", + "C) 3.55%", + "D) 2.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 3.55%\nD) 2.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 3.12%", + "B) 3.76%", + "C) 3.55%", + "D) 2.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 3.15%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 2.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.72%", + "B) 3.15%", + "C) 3.79%", + "D) 2.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 3.15%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 2.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 2.72%", + "B) 3.15%", + "C) 3.79%", + "D) 2.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.28%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 3.49%\nD) 4.13%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 3.28%", + "B) 2.85%", + "C) 3.49%", + "D) 4.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.49%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.28%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 3.49%\nD) 4.13%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", + "options": [ + "A) 3.28%", + "B) 2.85%", + "C) 3.49%", + "D) 4.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.49%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 3.88%", + "B) 4.57%", + "C) 4.44%", + "D) 4.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 3.88%", + "B) 4.57%", + "C) 4.44%", + "D) 4.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 4.30%\nC) 4.02%\nD) 3.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.16%", + "B) 4.30%", + "C) 4.02%", + "D) 3.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 4.30%\nC) 4.02%\nD) 3.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.16%", + "B) 4.30%", + "C) 4.02%", + "D) 3.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 4.16%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 4.02%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.30%", + "B) 4.16%", + "C) 3.75%", + "D) 4.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 4.16%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 4.02%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.30%", + "B) 4.16%", + "C) 3.75%", + "D) 4.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 4.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.57%", + "B) 3.75%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 4.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 4.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.57%", + "B) 3.75%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 4.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 4.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.30%", + "B) 4.44%", + "C) 3.88%", + "D) 4.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 4.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.30%", + "B) 4.44%", + "C) 3.88%", + "D) 4.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 4.02%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.16%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 4.30%", + "D) 4.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 4.02%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", + "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", + "options": [ + "A) 4.16%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 4.30%", + "D) 4.02%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", + "event_date": "2022-03-16", + "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,803.56\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 10,330.43\nD) 9,635.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 13,803.56", + "B) 11,719.68", + "C) 10,330.43", + "D) 9,635.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,803.56\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 10,330.43\nD) 9,635.80", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 13,803.56", + "B) 11,719.68", + "C) 10,330.43", + "D) 9,635.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 9,635.80\nB) 12,414.31\nC) 11,719.68\nD) 11,025.05", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 9,635.80", + "B) 12,414.31", + "C) 11,719.68", + "D) 11,025.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 9,635.80\nB) 12,414.31\nC) 11,719.68\nD) 11,025.05", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 9,635.80", + "B) 12,414.31", + "C) 11,719.68", + "D) 11,025.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12,414.31\nB) 9,635.80\nC) 11,025.05\nD) 11,719.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 12,414.31", + "B) 9,635.80", + "C) 11,025.05", + "D) 11,719.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12,414.31\nB) 9,635.80\nC) 11,025.05\nD) 11,719.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 12,414.31", + "B) 9,635.80", + "C) 11,025.05", + "D) 11,719.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 11,719.68\nB) 10,330.43\nC) 13,108.93\nD) 12,414.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 11,719.68", + "B) 10,330.43", + "C) 13,108.93", + "D) 12,414.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 11,719.68\nB) 10,330.43\nC) 13,108.93\nD) 12,414.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 11,719.68", + "B) 10,330.43", + "C) 13,108.93", + "D) 12,414.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,108.93\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 12,414.31\nD) 13,803.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 13,108.93", + "B) 11,719.68", + "C) 12,414.31", + "D) 13,803.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,108.93\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 12,414.31\nD) 13,803.56", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 13,108.93", + "B) 11,719.68", + "C) 12,414.31", + "D) 13,803.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11,719.68", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 14,284.70\nB) 10,116.94\nC) 12,200.82\nD) 11,506.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 14,284.70", + "B) 10,116.94", + "C) 12,200.82", + "D) 11,506.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,200.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 14,284.70\nB) 10,116.94\nC) 12,200.82\nD) 11,506.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 14,284.70", + "B) 10,116.94", + "C) 12,200.82", + "D) 11,506.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,200.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,668.88\nB) 3,294.77\nC) 3,481.82\nD) 3,855.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,668.88", + "B) 3,294.77", + "C) 3,481.82", + "D) 3,855.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,855.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,668.88\nB) 3,294.77\nC) 3,481.82\nD) 3,855.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,668.88", + "B) 3,294.77", + "C) 3,481.82", + "D) 3,855.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,855.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,647.29\nB) 3,834.34\nC) 4,208.45\nD) 3,086.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,647.29", + "B) 3,834.34", + "C) 4,208.45", + "D) 3,086.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,647.29", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,647.29\nB) 3,834.34\nC) 4,208.45\nD) 3,086.13", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,647.29", + "B) 3,834.34", + "C) 4,208.45", + "D) 3,086.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,647.29", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,211.51\nB) 3,585.62\nC) 3,024.46\nD) 4,146.78", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,211.51", + "B) 3,585.62", + "C) 3,024.46", + "D) 4,146.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3,585.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,211.51\nB) 3,585.62\nC) 3,024.46\nD) 4,146.78", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,211.51", + "B) 3,585.62", + "C) 3,024.46", + "D) 4,146.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3,585.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,015.87\nB) 4,138.19\nC) 3,577.03\nD) 3,764.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,015.87", + "B) 4,138.19", + "C) 3,577.03", + "D) 3,764.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,577.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,015.87\nB) 4,138.19\nC) 3,577.03\nD) 3,764.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,015.87", + "B) 4,138.19", + "C) 3,577.03", + "D) 3,764.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3,577.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,202.92\nB) 3,389.98\nC) 3,764.08\nD) 3,577.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,202.92", + "B) 3,389.98", + "C) 3,764.08", + "D) 3,577.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,577.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,202.92\nB) 3,389.98\nC) 3,764.08\nD) 3,577.03", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,202.92", + "B) 3,389.98", + "C) 3,764.08", + "D) 3,577.03" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3,577.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,577.03\nB) 3,764.08\nC) 3,202.92\nD) 3,951.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,577.03", + "B) 3,764.08", + "C) 3,202.92", + "D) 3,951.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,577.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,577.03\nB) 3,764.08\nC) 3,202.92\nD) 3,951.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3,577.03", + "B) 3,764.08", + "C) 3,202.92", + "D) 3,951.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3,577.03", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.57%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 4.66%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.21%", + "B) 3.57%", + "C) 2.48%", + "D) 4.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.57%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.57%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 4.66%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.21%", + "B) 3.57%", + "C) 2.48%", + "D) 4.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.57%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 2.88%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.70%", + "B) 3.61%", + "C) 3.97%", + "D) 2.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 2.88%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.70%", + "B) 3.61%", + "C) 3.97%", + "D) 2.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 3.97%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 5.06%", + "B) 3.24%", + "C) 3.61%", + "D) 3.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 3.97%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 5.06%", + "B) 3.24%", + "C) 3.61%", + "D) 3.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 5.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.25%", + "B) 4.61%", + "C) 4.98%", + "D) 5.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 5.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.25%", + "B) 4.61%", + "C) 4.98%", + "D) 5.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 3.89%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.52%", + "B) 4.25%", + "C) 4.98%", + "D) 3.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 3.89%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.52%", + "B) 4.25%", + "C) 4.98%", + "D) 3.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.89%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 3.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.89%", + "B) 4.98%", + "C) 4.25%", + "D) 3.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.89%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 3.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.89%", + "B) 4.98%", + "C) 4.25%", + "D) 3.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2.06%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2.06%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 5.50%\nD) 3.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 5.50%", + "D) 3.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 5.50%\nD) 3.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 5.50%", + "D) 3.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 3.78%\nC) 5.50%\nD) 2.06%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.35%", + "B) 3.78%", + "C) 5.50%", + "D) 2.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 3.78%\nC) 5.50%\nD) 2.06%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 4.35%", + "B) 3.78%", + "C) 5.50%", + "D) 2.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 2.63%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.21%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 3.78%", + "D) 2.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 2.63%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.21%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 3.78%", + "D) 2.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.63%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2.63%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.63%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 2.63%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 5.50%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 2.63%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 5.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 5.50%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 2.63%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 5.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.78%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.73\nB) 25.76\nC) 18.30\nD) 20.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 30.73", + "B) 25.76", + "C) 18.30", + "D) 20.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "25.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.73\nB) 25.76\nC) 18.30\nD) 20.79", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 30.73", + "B) 25.76", + "C) 18.30", + "D) 20.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "25.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 28.25\nB) 18.30\nC) 25.76\nD) 33.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 28.25", + "B) 18.30", + "C) 25.76", + "D) 33.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "25.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 28.25\nB) 18.30\nC) 25.76\nD) 33.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 28.25", + "B) 18.30", + "C) 25.76", + "D) 33.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "25.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 23.27\nB) 30.73\nC) 33.22\nD) 25.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 23.27", + "B) 30.73", + "C) 33.22", + "D) 25.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "25.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 23.27\nB) 30.73\nC) 33.22\nD) 25.76", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 23.27", + "B) 30.73", + "C) 33.22", + "D) 25.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "25.76", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.35\nB) 31.81\nC) 26.84\nD) 19.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 24.35", + "B) 31.81", + "C) 26.84", + "D) 19.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.35\nB) 31.81\nC) 26.84\nD) 19.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 24.35", + "B) 31.81", + "C) 26.84", + "D) 19.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 16.57\nB) 19.06\nC) 14.09\nD) 26.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 16.57", + "B) 19.06", + "C) 14.09", + "D) 26.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 16.57\nB) 19.06\nC) 14.09\nD) 26.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 16.57", + "B) 19.06", + "C) 14.09", + "D) 26.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12.90\nB) 25.33\nC) 17.87\nD) 15.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 12.90", + "B) 25.33", + "C) 17.87", + "D) 15.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12.90\nB) 25.33\nC) 17.87\nD) 15.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", + "options": [ + "A) 12.90", + "B) 25.33", + "C) 17.87", + "D) 15.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", + "event_date": "2022-09-13", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 3.60%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 3.97%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5.09%", + "B) 3.60%", + "C) 4.34%", + "D) 3.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 3.60%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 3.97%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5.09%", + "B) 3.60%", + "C) 4.34%", + "D) 3.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 3.97%", + "B) 4.72%", + "C) 3.22%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 3.97%", + "B) 4.72%", + "C) 3.22%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 3.50%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 3.88%", + "B) 4.25%", + "C) 5.00%", + "D) 3.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 3.50%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 3.88%", + "B) 4.25%", + "C) 5.00%", + "D) 3.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.37%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 4.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5.37%", + "B) 5.00%", + "C) 4.25%", + "D) 4.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.37%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 4.62%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 5.37%", + "B) 5.00%", + "C) 4.25%", + "D) 4.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 4.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 3.50%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.13%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 4.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 3.50%", + "B) 3.88%", + "C) 3.13%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 3.50%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 4.25%", + "B) 5.37%", + "C) 3.88%", + "D) 3.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 3.50%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 4.25%", + "B) 5.37%", + "C) 3.88%", + "D) 3.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.25%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 30.11\nB) 32.60\nC) 35.09\nD) 25.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 30.11", + "B) 32.60", + "C) 35.09", + "D) 25.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "32.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 30.11\nB) 32.60\nC) 35.09\nD) 25.14", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 30.11", + "B) 32.60", + "C) 35.09", + "D) 25.14" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "32.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 37.57\nB) 25.14\nC) 32.60\nD) 30.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 37.57", + "B) 25.14", + "C) 32.60", + "D) 30.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "32.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 37.57\nB) 25.14\nC) 32.60\nD) 30.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 37.57", + "B) 25.14", + "C) 32.60", + "D) 30.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "32.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 31.14\nC) 36.12\nD) 33.63", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 28.66", + "B) 31.14", + "C) 36.12", + "D) 33.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 31.14\nC) 36.12\nD) 33.63", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 28.66", + "B) 31.14", + "C) 36.12", + "D) 33.63" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 38.60\nC) 28.66\nD) 41.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 33.63", + "B) 38.60", + "C) 28.66", + "D) 41.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 38.60\nC) 28.66\nD) 41.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 33.63", + "B) 38.60", + "C) 28.66", + "D) 41.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 33.63\nC) 36.12\nD) 26.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 28.66", + "B) 33.63", + "C) 36.12", + "D) 26.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 33.63\nC) 36.12\nD) 26.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 28.66", + "B) 33.63", + "C) 36.12", + "D) 26.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 36.12\nB) 41.09\nC) 33.63\nD) 28.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 36.12", + "B) 41.09", + "C) 33.63", + "D) 28.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 36.12\nB) 41.09\nC) 33.63\nD) 28.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 36.12", + "B) 41.09", + "C) 33.63", + "D) 28.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "33.63", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.8608\nB) 0.7936\nC) 1.0288\nD) 0.9616", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.8608", + "B) 0.7936", + "C) 1.0288", + "D) 0.9616" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.8608\nB) 0.7936\nC) 1.0288\nD) 0.9616", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.8608", + "B) 0.7936", + "C) 1.0288", + "D) 0.9616" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9616\nB) 0.8608\nC) 1.0960\nD) 1.0288", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9616", + "B) 0.8608", + "C) 1.0960", + "D) 1.0288" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9616\nB) 0.8608\nC) 1.0960\nD) 1.0288", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9616", + "B) 0.8608", + "C) 1.0960", + "D) 1.0288" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.7936\nB) 0.9616\nC) 1.0624\nD) 0.8608", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.7936", + "B) 0.9616", + "C) 1.0624", + "D) 0.8608" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.7936\nB) 0.9616\nC) 1.0624\nD) 0.8608", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.7936", + "B) 0.9616", + "C) 1.0624", + "D) 0.8608" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.0288\nB) 0.8608\nC) 0.9616\nD) 0.7936", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0288", + "B) 0.8608", + "C) 0.9616", + "D) 0.7936" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.0288\nB) 0.8608\nC) 0.9616\nD) 0.7936", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0288", + "B) 0.8608", + "C) 0.9616", + "D) 0.7936" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.1296\nB) 1.0624\nC) 0.8608\nD) 0.9616", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1296", + "B) 1.0624", + "C) 0.8608", + "D) 0.9616" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.1296\nB) 1.0624\nC) 0.8608\nD) 0.9616", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1296", + "B) 1.0624", + "C) 0.8608", + "D) 0.9616" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9616\nB) 1.0288\nC) 1.0960\nD) 0.8608", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9616", + "B) 1.0288", + "C) 1.0960", + "D) 0.8608" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9616\nB) 1.0288\nC) 1.0960\nD) 0.8608", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", + "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9616", + "B) 1.0288", + "C) 1.0960", + "D) 0.8608" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.9616", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", + "event_date": "2022-09-23", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,638.54\nB) 11,358.41\nC) 13,518.01\nD) 9,198.81", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 10,638.54", + "B) 11,358.41", + "C) 13,518.01", + "D) 9,198.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11,358.41", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,638.54\nB) 11,358.41\nC) 13,518.01\nD) 9,198.81", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 10,638.54", + "B) 11,358.41", + "C) 13,518.01", + "D) 9,198.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11,358.41", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,518.01\nB) 9,198.81\nC) 11,358.41\nD) 9,918.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 13,518.01", + "B) 9,198.81", + "C) 11,358.41", + "D) 9,918.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11,358.41", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,518.01\nB) 9,198.81\nC) 11,358.41\nD) 9,918.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 13,518.01", + "B) 9,198.81", + "C) 11,358.41", + "D) 9,918.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11,358.41", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,642.05\nB) 12,202.32\nC) 12,922.18\nD) 11,482.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 13,642.05", + "B) 12,202.32", + "C) 12,922.18", + "D) 11,482.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11,482.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,642.05\nB) 12,202.32\nC) 12,922.18\nD) 11,482.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 13,642.05", + "B) 12,202.32", + "C) 12,922.18", + "D) 11,482.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "11,482.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 11,482.45\nB) 12,202.32\nC) 13,642.05\nD) 10,042.72", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 11,482.45", + "B) 12,202.32", + "C) 13,642.05", + "D) 10,042.72" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11,482.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 11,482.45\nB) 12,202.32\nC) 13,642.05\nD) 10,042.72", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 11,482.45", + "B) 12,202.32", + "C) 13,642.05", + "D) 10,042.72" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "11,482.45", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 12,920.69\nB) 12,200.82\nC) 14,360.42\nD) 10,761.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 12,920.69", + "B) 12,200.82", + "C) 14,360.42", + "D) 10,761.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12,200.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 12,920.69\nB) 12,200.82\nC) 14,360.42\nD) 10,761.09", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 12,920.69", + "B) 12,200.82", + "C) 14,360.42", + "D) 10,761.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12,200.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,786.85\nB) 12,946.45\nC) 12,226.58\nD) 13,666.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 10,786.85", + "B) 12,946.45", + "C) 12,226.58", + "D) 13,666.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,226.58", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,786.85\nB) 12,946.45\nC) 12,226.58\nD) 13,666.31", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 10,786.85", + "B) 12,946.45", + "C) 12,226.58", + "D) 13,666.31" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,226.58", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 17.59\nB) 20.05\nC) 15.12\nD) 22.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 17.59", + "B) 20.05", + "C) 15.12", + "D) 22.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 17.59\nB) 20.05\nC) 15.12\nD) 22.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 17.59", + "B) 20.05", + "C) 15.12", + "D) 22.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 21.29\nB) 13.89\nC) 23.76\nD) 28.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 21.29", + "B) 13.89", + "C) 23.76", + "D) 28.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.29", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 21.29\nB) 13.89\nC) 23.76\nD) 28.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 21.29", + "B) 13.89", + "C) 23.76", + "D) 28.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.29", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.13\nB) 19.06\nC) 23.99\nD) 11.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 14.13", + "B) 19.06", + "C) 23.99", + "D) 11.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.13\nB) 19.06\nC) 23.99\nD) 11.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 14.13", + "B) 19.06", + "C) 23.99", + "D) 11.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.59\nB) 11.66\nC) 19.06\nD) 26.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.59", + "B) 11.66", + "C) 19.06", + "D) 26.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.59\nB) 11.66\nC) 19.06\nD) 26.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 16.59", + "B) 11.66", + "C) 19.06", + "D) 26.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "19.06", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10.47\nB) 12.94\nC) 20.34\nD) 17.87", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 10.47", + "B) 12.94", + "C) 20.34", + "D) 17.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10.47\nB) 12.94\nC) 20.34\nD) 17.87", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 10.47", + "B) 12.94", + "C) 20.34", + "D) 17.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17.87", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 15.78\nB) 13.31\nC) 18.25\nD) 23.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 15.78", + "B) 13.31", + "C) 18.25", + "D) 23.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.78", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 15.78\nB) 13.31\nC) 18.25\nD) 23.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", + "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", + "options": [ + "A) 15.78", + "B) 13.31", + "C) 18.25", + "D) 23.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15.78", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "FTX collapse", + "event_date": "2022-11-08", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", + "year": 2022 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.26\nB) 101.02\nC) 104.78\nD) 91.62", + "options": [ + "A) 97.26", + "B) 101.02", + "C) 104.78", + "D) 91.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "101.02", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.93%\nB) 2.24%\nC) 4.92%\nD) 3.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.93%", + "B) 2.24%", + "C) 4.92%", + "D) 3.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $-79,285M\nB) $-66,138M\nC) $-52,992M\nD) $-59,565M", + "options": [ + "A) $-79,285M", + "B) $-66,138M", + "C) $-52,992M", + "D) $-59,565M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$-59,565M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.70%\nB) 65.84%\nC) 60.82%\nD) 64.58%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.70%", + "B) 65.84%", + "C) 60.82%", + "D) 64.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "62.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) -3.13%\nC) 1.14%\nD) -11.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.42%", + "B) -3.13%", + "C) 1.14%", + "D) -11.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-3.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 160,114K\nB) 147,664K\nC) 155,134K\nD) 167,583K", + "options": [ + "A) 160,114K", + "B) 147,664K", + "C) 155,134K", + "D) 167,583K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "155,134K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) -70.65%\nB) 19.44%\nC) -10.59%\nD) -40.62%", + "options": [ + "A) -70.65%", + "B) 19.44%", + "C) -10.59%", + "D) -40.62%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-40.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +9.20pp\nB) +3.04pp\nC) +15.36pp\nD) -3.13pp", + "options": [ + "A) +9.20pp", + "B) +3.04pp", + "C) +15.36pp", + "D) -3.13pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+9.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.3808\nB) 7.1300\nC) 7.7569\nD) 6.8792", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3808", + "B) 7.1300", + "C) 7.7569", + "D) 6.8792" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.1300", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 111.85\nB) 118.23\nC) 121.42\nD) 124.61", + "options": [ + "A) 111.85", + "B) 118.23", + "C) 121.42", + "D) 124.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "121.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.27%\nB) -6.16%\nC) 0.65%\nD) 4.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 14.27%", + "B) -6.16%", + "C) 0.65%", + "D) 4.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.40%\nB) 57.35%\nC) 62.43%\nD) 64.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.40%", + "B) 57.35%", + "C) 62.43%", + "D) 64.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "60.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.89pp\nB) +2.60pp\nC) -3.15pp\nD) -14.64pp", + "options": [ + "A) -8.89pp", + "B) +2.60pp", + "C) -3.15pp", + "D) -14.64pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+2.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.18%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 3.45%\nD) 4.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.18%", + "B) 2.36%", + "C) 3.45%", + "D) 4.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.45%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 6.12%\nC) 6.91%\nD) 5.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.96%", + "B) 6.12%", + "C) 6.91%", + "D) 5.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.94%\nB) 3.67%\nC) -26.76%\nD) -11.55%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.94%", + "B) 3.67%", + "C) -26.76%", + "D) -11.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-3.94%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) 8,545,204\nB) 1,753,000\nC) 4,017,068\nD) 6,281,136", + "options": [ + "A) 8,545,204", + "B) 1,753,000", + "C) 4,017,068", + "D) 6,281,136" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,753,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 27.60%\nB) 39.96%\nC) 2.88%\nD) -21.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 27.60%", + "B) 39.96%", + "C) 2.88%", + "D) -21.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.88%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.95pp\nB) -7.93pp\nC) +5.39pp\nD) -1.27pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.95pp", + "B) -7.93pp", + "C) +5.39pp", + "D) -1.27pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.27pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.27%\nB) -8.44%\nC) 7.90%\nD) -2.99%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.27%", + "B) -8.44%", + "C) 7.90%", + "D) -2.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 34.91%\nB) 13.32%\nC) -8.27%\nD) 27.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 34.91%", + "B) 13.32%", + "C) -8.27%", + "D) 27.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "13.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 28,446.44\nB) 38,382.47\nC) 34,408.06\nD) 40,369.68", + "options": [ + "A) 28,446.44", + "B) 38,382.47", + "C) 34,408.06", + "D) 40,369.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "34,408.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 22.65%\nB) -8.06%\nC) -14.20%\nD) 4.22%", + "options": [ + "A) 22.65%", + "B) -8.06%", + "C) -14.20%", + "D) 4.22%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) -2.54pp\nC) +3.14pp\nD) -3.97pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.30pp", + "B) -2.54pp", + "C) +3.14pp", + "D) -3.97pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,342K\nB) 1,537K\nC) 1,634K\nD) 1,829K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,342K", + "B) 1,537K", + "C) 1,634K", + "D) 1,829K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,537K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.75pp\nB) +3.31pp\nC) -1.22pp\nD) +5.58pp", + "options": [ + "A) -5.75pp", + "B) +3.31pp", + "C) -1.22pp", + "D) +5.58pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.22pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) -9.01%\nB) 2.43%\nC) -6.72%\nD) -2.15%", + "options": [ + "A) -9.01%", + "B) 2.43%", + "C) -6.72%", + "D) -2.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-2.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $289,270M\nB) $315,437M\nC) $276,187M\nD) $263,103M", + "options": [ + "A) $289,270M", + "B) $315,437M", + "C) $276,187M", + "D) $263,103M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$289,270M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -45.32%\nB) -19.57%\nC) 6.19%\nD) -10.98%", + "options": [ + "A) -45.32%", + "B) -19.57%", + "C) 6.19%", + "D) -10.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-19.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 243.24\nB) 298.54\nC) 257.06\nD) 270.89", + "options": [ + "A) 243.24", + "B) 298.54", + "C) 257.06", + "D) 270.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "257.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 7.70%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 4.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.34%", + "B) 7.70%", + "C) 1.16%", + "D) 4.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 301.82\nB) 325.78\nC) 285.85\nD) 309.81", + "options": [ + "A) 301.82", + "B) 325.78", + "C) 285.85", + "D) 309.81" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "301.82", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 57.36%\nB) 60.40%\nC) 55.33%\nD) 63.44%", + "options": [ + "A) 57.36%", + "B) 60.40%", + "C) 55.33%", + "D) 63.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "60.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 18.02%\nB) -9.70%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 13.40%", + "options": [ + "A) 18.02%", + "B) -9.70%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 13.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.17%\nB) 11.04%\nC) 13.91%\nD) 5.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.17%", + "B) 11.04%", + "C) 13.91%", + "D) 5.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 3.48%\nD) 4.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.65%", + "B) 5.24%", + "C) 3.48%", + "D) 4.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.65%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 108.28\nB) 101.02\nC) 95.57\nD) 104.65", + "options": [ + "A) 108.28", + "B) 101.02", + "C) 95.57", + "D) 104.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "101.02", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,274K\nB) 1,788K\nC) 1,480K\nD) 1,172K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,274K", + "B) 1,788K", + "C) 1,480K", + "D) 1,172K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,480K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.27%\nB) 6.08%\nC) 4.89%\nD) 3.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.27%", + "B) 6.08%", + "C) 4.89%", + "D) 3.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.86%\nB) 7.97%\nC) 0.09%\nD) 4.03%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.86%", + "B) 7.97%", + "C) 0.09%", + "D) 4.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-3.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,475K\nB) 1,377K\nC) 1,084K\nD) 1,573K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,475K", + "B) 1,377K", + "C) 1,084K", + "D) 1,573K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,377K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) -0.77%\nC) 5.87%\nD) 9.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.55%", + "B) -0.77%", + "C) 5.87%", + "D) 9.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.87%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) -2.29%\nC) 10.27%\nD) 0.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.99%", + "B) -2.29%", + "C) 10.27%", + "D) 0.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 6.72%\nC) -6.97%\nD) -2.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.16%", + "B) 6.72%", + "C) -6.97%", + "D) -2.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 128.03\nB) 142.74\nC) 132.93\nD) 152.56", + "options": [ + "A) 128.03", + "B) 142.74", + "C) 132.93", + "D) 152.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "142.74", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) -1.76pp\nB) -0.61pp\nC) -0.90pp\nD) -1.47pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.76pp", + "B) -0.61pp", + "C) -0.90pp", + "D) -1.47pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 7.04%\nC) 4.68%\nD) 3.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.86%", + "B) 7.04%", + "C) 4.68%", + "D) 3.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.37%\nB) 7.96%\nC) -8.69%\nD) 5.19%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.37%", + "B) 7.96%", + "C) -8.69%", + "D) 5.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.26%\nB) 0.90%\nC) -0.29%\nD) -2.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.26%", + "B) 0.90%", + "C) -0.29%", + "D) -2.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "0.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.89%\nB) 84.92%\nC) 77.34%\nD) 72.79%", + "options": [ + "A) 81.89%", + "B) 84.92%", + "C) 77.34%", + "D) 72.79%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "77.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.82%\nB) -6.63%\nC) 23.93%\nD) 5.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 17.82%", + "B) -6.63%", + "C) 23.93%", + "D) 5.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.59%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.50\nB) 10.38\nC) 6.26\nD) 18.62", + "options": [ + "A) 14.50", + "B) 10.38", + "C) 6.26", + "D) 18.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.50", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) $80.87/bbl\nB) $70.61/bbl\nC) $101.39/bbl\nD) $50.09/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $80.87/bbl", + "B) $70.61/bbl", + "C) $101.39/bbl", + "D) $50.09/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$70.61/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) -7.28%\nC) -3.01%\nD) -11.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.25%", + "B) -7.28%", + "C) -3.01%", + "D) -11.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-3.01%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 4.63%\nD) 3.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.46%", + "B) 5.02%", + "C) 4.63%", + "D) 3.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $689,403M\nB) $651,907M\nC) $801,891M\nD) $764,395M", + "options": [ + "A) $689,403M", + "B) $651,907M", + "C) $801,891M", + "D) $764,395M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$689,403M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.71%\nD) 2.73%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.20%", + "B) 3.72%", + "C) 4.71%", + "D) 2.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.13%\nB) 7.62%\nC) 5.39%\nD) 6.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.13%", + "B) 7.62%", + "C) 5.39%", + "D) 6.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 286.08\nB) 294.23\nC) 302.39\nD) 310.54", + "options": [ + "A) 286.08", + "B) 294.23", + "C) 302.39", + "D) 310.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "310.54", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,748B\nB) $16,493B\nC) $23,584B\nD) $22,166B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,748B", + "B) $16,493B", + "C) $23,584B", + "D) $22,166B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$20,748B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1775\nB) 1.0933\nC) 1.2336\nD) 1.0091", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1775", + "B) 1.0933", + "C) 1.2336", + "D) 1.0091" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0933", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 288.67\nB) 297.97\nC) 307.28\nD) 316.58", + "options": [ + "A) 288.67", + "B) 297.97", + "C) 307.28", + "D) 316.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "307.28", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -16.98%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 19.50%\nD) -7.86%", + "options": [ + "A) -16.98%", + "B) 1.26%", + "C) 19.50%", + "D) -7.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-7.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.78%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 5.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.78%", + "B) 2.36%", + "C) 3.97%", + "D) 5.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.78%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.63%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 4.24%\nD) -0.55%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.63%", + "B) 1.85%", + "C) 4.24%", + "D) -0.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $16,362B\nB) $24,003B\nC) $20,947B\nD) $19,419B", + "options": [ + "A) $16,362B", + "B) $24,003B", + "C) $20,947B", + "D) $19,419B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$20,947B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 17,750.52\nB) 11,137.68\nC) 15,105.39\nD) 13,782.82", + "options": [ + "A) 17,750.52", + "B) 11,137.68", + "C) 15,105.39", + "D) 13,782.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13,782.82", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) -2.04%\nC) -0.12%\nD) 5.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.81%", + "B) -2.04%", + "C) -0.12%", + "D) 5.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $17,270B\nB) $19,048B\nC) $16,381B\nD) $19,937B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,270B", + "B) $19,048B", + "C) $16,381B", + "D) $19,937B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$19,048B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 5.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.36%", + "B) 4.03%", + "C) 4.70%", + "D) 5.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.55pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) -1.15pp\nD) +0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.55pp", + "B) -0.70pp", + "C) -1.15pp", + "D) +0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -20.77%\nB) 0.10%\nC) -41.64%\nD) -13.81%", + "options": [ + "A) -20.77%", + "B) 0.10%", + "C) -41.64%", + "D) -13.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-20.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 16.47%\nB) 10.73%\nC) 19.35%\nD) 7.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.47%", + "B) 10.73%", + "C) 19.35%", + "D) 7.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "10.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,466K\nB) 1,276K\nC) 1,371K\nD) 1,561K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,466K", + "B) 1,276K", + "C) 1,371K", + "D) 1,561K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,371K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 134.6023\nB) 122.8270\nC) 152.2654\nD) 140.4900", + "options": [ + "A) 134.6023", + "B) 122.8270", + "C) 152.2654", + "D) 140.4900" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "140.4900", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.69%\nB) 7.31%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 7.93%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.69%", + "B) 7.31%", + "C) 4.83%", + "D) 7.93%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 291.37\nB) 305.15\nC) 325.82\nD) 284.48", + "options": [ + "A) 291.37", + "B) 305.15", + "C) 325.82", + "D) 284.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "305.15", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.76%\nB) 10.21%\nC) 18.48%\nD) 43.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 26.76%", + "B) 10.21%", + "C) 18.48%", + "D) 43.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.88pp\nB) +5.24pp\nC) +3.56pp\nD) +0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.88pp", + "B) +5.24pp", + "C) +3.56pp", + "D) +0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 140.74\nB) 154.04\nC) 145.17\nD) 149.61", + "options": [ + "A) 140.74", + "B) 154.04", + "C) 145.17", + "D) 149.61" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "140.74", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $27.23/hr\nB) $29.18/hr\nC) $32.10/hr\nD) $31.13/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $27.23/hr", + "B) $29.18/hr", + "C) $32.10/hr", + "D) $31.13/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$29.18/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.24pp\nB) +1.48pp\nC) -0.20pp\nD) +3.16pp", + "options": [ + "A) -5.24pp", + "B) +1.48pp", + "C) -0.20pp", + "D) +3.16pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) $18,864B\nB) $16,478B\nC) $15,683B\nD) $17,273B", + "options": [ + "A) $18,864B", + "B) $16,478B", + "C) $15,683B", + "D) $17,273B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$17,273B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $-58,587M\nB) $-72,497M\nC) $-44,677M\nD) $-79,452M", + "options": [ + "A) $-58,587M", + "B) $-72,497M", + "C) $-44,677M", + "D) $-79,452M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$-58,587M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $5,572M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $5,572M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$5,572M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.79%\nB) 8.24%\nC) 5.57%\nD) 2.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.79%", + "B) 8.24%", + "C) 5.57%", + "D) 2.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.57pp\nB) -3.97pp\nC) -1.12pp\nD) +0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) +4.57pp", + "B) -3.97pp", + "C) -1.12pp", + "D) +0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $298,229M\nB) $313,067M\nC) $283,391M\nD) $327,905M", + "options": [ + "A) $298,229M", + "B) $313,067M", + "C) $283,391M", + "D) $327,905M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$298,229M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.29%\nB) 4.13%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 5.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.29%", + "B) 4.13%", + "C) 3.21%", + "D) 5.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 82.49%\nB) 76.24%\nC) 77.80%\nD) 74.68%", + "options": [ + "A) 82.49%", + "B) 76.24%", + "C) 77.80%", + "D) 74.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "77.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.70%\nB) 0.79%\nC) 5.25%\nD) -3.66%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.70%", + "B) 0.79%", + "C) 5.25%", + "D) -3.66%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-3.66%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -9.17%\nB) 15.46%\nC) 27.78%\nD) -21.49%", + "options": [ + "A) -9.17%", + "B) 15.46%", + "C) 27.78%", + "D) -21.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-9.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.11%\nB) 27.28%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 63.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 15.11%", + "B) 27.28%", + "C) 2.94%", + "D) 63.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "27.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 45.07\nB) 82.95\nC) 67.80\nD) 60.22", + "options": [ + "A) 45.07", + "B) 82.95", + "C) 67.80", + "D) 60.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "67.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.09%\nB) 5.87%\nC) 11.83%\nD) 8.85%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.09%", + "B) 5.87%", + "C) 11.83%", + "D) 8.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "8.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $73,852M\nB) $79,051M\nC) $71,252M\nD) $66,053M", + "options": [ + "A) $73,852M", + "B) $79,051M", + "C) $71,252M", + "D) $66,053M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$73,852M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $17,744B\nB) $18,520B\nC) $19,297B\nD) $20,074B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,744B", + "B) $18,520B", + "C) $19,297B", + "D) $20,074B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$18,520B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 150,892K\nB) 142,604K\nC) 156,417K\nD) 164,705K", + "options": [ + "A) 150,892K", + "B) 142,604K", + "C) 156,417K", + "D) 164,705K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "156,417K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.96pp\nB) +0.04pp\nC) -0.41pp\nD) +0.50pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.96pp", + "B) +0.04pp", + "C) -0.41pp", + "D) +0.50pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) $75.75/bbl\nB) $107.75/bbl\nC) $43.75/bbl\nD) $86.42/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $75.75/bbl", + "B) $107.75/bbl", + "C) $43.75/bbl", + "D) $86.42/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$75.75/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 3.91%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 2.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.31%", + "B) 3.91%", + "C) 2.71%", + "D) 2.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.91%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.28%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 6.00%\nD) 11.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.28%", + "B) 3.14%", + "C) 6.00%", + "D) 11.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.00%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $77,259M\nB) $82,709M\nC) $66,359M\nD) $74,534M", + "options": [ + "A) $77,259M", + "B) $82,709M", + "C) $66,359M", + "D) $74,534M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$74,534M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.14%\nB) 8.24%\nC) 12.93%\nD) -15.20%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.14%", + "B) 8.24%", + "C) 12.93%", + "D) -15.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.01%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 6.17%\nD) 3.65%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.01%", + "B) 5.33%", + "C) 6.17%", + "D) 3.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.02%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 3.69%\nD) 6.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.02%", + "B) 2.85%", + "C) 3.69%", + "D) 6.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.67%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 2.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.67%", + "B) 4.91%", + "C) 0.14%", + "D) 2.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.52%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $20,439B\nB) $21,963B\nC) $19,677B\nD) $18,915B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,439B", + "B) $21,963B", + "C) $19,677B", + "D) $18,915B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$20,439B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $594,726M\nB) $665,071M\nC) $700,244M\nD) $735,416M", + "options": [ + "A) $594,726M", + "B) $665,071M", + "C) $700,244M", + "D) $735,416M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$665,071M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,170B\nB) $18,544B\nC) $20,983B\nD) $22,609B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,170B", + "B) $18,544B", + "C) $20,983B", + "D) $22,609B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$20,983B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.02%\nB) 7.69%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 3.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.02%", + "B) 7.69%", + "C) 2.35%", + "D) 3.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 6.07%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 6.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.62%", + "B) 6.07%", + "C) 3.89%", + "D) 6.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.59\nB) 62.00\nC) 46.41\nD) 69.79", + "options": [ + "A) 77.59", + "B) 62.00", + "C) 46.41", + "D) 69.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "62.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 115.92\nB) 113.52\nC) 118.31\nD) 111.12", + "options": [ + "A) 115.92", + "B) 113.52", + "C) 118.31", + "D) 111.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "118.31", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.20%\nB) 3.44%\nC) 10.08%\nD) 6.76%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.20%", + "B) 3.44%", + "C) 10.08%", + "D) 6.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.35%\nB) 11.84%\nC) 1.71%\nD) -8.41%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.35%", + "B) 11.84%", + "C) 1.71%", + "D) -8.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-3.35%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,073.89\nB) 4,425.84\nC) 4,101.81\nD) 3,453.76", + "options": [ + "A) 5,073.89", + "B) 4,425.84", + "C) 4,101.81", + "D) 3,453.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,425.84", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,393,641\nB) 637,214\nC) 259,000\nD) 1,015,427", + "options": [ + "A) 1,393,641", + "B) 637,214", + "C) 259,000", + "D) 1,015,427" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "259,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 229.67\nB) 288.20\nC) 273.57\nD) 258.93", + "options": [ + "A) 229.67", + "B) 288.20", + "C) 273.57", + "D) 258.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "258.93", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 297.41\nB) 334.79\nC) 260.04\nD) 316.10", + "options": [ + "A) 297.41", + "B) 334.79", + "C) 260.04", + "D) 316.10" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "297.41", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $5,567M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $4,300,000M", + "B) $5,567M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$5,567M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $27.66/hr\nB) $25.85/hr\nC) $28.56/hr\nD) $26.75/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $27.66/hr", + "B) $25.85/hr", + "C) $28.56/hr", + "D) $26.75/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$28.56/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 124.97\nB) 116.82\nC) 111.40\nD) 119.54", + "options": [ + "A) 124.97", + "B) 116.82", + "C) 111.40", + "D) 119.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "119.54", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.60%\nB) 64.48%\nC) 59.47%\nD) 61.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.60%", + "B) 64.48%", + "C) 59.47%", + "D) 61.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "62.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 352.08\nB) 312.48\nC) 332.28\nD) 272.89", + "options": [ + "A) 352.08", + "B) 312.48", + "C) 332.28", + "D) 272.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "312.48", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 128.05\nB) 112.85\nC) 118.55\nD) 122.35", + "options": [ + "A) 128.05", + "B) 112.85", + "C) 118.55", + "D) 122.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "118.55", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20230615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2023-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.16%\nB) -70.12%\nC) 48.92%\nD) -40.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 19.16%", + "B) -70.12%", + "C) 48.92%", + "D) -40.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-40.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20230301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.70%\nB) -1.08%\nC) 8.37%\nD) -2.97%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.70%", + "B) -1.08%", + "C) 8.37%", + "D) -2.97%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20230901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2023", + "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 122.91\nB) 120.06\nC) 117.21\nD) 111.50", + "options": [ + "A) 122.91", + "B) 120.06", + "C) 117.21", + "D) 111.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "120.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 3.35%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 6.74%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.51%", + "B) 3.35%", + "C) 4.20%", + "D) 6.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 3.35%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 6.74%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.51%", + "B) 3.35%", + "C) 4.20%", + "D) 6.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 5.89%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 3.35%\nD) 4.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5.89%", + "B) 1.66%", + "C) 3.35%", + "D) 4.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 5.89%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 3.35%\nD) 4.20%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 5.89%", + "B) 1.66%", + "C) 3.35%", + "D) 4.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 5.05%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 3.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4.20%", + "B) 5.05%", + "C) 5.89%", + "D) 3.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 5.05%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 3.35%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4.20%", + "B) 5.05%", + "C) 5.89%", + "D) 3.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 6.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.55%", + "B) 4.24%", + "C) 5.09%", + "D) 6.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.24%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 6.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.55%", + "B) 4.24%", + "C) 5.09%", + "D) 6.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.24%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 3.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.00%", + "B) 2.85%", + "C) 4.54%", + "D) 3.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 3.69%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.00%", + "B) 2.85%", + "C) 4.54%", + "D) 3.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 5.88%\nD) 5.03%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.49%", + "B) 3.34%", + "C) 5.88%", + "D) 5.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 5.88%\nD) 5.03%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.49%", + "B) 3.34%", + "C) 5.88%", + "D) 5.03%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.03%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 3.39%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 3.87%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 3.39%", + "B) 4.82%", + "C) 2.91%", + "D) 3.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.39%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 3.39%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 3.87%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 3.39%", + "B) 4.82%", + "C) 2.91%", + "D) 3.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.39%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 3.86%\nD) 4.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4.81%", + "B) 3.38%", + "C) 3.86%", + "D) 4.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 3.86%\nD) 4.33%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 4.81%", + "B) 3.38%", + "C) 3.86%", + "D) 4.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 4.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 1.87%", + "B) 4.73%", + "C) 3.30%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 4.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 1.87%", + "B) 4.73%", + "C) 3.30%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.82%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 1.87%\nD) 3.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.82%", + "B) 2.35%", + "C) 1.87%", + "D) 3.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.82%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 1.87%\nD) 3.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 2.82%", + "B) 2.35%", + "C) 1.87%", + "D) 3.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.35%", + "C) 4.73%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.35%", + "C) 4.73%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 4.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 1.87%", + "B) 3.30%", + "C) 2.35%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 4.25%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 1.87%", + "B) 3.30%", + "C) 2.35%", + "D) 4.25%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 31.38\nB) 33.80\nC) 26.52\nD) 21.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 31.38", + "B) 33.80", + "C) 26.52", + "D) 21.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 31.38\nB) 33.80\nC) 26.52\nD) 21.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 31.38", + "B) 33.80", + "C) 26.52", + "D) 21.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 28.95\nB) 24.09\nC) 19.24\nD) 26.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 28.95", + "B) 24.09", + "C) 19.24", + "D) 26.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 28.95\nB) 24.09\nC) 19.24\nD) 26.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 28.95", + "B) 24.09", + "C) 19.24", + "D) 26.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 26.52\nB) 19.24\nC) 21.66\nD) 31.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 26.52", + "B) 19.24", + "C) 21.66", + "D) 31.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 26.52\nB) 19.24\nC) 21.66\nD) 31.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 26.52", + "B) 19.24", + "C) 21.66", + "D) 31.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 33.80\nB) 26.52\nC) 31.38\nD) 19.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 33.80", + "B) 26.52", + "C) 31.38", + "D) 19.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 33.80\nB) 26.52\nC) 31.38\nD) 19.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 33.80", + "B) 26.52", + "C) 31.38", + "D) 19.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 28.95\nB) 33.80\nC) 26.52\nD) 21.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 28.95", + "B) 33.80", + "C) 26.52", + "D) 21.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 28.95\nB) 33.80\nC) 26.52\nD) 21.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 28.95", + "B) 33.80", + "C) 26.52", + "D) 21.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 24.09\nB) 33.80\nC) 31.38\nD) 26.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 24.09", + "B) 33.80", + "C) 31.38", + "D) 26.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 24.09\nB) 33.80\nC) 31.38\nD) 26.52", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", + "options": [ + "A) 24.09", + "B) 33.80", + "C) 31.38", + "D) 26.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "26.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20230310-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 4.83%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 7.44%\nD) 3.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.83%", + "B) 5.70%", + "C) 7.44%", + "D) 3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20230310-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 4.83%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 7.44%\nD) 3.09%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.83%", + "B) 5.70%", + "C) 7.44%", + "D) 3.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20230310-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 6.57%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.09%", + "B) 4.83%", + "C) 2.22%", + "D) 6.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20230310-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 6.57%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.09%", + "B) 4.83%", + "C) 2.22%", + "D) 6.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20230310-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 7.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.09%", + "B) 5.70%", + "C) 4.83%", + "D) 7.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20230310-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 7.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.09%", + "B) 5.70%", + "C) 4.83%", + "D) 7.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.83%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", + "event_date": "2023-03-10", + "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.23/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $100.79/bbl\nD) $87.67/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $94.23/bbl", + "B) $107.35/bbl", + "C) $100.79/bbl", + "D) $87.67/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$87.67/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.23/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $100.79/bbl\nD) $87.67/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $94.23/bbl", + "B) $107.35/bbl", + "C) $100.79/bbl", + "D) $87.67/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$87.67/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $89.35/bbl\nB) $69.67/bbl\nC) $95.91/bbl\nD) $109.03/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $89.35/bbl", + "B) $69.67/bbl", + "C) $95.91/bbl", + "D) $109.03/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $89.35/bbl\nB) $69.67/bbl\nC) $95.91/bbl\nD) $109.03/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $89.35/bbl", + "B) $69.67/bbl", + "C) $95.91/bbl", + "D) $109.03/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $109.03/bbl\nB) $89.35/bbl\nC) $82.79/bbl\nD) $102.47/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $109.03/bbl", + "B) $89.35/bbl", + "C) $82.79/bbl", + "D) $102.47/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $109.03/bbl\nB) $89.35/bbl\nC) $82.79/bbl\nD) $102.47/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $109.03/bbl", + "B) $89.35/bbl", + "C) $82.79/bbl", + "D) $102.47/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $82.79/bbl\nB) $95.91/bbl\nC) $89.35/bbl\nD) $76.23/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $82.79/bbl", + "B) $95.91/bbl", + "C) $89.35/bbl", + "D) $76.23/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $82.79/bbl\nB) $95.91/bbl\nC) $89.35/bbl\nD) $76.23/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $82.79/bbl", + "B) $95.91/bbl", + "C) $89.35/bbl", + "D) $76.23/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $69.67/bbl\nB) $82.79/bbl\nC) $76.23/bbl\nD) $89.35/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $69.67/bbl", + "B) $82.79/bbl", + "C) $76.23/bbl", + "D) $89.35/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $69.67/bbl\nB) $82.79/bbl\nC) $76.23/bbl\nD) $89.35/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $69.67/bbl", + "B) $82.79/bbl", + "C) $76.23/bbl", + "D) $89.35/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $89.35/bbl\nB) $102.47/bbl\nC) $82.79/bbl\nD) $95.91/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $89.35/bbl", + "B) $102.47/bbl", + "C) $82.79/bbl", + "D) $95.91/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $89.35/bbl\nB) $102.47/bbl\nC) $82.79/bbl\nD) $95.91/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $89.35/bbl", + "B) $102.47/bbl", + "C) $82.79/bbl", + "D) $95.91/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.69/bbl\nB) $87.58/bbl\nC) $73.36/bbl\nD) $66.25/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $94.69/bbl", + "B) $87.58/bbl", + "C) $73.36/bbl", + "D) $66.25/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$87.58/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.69/bbl\nB) $87.58/bbl\nC) $73.36/bbl\nD) $66.25/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $94.69/bbl", + "B) $87.58/bbl", + "C) $73.36/bbl", + "D) $66.25/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$87.58/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.69/bbl\nB) $108.91/bbl\nC) $87.58/bbl\nD) $101.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $94.69/bbl", + "B) $108.91/bbl", + "C) $87.58/bbl", + "D) $101.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$87.58/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.69/bbl\nB) $108.91/bbl\nC) $87.58/bbl\nD) $101.80/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $94.69/bbl", + "B) $108.91/bbl", + "C) $87.58/bbl", + "D) $101.80/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$87.58/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $108.15/bbl\nB) $101.04/bbl\nC) $93.93/bbl\nD) $86.82/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $108.15/bbl", + "B) $101.04/bbl", + "C) $93.93/bbl", + "D) $86.82/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$86.82/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $108.15/bbl\nB) $101.04/bbl\nC) $93.93/bbl\nD) $86.82/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $108.15/bbl", + "B) $101.04/bbl", + "C) $93.93/bbl", + "D) $86.82/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$86.82/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $77.73/bbl\nB) $91.95/bbl\nC) $63.51/bbl\nD) $56.40/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $77.73/bbl", + "B) $91.95/bbl", + "C) $63.51/bbl", + "D) $56.40/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$77.73/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $77.73/bbl\nB) $91.95/bbl\nC) $63.51/bbl\nD) $56.40/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $77.73/bbl", + "B) $91.95/bbl", + "C) $63.51/bbl", + "D) $56.40/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$77.73/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $52.78/bbl\nB) $74.11/bbl\nC) $81.22/bbl\nD) $67.00/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $52.78/bbl", + "B) $74.11/bbl", + "C) $81.22/bbl", + "D) $67.00/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$74.11/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $52.78/bbl\nB) $74.11/bbl\nC) $81.22/bbl\nD) $67.00/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $52.78/bbl", + "B) $74.11/bbl", + "C) $81.22/bbl", + "D) $67.00/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$74.11/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $59.89/bbl\nB) $81.22/bbl\nC) $74.11/bbl\nD) $95.44/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $59.89/bbl", + "B) $81.22/bbl", + "C) $74.11/bbl", + "D) $95.44/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$74.11/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $59.89/bbl\nB) $81.22/bbl\nC) $74.11/bbl\nD) $95.44/bbl", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) $59.89/bbl", + "B) $81.22/bbl", + "C) $74.11/bbl", + "D) $95.44/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$74.11/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 11.15\nC) 24.76\nD) 19.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 13.88", + "B) 11.15", + "C) 24.76", + "D) 19.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 11.15\nC) 24.76\nD) 19.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 13.88", + "B) 11.15", + "C) 24.76", + "D) 19.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 21.71\nB) 29.88\nC) 16.27\nD) 24.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 21.71", + "B) 29.88", + "C) 16.27", + "D) 24.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 21.71\nB) 29.88\nC) 16.27\nD) 24.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 21.71", + "B) 29.88", + "C) 16.27", + "D) 24.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 29.88\nB) 21.71\nC) 16.27\nD) 13.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 29.88", + "B) 21.71", + "C) 16.27", + "D) 13.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 29.88\nB) 21.71\nC) 16.27\nD) 13.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 29.88", + "B) 21.71", + "C) 16.27", + "D) 13.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 13.54\nC) 21.71\nD) 27.15", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 18.99", + "B) 13.54", + "C) 21.71", + "D) 27.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 13.54\nC) 21.71\nD) 27.15", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 18.99", + "B) 13.54", + "C) 21.71", + "D) 27.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 24.43\nC) 13.54\nD) 21.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 18.99", + "B) 24.43", + "C) 13.54", + "D) 21.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 24.43\nC) 13.54\nD) 21.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 18.99", + "B) 24.43", + "C) 13.54", + "D) 21.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 21.71\nB) 27.15\nC) 29.88\nD) 13.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 21.71", + "B) 27.15", + "C) 29.88", + "D) 13.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 21.71\nB) 27.15\nC) 29.88\nD) 13.54", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", + "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", + "options": [ + "A) 21.71", + "B) 27.15", + "C) 29.88", + "D) 13.54" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "21.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", + "event_date": "2023-10-07", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 5.45%\nD) 2.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.61%", + "B) 3.76%", + "C) 5.45%", + "D) 2.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.76%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 5.45%\nD) 2.91%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.61%", + "B) 3.76%", + "C) 5.45%", + "D) 2.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.76%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 2.07%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.61%", + "B) 2.91%", + "C) 3.76%", + "D) 2.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.76%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 2.07%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.61%", + "B) 2.91%", + "C) 3.76%", + "D) 2.07%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.76%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 5.45%\nD) 3.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 2.91%", + "B) 2.07%", + "C) 5.45%", + "D) 3.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.76%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 5.45%\nD) 3.76%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 2.91%", + "B) 2.07%", + "C) 5.45%", + "D) 3.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.76%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.75%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 1.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.75%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 2.90%", + "D) 1.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.75%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 1.21%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.75%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 2.90%", + "D) 1.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 6.29%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 5.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.29%", + "B) 3.75%", + "C) 4.60%", + "D) 5.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 6.29%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 5.44%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 6.29%", + "B) 3.75%", + "C) 4.60%", + "D) 5.44%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.21%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 6.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.21%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 3.75%", + "D) 6.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.21%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 6.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.21%", + "B) 2.06%", + "C) 3.75%", + "D) 6.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.75%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 3.86%\nD) 3.38%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.81%", + "B) 1.95%", + "C) 3.86%", + "D) 3.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 3.86%\nD) 3.38%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.81%", + "B) 1.95%", + "C) 3.86%", + "D) 3.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 2.42%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.38%", + "B) 2.42%", + "C) 1.95%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 2.42%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.38%", + "B) 2.42%", + "C) 1.95%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.38%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 1.87%\nD) 2.82%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.26%", + "B) 3.30%", + "C) 1.87%", + "D) 2.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 1.87%\nD) 2.82%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 4.26%", + "B) 3.30%", + "C) 1.87%", + "D) 2.82%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 2.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 2.82%", + "C) 3.30%", + "D) 2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 2.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 2.82%", + "C) 3.30%", + "D) 2.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.34%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 3.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 2.34%", + "C) 4.26%", + "D) 3.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.34%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 3.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.78%", + "B) 2.34%", + "C) 4.26%", + "D) 3.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 4.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.82%", + "C) 2.34%", + "D) 4.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 4.26%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 3.30%", + "B) 2.82%", + "C) 2.34%", + "D) 4.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 26.58\nB) 24.15\nC) 29.02\nD) 31.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 26.58", + "B) 24.15", + "C) 29.02", + "D) 31.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 26.58\nB) 24.15\nC) 29.02\nD) 31.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 26.58", + "B) 24.15", + "C) 29.02", + "D) 31.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 29.02\nB) 31.45\nC) 24.15\nD) 16.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 29.02", + "B) 31.45", + "C) 24.15", + "D) 16.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 29.02\nB) 31.45\nC) 24.15\nD) 16.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 29.02", + "B) 31.45", + "C) 24.15", + "D) 16.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 29.02\nB) 21.72\nC) 16.85\nD) 24.15", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 29.02", + "B) 21.72", + "C) 16.85", + "D) 24.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 29.02\nB) 21.72\nC) 16.85\nD) 24.15", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 29.02", + "B) 21.72", + "C) 16.85", + "D) 24.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 24.15\nB) 31.45\nC) 21.72\nD) 16.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 24.15", + "B) 31.45", + "C) 21.72", + "D) 16.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 24.15\nB) 31.45\nC) 21.72\nD) 16.85", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 24.15", + "B) 31.45", + "C) 21.72", + "D) 16.85" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 26.58\nB) 24.15\nC) 19.28\nD) 31.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 26.58", + "B) 24.15", + "C) 19.28", + "D) 31.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 26.58\nB) 24.15\nC) 19.28\nD) 31.45", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 26.58", + "B) 24.15", + "C) 19.28", + "D) 31.45" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 16.85\nB) 21.72\nC) 24.15\nD) 26.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 16.85", + "B) 21.72", + "C) 24.15", + "D) 26.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 16.85\nB) 21.72\nC) 24.15\nD) 26.58", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 16.85", + "B) 21.72", + "C) 24.15", + "D) 26.58" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "24.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9828\nB) 1.1598\nC) 1.2307\nD) 1.0890", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9828", + "B) 1.1598", + "C) 1.2307", + "D) 1.0890" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0890", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9828\nB) 1.1598\nC) 1.2307\nD) 1.0890", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9828", + "B) 1.1598", + "C) 1.2307", + "D) 1.0890" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0890", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.0899\nB) 1.0191\nC) 1.1607\nD) 0.9128", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0899", + "B) 1.0191", + "C) 1.1607", + "D) 0.9128" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0899", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.0899\nB) 1.0191\nC) 1.1607\nD) 0.9128", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0899", + "B) 1.0191", + "C) 1.1607", + "D) 0.9128" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0899", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9992\nB) 1.1054\nC) 1.2825\nD) 1.1762", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9992", + "B) 1.1054", + "C) 1.2825", + "D) 1.1762" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1054", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9992\nB) 1.1054\nC) 1.2825\nD) 1.1762", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9992", + "B) 1.1054", + "C) 1.2825", + "D) 1.1762" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1054", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9637\nB) 1.0346\nC) 1.1054\nD) 1.1762", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9637", + "B) 1.0346", + "C) 1.1054", + "D) 1.1762" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1054", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9637\nB) 1.0346\nC) 1.1054\nD) 1.1762", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9637", + "B) 1.0346", + "C) 1.1054", + "D) 1.1762" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.1054", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.2116\nB) 0.9283\nC) 0.9992\nD) 1.1054", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2116", + "B) 0.9283", + "C) 0.9992", + "D) 1.1054" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1054", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.2116\nB) 0.9283\nC) 0.9992\nD) 1.1054", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2116", + "B) 0.9283", + "C) 0.9992", + "D) 1.1054" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1054", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.1237\nB) 1.0529\nC) 1.1945\nD) 0.9466", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1237", + "B) 1.0529", + "C) 1.1945", + "D) 0.9466" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.1237", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.1237\nB) 1.0529\nC) 1.1945\nD) 0.9466", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", + "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1237", + "B) 1.0529", + "C) 1.1945", + "D) 0.9466" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.1237", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", + "event_date": "2023-03-19", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 3.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 1.48%", + "B) 4.00%", + "C) 2.32%", + "D) 3.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.00%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 3.16%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 1.48%", + "B) 4.00%", + "C) 2.32%", + "D) 3.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.00%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) 5.69%\nC) 4.01%\nD) 4.85%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 3.17%", + "B) 5.69%", + "C) 4.01%", + "D) 4.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) 5.69%\nC) 4.01%\nD) 4.85%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 3.17%", + "B) 5.69%", + "C) 4.01%", + "D) 4.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 4.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.86%", + "B) 5.38%", + "C) 3.70%", + "D) 4.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 4.54%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 2.86%", + "B) 5.38%", + "C) 3.70%", + "D) 4.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.54%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 3.93%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 5.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 4.77%", + "B) 3.93%", + "C) 6.45%", + "D) 5.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 3.93%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 5.61%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 4.77%", + "B) 3.93%", + "C) 6.45%", + "D) 5.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.77%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 4.99%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 6.67%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 3.31%", + "B) 4.99%", + "C) 2.47%", + "D) 6.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 4.99%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 6.67%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 3.31%", + "B) 4.99%", + "C) 2.47%", + "D) 6.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.99%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 6.87%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 5.19%\nD) 2.67%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 6.87%", + "B) 6.03%", + "C) 5.19%", + "D) 2.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 6.87%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 5.19%\nD) 2.67%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 6.87%", + "B) 6.03%", + "C) 5.19%", + "D) 2.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.19%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14.56\nB) 12.13\nC) 19.40\nD) 16.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 14.56", + "B) 12.13", + "C) 19.40", + "D) 16.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "16.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14.56\nB) 12.13\nC) 19.40\nD) 16.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 14.56", + "B) 12.13", + "C) 19.40", + "D) 16.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "16.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-5d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 16.93\nB) 9.66\nC) 14.51\nD) 21.78", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 16.93", + "B) 9.66", + "C) 14.51", + "D) 21.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "16.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 16.93\nB) 9.66\nC) 14.51\nD) 21.78", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 16.93", + "B) 9.66", + "C) 14.51", + "D) 21.78" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "16.93", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-10d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 8.78\nB) 16.05\nC) 11.20\nD) 23.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 8.78", + "B) 16.05", + "C) 11.20", + "D) 23.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.05", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 8.78\nB) 16.05\nC) 11.20\nD) 23.32", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 8.78", + "B) 16.05", + "C) 11.20", + "D) 23.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.05", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-20d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 8.06\nB) 17.76\nC) 12.91\nD) 15.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 8.06", + "B) 17.76", + "C) 12.91", + "D) 15.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 8.06\nB) 17.76\nC) 12.91\nD) 15.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 8.06", + "B) 17.76", + "C) 12.91", + "D) 15.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-40d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 17.76\nB) 10.49\nC) 15.33\nD) 12.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 17.76", + "B) 10.49", + "C) 15.33", + "D) 12.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 17.76\nB) 10.49\nC) 15.33\nD) 12.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 17.76", + "B) 10.49", + "C) 15.33", + "D) 12.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-60d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 12.82\nB) 17.67\nC) 15.24\nD) 5.55", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 12.82", + "B) 17.67", + "C) 15.24", + "D) 5.55" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "12.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 12.82\nB) 17.67\nC) 15.24\nD) 5.55", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 12.82", + "B) 17.67", + "C) 15.24", + "D) 5.55" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "12.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-120d-min", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14,762.39\nB) 12,256.92\nC) 10,586.60\nD) 13,927.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 14,762.39", + "B) 12,256.92", + "C) 10,586.60", + "D) 13,927.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12,256.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14,762.39\nB) 12,256.92\nC) 10,586.60\nD) 13,927.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 14,762.39", + "B) 12,256.92", + "C) 10,586.60", + "D) 13,927.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12,256.92", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-5d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14,035.53\nB) 13,200.37\nC) 12,365.21\nD) 10,694.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 14,035.53", + "B) 13,200.37", + "C) 12,365.21", + "D) 10,694.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,365.21", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14,035.53\nB) 13,200.37\nC) 12,365.21\nD) 10,694.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 14,035.53", + "B) 13,200.37", + "C) 12,365.21", + "D) 10,694.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "12,365.21", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-10d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 15,522.90\nB) 11,347.11\nC) 13,852.59\nD) 13,017.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 15,522.90", + "B) 11,347.11", + "C) 13,852.59", + "D) 13,017.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13,017.43", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 15,522.90\nB) 11,347.11\nC) 13,852.59\nD) 13,017.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 15,522.90", + "B) 11,347.11", + "C) 13,852.59", + "D) 13,017.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13,017.43", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-20d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 13,782.82\nB) 12,947.66\nC) 16,288.29\nD) 12,112.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 13,782.82", + "B) 12,947.66", + "C) 16,288.29", + "D) 12,112.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13,782.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 13,782.82\nB) 12,947.66\nC) 16,288.29\nD) 12,112.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 13,782.82", + "B) 12,947.66", + "C) 16,288.29", + "D) 12,112.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "13,782.82", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-40d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 12,687.70\nB) 14,358.02\nC) 16,863.49\nD) 15,193.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 12,687.70", + "B) 14,358.02", + "C) 16,863.49", + "D) 15,193.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,358.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 12,687.70\nB) 14,358.02\nC) 16,863.49\nD) 15,193.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 12,687.70", + "B) 14,358.02", + "C) 16,863.49", + "D) 15,193.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14,358.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-60d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 16,863.49\nB) 16,028.34\nC) 14,358.02\nD) 12,687.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 16,863.49", + "B) 16,028.34", + "C) 14,358.02", + "D) 12,687.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,358.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 16,863.49\nB) 16,028.34\nC) 14,358.02\nD) 12,687.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", + "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", + "options": [ + "A) 16,863.49", + "B) 16,028.34", + "C) 14,358.02", + "D) 12,687.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14,358.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", + "event_date": "2023-05-01", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-120d-max", + "year": 2023 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.60%\nB) 2.78%\nC) -12.79%\nD) -2.41%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.60%", + "B) 2.78%", + "C) -12.79%", + "D) -2.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-2.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.64%\nB) 17.75%\nC) 11.62%\nD) -6.77%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.64%", + "B) 17.75%", + "C) 11.62%", + "D) -6.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) 4,098,159\nB) 1,839,000\nC) 6,357,319\nD) 8,616,478", + "options": [ + "A) 4,098,159", + "B) 1,839,000", + "C) 6,357,319", + "D) 8,616,478" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,839,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 304.27\nB) 293.81\nC) 314.73\nD) 283.35", + "options": [ + "A) 304.27", + "B) 293.81", + "C) 314.73", + "D) 283.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "314.73", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.96pp\nB) -1.28pp\nC) -4.64pp\nD) +0.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) -2.96pp", + "B) -1.28pp", + "C) -4.64pp", + "D) +0.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 24.22%\nB) 49.36%\nC) 7.46%\nD) 40.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 24.22%", + "B) 49.36%", + "C) 7.46%", + "D) 40.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "24.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.73%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 6.56%\nD) 1.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.73%", + "B) 4.67%", + "C) 6.56%", + "D) 1.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.02%\nB) 12.19%\nC) 2.51%\nD) -2.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 17.02%", + "B) 12.19%", + "C) 2.51%", + "D) -2.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.28%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 3.90%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.28%", + "B) 5.09%", + "C) 2.71%", + "D) 3.90%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $20,974B\nB) $22,250B\nC) $24,802B\nD) $18,422B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,974B", + "B) $22,250B", + "C) $24,802B", + "D) $18,422B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$20,974B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $65,669M\nB) $73,986M\nC) $68,441M\nD) $71,214M", + "options": [ + "A) $65,669M", + "B) $73,986M", + "C) $68,441M", + "D) $71,214M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$73,986M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) +23.87pp\nB) +10.93pp\nC) +17.40pp\nD) +36.82pp", + "options": [ + "A) +23.87pp", + "B) +10.93pp", + "C) +17.40pp", + "D) +36.82pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "+17.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 27.81%\nB) 6.44%\nC) 34.93%\nD) 13.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 27.81%", + "B) 6.44%", + "C) 34.93%", + "D) 13.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "13.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 255.09\nB) 240.40\nC) 284.49\nD) 269.79", + "options": [ + "A) 255.09", + "B) 240.40", + "C) 284.49", + "D) 269.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "255.09", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) -1.93%\nC) 10.08%\nD) -19.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.07%", + "B) -1.93%", + "C) 10.08%", + "D) -19.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.32%\nB) 55.26%\nC) 60.30%\nD) 58.28%", + "options": [ + "A) 62.32%", + "B) 55.26%", + "C) 60.30%", + "D) 58.28%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "60.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $323,621M\nB) $339,197M\nC) $245,741M\nD) $292,469M", + "options": [ + "A) $323,621M", + "B) $339,197M", + "C) $245,741M", + "D) $292,469M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$292,469M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.10%\nB) 58.12%\nC) 63.06%\nD) 65.04%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.10%", + "B) 58.12%", + "C) 63.06%", + "D) 65.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "60.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $5,588M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $5,588M", + "C) $2,400,000M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$5,588M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 9.04%\nB) 15.03%\nC) 6.04%\nD) 0.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.04%", + "B) 15.03%", + "C) 6.04%", + "D) 0.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 140.63\nB) 150.97\nC) 156.14\nD) 145.80", + "options": [ + "A) 140.63", + "B) 150.97", + "C) 156.14", + "D) 145.80" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "145.80", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.62pp\nB) -3.80pp\nC) +2.76pp\nD) +4.95pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.62pp", + "B) -3.80pp", + "C) +2.76pp", + "D) +4.95pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.62pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.82pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.56pp\nD) +1.48pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.82pp", + "B) +0.10pp", + "C) +0.56pp", + "D) +1.48pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 54.64%\nB) -7.43%\nC) 29.81%\nD) 67.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 54.64%", + "B) -7.43%", + "C) 29.81%", + "D) 67.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "29.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) -8.61%\nC) -5.93%\nD) -0.56%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.13%", + "B) -8.61%", + "C) -5.93%", + "D) -0.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.56%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 123.47\nB) 116.86\nC) 113.55\nD) 126.77", + "options": [ + "A) 123.47", + "B) 116.86", + "C) 113.55", + "D) 126.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "123.47", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 1.99%\nC) 5.64%\nD) 7.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.81%", + "B) 1.99%", + "C) 5.64%", + "D) 7.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.99%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.32%\nB) 4.30%\nC) 2.26%\nD) -0.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.32%", + "B) 4.30%", + "C) 2.26%", + "D) -0.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.26%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,112K\nB) 1,193K\nC) 1,275K\nD) 1,357K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,112K", + "B) 1,193K", + "C) 1,275K", + "D) 1,357K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,357K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 8.01%\nC) -3.73%\nD) 0.19%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.14%", + "B) 8.01%", + "C) -3.73%", + "D) 0.19%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 3.28%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 2.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.58%", + "B) 3.28%", + "C) 4.98%", + "D) 2.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.88%\nB) 3.94%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 5.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.88%", + "B) 3.94%", + "C) 1.98%", + "D) 5.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $22,424B\nB) $21,477B\nC) $20,529B\nD) $19,582B", + "options": [ + "A) $22,424B", + "B) $21,477B", + "C) $20,529B", + "D) $19,582B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$19,582B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.27%\nB) 4.90%\nC) 5.54%\nD) 3.64%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.27%", + "B) 4.90%", + "C) 5.54%", + "D) 3.64%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 299.14\nB) 316.79\nC) 334.44\nD) 307.97", + "options": [ + "A) 299.14", + "B) 316.79", + "C) 334.44", + "D) 307.97" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "316.79", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.23%\nB) 5.74%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 8.14%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.23%", + "B) 5.74%", + "C) 0.96%", + "D) 8.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.43%\nB) 3.25%\nC) 4.88%\nD) 4.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.43%", + "B) 3.25%", + "C) 4.88%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 124.16\nB) 127.77\nC) 120.56\nD) 116.96", + "options": [ + "A) 124.16", + "B) 127.77", + "C) 120.56", + "D) 116.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "124.16", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 2.03%\nD) 5.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.92%", + "B) 3.82%", + "C) 2.03%", + "D) 5.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -10.46%\nB) 17.25%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 8.01%", + "options": [ + "A) -10.46%", + "B) 17.25%", + "C) 3.39%", + "D) 8.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.39%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.12pp\nB) -4.56pp\nC) -3.14pp\nD) -0.30pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.12pp", + "B) -4.56pp", + "C) -3.14pp", + "D) -0.30pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) $17,617B\nB) $16,254B\nC) $18,980B\nD) $15,572B", + "options": [ + "A) $17,617B", + "B) $16,254B", + "C) $18,980B", + "D) $15,572B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$17,617B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -13.84%\nB) -4.72%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 13.51%", + "options": [ + "A) -13.84%", + "B) -4.72%", + "C) 4.40%", + "D) 13.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-4.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.37pp\nB) +2.74pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) +4.17pp", + "options": [ + "A) -4.37pp", + "B) +2.74pp", + "C) -0.10pp", + "D) +4.17pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 13.34%\nB) 16.74%\nC) 9.94%\nD) 6.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.34%", + "B) 16.74%", + "C) 9.94%", + "D) 6.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.54%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.77%\nB) -5.98%\nC) 14.87%\nD) -16.40%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.77%", + "B) -5.98%", + "C) 14.87%", + "D) -16.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $-79,027M\nB) $-66,266M\nC) $-59,885M\nD) $-85,408M", + "options": [ + "A) $-79,027M", + "B) $-66,266M", + "C) $-59,885M", + "D) $-85,408M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-66,266M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 142,659K\nB) 163,389K\nC) 157,466K\nD) 148,582K", + "options": [ + "A) 142,659K", + "B) 163,389K", + "C) 157,466K", + "D) 148,582K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "157,466K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.72%\nB) 10.65%\nC) 13.57%\nD) 4.80%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.72%", + "B) 10.65%", + "C) 13.57%", + "D) 4.80%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.80%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,476K\nB) 1,746K\nC) 1,206K\nD) 1,386K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,476K", + "B) 1,746K", + "C) 1,206K", + "D) 1,386K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,476K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 11.08%\nB) 4.18%\nC) -0.43%\nD) -2.73%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.08%", + "B) 4.18%", + "C) -0.43%", + "D) -2.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.82%\nB) 64.58%\nC) 62.70%\nD) 65.84%", + "options": [ + "A) 60.82%", + "B) 64.58%", + "C) 62.70%", + "D) 65.84%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "62.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 65.84%\nB) 64.58%\nC) 60.82%\nD) 62.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 65.84%", + "B) 64.58%", + "C) 60.82%", + "D) 62.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "62.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.93%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 6.13%\nD) 5.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.93%", + "B) 1.86%", + "C) 6.13%", + "D) 5.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.93%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 5.13%\nC) 7.39%\nD) 8.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.00%", + "B) 5.13%", + "C) 7.39%", + "D) 8.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.9277\nB) 1.1552\nC) 1.0699\nD) 1.0130", + "options": [ + "A) 0.9277", + "B) 1.1552", + "C) 1.0699", + "D) 1.0130" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0699", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 13,972.35\nB) 16,450.04\nC) 15,211.19\nD) 17,688.88", + "options": [ + "A) 13,972.35", + "B) 16,450.04", + "C) 15,211.19", + "D) 17,688.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17,688.88", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.70%\nB) 0.92%\nC) -21.94%\nD) -14.32%", + "options": [ + "A) -6.70%", + "B) 0.92%", + "C) -21.94%", + "D) -14.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-6.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.83%\nB) 3.90%\nC) 10.52%\nD) 7.21%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.83%", + "B) 3.90%", + "C) 10.52%", + "D) 7.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.35%\nB) 1.17%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 3.69%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.35%", + "B) 1.17%", + "C) 2.43%", + "D) 3.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 15.55%\nC) -4.00%\nD) 5.77%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.51%", + "B) 15.55%", + "C) -4.00%", + "D) 5.77%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.77%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,148B\nB) $19,137B\nC) $18,126B\nD) $22,170B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,148B", + "B) $19,137B", + "C) $18,126B", + "D) $22,170B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$20,148B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 342.19\nB) 312.35\nC) 332.24\nD) 302.40", + "options": [ + "A) 342.19", + "B) 312.35", + "C) 332.24", + "D) 302.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "312.35", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.28%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 6.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.28%", + "B) 2.38%", + "C) 5.33%", + "D) 6.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,351K\nB) 1,269K\nC) 1,682K\nD) 1,434K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,351K", + "B) 1,269K", + "C) 1,682K", + "D) 1,434K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,434K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.37%\nB) -22.41%\nC) -11.02%\nD) 34.54%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.37%", + "B) -22.41%", + "C) -11.02%", + "D) 34.54%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.37%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.79%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 0.11%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.79%", + "B) 5.90%", + "C) 3.01%", + "D) 0.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.63%\nB) 4.39%\nC) 5.51%\nD) 8.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.63%", + "B) 4.39%", + "C) 5.51%", + "D) 8.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.51%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $303,190M\nB) $271,656M\nC) $318,956M\nD) $287,423M", + "options": [ + "A) $303,190M", + "B) $271,656M", + "C) $318,956M", + "D) $287,423M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$287,423M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) $81.49/bbl\nB) $103.34/bbl\nC) $59.64/bbl\nD) $70.56/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $81.49/bbl", + "B) $103.34/bbl", + "C) $59.64/bbl", + "D) $70.56/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$81.49/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.68%\nB) 4.22%\nC) 4.99%\nD) 5.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.68%", + "B) 4.22%", + "C) 4.99%", + "D) 5.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 265.80\nB) 344.29\nC) 324.66\nD) 363.91", + "options": [ + "A) 265.80", + "B) 344.29", + "C) 324.66", + "D) 363.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "324.66", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.68%\nB) -5.68%\nC) -3.28%\nD) 1.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.68%", + "B) -5.68%", + "C) -3.28%", + "D) 1.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.72%\nB) 82.85%\nC) 72.87%\nD) 78.57%", + "options": [ + "A) 75.72%", + "B) 82.85%", + "C) 72.87%", + "D) 78.57%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "75.72%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 29.56%\nB) 5.58%\nC) -18.39%\nD) -6.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 29.56%", + "B) 5.58%", + "C) -18.39%", + "D) -6.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 5.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.54%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 4.20%", + "D) 5.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 109.04\nB) 103.89\nC) 97.02\nD) 100.46", + "options": [ + "A) 109.04", + "B) 103.89", + "C) 97.02", + "D) 100.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "100.46", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $74,487M\nB) $71,705M\nC) $66,142M\nD) $68,924M", + "options": [ + "A) $74,487M", + "B) $71,705M", + "C) $66,142M", + "D) $68,924M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$74,487M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $27.77/hr\nB) $29.78/hr\nC) $32.79/hr\nD) $28.78/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $27.77/hr", + "B) $29.78/hr", + "C) $32.79/hr", + "D) $28.78/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$29.78/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $19,457B\nB) $24,668B\nC) $22,062B\nD) $21,194B", + "options": [ + "A) $19,457B", + "B) $24,668B", + "C) $22,062B", + "D) $21,194B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$22,062B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 9.54%\nB) -4.58%\nC) 14.24%\nD) 0.13%", + "options": [ + "A) 9.54%", + "B) -4.58%", + "C) 14.24%", + "D) 0.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.21pp\nB) +3.18pp\nC) -3.40pp\nD) +5.37pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.21pp", + "B) +3.18pp", + "C) -3.40pp", + "D) +5.37pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.21pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.92pp\nB) +0.00pp\nC) -0.46pp\nD) +1.38pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.92pp", + "B) +0.00pp", + "C) -0.46pp", + "D) +1.38pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 224.25\nB) 266.90\nC) 252.68\nD) 281.11", + "options": [ + "A) 224.25", + "B) 266.90", + "C) 252.68", + "D) 281.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "252.68", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.10%\nB) 8.66%\nC) 4.39%\nD) 6.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.10%", + "B) 8.66%", + "C) 4.39%", + "D) 6.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.27%\nB) 7.34%\nC) -23.09%\nD) 22.55%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.27%", + "B) 7.34%", + "C) -23.09%", + "D) 22.55%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 119.62\nB) 123.04\nC) 126.45\nD) 112.79", + "options": [ + "A) 119.62", + "B) 123.04", + "C) 126.45", + "D) 112.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "123.04", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 148.6984\nB) 140.1169\nC) 157.2800\nD) 183.0247", + "options": [ + "A) 148.6984", + "B) 140.1169", + "C) 157.2800", + "D) 183.0247" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "157.2800", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.68%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 3.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.68%", + "B) 2.31%", + "C) 1.49%", + "D) 3.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.12%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $21,674B\nB) $19,988B\nC) $20,831B\nD) $19,145B", + "options": [ + "A) $21,674B", + "B) $19,988B", + "C) $20,831B", + "D) $19,145B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$21,674B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,441.66\nB) 5,431.60\nC) 5,761.58\nD) 6,091.56", + "options": [ + "A) 4,441.66", + "B) 5,431.60", + "C) 5,761.58", + "D) 6,091.56" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,431.60", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 104.75\nB) 91.58\nC) 99.81\nD) 94.87", + "options": [ + "A) 104.75", + "B) 91.58", + "C) 99.81", + "D) 94.87" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "99.81", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.15%\nB) 8.84%\nC) -8.48%\nD) 0.18%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.15%", + "B) 8.84%", + "C) -8.48%", + "D) 0.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.18%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) $79.41/bbl\nB) $110.77/bbl\nC) $89.86/bbl\nD) $48.05/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $79.41/bbl", + "B) $110.77/bbl", + "C) $89.86/bbl", + "D) $48.05/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$79.41/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.41%\nB) -1.02%\nC) -10.24%\nD) 26.63%", + "options": [ + "A) 17.41%", + "B) -1.02%", + "C) -10.24%", + "D) 26.63%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 88.28\nB) 64.04\nC) 70.10\nD) 57.98", + "options": [ + "A) 88.28", + "B) 64.04", + "C) 70.10", + "D) 57.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "70.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.42%\nB) 6.11%\nC) 4.80%\nD) 3.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.42%", + "B) 6.11%", + "C) 4.80%", + "D) 3.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.49%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +3.76pp\nC) -2.96pp\nD) +2.08pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.40pp", + "B) +3.76pp", + "C) -2.96pp", + "D) +2.08pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $31.41/hr\nB) $30.39/hr\nC) $33.45/hr\nD) $27.33/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $31.41/hr", + "B) $30.39/hr", + "C) $33.45/hr", + "D) $27.33/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$30.39/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.81%\nB) 14.10%\nC) 5.14%\nD) -0.83%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.81%", + "B) 14.10%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) -0.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 36,554.24\nB) 42,658.99\nC) 40,624.08\nD) 38,589.16", + "options": [ + "A) 36,554.24", + "B) 42,658.99", + "C) 40,624.08", + "D) 38,589.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "38,589.16", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.30pp\nB) +23.01pp\nC) +9.20pp\nD) -18.41pp", + "options": [ + "A) +2.30pp", + "B) +23.01pp", + "C) +9.20pp", + "D) -18.41pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+2.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,575K\nB) 1,312K\nC) 1,224K\nD) 1,400K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,575K", + "B) 1,312K", + "C) 1,224K", + "D) 1,400K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,312K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.87%\nB) -4.17%\nC) 5.73%\nD) 12.33%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.87%", + "B) -4.17%", + "C) 5.73%", + "D) 12.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.73%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $739,973M\nB) $776,890M\nC) $666,137M\nD) $703,055M", + "options": [ + "A) $739,973M", + "B) $776,890M", + "C) $666,137M", + "D) $703,055M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$703,055M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 157,912K\nB) 148,226K\nC) 164,369K\nD) 161,141K", + "options": [ + "A) 157,912K", + "B) 148,226K", + "C) 164,369K", + "D) 161,141K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "157,912K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 339.76\nB) 320.73\nC) 349.28\nD) 311.22", + "options": [ + "A) 339.76", + "B) 320.73", + "C) 349.28", + "D) 311.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "320.73", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $5,882M\nD) $2,400,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $5,882M", + "D) $2,400,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$5,882M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 376.91\nB) 336.88\nC) 356.89\nD) 316.86", + "options": [ + "A) 376.91", + "B) 336.88", + "C) 356.89", + "D) 316.86" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "316.86", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.98%\nB) 15.87%\nC) -11.91%\nD) 6.61%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.98%", + "B) 15.87%", + "C) -11.91%", + "D) 6.61%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 93.66\nB) 79.40\nC) 72.27\nD) 58.00", + "options": [ + "A) 93.66", + "B) 79.40", + "C) 72.27", + "D) 58.00" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "79.40", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.88%\nB) 4.16%\nC) -1.20%\nD) -6.56%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.88%", + "B) 4.16%", + "C) -1.20%", + "D) -6.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-1.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) -53.39%\nB) 35.94%\nC) 95.49%\nD) 6.16%", + "options": [ + "A) -53.39%", + "B) 35.94%", + "C) 95.49%", + "D) 6.16%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.06%\nB) 8.62%\nC) -13.08%\nD) -4.40%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.06%", + "B) 8.62%", + "C) -13.08%", + "D) -4.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.06%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.37%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.07%", + "B) 2.84%", + "C) 5.14%", + "D) 4.37%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.55%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 2.35%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.55%", + "B) 4.75%", + "C) 4.15%", + "D) 2.35%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 5.28%\nD) 4.10%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.47%", + "B) 2.92%", + "C) 5.28%", + "D) 4.10%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $21,270B\nB) $23,255B\nC) $20,277B\nD) $19,284B", + "options": [ + "A) $21,270B", + "B) $23,255B", + "C) $20,277B", + "D) $19,284B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$21,270B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) -1.48pp\nB) -0.47pp\nC) -0.81pp\nD) +0.20pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.48pp", + "B) -0.47pp", + "C) -0.81pp", + "D) +0.20pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.47pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 83.86%\nB) 80.96%\nC) 76.60%\nD) 72.24%", + "options": [ + "A) 83.86%", + "B) 80.96%", + "C) 76.60%", + "D) 72.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "76.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 128.10\nB) 120.24\nC) 133.99\nD) 124.17", + "options": [ + "A) 128.10", + "B) 120.24", + "C) 133.99", + "D) 124.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "124.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.2557\nB) 7.1024\nC) 6.9491\nD) 7.4090", + "options": [ + "A) 7.2557", + "B) 7.1024", + "C) 6.9491", + "D) 7.4090" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.2557", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 112.78\nB) 122.01\nC) 118.93\nD) 125.09", + "options": [ + "A) 112.78", + "B) 122.01", + "C) 118.93", + "D) 125.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "122.01", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20240901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $-75,470M\nB) $-69,442M\nC) $-81,498M\nD) $-63,414M", + "options": [ + "A) $-75,470M", + "B) $-69,442M", + "C) $-81,498M", + "D) $-63,414M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-81,498M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 78.18%\nB) -41.42%\nC) -71.31%\nD) 18.38%", + "options": [ + "A) 78.18%", + "B) -41.42%", + "C) -71.31%", + "D) 18.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) 236,000\nB) 992,122\nC) 1,370,183\nD) 614,061", + "options": [ + "A) 236,000", + "B) 992,122", + "C) 1,370,183", + "D) 614,061" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "236,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20240615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2024-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.98\nB) 12.66\nC) 8.50\nD) 16.82", + "options": [ + "A) 20.98", + "B) 12.66", + "C) 8.50", + "D) 16.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "12.66", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $725,586M\nB) $649,696M\nC) $687,641M\nD) $763,531M", + "options": [ + "A) $725,586M", + "B) $649,696M", + "C) $687,641M", + "D) $763,531M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$687,641M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20240301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2024", + "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 133.35\nB) 158.78\nC) 153.70\nD) 143.52", + "options": [ + "A) 133.35", + "B) 158.78", + "C) 153.70", + "D) 143.52" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "143.52", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 145.1100\nB) 153.2548\nC) 157.3272\nD) 141.0376", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 145.1100", + "B) 153.2548", + "C) 157.3272", + "D) 141.0376" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "145.1100", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 145.1100\nB) 153.2548\nC) 157.3272\nD) 141.0376", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 145.1100", + "B) 153.2548", + "C) 157.3272", + "D) 141.0376" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "145.1100", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 157.3272\nB) 145.1100\nC) 153.2548\nD) 141.0376", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 157.3272", + "B) 145.1100", + "C) 153.2548", + "D) 141.0376" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "145.1100", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 157.3272\nB) 145.1100\nC) 153.2548\nD) 141.0376", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 157.3272", + "B) 145.1100", + "C) 153.2548", + "D) 141.0376" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "145.1100", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 156.4772\nB) 136.1152\nC) 144.2600\nD) 132.0428", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 156.4772", + "B) 136.1152", + "C) 144.2600", + "D) 132.0428" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "144.2600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 156.4772\nB) 136.1152\nC) 144.2600\nD) 132.0428", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 156.4772", + "B) 136.1152", + "C) 144.2600", + "D) 132.0428" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "144.2600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 128.4428\nB) 152.8772\nC) 132.5152\nD) 140.6600", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 128.4428", + "B) 152.8772", + "C) 132.5152", + "D) 140.6600" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "140.6600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 128.4428\nB) 152.8772\nC) 132.5152\nD) 140.6600", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 128.4428", + "B) 152.8772", + "C) 132.5152", + "D) 140.6600" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "140.6600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 140.6600\nB) 148.8048\nC) 152.8772\nD) 144.7324", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 140.6600", + "B) 148.8048", + "C) 152.8772", + "D) 144.7324" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "140.6600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 140.6600\nB) 148.8048\nC) 152.8772\nD) 144.7324", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 140.6600", + "B) 148.8048", + "C) 152.8772", + "D) 144.7324" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "140.6600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 128.4428\nB) 140.6600\nC) 136.5876\nD) 152.8772", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 128.4428", + "B) 140.6600", + "C) 136.5876", + "D) 152.8772" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "140.6600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 128.4428\nB) 140.6600\nC) 136.5876\nD) 152.8772", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 128.4428", + "B) 140.6600", + "C) 136.5876", + "D) 152.8772" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "140.6600", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 15.46\nB) 17.91\nC) 20.37\nD) 22.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 15.46", + "B) 17.91", + "C) 20.37", + "D) 22.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 15.46\nB) 17.91\nC) 20.37\nD) 22.83", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 15.46", + "B) 17.91", + "C) 20.37", + "D) 22.83" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "20.37", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 22.02\nB) 19.56\nC) 12.19\nD) 14.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 22.02", + "B) 19.56", + "C) 12.19", + "D) 14.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 22.02\nB) 19.56\nC) 12.19\nD) 14.65", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 22.02", + "B) 19.56", + "C) 12.19", + "D) 14.65" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 14.65\nB) 22.02\nC) 17.11\nD) 7.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 14.65", + "B) 22.02", + "C) 17.11", + "D) 7.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 14.65\nB) 22.02\nC) 17.11\nD) 7.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 14.65", + "B) 22.02", + "C) 17.11", + "D) 7.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 17.11\nB) 14.65\nC) 12.19\nD) 22.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 17.11", + "B) 14.65", + "C) 12.19", + "D) 22.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 17.11\nB) 14.65\nC) 12.19\nD) 22.02", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 17.11", + "B) 14.65", + "C) 12.19", + "D) 22.02" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 12.19\nB) 22.02\nC) 14.65\nD) 17.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 12.19", + "B) 22.02", + "C) 14.65", + "D) 17.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 12.19\nB) 22.02\nC) 14.65\nD) 17.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 12.19", + "B) 22.02", + "C) 14.65", + "D) 17.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.65", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 7.86\nB) 15.23\nC) 10.31\nD) 12.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7.86", + "B) 15.23", + "C) 10.31", + "D) 12.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 7.86\nB) 15.23\nC) 10.31\nD) 12.77", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 7.86", + "B) 15.23", + "C) 10.31", + "D) 12.77" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "12.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 16,780.61\nB) 17,866.17\nC) 13,523.92\nD) 15,695.05", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 16,780.61", + "B) 17,866.17", + "C) 13,523.92", + "D) 15,695.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "16,780.61", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 16,780.61\nB) 17,866.17\nC) 13,523.92\nD) 15,695.05", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 16,780.61", + "B) 17,866.17", + "C) 13,523.92", + "D) 15,695.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "16,780.61", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 21,133.46\nB) 17,876.77\nC) 18,962.33\nD) 16,791.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 21,133.46", + "B) 17,876.77", + "C) 18,962.33", + "D) 16,791.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "17,876.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 21,133.46\nB) 17,876.77\nC) 18,962.33\nD) 16,791.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 21,133.46", + "B) 17,876.77", + "C) 18,962.33", + "D) 16,791.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "17,876.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 20,090.11\nB) 15,747.87\nC) 17,918.99\nD) 21,175.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 20,090.11", + "B) 15,747.87", + "C) 17,918.99", + "D) 21,175.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17,918.99", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 20,090.11\nB) 15,747.87\nC) 17,918.99\nD) 21,175.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 20,090.11", + "B) 15,747.87", + "C) 17,918.99", + "D) 21,175.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17,918.99", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 21,446.98\nB) 19,275.85\nC) 20,361.41\nD) 18,190.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 21,446.98", + "B) 19,275.85", + "C) 20,361.41", + "D) 18,190.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18,190.29", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 21,446.98\nB) 19,275.85\nC) 20,361.41\nD) 18,190.29", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 21,446.98", + "B) 19,275.85", + "C) 20,361.41", + "D) 18,190.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18,190.29", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 18,712.75\nB) 21,969.44\nC) 15,456.06\nD) 17,627.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 18,712.75", + "B) 21,969.44", + "C) 15,456.06", + "D) 17,627.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18,712.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 18,712.75\nB) 21,969.44\nC) 15,456.06\nD) 17,627.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 18,712.75", + "B) 21,969.44", + "C) 15,456.06", + "D) 17,627.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18,712.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 18,002.77\nB) 20,173.89\nC) 22,345.01\nD) 16,917.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 18,002.77", + "B) 20,173.89", + "C) 22,345.01", + "D) 16,917.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20,173.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 18,002.77\nB) 20,173.89\nC) 22,345.01\nD) 16,917.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", + "options": [ + "A) 18,002.77", + "B) 20,173.89", + "C) 22,345.01", + "D) 16,917.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20,173.89", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", + "event_date": "2024-08-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,537.30\nB) 15,429.64\nC) 18,983.47\nD) 21,352.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22,537.30", + "B) 15,429.64", + "C) 18,983.47", + "D) 21,352.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18,983.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,537.30\nB) 15,429.64\nC) 18,983.47\nD) 21,352.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22,537.30", + "B) 15,429.64", + "C) 18,983.47", + "D) 21,352.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18,983.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,233.95\nB) 17,495.51\nC) 19,864.73\nD) 18,680.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22,233.95", + "B) 17,495.51", + "C) 19,864.73", + "D) 18,680.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,233.95\nB) 17,495.51\nC) 19,864.73\nD) 18,680.12", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22,233.95", + "B) 17,495.51", + "C) 19,864.73", + "D) 18,680.12" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 18,680.12\nB) 19,864.73\nC) 21,049.34\nD) 16,310.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 18,680.12", + "B) 19,864.73", + "C) 21,049.34", + "D) 16,310.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 18,680.12\nB) 19,864.73\nC) 21,049.34\nD) 16,310.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 18,680.12", + "B) 19,864.73", + "C) 21,049.34", + "D) 16,310.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,233.95\nB) 18,680.12\nC) 15,126.29\nD) 17,495.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22,233.95", + "B) 18,680.12", + "C) 15,126.29", + "D) 17,495.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,233.95\nB) 18,680.12\nC) 15,126.29\nD) 17,495.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 22,233.95", + "B) 18,680.12", + "C) 15,126.29", + "D) 17,495.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 15,126.29\nB) 16,310.90\nC) 18,680.12\nD) 21,049.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 15,126.29", + "B) 16,310.90", + "C) 18,680.12", + "D) 21,049.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 15,126.29\nB) 16,310.90\nC) 18,680.12\nD) 21,049.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 15,126.29", + "B) 16,310.90", + "C) 18,680.12", + "D) 21,049.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "18,680.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 17,637.13\nB) 14,083.30\nC) 11,714.08\nD) 15,267.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 17,637.13", + "B) 14,083.30", + "C) 11,714.08", + "D) 15,267.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 17,637.13\nB) 14,083.30\nC) 11,714.08\nD) 15,267.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 17,637.13", + "B) 14,083.30", + "C) 11,714.08", + "D) 15,267.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,001.35\nB) 6,303.41\nC) 5,699.29\nD) 6,605.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,001.35", + "B) 6,303.41", + "C) 5,699.29", + "D) 6,605.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,001.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,001.35\nB) 6,303.41\nC) 5,699.29\nD) 6,605.46", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,001.35", + "B) 6,303.41", + "C) 5,699.29", + "D) 6,605.46" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,001.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,605.46\nB) 6,001.35\nC) 6,907.52\nD) 5,095.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,605.46", + "B) 6,001.35", + "C) 6,907.52", + "D) 5,095.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,001.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,605.46\nB) 6,001.35\nC) 6,907.52\nD) 5,095.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,605.46", + "B) 6,001.35", + "C) 6,907.52", + "D) 5,095.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,001.35", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,992.66\nB) 5,482.38\nC) 6,086.49\nD) 5,784.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,992.66", + "B) 5,482.38", + "C) 6,086.49", + "D) 5,784.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,086.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,992.66\nB) 5,482.38\nC) 6,086.49\nD) 5,784.43", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,992.66", + "B) 5,482.38", + "C) 6,086.49", + "D) 5,784.43" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6,086.49", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,694.38\nB) 5,788.21\nC) 6,392.33\nD) 6,090.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,694.38", + "B) 5,788.21", + "C) 6,392.33", + "D) 6,090.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,090.27", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,694.38\nB) 5,788.21\nC) 6,392.33\nD) 6,090.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,694.38", + "B) 5,788.21", + "C) 6,392.33", + "D) 6,090.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,090.27", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,118.71\nB) 7,024.88\nC) 5,212.54\nD) 6,722.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,118.71", + "B) 7,024.88", + "C) 5,212.54", + "D) 6,722.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,118.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,118.71\nB) 7,024.88\nC) 5,212.54\nD) 6,722.82", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,118.71", + "B) 7,024.88", + "C) 5,212.54", + "D) 6,722.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,118.71", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,748.26\nB) 6,144.15\nC) 5,540.04\nD) 5,237.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,748.26", + "B) 6,144.15", + "C) 5,540.04", + "D) 5,237.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,144.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,748.26\nB) 6,144.15\nC) 5,540.04\nD) 5,237.98", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6,748.26", + "B) 6,144.15", + "C) 5,540.04", + "D) 5,237.98" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6,144.15", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 4.11%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.68%", + "B) 3.73%", + "C) 4.30%", + "D) 4.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 4.11%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.68%", + "B) 3.73%", + "C) 4.30%", + "D) 4.11%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-5d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.49%\nB) 4.11%\nC) 3.73%\nD) 4.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.49%", + "B) 4.11%", + "C) 3.73%", + "D) 4.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.49%\nB) 4.11%\nC) 3.73%\nD) 4.30%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.49%", + "B) 4.11%", + "C) 3.73%", + "D) 4.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-10d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.55%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 3.60%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.17%", + "B) 4.55%", + "C) 3.98%", + "D) 3.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.55%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 3.60%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.17%", + "B) 4.55%", + "C) 3.98%", + "D) 3.60%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-20d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.53%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 3.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.53%", + "B) 4.15%", + "C) 3.96%", + "D) 3.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.53%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 3.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.53%", + "B) 4.15%", + "C) 3.96%", + "D) 3.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-40d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 3.77%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 4.53%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 3.77%", + "B) 4.72%", + "C) 4.15%", + "D) 4.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 3.77%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 4.53%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 3.77%", + "B) 4.72%", + "C) 4.15%", + "D) 4.53%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.15%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-60d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 4.01%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.39%", + "B) 4.58%", + "C) 3.63%", + "D) 4.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 4.01%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 4.39%", + "B) 4.58%", + "C) 3.63%", + "D) 4.01%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-120d-min", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0792\nB) 1.1292\nC) 1.0292\nD) 1.2042", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0792", + "B) 1.1292", + "C) 1.0292", + "D) 1.2042" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0792\nB) 1.1292\nC) 1.0292\nD) 1.2042", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0792", + "B) 1.1292", + "C) 1.0292", + "D) 1.2042" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0042\nB) 1.0792\nC) 1.1792\nD) 1.1292", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0042", + "B) 1.0792", + "C) 1.1792", + "D) 1.1292" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0042\nB) 1.0792\nC) 1.1792\nD) 1.1292", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0042", + "B) 1.0792", + "C) 1.1792", + "D) 1.1292" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0292\nB) 1.2042\nC) 1.0792\nD) 1.1542", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0292", + "B) 1.2042", + "C) 1.0792", + "D) 1.1542" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0292\nB) 1.2042\nC) 1.0792\nD) 1.1542", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0292", + "B) 1.2042", + "C) 1.0792", + "D) 1.1542" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0042\nB) 1.1292\nC) 0.9542\nD) 1.0792", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0042", + "B) 1.1292", + "C) 0.9542", + "D) 1.0792" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0042\nB) 1.1292\nC) 0.9542\nD) 1.0792", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0042", + "B) 1.1292", + "C) 0.9542", + "D) 1.0792" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0792\nB) 1.1292\nC) 1.2042\nD) 1.0292", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0792", + "B) 1.1292", + "C) 1.2042", + "D) 1.0292" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0792\nB) 1.1292\nC) 1.2042\nD) 1.0292", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0792", + "B) 1.1292", + "C) 1.2042", + "D) 1.0292" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0792", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0758\nB) 1.1508\nC) 1.2258\nD) 1.0258", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0758", + "B) 1.1508", + "C) 1.2258", + "D) 1.0258" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1508", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0758\nB) 1.1508\nC) 1.2258\nD) 1.0258", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0758", + "B) 1.1508", + "C) 1.2258", + "D) 1.0258" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.1508", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6.9299\nB) 7.3830\nC) 7.2320\nD) 7.0810", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6.9299", + "B) 7.3830", + "C) 7.2320", + "D) 7.0810" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.2320", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6.9299\nB) 7.3830\nC) 7.2320\nD) 7.0810", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 6.9299", + "B) 7.3830", + "C) 7.2320", + "D) 7.0810" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.2320", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-5d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.3969\nB) 7.0193\nC) 6.8683\nD) 7.2459", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3969", + "B) 7.0193", + "C) 6.8683", + "D) 7.2459" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.2459", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.3969\nB) 7.0193\nC) 6.8683\nD) 7.2459", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3969", + "B) 7.0193", + "C) 6.8683", + "D) 7.2459" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.2459", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-10d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.2858\nB) 7.0592\nC) 7.5124\nD) 7.6634", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.2858", + "B) 7.0592", + "C) 7.5124", + "D) 7.6634" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.2858", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.2858\nB) 7.0592\nC) 7.5124\nD) 7.6634", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.2858", + "B) 7.0592", + "C) 7.5124", + "D) 7.6634" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.2858", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-20d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.6999\nB) 7.3223\nC) 7.4733\nD) 7.1713", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.6999", + "B) 7.3223", + "C) 7.4733", + "D) 7.1713" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3223", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.6999\nB) 7.3223\nC) 7.4733\nD) 7.1713", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.6999", + "B) 7.3223", + "C) 7.4733", + "D) 7.1713" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3223", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-40d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.4836\nB) 7.1816\nC) 7.3326\nD) 7.7102", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.4836", + "B) 7.1816", + "C) 7.3326", + "D) 7.7102" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3326", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.4836\nB) 7.1816\nC) 7.3326\nD) 7.7102", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.4836", + "B) 7.1816", + "C) 7.3326", + "D) 7.7102" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3326", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-60d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.1989\nB) 7.6520\nC) 7.5009\nD) 7.3499", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1989", + "B) 7.6520", + "C) 7.5009", + "D) 7.3499" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.1989\nB) 7.6520\nC) 7.5009\nD) 7.3499", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", + "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1989", + "B) 7.6520", + "C) 7.5009", + "D) 7.3499" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump re-elected", + "event_date": "2024-11-05", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-120d-max", + "year": 2024 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.33%\nB) 3.16%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 7.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.33%", + "B) 3.16%", + "C) 0.81%", + "D) 7.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.33%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.47%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 18.35%\nD) -6.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.47%", + "B) 3.71%", + "C) 18.35%", + "D) -6.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.71%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -22.05%\nB) 15.26%\nC) 0.34%\nD) -7.12%", + "options": [ + "A) -22.05%", + "B) 15.26%", + "C) 0.34%", + "D) -7.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 298.73\nB) 309.26\nC) 340.84\nD) 319.79", + "options": [ + "A) 298.73", + "B) 309.26", + "C) 340.84", + "D) 319.79" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "319.79", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) +2.60pp\nC) -3.16pp\nD) -2.00pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.30pp", + "B) +2.60pp", + "C) -3.16pp", + "D) -2.00pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.83%\nB) 4.46%\nC) 3.09%\nD) 5.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.83%", + "B) 4.46%", + "C) 3.09%", + "D) 5.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.46%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $28.55/hr\nB) $33.57/hr\nC) $31.56/hr\nD) $32.56/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $28.55/hr", + "B) $33.57/hr", + "C) $31.56/hr", + "D) $32.56/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$31.56/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.57%\nB) -3.85%\nC) 3.77%\nD) 1.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.57%", + "B) -3.85%", + "C) 3.77%", + "D) 1.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.86%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) -0.10%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 1.14%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.38%", + "B) -0.10%", + "C) 3.62%", + "D) 1.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.38%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $-33,635M\nB) $-49,168M\nC) $-64,701M\nD) $-25,869M", + "options": [ + "A) $-33,635M", + "B) $-49,168M", + "C) $-64,701M", + "D) $-25,869M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$-49,168M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.49%\nB) -23.02%\nC) 3.28%\nD) 12.04%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.49%", + "B) -23.02%", + "C) 3.28%", + "D) 12.04%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.28%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.07%\nB) -4.80%\nC) 3.87%\nD) 0.40%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.07%", + "B) -4.80%", + "C) 3.87%", + "D) 0.40%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "0.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) -2.97%\nB) -7.62%\nC) 1.69%\nD) -9.95%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.97%", + "B) -7.62%", + "C) 1.69%", + "D) -9.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-2.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $271,748M\nB) $316,215M\nC) $331,037M\nD) $345,859M", + "options": [ + "A) $271,748M", + "B) $316,215M", + "C) $331,037M", + "D) $345,859M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$316,215M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.88%\nB) 36.53%\nC) 11.29%\nD) -13.95%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.88%", + "B) 36.53%", + "C) 11.29%", + "D) -13.95%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "11.29%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $653,720M\nB) $758,349M\nC) $679,878M\nD) $732,192M", + "options": [ + "A) $653,720M", + "B) $758,349M", + "C) $679,878M", + "D) $732,192M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$732,192M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) +1.16pp\nC) -1.56pp\nD) +0.71pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.20pp", + "B) +1.16pp", + "C) -1.56pp", + "D) +0.71pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.76%\nB) 76.05%\nC) 70.72%\nD) 78.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 73.76%", + "B) 76.05%", + "C) 70.72%", + "D) 78.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "76.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 22.05%\nB) 5.93%\nC) -2.14%\nD) -26.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 22.05%", + "B) 5.93%", + "C) -2.14%", + "D) -26.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-2.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $75,895M\nB) $80,983M\nC) $74,199M\nD) $77,591M", + "options": [ + "A) $75,895M", + "B) $80,983M", + "C) $74,199M", + "D) $77,591M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$77,591M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 42,515.09\nB) 35,835.05\nC) 38,061.73\nD) 49,195.13", + "options": [ + "A) 42,515.09", + "B) 35,835.05", + "C) 38,061.73", + "D) 49,195.13" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "42,515.09", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.43%\nB) 4.30%\nC) 6.34%\nD) 2.26%", + "options": [ + "A) 10.43%", + "B) 4.30%", + "C) 6.34%", + "D) 2.26%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 271.76\nB) 232.05\nC) 258.52\nD) 245.29", + "options": [ + "A) 271.76", + "B) 232.05", + "C) 258.52", + "D) 245.29" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "258.52", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 313.72\nB) 298.57\nC) 344.04\nD) 328.88", + "options": [ + "A) 313.72", + "B) 298.57", + "C) 344.04", + "D) 328.88" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "328.88", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 19,701.21\nB) 18,395.91\nC) 21,006.51\nD) 23,617.11", + "options": [ + "A) 19,701.21", + "B) 18,395.91", + "C) 21,006.51", + "D) 23,617.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19,701.21", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,533K\nB) 1,328K\nC) 1,464K\nD) 1,123K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,533K", + "B) 1,328K", + "C) 1,464K", + "D) 1,123K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,328K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.02pp\nB) +2.44pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) +3.86pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.02pp", + "B) +2.44pp", + "C) -0.40pp", + "D) +3.86pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.38%\nB) 61.25%\nC) 59.38%\nD) 62.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 64.38%", + "B) 61.25%", + "C) 59.38%", + "D) 62.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "62.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-SP500-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 6,033.11\nB) 6,797.68\nC) 5,650.82\nD) 6,415.40", + "options": [ + "A) 6,033.11", + "B) 6,797.68", + "C) 5,650.82", + "D) 6,415.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,033.11", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 353.90\nB) 324.25\nC) 334.13\nD) 314.36", + "options": [ + "A) 353.90", + "B) 324.25", + "C) 334.13", + "D) 314.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "324.25", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 47.36\nB) 42.54\nC) 57.00\nD) 61.82", + "options": [ + "A) 47.36", + "B) 42.54", + "C) 57.00", + "D) 61.82" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "57.00", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 56.72%\nB) 61.49%\nC) 57.91%\nD) 59.70%", + "options": [ + "A) 56.72%", + "B) 61.49%", + "C) 57.91%", + "D) 59.70%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "59.70%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $23,092B\nB) $22,210B\nC) $24,854B\nD) $25,736B", + "options": [ + "A) $23,092B", + "B) $22,210B", + "C) $24,854B", + "D) $25,736B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$23,092B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS3MO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.61%\nB) 4.43%\nC) 3.25%\nD) 7.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.61%", + "B) 4.43%", + "C) 3.25%", + "D) 7.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.59%\nB) -7.43%\nC) 0.58%\nD) -2.09%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.59%", + "B) -7.43%", + "C) 0.58%", + "D) -2.09%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $22,398B\nB) $19,581B\nC) $23,806B\nD) $21,694B", + "options": [ + "A) $22,398B", + "B) $19,581B", + "C) $23,806B", + "D) $21,694B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$21,694B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.53%\nB) -0.88%\nC) 6.34%\nD) 2.73%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.53%", + "B) -0.88%", + "C) 6.34%", + "D) 2.73%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.53%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.23%\nB) 3.05%\nC) -0.47%\nD) 1.29%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.23%", + "B) 3.05%", + "C) -0.47%", + "D) 1.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.05%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 2.83%\nD) 4.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.21%", + "B) 4.67%", + "C) 2.83%", + "D) 4.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 345.26\nB) 306.12\nC) 315.90\nD) 325.69", + "options": [ + "A) 345.26", + "B) 306.12", + "C) 315.90", + "D) 325.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "325.69", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 76.13%\nB) 69.01%\nC) 78.98%\nD) 71.86%", + "options": [ + "A) 76.13%", + "B) 69.01%", + "C) 78.98%", + "D) 71.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "76.13%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS2", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 3.97%\nC) 6.84%\nD) 5.89%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.01%", + "B) 3.97%", + "C) 6.84%", + "D) 5.89%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TOTBKCR", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) $20,042B\nB) $17,414B\nC) $18,465B\nD) $19,516B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,042B", + "B) $17,414B", + "C) $18,465B", + "D) $19,516B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$18,465B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $23,824B\nB) $18,589B\nC) $19,636B\nD) $20,683B", + "options": [ + "A) $23,824B", + "B) $18,589B", + "C) $19,636B", + "D) $20,683B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$20,683B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) -4.45pp\nC) -2.86pp\nD) +5.10pp", + "options": [ + "A) +0.32pp", + "B) -4.45pp", + "C) -2.86pp", + "D) +5.10pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "+0.32pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -4.10%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 8.86%\nD) 2.38%", + "options": [ + "A) -4.10%", + "B) 5.62%", + "C) 8.86%", + "D) 2.38%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5.62%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.02%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 5.10%\nD) 13.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.02%", + "B) 2.14%", + "C) 5.10%", + "D) 13.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5.10%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 131.88\nB) 113.12\nC) 127.19\nD) 120.16", + "options": [ + "A) 131.88", + "B) 113.12", + "C) 127.19", + "D) 120.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "120.16", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 101.04\nB) 96.21\nC) 105.87\nD) 109.09", + "options": [ + "A) 101.04", + "B) 96.21", + "C) 105.87", + "D) 109.09" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "101.04", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXJPUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 135.0279\nB) 144.1400\nC) 116.8038\nD) 171.4762", + "options": [ + "A) 135.0279", + "B) 144.1400", + "C) 116.8038", + "D) 171.4762" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "144.1400", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,600K\nB) 1,518K\nC) 1,355K\nD) 1,437K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,600K", + "B) 1,518K", + "C) 1,355K", + "D) 1,437K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,355K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.50%\nB) 3.39%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 2.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.50%", + "B) 3.39%", + "C) 4.12%", + "D) 2.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 327.75\nB) 382.60\nC) 309.47\nD) 364.32", + "options": [ + "A) 327.75", + "B) 382.60", + "C) 309.47", + "D) 364.32" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "327.75", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.37%\nB) -1.32%\nC) 20.71%\nD) -23.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.37%", + "B) -1.32%", + "C) 20.71%", + "D) -23.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-1.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $5,478M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $6,200,000M", + "C) $5,478M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$5,478M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "T10Y2Y", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.19pp\nB) +0.83pp\nC) +1.51pp\nD) +0.49pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.19pp", + "B) +0.83pp", + "C) +1.51pp", + "D) +0.49pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "+0.49pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) $75.05/bbl\nB) $56.91/bbl\nC) $84.12/bbl\nD) $65.98/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $75.05/bbl", + "B) $56.91/bbl", + "C) $84.12/bbl", + "D) $65.98/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$75.05/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.02%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 13.20%\nD) -3.87%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.02%", + "B) 4.67%", + "C) 13.20%", + "D) -3.87%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $33.04/hr\nB) $30.01/hr\nC) $31.02/hr\nD) $29.00/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $33.04/hr", + "B) $30.01/hr", + "C) $31.02/hr", + "D) $29.00/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$31.02/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 12.27%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 17.13%\nD) 7.41%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.27%", + "B) 2.55%", + "C) 17.13%", + "D) 7.41%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.41%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 7.72%\nC) -4.15%\nD) 10.69%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.75%", + "B) 7.72%", + "C) -4.15%", + "D) 10.69%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.75%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 98.62\nB) 101.67\nC) 106.75\nD) 103.70", + "options": [ + "A) 98.62", + "B) 101.67", + "C) 106.75", + "D) 103.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "101.67", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 165,174K\nB) 148,181K\nC) 158,377K\nD) 161,776K", + "options": [ + "A) 165,174K", + "B) 148,181K", + "C) 158,377K", + "D) 161,776K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "158,377K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "ICSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) 378,475\nB) 107,525\nC) 649,425\nD) 243,000", + "options": [ + "A) 378,475", + "B) 107,525", + "C) 649,425", + "D) 243,000" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "243,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 125.94\nB) 118.70\nC) 122.32\nD) 133.18", + "options": [ + "A) 125.94", + "B) 118.70", + "C) 122.32", + "D) 133.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "125.94", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 4.22%\nC) 3.09%\nD) 0.83%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.96%", + "B) 4.22%", + "C) 3.09%", + "D) 0.83%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.22%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $5,775M\nD) $4,300,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $6,200,000M", + "B) $2,400,000M", + "C) $5,775M", + "D) $4,300,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$5,775M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.25%\nB) 63.75%\nC) 65.00%\nD) 62.50%", + "options": [ + "A) 61.25%", + "B) 63.75%", + "C) 65.00%", + "D) 62.50%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "62.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 330.42\nB) 320.78\nC) 349.69\nD) 340.05", + "options": [ + "A) 330.42", + "B) 320.78", + "C) 349.69", + "D) 340.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "330.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.61%\nB) 6.84%\nC) 4.19%\nD) 9.49%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.61%", + "B) 6.84%", + "C) 4.19%", + "D) 9.49%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "6.84%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) $64.08/bbl\nB) $47.18/bbl\nC) $72.53/bbl\nD) $97.88/bbl", + "options": [ + "A) $64.08/bbl", + "B) $47.18/bbl", + "C) $72.53/bbl", + "D) $97.88/bbl" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$72.53/bbl", + "unit": "usd_per_barrel", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.25%\nB) 0.24%\nC) 7.73%\nD) 5.24%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.25%", + "B) 0.24%", + "C) 7.73%", + "D) 5.24%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 3.02%\nD) 5.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.16%", + "B) 2.45%", + "C) 3.02%", + "D) 5.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,577B\nB) $22,170B\nC) $21,374B\nD) $23,365B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,577B", + "B) $22,170B", + "C) $21,374B", + "D) $23,365B" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$22,170B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.72%\nB) 14.50%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 11.06%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.72%", + "B) 14.50%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 11.06%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) -37.54%\nB) 19.59%\nC) -94.66%\nD) -8.98%", + "options": [ + "A) -37.54%", + "B) 19.59%", + "C) -94.66%", + "D) -8.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-8.98%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.19%\nB) 9.83%\nC) -4.08%\nD) -8.71%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.19%", + "B) 9.83%", + "C) -4.08%", + "D) -8.71%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.19%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.38pp\nB) +0.30pp\nC) +1.98pp\nD) +3.66pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.38pp", + "B) +0.30pp", + "C) +1.98pp", + "D) +3.66pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 159.22\nB) 136.78\nC) 150.25\nD) 145.76", + "options": [ + "A) 159.22", + "B) 136.78", + "C) 150.25", + "D) 145.76" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "150.25", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 16.79%\nB) 11.64%\nC) 6.49%\nD) 1.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.79%", + "B) 11.64%", + "C) 6.49%", + "D) 1.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.34%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.11\nB) 27.82\nC) 22.01\nD) 10.40", + "options": [ + "A) 19.11", + "B) 27.82", + "C) 22.01", + "D) 10.40" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19.11", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 124.19\nB) 127.62\nC) 134.49\nD) 137.92", + "options": [ + "A) 124.19", + "B) 127.62", + "C) 134.49", + "D) 137.92" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "127.62", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.16%\nB) 10.03%\nC) 3.44%\nD) 13.33%", + "options": [ + "A) -3.16%", + "B) 10.03%", + "C) 3.44%", + "D) 13.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.44%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0094\nB) 1.0689\nC) 1.2473\nD) 1.1581", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0094", + "B) 1.0689", + "C) 1.2473", + "D) 1.1581" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.1581", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 6.55%\nD) 7.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.20%", + "B) 5.37%", + "C) 6.55%", + "D) 7.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) +5.08pp\nB) -15.00pp\nC) -28.38pp\nD) -35.08pp", + "options": [ + "A) +5.08pp", + "B) -15.00pp", + "C) -28.38pp", + "D) -35.08pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-15.00pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $-149,126M\nB) $-115,951M\nC) $-135,856M\nD) $-122,586M", + "options": [ + "A) $-149,126M", + "B) $-115,951M", + "C) $-135,856M", + "D) $-122,586M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-135,856M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.93%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 5.47%\nD) 3.85%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.93%", + "B) 2.23%", + "C) 5.47%", + "D) 3.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,415K\nB) 1,568K\nC) 1,262K\nD) 1,339K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,415K", + "B) 1,568K", + "C) 1,262K", + "D) 1,339K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1,415K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 36.66%\nB) 11.89%\nC) -0.50%\nD) 24.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 36.66%", + "B) 11.89%", + "C) -0.50%", + "D) 24.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "11.89%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.0105\nB) 7.5160\nC) 7.1790\nD) 7.3475", + "options": [ + "A) 7.0105", + "B) 7.5160", + "C) 7.1790", + "D) 7.3475" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.1790", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 28.02%\nB) 8.03%\nC) -11.96%\nD) -1.96%", + "options": [ + "A) 28.02%", + "B) 8.03%", + "C) -11.96%", + "D) -1.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-1.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 158,548K\nB) 163,890K\nC) 171,902K\nD) 150,535K", + "options": [ + "A) 158,548K", + "B) 163,890K", + "C) 171,902K", + "D) 150,535K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "158,548K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.67%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 1.91%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.67%", + "B) 2.79%", + "C) 0.15%", + "D) 1.91%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.79%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 27.54%\nB) 21.70%\nC) 10.02%\nD) 4.18%", + "options": [ + "A) 27.54%", + "B) 21.70%", + "C) 10.02%", + "D) 4.18%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "10.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 123.65\nB) 130.26\nC) 133.56\nD) 126.95", + "options": [ + "A) 123.65", + "B) 130.26", + "C) 133.56", + "D) 126.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "126.95", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.93pp\nC) +0.16pp\nD) +0.53pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.20pp", + "B) -0.93pp", + "C) +0.16pp", + "D) +0.53pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 158.25\nB) 148.06\nC) 132.76\nD) 163.35", + "options": [ + "A) 158.25", + "B) 148.06", + "C) 132.76", + "D) 163.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "148.06", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) -65.26%\nB) 20.78%\nC) -7.90%\nD) -36.58%", + "options": [ + "A) -65.26%", + "B) 20.78%", + "C) -7.90%", + "D) -36.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-7.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.71pp\nB) -2.63pp\nC) -4.81pp\nD) -0.46pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.71pp", + "B) -2.63pp", + "C) -4.81pp", + "D) -0.46pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.46pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.83%\nB) 20.80%\nC) 9.49%\nD) 32.12%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.83%", + "B) 20.80%", + "C) 9.49%", + "D) 32.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-1.83%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $78,456M\nB) $75,781M\nC) $73,106M\nD) $81,130M", + "options": [ + "A) $78,456M", + "B) $75,781M", + "C) $73,106M", + "D) $81,130M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$75,781M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -43.37pp\nB) -1.43pp\nC) -22.40pp\nD) -29.39pp", + "options": [ + "A) -43.37pp", + "B) -1.43pp", + "C) -22.40pp", + "D) -29.39pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-22.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 115.16\nB) 128.64\nC) 118.53\nD) 125.27", + "options": [ + "A) 115.16", + "B) 128.64", + "C) 118.53", + "D) 125.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "125.27", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.90%\nB) 62.77%\nC) 56.08%\nD) 57.99%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.90%", + "B) 62.77%", + "C) 56.08%", + "D) 57.99%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "59.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.83%\nB) 2.43%\nC) -6.09%\nD) 6.68%", + "options": [ + "A) -1.83%", + "B) 2.43%", + "C) -6.09%", + "D) 6.68%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "2.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.76%\nB) -4.21%\nC) 0.58%\nD) -1.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 7.76%", + "B) -4.21%", + "C) 0.58%", + "D) -1.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.58%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 292.14\nB) 231.97\nC) 252.03\nD) 262.05", + "options": [ + "A) 292.14", + "B) 231.97", + "C) 252.03", + "D) 262.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "262.05", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.02%\nB) 1.88%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 5.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.02%", + "B) 1.88%", + "C) 4.16%", + "D) 5.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS30", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.37%\nB) 4.96%\nC) 6.13%\nD) 6.72%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.37%", + "B) 4.96%", + "C) 6.13%", + "D) 6.72%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.96%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $18,413B\nB) $20,273B\nC) $21,202B\nD) $19,343B", + "options": [ + "A) $18,413B", + "B) $20,273B", + "C) $21,202B", + "D) $19,343B" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$21,202B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.39pp\nB) +0.60pp\nC) -2.39pp\nD) -0.40pp", + "options": [ + "A) -3.39pp", + "B) +0.60pp", + "C) -2.39pp", + "D) -0.40pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 5.97%\nC) 4.92%\nD) 3.36%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.40%", + "B) 5.97%", + "C) 4.92%", + "D) 3.36%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.40%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.16%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 8.63%\nD) -4.56%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.16%", + "B) 4.24%", + "C) 8.63%", + "D) -4.56%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.24%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DJIA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.76%\nB) 2.89%\nC) 9.82%\nD) -4.05%", + "options": [ + "A) 16.76%", + "B) 2.89%", + "C) 9.82%", + "D) -4.05%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.82%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.34%\nB) 1.16%\nC) 1.99%\nD) 2.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.34%", + "B) 1.16%", + "C) 1.99%", + "D) 2.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "2.81%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.30%\nB) 11.51%\nC) 8.10%\nD) -5.51%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.30%", + "B) 11.51%", + "C) 8.10%", + "D) -5.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.60%\nB) 3.16%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 8.92%", + "options": [ + "A) -2.60%", + "B) 3.16%", + "C) 5.08%", + "D) 8.92%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.16%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $345,460M\nB) $335,022M\nC) $314,147M\nD) $282,834M", + "options": [ + "A) $345,460M", + "B) $335,022M", + "C) $314,147M", + "D) $282,834M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$314,147M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $21,849B\nB) $24,416B\nC) $20,137B\nD) $22,704B", + "options": [ + "A) $21,849B", + "B) $24,416B", + "C) $20,137B", + "D) $22,704B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$22,704B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 55.10\nB) 59.72\nC) 50.48\nD) 68.95", + "options": [ + "A) 55.10", + "B) 59.72", + "C) 50.48", + "D) 68.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "55.10", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.28%\nB) 3.02%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 0.81%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.28%", + "B) 3.02%", + "C) 4.49%", + "D) 0.81%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.02%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.39%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 5.31%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.39%", + "B) 3.34%", + "C) 2.36%", + "D) 5.31%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "2.36%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.19%\nB) -1.45%\nC) 8.31%\nD) 3.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 13.19%", + "B) -1.45%", + "C) 8.31%", + "D) 3.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.43%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20250901", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "September 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 8.26%\nC) 0.03%\nD) -8.20%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.14%", + "B) 8.26%", + "C) 0.03%", + "D) -8.20%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.14%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CCSA", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", + "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,607,597\nB) 1,960,000\nC) 6,902,790\nD) 5,255,193", + "options": [ + "A) 3,607,597", + "B) 1,960,000", + "C) 6,902,790", + "D) 5,255,193" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,960,000", + "unit": "count", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20250615", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGS5", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "2025-06-15", + "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", + "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.41%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 2.46%", + "options": [ + "A) 6.41%", + "B) 1.67%", + "C) 4.04%", + "D) 2.46%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.04%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,398K\nB) 1,314K\nC) 1,648K\nD) 1,481K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,398K", + "B) 1,314K", + "C) 1,648K", + "D) 1,481K" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1,481K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20250301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2025", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $723,339M\nB) $652,209M\nC) $758,904M\nD) $794,469M", + "options": [ + "A) $723,339M", + "B) $652,209M", + "C) $758,904M", + "D) $794,469M" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$723,339M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 17,619.71\nB) 15,267.91\nC) 14,092.01\nD) 11,740.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 17,619.71", + "B) 15,267.91", + "C) 14,092.01", + "D) 11,740.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 17,619.71\nB) 15,267.91\nC) 14,092.01\nD) 11,740.22", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 17,619.71", + "B) 15,267.91", + "C) 14,092.01", + "D) 11,740.22" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 14,092.01\nB) 12,916.11\nC) 15,267.91\nD) 18,795.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 14,092.01", + "B) 12,916.11", + "C) 15,267.91", + "D) 18,795.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 14,092.01\nB) 12,916.11\nC) 15,267.91\nD) 18,795.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 14,092.01", + "B) 12,916.11", + "C) 15,267.91", + "D) 18,795.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 16,443.81\nB) 17,619.71\nC) 11,740.22\nD) 15,267.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 16,443.81", + "B) 17,619.71", + "C) 11,740.22", + "D) 15,267.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 16,443.81\nB) 17,619.71\nC) 11,740.22\nD) 15,267.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 16,443.81", + "B) 17,619.71", + "C) 11,740.22", + "D) 15,267.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 15,267.91\nB) 17,619.71\nC) 14,092.01\nD) 18,795.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 15,267.91", + "B) 17,619.71", + "C) 14,092.01", + "D) 18,795.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 15,267.91\nB) 17,619.71\nC) 14,092.01\nD) 18,795.60", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 15,267.91", + "B) 17,619.71", + "C) 14,092.01", + "D) 18,795.60" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 18,795.60\nB) 15,267.91\nC) 11,740.22\nD) 14,092.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 18,795.60", + "B) 15,267.91", + "C) 11,740.22", + "D) 14,092.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 18,795.60\nB) 15,267.91\nC) 11,740.22\nD) 14,092.01", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 18,795.60", + "B) 15,267.91", + "C) 11,740.22", + "D) 14,092.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 14,092.01\nB) 11,740.22\nC) 15,267.91\nD) 12,916.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 14,092.01", + "B) 11,740.22", + "C) 15,267.91", + "D) 12,916.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 14,092.01\nB) 11,740.22\nC) 15,267.91\nD) 12,916.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 14,092.01", + "B) 11,740.22", + "C) 15,267.91", + "D) 12,916.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 6,097.97\nB) 5,777.44\nC) 6,418.51\nD) 5,456.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 6,097.97", + "B) 5,777.44", + "C) 6,418.51", + "D) 5,456.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,456.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 6,097.97\nB) 5,777.44\nC) 6,418.51\nD) 5,456.90", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 6,097.97", + "B) 5,777.44", + "C) 6,418.51", + "D) 5,456.90" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,456.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,456.90\nB) 6,097.97\nC) 4,495.29\nD) 6,418.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,456.90", + "B) 6,097.97", + "C) 4,495.29", + "D) 6,418.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,456.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,456.90\nB) 6,097.97\nC) 4,495.29\nD) 6,418.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,456.90", + "B) 6,097.97", + "C) 4,495.29", + "D) 6,418.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,456.90", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,924.68\nB) 5,604.14\nC) 4,642.53\nD) 6,245.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,924.68", + "B) 5,604.14", + "C) 4,642.53", + "D) 6,245.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,604.14", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,924.68\nB) 5,604.14\nC) 4,642.53\nD) 6,245.21", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,924.68", + "B) 5,604.14", + "C) 4,642.53", + "D) 6,245.21" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,604.14", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,322.53\nB) 5,001.99\nC) 5,963.60\nD) 6,604.67", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,322.53", + "B) 5,001.99", + "C) 5,963.60", + "D) 6,604.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,963.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,322.53\nB) 5,001.99\nC) 5,963.60\nD) 6,604.67", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,322.53", + "B) 5,001.99", + "C) 5,963.60", + "D) 6,604.67" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,963.60", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,243.34\nB) 6,846.02\nC) 6,525.49\nD) 6,204.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,243.34", + "B) 6,846.02", + "C) 6,525.49", + "D) 6,204.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,204.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,243.34\nB) 6,846.02\nC) 6,525.49\nD) 6,204.95", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 5,243.34", + "B) 6,846.02", + "C) 6,525.49", + "D) 6,204.95" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "6,204.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 6,693.75\nB) 6,373.21\nC) 6,052.68\nD) 7,655.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 6,693.75", + "B) 6,373.21", + "C) 6,052.68", + "D) 7,655.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,693.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 6,693.75\nB) 6,373.21\nC) 6,052.68\nD) 7,655.36", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 6,693.75", + "B) 6,373.21", + "C) 6,052.68", + "D) 7,655.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "6,693.75", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 25.33\nB) 30.02\nC) 34.71\nD) 26.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 25.33", + "B) 30.02", + "C) 34.71", + "D) 26.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 25.33\nB) 30.02\nC) 34.71\nD) 26.89", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 25.33", + "B) 30.02", + "C) 34.71", + "D) 26.89" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 33.15\nB) 26.89\nC) 30.02\nD) 34.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 33.15", + "B) 26.89", + "C) 30.02", + "D) 34.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 33.15\nB) 26.89\nC) 30.02\nD) 34.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 33.15", + "B) 26.89", + "C) 30.02", + "D) 34.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "30.02", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 22.61\nB) 21.04\nC) 28.86\nD) 24.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 22.61", + "B) 21.04", + "C) 28.86", + "D) 24.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "24.17", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 22.61\nB) 21.04\nC) 28.86\nD) 24.17", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 22.61", + "B) 21.04", + "C) 28.86", + "D) 24.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "24.17", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 17.24\nB) 14.11\nC) 18.80\nD) 21.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 17.24", + "B) 14.11", + "C) 18.80", + "D) 21.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 17.24\nB) 14.11\nC) 18.80\nD) 21.93", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 17.24", + "B) 14.11", + "C) 18.80", + "D) 21.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 18.15\nB) 16.59\nC) 19.72\nD) 21.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 18.15", + "B) 16.59", + "C) 19.72", + "D) 21.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.59", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 18.15\nB) 16.59\nC) 19.72\nD) 21.28", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 18.15", + "B) 16.59", + "C) 19.72", + "D) 21.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.59", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 11.09\nB) 17.35\nC) 14.22\nD) 12.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 11.09", + "B) 17.35", + "C) 14.22", + "D) 12.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 11.09\nB) 17.35\nC) 14.22\nD) 12.66", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 11.09", + "B) 17.35", + "C) 14.22", + "D) 12.66" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.82%", + "B) 4.17%", + "C) 4.51%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.82%", + "B) 4.17%", + "C) 4.51%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.34%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.13%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.48%", + "B) 4.65%", + "C) 5.00%", + "D) 4.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.48%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.13%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.48%", + "B) 4.65%", + "C) 5.00%", + "D) 4.13%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.48%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 3.96%\nB) 4.48%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.65%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.96%", + "B) 4.48%", + "C) 4.31%", + "D) 4.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.48%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 3.96%\nB) 4.48%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.65%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 3.96%", + "B) 4.48%", + "C) 4.31%", + "D) 4.65%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.48%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.41%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 4.58%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.75%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.41%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 4.58%", + "D) 4.75%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 4.06%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.23%", + "B) 4.06%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 4.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 4.06%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.58%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.23%", + "B) 4.06%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 4.58%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.23%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.58%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 4.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.23%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 4.58%", + "B) 4.93%", + "C) 4.75%", + "D) 4.23%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.58%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.2162\nB) 1.0912\nC) 1.1412\nD) 1.0162", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2162", + "B) 1.0912", + "C) 1.1412", + "D) 1.0162" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.2162\nB) 1.0912\nC) 1.1412\nD) 1.0162", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.2162", + "B) 1.0912", + "C) 1.1412", + "D) 1.0162" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1412\nB) 1.0412\nC) 1.0912\nD) 1.1912", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1412", + "B) 1.0412", + "C) 1.0912", + "D) 1.1912" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1412\nB) 1.0412\nC) 1.0912\nD) 1.1912", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1412", + "B) 1.0412", + "C) 1.0912", + "D) 1.1912" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1662\nB) 1.0412\nC) 1.2162\nD) 1.0912", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1662", + "B) 1.0412", + "C) 1.2162", + "D) 1.0912" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1662\nB) 1.0412\nC) 1.2162\nD) 1.0912", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1662", + "B) 1.0412", + "C) 1.2162", + "D) 1.0912" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.0912\nB) 0.9662\nC) 1.0162\nD) 1.1412", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0912", + "B) 0.9662", + "C) 1.0162", + "D) 1.1412" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.0912\nB) 0.9662\nC) 1.0162\nD) 1.1412", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0912", + "B) 0.9662", + "C) 1.0162", + "D) 1.1412" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1662\nB) 1.0912\nC) 1.0162\nD) 1.2162", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1662", + "B) 1.0912", + "C) 1.0162", + "D) 1.2162" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1662\nB) 1.0912\nC) 1.0162\nD) 1.2162", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.1662", + "B) 1.0912", + "C) 1.0162", + "D) 1.2162" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.0412\nB) 0.9662\nC) 1.0912\nD) 1.1662", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0412", + "B) 0.9662", + "C) 1.0912", + "D) 1.1662" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.0412\nB) 0.9662\nC) 1.0912\nD) 1.1662", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXUSEU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 1.0412", + "B) 0.9662", + "C) 1.0912", + "D) 1.1662" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1.0912", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.7909\nC) 7.5704\nD) 7.3499", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 7.7909", + "C) 7.5704", + "D) 7.3499" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.7909\nC) 7.5704\nD) 7.3499", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 7.7909", + "C) 7.5704", + "D) 7.3499" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.3499\nB) 6.8354\nC) 7.1294\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3499", + "B) 6.8354", + "C) 7.1294", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.3499\nB) 6.8354\nC) 7.1294\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3499", + "B) 6.8354", + "C) 7.1294", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.3499\nC) 7.8644\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 7.3499", + "C) 7.8644", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.3499\nC) 7.8644\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 7.3499", + "C) 7.8644", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 6.8354\nC) 7.3499\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 6.8354", + "C) 7.3499", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 6.8354\nC) 7.3499\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 6.8354", + "C) 7.3499", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.5704\nC) 6.9089\nD) 7.3499", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 7.5704", + "C) 6.9089", + "D) 7.3499" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.5704\nC) 6.9089\nD) 7.3499", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1294", + "B) 7.5704", + "C) 6.9089", + "D) 7.3499" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.3499\nB) 7.1294\nC) 7.7909\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3499", + "B) 7.1294", + "C) 7.7909", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.3499\nB) 7.1294\nC) 7.7909\nD) 7.5704", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3499", + "B) 7.1294", + "C) 7.7909", + "D) 7.5704" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.3499", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", + "event_date": "2025-04-02", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 19,155.88\nB) 16,831.48\nC) 15,669.28\nD) 14,507.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 19,155.88", + "B) 16,831.48", + "C) 15,669.28", + "D) 14,507.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16,831.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 19,155.88\nB) 16,831.48\nC) 15,669.28\nD) 14,507.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 19,155.88", + "B) 16,831.48", + "C) 15,669.28", + "D) 14,507.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16,831.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 16,003.84\nB) 13,679.44\nC) 17,166.04\nD) 18,328.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 16,003.84", + "B) 13,679.44", + "C) 17,166.04", + "D) 18,328.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17,166.04", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 16,003.84\nB) 13,679.44\nC) 17,166.04\nD) 18,328.24", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 16,003.84", + "B) 13,679.44", + "C) 17,166.04", + "D) 18,328.24" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17,166.04", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 15,653.33\nB) 16,815.53\nC) 21,464.33\nD) 17,977.73", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 15,653.33", + "B) 16,815.53", + "C) 21,464.33", + "D) 17,977.73" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17,977.73", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 15,653.33\nB) 16,815.53\nC) 21,464.33\nD) 17,977.73", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 15,653.33", + "B) 16,815.53", + "C) 21,464.33", + "D) 17,977.73" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "17,977.73", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 19,529.95\nB) 18,367.75\nC) 17,205.55\nD) 16,043.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 19,529.95", + "B) 18,367.75", + "C) 17,205.55", + "D) 16,043.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19,529.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 19,529.95\nB) 18,367.75\nC) 17,205.55\nD) 16,043.35", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 19,529.95", + "B) 18,367.75", + "C) 17,205.55", + "D) 16,043.35" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19,529.95", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 17,114.50\nB) 20,601.10\nC) 18,276.70\nD) 24,087.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 17,114.50", + "B) 20,601.10", + "C) 18,276.70", + "D) 24,087.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20,601.10", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 17,114.50\nB) 20,601.10\nC) 18,276.70\nD) 24,087.70", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 17,114.50", + "B) 20,601.10", + "C) 18,276.70", + "D) 24,087.70" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "20,601.10", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 26,275.58\nB) 20,464.58\nC) 22,788.98\nD) 25,113.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 26,275.58", + "B) 20,464.58", + "C) 22,788.98", + "D) 25,113.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "22,788.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 26,275.58\nB) 20,464.58\nC) 22,788.98\nD) 25,113.38", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 26,275.58", + "B) 20,464.58", + "C) 22,788.98", + "D) 25,113.38" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "22,788.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,633.07\nB) 6,220.53\nC) 5,585.54\nD) 5,268.05", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,633.07", + "B) 6,220.53", + "C) 5,585.54", + "D) 5,268.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,268.05", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,633.07\nB) 6,220.53\nC) 5,585.54\nD) 5,268.05", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,633.07", + "B) 6,220.53", + "C) 5,585.54", + "D) 5,268.05" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,268.05", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 5,158.20\nB) 5,475.69\nC) 4,205.72\nD) 4,840.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 5,158.20", + "B) 5,475.69", + "C) 4,205.72", + "D) 4,840.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 5,158.20\nB) 5,475.69\nC) 4,205.72\nD) 4,840.71", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 5,158.20", + "B) 5,475.69", + "C) 4,205.72", + "D) 4,840.71" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,523.22\nB) 5,158.20\nC) 6,110.68\nD) 5,793.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,523.22", + "B) 5,158.20", + "C) 6,110.68", + "D) 5,793.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,523.22\nB) 5,158.20\nC) 6,110.68\nD) 5,793.18", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,523.22", + "B) 5,158.20", + "C) 6,110.68", + "D) 5,793.18" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,840.71\nB) 4,205.72\nC) 5,158.20\nD) 5,475.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,840.71", + "B) 4,205.72", + "C) 5,158.20", + "D) 5,475.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,840.71\nB) 4,205.72\nC) 5,158.20\nD) 5,475.69", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,840.71", + "B) 4,205.72", + "C) 5,158.20", + "D) 5,475.69" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,205.72\nB) 4,523.22\nC) 4,840.71\nD) 5,158.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,205.72", + "B) 4,523.22", + "C) 4,840.71", + "D) 5,158.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,205.72\nB) 4,523.22\nC) 4,840.71\nD) 5,158.20", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4,205.72", + "B) 4,523.22", + "C) 4,840.71", + "D) 5,158.20" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 5,158.20\nB) 4,523.22\nC) 4,205.72\nD) 6,110.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 5,158.20", + "B) 4,523.22", + "C) 4,205.72", + "D) 6,110.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 5,158.20\nB) 4,523.22\nC) 4,205.72\nD) 6,110.68", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 5,158.20", + "B) 4,523.22", + "C) 4,205.72", + "D) 6,110.68" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,158.20", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 32.13\nB) 30.12\nC) 24.08\nD) 34.15", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 32.13", + "B) 30.12", + "C) 24.08", + "D) 34.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 32.13\nB) 30.12\nC) 24.08\nD) 34.15", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 32.13", + "B) 30.12", + "C) 24.08", + "D) 34.15" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "30.12", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 28.48\nB) 20.43\nC) 26.47\nD) 32.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 28.48", + "B) 20.43", + "C) 26.47", + "D) 32.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 28.48\nB) 20.43\nC) 26.47\nD) 32.51", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 28.48", + "B) 20.43", + "C) 26.47", + "D) 32.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "26.47", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 26.51\nB) 28.52\nC) 16.44\nD) 22.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 26.51", + "B) 28.52", + "C) 16.44", + "D) 22.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 26.51\nB) 28.52\nC) 16.44\nD) 22.48", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 26.51", + "B) 28.52", + "C) 16.44", + "D) 22.48" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "22.48", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 17.24\nB) 23.28\nC) 13.21\nD) 21.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 17.24", + "B) 23.28", + "C) 13.21", + "D) 21.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 17.24\nB) 23.28\nC) 13.21\nD) 21.27", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 17.24", + "B) 23.28", + "C) 13.21", + "D) 21.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "17.24", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 22.36\nB) 16.32\nC) 14.31\nD) 18.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 22.36", + "B) 16.32", + "C) 14.31", + "D) 18.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 22.36\nB) 16.32\nC) 14.31\nD) 18.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 22.36", + "B) 16.32", + "C) 14.31", + "D) 18.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "16.32", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 18.25\nB) 20.26\nC) 14.22\nD) 10.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 18.25", + "B) 20.26", + "C) 14.22", + "D) 10.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 18.25\nB) 20.26\nC) 14.22\nD) 10.19", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 18.25", + "B) 20.26", + "C) 14.22", + "D) 10.19" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "14.22", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 3.95%\nB) 4.46%\nC) 4.63%\nD) 4.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.95%", + "B) 4.46%", + "C) 4.63%", + "D) 4.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.29%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 3.95%\nB) 4.46%\nC) 4.63%\nD) 4.29%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.95%", + "B) 4.46%", + "C) 4.63%", + "D) 4.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.29%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.29%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 4.46%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.29%", + "B) 3.95%", + "C) 4.46%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.29%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.29%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 4.46%\nD) 3.78%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.29%", + "B) 3.95%", + "C) 4.46%", + "D) 3.78%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.29%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 3.66%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.68%", + "B) 4.17%", + "C) 3.66%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 3.66%\nD) 4.34%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.68%", + "B) 4.17%", + "C) 3.66%", + "D) 4.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.83%", + "B) 4.00%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 4.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.51%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 3.83%", + "B) 4.00%", + "C) 4.17%", + "D) 4.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 4.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.68%", + "B) 4.00%", + "C) 3.83%", + "D) 4.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 4.17%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.68%", + "B) 4.00%", + "C) 3.83%", + "D) 4.17%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.17%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.01%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 4.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.01%", + "B) 3.50%", + "C) 4.35%", + "D) 4.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.01%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 4.52%", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DGS10", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 4.01%", + "B) 3.50%", + "C) 4.35%", + "D) 4.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "4.01%", + "unit": "%", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.1687\nB) 7.3150\nC) 7.0224\nD) 7.4613", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1687", + "B) 7.3150", + "C) 7.0224", + "D) 7.4613" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.1687\nB) 7.3150\nC) 7.0224\nD) 7.4613", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.1687", + "B) 7.3150", + "C) 7.0224", + "D) 7.4613" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 6.9493\nB) 7.5345\nC) 7.3150\nD) 7.1687", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 6.9493", + "B) 7.5345", + "C) 7.3150", + "D) 7.1687" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 6.9493\nB) 7.5345\nC) 7.3150\nD) 7.1687", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 6.9493", + "B) 7.5345", + "C) 7.3150", + "D) 7.1687" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.6808\nB) 7.4613\nC) 7.0956\nD) 7.3150", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.6808", + "B) 7.4613", + "C) 7.0956", + "D) 7.3150" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.6808\nB) 7.4613\nC) 7.0956\nD) 7.3150", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.6808", + "B) 7.4613", + "C) 7.0956", + "D) 7.3150" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.3150\nB) 7.1687\nC) 7.5345\nD) 7.6808", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3150", + "B) 7.1687", + "C) 7.5345", + "D) 7.6808" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.3150\nB) 7.1687\nC) 7.5345\nD) 7.6808", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.3150", + "B) 7.1687", + "C) 7.5345", + "D) 7.6808" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.0956\nB) 7.3150\nC) 7.4613\nD) 7.6076", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.0956", + "B) 7.3150", + "C) 7.4613", + "D) 7.6076" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.0956\nB) 7.3150\nC) 7.4613\nD) 7.6076", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.0956", + "B) 7.3150", + "C) 7.4613", + "D) 7.6076" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.0956\nB) 7.6808\nC) 7.3150\nD) 7.4613", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.0956", + "B) 7.6808", + "C) 7.3150", + "D) 7.4613" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.0956\nB) 7.6808\nC) 7.3150\nD) 7.4613", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "DEXCHUS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", + "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", + "options": [ + "A) 7.0956", + "B) 7.6808", + "C) 7.3150", + "D) 7.4613" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "7.3150", + "unit": "fx_rate", + "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", + "event_date": "2025-04-09", + "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 16,928.25\nB) 21,855.67\nC) 18,160.10\nD) 19,391.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 16,928.25", + "B) 21,855.67", + "C) 18,160.10", + "D) 19,391.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19,391.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 16,928.25\nB) 21,855.67\nC) 18,160.10\nD) 19,391.96", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 16,928.25", + "B) 21,855.67", + "C) 18,160.10", + "D) 19,391.96" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "19,391.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 19,391.96\nB) 20,623.82\nC) 15,696.39\nD) 16,928.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 19,391.96", + "B) 20,623.82", + "C) 15,696.39", + "D) 16,928.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19,391.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 19,391.96\nB) 20,623.82\nC) 15,696.39\nD) 16,928.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 19,391.96", + "B) 20,623.82", + "C) 15,696.39", + "D) 16,928.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "19,391.96", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 16,562.68\nB) 19,026.39\nC) 15,330.82\nD) 20,258.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 16,562.68", + "B) 19,026.39", + "C) 15,330.82", + "D) 20,258.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19,026.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 16,562.68\nB) 19,026.39\nC) 15,330.82\nD) 20,258.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 16,562.68", + "B) 19,026.39", + "C) 15,330.82", + "D) 20,258.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "19,026.39", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 18,534.87\nB) 13,607.44\nC) 17,303.01\nD) 14,839.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 18,534.87", + "B) 13,607.44", + "C) 17,303.01", + "D) 14,839.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17,303.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 18,534.87\nB) 13,607.44\nC) 17,303.01\nD) 14,839.30", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 18,534.87", + "B) 13,607.44", + "C) 17,303.01", + "D) 14,839.30" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "17,303.01", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 17,731.62\nB) 14,036.05\nC) 12,804.20\nD) 15,267.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 17,731.62", + "B) 14,036.05", + "C) 12,804.20", + "D) 15,267.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 17,731.62\nB) 14,036.05\nC) 12,804.20\nD) 15,267.91", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 17,731.62", + "B) 14,036.05", + "C) 12,804.20", + "D) 15,267.91" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 15,267.91\nB) 12,804.20\nC) 14,036.05\nD) 11,572.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 15,267.91", + "B) 12,804.20", + "C) 14,036.05", + "D) 11,572.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 15,267.91\nB) 12,804.20\nC) 14,036.05\nD) 11,572.34", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 15,267.91", + "B) 12,804.20", + "C) 14,036.05", + "D) 11,572.34" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "15,267.91", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-5d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,014.11\nB) 5,994.57\nC) 6,648.21\nD) 5,667.75", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,014.11", + "B) 5,994.57", + "C) 6,648.21", + "D) 5,667.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,994.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-5d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,014.11\nB) 5,994.57\nC) 6,648.21\nD) 5,667.75", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,014.11", + "B) 5,994.57", + "C) 6,648.21", + "D) 5,667.75" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "5,994.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-5d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-10d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 6,321.39\nB) 6,975.03\nC) 5,994.57\nD) 5,014.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 6,321.39", + "B) 6,975.03", + "C) 5,994.57", + "D) 5,014.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,994.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-10d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 6,321.39\nB) 6,975.03\nC) 5,994.57\nD) 5,014.11", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 6,321.39", + "B) 6,975.03", + "C) 5,994.57", + "D) 5,014.11" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "5,994.57", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-10d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-20d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 6,608.89\nB) 6,282.07\nC) 4,974.79\nD) 5,955.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 6,608.89", + "B) 6,282.07", + "C) 4,974.79", + "D) 5,955.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,955.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-20d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 6,608.89\nB) 6,282.07\nC) 4,974.79\nD) 5,955.25", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 6,608.89", + "B) 6,282.07", + "C) 4,974.79", + "D) 5,955.25" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "5,955.25", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-20d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-40d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,521.52\nB) 6,501.98\nC) 4,541.06\nD) 6,175.16", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,521.52", + "B) 6,501.98", + "C) 4,541.06", + "D) 6,175.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,521.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-40d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,521.52\nB) 6,501.98\nC) 4,541.06\nD) 6,175.16", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,521.52", + "B) 6,501.98", + "C) 4,541.06", + "D) 6,175.16" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5,521.52", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-40d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-60d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,963.23\nB) 4,982.77\nC) 4,002.31\nD) 5,309.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,963.23", + "B) 4,982.77", + "C) 4,002.31", + "D) 5,309.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,982.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-60d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,963.23\nB) 4,982.77\nC) 4,002.31\nD) 5,309.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,963.23", + "B) 4,982.77", + "C) 4,002.31", + "D) 5,309.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4,982.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-60d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-120d-min", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,636.41\nB) 4,329.13\nC) 4,982.77\nD) 5,309.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,636.41", + "B) 4,329.13", + "C) 4,982.77", + "D) 5,309.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,982.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-120d-min", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,636.41\nB) 4,329.13\nC) 4,982.77\nD) 5,309.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "SP500", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 5,636.41", + "B) 4,329.13", + "C) 4,982.77", + "D) 5,309.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "4,982.77", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-120d-min", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-5d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 21.84\nB) 20.23\nC) 15.40\nD) 18.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 21.84", + "B) 20.23", + "C) 15.40", + "D) 18.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-5d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 21.84\nB) 20.23\nC) 15.40\nD) 18.62", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 21.84", + "B) 20.23", + "C) 15.40", + "D) 18.62" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "18.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-5d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-10d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 18.62\nB) 17.01\nC) 13.79\nD) 20.23", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 18.62", + "B) 17.01", + "C) 13.79", + "D) 20.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-10d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 18.62\nB) 17.01\nC) 13.79\nD) 20.23", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 18.62", + "B) 17.01", + "C) 13.79", + "D) 20.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "18.62", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-10d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-20d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 15.76\nB) 18.98\nC) 14.15\nD) 20.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 15.76", + "B) 18.98", + "C) 14.15", + "D) 20.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "18.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-20d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 15.76\nB) 18.98\nC) 14.15\nD) 20.59", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 15.76", + "B) 18.98", + "C) 14.15", + "D) 20.59" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "18.98", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-20d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-40d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 23.03\nB) 32.69\nC) 27.86\nD) 31.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 23.03", + "B) 32.69", + "C) 27.86", + "D) 31.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "27.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-40d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 23.03\nB) 32.69\nC) 27.86\nD) 31.08", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 23.03", + "B) 32.69", + "C) 27.86", + "D) 31.08" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "27.86", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-40d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-60d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 50.72\nB) 53.94\nC) 55.55\nD) 52.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 50.72", + "B) 53.94", + "C) 55.55", + "D) 52.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "52.33", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-60d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 50.72\nB) 53.94\nC) 55.55\nD) 52.33", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 50.72", + "B) 53.94", + "C) 55.55", + "D) 52.33" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "52.33", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-60d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-120d-max", + "condition": "blind", + "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 52.33\nB) 53.94\nC) 55.55\nD) 47.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 52.33", + "B) 53.94", + "C) 55.55", + "D) 47.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "52.33", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-120d-max", + "condition": "revealed", + "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 52.33\nB) 53.94\nC) 55.55\nD) 47.50", + "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", + "subtype": "shock_aftermath", + "indicator": "VIXCLS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", + "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", + "options": [ + "A) 52.33", + "B) 53.94", + "C) 55.55", + "D) 47.50" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "52.33", + "unit": "index", + "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", + "event_date": "2025-01-27", + "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-120d-max", + "year": 2025 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.86\nB) 101.81\nC) 98.75\nD) 108.93", + "options": [ + "A) 104.86", + "B) 101.81", + "C) 98.75", + "D) 108.93" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "101.81", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.56%\nB) 2.78%\nC) 9.47%\nD) 19.51%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.56%", + "B) 2.78%", + "C) 9.47%", + "D) 19.51%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "9.47%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $25,347B\nB) $21,857B\nC) $26,220B\nD) $23,602B", + "options": [ + "A) $25,347B", + "B) $21,857B", + "C) $26,220B", + "D) $23,602B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$23,602B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.20%\nB) 57.42%\nC) 60.98%\nD) 63.34%", + "options": [ + "A) 59.20%", + "B) 57.42%", + "C) 60.98%", + "D) 63.34%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "59.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 296.83\nB) 276.42\nC) 283.22\nD) 256.01", + "options": [ + "A) 296.83", + "B) 276.42", + "C) 283.22", + "D) 256.01" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "276.42", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "INDPRO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.97%\nB) -2.69%\nC) 0.76%\nD) -4.42%", + "options": [ + "A) -0.97%", + "B) -2.69%", + "C) 0.76%", + "D) -4.42%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.76%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $817,063M\nB) $689,677M\nC) $795,832M\nD) $753,370M", + "options": [ + "A) $817,063M", + "B) $689,677M", + "C) $795,832M", + "D) $753,370M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$753,370M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.67%\nB) 73.40%\nC) 77.94%\nD) 80.21%", + "options": [ + "A) 75.67%", + "B) 73.40%", + "C) 77.94%", + "D) 80.21%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "75.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 146.66\nB) 154.37\nC) 142.80\nD) 158.23", + "options": [ + "A) 146.66", + "B) 154.37", + "C) 142.80", + "D) 158.23" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "154.37", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOPGSTB", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $-68,659M\nB) $-51,955M\nC) $-60,307M\nD) $-43,604M", + "options": [ + "A) $-68,659M", + "B) $-51,955M", + "C) $-60,307M", + "D) $-43,604M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$-60,307M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.60%\nD) 4.30%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.65%", + "B) 5.00%", + "C) 3.60%", + "D) 4.30%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.30%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 5.12%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 1.88%", + "options": [ + "A) 3.50%", + "B) 5.12%", + "C) 5.93%", + "D) 1.88%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "3.50%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.66%\nB) 3.55%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 2.43%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.66%", + "B) 3.55%", + "C) 2.99%", + "D) 2.43%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.55%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 65.00%\nB) 60.04%\nC) 61.90%\nD) 63.76%", + "options": [ + "A) 65.00%", + "B) 60.04%", + "C) 61.90%", + "D) 63.76%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "61.90%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.09%\nB) -13.07%\nC) 18.82%\nD) 10.85%", + "options": [ + "A) -5.09%", + "B) -13.07%", + "C) 18.82%", + "D) 10.85%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "10.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.67%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 3.33%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.67%", + "B) 2.01%", + "C) 0.69%", + "D) 3.33%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "2.67%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 5.73%\nD) 2.59%", + "options": [ + "A) 1.55%", + "B) 3.64%", + "C) 5.73%", + "D) 2.59%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.64%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $5,459M\nD) $6,200,000M", + "options": [ + "A) $2,400,000M", + "B) $4,300,000M", + "C) $5,459M", + "D) $6,200,000M" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "$5,459M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 119.84\nB) 135.57\nC) 132.42\nD) 129.28", + "options": [ + "A) 119.84", + "B) 135.57", + "C) 132.42", + "D) 129.28" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "129.28", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 158,621K\nB) 169,690K\nC) 163,048K\nD) 154,194K", + "options": [ + "A) 158,621K", + "B) 169,690K", + "C) 163,048K", + "D) 154,194K" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "158,621K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PSAVERT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.66%\nB) 3.60%\nC) 6.97%\nD) 5.29%", + "options": [ + "A) 8.66%", + "B) 3.60%", + "C) 6.97%", + "D) 5.29%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "3.60%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -13.71%\nB) 15.42%\nC) 0.85%\nD) -8.86%", + "options": [ + "A) -13.71%", + "B) 15.42%", + "C) 0.85%", + "D) -8.86%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "0.85%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 0.12%\nC) 6.53%\nD) 3.32%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.39%", + "B) 0.12%", + "C) 6.53%", + "D) 3.32%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "3.32%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $22,686B\nB) $21,804B\nC) $23,274B\nD) $24,156B", + "options": [ + "A) $22,686B", + "B) $21,804B", + "C) $23,274B", + "D) $24,156B" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "$22,686B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "NEWORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $79,268M\nB) $82,960M\nC) $85,421M\nD) $76,806M", + "options": [ + "A) $79,268M", + "B) $82,960M", + "C) $85,421M", + "D) $76,806M" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "$82,960M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPILFE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 4.28%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 2.67%", + "options": [ + "A) 4.81%", + "B) 4.28%", + "C) 3.20%", + "D) 2.67%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.20%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPILFESL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 352.38\nB) 361.49\nC) 325.06\nD) 334.17", + "options": [ + "A) 352.38", + "B) 361.49", + "C) 325.06", + "D) 334.17" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "334.17", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PAYEMS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 1.45%\nC) -2.44%\nD) 2.74%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.15%", + "B) 1.45%", + "C) -2.44%", + "D) 2.74%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "0.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "EMRATIO", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.66pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) +0.88pp\nD) -2.28pp", + "options": [ + "A) +1.66pp", + "B) -0.70pp", + "C) +0.88pp", + "D) -2.28pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) +16.44pp\nB) +3.01pp\nC) -3.70pp\nD) -23.84pp", + "options": [ + "A) +16.44pp", + "B) +3.01pp", + "C) -3.70pp", + "D) -23.84pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "-3.70pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $20,142B\nB) $19,283B\nC) $21,001B\nD) $21,860B", + "options": [ + "A) $20,142B", + "B) $19,283B", + "C) $21,001B", + "D) $21,860B" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$21,860B", + "unit": "usd_billion", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.69%\nB) 12.56%\nC) -1.17%\nD) 1.12%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.69%", + "B) 12.56%", + "C) -1.17%", + "D) 1.12%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "5.69%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UMCSENT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 57.96\nB) 53.30\nC) 62.61\nD) 67.27", + "options": [ + "A) 57.96", + "B) 53.30", + "C) 62.61", + "D) 67.27" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "53.30", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIACO", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 21.37%\nC) 6.92%\nD) -7.52%", + "options": [ + "A) 2.11%", + "B) 21.37%", + "C) 6.92%", + "D) -7.52%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "6.92%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DGORDER", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $309,526M\nB) $337,676M\nC) $300,142M\nD) $318,909M", + "options": [ + "A) $309,526M", + "B) $337,676M", + "C) $300,142M", + "D) $318,909M" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$318,909M", + "unit": "usd_million", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -7.97%\nB) 6.05%\nC) -28.99%\nD) -0.96%", + "options": [ + "A) -7.97%", + "B) 6.05%", + "C) -28.99%", + "D) -0.96%" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-7.97%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PERMIT", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,211K\nB) 1,363K\nC) 1,515K\nD) 1,439K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,211K", + "B) 1,363K", + "C) 1,515K", + "D) 1,439K" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "1,363K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 348.25\nB) 357.23\nC) 330.29\nD) 303.36", + "options": [ + "A) 348.25", + "B) 357.23", + "C) 330.29", + "D) 303.36" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "330.29", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "AHETPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $35.03/hr\nB) $33.09/hr\nC) $29.21/hr\nD) $32.12/hr", + "options": [ + "A) $35.03/hr", + "B) $33.09/hr", + "C) $29.21/hr", + "D) $32.12/hr" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "$32.12/hr", + "unit": "usd_per_hour", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "CIVPART", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) +0.14pp\nC) -1.34pp\nD) -0.11pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.60pp", + "B) +0.14pp", + "C) -1.34pp", + "D) -0.11pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "UNRATE", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.91pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +3.12pp\nD) +2.11pp", + "options": [ + "A) -1.91pp", + "B) +0.10pp", + "C) +3.12pp", + "D) +2.11pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "HOUST", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,433K\nB) 1,709K\nC) 1,502K\nD) 1,571K", + "options": [ + "A) 1,433K", + "B) 1,709K", + "C) 1,502K", + "D) 1,571K" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "1,502K", + "unit": "thousand_units", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "RSAFS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 16.60%\nC) 12.45%\nD) 4.15%", + "options": [ + "A) 0.00%", + "B) 16.60%", + "C) 12.45%", + "D) 4.15%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.15%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "TCU", + "transform": "yoy_pp", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) +4.07pp\nC) +2.56pp\nD) -3.48pp", + "options": [ + "A) -0.46pp", + "B) +4.07pp", + "C) +2.56pp", + "D) -3.48pp" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "-0.46pp", + "unit": "pp", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "M2SL", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.39%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 1.17%\nD) 7.98%", + "options": [ + "A) 11.39%", + "B) 4.57%", + "C) 1.17%", + "D) 7.98%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "4.57%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "DSPI", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.23%\nB) -4.33%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 9.47%", + "options": [ + "A) 12.23%", + "B) -4.33%", + "C) 3.95%", + "D) 9.47%" + ], + "answer_letter": "C", + "answer_raw": "3.95%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PPIFIS", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.95%\nB) 7.63%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 4.27%", + "options": [ + "A) 5.95%", + "B) 7.63%", + "C) 2.58%", + "D) 4.27%" + ], + "answer_letter": "D", + "answer_raw": "4.27%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "PCEPI", + "transform": "level", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 130.34\nB) 139.85\nC) 124.01\nD) 133.51", + "options": [ + "A) 130.34", + "B) 139.85", + "C) 124.01", + "D) 133.51" + ], + "answer_letter": "A", + "answer_raw": "130.34", + "unit": "index", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + }, + { + "qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20260301", + "forecastType": "Recurrent", + "subtype": "recurrent", + "indicator": "BOGMBASE", + "transform": "yoy_pct", + "target_period": "March 2026", + "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", + "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -20.71%\nB) -5.48%\nC) 9.76%\nD) 2.14%", + "options": [ + "A) -20.71%", + "B) -5.48%", + "C) 9.76%", + "D) 2.14%" + ], + "answer_letter": "B", + "answer_raw": "-5.48%", + "unit": "%", + "condition": "forecast", + "year": 2026 + } +] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_all.jsonl b/*.parquet/mcq_all.jsonl new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..f2361c5100ff77f89714845b86db7084132f716a --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_all.jsonl @@ -0,0 +1,5443 @@ +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) +0.39pp\nC) +0.47pp\nD) +0.25pp", "options": ["A) +0.32pp", "B) +0.39pp", "C) +0.47pp", "D) +0.25pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.32pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,738K\nB) 1,635K\nC) 1,566K\nD) 1,601K", "options": ["A) 1,738K", "B) 1,635K", "C) 1,566K", "D) 1,601K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,635K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.11%\nD) 5.75%", "options": ["A) 6.47%", "B) 5.50%", "C) 6.11%", "D) 5.75%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 6.35%\nC) 5.55%\nD) 5.87%", "options": ["A) 5.39%", "B) 6.35%", "C) 5.55%", "D) 5.87%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.84\nB) 76.05\nC) 77.53\nD) 71.62", "options": ["A) 73.84", "B) 76.05", "C) 77.53", "D) 71.62"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "73.84", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $-25,462M\nB) $-22,699M\nC) $-18,555M\nD) $-26,843M", "options": ["A) $-25,462M", "B) $-22,699M", "C) $-18,555M", "D) $-26,843M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-22,699M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,395B\nB) $7,119B\nC) $6,912B\nD) $6,704B", "options": ["A) $7,395B", "B) $7,119B", "C) $6,912B", "D) $6,704B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$6,912B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 296,936\nB) 310,808\nC) 269,192\nD) 290,000", "options": ["A) 296,936", "B) 310,808", "C) 269,192", "D) 290,000"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "290,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,318B\nB) $4,102B\nC) $4,448B\nD) $4,232B", "options": ["A) $4,318B", "B) $4,102B", "C) $4,448B", "D) $4,232B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$4,318B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) $14.94/bbl\nB) $18.61/bbl\nC) $22.28/bbl\nD) $21.06/bbl", "options": ["A) $14.94/bbl", "B) $18.61/bbl", "C) $22.28/bbl", "D) $21.06/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$18.61/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $557M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": ["A) $4,300,000M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $557M", "D) $2,400,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$557M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,465.11\nB) 2,313.78\nC) 2,566.00\nD) 2,414.67", "options": ["A) 2,465.11", "B) 2,313.78", "C) 2,566.00", "D) 2,414.67"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,414.67", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.91\nB) 29.80\nC) 22.02\nD) 27.21", "options": ["A) 25.91", "B) 29.80", "C) 22.02", "D) 27.21"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25.91", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,465K\nB) 1,551K\nC) 1,616K\nD) 1,508K", "options": ["A) 1,465K", "B) 1,551K", "C) 1,616K", "D) 1,508K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,551K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.51%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 5.98%\nD) 6.45%", "options": ["A) 5.51%", "B) 5.67%", "C) 5.98%", "D) 6.45%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.09%\nB) 7.83%\nC) 7.47%\nD) 7.65%", "options": ["A) 8.09%", "B) 7.83%", "C) 7.47%", "D) 7.65%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 128.00\nB) 124.16\nC) 130.56\nD) 134.40", "options": ["A) 128.00", "B) 124.16", "C) 130.56", "D) 134.40"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "128.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $66,480M\nB) $63,231M\nC) $60,794M\nD) $64,855M", "options": ["A) $66,480M", "B) $63,231M", "C) $60,794M", "D) $64,855M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$63,231M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 112.56\nB) 110.42\nC) 107.20\nD) 103.98", "options": ["A) 112.56", "B) 110.42", "C) 107.20", "D) 103.98"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "107.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.8576\nB) 8.0298\nC) 8.5264\nD) 8.2781", "options": ["A) 8.8576", "B) 8.0298", "C) 8.5264", "D) 8.2781"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.2781", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.36%\nB) 84.62%\nC) 79.74%\nD) 82.99%", "options": ["A) 81.36%", "B) 84.62%", "C) 79.74%", "D) 82.99%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "81.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.98%\nB) 67.00%\nC) 64.99%\nD) 69.01%", "options": ["A) 62.98%", "B) 67.00%", "C) 64.99%", "D) 69.01%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "67.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 124.1342\nB) 115.3737\nC) 120.6300\nD) 127.6384", "options": ["A) 124.1342", "B) 115.3737", "C) 120.6300", "D) 127.6384"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "120.6300", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0920\nB) 0.9170\nC) 0.9670\nD) 1.0420", "options": ["A) 1.0920", "B) 0.9170", "C) 0.9670", "D) 1.0420"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0420", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $188,910M\nB) $192,688M\nC) $183,243M\nD) $198,356M", "options": ["A) $188,910M", "B) $192,688M", "C) $183,243M", "D) $198,356M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$188,910M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,340B\nB) $4,569B\nC) $4,477B\nD) $4,660B", "options": ["A) $4,340B", "B) $4,569B", "C) $4,477B", "D) $4,660B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$4,569B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.08%\nB) 5.44%\nC) 5.22%\nD) 4.86%", "options": ["A) 5.08%", "B) 5.44%", "C) 5.22%", "D) 4.86%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 4.09%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 3.70%", "options": ["A) 3.31%", "B) 4.09%", "C) 2.52%", "D) 3.70%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 129,771K\nB) 121,985K\nC) 133,664K\nD) 125,878K", "options": ["A) 129,771K", "B) 121,985K", "C) 133,664K", "D) 125,878K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "129,771K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 181.36\nB) 177.80\nC) 186.69\nD) 174.24", "options": ["A) 181.36", "B) 177.80", "C) 186.69", "D) 174.24"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "177.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.43/hr\nB) $14.02/hr\nC) $13.61/hr\nD) $13.20/hr", "options": ["A) $14.43/hr", "B) $14.02/hr", "C) $13.61/hr", "D) $13.20/hr"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13.61/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $247,378M\nB) $267,780M\nC) $262,680M\nD) $255,029M", "options": ["A) $247,378M", "B) $267,780M", "C) $262,680M", "D) $255,029M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$255,029M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,215,000\nB) 2,148,550\nC) 2,104,250\nD) 2,259,300", "options": ["A) 2,215,000", "B) 2,148,550", "C) 2,104,250", "D) 2,259,300"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,215,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 70.23\nB) 72.41\nC) 74.58\nD) 76.03", "options": ["A) 70.23", "B) 72.41", "C) 74.58", "D) 76.03"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "72.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) $14.12/bbl\nB) $17.44/bbl\nC) $16.33/bbl\nD) $13.01/bbl", "options": ["A) $14.12/bbl", "B) $17.44/bbl", "C) $16.33/bbl", "D) $13.01/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$16.33/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,770B\nB) $6,195B\nC) $6,578B\nD) $6,386B", "options": ["A) $6,770B", "B) $6,195B", "C) $6,578B", "D) $6,386B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$6,386B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.20%\nB) 62.27%\nC) 59.71%\nD) 66.13%", "options": ["A) 64.20%", "B) 62.27%", "C) 59.71%", "D) 66.13%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "64.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 4.90%\nD) 5.00%", "options": ["A) 4.58%", "B) 4.74%", "C) 4.90%", "D) 5.00%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.33%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 4.07%", "options": ["A) 4.33%", "B) 3.95%", "C) 4.20%", "D) 4.07%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-19990615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "1999-06-15", "info_cutoff": "1999-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 1999-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 1999-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.53%\nB) 6.05%\nC) 5.27%\nD) 5.66%", "options": ["A) 5.53%", "B) 6.05%", "C) 5.27%", "D) 5.66%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 167.80\nB) 162.77\nC) 177.87\nD) 172.83", "options": ["A) 167.80", "B) 162.77", "C) 177.87", "D) 172.83"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "167.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-19990901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 1999", "info_cutoff": "1999-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 1999? (Use only information available on or before 1999-08-01.)\n\nA) 84.96\nB) 89.43\nC) 86.75\nD) 92.11", "options": ["A) 84.96", "B) 89.43", "C) 86.75", "D) 92.11"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "89.43", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 1999} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.08%\nB) 0.46%\nC) 5.54%\nD) 3.00%", "options": ["A) 8.08%", "B) 0.46%", "C) 5.54%", "D) 3.00%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 75.71\nB) 69.83\nC) 71.30\nD) 73.50", "options": ["A) 75.71", "B) 69.83", "C) 71.30", "D) 73.50"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "73.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 5.12%", "options": ["A) 4.10%", "B) 4.44%", "C) 3.08%", "D) 5.12%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 278,005\nB) 294,000\nC) 309,995\nD) 270,008", "options": ["A) 278,005", "B) 294,000", "C) 309,995", "D) 270,008"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "294,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.35%\nB) 9.23%\nC) 8.88%\nD) 9.76%", "options": ["A) 8.35%", "B) 9.23%", "C) 8.88%", "D) 9.76%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 137.34\nB) 126.88\nC) 133.42\nD) 130.80", "options": ["A) 137.34", "B) 126.88", "C) 133.42", "D) 130.80"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "130.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.80\nB) 112.72\nC) 110.35\nD) 103.25", "options": ["A) 106.80", "B) 112.72", "C) 110.35", "D) 103.25"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "106.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.48\nB) 74.25\nC) 79.45\nD) 72.02", "options": ["A) 76.48", "B) 74.25", "C) 79.45", "D) 72.02"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "74.25", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.34pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) -0.18pp", "options": ["A) -0.34pp", "B) -0.02pp", "C) -0.10pp", "D) -0.18pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 11.31%\nB) 10.20%\nC) 10.76%\nD) 9.65%", "options": ["A) 11.31%", "B) 10.20%", "C) 10.76%", "D) 9.65%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.26%\nB) 7.18%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 6.57%", "options": ["A) 6.26%", "B) 7.18%", "C) 5.34%", "D) 6.57%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.13%\nB) 1.23%\nC) -0.56%\nD) 6.58%", "options": ["A) -4.13%", "B) 1.23%", "C) -0.56%", "D) 6.58%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.60%\nB) 3.40%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 4.20%", "options": ["A) 2.60%", "B) 3.40%", "C) 3.80%", "D) 4.20%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.06\nB) 72.33\nC) 78.30\nD) 74.57", "options": ["A) 76.06", "B) 72.33", "C) 78.30", "D) 74.57"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "74.57", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 92.15\nB) 96.76\nC) 94.91\nD) 89.39", "options": ["A) 92.15", "B) 96.76", "C) 94.91", "D) 89.39"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "92.15", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $212,511M\nB) $199,947M\nC) $187,383M\nD) $195,759M", "options": ["A) $212,511M", "B) $199,947M", "C) $187,383M", "D) $195,759M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$199,947M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 104.84\nB) 109.36\nC) 107.10\nD) 101.45", "options": ["A) 104.84", "B) 109.36", "C) 107.10", "D) 101.45"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "107.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.29pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.19pp\nD) +0.00pp", "options": ["A) +0.29pp", "B) +0.10pp", "C) +0.19pp", "D) +0.00pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 16.42%\nC) 12.89%\nD) -1.21%", "options": ["A) 5.84%", "B) 16.42%", "C) 12.89%", "D) -1.21%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.44%\nC) 6.76%\nD) 7.41%", "options": ["A) 6.12%", "B) 6.44%", "C) 6.76%", "D) 7.41%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,055B\nB) $4,722B\nC) $4,855B\nD) $5,188B", "options": ["A) $5,055B", "B) $4,722B", "C) $4,855B", "D) $5,188B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$4,855B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.41/hr\nB) $13.71/hr\nC) $14.70/hr\nD) $14.13/hr", "options": ["A) $14.41/hr", "B) $13.71/hr", "C) $14.70/hr", "D) $14.13/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$14.13/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.90%\nB) 64.89%\nC) 62.89%\nD) 68.91%", "options": ["A) 66.90%", "B) 64.89%", "C) 62.89%", "D) 68.91%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "66.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) $38.68/bbl\nB) $29.77/bbl\nC) $35.71/bbl\nD) $23.83/bbl", "options": ["A) $38.68/bbl", "B) $29.77/bbl", "C) $35.71/bbl", "D) $23.83/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$29.77/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.62pp\nB) +0.23pp\nC) +0.04pp\nD) -0.34pp", "options": ["A) +0.62pp", "B) +0.23pp", "C) +0.04pp", "D) -0.34pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.04pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.65%\nB) 6.46%\nC) 6.85%\nD) 6.27%", "options": ["A) 6.65%", "B) 6.46%", "C) 6.85%", "D) 6.27%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 180.00\nB) 174.60\nC) 167.40\nD) 185.40", "options": ["A) 180.00", "B) 174.60", "C) 167.40", "D) 185.40"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "180.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,032B\nB) $7,250B\nC) $7,467B\nD) $7,612B", "options": ["A) $7,032B", "B) $7,250B", "C) $7,467B", "D) $7,612B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$7,250B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $293,541M\nB) $256,712M\nC) $270,523M\nD) $279,730M", "options": ["A) $293,541M", "B) $256,712M", "C) $270,523M", "D) $279,730M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$270,523M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $183,846M\nB) $200,414M\nC) $205,937M\nD) $192,130M", "options": ["A) $183,846M", "B) $200,414M", "C) $205,937M", "D) $192,130M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$192,130M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 64.60%\nB) 66.54%\nC) 63.31%\nD) 61.37%", "options": ["A) 64.60%", "B) 66.54%", "C) 63.31%", "D) 61.37%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "64.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $4,806B\nB) $4,712B\nC) $4,947B\nD) $4,617B", "options": ["A) $4,806B", "B) $4,712B", "C) $4,947B", "D) $4,617B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$4,712B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 116.5666\nB) 109.8689\nC) 106.5200\nD) 113.2177", "options": ["A) 116.5666", "B) 109.8689", "C) 106.5200", "D) 113.2177"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "106.5200", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $-35,757M\nB) $-25,357M\nC) $-27,090M\nD) $-30,557M", "options": ["A) $-35,757M", "B) $-25,357M", "C) $-27,090M", "D) $-30,557M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-30,557M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 6.65%", "options": ["A) 5.84%", "B) 6.38%", "C) 5.30%", "D) 6.65%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 177.07\nB) 173.60\nC) 168.39\nD) 164.92", "options": ["A) 177.07", "B) 173.60", "C) 168.39", "D) 164.92"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "173.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $-30,888M\nB) $-25,998M\nC) $-33,333M\nD) $-28,443M", "options": ["A) $-30,888M", "B) $-25,998M", "C) $-33,333M", "D) $-28,443M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-33,333M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.90%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 2.55%", "options": ["A) 2.90%", "B) 2.66%", "C) 2.43%", "D) 2.55%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.98\nB) 88.33\nC) 95.77\nD) 90.19", "options": ["A) 92.98", "B) 88.33", "C) 95.77", "D) 90.19"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "92.98", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,129B\nB) $6,889B\nC) $6,289B\nD) $6,529B", "options": ["A) $7,129B", "B) $6,889B", "C) $6,289B", "D) $6,529B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$6,889B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 27.25%\nB) 63.11%\nC) 51.16%\nD) 75.07%", "options": ["A) 27.25%", "B) 63.11%", "C) 51.16%", "D) 75.07%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "51.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.45%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 4.85%", "options": ["A) 7.45%", "B) 6.15%", "C) 2.25%", "D) 4.85%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 67.30%\nB) 63.93%\nC) 69.32%\nD) 65.95%", "options": ["A) 67.30%", "B) 63.93%", "C) 69.32%", "D) 65.95%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "67.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 5.85%\nC) 6.28%\nD) 5.71%", "options": ["A) 6.14%", "B) 5.85%", "C) 6.28%", "D) 5.71%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.03pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) -0.39pp\nD) -0.27pp", "options": ["A) -0.03pp", "B) -0.15pp", "C) -0.39pp", "D) -0.27pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.39pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) -1.98%\nC) -10.75%\nD) -7.83%", "options": ["A) 0.94%", "B) -1.98%", "C) -10.75%", "D) -7.83%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-7.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.05%\nD) 4.27%", "options": ["A) 3.90%", "B) 3.75%", "C) 4.05%", "D) 4.27%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.68%", "options": ["A) 1.74%", "B) 1.85%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 1.68%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.67%\nB) 8.49%\nC) 8.22%\nD) 7.95%", "options": ["A) 7.67%", "B) 8.49%", "C) 8.22%", "D) 7.95%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.42%\nB) 7.40%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 8.61%", "options": ["A) 9.42%", "B) 7.40%", "C) 8.20%", "D) 8.61%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,041,000\nB) 1,998,576\nC) 2,168,272\nD) 2,125,848", "options": ["A) 2,041,000", "B) 1,998,576", "C) 2,168,272", "D) 2,125,848"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,041,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.28\nB) 20.68\nC) 17.89\nD) 24.87", "options": ["A) 19.28", "B) 20.68", "C) 17.89", "D) 24.87"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.68", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 83.85%\nB) 80.56%\nC) 82.20%\nD) 78.91%", "options": ["A) 83.85%", "B) 80.56%", "C) 82.20%", "D) 78.91%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "82.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $279,542M\nB) $286,558M\nC) $258,496M\nD) $269,019M", "options": ["A) $279,542M", "B) $286,558M", "C) $258,496M", "D) $269,019M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$269,019M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 3.51%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 3.94%", "options": ["A) 3.82%", "B) 3.51%", "C) 3.70%", "D) 3.94%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $71,016M\nB) $66,733M\nC) $68,161M\nD) $63,878M", "options": ["A) $71,016M", "B) $66,733M", "C) $68,161M", "D) $63,878M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$66,733M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $60,066M\nB) $67,218M\nC) $63,642M\nD) $69,602M", "options": ["A) $60,066M", "B) $67,218M", "C) $63,642M", "D) $69,602M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$63,642M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $584M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $584M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$584M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $577M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": ["A) $577M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $2,400,000M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$577M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 6.11%\nD) 5.75%", "options": ["A) 5.39%", "B) 5.93%", "C) 6.11%", "D) 5.75%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,471K\nB) 1,435K\nC) 1,507K\nD) 1,615K", "options": ["A) 1,471K", "B) 1,435K", "C) 1,507K", "D) 1,615K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,507K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,689K\nB) 1,491K\nC) 1,547K\nD) 1,604K", "options": ["A) 1,689K", "B) 1,491K", "C) 1,547K", "D) 1,604K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,604K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 171.00\nB) 179.55\nC) 176.13\nD) 165.87", "options": ["A) 171.00", "B) 179.55", "C) 176.13", "D) 165.87"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "171.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.24pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.13pp\nD) -0.42pp", "options": ["A) -0.24pp", "B) -0.30pp", "C) -0.13pp", "D) -0.42pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 4.18%", "options": ["A) 3.88%", "B) 3.76%", "C) 4.00%", "D) 4.18%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.27%\nB) 68.05%\nC) 66.13%\nD) 64.20%", "options": ["A) 62.27%", "B) 68.05%", "C) 66.13%", "D) 64.20%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "64.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,570K\nB) 1,474K\nC) 1,538K\nD) 1,602K", "options": ["A) 1,570K", "B) 1,474K", "C) 1,538K", "D) 1,602K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,570K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 3.97%\nC) 4.82%\nD) 3.68%", "options": ["A) 3.11%", "B) 3.97%", "C) 4.82%", "D) 3.68%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,600K\nB) 1,702K\nC) 1,651K\nD) 1,753K", "options": ["A) 1,600K", "B) 1,702K", "C) 1,651K", "D) 1,753K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,651K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.91%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 8.59%\nD) 6.08%", "options": ["A) 6.91%", "B) 3.56%", "C) 8.59%", "D) 6.08%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 131,604K\nB) 128,972K\nC) 135,552K\nD) 138,184K", "options": ["A) 131,604K", "B) 128,972K", "C) 135,552K", "D) 138,184K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "131,604K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 2.80%", "options": ["A) 2.26%", "B) 2.53%", "C) 2.71%", "D) 2.80%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0462\nB) 0.8598\nC) 0.9530\nD) 1.1083", "options": ["A) 1.0462", "B) 0.8598", "C) 0.9530", "D) 1.1083"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.9530", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) $26.96/bbl\nB) $41.32/bbl\nC) $24.08/bbl\nD) $32.70/bbl", "options": ["A) $26.96/bbl", "B) $41.32/bbl", "C) $24.08/bbl", "D) $32.70/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$32.70/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 134.70\nB) 140.18\nC) 129.22\nD) 143.83", "options": ["A) 134.70", "B) 140.18", "C) 129.22", "D) 143.83"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "134.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 3.46%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 2.93%", "options": ["A) 3.63%", "B) 3.46%", "C) 3.98%", "D) 2.93%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) 97.59\nB) 107.93\nC) 101.47\nD) 105.35", "options": ["A) 97.59", "B) 107.93", "C) 101.47", "D) 105.35"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "101.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 111.31\nB) 102.96\nC) 117.57\nD) 107.14", "options": ["A) 111.31", "B) 102.96", "C) 117.57", "D) 107.14"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "107.14", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.20\nB) 80.47\nC) 72.95\nD) 77.46", "options": ["A) 75.20", "B) 80.47", "C) 72.95", "D) 77.46"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "75.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $14.27/hr\nB) $13.85/hr\nC) $13.16/hr\nD) $13.43/hr", "options": ["A) $14.27/hr", "B) $13.85/hr", "C) $13.16/hr", "D) $13.43/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$13.85/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,751B\nB) $7,140B\nC) $7,507B\nD) $8,117B", "options": ["A) $7,751B", "B) $7,140B", "C) $7,507B", "D) $8,117B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$7,507B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.5251\nB) 8.0285\nC) 7.8630\nD) 8.2768", "options": ["A) 8.5251", "B) 8.0285", "C) 7.8630", "D) 8.2768"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.2768", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,735B\nB) $5,107B\nC) $4,958B\nD) $4,586B", "options": ["A) $4,735B", "B) $5,107B", "C) $4,958B", "D) $4,586B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$4,735B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.01%\nB) 85.48%\nC) 108.64%\nD) 62.32%", "options": ["A) 16.01%", "B) 85.48%", "C) 108.64%", "D) 62.32%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "85.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.85%\nB) 5.52%\nC) 6.05%\nD) 5.78%", "options": ["A) 6.85%", "B) 5.52%", "C) 6.05%", "D) 5.78%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 114.63%\nB) 56.26%\nC) 134.08%\nD) 75.71%", "options": ["A) 114.63%", "B) 56.26%", "C) 134.08%", "D) 75.71%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "75.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.52%\nB) 5.53%\nC) 6.19%\nD) 7.18%", "options": ["A) 6.52%", "B) 5.53%", "C) 6.19%", "D) 7.18%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.78%\nB) 81.41%\nC) 77.34%\nD) 83.85%", "options": ["A) 79.78%", "B) 81.41%", "C) 77.34%", "D) 83.85%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "81.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20000615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2000-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2000-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2000-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2000-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,003.16\nB) 4,231.55\nC) 3,845.74\nD) 3,459.93", "options": ["A) 5,003.16", "B) 4,231.55", "C) 3,845.74", "D) 3,459.93"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,845.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 191.42\nB) 176.83\nC) 187.77\nD) 182.30", "options": ["A) 191.42", "B) 176.83", "C) 187.77", "D) 182.30"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "182.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.86%\nB) 8.42%\nC) 8.14%\nD) 8.70%", "options": ["A) 7.86%", "B) 8.42%", "C) 8.14%", "D) 8.70%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 5.68%", "options": ["A) 6.57%", "B) 5.23%", "C) 3.90%", "D) 5.68%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 2.30%", "options": ["A) 2.19%", "B) 1.76%", "C) 1.98%", "D) 2.30%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) 136,307K\nB) 129,690K\nC) 138,954K\nD) 132,337K", "options": ["A) 136,307K", "B) 129,690K", "C) 138,954K", "D) 132,337K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "132,337K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20000301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,686B\nB) $6,843B\nC) $7,000B\nD) $6,530B", "options": ["A) $6,686B", "B) $6,843B", "C) $7,000B", "D) $6,530B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$6,686B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20000901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2000", "info_cutoff": "2000-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2000? (Use only information available on or before 2000-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.70pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +3.51pp", "options": ["A) -1.70pp", "B) -0.40pp", "C) +0.90pp", "D) +3.51pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,956.03\nB) 5,606.43\nC) 4,907.24\nD) 5,256.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 5,956.03", "B) 5,606.43", "C) 4,907.24", "D) 5,256.84"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,907.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,956.03\nB) 5,606.43\nC) 4,907.24\nD) 5,256.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 5,956.03", "B) 5,606.43", "C) 4,907.24", "D) 5,256.84"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,907.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-5d-max", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,914.24\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 5,662.22\nD) 4,963.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 3,914.24", "B) 4,263.84", "C) 5,662.22", "D) 4,963.03"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 3,914.24\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 5,662.22\nD) 4,963.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 3,914.24", "B) 4,263.84", "C) 5,662.22", "D) 4,963.03"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-10d-max", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,963.03\nB) 4,613.43\nC) 6,011.82\nD) 3,914.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 4,963.03", "B) 4,613.43", "C) 6,011.82", "D) 3,914.24"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,963.03\nB) 4,613.43\nC) 6,011.82\nD) 3,914.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 4,963.03", "B) 4,613.43", "C) 6,011.82", "D) 3,914.24"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-20d-max", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,613.43\nB) 4,963.03\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 6,011.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 4,613.43", "B) 4,963.03", "C) 3,914.24", "D) 6,011.82"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 4,613.43\nB) 4,963.03\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 6,011.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 4,613.43", "B) 4,963.03", "C) 3,914.24", "D) 6,011.82"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-40d-max", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 3,914.24\nC) 4,963.03\nD) 4,613.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 5,662.22", "B) 3,914.24", "C) 4,963.03", "D) 4,613.43"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 3,914.24\nC) 4,963.03\nD) 4,613.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 5,662.22", "B) 3,914.24", "C) 4,963.03", "D) 4,613.43"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-60d-max", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 4,963.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 5,662.22", "B) 4,263.84", "C) 3,914.24", "D) 4,963.03"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 5,662.22\nB) 4,263.84\nC) 3,914.24\nD) 4,963.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 5,662.22", "B) 4,263.84", "C) 3,914.24", "D) 4,963.03"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,963.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20000310-120d-max", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 16.62\nC) 24.92\nD) 23.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 20.77", "B) 16.62", "C) 24.92", "D) 23.54"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 16.62\nC) 24.92\nD) 23.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 20.77", "B) 16.62", "C) 24.92", "D) 23.54"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-5d-min", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 20.77\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 23.54", "B) 20.77", "C) 24.92", "D) 16.62"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 20.77\nC) 24.92\nD) 16.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 23.54", "B) 20.77", "C) 24.92", "D) 16.62"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-10d-min", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 18.00\nC) 20.77\nD) 16.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 23.54", "B) 18.00", "C) 20.77", "D) 16.62"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 23.54\nB) 18.00\nC) 20.77\nD) 16.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 23.54", "B) 18.00", "C) 20.77", "D) 16.62"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-20d-min", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.62\nB) 22.15\nC) 23.54\nD) 20.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 16.62", "B) 22.15", "C) 23.54", "D) 20.77"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 16.62\nB) 22.15\nC) 23.54\nD) 20.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 16.62", "B) 22.15", "C) 23.54", "D) 20.77"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-40d-min", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 23.54\nC) 24.92\nD) 19.39", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 20.77", "B) 23.54", "C) 24.92", "D) 19.39"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 20.77\nB) 23.54\nC) 24.92\nD) 19.39", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 20.77", "B) 23.54", "C) 24.92", "D) 19.39"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-60d-min", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 13.76\nB) 16.53\nC) 15.15\nD) 12.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 13.76", "B) 16.53", "C) 15.15", "D) 12.38"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.53", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"NASDAQ dot-com peak\" on 2000-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2000-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2000-03-09.)\n\nA) 13.76\nB) 16.53\nC) 15.15\nD) 12.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2000-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2000-03-09", "options": ["A) 13.76", "B) 16.53", "C) 15.15", "D) 12.38"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.53", "unit": "index", "event_label": "NASDAQ dot-com peak", "event_date": "2000-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20000310-120d-min", "year": 2000} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) $37.70/bbl\nB) $21.75/bbl\nC) $28.13/bbl\nD) $31.32/bbl", "options": ["A) $37.70/bbl", "B) $21.75/bbl", "C) $28.13/bbl", "D) $31.32/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$28.13/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.44%\nB) 1.14%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 1.22%", "options": ["A) 1.44%", "B) 1.14%", "C) 1.07%", "D) 1.22%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 4.10%\nD) 3.78%", "options": ["A) 4.74%", "B) 5.06%", "C) 4.10%", "D) 3.78%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.88%\nB) 7.71%\nC) 8.23%\nD) 7.18%", "options": ["A) 7.88%", "B) 7.71%", "C) 8.23%", "D) 7.18%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 71.45\nB) 78.29\nC) 76.01\nD) 73.73", "options": ["A) 71.45", "B) 78.29", "C) 76.01", "D) 73.73"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "76.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 190.24\nB) 175.46\nC) 179.16\nD) 184.70", "options": ["A) 190.24", "B) 175.46", "C) 179.16", "D) 184.70"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "184.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.80\nB) 92.41\nC) 71.19\nD) 85.34", "options": ["A) 81.80", "B) 92.41", "C) 71.19", "D) 85.34"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "81.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,836,648\nB) 2,939,000\nC) 2,734,295\nD) 3,143,705", "options": ["A) 2,836,648", "B) 2,939,000", "C) 2,734,295", "D) 3,143,705"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,939,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 126,113K\nB) 136,734K\nC) 132,751K\nD) 130,096K", "options": ["A) 126,113K", "B) 136,734K", "C) 132,751K", "D) 130,096K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "132,751K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.00pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.30pp\nD) -0.10pp", "options": ["A) -0.00pp", "B) -0.40pp", "C) -0.30pp", "D) -0.10pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,562K\nB) 1,628K\nC) 1,595K\nD) 1,661K", "options": ["A) 1,562K", "B) 1,628K", "C) 1,595K", "D) 1,661K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,562K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 72.80\nB) 75.06\nC) 78.81\nD) 77.31", "options": ["A) 72.80", "B) 75.06", "C) 78.81", "D) 77.31"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "75.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.01%\nB) 5.53%\nC) 5.27%\nD) 4.76%", "options": ["A) 5.01%", "B) 5.53%", "C) 5.27%", "D) 4.76%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $62,258M\nB) $54,034M\nC) $59,517M\nD) $58,146M", "options": ["A) $62,258M", "B) $54,034M", "C) $59,517M", "D) $58,146M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$58,146M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,355B\nB) $4,978B\nC) $5,104B\nD) $5,732B", "options": ["A) $5,355B", "B) $4,978B", "C) $5,104B", "D) $5,732B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$5,355B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $173,832M\nB) $164,123M\nC) $149,560M\nD) $168,977M", "options": ["A) $173,832M", "B) $164,123M", "C) $149,560M", "D) $168,977M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$164,123M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 17.86\nB) 27.76\nC) 22.81\nD) 21.16", "options": ["A) 17.86", "B) 27.76", "C) 22.81", "D) 21.16"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.43%\nB) -2.17%\nC) 2.35%\nD) -1.04%", "options": ["A) -4.43%", "B) -2.17%", "C) 2.35%", "D) -1.04%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.96pp\nB) -5.06pp\nC) -3.40pp\nD) -4.51pp", "options": ["A) -3.96pp", "B) -5.06pp", "C) -3.40pp", "D) -4.51pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.96pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $54,413M\nB) $50,735M\nC) $47,057M\nD) $52,574M", "options": ["A) $54,413M", "B) $50,735M", "C) $47,057M", "D) $52,574M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$50,735M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 4.28%\nC) 3.52%\nD) 3.90%", "options": ["A) 2.38%", "B) 4.28%", "C) 3.52%", "D) 3.90%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.61%", "options": ["A) 2.44%", "B) 2.70%", "C) 2.36%", "D) 2.61%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 67.20%\nB) 62.50%\nC) 69.22%\nD) 65.18%", "options": ["A) 67.20%", "B) 62.50%", "C) 69.22%", "D) 65.18%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "67.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,339B\nB) $7,007B\nC) $7,505B\nD) $6,841B", "options": ["A) $7,339B", "B) $7,007B", "C) $7,505B", "D) $6,841B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$7,007B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.69%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.30%", "options": ["A) 5.69%", "B) 2.11%", "C) 3.90%", "D) 3.30%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 6.22%\nC) 7.24%\nD) 6.90%", "options": ["A) 5.88%", "B) 6.22%", "C) 7.24%", "D) 6.90%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.62/hr\nB) $14.00/hr\nC) $15.24/hr\nD) $13.58/hr", "options": ["A) $14.62/hr", "B) $14.00/hr", "C) $15.24/hr", "D) $13.58/hr"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$14.62/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.83%", "options": ["A) 2.39%", "B) 2.11%", "C) 1.92%", "D) 1.83%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.67pp\nB) +0.72pp\nC) +1.10pp\nD) +1.29pp", "options": ["A) +1.67pp", "B) +0.72pp", "C) +1.10pp", "D) +1.29pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $647M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $647M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$647M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.28pp\nC) -0.91pp\nD) -0.07pp", "options": ["A) -0.70pp", "B) -0.28pp", "C) -0.91pp", "D) -0.07pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 143.11\nB) 135.90\nC) 123.89\nD) 131.09", "options": ["A) 143.11", "B) 135.90", "C) 123.89", "D) 131.09"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "135.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -12.43pp\nB) -6.09pp\nC) -15.60pp\nD) -9.26pp", "options": ["A) -12.43pp", "B) -6.09pp", "C) -15.60pp", "D) -9.26pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-15.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 120.87\nB) 138.27\nC) 125.84\nD) 133.30", "options": ["A) 120.87", "B) 138.27", "C) 125.84", "D) 133.30"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "133.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.12\nB) 92.96\nC) 88.36\nD) 94.80", "options": ["A) 91.12", "B) 92.96", "C) 88.36", "D) 94.80"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "91.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.1115\nB) 8.2770\nC) 8.5253\nD) 7.8631", "options": ["A) 8.1115", "B) 8.2770", "C) 8.5253", "D) 7.8631"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.2770", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.39%\nB) 6.93%\nC) 6.16%\nD) 5.77%", "options": ["A) 5.39%", "B) 6.93%", "C) 6.16%", "D) 5.77%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) -1.23%\nC) 5.61%\nD) 0.48%", "options": ["A) 3.90%", "B) -1.23%", "C) 5.61%", "D) 0.48%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.64%\nB) -5.68%\nC) -17.51%\nD) -2.72%", "options": ["A) -8.64%", "B) -5.68%", "C) -17.51%", "D) -2.72%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-8.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 3.94%", "options": ["A) 4.99%", "B) 4.64%", "C) 5.68%", "D) 3.94%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) $34.79/bbl\nB) $31.66/bbl\nC) $28.52/bbl\nD) $19.11/bbl", "options": ["A) $34.79/bbl", "B) $31.66/bbl", "C) $28.52/bbl", "D) $19.11/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$28.52/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -26.72%\nB) -31.13%\nC) -13.51%\nD) -17.92%", "options": ["A) -26.72%", "B) -31.13%", "C) -13.51%", "D) -17.92%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-17.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $269,820M\nB) $255,003M\nC) $294,515M\nD) $279,698M", "options": ["A) $269,820M", "B) $255,003M", "C) $294,515M", "D) $279,698M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$269,820M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 2.98%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.55%", "options": ["A) 3.13%", "B) 2.98%", "C) 2.84%", "D) 2.55%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,460B\nB) $8,002B\nC) $7,696B\nD) $7,238B", "options": ["A) $8,460B", "B) $8,002B", "C) $7,696B", "D) $7,238B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$7,696B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 171.65\nB) 182.40\nC) 186.70\nD) 178.10", "options": ["A) 171.65", "B) 182.40", "C) 186.70", "D) 178.10"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "178.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 0.99%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 0.26%", "options": ["A) 1.72%", "B) 0.99%", "C) 3.18%", "D) 0.26%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 69.59%\nB) 74.92%\nC) 77.06%\nD) 72.79%", "options": ["A) 69.59%", "B) 74.92%", "C) 77.06%", "D) 72.79%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "74.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 3.92%", "options": ["A) 3.82%", "B) 4.02%", "C) 4.12%", "D) 3.92%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 1.93%", "options": ["A) 1.99%", "B) 1.75%", "C) 2.05%", "D) 1.93%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,590K\nB) 1,626K\nC) 1,663K\nD) 1,517K", "options": ["A) 1,590K", "B) 1,626K", "C) 1,663K", "D) 1,517K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,590K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.37%\nB) 10.30%\nC) 11.90%\nD) 9.22%", "options": ["A) 11.37%", "B) 10.30%", "C) 11.90%", "D) 9.22%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.31%\nD) 1.09%", "options": ["A) 1.53%", "B) 1.20%", "C) 1.31%", "D) 1.09%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.24%\nD) 4.01%", "options": ["A) 3.63%", "B) 2.86%", "C) 3.24%", "D) 4.01%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.8628\nB) 0.7780\nC) 1.0748\nD) 0.9900", "options": ["A) 0.8628", "B) 0.7780", "C) 1.0748", "D) 0.9900"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.8628", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.65pp\nB) +1.26pp\nC) +1.84pp\nD) +1.07pp", "options": ["A) +1.65pp", "B) +1.26pp", "C) +1.84pp", "D) +1.07pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+1.26pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,417.30\nB) 2,806.16\nC) 2,028.43\nD) 1,250.70", "options": ["A) 2,417.30", "B) 2,806.16", "C) 2,028.43", "D) 1,250.70"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,028.43", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.12%\nB) 68.80%\nC) 64.80%\nD) 66.80%", "options": ["A) 62.12%", "B) 68.80%", "C) 64.80%", "D) 66.80%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "66.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 122.9700\nB) 129.5892\nC) 116.3508\nD) 119.6604", "options": ["A) 122.9700", "B) 129.5892", "C) 116.3508", "D) 119.6604"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "122.9700", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 112.11\nB) 115.47\nC) 108.75\nD) 122.18", "options": ["A) 112.11", "B) 115.47", "C) 108.75", "D) 122.18"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "115.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.23%\nB) 5.12%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.88%", "options": ["A) 5.23%", "B) 5.12%", "C) 5.00%", "D) 4.88%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.08%\nB) 62.37%\nC) 66.23%\nD) 64.30%", "options": ["A) 61.08%", "B) 62.37%", "C) 66.23%", "D) 64.30%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "64.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.87%\nB) -5.92%\nC) 1.65%\nD) 4.18%", "options": ["A) -0.87%", "B) -5.92%", "C) 1.65%", "D) 4.18%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,490B\nB) $7,863B\nC) $8,050B\nD) $8,236B", "options": ["A) $7,490B", "B) $7,863B", "C) $8,050B", "D) $8,236B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$7,863B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.08pp\nB) -7.68pp\nC) -6.48pp\nD) -8.88pp", "options": ["A) -10.08pp", "B) -7.68pp", "C) -6.48pp", "D) -8.88pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-6.48pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $599M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $599M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$599M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.32%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 4.34%\nD) -4.98%", "options": ["A) -0.32%", "B) 2.01%", "C) 4.34%", "D) -4.98%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -14.90pp\nB) -25.00pp\nC) -19.95pp\nD) -9.85pp", "options": ["A) -14.90pp", "B) -25.00pp", "C) -19.95pp", "D) -9.85pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-25.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.17%\nB) 9.22%\nC) 8.80%\nD) 9.01%", "options": ["A) 8.17%", "B) 9.22%", "C) 8.80%", "D) 9.01%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.00%\nB) 3.22%\nC) -3.30%\nD) -0.69%", "options": ["A) -2.00%", "B) 3.22%", "C) -3.30%", "D) -0.69%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) 6.77%\nC) -2.59%\nD) 0.53%", "options": ["A) 3.65%", "B) 6.77%", "C) -2.59%", "D) 0.53%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) -47.26%\nC) 28.66%\nD) -21.95%", "options": ["A) 3.36%", "B) -47.26%", "C) 28.66%", "D) -21.95%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-47.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.74%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 6.13%", "options": ["A) 3.74%", "B) 5.33%", "C) 4.54%", "D) 6.13%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 3.07%", "options": ["A) 2.21%", "B) 2.64%", "C) 3.93%", "D) 3.07%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.14%\nB) 6.36%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 6.62%", "options": ["A) 7.14%", "B) 6.36%", "C) 6.88%", "D) 6.62%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 192.71\nB) 187.10\nC) 181.49\nD) 200.20", "options": ["A) 192.71", "B) 187.10", "C) 181.49", "D) 200.20"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "187.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) -61.41%\nB) 45.20%\nC) -8.10%\nD) -34.75%", "options": ["A) -61.41%", "B) 45.20%", "C) -8.10%", "D) -34.75%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-8.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.22%\nB) 7.10%\nC) 8.00%\nD) 7.77%", "options": ["A) 8.22%", "B) 7.10%", "C) 8.00%", "D) 7.77%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.43%\nB) 0.99%\nC) -1.86%\nD) -0.91%", "options": ["A) -0.43%", "B) 0.99%", "C) -1.86%", "D) -0.91%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 6.40%\nD) 5.85%", "options": ["A) 3.65%", "B) 4.75%", "C) 6.40%", "D) 5.85%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 170.82\nB) 167.29\nC) 176.10\nD) 181.38", "options": ["A) 170.82", "B) 167.29", "C) 176.10", "D) 181.38"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "176.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.03pp\nB) -0.19pp\nC) -0.52pp\nD) -0.30pp", "options": ["A) +0.03pp", "B) -0.19pp", "C) -0.52pp", "D) -0.30pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,659K\nB) 1,723K\nC) 1,562K\nD) 1,820K", "options": ["A) 1,659K", "B) 1,723K", "C) 1,562K", "D) 1,820K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,659K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.33%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 0.64%", "options": ["A) 1.33%", "B) 0.87%", "C) 0.18%", "D) 0.64%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.14pp\nB) +0.38pp\nC) +0.30pp\nD) +0.22pp", "options": ["A) +0.14pp", "B) +0.38pp", "C) +0.30pp", "D) +0.22pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,707B\nB) $7,287B\nC) $6,852B\nD) $6,997B", "options": ["A) $6,707B", "B) $7,287B", "C) $6,852B", "D) $6,997B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$6,997B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.56%", "options": ["A) 3.47%", "B) 3.65%", "C) 3.74%", "D) 3.56%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) $5,321B\nB) $4,950B\nC) $5,074B\nD) $5,198B", "options": ["A) $5,321B", "B) $4,950B", "C) $5,074B", "D) $5,198B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$4,950B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.22%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 3.81%\nD) -2.80%", "options": ["A) 8.22%", "B) 1.61%", "C) 3.81%", "D) -2.80%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.72\nB) 78.99\nC) 76.73\nD) 75.23", "options": ["A) 73.72", "B) 78.99", "C) 76.73", "D) 75.23"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "75.23", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -23.97%\nB) -13.81%\nC) -8.72%\nD) -18.89%", "options": ["A) -23.97%", "B) -13.81%", "C) -8.72%", "D) -18.89%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-23.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.41%\nB) 63.50%\nC) 60.33%\nD) 62.23%", "options": ["A) 65.41%", "B) 63.50%", "C) 60.33%", "D) 62.23%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "63.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.41\nB) 84.31\nC) 88.75\nD) 86.09", "options": ["A) 91.41", "B) 84.31", "C) 88.75", "D) 86.09"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "88.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.72%\nB) -1.38%\nC) 0.20%\nD) -4.55%", "options": ["A) -7.72%", "B) -1.38%", "C) 0.20%", "D) -4.55%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-4.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $-30,217M\nB) $-27,593M\nC) $-32,841M\nD) $-38,089M", "options": ["A) $-30,217M", "B) $-27,593M", "C) $-32,841M", "D) $-38,089M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-30,217M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.01%\nB) 5.68%\nC) 5.51%\nD) 5.85%", "options": ["A) 6.01%", "B) 5.68%", "C) 5.51%", "D) 5.85%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.35%\nB) -35.02%\nC) -12.84%\nD) -79.39%", "options": ["A) 9.35%", "B) -35.02%", "C) -12.84%", "D) -79.39%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-12.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) $284,534M\nB) $252,770M\nC) $295,122M\nD) $268,652M", "options": ["A) $284,534M", "B) $252,770M", "C) $295,122M", "D) $268,652M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$268,652M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.12%\nB) 0.41%\nC) -0.36%\nD) -1.89%", "options": ["A) -1.12%", "B) 0.41%", "C) -0.36%", "D) -1.89%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $5,329B\nB) $5,075B\nC) $4,820B\nD) $5,499B", "options": ["A) $5,329B", "B) $5,075B", "C) $4,820B", "D) $5,499B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$5,075B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) -1.94%\nC) 0.30%\nD) 3.65%", "options": ["A) 1.42%", "B) -1.94%", "C) 0.30%", "D) 3.65%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.06%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 14.47%\nD) 10.86%", "options": ["A) 9.06%", "B) 5.45%", "C) 14.47%", "D) 10.86%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.76%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 2.26%", "options": ["A) 2.59%", "B) 2.76%", "C) 3.08%", "D) 2.26%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $-29,961M\nB) $-32,812M\nC) $-38,514M\nD) $-24,259M", "options": ["A) $-29,961M", "B) $-32,812M", "C) $-38,514M", "D) $-24,259M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-32,812M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.90%\nB) 82.16%\nC) 78.25%\nD) 80.59%", "options": ["A) 75.90%", "B) 82.16%", "C) 78.25%", "D) 80.59%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.03\nB) 95.14\nC) 82.39\nD) 91.50", "options": ["A) 86.03", "B) 95.14", "C) 82.39", "D) 91.50"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "91.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 5.21%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 3.97%", "options": ["A) 4.90%", "B) 5.21%", "C) 5.52%", "D) 3.97%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,507K\nB) 1,565K\nC) 1,652K\nD) 1,449K", "options": ["A) 1,507K", "B) 1,565K", "C) 1,652K", "D) 1,449K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,565K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20010615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2001-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2001-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2001-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2001-06-06.)\n\nA) 338,345\nB) 412,552\nC) 394,000\nD) 431,103", "options": ["A) 338,345", "B) 412,552", "C) 394,000", "D) 431,103"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "394,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.37%\nB) 2.81%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 2.63%", "options": ["A) 2.37%", "B) 2.81%", "C) 2.46%", "D) 2.63%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.31%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 4.95%", "options": ["A) 5.31%", "B) 4.24%", "C) 4.60%", "D) 4.95%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $14.74/hr\nB) $14.42/hr\nC) $13.61/hr\nD) $14.10/hr", "options": ["A) $14.74/hr", "B) $14.42/hr", "C) $13.61/hr", "D) $14.10/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$14.42/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 135,716K\nB) 127,810K\nC) 131,763K\nD) 122,540K", "options": ["A) 135,716K", "B) 127,810K", "C) 131,763K", "D) 122,540K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "131,763K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 4.30%", "options": ["A) 4.14%", "B) 3.98%", "C) 4.54%", "D) 4.30%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) 110.39\nB) 113.03\nC) 107.76\nD) 115.67", "options": ["A) 110.39", "B) 113.03", "C) 107.76", "D) 115.67"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "110.39", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) $194,545M\nB) $182,209M\nC) $169,873M\nD) $186,321M", "options": ["A) $194,545M", "B) $182,209M", "C) $169,873M", "D) $186,321M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$182,209M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20010901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.64\nB) 79.92\nC) 76.12\nD) 73.83", "options": ["A) 77.64", "B) 79.92", "C) 76.12", "D) 73.83"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "76.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.18pp\nB) -0.26pp\nC) +0.06pp\nD) -0.10pp", "options": ["A) -0.18pp", "B) -0.26pp", "C) +0.06pp", "D) -0.10pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20010301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2001", "info_cutoff": "2001-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2001? (Use only information available on or before 2001-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.16%\nB) 6.32%\nC) -1.34%\nD) 2.49%", "options": ["A) -5.16%", "B) 6.32%", "C) -1.34%", "D) 2.49%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-5.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,087.74\nB) 1,527.80\nC) 2,847.97\nD) 2,407.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 1,087.74", "B) 1,527.80", "C) 2,847.97", "D) 2,407.91"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,527.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,087.74\nB) 1,527.80\nC) 2,847.97\nD) 2,407.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 1,087.74", "B) 1,527.80", "C) 2,847.97", "D) 2,407.91"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,527.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 2,303.30", "B) 2,743.36", "C) 1,423.19", "D) 1,863.25"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 2,303.30", "B) 2,743.36", "C) 1,423.19", "D) 1,863.25"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 1,423.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 2,303.30", "B) 2,743.36", "C) 1,863.25", "D) 1,423.19"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 1,423.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 2,303.30", "B) 2,743.36", "C) 1,863.25", "D) 1,423.19"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,423.19\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 2,303.30\nD) 1,863.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 1,423.19", "B) 2,743.36", "C) 2,303.30", "D) 1,863.25"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 1,423.19\nB) 2,743.36\nC) 2,303.30\nD) 1,863.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 1,423.19", "B) 2,743.36", "C) 2,303.30", "D) 1,863.25"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 1,423.19\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 2,743.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 2,303.30", "B) 1,423.19", "C) 1,863.25", "D) 2,743.36"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,303.30\nB) 1,423.19\nC) 1,863.25\nD) 2,743.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 2,303.30", "B) 1,423.19", "C) 1,863.25", "D) 2,743.36"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,743.36\nB) 2,303.30\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 2,743.36", "B) 2,303.30", "C) 1,423.19", "D) 1,863.25"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 2,743.36\nB) 2,303.30\nC) 1,423.19\nD) 1,863.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 2,743.36", "B) 2,303.30", "C) 1,423.19", "D) 1,863.25"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,423.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 42.16\nB) 33.93\nC) 35.58\nD) 38.87", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 42.16", "B) 33.93", "C) 35.58", "D) 38.87"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "38.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 42.16\nB) 33.93\nC) 35.58\nD) 38.87", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 42.16", "B) 33.93", "C) 35.58", "D) 38.87"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "38.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 31.93\nB) 36.87\nC) 28.64\nD) 33.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 31.93", "B) 36.87", "C) 28.64", "D) 33.58"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "31.93", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 31.93\nB) 36.87\nC) 28.64\nD) 33.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 31.93", "B) 36.87", "C) 28.64", "D) 33.58"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "31.93", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 29.53\nB) 31.18\nC) 36.12\nD) 34.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 29.53", "B) 31.18", "C) 36.12", "D) 34.47"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "31.18", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 29.53\nB) 31.18\nC) 36.12\nD) 34.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 29.53", "B) 31.18", "C) 36.12", "D) 34.47"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "31.18", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 32.38\nB) 22.50\nC) 27.44\nD) 25.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 32.38", "B) 22.50", "C) 27.44", "D) 25.79"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 32.38\nB) 22.50\nC) 27.44\nD) 25.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 32.38", "B) 22.50", "C) 27.44", "D) 25.79"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 24.67\nB) 21.37\nC) 27.96\nD) 23.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 24.67", "B) 21.37", "C) 27.96", "D) 23.02"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "23.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 24.67\nB) 21.37\nC) 27.96\nD) 23.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 24.67", "B) 21.37", "C) 27.96", "D) 23.02"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "23.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 19.27\nB) 17.62\nC) 15.98\nD) 14.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 19.27", "B) 17.62", "C) 15.98", "D) 14.33"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.27", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 19.27\nB) 17.62\nC) 15.98\nD) 14.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 19.27", "B) 17.62", "C) 15.98", "D) 14.33"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.27", "unit": "index", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.19%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 4.45%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 4.19%", "B) 4.72%", "C) 5.52%", "D) 4.45%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.19%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 4.45%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 4.19%", "B) 4.72%", "C) 5.52%", "D) 4.45%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-5d-max", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 5.55%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.28%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 4.48%", "B) 5.55%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 5.28%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 5.55%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.28%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 4.48%", "B) 5.55%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 5.28%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-10d-max", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 5.28%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 4.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 5.28%", "B) 5.02%", "C) 3.95%", "D) 4.75%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 5.28%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 4.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 5.28%", "B) 5.02%", "C) 3.95%", "D) 4.75%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-20d-max", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 4.22%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 4.75%", "B) 3.95%", "C) 5.02%", "D) 4.22%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 4.22%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 4.75%", "B) 3.95%", "C) 5.02%", "D) 4.22%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-40d-max", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 6.00%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.47%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 6.00%", "B) 5.20%", "C) 4.93%", "D) 5.47%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.20%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 6.00%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.47%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 6.00%", "B) 5.20%", "C) 4.93%", "D) 5.47%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.20%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-60d-max", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.80%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 5.86%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 4.80%", "B) 5.06%", "C) 5.33%", "D) 5.86%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.33%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 4.80%\nB) 5.06%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 5.86%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 4.80%", "B) 5.06%", "C) 5.33%", "D) 5.86%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.33%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20010911-120d-max", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $32.33/bbl\nB) $24.52/bbl\nC) $29.20/bbl\nD) $27.64/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) $32.33/bbl", "B) $24.52/bbl", "C) $29.20/bbl", "D) $27.64/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$27.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $32.33/bbl\nB) $24.52/bbl\nC) $29.20/bbl\nD) $27.64/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) $32.33/bbl", "B) $24.52/bbl", "C) $29.20/bbl", "D) $27.64/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$27.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $21.46/bbl\nB) $24.58/bbl\nC) $23.02/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) $21.46/bbl", "B) $24.58/bbl", "C) $23.02/bbl", "D) $18.34/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $21.46/bbl\nB) $24.58/bbl\nC) $23.02/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) $21.46/bbl", "B) $24.58/bbl", "C) $23.02/bbl", "D) $18.34/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $24.58/bbl\nB) $21.46/bbl\nC) $19.90/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) $24.58/bbl", "B) $21.46/bbl", "C) $19.90/bbl", "D) $18.34/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $24.58/bbl\nB) $21.46/bbl\nC) $19.90/bbl\nD) $18.34/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) $24.58/bbl", "B) $21.46/bbl", "C) $19.90/bbl", "D) $18.34/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$21.46/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $16.81/bbl\nB) $24.62/bbl\nC) $19.93/bbl\nD) $18.37/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) $16.81/bbl", "B) $24.62/bbl", "C) $19.93/bbl", "D) $18.37/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$19.93/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $16.81/bbl\nB) $24.62/bbl\nC) $19.93/bbl\nD) $18.37/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) $16.81/bbl", "B) $24.62/bbl", "C) $19.93/bbl", "D) $18.37/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$19.93/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $14.38/bbl\nB) $12.81/bbl\nC) $19.06/bbl\nD) $17.50/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) $14.38/bbl", "B) $12.81/bbl", "C) $19.06/bbl", "D) $17.50/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $14.38/bbl\nB) $12.81/bbl\nC) $19.06/bbl\nD) $17.50/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) $14.38/bbl", "B) $12.81/bbl", "C) $19.06/bbl", "D) $17.50/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $17.50/bbl\nB) $22.19/bbl\nC) $15.94/bbl\nD) $19.06/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) $17.50/bbl", "B) $22.19/bbl", "C) $15.94/bbl", "D) $19.06/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) $17.50/bbl\nB) $22.19/bbl\nC) $15.94/bbl\nD) $19.06/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) $17.50/bbl", "B) $22.19/bbl", "C) $15.94/bbl", "D) $19.06/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$17.50/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 113.7169\nB) 117.3200\nC) 110.1137\nD) 106.5106", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 113.7169", "B) 117.3200", "C) 110.1137", "D) 106.5106"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "117.3200", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 113.7169\nB) 117.3200\nC) 110.1137\nD) 106.5106", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 113.7169", "B) 117.3200", "C) 110.1137", "D) 106.5106"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "117.3200", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-5d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 108.6837\nB) 126.6994\nC) 115.8900\nD) 112.2869", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 108.6837", "B) 126.6994", "C) 115.8900", "D) 112.2869"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 108.6837\nB) 126.6994\nC) 115.8900\nD) 112.2869", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 108.6837", "B) 126.6994", "C) 115.8900", "D) 112.2869"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-10d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 112.2869\nB) 126.6994\nC) 108.6837\nD) 115.8900", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 112.2869", "B) 126.6994", "C) 108.6837", "D) 115.8900"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 112.2869\nB) 126.6994\nC) 108.6837\nD) 115.8900", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 112.2869", "B) 126.6994", "C) 108.6837", "D) 115.8900"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-20d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 115.8900\nB) 123.0963\nC) 108.6837\nD) 119.4931", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 115.8900", "B) 123.0963", "C) 108.6837", "D) 119.4931"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 115.8900\nB) 123.0963\nC) 108.6837\nD) 119.4931", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 115.8900", "B) 123.0963", "C) 108.6837", "D) 119.4931"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-40d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 123.0963\nB) 115.8900\nC) 126.6994\nD) 105.0806", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 123.0963", "B) 115.8900", "C) 126.6994", "D) 105.0806"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 123.0963\nB) 115.8900\nC) 126.6994\nD) 105.0806", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 123.0963", "B) 115.8900", "C) 126.6994", "D) 105.0806"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-60d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 105.0806\nB) 112.2869\nC) 115.8900\nD) 108.6837", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 105.0806", "B) 112.2869", "C) 115.8900", "D) 108.6837"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"9/11 attacks\" on 2001-09-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2001-09-11? (Use only information available on or before 2001-09-10.)\n\nA) 105.0806\nB) 112.2869\nC) 115.8900\nD) 108.6837", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2001-09-11", "info_cutoff": "2001-09-10", "options": ["A) 105.0806", "B) 112.2869", "C) 115.8900", "D) 108.6837"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "115.8900", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "9/11 attacks", "event_date": "2001-09-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20010911-120d-min", "year": 2001} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 123,977K\nB) 133,112K\nC) 126,587K\nD) 130,502K", "options": ["A) 123,977K", "B) 133,112K", "C) 126,587K", "D) 130,502K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "130,502K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) 1.52%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 0.66%", "options": ["A) 0.94%", "B) 1.52%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 0.66%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.44pp\nB) +1.40pp\nC) +0.71pp\nD) +0.36pp", "options": ["A) +2.44pp", "B) +1.40pp", "C) +0.71pp", "D) +0.36pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+1.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.41pp\nB) -2.11pp\nC) -1.50pp\nD) -1.20pp", "options": ["A) -2.41pp", "B) -2.11pp", "C) -1.50pp", "D) -1.20pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 1.14%\nC) 1.66%\nD) 1.45%", "options": ["A) 1.76%", "B) 1.14%", "C) 1.66%", "D) 1.45%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $659M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": ["A) $659M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $2,400,000M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$659M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.49\nB) 75.76\nC) 78.04\nD) 71.22", "options": ["A) 73.49", "B) 75.76", "C) 78.04", "D) 71.22"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "75.76", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $155,098M\nB) $172,708M\nC) $166,838M\nD) $184,449M", "options": ["A) $155,098M", "B) $172,708M", "C) $166,838M", "D) $184,449M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$166,838M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.34%\nD) -0.96%", "options": ["A) -2.49%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 1.34%", "D) -0.96%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.27%\nB) 0.28%\nC) 12.24%\nD) -2.71%", "options": ["A) 3.27%", "B) 0.28%", "C) 12.24%", "D) -2.71%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.49%\nB) 5.74%\nC) 7.24%\nD) 4.98%", "options": ["A) 6.49%", "B) 5.74%", "C) 7.24%", "D) 4.98%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.35%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 3.06%", "options": ["A) 2.35%", "B) 2.91%", "C) 2.77%", "D) 3.06%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.4354\nB) 8.6835\nC) 8.1046\nD) 8.2700", "options": ["A) 8.4354", "B) 8.6835", "C) 8.1046", "D) 8.2700"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.2700", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.65\nB) 92.47\nC) 86.12\nD) 88.84", "options": ["A) 90.65", "B) 92.47", "C) 86.12", "D) 88.84"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "90.65", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 2.11%", "options": ["A) 2.33%", "B) 2.44%", "C) 2.76%", "D) 2.11%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.81pp\nB) -0.19pp\nC) -0.50pp\nD) +0.44pp", "options": ["A) -0.81pp", "B) -0.19pp", "C) -0.50pp", "D) +0.44pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $13.71/hr\nB) $14.51/hr\nC) $15.85/hr\nD) $15.05/hr", "options": ["A) $13.71/hr", "B) $14.51/hr", "C) $15.85/hr", "D) $15.05/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$15.05/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 132.30\nB) 143.04\nC) 138.74\nD) 128.00", "options": ["A) 132.30", "B) 143.04", "C) 138.74", "D) 128.00"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "132.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.62%\nB) 1.65%\nC) -2.44%\nD) 13.93%", "options": ["A) -10.62%", "B) 1.65%", "C) -2.44%", "D) 13.93%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 133.0180\nB) 115.4820\nC) 124.2500\nD) 111.0980", "options": ["A) 133.0180", "B) 115.4820", "C) 124.2500", "D) 111.0980"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "124.2500", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.24%\nB) 0.01%\nC) 2.25%\nD) -4.49%", "options": ["A) -2.24%", "B) 0.01%", "C) 2.25%", "D) -4.49%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-4.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 3.68%", "options": ["A) 2.94%", "B) 2.45%", "C) 2.69%", "D) 3.68%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 2.52%", "options": ["A) 2.61%", "B) 2.44%", "C) 2.35%", "D) 2.52%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,577K\nB) 1,777K\nC) 1,691K\nD) 1,634K", "options": ["A) 1,577K", "B) 1,777K", "C) 1,691K", "D) 1,634K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,691K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -8.30%\nB) 39.23%\nC) -55.84%\nD) -32.07%", "options": ["A) -8.30%", "B) 39.23%", "C) -55.84%", "D) -32.07%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-32.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,154B\nB) $8,823B\nC) $8,600B\nD) $7,930B", "options": ["A) $8,154B", "B) $8,823B", "C) $8,600B", "D) $7,930B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$8,154B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.8620\nB) 0.9448\nC) 1.1519\nD) 1.0276", "options": ["A) 0.8620", "B) 0.9448", "C) 1.1519", "D) 1.0276"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.9448", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) $4,679B\nB) $5,537B\nC) $5,108B\nD) $5,251B", "options": ["A) $4,679B", "B) $5,537B", "C) $5,108B", "D) $5,251B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$5,108B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 4.43%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 3.06%", "options": ["A) 0.33%", "B) 4.43%", "C) 5.79%", "D) 3.06%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $5,502B\nB) $5,821B\nC) $5,183B\nD) $5,342B", "options": ["A) $5,502B", "B) $5,821B", "C) $5,183B", "D) $5,342B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$5,502B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,181B\nB) $7,984B\nC) $7,591B\nD) $8,378B", "options": ["A) $8,181B", "B) $7,984B", "C) $7,591B", "D) $8,378B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$7,984B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 6.47%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 5.49%", "options": ["A) 1.56%", "B) 6.47%", "C) 3.53%", "D) 5.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,708K\nB) 1,866K\nC) 1,930K\nD) 1,803K", "options": ["A) 1,708K", "B) 1,866K", "C) 1,930K", "D) 1,803K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,803K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 0.95%", "options": ["A) 1.71%", "B) 3.24%", "C) 2.47%", "D) 0.95%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 203.49\nB) 191.30\nC) 196.17\nD) 186.43", "options": ["A) 203.49", "B) 191.30", "C) 196.17", "D) 186.43"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "191.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.13%\nB) -3.21%\nC) -0.75%\nD) 6.63%", "options": ["A) -8.13%", "B) -3.21%", "C) -0.75%", "D) 6.63%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $272,346M\nB) $283,812M\nC) $266,614M\nD) $278,079M", "options": ["A) $272,346M", "B) $283,812M", "C) $266,614M", "D) $278,079M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$278,079M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.14%\nB) -3.98%\nC) 1.55%\nD) -0.29%", "options": ["A) -2.14%", "B) -3.98%", "C) 1.55%", "D) -0.29%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 4.95%", "options": ["A) 5.20%", "B) 5.70%", "C) 6.20%", "D) 4.95%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,644K\nB) 128,108K\nC) 130,722K\nD) 124,186K", "options": ["A) 134,644K", "B) 128,108K", "C) 130,722K", "D) 124,186K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "130,722K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,783B\nB) $6,804B\nC) $7,979B\nD) $7,392B", "options": ["A) $7,783B", "B) $6,804B", "C) $7,979B", "D) $7,392B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$7,392B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 189.20\nB) 193.32\nC) 199.51\nD) 183.02", "options": ["A) 189.20", "B) 193.32", "C) 199.51", "D) 183.02"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "189.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.07%\nB) 8.42%\nC) 9.24%\nD) 5.94%", "options": ["A) 10.07%", "B) 8.42%", "C) 9.24%", "D) 5.94%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.05pp\nB) +1.07pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) -0.42pp", "options": ["A) -0.05pp", "B) +1.07pp", "C) +0.70pp", "D) -0.42pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.70%\nB) 20.20%\nC) 22.69%\nD) 15.21%", "options": ["A) 17.70%", "B) 20.20%", "C) 22.69%", "D) 15.21%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.24%\nB) 2.42%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 2.33%", "options": ["A) 2.24%", "B) 2.42%", "C) 1.98%", "D) 2.33%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 74.80\nB) 77.11\nC) 79.42\nD) 73.25", "options": ["A) 74.80", "B) 77.11", "C) 79.42", "D) 73.25"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "77.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $14.11/hr\nB) $15.76/hr\nC) $14.82/hr\nD) $15.29/hr", "options": ["A) $14.11/hr", "B) $15.76/hr", "C) $14.82/hr", "D) $15.29/hr"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$14.82/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1,071.79\nB) 1,937.69\nC) 2,803.59\nD) 1,504.74", "options": ["A) 1,071.79", "B) 1,937.69", "C) 2,803.59", "D) 1,504.74"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,504.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 180.80\nB) 170.84\nC) 185.78\nD) 175.82", "options": ["A) 180.80", "B) 170.84", "C) 185.78", "D) 175.82"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "180.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 121.72\nB) 117.93\nC) 106.55\nD) 114.14", "options": ["A) 121.72", "B) 117.93", "C) 106.55", "D) 114.14"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "117.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 0.37%\nC) 1.73%\nD) 1.05%", "options": ["A) 2.41%", "B) 0.37%", "C) 1.73%", "D) 1.05%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 74.31\nB) 72.73\nC) 79.05\nD) 76.68", "options": ["A) 74.31", "B) 72.73", "C) 79.05", "D) 76.68"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "76.68", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,642K\nB) 1,739K\nC) 1,577K\nD) 1,512K", "options": ["A) 1,642K", "B) 1,739K", "C) 1,577K", "D) 1,512K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,642K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 134.62\nB) 125.50\nC) 116.37\nD) 120.93", "options": ["A) 134.62", "B) 125.50", "C) 116.37", "D) 120.93"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "125.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 82.29\nB) 100.17\nC) 95.70\nD) 104.64", "options": ["A) 82.29", "B) 100.17", "C) 95.70", "D) 104.64"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "95.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 24.83%\nB) 21.72%\nC) 6.16%\nD) 15.49%", "options": ["A) 24.83%", "B) 21.72%", "C) 6.16%", "D) 15.49%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 129.80\nB) 141.48\nC) 125.13\nD) 136.81", "options": ["A) 129.80", "B) 141.48", "C) 125.13", "D) 136.81"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "129.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,007,436\nB) 3,604,000\nC) 4,200,564\nD) 2,709,154", "options": ["A) 3,007,436", "B) 3,604,000", "C) 4,200,564", "D) 2,709,154"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,604,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.85\nB) 87.38\nC) 89.17\nD) 85.59", "options": ["A) 91.85", "B) 87.38", "C) 89.17", "D) 85.59"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "89.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 31.80\nB) 20.12\nC) 27.91\nD) 25.96", "options": ["A) 31.80", "B) 20.12", "C) 27.91", "D) 25.96"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "25.96", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 7.20%\nD) 5.91%", "options": ["A) 4.62%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 7.20%", "D) 5.91%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.21pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) -0.42pp\nD) +0.22pp", "options": ["A) -0.21pp", "B) -0.10pp", "C) -0.42pp", "D) +0.22pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.15%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 63.00%\nD) 64.89%", "options": ["A) 66.15%", "B) 61.11%", "C) 63.00%", "D) 64.89%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "63.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 4.90%\nD) 4.10%", "options": ["A) 4.50%", "B) 3.70%", "C) 4.90%", "D) 4.10%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $47,371M\nB) $39,744M\nC) $54,998M\nD) $49,913M", "options": ["A) $47,371M", "B) $39,744M", "C) $54,998M", "D) $49,913M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$47,371M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.60%\nB) 66.60%\nC) 64.60%\nD) 68.60%", "options": ["A) 62.60%", "B) 66.60%", "C) 64.60%", "D) 68.60%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "66.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 7.23%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 1.86%", "options": ["A) 5.88%", "B) 7.23%", "C) 3.20%", "D) 1.86%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.41%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 6.60%\nD) 1.93%", "options": ["A) -0.41%", "B) 4.26%", "C) 6.60%", "D) 1.93%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 178.50\nB) 189.93\nC) 183.07\nD) 173.93", "options": ["A) 178.50", "B) 189.93", "C) 183.07", "D) 173.93"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "178.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.48%\nB) 3.74%\nC) 4.65%\nD) 5.57%", "options": ["A) 6.48%", "B) 3.74%", "C) 4.65%", "D) 5.57%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.46%\nB) 6.48%\nC) 5.49%\nD) 3.51%", "options": ["A) 7.46%", "B) 6.48%", "C) 5.49%", "D) 3.51%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) -16.38%\nB) 5.95%\nC) -21.96%\nD) -5.22%", "options": ["A) -16.38%", "B) 5.95%", "C) -21.96%", "D) -5.22%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-5.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -10.16%\nB) 43.58%\nC) 70.45%\nD) -37.03%", "options": ["A) -10.16%", "B) 43.58%", "C) 70.45%", "D) -37.03%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-10.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.03%\nB) 66.70%\nC) 65.37%\nD) 63.37%", "options": ["A) 68.03%", "B) 66.70%", "C) 65.37%", "D) 63.37%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "66.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 5.59%\nD) 5.09%", "options": ["A) 5.42%", "B) 5.93%", "C) 5.59%", "D) 5.09%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.71pp\nB) -0.81pp\nC) -0.92pp\nD) -0.60pp", "options": ["A) -0.71pp", "B) -0.81pp", "C) -0.92pp", "D) -0.60pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.30pp\nB) -11.29pp\nC) -6.10pp\nD) -0.90pp", "options": ["A) +4.30pp", "B) -11.29pp", "C) -6.10pp", "D) -0.90pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+4.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $53,997M\nB) $48,089M\nC) $42,181M\nD) $45,135M", "options": ["A) $53,997M", "B) $48,089M", "C) $42,181M", "D) $45,135M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$48,089M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 5.11%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 5.67%", "options": ["A) 3.99%", "B) 5.11%", "C) 4.83%", "D) 5.67%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.92%", "options": ["A) 1.68%", "B) 2.30%", "C) 4.16%", "D) 2.92%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) -11.09%\nB) 60.98%\nC) -83.16%\nD) -59.13%", "options": ["A) -11.09%", "B) 60.98%", "C) -83.16%", "D) -59.13%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-11.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -16.88%\nB) -7.88%\nC) 1.12%\nD) -21.38%", "options": ["A) -16.88%", "B) -7.88%", "C) 1.12%", "D) -21.38%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-7.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 426,077\nB) 486,232\nC) 396,000\nD) 305,768", "options": ["A) 426,077", "B) 486,232", "C) 396,000", "D) 305,768"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "396,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,468B\nB) $5,856B\nC) $6,244B\nD) $5,662B", "options": ["A) $5,468B", "B) $5,856B", "C) $6,244B", "D) $5,662B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$5,662B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.53%\nB) -3.52%\nC) -0.20%\nD) 0.47%", "options": ["A) -1.53%", "B) -3.52%", "C) -0.20%", "D) 0.47%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 7.17%", "options": ["A) 3.82%", "B) 2.15%", "C) 0.47%", "D) 7.17%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.11%\nB) 5.36%\nC) 5.80%\nD) 4.93%", "options": ["A) 7.11%", "B) 5.36%", "C) 5.80%", "D) 4.93%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.39pp\nB) +3.12pp\nC) +1.85pp\nD) +0.58pp", "options": ["A) +4.39pp", "B) +3.12pp", "C) +1.85pp", "D) +0.58pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.58pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 74.46%\nB) 69.97%\nC) 78.94%\nD) 77.45%", "options": ["A) 74.46%", "B) 69.97%", "C) 78.94%", "D) 77.45%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "74.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 5.13%\nC) 10.51%\nD) 8.72%", "options": ["A) 1.54%", "B) 5.13%", "C) 10.51%", "D) 8.72%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $179,561M\nB) $185,415M\nC) $167,853M\nD) $161,999M", "options": ["A) $179,561M", "B) $185,415M", "C) $167,853M", "D) $161,999M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$167,853M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $274,980M\nB) $299,315M\nC) $268,897M\nD) $281,064M", "options": ["A) $274,980M", "B) $299,315M", "C) $268,897M", "D) $281,064M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$281,064M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.20pp\nB) -1.23pp\nC) -12.10pp\nD) -6.67pp", "options": ["A) +4.20pp", "B) -1.23pp", "C) -12.10pp", "D) -6.67pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+4.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.87%\nB) 1.93%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 2.29%", "options": ["A) 0.87%", "B) 1.93%", "C) 2.64%", "D) 2.29%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,877K\nB) 1,731K\nC) 1,804K\nD) 1,767K", "options": ["A) 1,877K", "B) 1,731K", "C) 1,804K", "D) 1,767K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,804K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.90%\nB) 9.09%\nC) 7.88%\nD) 8.69%", "options": ["A) 9.90%", "B) 9.09%", "C) 7.88%", "D) 8.69%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.69%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 1.79%\nD) 5.59%", "options": ["A) 3.69%", "B) 4.64%", "C) 1.79%", "D) 5.59%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 80.43%\nB) 75.50%\nC) 72.21%\nD) 77.14%", "options": ["A) 80.43%", "B) 75.50%", "C) 72.21%", "D) 77.14%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "75.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.70%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 0.68%", "options": ["A) 1.70%", "B) 2.39%", "C) 1.36%", "D) 0.68%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) $31.53/bbl\nB) $23.09/bbl\nC) $17.46/bbl\nD) $25.90/bbl", "options": ["A) $31.53/bbl", "B) $23.09/bbl", "C) $17.46/bbl", "D) $25.90/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$25.90/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.79pp\nB) -7.87pp\nC) -1.07pp\nD) -6.51pp", "options": ["A) -3.79pp", "B) -7.87pp", "C) -1.07pp", "D) -6.51pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.79pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.63\nB) 77.97\nC) 73.29\nD) 80.31", "options": ["A) 75.63", "B) 77.97", "C) 73.29", "D) 80.31"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "77.97", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.71pp\nB) +3.11pp\nC) +1.91pp\nD) +0.71pp", "options": ["A) +2.71pp", "B) +3.11pp", "C) +1.91pp", "D) +0.71pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.91pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 1.75%", "options": ["A) 0.03%", "B) 3.47%", "C) 2.61%", "D) 1.75%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $-31,161M\nB) $-23,717M\nC) $-33,642M\nD) $-28,680M", "options": ["A) $-31,161M", "B) $-23,717M", "C) $-33,642M", "D) $-28,680M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-31,161M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.92%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.35%\nD) 5.08%", "options": ["A) 5.92%", "B) 5.50%", "C) 6.35%", "D) 5.08%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.40%\nB) -6.44%\nC) -18.53%\nD) -12.49%", "options": ["A) -0.40%", "B) -6.44%", "C) -18.53%", "D) -12.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-18.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-08.)\n\nA) $21.14/bbl\nB) $15.48/bbl\nC) $18.31/bbl\nD) $23.97/bbl", "options": ["A) $21.14/bbl", "B) $15.48/bbl", "C) $18.31/bbl", "D) $23.97/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$23.97/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,243B\nB) $6,713B\nC) $7,597B\nD) $7,066B", "options": ["A) $7,243B", "B) $6,713B", "C) $7,597B", "D) $7,066B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$7,243B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $-38,664M\nB) $-36,088M\nC) $-30,936M\nD) $-41,240M", "options": ["A) $-38,664M", "B) $-36,088M", "C) $-30,936M", "D) $-41,240M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-36,088M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.98%\nB) 6.06%\nC) 6.83%\nD) 7.60%", "options": ["A) 7.98%", "B) 6.06%", "C) 6.83%", "D) 7.60%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.40%\nB) 8.20%\nC) 11.80%\nD) 10.00%", "options": ["A) 6.40%", "B) 8.20%", "C) 11.80%", "D) 10.00%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 86.10\nB) 94.98\nC) 90.54\nD) 77.22", "options": ["A) 86.10", "B) 94.98", "C) 90.54", "D) 77.22"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "86.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.40%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.65%", "options": ["A) 6.40%", "B) 5.70%", "C) 5.00%", "D) 4.65%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20020301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-01-29.)\n\nA) 65.94%\nB) 61.54%\nC) 62.80%\nD) 64.06%", "options": ["A) 65.94%", "B) 61.54%", "C) 62.80%", "D) 64.06%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "62.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $680M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $680M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$680M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20020901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2002", "info_cutoff": "2002-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2002? (Use only information available on or before 2002-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 2.90%", "options": ["A) 1.52%", "B) 2.44%", "C) 0.14%", "D) 2.90%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20020615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2002-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2002-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2002-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2002-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.99%\nB) 6.71%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 6.43%", "options": ["A) 6.99%", "B) 6.71%", "C) 7.26%", "D) 6.43%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,511.78\nB) 1,006.23\nC) 1,382.62\nD) 1,759.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 2,511.78", "B) 1,006.23", "C) 1,382.62", "D) 1,759.01"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,382.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,511.78\nB) 1,006.23\nC) 1,382.62\nD) 1,759.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 2,511.78", "B) 1,006.23", "C) 1,382.62", "D) 1,759.01"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,382.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-5d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,150.02\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 2,526.41\nD) 1,397.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 2,150.02", "B) 1,020.86", "C) 2,526.41", "D) 1,397.25"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,397.25", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,150.02\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 2,526.41\nD) 1,397.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 2,150.02", "B) 1,020.86", "C) 2,526.41", "D) 1,397.25"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,397.25", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-10d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,397.25\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 1,773.64\nD) 2,150.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 1,397.25", "B) 1,020.86", "C) 1,773.64", "D) 2,150.02"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,397.25", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 1,397.25\nB) 1,020.86\nC) 1,773.64\nD) 2,150.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 1,397.25", "B) 1,020.86", "C) 1,773.64", "D) 2,150.02"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,397.25", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-20d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,175.72\nB) 1,422.95\nC) 1,799.34\nD) 2,552.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 2,175.72", "B) 1,422.95", "C) 1,799.34", "D) 2,552.11"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,422.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,175.72\nB) 1,422.95\nC) 1,799.34\nD) 2,552.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 2,175.72", "B) 1,422.95", "C) 1,799.34", "D) 2,552.11"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,422.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-40d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.11\nB) 1,799.34\nC) 1,422.95\nD) 1,046.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 2,552.11", "B) 1,799.34", "C) 1,422.95", "D) 1,046.56"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,422.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.11\nB) 1,799.34\nC) 1,422.95\nD) 1,046.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 2,552.11", "B) 1,799.34", "C) 1,422.95", "D) 1,046.56"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,422.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-60d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,617.10\nB) 2,240.71\nC) 1,864.33\nD) 1,487.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 2,617.10", "B) 2,240.71", "C) 1,864.33", "D) 1,487.94"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,487.94", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 2,617.10\nB) 2,240.71\nC) 1,864.33\nD) 1,487.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 2,617.10", "B) 2,240.71", "C) 1,864.33", "D) 1,487.94"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,487.94", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20020709-120d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 36.65\nB) 32.14\nC) 34.39\nD) 29.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 36.65", "B) 32.14", "C) 34.39", "D) 29.88"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "36.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 36.65\nB) 32.14\nC) 34.39\nD) 29.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 36.65", "B) 32.14", "C) 34.39", "D) 29.88"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "36.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-5d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 40.41\nB) 44.92\nC) 38.15\nD) 47.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 40.41", "B) 44.92", "C) 38.15", "D) 47.18"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "44.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 40.41\nB) 44.92\nC) 38.15\nD) 47.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 40.41", "B) 44.92", "C) 38.15", "D) 47.18"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "44.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-10d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 51.85\nB) 42.82\nC) 45.08\nD) 49.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 51.85", "B) 42.82", "C) 45.08", "D) 49.59"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 51.85\nB) 42.82\nC) 45.08\nD) 49.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 51.85", "B) 42.82", "C) 45.08", "D) 49.59"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-20d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 47.34\nB) 51.85\nC) 42.82\nD) 45.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 47.34", "B) 51.85", "C) 42.82", "D) 45.08"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 47.34\nB) 51.85\nC) 42.82\nD) 45.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 47.34", "B) 51.85", "C) 42.82", "D) 45.08"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-40d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 45.08\nB) 40.57\nC) 47.34\nD) 42.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 45.08", "B) 40.57", "C) 47.34", "D) 42.82"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 45.08\nB) 40.57\nC) 47.34\nD) 42.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 45.08", "B) 40.57", "C) 47.34", "D) 42.82"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-60d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 49.59\nB) 45.08\nC) 51.85\nD) 40.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 49.59", "B) 45.08", "C) 51.85", "D) 40.57"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 49.59\nB) 45.08\nC) 51.85\nD) 40.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 49.59", "B) 45.08", "C) 51.85", "D) 40.57"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "45.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20020709-120d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 5.33%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 5.33%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 5.14%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 5.33%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 5.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 5.33%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 5.14%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-5d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 4.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 4.17%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 4.36%", "D) 4.75%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 4.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 4.17%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 4.36%", "D) 4.75%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-10d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.36%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 4.75%", "B) 5.33%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 4.36%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.36%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 4.75%", "B) 5.33%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 4.36%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-20d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 5.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 4.56%", "B) 4.75%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 5.33%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.56%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 5.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 4.56%", "B) 4.75%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 5.33%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-40d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 4.94%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 4.17%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 4.94%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 4.17%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-60d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 4.36%", "B) 4.94%", "C) 5.14%", "D) 4.75%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WorldCom accounting scandal\" on 2002-07-09, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2002-07-09? (Use only information available on or before 2002-07-08.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2002-07-09", "info_cutoff": "2002-07-08", "options": ["A) 4.36%", "B) 4.94%", "C) 5.14%", "D) 4.75%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "WorldCom accounting scandal", "event_date": "2002-07-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20020709-120d-max", "year": 2002} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.60\nB) 82.42\nC) 63.13\nD) 92.07", "options": ["A) 77.60", "B) 82.42", "C) 63.13", "D) 92.07"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "77.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.73\nB) 87.70\nC) 72.79\nD) 102.61", "options": ["A) 82.73", "B) 87.70", "C) 72.79", "D) 102.61"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "87.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.85%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.86%", "options": ["A) 0.85%", "B) 1.46%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.86%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.68%\nB) 6.95%\nC) 7.37%\nD) 6.10%", "options": ["A) 5.68%", "B) 6.95%", "C) 7.37%", "D) 6.10%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,726K\nB) 1,683K\nC) 1,640K\nD) 1,812K", "options": ["A) 1,726K", "B) 1,683K", "C) 1,640K", "D) 1,812K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,726K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 208.30\nB) 193.70\nC) 187.86\nD) 202.46", "options": ["A) 208.30", "B) 193.70", "C) 187.86", "D) 202.46"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "193.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 7.92%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 6.98%", "options": ["A) 4.13%", "B) 7.92%", "C) 5.08%", "D) 6.98%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,306B\nB) $6,525B\nC) $6,087B\nD) $5,868B", "options": ["A) $6,306B", "B) $6,525B", "C) $6,087B", "D) $5,868B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$5,868B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.19%\nB) 1.17%\nC) -0.87%\nD) -1.56%", "options": ["A) -0.19%", "B) 1.17%", "C) -0.87%", "D) -1.56%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) +3.45pp\nB) +2.00pp\nC) +1.52pp\nD) +0.55pp", "options": ["A) +3.45pp", "B) +2.00pp", "C) +1.52pp", "D) +0.55pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+2.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) -2.71%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 0.54%", "options": ["A) 7.05%", "B) -2.71%", "C) 2.17%", "D) 0.54%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,628M\nB) $-38,449M\nC) $-31,663M\nD) $-41,842M", "options": ["A) $-48,628M", "B) $-38,449M", "C) $-31,663M", "D) $-41,842M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-41,842M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.00%\nB) 63.24%\nC) 60.14%\nD) 65.10%", "options": ["A) 62.00%", "B) 63.24%", "C) 60.14%", "D) 65.10%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $-40,832M\nB) $-43,806M\nC) $-52,729M\nD) $-46,780M", "options": ["A) $-40,832M", "B) $-43,806M", "C) $-52,729M", "D) $-46,780M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-43,806M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 1,193.28\nB) 2,142.26\nC) 1,667.77\nD) 3,091.24", "options": ["A) 1,193.28", "B) 2,142.26", "C) 1,667.77", "D) 3,091.24"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,667.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.84%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 5.94%\nD) 4.12%", "options": ["A) 6.84%", "B) 2.31%", "C) 5.94%", "D) 4.12%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 3.11%", "options": ["A) 1.25%", "B) 2.18%", "C) 4.04%", "D) 3.11%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $721M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $4,300,000M", "B) $721M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$721M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.60%\nB) 4.04%\nC) 5.21%\nD) 6.38%", "options": ["A) 5.60%", "B) 4.04%", "C) 5.21%", "D) 6.38%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.61pp\nB) +11.07pp\nC) -7.87pp\nD) +1.60pp", "options": ["A) -12.61pp", "B) +11.07pp", "C) -7.87pp", "D) +1.60pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+1.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,939K\nB) 1,842K\nC) 2,036K\nD) 1,987K", "options": ["A) 1,939K", "B) 1,842K", "C) 2,036K", "D) 1,987K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,939K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.66%\nB) 9.23%\nC) 10.53%\nD) 7.93%", "options": ["A) 9.66%", "B) 9.23%", "C) 10.53%", "D) 7.93%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 149.39\nB) 124.77\nC) 137.08\nD) 118.61", "options": ["A) 149.39", "B) 124.77", "C) 137.08", "D) 118.61"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "137.08", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 3.25%\nD) 2.59%", "options": ["A) 1.93%", "B) 2.92%", "C) 3.25%", "D) 2.59%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 78.47\nB) 74.49\nC) 76.08\nD) 80.07", "options": ["A) 78.47", "B) 74.49", "C) 76.08", "D) 80.07"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "78.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 151.60\nB) 141.20\nC) 147.44\nD) 137.04", "options": ["A) 151.60", "B) 141.20", "C) 147.44", "D) 137.04"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "141.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.42\nB) 75.14\nC) 77.72\nD) 80.31", "options": ["A) 73.42", "B) 75.14", "C) 77.72", "D) 80.31"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "77.72", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 4,688,135\nB) 3,032,910\nC) 4,026,045\nD) 3,695,000", "options": ["A) 4,688,135", "B) 3,032,910", "C) 4,026,045", "D) 3,695,000"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,695,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,961K\nB) 1,861K\nC) 2,011K\nD) 1,911K", "options": ["A) 1,961K", "B) 1,861K", "C) 2,011K", "D) 1,911K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,961K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 450,961\nB) 421,000\nC) 331,116\nD) 361,078", "options": ["A) 450,961", "B) 421,000", "C) 331,116", "D) 361,078"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "421,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.54%", "options": ["A) 3.21%", "B) 3.63%", "C) 2.38%", "D) 1.54%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.38pp\nB) +3.78pp\nC) -0.41pp\nD) +0.98pp", "options": ["A) +2.38pp", "B) +3.78pp", "C) -0.41pp", "D) +0.98pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.98pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 76.03%\nB) 74.39%\nC) 72.74%\nD) 80.95%", "options": ["A) 76.03%", "B) 74.39%", "C) 72.74%", "D) 80.95%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "76.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 139.72\nB) 129.31\nC) 144.93\nD) 118.90", "options": ["A) 139.72", "B) 129.31", "C) 144.93", "D) 118.90"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "129.31", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.21\nB) 22.72\nC) 20.22\nD) 15.23", "options": ["A) 25.21", "B) 22.72", "C) 20.22", "D) 15.23"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.22", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.3131\nB) 1.0984\nC) 1.3989\nD) 1.1843", "options": ["A) 1.3131", "B) 1.0984", "C) 1.3989", "D) 1.1843"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1843", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 2.71%", "options": ["A) 2.46%", "B) 1.96%", "C) 3.21%", "D) 2.71%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $5,312B\nB) $6,080B\nC) $6,336B\nD) $5,568B", "options": ["A) $5,312B", "B) $6,080B", "C) $6,336B", "D) $5,568B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$6,080B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.16%\nB) 6.99%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 0.82%", "options": ["A) 13.16%", "B) 6.99%", "C) 3.90%", "D) 0.82%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.45\nB) 75.40\nC) 80.27\nD) 78.32", "options": ["A) 73.45", "B) 75.40", "C) 80.27", "D) 78.32"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "78.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.48%\nB) 3.86%\nC) -3.38%\nD) 11.10%", "options": ["A) 7.48%", "B) 3.86%", "C) -3.38%", "D) 11.10%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 6.25%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 8.00%", "options": ["A) 4.50%", "B) 6.25%", "C) 3.63%", "D) 8.00%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 88.76\nB) 94.25\nC) 91.51\nD) 97.00", "options": ["A) 88.76", "B) 94.25", "C) 91.51", "D) 97.00"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "91.51", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 1.01%", "options": ["A) 2.01%", "B) 4.01%", "C) 3.01%", "D) 1.01%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) $5,686B\nB) $5,494B\nC) $5,109B\nD) $5,878B", "options": ["A) $5,686B", "B) $5,494B", "C) $5,109B", "D) $5,878B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$5,686B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $705M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": ["A) $4,300,000M", "B) $705M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $2,400,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$705M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.04%\nD) 2.29%", "options": ["A) 2.79%", "B) 3.53%", "C) 3.04%", "D) 2.29%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-06.)\n\nA) 15.05%\nB) 9.73%\nC) 12.39%\nD) 11.06%", "options": ["A) 15.05%", "B) 9.73%", "C) 12.39%", "D) 11.06%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.47%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 4.88%", "options": ["A) 4.47%", "B) 4.67%", "C) 4.06%", "D) 4.88%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 6.28%\nD) 6.66%", "options": ["A) 7.05%", "B) 5.90%", "C) 6.28%", "D) 6.66%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,377B\nB) $8,299B\nC) $8,569B\nD) $8,030B", "options": ["A) $9,377B", "B) $8,299B", "C) $8,569B", "D) $8,030B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$8,569B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.90%\nB) 7.58%\nC) 10.03%\nD) 6.35%", "options": ["A) 3.90%", "B) 7.58%", "C) 10.03%", "D) 6.35%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.03%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.14%", "options": ["A) 3.03%", "B) 3.47%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 2.14%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.78%\nB) 66.10%\nC) 62.79%\nD) 68.08%", "options": ["A) 64.78%", "B) 66.10%", "C) 62.79%", "D) 68.08%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "66.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $307,224M\nB) $300,875M\nC) $288,177M\nD) $275,479M", "options": ["A) $307,224M", "B) $300,875M", "C) $288,177M", "D) $275,479M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$288,177M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 80.70%\nB) -37.06%\nC) 33.60%\nD) 10.04%", "options": ["A) 80.70%", "B) -37.06%", "C) 33.60%", "D) 10.04%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 0.95%", "options": ["A) 2.14%", "B) 1.55%", "C) 3.33%", "D) 0.95%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 78.09%\nB) 76.48%\nC) 73.27%\nD) 71.67%", "options": ["A) 78.09%", "B) 76.48%", "C) 73.27%", "D) 71.67%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "76.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.98%\nB) 11.87%\nC) 8.76%\nD) -0.56%", "options": ["A) 14.98%", "B) 11.87%", "C) 8.76%", "D) -0.56%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.19pp\nB) -1.54pp\nC) -1.81pp\nD) -1.00pp", "options": ["A) -0.19pp", "B) -1.54pp", "C) -1.81pp", "D) -1.00pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.63%\nB) 7.60%\nC) -0.34%\nD) 2.31%", "options": ["A) 3.63%", "B) 7.60%", "C) -0.34%", "D) 2.31%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 93.84\nB) 91.10\nC) 95.66\nD) 88.37", "options": ["A) 93.84", "B) 91.10", "C) 95.66", "D) 88.37"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "91.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.71%\nB) 1.79%\nC) 0.87%\nD) 3.63%", "options": ["A) 2.71%", "B) 1.79%", "C) 0.87%", "D) 3.63%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $16.15/hr\nB) $14.39/hr\nC) $13.80/hr\nD) $15.27/hr", "options": ["A) $16.15/hr", "B) $14.39/hr", "C) $13.80/hr", "D) $15.27/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$15.27/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) -1.30%\nC) 10.45%\nD) -5.22%", "options": ["A) 2.62%", "B) -1.30%", "C) 10.45%", "D) -5.22%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $15.09/hr\nB) $15.42/hr\nC) $14.44/hr\nD) $16.40/hr", "options": ["A) $15.09/hr", "B) $15.42/hr", "C) $14.44/hr", "D) $16.40/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$15.42/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) $33.90/bbl\nB) $36.66/bbl\nC) $31.14/bbl\nD) $39.42/bbl", "options": ["A) $33.90/bbl", "B) $36.66/bbl", "C) $31.14/bbl", "D) $39.42/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$31.14/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 179.18\nB) 191.02\nC) 196.95\nD) 185.10", "options": ["A) 179.18", "B) 191.02", "C) 196.95", "D) 185.10"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "185.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 6.15%\nC) 4.48%\nD) 3.65%", "options": ["A) 4.90%", "B) 6.15%", "C) 4.48%", "D) 3.65%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $305,994M\nB) $298,921M\nC) $284,775M\nD) $320,140M", "options": ["A) $305,994M", "B) $298,921M", "C) $284,775M", "D) $320,140M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$298,921M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.19pp\nB) +0.48pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -1.28pp", "options": ["A) +0.19pp", "B) +0.48pp", "C) -0.40pp", "D) -1.28pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.0286\nB) 7.7803\nC) 8.5252\nD) 8.2769", "options": ["A) 8.0286", "B) 7.7803", "C) 8.5252", "D) 8.2769"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.2769", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 25.62%\nB) 68.86%\nC) 3.99%\nD) -39.25%", "options": ["A) 25.62%", "B) 68.86%", "C) 3.99%", "D) -39.25%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.15pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +1.25pp", "options": ["A) -0.15pp", "B) +0.20pp", "C) +0.90pp", "D) +1.25pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,832B\nB) $8,554B\nC) $8,313B\nD) $8,795B", "options": ["A) $7,832B", "B) $8,554B", "C) $8,313B", "D) $8,795B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$8,313B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 133.93\nB) 145.35\nC) 149.91\nD) 138.50", "options": ["A) 133.93", "B) 145.35", "C) 149.91", "D) 138.50"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "138.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $51,971M\nB) $45,699M\nC) $42,562M\nD) $61,380M", "options": ["A) $51,971M", "B) $45,699M", "C) $42,562M", "D) $61,380M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$51,971M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) $19.35/bbl\nB) $27.50/bbl\nC) $32.93/bbl\nD) $35.65/bbl", "options": ["A) $19.35/bbl", "B) $27.50/bbl", "C) $32.93/bbl", "D) $35.65/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$27.50/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $61,114M\nB) $42,400M\nC) $51,757M\nD) $45,519M", "options": ["A) $61,114M", "B) $42,400M", "C) $51,757M", "D) $45,519M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$51,757M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,033B\nB) $8,244B\nC) $6,979B\nD) $7,612B", "options": ["A) $8,033B", "B) $8,244B", "C) $6,979B", "D) $7,612B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$7,612B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.57pp\nB) +0.19pp\nC) -1.19pp\nD) +5.72pp", "options": ["A) +1.57pp", "B) +0.19pp", "C) -1.19pp", "D) +5.72pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+1.57pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $190,190M\nB) $178,690M\nC) $161,440M\nD) $184,440M", "options": ["A) $190,190M", "B) $178,690M", "C) $161,440M", "D) $184,440M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$178,690M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) -51.27%\nB) -9.87%\nC) 10.83%\nD) 72.94%", "options": ["A) -51.27%", "B) -9.87%", "C) 10.83%", "D) 72.94%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.61%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 4.90%", "options": ["A) 3.61%", "B) 5.33%", "C) 4.04%", "D) 4.90%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.54%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 1.65%", "options": ["A) 1.77%", "B) 1.54%", "C) 2.11%", "D) 1.65%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.10%\nB) 8.78%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 13.43%", "options": ["A) 11.10%", "B) 8.78%", "C) 4.14%", "D) 13.43%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.09%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 1.86%", "options": ["A) 2.09%", "B) 1.40%", "C) 1.74%", "D) 1.86%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.72pp\nB) +0.08pp\nC) +1.05pp\nD) +0.40pp", "options": ["A) +0.72pp", "B) +0.08pp", "C) +1.05pp", "D) +0.40pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 183.90\nB) 173.18\nC) 178.54\nD) 191.94", "options": ["A) 183.90", "B) 173.18", "C) 178.54", "D) 191.94"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "183.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.51\nB) 79.11\nC) 81.81\nD) 77.31", "options": ["A) 75.51", "B) 79.11", "C) 81.81", "D) 77.31"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "79.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 5.97%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 7.72%", "options": ["A) 3.34%", "B) 5.97%", "C) 5.09%", "D) 7.72%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.70%\nB) 2.00%\nC) 5.35%\nD) 7.03%", "options": ["A) 8.70%", "B) 2.00%", "C) 5.35%", "D) 7.03%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.94%\nB) -2.08%\nC) 5.47%\nD) -0.57%", "options": ["A) 0.94%", "B) -2.08%", "C) 5.47%", "D) -0.57%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.89%\nB) 7.10%\nC) 10.77%\nD) 3.44%", "options": ["A) -3.89%", "B) 7.10%", "C) 10.77%", "D) 3.44%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,092B\nB) $7,377B\nC) $7,854B\nD) $7,139B", "options": ["A) $8,092B", "B) $7,377B", "C) $7,854B", "D) $7,139B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$7,854B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.27%\nB) 65.52%\nC) 60.53%\nD) 62.40%", "options": ["A) 64.27%", "B) 65.52%", "C) 60.53%", "D) 62.40%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.24%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 1.13%", "options": ["A) 1.46%", "B) 1.24%", "C) 1.69%", "D) 1.13%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.51pp\nD) -0.09pp", "options": ["A) -0.40pp", "B) -0.30pp", "C) -0.51pp", "D) -0.09pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.57%\nB) 1.82%\nC) -0.37%\nD) 0.36%", "options": ["A) -2.57%", "B) 1.82%", "C) -0.37%", "D) 0.36%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.05%\nB) 6.69%\nC) 8.73%\nD) 7.37%", "options": ["A) 8.05%", "B) 6.69%", "C) 8.73%", "D) 7.37%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -18.10pp\nB) -28.02pp\nC) -8.18pp\nD) -13.14pp", "options": ["A) -18.10pp", "B) -28.02pp", "C) -8.18pp", "D) -13.14pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-18.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) $160,302M\nB) $172,245M\nC) $184,188M\nD) $178,216M", "options": ["A) $160,302M", "B) $172,245M", "C) $184,188M", "D) $178,216M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$172,245M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.87%\nB) 12.10%\nC) 5.12%\nD) 1.62%", "options": ["A) -1.87%", "B) 12.10%", "C) 5.12%", "D) 1.62%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.34%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 1.18%", "options": ["A) 0.34%", "B) 2.02%", "C) 2.86%", "D) 1.18%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) -0.80pp", "options": ["A) -0.60pp", "B) -0.50pp", "C) -0.70pp", "D) -0.80pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 121.7672\nB) 117.7900\nC) 105.8585\nD) 129.7215", "options": ["A) 121.7672", "B) 117.7900", "C) 105.8585", "D) 129.7215"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "117.7900", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 9.06%\nC) 5.98%\nD) 10.60%", "options": ["A) 2.91%", "B) 9.06%", "C) 5.98%", "D) 10.60%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.12%\nB) 5.93%\nC) 8.85%\nD) 6.66%", "options": ["A) 8.12%", "B) 5.93%", "C) 8.85%", "D) 6.66%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 1.52%", "options": ["A) 2.14%", "B) 1.83%", "C) 1.21%", "D) 1.52%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.10%\nB) 8.07%\nC) 23.15%\nD) -7.00%", "options": ["A) 13.10%", "B) 8.07%", "C) 23.15%", "D) -7.00%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,797K\nB) 1,717K\nC) 1,757K\nD) 1,877K", "options": ["A) 1,797K", "B) 1,717K", "C) 1,757K", "D) 1,877K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,757K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 25.02%\nC) -6.50%\nD) 9.26%", "options": ["A) 4.00%", "B) 25.02%", "C) -6.50%", "D) 9.26%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.69%\nB) 0.14%\nC) 6.96%\nD) -2.14%", "options": ["A) 4.69%", "B) 0.14%", "C) 6.96%", "D) -2.14%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20030901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-08-01.)\n\nA) 126,344K\nB) 130,252K\nC) 132,857K\nD) 136,765K", "options": ["A) 126,344K", "B) 130,252K", "C) 132,857K", "D) 136,765K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "130,252K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,142K\nB) 136,747K\nC) 130,235K\nD) 126,328K", "options": ["A) 134,142K", "B) 136,747K", "C) 130,235K", "D) 126,328K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "130,235K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.37%\nB) 10.93%\nC) 10.07%\nD) 9.65%", "options": ["A) 8.37%", "B) 10.93%", "C) 10.07%", "D) 9.65%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 192.50\nB) 181.80\nC) 200.53\nD) 187.15", "options": ["A) 192.50", "B) 181.80", "C) 200.53", "D) 187.15"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "192.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20030301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2003", "info_cutoff": "2003-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2003? (Use only information available on or before 2003-01-29.)\n\nA) 68.29%\nB) 66.30%\nC) 64.31%\nD) 62.32%", "options": ["A) 68.29%", "B) 66.30%", "C) 64.31%", "D) 62.32%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "66.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20030615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2003-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2003-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2003-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2003-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.38%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 3.18%\nD) 2.38%", "options": ["A) 4.38%", "B) 3.98%", "C) 3.18%", "D) 2.38%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.15/bbl\nB) $37.69/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $29.15/bbl", "B) $37.69/bbl", "C) $31.29/bbl", "D) $33.42/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.15/bbl\nB) $37.69/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $29.15/bbl", "B) $37.69/bbl", "C) $31.29/bbl", "D) $33.42/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-5d-max", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $39.82/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $35.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $33.42/bbl", "B) $39.82/bbl", "C) $31.29/bbl", "D) $35.55/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $39.82/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $35.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $33.42/bbl", "B) $39.82/bbl", "C) $31.29/bbl", "D) $35.55/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-10d-max", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $33.42/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $39.82/bbl", "B) $33.42/bbl", "C) $29.15/bbl", "D) $27.02/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $33.42/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $39.82/bbl", "B) $33.42/bbl", "C) $29.15/bbl", "D) $27.02/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-20d-max", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $31.29/bbl\nC) $33.42/bbl\nD) $29.15/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $39.82/bbl", "B) $31.29/bbl", "C) $33.42/bbl", "D) $29.15/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $39.82/bbl\nB) $31.29/bbl\nC) $33.42/bbl\nD) $29.15/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $39.82/bbl", "B) $31.29/bbl", "C) $33.42/bbl", "D) $29.15/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-40d-max", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $31.29/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $31.29/bbl", "B) $35.55/bbl", "C) $29.15/bbl", "D) $33.42/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $31.29/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $29.15/bbl\nD) $33.42/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $31.29/bbl", "B) $35.55/bbl", "C) $29.15/bbl", "D) $33.42/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-60d-max", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $33.42/bbl", "B) $35.55/bbl", "C) $31.29/bbl", "D) $27.02/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $33.42/bbl\nB) $35.55/bbl\nC) $31.29/bbl\nD) $27.02/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $33.42/bbl", "B) $35.55/bbl", "C) $31.29/bbl", "D) $27.02/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$33.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20030319-120d-max", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.52/bbl\nB) $25.59/bbl\nC) $19.70/bbl\nD) $21.66/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $29.52/bbl", "B) $25.59/bbl", "C) $19.70/bbl", "D) $21.66/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $29.52/bbl\nB) $25.59/bbl\nC) $19.70/bbl\nD) $21.66/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $29.52/bbl", "B) $25.59/bbl", "C) $19.70/bbl", "D) $21.66/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-5d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $19.70/bbl\nB) $21.66/bbl\nC) $25.59/bbl\nD) $23.63/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $19.70/bbl", "B) $21.66/bbl", "C) $25.59/bbl", "D) $23.63/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $19.70/bbl\nB) $21.66/bbl\nC) $25.59/bbl\nD) $23.63/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $19.70/bbl", "B) $21.66/bbl", "C) $25.59/bbl", "D) $23.63/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$25.59/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-10d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $26.35/bbl\nB) $18.50/bbl\nC) $20.46/bbl\nD) $24.39/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $26.35/bbl", "B) $18.50/bbl", "C) $20.46/bbl", "D) $24.39/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$24.39/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $26.35/bbl\nB) $18.50/bbl\nC) $20.46/bbl\nD) $24.39/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $26.35/bbl", "B) $18.50/bbl", "C) $20.46/bbl", "D) $24.39/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$24.39/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-20d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $23.23/bbl\nB) $27.16/bbl\nC) $29.12/bbl\nD) $25.19/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $23.23/bbl", "B) $27.16/bbl", "C) $29.12/bbl", "D) $25.19/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $23.23/bbl\nB) $27.16/bbl\nC) $29.12/bbl\nD) $25.19/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $23.23/bbl", "B) $27.16/bbl", "C) $29.12/bbl", "D) $25.19/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-40d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $23.23/bbl\nC) $25.19/bbl\nD) $29.12/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $27.16/bbl", "B) $23.23/bbl", "C) $25.19/bbl", "D) $29.12/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $23.23/bbl\nC) $25.19/bbl\nD) $29.12/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $27.16/bbl", "B) $23.23/bbl", "C) $25.19/bbl", "D) $29.12/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-60d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $29.12/bbl\nC) $23.23/bbl\nD) $21.27/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $27.16/bbl", "B) $29.12/bbl", "C) $23.23/bbl", "D) $21.27/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) $27.16/bbl\nB) $29.12/bbl\nC) $23.23/bbl\nD) $21.27/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) $27.16/bbl", "B) $29.12/bbl", "C) $23.23/bbl", "D) $21.27/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$23.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20030319-120d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 19.11\nB) 31.27\nC) 22.15\nD) 28.23", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 19.11", "B) 31.27", "C) 22.15", "D) 28.23"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "28.23", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 19.11\nB) 31.27\nC) 22.15\nD) 28.23", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 19.11", "B) 31.27", "C) 22.15", "D) 28.23"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "28.23", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-5d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 27.75\nB) 18.63\nC) 36.87\nD) 33.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 27.75", "B) 18.63", "C) 36.87", "D) 33.83"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "27.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 27.75\nB) 18.63\nC) 36.87\nD) 33.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 27.75", "B) 18.63", "C) 36.87", "D) 33.83"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "27.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-10d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 28.60\nB) 22.52\nC) 31.64\nD) 16.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 28.60", "B) 22.52", "C) 31.64", "D) 16.44"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 28.60\nB) 22.52\nC) 31.64\nD) 16.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 28.60", "B) 22.52", "C) 31.64", "D) 16.44"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-20d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 16.20\nB) 28.36\nC) 19.24\nD) 10.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 16.20", "B) 28.36", "C) 19.24", "D) 10.12"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 16.20\nB) 28.36\nC) 19.24\nD) 10.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 16.20", "B) 28.36", "C) 19.24", "D) 10.12"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-40d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 12.32\nB) 9.28\nC) 21.44\nD) 18.40", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 12.32", "B) 9.28", "C) 21.44", "D) 18.40"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.40", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 12.32\nB) 9.28\nC) 21.44\nD) 18.40", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 12.32", "B) 9.28", "C) 21.44", "D) 18.40"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.40", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-60d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 23.83\nC) 8.63\nD) 20.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 17.75", "B) 23.83", "C) 8.63", "D) 20.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 23.83\nC) 8.63\nD) 20.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 17.75", "B) 23.83", "C) 8.63", "D) 20.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20030319-120d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,520.26\nB) 1,368.37\nC) 1,216.48\nD) 1,672.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 1,520.26", "B) 1,368.37", "C) 1,216.48", "D) 1,672.14"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,368.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,520.26\nB) 1,368.37\nC) 1,216.48\nD) 1,672.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 1,520.26", "B) 1,368.37", "C) 1,216.48", "D) 1,672.14"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,368.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-5d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,812.03\nB) 1,508.26\nC) 1,356.37\nD) 1,052.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 1,812.03", "B) 1,508.26", "C) 1,356.37", "D) 1,052.60"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,356.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,812.03\nB) 1,508.26\nC) 1,356.37\nD) 1,052.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 1,812.03", "B) 1,508.26", "C) 1,356.37", "D) 1,052.60"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,356.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-10d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,201.85\nD) 1,353.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 1,809.40", "B) 1,049.97", "C) 1,201.85", "D) 1,353.74"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,201.85\nD) 1,353.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 1,809.40", "B) 1,049.97", "C) 1,201.85", "D) 1,353.74"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-20d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,353.74\nB) 1,201.85\nC) 1,809.40\nD) 1,657.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 1,353.74", "B) 1,201.85", "C) 1,809.40", "D) 1,657.51"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,353.74\nB) 1,201.85\nC) 1,809.40\nD) 1,657.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 1,353.74", "B) 1,201.85", "C) 1,809.40", "D) 1,657.51"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-40d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,353.74\nC) 1,505.63\nD) 1,049.97", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 1,809.40", "B) 1,353.74", "C) 1,505.63", "D) 1,049.97"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,809.40\nB) 1,353.74\nC) 1,505.63\nD) 1,049.97", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 1,809.40", "B) 1,353.74", "C) 1,505.63", "D) 1,049.97"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-60d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,505.63\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,353.74\nD) 1,201.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 1,505.63", "B) 1,049.97", "C) 1,353.74", "D) 1,201.85"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Iraq War begins\" on 2003-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2003-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2003-03-18.)\n\nA) 1,505.63\nB) 1,049.97\nC) 1,353.74\nD) 1,201.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2003-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2003-03-18", "options": ["A) 1,505.63", "B) 1,049.97", "C) 1,353.74", "D) 1,201.85"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,353.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Iraq War begins", "event_date": "2003-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20030319-120d-min", "year": 2003} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.55%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 3.40%\nD) 4.69%", "options": ["A) 5.55%", "B) 3.83%", "C) 3.40%", "D) 4.69%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.75%\nB) -9.96%\nC) -5.86%\nD) -14.06%", "options": ["A) -1.75%", "B) -9.96%", "C) -5.86%", "D) -14.06%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.90%\nB) 15.76%\nC) 23.62%\nD) 19.69%", "options": ["A) 7.90%", "B) 15.76%", "C) 23.62%", "D) 19.69%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 74.38%\nB) 85.40%\nC) 78.51%\nD) 82.64%", "options": ["A) 74.38%", "B) 85.40%", "C) 78.51%", "D) 82.64%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.89%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 8.91%\nD) 6.40%", "options": ["A) 3.89%", "B) 4.73%", "C) 8.91%", "D) 6.40%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 339,000\nB) 422,472\nC) 255,528\nD) 366,824", "options": ["A) 339,000", "B) 422,472", "C) 255,528", "D) 366,824"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "339,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 85.35\nB) 80.10\nC) 83.25\nD) 76.96", "options": ["A) 85.35", "B) 80.10", "C) 83.25", "D) 76.96"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $9,378B\nB) $9,666B\nC) $8,803B\nD) $8,227B", "options": ["A) $9,378B", "B) $9,666B", "C) $8,803B", "D) $8,227B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$8,803B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 98.14\nB) 95.36\nC) 89.81\nD) 92.59", "options": ["A) 98.14", "B) 95.36", "C) 89.81", "D) 92.59"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "92.59", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,035B\nB) $9,319B\nC) $8,181B\nD) $9,604B", "options": ["A) $9,035B", "B) $9,319B", "C) $8,181B", "D) $9,604B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$9,035B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.23%\nB) 5.44%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 3.86%", "options": ["A) 6.23%", "B) 5.44%", "C) 7.80%", "D) 3.86%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.68%\nB) 11.28%\nC) 7.38%\nD) 9.98%", "options": ["A) 8.68%", "B) 11.28%", "C) 7.38%", "D) 9.98%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 6.72%\nC) 7.55%\nD) 5.89%", "options": ["A) 4.22%", "B) 6.72%", "C) 7.55%", "D) 5.89%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.20%\nB) 57.85%\nC) 64.07%\nD) 60.33%", "options": ["A) 62.20%", "B) 57.85%", "C) 64.07%", "D) 60.33%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.71%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 7.89%\nD) -3.02%", "options": ["A) 5.71%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 7.89%", "D) -3.02%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) -13.66%\nB) 7.45%\nC) 28.56%\nD) 91.89%", "options": ["A) -13.66%", "B) 7.45%", "C) 28.56%", "D) 91.89%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "28.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $64,268M\nB) $58,086M\nC) $51,904M\nD) $54,995M", "options": ["A) $64,268M", "B) $58,086M", "C) $51,904M", "D) $54,995M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$54,995M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) -0.73pp\nC) +0.53pp\nD) +0.22pp", "options": ["A) -0.10pp", "B) -0.73pp", "C) +0.53pp", "D) +0.22pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 67.12%\nB) 65.80%\nC) 62.51%\nD) 64.48%", "options": ["A) 67.12%", "B) 65.80%", "C) 62.51%", "D) 64.48%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "65.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1545\nB) 1.2733\nC) 1.2139\nD) 1.0952", "options": ["A) 1.1545", "B) 1.2733", "C) 1.2139", "D) 1.0952"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2139", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,176B\nB) $6,902B\nC) $5,803B\nD) $6,352B", "options": ["A) $7,176B", "B) $6,902B", "C) $5,803B", "D) $6,352B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$6,352B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 5.94%\nD) 0.19%", "options": ["A) 1.63%", "B) 4.50%", "C) 5.94%", "D) 0.19%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 4.37%\nD) 2.35%", "options": ["A) 3.36%", "B) 1.34%", "C) 4.37%", "D) 2.35%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +11.83pp\nB) +1.17pp\nC) +6.50pp\nD) -4.17pp", "options": ["A) +11.83pp", "B) +1.17pp", "C) +6.50pp", "D) -4.17pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+6.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $302,187M\nB) $325,075M\nC) $340,334M\nD) $317,446M", "options": ["A) $302,187M", "B) $325,075M", "C) $340,334M", "D) $317,446M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$317,446M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 144.08\nB) 157.79\nC) 130.37\nD) 137.23", "options": ["A) 144.08", "B) 157.79", "C) 130.37", "D) 137.23"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "144.08", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 69.76%\nB) 77.47%\nC) 74.39%\nD) 80.56%", "options": ["A) 69.76%", "B) 77.47%", "C) 74.39%", "D) 80.56%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "77.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.76pp\nB) -1.36pp\nC) +1.44pp\nD) +2.85pp", "options": ["A) -2.76pp", "B) -1.36pp", "C) +1.44pp", "D) +2.85pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.44pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.45%\nB) 13.92%\nC) 11.63%\nD) 13.15%", "options": ["A) 15.45%", "B) 13.92%", "C) 11.63%", "D) 13.15%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,006.58\nB) 1,089.22\nC) 2,465.26\nD) 1,547.90", "options": ["A) 2,006.58", "B) 1,089.22", "C) 2,465.26", "D) 1,547.90"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,006.58", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) +7.90pp\nB) +18.20pp\nC) +28.50pp\nD) +33.65pp", "options": ["A) +7.90pp", "B) +18.20pp", "C) +28.50pp", "D) +33.65pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+18.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $14.83/hr\nB) $16.42/hr\nC) $15.78/hr\nD) $15.46/hr", "options": ["A) $14.83/hr", "B) $16.42/hr", "C) $15.78/hr", "D) $15.46/hr"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$15.78/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.24%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 4.10%", "options": ["A) 5.24%", "B) 3.72%", "C) 2.96%", "D) 4.10%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) $34.66/bbl\nB) $32.45/bbl\nC) $39.07/bbl\nD) $30.25/bbl", "options": ["A) $34.66/bbl", "B) $32.45/bbl", "C) $39.07/bbl", "D) $30.25/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$34.66/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.19%", "options": ["A) 1.60%", "B) 1.90%", "C) 1.01%", "D) 2.19%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 69.96%\nB) 64.02%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 67.98%", "options": ["A) 69.96%", "B) 64.02%", "C) 66.00%", "D) 67.98%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "66.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 0.94%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 1.90%", "options": ["A) 1.58%", "B) 0.94%", "C) 2.22%", "D) 1.90%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2,041K\nB) 2,208K\nC) 1,874K\nD) 2,125K", "options": ["A) 2,041K", "B) 2,208K", "C) 1,874K", "D) 2,125K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,041K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 14.51%\nB) 17.59%\nC) 20.66%\nD) 11.43%", "options": ["A) 14.51%", "B) 17.59%", "C) 20.66%", "D) 11.43%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.20%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 7.39%\nD) 3.83%", "options": ["A) 6.20%", "B) 5.02%", "C) 7.39%", "D) 3.83%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.90%\nB) 3.67%\nC) 2.06%\nD) 4.48%", "options": ["A) 6.90%", "B) 3.67%", "C) 2.06%", "D) 4.48%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 131,140K\nB) 135,074K\nC) 128,517K\nD) 124,583K", "options": ["A) 131,140K", "B) 135,074K", "C) 128,517K", "D) 124,583K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "131,140K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $62,259M\nB) $56,227M\nC) $47,178M\nD) $50,195M", "options": ["A) $62,259M", "B) $56,227M", "C) $47,178M", "D) $50,195M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$56,227M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 183.20\nB) 206.08\nC) 197.50\nD) 188.92", "options": ["A) 183.20", "B) 206.08", "C) 197.50", "D) 188.92"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "197.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,598B\nB) $7,828B\nC) $8,085B\nD) $8,342B", "options": ["A) $8,598B", "B) $7,828B", "C) $8,085B", "D) $8,342B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$8,342B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,158B\nB) $5,885B\nC) $5,339B\nD) $6,704B", "options": ["A) $6,158B", "B) $5,885B", "C) $5,339B", "D) $6,704B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$6,158B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,036,330\nB) 2,990,000\nC) 2,354,220\nD) 3,943,670", "options": ["A) 2,036,330", "B) 2,990,000", "C) 2,354,220", "D) 3,943,670"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,990,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 82.33\nB) 77.11\nC) 79.20\nD) 73.98", "options": ["A) 82.33", "B) 77.11", "C) 79.20", "D) 73.98"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "79.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.56pp\nB) +0.82pp\nC) +1.09pp\nD) +0.30pp", "options": ["A) +0.56pp", "B) +0.82pp", "C) +1.09pp", "D) +0.30pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2,066K\nB) 2,252K\nC) 1,942K\nD) 2,004K", "options": ["A) 2,066K", "B) 2,252K", "C) 1,942K", "D) 2,004K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,066K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.77%\nB) 6.64%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 0.25%", "options": ["A) 8.77%", "B) 6.64%", "C) 2.38%", "D) 0.25%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) -0.60%\nC) 0.69%\nD) -1.25%", "options": ["A) 1.99%", "B) -0.60%", "C) 0.69%", "D) -1.25%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,797K\nB) 1,931K\nC) 1,864K\nD) 1,998K", "options": ["A) 1,797K", "B) 1,931K", "C) 1,864K", "D) 1,998K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,998K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 3.15%\nD) 1.40%", "options": ["A) 2.27%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 3.15%", "D) 1.40%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 1.75%", "options": ["A) 2.19%", "B) 1.86%", "C) 1.64%", "D) 1.75%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 6.35%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.64%", "options": ["A) 2.81%", "B) 6.35%", "C) 4.93%", "D) 5.64%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.47\nB) 6.68\nC) 17.84\nD) 15.05", "options": ["A) 9.47", "B) 6.68", "C) 17.84", "D) 15.05"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 5.22%\nC) -1.70%\nD) 6.60%", "options": ["A) 2.45%", "B) 5.22%", "C) -1.70%", "D) 6.60%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 155.72\nB) 147.70\nC) 134.34\nD) 139.68", "options": ["A) 155.72", "B) 147.70", "C) 134.34", "D) 139.68"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "147.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.37%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 5.80%\nD) 4.51%", "options": ["A) 5.37%", "B) 4.94%", "C) 5.80%", "D) 4.51%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 210.59\nB) 189.46\nC) 204.55\nD) 195.50", "options": ["A) 210.59", "B) 189.46", "C) 204.55", "D) 195.50"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "195.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $737M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $737M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$737M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $15.90/hr\nB) $15.56/hr\nC) $16.58/hr\nD) $16.24/hr", "options": ["A) $15.90/hr", "B) $15.56/hr", "C) $16.58/hr", "D) $16.24/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$15.56/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 18.42%\nB) 3.21%\nC) 10.81%\nD) -0.59%", "options": ["A) 18.42%", "B) 3.21%", "C) 10.81%", "D) -0.59%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 3.07%\nD) 1.00%", "options": ["A) 4.11%", "B) 2.04%", "C) 3.07%", "D) 1.00%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) $6,106B\nB) $5,868B\nC) $6,818B\nD) $6,580B", "options": ["A) $6,106B", "B) $5,868B", "C) $6,818B", "D) $6,580B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$6,106B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,825K\nB) 1,905K\nC) 2,145K\nD) 2,065K", "options": ["A) 1,825K", "B) 1,905K", "C) 2,145K", "D) 2,065K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,905K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.82%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 6.66%", "options": ["A) 5.82%", "B) 4.14%", "C) 5.40%", "D) 6.66%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 1.61%", "options": ["A) 0.54%", "B) 4.82%", "C) 3.75%", "D) 1.61%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 4.11%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 3.32%", "options": ["A) 4.50%", "B) 4.11%", "C) 5.29%", "D) 3.32%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.01pp\nB) -0.30pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.20pp", "options": ["A) +0.01pp", "B) -0.30pp", "C) -0.40pp", "D) -0.20pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 0.78%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 2.33%", "options": ["A) 1.82%", "B) 0.78%", "C) 1.56%", "D) 2.33%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) -1.75%\nC) 13.16%\nD) 8.19%", "options": ["A) 3.22%", "B) -1.75%", "C) 13.16%", "D) 8.19%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.18%\nD) 2.22%", "options": ["A) 1.96%", "B) 2.48%", "C) 1.18%", "D) 2.22%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 141,335K\nB) 132,089K\nC) 136,052K\nD) 128,126K", "options": ["A) 141,335K", "B) 132,089K", "C) 136,052K", "D) 128,126K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "132,089K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.31%\nB) 17.02%\nC) 5.46%\nD) 1.61%", "options": ["A) 9.31%", "B) 17.02%", "C) 5.46%", "D) 1.61%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 11.31%\nB) -8.89%\nC) 21.40%\nD) 6.26%", "options": ["A) 11.31%", "B) -8.89%", "C) 21.40%", "D) 6.26%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 109.5900\nB) 101.5497\nC) 97.5295\nD) 113.6102", "options": ["A) 109.5900", "B) 101.5497", "C) 97.5295", "D) 113.6102"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "109.5900", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) $41.99/bbl\nB) $37.18/bbl\nC) $29.96/bbl\nD) $39.59/bbl", "options": ["A) $41.99/bbl", "B) $37.18/bbl", "C) $29.96/bbl", "D) $39.59/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$37.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 1.84%", "options": ["A) 1.62%", "B) 2.06%", "C) 1.95%", "D) 1.84%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.72\nB) 83.59\nC) 85.54\nD) 80.66", "options": ["A) 77.72", "B) 83.59", "C) 85.54", "D) 80.66"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "80.66", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $309,471M\nB) $301,924M\nC) $332,113M\nD) $286,829M", "options": ["A) $309,471M", "B) $301,924M", "C) $332,113M", "D) $286,829M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$309,471M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,328B\nB) $8,099B\nC) $8,356B\nD) $7,585B", "options": ["A) $7,328B", "B) $8,099B", "C) $8,356B", "D) $7,585B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$8,099B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.41%\nB) 7.01%\nC) 6.21%\nD) 3.82%", "options": ["A) 5.41%", "B) 7.01%", "C) 6.21%", "D) 3.82%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 1.74%", "options": ["A) 0.93%", "B) 2.14%", "C) 2.55%", "D) 1.74%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.32%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 4.97%\nD) 7.22%", "options": ["A) 6.32%", "B) 6.77%", "C) 4.97%", "D) 7.22%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.88%\nB) 5.45%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 5.02%", "options": ["A) 5.88%", "B) 5.45%", "C) 4.81%", "D) 5.02%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 1.58%", "options": ["A) 3.46%", "B) 1.96%", "C) 2.33%", "D) 1.58%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.0283\nB) 8.6904\nC) 8.4421\nD) 8.2766", "options": ["A) 8.0283", "B) 8.6904", "C) 8.4421", "D) 8.2766"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.2766", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $188,444M\nB) $193,974M\nC) $177,383M\nD) $171,853M", "options": ["A) $188,444M", "B) $193,974M", "C) $177,383M", "D) $171,853M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$188,444M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.70%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 3.32%\nD) 2.15%", "options": ["A) 3.70%", "B) 2.54%", "C) 3.32%", "D) 2.15%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 10.52%\nB) 12.33%\nC) 11.42%\nD) 10.06%", "options": ["A) 10.52%", "B) 12.33%", "C) 11.42%", "D) 10.06%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.29%\nB) 2.88%\nC) 7.11%\nD) 5.70%", "options": ["A) 4.29%", "B) 2.88%", "C) 7.11%", "D) 5.70%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -0.10pp", "options": ["A) -0.30pp", "B) -0.40pp", "C) -0.60pp", "D) -0.10pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.31pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) -1.71pp\nD) -1.04pp", "options": ["A) +0.31pp", "B) -0.70pp", "C) -1.71pp", "D) -1.04pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $-36,273M\nB) $-50,248M\nC) $-46,754M\nD) $-57,235M", "options": ["A) $-36,273M", "B) $-50,248M", "C) $-46,754M", "D) $-57,235M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-46,754M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 138.36\nB) 133.61\nC) 147.84\nD) 143.10", "options": ["A) 138.36", "B) 133.61", "C) 147.84", "D) 143.10"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "143.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 94.20\nB) 107.67\nC) 80.73\nD) 85.22", "options": ["A) 94.20", "B) 107.67", "C) 80.73", "D) 85.22"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "94.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 56.01%\nB) 17.21%\nC) 36.61%\nD) 75.41%", "options": ["A) 56.01%", "B) 17.21%", "C) 36.61%", "D) 75.41%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 4.61%", "options": ["A) 1.85%", "B) 0.93%", "C) 2.77%", "D) 4.61%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.93\nB) 98.43\nC) 96.56\nD) 93.75", "options": ["A) 90.93", "B) 98.43", "C) 96.56", "D) 93.75"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "93.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 23.55%\nB) -18.88%\nC) 87.20%\nD) 2.33%", "options": ["A) 23.55%", "B) -18.88%", "C) 87.20%", "D) 2.33%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "23.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.07\nB) 79.93\nC) 78.00\nD) 82.83", "options": ["A) 76.07", "B) 79.93", "C) 78.00", "D) 82.83"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "79.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 0.17%", "options": ["A) 2.03%", "B) 2.65%", "C) 1.41%", "D) 0.17%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.54%\nB) 0.07%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 4.47%", "options": ["A) 1.54%", "B) 0.07%", "C) 5.93%", "D) 4.47%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 187.10\nB) 193.30\nC) 180.90\nD) 171.61", "options": ["A) 187.10", "B) 193.30", "C) 180.90", "D) 171.61"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "187.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.43%\nB) 62.30%\nC) 59.18%\nD) 64.17%", "options": ["A) 60.43%", "B) 62.30%", "C) 59.18%", "D) 64.17%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "62.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $762M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $4,300,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $762M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$762M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.36pp\nB) +2.96pp\nC) +0.88pp\nD) +1.92pp", "options": ["A) +0.36pp", "B) +2.96pp", "C) +0.88pp", "D) +1.92pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+1.92pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 155.11\nB) 178.23\nC) 147.40\nD) 170.52", "options": ["A) 155.11", "B) 178.23", "C) 147.40", "D) 170.52"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "155.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.65%\nB) 4.08%\nC) -5.78%\nD) -2.49%", "options": ["A) 10.65%", "B) 4.08%", "C) -5.78%", "D) -2.49%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.72%\nB) 2.68%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 7.37%", "options": ["A) 9.72%", "B) 2.68%", "C) 6.20%", "D) 7.37%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) 198.70\nB) 183.86\nC) 174.96\nD) 189.80", "options": ["A) 198.70", "B) 183.86", "C) 174.96", "D) 189.80"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "189.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.80\nB) 81.24\nC) 86.09\nD) 105.51", "options": ["A) 95.80", "B) 81.24", "C) 86.09", "D) 105.51"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "95.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.59pp\nB) +2.03pp\nC) +4.90pp\nD) +6.33pp", "options": ["A) +0.59pp", "B) +2.03pp", "C) +4.90pp", "D) +6.33pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+2.03pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20040615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2004-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2004-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2004-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2004-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.25%", "options": ["A) 4.55%", "B) 5.20%", "C) 3.90%", "D) 3.25%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20040901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-08-01.)\n\nA) $-47,927M\nB) $-44,168M\nC) $-62,964M\nD) $-51,686M", "options": ["A) $-47,927M", "B) $-44,168M", "C) $-62,964M", "D) $-51,686M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-51,686M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) $190,869M\nB) $207,499M\nC) $196,412M\nD) $201,956M", "options": ["A) $190,869M", "B) $207,499M", "C) $196,412M", "D) $201,956M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$190,869M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20040301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2004", "info_cutoff": "2004-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2004? (Use only information available on or before 2004-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.98pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) +0.58pp\nD) +0.32pp", "options": ["A) -0.98pp", "B) -0.20pp", "C) +0.58pp", "D) +0.32pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2004} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.37%\nB) 4.42%\nC) 5.20%\nD) 5.98%", "options": ["A) 6.37%", "B) 4.42%", "C) 5.20%", "D) 5.98%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 166.30\nB) 158.10\nC) 174.49\nD) 162.20", "options": ["A) 166.30", "B) 158.10", "C) 174.49", "D) 162.20"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "162.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2,151K\nB) 2,248K\nC) 2,441K\nD) 1,958K", "options": ["A) 2,151K", "B) 2,248K", "C) 2,441K", "D) 1,958K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,151K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.62%\nB) 10.88%\nC) 8.13%\nD) 19.11%", "options": ["A) 13.62%", "B) 10.88%", "C) 8.13%", "D) 19.11%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 207.92\nB) 201.99\nC) 193.10\nD) 187.17", "options": ["A) 207.92", "B) 201.99", "C) 193.10", "D) 187.17"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "193.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.34\nB) 91.62\nC) 93.55\nD) 96.45", "options": ["A) 99.34", "B) 91.62", "C) 93.55", "D) 96.45"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "96.45", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.50pp\nB) +1.04pp\nC) -0.04pp\nD) +1.31pp", "options": ["A) +0.50pp", "B) +1.04pp", "C) -0.04pp", "D) +1.31pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +0.30pp\nC) +0.59pp\nD) +0.01pp", "options": ["A) +0.40pp", "B) +0.30pp", "C) +0.59pp", "D) +0.01pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.31%\nB) 11.35%\nC) 14.23%\nD) 13.27%", "options": ["A) 12.31%", "B) 11.35%", "C) 14.23%", "D) 13.27%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.53%\nB) 2.16%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 3.00%", "options": ["A) 5.53%", "B) 2.16%", "C) 3.84%", "D) 3.00%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.06%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 2.23%", "options": ["A) 4.06%", "B) 4.98%", "C) 5.89%", "D) 2.23%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) +7.16pp\nB) -3.20pp\nC) -18.74pp\nD) -13.56pp", "options": ["A) +7.16pp", "B) -3.20pp", "C) -18.74pp", "D) -13.56pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $788M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $788M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$788M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,884B\nB) $9,454B\nC) $10,025B\nD) $9,169B", "options": ["A) $8,884B", "B) $9,454B", "C) $10,025B", "D) $9,169B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$9,169B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) $54.12/bbl\nB) $45.79/bbl\nC) $41.63/bbl\nD) $49.96/bbl", "options": ["A) $54.12/bbl", "B) $45.79/bbl", "C) $41.63/bbl", "D) $49.96/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$54.12/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.06%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 61.54%\nD) 65.94%", "options": ["A) 64.06%", "B) 62.80%", "C) 61.54%", "D) 65.94%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "62.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.18pp\nB) -22.42pp\nC) -17.30pp\nD) -27.53pp", "options": ["A) -12.18pp", "B) -22.42pp", "C) -17.30pp", "D) -27.53pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-17.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.00pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.29pp\nD) -0.10pp", "options": ["A) -0.00pp", "B) -0.20pp", "C) -0.29pp", "D) -0.10pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 177.61\nB) 187.53\nC) 207.36\nD) 167.70", "options": ["A) 177.61", "B) 187.53", "C) 207.36", "D) 167.70"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "177.61", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 85.70\nB) 81.38\nC) 78.13\nD) 83.54", "options": ["A) 85.70", "B) 81.38", "C) 78.13", "D) 83.54"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "81.38", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 5.10%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 3.03%", "options": ["A) 2.34%", "B) 5.10%", "C) 3.72%", "D) 3.03%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,782K\nB) 2,249K\nC) 1,875K\nD) 2,062K", "options": ["A) 1,782K", "B) 2,249K", "C) 1,875K", "D) 2,062K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,062K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) $55.53/bbl\nB) $51.16/bbl\nC) $59.90/bbl\nD) $68.63/bbl", "options": ["A) $55.53/bbl", "B) $51.16/bbl", "C) $59.90/bbl", "D) $68.63/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$55.53/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.94pp\nB) -0.60pp\nC) +0.42pp\nD) -1.62pp", "options": ["A) -0.94pp", "B) -0.60pp", "C) +0.42pp", "D) -1.62pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 195.99\nB) 190.69\nC) 201.30\nD) 206.61", "options": ["A) 195.99", "B) 190.69", "C) 201.30", "D) 206.61"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "201.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $16.88/hr\nB) $15.36/hr\nC) $14.76/hr\nD) $15.97/hr", "options": ["A) $16.88/hr", "B) $15.36/hr", "C) $14.76/hr", "D) $15.97/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$15.97/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,452B\nB) $10,315B\nC) $8,877B\nD) $9,740B", "options": ["A) $9,452B", "B) $10,315B", "C) $8,877B", "D) $9,740B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$9,452B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 79.75\nB) 81.74\nC) 86.69\nD) 84.71", "options": ["A) 79.75", "B) 81.74", "C) 86.69", "D) 84.71"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "81.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 8.05%\nC) 6.70%\nD) 4.67%", "options": ["A) 5.35%", "B) 8.05%", "C) 6.70%", "D) 4.67%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 82.95%\nB) 85.44%\nC) 77.98%\nD) 80.46%", "options": ["A) 82.95%", "B) 85.44%", "C) 77.98%", "D) 80.46%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "80.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.87%\nB) -7.08%\nC) 7.85%\nD) -2.10%", "options": ["A) 2.87%", "B) -7.08%", "C) 7.85%", "D) -2.10%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.53%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 8.81%\nD) 3.70%", "options": ["A) 7.53%", "B) 4.98%", "C) 8.81%", "D) 3.70%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.98\nB) 79.94\nC) 76.90\nD) 86.02", "options": ["A) 82.98", "B) 79.94", "C) 76.90", "D) 86.02"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "76.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -15.00%\nB) 1.59%\nC) -19.15%\nD) -6.71%", "options": ["A) -15.00%", "B) 1.59%", "C) -19.15%", "D) -6.71%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-6.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $16.19/hr\nB) $15.33/hr\nC) $17.34/hr\nD) $16.76/hr", "options": ["A) $16.19/hr", "B) $15.33/hr", "C) $17.34/hr", "D) $16.76/hr"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$16.19/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $356,977M\nB) $336,600M\nC) $306,035M\nD) $326,412M", "options": ["A) $356,977M", "B) $336,600M", "C) $306,035M", "D) $326,412M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$336,600M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.13%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 3.53%", "options": ["A) 4.74%", "B) 4.13%", "C) 3.83%", "D) 3.53%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -9.82%\nB) 1.56%\nC) -6.03%\nD) -2.23%", "options": ["A) -9.82%", "B) 1.56%", "C) -6.03%", "D) -2.23%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 4.33%\nC) 0.32%\nD) -2.34%", "options": ["A) 1.66%", "B) 4.33%", "C) 0.32%", "D) -2.34%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $-59,915M\nB) $-64,882M\nC) $-49,981M\nD) $-74,816M", "options": ["A) $-59,915M", "B) $-64,882M", "C) $-49,981M", "D) $-74,816M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-64,882M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) 2.17%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 2.66%", "options": ["A) 1.19%", "B) 2.17%", "C) 1.92%", "D) 2.66%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 0.32%\nD) 1.54%", "options": ["A) 2.14%", "B) 0.93%", "C) 0.32%", "D) 1.54%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 47.76%\nB) 32.91%\nC) 18.05%\nD) 77.48%", "options": ["A) 47.76%", "B) 32.91%", "C) 18.05%", "D) 77.48%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "47.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 4.74%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 5.11%", "options": ["A) 5.86%", "B) 4.74%", "C) 4.00%", "D) 5.11%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 1.82%", "options": ["A) 2.07%", "B) 1.94%", "C) 2.19%", "D) 1.82%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.82%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 3.21%", "options": ["A) 2.82%", "B) 2.04%", "C) 3.98%", "D) 3.21%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.99pp\nB) +4.46pp\nC) +5.92pp\nD) +0.06pp", "options": ["A) +2.99pp", "B) +4.46pp", "C) +5.92pp", "D) +0.06pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+2.99pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 0.77%\nD) 1.32%", "options": ["A) 2.96%", "B) 1.86%", "C) 0.77%", "D) 1.32%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 3.90%\nD) 3.42%", "options": ["A) 5.35%", "B) 4.38%", "C) 3.90%", "D) 3.42%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.07pp\nB) -0.33pp\nC) +0.73pp\nD) +0.20pp", "options": ["A) -0.07pp", "B) -0.33pp", "C) +0.73pp", "D) +0.20pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,448B\nB) $5,904B\nC) $5,632B\nD) $6,176B", "options": ["A) $6,448B", "B) $5,904B", "C) $5,632B", "D) $6,176B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$6,448B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $774M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $774M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$774M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.03\nB) 89.08\nC) 95.30\nD) 92.81", "options": ["A) 99.03", "B) 89.08", "C) 95.30", "D) 92.81"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "95.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2,464K\nB) 1,961K\nC) 2,364K\nD) 2,263K", "options": ["A) 2,464K", "B) 1,961K", "C) 2,364K", "D) 2,263K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,263K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 6.00%\nD) 4.51%", "options": ["A) 5.63%", "B) 6.38%", "C) 6.00%", "D) 4.51%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) $6,411B\nB) $6,698B\nC) $6,124B\nD) $5,837B", "options": ["A) $6,411B", "B) $6,698B", "C) $6,124B", "D) $5,837B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$6,698B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,866B\nB) $9,134B\nC) $8,598B\nD) $9,402B", "options": ["A) $8,866B", "B) $9,134B", "C) $8,598B", "D) $9,402B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$8,598B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.27%\nB) 65.52%\nC) 60.53%\nD) 62.40%", "options": ["A) 64.27%", "B) 65.52%", "C) 60.53%", "D) 62.40%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) -2.79pp\nC) +1.88pp\nD) -4.35pp", "options": ["A) +0.32pp", "B) -2.79pp", "C) +1.88pp", "D) -4.35pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.32pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 2.60%", "options": ["A) 1.85%", "B) 2.35%", "C) 2.86%", "D) 2.60%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.65%\nB) 14.16%\nC) 9.82%\nD) 3.31%", "options": ["A) 7.65%", "B) 14.16%", "C) 9.82%", "D) 3.31%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 365,437\nB) 343,219\nC) 298,781\nD) 321,000", "options": ["A) 365,437", "B) 343,219", "C) 298,781", "D) 321,000"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "321,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $-53,134M\nB) $-66,007M\nC) $-48,843M\nD) $-61,716M", "options": ["A) $-53,134M", "B) $-66,007M", "C) $-48,843M", "D) $-61,716M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-53,134M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 7.15%\nD) 5.53%", "options": ["A) 3.09%", "B) 4.72%", "C) 7.15%", "D) 5.53%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.52%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 2.26%", "options": ["A) 1.52%", "B) 3.01%", "C) 2.63%", "D) 2.26%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 15.94%\nC) -3.28%\nD) 8.25%", "options": ["A) 4.41%", "B) 15.94%", "C) -3.28%", "D) 8.25%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 5.52%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 1.46%", "options": ["A) 4.17%", "B) 5.52%", "C) 6.88%", "D) 1.46%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 12.43%\nB) 9.71%\nC) 11.07%\nD) 5.62%", "options": ["A) 12.43%", "B) 9.71%", "C) 11.07%", "D) 5.62%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 3.63%", "options": ["A) 2.16%", "B) 3.34%", "C) 2.75%", "D) 3.63%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.74%\nB) 41.33%\nC) 85.10%\nD) 55.92%", "options": ["A) 26.74%", "B) 41.33%", "C) 85.10%", "D) 55.92%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "55.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.2765\nB) 8.4420\nC) 8.6903\nD) 8.0282", "options": ["A) 8.2765", "B) 8.4420", "C) 8.6903", "D) 8.0282"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.2765", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,953K\nB) 1,864K\nC) 1,775K\nD) 1,596K", "options": ["A) 1,953K", "B) 1,864K", "C) 1,775K", "D) 1,596K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,864K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.74%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.33%", "options": ["A) 3.74%", "B) 1.26%", "C) 2.50%", "D) 3.33%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $175,867M\nB) $197,349M\nC) $181,237M\nD) $186,608M", "options": ["A) $175,867M", "B) $197,349M", "C) $181,237M", "D) $186,608M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$186,608M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2106\nB) 1.2907\nC) 1.1305\nD) 1.0504", "options": ["A) 1.2106", "B) 1.2907", "C) 1.1305", "D) 1.0504"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2106", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.83\nB) 11.46\nC) 21.58\nD) 8.09", "options": ["A) 14.83", "B) 11.46", "C) 21.58", "D) 8.09"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11.46", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 191.83\nB) 213.89\nC) 200.10\nD) 208.37", "options": ["A) 191.83", "B) 213.89", "C) 200.10", "D) 208.37"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "200.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 160.02\nB) 144.22\nC) 150.54\nD) 153.70", "options": ["A) 160.02", "B) 144.22", "C) 150.54", "D) 153.70"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "153.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.41%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 0.93%\nD) 13.88%", "options": ["A) 7.41%", "B) 5.25%", "C) 0.93%", "D) 13.88%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 4.12%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.76%", "options": ["A) 5.09%", "B) 4.12%", "C) 4.44%", "D) 4.76%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.40%\nB) 19.25%\nC) 3.77%\nD) -11.72%", "options": ["A) -1.40%", "B) 19.25%", "C) 3.77%", "D) -11.72%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.66\nB) 85.52\nC) 89.03\nD) 83.17", "options": ["A) 79.66", "B) 85.52", "C) 89.03", "D) 83.17"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "83.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $326,179M\nB) $351,547M\nC) $317,723M\nD) $309,267M", "options": ["A) $326,179M", "B) $351,547M", "C) $317,723M", "D) $309,267M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$326,179M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.45%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 4.89%\nD) 3.75%", "options": ["A) 9.45%", "B) 6.03%", "C) 4.89%", "D) 3.75%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 78.31\nB) 85.51\nC) 82.42\nD) 80.37", "options": ["A) 78.31", "B) 85.51", "C) 82.42", "D) 80.37"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "82.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $221,023M\nB) $186,971M\nC) $215,347M\nD) $203,997M", "options": ["A) $221,023M", "B) $186,971M", "C) $215,347M", "D) $203,997M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$203,997M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,074.92\nB) 1,756.66\nC) 2,393.18\nD) 3,029.71", "options": ["A) 2,074.92", "B) 1,756.66", "C) 2,393.18", "D) 3,029.71"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,074.92", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.37%\nD) 2.03%", "options": ["A) 2.59%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 2.37%", "D) 2.03%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 3.21%\nC) 4.62%\nD) 3.92%", "options": ["A) 6.03%", "B) 3.21%", "C) 4.62%", "D) 3.92%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,124B\nB) $6,096B\nC) $6,353B\nD) $6,610B", "options": ["A) $7,124B", "B) $6,096B", "C) $6,353B", "D) $6,610B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$6,610B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 134,552K\nB) 141,280K\nC) 131,861K\nD) 137,243K", "options": ["A) 134,552K", "B) 141,280K", "C) 131,861K", "D) 137,243K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "134,552K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) $51,073M\nB) $56,576M\nC) $64,831M\nD) $62,079M", "options": ["A) $51,073M", "B) $56,576M", "C) $64,831M", "D) $62,079M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$56,576M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $60,580M\nB) $65,051M\nC) $58,344M\nD) $62,816M", "options": ["A) $60,580M", "B) $65,051M", "C) $58,344M", "D) $62,816M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$58,344M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.00%", "options": ["A) 3.81%", "B) 1.40%", "C) 2.60%", "D) 2.00%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,900B\nB) $8,309B\nC) $8,605B\nD) $9,788B", "options": ["A) $8,900B", "B) $8,309B", "C) $8,605B", "D) $9,788B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$8,900B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.65%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 5.32%\nD) 4.03%", "options": ["A) 5.65%", "B) 5.00%", "C) 5.32%", "D) 4.03%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.53%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.59%", "options": ["A) 6.53%", "B) 1.80%", "C) 4.16%", "D) 2.59%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.37%\nB) -29.82%\nC) -13.09%\nD) 3.64%", "options": ["A) 20.37%", "B) -29.82%", "C) -13.09%", "D) 3.64%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.05pp\nC) +0.65pp\nD) -1.10pp", "options": ["A) -0.40pp", "B) -0.05pp", "C) +0.65pp", "D) -1.10pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 12.91%\nC) 25.13%\nD) 16.98%", "options": ["A) 4.77%", "B) 12.91%", "C) 25.13%", "D) 16.98%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) -6.56%\nC) -0.19%\nD) 6.17%", "options": ["A) 2.99%", "B) -6.56%", "C) -0.19%", "D) 6.17%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 6.07%\nC) 2.80%\nD) 3.62%", "options": ["A) 1.17%", "B) 6.07%", "C) 2.80%", "D) 3.62%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 164.58\nB) 173.04\nC) 181.50\nD) 189.96", "options": ["A) 164.58", "B) 173.04", "C) 181.50", "D) 189.96"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "164.58", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 137,149K\nB) 133,154K\nC) 139,812K\nD) 130,491K", "options": ["A) 137,149K", "B) 133,154K", "C) 139,812K", "D) 130,491K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "133,154K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.58%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 5.70%", "options": ["A) 0.58%", "B) 3.65%", "C) 2.63%", "D) 5.70%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 205.02\nB) 183.26\nC) 189.48\nD) 198.80", "options": ["A) 205.02", "B) 183.26", "C) 189.48", "D) 198.80"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "198.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 78.83%\nB) 73.37%\nC) 76.65%\nD) 82.11%", "options": ["A) 78.83%", "B) 73.37%", "C) 76.65%", "D) 82.11%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "78.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.85%\nB) 6.17%\nC) 6.94%\nD) 5.40%", "options": ["A) 3.85%", "B) 6.17%", "C) 6.94%", "D) 5.40%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 5.93%", "options": ["A) 4.65%", "B) 0.82%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 5.93%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.60%", "options": ["A) 2.25%", "B) 1.55%", "C) 2.95%", "D) 2.60%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,602,000\nB) 3,107,288\nC) 2,349,356\nD) 2,854,644", "options": ["A) 2,602,000", "B) 3,107,288", "C) 2,349,356", "D) 2,854,644"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,602,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 88.53\nB) 92.60\nC) 84.47\nD) 80.40", "options": ["A) 88.53", "B) 92.60", "C) 84.47", "D) 80.40"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "92.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 67.88%\nB) 63.92%\nC) 65.90%\nD) 62.61%", "options": ["A) 67.88%", "B) 63.92%", "C) 65.90%", "D) 62.61%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "65.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 121.4987\nB) 97.1813\nC) 113.3929\nD) 109.3400", "options": ["A) 121.4987", "B) 97.1813", "C) 113.3929", "D) 109.3400"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "109.3400", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.10%\nB) 64.12%\nC) 68.08%\nD) 69.41%", "options": ["A) 66.10%", "B) 64.12%", "C) 68.08%", "D) 69.41%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "66.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20050301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 6.56%\nD) 7.71%", "options": ["A) 1.93%", "B) 5.40%", "C) 6.56%", "D) 7.71%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.47pp\nB) +0.83pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +1.70pp", "options": ["A) -0.47pp", "B) +0.83pp", "C) +0.40pp", "D) +1.70pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20050901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2005", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2005? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.86%\nB) 15.73%\nC) 12.08%\nD) 14.51%", "options": ["A) 10.86%", "B) 15.73%", "C) 12.08%", "D) 14.51%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20050615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2005-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2005-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2005-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2005-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.44%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 4.25%", "options": ["A) 4.44%", "B) 5.00%", "C) 3.88%", "D) 4.25%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.94/bbl\nB) $65.83/bbl\nC) $70.72/bbl\nD) $51.17/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $60.94/bbl", "B) $65.83/bbl", "C) $70.72/bbl", "D) $51.17/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$65.83/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.94/bbl\nB) $65.83/bbl\nC) $70.72/bbl\nD) $51.17/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $60.94/bbl", "B) $65.83/bbl", "C) $70.72/bbl", "D) $51.17/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$65.83/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-5d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $58.29/bbl\nB) $48.52/bbl\nC) $63.18/bbl\nD) $68.07/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $58.29/bbl", "B) $48.52/bbl", "C) $63.18/bbl", "D) $68.07/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$63.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $58.29/bbl\nB) $48.52/bbl\nC) $63.18/bbl\nD) $68.07/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $58.29/bbl", "B) $48.52/bbl", "C) $63.18/bbl", "D) $68.07/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$63.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-10d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $67.80/bbl\nB) $58.02/bbl\nC) $72.68/bbl\nD) $62.91/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $67.80/bbl", "B) $58.02/bbl", "C) $72.68/bbl", "D) $62.91/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$62.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $67.80/bbl\nB) $58.02/bbl\nC) $72.68/bbl\nD) $62.91/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $67.80/bbl", "B) $58.02/bbl", "C) $72.68/bbl", "D) $62.91/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$62.91/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-20d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.63/bbl\nB) $50.86/bbl\nC) $75.29/bbl\nD) $55.74/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $60.63/bbl", "B) $50.86/bbl", "C) $75.29/bbl", "D) $55.74/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$60.63/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $60.63/bbl\nB) $50.86/bbl\nC) $75.29/bbl\nD) $55.74/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $60.63/bbl", "B) $50.86/bbl", "C) $75.29/bbl", "D) $55.74/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$60.63/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-40d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $65.97/bbl\nB) $56.20/bbl\nC) $70.86/bbl\nD) $41.54/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $65.97/bbl", "B) $56.20/bbl", "C) $70.86/bbl", "D) $41.54/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $65.97/bbl\nB) $56.20/bbl\nC) $70.86/bbl\nD) $41.54/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $65.97/bbl", "B) $56.20/bbl", "C) $70.86/bbl", "D) $41.54/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-60d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $46.43/bbl\nB) $51.31/bbl\nC) $56.20/bbl\nD) $65.97/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $46.43/bbl", "B) $51.31/bbl", "C) $56.20/bbl", "D) $65.97/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $46.43/bbl\nB) $51.31/bbl\nC) $56.20/bbl\nD) $65.97/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $46.43/bbl", "B) $51.31/bbl", "C) $56.20/bbl", "D) $65.97/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$56.20/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20050829-120d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $61.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $61.80/bbl", "B) $56.81/bbl", "C) $81.79/bbl", "D) $66.80/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $61.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $61.80/bbl", "B) $56.81/bbl", "C) $81.79/bbl", "D) $66.80/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-5d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $56.81/bbl\nD) $51.81/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $66.80/bbl", "B) $81.79/bbl", "C) $56.81/bbl", "D) $51.81/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $56.81/bbl\nD) $51.81/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $66.80/bbl", "B) $81.79/bbl", "C) $56.81/bbl", "D) $51.81/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-10d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $66.80/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $56.81/bbl", "B) $66.80/bbl", "C) $81.79/bbl", "D) $76.79/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $66.80/bbl\nC) $81.79/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $56.81/bbl", "B) $66.80/bbl", "C) $81.79/bbl", "D) $76.79/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-20d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $71.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $66.80/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $71.80/bbl", "B) $81.79/bbl", "C) $66.80/bbl", "D) $76.79/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $71.80/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $66.80/bbl\nD) $76.79/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $71.80/bbl", "B) $81.79/bbl", "C) $66.80/bbl", "D) $76.79/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-40d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $61.80/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $56.81/bbl", "B) $81.79/bbl", "C) $61.80/bbl", "D) $66.80/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $56.81/bbl\nB) $81.79/bbl\nC) $61.80/bbl\nD) $66.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $56.81/bbl", "B) $81.79/bbl", "C) $61.80/bbl", "D) $66.80/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-60d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $76.79/bbl\nD) $71.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $66.80/bbl", "B) $56.81/bbl", "C) $76.79/bbl", "D) $71.80/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) $66.80/bbl\nB) $56.81/bbl\nC) $76.79/bbl\nD) $71.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) $66.80/bbl", "B) $56.81/bbl", "C) $76.79/bbl", "D) $71.80/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$66.80/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20050829-120d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 15.06\nB) 12.60\nC) 10.14\nD) 13.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 15.06", "B) 12.60", "C) 10.14", "D) 13.83"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 15.06\nB) 12.60\nC) 10.14\nD) 13.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 15.06", "B) 12.60", "C) 10.14", "D) 13.83"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-5d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.88\nB) 14.11\nC) 11.65\nD) 7.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 12.88", "B) 14.11", "C) 11.65", "D) 7.96"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.88\nB) 14.11\nC) 11.65\nD) 7.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 12.88", "B) 14.11", "C) 11.65", "D) 7.96"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-10d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.45\nB) 14.91\nC) 9.99\nD) 11.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 12.45", "B) 14.91", "C) 9.99", "D) 11.22"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 12.45\nB) 14.91\nC) 9.99\nD) 11.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 12.45", "B) 14.91", "C) 9.99", "D) 11.22"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-20d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 11.22\nB) 9.99\nC) 7.53\nD) 14.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 11.22", "B) 9.99", "C) 7.53", "D) 14.91"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 11.22\nB) 9.99\nC) 7.53\nD) 14.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 11.22", "B) 9.99", "C) 7.53", "D) 14.91"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-40d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 9.37\nB) 10.60\nC) 13.06\nD) 14.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 9.37", "B) 10.60", "C) 13.06", "D) 14.29"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 9.37\nB) 10.60\nC) 13.06\nD) 14.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 9.37", "B) 10.60", "C) 13.06", "D) 14.29"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-60d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 7.81\nB) 11.50\nC) 10.27\nD) 9.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 7.81", "B) 11.50", "C) 10.27", "D) 9.04"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.27", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 7.81\nB) 11.50\nC) 10.27\nD) 9.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 7.81", "B) 11.50", "C) 10.27", "D) 9.04"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.27", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20050829-120d-min", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,313.33\nB) 2,020.39\nC) 2,118.04\nD) 2,166.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 2,313.33", "B) 2,020.39", "C) 2,118.04", "D) 2,166.86"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,166.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,313.33\nB) 2,020.39\nC) 2,118.04\nD) 2,166.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 2,313.33", "B) 2,020.39", "C) 2,118.04", "D) 2,166.86"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,166.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-5d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,182.83\nB) 2,036.36\nC) 2,085.19\nD) 2,280.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 2,182.83", "B) 2,036.36", "C) 2,085.19", "D) 2,280.47"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,182.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,182.83\nB) 2,036.36\nC) 2,085.19\nD) 2,280.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 2,182.83", "B) 2,036.36", "C) 2,085.19", "D) 2,280.47"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,182.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-10d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,134.01\nB) 2,182.83\nC) 2,231.65\nD) 2,036.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 2,134.01", "B) 2,182.83", "C) 2,231.65", "D) 2,036.36"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,182.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,134.01\nB) 2,182.83\nC) 2,231.65\nD) 2,036.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 2,134.01", "B) 2,182.83", "C) 2,231.65", "D) 2,036.36"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,182.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-20d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,036.36\nB) 2,231.65\nC) 2,182.83\nD) 2,329.30", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 2,036.36", "B) 2,231.65", "C) 2,182.83", "D) 2,329.30"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,182.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,036.36\nB) 2,231.65\nC) 2,182.83\nD) 2,329.30", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 2,036.36", "B) 2,231.65", "C) 2,182.83", "D) 2,329.30"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,182.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-40d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,155.92\nB) 2,204.74\nC) 2,107.09\nD) 2,253.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 2,155.92", "B) 2,204.74", "C) 2,107.09", "D) 2,253.56"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,253.56", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,155.92\nB) 2,204.74\nC) 2,107.09\nD) 2,253.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 2,155.92", "B) 2,204.74", "C) 2,107.09", "D) 2,253.56"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,253.56", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-60d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,331.36\nB) 2,184.89\nC) 2,380.18\nD) 2,282.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 2,331.36", "B) 2,184.89", "C) 2,380.18", "D) 2,282.54"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,331.36", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hurricane Katrina landfall\" on 2005-08-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2005-08-29? (Use only information available on or before 2005-08-26.)\n\nA) 2,331.36\nB) 2,184.89\nC) 2,380.18\nD) 2,282.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2005-08-29", "info_cutoff": "2005-08-26", "options": ["A) 2,331.36", "B) 2,184.89", "C) 2,380.18", "D) 2,282.54"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,331.36", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hurricane Katrina landfall", "event_date": "2005-08-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20050829-120d-max", "year": 2005} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 88.85\nB) 83.51\nC) 80.31\nD) 85.64", "options": ["A) 88.85", "B) 83.51", "C) 80.31", "D) 85.64"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "83.51", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $-83,160M\nB) $-71,117M\nC) $-65,095M\nD) $-59,073M", "options": ["A) $-83,160M", "B) $-71,117M", "C) $-65,095M", "D) $-59,073M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-65,095M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 133,317K\nB) 129,236K\nC) 138,759K\nD) 136,038K", "options": ["A) 133,317K", "B) 129,236K", "C) 138,759K", "D) 136,038K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "136,038K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $-62,397M\nB) $-44,882M\nC) $-50,720M\nD) $-68,235M", "options": ["A) $-62,397M", "B) $-44,882M", "C) $-50,720M", "D) $-68,235M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-62,397M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -15.33%\nB) -20.04%\nC) -29.46%\nD) -24.75%", "options": ["A) -15.33%", "B) -20.04%", "C) -29.46%", "D) -24.75%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-20.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) $84.62/bbl\nB) $54.94/bbl\nC) $69.78/bbl\nD) $62.36/bbl", "options": ["A) $84.62/bbl", "B) $54.94/bbl", "C) $69.78/bbl", "D) $62.36/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$69.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.82%\nB) 3.98%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 4.59%", "options": ["A) 5.82%", "B) 3.98%", "C) 3.36%", "D) 4.59%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 5.21%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 4.44%", "options": ["A) 4.70%", "B) 5.21%", "C) 3.93%", "D) 4.44%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) -0.04pp\nC) +0.38pp\nD) +1.23pp", "options": ["A) -0.46pp", "B) -0.04pp", "C) +0.38pp", "D) +1.23pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.04pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.33\nB) 79.86\nC) 83.75\nD) 90.22", "options": ["A) 86.33", "B) 79.86", "C) 83.75", "D) 90.22"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "83.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.29%\nB) 7.96%\nC) 9.13%\nD) 6.80%", "options": ["A) 10.29%", "B) 7.96%", "C) 9.13%", "D) 6.80%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.20\nB) 201.77\nC) 212.63\nD) 220.79", "options": ["A) 207.20", "B) 201.77", "C) 212.63", "D) 220.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "207.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.58%\nB) 1.97%\nC) 4.27%\nD) -2.63%", "options": ["A) 6.58%", "B) 1.97%", "C) 4.27%", "D) -2.63%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $63,103M\nB) $67,089M\nC) $65,096M\nD) $69,083M", "options": ["A) $63,103M", "B) $67,089M", "C) $65,096M", "D) $69,083M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$65,096M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.11%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 7.05%\nD) 5.18%", "options": ["A) 6.11%", "B) 2.38%", "C) 7.05%", "D) 5.18%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) $7,439B\nB) $7,809B\nC) $8,179B\nD) $6,700B", "options": ["A) $7,439B", "B) $7,809B", "C) $8,179B", "D) $6,700B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$7,439B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.42%\nB) 2.09%\nC) -1.90%\nD) 0.76%", "options": ["A) 3.42%", "B) 2.09%", "C) -1.90%", "D) 0.76%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 3.29%", "options": ["A) 3.84%", "B) 1.05%", "C) 2.17%", "D) 3.29%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 86.37%\nB) 84.00%\nC) 78.08%\nD) 80.45%", "options": ["A) 86.37%", "B) 84.00%", "C) 78.08%", "D) 80.45%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "80.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) -4.44%\nC) 7.49%\nD) 9.87%", "options": ["A) 2.72%", "B) -4.44%", "C) 7.49%", "D) 9.87%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.52%\nB) 5.13%\nC) 4.93%\nD) 5.33%", "options": ["A) 5.52%", "B) 5.13%", "C) 4.93%", "D) 5.33%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -23.03%\nB) -38.38%\nC) -26.87%\nD) -19.19%", "options": ["A) -23.03%", "B) -38.38%", "C) -26.87%", "D) -19.19%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-26.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $15.69/hr\nB) $17.11/hr\nC) $15.12/hr\nD) $16.54/hr", "options": ["A) $15.69/hr", "B) $17.11/hr", "C) $15.12/hr", "D) $16.54/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$16.54/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 21.75%\nB) 13.68%\nC) 25.78%\nD) 17.71%", "options": ["A) 21.75%", "B) 13.68%", "C) 25.78%", "D) 17.71%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.24pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) +0.61pp\nD) -1.61pp", "options": ["A) -1.24pp", "B) -0.50pp", "C) +0.61pp", "D) -1.61pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,452B\nB) $8,176B\nC) $9,133B\nD) $9,771B", "options": ["A) $9,452B", "B) $8,176B", "C) $9,133B", "D) $9,771B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$9,133B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,937K\nB) 1,843K\nC) 1,373K\nD) 1,655K", "options": ["A) 1,937K", "B) 1,843K", "C) 1,373K", "D) 1,655K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,655K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.10%\nB) 69.41%\nC) 64.78%\nD) 68.08%", "options": ["A) 66.10%", "B) 69.41%", "C) 64.78%", "D) 68.08%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "66.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,493B\nB) $6,952B\nC) $7,641B\nD) $6,723B", "options": ["A) $6,493B", "B) $6,952B", "C) $7,641B", "D) $6,723B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$6,952B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.10\nB) 90.37\nC) 84.57\nD) 88.05", "options": ["A) 81.10", "B) 90.37", "C) 84.57", "D) 88.05"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "84.57", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 14.01%\nB) 12.54%\nC) 6.64%\nD) 11.06%", "options": ["A) 14.01%", "B) 12.54%", "C) 6.64%", "D) 11.06%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 98.46\nB) 95.58\nC) 101.35\nD) 104.24", "options": ["A) 98.46", "B) 95.58", "C) 101.35", "D) 104.24"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "98.46", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.94%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 1.88%\nD) 3.26%", "options": ["A) 3.94%", "B) 2.91%", "C) 1.88%", "D) 3.26%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 2.65%", "options": ["A) 2.96%", "B) 3.87%", "C) 3.57%", "D) 2.65%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 94.19\nB) 102.74\nC) 90.77\nD) 99.32", "options": ["A) 94.19", "B) 102.74", "C) 90.77", "D) 99.32"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "99.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 13.42%\nC) 1.74%\nD) -6.05%", "options": ["A) 5.63%", "B) 13.42%", "C) 1.74%", "D) -6.05%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 2.46%", "options": ["A) 2.92%", "B) 2.01%", "C) 0.66%", "D) 2.46%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.91%\nB) 6.05%\nC) 7.29%\nD) 5.42%", "options": ["A) 7.91%", "B) 6.05%", "C) 7.29%", "D) 5.42%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 183.29\nB) 191.09\nC) 214.51\nD) 202.80", "options": ["A) 183.29", "B) 191.09", "C) 214.51", "D) 202.80"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "202.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 7.70%\nD) 3.05%", "options": ["A) 4.22%", "B) 0.73%", "C) 7.70%", "D) 3.05%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.83\nB) 84.90\nC) 80.51\nD) 77.58", "options": ["A) 87.83", "B) 84.90", "C) 80.51", "D) 77.58"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "84.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 22.39%\nB) 4.05%\nC) 15.05%\nD) 18.72%", "options": ["A) 22.39%", "B) 4.05%", "C) 15.05%", "D) 18.72%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2,167K\nB) 1,672K\nC) 1,870K\nD) 1,969K", "options": ["A) 2,167K", "B) 1,672K", "C) 1,870K", "D) 1,969K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,969K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $348,357M\nB) $359,654M\nC) $314,465M\nD) $325,762M", "options": ["A) $348,357M", "B) $359,654M", "C) $314,465M", "D) $325,762M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$348,357M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,347B\nB) $10,018B\nC) $10,676B\nD) $9,689B", "options": ["A) $10,347B", "B) $10,018B", "C) $10,676B", "D) $9,689B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$10,018B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.07%\nB) 3.91%\nC) 5.99%\nD) 5.30%", "options": ["A) 8.07%", "B) 3.91%", "C) 5.99%", "D) 5.30%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 6.62%\nC) 3.67%\nD) 4.85%", "options": ["A) 6.03%", "B) 6.62%", "C) 3.67%", "D) 4.85%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 162.20\nB) 172.72\nC) 156.94\nD) 151.68", "options": ["A) 162.20", "B) 172.72", "C) 156.94", "D) 151.68"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "162.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 199.08\nB) 204.30\nC) 191.25\nD) 212.13", "options": ["A) 199.08", "B) 204.30", "C) 191.25", "D) 212.13"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "204.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.28pp\nB) +1.57pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) +0.41pp", "options": ["A) +1.28pp", "B) +1.57pp", "C) +0.70pp", "D) +0.41pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.41%\nB) 13.67%\nC) 12.36%\nD) 11.04%", "options": ["A) 8.41%", "B) 13.67%", "C) 12.36%", "D) 11.04%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.42%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 4.65%\nD) 2.19%", "options": ["A) 3.42%", "B) 3.83%", "C) 4.65%", "D) 2.19%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.45%\nB) 15.06%\nC) -0.85%\nD) 9.75%", "options": ["A) 4.45%", "B) 15.06%", "C) -0.85%", "D) 9.75%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.01/bbl\nB) $44.07/bbl\nC) $66.04/bbl\nD) $51.39/bbl", "options": ["A) $88.01/bbl", "B) $44.07/bbl", "C) $66.04/bbl", "D) $51.39/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$66.04/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.96\nB) 8.53\nC) 23.27\nD) 15.90", "options": ["A) 26.96", "B) 8.53", "C) 23.27", "D) 15.90"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,144.15\nB) 1,993.58\nC) 2,294.72\nD) 1,843.00", "options": ["A) 2,144.15", "B) 1,993.58", "C) 2,294.72", "D) 1,843.00"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,144.15", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.95%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 7.90%", "options": ["A) 5.95%", "B) 4.98%", "C) 2.05%", "D) 7.90%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,179,871\nB) 1,749,614\nC) 2,395,000\nD) 1,964,743", "options": ["A) 2,179,871", "B) 1,749,614", "C) 2,395,000", "D) 1,964,743"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,395,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.31%\nB) 3.25%\nC) 7.81%\nD) 5.53%", "options": ["A) -1.31%", "B) 3.25%", "C) 7.81%", "D) 5.53%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.9990\nB) 7.5991\nC) 7.7590\nD) 8.2390", "options": ["A) 7.9990", "B) 7.5991", "C) 7.7590", "D) 8.2390"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.9990", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,028B\nB) $9,375B\nC) $8,334B\nD) $10,416B", "options": ["A) $9,028B", "B) $9,375B", "C) $8,334B", "D) $10,416B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$9,375B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.28%\nB) 9.77%\nC) 14.80%\nD) 19.83%", "options": ["A) -0.28%", "B) 9.77%", "C) 14.80%", "D) 19.83%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.06\nB) 97.41\nC) 80.39\nD) 88.90", "options": ["A) 86.06", "B) 97.41", "C) 80.39", "D) 88.90"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "88.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 5.58%\nC) 6.85%\nD) 8.13%", "options": ["A) 6.22%", "B) 5.58%", "C) 6.85%", "D) 8.13%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.56%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 5.91%\nD) 4.59%", "options": ["A) 6.56%", "B) 5.25%", "C) 5.91%", "D) 4.59%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.75\nB) 195.97\nC) 184.20\nD) 148.87", "options": ["A) 207.75", "B) 195.97", "C) 184.20", "D) 148.87"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "184.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.98%\nB) 3.23%\nC) 6.59%\nD) 4.35%", "options": ["A) 0.98%", "B) 3.23%", "C) 6.59%", "D) 4.35%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $810M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": ["A) $810M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $2,400,000M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$810M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.16%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 2.48%", "options": ["A) 3.16%", "B) 2.93%", "C) 3.38%", "D) 2.48%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.92%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 2.47%", "options": ["A) 0.92%", "B) 2.85%", "C) 2.08%", "D) 2.47%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.70%\nB) 5.66%\nC) 4.62%\nD) 5.14%", "options": ["A) 6.70%", "B) 5.66%", "C) 4.62%", "D) 5.14%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.30%\nD) 1.89%", "options": ["A) 2.17%", "B) 2.44%", "C) 2.30%", "D) 1.89%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.00%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 1.46%\nD) 2.55%", "options": ["A) 8.00%", "B) 4.73%", "C) 1.46%", "D) 2.55%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 3.34%", "options": ["A) 3.91%", "B) 4.78%", "C) 4.20%", "D) 3.34%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.63pp\nB) -0.03pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +0.30pp", "options": ["A) +0.63pp", "B) -0.03pp", "C) +0.52pp", "D) +0.30pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.10%\nB) 66.25%\nC) 61.84%\nD) 64.99%", "options": ["A) 63.10%", "B) 66.25%", "C) 61.84%", "D) 64.99%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "63.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1154\nB) 1.2616\nC) 1.4809\nD) 1.1885", "options": ["A) 1.1154", "B) 1.2616", "C) 1.4809", "D) 1.1885"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.2616", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $64,405M\nB) $72,133M\nC) $66,981M\nD) $69,557M", "options": ["A) $64,405M", "B) $72,133M", "C) $66,981M", "D) $69,557M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$66,981M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.83pp\nB) +3.29pp\nC) -2.89pp\nD) +0.20pp", "options": ["A) +4.83pp", "B) +3.29pp", "C) -2.89pp", "D) +0.20pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.80%\nB) 55.49%\nC) 12.46%\nD) -16.22%", "options": ["A) 26.80%", "B) 55.49%", "C) 12.46%", "D) -16.22%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "26.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.86%\nD) 2.81%", "options": ["A) 2.57%", "B) 2.10%", "C) 1.86%", "D) 2.81%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 45.79%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 17.80%\nD) 31.80%", "options": ["A) 45.79%", "B) 3.81%", "C) 17.80%", "D) 31.80%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.80%\nB) 0.30%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.40%", "options": ["A) 3.80%", "B) 0.30%", "C) 1.70%", "D) 2.40%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 308,000\nB) 261,631\nC) 284,816\nD) 377,553", "options": ["A) 308,000", "B) 261,631", "C) 284,816", "D) 377,553"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "308,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) 6.63%\nC) 7.12%\nD) 6.39%", "options": ["A) 6.14%", "B) 6.63%", "C) 7.12%", "D) 6.39%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 5.08%\nC) 3.71%\nD) 2.34%", "options": ["A) 0.96%", "B) 5.08%", "C) 3.71%", "D) 2.34%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,283B\nB) $7,012B\nC) $7,498B\nD) $6,769B", "options": ["A) $6,283B", "B) $7,012B", "C) $7,498B", "D) $6,769B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$6,769B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.50pp\nB) -1.58pp\nC) -0.86pp\nD) -0.14pp", "options": ["A) -0.50pp", "B) -1.58pp", "C) -0.86pp", "D) -0.14pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 184.21\nB) 165.40\nC) 152.86\nD) 159.13", "options": ["A) 184.21", "B) 165.40", "C) 152.86", "D) 159.13"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "165.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.42\nB) 79.44\nC) 85.40\nD) 94.34", "options": ["A) 82.42", "B) 79.44", "C) 85.40", "D) 94.34"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "85.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.90pp\nB) +1.50pp\nC) -14.10pp\nD) -3.70pp", "options": ["A) -8.90pp", "B) +1.50pp", "C) -14.10pp", "D) -3.70pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.50%\nB) 5.19%\nC) 4.27%\nD) 4.96%", "options": ["A) 4.50%", "B) 5.19%", "C) 4.27%", "D) 4.96%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.21%\nB) 66.20%\nC) 68.19%\nD) 62.23%", "options": ["A) 64.21%", "B) 66.20%", "C) 68.19%", "D) 62.23%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "66.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) -11.02%\nB) -39.73%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 32.05%", "options": ["A) -11.02%", "B) -39.73%", "C) 3.34%", "D) 32.05%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 182.49\nB) 189.37\nC) 210.03\nD) 199.70", "options": ["A) 182.49", "B) 189.37", "C) 210.03", "D) 199.70"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "199.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 5.32%", "options": ["A) 3.30%", "B) 2.63%", "C) 1.28%", "D) 5.32%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 5.05%", "options": ["A) 1.76%", "B) 2.86%", "C) 3.95%", "D) 5.05%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.55%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 5.10%\nD) 5.78%", "options": ["A) 5.55%", "B) 4.65%", "C) 5.10%", "D) 5.78%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.76%\nB) 5.42%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 5.08%", "options": ["A) 5.76%", "B) 5.42%", "C) 4.06%", "D) 5.08%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $234,701M\nB) $225,630M\nC) $207,487M\nD) $252,844M", "options": ["A) $234,701M", "B) $225,630M", "C) $207,487M", "D) $252,844M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$234,701M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $810M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $810M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$810M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.23pp\nB) +0.23pp\nC) +0.00pp\nD) +0.35pp", "options": ["A) -0.23pp", "B) +0.23pp", "C) +0.00pp", "D) +0.35pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $17.78/hr\nB) $15.66/hr\nC) $16.27/hr\nD) $16.87/hr", "options": ["A) $17.78/hr", "B) $15.66/hr", "C) $16.27/hr", "D) $16.87/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$16.87/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 2.30%", "options": ["A) 1.69%", "B) 1.08%", "C) 2.91%", "D) 2.30%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.84%\nB) 63.10%\nC) 59.95%\nD) 64.99%", "options": ["A) 61.84%", "B) 63.10%", "C) 59.95%", "D) 64.99%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "63.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 140,931K\nB) 129,985K\nC) 136,826K\nD) 132,721K", "options": ["A) 140,931K", "B) 129,985K", "C) 136,826K", "D) 132,721K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "136,826K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.11%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 2.61%", "options": ["A) 2.44%", "B) 2.11%", "C) 2.94%", "D) 2.61%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,720K\nB) 1,906K\nC) 1,999K\nD) 1,627K", "options": ["A) 1,720K", "B) 1,906K", "C) 1,999K", "D) 1,627K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,720K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) $326,000M\nB) $351,240M\nC) $389,100M\nD) $376,480M", "options": ["A) $326,000M", "B) $351,240M", "C) $389,100M", "D) $376,480M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$351,240M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) +22.45pp\nB) +3.85pp\nC) +8.50pp\nD) -0.80pp", "options": ["A) +22.45pp", "B) +3.85pp", "C) +8.50pp", "D) -0.80pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+8.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 86.01%\nB) 77.45%\nC) 82.80%\nD) 80.66%", "options": ["A) 86.01%", "B) 77.45%", "C) 82.80%", "D) 80.66%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "80.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 7.26%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 3.41%", "options": ["A) 5.34%", "B) 7.26%", "C) 4.70%", "D) 3.41%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $219,918M\nB) $227,188M\nC) $212,647M\nD) $248,999M", "options": ["A) $219,918M", "B) $227,188M", "C) $212,647M", "D) $248,999M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$227,188M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) +5.41pp\nB) -2.18pp\nC) +1.62pp\nD) -0.91pp", "options": ["A) +5.41pp", "B) -2.18pp", "C) +1.62pp", "D) -0.91pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.62pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 2,323K\nB) 1,913K\nC) 2,221K\nD) 2,118K", "options": ["A) 2,323K", "B) 1,913K", "C) 2,221K", "D) 2,118K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,118K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,838B\nB) $10,439B\nC) $8,935B\nD) $9,537B", "options": ["A) $9,838B", "B) $10,439B", "C) $8,935B", "D) $9,537B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$9,838B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20060901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.01pp\nB) +0.30pp\nC) -0.62pp\nD) +0.61pp", "options": ["A) -0.01pp", "B) +0.30pp", "C) -0.62pp", "D) +0.61pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20060301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2006", "info_cutoff": "2006-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2006? (Use only information available on or before 2006-01-29.)\n\nA) 215.66\nB) 171.78\nC) 182.75\nD) 160.81", "options": ["A) 215.66", "B) 171.78", "C) 182.75", "D) 160.81"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "182.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20060615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2006-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2006-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2006-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2006-06-08.)\n\nA) 111.2092\nB) 103.5077\nC) 126.6123\nD) 115.0600", "options": ["A) 111.2092", "B) 103.5077", "C) 126.6123", "D) 115.0600"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "115.0600", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2006} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,495K\nB) 1,399K\nC) 1,591K\nD) 1,687K", "options": ["A) 1,495K", "B) 1,399K", "C) 1,591K", "D) 1,687K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,495K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $-56,625M\nB) $-62,183M\nC) $-73,298M\nD) $-45,510M", "options": ["A) $-56,625M", "B) $-62,183M", "C) $-73,298M", "D) $-45,510M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-62,183M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.24%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 2.80%\nD) 4.14%", "options": ["A) 3.24%", "B) 1.91%", "C) 2.80%", "D) 4.14%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.08%\nB) 6.23%\nC) 6.57%\nD) 6.74%", "options": ["A) 7.08%", "B) 6.23%", "C) 6.57%", "D) 6.74%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 179.12\nB) 189.84\nC) 211.29\nD) 168.40", "options": ["A) 179.12", "B) 189.84", "C) 211.29", "D) 168.40"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "179.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $199,678M\nB) $229,526M\nC) $219,577M\nD) $209,627M", "options": ["A) $199,678M", "B) $229,526M", "C) $219,577M", "D) $209,627M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$229,526M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 0.46%", "options": ["A) 2.91%", "B) 1.28%", "C) 2.10%", "D) 0.46%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) $83.16/bbl\nB) $90.71/bbl\nC) $60.48/bbl\nD) $68.04/bbl", "options": ["A) $83.16/bbl", "B) $90.71/bbl", "C) $60.48/bbl", "D) $68.04/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$68.04/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 2.95%\nC) 0.91%\nD) 6.01%", "options": ["A) 3.97%", "B) 2.95%", "C) 0.91%", "D) 6.01%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 226.99\nB) 211.55\nC) 202.29\nD) 217.73", "options": ["A) 226.99", "B) 211.55", "C) 202.29", "D) 217.73"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "211.55", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.15pp\nB) +0.02pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) +0.27pp", "options": ["A) +0.15pp", "B) +0.02pp", "C) -0.10pp", "D) +0.27pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $215,580M\nB) $237,366M\nC) $204,688M\nD) $226,473M", "options": ["A) $215,580M", "B) $237,366M", "C) $204,688M", "D) $226,473M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$226,473M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.90%\nB) 59.75%\nC) 64.16%\nD) 61.01%", "options": ["A) 62.90%", "B) 59.75%", "C) 64.16%", "D) 61.01%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 3.17%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.03%", "options": ["A) 2.13%", "B) 3.17%", "C) 1.08%", "D) 0.03%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -45.45%\nB) -9.38%\nC) -23.81%\nD) -2.17%", "options": ["A) -45.45%", "B) -9.38%", "C) -23.81%", "D) -2.17%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-23.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 6.21%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 5.10%", "options": ["A) 5.84%", "B) 6.21%", "C) 4.73%", "D) 5.10%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 1.31%", "options": ["A) 2.79%", "B) 2.30%", "C) 3.78%", "D) 1.31%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 96.53\nB) 102.09\nC) 92.82\nD) 107.65", "options": ["A) 96.53", "B) 102.09", "C) 92.82", "D) 107.65"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "102.09", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.75%\nB) 6.99%\nC) 4.56%\nD) 2.13%", "options": ["A) 3.75%", "B) 6.99%", "C) 4.56%", "D) 2.13%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,066K\nB) 1,534K\nC) 949K\nD) 1,183K", "options": ["A) 1,066K", "B) 1,534K", "C) 949K", "D) 1,183K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,183K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) -4.63%\nB) -5.86%\nC) -5.04%\nD) -4.22%", "options": ["A) -4.63%", "B) -5.86%", "C) -5.04%", "D) -4.22%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-4.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +6.50pp\nB) -2.00pp\nC) -14.76pp\nD) -10.50pp", "options": ["A) +6.50pp", "B) -2.00pp", "C) -14.76pp", "D) -10.50pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.65%\nB) 3.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.42%", "options": ["A) 3.65%", "B) 3.26%", "C) 4.03%", "D) 4.42%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 10.37\nB) 21.07\nC) 17.51\nD) 13.94", "options": ["A) 10.37", "B) 21.07", "C) 17.51", "D) 13.94"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.94", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.64%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 2.57%", "options": ["A) 2.10%", "B) 1.64%", "C) 2.41%", "D) 2.57%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 217.18\nB) 182.19\nC) 205.52\nD) 147.20", "options": ["A) 217.18", "B) 182.19", "C) 205.52", "D) 147.20"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "182.19", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $16.84/hr\nB) $18.26/hr\nC) $17.55/hr\nD) $18.62/hr", "options": ["A) $16.84/hr", "B) $18.26/hr", "C) $17.55/hr", "D) $18.62/hr"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$17.55/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $15.93/hr\nB) $18.19/hr\nC) $16.58/hr\nD) $17.22/hr", "options": ["A) $15.93/hr", "B) $18.19/hr", "C) $16.58/hr", "D) $17.22/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$17.22/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -24.07%\nB) -36.98%\nC) -11.16%\nD) -43.44%", "options": ["A) -24.07%", "B) -36.98%", "C) -11.16%", "D) -43.44%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-24.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.64%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 0.30%", "options": ["A) 3.64%", "B) 2.30%", "C) 1.63%", "D) 0.30%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.44%\nB) 4.85%\nC) 6.63%\nD) 6.03%", "options": ["A) 5.44%", "B) 4.85%", "C) 6.63%", "D) 6.03%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.3879\nB) 1.2337\nC) 1.2851\nD) 1.3365", "options": ["A) 1.3879", "B) 1.2337", "C) 1.2851", "D) 1.3365"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3365", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.44%\nC) 5.12%\nD) 3.78%", "options": ["A) 4.11%", "B) 3.44%", "C) 5.12%", "D) 3.78%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 3.26%\nD) 0.33%", "options": ["A) 4.00%", "B) 2.53%", "C) 3.26%", "D) 0.33%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 5.88%\nC) 5.01%\nD) 5.44%", "options": ["A) 4.58%", "B) 5.88%", "C) 5.01%", "D) 5.44%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.81%\nB) 4.07%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 4.94%", "options": ["A) 5.81%", "B) 4.07%", "C) 3.21%", "D) 4.94%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 2.89%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 2.04%", "options": ["A) 2.38%", "B) 2.89%", "C) 2.55%", "D) 2.04%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 2.83%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 2.45%", "options": ["A) 3.99%", "B) 2.83%", "C) 3.22%", "D) 2.45%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 5.05%\nD) 5.70%", "options": ["A) 6.34%", "B) 3.76%", "C) 5.05%", "D) 5.70%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.65%\nB) 10.47%\nC) 14.29%\nD) 2.83%", "options": ["A) 6.65%", "B) 10.47%", "C) 14.29%", "D) 2.83%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.00pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) +0.40pp", "options": ["A) -0.20pp", "B) -0.00pp", "C) -0.40pp", "D) +0.40pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) +12.18pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -13.18pp\nD) -4.73pp", "options": ["A) +12.18pp", "B) -0.50pp", "C) -13.18pp", "D) -4.73pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $352,089M\nB) $339,000M\nC) $365,178M\nD) $391,356M", "options": ["A) $352,089M", "B) $339,000M", "C) $365,178M", "D) $391,356M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$365,178M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 5.35%\nC) 4.77%\nD) 5.16%", "options": ["A) 4.58%", "B) 5.35%", "C) 4.77%", "D) 5.16%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 85.89\nB) 90.40\nC) 93.41\nD) 81.38", "options": ["A) 85.89", "B) 90.40", "C) 93.41", "D) 81.38"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "85.89", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.03%\nB) -3.51%\nC) -10.93%\nD) 3.92%", "options": ["A) -1.03%", "B) -3.51%", "C) -10.93%", "D) 3.92%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.30%\nB) 2.27%\nC) -2.76%\nD) 4.78%", "options": ["A) -10.30%", "B) 2.27%", "C) -2.76%", "D) 4.78%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 32.74%\nB) 21.46%\nC) -23.66%\nD) 10.18%", "options": ["A) 32.74%", "B) 21.46%", "C) -23.66%", "D) 10.18%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 169.30\nB) 175.61\nC) 150.36\nD) 181.93", "options": ["A) 169.30", "B) 175.61", "C) 150.36", "D) 181.93"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "169.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $821M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $821M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$821M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $827M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": ["A) $4,300,000M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $827M", "D) $2,400,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$827M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $62,287M\nB) $74,712M\nC) $56,074M\nD) $65,393M", "options": ["A) $62,287M", "B) $74,712M", "C) $56,074M", "D) $65,393M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$65,393M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,612B\nB) $8,539B\nC) $8,896B\nD) $9,969B", "options": ["A) $9,612B", "B) $8,539B", "C) $8,896B", "D) $9,969B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$9,612B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.14%\nB) -2.37%\nC) -9.91%\nD) 5.17%", "options": ["A) 0.14%", "B) -2.37%", "C) -9.91%", "D) 5.17%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $-53,397M\nB) $-48,636M\nC) $-58,158M\nD) $-43,875M", "options": ["A) $-53,397M", "B) $-48,636M", "C) $-58,158M", "D) $-43,875M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-58,158M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.8075\nB) 7.4415\nC) 7.1671\nD) 7.6245", "options": ["A) 7.8075", "B) 7.4415", "C) 7.1671", "D) 7.6245"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.6245", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 123.5500\nB) 126.3925\nC) 115.0225\nD) 120.7075", "options": ["A) 123.5500", "B) 126.3925", "C) 115.0225", "D) 120.7075"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "123.5500", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 135,293K\nB) 138,099K\nC) 132,487K\nD) 142,308K", "options": ["A) 135,293K", "B) 138,099K", "C) 132,487K", "D) 142,308K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "138,099K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 7.30%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 4.48%", "options": ["A) 3.78%", "B) 7.30%", "C) 5.89%", "D) 4.48%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 3.31%\nC) 2.79%\nD) 2.53%", "options": ["A) 1.76%", "B) 3.31%", "C) 2.79%", "D) 2.53%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 320,000\nB) 381,325\nC) 340,442\nD) 360,883", "options": ["A) 320,000", "B) 381,325", "C) 340,442", "D) 360,883"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "320,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.74pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) -0.16pp\nD) -0.34pp", "options": ["A) +0.74pp", "B) +0.20pp", "C) -0.16pp", "D) -0.34pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.93%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 3.87%", "options": ["A) 4.93%", "B) 5.20%", "C) 4.40%", "D) 3.87%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.86%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 3.46%\nD) 1.33%", "options": ["A) -1.86%", "B) 2.40%", "C) 3.46%", "D) 1.33%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 1.65%", "options": ["A) 2.10%", "B) 2.79%", "C) 1.42%", "D) 1.65%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.60pp\nB) +0.03pp\nC) -1.53pp\nD) -0.75pp", "options": ["A) +1.60pp", "B) +0.03pp", "C) -1.53pp", "D) -0.75pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.03pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 68.19%\nB) 64.21%\nC) 66.20%\nD) 61.57%", "options": ["A) 68.19%", "B) 64.21%", "C) 66.20%", "D) 61.57%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "66.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,007,103\nB) 1,784,154\nC) 2,898,897\nD) 2,453,000", "options": ["A) 2,007,103", "B) 1,784,154", "C) 2,898,897", "D) 2,453,000"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,453,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $10,337B\nB) $11,009B\nC) $10,001B\nD) $9,665B", "options": ["A) $10,337B", "B) $11,009B", "C) $10,001B", "D) $9,665B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$10,337B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.47%\nB) 1.03%\nC) -1.79%\nD) -7.42%", "options": ["A) 9.47%", "B) 1.03%", "C) -1.79%", "D) -7.42%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 67.98%\nB) 61.38%\nC) 66.00%\nD) 64.02%", "options": ["A) 67.98%", "B) 61.38%", "C) 66.00%", "D) 64.02%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "66.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 141,918K\nB) 144,673K\nC) 133,650K\nD) 137,784K", "options": ["A) 141,918K", "B) 144,673K", "C) 133,650K", "D) 137,784K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "137,784K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 88.40\nB) 79.56\nC) 82.51\nD) 94.29", "options": ["A) 88.40", "B) 79.56", "C) 82.51", "D) 94.29"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "88.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $75,792M\nB) $66,936M\nC) $63,984M\nD) $72,840M", "options": ["A) $75,792M", "B) $66,936M", "C) $63,984M", "D) $72,840M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$66,936M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 95.79\nB) 104.40\nC) 100.95\nD) 107.85", "options": ["A) 95.79", "B) 104.40", "C) 100.95", "D) 107.85"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "100.95", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.58%\nB) 5.10%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 5.26%", "options": ["A) 5.58%", "B) 5.10%", "C) 4.78%", "D) 5.26%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,413B\nB) $7,880B\nC) $6,712B\nD) $7,647B", "options": ["A) $7,413B", "B) $7,880B", "C) $6,712B", "D) $7,647B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$7,413B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.95%\nB) 80.94%\nC) 78.95%\nD) 83.93%", "options": ["A) 76.95%", "B) 80.94%", "C) 78.95%", "D) 83.93%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,269.98\nB) 2,448.35\nC) 2,626.71\nD) 3,161.80", "options": ["A) 2,269.98", "B) 2,448.35", "C) 2,626.71", "D) 3,161.80"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,626.71", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) $47.95/bbl\nB) $87.41/bbl\nC) $63.74/bbl\nD) $71.63/bbl", "options": ["A) $47.95/bbl", "B) $87.41/bbl", "C) $63.74/bbl", "D) $71.63/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$71.63/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 205.29\nB) 197.25\nC) 213.32\nD) 185.20", "options": ["A) 205.29", "B) 197.25", "C) 213.32", "D) 185.20"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "205.29", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.13pp\nB) +0.00pp\nC) -0.38pp\nD) +0.13pp", "options": ["A) -0.13pp", "B) +0.00pp", "C) -0.38pp", "D) +0.13pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) $9,331B\nB) $8,898B\nC) $8,031B\nD) $6,732B", "options": ["A) $9,331B", "B) $8,898B", "C) $8,031B", "D) $6,732B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$8,031B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) -12.33%\nB) -35.72%\nC) 11.05%\nD) -0.64%", "options": ["A) -12.33%", "B) -35.72%", "C) 11.05%", "D) -0.64%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.30%\nB) 65.20%\nC) 61.40%\nD) 66.47%", "options": ["A) 63.30%", "B) 65.20%", "C) 61.40%", "D) 66.47%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "63.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 212.75\nB) 208.55\nC) 200.14\nD) 221.15", "options": ["A) 212.75", "B) 208.55", "C) 200.14", "D) 221.15"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "208.55", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 91.78\nB) 97.46\nC) 94.62\nD) 100.30", "options": ["A) 91.78", "B) 97.46", "C) 94.62", "D) 100.30"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "94.62", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,858B\nB) $6,708B\nC) $7,628B\nD) $7,168B", "options": ["A) $7,858B", "B) $6,708B", "C) $7,628B", "D) $7,168B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$7,168B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,596K\nB) 1,310K\nC) 1,787K\nD) 1,691K", "options": ["A) 1,596K", "B) 1,310K", "C) 1,787K", "D) 1,691K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,596K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.47pp\nB) +0.20pp\nC) +1.02pp\nD) -0.34pp", "options": ["A) +0.47pp", "B) +0.20pp", "C) +1.02pp", "D) -0.34pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.54\nB) 88.89\nC) 86.35\nD) 92.71", "options": ["A) 82.54", "B) 88.89", "C) 86.35", "D) 92.71"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "86.35", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.75\nB) 79.23\nC) 82.36\nD) 87.05", "options": ["A) 91.75", "B) 79.23", "C) 82.36", "D) 87.05"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "87.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 173.50\nB) 186.35\nC) 192.77\nD) 154.23", "options": ["A) 173.50", "B) 186.35", "C) 192.77", "D) 154.23"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "173.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 0.70%\nD) 3.03%", "options": ["A) 2.45%", "B) 1.28%", "C) 0.70%", "D) 3.03%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 3.00%\nD) 5.11%", "options": ["A) 0.89%", "B) 2.30%", "C) 3.00%", "D) 5.11%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.23pp\nB) +0.01pp\nC) -0.61pp\nD) -0.30pp", "options": ["A) -1.23pp", "B) +0.01pp", "C) -0.61pp", "D) -0.30pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) -31.22%\nB) -16.04%\nC) -23.63%\nD) -8.44%", "options": ["A) -31.22%", "B) -16.04%", "C) -23.63%", "D) -8.44%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-31.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.04%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 0.48%", "options": ["A) 0.04%", "B) 0.93%", "C) 1.38%", "D) 0.48%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.63%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 5.05%\nD) 3.88%", "options": ["A) 5.63%", "B) 4.47%", "C) 5.05%", "D) 3.88%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 2.28%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.51%", "options": ["A) 2.96%", "B) 2.28%", "C) 2.05%", "D) 2.51%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 6.20%\nD) 3.60%", "options": ["A) 4.90%", "B) 2.30%", "C) 6.20%", "D) 3.60%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 5.26%\nC) 6.03%\nD) 7.58%", "options": ["A) 2.94%", "B) 5.26%", "C) 6.03%", "D) 7.58%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -7.07%\nB) -30.50%\nC) -24.65%\nD) -12.93%", "options": ["A) -7.07%", "B) -30.50%", "C) -24.65%", "D) -12.93%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-24.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) 59.39%\nB) -7.54%\nC) 14.77%\nD) 25.92%", "options": ["A) 59.39%", "B) -7.54%", "C) 14.77%", "D) 25.92%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "25.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.38%\nB) 6.36%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 10.32%", "options": ["A) 4.38%", "B) 6.36%", "C) 2.40%", "D) 10.32%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 4.70%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 4.41%", "options": ["A) 3.84%", "B) 4.70%", "C) 4.13%", "D) 4.41%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,586B\nB) $10,878B\nC) $10,524B\nD) $9,816B", "options": ["A) $11,586B", "B) $10,878B", "C) $10,524B", "D) $9,816B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$10,524B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 79.46\nB) 83.08\nC) 87.91\nD) 85.49", "options": ["A) 79.46", "B) 83.08", "C) 87.91", "D) 85.49"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "85.49", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.96%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 10.01%\nD) 4.88%", "options": ["A) 7.96%", "B) 5.90%", "C) 10.01%", "D) 4.88%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20070615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2007-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2007-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2007-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2007-06-08.)\n\nA) -1.43pp\nB) +0.11pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) +1.14pp", "options": ["A) -1.43pp", "B) +0.11pp", "C) -0.40pp", "D) +1.14pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.11pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,479B\nB) $9,112B\nC) $9,845B\nD) $8,745B", "options": ["A) $9,479B", "B) $9,112B", "C) $9,845B", "D) $8,745B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$9,845B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.37%\nB) 84.01%\nC) 86.22%\nD) 80.69%", "options": ["A) 77.37%", "B) 84.01%", "C) 86.22%", "D) 80.69%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "80.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.49pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) +2.01pp\nD) -1.04pp", "options": ["A) +0.49pp", "B) -0.02pp", "C) +2.01pp", "D) -1.04pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.49pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 901K\nB) 1,261K\nC) 1,501K\nD) 1,021K", "options": ["A) 901K", "B) 1,261K", "C) 1,501K", "D) 1,021K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,261K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) $398,398M\nB) $372,409M\nC) $359,415M\nD) $385,404M", "options": ["A) $398,398M", "B) $372,409M", "C) $359,415M", "D) $385,404M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$359,415M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.26%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 2.56%", "options": ["A) 3.26%", "B) 2.91%", "C) 3.61%", "D) 2.56%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.08%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 6.99%\nD) 5.72%", "options": ["A) 5.08%", "B) 4.44%", "C) 6.99%", "D) 5.72%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.77%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 6.30%\nD) 6.83%", "options": ["A) 5.77%", "B) 5.24%", "C) 6.30%", "D) 6.83%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) 215.15\nB) 200.82\nC) 209.42\nD) 223.74", "options": ["A) 215.15", "B) 200.82", "C) 209.42", "D) 223.74"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "209.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20070301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.52%\nB) 1.43%\nC) 4.91%\nD) -0.31%", "options": ["A) -5.52%", "B) 1.43%", "C) 4.91%", "D) -0.31%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20070901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2007", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2007? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-01.)\n\nA) 83.40\nB) 86.31\nC) 89.21\nD) 80.49", "options": ["A) 83.40", "B) 86.31", "C) 89.21", "D) 80.49"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "83.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 34.59\nB) 30.83\nC) 32.08\nD) 28.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 34.59", "B) 30.83", "C) 32.08", "D) 28.32"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "30.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 34.59\nB) 30.83\nC) 32.08\nD) 28.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 34.59", "B) 30.83", "C) 32.08", "D) 28.32"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "30.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-5d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 27.07\nB) 32.08\nC) 30.83\nD) 28.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 27.07", "B) 32.08", "C) 30.83", "D) 28.32"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 27.07\nB) 32.08\nC) 30.83\nD) 28.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 27.07", "B) 32.08", "C) 30.83", "D) 28.32"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-10d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 34.59\nC) 27.07\nD) 30.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 29.58", "B) 34.59", "C) 27.07", "D) 30.83"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 34.59\nC) 27.07\nD) 30.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 29.58", "B) 34.59", "C) 27.07", "D) 30.83"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-20d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 30.83\nB) 28.32\nC) 34.59\nD) 32.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 30.83", "B) 28.32", "C) 34.59", "D) 32.08"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "30.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 30.83\nB) 28.32\nC) 34.59\nD) 32.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 30.83", "B) 28.32", "C) 34.59", "D) 32.08"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "30.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-40d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 30.83\nC) 33.34\nD) 34.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 29.58", "B) 30.83", "C) 33.34", "D) 34.59"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "30.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 29.58\nB) 30.83\nC) 33.34\nD) 34.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 29.58", "B) 30.83", "C) 33.34", "D) 34.59"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "30.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-60d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 32.34\nB) 34.85\nC) 31.09\nD) 33.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 32.34", "B) 34.85", "C) 31.09", "D) 33.60"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "31.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 32.34\nB) 34.85\nC) 31.09\nD) 33.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 32.34", "B) 34.85", "C) 31.09", "D) 33.60"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "31.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20070809-120d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 4.33%\nC) 4.47%\nD) 4.60%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 4.20%", "B) 4.33%", "C) 4.47%", "D) 4.60%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.60%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-5d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 4.33%\nC) 4.47%\nD) 4.60%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 4.20%", "B) 4.33%", "C) 4.47%", "D) 4.60%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.60%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-5d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.60%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 5.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 4.60%", "B) 4.73%", "C) 4.33%", "D) 5.00%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.60%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-10d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.60%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 5.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 4.60%", "B) 4.73%", "C) 4.33%", "D) 5.00%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.60%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-10d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.11%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3.98%", "B) 4.38%", "C) 4.51%", "D) 4.11%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-20d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.11%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3.98%", "B) 4.38%", "C) 4.51%", "D) 4.11%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-20d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 4.21%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 4.74%", "B) 4.47%", "C) 4.34%", "D) 4.21%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-40d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 4.47%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 4.21%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 4.74%", "B) 4.47%", "C) 4.34%", "D) 4.21%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-40d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 4.71%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.31%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3.91%", "B) 4.71%", "C) 4.44%", "D) 4.31%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.31%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-60d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.91%\nB) 4.71%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.31%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3.91%", "B) 4.71%", "C) 4.44%", "D) 4.31%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.31%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-60d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20070809-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.51%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 3.24%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3.51%", "B) 3.11%", "C) 3.78%", "D) 3.24%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-120d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20070809-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.51%\nB) 3.11%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 3.24%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3.51%", "B) 3.11%", "C) 3.78%", "D) 3.24%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20070809-120d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 4.29%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3.54%", "B) 3.79%", "C) 4.55%", "D) 4.29%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.79%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 4.29%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3.54%", "B) 3.79%", "C) 4.55%", "D) 4.29%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.79%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-5d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 3.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3.37%", "B) 3.88%", "C) 3.12%", "D) 3.62%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 3.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3.37%", "B) 3.88%", "C) 3.12%", "D) 3.62%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-10d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3.88%", "B) 2.87%", "C) 2.36%", "D) 3.12%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 2.87%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3.88%", "B) 2.87%", "C) 2.36%", "D) 3.12%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-20d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3.12%", "B) 2.36%", "C) 2.62%", "D) 3.62%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3.12%", "B) 2.36%", "C) 2.62%", "D) 3.62%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-40d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.88%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 2.62%", "B) 3.12%", "C) 2.36%", "D) 3.88%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 3.88%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 2.62%", "B) 3.12%", "C) 2.36%", "D) 3.88%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-60d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.46%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 2.72%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 2.46%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.46%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 2.72%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 2.46%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20070809-120d-min", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,377.47\nB) 2,628.60\nC) 2,461.18\nD) 2,544.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 2,377.47", "B) 2,628.60", "C) 2,461.18", "D) 2,544.89"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,544.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,377.47\nB) 2,628.60\nC) 2,461.18\nD) 2,544.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 2,377.47", "B) 2,628.60", "C) 2,461.18", "D) 2,544.89"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,544.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-5d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.80\nB) 2,385.38\nC) 2,301.67\nD) 2,720.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 2,552.80", "B) 2,385.38", "C) 2,301.67", "D) 2,720.22"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,552.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,552.80\nB) 2,385.38\nC) 2,301.67\nD) 2,720.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 2,552.80", "B) 2,385.38", "C) 2,301.67", "D) 2,720.22"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,552.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-10d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,379.11\nB) 2,630.24\nC) 2,546.53\nD) 2,881.37", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 2,379.11", "B) 2,630.24", "C) 2,546.53", "D) 2,881.37"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,630.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,379.11\nB) 2,630.24\nC) 2,546.53\nD) 2,881.37", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 2,379.11", "B) 2,630.24", "C) 2,546.53", "D) 2,881.37"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,630.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-20d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,612.90\nB) 2,529.19\nC) 2,780.32\nD) 2,864.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 2,612.90", "B) 2,529.19", "C) 2,780.32", "D) 2,864.03"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,780.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,612.90\nB) 2,529.19\nC) 2,780.32\nD) 2,864.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 2,612.90", "B) 2,529.19", "C) 2,780.32", "D) 2,864.03"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,780.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-40d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3,026.54\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,607.99\nD) 2,859.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3,026.54", "B) 3,110.25", "C) 2,607.99", "D) 2,859.12"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,859.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 3,026.54\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,607.99\nD) 2,859.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 3,026.54", "B) 3,110.25", "C) 2,607.99", "D) 2,859.12"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,859.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-60d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,859.12\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,942.83\nD) 2,607.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 2,859.12", "B) 3,110.25", "C) 2,942.83", "D) 2,607.99"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,859.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)\" on 2007-08-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2007-08-09? (Use only information available on or before 2007-08-08.)\n\nA) 2,859.12\nB) 3,110.25\nC) 2,942.83\nD) 2,607.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2007-08-09", "info_cutoff": "2007-08-08", "options": ["A) 2,859.12", "B) 3,110.25", "C) 2,942.83", "D) 2,607.99"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,859.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "BNP Paribas freezes funds (subprime crisis trigger)", "event_date": "2007-08-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20070809-120d-max", "year": 2007} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) $112.80/bbl\nB) $134.52/bbl\nC) $123.66/bbl\nD) $167.10/bbl", "options": ["A) $112.80/bbl", "B) $134.52/bbl", "C) $123.66/bbl", "D) $167.10/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$134.52/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +1.23pp\nB) +1.06pp\nC) +0.70pp\nD) +0.88pp", "options": ["A) +1.23pp", "B) +1.06pp", "C) +0.70pp", "D) +0.88pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 133,878K\nB) 142,640K\nC) 130,958K\nD) 138,259K", "options": ["A) 133,878K", "B) 142,640K", "C) 130,958K", "D) 138,259K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "138,259K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.73%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 4.45%", "options": ["A) 3.73%", "B) 4.82%", "C) 3.01%", "D) 4.45%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.33\nB) 20.95\nC) 18.74\nD) 23.16", "options": ["A) 14.33", "B) 20.95", "C) 18.74", "D) 23.16"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.95", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 186.99\nB) 177.45\nC) 167.90\nD) 139.26", "options": ["A) 186.99", "B) 177.45", "C) 167.90", "D) 139.26"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "167.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 188.82\nB) 213.07\nC) 172.65\nD) 196.90", "options": ["A) 188.82", "B) 213.07", "C) 172.65", "D) 196.90"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "196.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 378,000\nB) 421,763\nC) 334,237\nD) 348,825", "options": ["A) 378,000", "B) 421,763", "C) 334,237", "D) 348,825"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "378,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.89%\nB) -8.13%\nC) -5.84%\nD) -9.66%", "options": ["A) -8.89%", "B) -8.13%", "C) -5.84%", "D) -9.66%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-8.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 84.32%\nB) 137.86%\nC) 97.71%\nD) 111.09%", "options": ["A) 84.32%", "B) 137.86%", "C) 97.71%", "D) 111.09%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "97.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 4.45%\nD) 4.25%", "options": ["A) 4.85%", "B) 3.65%", "C) 4.45%", "D) 4.25%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $10,035B\nB) $8,932B\nC) $11,139B\nD) $9,300B", "options": ["A) $10,035B", "B) $8,932B", "C) $11,139B", "D) $9,300B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$10,035B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 204.66\nB) 213.45\nC) 222.23\nD) 209.06", "options": ["A) 204.66", "B) 213.45", "C) 222.23", "D) 209.06"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "213.45", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.31%\nB) -2.28%\nC) -4.96%\nD) 3.08%", "options": ["A) -10.31%", "B) -2.28%", "C) -4.96%", "D) 3.08%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-4.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) $122.88/bbl\nB) $166.96/bbl\nC) $100.84/bbl\nD) $133.90/bbl", "options": ["A) $122.88/bbl", "B) $166.96/bbl", "C) $100.84/bbl", "D) $133.90/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$133.90/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) $8,696B\nB) $8,214B\nC) $10,140B\nD) $9,659B", "options": ["A) $8,696B", "B) $8,214B", "C) $10,140B", "D) $9,659B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$8,696B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 3.90%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 5.08%", "options": ["A) 2.13%", "B) 3.90%", "C) 4.49%", "D) 5.08%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -23.94%\nB) -31.67%\nC) -39.41%\nD) -16.20%", "options": ["A) -23.94%", "B) -31.67%", "C) -39.41%", "D) -16.20%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-39.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,281K\nB) 810K\nC) 496K\nD) 967K", "options": ["A) 1,281K", "B) 810K", "C) 496K", "D) 967K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "967K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.72pp\nB) -6.06pp\nC) -4.76pp\nD) -7.37pp", "options": ["A) -6.72pp", "B) -6.06pp", "C) -4.76pp", "D) -7.37pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-6.72pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $370,411M\nB) $358,991M\nC) $393,251M\nD) $347,571M", "options": ["A) $370,411M", "B) $358,991M", "C) $393,251M", "D) $347,571M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$358,991M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 228.48\nB) 214.08\nC) 218.88\nD) 209.28", "options": ["A) 228.48", "B) 214.08", "C) 218.88", "D) 209.28"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "218.88", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.12\nB) 66.31\nC) 79.07\nD) 69.50", "options": ["A) 63.12", "B) 66.31", "C) 79.07", "D) 69.50"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "69.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.70%\nB) 60.82%\nC) 64.58%\nD) 65.84%", "options": ["A) 62.70%", "B) 60.82%", "C) 64.58%", "D) 65.84%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.61%\nB) -0.97%\nC) -0.25%\nD) -1.33%", "options": ["A) -0.61%", "B) -0.97%", "C) -0.25%", "D) -1.33%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,157K\nB) 1,309K\nC) 1,005K\nD) 549K", "options": ["A) 1,157K", "B) 1,309K", "C) 1,005K", "D) 549K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,005K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.36\nB) 92.17\nC) 84.06\nD) 88.12", "options": ["A) 81.36", "B) 92.17", "C) 84.06", "D) 88.12"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "88.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 4.45%", "options": ["A) 4.77%", "B) 5.25%", "C) 4.29%", "D) 4.45%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.18pp\nB) +1.23pp\nC) +2.17pp\nD) +2.64pp", "options": ["A) -0.18pp", "B) +1.23pp", "C) +2.17pp", "D) +2.64pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+1.23pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 12.25%\nB) 8.45%\nC) 10.99%\nD) 13.52%", "options": ["A) 12.25%", "B) 8.45%", "C) 10.99%", "D) 13.52%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 3.19%", "options": ["A) 3.46%", "B) 2.65%", "C) 2.38%", "D) 3.19%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -36.80%\nB) -28.16%\nC) -54.07%\nD) -62.71%", "options": ["A) -36.80%", "B) -28.16%", "C) -54.07%", "D) -62.71%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-36.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $18.62/hr\nB) $18.20/hr\nC) $16.93/hr\nD) $17.78/hr", "options": ["A) $18.62/hr", "B) $18.20/hr", "C) $16.93/hr", "D) $17.78/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$18.20/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 68.08%\nB) 64.12%\nC) 66.10%\nD) 69.41%", "options": ["A) 68.08%", "B) 64.12%", "C) 66.10%", "D) 69.41%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "66.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,739.25\nB) 2,210.31\nC) 2,078.07\nD) 2,474.78", "options": ["A) 2,739.25", "B) 2,210.31", "C) 2,078.07", "D) 2,474.78"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,474.78", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,057,000\nB) 2,560,109\nC) 3,222,630\nD) 2,725,739", "options": ["A) 3,057,000", "B) 2,560,109", "C) 3,222,630", "D) 2,725,739"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,057,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $18.25/hr\nB) $17.87/hr\nC) $18.64/hr\nD) $19.02/hr", "options": ["A) $18.25/hr", "B) $17.87/hr", "C) $18.64/hr", "D) $19.02/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$17.87/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 4.80%", "options": ["A) 1.00%", "B) 1.63%", "C) 2.90%", "D) 4.80%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.81%\nB) 6.49%\nC) 6.66%\nD) 6.32%", "options": ["A) 5.81%", "B) 6.49%", "C) 6.66%", "D) 6.32%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 88.64\nB) 96.73\nC) 91.87\nD) 83.78", "options": ["A) 88.64", "B) 96.73", "C) 91.87", "D) 83.78"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "88.64", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $377,933M\nB) $365,164M\nC) $339,626M\nD) $403,470M", "options": ["A) $377,933M", "B) $365,164M", "C) $339,626M", "D) $403,470M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$365,164M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.00%\nB) 63.76%\nC) 61.90%\nD) 60.04%", "options": ["A) 65.00%", "B) 63.76%", "C) 61.90%", "D) 60.04%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "61.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -40.94%\nB) -24.61%\nC) -57.28%\nD) -32.78%", "options": ["A) -40.94%", "B) -24.61%", "C) -57.28%", "D) -32.78%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-32.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 7.24%\nC) -2.59%\nD) 9.70%", "options": ["A) 2.33%", "B) 7.24%", "C) -2.59%", "D) 9.70%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.74%\nB) -9.61%\nC) -21.80%\nD) -1.48%", "options": ["A) -17.74%", "B) -9.61%", "C) -21.80%", "D) -1.48%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-9.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.43%\nB) 0.39%\nC) -1.69%\nD) -3.78%", "options": ["A) 1.43%", "B) 0.39%", "C) -1.69%", "D) -3.78%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 140,863K\nB) 129,922K\nC) 134,025K\nD) 136,760K", "options": ["A) 140,863K", "B) 129,922K", "C) 134,025K", "D) 136,760K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "136,760K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 88.11%\nB) 125.53%\nC) 75.64%\nD) 113.06%", "options": ["A) 88.11%", "B) 125.53%", "C) 75.64%", "D) 113.06%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "88.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.59pp\nB) -1.00pp\nC) -1.21pp\nD) -0.79pp", "options": ["A) -0.59pp", "B) -1.00pp", "C) -1.21pp", "D) -0.79pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.37pp\nB) -0.12pp\nC) +0.00pp\nD) +0.12pp", "options": ["A) +0.37pp", "B) -0.12pp", "C) +0.00pp", "D) +0.12pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.01%\nD) 2.44%", "options": ["A) 1.79%", "B) 2.22%", "C) 2.01%", "D) 2.44%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.95%\nB) 4.01%\nC) 3.54%\nD) 5.90%", "options": ["A) 4.95%", "B) 4.01%", "C) 3.54%", "D) 5.90%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -28.20pp\nB) -18.90pp\nC) -9.60pp\nD) -14.25pp", "options": ["A) -28.20pp", "B) -18.90pp", "C) -9.60pp", "D) -14.25pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-18.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.96%\nB) 1.73%\nC) -0.61%\nD) 6.43%", "options": ["A) -2.96%", "B) 1.73%", "C) -0.61%", "D) 6.43%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.29%\nB) 9.88%\nC) 18.90%\nD) 13.49%", "options": ["A) 15.29%", "B) 9.88%", "C) 18.90%", "D) 13.49%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $7,670B\nB) $8,392B\nC) $8,151B\nD) $6,948B", "options": ["A) $7,670B", "B) $8,392B", "C) $8,151B", "D) $6,948B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$7,670B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 116.7217\nB) 108.1900\nC) 111.0339\nD) 102.5022", "options": ["A) 116.7217", "B) 108.1900", "C) 111.0339", "D) 102.5022"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "108.1900", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,084B\nB) $10,218B\nC) $10,964B\nD) $9,844B", "options": ["A) $12,084B", "B) $10,218B", "C) $10,964B", "D) $9,844B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$10,964B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.14%\nB) 3.09%\nC) -0.95%\nD) 1.47%", "options": ["A) -0.14%", "B) 3.09%", "C) -0.95%", "D) 1.47%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $63,854M\nB) $60,996M\nC) $55,279M\nD) $58,137M", "options": ["A) $63,854M", "B) $60,996M", "C) $55,279M", "D) $58,137M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$63,854M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 76.04%\nB) 80.54%\nC) 82.34%\nD) 77.84%", "options": ["A) 76.04%", "B) 80.54%", "C) 82.34%", "D) 77.84%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.49%\nC) 2.76%\nD) 3.18%", "options": ["A) 2.33%", "B) 1.49%", "C) 2.76%", "D) 3.18%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 69.77%\nB) 71.99%\nC) 76.45%\nD) 74.22%", "options": ["A) 69.77%", "B) 71.99%", "C) 76.45%", "D) 74.22%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "74.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.70%\nB) 4.94%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.47%", "options": ["A) 3.70%", "B) 4.94%", "C) 2.88%", "D) 2.47%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 84.71\nB) 87.35\nC) 93.94\nD) 89.99", "options": ["A) 84.71", "B) 87.35", "C) 93.94", "D) 89.99"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "87.35", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 2.62%\nC) 2.39%\nD) 1.93%", "options": ["A) 2.16%", "B) 2.62%", "C) 2.39%", "D) 1.93%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.16pp\nB) -30.92pp\nC) -19.04pp\nD) -13.10pp", "options": ["A) -7.16pp", "B) -30.92pp", "C) -19.04pp", "D) -13.10pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-13.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.39\nB) 85.17\nC) 80.71\nD) 82.94", "options": ["A) 87.39", "B) 85.17", "C) 80.71", "D) 82.94"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "87.39", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.86pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) -1.67pp\nD) +1.36pp", "options": ["A) +0.86pp", "B) -0.16pp", "C) -1.67pp", "D) +1.36pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.16pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 206.39\nB) 227.03\nC) 216.71\nD) 199.51", "options": ["A) 206.39", "B) 227.03", "C) 216.71", "D) 199.51"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "216.71", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,038B\nB) $9,397B\nC) $10,835B\nD) $10,116B", "options": ["A) $9,038B", "B) $9,397B", "C) $10,835B", "D) $10,116B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$10,116B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $10,765B\nB) $9,687B\nC) $11,844B\nD) $10,406B", "options": ["A) $10,765B", "B) $9,687B", "C) $11,844B", "D) $10,406B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$10,765B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.73%\nB) 6.20%\nC) 7.13%\nD) 6.67%", "options": ["A) 5.73%", "B) 6.20%", "C) 7.13%", "D) 6.67%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,136B\nB) $8,400B\nC) $7,872B\nD) $7,082B", "options": ["A) $8,136B", "B) $8,400B", "C) $7,872B", "D) $7,082B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$7,872B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 59.86\nB) 54.64\nC) 85.96\nD) 70.30", "options": ["A) 59.86", "B) 54.64", "C) 85.96", "D) 70.30"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "70.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.40pp\nB) +1.65pp\nC) +2.15pp\nD) +1.90pp", "options": ["A) +1.40pp", "B) +1.65pp", "C) +2.15pp", "D) +1.90pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+1.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.71%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 3.38%\nD) -1.08%", "options": ["A) 0.71%", "B) 1.60%", "C) 3.38%", "D) -1.08%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.83%\nB) 8.36%\nC) 7.59%\nD) 6.07%", "options": ["A) 6.83%", "B) 8.36%", "C) 7.59%", "D) 6.07%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -57.59%\nB) -48.62%\nC) -3.78%\nD) -30.68%", "options": ["A) -57.59%", "B) -48.62%", "C) -3.78%", "D) -30.68%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-30.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 3.42%", "options": ["A) 1.81%", "B) 1.00%", "C) 2.62%", "D) 3.42%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 219K\nB) 820K\nC) 1,421K\nD) 419K", "options": ["A) 219K", "B) 820K", "C) 1,421K", "D) 419K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "820K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $-72,920M\nB) $-64,440M\nC) $-60,200M\nD) $-47,480M", "options": ["A) $-72,920M", "B) $-64,440M", "C) $-60,200M", "D) $-47,480M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-60,200M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 3.67%", "options": ["A) 2.78%", "B) 3.37%", "C) 3.96%", "D) 3.67%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 4.38%\nC) 5.19%\nD) 3.57%", "options": ["A) 3.97%", "B) 4.38%", "C) 5.19%", "D) 3.57%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 6.10%\nC) 5.86%\nD) 6.82%", "options": ["A) 6.34%", "B) 6.10%", "C) 5.86%", "D) 6.82%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 375K\nB) 1,219K\nC) 797K\nD) 1,429K", "options": ["A) 375K", "B) 1,219K", "C) 797K", "D) 1,429K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "797K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.38%\nB) 67.98%\nC) 64.02%\nD) 66.00%", "options": ["A) 61.38%", "B) 67.98%", "C) 64.02%", "D) 66.00%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "66.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 187.90\nB) 174.88\nC) 200.92\nD) 207.43", "options": ["A) 187.90", "B) 174.88", "C) 200.92", "D) 207.43"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "187.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 4.14%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 4.71%", "options": ["A) 5.84%", "B) 4.14%", "C) 3.01%", "D) 4.71%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.17%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 4.41%\nD) 3.26%", "options": ["A) 5.17%", "B) 3.64%", "C) 4.41%", "D) 3.26%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -5.95%\nB) -9.90%\nC) -8.58%\nD) -7.27%", "options": ["A) -5.95%", "B) -9.90%", "C) -8.58%", "D) -7.27%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-7.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.35%\nB) -8.84%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 4.14%", "options": ["A) -2.35%", "B) -8.84%", "C) 1.97%", "D) 4.14%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.4939\nB) 1.5472\nC) 1.4407\nD) 1.6537", "options": ["A) 1.4939", "B) 1.5472", "C) 1.4407", "D) 1.6537"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.5472", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.92%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 2.04%\nD) 1.80%", "options": ["A) 1.92%", "B) 2.29%", "C) 2.04%", "D) 1.80%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.93%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 5.66%\nD) 5.10%", "options": ["A) 5.93%", "B) 4.27%", "C) 5.66%", "D) 5.10%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) -5.78%\nB) -29.81%\nC) -21.80%\nD) 2.22%", "options": ["A) -5.78%", "B) -29.81%", "C) -21.80%", "D) 2.22%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-5.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) -0.60pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.80pp", "options": ["A) +0.00pp", "B) -0.60pp", "C) -0.40pp", "D) -0.80pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.5141\nB) 7.2681\nC) 6.8911\nD) 6.3255", "options": ["A) 6.5141", "B) 7.2681", "C) 6.8911", "D) 6.3255"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.8911", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.65\nB) 86.81\nC) 93.69\nD) 90.25", "options": ["A) 81.65", "B) 86.81", "C) 93.69", "D) 90.25"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "90.25", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $-60,292M\nB) $-63,782M\nC) $-67,272M\nD) $-56,802M", "options": ["A) $-60,292M", "B) $-63,782M", "C) $-67,272M", "D) $-56,802M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-60,292M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.02pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) -0.47pp\nD) +0.27pp", "options": ["A) +0.02pp", "B) -0.10pp", "C) -0.47pp", "D) +0.27pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $225,005M\nB) $195,725M\nC) $215,245M\nD) $205,485M", "options": ["A) $225,005M", "B) $195,725M", "C) $215,245M", "D) $205,485M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$215,245M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $213,149M\nB) $224,008M\nC) $202,289M\nD) $234,868M", "options": ["A) $213,149M", "B) $224,008M", "C) $202,289M", "D) $234,868M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$234,868M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.02%\nB) 2.41%\nC) 4.84%\nD) 4.23%", "options": ["A) 3.02%", "B) 2.41%", "C) 4.84%", "D) 4.23%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.77%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 3.37%", "options": ["A) 4.18%", "B) 3.77%", "C) 2.97%", "D) 3.37%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.97%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 4.18%\nD) 3.58%", "options": ["A) 5.97%", "B) 5.38%", "C) 4.18%", "D) 3.58%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.42%\nB) 8.74%\nC) 8.16%\nD) 7.00%", "options": ["A) 6.42%", "B) 8.74%", "C) 8.16%", "D) 7.00%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 161.91\nB) 154.47\nC) 139.59\nD) 176.79", "options": ["A) 161.91", "B) 154.47", "C) 139.59", "D) 176.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "161.91", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 0.57%\nC) -0.90%\nD) -0.41%", "options": ["A) 1.55%", "B) 0.57%", "C) -0.90%", "D) -0.41%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 98.77\nB) 88.80\nC) 93.79\nD) 102.10", "options": ["A) 98.77", "B) 88.80", "C) 93.79", "D) 102.10"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "93.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 5.20%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 2.61%", "options": ["A) 1.75%", "B) 5.20%", "C) 4.33%", "D) 2.61%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $66,526M\nB) $60,422M\nC) $63,474M\nD) $75,682M", "options": ["A) $66,526M", "B) $60,422M", "C) $63,474M", "D) $75,682M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$66,526M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.54%\nB) -7.84%\nC) -4.69%\nD) -11.00%", "options": ["A) -1.54%", "B) -7.84%", "C) -4.69%", "D) -11.00%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-7.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.04%\nB) 1.11%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 1.49%", "options": ["A) -0.04%", "B) 1.11%", "C) 0.34%", "D) 1.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20080615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2008-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2008-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.50%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 2.07%", "options": ["A) 0.50%", "B) 2.86%", "C) 1.28%", "D) 2.07%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) $833M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $833M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$833M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.18%\nB) 9.95%\nC) 12.26%\nD) 11.49%", "options": ["A) 9.18%", "B) 9.95%", "C) 12.26%", "D) 11.49%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.17%\nD) 2.32%", "options": ["A) 2.47%", "B) 2.02%", "C) 2.17%", "D) 2.32%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 230.75\nB) 220.95\nC) 204.62\nD) 214.42", "options": ["A) 230.75", "B) 220.95", "C) 204.62", "D) 214.42"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "214.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20080301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-01-30.)\n\nA) 101.53\nB) 107.22\nC) 111.01\nD) 97.74", "options": ["A) 101.53", "B) 107.22", "C) 111.01", "D) 97.74"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "101.53", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20080901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2008", "info_cutoff": "2008-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2008? (Use only information available on or before 2008-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $910M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $910M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$910M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 23.77\nB) 37.89\nC) 32.24\nD) 40.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 23.77", "B) 37.89", "C) 32.24", "D) 40.71"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 23.77\nB) 37.89\nC) 32.24\nD) 40.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 23.77", "B) 37.89", "C) 32.24", "D) 40.71"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 35.06\nC) 26.59\nD) 32.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 40.71", "B) 35.06", "C) 26.59", "D) 32.24"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 35.06\nC) 26.59\nD) 32.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 40.71", "B) 35.06", "C) 26.59", "D) 32.24"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 29.42\nC) 35.06\nD) 23.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 32.24", "B) 29.42", "C) 35.06", "D) 23.77"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 32.24\nB) 29.42\nC) 35.06\nD) 23.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 32.24", "B) 29.42", "C) 35.06", "D) 23.77"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 32.24\nC) 35.06\nD) 26.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 40.71", "B) 32.24", "C) 35.06", "D) 26.59"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 32.24\nC) 35.06\nD) 26.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 40.71", "B) 32.24", "C) 35.06", "D) 26.59"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 23.77\nC) 32.24\nD) 37.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 40.71", "B) 23.77", "C) 32.24", "D) 37.89"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 23.77\nC) 32.24\nD) 37.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 40.71", "B) 23.77", "C) 32.24", "D) 37.89"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 26.59\nC) 29.42\nD) 32.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 40.71", "B) 26.59", "C) 29.42", "D) 32.24"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 40.71\nB) 26.59\nC) 29.42\nD) 32.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 40.71", "B) 26.59", "C) 29.42", "D) 32.24"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "32.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080316-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.18%\nC) 3.77%\nD) 3.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 3.56%", "B) 4.18%", "C) 3.77%", "D) 3.35%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.18%\nC) 3.77%\nD) 3.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 3.56%", "B) 4.18%", "C) 3.77%", "D) 3.35%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 3.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 4.18%", "B) 3.56%", "C) 2.94%", "D) 3.14%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 3.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 4.18%", "B) 3.56%", "C) 2.94%", "D) 3.14%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 4.23%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2.99%", "B) 3.82%", "C) 3.61%", "D) 4.23%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.61%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 4.23%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2.99%", "B) 3.82%", "C) 3.61%", "D) 4.23%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.61%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 3.93%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 4.14%", "B) 3.72%", "C) 4.35%", "D) 3.93%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.93%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 3.93%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 4.14%", "B) 3.72%", "C) 4.35%", "D) 3.93%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.93%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 4.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 4.11%", "B) 3.49%", "C) 4.32%", "D) 4.73%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.11%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 4.32%\nD) 4.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 4.11%", "B) 3.49%", "C) 4.32%", "D) 4.73%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.11%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 3.65%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 4.48%", "B) 4.27%", "C) 3.85%", "D) 3.65%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.27%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 3.65%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 4.48%", "B) 4.27%", "C) 3.85%", "D) 3.65%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.27%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080316-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,464.99\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2,464.99", "B) 2,081.02", "C) 2,177.01", "D) 1,889.03"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,464.99\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2,464.99", "B) 2,081.02", "C) 2,177.01", "D) 1,889.03"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-5d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,464.99\nD) 2,177.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2,369.00", "B) 2,081.02", "C) 2,464.99", "D) 2,177.01"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,081.02\nC) 2,464.99\nD) 2,177.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2,369.00", "B) 2,081.02", "C) 2,464.99", "D) 2,177.01"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-10d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,177.01\nB) 2,273.00\nC) 2,369.00\nD) 1,889.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2,177.01", "B) 2,273.00", "C) 2,369.00", "D) 1,889.03"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,177.01\nB) 2,273.00\nC) 2,369.00\nD) 1,889.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2,177.01", "B) 2,273.00", "C) 2,369.00", "D) 1,889.03"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-20d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,177.01\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,081.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2,369.00", "B) 2,177.01", "C) 1,985.02", "D) 2,081.02"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 2,177.01\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,081.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2,369.00", "B) 2,177.01", "C) 1,985.02", "D) 2,081.02"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-40d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,273.00\nB) 1,985.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2,273.00", "B) 1,985.02", "C) 2,177.01", "D) 1,889.03"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,273.00\nB) 1,985.02\nC) 2,177.01\nD) 1,889.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2,273.00", "B) 1,985.02", "C) 2,177.01", "D) 1,889.03"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-60d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 1,889.03\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,177.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2,369.00", "B) 1,889.03", "C) 1,985.02", "D) 2,177.01"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2,369.00\nB) 1,889.03\nC) 1,985.02\nD) 2,177.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2,369.00", "B) 1,889.03", "C) 1,985.02", "D) 2,177.01"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,177.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080316-120d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 1.35%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 1.81%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 1.35%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 1.81%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-5d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 1.81%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 2.72%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 1.81%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 2.72%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-10d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2.72%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 1.35%", "D) 0.44%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 0.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2.72%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 1.35%", "D) 0.44%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-20d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2.26%", "B) 0.89%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 1.35%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 2.26%", "B) 0.89%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 1.35%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-40d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 0.44%\nD) 0.89%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 1.35%", "B) 1.81%", "C) 0.44%", "D) 0.89%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.81%\nC) 0.44%\nD) 0.89%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 1.35%", "B) 1.81%", "C) 0.44%", "D) 0.89%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-60d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 0.44%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 2.72%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Bear Stearns rescue\" on 2008-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2008-03-14.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2008-03-14", "options": ["A) 0.44%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 2.72%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Bear Stearns rescue", "event_date": "2008-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20080316-120d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 39.06\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 24.46", "B) 39.06", "C) 30.30", "D) 36.14"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 39.06\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 24.46", "B) 39.06", "C) 30.30", "D) 36.14"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-5d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.38\nB) 36.14\nC) 21.54\nD) 30.30", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 27.38", "B) 36.14", "C) 21.54", "D) 30.30"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 27.38\nB) 36.14\nC) 21.54\nD) 30.30", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 27.38", "B) 36.14", "C) 21.54", "D) 30.30"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-10d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.30\nB) 24.46\nC) 36.14\nD) 21.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 30.30", "B) 24.46", "C) 36.14", "D) 21.54"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.30\nB) 24.46\nC) 36.14\nD) 21.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 30.30", "B) 24.46", "C) 36.14", "D) 21.54"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-20d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 39.06\nB) 30.30\nC) 36.14\nD) 27.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 39.06", "B) 30.30", "C) 36.14", "D) 27.38"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 39.06\nB) 30.30\nC) 36.14\nD) 27.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 39.06", "B) 30.30", "C) 36.14", "D) 27.38"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-40d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 27.38\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 24.46", "B) 27.38", "C) 30.30", "D) 36.14"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.46\nB) 27.38\nC) 30.30\nD) 36.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 24.46", "B) 27.38", "C) 30.30", "D) 36.14"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-60d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 36.14\nB) 33.22\nC) 27.38\nD) 30.30", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 36.14", "B) 33.22", "C) 27.38", "D) 30.30"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 36.14\nB) 33.22\nC) 27.38\nD) 30.30", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 36.14", "B) 33.22", "C) 27.38", "D) 30.30"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080915-120d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 3.60%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.83%", "B) 4.53%", "C) 4.29%", "D) 3.60%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.53%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 3.60%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.83%", "B) 4.53%", "C) 4.29%", "D) 3.60%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 4.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 4.11%", "B) 3.88%", "C) 3.42%", "D) 4.58%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.88%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 4.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 4.11%", "B) 3.88%", "C) 3.42%", "D) 4.58%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.88%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 4.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 4.31%", "B) 3.38%", "C) 4.08%", "D) 4.78%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 4.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 4.31%", "B) 3.38%", "C) 4.08%", "D) 4.78%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.08%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.38%", "B) 4.78%", "C) 4.31%", "D) 4.08%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.08%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.38%", "B) 4.78%", "C) 4.31%", "D) 4.08%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 3.38%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 4.08%", "B) 3.62%", "C) 4.78%", "D) 3.38%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 4.78%\nD) 3.38%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 4.08%", "B) 3.62%", "C) 4.78%", "D) 3.38%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 4.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 4.31%", "B) 4.08%", "C) 3.62%", "D) 4.78%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 4.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 4.31%", "B) 4.08%", "C) 3.62%", "D) 4.78%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080915-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 2,127.68", "B) 2,054.57", "C) 2,273.90", "D) 2,200.79"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 2,127.68", "B) 2,054.57", "C) 2,273.90", "D) 2,200.79"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,420.12\nD) 2,273.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 2,127.68", "B) 2,054.57", "C) 2,420.12", "D) 2,273.90"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,127.68\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,420.12\nD) 2,273.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 2,127.68", "B) 2,054.57", "C) 2,420.12", "D) 2,273.90"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,273.90\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,420.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 2,273.90", "B) 2,054.57", "C) 2,127.68", "D) 2,420.12"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,273.90\nB) 2,054.57\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,420.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 2,273.90", "B) 2,054.57", "C) 2,127.68", "D) 2,420.12"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,273.90\nC) 2,493.23\nD) 2,054.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 2,420.12", "B) 2,273.90", "C) 2,493.23", "D) 2,054.57"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,273.90\nC) 2,493.23\nD) 2,054.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 2,420.12", "B) 2,273.90", "C) 2,493.23", "D) 2,054.57"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,493.23\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 2,420.12", "B) 2,493.23", "C) 2,273.90", "D) 2,200.79"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,420.12\nB) 2,493.23\nC) 2,273.90\nD) 2,200.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 2,420.12", "B) 2,493.23", "C) 2,273.90", "D) 2,200.79"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,347.01\nB) 2,200.79\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,273.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 2,347.01", "B) 2,200.79", "C) 2,127.68", "D) 2,273.90"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 2,347.01\nB) 2,200.79\nC) 2,127.68\nD) 2,273.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 2,347.01", "B) 2,200.79", "C) 2,127.68", "D) 2,273.90"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,273.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080915-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.76%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 0.03%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 0.76%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.03%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.76%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 0.03%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 0.76%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-5d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.23%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 0.76%", "B) 0.03%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 2.23%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 0.03%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.23%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 0.76%", "B) 0.03%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 2.23%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-10d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 0.76%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 0.03%", "D) 1.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.76%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 0.76%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 0.03%", "D) 1.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-20d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.03%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 1.49%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 0.76%", "D) 0.03%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.03%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 1.49%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 0.76%", "D) 0.03%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-40d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 0.00%", "B) 1.46%", "C) 2.20%", "D) 0.73%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.00%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 0.00%", "B) 1.46%", "C) 2.20%", "D) 0.73%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.00%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-60d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 1.46%", "B) 0.00%", "C) 2.20%", "D) 0.73%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.00%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 2.20%\nD) 0.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 1.46%", "B) 0.00%", "C) 2.20%", "D) 0.73%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.00%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20080915-120d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 0.39%\nD) 2.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", "options": ["A) 1.79%", "B) 1.09%", "C) 0.39%", "D) 2.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.39%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 0.39%\nD) 2.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", "options": ["A) 1.79%", "B) 1.09%", "C) 0.39%", "D) 2.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.39%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-40d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 0.16%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", "options": ["A) 0.86%", "B) 1.56%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 0.16%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 0.16%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", "options": ["A) 0.86%", "B) 1.56%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 0.16%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-60d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.55%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", "options": ["A) 0.15%", "B) 2.25%", "C) 0.85%", "D) 1.55%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.15%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.55%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-01", "options": ["A) 0.15%", "B) 2.25%", "C) 0.85%", "D) 1.55%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.15%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20080915-120d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 100.6454\nB) 107.1800\nC) 113.7146\nD) 116.9818", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 100.6454", "B) 107.1800", "C) 113.7146", "D) 116.9818"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 100.6454\nB) 107.1800\nC) 113.7146\nD) 116.9818", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 100.6454", "B) 107.1800", "C) 113.7146", "D) 116.9818"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 103.9127\nB) 97.3782\nC) 107.1800\nD) 100.6454", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 103.9127", "B) 97.3782", "C) 107.1800", "D) 100.6454"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 103.9127\nB) 97.3782\nC) 107.1800\nD) 100.6454", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 103.9127", "B) 97.3782", "C) 107.1800", "D) 100.6454"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 116.9818\nC) 100.6454\nD) 107.1800", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 110.4473", "B) 116.9818", "C) 100.6454", "D) 107.1800"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 116.9818\nC) 100.6454\nD) 107.1800", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 110.4473", "B) 116.9818", "C) 100.6454", "D) 107.1800"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 107.1800\nB) 97.3782\nC) 100.6454\nD) 116.9818", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 107.1800", "B) 97.3782", "C) 100.6454", "D) 116.9818"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 107.1800\nB) 97.3782\nC) 100.6454\nD) 116.9818", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 107.1800", "B) 97.3782", "C) 100.6454", "D) 116.9818"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 113.7146\nB) 107.1800\nC) 116.9818\nD) 110.4473", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 113.7146", "B) 107.1800", "C) 116.9818", "D) 110.4473"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 113.7146\nB) 107.1800\nC) 116.9818\nD) 110.4473", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 113.7146", "B) 107.1800", "C) 116.9818", "D) 110.4473"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 113.7146\nC) 107.1800\nD) 103.9127", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 110.4473", "B) 113.7146", "C) 107.1800", "D) 103.9127"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Lehman Brothers bankruptcy\" on 2008-09-15, what will be the maximum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-15? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-12.)\n\nA) 110.4473\nB) 113.7146\nC) 107.1800\nD) 103.9127", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-15", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-12", "options": ["A) 110.4473", "B) 113.7146", "C) 107.1800", "D) 103.9127"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "107.1800", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Lehman Brothers bankruptcy", "event_date": "2008-09-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20080915-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,314.78\nB) 1,943.28\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 2,314.78", "B) 1,943.28", "C) 2,240.48", "D) 2,091.88"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,314.78\nB) 1,943.28\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 2,314.78", "B) 1,943.28", "C) 2,240.48", "D) 2,091.88"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 1,943.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 2,091.88", "B) 2,017.58", "C) 2,314.78", "D) 1,943.28"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 1,943.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 2,091.88", "B) 2,017.58", "C) 2,314.78", "D) 1,943.28"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,091.88\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 1,868.98", "B) 2,091.88", "C) 2,314.78", "D) 2,017.58"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,091.88\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 1,868.98", "B) 2,091.88", "C) 2,314.78", "D) 2,017.58"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,240.48\nB) 2,314.78\nC) 2,091.88\nD) 1,943.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 2,240.48", "B) 2,314.78", "C) 2,091.88", "D) 1,943.28"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,240.48\nB) 2,314.78\nC) 2,091.88\nD) 1,943.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 2,240.48", "B) 2,314.78", "C) 2,091.88", "D) 1,943.28"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 1,868.98", "B) 2,017.58", "C) 2,240.48", "D) 2,091.88"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 1,868.98\nB) 2,017.58\nC) 2,240.48\nD) 2,091.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 1,868.98", "B) 2,017.58", "C) 2,240.48", "D) 2,091.88"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 1,868.98\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 2,091.88", "B) 1,868.98", "C) 2,314.78", "D) 2,017.58"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.88\nB) 1,868.98\nC) 2,314.78\nD) 2,017.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 2,091.88", "B) 1,868.98", "C) 2,314.78", "D) 2,017.58"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,091.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20080929-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 55.12\nB) 52.05\nC) 61.25\nD) 45.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 55.12", "B) 52.05", "C) 61.25", "D) 45.92"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "52.05", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 55.12\nB) 52.05\nC) 61.25\nD) 45.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 55.12", "B) 52.05", "C) 61.25", "D) 45.92"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "52.05", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 66.88\nB) 76.08\nC) 69.95\nD) 73.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 66.88", "B) 76.08", "C) 69.95", "D) 73.02"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "69.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 66.88\nB) 76.08\nC) 69.95\nD) 73.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 66.88", "B) 76.08", "C) 69.95", "D) 73.02"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "69.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 70.86\nB) 83.13\nC) 89.26\nD) 80.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 70.86", "B) 83.13", "C) 89.26", "D) 80.06"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "80.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 70.86\nB) 83.13\nC) 89.26\nD) 80.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 70.86", "B) 83.13", "C) 89.26", "D) 80.06"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "80.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 80.86\nB) 74.73\nC) 77.79\nD) 86.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 80.86", "B) 74.73", "C) 77.79", "D) 86.99"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "80.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 80.86\nB) 74.73\nC) 77.79\nD) 86.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 80.86", "B) 74.73", "C) 77.79", "D) 86.99"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "80.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 83.93\nB) 80.86\nC) 86.99\nD) 71.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 83.93", "B) 80.86", "C) 86.99", "D) 71.66"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 83.93\nB) 80.86\nC) 86.99\nD) 71.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 83.93", "B) 80.86", "C) 86.99", "D) 71.66"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 86.99\nB) 71.66\nC) 80.86\nD) 77.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 86.99", "B) 71.66", "C) 80.86", "D) 77.79"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "80.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 86.99\nB) 71.66\nC) 80.86\nD) 77.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 86.99", "B) 71.66", "C) 80.86", "D) 77.79"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "80.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20080929-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 3.85%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 3.14%", "B) 4.32%", "C) 4.09%", "D) 3.85%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.85%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 3.85%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 3.14%", "B) 4.32%", "C) 4.09%", "D) 3.85%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.85%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 3.37%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 4.08%", "B) 3.61%", "C) 4.55%", "D) 3.37%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 4.55%\nD) 3.37%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 4.08%", "B) 3.61%", "C) 4.55%", "D) 3.37%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 3.84%", "B) 4.08%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 3.61%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 3.84%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 3.84%", "B) 4.08%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 3.61%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 3.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 4.32%", "B) 3.37%", "C) 4.08%", "D) 3.61%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 4.08%\nD) 3.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 4.32%", "B) 3.37%", "C) 4.08%", "D) 3.61%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 4.08%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 4.55%", "B) 4.79%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 4.08%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.79%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 4.08%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 4.55%", "B) 4.79%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 4.08%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.79%\nD) 3.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 4.08%", "B) 4.32%", "C) 4.79%", "D) 3.61%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"TARP rejected by House\" on 2008-09-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-09-29? (Use only information available on or before 2008-09-26.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.79%\nD) 3.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-09-29", "info_cutoff": "2008-09-26", "options": ["A) 4.08%", "B) 4.32%", "C) 4.79%", "D) 3.61%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "TARP rejected by House", "event_date": "2008-09-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20080929-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 3.48%", "B) 2.99%", "C) 3.23%", "D) 2.75%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 3.23%\nD) 2.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 3.48%", "B) 2.99%", "C) 3.23%", "D) 2.75%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 3.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 3.23%", "B) 3.48%", "C) 2.99%", "D) 3.72%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 3.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 3.23%", "B) 3.48%", "C) 2.99%", "D) 3.72%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 2.99%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 3.23%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 2.75%", "D) 2.99%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.23%\nB) 2.26%\nC) 2.75%\nD) 2.99%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 3.23%", "B) 2.26%", "C) 2.75%", "D) 2.99%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 2.99%", "B) 2.75%", "C) 2.50%", "D) 3.72%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.99%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 3.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 2.99%", "B) 2.75%", "C) 2.50%", "D) 3.72%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 3.31%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 3.56%", "B) 3.07%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 3.31%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 3.31%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 3.56%", "B) 3.07%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 3.31%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.29%\nD) 4.02%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 3.05%", "B) 3.53%", "C) 3.29%", "D) 4.02%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.29%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 3.53%\nC) 3.29%\nD) 4.02%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 3.05%", "B) 3.53%", "C) 3.29%", "D) 4.02%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.29%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20081125-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 1.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 2.33%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 0.47%", "D) 1.09%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 1.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 2.33%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 0.47%", "D) 1.09%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.09%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 2.95%", "D) 2.33%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 2.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.09%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 2.95%", "D) 2.33%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 2.95%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 2.33%", "B) 1.09%", "C) 1.71%", "D) 2.95%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 1.71%\nD) 2.95%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 2.33%", "B) 1.09%", "C) 1.71%", "D) 2.95%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.09%\nD) 1.71%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 0.47%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 1.09%", "D) 1.71%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.09%\nD) 1.71%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 0.47%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 1.09%", "D) 1.71%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 1.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 2.33%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 2.95%", "D) 1.09%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.95%\nD) 1.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 2.33%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 2.95%", "D) 1.09%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 2.95%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.09%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 2.33%", "D) 2.95%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 1.71%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 2.95%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.09%", "B) 1.71%", "C) 2.33%", "D) 2.95%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20081125-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 5.47%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 5.86%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": ["A) 5.34%", "B) 5.47%", "C) 5.08%", "D) 5.86%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.47%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.34%\nB) 5.47%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 5.86%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": ["A) 5.34%", "B) 5.47%", "C) 5.08%", "D) 5.86%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.47%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-10d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 5.53%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": ["A) 5.27%", "B) 5.40%", "C) 5.14%", "D) 5.53%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.14%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.27%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 5.53%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": ["A) 5.27%", "B) 5.40%", "C) 5.14%", "D) 5.53%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.14%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-20d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 4.96%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": ["A) 4.57%", "B) 5.09%", "C) 4.83%", "D) 4.96%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 4.96%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": ["A) 4.57%", "B) 5.09%", "C) 4.83%", "D) 4.96%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-40d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 4.57%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": ["A) 4.96%", "B) 4.83%", "C) 4.70%", "D) 4.57%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 4.57%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": ["A) 4.96%", "B) 4.83%", "C) 4.70%", "D) 4.57%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-60d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.04%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 5.17%\nD) 4.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": ["A) 5.04%", "B) 4.78%", "C) 5.17%", "D) 4.52%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-20.)\n\nA) 5.04%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 5.17%\nD) 4.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-20", "options": ["A) 5.04%", "B) 4.78%", "C) 5.17%", "D) 4.52%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20081125-120d-min", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.0429\nB) 1.4268\nC) 1.2828\nD) 1.1388", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.0429", "B) 1.4268", "C) 1.2828", "D) 1.1388"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2828", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.0429\nB) 1.4268\nC) 1.2828\nD) 1.1388", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.0429", "B) 1.4268", "C) 1.2828", "D) 1.1388"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2828", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-5d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3984\nB) 1.0625\nC) 1.1584\nD) 1.3024", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.3984", "B) 1.0625", "C) 1.1584", "D) 1.3024"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3024", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.3984\nB) 1.0625\nC) 1.1584\nD) 1.3024", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.3984", "B) 1.0625", "C) 1.1584", "D) 1.3024"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3024", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-10d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.4358\nB) 1.5798\nC) 1.1959\nD) 1.2918", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.4358", "B) 1.5798", "C) 1.1959", "D) 1.2918"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.4358\nB) 1.5798\nC) 1.1959\nD) 1.2918", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.4358", "B) 1.5798", "C) 1.1959", "D) 1.2918"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-20d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5798\nB) 1.4358\nC) 1.6757\nD) 1.2918", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.5798", "B) 1.4358", "C) 1.6757", "D) 1.2918"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5798\nB) 1.4358\nC) 1.6757\nD) 1.2918", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.5798", "B) 1.4358", "C) 1.6757", "D) 1.2918"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-40d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5318\nB) 1.2918\nC) 1.4358\nD) 1.6277", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.5318", "B) 1.2918", "C) 1.4358", "D) 1.6277"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.5318\nB) 1.2918\nC) 1.4358\nD) 1.6277", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.5318", "B) 1.2918", "C) 1.4358", "D) 1.6277"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-60d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.2918\nB) 1.6757\nC) 1.5318\nD) 1.4358", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.2918", "B) 1.6757", "C) 1.5318", "D) 1.4358"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed announces QE1\" on 2008-11-25, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2008-11-25? (Use only information available on or before 2008-11-24.)\n\nA) 1.2918\nB) 1.6757\nC) 1.5318\nD) 1.4358", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2008-11-25", "info_cutoff": "2008-11-24", "options": ["A) 1.2918", "B) 1.6757", "C) 1.5318", "D) 1.4358"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.4358", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Fed announces QE1", "event_date": "2008-11-25", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20081125-120d-max", "year": 2008} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) +3.60pp\nB) +4.81pp\nC) +3.20pp\nD) +4.41pp", "options": ["A) +3.60pp", "B) +4.81pp", "C) +3.20pp", "D) +4.41pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+3.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.08%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 1.00%\nD) 1.27%", "options": ["A) -0.08%", "B) 0.73%", "C) 1.00%", "D) 1.27%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 145.11\nB) 175.76\nC) 168.10\nD) 191.09", "options": ["A) 145.11", "B) 175.76", "C) 168.10", "D) 191.09"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "168.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $-29,711M\nB) $-18,640M\nC) $-51,854M\nD) $-35,247M", "options": ["A) $-29,711M", "B) $-18,640M", "C) $-51,854M", "D) $-35,247M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-35,247M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.90%\nB) 61.70%\nC) 56.91%\nD) 58.10%", "options": ["A) 59.90%", "B) 61.70%", "C) 56.91%", "D) 58.10%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "59.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.63%\nB) 68.09%\nC) 62.33%\nD) 71.55%", "options": ["A) 64.63%", "B) 68.09%", "C) 62.33%", "D) 71.55%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "68.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -29.63%\nB) -22.30%\nC) -25.96%\nD) -14.96%", "options": ["A) -29.63%", "B) -22.30%", "C) -25.96%", "D) -14.96%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-25.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 84.95\nB) 94.78\nC) 82.49\nD) 87.41", "options": ["A) 84.95", "B) 94.78", "C) 82.49", "D) 87.41"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "87.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $1,647M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $1,647M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$1,647M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $19.82/hr\nB) $18.49/hr\nC) $17.16/hr\nD) $18.93/hr", "options": ["A) $19.82/hr", "B) $18.49/hr", "C) $17.16/hr", "D) $18.93/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$18.49/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.80\nB) 86.34\nC) 89.32\nD) 96.79", "options": ["A) 93.80", "B) 86.34", "C) 89.32", "D) 96.79"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "89.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) +20.15pp\nB) -8.10pp\nC) -2.45pp\nD) +3.20pp", "options": ["A) +20.15pp", "B) -8.10pp", "C) -2.45pp", "D) +3.20pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+3.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -10.54%\nB) -4.00%\nC) -12.72%\nD) -8.36%", "options": ["A) -10.54%", "B) -4.00%", "C) -12.72%", "D) -8.36%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-10.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 3.04%", "options": ["A) 3.33%", "B) 2.75%", "C) 3.63%", "D) 3.04%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.38%\nB) -30.21%\nC) -49.00%\nD) -11.41%", "options": ["A) 7.38%", "B) -30.21%", "C) -49.00%", "D) -11.41%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-49.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) -2.25%\nC) 0.38%\nD) -1.38%", "options": ["A) 1.25%", "B) -2.25%", "C) 0.38%", "D) -1.38%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -28.66%\nB) 0.28%\nC) -57.59%\nD) -47.95%", "options": ["A) -28.66%", "B) 0.28%", "C) -57.59%", "D) -47.95%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-28.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 11.68%\nB) -47.69%\nC) -87.26%\nD) -27.90%", "options": ["A) 11.68%", "B) -47.69%", "C) -87.26%", "D) -27.90%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-47.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 43.65%\nB) 134.23%\nC) 98.00%\nD) 79.88%", "options": ["A) 43.65%", "B) 134.23%", "C) 98.00%", "D) 79.88%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "98.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) $56.97/bbl\nB) $91.53/bbl\nC) $103.06/bbl\nD) $68.49/bbl", "options": ["A) $56.97/bbl", "B) $91.53/bbl", "C) $103.06/bbl", "D) $68.49/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$68.49/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.20pp\nB) -4.28pp\nC) -1.58pp\nD) -2.66pp", "options": ["A) -3.20pp", "B) -4.28pp", "C) -1.58pp", "D) -2.66pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $1,801M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $1,801M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$1,801M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.93%\nB) 3.26%\nC) 1.26%\nD) 2.60%", "options": ["A) 1.93%", "B) 3.26%", "C) 1.26%", "D) 2.60%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -37.33%\nB) -56.56%\nC) -27.72%\nD) -46.95%", "options": ["A) -37.33%", "B) -56.56%", "C) -27.72%", "D) -46.95%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-46.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $18.70/hr\nB) $19.16/hr\nC) $17.78/hr\nD) $17.33/hr", "options": ["A) $18.70/hr", "B) $19.16/hr", "C) $17.78/hr", "D) $17.33/hr"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$18.70/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $293,217M\nB) $322,634M\nC) $303,022M\nD) $312,828M", "options": ["A) $293,217M", "B) $322,634M", "C) $303,022M", "D) $312,828M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$322,634M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) -3.05%\nC) -4.17%\nD) -5.85%", "options": ["A) -2.49%", "B) -3.05%", "C) -4.17%", "D) -5.85%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-4.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 867K\nB) 1,150K\nC) 303K\nD) 585K", "options": ["A) 867K", "B) 1,150K", "C) 303K", "D) 585K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "585K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -14.66%\nB) -16.51%\nC) -18.37%\nD) -9.09%", "options": ["A) -14.66%", "B) -16.51%", "C) -18.37%", "D) -9.09%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-14.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 128.18%\nB) 97.76%\nC) 77.47%\nD) 107.90%", "options": ["A) 128.18%", "B) 97.76%", "C) 77.47%", "D) 107.90%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "97.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.01pp\nB) -9.57pp\nC) -12.45pp\nD) -13.89pp", "options": ["A) -11.01pp", "B) -9.57pp", "C) -12.45pp", "D) -13.89pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-12.45pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.67%\nB) -1.84%\nC) 0.97%\nD) 0.27%", "options": ["A) 1.67%", "B) -1.84%", "C) 0.97%", "D) 0.27%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.36%\nB) -3.84%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 1.96%", "options": ["A) -0.36%", "B) -3.84%", "C) 3.12%", "D) 1.96%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 771K\nB) 513K\nC) 1,029K\nD) 255K", "options": ["A) 771K", "B) 513K", "C) 1,029K", "D) 255K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "513K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.32%\nB) 67.57%\nC) 65.60%\nD) 63.63%", "options": ["A) 62.32%", "B) 67.57%", "C) 65.60%", "D) 63.63%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "65.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $-20,728M\nB) $-33,348M\nC) $-39,658M\nD) $-30,193M", "options": ["A) $-20,728M", "B) $-33,348M", "C) $-39,658M", "D) $-30,193M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-30,193M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.65%\nB) -5.27%\nC) -15.90%\nD) -13.77%", "options": ["A) -11.65%", "B) -5.27%", "C) -15.90%", "D) -13.77%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-11.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.31%\nB) -7.59%\nC) -22.48%\nD) -12.55%", "options": ["A) 7.31%", "B) -7.59%", "C) -22.48%", "D) -12.55%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-7.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.27%\nB) 6.52%\nC) 11.10%\nD) 24.85%", "options": ["A) 20.27%", "B) 6.52%", "C) 11.10%", "D) 24.85%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 3.47%", "options": ["A) 4.23%", "B) 4.61%", "C) 2.33%", "D) 3.47%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 505K\nB) 263K\nC) 747K\nD) 1,231K", "options": ["A) 505K", "B) 263K", "C) 747K", "D) 1,231K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "505K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.68%\nB) 5.80%\nC) 6.43%\nD) 4.55%", "options": ["A) 7.68%", "B) 5.80%", "C) 6.43%", "D) 4.55%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.10pp\nB) -7.83pp\nC) -5.47pp\nD) -12.56pp", "options": ["A) -3.10pp", "B) -7.83pp", "C) -5.47pp", "D) -12.56pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-5.47pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 217.19\nB) 207.80\nC) 221.88\nD) 212.50", "options": ["A) 217.19", "B) 207.80", "C) 221.88", "D) 212.50"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "212.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.38%\nB) 4.69%\nC) 5.61%\nD) 5.84%", "options": ["A) 5.38%", "B) 4.69%", "C) 5.61%", "D) 5.84%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $56,033M\nB) $53,034M\nC) $50,035M\nD) $62,032M", "options": ["A) $56,033M", "B) $53,034M", "C) $50,035M", "D) $62,032M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$53,034M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2181\nB) 1.2715\nC) 1.3784\nD) 1.4853", "options": ["A) 1.2181", "B) 1.2715", "C) 1.3784", "D) 1.4853"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.3784", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.42%\nB) -10.68%\nC) 1.84%\nD) -16.94%", "options": ["A) -4.42%", "B) -10.68%", "C) 1.84%", "D) -16.94%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-16.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.17%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 2.69%\nD) 1.85%", "options": ["A) 0.17%", "B) 1.01%", "C) 2.69%", "D) 1.85%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.28%\nB) 1.79%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 1.30%", "options": ["A) 2.28%", "B) 1.79%", "C) 1.95%", "D) 1.30%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.3752\nB) 6.2970\nC) 6.8361\nD) 6.5665", "options": ["A) 7.3752", "B) 6.2970", "C) 6.8361", "D) 6.5665"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.8361", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 43.38\nB) 11.95\nC) 37.10\nD) 30.81", "options": ["A) 43.38", "B) 11.95", "C) 37.10", "D) 30.81"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "30.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) -26.00%\nB) -17.39%\nC) -51.83%\nD) -34.61%", "options": ["A) -26.00%", "B) -17.39%", "C) -51.83%", "D) -34.61%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-26.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 5.34%\nD) 4.37%", "options": ["A) 4.85%", "B) 4.61%", "C) 5.34%", "D) 4.37%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.44pp\nB) -23.96pp\nC) -12.20pp\nD) -18.08pp", "options": ["A) -0.44pp", "B) -23.96pp", "C) -12.20pp", "D) -18.08pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-12.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.52%\nB) -3.42%\nC) 2.79%\nD) -1.86%", "options": ["A) -6.52%", "B) -3.42%", "C) 2.79%", "D) -1.86%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 6,525,000\nB) 6,046,574\nC) 7,003,426\nD) 5,089,722", "options": ["A) 6,525,000", "B) 6,046,574", "C) 7,003,426", "D) 5,089,722"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,525,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -17.39%\nB) -12.74%\nC) -3.44%\nD) 1.22%", "options": ["A) -17.39%", "B) -12.74%", "C) -3.44%", "D) 1.22%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-12.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.71%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 3.13%", "options": ["A) 4.71%", "B) 4.08%", "C) 3.76%", "D) 3.13%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,202B\nB) $9,654B\nC) $9,106B\nD) $9,928B", "options": ["A) $10,202B", "B) $9,654B", "C) $9,106B", "D) $9,928B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$9,928B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 3.23%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 3.71%", "options": ["A) 2.75%", "B) 3.23%", "C) 2.27%", "D) 3.71%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -33.12%\nB) -23.59%\nC) -4.53%\nD) -52.18%", "options": ["A) -33.12%", "B) -23.59%", "C) -4.53%", "D) -52.18%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-23.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.81%\nB) 56.94%\nC) 58.70%\nD) 60.46%", "options": ["A) 62.81%", "B) 56.94%", "C) 58.70%", "D) 60.46%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "58.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.66%\nB) 8.35%\nC) 9.39%\nD) 8.70%", "options": ["A) 7.66%", "B) 8.35%", "C) 9.39%", "D) 8.70%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,925B\nB) $11,588B\nC) $11,920B\nD) $10,261B", "options": ["A) $10,925B", "B) $11,588B", "C) $11,920B", "D) $10,261B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$10,925B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $7,809B\nB) $8,386B\nC) $8,675B\nD) $7,520B", "options": ["A) $7,809B", "B) $8,386B", "C) $8,675B", "D) $7,520B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$8,386B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.28%\nB) 12.02%\nC) 9.80%\nD) 9.06%", "options": ["A) 11.28%", "B) 12.02%", "C) 9.80%", "D) 9.06%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,883B\nB) $9,705B\nC) $10,068B\nD) $10,794B", "options": ["A) $11,883B", "B) $9,705B", "C) $10,068B", "D) $10,794B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$10,794B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 1.97%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 1.06%", "options": ["A) 0.15%", "B) 1.97%", "C) 2.88%", "D) 1.06%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.99%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 0.70%\nD) 7.05%", "options": ["A) 5.99%", "B) 3.87%", "C) 0.70%", "D) 7.05%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.58%\nB) 1.25%\nC) -0.45%\nD) 0.12%", "options": ["A) -1.58%", "B) 1.25%", "C) -0.45%", "D) 0.12%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $7,470B\nB) $9,123B\nC) $9,453B\nD) $8,462B", "options": ["A) $7,470B", "B) $9,123B", "C) $9,453B", "D) $8,462B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$8,462B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.81%\nB) -3.72%\nC) 2.45%\nD) -16.06%", "options": ["A) -6.81%", "B) -3.72%", "C) 2.45%", "D) -16.06%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-6.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.35%\nB) 65.10%\nC) 66.40%\nD) 63.15%", "options": ["A) 68.35%", "B) 65.10%", "C) 66.40%", "D) 63.15%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "65.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 91.67\nB) 79.96\nC) 86.65\nD) 83.31", "options": ["A) 91.67", "B) 79.96", "C) 86.65", "D) 83.31"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "86.65", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.01%\nB) 1.32%\nC) 1.79%\nD) 1.48%", "options": ["A) 1.01%", "B) 1.32%", "C) 1.79%", "D) 1.48%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.18%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.67%", "options": ["A) 0.18%", "B) 1.84%", "C) 1.01%", "D) 2.67%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 207.39\nB) 215.86\nC) 194.68\nD) 224.33", "options": ["A) 207.39", "B) 215.86", "C) 194.68", "D) 224.33"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "215.86", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $10,104B\nB) $9,442B\nC) $9,773B\nD) $10,435B", "options": ["A) $10,104B", "B) $9,442B", "C) $9,773B", "D) $10,435B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$9,773B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) $105.55/bbl\nB) $93.88/bbl\nC) $82.21/bbl\nD) $70.54/bbl", "options": ["A) $105.55/bbl", "B) $93.88/bbl", "C) $82.21/bbl", "D) $70.54/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$70.54/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.10\nB) 154.22\nC) 180.73\nD) 193.98", "options": ["A) 174.10", "B) 154.22", "C) 180.73", "D) 193.98"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "174.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $322,891M\nB) $330,998M\nC) $339,105M\nD) $347,213M", "options": ["A) $322,891M", "B) $330,998M", "C) $339,105M", "D) $347,213M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$330,998M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) -1.72%\nC) -0.53%\nD) -0.92%", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) -1.72%", "C) -0.53%", "D) -0.92%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.28pp\nB) +5.12pp\nC) +2.99pp\nD) +3.70pp", "options": ["A) +2.28pp", "B) +5.12pp", "C) +2.99pp", "D) +3.70pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+3.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 146.51\nB) 133.89\nC) 152.83\nD) 140.20", "options": ["A) 146.51", "B) 133.89", "C) 152.83", "D) 140.20"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "146.51", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.54%\nB) -2.61%\nC) -5.39%\nD) 0.17%", "options": ["A) -3.54%", "B) -2.61%", "C) -5.39%", "D) 0.17%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 83.16\nB) 91.51\nC) 88.17\nD) 94.84", "options": ["A) 83.16", "B) 91.51", "C) 88.17", "D) 94.84"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "88.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) $7,609B\nB) $10,457B\nC) $8,083B\nD) $9,033B", "options": ["A) $7,609B", "B) $10,457B", "C) $8,083B", "D) $9,033B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$9,033B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.50pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) -0.27pp\nD) -0.84pp", "options": ["A) -0.50pp", "B) -0.16pp", "C) -0.27pp", "D) -0.84pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.73%\nB) 5.50%\nC) 6.24%\nD) 3.27%", "options": ["A) 7.73%", "B) 5.50%", "C) 6.24%", "D) 3.27%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 226.77\nB) 213.07\nC) 219.92\nD) 202.80", "options": ["A) 226.77", "B) 213.07", "C) 219.92", "D) 202.80"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "219.92", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 136,469K\nB) 139,119K\nC) 129,844K\nD) 132,494K", "options": ["A) 136,469K", "B) 139,119K", "C) 129,844K", "D) 132,494K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "132,494K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.50\nB) 60.54\nC) 79.98\nD) 54.06", "options": ["A) 73.50", "B) 60.54", "C) 79.98", "D) 54.06"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "73.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-06.)\n\nA) 500,632\nB) 595,000\nC) 547,816\nD) 642,184", "options": ["A) 500,632", "B) 595,000", "C) 547,816", "D) 642,184"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "595,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.22%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.76%\nD) 0.46%", "options": ["A) 1.22%", "B) 1.07%", "C) 0.76%", "D) 0.46%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 126,339K\nB) 132,851K\nC) 136,758K\nD) 130,246K", "options": ["A) 126,339K", "B) 132,851K", "C) 136,758K", "D) 130,246K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "130,246K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 88.75\nB) 92.49\nC) 85.02\nD) 94.98", "options": ["A) 88.75", "B) 92.49", "C) 85.02", "D) 94.98"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "88.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.98%\nB) -26.58%\nC) -3.19%\nD) -18.78%", "options": ["A) -10.98%", "B) -26.58%", "C) -3.19%", "D) -18.78%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-26.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 45.05\nB) 69.55\nC) 57.30\nD) 63.43", "options": ["A) 45.05", "B) 69.55", "C) 57.30", "D) 63.43"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "57.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -27.82%\nB) -22.88%\nC) -32.76%\nD) -37.70%", "options": ["A) -27.82%", "B) -22.88%", "C) -32.76%", "D) -37.70%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-37.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.75%\nB) 64.27%\nC) 75.49%\nD) 62.02%", "options": ["A) 68.75%", "B) 64.27%", "C) 75.49%", "D) 62.02%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "68.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.26%\nB) 9.34%\nC) 7.42%\nD) 8.06%", "options": ["A) 11.26%", "B) 9.34%", "C) 7.42%", "D) 8.06%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) $144,322M\nB) $199,199M\nC) $158,041M\nD) $185,479M", "options": ["A) $144,322M", "B) $199,199M", "C) $158,041M", "D) $185,479M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$158,041M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 99.26\nB) 104.28\nC) 101.77\nD) 96.75", "options": ["A) 99.26", "B) 104.28", "C) 101.77", "D) 96.75"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "96.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 609K\nB) 906K\nC) 1,203K\nD) 312K", "options": ["A) 609K", "B) 906K", "C) 1,203K", "D) 312K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "609K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 207.87\nB) 218.25\nC) 235.56\nD) 228.64", "options": ["A) 207.87", "B) 218.25", "C) 235.56", "D) 228.64"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "218.25", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 162.10\nB) 143.39\nC) 149.63\nD) 130.92", "options": ["A) 162.10", "B) 143.39", "C) 149.63", "D) 130.92"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "149.63", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.30pp\nB) +3.30pp\nC) +2.90pp\nD) +2.50pp", "options": ["A) +1.30pp", "B) +3.30pp", "C) +2.90pp", "D) +2.50pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+2.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 98.0300\nB) 106.0112\nC) 86.0582\nD) 90.0488", "options": ["A) 98.0300", "B) 106.0112", "C) 86.0582", "D) 90.0488"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "98.0300", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) 94.65\nB) 88.02\nC) 84.04\nD) 90.67", "options": ["A) 94.65", "B) 88.02", "C) 84.04", "D) 90.67"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "88.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20090615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2009-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2009-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2009-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2009-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,138.82\nB) 2,300.04\nC) 1,816.38\nD) 1,655.16", "options": ["A) 2,138.82", "B) 2,300.04", "C) 1,816.38", "D) 1,655.16"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,816.38", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -20.95%\nB) -68.95%\nC) -40.15%\nD) -49.75%", "options": ["A) -20.95%", "B) -68.95%", "C) -40.15%", "D) -49.75%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-49.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $146,323M\nB) $156,438M\nC) $126,093M\nD) $166,553M", "options": ["A) $146,323M", "B) $156,438M", "C) $126,093M", "D) $166,553M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$146,323M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.32%\nB) -1.02%\nC) -2.42%\nD) -1.72%", "options": ["A) -0.32%", "B) -1.02%", "C) -2.42%", "D) -1.72%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -18.99%\nB) -22.69%\nC) -11.58%\nD) -0.47%", "options": ["A) -18.99%", "B) -22.69%", "C) -11.58%", "D) -0.47%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-11.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.27pp\nB) -1.02pp\nC) -0.53pp\nD) -0.90pp", "options": ["A) -1.27pp", "B) -1.02pp", "C) -0.53pp", "D) -0.90pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.48%\nB) 5.85%\nC) 6.67%\nD) 5.03%", "options": ["A) 7.48%", "B) 5.85%", "C) 6.67%", "D) 5.03%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.93%\nB) -4.76%\nC) -3.71%\nD) -6.87%", "options": ["A) -7.93%", "B) -4.76%", "C) -3.71%", "D) -6.87%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-4.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.69pp\nB) -3.10pp\nC) -2.80pp\nD) -2.20pp", "options": ["A) -3.69pp", "B) -3.10pp", "C) -2.80pp", "D) -2.20pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20090301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-01-29.)\n\nA) $57,206M\nB) $41,302M\nC) $54,555M\nD) $49,254M", "options": ["A) $57,206M", "B) $41,302M", "C) $54,555M", "D) $49,254M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$49,254M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20090901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2009", "info_cutoff": "2009-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2009? (Use only information available on or before 2009-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.80%\nB) -1.75%\nC) 1.28%\nD) -13.85%", "options": ["A) -7.80%", "B) -1.75%", "C) 1.28%", "D) -13.85%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-7.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2009} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 3.47%", "options": ["A) 1.28%", "B) 0.19%", "C) 2.38%", "D) 3.47%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.03pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) -1.40pp\nD) -2.65pp", "options": ["A) -2.03pp", "B) -0.15pp", "C) -1.40pp", "D) -2.65pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 227.92\nB) 212.40\nC) 234.13\nD) 221.71", "options": ["A) 227.92", "B) 212.40", "C) 234.13", "D) 221.71"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "221.71", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 220.78\nB) 230.84\nC) 237.54\nD) 210.73", "options": ["A) 220.78", "B) 230.84", "C) 237.54", "D) 210.73"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "220.78", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.48%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 5.52%", "options": ["A) -0.48%", "B) 4.02%", "C) 2.52%", "D) 5.52%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.04%\nB) 12.83%\nC) -0.35%\nD) 8.44%", "options": ["A) 4.04%", "B) 12.83%", "C) -0.35%", "D) 8.44%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.73\nB) 92.08\nC) 85.55\nD) 89.91", "options": ["A) 87.73", "B) 92.08", "C) 85.55", "D) 89.91"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "89.91", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.16%\nB) 0.98%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.51%", "options": ["A) 1.16%", "B) 0.98%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.51%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.09pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -1.12pp\nD) -0.71pp", "options": ["A) -0.09pp", "B) -0.50pp", "C) -1.12pp", "D) -0.71pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.52pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) -1.24pp", "options": ["A) -0.52pp", "B) -0.16pp", "C) -0.70pp", "D) -1.24pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.95%\nB) 0.77%\nC) 3.36%\nD) 1.63%", "options": ["A) -0.95%", "B) 0.77%", "C) 3.36%", "D) 1.63%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 24.48%\nB) 40.68%\nC) 48.78%\nD) 16.38%", "options": ["A) 24.48%", "B) 40.68%", "C) 48.78%", "D) 16.38%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 869K\nB) 594K\nC) 1,419K\nD) 1,144K", "options": ["A) 869K", "B) 594K", "C) 1,419K", "D) 1,144K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "594K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2873\nB) 1.1234\nC) 1.2327\nD) 1.3420", "options": ["A) 1.2873", "B) 1.1234", "C) 1.2327", "D) 1.3420"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2327", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.0432\nB) 6.5693\nC) 7.6214\nD) 6.8323", "options": ["A) 6.0432", "B) 6.5693", "C) 7.6214", "D) 6.8323"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.8323", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $-44,333M\nB) $-31,527M\nC) $-50,736M\nD) $-37,930M", "options": ["A) $-44,333M", "B) $-31,527M", "C) $-50,736M", "D) $-37,930M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-44,333M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -29.86%\nB) 1.54%\nC) 12.00%\nD) 22.47%", "options": ["A) -29.86%", "B) 1.54%", "C) 12.00%", "D) 22.47%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) -0.08%\nC) 3.04%\nD) 4.08%", "options": ["A) 0.96%", "B) -0.08%", "C) 3.04%", "D) 4.08%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) +28.40pp\nB) +34.44pp\nC) +22.35pp\nD) +16.30pp", "options": ["A) +28.40pp", "B) +34.44pp", "C) +22.35pp", "D) +16.30pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+16.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.81%\nB) 0.04%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 1.59%", "options": ["A) 0.81%", "B) 0.04%", "C) 1.07%", "D) 1.59%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.89%\nD) 1.76%", "options": ["A) 2.61%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 2.89%", "D) 1.76%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 18.75%\nB) 36.79%\nC) 27.77%\nD) 45.81%", "options": ["A) 18.75%", "B) 36.79%", "C) 27.77%", "D) 45.81%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 3.27%\nC) 2.44%\nD) 0.79%", "options": ["A) 1.62%", "B) 3.27%", "C) 2.44%", "D) 0.79%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.36%\nB) -15.02%\nC) 4.42%\nD) 8.31%", "options": ["A) -3.36%", "B) -15.02%", "C) 4.42%", "D) 8.31%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -16.06%\nB) -1.99%\nC) 7.39%\nD) -11.37%", "options": ["A) -16.06%", "B) -1.99%", "C) 7.39%", "D) -11.37%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 107.5487\nB) 80.3842\nC) 91.2500\nD) 96.6829", "options": ["A) 107.5487", "B) 80.3842", "C) 91.2500", "D) 96.6829"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "91.2500", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) $65.14/bbl\nB) $85.44/bbl\nC) $44.83/bbl\nD) $75.29/bbl", "options": ["A) $65.14/bbl", "B) $85.44/bbl", "C) $44.83/bbl", "D) $75.29/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$75.29/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.88%\nB) 64.93%\nC) 46.25%\nD) -28.48%", "options": ["A) 8.88%", "B) 64.93%", "C) 46.25%", "D) -28.48%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.42%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 3.22%", "options": ["A) 0.42%", "B) 2.29%", "C) 4.15%", "D) 3.22%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -18.27pp\nB) -11.79pp\nC) -5.30pp\nD) +1.19pp", "options": ["A) -18.27pp", "B) -11.79pp", "C) -5.30pp", "D) +1.19pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-5.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 5,276,657\nB) 5,947,313\nC) 2,594,030\nD) 4,606,000", "options": ["A) 5,276,657", "B) 5,947,313", "C) 2,594,030", "D) 4,606,000"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,606,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.90%\nB) 66.85%\nC) 61.66%\nD) 63.60%", "options": ["A) 64.90%", "B) 66.85%", "C) 61.66%", "D) 63.60%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "64.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,131K\nB) 563K\nC) 1,416K\nD) 847K", "options": ["A) 1,131K", "B) 563K", "C) 1,416K", "D) 847K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "563K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 56.96%\nB) 62.35%\nC) 58.50%\nD) 60.81%", "options": ["A) 56.96%", "B) 62.35%", "C) 58.50%", "D) 60.81%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "58.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) 2.12%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 0.09%", "options": ["A) 1.10%", "B) 2.12%", "C) 3.13%", "D) 0.09%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,305.88\nB) 2,623.74\nC) 2,782.67\nD) 2,146.95", "options": ["A) 2,305.88", "B) 2,623.74", "C) 2,782.67", "D) 2,146.95"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,305.88", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 209.45\nB) 217.35\nC) 237.10\nD) 225.25", "options": ["A) 209.45", "B) 217.35", "C) 237.10", "D) 225.25"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "217.35", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,201B\nB) $11,936B\nC) $11,405B\nD) $11,670B", "options": ["A) $12,201B", "B) $11,936B", "C) $11,405B", "D) $11,670B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$11,405B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $1,961M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $1,961M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$1,961M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.07%\nB) 1.24%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 3.59%", "options": ["A) 0.07%", "B) 1.24%", "C) 2.42%", "D) 3.59%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 2.19%\nC) 2.80%\nD) 1.89%", "options": ["A) 1.59%", "B) 2.19%", "C) 2.80%", "D) 1.89%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 26.51%\nC) 13.39%\nD) 6.83%", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 26.51%", "C) 13.39%", "D) 6.83%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 24.41%\nB) 5.40%\nC) 14.91%\nD) 33.92%", "options": ["A) 24.41%", "B) 5.40%", "C) 14.91%", "D) 33.92%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $10,327B\nB) $11,298B\nC) $9,939B\nD) $10,716B", "options": ["A) $10,327B", "B) $11,298B", "C) $9,939B", "D) $10,716B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$10,327B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.25\nB) 73.60\nC) 92.13\nD) 79.78", "options": ["A) 61.25", "B) 73.60", "C) 92.13", "D) 79.78"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "73.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.30%\nB) 56.63%\nC) 58.50%\nD) 53.83%", "options": ["A) 61.30%", "B) 56.63%", "C) 58.50%", "D) 53.83%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "58.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 136.86\nB) 152.35\nC) 129.11\nD) 144.61", "options": ["A) 136.86", "B) 152.35", "C) 129.11", "D) 144.61"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "144.61", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.30%\nB) 6.84%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 4.53%", "options": ["A) 5.30%", "B) 6.84%", "C) 3.76%", "D) 4.53%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 927K\nB) 636K\nC) 1,217K\nD) 345K", "options": ["A) 927K", "B) 636K", "C) 1,217K", "D) 345K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "636K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) +3.42pp\nB) +13.55pp\nC) +5.95pp\nD) +0.89pp", "options": ["A) +3.42pp", "B) +13.55pp", "C) +5.95pp", "D) +0.89pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+5.95pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.66%\nB) 5.36%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 4.75%", "options": ["A) 5.66%", "B) 5.36%", "C) 3.84%", "D) 4.75%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.37%\nB) 3.86%\nC) 4.61%\nD) 3.12%", "options": ["A) 2.37%", "B) 3.86%", "C) 4.61%", "D) 3.12%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 125,822K\nB) 129,866K\nC) 133,910K\nD) 136,606K", "options": ["A) 125,822K", "B) 129,866K", "C) 133,910K", "D) 136,606K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "129,866K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 69.59%\nB) 77.27%\nC) 74.71%\nD) 79.83%", "options": ["A) 69.59%", "B) 77.27%", "C) 74.71%", "D) 79.83%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "74.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 93.43\nB) 97.98\nC) 91.16\nD) 95.70", "options": ["A) 93.43", "B) 97.98", "C) 91.16", "D) 95.70"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "95.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.54%\nB) -1.50%\nC) 13.57%\nD) 16.59%", "options": ["A) 7.54%", "B) -1.50%", "C) 13.57%", "D) 16.59%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.19%\nB) -1.98%\nC) -4.39%\nD) -0.78%", "options": ["A) -3.19%", "B) -1.98%", "C) -4.39%", "D) -0.78%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $19.55/hr\nB) $18.67/hr\nC) $19.11/hr\nD) $19.99/hr", "options": ["A) $19.55/hr", "B) $18.67/hr", "C) $19.11/hr", "D) $19.99/hr"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$19.11/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 69.26%\nB) 74.33%\nC) 64.19%\nD) 71.80%", "options": ["A) 69.26%", "B) 74.33%", "C) 64.19%", "D) 71.80%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "71.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $182,148M\nB) $167,280M\nC) $211,883M\nD) $137,545M", "options": ["A) $182,148M", "B) $167,280M", "C) $211,883M", "D) $137,545M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$182,148M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 4.23%\nC) 4.69%\nD) 4.46%", "options": ["A) 4.00%", "B) 4.23%", "C) 4.69%", "D) 4.46%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.89%\nB) 62.66%\nC) 64.60%\nD) 67.18%", "options": ["A) 65.89%", "B) 62.66%", "C) 64.60%", "D) 67.18%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "64.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,751B\nB) $11,445B\nC) $12,058B\nD) $11,138B", "options": ["A) $11,751B", "B) $11,445B", "C) $12,058B", "D) $11,138B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$11,138B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.10%\nB) 8.53%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 4.48%", "options": ["A) 6.10%", "B) 8.53%", "C) 5.29%", "D) 4.48%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.12%\nC) -0.76%\nD) 3.93%", "options": ["A) 2.06%", "B) 1.12%", "C) -0.76%", "D) 3.93%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.30%\nB) 8.40%\nC) 9.50%\nD) 12.81%", "options": ["A) 7.30%", "B) 8.40%", "C) 9.50%", "D) 12.81%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $62,752M\nB) $53,354M\nC) $50,222M\nD) $56,487M", "options": ["A) $62,752M", "B) $53,354M", "C) $50,222M", "D) $56,487M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$56,487M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 130,341K\nB) 138,192K\nC) 125,630K\nD) 133,481K", "options": ["A) 130,341K", "B) 138,192K", "C) 125,630K", "D) 133,481K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "130,341K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $332,339M\nB) $346,974M\nC) $354,291M\nD) $361,609M", "options": ["A) $332,339M", "B) $346,974M", "C) $354,291M", "D) $361,609M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$346,974M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.09%\nB) 3.10%\nC) 6.35%\nD) -0.15%", "options": ["A) 16.09%", "B) 3.10%", "C) 6.35%", "D) -0.15%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) -4.40%\nC) 27.41%\nD) 14.69%", "options": ["A) 1.96%", "B) -4.40%", "C) 27.41%", "D) 14.69%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $60,134M\nB) $53,710M\nC) $66,558M\nD) $69,769M", "options": ["A) $60,134M", "B) $53,710M", "C) $66,558M", "D) $69,769M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$60,134M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.00%\nB) 6.20%\nC) -1.59%\nD) 17.90%", "options": ["A) 14.00%", "B) 6.20%", "C) -1.59%", "D) 17.90%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 54.13%\nB) -36.26%\nC) 8.93%\nD) -58.86%", "options": ["A) 54.13%", "B) -36.26%", "C) 8.93%", "D) -58.86%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.80pp\nB) +1.20pp\nC) -2.56pp\nD) -0.30pp", "options": ["A) -1.80pp", "B) +1.20pp", "C) -2.56pp", "D) -0.30pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 25.94%\nB) 6.41%\nC) 45.47%\nD) 35.71%", "options": ["A) 25.94%", "B) 6.41%", "C) 45.47%", "D) 35.71%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 31.20%\nB) 9.93%\nC) 52.46%\nD) -53.88%", "options": ["A) 31.20%", "B) 9.93%", "C) 52.46%", "D) -53.88%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 211.50\nB) 235.22\nC) 218.28\nD) 228.44", "options": ["A) 211.50", "B) 235.22", "C) 218.28", "D) 228.44"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "218.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.24\nB) 90.10\nC) 101.53\nD) 92.95", "options": ["A) 87.24", "B) 90.10", "C) 101.53", "D) 92.95"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "92.95", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $8,719B\nB) $9,748B\nC) $8,032B\nD) $7,689B", "options": ["A) $8,719B", "B) $9,748B", "C) $8,032B", "D) $7,689B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$8,719B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.95%\nB) 9.90%\nC) 7.05%\nD) 12.75%", "options": ["A) 8.95%", "B) 9.90%", "C) 7.05%", "D) 12.75%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.66%\nB) 83.09%\nC) 26.24%\nD) 45.19%", "options": ["A) -11.66%", "B) 83.09%", "C) 26.24%", "D) 45.19%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "26.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $17.55/hr\nB) $18.00/hr\nC) $19.84/hr\nD) $18.92/hr", "options": ["A) $17.55/hr", "B) $18.00/hr", "C) $19.84/hr", "D) $18.92/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$18.92/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 467,000\nB) 304,778\nC) 412,926\nD) 575,148", "options": ["A) 467,000", "B) 304,778", "C) 412,926", "D) 575,148"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "467,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.40%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 7.30%\nD) 13.49%", "options": ["A) 10.40%", "B) 4.20%", "C) 7.30%", "D) 13.49%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $2,080M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $2,080M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$2,080M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.66%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 3.32%", "options": ["A) 4.34%", "B) 3.66%", "C) 4.00%", "D) 3.32%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.78%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.65%", "options": ["A) 1.78%", "B) 1.20%", "C) 2.36%", "D) 2.65%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.30%\nC) 0.71%\nD) 0.42%", "options": ["A) 1.59%", "B) 1.30%", "C) 0.71%", "D) 0.42%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $-46,408M\nB) $-58,683M\nC) $-40,271M\nD) $-27,997M", "options": ["A) $-46,408M", "B) $-58,683M", "C) $-40,271M", "D) $-27,997M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-40,271M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) +4.13pp\nB) +1.46pp\nC) +3.06pp\nD) +2.53pp", "options": ["A) +4.13pp", "B) +1.46pp", "C) +3.06pp", "D) +2.53pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+2.53pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) $76.84/bbl\nB) $87.31/bbl\nC) $108.25/bbl\nD) $55.90/bbl", "options": ["A) $76.84/bbl", "B) $87.31/bbl", "C) $108.25/bbl", "D) $55.90/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$76.84/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $9,212B\nB) $8,524B\nC) $8,179B\nD) $9,556B", "options": ["A) $9,212B", "B) $8,524B", "C) $8,179B", "D) $9,556B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$8,524B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.81pp\nB) -2.02pp\nC) -0.20pp\nD) +1.62pp", "options": ["A) -0.81pp", "B) -2.02pp", "C) -0.20pp", "D) +1.62pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) $10,629B\nB) $10,865B\nC) $9,683B\nD) $10,156B", "options": ["A) $10,629B", "B) $10,865B", "C) $9,683B", "D) $10,156B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$10,156B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 184.90\nB) 179.61\nC) 195.48\nD) 200.78", "options": ["A) 184.90", "B) 179.61", "C) 195.48", "D) 200.78"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "184.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) 1.13%\nB) -1.20%\nC) -3.52%\nD) -5.85%", "options": ["A) 1.13%", "B) -1.20%", "C) -3.52%", "D) -5.85%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.39pp\nB) -0.93pp\nC) +3.71pp\nD) +6.03pp", "options": ["A) +1.39pp", "B) -0.93pp", "C) +3.71pp", "D) +6.03pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+3.71pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 384K\nB) 1,595K\nC) 1,292K\nD) 687K", "options": ["A) 384K", "B) 1,595K", "C) 1,292K", "D) 687K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "687K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.19%\nB) -0.53%\nC) 6.91%\nD) 5.67%", "options": ["A) 3.19%", "B) -0.53%", "C) 6.91%", "D) 5.67%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 189.28\nB) 183.30\nC) 165.36\nD) 195.26", "options": ["A) 189.28", "B) 183.30", "C) 165.36", "D) 195.26"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "183.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 95.50\nB) 93.13\nC) 89.58\nD) 86.03", "options": ["A) 95.50", "B) 93.13", "C) 89.58", "D) 86.03"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "89.58", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.16\nB) 94.40\nC) 86.12\nD) 90.26", "options": ["A) 97.16", "B) 94.40", "C) 86.12", "D) 90.26"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "90.26", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-06.)\n\nA) $8,924B\nB) $9,665B\nC) $10,035B\nD) $8,184B", "options": ["A) $8,924B", "B) $9,665B", "C) $10,035B", "D) $8,184B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$8,924B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.80%\nB) 1.42%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 0.68%", "options": ["A) -0.80%", "B) 1.42%", "C) 2.90%", "D) 0.68%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.55%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 3.76%", "options": ["A) 1.00%", "B) 1.55%", "C) 2.10%", "D) 3.76%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 130.01\nB) 163.97\nC) 157.18\nD) 143.59", "options": ["A) 130.01", "B) 163.97", "C) 157.18", "D) 143.59"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "143.59", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.20pp\nB) -0.35pp\nC) +3.53pp\nD) +0.42pp", "options": ["A) +1.20pp", "B) -0.35pp", "C) +3.53pp", "D) +0.42pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+1.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 62.84%\nB) 26.95%\nC) 50.87%\nD) -8.94%", "options": ["A) 62.84%", "B) 26.95%", "C) 50.87%", "D) -8.94%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "26.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.75%\nB) 12.84%\nC) -7.55%\nD) -38.15%", "options": ["A) -17.75%", "B) 12.84%", "C) -7.55%", "D) -38.15%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-7.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.99\nB) 96.59\nC) 86.99\nD) 90.59", "options": ["A) 92.99", "B) 96.59", "C) 86.99", "D) 90.59"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "90.59", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 5.52%\nD) 8.72%", "options": ["A) 3.92%", "B) 2.32%", "C) 5.52%", "D) 8.72%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $385,583M\nB) $352,179M\nC) $338,817M\nD) $365,541M", "options": ["A) $385,583M", "B) $352,179M", "C) $338,817M", "D) $365,541M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$352,179M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 84.81\nB) 95.77\nC) 90.29\nD) 82.08", "options": ["A) 84.81", "B) 95.77", "C) 90.29", "D) 82.08"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "90.29", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) $186,813M\nB) $217,051M\nC) $232,170M\nD) $201,932M", "options": ["A) $186,813M", "B) $217,051M", "C) $232,170M", "D) $201,932M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$201,932M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.04%\nB) 16.78%\nC) 20.65%\nD) 12.91%", "options": ["A) 9.04%", "B) 16.78%", "C) 20.65%", "D) 12.91%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 105.16\nB) 102.10\nC) 96.99\nD) 100.06", "options": ["A) 105.16", "B) 102.10", "C) 96.99", "D) 100.06"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "102.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.16%\nB) 3.48%\nC) 6.40%\nD) 12.24%", "options": ["A) 15.16%", "B) 3.48%", "C) 6.40%", "D) 12.24%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.84\nB) 62.56\nC) 51.27\nD) 68.20", "options": ["A) 73.84", "B) 62.56", "C) 51.27", "D) 68.20"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "68.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20100901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 8.15%\nC) 5.65%\nD) 6.90%", "options": ["A) 4.40%", "B) 8.15%", "C) 5.65%", "D) 6.90%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20100615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2010-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2010-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2010-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2010-06-08.)\n\nA) 38.25\nB) 25.87\nC) 32.06\nD) 13.49", "options": ["A) 38.25", "B) 25.87", "C) 32.06", "D) 13.49"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "25.87", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20100301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2010", "info_cutoff": "2010-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2010? (Use only information available on or before 2010-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 1.15%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 2.15%", "options": ["A) 3.14%", "B) 1.15%", "C) 0.16%", "D) 2.15%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.90\nB) 2,612.16\nC) 2,785.43\nD) 2,265.64", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 2,438.90", "B) 2,612.16", "C) 2,785.43", "D) 2,265.64"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,265.64", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.90\nB) 2,612.16\nC) 2,785.43\nD) 2,265.64", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 2,438.90", "B) 2,612.16", "C) 2,785.43", "D) 2,265.64"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,265.64", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-5d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,204.01\nB) 1,857.49\nC) 2,030.75\nD) 2,550.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 2,204.01", "B) 1,857.49", "C) 2,030.75", "D) 2,550.53"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,204.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,204.01\nB) 1,857.49\nC) 2,030.75\nD) 2,550.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 2,204.01", "B) 1,857.49", "C) 2,030.75", "D) 2,550.53"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,204.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-10d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,542.40\nB) 2,195.88\nC) 2,369.14\nD) 2,022.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 2,542.40", "B) 2,195.88", "C) 2,369.14", "D) 2,022.62"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,195.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,542.40\nB) 2,195.88\nC) 2,369.14\nD) 2,022.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 2,542.40", "B) 2,195.88", "C) 2,369.14", "D) 2,022.62"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,195.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-20d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 1,745.27\nB) 2,611.58\nC) 2,091.79\nD) 1,918.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 1,745.27", "B) 2,611.58", "C) 2,091.79", "D) 1,918.53"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,091.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 1,745.27\nB) 2,611.58\nC) 2,091.79\nD) 1,918.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 1,745.27", "B) 2,611.58", "C) 2,091.79", "D) 1,918.53"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,091.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-40d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.31\nB) 1,918.53\nC) 2,611.58\nD) 2,091.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 2,438.31", "B) 1,918.53", "C) 2,611.58", "D) 2,091.79"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,091.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,438.31\nB) 1,918.53\nC) 2,611.58\nD) 2,091.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 2,438.31", "B) 1,918.53", "C) 2,611.58", "D) 2,091.79"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,091.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-60d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 1,745.27\nC) 2,265.05\nD) 1,572.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 2,091.79", "B) 1,745.27", "C) 2,265.05", "D) 1,572.00"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,091.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 1,745.27\nC) 2,265.05\nD) 1,572.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 2,091.79", "B) 1,745.27", "C) 2,265.05", "D) 1,572.00"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,091.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100506-120d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 11.65\nB) 25.52\nC) 39.39\nD) 46.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 11.65", "B) 25.52", "C) 39.39", "D) 46.32"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "25.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 11.65\nB) 25.52\nC) 39.39\nD) 46.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 11.65", "B) 25.52", "C) 39.39", "D) 46.32"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "25.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-5d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 32.45\nB) 39.39\nC) 25.52\nD) 11.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 32.45", "B) 39.39", "C) 25.52", "D) 11.65"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "25.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 32.45\nB) 39.39\nC) 25.52\nD) 11.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 32.45", "B) 39.39", "C) 25.52", "D) 11.65"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "25.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-10d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.39\nB) 18.59\nC) 32.45\nD) 25.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 39.39", "B) 18.59", "C) 32.45", "D) 25.52"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "25.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.39\nB) 18.59\nC) 32.45\nD) 25.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 39.39", "B) 18.59", "C) 32.45", "D) 25.52"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "25.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-20d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 23.95\nB) 37.82\nC) 17.02\nD) 10.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 23.95", "B) 37.82", "C) 17.02", "D) 10.08"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "23.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 23.95\nB) 37.82\nC) 17.02\nD) 10.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 23.95", "B) 37.82", "C) 17.02", "D) 10.08"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "23.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-40d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 35.88\nB) 22.01\nC) 28.94\nD) 42.81", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 35.88", "B) 22.01", "C) 28.94", "D) 42.81"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 35.88\nB) 22.01\nC) 28.94\nD) 42.81", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 35.88", "B) 22.01", "C) 28.94", "D) 42.81"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-60d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.58\nB) 11.85\nC) 18.78\nD) 32.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 39.58", "B) 11.85", "C) 18.78", "D) 32.65"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.78", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Flash Crash\" on 2010-05-06, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-06? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-05.)\n\nA) 39.58\nB) 11.85\nC) 18.78\nD) 32.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-06", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-05", "options": ["A) 39.58", "B) 11.85", "C) 18.78", "D) 32.65"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.78", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Flash Crash", "event_date": "2010-05-06", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100506-120d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.3602\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.4932\nD) 1.2715", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 1.3602", "B) 1.1828", "C) 1.4932", "D) 1.2715"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.2715", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.3602\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.4932\nD) 1.2715", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 1.3602", "B) 1.1828", "C) 1.4932", "D) 1.2715"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.2715", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-5d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.2715\nB) 1.4045\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.0498", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 1.2715", "B) 1.4045", "C) 1.1385", "D) 1.0498"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2715", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.2715\nB) 1.4045\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.0498", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 1.2715", "B) 1.4045", "C) 1.1385", "D) 1.0498"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2715", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-10d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0498\nB) 1.2715\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.4045", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 1.0498", "B) 1.2715", "C) 1.1385", "D) 1.4045"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.2715", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0498\nB) 1.2715\nC) 1.1385\nD) 1.4045", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 1.0498", "B) 1.2715", "C) 1.1385", "D) 1.4045"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.2715", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-20d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0942\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.2715\nD) 1.4045", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 1.0942", "B) 1.1828", "C) 1.2715", "D) 1.4045"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2715", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.0942\nB) 1.1828\nC) 1.2715\nD) 1.4045", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 1.0942", "B) 1.1828", "C) 1.2715", "D) 1.4045"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2715", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-40d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4569\nB) 1.1466\nC) 1.2352\nD) 1.3239", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 1.4569", "B) 1.1466", "C) 1.2352", "D) 1.3239"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3239", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4569\nB) 1.1466\nC) 1.2352\nD) 1.3239", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 1.4569", "B) 1.1466", "C) 1.2352", "D) 1.3239"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3239", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-60d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4066\nB) 1.3179\nC) 1.5396\nD) 1.6283", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 1.4066", "B) 1.3179", "C) 1.5396", "D) 1.6283"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.4066", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 1.4066\nB) 1.3179\nC) 1.5396\nD) 1.6283", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 1.4066", "B) 1.3179", "C) 1.5396", "D) 1.6283"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.4066", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100510-120d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.10\nB) 31.24\nC) 52.03\nD) 10.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 45.10", "B) 31.24", "C) 52.03", "D) 10.45"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "31.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.10\nB) 31.24\nC) 52.03\nD) 10.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 45.10", "B) 31.24", "C) 52.03", "D) 10.45"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "31.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-5d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 52.72", "B) 25.00", "C) 45.79", "D) 31.93"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 52.72", "B) 25.00", "C) 45.79", "D) 31.93"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-10d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 66.58\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 45.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 66.58", "B) 59.65", "C) 31.93", "D) 45.79"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 66.58\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 45.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 66.58", "B) 59.65", "C) 31.93", "D) 45.79"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-20d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 66.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 45.79", "B) 59.65", "C) 31.93", "D) 66.58"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 59.65\nC) 31.93\nD) 66.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 45.79", "B) 59.65", "C) 31.93", "D) 66.58"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-40d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 38.86\nB) 45.79\nC) 25.00\nD) 52.72", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 38.86", "B) 45.79", "C) 25.00", "D) 52.72"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 38.86\nB) 45.79\nC) 25.00\nD) 52.72", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 38.86", "B) 45.79", "C) 25.00", "D) 52.72"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-60d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 52.72", "B) 25.00", "C) 45.79", "D) 31.93"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 52.72\nB) 25.00\nC) 45.79\nD) 31.93", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 52.72", "B) 25.00", "C) 45.79", "D) 31.93"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100510-120d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.56%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 3.33%", "B) 4.26%", "C) 4.03%", "D) 3.56%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.56%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 3.33%", "B) 4.26%", "C) 4.03%", "D) 3.56%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-5d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 2.86%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 3.56%", "B) 4.03%", "C) 4.26%", "D) 2.86%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 2.86%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 3.56%", "B) 4.03%", "C) 4.26%", "D) 2.86%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-10d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 3.33%", "B) 3.56%", "C) 4.03%", "D) 3.09%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 3.33%", "B) 3.56%", "C) 4.03%", "D) 3.09%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-20d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.56%\nD) 3.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 4.03%", "B) 2.86%", "C) 3.56%", "D) 3.33%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 2.86%\nC) 3.56%\nD) 3.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 4.03%", "B) 2.86%", "C) 3.56%", "D) 3.33%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-40d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 3.56%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 4.03%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 3.79%", "D) 3.56%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 4.03%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 3.56%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 4.03%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 3.79%", "D) 3.56%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-60d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 3.56%", "B) 4.26%", "C) 4.03%", "D) 3.09%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"EU/IMF Greek bailout announced\" on 2010-05-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-05-10? (Use only information available on or before 2010-05-07.)\n\nA) 3.56%\nB) 4.26%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 3.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-05-10", "info_cutoff": "2010-05-07", "options": ["A) 3.56%", "B) 4.26%", "C) 4.03%", "D) 3.09%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "EU/IMF Greek bailout announced", "event_date": "2010-05-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100510-120d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.4648\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1507", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1.4648", "B) 1.3302", "C) 1.2405", "D) 1.1507"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.3302", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.4648\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1507", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1.4648", "B) 1.3302", "C) 1.2405", "D) 1.1507"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.3302", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-5d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.1956\nB) 1.1059\nC) 1.3302\nD) 1.4199", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1.1956", "B) 1.1059", "C) 1.3302", "D) 1.4199"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.3302", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.1956\nB) 1.1059\nC) 1.3302\nD) 1.4199", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1.1956", "B) 1.1059", "C) 1.3302", "D) 1.4199"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.3302", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-10d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.2405\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.1507\nD) 1.3302", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1.2405", "B) 1.4199", "C) 1.1507", "D) 1.3302"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3302", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.2405\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.1507\nD) 1.3302", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1.2405", "B) 1.4199", "C) 1.1507", "D) 1.3302"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3302", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-20d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3302\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1059", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1.3302", "B) 1.4199", "C) 1.2405", "D) 1.1059"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.3302", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3302\nB) 1.4199\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.1059", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1.3302", "B) 1.4199", "C) 1.2405", "D) 1.1059"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.3302", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-40d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.5097\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.4199", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1.5097", "B) 1.3302", "C) 1.2405", "D) 1.4199"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.3302", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.5097\nB) 1.3302\nC) 1.2405\nD) 1.4199", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1.5097", "B) 1.3302", "C) 1.2405", "D) 1.4199"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.3302", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-60d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3169\nB) 1.4963\nC) 1.4066\nD) 1.1823", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1.3169", "B) 1.4963", "C) 1.4066", "D) 1.1823"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.4066", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.3169\nB) 1.4963\nC) 1.4066\nD) 1.1823", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1.3169", "B) 1.4963", "C) 1.4066", "D) 1.1823"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.4066", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20100427-120d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 37.74\nB) 44.68\nC) 30.79\nD) 23.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 37.74", "B) 44.68", "C) 30.79", "D) 23.84"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "23.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 37.74\nB) 44.68\nC) 30.79\nD) 23.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 37.74", "B) 44.68", "C) 30.79", "D) 23.84"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "23.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-5d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 40.95\nB) 54.85\nC) 47.90\nD) 61.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 40.95", "B) 54.85", "C) 47.90", "D) 61.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "40.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 40.95\nB) 54.85\nC) 47.90\nD) 61.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 40.95", "B) 54.85", "C) 47.90", "D) 61.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "40.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-10d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 45.79\nC) 24.95\nD) 38.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 59.69", "B) 45.79", "C) 24.95", "D) 38.84"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 45.79\nC) 24.95\nD) 38.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 59.69", "B) 45.79", "C) 24.95", "D) 38.84"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-20d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 45.79\nD) 66.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 59.69", "B) 31.89", "C) 45.79", "D) 66.63"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 45.79\nD) 66.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 59.69", "B) 31.89", "C) 45.79", "D) 66.63"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-40d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 66.63\nD) 45.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 59.69", "B) 31.89", "C) 66.63", "D) 45.79"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 59.69\nB) 31.89\nC) 66.63\nD) 45.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 59.69", "B) 31.89", "C) 66.63", "D) 45.79"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-60d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 66.63\nC) 59.69\nD) 52.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 45.79", "B) 66.63", "C) 59.69", "D) 52.74"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 45.79\nB) 66.63\nC) 59.69\nD) 52.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 45.79", "B) 66.63", "C) 59.69", "D) 52.74"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "45.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20100427-120d-max", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.16%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 3.87%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 3.16%", "B) 3.63%", "C) 3.39%", "D) 3.87%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.63%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.16%\nB) 3.63%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 3.87%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 3.16%", "B) 3.63%", "C) 3.39%", "D) 3.87%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.63%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-5d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 3.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 2.94%", "B) 3.88%", "C) 3.41%", "D) 3.17%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.41%\nD) 3.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 2.94%", "B) 3.88%", "C) 3.41%", "D) 3.17%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-10d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.94%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 3.18%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 2.47%", "B) 2.94%", "C) 3.89%", "D) 3.18%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.18%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.94%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 3.18%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 2.47%", "B) 2.94%", "C) 3.89%", "D) 3.18%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.18%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-20d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 2.42%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 3.13%", "B) 3.37%", "C) 3.84%", "D) 2.42%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.13%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 3.37%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 2.42%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 3.13%", "B) 3.37%", "C) 3.84%", "D) 2.42%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.13%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-40d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.66%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 2.66%", "B) 2.90%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 3.61%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.90%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2.66%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 3.37%\nD) 3.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 2.66%", "B) 2.90%", "C) 3.37%", "D) 3.61%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.90%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-60d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 3.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1.94%", "B) 2.65%", "C) 2.41%", "D) 3.12%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 3.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1.94%", "B) 2.65%", "C) 2.41%", "D) 3.12%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20100427-120d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,943.24\nB) 1,905.26\nC) 2,251.25\nD) 2,424.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 2,943.24", "B) 1,905.26", "C) 2,251.25", "D) 2,424.25"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,424.25", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,943.24\nB) 1,905.26\nC) 2,251.25\nD) 2,424.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 2,943.24", "B) 1,905.26", "C) 2,251.25", "D) 2,424.25"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,424.25", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-5d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,265.64\nB) 1,919.64\nC) 2,092.64\nD) 2,438.64", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 2,265.64", "B) 1,919.64", "C) 2,092.64", "D) 2,438.64"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,265.64", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,265.64\nB) 1,919.64\nC) 2,092.64\nD) 2,438.64", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 2,265.64", "B) 1,919.64", "C) 2,092.64", "D) 2,438.64"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,265.64", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-10d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,858.01\nB) 2,204.01\nC) 2,377.01\nD) 2,723.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1,858.01", "B) 2,204.01", "C) 2,377.01", "D) 2,723.00"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,204.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,858.01\nB) 2,204.01\nC) 2,377.01\nD) 2,723.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1,858.01", "B) 2,204.01", "C) 2,377.01", "D) 2,723.00"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,204.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-20d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,985.85\nB) 1,812.85\nC) 2,158.85\nD) 2,504.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1,985.85", "B) 1,812.85", "C) 2,158.85", "D) 2,504.85"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,158.85", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,985.85\nB) 1,812.85\nC) 2,158.85\nD) 2,504.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1,985.85", "B) 1,812.85", "C) 2,158.85", "D) 2,504.85"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,158.85", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-40d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,745.79\nB) 1,572.80\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 2,091.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1,745.79", "B) 1,572.80", "C) 2,264.79", "D) 2,091.79"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,091.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 1,745.79\nB) 1,572.80\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 2,091.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 1,745.79", "B) 1,572.80", "C) 2,264.79", "D) 2,091.79"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,091.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-60d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 2,610.78\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 1,918.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 2,091.79", "B) 2,610.78", "C) 2,264.79", "D) 1,918.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,091.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Greek debt downgrade to junk\" on 2010-04-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2010-04-27? (Use only information available on or before 2010-04-26.)\n\nA) 2,091.79\nB) 2,610.78\nC) 2,264.79\nD) 1,918.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2010-04-27", "info_cutoff": "2010-04-26", "options": ["A) 2,091.79", "B) 2,610.78", "C) 2,264.79", "D) 1,918.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,091.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Greek debt downgrade to junk", "event_date": "2010-04-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20100427-120d-min", "year": 2010} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $-60,852M\nB) $-43,477M\nC) $-31,894M\nD) $-37,685M", "options": ["A) $-60,852M", "B) $-43,477M", "C) $-31,894M", "D) $-37,685M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-43,477M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) -2.22%\nB) 4.80%\nC) 0.12%\nD) 2.46%", "options": ["A) -2.22%", "B) 4.80%", "C) 0.12%", "D) 2.46%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -35.63%\nB) -25.64%\nC) 4.33%\nD) -5.66%", "options": ["A) -35.63%", "B) -25.64%", "C) 4.33%", "D) -5.66%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-5.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $19.49/hr\nB) $18.71/hr\nC) $19.10/hr\nD) $19.88/hr", "options": ["A) $19.49/hr", "B) $18.71/hr", "C) $19.10/hr", "D) $19.88/hr"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$19.49/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.3663\nB) 80.7100\nC) 74.0537\nD) 94.0225", "options": ["A) 87.3663", "B) 80.7100", "C) 74.0537", "D) 94.0225"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.7100", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 229.38\nB) 213.54\nC) 223.05\nD) 207.21", "options": ["A) 229.38", "B) 213.54", "C) 223.05", "D) 207.21"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "223.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.17%\nB) 3.04%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 4.42%", "options": ["A) 7.17%", "B) 3.04%", "C) 5.79%", "D) 4.42%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.00%\nB) 10.14%\nC) 12.43%\nD) 6.71%", "options": ["A) 9.00%", "B) 10.14%", "C) 12.43%", "D) 6.71%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.95%\nB) 4.59%\nC) 5.71%\nD) 6.83%", "options": ["A) 7.95%", "B) 4.59%", "C) 5.71%", "D) 6.83%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 38.52%\nB) -10.29%\nC) 14.12%\nD) 50.73%", "options": ["A) 38.52%", "B) -10.29%", "C) 14.12%", "D) 50.73%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 22.01%\nB) 2.27%\nC) 14.11%\nD) 10.17%", "options": ["A) 22.01%", "B) 2.27%", "C) 14.11%", "D) 10.17%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 21.32\nB) 38.75\nC) 9.70\nD) 27.13", "options": ["A) 21.32", "B) 38.75", "C) 9.70", "D) 27.13"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) $8,444B\nB) $8,935B\nC) $9,180B\nD) $8,199B", "options": ["A) $8,444B", "B) $8,935B", "C) $9,180B", "D) $8,199B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$8,935B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 9.12%\nC) 5.44%\nD) 6.67%", "options": ["A) 4.22%", "B) 9.12%", "C) 5.44%", "D) 6.67%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) -0.40pp", "options": ["A) -0.80pp", "B) -0.20pp", "C) +0.20pp", "D) -0.40pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 6.49%", "options": ["A) 3.81%", "B) 2.92%", "C) 4.70%", "D) 6.49%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.79%\nB) 2.41%\nC) 9.18%\nD) 12.56%", "options": ["A) 5.79%", "B) 2.41%", "C) 9.18%", "D) 12.56%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 185.56\nB) 221.84\nC) 203.70\nD) 197.65", "options": ["A) 185.56", "B) 221.84", "C) 203.70", "D) 197.65"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "203.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.10%\nB) 0.93%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 3.02%", "options": ["A) 5.10%", "B) 0.93%", "C) 1.63%", "D) 3.02%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 3.32%\nC) 5.69%\nD) 5.30%", "options": ["A) 4.51%", "B) 3.32%", "C) 5.69%", "D) 5.30%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) -4.88%\nB) -8.84%\nC) -12.81%\nD) -20.73%", "options": ["A) -4.88%", "B) -8.84%", "C) -12.81%", "D) -20.73%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-8.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.61%", "options": ["A) 4.08%", "B) 3.71%", "C) 2.98%", "D) 2.61%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 116.08\nB) 156.21\nC) 132.13\nD) 140.16", "options": ["A) 116.08", "B) 156.21", "C) 132.13", "D) 140.16"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "140.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.40%\nB) 78.76%\nC) 71.68%\nD) 81.12%", "options": ["A) 76.40%", "B) 78.76%", "C) 71.68%", "D) 81.12%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "76.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.03pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -2.03pp\nD) -2.79pp", "options": ["A) +1.03pp", "B) -0.50pp", "C) -2.03pp", "D) -2.79pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.92%\nB) -44.20%\nC) -15.14%\nD) -24.83%", "options": ["A) 13.92%", "B) -44.20%", "C) -15.14%", "D) -24.83%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-15.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $384,093M\nB) $350,799M\nC) $337,481M\nD) $370,775M", "options": ["A) $384,093M", "B) $350,799M", "C) $337,481M", "D) $370,775M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$370,775M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.10pp\nB) -1.21pp\nC) +0.45pp\nD) -1.76pp", "options": ["A) -0.10pp", "B) -1.21pp", "C) +0.45pp", "D) -1.76pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.74\nB) 93.33\nC) 95.53\nD) 90.02", "options": ["A) 97.74", "B) 93.33", "C) 95.53", "D) 90.02"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "93.33", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.83%\nB) -0.05%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 4.27%", "options": ["A) 2.83%", "B) -0.05%", "C) 2.11%", "D) 4.27%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.11%\nB) -1.00%\nC) -7.10%\nD) -4.05%", "options": ["A) 5.11%", "B) -1.00%", "C) -7.10%", "D) -4.05%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-4.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 416,000\nB) 515,853\nC) 266,220\nD) 366,073", "options": ["A) 416,000", "B) 515,853", "C) 266,220", "D) 366,073"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "416,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.07pp\nB) -0.10pp\nC) +1.66pp\nD) -0.69pp", "options": ["A) +1.07pp", "B) -0.10pp", "C) +1.66pp", "D) -0.69pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.60\nB) 92.40\nC) 95.20\nD) 98.00", "options": ["A) 103.60", "B) 92.40", "C) 95.20", "D) 98.00"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "95.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.43%\nB) 35.54%\nC) -1.94%\nD) 16.80%", "options": ["A) 7.43%", "B) 35.54%", "C) -1.94%", "D) 16.80%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,395M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $2,395M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$2,395M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -12.48pp\nB) -6.10pp\nC) -18.86pp\nD) +6.66pp", "options": ["A) -12.48pp", "B) -6.10pp", "C) -18.86pp", "D) +6.66pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-6.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.7079\nB) 7.1597\nC) 6.4820\nD) 6.2561", "options": ["A) 6.7079", "B) 7.1597", "C) 6.4820", "D) 6.2561"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4820", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.64%\nB) -1.72%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 1.54%", "options": ["A) -0.64%", "B) -1.72%", "C) 2.62%", "D) 1.54%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.91%\nB) 13.97%\nC) 1.85%\nD) 10.94%", "options": ["A) 7.91%", "B) 13.97%", "C) 1.85%", "D) 10.94%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 5.26%\nB) 4.50%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.36%", "options": ["A) 5.26%", "B) 4.50%", "C) 3.74%", "D) 3.36%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 3.18%\nC) -3.07%\nD) -0.99%", "options": ["A) 1.09%", "B) 3.18%", "C) -3.07%", "D) -0.99%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 29.55%\nB) -4.60%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 9.06%", "options": ["A) 29.55%", "B) -4.60%", "C) 2.23%", "D) 9.06%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,929B\nB) $12,425B\nC) $12,177B\nD) $11,680B", "options": ["A) $11,929B", "B) $12,425B", "C) $12,177B", "D) $11,680B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$11,929B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 137,463K\nB) 132,344K\nC) 140,875K\nD) 127,225K", "options": ["A) 137,463K", "B) 132,344K", "C) 140,875K", "D) 127,225K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "132,344K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -27.81pp\nB) -2.33pp\nC) -8.70pp\nD) -21.44pp", "options": ["A) -27.81pp", "B) -2.33pp", "C) -8.70pp", "D) -21.44pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-8.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.50%\nB) 55.30%\nC) 63.57%\nD) 58.40%", "options": ["A) 61.50%", "B) 55.30%", "C) 63.57%", "D) 58.40%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "58.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.64%\nB) 24.13%\nC) -9.60%\nD) 3.89%", "options": ["A) 10.64%", "B) 24.13%", "C) -9.60%", "D) 3.89%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 67.41%\nB) 64.20%\nC) 65.48%\nD) 62.27%", "options": ["A) 67.41%", "B) 64.20%", "C) 65.48%", "D) 62.27%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "64.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 30.14%\nB) 19.78%\nC) 9.43%\nD) 40.49%", "options": ["A) 30.14%", "B) 19.78%", "C) 9.43%", "D) 40.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.36pp\nB) -0.15pp\nC) +0.60pp\nD) -0.90pp", "options": ["A) +1.36pp", "B) -0.15pp", "C) +0.60pp", "D) -0.90pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $380,042M\nB) $417,883M\nC) $357,338M\nD) $402,746M", "options": ["A) $380,042M", "B) $417,883M", "C) $357,338M", "D) $402,746M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$380,042M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.99%\nB) 1.39%\nC) 29.52%\nD) -17.37%", "options": ["A) -7.99%", "B) 1.39%", "C) 29.52%", "D) -17.37%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $20.14/hr\nB) $19.72/hr\nC) $19.30/hr\nD) $18.46/hr", "options": ["A) $20.14/hr", "B) $19.72/hr", "C) $19.30/hr", "D) $18.46/hr"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$19.30/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $2,638M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $2,638M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$2,638M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $-44,312M\nB) $-50,572M\nC) $-31,791M\nD) $-25,531M", "options": ["A) $-44,312M", "B) $-50,572M", "C) $-31,791M", "D) $-25,531M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-44,312M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 831K\nB) 583K\nC) 1,078K\nD) 1,326K", "options": ["A) 831K", "B) 583K", "C) 1,078K", "D) 1,326K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "583K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 28.64%\nB) -22.09%\nC) 8.35%\nD) 18.49%", "options": ["A) 28.64%", "B) -22.09%", "C) 8.35%", "D) 18.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 1.08%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 0.05%", "options": ["A) 2.11%", "B) 1.08%", "C) 3.13%", "D) 0.05%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 137.78\nB) 129.59\nC) 154.16\nD) 162.34", "options": ["A) 137.78", "B) 129.59", "C) 154.16", "D) 162.34"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "137.78", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.25%\nB) 6.40%\nC) 4.69%\nD) 8.96%", "options": ["A) 7.25%", "B) 6.40%", "C) 4.69%", "D) 8.96%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.54pp\nB) +2.07pp\nC) +2.60pp\nD) +4.19pp", "options": ["A) +1.54pp", "B) +2.07pp", "C) +2.60pp", "D) +4.19pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+2.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $8,633B\nB) $9,649B\nC) $7,955B\nD) $8,972B", "options": ["A) $8,633B", "B) $9,649B", "C) $7,955B", "D) $8,972B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$8,972B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) $94.83/bbl\nB) $126.82/bbl\nC) $84.17/bbl\nD) $116.16/bbl", "options": ["A) $94.83/bbl", "B) $126.82/bbl", "C) $84.17/bbl", "D) $116.16/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$94.83/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.54%\nB) 4.19%\nC) 0.84%\nD) -2.51%", "options": ["A) 7.54%", "B) 4.19%", "C) 0.84%", "D) -2.51%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $75,180M\nB) $62,381M\nC) $65,581M\nD) $68,781M", "options": ["A) $75,180M", "B) $62,381M", "C) $65,581M", "D) $68,781M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$65,581M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 44.29%\nB) -22.31%\nC) -0.11%\nD) 22.09%", "options": ["A) 44.29%", "B) -22.31%", "C) -0.11%", "D) 22.09%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $62,497M\nB) $56,071M\nC) $52,857M\nD) $72,137M", "options": ["A) $62,497M", "B) $56,071M", "C) $52,857M", "D) $72,137M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$62,497M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.76%\nB) 9.55%\nC) 8.45%\nD) 7.34%", "options": ["A) 11.76%", "B) 9.55%", "C) 8.45%", "D) 7.34%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,319K\nB) 1,080K\nC) 600K\nD) 360K", "options": ["A) 1,319K", "B) 1,080K", "C) 600K", "D) 360K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "600K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 89.75%\nB) 52.91%\nC) -2.34%\nD) 34.49%", "options": ["A) 89.75%", "B) 52.91%", "C) -2.34%", "D) 34.49%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "34.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 1.23%", "options": ["A) 0.38%", "B) 2.92%", "C) 2.08%", "D) 1.23%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.30%\nB) 1.09%\nC) 2.22%\nD) -0.04%", "options": ["A) -2.30%", "B) 1.09%", "C) 2.22%", "D) -0.04%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 204.48\nB) 183.37\nC) 199.20\nD) 215.03", "options": ["A) 204.48", "B) 183.37", "C) 199.20", "D) 215.03"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "199.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 139,673K\nB) 126,249K\nC) 136,317K\nD) 131,283K", "options": ["A) 139,673K", "B) 126,249K", "C) 136,317K", "D) 131,283K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "131,283K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 2.14%", "options": ["A) 1.55%", "B) 0.96%", "C) 0.37%", "D) 2.14%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.54%\nB) 15.18%\nC) 71.36%\nD) -22.27%", "options": ["A) -3.54%", "B) 15.18%", "C) 71.36%", "D) -22.27%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 87.65\nB) 85.64\nC) 90.67\nD) 93.68", "options": ["A) 87.65", "B) 85.64", "C) 90.67", "D) 93.68"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "90.67", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.42%\nB) 4.89%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 4.19%", "options": ["A) 4.42%", "B) 4.89%", "C) 3.72%", "D) 4.19%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.08pp\nB) +9.49pp\nC) -4.04pp\nD) +1.37pp", "options": ["A) +4.08pp", "B) +9.49pp", "C) -4.04pp", "D) +1.37pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+4.08pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.23%\nB) 9.00%\nC) 12.35%\nD) 10.12%", "options": ["A) 11.23%", "B) 9.00%", "C) 12.35%", "D) 10.12%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.79%\nB) 12.72%\nC) 6.86%\nD) 15.66%", "options": ["A) 9.79%", "B) 12.72%", "C) 6.86%", "D) 15.66%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 233.94\nB) 220.91\nC) 213.09\nD) 226.12", "options": ["A) 233.94", "B) 220.91", "C) 213.09", "D) 226.12"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "226.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) $114.67/bbl\nB) $81.59/bbl\nC) $103.64/bbl\nD) $125.70/bbl", "options": ["A) $114.67/bbl", "B) $81.59/bbl", "C) $103.64/bbl", "D) $125.70/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$114.67/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 43.60\nB) 59.50\nC) 54.20\nD) 64.80", "options": ["A) 43.60", "B) 59.50", "C) 54.20", "D) 64.80"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "59.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.46%\nB) 7.39%\nC) 5.26%\nD) 3.12%", "options": ["A) 8.46%", "B) 7.39%", "C) 5.26%", "D) 3.12%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,854,252\nB) 5,649,748\nC) 3,119,417\nD) 3,752,000", "options": ["A) 1,854,252", "B) 5,649,748", "C) 3,119,417", "D) 3,752,000"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,752,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.87%\nB) 83.39%\nC) 80.89%\nD) 68.36%", "options": ["A) 75.87%", "B) 83.39%", "C) 80.89%", "D) 68.36%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "75.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 2.23%", "options": ["A) 1.15%", "B) 0.08%", "C) 3.30%", "D) 2.23%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.10pp\nB) -6.68pp\nC) +1.69pp\nD) -3.89pp", "options": ["A) -1.10pp", "B) -6.68pp", "C) +1.69pp", "D) -3.89pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.69pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $182,693M\nB) $227,776M\nC) $197,720M\nD) $212,748M", "options": ["A) $182,693M", "B) $227,776M", "C) $197,720M", "D) $212,748M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$212,748M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 1.60%\nD) 3.15%", "options": ["A) 1.99%", "B) 0.82%", "C) 1.60%", "D) 3.15%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,147B\nB) $10,620B\nC) $9,917B\nD) $10,268B", "options": ["A) $11,147B", "B) $10,620B", "C) $9,917B", "D) $10,268B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$10,620B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $249,159M\nB) $219,545M\nC) $204,738M\nD) $160,317M", "options": ["A) $249,159M", "B) $219,545M", "C) $204,738M", "D) $160,317M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$204,738M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.39%\nB) 3.52%\nC) 1.27%\nD) 0.14%", "options": ["A) 2.39%", "B) 3.52%", "C) 1.27%", "D) 0.14%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,552B\nB) $9,893B\nC) $8,868B\nD) $9,210B", "options": ["A) $9,552B", "B) $9,893B", "C) $8,868B", "D) $9,210B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$9,552B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 6.30%\nC) 8.78%\nD) 5.47%", "options": ["A) 4.65%", "B) 6.30%", "C) 8.78%", "D) 5.47%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 94.81%\nB) -10.54%\nC) 52.67%\nD) 115.88%", "options": ["A) 94.81%", "B) -10.54%", "C) 52.67%", "D) 115.88%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "52.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 53.36%\nB) 61.43%\nC) 55.37%\nD) 58.40%", "options": ["A) 53.36%", "B) 61.43%", "C) 55.37%", "D) 58.40%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "58.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.21%\nB) 0.31%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 0.91%", "options": ["A) 1.21%", "B) 0.31%", "C) 1.82%", "D) 0.91%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.33%\nD) 2.35%", "options": ["A) 0.99%", "B) 2.01%", "C) 1.33%", "D) 2.35%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,131B\nB) $10,261B\nC) $10,783B\nD) $11,479B", "options": ["A) $11,131B", "B) $10,261B", "C) $10,783B", "D) $11,479B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$10,783B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 214.90\nB) 229.16\nC) 209.20\nD) 223.45", "options": ["A) 214.90", "B) 229.16", "C) 209.20", "D) 223.45"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "223.45", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 4.45%\nD) -0.13%", "options": ["A) 2.62%", "B) 5.37%", "C) 4.45%", "D) -0.13%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 51.08\nB) 67.50\nC) 83.92\nD) 72.97", "options": ["A) 51.08", "B) 67.50", "C) 83.92", "D) 72.97"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "67.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.26%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 2.16%", "options": ["A) 0.89%", "B) 0.26%", "C) 1.21%", "D) 2.16%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 87.69\nB) 89.93\nC) 95.52\nD) 92.17", "options": ["A) 87.69", "B) 89.93", "C) 95.52", "D) 92.17"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "92.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 226.60\nB) 220.36\nC) 211.01\nD) 235.95", "options": ["A) 226.60", "B) 220.36", "C) 211.01", "D) 235.95"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "226.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 991K\nB) 610K\nC) 1,182K\nD) 229K", "options": ["A) 991K", "B) 610K", "C) 1,182K", "D) 229K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "610K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.6476\nB) 1.5574\nC) 1.4221\nD) 1.3319", "options": ["A) 1.6476", "B) 1.5574", "C) 1.4221", "D) 1.3319"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.4221", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 20.16%\nB) 12.50%\nC) 4.85%\nD) 8.67%", "options": ["A) 20.16%", "B) 12.50%", "C) 4.85%", "D) 8.67%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 2.30%", "options": ["A) 1.99%", "B) 1.06%", "C) 2.61%", "D) 2.30%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.45%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 1.68%\nD) 0.24%", "options": ["A) 7.45%", "B) 4.57%", "C) 1.68%", "D) 0.24%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.46\nB) 86.86\nC) 91.57\nD) 88.74", "options": ["A) 93.46", "B) 86.86", "C) 91.57", "D) 88.74"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "91.57", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.27%\nB) 66.13%\nC) 68.69%\nD) 64.20%", "options": ["A) 62.27%", "B) 66.13%", "C) 68.69%", "D) 64.20%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "64.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.85%\nB) 2.70%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 1.01%", "options": ["A) 1.85%", "B) 2.70%", "C) 2.41%", "D) 1.01%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.50\nB) 106.70\nC) 110.97\nD) 108.83", "options": ["A) 103.50", "B) 106.70", "C) 110.97", "D) 108.83"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "106.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.65\nB) 108.15\nC) 105.00\nD) 101.85", "options": ["A) 97.65", "B) 108.15", "C) 105.00", "D) 101.85"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "105.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 89.56\nB) 85.11\nC) 91.79\nD) 87.33", "options": ["A) 89.56", "B) 85.11", "C) 91.79", "D) 87.33"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "87.33", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20110901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-01.)\n\nA) 650K\nB) 838K\nC) 1,025K\nD) 462K", "options": ["A) 650K", "B) 838K", "C) 1,025K", "D) 462K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "650K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.95\nB) 94.08\nC) 99.81\nD) 91.21", "options": ["A) 96.95", "B) 94.08", "C) 99.81", "D) 91.21"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "94.08", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20110615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2011-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2011-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2011-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2011-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,095.97\nB) 3,166.95\nC) 2,631.46\nD) 2,452.96", "options": ["A) 2,095.97", "B) 3,166.95", "C) 2,631.46", "D) 2,452.96"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,631.46", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,005B\nB) $12,484B\nC) $12,237B\nD) $11,744B", "options": ["A) $11,005B", "B) $12,484B", "C) $12,237B", "D) $11,744B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$11,744B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20110301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2011", "info_cutoff": "2011-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2011? (Use only information available on or before 2011-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.90pp\nC) -1.30pp\nD) -0.50pp", "options": ["A) -0.70pp", "B) -0.90pp", "C) -1.30pp", "D) -0.50pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,488.81\nB) 2,357.69\nC) 1,964.34\nD) 2,751.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 2,488.81", "B) 2,357.69", "C) 1,964.34", "D) 2,751.04"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,357.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,488.81\nB) 2,357.69\nC) 1,964.34\nD) 2,751.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 2,488.81", "B) 2,357.69", "C) 1,964.34", "D) 2,751.04"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,357.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1,948.49\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,079.61", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1,948.49", "B) 2,472.96", "C) 2,341.84", "D) 2,079.61"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1,948.49\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,079.61", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1,948.49", "B) 2,472.96", "C) 2,341.84", "D) 2,079.61"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,735.19\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,079.61\nD) 2,341.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 2,735.19", "B) 2,472.96", "C) 2,079.61", "D) 2,341.84"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,735.19\nB) 2,472.96\nC) 2,079.61\nD) 2,341.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 2,735.19", "B) 2,472.96", "C) 2,079.61", "D) 2,341.84"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,335.83\nB) 2,073.60\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 1,942.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 2,335.83", "B) 2,073.60", "C) 2,729.18", "D) 1,942.48"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,335.83\nB) 2,073.60\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 1,942.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 2,335.83", "B) 2,073.60", "C) 2,729.18", "D) 1,942.48"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,073.60\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 2,598.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 2,073.60", "B) 2,335.83", "C) 2,729.18", "D) 2,598.06"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,073.60\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,729.18\nD) 2,598.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 2,073.60", "B) 2,335.83", "C) 2,729.18", "D) 2,598.06"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,598.06\nB) 2,466.95\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,942.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 2,598.06", "B) 2,466.95", "C) 2,335.83", "D) 1,942.48"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2,598.06\nB) 2,466.95\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,942.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 2,598.06", "B) 2,466.95", "C) 2,335.83", "D) 1,942.48"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.79%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 2.36%", "D) 2.17%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.17%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.79%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 2.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.79%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 2.36%", "D) 2.17%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.17%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.64%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 2.07%", "B) 2.45%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 2.64%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 2.26%\nD) 2.64%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 2.07%", "B) 2.45%", "C) 2.26%", "D) 2.64%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.59%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.64%", "B) 2.02%", "C) 2.40%", "D) 2.59%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.02%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.02%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.59%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.64%", "B) 2.02%", "C) 2.40%", "D) 2.59%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.02%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.15%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.34%", "B) 1.91%", "C) 1.72%", "D) 1.15%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 1.91%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.15%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.34%", "B) 1.91%", "C) 1.72%", "D) 1.15%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.15%", "B) 1.34%", "C) 2.29%", "D) 1.72%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.15%", "B) 1.34%", "C) 2.29%", "D) 1.72%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 2.29%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.72%", "B) 1.53%", "C) 2.10%", "D) 2.29%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.72%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.10%\nD) 2.29%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.72%", "B) 1.53%", "C) 2.10%", "D) 2.29%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 32.73\nB) 35.06\nC) 37.39\nD) 28.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 32.73", "B) 35.06", "C) 37.39", "D) 28.06"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "35.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 32.73\nB) 35.06\nC) 37.39\nD) 28.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 32.73", "B) 35.06", "C) 37.39", "D) 28.06"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "35.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 33.91\nB) 29.25\nC) 31.58\nD) 26.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 33.91", "B) 29.25", "C) 31.58", "D) 26.92"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "31.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 33.91\nB) 29.25\nC) 31.58\nD) 26.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 33.91", "B) 29.25", "C) 31.58", "D) 26.92"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "31.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 29.25\nB) 24.58\nC) 38.58\nD) 31.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 29.25", "B) 24.58", "C) 38.58", "D) 31.58"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "31.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 29.25\nB) 24.58\nC) 38.58\nD) 31.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 29.25", "B) 24.58", "C) 38.58", "D) 31.58"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "31.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 30.98\nB) 28.65\nC) 23.98\nD) 35.64", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 30.98", "B) 28.65", "C) 23.98", "D) 35.64"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "30.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 30.98\nB) 28.65\nC) 23.98\nD) 35.64", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 30.98", "B) 28.65", "C) 23.98", "D) 35.64"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "30.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 22.20\nB) 24.53\nC) 29.19\nD) 31.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 22.20", "B) 24.53", "C) 29.19", "D) 31.53"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.53", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 22.20\nB) 24.53\nC) 29.19\nD) 31.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 22.20", "B) 24.53", "C) 29.19", "D) 31.53"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.53", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 11.28\nB) 13.62\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 11.28", "B) 13.62", "C) 18.28", "D) 20.61"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.28", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 11.28\nB) 13.62\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 11.28", "B) 13.62", "C) 18.28", "D) 20.61"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.28", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.2337\nC) 1.3080\nD) 1.4193", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.4935", "B) 1.2337", "C) 1.3080", "D) 1.4193"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.2337\nC) 1.3080\nD) 1.4193", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.4935", "B) 1.2337", "C) 1.3080", "D) 1.4193"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4193\nB) 1.5306\nC) 1.2337\nD) 1.3080", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.4193", "B) 1.5306", "C) 1.2337", "D) 1.3080"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4193\nB) 1.5306\nC) 1.2337\nD) 1.3080", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.4193", "B) 1.5306", "C) 1.2337", "D) 1.3080"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.4193\nC) 1.3451\nD) 1.5678", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.4935", "B) 1.4193", "C) 1.3451", "D) 1.5678"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4935\nB) 1.4193\nC) 1.3451\nD) 1.5678", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.4935", "B) 1.4193", "C) 1.3451", "D) 1.5678"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.4193", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2168\nB) 1.4394\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.5137", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.2168", "B) 1.4394", "C) 1.3281", "D) 1.5137"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.3281", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2168\nB) 1.4394\nC) 1.3281\nD) 1.5137", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.2168", "B) 1.4394", "C) 1.3281", "D) 1.5137"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.3281", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4023\nB) 1.2539\nC) 1.1425\nD) 1.3281", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.4023", "B) 1.2539", "C) 1.1425", "D) 1.3281"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3281", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.4023\nB) 1.2539\nC) 1.1425\nD) 1.3281", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.4023", "B) 1.2539", "C) 1.1425", "D) 1.3281"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.3281", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2682\nB) 1.1940\nC) 1.3424\nD) 1.0826", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.2682", "B) 1.1940", "C) 1.3424", "D) 1.0826"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2682", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US sovereign credit downgrade\" on 2011-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2011-08-04.)\n\nA) 1.2682\nB) 1.1940\nC) 1.3424\nD) 1.0826", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2011-08-04", "options": ["A) 1.2682", "B) 1.1940", "C) 1.3424", "D) 1.0826"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2682", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US sovereign credit downgrade", "event_date": "2011-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20110805-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 78.7400\nC) 83.9713\nD) 73.5087", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 70.8931", "B) 78.7400", "C) 83.9713", "D) 73.5087"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 70.8931\nB) 78.7400\nC) 83.9713\nD) 73.5087", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 70.8931", "B) 78.7400", "C) 83.9713", "D) 73.5087"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 76.1244\nB) 86.5869\nC) 78.7400\nD) 83.9713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 76.1244", "B) 86.5869", "C) 78.7400", "D) 83.9713"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 76.1244\nB) 86.5869\nC) 78.7400\nD) 83.9713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 76.1244", "B) 86.5869", "C) 78.7400", "D) 83.9713"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 83.9713\nB) 76.1244\nC) 70.8931\nD) 78.7400", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 83.9713", "B) 76.1244", "C) 70.8931", "D) 78.7400"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 83.9713\nB) 76.1244\nC) 70.8931\nD) 78.7400", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 83.9713", "B) 76.1244", "C) 70.8931", "D) 78.7400"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 78.7400\nB) 76.1244\nC) 86.5869\nD) 83.9713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 78.7400", "B) 76.1244", "C) 86.5869", "D) 83.9713"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 78.7400\nB) 76.1244\nC) 86.5869\nD) 83.9713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 78.7400", "B) 76.1244", "C) 86.5869", "D) 83.9713"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.5087\nB) 78.7400\nC) 86.5869\nD) 70.8931", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 73.5087", "B) 78.7400", "C) 86.5869", "D) 70.8931"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 73.5087\nB) 78.7400\nC) 86.5869\nD) 70.8931", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 73.5087", "B) 78.7400", "C) 86.5869", "D) 70.8931"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.7400", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 79.0256\nB) 73.7944\nC) 76.4100\nD) 84.2569", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 79.0256", "B) 73.7944", "C) 76.4100", "D) 84.2569"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "76.4100", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 79.0256\nB) 73.7944\nC) 76.4100\nD) 84.2569", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 79.0256", "B) 73.7944", "C) 76.4100", "D) 84.2569"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "76.4100", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 24.41\nB) 27.69\nC) 17.85\nD) 21.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 24.41", "B) 27.69", "C) 17.85", "D) 21.13"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.13", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 24.41\nB) 27.69\nC) 17.85\nD) 21.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 24.41", "B) 27.69", "C) 17.85", "D) 21.13"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.13", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.91\nB) 14.63\nC) 27.75\nD) 24.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 17.91", "B) 14.63", "C) 27.75", "D) 24.47"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.91\nB) 14.63\nC) 27.75\nD) 24.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 17.91", "B) 14.63", "C) 27.75", "D) 24.47"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 26.74\nB) 16.90\nC) 20.18\nD) 13.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 26.74", "B) 16.90", "C) 20.18", "D) 13.62"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 26.74\nB) 16.90\nC) 20.18\nD) 13.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 26.74", "B) 16.90", "C) 20.18", "D) 13.62"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 11.34\nC) 14.62\nD) 24.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 17.90", "B) 11.34", "C) 14.62", "D) 24.46"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 11.34\nC) 14.62\nD) 24.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 17.90", "B) 11.34", "C) 14.62", "D) 24.46"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 24.46\nC) 21.18\nD) 14.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 17.90", "B) 24.46", "C) 21.18", "D) 14.62"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 17.90\nB) 24.46\nC) 21.18\nD) 14.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 17.90", "B) 24.46", "C) 21.18", "D) 14.62"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 11.34\nC) 17.90\nD) 24.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 14.62", "B) 11.34", "C) 17.90", "D) 24.46"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 14.62\nB) 11.34\nC) 17.90\nD) 24.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 14.62", "B) 11.34", "C) 17.90", "D) 24.46"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,297.82\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,776.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 2,297.82", "B) 2,616.82", "C) 2,457.32", "D) 2,776.32"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,297.82\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,776.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 2,297.82", "B) 2,616.82", "C) 2,457.32", "D) 2,776.32"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,776.32\nB) 2,138.31\nC) 2,616.82\nD) 2,457.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 2,776.32", "B) 2,138.31", "C) 2,616.82", "D) 2,457.32"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,776.32\nB) 2,138.31\nC) 2,616.82\nD) 2,457.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 2,776.32", "B) 2,138.31", "C) 2,616.82", "D) 2,457.32"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,138.31\nB) 2,457.32\nC) 3,095.33\nD) 2,616.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 2,138.31", "B) 2,457.32", "C) 3,095.33", "D) 2,616.82"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,138.31\nB) 2,457.32\nC) 3,095.33\nD) 2,616.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 2,138.31", "B) 2,457.32", "C) 3,095.33", "D) 2,616.82"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,616.82\nB) 3,095.33\nC) 2,297.82\nD) 2,935.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 2,616.82", "B) 3,095.33", "C) 2,297.82", "D) 2,935.82"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 2,616.82\nB) 3,095.33\nC) 2,297.82\nD) 2,935.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 2,616.82", "B) 3,095.33", "C) 2,297.82", "D) 2,935.82"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,095.33\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,297.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 3,095.33", "B) 2,616.82", "C) 2,457.32", "D) 2,297.82"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 3,095.33\nB) 2,616.82\nC) 2,457.32\nD) 2,297.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 3,095.33", "B) 2,616.82", "C) 2,457.32", "D) 2,297.82"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,616.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 1,863.33\nB) 2,022.84\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,660.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 1,863.33", "B) 2,022.84", "C) 2,341.84", "D) 2,660.84"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) 1,863.33\nB) 2,022.84\nC) 2,341.84\nD) 2,660.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) 1,863.33", "B) 2,022.84", "C) 2,341.84", "D) 2,660.84"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $86.28/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $97.23/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) $80.81/bbl", "B) $86.28/bbl", "C) $102.70/bbl", "D) $97.23/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $86.28/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $97.23/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) $80.81/bbl", "B) $86.28/bbl", "C) $102.70/bbl", "D) $97.23/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $97.23/bbl\nB) $108.18/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $113.65/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) $97.23/bbl", "B) $108.18/bbl", "C) $102.70/bbl", "D) $113.65/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $97.23/bbl\nB) $108.18/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $113.65/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) $97.23/bbl", "B) $108.18/bbl", "C) $102.70/bbl", "D) $113.65/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $97.23/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $91.76/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) $80.81/bbl", "B) $97.23/bbl", "C) $102.70/bbl", "D) $91.76/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $80.81/bbl\nB) $97.23/bbl\nC) $102.70/bbl\nD) $91.76/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) $80.81/bbl", "B) $97.23/bbl", "C) $102.70/bbl", "D) $91.76/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$97.23/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $113.29/bbl\nB) $91.40/bbl\nC) $96.87/bbl\nD) $85.92/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) $113.29/bbl", "B) $91.40/bbl", "C) $96.87/bbl", "D) $85.92/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$96.87/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $113.29/bbl\nB) $91.40/bbl\nC) $96.87/bbl\nD) $85.92/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) $113.29/bbl", "B) $91.40/bbl", "C) $96.87/bbl", "D) $85.92/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$96.87/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $101.87/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $79.98/bbl\nD) $96.40/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) $101.87/bbl", "B) $107.35/bbl", "C) $79.98/bbl", "D) $96.40/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$96.40/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $101.87/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $79.98/bbl\nD) $96.40/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) $101.87/bbl", "B) $107.35/bbl", "C) $79.98/bbl", "D) $96.40/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$96.40/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $79.32/bbl\nB) $73.85/bbl\nC) $68.37/bbl\nD) $95.74/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) $79.32/bbl", "B) $73.85/bbl", "C) $68.37/bbl", "D) $95.74/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$79.32/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima\" on 2011-03-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2011-03-11? (Use only information available on or before 2011-03-10.)\n\nA) $79.32/bbl\nB) $73.85/bbl\nC) $68.37/bbl\nD) $95.74/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-03-11", "info_cutoff": "2011-03-10", "options": ["A) $79.32/bbl", "B) $73.85/bbl", "C) $68.37/bbl", "D) $95.74/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$79.32/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Tohoku earthquake / Fukushima", "event_date": "2011-03-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20110311-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,796.69\nB) 2,532.41\nC) 2,664.55\nD) 2,268.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2,796.69", "B) 2,532.41", "C) 2,664.55", "D) 2,268.13"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,532.41", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,796.69\nB) 2,532.41\nC) 2,664.55\nD) 2,268.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2,796.69", "B) 2,532.41", "C) 2,664.55", "D) 2,268.13"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,532.41", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,225.55\nB) 2,621.97\nC) 2,357.69\nD) 2,093.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2,225.55", "B) 2,621.97", "C) 2,357.69", "D) 2,093.41"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,357.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,225.55\nB) 2,621.97\nC) 2,357.69\nD) 2,093.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2,225.55", "B) 2,621.97", "C) 2,357.69", "D) 2,093.41"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,357.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,077.56\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,341.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2,077.56", "B) 2,209.70", "C) 2,473.98", "D) 2,341.84"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,077.56\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,341.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2,077.56", "B) 2,209.70", "C) 2,473.98", "D) 2,341.84"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,341.84\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,738.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2,341.84", "B) 2,209.70", "C) 2,473.98", "D) 2,738.26"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,341.84\nB) 2,209.70\nC) 2,473.98\nD) 2,738.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2,341.84", "B) 2,209.70", "C) 2,473.98", "D) 2,738.26"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,341.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,467.97\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,600.11\nD) 1,939.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2,467.97", "B) 2,335.83", "C) 2,600.11", "D) 1,939.41"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,467.97\nB) 2,335.83\nC) 2,600.11\nD) 1,939.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2,467.97", "B) 2,335.83", "C) 2,600.11", "D) 1,939.41"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,732.25\nB) 2,467.97\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,939.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2,732.25", "B) 2,467.97", "C) 2,335.83", "D) 1,939.41"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2,732.25\nB) 2,467.97\nC) 2,335.83\nD) 1,939.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2,732.25", "B) 2,467.97", "C) 2,335.83", "D) 1,939.41"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,335.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20110729-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2.21%", "B) 2.96%", "C) 3.14%", "D) 2.77%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.96%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2.21%", "B) 2.96%", "C) 3.14%", "D) 2.77%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-5d-max", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 3.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2.77%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.96%", "D) 3.14%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.96%\nD) 3.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2.77%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.96%", "D) 3.14%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-10d-max", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 2.96%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2.21%", "B) 2.77%", "C) 3.33%", "D) 2.96%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 3.33%\nD) 2.96%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2.21%", "B) 2.77%", "C) 3.33%", "D) 2.96%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-20d-max", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.40%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2.96%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.77%", "D) 2.40%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.77%\nD) 2.40%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2.96%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.77%", "D) 2.40%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-40d-max", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 3.14%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 2.77%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 3.14%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 2.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 3.14%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 2.77%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-60d-max", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.40%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2.77%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 3.14%", "D) 2.40%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 2.77%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 3.14%\nD) 2.40%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 2.77%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 3.14%", "D) 2.40%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20110729-120d-max", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 23.38\nC) 28.03\nD) 30.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 25.71", "B) 23.38", "C) 28.03", "D) 30.36"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 23.38\nC) 28.03\nD) 30.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 25.71", "B) 23.38", "C) 28.03", "D) 30.36"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 18.73\nB) 16.40\nC) 23.38\nD) 25.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 18.73", "B) 16.40", "C) 23.38", "D) 25.71"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 18.73\nB) 16.40\nC) 23.38\nD) 25.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 18.73", "B) 16.40", "C) 23.38", "D) 25.71"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 30.36\nC) 28.03\nD) 23.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 25.71", "B) 30.36", "C) 28.03", "D) 23.38"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 25.71\nB) 30.36\nC) 28.03\nD) 23.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 25.71", "B) 30.36", "C) 28.03", "D) 23.38"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 23.38\nB) 21.05\nC) 18.73\nD) 25.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 23.38", "B) 21.05", "C) 18.73", "D) 25.71"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 23.38\nB) 21.05\nC) 18.73\nD) 25.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 23.38", "B) 21.05", "C) 18.73", "D) 25.71"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 28.03\nB) 23.38\nC) 16.40\nD) 25.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 28.03", "B) 23.38", "C) 16.40", "D) 25.71"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 28.03\nB) 23.38\nC) 16.40\nD) 25.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 28.03", "B) 23.38", "C) 16.40", "D) 25.71"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.38", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 13.63\nB) 25.26\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 13.63", "B) 25.26", "C) 18.28", "D) 20.61"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.28", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 13.63\nB) 25.26\nC) 18.28\nD) 20.61", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 13.63", "B) 25.26", "C) 18.28", "D) 20.61"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.28", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20110729-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.61%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.27%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 0.38%", "B) 0.61%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 0.27%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.27%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 0.61%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.27%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 0.38%", "B) 0.61%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 0.27%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.27%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-5d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.53%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 0.19%", "B) 0.08%", "C) 0.41%", "D) 0.53%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 0.08%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 0.53%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 0.19%", "B) 0.08%", "C) 0.41%", "D) 0.53%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-10d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 0.41%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 0.30%", "B) 0.19%", "C) 0.08%", "D) 0.41%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.30%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.08%\nD) 0.41%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 0.30%", "B) 0.19%", "C) 0.08%", "D) 0.41%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-20d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 0.05%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 0.50%", "C) 0.16%", "D) 0.05%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.16%\nD) 0.05%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 0.50%", "C) 0.16%", "D) 0.05%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-40d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 0.16%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 0.05%", "B) 0.38%", "C) 0.50%", "D) 0.16%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.38%\nC) 0.50%\nD) 0.16%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 0.05%", "B) 0.38%", "C) 0.50%", "D) 0.16%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-60d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.27%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 0.16%", "B) 0.05%", "C) 0.38%", "D) 0.27%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US debt-ceiling crisis peak\" on 2011-07-29, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2011-07-29? (Use only information available on or before 2011-07-28.)\n\nA) 0.16%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.27%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2011-07-29", "info_cutoff": "2011-07-28", "options": ["A) 0.16%", "B) 0.05%", "C) 0.38%", "D) 0.27%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "US debt-ceiling crisis peak", "event_date": "2011-07-29", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20110729-120d-min", "year": 2011} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,663B\nB) $12,386B\nC) $11,834B\nD) $13,215B", "options": ["A) $12,663B", "B) $12,386B", "C) $11,834B", "D) $13,215B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$12,386B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +8.58pp\nB) -2.75pp\nC) +0.09pp\nD) -5.58pp", "options": ["A) +8.58pp", "B) -2.75pp", "C) +0.09pp", "D) -5.58pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.09pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.75%\nB) 1.42%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 0.09%", "options": ["A) 0.75%", "B) 1.42%", "C) 2.08%", "D) 0.09%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.68%\nB) 0.17%\nC) 1.69%\nD) 1.19%", "options": ["A) 0.68%", "B) 0.17%", "C) 1.69%", "D) 1.19%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 0.14%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.47%", "options": ["A) 2.14%", "B) 0.14%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.47%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 9.24%\nB) 6.13%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 10.27%", "options": ["A) 9.24%", "B) 6.13%", "C) 8.20%", "D) 10.27%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $11,353B\nB) $11,893B\nC) $10,455B\nD) $10,994B", "options": ["A) $11,353B", "B) $11,893B", "C) $10,455B", "D) $10,994B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$10,994B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 0.84%\nC) 4.86%\nD) 2.18%", "options": ["A) 3.52%", "B) 0.84%", "C) 4.86%", "D) 2.18%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $8,776B\nB) $9,854B\nC) $10,572B\nD) $10,931B", "options": ["A) $8,776B", "B) $9,854B", "C) $10,572B", "D) $10,931B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$9,854B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,120K\nB) 963K\nC) 806K\nD) 649K", "options": ["A) 1,120K", "B) 963K", "C) 806K", "D) 649K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "806K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.75\nB) 74.85\nC) 85.20\nD) 78.30", "options": ["A) 81.75", "B) 74.85", "C) 85.20", "D) 78.30"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "78.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.60%\nB) 9.26%\nC) 10.08%\nD) 5.94%", "options": ["A) 7.60%", "B) 9.26%", "C) 10.08%", "D) 5.94%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.28%\nB) 2.99%\nC) -0.90%\nD) 1.69%", "options": ["A) 4.28%", "B) 2.99%", "C) -0.90%", "D) 1.69%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.95pp\nB) -0.25pp\nC) +0.30pp\nD) -1.35pp", "options": ["A) +1.95pp", "B) -0.25pp", "C) +0.30pp", "D) -1.35pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.79%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.60%", "options": ["A) 2.79%", "B) 1.20%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.60%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 58.70%\nB) 56.11%\nC) 61.29%\nD) 54.39%", "options": ["A) 58.70%", "B) 56.11%", "C) 61.29%", "D) 54.39%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "58.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 7.06%\nC) 9.68%\nD) 5.75%", "options": ["A) 3.13%", "B) 7.06%", "C) 9.68%", "D) 5.75%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $79,204M\nB) $59,778M\nC) $69,491M\nD) $66,253M", "options": ["A) $79,204M", "B) $59,778M", "C) $69,491M", "D) $66,253M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$69,491M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 222.49\nB) 192.34\nC) 198.37\nD) 204.40", "options": ["A) 222.49", "B) 192.34", "C) 198.37", "D) 204.40"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "204.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.69%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 1.93%\nD) 1.45%", "options": ["A) 1.69%", "B) 2.18%", "C) 1.93%", "D) 1.45%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $13,072B\nB) $12,319B\nC) $11,567B\nD) $11,818B", "options": ["A) $13,072B", "B) $12,319B", "C) $11,567B", "D) $11,818B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$12,319B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.42pp\nB) -0.39pp\nC) -1.20pp\nD) -3.63pp", "options": ["A) +0.42pp", "B) -0.39pp", "C) -1.20pp", "D) -3.63pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 1.48%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.29%", "options": ["A) 2.08%", "B) 1.48%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 0.29%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.22%\nB) 13.65%\nC) 32.51%\nD) 23.08%", "options": ["A) 4.22%", "B) 13.65%", "C) 32.51%", "D) 23.08%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 90.30\nB) 93.12\nC) 88.42\nD) 95.00", "options": ["A) 90.30", "B) 93.12", "C) 88.42", "D) 95.00"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "93.12", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 216.05\nB) 222.04\nC) 231.01\nD) 237.00", "options": ["A) 216.05", "B) 222.04", "C) 231.01", "D) 237.00"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "231.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 235.65\nB) 240.64\nC) 225.67\nD) 230.66", "options": ["A) 235.65", "B) 240.64", "C) 225.67", "D) 230.66"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "230.66", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 76.48%\nB) 74.43%\nC) 70.31%\nD) 72.37%", "options": ["A) 76.48%", "B) 74.43%", "C) 70.31%", "D) 72.37%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "76.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -18.96%\nB) 15.83%\nC) -7.36%\nD) 39.03%", "options": ["A) -18.96%", "B) 15.83%", "C) -7.36%", "D) 39.03%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) +31.37pp\nB) +6.23pp\nC) +18.80pp\nD) +37.66pp", "options": ["A) +31.37pp", "B) +6.23pp", "C) +18.80pp", "D) +37.66pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+18.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $9,458B\nB) $10,995B\nC) $9,073B\nD) $10,226B", "options": ["A) $9,458B", "B) $10,995B", "C) $9,073B", "D) $10,226B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$10,226B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.29%\nB) 2.98%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 1.94%", "options": ["A) 2.29%", "B) 2.98%", "C) 2.63%", "D) 1.94%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 128,803K\nB) 133,748K\nC) 141,990K\nD) 137,045K", "options": ["A) 128,803K", "B) 133,748K", "C) 141,990K", "D) 137,045K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "133,748K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 192.21\nB) 210.20\nC) 204.20\nD) 222.19", "options": ["A) 192.21", "B) 210.20", "C) 204.20", "D) 222.19"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "204.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) $94.39/bbl\nB) $104.74/bbl\nC) $115.10/bbl\nD) $84.03/bbl", "options": ["A) $94.39/bbl", "B) $104.74/bbl", "C) $115.10/bbl", "D) $84.03/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$84.03/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) $97.13/bbl\nB) $133.17/bbl\nC) $73.10/bbl\nD) $121.16/bbl", "options": ["A) $97.13/bbl", "B) $133.17/bbl", "C) $73.10/bbl", "D) $121.16/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$97.13/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) +1.72pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) -0.98pp\nD) +1.18pp", "options": ["A) +1.72pp", "B) +0.10pp", "C) -0.98pp", "D) +1.18pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $376,824M\nB) $408,110M\nC) $397,681M\nD) $418,538M", "options": ["A) $376,824M", "B) $408,110M", "C) $397,681M", "D) $418,538M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$397,681M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 127,208K\nB) 131,593K\nC) 137,441K\nD) 134,517K", "options": ["A) 127,208K", "B) 131,593K", "C) 137,441K", "D) 134,517K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "134,517K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) 1.68%\nC) 2.53%\nD) 1.96%", "options": ["A) 2.25%", "B) 1.68%", "C) 2.53%", "D) 1.96%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 85.27\nB) 76.20\nC) 67.13\nD) 71.66", "options": ["A) 85.27", "B) 76.20", "C) 67.13", "D) 71.66"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "76.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 84.8676\nB) 91.0852\nC) 78.6500\nD) 72.4324", "options": ["A) 84.8676", "B) 91.0852", "C) 78.6500", "D) 72.4324"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.6500", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.68pp\nB) +9.38pp\nC) +6.57pp\nD) +0.94pp", "options": ["A) -4.68pp", "B) +9.38pp", "C) +6.57pp", "D) +0.94pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.94pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,323,000\nB) 2,775,151\nC) 4,418,698\nD) 2,227,302", "options": ["A) 3,323,000", "B) 2,775,151", "C) 4,418,698", "D) 2,227,302"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,323,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 10.40%\nB) -11.50%\nC) -55.30%\nD) -33.40%", "options": ["A) 10.40%", "B) -11.50%", "C) -55.30%", "D) -33.40%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-11.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.96%\nB) 7.80%\nC) 4.64%\nD) 1.48%", "options": ["A) 10.96%", "B) 7.80%", "C) 4.64%", "D) 1.48%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.42%\nB) 55.55%\nC) 60.47%\nD) 58.50%", "options": ["A) 63.42%", "B) 55.55%", "C) 60.47%", "D) 58.50%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "58.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) -0.77pp\nD) -0.27pp", "options": ["A) -0.60pp", "B) -1.10pp", "C) -0.77pp", "D) -0.27pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.71\nB) 21.11\nC) 31.90\nD) 37.30", "options": ["A) 15.71", "B) 21.11", "C) 31.90", "D) 37.30"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "21.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 515,294\nB) 296,471\nC) 384,000\nD) 427,765", "options": ["A) 515,294", "B) 296,471", "C) 384,000", "D) 427,765"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "384,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.86\nB) 104.82\nC) 94.90\nD) 97.38", "options": ["A) 99.86", "B) 104.82", "C) 94.90", "D) 97.38"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "97.38", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $-49,749M\nB) $-33,225M\nC) $-55,257M\nD) $-44,241M", "options": ["A) $-49,749M", "B) $-33,225M", "C) $-55,257M", "D) $-44,241M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-49,749M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 81.34%\nB) 76.82%\nC) 74.56%\nD) 72.30%", "options": ["A) 81.34%", "B) 76.82%", "C) 74.56%", "D) 72.30%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "76.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 66.78%\nB) 61.69%\nC) 63.60%\nD) 65.51%", "options": ["A) 66.78%", "B) 61.69%", "C) 63.60%", "D) 65.51%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "63.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.35pp\nB) +0.96pp\nC) +1.66pp\nD) +1.31pp", "options": ["A) +2.35pp", "B) +0.96pp", "C) +1.66pp", "D) +1.31pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+1.31pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.40%\nB) 2.18%\nC) -6.76%\nD) -3.19%", "options": ["A) -1.40%", "B) 2.18%", "C) -6.76%", "D) -3.19%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -3.44pp\nB) +8.70pp\nC) +20.84pp\nD) +2.63pp", "options": ["A) -3.44pp", "B) +8.70pp", "C) +20.84pp", "D) +2.63pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+8.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,715B\nB) $10,699B\nC) $11,105B\nD) $10,090B", "options": ["A) $11,715B", "B) $10,699B", "C) $11,105B", "D) $10,090B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$11,105B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 15.58%\nB) 60.92%\nC) 49.58%\nD) 38.25%", "options": ["A) 15.58%", "B) 60.92%", "C) 49.58%", "D) 38.25%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "38.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 9.84%\nB) 12.28%\nC) 6.17%\nD) 7.39%", "options": ["A) 9.84%", "B) 12.28%", "C) 6.17%", "D) 7.39%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $18.91/hr\nB) $19.64/hr\nC) $18.18/hr\nD) $20.37/hr", "options": ["A) $18.91/hr", "B) $19.64/hr", "C) $18.18/hr", "D) $20.37/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$19.64/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,936M\nB) $-43,865M\nC) $-38,794M\nD) $-23,580M", "options": ["A) $-48,936M", "B) $-43,865M", "C) $-38,794M", "D) $-23,580M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-38,794M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.19%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 2.01%", "options": ["A) 1.19%", "B) 2.56%", "C) 2.28%", "D) 2.01%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.20%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 6.41%\nD) 9.57%", "options": ["A) 7.20%", "B) 4.83%", "C) 6.41%", "D) 9.57%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 97.80\nB) 93.52\nC) 91.38\nD) 89.24", "options": ["A) 97.80", "B) 93.52", "C) 91.38", "D) 89.24"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "93.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.97%\nB) 3.09%\nC) 1.68%\nD) 3.79%", "options": ["A) 0.97%", "B) 3.09%", "C) 1.68%", "D) 3.79%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 109.73\nB) 101.57\nC) 105.07\nD) 107.40", "options": ["A) 109.73", "B) 101.57", "C) 105.07", "D) 107.40"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "107.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.58pp\nC) -0.93pp\nD) -0.75pp", "options": ["A) -0.40pp", "B) -0.58pp", "C) -0.93pp", "D) -0.75pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.13%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 2.46%\nD) 4.96%", "options": ["A) 4.13%", "B) 3.71%", "C) 2.46%", "D) 4.96%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $178,115M\nB) $265,343M\nC) $221,729M\nD) $192,653M", "options": ["A) $178,115M", "B) $265,343M", "C) $221,729M", "D) $192,653M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$221,729M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.58pp\nB) +1.53pp\nC) -3.13pp\nD) -0.80pp", "options": ["A) -1.58pp", "B) +1.53pp", "C) -3.13pp", "D) -0.80pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2633\nB) 1.1342\nC) 1.0481\nD) 1.3924", "options": ["A) 1.2633", "B) 1.1342", "C) 1.0481", "D) 1.3924"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2633", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 102.18\nB) 96.74\nC) 99.46\nD) 88.58", "options": ["A) 102.18", "B) 96.74", "C) 99.46", "D) 88.58"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "96.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.28%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 1.54%\nD) 2.80%", "options": ["A) 0.28%", "B) 0.70%", "C) 1.54%", "D) 2.80%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -3.15%\nB) 9.29%\nC) 12.40%\nD) 6.18%", "options": ["A) -3.15%", "B) 9.29%", "C) 12.40%", "D) 6.18%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.80%\nB) 65.71%\nC) 67.63%\nD) 61.89%", "options": ["A) 63.80%", "B) 65.71%", "C) 67.63%", "D) 61.89%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "63.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.38%\nB) 1.88%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 0.79%", "options": ["A) -1.38%", "B) 1.88%", "C) 5.14%", "D) 0.79%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 132.41\nB) 162.26\nC) 144.35\nD) 156.29", "options": ["A) 132.41", "B) 162.26", "C) 144.35", "D) 156.29"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "144.35", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $411,000M\nB) $385,047M\nC) $376,396M\nD) $393,698M", "options": ["A) $411,000M", "B) $385,047M", "C) $376,396M", "D) $393,698M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$393,698M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $19.79/hr\nB) $19.14/hr\nC) $21.10/hr\nD) $20.44/hr", "options": ["A) $19.79/hr", "B) $19.14/hr", "C) $21.10/hr", "D) $20.44/hr"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$19.79/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $2,595M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $2,595M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$2,595M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.62\nB) 98.17\nC) 94.89\nD) 100.35", "options": ["A) 91.62", "B) 98.17", "C) 94.89", "D) 100.35"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "94.89", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -7.35%\nB) 9.61%\nC) -0.56%\nD) 2.83%", "options": ["A) -7.35%", "B) 9.61%", "C) -0.56%", "D) 2.83%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $63,822M\nB) $70,549M\nC) $73,912M\nD) $60,459M", "options": ["A) $63,822M", "B) $70,549M", "C) $73,912M", "D) $60,459M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$63,822M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.36%\nB) -2.68%\nC) 11.40%\nD) -16.76%", "options": ["A) 4.36%", "B) -2.68%", "C) 11.40%", "D) -16.76%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 0.13%\nD) 2.05%", "options": ["A) 1.09%", "B) 3.01%", "C) 0.13%", "D) 2.05%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) $9,105B\nB) $8,837B\nC) $9,775B\nD) $9,373B", "options": ["A) $9,105B", "B) $8,837B", "C) $9,775B", "D) $9,373B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$9,373B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,872.80\nB) 2,465.41\nC) 3,076.49\nD) 2,669.11", "options": ["A) 2,872.80", "B) 2,465.41", "C) 3,076.49", "D) 2,669.11"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,872.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.67%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 12.37%", "options": ["A) -7.67%", "B) 0.34%", "C) 4.35%", "D) 12.37%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.61%\nB) 2.76%\nC) 3.84%\nD) 4.91%", "options": ["A) 0.61%", "B) 2.76%", "C) 3.84%", "D) 4.91%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) -61.37%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 44.49%\nD) -19.02%", "options": ["A) -61.37%", "B) 2.15%", "C) 44.49%", "D) -19.02%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-19.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 228.48\nB) 233.54\nC) 215.83\nD) 223.42", "options": ["A) 228.48", "B) 233.54", "C) 215.83", "D) 223.42"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "228.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.96%\nB) 30.31%\nC) 43.66%\nD) 57.01%", "options": ["A) 16.96%", "B) 30.31%", "C) 43.66%", "D) 57.01%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "30.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 2.70%\nD) 2.09%", "options": ["A) 3.62%", "B) 2.39%", "C) 2.70%", "D) 2.09%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 34.31%\nB) -3.54%\nC) 24.85%\nD) 5.92%", "options": ["A) 34.31%", "B) -3.54%", "C) 24.85%", "D) 5.92%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 10.37%\nC) 6.44%\nD) -5.35%", "options": ["A) 2.51%", "B) 10.37%", "C) 6.44%", "D) -5.35%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-06.)\n\nA) 11.16%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 9.07%\nD) -1.35%", "options": ["A) 11.16%", "B) 4.91%", "C) 9.07%", "D) -1.35%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 96.44\nB) 88.90\nC) 94.28\nD) 91.05", "options": ["A) 96.44", "B) 88.90", "C) 94.28", "D) 91.05"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "94.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 2.30%", "options": ["A) 0.89%", "B) 1.59%", "C) 0.18%", "D) 2.30%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 135.85\nB) 128.31\nC) 120.76\nD) 113.21", "options": ["A) 135.85", "B) 128.31", "C) 120.76", "D) 113.21"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "135.85", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) $258,729M\nB) $216,864M\nC) $188,954M\nD) $174,999M", "options": ["A) $258,729M", "B) $216,864M", "C) $188,954M", "D) $174,999M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$216,864M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) -2.56%\nC) 11.19%\nD) -9.44%", "options": ["A) 4.31%", "B) -2.56%", "C) 11.19%", "D) -9.44%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 38.95%\nB) 92.99%\nC) 79.48%\nD) 52.46%", "options": ["A) 38.95%", "B) 92.99%", "C) 79.48%", "D) 52.46%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "52.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 695K\nB) 1,157K\nC) 233K\nD) 1,003K", "options": ["A) 695K", "B) 1,157K", "C) 233K", "D) 1,003K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "695K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.13%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 9.14%\nD) -4.55%", "options": ["A) -1.13%", "B) 2.30%", "C) 9.14%", "D) -4.55%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.37%\nB) 8.66%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 6.94%", "options": ["A) 10.37%", "B) 8.66%", "C) 7.80%", "D) 6.94%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.8617\nB) 6.8681\nC) 6.7004\nD) 6.3649", "options": ["A) 5.8617", "B) 6.8681", "C) 6.7004", "D) 6.3649"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.3649", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 847K\nB) 550K\nC) 946K\nD) 1,045K", "options": ["A) 847K", "B) 550K", "C) 946K", "D) 1,045K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "847K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.58%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 2.17%", "options": ["A) 2.58%", "B) 1.76%", "C) 1.35%", "D) 2.17%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.87%\nB) -0.59%\nC) 1.64%\nD) 4.99%", "options": ["A) 3.87%", "B) -0.59%", "C) 1.64%", "D) 4.99%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) 18.82%\nB) -0.74%\nC) 3.17%\nD) 7.08%", "options": ["A) 18.82%", "B) -0.74%", "C) 3.17%", "D) 7.08%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.90%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 7.07%\nD) 8.16%", "options": ["A) 4.90%", "B) 3.81%", "C) 7.07%", "D) 8.16%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20120615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2012-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2012-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2012-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2012-06-08.)\n\nA) -2.79%\nB) 9.49%\nC) 46.33%\nD) 21.77%", "options": ["A) -2.79%", "B) 9.49%", "C) 46.33%", "D) 21.77%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 0.29%\nC) 1.41%\nD) -0.27%", "options": ["A) 2.53%", "B) 0.29%", "C) 1.41%", "D) -0.27%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 2.82%\nD) 2.04%", "options": ["A) 1.53%", "B) 2.30%", "C) 2.82%", "D) 2.04%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 228.81\nB) 234.86\nC) 243.94\nD) 219.73", "options": ["A) 228.81", "B) 234.86", "C) 243.94", "D) 219.73"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "228.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,655M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,655M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $2,400,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$2,655M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.31%\nB) 52.17%\nC) -1.62%\nD) -19.55%", "options": ["A) 16.31%", "B) 52.17%", "C) -1.62%", "D) -19.55%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 5.30%\nB) 4.40%\nC) 3.49%\nD) 2.58%", "options": ["A) 5.30%", "B) 4.40%", "C) 3.49%", "D) 2.58%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 930K\nB) 831K\nC) 632K\nD) 731K", "options": ["A) 930K", "B) 831K", "C) 632K", "D) 731K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "930K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 112.09\nB) 108.20\nC) 101.72\nD) 104.31", "options": ["A) 112.09", "B) 108.20", "C) 101.72", "D) 104.31"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "108.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.30\nB) 98.07\nC) 92.52\nD) 89.75", "options": ["A) 95.30", "B) 98.07", "C) 92.52", "D) 89.75"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "92.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.67%\nB) 6.76%\nC) -0.78%\nD) 2.99%", "options": ["A) -2.67%", "B) 6.76%", "C) -0.78%", "D) 2.99%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20120901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 1.04%\nC) 4.68%\nD) 2.86%", "options": ["A) 1.95%", "B) 1.04%", "C) 4.68%", "D) 2.86%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20120301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2012", "info_cutoff": "2012-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2012? (Use only information available on or before 2012-01-30.)\n\nA) -25.22%\nB) 10.85%\nC) -7.18%\nD) 46.92%", "options": ["A) -25.22%", "B) 10.85%", "C) -7.18%", "D) 46.92%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.0592\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.3083", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.1526", "B) 1.0592", "C) 1.2149", "D) 1.3083"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.0592\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.3083", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.1526", "B) 1.0592", "C) 1.2149", "D) 1.3083"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-5d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.0592\nD) 1.2149", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.1526", "B) 1.3083", "C) 1.0592", "D) 1.2149"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.0592\nD) 1.2149", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.1526", "B) 1.3083", "C) 1.0592", "D) 1.2149"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-10d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.2149\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.1526\nD) 1.2772", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.2149", "B) 1.3706", "C) 1.1526", "D) 1.2772"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.2149\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.1526\nD) 1.2772", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.2149", "B) 1.3706", "C) 1.1526", "D) 1.2772"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-20d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.2149\nC) 1.0904\nD) 1.3083", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.1526", "B) 1.2149", "C) 1.0904", "D) 1.3083"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1526\nB) 1.2149\nC) 1.0904\nD) 1.3083", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.1526", "B) 1.2149", "C) 1.0904", "D) 1.3083"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-40d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.0592\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.1215", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.0592", "B) 1.3083", "C) 1.2149", "D) 1.1215"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.0592\nB) 1.3083\nC) 1.2149\nD) 1.1215", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.0592", "B) 1.3083", "C) 1.2149", "D) 1.1215"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-60d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1215\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.2772\nD) 1.2149", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.1215", "B) 1.3706", "C) 1.2772", "D) 1.2149"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.1215\nB) 1.3706\nC) 1.2772\nD) 1.2149", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.1215", "B) 1.3706", "C) 1.2772", "D) 1.2149"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.2149", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20120726-120d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 9.26\nC) 28.66\nD) 25.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 18.96", "B) 9.26", "C) 28.66", "D) 25.43"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 9.26\nC) 28.66\nD) 25.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 18.96", "B) 9.26", "C) 28.66", "D) 25.43"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-5d-max", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 12.49\nB) 18.96\nC) 9.26\nD) 22.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 12.49", "B) 18.96", "C) 9.26", "D) 22.19"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 12.49\nB) 18.96\nC) 9.26\nD) 22.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 12.49", "B) 18.96", "C) 9.26", "D) 22.19"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-10d-max", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 25.43\nB) 9.26\nC) 18.96\nD) 22.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 25.43", "B) 9.26", "C) 18.96", "D) 22.19"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 25.43\nB) 9.26\nC) 18.96\nD) 22.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 25.43", "B) 9.26", "C) 18.96", "D) 22.19"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-20d-max", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 9.26\nB) 12.49\nC) 25.43\nD) 18.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 9.26", "B) 12.49", "C) 25.43", "D) 18.96"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 9.26\nB) 12.49\nC) 25.43\nD) 18.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 9.26", "B) 12.49", "C) 25.43", "D) 18.96"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-40d-max", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 15.73\nC) 28.66\nD) 12.49", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 18.96", "B) 15.73", "C) 28.66", "D) 12.49"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 18.96\nB) 15.73\nC) 28.66\nD) 12.49", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 18.96", "B) 15.73", "C) 28.66", "D) 12.49"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-60d-max", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 13.02\nB) 22.72\nC) 16.25\nD) 25.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 13.02", "B) 22.72", "C) 16.25", "D) 25.95"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.72", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 13.02\nB) 22.72\nC) 16.25\nD) 25.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 13.02", "B) 22.72", "C) 16.25", "D) 25.95"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.72", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20120726-120d-max", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 2.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 0.88%", "B) 2.45%", "C) 1.51%", "D) 2.14%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 2.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 0.88%", "B) 2.45%", "C) 1.51%", "D) 2.14%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-5d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.51%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.20%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 1.82%", "D) 1.51%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.51%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.20%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 1.82%", "D) 1.51%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-10d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 0.88%\nD) 1.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.51%", "B) 2.14%", "C) 0.88%", "D) 1.20%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 0.88%\nD) 1.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.51%", "B) 2.14%", "C) 0.88%", "D) 1.20%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-20d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.51%\nC) 2.14%\nD) 1.82%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.20%", "B) 1.51%", "C) 2.14%", "D) 1.82%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.51%\nC) 2.14%\nD) 1.82%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 1.20%", "B) 1.51%", "C) 2.14%", "D) 1.82%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-40d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 1.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 0.57%", "B) 0.88%", "C) 1.51%", "D) 1.20%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 0.88%\nC) 1.51%\nD) 1.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 0.57%", "B) 0.88%", "C) 1.51%", "D) 1.20%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-60d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 1.82%\nC) 2.45%\nD) 1.51%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 0.88%", "B) 1.82%", "C) 2.45%", "D) 1.51%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech\" on 2012-07-26, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2012-07-26? (Use only information available on or before 2012-07-25.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 1.82%\nC) 2.45%\nD) 1.51%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2012-07-26", "info_cutoff": "2012-07-25", "options": ["A) 0.88%", "B) 1.82%", "C) 2.45%", "D) 1.51%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Draghi 'whatever it takes' speech", "event_date": "2012-07-26", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20120726-120d-min", "year": 2012} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.88%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 0.65%", "options": ["A) 1.88%", "B) 1.06%", "C) 3.12%", "D) 0.65%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $2,935M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $2,935M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$2,935M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $204,111M\nB) $244,218M\nC) $217,480M\nD) $190,742M", "options": ["A) $204,111M", "B) $244,218M", "C) $217,480M", "D) $190,742M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$217,480M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,092K\nB) 780K\nC) 858K\nD) 936K", "options": ["A) 1,092K", "B) 780K", "C) 858K", "D) 936K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "936K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,996,000\nB) 3,985,263\nC) 3,490,631\nD) 4,479,894", "options": ["A) 2,996,000", "B) 3,985,263", "C) 3,490,631", "D) 4,479,894"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,996,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 10.61%\nC) 16.87%\nD) 20.01%", "options": ["A) 4.35%", "B) 10.61%", "C) 16.87%", "D) 20.01%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.74\nB) 101.97\nC) 108.90\nD) 113.06", "options": ["A) 104.74", "B) 101.97", "C) 108.90", "D) 113.06"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "108.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) +8.87pp\nB) -2.43pp\nC) -8.08pp\nD) +0.39pp", "options": ["A) +8.87pp", "B) -2.43pp", "C) -8.08pp", "D) +0.39pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.39pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) -5.90pp\nC) +9.40pp\nD) +4.30pp", "options": ["A) -0.80pp", "B) -5.90pp", "C) +9.40pp", "D) +4.30pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.60pp\nB) +1.85pp\nC) +1.10pp\nD) +1.60pp", "options": ["A) +2.60pp", "B) +1.85pp", "C) +1.10pp", "D) +1.60pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+1.85pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $438,003M\nB) $396,065M\nC) $410,044M\nD) $451,982M", "options": ["A) $438,003M", "B) $396,065M", "C) $410,044M", "D) $451,982M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$410,044M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 393,816\nB) 434,632\nC) 312,184\nD) 353,000", "options": ["A) 393,816", "B) 434,632", "C) 312,184", "D) 353,000"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "353,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 147.95\nB) 134.35\nC) 143.42\nD) 157.02", "options": ["A) 147.95", "B) 134.35", "C) 143.42", "D) 157.02"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "147.95", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -13.16%\nB) 16.13%\nC) 30.78%\nD) 60.07%", "options": ["A) -13.16%", "B) 16.13%", "C) 30.78%", "D) 60.07%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $3,487M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $3,487M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$3,487M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 242.71\nB) 221.35\nC) 229.36\nD) 234.70", "options": ["A) 242.71", "B) 221.35", "C) 229.36", "D) 234.70"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "234.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $65,898M\nB) $76,016M\nC) $55,780M\nD) $69,271M", "options": ["A) $65,898M", "B) $76,016M", "C) $55,780M", "D) $69,271M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$65,898M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.80\nB) 77.50\nC) 81.20\nD) 66.39", "options": ["A) 73.80", "B) 77.50", "C) 81.20", "D) 66.39"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "77.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.04%\nB) 2.46%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 1.28%", "options": ["A) 1.04%", "B) 2.46%", "C) 1.75%", "D) 1.28%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.87%\nB) -0.83%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 1.45%", "options": ["A) 4.87%", "B) -0.83%", "C) 2.59%", "D) 1.45%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.53%\nB) 0.95%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 2.11%", "options": ["A) 1.53%", "B) 0.95%", "C) 1.34%", "D) 2.11%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,726B\nB) $10,862B\nC) $9,998B\nD) $11,294B", "options": ["A) $11,726B", "B) $10,862B", "C) $9,998B", "D) $11,294B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$10,862B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.87%\nB) 69.21%\nC) 34.38%\nD) 86.62%", "options": ["A) -17.87%", "B) 69.21%", "C) 34.38%", "D) 86.62%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "34.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 104.45\nB) 93.73\nC) 95.87\nD) 100.16", "options": ["A) 104.45", "B) 93.73", "C) 95.87", "D) 100.16"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "100.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.40pp\nB) -0.12pp\nC) -0.26pp\nD) -0.82pp", "options": ["A) -0.40pp", "B) -0.12pp", "C) -0.26pp", "D) -0.82pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.77%\nB) -0.24%\nC) 10.28%\nD) 3.26%", "options": ["A) -10.77%", "B) -0.24%", "C) 10.28%", "D) 3.26%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 129,980K\nB) 134,085K\nC) 136,821K\nD) 140,926K", "options": ["A) 129,980K", "B) 134,085K", "C) 136,821K", "D) 140,926K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "136,821K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.04%\nB) 65.10%\nC) 61.94%\nD) 63.20%", "options": ["A) 60.04%", "B) 65.10%", "C) 61.94%", "D) 63.20%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "63.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 1.03%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 1.93%", "options": ["A) 1.48%", "B) 1.03%", "C) 1.70%", "D) 1.93%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 15.94%\nB) -5.17%\nC) -12.21%\nD) -26.28%", "options": ["A) 15.94%", "B) -5.17%", "C) -12.21%", "D) -26.28%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-5.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.36\nB) 115.18\nC) 109.30\nD) 112.24", "options": ["A) 106.36", "B) 115.18", "C) 109.30", "D) 112.24"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "109.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.86%\nB) -9.47%\nC) 5.20%\nD) -2.14%", "options": ["A) 8.86%", "B) -9.47%", "C) 5.20%", "D) -2.14%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.21%\nB) 73.49%\nC) 79.07%\nD) 75.35%", "options": ["A) 77.21%", "B) 73.49%", "C) 79.07%", "D) 75.35%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "77.21%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,803B\nB) $10,584B\nC) $9,771B\nD) $9,364B", "options": ["A) $11,803B", "B) $10,584B", "C) $9,771B", "D) $9,364B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$10,584B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -28.30%\nB) 29.00%\nC) 0.35%\nD) -42.62%", "options": ["A) -28.30%", "B) 29.00%", "C) 0.35%", "D) -42.62%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 988K\nB) 642K\nC) 919K\nD) 850K", "options": ["A) 988K", "B) 642K", "C) 919K", "D) 850K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "850K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 95.49\nB) 89.76\nC) 93.20\nD) 98.92", "options": ["A) 95.49", "B) 89.76", "C) 93.20", "D) 98.92"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "95.49", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,088K\nB) 1,010K\nC) 1,166K\nD) 854K", "options": ["A) 1,088K", "B) 1,010K", "C) 1,166K", "D) 854K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,010K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 0.82%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 3.11%", "options": ["A) 1.97%", "B) 0.82%", "C) 1.40%", "D) 3.11%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.02%\nB) 1.72%\nC) 2.89%\nD) 1.14%", "options": ["A) -0.02%", "B) 1.72%", "C) 2.89%", "D) 1.14%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) $105.10/bbl\nB) $129.45/bbl\nC) $92.92/bbl\nD) $68.57/bbl", "options": ["A) $105.10/bbl", "B) $129.45/bbl", "C) $92.92/bbl", "D) $68.57/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$105.10/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $20.78/hr\nB) $20.23/hr\nC) $19.40/hr\nD) $18.84/hr", "options": ["A) $20.78/hr", "B) $20.23/hr", "C) $19.40/hr", "D) $18.84/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$20.23/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 0.29%\nD) 0.01%", "options": ["A) 0.86%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 0.29%", "D) 0.01%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 75.18%\nB) 55.69%\nC) -41.78%\nD) 16.70%", "options": ["A) 75.18%", "B) 55.69%", "C) -41.78%", "D) 16.70%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.42%\nB) 44.77%\nC) 56.95%\nD) -3.94%", "options": ["A) 20.42%", "B) 44.77%", "C) 56.95%", "D) -3.94%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.43%\nB) 1.04%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 0.26%", "options": ["A) 1.43%", "B) 1.04%", "C) 1.82%", "D) 0.26%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 139,760K\nB) 131,618K\nC) 135,689K\nD) 145,187K", "options": ["A) 139,760K", "B) 131,618K", "C) 135,689K", "D) 145,187K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "135,689K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -4.07%\nB) -8.05%\nC) -12.03%\nD) -0.10%", "options": ["A) -4.07%", "B) -8.05%", "C) -12.03%", "D) -0.10%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.50%\nB) 82.56%\nC) 79.19%\nD) 74.14%", "options": ["A) 77.50%", "B) 82.56%", "C) 79.19%", "D) 74.14%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "77.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.17pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.83pp\nD) +0.00pp", "options": ["A) -0.17pp", "B) -0.50pp", "C) -0.83pp", "D) +0.00pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.46%\nB) 56.94%\nC) 58.70%\nD) 62.81%", "options": ["A) 60.46%", "B) 56.94%", "C) 58.70%", "D) 62.81%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "58.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,079K\nB) 1,228K\nC) 929K\nD) 1,004K", "options": ["A) 1,079K", "B) 1,228K", "C) 929K", "D) 1,004K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,004K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.41%\nB) 4.78%\nC) 6.09%\nD) 8.72%", "options": ["A) 7.41%", "B) 4.78%", "C) 6.09%", "D) 8.72%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $-24,883M\nB) $-34,314M\nC) $-43,745M\nD) $-39,030M", "options": ["A) $-24,883M", "B) $-34,314M", "C) $-43,745M", "D) $-39,030M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-34,314M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $20.91/hr\nB) $19.11/hr\nC) $20.01/hr\nD) $18.51/hr", "options": ["A) $20.91/hr", "B) $19.11/hr", "C) $20.01/hr", "D) $18.51/hr"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$20.01/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) $9,448B\nB) $10,179B\nC) $9,010B\nD) $9,741B", "options": ["A) $9,448B", "B) $10,179B", "C) $9,010B", "D) $9,741B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$9,741B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.09%\nB) -0.37%\nC) 0.36%\nD) 1.83%", "options": ["A) 1.09%", "B) -0.37%", "C) 0.36%", "D) 1.83%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,573B\nB) $12,272B\nC) $11,671B\nD) $13,173B", "options": ["A) $12,573B", "B) $12,272B", "C) $11,671B", "D) $13,173B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$12,272B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.77\nB) 93.45\nC) 95.98\nD) 89.66", "options": ["A) 99.77", "B) 93.45", "C) 95.98", "D) 89.66"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "95.98", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $210,369M\nB) $251,055M\nC) $223,931M\nD) $237,493M", "options": ["A) $210,369M", "B) $251,055M", "C) $223,931M", "D) $237,493M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$237,493M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.02pp\nB) -7.44pp\nC) +3.84pp\nD) -1.80pp", "options": ["A) +1.02pp", "B) -7.44pp", "C) +3.84pp", "D) -1.80pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+1.02pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 2.41%\nD) 1.36%", "options": ["A) 1.63%", "B) 1.89%", "C) 2.41%", "D) 1.36%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) +22.08pp\nB) +8.96pp\nC) +2.40pp\nD) -17.28pp", "options": ["A) +22.08pp", "B) +8.96pp", "C) +2.40pp", "D) -17.28pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+2.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 85.5872\nB) 107.4692\nC) 89.9636\nD) 94.3400", "options": ["A) 85.5872", "B) 107.4692", "C) 89.9636", "D) 94.3400"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "94.3400", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 204.00\nB) 197.92\nC) 210.08\nD) 222.23", "options": ["A) 204.00", "B) 197.92", "C) 210.08", "D) 222.23"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "204.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.02%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 0.43%", "options": ["A) 1.60%", "B) 1.02%", "C) 2.19%", "D) 0.43%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.54pp\nB) +0.14pp\nC) -0.70pp\nD) +0.98pp", "options": ["A) -1.54pp", "B) +0.14pp", "C) -0.70pp", "D) +0.98pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.25%\nB) 6.29%\nC) -0.07%\nD) 3.11%", "options": ["A) -3.25%", "B) 6.29%", "C) -0.07%", "D) 3.11%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,446B\nB) $11,184B\nC) $12,231B\nD) $11,969B", "options": ["A) $11,446B", "B) $11,184B", "C) $12,231B", "D) $11,969B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$11,446B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.59pp\nB) +0.00pp\nC) +1.77pp\nD) -1.77pp", "options": ["A) -0.59pp", "B) +0.00pp", "C) +1.77pp", "D) -1.77pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 184.92\nB) 210.23\nC) 203.90\nD) 197.57", "options": ["A) 184.92", "B) 210.23", "C) 203.90", "D) 197.57"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "203.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.7598\nB) 6.0070\nC) 6.5014\nD) 6.1306", "options": ["A) 5.7598", "B) 6.0070", "C) 6.5014", "D) 6.1306"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.1306", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $66,459M\nB) $56,369M\nC) $69,822M\nD) $63,096M", "options": ["A) $66,459M", "B) $56,369M", "C) $69,822M", "D) $63,096M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$66,459M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.15%\nB) 5.30%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 5.88%", "options": ["A) 4.15%", "B) 5.30%", "C) 3.57%", "D) 5.88%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.73%\nB) -3.73%\nC) -0.38%\nD) 1.85%", "options": ["A) 0.73%", "B) -3.73%", "C) -0.38%", "D) 1.85%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.53%\nB) 16.97%\nC) 26.42%\nD) -1.92%", "options": ["A) 7.53%", "B) 16.97%", "C) 26.42%", "D) -1.92%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.3330\nB) 1.5321\nC) 1.2135\nD) 1.4127", "options": ["A) 1.3330", "B) 1.5321", "C) 1.2135", "D) 1.4127"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.3330", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 243.92\nB) 233.54\nC) 216.25\nD) 226.63", "options": ["A) 243.92", "B) 233.54", "C) 216.25", "D) 226.63"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "233.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.67%\nB) 88.35%\nC) 45.32%\nD) 74.01%", "options": ["A) 59.67%", "B) 88.35%", "C) 45.32%", "D) 74.01%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "45.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 66.47%\nB) 61.40%\nC) 64.57%\nD) 63.30%", "options": ["A) 66.47%", "B) 61.40%", "C) 64.57%", "D) 63.30%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "63.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 0.77%\nD) 7.08%", "options": ["A) 3.92%", "B) 2.35%", "C) 0.77%", "D) 7.08%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.99%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 9.70%\nD) -0.57%", "options": ["A) -3.99%", "B) 2.85%", "C) 9.70%", "D) -0.57%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 12.66%\nC) 3.18%\nD) -3.14%", "options": ["A) 6.34%", "B) 12.66%", "C) 3.18%", "D) -3.14%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) $126.67/bbl\nB) $107.44/bbl\nC) $78.60/bbl\nD) $97.83/bbl", "options": ["A) $126.67/bbl", "B) $107.44/bbl", "C) $78.60/bbl", "D) $97.83/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$97.83/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) -1.71pp\nC) +0.57pp\nD) +1.14pp", "options": ["A) +0.00pp", "B) -1.71pp", "C) +0.57pp", "D) +1.14pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 89.35\nB) 94.54\nC) 97.66\nD) 92.47", "options": ["A) 89.35", "B) 94.54", "C) 97.66", "D) 92.47"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "94.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 240.42\nB) 245.51\nC) 232.79\nD) 225.17", "options": ["A) 240.42", "B) 245.51", "C) 232.79", "D) 225.17"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "232.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 3,678.08\nB) 3,932.61\nC) 2,914.51\nD) 3,423.56", "options": ["A) 3,678.08", "B) 3,932.61", "C) 2,914.51", "D) 3,423.56"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,423.56", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 3.59%\nC) 10.16%\nD) 7.53%", "options": ["A) 6.22%", "B) 3.59%", "C) 10.16%", "D) 7.53%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 3.07%\nC) 6.65%\nD) 5.46%", "options": ["A) 1.87%", "B) 3.07%", "C) 6.65%", "D) 5.46%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.17\nB) 85.46\nC) 78.60\nD) 82.03", "options": ["A) 75.17", "B) 85.46", "C) 78.60", "D) 82.03"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 50.77%\nB) -20.58%\nC) -6.31%\nD) 7.96%", "options": ["A) 50.77%", "B) -20.58%", "C) -6.31%", "D) 7.96%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) +0.27pp\nC) +2.00pp\nD) +1.13pp", "options": ["A) -0.60pp", "B) +0.27pp", "C) +2.00pp", "D) +1.13pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.08%\nB) 0.94%\nC) -0.19%\nD) -2.47%", "options": ["A) 2.08%", "B) 0.94%", "C) -0.19%", "D) -2.47%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 0.44%\nC) 0.05%\nD) 0.25%", "options": ["A) 0.64%", "B) 0.44%", "C) 0.05%", "D) 0.25%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 5.21%\nD) 3.98%", "options": ["A) 4.39%", "B) 2.75%", "C) 5.21%", "D) 3.98%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $406,223M\nB) $441,778M\nC) $382,520M\nD) $429,926M", "options": ["A) $406,223M", "B) $441,778M", "C) $382,520M", "D) $429,926M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$406,223M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 25.27%\nB) 4.13%\nC) 11.18%\nD) 18.22%", "options": ["A) 25.27%", "B) 4.13%", "C) 11.18%", "D) 18.22%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,970B\nB) $10,837B\nC) $11,290B\nD) $11,743B", "options": ["A) $11,970B", "B) $10,837B", "C) $11,290B", "D) $11,743B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$11,290B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.24%\nB) 7.68%\nC) 8.16%\nD) 7.20%", "options": ["A) 6.24%", "B) 7.68%", "C) 8.16%", "D) 7.20%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.96%\nB) -10.80%\nC) 48.48%\nD) 68.24%", "options": ["A) 8.96%", "B) -10.80%", "C) 48.48%", "D) 68.24%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 150.16\nB) 159.66\nC) 175.50\nD) 169.17", "options": ["A) 150.16", "B) 159.66", "C) 175.50", "D) 169.17"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "159.66", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 55.61%\nB) 60.66%\nC) 58.50%\nD) 57.06%", "options": ["A) 55.61%", "B) 60.66%", "C) 58.50%", "D) 57.06%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "58.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 1.52%", "options": ["A) 0.65%", "B) 2.39%", "C) 4.13%", "D) 1.52%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 5.94%\nC) -7.70%\nD) -4.29%", "options": ["A) 2.53%", "B) 5.94%", "C) -7.70%", "D) -4.29%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.70%\nB) 8.90%\nC) 11.30%\nD) 6.51%", "options": ["A) 13.70%", "B) 8.90%", "C) 11.30%", "D) 6.51%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $-36,541M\nB) $-29,789M\nC) $-39,917M\nD) $-46,669M", "options": ["A) $-36,541M", "B) $-29,789M", "C) $-39,917M", "D) $-46,669M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-39,917M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 34.38\nB) 5.66\nC) 22.89\nD) 17.15", "options": ["A) 34.38", "B) 5.66", "C) 22.89", "D) 17.15"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.15", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.50%\nB) 6.80%\nC) 8.20%\nD) 5.41%", "options": ["A) 7.50%", "B) 6.80%", "C) 8.20%", "D) 5.41%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.18%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.57%\nD) 2.92%", "options": ["A) 1.18%", "B) 2.22%", "C) 2.57%", "D) 2.92%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.97%\nB) 4.08%\nC) 4.80%\nD) 6.25%", "options": ["A) 6.97%", "B) 4.08%", "C) 4.80%", "D) 6.25%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 0.20%\nC) 0.45%\nD) 0.08%", "options": ["A) 0.32%", "B) 0.20%", "C) 0.45%", "D) 0.08%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.69%\nB) -1.03%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 6.42%", "options": ["A) 2.69%", "B) -1.03%", "C) 1.45%", "D) 6.42%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 92.45\nB) 99.19\nC) 105.94\nD) 103.69", "options": ["A) 92.45", "B) 99.19", "C) 105.94", "D) 103.69"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "99.19", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 3.96%\nC) 3.28%\nD) 2.94%", "options": ["A) 4.30%", "B) 3.96%", "C) 3.28%", "D) 2.94%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.81\nB) 98.76\nC) 91.94\nD) 93.89", "options": ["A) 96.81", "B) 98.76", "C) 91.94", "D) 93.89"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "93.89", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,503B\nB) $12,809B\nC) $11,585B\nD) $13,421B", "options": ["A) $12,503B", "B) $12,809B", "C) $11,585B", "D) $13,421B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$12,503B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 1.75%\nD) 3.32%", "options": ["A) 2.53%", "B) 2.14%", "C) 1.75%", "D) 3.32%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 238.53\nB) 222.90\nC) 232.28\nD) 247.91", "options": ["A) 238.53", "B) 222.90", "C) 232.28", "D) 247.91"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "232.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.29%\nB) -0.74%\nC) 0.61%\nD) 1.28%", "options": ["A) 3.29%", "B) -0.74%", "C) 0.61%", "D) 1.28%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.51%\nB) -18.92%\nC) 37.94%\nD) -9.44%", "options": ["A) 9.51%", "B) -18.92%", "C) 37.94%", "D) -9.44%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) -25.38%\nB) 10.54%\nC) 28.50%\nD) 64.41%", "options": ["A) -25.38%", "B) 10.54%", "C) 28.50%", "D) 64.41%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20130301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.50%\nB) 1.22%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 0.86%", "options": ["A) 0.50%", "B) 1.22%", "C) 0.14%", "D) 0.86%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20130901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2013", "info_cutoff": "2013-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2013? (Use only information available on or before 2013-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 4.09%\nC) -0.66%\nD) 1.71%", "options": ["A) 0.52%", "B) 4.09%", "C) -0.66%", "D) 1.71%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20130615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2013-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2013-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2013-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2013-06-08.)\n\nA) 92.19\nB) 90.18\nC) 98.20\nD) 96.20", "options": ["A) 92.19", "B) 90.18", "C) 98.20", "D) 96.20"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "92.19", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 2.74%\nD) 2.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 1.76%", "B) 2.15%", "C) 2.74%", "D) 2.35%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.15%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-5d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 2.15%\nC) 2.74%\nD) 2.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 1.76%", "B) 2.15%", "C) 2.74%", "D) 2.35%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.15%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-5d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 2.36%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 2.75%", "B) 1.96%", "C) 2.16%", "D) 2.36%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-10d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.75%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 2.36%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 2.75%", "B) 1.96%", "C) 2.16%", "D) 2.36%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-10d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 2.41%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 2.61%", "B) 2.21%", "C) 1.82%", "D) 2.41%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-20d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 2.41%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 2.61%", "B) 2.21%", "C) 1.82%", "D) 2.41%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.41%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-20d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 2.53%\nD) 3.32%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 2.73%", "B) 2.93%", "C) 2.53%", "D) 3.32%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.73%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-40d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 2.53%\nD) 3.32%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 2.73%", "B) 2.93%", "C) 2.53%", "D) 3.32%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.73%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-40d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 2.45%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 3.43%", "B) 2.84%", "C) 2.64%", "D) 2.45%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.84%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-60d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 2.64%\nD) 2.45%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 3.43%", "B) 2.84%", "C) 2.64%", "D) 2.45%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.84%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-60d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20130522-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 3.57%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.59%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 2.78%", "B) 3.57%", "C) 2.98%", "D) 2.59%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.98%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-120d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20130522-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 3.57%\nC) 2.98%\nD) 2.59%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 2.78%", "B) 3.57%", "C) 2.98%", "D) 2.59%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.98%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20130522-120d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.43%\nB) 0.22%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 0.31%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 0.43%", "B) 0.22%", "C) 0.37%", "D) 0.31%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.31%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-5d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.43%\nB) 0.22%\nC) 0.37%\nD) 0.31%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 0.43%", "B) 0.22%", "C) 0.37%", "D) 0.31%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.31%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-5d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.26%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 0.32%", "B) 0.47%", "C) 0.38%", "D) 0.26%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.32%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-10d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.32%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.38%\nD) 0.26%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 0.32%", "B) 0.47%", "C) 0.38%", "D) 0.26%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.32%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-10d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.40%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.25%\nD) 0.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 0.40%", "B) 0.34%", "C) 0.25%", "D) 0.49%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-20d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.40%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.25%\nD) 0.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 0.40%", "B) 0.34%", "C) 0.25%", "D) 0.49%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-20d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.37%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 0.37%", "B) 0.58%", "C) 0.43%", "D) 0.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.43%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-40d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.37%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 0.37%", "B) 0.58%", "C) 0.43%", "D) 0.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.43%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-40d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 0.43%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 0.52%", "B) 0.34%", "C) 0.58%", "D) 0.43%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.43%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-60d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 0.43%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 0.52%", "B) 0.34%", "C) 0.58%", "D) 0.43%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.43%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-60d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20130522-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.64%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 0.52%", "B) 0.58%", "C) 0.43%", "D) 0.64%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-120d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20130522-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 0.64%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 0.52%", "B) 0.58%", "C) 0.43%", "D) 0.64%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20130522-120d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 3.45%\nD) 3.63%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", "options": ["A) 3.99%", "B) 3.81%", "C) 3.45%", "D) 3.63%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.81%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) 3.81%\nC) 3.45%\nD) 3.63%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", "options": ["A) 3.99%", "B) 3.81%", "C) 3.45%", "D) 3.63%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.81%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-5d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 4.45%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", "options": ["A) 3.37%", "B) 4.27%", "C) 3.91%", "D) 4.45%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.91%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.27%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 4.45%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", "options": ["A) 3.37%", "B) 4.27%", "C) 3.91%", "D) 4.45%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.91%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-10d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 4.34%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 3.98%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", "options": ["A) 3.62%", "B) 4.34%", "C) 3.80%", "D) 3.98%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.98%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 3.62%\nB) 4.34%\nC) 3.80%\nD) 3.98%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", "options": ["A) 3.62%", "B) 4.34%", "C) 3.80%", "D) 3.98%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.98%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-20d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 4.69%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", "options": ["A) 4.51%", "B) 4.15%", "C) 4.33%", "D) 4.69%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.51%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 4.69%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", "options": ["A) 4.51%", "B) 4.15%", "C) 4.33%", "D) 4.69%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.51%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-40d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.76%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 5.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", "options": ["A) 4.76%", "B) 4.58%", "C) 4.40%", "D) 5.12%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.76%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 5.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", "options": ["A) 4.76%", "B) 4.58%", "C) 4.40%", "D) 5.12%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-60d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 4.04%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.22%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", "options": ["A) 4.40%", "B) 4.04%", "C) 4.58%", "D) 4.22%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-16.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 4.04%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.22%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-16", "options": ["A) 4.40%", "B) 4.04%", "C) 4.58%", "D) 4.22%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20130522-120d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 11.16\nB) 25.85\nC) 7.48\nD) 14.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 11.16", "B) 25.85", "C) 7.48", "D) 14.83"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 11.16\nB) 25.85\nC) 7.48\nD) 14.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 11.16", "B) 25.85", "C) 7.48", "D) 14.83"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-5d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 17.50\nB) 28.52\nC) 10.15\nD) 6.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 17.50", "B) 28.52", "C) 10.15", "D) 6.48"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.50", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 17.50\nB) 28.52\nC) 10.15\nD) 6.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 17.50", "B) 28.52", "C) 10.15", "D) 6.48"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.50", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-10d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 24.16\nB) 20.49\nC) 27.84\nD) 13.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 24.16", "B) 20.49", "C) 27.84", "D) 13.14"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.49", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 24.16\nB) 20.49\nC) 27.84\nD) 13.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 24.16", "B) 20.49", "C) 27.84", "D) 13.14"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.49", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-20d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 13.14\nB) 31.51\nC) 20.49\nD) 27.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 13.14", "B) 31.51", "C) 20.49", "D) 27.84"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.49", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 13.14\nB) 31.51\nC) 20.49\nD) 27.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 13.14", "B) 31.51", "C) 20.49", "D) 27.84"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.49", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-40d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 27.84\nB) 31.51\nC) 24.16\nD) 20.49", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 27.84", "B) 31.51", "C) 24.16", "D) 20.49"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.49", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 27.84\nB) 31.51\nC) 24.16\nD) 20.49", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 27.84", "B) 31.51", "C) 24.16", "D) 20.49"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.49", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-60d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 20.49\nB) 27.84\nC) 13.14\nD) 16.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 20.49", "B) 27.84", "C) 13.14", "D) 16.82"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.49", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Taper Tantrum\" on 2013-05-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2013-05-22? (Use only information available on or before 2013-05-21.)\n\nA) 20.49\nB) 27.84\nC) 13.14\nD) 16.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2013-05-22", "info_cutoff": "2013-05-21", "options": ["A) 20.49", "B) 27.84", "C) 13.14", "D) 16.82"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.49", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Taper Tantrum", "event_date": "2013-05-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20130522-120d-max", "year": 2013} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 83.59%\nB) 78.46%\nC) 81.88%\nD) 75.05%", "options": ["A) 83.59%", "B) 78.46%", "C) 81.88%", "D) 75.05%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.4545\nB) 1.2289\nC) 1.3578\nD) 1.2933", "options": ["A) 1.4545", "B) 1.2289", "C) 1.3578", "D) 1.2933"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.3578", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.60\nB) 95.00\nC) 97.30\nD) 101.89", "options": ["A) 99.60", "B) 95.00", "C) 97.30", "D) 101.89"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.89", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 1.13%\nD) 3.75%", "options": ["A) 2.00%", "B) 4.62%", "C) 1.13%", "D) 3.75%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.47%\nB) 2.72%\nC) -0.37%\nD) 5.82%", "options": ["A) -3.47%", "B) 2.72%", "C) -0.37%", "D) 5.82%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.53pp\nB) -0.02pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) -0.27pp", "options": ["A) -0.53pp", "B) -0.02pp", "C) -0.40pp", "D) -0.27pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 2.76%\nC) -0.02%\nD) 1.65%", "options": ["A) 0.54%", "B) 2.76%", "C) -0.02%", "D) 1.65%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) $10,176B\nB) $9,570B\nC) $10,782B\nD) $9,167B", "options": ["A) $10,176B", "B) $9,570B", "C) $10,782B", "D) $9,167B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$10,176B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.33pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.59pp\nD) -0.07pp", "options": ["A) -0.33pp", "B) -0.20pp", "C) -0.59pp", "D) -0.07pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.17%\nB) -1.78%\nC) 3.69%\nD) -4.52%", "options": ["A) 9.17%", "B) -1.78%", "C) 3.69%", "D) -4.52%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) $96.44/bbl\nB) $138.90/bbl\nC) $130.40/bbl\nD) $113.42/bbl", "options": ["A) $96.44/bbl", "B) $138.90/bbl", "C) $130.40/bbl", "D) $113.42/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$113.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $421,230M\nB) $435,655M\nC) $377,955M\nD) $450,080M", "options": ["A) $421,230M", "B) $435,655M", "C) $377,955M", "D) $450,080M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$421,230M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.59%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 7.56%\nD) 8.88%", "options": ["A) 3.59%", "B) 4.91%", "C) 7.56%", "D) 8.88%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,065,687\nB) 1,653,627\nC) 2,595,000\nD) 4,007,060", "options": ["A) 3,065,687", "B) 1,653,627", "C) 2,595,000", "D) 4,007,060"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,595,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.45%", "options": ["A) 2.00%", "B) 1.63%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 1.45%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) -1.39%\nC) 3.67%\nD) 6.20%", "options": ["A) 1.14%", "B) -1.39%", "C) 3.67%", "D) 6.20%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.73%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 6.48%", "options": ["A) 4.73%", "B) 5.90%", "C) 4.15%", "D) 6.48%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.88pp\nB) +6.38pp\nC) +1.25pp\nD) -6.45pp", "options": ["A) -3.88pp", "B) +6.38pp", "C) +1.25pp", "D) -6.45pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.25pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 3.66%\nC) 8.44%\nD) 6.05%", "options": ["A) 2.46%", "B) 3.66%", "C) 8.44%", "D) 6.05%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.00%\nB) 38.58%\nC) 50.87%\nD) -22.88%", "options": ["A) 14.00%", "B) 38.58%", "C) 50.87%", "D) -22.88%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.92%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 3.65%", "options": ["A) 3.92%", "B) 4.20%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 3.65%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) 6.77%\nC) 4.29%\nD) 0.57%", "options": ["A) 1.81%", "B) 6.77%", "C) 4.29%", "D) 0.57%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.32%\nB) 1.53%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 2.13%", "options": ["A) 2.32%", "B) 1.53%", "C) 2.52%", "D) 2.13%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) 0.16%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 0.23%", "options": ["A) 0.08%", "B) 0.16%", "C) 0.03%", "D) 0.23%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.77%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 7.21%\nD) 1.46%", "options": ["A) 5.77%", "B) 2.90%", "C) 7.21%", "D) 1.46%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.18%\nB) 5.35%\nC) 4.77%\nD) 6.52%", "options": ["A) 4.18%", "B) 5.35%", "C) 4.77%", "D) 6.52%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 131,086K\nB) 142,125K\nC) 135,225K\nD) 137,985K", "options": ["A) 131,086K", "B) 142,125K", "C) 135,225K", "D) 137,985K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "137,985K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.90%\nB) 52.21%\nC) -4.20%\nD) 24.01%", "options": ["A) 9.90%", "B) 52.21%", "C) -4.20%", "D) 24.01%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $-34,146M\nB) $-42,940M\nC) $-45,871M\nD) $-37,078M", "options": ["A) $-34,146M", "B) $-42,940M", "C) $-45,871M", "D) $-37,078M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-42,940M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $20.11/hr\nB) $19.56/hr\nC) $20.66/hr\nD) $21.21/hr", "options": ["A) $20.11/hr", "B) $19.56/hr", "C) $20.66/hr", "D) $21.21/hr"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$20.66/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 107.65\nB) 103.06\nC) 113.75\nD) 110.70", "options": ["A) 107.65", "B) 103.06", "C) 113.75", "D) 110.70"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "110.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.70%\nB) 5.76%\nC) 7.64%\nD) 7.17%", "options": ["A) 6.70%", "B) 5.76%", "C) 7.64%", "D) 7.17%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -9.09%\nB) 8.28%\nC) -17.77%\nD) 25.65%", "options": ["A) -9.09%", "B) 8.28%", "C) -17.77%", "D) 25.65%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.19%\nB) -11.81%\nC) -0.58%\nD) 5.03%", "options": ["A) -6.19%", "B) -11.81%", "C) -0.58%", "D) 5.03%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 231.06\nB) 242.19\nC) 247.75\nD) 236.62", "options": ["A) 231.06", "B) 242.19", "C) 247.75", "D) 236.62"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "236.62", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 59.10%\nB) 57.33%\nC) 60.87%\nD) 54.96%", "options": ["A) 59.10%", "B) 57.33%", "C) 60.87%", "D) 54.96%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "59.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 146,913K\nB) 139,563K\nC) 142,503K\nD) 135,153K", "options": ["A) 146,913K", "B) 139,563K", "C) 142,503K", "D) 135,153K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "139,563K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.25%\nB) 15.56%\nC) 8.94%\nD) -0.99%", "options": ["A) 12.25%", "B) 15.56%", "C) 8.94%", "D) -0.99%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 280,466\nB) 246,932\nC) 347,534\nD) 314,000", "options": ["A) 280,466", "B) 246,932", "C) 347,534", "D) 314,000"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "314,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $3,886M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $3,886M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$3,886M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $223,626M\nB) $236,112M\nC) $198,653M\nD) $248,598M", "options": ["A) $223,626M", "B) $236,112M", "C) $198,653M", "D) $248,598M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$236,112M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -15.99%\nB) 17.04%\nC) 3.82%\nD) 23.64%", "options": ["A) -15.99%", "B) 17.04%", "C) 3.82%", "D) 23.64%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 87.91\nB) 96.25\nC) 90.29\nD) 93.86", "options": ["A) 87.91", "B) 96.25", "C) 90.29", "D) 93.86"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "93.86", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 32.40%\nB) 79.95%\nC) 48.25%\nD) 16.55%", "options": ["A) 32.40%", "B) 79.95%", "C) 48.25%", "D) 16.55%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "32.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.68%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 61.54%\nD) 65.94%", "options": ["A) 64.68%", "B) 62.80%", "C) 61.54%", "D) 65.94%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "62.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.42%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 1.55%\nD) 1.82%", "options": ["A) 1.42%", "B) 1.95%", "C) 1.55%", "D) 1.82%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 92.04\nB) 89.90\nC) 98.46\nD) 95.25", "options": ["A) 92.04", "B) 89.90", "C) 98.46", "D) 95.25"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "95.25", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,137B\nB) $12,536B\nC) $14,038B\nD) $12,236B", "options": ["A) $13,137B", "B) $12,536B", "C) $14,038B", "D) $12,236B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$13,137B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 69.77\nB) 80.00\nC) 76.59\nD) 90.23", "options": ["A) 69.77", "B) 80.00", "C) 76.59", "D) 90.23"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $19.14/hr\nB) $21.32/hr\nC) $20.50/hr\nD) $19.96/hr", "options": ["A) $19.14/hr", "B) $21.32/hr", "C) $20.50/hr", "D) $19.96/hr"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$20.50/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 92.51\nB) 101.09\nC) 94.96\nD) 97.41", "options": ["A) 92.51", "B) 101.09", "C) 94.96", "D) 97.41"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "97.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.34%", "options": ["A) 3.40%", "B) 3.71%", "C) 4.03%", "D) 4.34%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 253.67\nB) 236.03\nC) 243.08\nD) 225.44", "options": ["A) 253.67", "B) 236.03", "C) 243.08", "D) 225.44"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "236.03", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 180.85\nB) 171.77\nC) 167.23\nD) 153.61", "options": ["A) 180.85", "B) 171.77", "C) 167.23", "D) 153.61"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "167.23", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 34.00%\nB) -1.75%\nC) -10.68%\nD) 16.13%", "options": ["A) 34.00%", "B) -1.75%", "C) -10.68%", "D) 16.13%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 970K\nB) 1,126K\nC) 735K\nD) 892K", "options": ["A) 970K", "B) 1,126K", "C) 735K", "D) 892K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "970K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.29%\nB) 1.74%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.42%", "options": ["A) 1.29%", "B) 1.74%", "C) 2.19%", "D) 2.42%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -11.34pp\nB) -2.85pp\nC) +1.40pp\nD) +14.14pp", "options": ["A) -11.34pp", "B) -2.85pp", "C) +1.40pp", "D) +14.14pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.19%\nB) 11.55%\nC) -1.89%\nD) 1.47%", "options": ["A) 8.19%", "B) 11.55%", "C) -1.89%", "D) 1.47%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.80pp\nB) +1.74pp\nC) +0.90pp\nD) +0.05pp", "options": ["A) -0.80pp", "B) +1.74pp", "C) +0.90pp", "D) +0.05pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.86\nB) 111.10\nC) 116.04\nD) 106.16", "options": ["A) 102.86", "B) 111.10", "C) 116.04", "D) 106.16"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "111.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,016B\nB) $13,011B\nC) $11,519B\nD) $10,027B", "options": ["A) $12,016B", "B) $13,011B", "C) $11,519B", "D) $10,027B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$11,519B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.99\nB) 96.85\nC) 109.28\nD) 103.06", "options": ["A) 100.99", "B) 96.85", "C) 109.28", "D) 103.06"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "103.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 0.29%\nD) 2.15%", "options": ["A) 1.68%", "B) 3.08%", "C) 0.29%", "D) 2.15%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,602B\nB) $11,233B\nC) $10,320B\nD) $11,689B", "options": ["A) $12,602B", "B) $11,233B", "C) $10,320B", "D) $11,689B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$11,233B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.33\nB) 18.97\nC) 12.65\nD) 22.13", "options": ["A) 6.33", "B) 18.97", "C) 12.65", "D) 22.13"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.65", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $207,451M\nB) $249,502M\nC) $193,434M\nD) $235,485M", "options": ["A) $207,451M", "B) $249,502M", "C) $193,434M", "D) $235,485M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$235,485M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 207.00\nB) 188.73\nC) 213.09\nD) 219.18", "options": ["A) 207.00", "B) 188.73", "C) 213.09", "D) 219.18"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "207.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 2.24%\nD) 2.84%", "options": ["A) 3.43%", "B) 1.65%", "C) 2.24%", "D) 2.84%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.84pp\nB) +1.29pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +1.73pp", "options": ["A) +0.84pp", "B) +1.29pp", "C) +0.40pp", "D) +1.73pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 229.94\nB) 224.04\nC) 247.64\nD) 238.79", "options": ["A) 229.94", "B) 224.04", "C) 247.64", "D) 238.79"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "238.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,321.11\nB) 5,281.92\nC) 4,641.38\nD) 4,000.84", "options": ["A) 4,321.11", "B) 5,281.92", "C) 4,641.38", "D) 4,000.84"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,321.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 3.83%\nC) 6.07%\nD) 7.19%", "options": ["A) 0.47%", "B) 3.83%", "C) 6.07%", "D) 7.19%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.72%\nB) 21.41%\nC) -3.96%\nD) 34.09%", "options": ["A) 8.72%", "B) 21.41%", "C) -3.96%", "D) 34.09%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,236K\nB) 814K\nC) 983K\nD) 1,067K", "options": ["A) 1,236K", "B) 814K", "C) 983K", "D) 1,067K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,067K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) -1.35pp\nC) +0.98pp\nD) -0.18pp", "options": ["A) +0.40pp", "B) -1.35pp", "C) +0.98pp", "D) -0.18pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) -36.74%\nB) 7.80%\nC) 37.50%\nD) -21.89%", "options": ["A) -36.74%", "B) 7.80%", "C) 37.50%", "D) -21.89%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.36%\nB) 11.36%\nC) 20.35%\nD) -6.63%", "options": ["A) 2.36%", "B) 11.36%", "C) 20.35%", "D) -6.63%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.24%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 2.97%\nD) 2.45%", "options": ["A) 3.24%", "B) 1.66%", "C) 2.97%", "D) 2.45%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 5.79%\nC) 3.44%\nD) 4.03%", "options": ["A) 5.20%", "B) 5.79%", "C) 3.44%", "D) 4.03%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.86\nB) 96.01\nC) 98.16\nD) 101.39", "options": ["A) 93.86", "B) 96.01", "C) 98.16", "D) 101.39"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "96.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $-39,492M\nB) $-43,852M\nC) $-41,672M\nD) $-48,213M", "options": ["A) $-39,492M", "B) $-43,852M", "C) $-41,672M", "D) $-48,213M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-41,672M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,109K\nB) 765K\nC) 851K\nD) 1,023K", "options": ["A) 1,109K", "B) 765K", "C) 851K", "D) 1,023K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,023K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 161.18\nB) 171.33\nC) 157.79\nD) 154.41", "options": ["A) 161.18", "B) 171.33", "C) 157.79", "D) 154.41"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "161.18", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 0.17%", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 0.09%", "C) 0.01%", "D) 0.17%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,494B\nB) $11,884B\nC) $12,798B\nD) $13,103B", "options": ["A) $12,494B", "B) $11,884B", "C) $12,798B", "D) $13,103B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$12,798B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 1.65%", "options": ["A) 1.87%", "B) 2.10%", "C) 2.32%", "D) 1.65%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,722B\nB) $11,998B\nC) $11,170B\nD) $11,446B", "options": ["A) $11,722B", "B) $11,998B", "C) $11,170B", "D) $11,446B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$11,722B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) +2.59pp\nB) +2.12pp\nC) +1.42pp\nD) +1.89pp", "options": ["A) +2.59pp", "B) +2.12pp", "C) +1.42pp", "D) +1.89pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+2.12pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.37\nB) 78.14\nC) 84.60\nD) 87.83", "options": ["A) 81.37", "B) 78.14", "C) 84.60", "D) 87.83"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "84.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.19%\nC) 0.12%\nD) 0.04%", "options": ["A) 0.29%", "B) 0.19%", "C) 0.12%", "D) 0.04%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.30pp\nB) -3.03pp\nC) -2.45pp\nD) -1.88pp", "options": ["A) -1.30pp", "B) -3.03pp", "C) -2.45pp", "D) -1.88pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.11pp\nB) +1.42pp\nC) +4.03pp\nD) +2.72pp", "options": ["A) +0.11pp", "B) +1.42pp", "C) +4.03pp", "D) +2.72pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+1.42pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 985K\nB) 801K\nC) 1,077K\nD) 893K", "options": ["A) 985K", "B) 801K", "C) 1,077K", "D) 893K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,077K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) +11.05pp\nB) -4.74pp\nC) +18.94pp\nD) +7.10pp", "options": ["A) +11.05pp", "B) -4.74pp", "C) +18.94pp", "D) +7.10pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+7.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.27%\nB) -1.02%\nC) 23.85%\nD) 32.14%", "options": ["A) 7.27%", "B) -1.02%", "C) 23.85%", "D) 32.14%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.77%\nB) 0.49%\nC) 0.35%\nD) 0.08%", "options": ["A) 0.77%", "B) 0.49%", "C) 0.35%", "D) 0.08%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 42.70%\nB) 1.50%\nC) 26.22%\nD) 9.74%", "options": ["A) 42.70%", "B) 1.50%", "C) 26.22%", "D) 9.74%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "26.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.11%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 0.41%\nD) 4.46%", "options": ["A) 3.11%", "B) 1.76%", "C) 0.41%", "D) 4.46%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.13%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 4.85%", "options": ["A) 6.13%", "B) 2.29%", "C) 3.57%", "D) 4.85%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 254.57\nB) 237.48\nC) 227.22\nD) 244.32", "options": ["A) 254.57", "B) 237.48", "C) 227.22", "D) 244.32"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "237.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $387,743M\nB) $401,892M\nC) $430,189M\nD) $472,635M", "options": ["A) $387,743M", "B) $401,892M", "C) $430,189M", "D) $472,635M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$430,189M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 103.26\nB) 94.24\nC) 100.68\nD) 96.81", "options": ["A) 103.26", "B) 94.24", "C) 100.68", "D) 96.81"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "96.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) -0.40%\nC) 0.94%\nD) 2.28%", "options": ["A) 1.61%", "B) -0.40%", "C) 0.94%", "D) 2.28%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.53%\nB) 1.50%\nC) 2.18%\nD) 0.81%", "options": ["A) 2.53%", "B) 1.50%", "C) 2.18%", "D) 0.81%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.85%\nB) 3.02%\nC) 1.39%\nD) -0.24%", "options": ["A) 0.85%", "B) 3.02%", "C) 1.39%", "D) -0.24%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,146B\nB) $12,273B\nC) $11,428B\nD) $11,991B", "options": ["A) $11,146B", "B) $12,273B", "C) $11,428B", "D) $11,991B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$11,991B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.2250\nB) 5.9598\nC) 6.6228\nD) 6.4902", "options": ["A) 6.2250", "B) 5.9598", "C) 6.6228", "D) 6.4902"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.2250", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.65%\nB) 4.74%\nC) -1.10%\nD) 13.49%", "options": ["A) 7.65%", "B) 4.74%", "C) -1.10%", "D) 13.49%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.16%\nB) 82.68%\nC) 78.92%\nD) 85.19%", "options": ["A) 75.16%", "B) 82.68%", "C) 78.92%", "D) 85.19%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "78.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 57.13%\nB) 63.02%\nC) 60.67%\nD) 58.90%", "options": ["A) 57.13%", "B) 63.02%", "C) 60.67%", "D) 58.90%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "58.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,049M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $4,049M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$4,049M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 16.76%\nB) 4.56%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 12.70%", "options": ["A) 16.76%", "B) 4.56%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 12.70%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.57%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 2.61%\nD) 2.96%", "options": ["A) 1.57%", "B) 3.65%", "C) 2.61%", "D) 2.96%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 191.78\nB) 211.27\nC) 221.02\nD) 206.40", "options": ["A) 191.78", "B) 211.27", "C) 221.02", "D) 206.40"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "206.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.07%\nB) 8.40%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 3.96%", "options": ["A) 5.07%", "B) 8.40%", "C) 1.74%", "D) 3.96%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) $75,157M\nB) $68,418M\nC) $58,310M\nD) $61,679M", "options": ["A) $75,157M", "B) $68,418M", "C) $58,310M", "D) $61,679M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$68,418M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) $72,143M\nB) $64,185M\nC) $69,490M\nD) $77,448M", "options": ["A) $72,143M", "B) $64,185M", "C) $69,490M", "D) $77,448M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$69,490M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.25%\nB) -0.68%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 1.69%", "options": ["A) 5.25%", "B) -0.68%", "C) 4.06%", "D) 1.69%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 101.8200\nB) 93.1497\nC) 88.8146\nD) 114.8254", "options": ["A) 101.8200", "B) 93.1497", "C) 88.8146", "D) 114.8254"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "101.8200", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) $96.12/bbl\nB) $107.52/bbl\nC) $124.62/bbl\nD) $118.92/bbl", "options": ["A) $96.12/bbl", "B) $107.52/bbl", "C) $124.62/bbl", "D) $118.92/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$107.52/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20140301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.99%\nB) 61.21%\nC) 63.10%\nD) 59.95%", "options": ["A) 64.99%", "B) 61.21%", "C) 63.10%", "D) 59.95%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "63.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20140615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2014-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2014-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.66%\nB) 0.76%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 1.71%", "options": ["A) 2.66%", "B) 0.76%", "C) 1.08%", "D) 1.71%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.50%\nB) 6.08%\nC) 6.65%\nD) 7.23%", "options": ["A) 5.50%", "B) 6.08%", "C) 6.65%", "D) 7.23%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20140901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2014", "info_cutoff": "2014-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2014? (Use only information available on or before 2014-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.85%\nB) 1.23%\nC) 3.43%\nD) -0.98%", "options": ["A) 7.85%", "B) 1.23%", "C) 3.43%", "D) -0.98%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.20/bbl\nB) $103.25/bbl\nC) $106.49/bbl\nD) $96.78/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $116.20/bbl", "B) $103.25/bbl", "C) $106.49/bbl", "D) $96.78/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$106.49/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.20/bbl\nB) $103.25/bbl\nC) $106.49/bbl\nD) $96.78/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $116.20/bbl", "B) $103.25/bbl", "C) $106.49/bbl", "D) $96.78/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$106.49/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-5d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $108.00/bbl\nB) $98.29/bbl\nC) $95.05/bbl\nD) $104.76/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $108.00/bbl", "B) $98.29/bbl", "C) $95.05/bbl", "D) $104.76/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$104.76/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $108.00/bbl\nB) $98.29/bbl\nC) $95.05/bbl\nD) $104.76/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $108.00/bbl", "B) $98.29/bbl", "C) $95.05/bbl", "D) $104.76/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$104.76/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-10d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $100.56/bbl\nB) $107.03/bbl\nC) $90.85/bbl\nD) $94.09/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $100.56/bbl", "B) $107.03/bbl", "C) $90.85/bbl", "D) $94.09/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$100.56/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $100.56/bbl\nB) $107.03/bbl\nC) $90.85/bbl\nD) $94.09/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $100.56/bbl", "B) $107.03/bbl", "C) $90.85/bbl", "D) $94.09/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$100.56/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-20d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $92.30/bbl\nB) $95.54/bbl\nC) $102.01/bbl\nD) $105.25/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $92.30/bbl", "B) $95.54/bbl", "C) $102.01/bbl", "D) $105.25/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$95.54/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $92.30/bbl\nB) $95.54/bbl\nC) $102.01/bbl\nD) $105.25/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $92.30/bbl", "B) $95.54/bbl", "C) $102.01/bbl", "D) $105.25/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$95.54/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-40d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $98.18/bbl\nB) $88.47/bbl\nC) $91.71/bbl\nD) $82.00/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $98.18/bbl", "B) $88.47/bbl", "C) $91.71/bbl", "D) $82.00/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$91.71/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $98.18/bbl\nB) $88.47/bbl\nC) $91.71/bbl\nD) $82.00/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $98.18/bbl", "B) $88.47/bbl", "C) $91.71/bbl", "D) $82.00/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$91.71/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-60d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $56.66/bbl\nB) $59.89/bbl\nC) $72.84/bbl\nD) $63.13/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $56.66/bbl", "B) $59.89/bbl", "C) $72.84/bbl", "D) $63.13/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $56.66/bbl\nB) $59.89/bbl\nC) $72.84/bbl\nD) $63.13/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $56.66/bbl", "B) $59.89/bbl", "C) $72.84/bbl", "D) $63.13/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20140619-120d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $114.55/bbl", "B) $121.58/bbl", "C) $109.86/bbl", "D) $119.24/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $114.55/bbl", "B) $121.58/bbl", "C) $109.86/bbl", "D) $119.24/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-5d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $121.58/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $119.24/bbl\nD) $112.21/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $121.58/bbl", "B) $114.55/bbl", "C) $119.24/bbl", "D) $112.21/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $121.58/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $119.24/bbl\nD) $112.21/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $121.58/bbl", "B) $114.55/bbl", "C) $119.24/bbl", "D) $112.21/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-10d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $112.21/bbl\nB) $109.86/bbl\nC) $114.55/bbl\nD) $116.89/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $112.21/bbl", "B) $109.86/bbl", "C) $114.55/bbl", "D) $116.89/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $112.21/bbl\nB) $109.86/bbl\nC) $114.55/bbl\nD) $116.89/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $112.21/bbl", "B) $109.86/bbl", "C) $114.55/bbl", "D) $116.89/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-20d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $119.24/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $107.52/bbl\nD) $114.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $119.24/bbl", "B) $121.58/bbl", "C) $107.52/bbl", "D) $114.55/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $119.24/bbl\nB) $121.58/bbl\nC) $107.52/bbl\nD) $114.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $119.24/bbl", "B) $121.58/bbl", "C) $107.52/bbl", "D) $114.55/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-40d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $119.24/bbl\nC) $121.58/bbl\nD) $109.86/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $114.55/bbl", "B) $119.24/bbl", "C) $121.58/bbl", "D) $109.86/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $114.55/bbl\nB) $119.24/bbl\nC) $121.58/bbl\nD) $109.86/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $114.55/bbl", "B) $119.24/bbl", "C) $121.58/bbl", "D) $109.86/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-60d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.89/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $116.89/bbl", "B) $114.55/bbl", "C) $109.86/bbl", "D) $119.24/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) $116.89/bbl\nB) $114.55/bbl\nC) $109.86/bbl\nD) $119.24/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) $116.89/bbl", "B) $114.55/bbl", "C) $109.86/bbl", "D) $119.24/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$114.55/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20140619-120d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 93.76\nD) 96.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) 90.95", "B) 99.38", "C) 93.76", "D) 96.57"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "93.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 93.76\nD) 96.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) 90.95", "B) 99.38", "C) 93.76", "D) 96.57"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "93.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-5d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 96.57\nD) 93.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) 90.95", "B) 99.38", "C) 96.57", "D) 93.76"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "93.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 90.95\nB) 99.38\nC) 96.57\nD) 93.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) 90.95", "B) 99.38", "C) 96.57", "D) 93.76"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "93.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-10d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 93.76\nB) 96.57\nC) 99.38\nD) 90.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) 93.76", "B) 96.57", "C) 99.38", "D) 90.95"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "93.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 93.76\nB) 96.57\nC) 99.38\nD) 90.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) 93.76", "B) 96.57", "C) 99.38", "D) 90.95"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "93.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-20d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 91.84\nB) 94.68\nC) 97.52\nD) 100.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) 91.84", "B) 94.68", "C) 97.52", "D) 100.36"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "94.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 91.84\nB) 94.68\nC) 97.52\nD) 100.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) 91.84", "B) 94.68", "C) 97.52", "D) 100.36"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "94.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-40d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 99.00\nB) 93.24\nC) 96.12\nD) 91.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) 99.00", "B) 93.24", "C) 96.12", "D) 91.31"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "96.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 99.00\nB) 93.24\nC) 96.12\nD) 91.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) 99.00", "B) 93.24", "C) 96.12", "D) 91.31"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "96.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-60d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 103.47\nB) 99.42\nC) 105.50\nD) 101.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) 103.47", "B) 99.42", "C) 105.50", "D) 101.44"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Oil price collapse begins\" on 2014-06-19, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-06-19? (Use only information available on or before 2014-06-18.)\n\nA) 103.47\nB) 99.42\nC) 105.50\nD) 101.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-06-19", "info_cutoff": "2014-06-18", "options": ["A) 103.47", "B) 99.42", "C) 105.50", "D) 101.44"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Oil price collapse begins", "event_date": "2014-06-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20140619-120d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $54.18/bbl\nB) $45.41/bbl\nC) $67.33/bbl\nD) $62.95/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) $54.18/bbl", "B) $45.41/bbl", "C) $67.33/bbl", "D) $62.95/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$54.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $54.18/bbl\nB) $45.41/bbl\nC) $67.33/bbl\nD) $62.95/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) $54.18/bbl", "B) $45.41/bbl", "C) $67.33/bbl", "D) $62.95/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$54.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-5d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $40.30/bbl\nB) $53.45/bbl\nC) $66.60/bbl\nD) $57.83/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) $40.30/bbl", "B) $53.45/bbl", "C) $66.60/bbl", "D) $57.83/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$53.45/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $40.30/bbl\nB) $53.45/bbl\nC) $66.60/bbl\nD) $57.83/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) $40.30/bbl", "B) $53.45/bbl", "C) $66.60/bbl", "D) $57.83/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$53.45/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-10d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $37.15/bbl\nB) $41.54/bbl\nC) $45.92/bbl\nD) $32.77/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) $37.15/bbl", "B) $41.54/bbl", "C) $45.92/bbl", "D) $32.77/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$45.92/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $37.15/bbl\nB) $41.54/bbl\nC) $45.92/bbl\nD) $32.77/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) $37.15/bbl", "B) $41.54/bbl", "C) $45.92/bbl", "D) $32.77/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$45.92/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-20d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $57.23/bbl\nB) $39.70/bbl\nC) $35.31/bbl\nD) $44.08/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) $57.23/bbl", "B) $39.70/bbl", "C) $35.31/bbl", "D) $44.08/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$44.08/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $57.23/bbl\nB) $39.70/bbl\nC) $35.31/bbl\nD) $44.08/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) $57.23/bbl", "B) $39.70/bbl", "C) $35.31/bbl", "D) $44.08/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$44.08/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-40d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $43.93/bbl\nB) $35.16/bbl\nC) $57.08/bbl\nD) $39.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) $43.93/bbl", "B) $35.16/bbl", "C) $57.08/bbl", "D) $39.55/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$43.93/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $43.93/bbl\nB) $35.16/bbl\nC) $57.08/bbl\nD) $39.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) $43.93/bbl", "B) $35.16/bbl", "C) $57.08/bbl", "D) $39.55/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$43.93/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-60d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $52.16/bbl\nB) $43.39/bbl\nC) $30.24/bbl\nD) $56.54/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) $52.16/bbl", "B) $43.39/bbl", "C) $30.24/bbl", "D) $56.54/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$43.39/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) $52.16/bbl\nB) $43.39/bbl\nC) $30.24/bbl\nD) $56.54/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) $52.16/bbl", "B) $43.39/bbl", "C) $30.24/bbl", "D) $56.54/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$43.39/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20141216-120d-min", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.69\nB) 16.06\nC) 19.44\nD) 18.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 21.69", "B) 16.06", "C) 19.44", "D) 18.31"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.69\nB) 16.06\nC) 19.44\nD) 18.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 21.69", "B) 16.06", "C) 19.44", "D) 18.31"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-5d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.82\nB) 16.06\nC) 17.19\nD) 19.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 22.82", "B) 16.06", "C) 17.19", "D) 19.44"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "19.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.82\nB) 16.06\nC) 17.19\nD) 19.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 22.82", "B) 16.06", "C) 17.19", "D) 19.44"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "19.44", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-10d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.39\nB) 21.26\nC) 23.52\nD) 25.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 22.39", "B) 21.26", "C) 23.52", "D) 25.77"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 22.39\nB) 21.26\nC) 23.52\nD) 25.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 22.39", "B) 21.26", "C) 23.52", "D) 25.77"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-20d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 22.39\nC) 19.01\nD) 23.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 21.26", "B) 22.39", "C) 19.01", "D) 23.52"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 22.39\nC) 19.01\nD) 23.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 21.26", "B) 22.39", "C) 19.01", "D) 23.52"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-40d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 24.64\nB) 25.77\nC) 22.39\nD) 19.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 24.64", "B) 25.77", "C) 22.39", "D) 19.01"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 24.64\nB) 25.77\nC) 22.39\nD) 19.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 24.64", "B) 25.77", "C) 22.39", "D) 19.01"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-60d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 24.64\nC) 23.52\nD) 22.39", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 21.26", "B) 24.64", "C) 23.52", "D) 22.39"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 21.26\nB) 24.64\nC) 23.52\nD) 22.39", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 21.26", "B) 24.64", "C) 23.52", "D) 22.39"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20141216-120d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 102.35\nB) 104.44\nC) 98.16\nD) 100.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 102.35", "B) 104.44", "C) 98.16", "D) 100.26"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "102.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 102.35\nB) 104.44\nC) 98.16\nD) 100.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 102.35", "B) 104.44", "C) 98.16", "D) 100.26"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "102.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-5d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 104.99\nB) 102.90\nC) 108.13\nD) 99.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 104.99", "B) 102.90", "C) 108.13", "D) 99.76"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "102.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 104.99\nB) 102.90\nC) 108.13\nD) 99.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 104.99", "B) 102.90", "C) 108.13", "D) 99.76"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "102.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-10d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 100.49\nB) 105.72\nC) 103.63\nD) 108.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 100.49", "B) 105.72", "C) 103.63", "D) 108.86"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "103.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 100.49\nB) 105.72\nC) 103.63\nD) 108.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 100.49", "B) 105.72", "C) 103.63", "D) 108.86"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "103.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-20d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 103.67\nB) 107.91\nC) 111.08\nD) 105.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 103.67", "B) 107.91", "C) 111.08", "D) 105.79"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "105.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 103.67\nB) 107.91\nC) 111.08\nD) 105.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 103.67", "B) 107.91", "C) 111.08", "D) 105.79"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "105.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-40d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 108.92\nB) 116.54\nC) 105.65\nD) 112.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 108.92", "B) 116.54", "C) 105.65", "D) 112.18"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "108.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 108.92\nB) 116.54\nC) 105.65\nD) 112.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 108.92", "B) 116.54", "C) 105.65", "D) 112.18"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "108.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-60d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 115.45\nB) 108.92\nC) 112.18\nD) 105.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 115.45", "B) 108.92", "C) 112.18", "D) 105.65"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "108.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 115.45\nB) 108.92\nC) 112.18\nD) 105.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 115.45", "B) 108.92", "C) 112.18", "D) 105.65"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "108.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DTWEXBGS-20141216-120d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,284.38\nB) 5,526.97\nC) 4,781.42\nD) 5,278.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 4,284.38", "B) 5,526.97", "C) 4,781.42", "D) 5,278.46"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,781.42", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,284.38\nB) 5,526.97\nC) 4,781.42\nD) 5,278.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 4,284.38", "B) 5,526.97", "C) 4,781.42", "D) 5,278.46"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,781.42", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-5d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,309.87\nB) 5,055.43\nC) 4,061.36\nD) 4,806.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 4,309.87", "B) 5,055.43", "C) 4,061.36", "D) 4,806.91"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,806.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,309.87\nB) 5,055.43\nC) 4,061.36\nD) 4,806.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 4,309.87", "B) 5,055.43", "C) 4,061.36", "D) 4,806.91"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,806.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-10d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,806.91\nB) 4,558.39\nC) 5,055.43\nD) 4,061.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 4,806.91", "B) 4,558.39", "C) 5,055.43", "D) 4,061.36"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,806.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,806.91\nB) 4,558.39\nC) 5,055.43\nD) 4,061.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 4,806.91", "B) 4,558.39", "C) 5,055.43", "D) 4,061.36"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,806.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-20d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,390.88\nB) 4,893.84\nC) 4,645.32\nD) 5,639.39", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 5,390.88", "B) 4,893.84", "C) 4,645.32", "D) 5,639.39"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,893.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,390.88\nB) 4,893.84\nC) 4,645.32\nD) 5,639.39", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 5,390.88", "B) 4,893.84", "C) 4,645.32", "D) 5,639.39"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,893.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-40d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,256.62\nB) 4,511.06\nC) 5,008.10\nD) 5,753.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 5,256.62", "B) 4,511.06", "C) 5,008.10", "D) 5,753.65"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,008.10", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 5,256.62\nB) 4,511.06\nC) 5,008.10\nD) 5,753.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 5,256.62", "B) 4,511.06", "C) 5,008.10", "D) 5,753.65"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,008.10", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-60d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,609.55\nB) 4,361.04\nC) 4,858.07\nD) 5,106.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 4,609.55", "B) 4,361.04", "C) 4,858.07", "D) 5,106.59"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,106.59", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russian ruble crisis\" on 2014-12-16, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2014-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2014-12-15.)\n\nA) 4,609.55\nB) 4,361.04\nC) 4,858.07\nD) 5,106.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2014-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2014-12-15", "options": ["A) 4,609.55", "B) 4,361.04", "C) 4,858.07", "D) 5,106.59"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,106.59", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russian ruble crisis", "event_date": "2014-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20141216-120d-max", "year": 2014} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 1.04%", "options": ["A) 1.28%", "B) 0.92%", "C) 1.16%", "D) 1.04%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.2087\nB) 1.1266\nC) 1.0445\nD) 1.2908", "options": ["A) 1.2087", "B) 1.1266", "C) 1.0445", "D) 1.2908"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1266", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.42%\nB) -9.51%\nC) -7.49%\nD) -3.45%", "options": ["A) -1.42%", "B) -9.51%", "C) -7.49%", "D) -3.45%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-7.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $64,726M\nB) $67,583M\nC) $59,011M\nD) $63,297M", "options": ["A) $64,726M", "B) $67,583M", "C) $59,011M", "D) $63,297M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$63,297M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.47\nB) 91.07\nC) 94.31\nD) 99.71", "options": ["A) 96.47", "B) 91.07", "C) 94.31", "D) 99.71"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "96.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.16pp\nB) -1.94pp\nC) -4.62pp\nD) -1.05pp", "options": ["A) -0.16pp", "B) -1.94pp", "C) -4.62pp", "D) -1.05pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.94pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.39%\nB) 17.97%\nC) 12.81%\nD) 5.08%", "options": ["A) 15.39%", "B) 17.97%", "C) 12.81%", "D) 5.08%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.20%\nB) 12.49%\nC) 9.75%\nD) 4.27%", "options": ["A) -1.20%", "B) 12.49%", "C) 9.75%", "D) 4.27%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 23.37%\nC) 15.74%\nD) -14.80%", "options": ["A) 0.47%", "B) 23.37%", "C) 15.74%", "D) -14.80%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.44%\nB) 3.67%\nC) 2.59%\nD) 5.83%", "options": ["A) 0.44%", "B) 3.67%", "C) 2.59%", "D) 5.83%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.65%\nB) 0.82%\nC) -0.00%\nD) 1.65%", "options": ["A) -1.65%", "B) 0.82%", "C) -0.00%", "D) 1.65%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) $10,698B\nB) $11,862B\nC) $10,116B\nD) $10,989B", "options": ["A) $10,698B", "B) $11,862B", "C) $10,116B", "D) $10,989B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$10,989B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.38%\nB) -5.90%\nC) -10.87%\nD) -13.35%", "options": ["A) -8.38%", "B) -5.90%", "C) -10.87%", "D) -13.35%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-8.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,417K\nB) 1,224K\nC) 935K\nD) 1,128K", "options": ["A) 1,417K", "B) 1,224K", "C) 935K", "D) 1,128K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,224K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 20.58%\nB) -7.54%\nC) -0.51%\nD) -21.60%", "options": ["A) 20.58%", "B) -7.54%", "C) -0.51%", "D) -21.60%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.55%\nB) 6.55%\nC) -17.33%\nD) -7.78%", "options": ["A) -12.55%", "B) 6.55%", "C) -17.33%", "D) -7.78%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-7.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.20\nB) 95.07\nC) 100.38\nD) 92.94", "options": ["A) 97.20", "B) 95.07", "C) 100.38", "D) 92.94"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "97.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 57.42%\nB) 59.20%\nC) 63.34%\nD) 60.98%", "options": ["A) 57.42%", "B) 59.20%", "C) 63.34%", "D) 60.98%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "59.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.78%\nB) 5.56%\nC) 7.99%\nD) 9.20%", "options": ["A) 6.78%", "B) 5.56%", "C) 7.99%", "D) 9.20%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 168.71\nB) 193.95\nC) 156.09\nD) 175.02", "options": ["A) 168.71", "B) 193.95", "C) 156.09", "D) 175.02"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "175.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.80%\nB) 5.23%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 4.66%", "options": ["A) 5.80%", "B) 5.23%", "C) 4.09%", "D) 4.66%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.62%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 2.40%", "options": ["A) 2.62%", "B) 1.94%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 2.40%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.27%\nB) 60.53%\nC) 62.40%\nD) 65.52%", "options": ["A) 64.27%", "B) 60.53%", "C) 62.40%", "D) 65.52%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "62.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 16.94%\nB) -16.09%\nC) -9.49%\nD) 3.72%", "options": ["A) 16.94%", "B) -16.09%", "C) -9.49%", "D) 3.72%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.60pp\nB) -1.46pp\nC) +14.79pp\nD) +6.66pp", "options": ["A) +2.60pp", "B) -1.46pp", "C) +14.79pp", "D) +6.66pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+2.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.92%\nB) 3.87%\nC) 4.22%\nD) 3.52%", "options": ["A) 4.92%", "B) 3.87%", "C) 4.22%", "D) 3.52%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -17.16%\nB) -25.22%\nC) -1.03%\nD) 15.10%", "options": ["A) -17.16%", "B) -25.22%", "C) -1.03%", "D) 15.10%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) -0.60%\nC) 7.29%\nD) 4.66%", "options": ["A) 2.03%", "B) -0.60%", "C) 7.29%", "D) 4.66%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.90%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 6.47%\nD) 7.61%", "options": ["A) 5.90%", "B) 5.33%", "C) 6.47%", "D) 7.61%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.04pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.53pp\nD) -0.19pp", "options": ["A) -0.04pp", "B) +0.10pp", "C) +0.53pp", "D) -0.19pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.22%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 0.02%", "options": ["A) 0.22%", "B) 0.09%", "C) 0.14%", "D) 0.02%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.0128\nB) 6.6959\nC) 6.4032\nD) 6.2080", "options": ["A) 6.0128", "B) 6.6959", "C) 6.4032", "D) 6.2080"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.2080", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.90%\nB) 2.09%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.29%", "options": ["A) 1.90%", "B) 2.09%", "C) 1.70%", "D) 2.29%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,040K\nB) 1,144K\nC) 1,248K\nD) 832K", "options": ["A) 1,040K", "B) 1,144K", "C) 1,248K", "D) 832K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,144K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 183.85\nB) 210.62\nC) 191.50\nD) 199.15", "options": ["A) 183.85", "B) 210.62", "C) 191.50", "D) 199.15"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "191.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) -0.70%\nC) 0.80%\nD) 0.20%", "options": ["A) 1.10%", "B) -0.70%", "C) 0.80%", "D) 0.20%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $12,176B\nB) $11,318B\nC) $12,748B\nD) $12,462B", "options": ["A) $12,176B", "B) $11,318B", "C) $12,748B", "D) $12,462B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$12,176B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.75pp\nB) -0.50pp\nC) -0.37pp\nD) -0.12pp", "options": ["A) -0.75pp", "B) -0.50pp", "C) -0.37pp", "D) -0.12pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.82/bbl\nB) $33.16/bbl\nC) $60.99/bbl\nD) $51.71/bbl", "options": ["A) $88.82/bbl", "B) $33.16/bbl", "C) $60.99/bbl", "D) $51.71/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$60.99/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 249.94\nB) 231.57\nC) 256.07\nD) 240.75", "options": ["A) 249.94", "B) 231.57", "C) 256.07", "D) 240.75"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "240.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.78%\nB) 79.57%\nC) 75.10%\nD) 82.24%", "options": ["A) 77.78%", "B) 79.57%", "C) 75.10%", "D) 82.24%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "77.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 116.08\nB) 109.80\nC) 105.09\nD) 112.94", "options": ["A) 116.08", "B) 109.80", "C) 105.09", "D) 112.94"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "109.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,094B\nB) $13,263B\nC) $12,386B\nD) $11,509B", "options": ["A) $12,094B", "B) $13,263B", "C) $12,386B", "D) $11,509B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$12,386B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) +2.33pp\nC) -3.69pp\nD) -0.68pp", "options": ["A) +0.32pp", "B) +2.33pp", "C) -3.69pp", "D) -0.68pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.68pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $11,920B\nB) $12,946B\nC) $10,382B\nD) $10,895B", "options": ["A) $11,920B", "B) $12,946B", "C) $10,382B", "D) $10,895B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$11,920B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) -1.30pp\nC) -0.74pp\nD) -1.58pp", "options": ["A) -0.46pp", "B) -1.30pp", "C) -0.74pp", "D) -1.58pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,887,686\nB) 1,958,157\nC) 2,268,000\nD) 3,197,528", "options": ["A) 2,887,686", "B) 1,958,157", "C) 2,268,000", "D) 3,197,528"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,268,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.10%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 1.23%", "options": ["A) 1.10%", "B) 1.62%", "C) 0.85%", "D) 1.23%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $439,867M\nB) $403,225M\nC) $452,081M\nD) $427,653M", "options": ["A) $439,867M", "B) $403,225M", "C) $452,081M", "D) $427,653M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$439,867M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 145,752K\nB) 142,275K\nC) 149,230K\nD) 137,059K", "options": ["A) 145,752K", "B) 142,275K", "C) 149,230K", "D) 137,059K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "142,275K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.43%\nB) 6.56%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 3.06%", "options": ["A) 7.43%", "B) 6.56%", "C) 5.68%", "D) 3.06%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.54pp\nB) +0.79pp\nC) +1.03pp\nD) +0.30pp", "options": ["A) +0.54pp", "B) +0.79pp", "C) +1.03pp", "D) +0.30pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 960K\nB) 1,142K\nC) 1,233K\nD) 869K", "options": ["A) 960K", "B) 1,142K", "C) 1,233K", "D) 869K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "960K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -5.26%\nB) -8.91%\nC) -1.61%\nD) -16.21%", "options": ["A) -5.26%", "B) -8.91%", "C) -1.61%", "D) -16.21%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-8.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.42%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 1.75%", "options": ["A) 2.42%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 2.08%", "D) 1.75%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.98%\nB) 63.34%\nC) 57.42%\nD) 59.20%", "options": ["A) 60.98%", "B) 63.34%", "C) 57.42%", "D) 59.20%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "59.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) -46.23%\nB) -84.83%\nC) -7.62%\nD) -33.36%", "options": ["A) -46.23%", "B) -84.83%", "C) -7.62%", "D) -33.36%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-46.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) $82.23/bbl\nB) $59.53/bbl\nC) $44.39/bbl\nD) $51.96/bbl", "options": ["A) $82.23/bbl", "B) $59.53/bbl", "C) $44.39/bbl", "D) $51.96/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$59.53/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 134,518K\nB) 137,720K\nC) 140,923K\nD) 145,727K", "options": ["A) 134,518K", "B) 137,720K", "C) 140,923K", "D) 145,727K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "140,923K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 321,583\nB) 295,291\nC) 190,126\nD) 269,000", "options": ["A) 321,583", "B) 295,291", "C) 190,126", "D) 269,000"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "269,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 2.23%", "options": ["A) 3.09%", "B) 3.38%", "C) 3.95%", "D) 2.23%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.78%\nB) -4.93%\nC) 2.21%\nD) -8.51%", "options": ["A) 5.78%", "B) -4.93%", "C) 2.21%", "D) -8.51%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-4.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 109.6064\nB) 102.7196\nC) 123.3800\nD) 130.2668", "options": ["A) 109.6064", "B) 102.7196", "C) 123.3800", "D) 130.2668"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "123.3800", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.49\nB) 96.62\nC) 73.06\nD) 87.20", "options": ["A) 82.49", "B) 96.62", "C) 73.06", "D) 87.20"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "87.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 1.29%\nC) 2.42%\nD) 1.07%", "options": ["A) 1.75%", "B) 1.29%", "C) 2.42%", "D) 1.07%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 35.13%\nB) 19.65%\nC) -3.57%\nD) 11.91%", "options": ["A) 35.13%", "B) 19.65%", "C) -3.57%", "D) 11.91%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 7.29%\nC) 5.40%\nD) 4.77%", "options": ["A) 4.14%", "B) 7.29%", "C) 5.40%", "D) 4.77%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 0.43%\nD) 2.95%", "options": ["A) 4.62%", "B) 3.79%", "C) 0.43%", "D) 2.95%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 97.48\nB) 95.48\nC) 93.47\nD) 99.48", "options": ["A) 97.48", "B) 95.48", "C) 93.47", "D) 99.48"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "97.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.58\nB) 189.10\nC) 180.39\nD) 197.81", "options": ["A) 174.58", "B) 189.10", "C) 180.39", "D) 197.81"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "189.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $-39,482M\nB) $-45,959M\nC) $-41,641M\nD) $-43,800M", "options": ["A) $-39,482M", "B) $-45,959M", "C) $-41,641M", "D) $-43,800M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-41,641M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.89%\nB) -0.39%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 2.25%", "options": ["A) 4.89%", "B) -0.39%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 2.25%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.81%\nB) -1.38%\nC) 0.88%\nD) -1.94%", "options": ["A) -0.81%", "B) -1.38%", "C) 0.88%", "D) -1.94%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.56%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 2.09%\nD) 3.16%", "options": ["A) 1.56%", "B) 2.36%", "C) 2.09%", "D) 3.16%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,031M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $4,031M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$4,031M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $234,295M\nB) $192,918M\nC) $226,019M\nD) $217,744M", "options": ["A) $234,295M", "B) $192,918M", "C) $226,019M", "D) $217,744M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$217,744M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 7.91%", "options": ["A) 4.68%", "B) 3.61%", "C) 1.45%", "D) 7.91%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 233.97\nB) 243.32\nC) 252.67\nD) 258.90", "options": ["A) 233.97", "B) 243.32", "C) 252.67", "D) 258.90"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "243.32", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.45%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 0.83%", "options": ["A) 0.45%", "B) 1.21%", "C) 0.07%", "D) 0.83%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,718B\nB) $11,145B\nC) $12,688B\nD) $12,174B", "options": ["A) $13,718B", "B) $11,145B", "C) $12,688B", "D) $12,174B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$12,174B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $-48,732M\nB) $-42,514M\nC) $-54,950M\nD) $-44,587M", "options": ["A) $-48,732M", "B) $-42,514M", "C) $-54,950M", "D) $-44,587M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-48,732M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.47%\nB) 62.60%\nC) 63.85%\nD) 61.35%", "options": ["A) 59.47%", "B) 62.60%", "C) 63.85%", "D) 61.35%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "62.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.08%\nB) -11.84%\nC) -2.27%\nD) -7.05%", "options": ["A) 12.08%", "B) -11.84%", "C) -2.27%", "D) -7.05%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.19\nB) 92.38\nC) 105.69\nD) 101.89", "options": ["A) 96.19", "B) 92.38", "C) 105.69", "D) 101.89"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.89", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 1.64%\nC) 2.18%\nD) 2.36%", "options": ["A) 2.00%", "B) 1.64%", "C) 2.18%", "D) 2.36%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.06%\nB) 0.11%\nC) 0.01%\nD) 0.18%", "options": ["A) 0.06%", "B) 0.11%", "C) 0.01%", "D) 0.18%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.88%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.72%\nD) 0.80%", "options": ["A) 0.88%", "B) 0.64%", "C) 0.72%", "D) 0.80%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $21.46/hr\nB) $22.02/hr\nC) $20.08/hr\nD) $20.91/hr", "options": ["A) $21.46/hr", "B) $22.02/hr", "C) $20.08/hr", "D) $20.91/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$20.91/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 237.50\nB) 245.78\nC) 229.22\nD) 251.30", "options": ["A) 237.50", "B) 245.78", "C) 229.22", "D) 251.30"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "237.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 784K\nB) 1,072K\nC) 1,264K\nD) 1,360K", "options": ["A) 784K", "B) 1,072K", "C) 1,264K", "D) 1,360K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,072K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 108.84\nB) 105.61\nC) 100.75\nD) 97.52", "options": ["A) 108.84", "B) 105.61", "C) 100.75", "D) 97.52"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "100.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 93.51\nB) 100.50\nC) 102.83\nD) 97.01", "options": ["A) 93.51", "B) 100.50", "C) 102.83", "D) 97.01"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "97.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 1.49%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.93%", "options": ["A) 1.71%", "B) 1.49%", "C) 2.38%", "D) 1.93%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.31%\nB) 3.29%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 3.97%", "options": ["A) 4.31%", "B) 3.29%", "C) 3.63%", "D) 3.97%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.60%\nB) 1.15%\nC) 2.13%\nD) 0.66%", "options": ["A) 3.60%", "B) 1.15%", "C) 2.13%", "D) 0.66%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.28\nB) 114.72\nC) 112.31\nD) 109.90", "options": ["A) 106.28", "B) 114.72", "C) 112.31", "D) 109.90"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "109.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 28.67%\nC) 21.18%\nD) 13.70%", "options": ["A) 6.22%", "B) 28.67%", "C) 21.18%", "D) 13.70%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.20%\nB) 0.02%\nC) 0.07%\nD) 0.14%", "options": ["A) 0.20%", "B) 0.02%", "C) 0.07%", "D) 0.14%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 173.33\nB) 152.29\nC) 168.07\nD) 162.81", "options": ["A) 173.33", "B) 152.29", "C) 168.07", "D) 162.81"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "168.07", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.97pp\nB) +2.09pp\nC) +2.31pp\nD) +1.64pp", "options": ["A) +0.97pp", "B) +2.09pp", "C) +2.31pp", "D) +1.64pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+1.64pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $21.09/hr\nB) $22.53/hr\nC) $21.66/hr\nD) $20.23/hr", "options": ["A) $21.09/hr", "B) $22.53/hr", "C) $21.66/hr", "D) $20.23/hr"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$21.09/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) -65.19%\nB) -44.62%\nC) -54.90%\nD) -34.33%", "options": ["A) -65.19%", "B) -44.62%", "C) -54.90%", "D) -34.33%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-44.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,028M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $4,300,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $4,028M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$4,028M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.42%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 4.00%", "options": ["A) 3.37%", "B) 4.42%", "C) 3.79%", "D) 4.00%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.24%\nB) -4.80%\nC) -1.39%\nD) -3.09%", "options": ["A) -2.24%", "B) -4.80%", "C) -1.39%", "D) -3.09%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $58,688M\nB) $65,042M\nC) $67,160M\nD) $62,924M", "options": ["A) $58,688M", "B) $65,042M", "C) $67,160M", "D) $62,924M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$65,042M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,522B\nB) $12,717B\nC) $13,620B\nD) $14,221B", "options": ["A) $14,522B", "B) $12,717B", "C) $13,620B", "D) $14,221B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,620B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.64pp\nB) -0.04pp\nC) -0.16pp\nD) -0.40pp", "options": ["A) -0.64pp", "B) -0.04pp", "C) -0.16pp", "D) -0.40pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,398B\nB) $13,100B\nC) $14,291B\nD) $13,695B", "options": ["A) $13,398B", "B) $13,100B", "C) $14,291B", "D) $13,695B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$13,398B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 219.61\nB) 235.98\nC) 242.52\nD) 226.16", "options": ["A) 219.61", "B) 235.98", "C) 242.52", "D) 226.16"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "235.98", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $240,307M\nB) $209,794M\nC) $230,136M\nD) $199,623M", "options": ["A) $240,307M", "B) $209,794M", "C) $230,136M", "D) $199,623M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$230,136M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.28%\nB) 0.82%\nC) -0.86%\nD) -0.02%", "options": ["A) -1.28%", "B) 0.82%", "C) -0.86%", "D) -0.02%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) $433,647M\nB) $447,081M\nC) $406,778M\nD) $460,516M", "options": ["A) $433,647M", "B) $447,081M", "C) $406,778M", "D) $460,516M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$433,647M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.02%\nB) 0.01%\nC) -1.53%\nD) 1.03%", "options": ["A) -1.02%", "B) 0.01%", "C) -1.53%", "D) 1.03%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 101.28\nB) 103.64\nC) 106.00\nD) 98.92", "options": ["A) 101.28", "B) 103.64", "C) 106.00", "D) 98.92"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "106.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.34%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 4.33%\nD) 5.00%", "options": ["A) 6.34%", "B) 5.67%", "C) 4.33%", "D) 5.00%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) +13.00pp\nB) +21.02pp\nC) +4.98pp\nD) +17.01pp", "options": ["A) +13.00pp", "B) +21.02pp", "C) +4.98pp", "D) +17.01pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+13.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.13%\nB) 76.98%\nC) 79.29%\nD) 74.67%", "options": ["A) 73.13%", "B) 76.98%", "C) 79.29%", "D) 74.67%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "76.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,614.04\nB) 4,198.12\nC) 5,029.97\nD) 3,782.19", "options": ["A) 4,614.04", "B) 4,198.12", "C) 5,029.97", "D) 3,782.19"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,029.97", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 100.81\nB) 96.91\nC) 81.28\nD) 93.00", "options": ["A) 100.81", "B) 96.91", "C) 81.28", "D) 93.00"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "93.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.90pp\nB) -0.75pp\nC) -1.20pp\nD) -1.05pp", "options": ["A) -0.90pp", "B) -0.75pp", "C) -1.20pp", "D) -1.05pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20150901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.23%\nB) -1.08%\nC) -2.51%\nD) 1.07%", "options": ["A) -3.23%", "B) -1.08%", "C) -2.51%", "D) 1.07%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.17%\nB) 25.71%\nC) 16.69%\nD) 3.15%", "options": ["A) 12.17%", "B) 25.71%", "C) 16.69%", "D) 3.15%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "16.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20150301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2015", "info_cutoff": "2015-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2015? (Use only information available on or before 2015-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.59%\nB) 4.97%\nC) 3.81%\nD) 6.12%", "options": ["A) 9.59%", "B) 4.97%", "C) 3.81%", "D) 6.12%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20150615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2015-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2015-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2015-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2015-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.39\nB) 6.48\nC) 12.42\nD) 9.45", "options": ["A) 15.39", "B) 6.48", "C) 12.42", "D) 9.45"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15.39", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.2702\nB) 6.3982\nC) 6.5901\nD) 6.7181", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 6.2702", "B) 6.3982", "C) 6.5901", "D) 6.7181"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.3982", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.2702\nB) 6.3982\nC) 6.5901\nD) 6.7181", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 6.2702", "B) 6.3982", "C) 6.5901", "D) 6.7181"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.3982", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-5d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.6046\nC) 6.4122\nD) 6.2198", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 6.0916", "B) 6.6046", "C) 6.4122", "D) 6.2198"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.6046\nC) 6.4122\nD) 6.2198", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 6.0916", "B) 6.6046", "C) 6.4122", "D) 6.2198"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-10d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.4122", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 6.0916", "B) 6.2198", "C) 6.6046", "D) 6.4122"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.0916\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.4122", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 6.0916", "B) 6.2198", "C) 6.6046", "D) 6.4122"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-20d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.4122\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.7328", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 6.4122", "B) 6.2198", "C) 6.6046", "D) 6.7328"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.4122\nB) 6.2198\nC) 6.6046\nD) 6.7328", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 6.4122", "B) 6.2198", "C) 6.6046", "D) 6.7328"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-40d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.6046\nB) 6.4122\nC) 6.7328\nD) 6.2198", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 6.6046", "B) 6.4122", "C) 6.7328", "D) 6.2198"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.6046\nB) 6.4122\nC) 6.7328\nD) 6.2198", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 6.6046", "B) 6.4122", "C) 6.7328", "D) 6.2198"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.4122", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-60d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.7251\nB) 6.2635\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.4613", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 6.7251", "B) 6.2635", "C) 6.5932", "D) 6.4613"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 6.7251\nB) 6.2635\nC) 6.5932\nD) 6.4613", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 6.7251", "B) 6.2635", "C) 6.5932", "D) 6.4613"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5932", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20150811-120d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 4,877.30\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,091.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 4,448.50", "B) 4,877.30", "C) 4,662.90", "D) 5,091.70"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 4,877.30\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,091.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 4,448.50", "B) 4,877.30", "C) 4,662.90", "D) 5,091.70"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-5d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,091.70\nB) 5,734.90\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,520.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 5,091.70", "B) 5,734.90", "C) 4,662.90", "D) 5,520.50"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,091.70\nB) 5,734.90\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,520.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 5,091.70", "B) 5,734.90", "C) 4,662.90", "D) 5,520.50"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-10d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 5,091.70\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,306.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 4,448.50", "B) 5,091.70", "C) 4,662.90", "D) 5,306.10"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,448.50\nB) 5,091.70\nC) 4,662.90\nD) 5,306.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 4,448.50", "B) 5,091.70", "C) 4,662.90", "D) 5,306.10"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-20d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,877.30\nB) 4,448.50\nC) 5,091.70\nD) 5,306.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 4,877.30", "B) 4,448.50", "C) 5,091.70", "D) 5,306.10"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,877.30\nB) 4,448.50\nC) 5,091.70\nD) 5,306.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 4,877.30", "B) 4,448.50", "C) 5,091.70", "D) 5,306.10"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,091.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-40d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,716.33\nB) 5,573.93\nC) 5,359.53\nD) 5,145.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 4,716.33", "B) 5,573.93", "C) 5,359.53", "D) 5,145.13"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,145.13", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 4,716.33\nB) 5,573.93\nC) 5,359.53\nD) 5,145.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 4,716.33", "B) 5,573.93", "C) 5,359.53", "D) 5,145.13"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,145.13", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-60d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,156.31\nB) 5,799.51\nC) 4,727.51\nD) 4,513.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 5,156.31", "B) 5,799.51", "C) 4,727.51", "D) 4,513.11"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,156.31", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 5,156.31\nB) 5,799.51\nC) 4,727.51\nD) 4,513.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 5,156.31", "B) 5,799.51", "C) 4,727.51", "D) 4,513.11"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,156.31", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20150811-120d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 15.00\nB) 13.79\nC) 10.15\nD) 17.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 15.00", "B) 13.79", "C) 10.15", "D) 17.43"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 15.00\nB) 13.79\nC) 10.15\nD) 17.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 15.00", "B) 13.79", "C) 10.15", "D) 17.43"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.79", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-5d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 39.53\nB) 44.38\nC) 40.74\nD) 41.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 39.53", "B) 44.38", "C) 40.74", "D) 41.95"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 39.53\nB) 44.38\nC) 40.74\nD) 41.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 39.53", "B) 44.38", "C) 40.74", "D) 41.95"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-10d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 43.17\nC) 37.10\nD) 40.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 38.31", "B) 43.17", "C) 37.10", "D) 40.74"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 43.17\nC) 37.10\nD) 40.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 38.31", "B) 43.17", "C) 37.10", "D) 40.74"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-20d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 40.74\nB) 39.53\nC) 43.17\nD) 44.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 40.74", "B) 39.53", "C) 43.17", "D) 44.38"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 40.74\nB) 39.53\nC) 43.17\nD) 44.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 40.74", "B) 39.53", "C) 43.17", "D) 44.38"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-40d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.74\nC) 44.38\nD) 41.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 38.31", "B) 40.74", "C) 44.38", "D) 41.95"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.74\nC) 44.38\nD) 41.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 38.31", "B) 40.74", "C) 44.38", "D) 41.95"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-60d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 41.95\nC) 40.74\nD) 39.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 38.31", "B) 41.95", "C) 40.74", "D) 39.53"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 41.95\nC) 40.74\nD) 39.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) 38.31", "B) 41.95", "C) 40.74", "D) 39.53"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "40.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20150811-120d-max", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $19.58/bbl\nB) $53.10/bbl\nC) $75.45/bbl\nD) $41.93/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) $19.58/bbl", "B) $53.10/bbl", "C) $75.45/bbl", "D) $41.93/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$41.93/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $19.58/bbl\nB) $53.10/bbl\nC) $75.45/bbl\nD) $41.93/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) $19.58/bbl", "B) $53.10/bbl", "C) $75.45/bbl", "D) $41.93/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$41.93/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-5d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $38.22/bbl\nB) $27.05/bbl\nC) $4.70/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) $38.22/bbl", "B) $27.05/bbl", "C) $4.70/bbl", "D) $49.39/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $38.22/bbl\nB) $27.05/bbl\nC) $4.70/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) $38.22/bbl", "B) $27.05/bbl", "C) $4.70/bbl", "D) $49.39/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-10d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $71.74/bbl\nB) $38.22/bbl\nC) $27.05/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) $71.74/bbl", "B) $38.22/bbl", "C) $27.05/bbl", "D) $49.39/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $71.74/bbl\nB) $38.22/bbl\nC) $27.05/bbl\nD) $49.39/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) $71.74/bbl", "B) $38.22/bbl", "C) $27.05/bbl", "D) $49.39/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-20d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $4.70/bbl\nB) $60.57/bbl\nC) $38.22/bbl\nD) $71.74/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) $4.70/bbl", "B) $60.57/bbl", "C) $38.22/bbl", "D) $71.74/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $4.70/bbl\nB) $60.57/bbl\nC) $38.22/bbl\nD) $71.74/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) $4.70/bbl", "B) $60.57/bbl", "C) $38.22/bbl", "D) $71.74/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-40d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $4.70/bbl\nC) $71.74/bbl\nD) $38.22/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) $15.87/bbl", "B) $4.70/bbl", "C) $71.74/bbl", "D) $38.22/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $4.70/bbl\nC) $71.74/bbl\nD) $38.22/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) $15.87/bbl", "B) $4.70/bbl", "C) $71.74/bbl", "D) $38.22/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$38.22/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-60d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $60.20/bbl\nC) $4.33/bbl\nD) $15.51/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) $26.68/bbl", "B) $60.20/bbl", "C) $4.33/bbl", "D) $15.51/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China yuan devaluation\" on 2015-08-11, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2015-08-11? (Use only information available on or before 2015-08-10.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $60.20/bbl\nC) $4.33/bbl\nD) $15.51/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-08-11", "info_cutoff": "2015-08-10", "options": ["A) $26.68/bbl", "B) $60.20/bbl", "C) $4.33/bbl", "D) $15.51/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China yuan devaluation", "event_date": "2015-08-11", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20150811-120d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 0.34%", "C) 0.42%", "D) 0.52%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 0.34%", "C) 0.42%", "D) 0.52%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-40d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 0.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 0.42%", "C) 0.34%", "D) 0.17%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.34%\nD) 0.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 0.42%", "C) 0.34%", "D) 0.17%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-60d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", "options": ["A) 0.49%", "B) 0.27%", "C) 0.42%", "D) 0.34%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-01.)\n\nA) 0.49%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-01", "options": ["A) 0.49%", "B) 0.27%", "C) 0.42%", "D) 0.34%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20151216-120d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.03%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 0.96%", "B) 0.81%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 1.03%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.96%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 1.03%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 0.96%", "B) 0.81%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 1.03%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-5d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.03%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 1.03%", "B) 0.96%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 0.81%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.03%\nB) 0.96%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 0.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 1.03%", "B) 0.96%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 0.81%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.96%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-10d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) 0.63%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 0.92%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 0.78%", "B) 0.63%", "C) 0.85%", "D) 0.92%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.85%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.78%\nB) 0.63%\nC) 0.85%\nD) 0.92%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 0.78%", "B) 0.63%", "C) 0.85%", "D) 0.92%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.85%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-20d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.64%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 0.79%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 0.42%", "D) 0.64%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 0.42%\nD) 0.64%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 0.79%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 0.42%", "D) 0.64%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-40d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.79%\nD) 0.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 0.64%", "B) 0.42%", "C) 0.79%", "D) 0.49%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.64%\nB) 0.42%\nC) 0.79%\nD) 0.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 0.64%", "B) 0.42%", "C) 0.79%", "D) 0.49%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-60d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.71%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 0.86%", "B) 0.64%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 0.71%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 0.86%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 0.71%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 0.86%", "B) 0.64%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 0.71%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20151216-120d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 2.48%", "B) 1.90%", "C) 2.19%", "D) 2.62%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 1.90%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 2.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 2.48%", "B) 1.90%", "C) 2.19%", "D) 2.62%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-5d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 2.19%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 2.48%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 2.62%", "D) 2.19%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.48%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 2.19%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 2.48%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 2.62%", "D) 2.19%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-10d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.17%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 2.32%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 2.03%", "B) 2.17%", "C) 1.74%", "D) 2.32%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.03%\nB) 2.17%\nC) 1.74%\nD) 2.32%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 2.03%", "B) 2.17%", "C) 1.74%", "D) 2.32%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-20d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 1.20%", "B) 1.63%", "C) 1.92%", "D) 1.77%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.20%\nB) 1.63%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 1.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 1.20%", "B) 1.63%", "C) 1.92%", "D) 1.77%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-40d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 2.06%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 1.63%", "D) 1.20%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 1.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 2.06%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 1.63%", "D) 1.20%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-60d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.63%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 1.77%", "B) 1.20%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 1.63%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed lifts rates first time since 2006\" on 2015-12-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2015-12-16? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-15.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.63%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2015-12-16", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-15", "options": ["A) 1.77%", "B) 1.20%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 1.63%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed lifts rates first time since 2006", "event_date": "2015-12-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20151216-120d-min", "year": 2015} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.46%", "options": ["A) 2.30%", "B) 2.63%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 2.46%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.22pp\nB) -1.66pp\nC) -4.00pp\nD) -0.89pp", "options": ["A) -3.22pp", "B) -1.66pp", "C) -4.00pp", "D) -0.89pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.66pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.82\nB) 76.53\nC) 91.00\nD) 105.47", "options": ["A) 95.82", "B) 76.53", "C) 91.00", "D) 105.47"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "91.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 91.33\nB) 94.12\nC) 101.10\nD) 98.31", "options": ["A) 91.33", "B) 94.12", "C) 101.10", "D) 98.31"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "98.31", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 8.45%\nC) 5.48%\nD) 7.70%", "options": ["A) 6.22%", "B) 8.45%", "C) 5.48%", "D) 7.70%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 113.9208\nB) 105.8700\nC) 89.7684\nD) 81.7176", "options": ["A) 113.9208", "B) 105.8700", "C) 89.7684", "D) 81.7176"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "105.8700", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.79%\nB) 0.90%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.48%", "options": ["A) 0.79%", "B) 0.90%", "C) 0.69%", "D) 0.48%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.24%\nB) -0.75%\nC) -4.48%\nD) -1.99%", "options": ["A) -3.24%", "B) -0.75%", "C) -4.48%", "D) -1.99%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.05%\nB) 4.64%\nC) 5.85%\nD) 9.46%", "options": ["A) 7.05%", "B) 4.64%", "C) 5.85%", "D) 9.46%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 190.88\nB) 186.90\nC) 174.97\nD) 178.95", "options": ["A) 190.88", "B) 186.90", "C) 174.97", "D) 178.95"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "186.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $-32,589M\nB) $-34,695M\nC) $-36,801M\nD) $-41,013M", "options": ["A) $-32,589M", "B) $-34,695M", "C) $-36,801M", "D) $-41,013M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-36,801M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -8.30%\nB) 15.39%\nC) 3.54%\nD) -20.15%", "options": ["A) -8.30%", "B) 15.39%", "C) 3.54%", "D) -20.15%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-20.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 110.60\nB) 108.39\nC) 106.18\nD) 113.92", "options": ["A) 110.60", "B) 108.39", "C) 106.18", "D) 113.92"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "110.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 20.46%\nB) 13.90%\nC) 33.59%\nD) 27.02%", "options": ["A) 20.46%", "B) 13.90%", "C) 33.59%", "D) 27.02%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $12,898B\nB) $14,411B\nC) $13,806B\nD) $14,109B", "options": ["A) $12,898B", "B) $14,411B", "C) $13,806B", "D) $14,109B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,806B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $21.99/hr\nB) $20.79/hr\nC) $20.20/hr\nD) $21.39/hr", "options": ["A) $21.99/hr", "B) $20.79/hr", "C) $20.20/hr", "D) $21.39/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$21.39/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.91pp\nB) +0.48pp\nC) +1.34pp\nD) +1.55pp", "options": ["A) +0.91pp", "B) +0.48pp", "C) +1.34pp", "D) +1.55pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.91pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.79%\nB) 62.90%\nC) 61.01%\nD) 59.75%", "options": ["A) 64.79%", "B) 62.90%", "C) 61.01%", "D) 59.75%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "62.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.98%\nB) -0.21%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 6.08%", "options": ["A) 3.98%", "B) -0.21%", "C) 2.93%", "D) 6.08%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) $23.93/bbl\nB) $83.90/bbl\nC) $35.93/bbl\nD) $47.92/bbl", "options": ["A) $23.93/bbl", "B) $83.90/bbl", "C) $35.93/bbl", "D) $47.92/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$47.92/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.14\nB) 23.10\nC) 29.01\nD) 17.18", "options": ["A) 20.14", "B) 23.10", "C) 29.01", "D) 17.18"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.14", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 95.83\nB) 97.88\nC) 100.94\nD) 102.99", "options": ["A) 95.83", "B) 97.88", "C) 100.94", "D) 102.99"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "97.88", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.49%\nB) -0.89%\nC) -0.09%\nD) -1.69%", "options": ["A) -2.49%", "B) -0.89%", "C) -0.09%", "D) -1.69%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +6.10pp\nB) -14.15pp\nC) -6.05pp\nD) -2.00pp", "options": ["A) +6.10pp", "B) -14.15pp", "C) -6.05pp", "D) -2.00pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 3.06%", "options": ["A) 2.51%", "B) 1.96%", "C) 2.15%", "D) 3.06%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70%\nB) 0.64%\nC) -1.36%\nD) 1.30%", "options": ["A) -0.70%", "B) 0.64%", "C) -1.36%", "D) 1.30%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.72%\nB) 8.22%\nC) 15.73%\nD) -6.79%", "options": ["A) 0.72%", "B) 8.22%", "C) 15.73%", "D) -6.79%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 919K\nB) 820K\nC) 1,217K\nD) 1,118K", "options": ["A) 919K", "B) 820K", "C) 1,217K", "D) 1,118K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,118K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.60pp\nB) +0.87pp\nC) +1.00pp\nD) +0.47pp", "options": ["A) +0.60pp", "B) +0.87pp", "C) +1.00pp", "D) +0.47pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 5.07%\nC) 12.32%\nD) 2.65%", "options": ["A) 0.23%", "B) 5.07%", "C) 12.32%", "D) 2.65%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.95%\nB) 0.62%\nC) 1.55%\nD) 2.01%", "options": ["A) 2.95%", "B) 0.62%", "C) 1.55%", "D) 2.01%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 0.73%\nC) 0.91%\nD) 1.10%", "options": ["A) 1.66%", "B) 0.73%", "C) 0.91%", "D) 1.10%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.82%\nC) 1.21%\nD) 1.09%", "options": ["A) 1.46%", "B) 1.82%", "C) 1.21%", "D) 1.09%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 162.92\nB) 176.58\nC) 190.24\nD) 183.41", "options": ["A) 162.92", "B) 176.58", "C) 190.24", "D) 183.41"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "176.58", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.26%\nB) -14.52%\nC) -7.26%\nD) -29.05%", "options": ["A) 7.26%", "B) -14.52%", "C) -7.26%", "D) -29.05%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-7.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0703\nB) 1.1775\nC) 1.0167\nD) 1.1239", "options": ["A) 1.0703", "B) 1.1775", "C) 1.0167", "D) 1.1239"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1239", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 143,662K\nB) 152,648K\nC) 149,054K\nD) 140,068K", "options": ["A) 143,662K", "B) 152,648K", "C) 149,054K", "D) 140,068K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "143,662K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 4.76%\nD) 7.61%", "options": ["A) 6.47%", "B) 5.90%", "C) 4.76%", "D) 7.61%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,053K\nB) 1,553K\nC) 1,303K\nD) 1,220K", "options": ["A) 1,053K", "B) 1,553K", "C) 1,303K", "D) 1,220K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,303K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -5.07pp\nB) -0.18pp\nC) -1.81pp\nD) -2.62pp", "options": ["A) -5.07pp", "B) -0.18pp", "C) -1.81pp", "D) -2.62pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.62pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.00pp\nB) -7.76pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +7.92pp", "options": ["A) +4.00pp", "B) -7.76pp", "C) +0.08pp", "D) +7.92pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+4.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 58.01%\nB) 59.80%\nC) 62.79%\nD) 61.59%", "options": ["A) 58.01%", "B) 59.80%", "C) 62.79%", "D) 61.59%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "59.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.31%\nB) 0.64%\nC) 0.40%\nD) 0.54%", "options": ["A) 0.31%", "B) 0.64%", "C) 0.40%", "D) 0.54%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,369B\nB) $10,974B\nC) $12,948B\nD) $11,764B", "options": ["A) $11,369B", "B) $10,974B", "C) $12,948B", "D) $11,764B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$11,764B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 245.91\nB) 239.69\nC) 261.47\nD) 252.14", "options": ["A) 245.91", "B) 239.69", "C) 261.47", "D) 252.14"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "245.91", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 18,169.38\nB) 17,640.17\nC) 17,110.96\nD) 18,522.18", "options": ["A) 18,169.38", "B) 17,640.17", "C) 17,110.96", "D) 18,522.18"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17,640.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,414,175\nB) 1,651,650\nC) 2,160,000\nD) 1,905,825", "options": ["A) 2,414,175", "B) 1,651,650", "C) 2,160,000", "D) 1,905,825"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,160,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $22.26/hr\nB) $20.35/hr\nC) $20.98/hr\nD) $21.62/hr", "options": ["A) $22.26/hr", "B) $20.35/hr", "C) $20.98/hr", "D) $21.62/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$21.62/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.37%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 0.07%", "options": ["A) 0.26%", "B) 0.37%", "C) 0.15%", "D) 0.07%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $197,391M\nB) $217,396M\nC) $224,064M\nD) $230,733M", "options": ["A) $197,391M", "B) $217,396M", "C) $224,064M", "D) $230,733M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$217,396M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.49%\nB) 57.91%\nC) 59.70%\nD) 56.72%", "options": ["A) 61.49%", "B) 57.91%", "C) 59.70%", "D) 56.72%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "59.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 3.65%\nC) 2.28%\nD) 2.96%", "options": ["A) 3.31%", "B) 3.65%", "C) 2.28%", "D) 2.96%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $59,556M\nB) $58,092M\nC) $62,484M\nD) $55,165M", "options": ["A) $59,556M", "B) $58,092M", "C) $62,484M", "D) $55,165M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$59,556M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 4.66%", "options": ["A) 4.34%", "B) 3.72%", "C) 4.03%", "D) 4.66%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.15%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 1.11%", "options": ["A) -0.15%", "B) 0.27%", "C) 0.69%", "D) 1.11%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.08%\nB) -7.57%\nC) -2.25%\nD) -4.91%", "options": ["A) 3.08%", "B) -7.57%", "C) -2.25%", "D) -4.91%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-4.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.61%\nB) -13.66%\nC) 3.96%\nD) -17.19%", "options": ["A) -6.61%", "B) -13.66%", "C) 3.96%", "D) -17.19%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-6.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.81pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.54pp\nD) -0.26pp", "options": ["A) -0.81pp", "B) -0.40pp", "C) -0.54pp", "D) -0.26pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,700.64\nB) 3,969.22\nC) 4,834.93\nD) 3,536.36", "options": ["A) 5,700.64", "B) 3,969.22", "C) 4,834.93", "D) 3,536.36"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,834.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 73.66%\nB) 78.92%\nC) 76.66%\nD) 75.16%", "options": ["A) 73.66%", "B) 78.92%", "C) 76.66%", "D) 75.16%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "75.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 2.25%\nD) 1.63%", "options": ["A) 1.94%", "B) 2.10%", "C) 2.25%", "D) 1.63%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 119.89\nB) 111.77\nC) 99.58\nD) 123.95", "options": ["A) 119.89", "B) 111.77", "C) 99.58", "D) 123.95"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "111.77", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,898M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $3,898M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$3,898M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.34%\nB) 3.03%\nC) 5.66%\nD) 5.00%", "options": ["A) 4.34%", "B) 3.03%", "C) 5.66%", "D) 5.00%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -4.36%\nB) -20.46%\nC) 11.74%\nD) 1.00%", "options": ["A) -4.36%", "B) -20.46%", "C) 11.74%", "D) 1.00%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-4.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 191.54\nB) 182.10\nC) 166.37\nD) 175.81", "options": ["A) 191.54", "B) 182.10", "C) 166.37", "D) 175.81"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "182.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.04%\nB) -5.37%\nC) -1.16%\nD) 0.94%", "options": ["A) 3.04%", "B) -5.37%", "C) -1.16%", "D) 0.94%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) $90.60/bbl\nB) $18.72/bbl\nC) $33.09/bbl\nD) $47.47/bbl", "options": ["A) $90.60/bbl", "B) $18.72/bbl", "C) $33.09/bbl", "D) $47.47/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$47.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 98.83\nB) 95.83\nC) 102.84\nD) 100.84", "options": ["A) 98.83", "B) 95.83", "C) 102.84", "D) 100.84"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "98.83", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $11,558B\nB) $13,055B\nC) $13,554B\nD) $14,552B", "options": ["A) $11,558B", "B) $13,055B", "C) $13,554B", "D) $14,552B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$13,055B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,953B\nB) $14,642B\nC) $14,019B\nD) $13,396B", "options": ["A) $14,953B", "B) $14,642B", "C) $14,019B", "D) $13,396B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$14,019B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.32%\nB) 7.04%\nC) 6.36%\nD) 5.00%", "options": ["A) 4.32%", "B) 7.04%", "C) 6.36%", "D) 5.00%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.00pp\nB) +0.44pp\nC) -0.44pp\nD) -0.15pp", "options": ["A) +0.00pp", "B) +0.44pp", "C) -0.44pp", "D) -0.15pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -9.05%\nB) -5.91%\nC) 0.37%\nD) -15.33%", "options": ["A) -9.05%", "B) -5.91%", "C) 0.37%", "D) -15.33%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-5.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 827K\nB) 1,395K\nC) 1,111K\nD) 922K", "options": ["A) 827K", "B) 1,395K", "C) 1,111K", "D) 922K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,111K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.28%\nB) 0.43%\nC) 0.51%\nD) 0.36%", "options": ["A) 0.28%", "B) 0.43%", "C) 0.51%", "D) 0.36%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.24%\nB) 9.30%\nC) 6.55%\nD) 8.61%", "options": ["A) 7.24%", "B) 9.30%", "C) 6.55%", "D) 8.61%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $64,588M\nB) $60,742M\nC) $56,896M\nD) $59,460M", "options": ["A) $64,588M", "B) $60,742M", "C) $56,896M", "D) $59,460M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$60,742M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.60\nB) 95.72\nC) 97.67\nD) 92.79", "options": ["A) 100.60", "B) 95.72", "C) 97.67", "D) 92.79"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "97.67", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.77%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 5.30%\nD) 3.00%", "options": ["A) 3.77%", "B) 0.70%", "C) 5.30%", "D) 3.00%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 63.00%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 64.89%\nD) 66.15%", "options": ["A) 63.00%", "B) 61.11%", "C) 64.89%", "D) 66.15%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "63.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $442,660M\nB) $453,056M\nC) $421,867M\nD) $432,264M", "options": ["A) $442,660M", "B) $453,056M", "C) $421,867M", "D) $432,264M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$453,056M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 258.32\nB) 242.52\nC) 248.84\nD) 236.20", "options": ["A) 258.32", "B) 242.52", "C) 248.84", "D) 236.20"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "248.84", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $225,760M\nB) $203,645M\nC) $233,131M\nD) $218,388M", "options": ["A) $225,760M", "B) $203,645M", "C) $233,131M", "D) $218,388M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$218,388M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) -20.10%\nB) -33.57%\nC) -47.04%\nD) -6.63%", "options": ["A) -20.10%", "B) -33.57%", "C) -47.04%", "D) -6.63%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-20.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 245.22\nB) 238.08\nC) 230.94\nD) 223.80", "options": ["A) 245.22", "B) 238.08", "C) 230.94", "D) 223.80"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "238.08", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 161.99\nB) 205.86\nC) 183.93\nD) 198.55", "options": ["A) 161.99", "B) 205.86", "C) 183.93", "D) 198.55"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "183.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.10pp\nB) +0.90pp\nC) +0.24pp\nD) +0.50pp", "options": ["A) +0.10pp", "B) +0.90pp", "C) +0.24pp", "D) +0.50pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 261,000\nB) 308,153\nC) 237,424\nD) 213,847", "options": ["A) 261,000", "B) 308,153", "C) 237,424", "D) 213,847"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "261,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.57%\nB) 75.31%\nC) 71.55%\nD) 73.06%", "options": ["A) 77.57%", "B) 75.31%", "C) 71.55%", "D) 73.06%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "75.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 2.27%\nD) 2.38%", "options": ["A) 2.16%", "B) 2.05%", "C) 2.27%", "D) 2.38%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $13,421B\nB) $11,653B\nC) $13,126B\nD) $12,537B", "options": ["A) $13,421B", "B) $11,653B", "C) $13,126B", "D) $12,537B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$12,537B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.89%\nB) 0.99%\nC) -0.82%\nD) 4.61%", "options": ["A) 1.89%", "B) 0.99%", "C) -0.82%", "D) 4.61%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.26%\nB) 3.05%\nC) -0.16%\nD) 4.12%", "options": ["A) 6.26%", "B) 3.05%", "C) -0.16%", "D) 4.12%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 93.73\nB) 96.69\nC) 98.67\nD) 100.64", "options": ["A) 93.73", "B) 96.69", "C) 98.67", "D) 100.64"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "98.67", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 150,533K\nB) 139,401K\nC) 154,243K\nD) 144,967K", "options": ["A) 150,533K", "B) 139,401K", "C) 154,243K", "D) 144,967K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "144,967K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.10%\nB) 6.26%\nC) 5.68%\nD) 6.84%", "options": ["A) 5.10%", "B) 6.26%", "C) 5.68%", "D) 6.84%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $-38,966M\nB) $-37,004M\nC) $-33,080M\nD) $-35,042M", "options": ["A) $-38,966M", "B) $-37,004M", "C) $-33,080M", "D) $-35,042M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-37,004M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.01%\nB) 3.06%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 2.64%", "options": ["A) 2.01%", "B) 3.06%", "C) 2.43%", "D) 2.64%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 3.05%\nD) 3.54%", "options": ["A) 3.21%", "B) 3.70%", "C) 3.05%", "D) 3.54%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.99%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 1.21%", "options": ["A) 1.60%", "B) 1.99%", "C) 1.41%", "D) 1.21%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.49%\nB) -0.16%\nC) -12.65%\nD) -4.32%", "options": ["A) -8.49%", "B) -0.16%", "C) -12.65%", "D) -4.32%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.15%\nB) 1.19%\nC) -12.75%\nD) -26.68%", "options": ["A) 8.15%", "B) 1.19%", "C) -12.75%", "D) -26.68%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-12.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.35%\nB) 2.52%\nC) -0.19%\nD) 0.89%", "options": ["A) 0.35%", "B) 2.52%", "C) -0.19%", "D) 0.89%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 2.39%\nC) 2.52%\nD) 1.77%", "options": ["A) 2.14%", "B) 2.39%", "C) 2.52%", "D) 1.77%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -10.41%\nB) -3.28%\nC) 3.85%\nD) -24.68%", "options": ["A) -10.41%", "B) -3.28%", "C) 3.85%", "D) -24.68%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 111.89\nB) 106.41\nC) 109.70\nD) 115.19", "options": ["A) 111.89", "B) 106.41", "C) 109.70", "D) 115.19"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "109.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.48%\nB) 1.59%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.22%", "options": ["A) 0.48%", "B) 1.59%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 1.22%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,068K\nB) 898K\nC) 1,153K\nD) 1,322K", "options": ["A) 1,068K", "B) 898K", "C) 1,153K", "D) 1,322K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,068K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) 17.91%\nB) 4.29%\nC) 24.72%\nD) -16.13%", "options": ["A) 17.91%", "B) 4.29%", "C) 24.72%", "D) -16.13%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.81%\nB) 1.16%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 10.99%", "options": ["A) -0.81%", "B) 1.16%", "C) 5.09%", "D) 10.99%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.84pp\nB) +0.16pp\nC) +0.61pp\nD) +0.50pp", "options": ["A) +0.84pp", "B) +0.16pp", "C) +0.61pp", "D) +0.50pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +0.04pp\nC) +0.76pp\nD) +0.52pp", "options": ["A) +0.40pp", "B) +0.04pp", "C) +0.76pp", "D) +0.52pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 2.20%", "options": ["A) 2.10%", "B) 1.89%", "C) 1.58%", "D) 2.20%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.1838\nB) 6.3811\nC) 6.5785\nD) 6.7759", "options": ["A) 6.1838", "B) 6.3811", "C) 6.5785", "D) 6.7759"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5785", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,736M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $3,736M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$3,736M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) $12,847B\nB) $13,762B\nC) $13,457B\nD) $11,931B", "options": ["A) $12,847B", "B) $13,762B", "C) $13,457B", "D) $11,931B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$12,847B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 95.56\nB) 98.75\nC) 93.43\nD) 101.94", "options": ["A) 95.56", "B) 98.75", "C) 93.43", "D) 101.94"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "98.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.85%\nB) -9.36%\nC) -5.10%\nD) -17.88%", "options": ["A) -0.85%", "B) -9.36%", "C) -5.10%", "D) -17.88%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-5.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.45%\nB) -5.65%\nC) -4.58%\nD) -3.52%", "options": ["A) -2.45%", "B) -5.65%", "C) -4.58%", "D) -3.52%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 241.18\nB) 236.35\nC) 231.53\nD) 248.41", "options": ["A) 241.18", "B) 236.35", "C) 231.53", "D) 248.41"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "241.18", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $453,080M\nB) $441,856M\nC) $475,527M\nD) $464,303M", "options": ["A) $453,080M", "B) $441,856M", "C) $475,527M", "D) $464,303M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$441,856M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20160615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2016-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2016-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.36%\nB) 8.54%\nC) 5.64%\nD) -3.09%", "options": ["A) 14.36%", "B) 8.54%", "C) 5.64%", "D) -3.09%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20160301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-01-30.)\n\nA) $11,655B\nB) $13,165B\nC) $14,173B\nD) $12,662B", "options": ["A) $11,655B", "B) $13,165B", "C) $14,173B", "D) $12,662B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$12,662B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 91.20\nB) 77.85\nC) 95.65\nD) 104.55", "options": ["A) 91.20", "B) 77.85", "C) 95.65", "D) 104.55"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "91.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20160901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2016", "info_cutoff": "2016-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2016? (Use only information available on or before 2016-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 1.69%\nC) 1.45%\nD) 1.80%", "options": ["A) 2.04%", "B) 1.69%", "C) 1.45%", "D) 1.80%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2402\nB) 0.8999\nC) 1.1126\nD) 1.0275", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.2402", "B) 0.8999", "C) 1.1126", "D) 1.0275"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1126", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2402\nB) 0.8999\nC) 1.1126\nD) 1.0275", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.2402", "B) 0.8999", "C) 1.1126", "D) 1.0275"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1126", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-5d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0294\nB) 1.2421\nC) 1.3272\nD) 1.1145", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.0294", "B) 1.2421", "C) 1.3272", "D) 1.1145"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1145", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0294\nB) 1.2421\nC) 1.3272\nD) 1.1145", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.0294", "B) 1.2421", "C) 1.3272", "D) 1.1145"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1145", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-10d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.1145\nB) 1.0294\nC) 0.9018\nD) 1.2421", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.1145", "B) 1.0294", "C) 0.9018", "D) 1.2421"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.1145", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.1145\nB) 1.0294\nC) 0.9018\nD) 1.2421", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.1145", "B) 1.0294", "C) 0.9018", "D) 1.2421"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.1145", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-20d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2185\nB) 1.1334\nC) 1.0483\nD) 0.9633", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.2185", "B) 1.1334", "C) 1.0483", "D) 0.9633"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.2185\nB) 1.1334\nC) 1.0483\nD) 0.9633", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.2185", "B) 1.1334", "C) 1.0483", "D) 0.9633"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-40d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.1334\nD) 1.3035", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.0058", "B) 1.2185", "C) 1.1334", "D) 1.3035"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.0058\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.1334\nD) 1.3035", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.0058", "B) 1.2185", "C) 1.1334", "D) 1.3035"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-60d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.3461\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.0058\nD) 1.1334", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.3461", "B) 1.2185", "C) 1.0058", "D) 1.1334"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.3461\nB) 1.2185\nC) 1.0058\nD) 1.1334", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.3461", "B) 1.2185", "C) 1.0058", "D) 1.1334"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1334", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20160623-120d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.63\nB) 19.84\nC) 17.73\nD) 13.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 15.63", "B) 19.84", "C) 17.73", "D) 13.53"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.63\nB) 19.84\nC) 17.73\nD) 13.53", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 15.63", "B) 19.84", "C) 17.73", "D) 13.53"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-5d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.30\nB) 13.20\nC) 19.51\nD) 8.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 15.30", "B) 13.20", "C) 19.51", "D) 8.99"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 15.30\nB) 13.20\nC) 19.51\nD) 8.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 15.30", "B) 13.20", "C) 19.51", "D) 8.99"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-10d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 7.56\nB) 9.67\nC) 11.77\nD) 5.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 7.56", "B) 9.67", "C) 11.77", "D) 5.46"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 7.56\nB) 9.67\nC) 11.77\nD) 5.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 7.56", "B) 9.67", "C) 11.77", "D) 5.46"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-20d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 5.03\nC) 7.13\nD) 11.34", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 9.24", "B) 5.03", "C) 7.13", "D) 11.34"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 5.03\nC) 7.13\nD) 11.34", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 9.24", "B) 5.03", "C) 7.13", "D) 11.34"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-40d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 7.13\nC) 15.55\nD) 13.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 11.34", "B) 7.13", "C) 15.55", "D) 13.44"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 7.13\nC) 15.55\nD) 13.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 11.34", "B) 7.13", "C) 15.55", "D) 13.44"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-60d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 11.34\nC) 13.44\nD) 7.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 9.24", "B) 11.34", "C) 13.44", "D) 7.13"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 9.24\nB) 11.34\nC) 13.44\nD) 7.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 9.24", "B) 11.34", "C) 13.44", "D) 7.13"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160623-120d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,077.94\nB) 4,489.76\nC) 4,842.67\nD) 5,195.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 5,077.94", "B) 4,489.76", "C) 4,842.67", "D) 5,195.58"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,842.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,077.94\nB) 4,489.76\nC) 4,842.67\nD) 5,195.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 5,077.94", "B) 4,489.76", "C) 4,842.67", "D) 5,195.58"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,842.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-5d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,839.12\nB) 4,603.85\nC) 5,074.40\nD) 4,956.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 4,839.12", "B) 4,603.85", "C) 5,074.40", "D) 4,956.76"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,956.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,839.12\nB) 4,603.85\nC) 5,074.40\nD) 4,956.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 4,839.12", "B) 4,603.85", "C) 5,074.40", "D) 4,956.76"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,956.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-10d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,100.16\nB) 5,453.07\nC) 4,864.89\nD) 5,335.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 5,100.16", "B) 5,453.07", "C) 4,864.89", "D) 5,335.43"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,100.16", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,100.16\nB) 5,453.07\nC) 4,864.89\nD) 5,335.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 5,100.16", "B) 5,453.07", "C) 4,864.89", "D) 5,335.43"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,100.16", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-20d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,909.11\nB) 5,262.02\nC) 5,144.38\nD) 5,497.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 4,909.11", "B) 5,262.02", "C) 5,144.38", "D) 5,497.29"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,262.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 4,909.11\nB) 5,262.02\nC) 5,144.38\nD) 5,497.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 4,909.11", "B) 5,262.02", "C) 5,144.38", "D) 5,497.29"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,262.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-40d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,636.84\nB) 4,931.02\nC) 5,283.93\nD) 5,166.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 5,636.84", "B) 4,931.02", "C) 5,283.93", "D) 5,166.29"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,283.93", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,636.84\nB) 4,931.02\nC) 5,283.93\nD) 5,166.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 5,636.84", "B) 4,931.02", "C) 5,283.93", "D) 5,166.29"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,283.93", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-60d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,699.10\nB) 5,110.92\nC) 5,816.74\nD) 5,463.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 5,699.10", "B) 5,110.92", "C) 5,816.74", "D) 5,463.83"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,463.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 5,699.10\nB) 5,110.92\nC) 5,816.74\nD) 5,463.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 5,699.10", "B) 5,110.92", "C) 5,816.74", "D) 5,463.83"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,463.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160623-120d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 1.71%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.46%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 1.83%", "D) 1.71%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.46%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.46%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.83%\nD) 1.71%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.46%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 1.83%", "D) 1.71%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.46%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-5d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.12%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.49%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.12%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.12%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.49%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-10d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.00%", "B) 1.62%", "C) 1.37%", "D) 1.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 1.62%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.00%", "B) 1.62%", "C) 1.37%", "D) 1.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-20d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 1.12%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.37%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.62%", "B) 1.12%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.37%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.62%\nB) 1.12%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.37%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.62%", "B) 1.12%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.37%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-40d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.37%", "B) 1.00%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.12%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.37%\nB) 1.00%\nC) 1.25%\nD) 1.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.37%", "B) 1.00%", "C) 1.25%", "D) 1.12%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-60d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.74%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 1.12%", "D) 1.49%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Brexit referendum\" on 2016-06-23, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-06-23? (Use only information available on or before 2016-06-22.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 1.12%\nD) 1.49%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-06-23", "info_cutoff": "2016-06-22", "options": ["A) 1.74%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 1.12%", "D) 1.49%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Brexit referendum", "event_date": "2016-06-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20160623-120d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,600.27\nB) 5,383.84\nC) 5,275.62\nD) 4,950.97", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 5,600.27", "B) 5,383.84", "C) 5,275.62", "D) 4,950.97"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,275.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,600.27\nB) 5,383.84\nC) 5,275.62\nD) 4,950.97", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 5,600.27", "B) 5,383.84", "C) 5,275.62", "D) 4,950.97"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,275.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,711.00\nB) 5,494.57\nC) 5,169.91\nD) 5,386.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 5,711.00", "B) 5,494.57", "C) 5,169.91", "D) 5,386.35"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,386.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,711.00\nB) 5,494.57\nC) 5,169.91\nD) 5,386.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 5,711.00", "B) 5,494.57", "C) 5,169.91", "D) 5,386.35"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,386.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,398.92\nB) 5,507.14\nC) 5,182.48\nD) 5,290.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 5,398.92", "B) 5,507.14", "C) 5,182.48", "D) 5,290.70"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,398.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,398.92\nB) 5,507.14\nC) 5,182.48\nD) 5,290.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 5,398.92", "B) 5,507.14", "C) 5,182.48", "D) 5,290.70"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,398.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,737.50\nB) 5,521.06\nC) 5,088.19\nD) 5,304.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 5,737.50", "B) 5,521.06", "C) 5,088.19", "D) 5,304.62"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,521.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,737.50\nB) 5,521.06\nC) 5,088.19\nD) 5,304.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 5,737.50", "B) 5,521.06", "C) 5,088.19", "D) 5,304.62"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,521.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,125.68\nB) 5,342.12\nC) 5,666.77\nD) 5,883.21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 5,125.68", "B) 5,342.12", "C) 5,666.77", "D) 5,883.21"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,666.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,125.68\nB) 5,342.12\nC) 5,666.77\nD) 5,883.21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 5,125.68", "B) 5,342.12", "C) 5,666.77", "D) 5,883.21"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,666.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,878.93\nB) 5,554.28\nC) 6,420.02\nD) 6,095.37", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 5,878.93", "B) 5,554.28", "C) 6,420.02", "D) 6,095.37"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,095.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 5,878.93\nB) 5,554.28\nC) 6,420.02\nD) 6,095.37", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 5,878.93", "B) 5,554.28", "C) 6,420.02", "D) 6,095.37"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,095.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2,163.26", "B) 2,228.16", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,293.06"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-5d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2,163.26", "B) 2,228.16", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,293.06"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-5d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2,228.16", "B) 2,163.26", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,293.06"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-10d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,293.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2,228.16", "B) 2,163.26", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,293.06"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-10d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,033.46\nC) 2,163.26\nD) 2,098.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2,228.16", "B) 2,033.46", "C) 2,163.26", "D) 2,098.36"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-20d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,033.46\nC) 2,163.26\nD) 2,098.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2,228.16", "B) 2,033.46", "C) 2,163.26", "D) 2,098.36"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-20d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,011.83\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,163.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2,228.16", "B) 2,011.83", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,163.26"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-40d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,228.16\nB) 2,011.83\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,163.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2,228.16", "B) 2,011.83", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,163.26"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-40d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,314.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2,163.26", "B) 2,228.16", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,314.69"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-60d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,163.26\nB) 2,228.16\nC) 2,098.36\nD) 2,314.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2,163.26", "B) 2,228.16", "C) 2,098.36", "D) 2,314.69"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-60d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20161108-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,314.69\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,228.16\nD) 2,098.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2,314.69", "B) 2,163.26", "C) 2,228.16", "D) 2,098.36"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-120d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20161108-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2,314.69\nB) 2,163.26\nC) 2,228.16\nD) 2,098.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2,314.69", "B) 2,163.26", "C) 2,228.16", "D) 2,098.36"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,163.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20161108-120d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2.10%", "B) 1.84%", "C) 2.23%", "D) 2.62%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.23%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 1.84%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2.10%", "B) 1.84%", "C) 2.23%", "D) 2.62%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.23%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 2.36%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2.49%", "B) 2.10%", "C) 1.97%", "D) 2.36%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.36%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.97%\nD) 2.36%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2.49%", "B) 2.10%", "C) 1.97%", "D) 2.36%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.36%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2.45%", "B) 2.71%", "C) 2.84%", "D) 2.58%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.45%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.45%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 2.84%\nD) 2.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2.45%", "B) 2.71%", "C) 2.84%", "D) 2.58%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.45%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.60%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 2.21%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2.47%", "B) 2.60%", "C) 2.34%", "D) 2.21%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.60%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.47%\nB) 2.60%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 2.21%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2.47%", "B) 2.60%", "C) 2.34%", "D) 2.21%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.60%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2.73%", "B) 2.99%", "C) 2.60%", "D) 2.34%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.60%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.73%\nB) 2.99%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 2.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2.73%", "B) 2.99%", "C) 2.60%", "D) 2.34%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.60%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.23%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2.23%", "B) 3.01%", "C) 2.88%", "D) 2.62%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.62%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 2.23%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 2.88%\nD) 2.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 2.23%", "B) 3.01%", "C) 2.88%", "D) 2.62%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.62%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.1452\nD) 1.1952", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 1.0952", "B) 1.0202", "C) 1.1452", "D) 1.1952"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.1452\nD) 1.1952", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 1.0952", "B) 1.0202", "C) 1.1452", "D) 1.1952"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1702\nB) 1.0952\nC) 1.2202\nD) 1.0202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 1.1702", "B) 1.0952", "C) 1.2202", "D) 1.0202"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1702\nB) 1.0952\nC) 1.2202\nD) 1.0202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 1.1702", "B) 1.0952", "C) 1.2202", "D) 1.0202"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 0.9702\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.0952\nD) 1.1702", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 0.9702", "B) 1.0202", "C) 1.0952", "D) 1.1702"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 0.9702\nB) 1.0202\nC) 1.0952\nD) 1.1702", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 0.9702", "B) 1.0202", "C) 1.0952", "D) 1.1702"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0452\nB) 1.1702\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0952", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 1.0452", "B) 1.1702", "C) 0.9702", "D) 1.0952"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0452\nB) 1.1702\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0952", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 1.0452", "B) 1.1702", "C) 0.9702", "D) 1.0952"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1452\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 1.0952", "B) 1.1452", "C) 0.9702", "D) 1.0202"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.0952\nB) 1.1452\nC) 0.9702\nD) 1.0202", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 1.0952", "B) 1.1452", "C) 0.9702", "D) 1.0202"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0952", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1467\nB) 1.0967\nC) 1.2217\nD) 1.0217", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 1.1467", "B) 1.0967", "C) 1.2217", "D) 1.0217"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0967", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 1.1467\nB) 1.0967\nC) 1.2217\nD) 1.0217", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 1.1467", "B) 1.0967", "C) 1.2217", "D) 1.0217"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0967", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 14.74\nD) 18.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 16.82", "B) 20.97", "C) 14.74", "D) 18.89"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 14.74\nD) 18.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 16.82", "B) 20.97", "C) 14.74", "D) 18.89"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-5d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 12.66\nD) 14.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 16.82", "B) 20.97", "C) 12.66", "D) 14.74"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 20.97\nC) 12.66\nD) 14.74", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 16.82", "B) 20.97", "C) 12.66", "D) 14.74"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-10d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.74\nB) 8.51\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 14.74", "B) 8.51", "C) 18.89", "D) 10.59"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.74\nB) 8.51\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 14.74", "B) 8.51", "C) 18.89", "D) 10.59"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-20d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 14.74\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 16.82", "B) 14.74", "C) 18.89", "D) 10.59"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.82\nB) 14.74\nC) 18.89\nD) 10.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 16.82", "B) 14.74", "C) 18.89", "D) 10.59"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-40d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 8.51\nC) 14.74\nD) 10.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 20.97", "B) 8.51", "C) 14.74", "D) 10.59"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 20.97\nB) 8.51\nC) 14.74\nD) 10.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 20.97", "B) 8.51", "C) 14.74", "D) 10.59"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.74", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-60d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 22.19\nC) 18.04\nD) 15.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 13.88", "B) 22.19", "C) 18.04", "D) 15.96"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump election victory\" on 2016-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2016-11-07.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 22.19\nC) 18.04\nD) 15.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2016-11-07", "options": ["A) 13.88", "B) 22.19", "C) 18.04", "D) 15.96"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump election victory", "event_date": "2016-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20161108-120d-max", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,637.99\nB) 4,978.13\nC) 5,148.19\nD) 4,127.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 4,637.99", "B) 4,978.13", "C) 5,148.19", "D) 4,127.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,637.99", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,637.99\nB) 4,978.13\nC) 5,148.19\nD) 4,127.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 4,637.99", "B) 4,978.13", "C) 5,148.19", "D) 4,127.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,637.99", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,647.02\nB) 4,476.95\nC) 4,987.15\nD) 4,817.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 4,647.02", "B) 4,476.95", "C) 4,987.15", "D) 4,817.09"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,476.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,647.02\nB) 4,476.95\nC) 4,987.15\nD) 4,817.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 4,647.02", "B) 4,476.95", "C) 4,987.15", "D) 4,817.09"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,476.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,978.37\nB) 4,808.31\nC) 4,468.17\nD) 4,638.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 4,978.37", "B) 4,808.31", "C) 4,468.17", "D) 4,638.24"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,468.17", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,978.37\nB) 4,808.31\nC) 4,468.17\nD) 4,638.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 4,978.37", "B) 4,808.31", "C) 4,468.17", "D) 4,638.24"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,468.17", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 3,756.64\nC) 4,777.04\nD) 4,266.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 4,096.77", "B) 3,756.64", "C) 4,777.04", "D) 4,266.84"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,266.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 3,756.64\nC) 4,777.04\nD) 4,266.84", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 4,096.77", "B) 3,756.64", "C) 4,777.04", "D) 4,266.84"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,266.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,266.84\nB) 4,436.91\nC) 3,926.70\nD) 4,606.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 4,266.84", "B) 4,436.91", "C) 3,926.70", "D) 4,606.98"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,266.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,266.84\nB) 4,436.91\nC) 3,926.70\nD) 4,606.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 4,266.84", "B) 4,436.91", "C) 3,926.70", "D) 4,606.98"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,266.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 4,266.84\nC) 3,756.64\nD) 4,777.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 4,096.77", "B) 4,266.84", "C) 3,756.64", "D) 4,777.04"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,266.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 4,096.77\nB) 4,266.84\nC) 3,756.64\nD) 4,777.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 4,096.77", "B) 4,266.84", "C) 3,756.64", "D) 4,777.04"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,266.84", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3262\nB) 6.0654\nC) 6.5219\nD) 6.7176", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 6.3262", "B) 6.0654", "C) 6.5219", "D) 6.7176"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5219", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3262\nB) 6.0654\nC) 6.5219\nD) 6.7176", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 6.3262", "B) 6.0654", "C) 6.5219", "D) 6.7176"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.5219", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.0654\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.3262\nD) 6.5219", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 6.0654", "B) 6.7176", "C) 6.3262", "D) 6.5219"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.5219", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.0654\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.3262\nD) 6.5219", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 6.0654", "B) 6.7176", "C) 6.3262", "D) 6.5219"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.5219", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.5219\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.1306\nD) 6.3262", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 6.5219", "B) 6.7176", "C) 6.1306", "D) 6.3262"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.5219", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.5219\nB) 6.7176\nC) 6.1306\nD) 6.3262", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 6.5219", "B) 6.7176", "C) 6.1306", "D) 6.3262"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.5219", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.6457\nB) 6.5154\nC) 6.1896\nD) 6.3851", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 6.6457", "B) 6.5154", "C) 6.1896", "D) 6.3851"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.5154", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.6457\nB) 6.5154\nC) 6.1896\nD) 6.3851", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 6.6457", "B) 6.5154", "C) 6.1896", "D) 6.3851"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.5154", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3355\nB) 6.2062\nC) 6.4648\nD) 6.6587", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 6.3355", "B) 6.2062", "C) 6.4648", "D) 6.6587"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4648", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.3355\nB) 6.2062\nC) 6.4648\nD) 6.6587", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 6.3355", "B) 6.2062", "C) 6.4648", "D) 6.6587"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4648", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.7059\nB) 6.5770\nC) 6.3190\nD) 6.4480", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 6.7059", "B) 6.5770", "C) 6.3190", "D) 6.4480"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.4480", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 6.7059\nB) 6.5770\nC) 6.3190\nD) 6.4480", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 6.7059", "B) 6.5770", "C) 6.3190", "D) 6.4480"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.4480", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 13.64\nC) 15.54\nD) 21.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 19.34", "B) 13.64", "C) 15.54", "D) 21.24"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 19.34\nB) 13.64\nC) 15.54\nD) 21.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 19.34", "B) 13.64", "C) 15.54", "D) 21.24"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 25.04\nB) 19.34\nC) 17.44\nD) 13.64", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 25.04", "B) 19.34", "C) 17.44", "D) 13.64"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 25.04\nB) 19.34\nC) 17.44\nD) 13.64", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 25.04", "B) 19.34", "C) 17.44", "D) 13.64"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 21.24\nB) 17.44\nC) 19.34\nD) 15.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 21.24", "B) 17.44", "C) 19.34", "D) 15.54"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 21.24\nB) 17.44\nC) 19.34\nD) 15.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 21.24", "B) 17.44", "C) 19.34", "D) 15.54"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.34", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 22.79\nC) 13.29\nD) 17.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 18.99", "B) 22.79", "C) 13.29", "D) 17.09"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 22.79\nC) 13.29\nD) 17.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 18.99", "B) 22.79", "C) 13.29", "D) 17.09"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.56\nB) 9.76\nC) 11.66\nD) 19.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 13.56", "B) 9.76", "C) 11.66", "D) 19.26"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.56", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 13.56\nB) 9.76\nC) 11.66\nD) 19.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 13.56", "B) 9.76", "C) 11.66", "D) 19.26"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.56", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 7.40\nB) 13.10\nC) 9.30\nD) 16.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 7.40", "B) 13.10", "C) 9.30", "D) 16.90"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.10", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) 7.40\nB) 13.10\nC) 9.30\nD) 16.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) 7.40", "B) 13.10", "C) 9.30", "D) 16.90"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.10", "unit": "index", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $6.69/bbl\nB) $68.51/bbl\nC) $31.42/bbl\nD) $43.78/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) $6.69/bbl", "B) $68.51/bbl", "C) $31.42/bbl", "D) $43.78/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$31.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $6.69/bbl\nB) $68.51/bbl\nC) $31.42/bbl\nD) $43.78/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) $6.69/bbl", "B) $68.51/bbl", "C) $31.42/bbl", "D) $43.78/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$31.42/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-5d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $65.56/bbl\nB) $40.83/bbl\nC) $3.74/bbl\nD) $28.47/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) $65.56/bbl", "B) $40.83/bbl", "C) $3.74/bbl", "D) $28.47/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$28.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $65.56/bbl\nB) $40.83/bbl\nC) $3.74/bbl\nD) $28.47/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) $65.56/bbl", "B) $40.83/bbl", "C) $3.74/bbl", "D) $28.47/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$28.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-10d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $51.41/bbl\nC) $39.04/bbl\nD) $14.32/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) $26.68/bbl", "B) $51.41/bbl", "C) $39.04/bbl", "D) $14.32/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $26.68/bbl\nB) $51.41/bbl\nC) $39.04/bbl\nD) $14.32/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) $26.68/bbl", "B) $51.41/bbl", "C) $39.04/bbl", "D) $14.32/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$26.68/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-20d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $13.83/bbl\nB) $26.19/bbl\nC) $-10.90/bbl\nD) $38.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) $13.83/bbl", "B) $26.19/bbl", "C) $-10.90/bbl", "D) $38.55/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $13.83/bbl\nB) $26.19/bbl\nC) $-10.90/bbl\nD) $38.55/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) $13.83/bbl", "B) $26.19/bbl", "C) $-10.90/bbl", "D) $38.55/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-40d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $38.55/bbl\nB) $1.46/bbl\nC) $26.19/bbl\nD) $13.83/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) $38.55/bbl", "B) $1.46/bbl", "C) $26.19/bbl", "D) $13.83/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $38.55/bbl\nB) $1.46/bbl\nC) $26.19/bbl\nD) $13.83/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) $38.55/bbl", "B) $1.46/bbl", "C) $26.19/bbl", "D) $13.83/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-60d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $-10.90/bbl\nB) $38.55/bbl\nC) $63.28/bbl\nD) $26.19/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) $-10.90/bbl", "B) $38.55/bbl", "C) $63.28/bbl", "D) $26.19/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"China stock-market circuit breakers\" on 2016-01-04, what will be the minimum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2016-01-04? (Use only information available on or before 2015-12-31.)\n\nA) $-10.90/bbl\nB) $38.55/bbl\nC) $63.28/bbl\nD) $26.19/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2016-01-04", "info_cutoff": "2015-12-31", "options": ["A) $-10.90/bbl", "B) $38.55/bbl", "C) $63.28/bbl", "D) $26.19/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$26.19/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "China stock-market circuit breakers", "event_date": "2016-01-04", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20160104-120d-min", "year": 2016} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.58%\nD) 1.43%", "options": ["A) 1.15%", "B) 1.01%", "C) 1.58%", "D) 1.43%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 1.82%\nD) 1.94%", "options": ["A) 2.38%", "B) 2.05%", "C) 1.82%", "D) 1.94%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $23.89/hr\nB) $21.15/hr\nC) $22.18/hr\nD) $23.21/hr", "options": ["A) $23.89/hr", "B) $21.15/hr", "C) $22.18/hr", "D) $23.21/hr"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$22.18/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.0602\nB) 7.4412\nC) 6.4250\nD) 6.8061", "options": ["A) 7.0602", "B) 7.4412", "C) 6.4250", "D) 6.8061"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.8061", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $222,944M\nB) $216,440M\nC) $242,456M\nD) $209,936M", "options": ["A) $222,944M", "B) $216,440M", "C) $242,456M", "D) $209,936M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$222,944M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,088B\nB) $13,417B\nC) $14,076B\nD) $12,430B", "options": ["A) $13,088B", "B) $13,417B", "C) $14,076B", "D) $12,430B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$13,417B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $453,408M\nB) $473,940M\nC) $463,674M\nD) $494,472M", "options": ["A) $453,408M", "B) $473,940M", "C) $463,674M", "D) $494,472M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$463,674M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 2.78%", "options": ["A) 3.40%", "B) 3.19%", "C) 2.99%", "D) 2.78%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.18%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 2.55%\nD) 1.81%", "options": ["A) 2.18%", "B) 2.92%", "C) 2.55%", "D) 1.81%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.41\nB) 100.40\nC) 94.38\nD) 97.39", "options": ["A) 103.41", "B) 100.40", "C) 94.38", "D) 97.39"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "100.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.71%\nB) 1.11%\nC) 1.41%\nD) 1.61%", "options": ["A) 1.71%", "B) 1.11%", "C) 1.41%", "D) 1.61%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.75%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 2.16%", "options": ["A) 1.77%", "B) 2.75%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 2.16%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.77%\nB) 33.64%\nC) 0.53%\nD) 7.15%", "options": ["A) 13.77%", "B) 33.64%", "C) 0.53%", "D) 7.15%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.28%\nB) 2.62%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 3.18%", "options": ["A) 4.28%", "B) 2.62%", "C) 2.07%", "D) 3.18%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.16%\nB) 21.70%\nC) 21.09%\nD) 22.32%", "options": ["A) 20.16%", "B) 21.70%", "C) 21.09%", "D) 22.32%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "21.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 38.43%\nB) 32.98%\nC) 22.06%\nD) 27.52%", "options": ["A) 38.43%", "B) 32.98%", "C) 22.06%", "D) 27.52%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "27.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.60%\nB) 1.28%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 1.81%", "options": ["A) 1.60%", "B) 1.28%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 1.81%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 140,321K\nB) 145,970K\nC) 149,736K\nD) 155,385K", "options": ["A) 140,321K", "B) 145,970K", "C) 149,736K", "D) 155,385K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "145,970K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.36%\nB) 6.88%\nC) 5.90%\nD) 4.92%", "options": ["A) 7.36%", "B) 6.88%", "C) 5.90%", "D) 4.92%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 31.73%\nB) -10.57%\nC) -3.52%\nD) 10.58%", "options": ["A) 31.73%", "B) -10.57%", "C) -3.52%", "D) 10.58%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 17.43%\nB) 18.99%\nC) 16.49%\nD) 18.05%", "options": ["A) 17.43%", "B) 18.99%", "C) 16.49%", "D) 18.05%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 199.91\nB) 191.50\nC) 187.30\nD) 204.11", "options": ["A) 199.91", "B) 191.50", "C) 187.30", "D) 204.11"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "191.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.20%\nB) 1.96%\nC) 0.72%\nD) -1.77%", "options": ["A) 3.20%", "B) 1.96%", "C) 0.72%", "D) -1.77%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.16%\nB) 8.18%\nC) -1.71%\nD) 4.23%", "options": ["A) 10.16%", "B) 8.18%", "C) -1.71%", "D) 4.23%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.20pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) -0.27pp\nD) +0.67pp", "options": ["A) +0.20pp", "B) +0.51pp", "C) -0.27pp", "D) +0.67pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 1.81%\nD) 1.04%", "options": ["A) 0.89%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 1.81%", "D) 1.04%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.44%\nB) 6.92%\nC) 5.16%\nD) 3.40%", "options": ["A) 10.44%", "B) 6.92%", "C) 5.16%", "D) 3.40%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 2.26%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 6.88%\nD) 4.11%", "options": ["A) 2.26%", "B) 1.34%", "C) 6.88%", "D) 4.11%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.90%", "options": ["A) 1.68%", "B) 2.01%", "C) 1.35%", "D) 1.90%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,698,777\nB) 1,915,000\nC) 2,131,223\nD) 1,482,554", "options": ["A) 1,698,777", "B) 1,915,000", "C) 2,131,223", "D) 1,482,554"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,915,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) -47.18%\nB) -33.40%\nC) -5.82%\nD) 35.54%", "options": ["A) -47.18%", "B) -33.40%", "C) -5.82%", "D) 35.54%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-5.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 137,484K\nB) 152,722K\nC) 143,198K\nD) 147,008K", "options": ["A) 137,484K", "B) 152,722K", "C) 143,198K", "D) 147,008K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "147,008K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,432.46\nB) 2,378.17\nC) 2,486.75\nD) 2,595.33", "options": ["A) 2,432.46", "B) 2,378.17", "C) 2,486.75", "D) 2,595.33"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,432.46", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.05%\nB) 2.09%\nC) 10.06%\nD) 6.07%", "options": ["A) 14.05%", "B) 2.09%", "C) 10.06%", "D) 6.07%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0584\nB) 1.2287\nC) 1.1152\nD) 1.0017", "options": ["A) 1.0584", "B) 1.2287", "C) 1.1152", "D) 1.0017"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1152", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $455,334M\nB) $496,114M\nC) $506,309M\nD) $475,724M", "options": ["A) $455,334M", "B) $496,114M", "C) $506,309M", "D) $475,724M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$475,724M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.01\nB) 101.98\nC) 104.95\nD) 96.04", "options": ["A) 99.01", "B) 101.98", "C) 104.95", "D) 96.04"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "99.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) $82.27/bbl\nB) $44.47/bbl\nC) $19.27/bbl\nD) $31.87/bbl", "options": ["A) $82.27/bbl", "B) $44.47/bbl", "C) $19.27/bbl", "D) $31.87/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$44.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,375B\nB) $13,764B\nC) $14,408B\nD) $14,086B", "options": ["A) $15,375B", "B) $13,764B", "C) $14,408B", "D) $14,086B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$14,408B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,769B\nB) $12,825B\nC) $14,084B\nD) $13,140B", "options": ["A) $13,769B", "B) $12,825B", "C) $14,084B", "D) $13,140B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$13,140B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.81pp\nB) +0.57pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +1.05pp", "options": ["A) +0.81pp", "B) +0.57pp", "C) +0.08pp", "D) +1.05pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.81pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.79%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 5.41%\nD) 4.12%", "options": ["A) 3.79%", "B) 4.44%", "C) 5.41%", "D) 4.12%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.15%\nB) 1.61%\nC) 1.42%\nD) 1.70%", "options": ["A) 1.15%", "B) 1.61%", "C) 1.42%", "D) 1.70%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.03%\nB) 4.46%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 5.60%", "options": ["A) 5.03%", "B) 4.46%", "C) 3.88%", "D) 5.60%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.23%\nB) 6.14%\nC) 8.60%\nD) 3.69%", "options": ["A) 1.23%", "B) 6.14%", "C) 8.60%", "D) 3.69%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $59,624M\nB) $61,260M\nC) $56,352M\nD) $66,168M", "options": ["A) $59,624M", "B) $61,260M", "C) $56,352M", "D) $66,168M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$61,260M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.55pp\nB) +0.05pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) +0.20pp", "options": ["A) -0.55pp", "B) +0.05pp", "C) -0.10pp", "D) +0.20pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 1.92%\nD) 2.29%", "options": ["A) 2.11%", "B) 2.84%", "C) 1.92%", "D) 2.29%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $-41,124M\nB) $-44,561M\nC) $-39,406M\nD) $-37,687M", "options": ["A) $-41,124M", "B) $-44,561M", "C) $-39,406M", "D) $-37,687M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-41,124M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 174.07\nB) 194.79\nC) 187.88\nD) 201.69", "options": ["A) 174.07", "B) 194.79", "C) 187.88", "D) 201.69"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "194.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 108.74\nB) 117.70\nC) 112.10\nD) 115.46", "options": ["A) 108.74", "B) 117.70", "C) 112.10", "D) 115.46"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "112.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,087K\nB) 1,335K\nC) 1,459K\nD) 1,273K", "options": ["A) 1,087K", "B) 1,335K", "C) 1,459K", "D) 1,273K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,273K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.91%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 2.82%", "options": ["A) 1.91%", "B) 1.60%", "C) 1.30%", "D) 2.82%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 98.70\nB) 112.87\nC) 127.04\nD) 103.43", "options": ["A) 98.70", "B) 112.87", "C) 127.04", "D) 103.43"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "112.87", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.75%\nB) 61.01%\nC) 62.90%\nD) 64.79%", "options": ["A) 59.75%", "B) 61.01%", "C) 62.90%", "D) 64.79%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "62.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 91.7728\nB) 104.3643\nC) 123.2515\nD) 110.6600", "options": ["A) 91.7728", "B) 104.3643", "C) 123.2515", "D) 110.6600"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "110.6600", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $63,747M\nB) $60,501M\nC) $62,124M\nD) $65,370M", "options": ["A) $63,747M", "B) $60,501M", "C) $62,124M", "D) $65,370M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$63,747M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +7.39pp\nB) +3.90pp\nC) -6.58pp\nD) -3.09pp", "options": ["A) +7.39pp", "B) +3.90pp", "C) -6.58pp", "D) -3.09pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+3.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,312K\nB) 1,378K\nC) 1,181K\nD) 1,050K", "options": ["A) 1,312K", "B) 1,378K", "C) 1,181K", "D) 1,050K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,181K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.92pp\nB) +0.59pp\nC) +0.48pp\nD) +0.70pp", "options": ["A) +0.92pp", "B) +0.59pp", "C) +0.48pp", "D) +0.70pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.59%\nB) 2.29%\nC) 2.15%\nD) 3.04%", "options": ["A) 2.59%", "B) 2.29%", "C) 2.15%", "D) 3.04%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.37%\nB) 1.06%\nC) 4.50%\nD) -0.08%", "options": ["A) -2.37%", "B) 1.06%", "C) 4.50%", "D) -0.08%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,264B\nB) $15,301B\nC) $13,745B\nD) $12,189B", "options": ["A) $14,264B", "B) $15,301B", "C) $13,745B", "D) $12,189B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,745B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.18pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) +0.73pp\nD) +0.40pp", "options": ["A) +0.18pp", "B) +0.51pp", "C) +0.73pp", "D) +0.40pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 249,000\nB) 204,121\nC) 226,561\nD) 316,318", "options": ["A) 249,000", "B) 204,121", "C) 226,561", "D) 316,318"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "249,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 242.82\nB) 252.81\nC) 262.81\nD) 269.47", "options": ["A) 242.82", "B) 252.81", "C) 262.81", "D) 269.47"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "252.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.44%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 4.36%\nD) 1.25%", "options": ["A) 6.44%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 4.36%", "D) 1.25%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 257.43\nB) 267.17\nC) 244.45\nD) 250.94", "options": ["A) 257.43", "B) 267.17", "C) 244.45", "D) 250.94"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "250.94", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 1.41%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 1.32%", "options": ["A) 1.61%", "B) 1.41%", "C) 1.70%", "D) 1.32%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $20.89/hr\nB) $21.88/hr\nC) $22.54/hr\nD) $23.20/hr", "options": ["A) $20.89/hr", "B) $21.88/hr", "C) $22.54/hr", "D) $23.20/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$21.88/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.06%\nB) 9.13%\nC) 5.91%\nD) 2.68%", "options": ["A) 8.06%", "B) 9.13%", "C) 5.91%", "D) 2.68%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 87.86\nB) 98.72\nC) 102.34\nD) 95.10", "options": ["A) 87.86", "B) 98.72", "C) 102.34", "D) 95.10"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "95.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.33%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 5.79%\nD) 7.43%", "options": ["A) 6.33%", "B) 5.24%", "C) 5.79%", "D) 7.43%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.59%\nB) -2.30%\nC) 15.37%\nD) -8.19%", "options": ["A) 3.59%", "B) -2.30%", "C) 15.37%", "D) -8.19%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 231.70\nB) 251.21\nC) 243.89\nD) 236.58", "options": ["A) 231.70", "B) 251.21", "C) 243.89", "D) 236.58"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "243.89", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.32%\nB) -7.31%\nC) 21.53%\nD) 7.11%", "options": ["A) 14.32%", "B) -7.31%", "C) 21.53%", "D) 7.11%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.11%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.94%\nB) 6.82%\nC) 6.19%\nD) 5.57%", "options": ["A) 4.94%", "B) 6.82%", "C) 6.19%", "D) 5.57%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) $30.80/bbl\nB) $45.61/bbl\nC) $1.18/bbl\nD) $90.04/bbl", "options": ["A) $30.80/bbl", "B) $45.61/bbl", "C) $1.18/bbl", "D) $90.04/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$45.61/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,198K\nB) 1,493K\nC) 1,272K\nD) 1,051K", "options": ["A) 1,198K", "B) 1,493K", "C) 1,272K", "D) 1,051K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,272K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.14%\nB) -4.44%\nC) 3.50%\nD) 0.85%", "options": ["A) 6.14%", "B) -4.44%", "C) 3.50%", "D) 0.85%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 99.52\nB) 96.52\nC) 102.52\nD) 104.52", "options": ["A) 99.52", "B) 96.52", "C) 102.52", "D) 104.52"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "99.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,032K\nB) 1,190K\nC) 1,111K\nD) 954K", "options": ["A) 1,032K", "B) 1,190K", "C) 1,111K", "D) 954K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,190K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -17.68%\nB) 10.84%\nC) 3.71%\nD) -3.42%", "options": ["A) -17.68%", "B) 10.84%", "C) 3.71%", "D) -3.42%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.70%\nB) 78.65%\nC) 74.07%\nD) 76.36%", "options": ["A) 81.70%", "B) 78.65%", "C) 74.07%", "D) 76.36%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "76.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 1.33%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 3.56%", "options": ["A) 2.44%", "B) 1.33%", "C) 2.07%", "D) 3.56%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.18%\nB) 1.76%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.34%", "options": ["A) 1.18%", "B) 1.76%", "C) 1.38%", "D) 2.34%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -0.46pp\nC) +0.29pp\nD) +1.78pp", "options": ["A) -1.20pp", "B) -0.46pp", "C) +0.29pp", "D) +1.78pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.29pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.02%\nB) -8.18%\nC) 20.21%\nD) -1.08%", "options": ["A) 6.02%", "B) -8.18%", "C) 20.21%", "D) -1.08%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.44%\nB) 70.92%\nC) 77.71%\nD) 73.18%", "options": ["A) 75.44%", "B) 70.92%", "C) 77.71%", "D) 73.18%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "75.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.64%\nB) 4.40%\nC) 5.02%\nD) 3.16%", "options": ["A) 5.64%", "B) 4.40%", "C) 5.02%", "D) 3.16%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.57%\nB) 2.73%\nC) 2.19%\nD) 1.11%", "options": ["A) 0.57%", "B) 2.73%", "C) 2.19%", "D) 1.11%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.27%\nB) 9.07%\nC) 16.74%\nD) 5.24%", "options": ["A) -6.27%", "B) 9.07%", "C) 16.74%", "D) 5.24%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 113.50\nB) 110.09\nC) 116.91\nD) 120.31", "options": ["A) 113.50", "B) 110.09", "C) 116.91", "D) 120.31"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "113.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.55\nB) 99.53\nC) 92.57\nD) 102.52", "options": ["A) 96.55", "B) 99.53", "C) 92.57", "D) 102.52"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "99.53", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.69%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 3.88%", "options": ["A) 6.12%", "B) 6.69%", "C) 5.00%", "D) 3.88%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 193.68\nB) 208.03\nC) 179.33\nD) 186.51", "options": ["A) 193.68", "B) 208.03", "C) 179.33", "D) 186.51"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "186.51", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.70pp\nB) -0.34pp\nC) -0.16pp\nD) -0.88pp", "options": ["A) -0.70pp", "B) -0.34pp", "C) -0.16pp", "D) -0.88pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 253.83\nB) 246.44\nC) 239.04\nD) 234.11", "options": ["A) 253.83", "B) 246.44", "C) 239.04", "D) 234.11"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "246.44", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.95%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 5.29%\nD) 4.62%", "options": ["A) 4.95%", "B) 5.62%", "C) 5.29%", "D) 4.62%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,856M", "options": ["A) $4,300,000M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $3,856M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$3,856M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.10%\nB) 64.99%\nC) 61.21%\nD) 59.95%", "options": ["A) 63.10%", "B) 64.99%", "C) 61.21%", "D) 59.95%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "63.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 7.12%", "options": ["A) 2.61%", "B) 5.62%", "C) 4.12%", "D) 7.12%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.43pp\nB) -0.25pp\nC) -0.60pp\nD) -1.12pp", "options": ["A) -0.43pp", "B) -0.25pp", "C) -0.60pp", "D) -1.12pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.88%\nB) 35.05%\nC) -35.37%\nD) -7.20%", "options": ["A) 6.88%", "B) 35.05%", "C) -35.37%", "D) -7.20%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-7.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.80\nB) 102.79\nC) 93.81\nD) 96.80", "options": ["A) 99.80", "B) 102.79", "C) 93.81", "D) 96.80"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "99.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.21%\nB) 60.40%\nC) 57.38%\nD) 58.59%", "options": ["A) 62.21%", "B) 60.40%", "C) 57.38%", "D) 58.59%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "60.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,735.41\nB) 4,875.22\nC) 6,165.50\nD) 7,455.78", "options": ["A) 5,735.41", "B) 4,875.22", "C) 6,165.50", "D) 7,455.78"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,165.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.57%\nB) 4.88%\nC) 3.72%\nD) 4.30%", "options": ["A) 2.57%", "B) 4.88%", "C) 3.72%", "D) 4.30%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 10.90\nB) 9.18\nC) 14.33\nD) 16.05", "options": ["A) 10.90", "B) 9.18", "C) 14.33", "D) 16.05"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.49%\nB) 4.81%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 5.13%", "options": ["A) 4.49%", "B) 4.81%", "C) 4.16%", "D) 5.13%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 19,574.92\nB) 20,764.91\nC) 21,359.90\nD) 21,954.89", "options": ["A) 19,574.92", "B) 20,764.91", "C) 21,359.90", "D) 21,954.89"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "21,359.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.41%\nB) 4.41%\nC) 3.57%\nD) 3.91%", "options": ["A) 3.41%", "B) 4.41%", "C) 3.57%", "D) 3.91%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 194.80\nB) 186.51\nC) 190.65\nD) 198.95", "options": ["A) 194.80", "B) 186.51", "C) 190.65", "D) 198.95"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "194.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.42%\nB) 5.31%\nC) 2.16%\nD) 4.26%", "options": ["A) 7.42%", "B) 5.31%", "C) 2.16%", "D) 4.26%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,972B\nB) $12,447B\nC) $13,464B\nD) $14,480B", "options": ["A) $13,972B", "B) $12,447B", "C) $13,464B", "D) $14,480B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,464B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.59%\nB) 0.92%\nC) 0.72%\nD) 0.79%", "options": ["A) 0.59%", "B) 0.92%", "C) 0.72%", "D) 0.79%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.24\nB) 95.14\nC) 97.18\nD) 103.30", "options": ["A) 100.24", "B) 95.14", "C) 97.18", "D) 103.30"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "100.24", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $3,874M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $4,300,000M", "B) $3,874M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$3,874M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.14%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 7.04%\nD) 8.93%", "options": ["A) 5.14%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 7.04%", "D) 8.93%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $235,064M\nB) $209,935M\nC) $241,346M\nD) $228,782M", "options": ["A) $235,064M", "B) $209,935M", "C) $241,346M", "D) $228,782M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$228,782M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,764B\nB) $13,679B\nC) $15,849B\nD) $15,126B", "options": ["A) $14,764B", "B) $13,679B", "C) $15,849B", "D) $15,126B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$14,764B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,780B\nB) $12,247B\nC) $11,312B\nD) $12,714B", "options": ["A) $11,780B", "B) $12,247B", "C) $11,312B", "D) $12,714B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$12,247B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20170615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2017-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2017-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2017-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2017-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.23%\nB) 0.91%\nC) 1.02%\nD) 0.70%", "options": ["A) 1.23%", "B) 0.91%", "C) 1.02%", "D) 0.70%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 2.63%\nD) 1.76%", "options": ["A) 2.34%", "B) 2.05%", "C) 2.63%", "D) 1.76%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.90\nB) 104.45\nC) 89.35\nD) 108.23", "options": ["A) 96.90", "B) 104.45", "C) 89.35", "D) 108.23"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "96.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) $-43,128M\nB) $-41,593M\nC) $-36,989M\nD) $-38,524M", "options": ["A) $-43,128M", "B) $-41,593M", "C) $-36,989M", "D) $-38,524M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-41,593M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20170901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.47pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) +1.04pp\nD) +3.19pp", "options": ["A) +2.47pp", "B) -1.10pp", "C) +1.04pp", "D) +3.19pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.04pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.01pp\nB) +13.18pp\nC) +9.54pp\nD) +5.90pp", "options": ["A) -5.01pp", "B) +13.18pp", "C) +9.54pp", "D) +5.90pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+5.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20170301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2017", "info_cutoff": "2017-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2017? (Use only information available on or before 2017-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.20%\nB) 62.01%\nC) 59.00%\nD) 63.21%", "options": ["A) 60.20%", "B) 62.01%", "C) 59.00%", "D) 63.21%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "60.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2017} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.55%\nB) 5.51%\nC) 3.47%\nD) 8.57%", "options": ["A) 7.55%", "B) 5.51%", "C) 3.47%", "D) 8.57%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 82.33%\nB) 83.93%\nC) 79.93%\nD) 78.33%", "options": ["A) 82.33%", "B) 83.93%", "C) 79.93%", "D) 78.33%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "79.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 98.48\nB) 104.57\nC) 95.43\nD) 101.52", "options": ["A) 98.48", "B) 104.57", "C) 95.43", "D) 101.52"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) 5.54%\nC) 2.07%\nD) 4.38%", "options": ["A) 3.22%", "B) 5.54%", "C) 2.07%", "D) 4.38%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.02\nB) 104.10\nC) 109.31\nD) 107.22", "options": ["A) 102.02", "B) 104.10", "C) 109.31", "D) 107.22"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "104.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 29.92%\nB) 75.59%\nC) 45.14%\nD) 60.37%", "options": ["A) 29.92%", "B) 75.59%", "C) 45.14%", "D) 60.37%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "45.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $3,801M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $3,801M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$3,801M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.22%\nB) 13.76%\nC) 10.24%\nD) -7.31%", "options": ["A) 3.22%", "B) 13.76%", "C) 10.24%", "D) -7.31%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 114.37\nB) 116.70\nC) 119.03\nD) 110.87", "options": ["A) 114.37", "B) 116.70", "C) 119.03", "D) 110.87"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "116.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.54\nB) 97.26\nC) 101.42\nD) 99.34", "options": ["A) 104.54", "B) 97.26", "C) 101.42", "D) 99.34"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "101.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.15pp\nB) +0.46pp\nC) -0.15pp\nD) +0.00pp", "options": ["A) +0.15pp", "B) +0.46pp", "C) -0.15pp", "D) +0.00pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) 7.20%\nC) 4.53%\nD) 8.09%", "options": ["A) 5.42%", "B) 7.20%", "C) 4.53%", "D) 8.09%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.00%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 3.11%\nD) 2.46%", "options": ["A) 3.00%", "B) 2.79%", "C) 3.11%", "D) 2.46%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 7.00%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.99%\nD) 2.99%", "options": ["A) 7.00%", "B) 5.00%", "C) 3.99%", "D) 2.99%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.44%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.05%", "options": ["A) 2.44%", "B) 2.64%", "C) 2.85%", "D) 3.05%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 218,000\nB) 181,868\nC) 199,934\nD) 163,802", "options": ["A) 218,000", "B) 181,868", "C) 199,934", "D) 163,802"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "218,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $16,458B\nB) $15,606B\nC) $14,753B\nD) $15,179B", "options": ["A) $16,458B", "B) $15,606B", "C) $14,753B", "D) $15,179B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$15,606B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) $11,754B\nB) $13,718B\nC) $12,736B\nD) $12,245B", "options": ["A) $11,754B", "B) $13,718B", "C) $12,736B", "D) $12,245B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$12,736B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.34%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 2.23%\nD) 2.12%", "options": ["A) 2.34%", "B) 1.80%", "C) 2.23%", "D) 2.12%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,314K\nB) 1,430K\nC) 1,140K\nD) 1,198K", "options": ["A) 1,314K", "B) 1,430K", "C) 1,140K", "D) 1,198K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,314K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 145,669K\nB) 149,358K\nC) 154,892K\nD) 140,135K", "options": ["A) 145,669K", "B) 149,358K", "C) 154,892K", "D) 140,135K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "149,358K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.55%\nB) 4.10%\nC) 3.64%\nD) 3.19%", "options": ["A) 4.55%", "B) 4.10%", "C) 3.64%", "D) 3.19%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 257.06\nB) 242.09\nC) 262.06\nD) 249.58", "options": ["A) 257.06", "B) 242.09", "C) 262.06", "D) 249.58"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "249.58", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 1.57%\nD) 3.47%", "options": ["A) 2.33%", "B) 1.95%", "C) 1.57%", "D) 3.47%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 19.72%\nB) -1.44%\nC) -8.50%\nD) 5.61%", "options": ["A) 19.72%", "B) -1.44%", "C) -8.50%", "D) 5.61%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.53pp\nB) +0.09pp\nC) +0.20pp\nD) -0.13pp", "options": ["A) +0.53pp", "B) +0.09pp", "C) +0.20pp", "D) -0.13pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.86%\nD) 2.82%", "options": ["A) 2.14%", "B) 3.50%", "C) 4.86%", "D) 2.82%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 102.21\nB) 99.14\nC) 105.27\nD) 95.05", "options": ["A) 102.21", "B) 99.14", "C) 105.27", "D) 95.05"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "102.21", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.39%\nB) 8.38%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 4.46%", "options": ["A) -3.39%", "B) 8.38%", "C) 0.54%", "D) 4.46%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 153,916K\nB) 142,644K\nC) 148,280K\nD) 138,887K", "options": ["A) 153,916K", "B) 142,644K", "C) 148,280K", "D) 138,887K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "148,280K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.86%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.54%\nD) 2.20%", "options": ["A) 1.86%", "B) 2.31%", "C) 2.54%", "D) 2.20%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +3.13pp\nB) +5.51pp\nC) +2.33pp\nD) +0.74pp", "options": ["A) +3.13pp", "B) +5.51pp", "C) +2.33pp", "D) +0.74pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+3.13pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,651B\nB) $14,018B\nC) $15,120B\nD) $14,385B", "options": ["A) $13,651B", "B) $14,018B", "C) $15,120B", "D) $14,385B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$14,018B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.40%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 3.20%", "options": ["A) 3.40%", "B) 2.22%", "C) 2.81%", "D) 3.20%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.85%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 3.34%\nD) 4.48%", "options": ["A) 4.85%", "B) 3.72%", "C) 3.34%", "D) 4.48%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.88%\nC) 2.29%\nD) 1.12%", "options": ["A) 2.00%", "B) 2.88%", "C) 2.29%", "D) 1.12%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.93%\nB) 1.51%\nC) 1.70%\nD) 2.09%", "options": ["A) 0.93%", "B) 1.51%", "C) 1.70%", "D) 2.09%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.38%\nB) -8.79%\nC) 0.31%\nD) -5.76%", "options": ["A) 6.38%", "B) -8.79%", "C) 0.31%", "D) -5.76%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $66,286M\nB) $60,070M\nC) $69,394M\nD) $64,732M", "options": ["A) $66,286M", "B) $60,070M", "C) $69,394M", "D) $64,732M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$64,732M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) +3.57pp\nB) +0.74pp\nC) +1.68pp\nD) +6.40pp", "options": ["A) +3.57pp", "B) +0.74pp", "C) +1.68pp", "D) +6.40pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+3.57pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.98%\nB) 25.64%\nC) 36.75%\nD) 14.53%", "options": ["A) 8.98%", "B) 25.64%", "C) 36.75%", "D) 14.53%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "25.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.19%\nB) 3.62%\nC) 2.33%\nD) 1.90%", "options": ["A) 3.19%", "B) 3.62%", "C) 2.33%", "D) 1.90%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) $53.21/bbl\nB) $88.60/bbl\nC) $100.40/bbl\nD) $65.01/bbl", "options": ["A) $53.21/bbl", "B) $88.60/bbl", "C) $100.40/bbl", "D) $65.01/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$65.01/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 198.54\nB) 218.44\nC) 178.64\nD) 185.27", "options": ["A) 198.54", "B) 218.44", "C) 178.64", "D) 185.27"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "198.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.23%\nB) 17.47%\nC) 19.70%\nD) 24.17%", "options": ["A) 15.23%", "B) 17.47%", "C) 19.70%", "D) 24.17%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,190K\nB) 1,125K\nC) 1,318K\nD) 1,446K", "options": ["A) 1,190K", "B) 1,125K", "C) 1,318K", "D) 1,446K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,318K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 22.46%\nB) -4.69%\nC) 13.41%\nD) 8.88%", "options": ["A) 22.46%", "B) -4.69%", "C) 13.41%", "D) 8.88%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.95%\nB) 2.52%\nC) 1.67%\nD) 2.23%", "options": ["A) 1.95%", "B) 2.52%", "C) 1.67%", "D) 2.23%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 10.16%\nB) 5.67%\nC) 7.91%\nD) 12.40%", "options": ["A) 10.16%", "B) 5.67%", "C) 7.91%", "D) 12.40%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.66%\nB) 2.08%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 1.74%", "options": ["A) 1.66%", "B) 2.08%", "C) 1.91%", "D) 1.74%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.02%\nB) 5.27%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 3.32%", "options": ["A) 2.02%", "B) 5.27%", "C) 1.37%", "D) 3.32%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $-43,514M\nB) $-48,425M\nC) $-41,877M\nD) $-45,151M", "options": ["A) $-43,514M", "B) $-48,425M", "C) $-41,877M", "D) $-45,151M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-43,514M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,454.30\nB) 2,779.66\nC) 2,671.21\nD) 2,562.75", "options": ["A) 2,454.30", "B) 2,779.66", "C) 2,671.21", "D) 2,562.75"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,779.66", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 225.82\nB) 184.86\nC) 205.34\nD) 191.69", "options": ["A) 225.82", "B) 184.86", "C) 205.34", "D) 191.69"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "205.34", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.14pp\nB) -0.78pp\nC) -0.24pp\nD) -0.60pp", "options": ["A) -1.14pp", "B) -0.78pp", "C) -0.24pp", "D) -0.60pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $3,560M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $3,560M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$3,560M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.12%\nB) 6.80%\nC) 7.26%\nD) 7.03%", "options": ["A) 6.12%", "B) 6.80%", "C) 7.26%", "D) 7.03%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.37%\nB) 5.41%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 8.53%", "options": ["A) 4.37%", "B) 5.41%", "C) 6.45%", "D) 8.53%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) $46.29/bbl\nB) $59.15/bbl\nC) $84.89/bbl\nD) $72.02/bbl", "options": ["A) $46.29/bbl", "B) $59.15/bbl", "C) $84.89/bbl", "D) $72.02/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$72.02/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) +4.50pp\nB) -4.87pp\nC) +7.62pp\nD) +1.38pp", "options": ["A) +4.50pp", "B) -4.87pp", "C) +7.62pp", "D) +1.38pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+4.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 61.54%\nB) 62.80%\nC) 64.68%\nD) 59.66%", "options": ["A) 61.54%", "B) 62.80%", "C) 64.68%", "D) 59.66%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "62.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $514,946M\nB) $526,665M\nC) $491,507M\nD) $468,068M", "options": ["A) $514,946M", "B) $526,665M", "C) $491,507M", "D) $468,068M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$491,507M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.00%\nB) 6.19%\nC) 2.62%\nD) 4.41%", "options": ["A) 5.00%", "B) 6.19%", "C) 2.62%", "D) 4.41%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.30pp\nB) +0.16pp\nC) -0.76pp\nD) -0.45pp", "options": ["A) -0.30pp", "B) +0.16pp", "C) -0.76pp", "D) -0.45pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 3.12%", "options": ["A) 2.27%", "B) 2.55%", "C) 1.98%", "D) 3.12%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.05%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 2.85%\nD) 3.45%", "options": ["A) 4.05%", "B) 4.65%", "C) 2.85%", "D) 3.45%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,189K\nB) 1,371K\nC) 1,068K\nD) 1,250K", "options": ["A) 1,189K", "B) 1,371K", "C) 1,068K", "D) 1,250K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,250K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.40%\nB) 62.21%\nC) 57.38%\nD) 58.59%", "options": ["A) 60.40%", "B) 62.21%", "C) 57.38%", "D) 58.59%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "60.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.05%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 3.93%\nD) 7.46%", "options": ["A) 3.05%", "B) 5.70%", "C) 3.93%", "D) 7.46%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 275.98\nB) 265.41\nC) 258.37\nD) 251.32", "options": ["A) 275.98", "B) 265.41", "C) 258.37", "D) 251.32"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "258.37", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $267,310M\nB) $260,859M\nC) $241,506M\nD) $247,957M", "options": ["A) $267,310M", "B) $260,859M", "C) $241,506M", "D) $247,957M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$247,957M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 4.32%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.77%", "options": ["A) 4.62%", "B) 4.32%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 4.77%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.93%\nC) 3.12%\nD) 3.49%", "options": ["A) 3.30%", "B) 2.93%", "C) 3.12%", "D) 3.49%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 211.37\nB) 203.32\nC) 199.30\nD) 191.25", "options": ["A) 211.37", "B) 203.32", "C) 199.30", "D) 191.25"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "199.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 73.86%\nB) 80.93%\nC) 76.21%\nD) 78.57%", "options": ["A) 73.86%", "B) 80.93%", "C) 76.21%", "D) 78.57%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "78.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 110.5800\nB) 121.9804\nC) 99.1796\nD) 118.1803", "options": ["A) 110.5800", "B) 121.9804", "C) 99.1796", "D) 118.1803"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "110.5800", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.53%\nB) 5.84%\nC) 21.78%\nD) 11.15%", "options": ["A) 0.53%", "B) 5.84%", "C) 21.78%", "D) 11.15%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 96.71\nB) 105.50\nC) 102.20\nD) 98.91", "options": ["A) 96.71", "B) 105.50", "C) 102.20", "D) 98.91"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "102.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.26%\nB) 1.80%\nC) 1.37%\nD) 1.58%", "options": ["A) 1.26%", "B) 1.80%", "C) 1.37%", "D) 1.58%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 1.97%\nC) -2.25%\nD) 6.18%", "options": ["A) 4.07%", "B) 1.97%", "C) -2.25%", "D) 6.18%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 21.29%\nB) 9.60%\nC) -2.09%\nD) 5.70%", "options": ["A) 21.29%", "B) 9.60%", "C) -2.09%", "D) 5.70%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1083\nB) 1.0550\nC) 1.1616\nD) 1.2149", "options": ["A) 1.1083", "B) 1.0550", "C) 1.1616", "D) 1.2149"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1616", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.20%\nB) 3.33%\nC) 2.81%\nD) 3.07%", "options": ["A) 3.20%", "B) 3.33%", "C) 2.81%", "D) 3.07%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) +5.00pp\nB) -4.10pp\nC) +14.10pp\nD) +8.03pp", "options": ["A) +5.00pp", "B) -4.10pp", "C) +14.10pp", "D) +8.03pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+5.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -15.07%\nB) -8.12%\nC) -28.95%\nD) 5.76%", "options": ["A) -15.07%", "B) -8.12%", "C) -28.95%", "D) 5.76%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-8.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.64%\nB) 2.18%\nC) 1.96%\nD) 1.74%", "options": ["A) 1.64%", "B) 2.18%", "C) 1.96%", "D) 1.74%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,565K\nB) 1,325K\nC) 1,445K\nD) 1,385K", "options": ["A) 1,565K", "B) 1,325K", "C) 1,445K", "D) 1,385K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,385K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $244,343M\nB) $231,880M\nC) $263,038M\nD) $256,806M", "options": ["A) $244,343M", "B) $231,880M", "C) $263,038M", "D) $256,806M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$244,343M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.07%\nB) 3.70%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 2.33%", "options": ["A) 5.07%", "B) 3.70%", "C) 4.16%", "D) 2.33%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,728B\nB) $15,799B\nC) $14,246B\nD) $15,281B", "options": ["A) $13,728B", "B) $15,799B", "C) $14,246B", "D) $15,281B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$14,246B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 122.22\nB) 111.84\nC) 118.76\nD) 115.30", "options": ["A) 122.22", "B) 111.84", "C) 118.76", "D) 115.30"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "115.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.4379\nB) 6.1734\nC) 6.0412\nD) 6.7024", "options": ["A) 6.4379", "B) 6.1734", "C) 6.0412", "D) 6.7024"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.4379", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.42%\nB) 60.40%\nC) 62.21%\nD) 58.59%", "options": ["A) 63.42%", "B) 60.40%", "C) 62.21%", "D) 58.59%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "60.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-06.)\n\nA) 2,009,514\nB) 2,178,772\nC) 1,671,000\nD) 1,501,743", "options": ["A) 2,009,514", "B) 2,178,772", "C) 1,671,000", "D) 1,501,743"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,671,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 28,843.89\nB) 21,337.07\nC) 27,592.75\nD) 25,090.48", "options": ["A) 28,843.89", "B) 21,337.07", "C) 27,592.75", "D) 25,090.48"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "25,090.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 203.60\nB) 195.76\nC) 211.44\nD) 223.19", "options": ["A) 203.60", "B) 195.76", "C) 211.44", "D) 223.19"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "203.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.00%\nB) 10.76%\nC) 23.26%\nD) -1.75%", "options": ["A) -8.00%", "B) 10.76%", "C) 23.26%", "D) -1.75%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $72,621M\nB) $66,493M\nC) $68,025M\nD) $63,429M", "options": ["A) $72,621M", "B) $66,493M", "C) $68,025M", "D) $63,429M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$68,025M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.92\nB) 94.44\nC) 108.36\nD) 101.40", "options": ["A) 97.92", "B) 94.44", "C) 108.36", "D) 101.40"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.10\nB) 89.99\nC) 106.84\nD) 110.21", "options": ["A) 100.10", "B) 89.99", "C) 106.84", "D) 110.21"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "100.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.87%\nB) 6.71%\nC) 3.85%\nD) 9.57%", "options": ["A) -1.87%", "B) 6.71%", "C) 3.85%", "D) 9.57%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.19%\nB) 72.68%\nC) 56.80%\nD) 25.06%", "options": ["A) 9.19%", "B) 72.68%", "C) 56.80%", "D) 25.06%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "56.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 117.40\nB) 125.53\nC) 109.27\nD) 113.34", "options": ["A) 117.40", "B) 125.53", "C) 109.27", "D) 113.34"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "113.34", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 1.13%", "options": ["A) 1.94%", "B) 1.67%", "C) 2.48%", "D) 1.13%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 1.01%\nD) 2.68%", "options": ["A) 3.01%", "B) 2.01%", "C) 1.01%", "D) 2.68%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $-48,453M\nB) $-53,830M\nC) $-50,245M\nD) $-46,660M", "options": ["A) $-48,453M", "B) $-53,830M", "C) $-50,245M", "D) $-46,660M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-50,245M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $21.10/hr\nB) $23.53/hr\nC) $21.79/hr\nD) $22.49/hr", "options": ["A) $21.10/hr", "B) $23.53/hr", "C) $21.79/hr", "D) $22.49/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$22.49/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,013B\nB) $12,964B\nC) $13,489B\nD) $15,585B", "options": ["A) $14,013B", "B) $12,964B", "C) $13,489B", "D) $15,585B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$14,013B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.33%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 6.55%\nD) 6.12%", "options": ["A) 6.33%", "B) 5.90%", "C) 6.55%", "D) 6.12%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.03%\nB) 4.62%\nC) 4.97%\nD) 5.32%", "options": ["A) 6.03%", "B) 4.62%", "C) 4.97%", "D) 5.32%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 265.23\nB) 260.01\nC) 244.35\nD) 252.18", "options": ["A) 265.23", "B) 260.01", "C) 244.35", "D) 252.18"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "252.18", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.90%\nB) 64.16%\nC) 66.05%\nD) 61.01%", "options": ["A) 62.90%", "B) 64.16%", "C) 66.05%", "D) 61.01%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 7,234.53\nB) 7,746.38\nC) 8,770.07\nD) 6,722.69", "options": ["A) 7,234.53", "B) 7,746.38", "C) 8,770.07", "D) 6,722.69"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7,746.38", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,139B\nB) $13,103B\nC) $13,793B\nD) $14,484B", "options": ["A) $14,139B", "B) $13,103B", "C) $13,793B", "D) $14,484B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,793B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.07%\nB) 2.24%\nC) -2.32%\nD) 4.52%", "options": ["A) 9.07%", "B) 2.24%", "C) -2.32%", "D) 4.52%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 5.60%\nC) 2.93%\nD) 4.53%", "options": ["A) 4.00%", "B) 5.60%", "C) 2.93%", "D) 4.53%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.57pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.75pp\nD) -0.92pp", "options": ["A) -0.57pp", "B) -0.40pp", "C) -0.75pp", "D) -0.92pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $494,920M\nB) $451,681M\nC) $484,110M\nD) $473,300M", "options": ["A) $494,920M", "B) $451,681M", "C) $484,110M", "D) $473,300M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$484,110M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.82%\nB) 1.27%\nC) 1.93%\nD) 1.60%", "options": ["A) 1.82%", "B) 1.27%", "C) 1.93%", "D) 1.60%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 256.27\nB) 273.27\nC) 246.07\nD) 266.47", "options": ["A) 256.27", "B) 273.27", "C) 246.07", "D) 266.47"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "256.27", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) $21.76/hr\nB) $22.86/hr\nC) $24.69/hr\nD) $23.96/hr", "options": ["A) $21.76/hr", "B) $22.86/hr", "C) $24.69/hr", "D) $23.96/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$22.86/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.07\nB) 6.11\nC) 11.98\nD) 13.94", "options": ["A) 8.07", "B) 6.11", "C) 11.98", "D) 13.94"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.98", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.11pp\nB) +0.21pp\nC) +0.11pp\nD) +0.00pp", "options": ["A) -0.11pp", "B) +0.21pp", "C) +0.11pp", "D) +0.00pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.08%\nB) 3.06%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.40%", "options": ["A) 4.08%", "B) 3.06%", "C) 3.74%", "D) 3.40%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.02%\nB) 14.27%\nC) 17.77%\nD) 10.78%", "options": ["A) 16.02%", "B) 14.27%", "C) 17.77%", "D) 10.78%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20180301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-01-29.)\n\nA) $14,409B\nB) $14,806B\nC) $15,203B\nD) $15,996B", "options": ["A) $14,409B", "B) $14,806B", "C) $15,203B", "D) $15,996B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$15,203B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20180615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2018-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2018-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2018-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2018-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.53pp\nB) -0.23pp\nC) +0.08pp\nD) +0.38pp", "options": ["A) -0.53pp", "B) -0.23pp", "C) +0.08pp", "D) +0.38pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.38pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.42\nB) 100.37\nC) 98.32\nD) 105.49", "options": ["A) 102.42", "B) 100.37", "C) 98.32", "D) 105.49"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "102.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20180901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2018", "info_cutoff": "2018-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2018? (Use only information available on or before 2018-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.63%\nB) 4.31%\nC) 7.99%\nD) 5.54%", "options": ["A) 0.63%", "B) 4.31%", "C) 7.99%", "D) 5.54%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,734.55\nB) 8,127.21\nC) 6,949.23\nD) 6,163.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 7,734.55", "B) 8,127.21", "C) 6,949.23", "D) 6,163.91"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,949.23", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,734.55\nB) 8,127.21\nC) 6,949.23\nD) 6,163.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 7,734.55", "B) 8,127.21", "C) 6,949.23", "D) 6,163.91"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,949.23", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-5d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,262.78\nB) 8,048.10\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 7,262.78", "B) 8,048.10", "C) 6,084.80", "D) 6,870.12"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 7,262.78\nB) 8,048.10\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 7,262.78", "B) 8,048.10", "C) 6,084.80", "D) 6,870.12"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-10d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,477.46\nC) 7,262.78\nD) 6,084.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6,870.12", "B) 6,477.46", "C) 7,262.78", "D) 6,084.80"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,870.12\nB) 6,477.46\nC) 7,262.78\nD) 6,084.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6,870.12", "B) 6,477.46", "C) 7,262.78", "D) 6,084.80"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-20d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 7,655.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 5,692.14", "B) 6,870.12", "C) 6,084.80", "D) 7,655.44"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5,692.14\nB) 6,870.12\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 7,655.44", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 5,692.14", "B) 6,870.12", "C) 6,084.80", "D) 7,655.44"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-40d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6,477.46", "B) 6,084.80", "C) 6,870.12", "D) 5,692.14"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 6,084.80\nC) 6,870.12\nD) 5,692.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6,477.46", "B) 6,084.80", "C) 6,870.12", "D) 5,692.14"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-60d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6,477.46", "B) 7,655.44", "C) 6,084.80", "D) 6,870.12"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6,477.46\nB) 7,655.44\nC) 6,084.80\nD) 6,870.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6,477.46", "B) 7,655.44", "C) 6,084.80", "D) 6,870.12"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,870.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180322-120d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,588.26\nB) 2,484.44\nC) 2,276.81\nD) 2,692.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 2,588.26", "B) 2,484.44", "C) 2,276.81", "D) 2,692.08"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,588.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,588.26\nB) 2,484.44\nC) 2,276.81\nD) 2,692.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 2,588.26", "B) 2,484.44", "C) 2,276.81", "D) 2,692.08"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,588.26", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-5d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,374.25\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,270.43\nD) 2,893.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 2,374.25", "B) 2,581.88", "C) 2,270.43", "D) 2,893.33"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,374.25\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,270.43\nD) 2,893.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 2,374.25", "B) 2,581.88", "C) 2,270.43", "D) 2,893.33"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-10d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,893.33\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,581.88\nD) 2,789.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 2,893.33", "B) 2,478.06", "C) 2,581.88", "D) 2,789.51"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,893.33\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,581.88\nD) 2,789.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 2,893.33", "B) 2,478.06", "C) 2,581.88", "D) 2,789.51"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-20d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,581.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 2,270.43", "B) 2,478.06", "C) 2,789.51", "D) 2,581.88"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,478.06\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,581.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 2,270.43", "B) 2,478.06", "C) 2,789.51", "D) 2,581.88"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-40d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,581.88\nB) 2,685.70\nC) 2,478.06\nD) 2,893.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 2,581.88", "B) 2,685.70", "C) 2,478.06", "D) 2,893.33"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,581.88\nB) 2,685.70\nC) 2,478.06\nD) 2,893.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 2,581.88", "B) 2,685.70", "C) 2,478.06", "D) 2,893.33"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-60d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180322-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,374.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 2,270.43", "B) 2,581.88", "C) 2,789.51", "D) 2,374.25"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180322-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 2,270.43\nB) 2,581.88\nC) 2,789.51\nD) 2,374.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 2,270.43", "B) 2,581.88", "C) 2,789.51", "D) 2,374.25"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,581.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180322-120d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8744\nB) 6.0491\nC) 6.3110\nD) 6.5729", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 5.8744", "B) 6.0491", "C) 6.3110", "D) 6.5729"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.3110", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 5.8744\nB) 6.0491\nC) 6.3110\nD) 6.5729", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 5.8744", "B) 6.0491", "C) 6.3110", "D) 6.5729"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.3110", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-5d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4856\nB) 5.8744\nC) 6.1364\nD) 6.3110", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6.4856", "B) 5.8744", "C) 6.1364", "D) 6.3110"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.3110", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.4856\nB) 5.8744\nC) 6.1364\nD) 6.3110", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6.4856", "B) 5.8744", "C) 6.1364", "D) 6.3110"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.3110", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-10d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.3110\nB) 6.5729\nC) 6.1364\nD) 5.8744", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6.3110", "B) 6.5729", "C) 6.1364", "D) 5.8744"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.3110", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.3110\nB) 6.5729\nC) 6.1364\nD) 5.8744", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6.3110", "B) 6.5729", "C) 6.1364", "D) 5.8744"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.3110", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-20d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.1141\nB) 6.3760\nC) 6.5506\nD) 5.9394", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6.1141", "B) 6.3760", "C) 6.5506", "D) 5.9394"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.3760", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.1141\nB) 6.3760\nC) 6.5506\nD) 5.9394", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6.1141", "B) 6.3760", "C) 6.5506", "D) 5.9394"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.3760", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-40d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0013\nB) 6.6998\nC) 6.4379\nD) 6.1760", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6.0013", "B) 6.6998", "C) 6.4379", "D) 6.1760"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4379", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.0013\nB) 6.6998\nC) 6.4379\nD) 6.1760", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6.0013", "B) 6.6998", "C) 6.4379", "D) 6.1760"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4379", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-60d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7584\nB) 6.5838\nC) 7.1949\nD) 6.9330", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6.7584", "B) 6.5838", "C) 7.1949", "D) 6.9330"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.9330", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 6.7584\nB) 6.5838\nC) 7.1949\nD) 6.9330", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 6.7584", "B) 6.5838", "C) 7.1949", "D) 6.9330"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.9330", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20180322-120d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 29.98\nC) 26.57\nD) 19.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 24.87", "B) 29.98", "C) 26.57", "D) 19.76"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 29.98\nC) 26.57\nD) 19.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 24.87", "B) 29.98", "C) 26.57", "D) 19.76"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-5d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 19.76\nB) 24.87\nC) 26.57\nD) 28.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 19.76", "B) 24.87", "C) 26.57", "D) 28.28"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 19.76\nB) 24.87\nC) 26.57\nD) 28.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 19.76", "B) 24.87", "C) 26.57", "D) 28.28"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-10d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 29.98\nB) 28.28\nC) 24.87\nD) 21.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 29.98", "B) 28.28", "C) 24.87", "D) 21.46"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 29.98\nB) 28.28\nC) 24.87\nD) 21.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 29.98", "B) 28.28", "C) 24.87", "D) 21.46"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-20d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 21.46\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 28.28", "B) 21.46", "C) 23.17", "D) 24.87"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 28.28\nB) 21.46\nC) 23.17\nD) 24.87", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 28.28", "B) 21.46", "C) 23.17", "D) 24.87"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-40d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 19.76\nC) 29.98\nD) 21.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 24.87", "B) 19.76", "C) 29.98", "D) 21.46"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 24.87\nB) 19.76\nC) 29.98\nD) 21.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 24.87", "B) 19.76", "C) 29.98", "D) 21.46"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-60d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 19.76\nD) 23.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 26.57", "B) 24.87", "C) 19.76", "D) 23.17"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"US-China trade war escalation\" on 2018-03-22, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-03-22? (Use only information available on or before 2018-03-21.)\n\nA) 26.57\nB) 24.87\nC) 19.76\nD) 23.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-03-22", "info_cutoff": "2018-03-21", "options": ["A) 26.57", "B) 24.87", "C) 19.76", "D) 23.17"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "US-China trade war escalation", "event_date": "2018-03-22", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180322-120d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,713.32\nB) 5,557.24\nC) 6,635.28\nD) 6,275.93", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 7,713.32", "B) 5,557.24", "C) 6,635.28", "D) 6,275.93"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,635.28", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,713.32\nB) 5,557.24\nC) 6,635.28\nD) 6,275.93", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 7,713.32", "B) 5,557.24", "C) 6,635.28", "D) 6,275.93"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,635.28", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-5d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,597.73\nB) 5,879.04\nC) 7,675.77\nD) 6,957.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 6,597.73", "B) 5,879.04", "C) 7,675.77", "D) 6,957.08"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,957.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 6,597.73\nB) 5,879.04\nC) 7,675.77\nD) 6,957.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 6,597.73", "B) 5,879.04", "C) 7,675.77", "D) 6,957.08"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,957.08", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-10d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,157.23\nB) 8,235.27\nC) 6,438.54\nD) 7,875.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 7,157.23", "B) 8,235.27", "C) 6,438.54", "D) 7,875.92"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7,157.23", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,157.23\nB) 8,235.27\nC) 6,438.54\nD) 7,875.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 7,157.23", "B) 8,235.27", "C) 6,438.54", "D) 7,875.92"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7,157.23", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-20d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,886.89\nB) 7,527.54\nC) 6,808.85\nD) 6,449.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 7,886.89", "B) 7,527.54", "C) 6,808.85", "D) 6,449.50"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7,527.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,886.89\nB) 7,527.54\nC) 6,808.85\nD) 6,449.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 7,886.89", "B) 7,527.54", "C) 6,808.85", "D) 6,449.50"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7,527.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-40d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 8,557.65\nB) 7,120.27\nC) 7,838.96\nD) 6,760.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 8,557.65", "B) 7,120.27", "C) 7,838.96", "D) 6,760.92"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,838.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 8,557.65\nB) 7,120.27\nC) 7,838.96\nD) 6,760.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 8,557.65", "B) 7,120.27", "C) 7,838.96", "D) 6,760.92"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,838.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-60d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,445.31\nB) 8,882.69\nC) 7,085.96\nD) 8,164.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 7,445.31", "B) 8,882.69", "C) 7,085.96", "D) 8,164.00"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8,164.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 7,445.31\nB) 8,882.69\nC) 7,085.96\nD) 8,164.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 7,445.31", "B) 8,882.69", "C) 7,085.96", "D) 8,164.00"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8,164.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20181224-120d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,467.70\nB) 2,375.61\nC) 2,191.42\nD) 2,559.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 2,467.70", "B) 2,375.61", "C) 2,191.42", "D) 2,559.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,467.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,467.70\nB) 2,375.61\nC) 2,191.42\nD) 2,559.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 2,467.70", "B) 2,375.61", "C) 2,191.42", "D) 2,559.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,467.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-5d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,724.17\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 2,724.17", "B) 2,447.89", "C) 2,632.07", "D) 2,355.80"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,724.17\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 2,724.17", "B) 2,447.89", "C) 2,632.07", "D) 2,355.80"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-10d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,539.98\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,447.89\nD) 2,632.07", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 2,539.98", "B) 2,724.17", "C) 2,447.89", "D) 2,632.07"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,539.98\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,447.89\nD) 2,632.07", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 2,539.98", "B) 2,724.17", "C) 2,447.89", "D) 2,632.07"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-20d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,632.07\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,263.71\nD) 2,447.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 2,632.07", "B) 2,724.17", "C) 2,263.71", "D) 2,447.89"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,632.07\nB) 2,724.17\nC) 2,263.71\nD) 2,447.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 2,632.07", "B) 2,724.17", "C) 2,263.71", "D) 2,447.89"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-40d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,447.89\nB) 2,171.61\nC) 2,355.80\nD) 2,632.07", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 2,447.89", "B) 2,171.61", "C) 2,355.80", "D) 2,632.07"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,447.89\nB) 2,171.61\nC) 2,355.80\nD) 2,632.07", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 2,447.89", "B) 2,171.61", "C) 2,355.80", "D) 2,632.07"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-60d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20181224-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,171.61\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 2,171.61", "B) 2,447.89", "C) 2,632.07", "D) 2,355.80"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20181224-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 2,171.61\nB) 2,447.89\nC) 2,632.07\nD) 2,355.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 2,171.61", "B) 2,447.89", "C) 2,632.07", "D) 2,355.80"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,447.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20181224-120d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 29.76\nC) 25.42\nD) 18.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 23.25", "B) 29.76", "C) 25.42", "D) 18.91"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "25.42", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 23.25\nB) 29.76\nC) 25.42\nD) 18.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 23.25", "B) 29.76", "C) 25.42", "D) 18.91"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "25.42", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-5d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 24.32\nB) 17.81\nC) 26.49\nD) 19.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 24.32", "B) 17.81", "C) 26.49", "D) 19.98"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "19.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 24.32\nB) 17.81\nC) 26.49\nD) 19.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 24.32", "B) 17.81", "C) 26.49", "D) 19.98"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "19.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-10d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 17.80\nB) 15.63\nC) 24.31\nD) 11.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 17.80", "B) 15.63", "C) 24.31", "D) 11.29"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 17.80\nB) 15.63\nC) 24.31\nD) 11.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 17.80", "B) 15.63", "C) 24.31", "D) 11.29"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.80", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-20d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 13.51\nC) 17.85\nD) 20.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 11.34", "B) 13.51", "C) 17.85", "D) 20.02"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.51", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 11.34\nB) 13.51\nC) 17.85\nD) 20.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 11.34", "B) 13.51", "C) 17.85", "D) 20.02"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.51", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-40d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 19.39\nB) 15.05\nC) 12.88\nD) 6.37", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 19.39", "B) 15.05", "C) 12.88", "D) 6.37"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 19.39\nB) 15.05\nC) 12.88\nD) 6.37", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 19.39", "B) 15.05", "C) 12.88", "D) 6.37"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-60d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 18.52\nB) 9.84\nC) 7.67\nD) 12.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 18.52", "B) 9.84", "C) 7.67", "D) 12.01"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Christmas Eve sell-off\" on 2018-12-24, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-12-24? (Use only information available on or before 2018-12-21.)\n\nA) 18.52\nB) 9.84\nC) 7.67\nD) 12.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-12-24", "info_cutoff": "2018-12-21", "options": ["A) 18.52", "B) 9.84", "C) 7.67", "D) 12.01"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Christmas Eve sell-off", "event_date": "2018-12-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20181224-120d-min", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 35.01\nC) 38.10\nD) 36.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 33.46", "B) 35.01", "C) 38.10", "D) 36.56"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 35.01\nC) 38.10\nD) 36.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 33.46", "B) 35.01", "C) 38.10", "D) 36.56"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 30.36", "B) 33.46", "C) 28.82", "D) 31.91"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 30.36\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 30.36", "B) 33.46", "C) 28.82", "D) 31.91"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 28.82\nC) 33.46\nD) 38.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 31.91", "B) 28.82", "C) 33.46", "D) 38.10"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 31.91\nB) 28.82\nC) 33.46\nD) 38.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 31.91", "B) 28.82", "C) 33.46", "D) 38.10"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 28.82\nB) 35.01\nC) 36.56\nD) 33.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 28.82", "B) 35.01", "C) 36.56", "D) 33.46"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 28.82\nB) 35.01\nC) 36.56\nD) 33.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 28.82", "B) 35.01", "C) 36.56", "D) 33.46"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 28.82\nC) 30.36\nD) 36.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 33.46", "B) 28.82", "C) 30.36", "D) 36.56"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 33.46\nB) 28.82\nC) 30.36\nD) 36.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 33.46", "B) 28.82", "C) 30.36", "D) 36.56"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 36.56", "B) 33.46", "C) 28.82", "D) 31.91"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 36.56\nB) 33.46\nC) 28.82\nD) 31.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 36.56", "B) 33.46", "C) 28.82", "D) 31.91"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,874.08\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 7,115.88\nD) 8,253.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 7,874.08", "B) 7,494.98", "C) 7,115.88", "D) 8,253.18"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,115.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,874.08\nB) 7,494.98\nC) 7,115.88\nD) 8,253.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 7,874.08", "B) 7,494.98", "C) 7,115.88", "D) 8,253.18"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,115.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,635.53\nB) 6,119.13\nC) 8,014.63\nD) 7,256.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 7,635.53", "B) 6,119.13", "C) 8,014.63", "D) 7,256.43"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7,256.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,635.53\nB) 6,119.13\nC) 8,014.63\nD) 7,256.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 7,635.53", "B) 6,119.13", "C) 8,014.63", "D) 7,256.43"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7,256.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,421.46\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 8,179.66\nD) 6,663.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 7,421.46", "B) 6,284.16", "C) 8,179.66", "D) 6,663.26"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7,421.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,421.46\nB) 6,284.16\nC) 8,179.66\nD) 6,663.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 7,421.46", "B) 6,284.16", "C) 8,179.66", "D) 6,663.26"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7,421.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,830.12\nB) 7,588.32\nC) 8,346.52\nD) 7,209.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 6,830.12", "B) 7,588.32", "C) 8,346.52", "D) 7,209.22"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7,588.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 6,830.12\nB) 7,588.32\nC) 8,346.52\nD) 7,209.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 6,830.12", "B) 7,588.32", "C) 8,346.52", "D) 7,209.22"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7,588.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,209.22\nB) 6,451.02\nC) 7,588.32\nD) 8,725.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 7,209.22", "B) 6,451.02", "C) 7,588.32", "D) 8,725.62"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,588.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,209.22\nB) 6,451.02\nC) 7,588.32\nD) 8,725.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 7,209.22", "B) 6,451.02", "C) 7,588.32", "D) 8,725.62"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,588.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,553.14\nB) 6,794.94\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,932.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 7,553.14", "B) 6,794.94", "C) 8,690.44", "D) 7,932.24"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7,932.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 7,553.14\nB) 6,794.94\nC) 8,690.44\nD) 7,932.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 7,553.14", "B) 6,794.94", "C) 8,690.44", "D) 7,932.24"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7,932.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,695.14\nB) 2,598.19\nC) 2,404.30\nD) 2,501.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 2,695.14", "B) 2,598.19", "C) 2,404.30", "D) 2,501.24"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,695.14", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,695.14\nB) 2,598.19\nC) 2,404.30\nD) 2,501.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 2,695.14", "B) 2,598.19", "C) 2,404.30", "D) 2,501.24"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,695.14", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-5d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,926.12\nB) 2,732.22\nC) 2,829.17\nD) 2,635.27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 2,926.12", "B) 2,732.22", "C) 2,829.17", "D) 2,635.27"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,732.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,926.12\nB) 2,732.22\nC) 2,829.17\nD) 2,635.27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 2,926.12", "B) 2,732.22", "C) 2,829.17", "D) 2,635.27"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,732.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-10d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,488.76\nB) 3,070.44\nC) 2,779.60\nD) 2,876.55", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 2,488.76", "B) 3,070.44", "C) 2,779.60", "D) 2,876.55"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,779.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,488.76\nB) 3,070.44\nC) 2,779.60\nD) 2,876.55", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 2,488.76", "B) 3,070.44", "C) 2,779.60", "D) 2,876.55"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2,779.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-20d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,980.47\nB) 2,883.52\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,786.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 2,980.47", "B) 2,883.52", "C) 2,592.67", "D) 2,786.57"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,786.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,980.47\nB) 2,883.52\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,786.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 2,980.47", "B) 2,883.52", "C) 2,592.67", "D) 2,786.57"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2,786.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-40d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,786.57\nB) 2,980.47\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,883.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 2,786.57", "B) 2,980.47", "C) 2,592.67", "D) 2,883.52"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,786.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,786.57\nB) 2,980.47\nC) 2,592.67\nD) 2,883.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 2,786.57", "B) 2,980.47", "C) 2,592.67", "D) 2,883.52"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,786.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-60d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,943.02\nB) 2,846.07\nC) 2,749.12\nD) 2,652.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 2,943.02", "B) 2,846.07", "C) 2,749.12", "D) 2,652.17"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,846.07", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20180205-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Volmageddon (VIX spike)\" on 2018-02-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2018-02-05? (Use only information available on or before 2018-02-02.)\n\nA) 2,943.02\nB) 2,846.07\nC) 2,749.12\nD) 2,652.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2018-02-05", "info_cutoff": "2018-02-02", "options": ["A) 2,943.02", "B) 2,846.07", "C) 2,749.12", "D) 2,652.17"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2,846.07", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Volmageddon (VIX spike)", "event_date": "2018-02-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20180205-120d-max", "year": 2018} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 123.83\nB) 121.34\nC) 117.60\nD) 113.86", "options": ["A) 123.83", "B) 121.34", "C) 117.60", "D) 113.86"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "117.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.79pp\nB) -0.29pp\nC) +0.52pp\nD) +0.25pp", "options": ["A) +0.79pp", "B) -0.29pp", "C) +0.52pp", "D) +0.25pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.25pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 256.43\nB) 243.14\nC) 263.08\nD) 249.78", "options": ["A) 256.43", "B) 243.14", "C) 263.08", "D) 249.78"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "256.43", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1907\nB) 1.1217\nC) 1.0527\nD) 1.2598", "options": ["A) 1.1907", "B) 1.1217", "C) 1.0527", "D) 1.2598"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1217", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,247,196\nB) 2,020,804\nC) 1,634,000\nD) 1,376,131", "options": ["A) 1,247,196", "B) 2,020,804", "C) 1,634,000", "D) 1,376,131"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,634,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.83%\nB) 2.21%\nC) 2.56%\nD) 1.52%", "options": ["A) 0.83%", "B) 2.21%", "C) 2.56%", "D) 1.52%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 63.20%\nB) 65.10%\nC) 60.04%\nD) 61.94%", "options": ["A) 63.20%", "B) 65.10%", "C) 60.04%", "D) 61.94%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "63.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.3175\nB) 6.9247\nC) 6.5319\nD) 7.5793", "options": ["A) 7.3175", "B) 6.9247", "C) 6.5319", "D) 7.5793"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.9247", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 0.60%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 0.25%", "options": ["A) 1.97%", "B) 0.60%", "C) 1.28%", "D) 0.25%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) 3.20%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 1.88%", "options": ["A) 1.00%", "B) 3.20%", "C) 2.32%", "D) 1.88%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 102.29\nB) 99.22\nC) 108.43\nD) 105.36", "options": ["A) 102.29", "B) 99.22", "C) 108.43", "D) 105.36"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "102.29", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.24%\nB) 7.00%\nC) 7.83%\nD) 7.41%", "options": ["A) 8.24%", "B) 7.00%", "C) 7.83%", "D) 7.41%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.95%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.08%", "options": ["A) 0.95%", "B) 1.21%", "C) 1.34%", "D) 1.08%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 3.50%", "options": ["A) 3.83%", "B) 2.84%", "C) 4.16%", "D) 3.50%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,886.98\nB) 2,632.98\nC) 3,013.98\nD) 3,267.98", "options": ["A) 2,886.98", "B) 2,632.98", "C) 3,013.98", "D) 3,267.98"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2,886.98", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 2.97%", "options": ["A) 3.17%", "B) 3.56%", "C) 4.14%", "D) 2.97%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 96.70\nB) 99.79\nC) 102.88\nD) 105.96", "options": ["A) 96.70", "B) 99.79", "C) 102.88", "D) 105.96"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "102.88", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.45pp\nB) +0.12pp\nC) +0.03pp\nD) +0.20pp", "options": ["A) +0.45pp", "B) +0.12pp", "C) +0.03pp", "D) +0.20pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.16%\nC) 4.06%\nD) 3.68%", "options": ["A) 3.30%", "B) 2.16%", "C) 4.06%", "D) 3.68%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 24,687.83\nB) 26,089.61\nC) 27,491.39\nD) 30,294.96", "options": ["A) 24,687.83", "B) 26,089.61", "C) 27,491.39", "D) 30,294.96"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "26,089.61", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.83%\nB) 57.34%\nC) 61.00%\nD) 59.17%", "options": ["A) 62.83%", "B) 57.34%", "C) 61.00%", "D) 59.17%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "61.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.93%\nB) -0.55%\nC) -5.31%\nD) -1.74%", "options": ["A) -2.93%", "B) -0.55%", "C) -5.31%", "D) -1.74%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.84%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 2.63%", "options": ["A) 1.84%", "B) 1.45%", "C) 0.66%", "D) 2.63%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 117.3186\nB) 108.4400\nC) 111.3995\nD) 99.5614", "options": ["A) 117.3186", "B) 108.4400", "C) 111.3995", "D) 99.5614"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "108.4400", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.29%\nB) 1.89%\nC) 2.09%\nD) 1.49%", "options": ["A) 2.29%", "B) 1.89%", "C) 2.09%", "D) 1.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,189K\nB) 1,136K\nC) 1,454K\nD) 1,295K", "options": ["A) 1,189K", "B) 1,136K", "C) 1,454K", "D) 1,295K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,295K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $226,791M\nB) $212,932M\nC) $217,552M\nD) $231,411M", "options": ["A) $226,791M", "B) $212,932M", "C) $217,552M", "D) $231,411M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$226,791M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.47%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.35%", "options": ["A) 3.47%", "B) 3.82%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 4.35%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.06%\nB) 3.32%\nC) 3.59%\nD) 3.85%", "options": ["A) 3.06%", "B) 3.32%", "C) 3.59%", "D) 3.85%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.75%\nB) 1.39%\nC) 1.27%\nD) 1.63%", "options": ["A) 1.75%", "B) 1.39%", "C) 1.27%", "D) 1.63%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -6.50%\nB) -2.87%\nC) -13.75%\nD) -10.12%", "options": ["A) -6.50%", "B) -2.87%", "C) -13.75%", "D) -10.12%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-6.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 100.38\nB) 103.73\nC) 107.09\nD) 98.14", "options": ["A) 100.38", "B) 103.73", "C) 107.09", "D) 98.14"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "103.73", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,846B\nB) $16,762B\nC) $16,283B\nD) $17,719B", "options": ["A) $14,846B", "B) $16,762B", "C) $16,283B", "D) $17,719B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$16,283B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.01%\nB) -2.82%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 6.05%", "options": ["A) 9.01%", "B) -2.82%", "C) 0.14%", "D) 6.05%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.09%\nB) 5.25%\nC) 3.31%\nD) 4.47%", "options": ["A) 4.09%", "B) 5.25%", "C) 3.31%", "D) 4.47%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 1.84%\nD) 1.72%", "options": ["A) 2.41%", "B) 2.07%", "C) 1.84%", "D) 1.72%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 268.77\nB) 254.37\nC) 261.57\nD) 243.57", "options": ["A) 268.77", "B) 254.37", "C) 261.57", "D) 243.57"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "261.57", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,571B\nB) $13,037B\nC) $15,064B\nD) $14,558B", "options": ["A) $15,571B", "B) $13,037B", "C) $15,064B", "D) $14,558B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$14,558B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 78.53%\nB) 76.16%\nC) 74.58%\nD) 80.12%", "options": ["A) 78.53%", "B) 76.16%", "C) 74.58%", "D) 80.12%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "78.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.25%\nB) 7.90%\nC) 8.22%\nD) 6.93%", "options": ["A) 7.25%", "B) 7.90%", "C) 8.22%", "D) 6.93%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.15%\nB) -3.09%\nC) 0.65%\nD) 1.90%", "options": ["A) 3.15%", "B) -3.09%", "C) 0.65%", "D) 1.90%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 198.77\nB) 219.68\nC) 226.65\nD) 205.74", "options": ["A) 198.77", "B) 219.68", "C) 226.65", "D) 205.74"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "205.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $-48,154M\nB) $-41,991M\nC) $-44,045M\nD) $-54,317M", "options": ["A) $-48,154M", "B) $-41,991M", "C) $-44,045M", "D) $-54,317M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-48,154M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.29pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.49pp\nD) -0.16pp", "options": ["A) -0.29pp", "B) +0.10pp", "C) +0.49pp", "D) -0.16pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 106.16\nB) 96.88\nC) 103.07\nD) 99.98", "options": ["A) 106.16", "B) 96.88", "C) 103.07", "D) 99.98"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "103.07", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.59%\nB) 3.09%\nC) -3.92%\nD) 0.75%", "options": ["A) -1.59%", "B) 3.09%", "C) -3.92%", "D) 0.75%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.31pp\nB) -3.31pp\nC) -0.31pp\nD) +0.68pp", "options": ["A) -2.31pp", "B) -3.31pp", "C) -0.31pp", "D) +0.68pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.31pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $64,006M\nB) $68,651M\nC) $73,296M\nD) $65,555M", "options": ["A) $64,006M", "B) $68,651M", "C) $73,296M", "D) $65,555M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$68,651M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,565K\nB) 1,326K\nC) 1,469K\nD) 1,421K", "options": ["A) 1,565K", "B) 1,326K", "C) 1,469K", "D) 1,421K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,469K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $3,382M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $3,382M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$3,382M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.90pp\nB) -0.99pp\nC) -9.86pp\nD) -15.77pp", "options": ["A) -6.90pp", "B) -0.99pp", "C) -9.86pp", "D) -15.77pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-6.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.04%\nC) 1.62%\nD) 2.88%", "options": ["A) 3.30%", "B) 2.04%", "C) 1.62%", "D) 2.88%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.92%\nB) 5.57%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 2.32%", "options": ["A) 4.92%", "B) 5.57%", "C) 3.62%", "D) 2.32%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.20%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 3.80%", "options": ["A) 4.99%", "B) 4.20%", "C) 3.01%", "D) 3.80%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $240,465M\nB) $247,018M\nC) $260,123M\nD) $220,807M", "options": ["A) $240,465M", "B) $247,018M", "C) $260,123M", "D) $220,807M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$240,465M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.43%\nB) -2.55%\nC) -7.21%\nD) 2.10%", "options": ["A) 4.43%", "B) -2.55%", "C) -7.21%", "D) 2.10%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $22.40/hr\nB) $24.53/hr\nC) $23.68/hr\nD) $25.81/hr", "options": ["A) $22.40/hr", "B) $24.53/hr", "C) $23.68/hr", "D) $25.81/hr"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$23.68/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -10.45%\nB) 8.18%\nC) 17.50%\nD) 3.53%", "options": ["A) -10.45%", "B) 8.18%", "C) 17.50%", "D) 3.53%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.00%\nB) 61.11%\nC) 66.15%\nD) 64.89%", "options": ["A) 63.00%", "B) 61.11%", "C) 66.15%", "D) 64.89%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "63.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $13,500B\nB) $14,249B\nC) $13,874B\nD) $14,623B", "options": ["A) $13,500B", "B) $14,249B", "C) $13,874B", "D) $14,623B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$14,249B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 92.92\nB) 103.88\nC) 98.40\nD) 106.62", "options": ["A) 92.92", "B) 103.88", "C) 98.40", "D) 106.62"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "98.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 153,881K\nB) 159,261K\nC) 146,709K\nD) 150,295K", "options": ["A) 153,881K", "B) 159,261K", "C) 146,709K", "D) 150,295K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "150,295K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 103.87\nB) 106.27\nC) 108.68\nD) 101.47", "options": ["A) 103.87", "B) 106.27", "C) 108.68", "D) 101.47"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "103.87", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.80%\nB) 1.37%\nC) 3.52%\nD) 0.66%", "options": ["A) 2.80%", "B) 1.37%", "C) 3.52%", "D) 0.66%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.87%\nB) -4.95%\nC) 0.46%\nD) 16.70%", "options": ["A) 5.87%", "B) -4.95%", "C) 0.46%", "D) 16.70%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $521,891M\nB) $471,455M\nC) $534,500M\nD) $509,282M", "options": ["A) $521,891M", "B) $471,455M", "C) $534,500M", "D) $509,282M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$509,282M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $14,591B\nB) $14,978B\nC) $15,366B\nD) $13,427B", "options": ["A) $14,591B", "B) $14,978B", "C) $15,366B", "D) $13,427B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$14,591B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -4.37%\nB) -9.64%\nC) 0.89%\nD) 6.15%", "options": ["A) -4.37%", "B) -9.64%", "C) 0.89%", "D) 6.15%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-9.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -7.05%\nB) -3.36%\nC) 4.01%\nD) 15.08%", "options": ["A) -7.05%", "B) -3.36%", "C) 4.01%", "D) 15.08%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 2.54%\nC) 5.25%\nD) 3.63%", "options": ["A) 4.17%", "B) 2.54%", "C) 5.25%", "D) 3.63%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $23.29/hr\nB) $24.45/hr\nC) $22.52/hr\nD) $21.36/hr", "options": ["A) $23.29/hr", "B) $24.45/hr", "C) $22.52/hr", "D) $21.36/hr"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$23.29/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) -0.20pp\nC) -0.03pp\nD) +0.13pp", "options": ["A) +0.30pp", "B) -0.20pp", "C) -0.03pp", "D) +0.13pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 6,616.22\nB) 8,977.10\nC) 7,796.66\nD) 7,206.44", "options": ["A) 6,616.22", "B) 8,977.10", "C) 7,796.66", "D) 7,206.44"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7,796.66", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.31%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.85%", "options": ["A) 1.31%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 2.12%", "D) 1.85%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.04pp\nB) -3.00pp\nC) +1.94pp\nD) -1.02pp", "options": ["A) -0.04pp", "B) -3.00pp", "C) +1.94pp", "D) -1.02pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.04pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 63.63%\nB) 60.60%\nC) 58.78%\nD) 62.42%", "options": ["A) 63.63%", "B) 60.60%", "C) 58.78%", "D) 62.42%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "60.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) $44.69/bbl\nB) $60.25/bbl\nC) $52.47/bbl\nD) $29.13/bbl", "options": ["A) $44.69/bbl", "B) $60.25/bbl", "C) $52.47/bbl", "D) $29.13/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$52.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $15,544B\nB) $16,041B\nC) $14,550B\nD) $15,047B", "options": ["A) $15,544B", "B) $16,041B", "C) $14,550B", "D) $15,047B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$15,047B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -10.03%\nB) -13.31%\nC) -6.75%\nD) -3.47%", "options": ["A) -10.03%", "B) -13.31%", "C) -6.75%", "D) -3.47%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-10.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -67.96%\nB) -15.68%\nC) 36.60%\nD) -33.11%", "options": ["A) -67.96%", "B) -15.68%", "C) 36.60%", "D) -33.11%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-15.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 8.83\nB) 21.73\nC) 15.28\nD) 10.98", "options": ["A) 8.83", "B) 21.73", "C) 15.28", "D) 10.98"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.99%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 5.53%\nD) 3.89%", "options": ["A) 4.99%", "B) 4.44%", "C) 5.53%", "D) 3.89%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.38pp\nC) +0.16pp\nD) -0.02pp", "options": ["A) -0.20pp", "B) -0.38pp", "C) +0.16pp", "D) -0.02pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.07%\nB) 2.20%\nC) 1.33%\nD) 3.51%", "options": ["A) 3.07%", "B) 2.20%", "C) 1.33%", "D) 3.51%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 1.36%\nD) 1.47%", "options": ["A) 1.58%", "B) 1.70%", "C) 1.36%", "D) 1.47%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 2.32%\nC) 2.86%\nD) 2.59%", "options": ["A) 2.19%", "B) 2.32%", "C) 2.86%", "D) 2.59%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.39%\nB) 6.40%\nC) -5.64%\nD) 12.42%", "options": ["A) 3.39%", "B) 6.40%", "C) -5.64%", "D) 12.42%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.91%\nB) 4.34%\nC) 6.06%\nD) 3.77%", "options": ["A) 4.91%", "B) 4.34%", "C) 6.06%", "D) 3.77%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $15,597B\nB) $16,937B\nC) $16,044B\nD) $16,490B", "options": ["A) $15,597B", "B) $16,937B", "C) $16,044B", "D) $16,490B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$16,044B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 1.74%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.62%", "options": ["A) 1.49%", "B) 1.74%", "C) 1.98%", "D) 1.62%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) 115.91\nB) 107.09\nC) 112.97\nD) 118.84", "options": ["A) 115.91", "B) 107.09", "C) 112.97", "D) 118.84"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "115.91", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) $475,681M\nB) $499,292M\nC) $511,098M\nD) $522,903M", "options": ["A) $475,681M", "B) $499,292M", "C) $511,098M", "D) $522,903M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$499,292M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -21.88%\nB) -0.17%\nC) -11.03%\nD) 5.25%", "options": ["A) -21.88%", "B) -0.17%", "C) -11.03%", "D) 5.25%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-11.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 146,261K\nB) 142,859K\nC) 154,768K\nD) 151,365K", "options": ["A) 146,261K", "B) 142,859K", "C) 154,768K", "D) 151,365K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "151,365K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.88%\nB) -5.55%\nC) 20.53%\nD) 10.10%", "options": ["A) 4.88%", "B) -5.55%", "C) 20.53%", "D) 10.10%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 202,426\nB) 217,000\nC) 231,574\nD) 246,148", "options": ["A) 202,426", "B) 217,000", "C) 231,574", "D) 246,148"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "217,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $-37,818M\nB) $-40,012M\nC) $-44,400M\nD) $-48,788M", "options": ["A) $-37,818M", "B) $-40,012M", "C) $-44,400M", "D) $-48,788M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-44,400M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 275.52\nB) 282.94\nC) 253.26\nD) 264.39", "options": ["A) 275.52", "B) 282.94", "C) 253.26", "D) 264.39"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "264.39", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.42%\nB) 6.48%\nC) 3.51%\nD) -5.39%", "options": ["A) -2.42%", "B) 6.48%", "C) 3.51%", "D) -5.39%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.47%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 1.13%", "options": ["A) 4.47%", "B) 3.14%", "C) 5.14%", "D) 1.13%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $3,203M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $4,300,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $3,203M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$3,203M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) -53.69%\nB) -4.09%\nC) -37.15%\nD) -20.62%", "options": ["A) -53.69%", "B) -4.09%", "C) -37.15%", "D) -20.62%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-20.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 118.30\nB) 110.62\nC) 121.37\nD) 115.23", "options": ["A) 118.30", "B) 110.62", "C) 121.37", "D) 115.23"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "118.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 215.35\nB) 198.40\nC) 188.23\nD) 208.57", "options": ["A) 215.35", "B) 198.40", "C) 188.23", "D) 208.57"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "198.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) $12,084B\nB) $14,808B\nC) $13,446B\nD) $13,900B", "options": ["A) $12,084B", "B) $14,808B", "C) $13,446B", "D) $13,900B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$13,446B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.96%\nB) 6.67%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 5.53%", "options": ["A) 4.96%", "B) 6.67%", "C) 3.83%", "D) 5.53%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.99%\nB) 2.71%\nC) 3.42%\nD) 0.57%", "options": ["A) 1.99%", "B) 2.71%", "C) 3.42%", "D) 0.57%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 105.34\nB) 103.06\nC) 107.63\nD) 99.63", "options": ["A) 105.34", "B) 103.06", "C) 107.63", "D) 99.63"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "103.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,298K\nB) 1,245K\nC) 1,191K\nD) 1,352K", "options": ["A) 1,298K", "B) 1,245K", "C) 1,191K", "D) 1,352K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,191K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 4.02%\nC) 4.46%\nD) 3.16%", "options": ["A) 1.87%", "B) 4.02%", "C) 4.46%", "D) 3.16%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 254.28\nB) 260.03\nC) 265.79\nD) 245.64", "options": ["A) 254.28", "B) 260.03", "C) 265.79", "D) 245.64"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "254.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-08.)\n\nA) $79.99/bbl\nB) $63.13/bbl\nC) $46.27/bbl\nD) $37.84/bbl", "options": ["A) $79.99/bbl", "B) $63.13/bbl", "C) $46.27/bbl", "D) $37.84/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$63.13/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 192.99\nB) 212.51\nC) 200.80\nD) 185.18", "options": ["A) 192.99", "B) 212.51", "C) 200.80", "D) 185.18"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "200.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20190615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2019-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2019-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2019-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2019-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.74%\nB) 6.41%\nC) 8.08%\nD) 5.58%", "options": ["A) 4.74%", "B) 6.41%", "C) 8.08%", "D) 5.58%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.33%\nB) 2.66%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 2.44%", "options": ["A) 2.33%", "B) 2.66%", "C) 2.11%", "D) 2.44%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 79.95%\nB) 77.62%\nC) 82.28%\nD) 75.29%", "options": ["A) 79.95%", "B) 77.62%", "C) 82.28%", "D) 75.29%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "77.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.07pp\nB) +0.73pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +0.29pp", "options": ["A) +0.07pp", "B) +0.73pp", "C) +0.40pp", "D) +0.29pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 218.96\nB) 204.72\nC) 197.60\nD) 211.84", "options": ["A) 218.96", "B) 204.72", "C) 197.60", "D) 211.84"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "211.84", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.41%\nB) 1.70%\nC) 2.05%\nD) 2.77%", "options": ["A) 2.41%", "B) 1.70%", "C) 2.05%", "D) 2.77%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) $67,918M\nB) $66,378M\nC) $70,997M\nD) $61,759M", "options": ["A) $67,918M", "B) $66,378M", "C) $70,997M", "D) $61,759M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$66,378M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.86pp\nB) +0.51pp\nC) +0.60pp\nD) +0.77pp", "options": ["A) +0.86pp", "B) +0.51pp", "C) +0.60pp", "D) +0.77pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.38%\nB) 1.25%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.68%", "options": ["A) 0.38%", "B) 1.25%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.68%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.68%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,311K\nB) 1,169K\nC) 1,264K\nD) 1,358K", "options": ["A) 1,311K", "B) 1,169K", "C) 1,264K", "D) 1,358K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,311K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.25%\nB) -1.59%\nC) -13.11%\nD) -5.43%", "options": ["A) 2.25%", "B) -1.59%", "C) -13.11%", "D) -5.43%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20190301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.72pp\nB) +5.58pp\nC) -3.00pp\nD) -11.58pp", "options": ["A) -8.72pp", "B) +5.58pp", "C) -3.00pp", "D) -11.58pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.92%\nB) 23.42%\nC) 15.67%\nD) 11.80%", "options": ["A) 7.92%", "B) 23.42%", "C) 15.67%", "D) 11.80%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) -8.54%\nB) 0.87%\nC) -14.80%\nD) -11.67%", "options": ["A) -8.54%", "B) 0.87%", "C) -14.80%", "D) -11.67%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-8.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 95.17\nB) 93.20\nC) 89.25\nD) 97.15", "options": ["A) 95.17", "B) 93.20", "C) 89.25", "D) 97.15"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "93.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20190901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2019", "info_cutoff": "2019-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2019? (Use only information available on or before 2019-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 7.31%\nC) 5.63%\nD) 4.50%", "options": ["A) 5.06%", "B) 7.31%", "C) 5.63%", "D) 4.50%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 1.91%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 1.49%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 1.28%", "D) 1.91%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.91%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.33%\nC) 1.28%\nD) 1.91%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 1.49%", "B) 2.33%", "C) 1.28%", "D) 1.91%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.91%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-5d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.01%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 1.80%", "B) 2.22%", "C) 1.38%", "D) 2.01%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.80%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.80%\nB) 2.22%\nC) 1.38%\nD) 2.01%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 1.80%", "B) 2.22%", "C) 1.38%", "D) 2.01%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.80%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-10d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 1.03%\nD) 1.24%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 1.45%", "B) 1.66%", "C) 1.03%", "D) 1.24%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.66%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 1.03%\nD) 1.24%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 1.45%", "B) 1.66%", "C) 1.03%", "D) 1.24%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.66%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-20d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 1.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 0.89%", "B) 1.10%", "C) 1.52%", "D) 1.73%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.52%\nD) 1.73%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 0.89%", "B) 1.10%", "C) 1.52%", "D) 1.73%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-40d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 1.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 2.15%", "B) 1.31%", "C) 1.10%", "D) 1.52%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.15%\nB) 1.31%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 1.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 2.15%", "B) 1.31%", "C) 1.10%", "D) 1.52%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-60d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 0.75%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 0.54%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 0.33%", "B) 0.75%", "C) 0.96%", "D) 0.54%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.33%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the US 3-Month Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 0.33%\nB) 0.75%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 0.54%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 0.33%", "B) 0.75%", "C) 0.96%", "D) 0.54%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.33%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS3MO-20190917-120d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.19%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 1.35%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 2.40%", "D) 2.19%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.35%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 2.40%\nD) 2.19%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 1.35%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 2.40%", "D) 2.19%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-5d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 1.56%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 2.40%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 1.77%", "D) 1.56%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 1.56%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 2.40%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 1.77%", "D) 1.56%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-10d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 1.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 2.40%", "B) 1.56%", "C) 1.14%", "D) 1.77%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 1.14%\nD) 1.77%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 2.40%", "B) 1.56%", "C) 1.14%", "D) 1.77%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-20d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.56%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 1.77%", "B) 2.40%", "C) 1.98%", "D) 1.56%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.77%\nB) 2.40%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 1.56%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 1.77%", "B) 2.40%", "C) 1.98%", "D) 1.56%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-40d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 2.40%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 1.56%", "D) 1.14%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 2.40%\nB) 1.77%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.14%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 2.40%", "B) 1.77%", "C) 1.56%", "D) 1.14%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-60d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 2.19%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 1.14%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 1.77%", "D) 2.19%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 1.14%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 1.77%\nD) 2.19%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 1.14%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 1.77%", "D) 2.19%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20190917-120d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.83%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", "options": ["A) 2.05%", "B) 1.18%", "C) 1.61%", "D) 1.83%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 2.05%\nB) 1.18%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.83%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", "options": ["A) 2.05%", "B) 1.18%", "C) 1.61%", "D) 1.83%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-40d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.83%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.18%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", "options": ["A) 1.83%", "B) 1.40%", "C) 1.61%", "D) 1.18%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.83%\nB) 1.40%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 1.18%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", "options": ["A) 1.83%", "B) 1.40%", "C) 1.61%", "D) 1.18%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-60d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 2.48%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", "options": ["A) 1.40%", "B) 1.83%", "C) 1.61%", "D) 2.48%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-01.)\n\nA) 1.40%\nB) 1.83%\nC) 1.61%\nD) 2.48%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-01", "options": ["A) 1.40%", "B) 1.83%", "C) 1.61%", "D) 2.48%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20190917-120d-max", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 9.45\nB) 18.45\nC) 13.95\nD) 16.20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 9.45", "B) 18.45", "C) 13.95", "D) 16.20"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 9.45\nB) 18.45\nC) 13.95\nD) 16.20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 9.45", "B) 18.45", "C) 13.95", "D) 16.20"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-5d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 20.69\nB) 11.70\nC) 18.45\nD) 13.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 20.69", "B) 11.70", "C) 18.45", "D) 13.95"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 20.69\nB) 11.70\nC) 18.45\nD) 13.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 20.69", "B) 11.70", "C) 18.45", "D) 13.95"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-10d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 13.54\nB) 20.28\nC) 9.04\nD) 15.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 13.54", "B) 20.28", "C) 9.04", "D) 15.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 13.54\nB) 20.28\nC) 9.04\nD) 15.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 13.54", "B) 20.28", "C) 9.04", "D) 15.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-20d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 5.33\nB) 12.07\nC) 16.57\nD) 7.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 5.33", "B) 12.07", "C) 16.57", "D) 7.57"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.07", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 5.33\nB) 12.07\nC) 16.57\nD) 7.57", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 5.33", "B) 12.07", "C) 16.57", "D) 7.57"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.07", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-40d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 16.04\nB) 9.29\nC) 11.54\nD) 7.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 16.04", "B) 9.29", "C) 11.54", "D) 7.04"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 16.04\nB) 9.29\nC) 11.54\nD) 7.04", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 16.04", "B) 9.29", "C) 11.54", "D) 7.04"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-60d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 7.04\nB) 13.79\nC) 18.28\nD) 11.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 7.04", "B) 13.79", "C) 18.28", "D) 11.54"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Repo-market spike\" on 2019-09-17, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2019-09-17? (Use only information available on or before 2019-09-16.)\n\nA) 7.04\nB) 13.79\nC) 18.28\nD) 11.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2019-09-17", "info_cutoff": "2019-09-16", "options": ["A) 7.04", "B) 13.79", "C) 18.28", "D) 11.54"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11.54", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Repo-market spike", "event_date": "2019-09-17", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20190917-120d-min", "year": 2019} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -4.40pp\nB) -2.38pp\nC) -3.39pp\nD) -6.42pp", "options": ["A) -4.40pp", "B) -2.38pp", "C) -3.39pp", "D) -6.42pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-4.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 101.75\nB) 105.41\nC) 111.51\nD) 107.85", "options": ["A) 101.75", "B) 105.41", "C) 111.51", "D) 107.85"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "105.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -8.81%\nB) -1.82%\nC) -5.32%\nD) -2.99%", "options": ["A) -8.81%", "B) -1.82%", "C) -5.32%", "D) -2.99%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-5.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.91pp\nB) -6.19pp\nC) -1.04pp\nD) -4.48pp", "options": ["A) -7.91pp", "B) -6.19pp", "C) -1.04pp", "D) -4.48pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-4.48pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 118.00\nB) 111.25\nC) 114.62\nD) 123.06", "options": ["A) 118.00", "B) 111.25", "C) 114.62", "D) 123.06"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "118.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) $32.73/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $19.31/bbl\nD) $52.86/bbl", "options": ["A) $32.73/bbl", "B) $39.44/bbl", "C) $19.31/bbl", "D) $52.86/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$39.44/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.33\nB) 94.49\nC) 97.41\nD) 103.25", "options": ["A) 100.33", "B) 94.49", "C) 97.41", "D) 103.25"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "97.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 248.11\nB) 255.68\nC) 278.42\nD) 267.05", "options": ["A) 248.11", "B) 255.68", "C) 278.42", "D) 267.05"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "267.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 25,763.16\nB) 24,217.74\nC) 22,672.33\nD) 21,126.91", "options": ["A) 25,763.16", "B) 24,217.74", "C) 22,672.33", "D) 21,126.91"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "25,763.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) 0.34%\nC) 2.47%\nD) -0.37%", "options": ["A) 1.05%", "B) 0.34%", "C) 2.47%", "D) -0.37%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.31%\nB) 12.68%\nC) 1.63%\nD) -2.06%", "options": ["A) 5.31%", "B) 12.68%", "C) 1.63%", "D) -2.06%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $15,623B\nB) $18,704B\nC) $18,088B\nD) $17,472B", "options": ["A) $15,623B", "B) $18,704B", "C) $18,088B", "D) $17,472B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$17,472B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.19%\nB) 1.30%\nC) 0.93%\nD) 0.56%", "options": ["A) 0.19%", "B) 1.30%", "C) 0.93%", "D) 0.56%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.20%\nB) 11.37%\nC) 3.70%\nD) -0.13%", "options": ["A) 15.20%", "B) 11.37%", "C) 3.70%", "D) -0.13%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 12.82%\nB) 11.98%\nC) 12.40%\nD) 13.67%", "options": ["A) 12.82%", "B) 11.98%", "C) 12.40%", "D) 13.67%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0020\nB) 1.0520\nC) 1.2020\nD) 1.1270", "options": ["A) 1.0020", "B) 1.0520", "C) 1.2020", "D) 1.1270"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1270", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 107.3300\nB) 99.7383\nC) 112.3911\nD) 114.9217", "options": ["A) 107.3300", "B) 99.7383", "C) 112.3911", "D) 114.9217"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "107.3300", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.25%\nB) -3.06%\nC) -3.86%\nD) -2.26%", "options": ["A) -4.25%", "B) -3.06%", "C) -3.86%", "D) -2.26%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.61%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 1.48%\nD) 1.73%", "options": ["A) 1.61%", "B) 1.86%", "C) 1.48%", "D) 1.73%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $223,410M\nB) $209,267M\nC) $216,338M\nD) $230,481M", "options": ["A) $223,410M", "B) $209,267M", "C) $216,338M", "D) $230,481M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$230,481M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -9.30pp\nB) -17.38pp\nC) -6.61pp\nD) -3.91pp", "options": ["A) -9.30pp", "B) -17.38pp", "C) -6.61pp", "D) -3.91pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-9.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) $19.72/bbl\nB) $37.07/bbl\nC) $42.85/bbl\nD) $54.42/bbl", "options": ["A) $19.72/bbl", "B) $37.07/bbl", "C) $42.85/bbl", "D) $54.42/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$37.07/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.10%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 5.06%", "options": ["A) 4.10%", "B) 3.14%", "C) 4.58%", "D) 5.06%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $14,217B\nB) $13,409B\nC) $12,601B\nD) $13,813B", "options": ["A) $14,217B", "B) $13,409B", "C) $12,601B", "D) $13,813B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$13,813B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.22%\nB) 15.07%\nC) -2.62%\nD) 19.49%", "options": ["A) 6.22%", "B) 15.07%", "C) -2.62%", "D) 19.49%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 68.71%\nB) 73.15%\nC) 76.10%\nD) 74.62%", "options": ["A) 68.71%", "B) 73.15%", "C) 76.10%", "D) 74.62%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "73.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,530K\nB) 1,689K\nC) 1,636K\nD) 1,742K", "options": ["A) 1,530K", "B) 1,689K", "C) 1,636K", "D) 1,742K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,636K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 247.91\nB) 240.86\nC) 219.71\nD) 226.76", "options": ["A) 247.91", "B) 240.86", "C) 219.71", "D) 226.76"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "226.76", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) $14,865B\nB) $14,393B\nC) $13,922B\nD) $13,450B", "options": ["A) $14,865B", "B) $14,393B", "C) $13,922B", "D) $13,450B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$14,865B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 3.85%\nB) 3.56%\nC) 4.13%\nD) 4.41%", "options": ["A) 3.85%", "B) 3.56%", "C) 4.13%", "D) 4.41%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.17%\nB) 9.42%\nC) 3.91%\nD) -1.59%", "options": ["A) 12.17%", "B) 9.42%", "C) 3.91%", "D) -1.59%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 36.28%\nB) 76.53%\nC) 44.33%\nD) 52.38%", "options": ["A) 36.28%", "B) 76.53%", "C) 44.33%", "D) 52.38%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "52.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.74pp\nB) -3.71pp\nC) -6.82pp\nD) -7.86pp", "options": ["A) -4.74pp", "B) -3.71pp", "C) -6.82pp", "D) -7.86pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-4.74pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 272.37\nB) 258.08\nC) 265.22\nD) 247.36", "options": ["A) 272.37", "B) 258.08", "C) 265.22", "D) 247.36"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "258.08", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.62\nB) 90.49\nC) 95.97\nD) 103.27", "options": ["A) 99.62", "B) 90.49", "C) 95.97", "D) 103.27"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "95.97", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $61,914M\nB) $65,214M\nC) $60,265M\nD) $63,564M", "options": ["A) $61,914M", "B) $65,214M", "C) $60,265M", "D) $63,564M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$63,564M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 268.93\nB) 253.99\nC) 261.46\nD) 280.14", "options": ["A) 268.93", "B) 253.99", "C) 261.46", "D) 280.14"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "268.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.95pp\nB) -0.80pp\nC) -1.03pp\nD) -0.88pp", "options": ["A) -0.95pp", "B) -0.80pp", "C) -1.03pp", "D) -0.88pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 94.44\nB) 83.76\nC) 89.10\nD) 98.01", "options": ["A) 94.44", "B) 83.76", "C) 89.10", "D) 98.01"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "89.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $13,913B\nB) $14,291B\nC) $13,536B\nD) $14,668B", "options": ["A) $13,913B", "B) $14,291B", "C) $13,536B", "D) $14,668B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$14,668B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 73.79%\nB) 70.10%\nC) 76.00%\nD) 71.58%", "options": ["A) 73.79%", "B) 70.10%", "C) 76.00%", "D) 71.58%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "73.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.33\nB) 80.40\nC) 69.80\nD) 91.00", "options": ["A) 73.33", "B) 80.40", "C) 69.80", "D) 91.00"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "80.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.48%\nB) 12.20%\nC) 10.34%\nD) 13.13%", "options": ["A) 8.48%", "B) 12.20%", "C) 10.34%", "D) 13.13%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.7142\nB) 7.4632\nC) 6.4646\nD) 7.0887", "options": ["A) 6.7142", "B) 7.4632", "C) 6.4646", "D) 7.0887"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.0887", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.30pp\nB) +3.09pp\nC) +7.92pp\nD) +0.68pp", "options": ["A) +4.30pp", "B) +3.09pp", "C) +7.92pp", "D) +0.68pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+4.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.75pp\nB) -0.40pp\nC) -0.63pp\nD) -0.52pp", "options": ["A) -0.75pp", "B) -0.40pp", "C) -0.63pp", "D) -0.52pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 252.88\nB) 267.11\nC) 260.00\nD) 245.76", "options": ["A) 252.88", "B) 267.11", "C) 260.00", "D) 245.76"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "260.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $17,871B\nB) $14,870B\nC) $15,370B\nD) $16,370B", "options": ["A) $17,871B", "B) $14,870B", "C) $15,370B", "D) $16,370B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$16,370B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 3.79%\nC) 5.01%\nD) 3.49%", "options": ["A) 4.40%", "B) 3.79%", "C) 5.01%", "D) 3.49%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.89%\nB) 0.09%\nC) 0.49%\nD) 1.29%", "options": ["A) 0.89%", "B) 0.09%", "C) 0.49%", "D) 1.29%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.09%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.14%\nB) -8.44%\nC) -3.83%\nD) 3.08%", "options": ["A) -6.14%", "B) -8.44%", "C) -3.83%", "D) 3.08%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.35%\nB) 31.42%\nC) 18.71%\nD) 12.36%", "options": ["A) -0.35%", "B) 31.42%", "C) 18.71%", "D) 12.36%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -12.80pp\nB) -4.73pp\nC) -16.83pp\nD) -20.87pp", "options": ["A) -12.80pp", "B) -4.73pp", "C) -16.83pp", "D) -20.87pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-12.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -3.35%\nB) -9.27%\nC) -15.19%\nD) -12.23%", "options": ["A) -3.35%", "B) -9.27%", "C) -15.19%", "D) -12.23%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-9.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 0.18%\nD) 0.60%", "options": ["A) 1.02%", "B) 1.44%", "C) 0.18%", "D) 0.60%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 23.28%\nB) 6.38%\nC) 9.20%\nD) 14.83%", "options": ["A) 23.28%", "B) 6.38%", "C) 9.20%", "D) 14.83%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 0.36%\nC) 0.92%\nD) 2.60%", "options": ["A) 2.04%", "B) 0.36%", "C) 0.92%", "D) 2.60%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.79%\nB) 59.80%\nC) 58.01%\nD) 61.59%", "options": ["A) 62.79%", "B) 59.80%", "C) 58.01%", "D) 61.59%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "59.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 0.01%\nC) 0.33%\nD) 0.96%", "options": ["A) 0.65%", "B) 0.01%", "C) 0.33%", "D) 0.96%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 194.10\nB) 201.12\nC) 236.21\nD) 215.16", "options": ["A) 194.10", "B) 201.12", "C) 236.21", "D) 215.16"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "215.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 195.50\nB) 185.50\nC) 178.83\nD) 202.17", "options": ["A) 195.50", "B) 185.50", "C) 178.83", "D) 202.17"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "195.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $57,781M\nB) $62,287M\nC) $65,291M\nD) $63,789M", "options": ["A) $57,781M", "B) $62,287M", "C) $65,291M", "D) $63,789M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$62,287M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.11%\nB) 9.93%\nC) 6.29%\nD) 2.65%", "options": ["A) 8.11%", "B) 9.93%", "C) 6.29%", "D) 2.65%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $24.28/hr\nB) $25.90/hr\nC) $23.20/hr\nD) $24.82/hr", "options": ["A) $24.28/hr", "B) $25.90/hr", "C) $23.20/hr", "D) $24.82/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$24.82/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -27.50%\nB) -60.80%\nC) -10.85%\nD) 22.45%", "options": ["A) -27.50%", "B) -60.80%", "C) -10.85%", "D) 22.45%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-27.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 12.98%\nB) 24.75%\nC) 36.51%\nD) 18.86%", "options": ["A) 12.98%", "B) 24.75%", "C) 36.51%", "D) 18.86%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 202.93\nB) 209.48\nC) 193.10\nD) 183.27", "options": ["A) 202.93", "B) 209.48", "C) 193.10", "D) 183.27"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "193.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.67%\nB) 1.75%\nC) 2.11%\nD) 1.39%", "options": ["A) 0.67%", "B) 1.75%", "C) 2.11%", "D) 1.39%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $204,710M\nB) $218,650M\nC) $209,357M\nD) $214,003M", "options": ["A) $204,710M", "B) $218,650M", "C) $209,357M", "D) $214,003M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$204,710M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.07%\nB) 0.53%\nC) -4.27%\nD) 3.73%", "options": ["A) -1.07%", "B) 0.53%", "C) -4.27%", "D) 3.73%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.38%\nB) 10.72%\nC) 10.14%\nD) 8.97%", "options": ["A) 8.38%", "B) 10.72%", "C) 10.14%", "D) 8.97%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -6.85%\nB) -8.15%\nC) -7.50%\nD) -6.20%", "options": ["A) -6.85%", "B) -8.15%", "C) -7.50%", "D) -6.20%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-6.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.17%\nB) 0.50%\nC) 0.17%\nD) 1.83%", "options": ["A) 1.17%", "B) 0.50%", "C) 0.17%", "D) 1.83%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.72%\nB) 7.30%\nC) 10.88%\nD) 6.11%", "options": ["A) 3.72%", "B) 7.30%", "C) 10.88%", "D) 6.11%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.52%\nB) 5.61%\nC) 7.80%\nD) 9.99%", "options": ["A) 4.52%", "B) 5.61%", "C) 7.80%", "D) 9.99%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.78%\nB) 4.90%\nC) 0.66%\nD) -1.46%", "options": ["A) 2.78%", "B) 4.90%", "C) 0.66%", "D) -1.46%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 150,895K\nB) 155,845K\nC) 144,295K\nD) 147,595K", "options": ["A) 150,895K", "B) 155,845K", "C) 144,295K", "D) 147,595K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "150,895K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.68%\nB) 1.45%\nC) 1.91%\nD) 2.14%", "options": ["A) 1.68%", "B) 1.45%", "C) 1.91%", "D) 2.14%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 6.43%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 3.20%", "options": ["A) 5.35%", "B) 6.43%", "C) 4.81%", "D) 3.20%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $15,030B\nB) $17,537B\nC) $14,529B\nD) $16,033B", "options": ["A) $15,030B", "B) $17,537B", "C) $14,529B", "D) $16,033B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$16,033B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $18,602B\nB) $20,066B\nC) $20,798B\nD) $19,334B", "options": ["A) $18,602B", "B) $20,066B", "C) $20,798B", "D) $19,334B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$18,602B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 99.51\nB) 104.27\nC) 106.65\nD) 101.89", "options": ["A) 99.51", "B) 104.27", "C) 106.65", "D) 101.89"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "104.27", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 380,038\nB) 2,565,962\nC) 1,473,000\nD) 2,201,641", "options": ["A) 380,038", "B) 2,565,962", "C) 1,473,000", "D) 2,201,641"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,473,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.46%\nB) 1.78%\nC) 1.10%\nD) 0.42%", "options": ["A) 2.46%", "B) 1.78%", "C) 1.10%", "D) 0.42%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $-42,374M\nB) $-35,852M\nC) $-40,200M\nD) $-48,896M", "options": ["A) $-42,374M", "B) $-35,852M", "C) $-40,200M", "D) $-48,896M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-42,374M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -14.39%\nB) -4.24%\nC) -0.86%\nD) -7.62%", "options": ["A) -14.39%", "B) -4.24%", "C) -0.86%", "D) -7.62%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-4.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $-62,242M\nB) $-51,762M\nC) $-57,002M\nD) $-49,142M", "options": ["A) $-62,242M", "B) $-51,762M", "C) $-57,002M", "D) $-49,142M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-57,002M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 25.99%\nB) 16.55%\nC) 28.35%\nD) 23.63%", "options": ["A) 25.99%", "B) 16.55%", "C) 28.35%", "D) 23.63%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "23.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $541,302M\nB) $555,123M\nC) $582,764M\nD) $513,661M", "options": ["A) $541,302M", "B) $555,123M", "C) $582,764M", "D) $513,661M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$541,302M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.95%\nB) -6.34%\nC) -1.50%\nD) -11.18%", "options": ["A) -7.95%", "B) -6.34%", "C) -1.50%", "D) -11.18%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-6.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.20%\nB) -8.47%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 8.07%", "options": ["A) -0.20%", "B) -8.47%", "C) 3.94%", "D) 8.07%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 12,868,729\nB) 16,196,243\nC) 21,187,514\nD) 17,860,000", "options": ["A) 12,868,729", "B) 16,196,243", "C) 21,187,514", "D) 17,860,000"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17,860,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.30%\nB) 23.24%\nC) -5.00%\nD) -10.64%", "options": ["A) 6.30%", "B) 23.24%", "C) -5.00%", "D) -10.64%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 100.95\nB) 104.63\nC) 110.78\nD) 107.09", "options": ["A) 100.95", "B) 104.63", "C) 110.78", "D) 107.09"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "104.63", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.17%\nB) 64.47%\nC) 61.40%\nD) 62.63%", "options": ["A) 60.17%", "B) 64.47%", "C) 61.40%", "D) 62.63%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "61.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $21.85/hr\nB) $22.76/hr\nC) $25.48/hr\nD) $24.12/hr", "options": ["A) $21.85/hr", "B) $22.76/hr", "C) $25.48/hr", "D) $24.12/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$24.12/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.65%\nB) 1.46%\nC) 1.06%\nD) 1.87%", "options": ["A) 0.65%", "B) 1.46%", "C) 1.06%", "D) 1.87%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) -18.10%\nB) -14.87%\nC) -24.56%\nD) -21.33%", "options": ["A) -18.10%", "B) -14.87%", "C) -24.56%", "D) -21.33%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-14.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 123.77\nB) 115.49\nC) 118.80\nD) 127.08", "options": ["A) 123.77", "B) 115.49", "C) 118.80", "D) 127.08"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "118.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.29%\nB) 1.65%\nC) 1.76%\nD) 1.53%", "options": ["A) 1.29%", "B) 1.65%", "C) 1.76%", "D) 1.53%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.52pp\nB) -0.16pp\nC) +0.75pp\nD) +0.97pp", "options": ["A) +0.52pp", "B) -0.16pp", "C) +0.75pp", "D) +0.97pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.52pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -1.80pp\nC) -2.10pp\nD) -1.50pp", "options": ["A) -1.20pp", "B) -1.80pp", "C) -2.10pp", "D) -1.50pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.80pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.57%\nB) 8.00%\nC) 7.04%\nD) 6.09%", "options": ["A) 6.57%", "B) 8.00%", "C) 7.04%", "D) 6.09%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.33%\nB) 58.46%\nC) 53.80%\nD) 56.60%", "options": ["A) 60.33%", "B) 58.46%", "C) 53.80%", "D) 56.60%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "56.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.13%\nB) 2.53%\nC) 3.53%\nD) 3.33%", "options": ["A) 3.13%", "B) 2.53%", "C) 3.53%", "D) 3.33%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $3,883M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $3,883M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$3,883M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 2,752.39\nB) 2,909.49\nC) 3,066.59\nD) 2,595.29", "options": ["A) 2,752.39", "B) 2,909.49", "C) 3,066.59", "D) 2,595.29"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,066.59", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,099K\nB) 1,433K\nC) 1,322K\nD) 1,266K", "options": ["A) 1,099K", "B) 1,433K", "C) 1,322K", "D) 1,266K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,266K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.28%\nB) 1.56%\nC) 0.71%\nD) 1.84%", "options": ["A) 1.28%", "B) 1.56%", "C) 0.71%", "D) 1.84%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 7,639.85\nB) 9,726.02\nC) 9,030.63\nD) 8,335.24", "options": ["A) 7,639.85", "B) 9,726.02", "C) 9,030.63", "D) 8,335.24"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9,726.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 46.84\nB) 21.96\nC) 34.40\nD) 26.10", "options": ["A) 46.84", "B) 21.96", "C) 34.40", "D) 26.10"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "34.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.08%\nB) -10.36%\nC) -12.45%\nD) -6.18%", "options": ["A) 0.08%", "B) -10.36%", "C) -12.45%", "D) -6.18%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-6.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,880M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": ["A) $4,880M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $2,400,000M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$4,880M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.99%\nB) 0.71%\nC) 1.56%\nD) 1.27%", "options": ["A) 0.99%", "B) 0.71%", "C) 1.56%", "D) 1.27%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,292K\nB) 1,593K\nC) 1,473K\nD) 1,353K", "options": ["A) 1,292K", "B) 1,593K", "C) 1,473K", "D) 1,353K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,473K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -12.28%\nB) -6.76%\nC) 4.26%\nD) -1.25%", "options": ["A) -12.28%", "B) -6.76%", "C) 4.26%", "D) -1.25%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) +0.60pp\nB) +0.46pp\nC) +0.18pp\nD) +0.88pp", "options": ["A) +0.60pp", "B) +0.46pp", "C) +0.18pp", "D) +0.88pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 130,873K\nB) 141,770K\nC) 146,129K\nD) 135,232K", "options": ["A) 130,873K", "B) 141,770K", "C) 146,129K", "D) 135,232K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "141,770K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 11.01%\nB) 17.88%\nC) 13.30%\nD) 8.72%", "options": ["A) 11.01%", "B) 17.88%", "C) 13.30%", "D) 8.72%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) 112.77\nB) 116.36\nC) 123.55\nD) 119.95", "options": ["A) 112.77", "B) 116.36", "C) 123.55", "D) 119.95"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "119.95", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.10%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.21%\nD) 2.42%", "options": ["A) 2.10%", "B) 2.31%", "C) 2.21%", "D) 2.42%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.40%\nC) 0.66%\nD) 0.01%", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 0.40%", "C) 0.66%", "D) 0.01%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 60.72%\nB) 64.48%\nC) 62.60%\nD) 59.47%", "options": ["A) 60.72%", "B) 64.48%", "C) 62.60%", "D) 59.47%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "62.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 99.07\nB) 101.46\nC) 108.65\nD) 105.06", "options": ["A) 99.07", "B) 101.46", "C) 108.65", "D) 105.06"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "105.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) $468,324M\nB) $494,581M\nC) $428,938M\nD) $442,067M", "options": ["A) $468,324M", "B) $494,581M", "C) $428,938M", "D) $442,067M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$468,324M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20200615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2020-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2020-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-06-08.)\n\nA) -72.05%\nB) -37.25%\nC) -19.85%\nD) -2.45%", "options": ["A) -72.05%", "B) -37.25%", "C) -19.85%", "D) -2.45%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-37.25%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20200901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) 1.44%\nC) 1.72%\nD) 1.86%", "options": ["A) 2.13%", "B) 1.44%", "C) 1.72%", "D) 1.86%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,447K\nB) 1,245K\nC) 1,397K\nD) 1,346K", "options": ["A) 1,447K", "B) 1,245K", "C) 1,397K", "D) 1,346K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,346K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20200301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2020", "info_cutoff": "2020-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2020? (Use only information available on or before 2020-01-30.)\n\nA) 1.49%\nB) 2.77%\nC) 0.64%\nD) 2.34%", "options": ["A) 1.49%", "B) 2.77%", "C) 0.64%", "D) 2.34%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,020.22\nB) 8,980.77\nC) 9,941.32\nD) 9,621.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 8,020.22", "B) 8,980.77", "C) 9,941.32", "D) 9,621.14"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8,980.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,020.22\nB) 8,980.77\nC) 9,941.32\nD) 9,621.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 8,020.22", "B) 8,980.77", "C) 9,941.32", "D) 9,621.14"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8,980.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,377.72\nB) 9,338.27\nC) 9,018.09\nD) 9,658.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 8,377.72", "B) 9,338.27", "C) 9,018.09", "D) 9,658.46"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9,018.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,377.72\nB) 9,338.27\nC) 9,018.09\nD) 9,658.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 8,377.72", "B) 9,338.27", "C) 9,018.09", "D) 9,658.46"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9,018.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,978.64\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,697.91\nD) 9,018.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 9,978.64", "B) 8,377.72", "C) 8,697.91", "D) 9,018.09"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9,018.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,978.64\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,697.91\nD) 9,018.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 9,978.64", "B) 8,377.72", "C) 8,697.91", "D) 9,018.09"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9,018.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,018.09\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,057.54\nD) 9,338.27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 9,018.09", "B) 8,377.72", "C) 8,057.54", "D) 9,338.27"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9,018.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 9,018.09\nB) 8,377.72\nC) 8,057.54\nD) 9,338.27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 9,018.09", "B) 8,377.72", "C) 8,057.54", "D) 9,338.27"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9,018.09", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,594.46\nB) 9,234.83\nC) 10,195.38\nD) 8,914.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 8,594.46", "B) 9,234.83", "C) 10,195.38", "D) 8,914.65"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9,234.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 8,594.46\nB) 9,234.83\nC) 10,195.38\nD) 8,914.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 8,594.46", "B) 9,234.83", "C) 10,195.38", "D) 8,914.65"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "9,234.83", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 10,787.89\nB) 10,147.52\nC) 11,108.07\nD) 10,467.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 10,787.89", "B) 10,147.52", "C) 11,108.07", "D) 10,467.70"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11,108.07", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 10,787.89\nB) 10,147.52\nC) 11,108.07\nD) 10,467.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 10,787.89", "B) 10,147.52", "C) 11,108.07", "D) 10,467.70"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11,108.07", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,417.19\nB) 3,224.54\nC) 3,320.86\nD) 3,128.21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 3,417.19", "B) 3,224.54", "C) 3,320.86", "D) 3,128.21"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,128.21", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,417.19\nB) 3,224.54\nC) 3,320.86\nD) 3,128.21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 3,417.19", "B) 3,224.54", "C) 3,320.86", "D) 3,128.21"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,128.21", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,130.12\nB) 3,226.45\nC) 3,419.10\nD) 2,841.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 3,130.12", "B) 3,226.45", "C) 3,419.10", "D) 2,841.14"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,130.12\nB) 3,226.45\nC) 3,419.10\nD) 2,841.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 3,130.12", "B) 3,226.45", "C) 3,419.10", "D) 2,841.14"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,130.12\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 2,937.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 3,419.10", "B) 3,130.12", "C) 3,033.79", "D) 2,937.47"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,130.12\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 2,937.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 3,419.10", "B) 3,130.12", "C) 3,033.79", "D) 2,937.47"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,130.12\nD) 2,841.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 3,419.10", "B) 3,322.77", "C) 3,130.12", "D) 2,841.14"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,419.10\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,130.12\nD) 2,841.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 3,419.10", "B) 3,322.77", "C) 3,130.12", "D) 2,841.14"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,226.45\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 3,130.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 3,226.45", "B) 3,322.77", "C) 3,033.79", "D) 3,130.12"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,226.45\nB) 3,322.77\nC) 3,033.79\nD) 3,130.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 3,226.45", "B) 3,322.77", "C) 3,033.79", "D) 3,130.12"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,130.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,380.35\nB) 3,091.37\nC) 3,573.00\nD) 3,669.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 3,380.35", "B) 3,091.37", "C) 3,573.00", "D) 3,669.33"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,380.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 3,380.35\nB) 3,091.37\nC) 3,573.00\nD) 3,669.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 3,380.35", "B) 3,091.37", "C) 3,573.00", "D) 3,669.33"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,380.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.11\nC) 45.51\nD) 43.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 38.31", "B) 40.11", "C) 45.51", "D) 43.71"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "40.11", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 38.31\nB) 40.11\nC) 45.51\nD) 43.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 38.31", "B) 40.11", "C) 45.51", "D) 43.71"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "40.11", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 49.06\nB) 56.26\nC) 54.46\nD) 52.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 49.06", "B) 56.26", "C) 54.46", "D) 52.66"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "54.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 49.06\nB) 56.26\nC) 54.46\nD) 52.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 49.06", "B) 56.26", "C) 54.46", "D) 52.66"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "54.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 86.29\nB) 79.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 82.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 86.29", "B) 79.09", "C) 80.89", "D) 82.69"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 86.29\nB) 79.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 82.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 86.29", "B) 79.09", "C) 80.89", "D) 82.69"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 88.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 86.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 82.69", "B) 88.09", "C) 80.89", "D) 86.29"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 82.69\nB) 88.09\nC) 80.89\nD) 86.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 82.69", "B) 88.09", "C) 80.89", "D) 86.29"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 80.89\nB) 82.69\nC) 88.09\nD) 77.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 80.89", "B) 82.69", "C) 88.09", "D) 77.29"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 80.89\nB) 82.69\nC) 88.09\nD) 77.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 80.89", "B) 82.69", "C) 88.09", "D) 77.29"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 79.09\nB) 88.09\nC) 82.69\nD) 80.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 79.09", "B) 88.09", "C) 82.69", "D) 80.89"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 79.09\nB) 88.09\nC) 82.69\nD) 80.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 79.09", "B) 88.09", "C) 82.69", "D) 80.89"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "82.69", "unit": "index", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 1.10%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 1.63%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 1.90%", "D) 1.10%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.10%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.63%\nB) 0.57%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 1.10%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 1.63%", "B) 0.57%", "C) 1.90%", "D) 1.10%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.10%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-5d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.07%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 0.54%", "B) 1.34%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.07%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.34%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.07%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 0.54%", "B) 1.34%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.07%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-10d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.07%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 0.01%", "B) 0.54%", "C) 1.34%", "D) 1.07%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.01%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.34%\nD) 1.07%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 0.01%", "B) 0.54%", "C) 1.34%", "D) 1.07%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-20d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 1.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 1.07%", "C) 0.54%", "D) 1.34%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 1.07%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 1.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 1.07%", "C) 0.54%", "D) 1.34%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-40d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.54%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 1.34%", "B) 0.27%", "C) 1.07%", "D) 0.54%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 1.34%\nB) 0.27%\nC) 1.07%\nD) 0.54%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 1.34%", "B) 0.27%", "C) 1.07%", "D) 0.54%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-60d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 0.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 0.52%", "B) 1.05%", "C) 1.32%", "D) 0.25%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) 0.52%\nB) 1.05%\nC) 1.32%\nD) 0.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) 0.52%", "B) 1.05%", "C) 1.32%", "D) 0.25%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200224-120d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $60.20/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) $53.25/bbl", "B) $49.78/bbl", "C) $42.83/bbl", "D) $60.20/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $60.20/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) $53.25/bbl", "B) $49.78/bbl", "C) $42.83/bbl", "D) $60.20/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-5d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $56.73/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) $56.73/bbl", "B) $39.36/bbl", "C) $49.78/bbl", "D) $46.31/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $56.73/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) $56.73/bbl", "B) $39.36/bbl", "C) $49.78/bbl", "D) $46.31/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-10d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $56.73/bbl\nD) $49.78/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) $46.31/bbl", "B) $39.36/bbl", "C) $56.73/bbl", "D) $49.78/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $46.31/bbl\nB) $39.36/bbl\nC) $56.73/bbl\nD) $49.78/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) $46.31/bbl", "B) $39.36/bbl", "C) $56.73/bbl", "D) $49.78/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-20d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $49.78/bbl\nB) $46.31/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) $49.78/bbl", "B) $46.31/bbl", "C) $42.83/bbl", "D) $39.36/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $49.78/bbl\nB) $46.31/bbl\nC) $42.83/bbl\nD) $39.36/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) $49.78/bbl", "B) $46.31/bbl", "C) $42.83/bbl", "D) $39.36/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-40d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $39.36/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) $53.25/bbl", "B) $49.78/bbl", "C) $39.36/bbl", "D) $46.31/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $53.25/bbl\nB) $49.78/bbl\nC) $39.36/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) $53.25/bbl", "B) $49.78/bbl", "C) $39.36/bbl", "D) $46.31/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-60d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $42.83/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) $42.83/bbl", "B) $56.73/bbl", "C) $49.78/bbl", "D) $46.31/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"COVID-19 market plunge begins\" on 2020-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2020-02-21.)\n\nA) $42.83/bbl\nB) $56.73/bbl\nC) $49.78/bbl\nD) $46.31/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2020-02-21", "options": ["A) $42.83/bbl", "B) $56.73/bbl", "C) $49.78/bbl", "D) $46.31/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$49.78/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "COVID-19 market plunge begins", "event_date": "2020-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200224-120d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.05%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", "options": ["A) 0.26%", "B) 0.69%", "C) 0.47%", "D) 0.05%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.26%\nB) 0.69%\nC) 0.47%\nD) 0.05%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", "options": ["A) 0.26%", "B) 0.69%", "C) 0.47%", "D) 0.05%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.69%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", "options": ["A) 0.05%", "B) 0.47%", "C) 0.26%", "D) 0.69%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.05%\nB) 0.47%\nC) 0.26%\nD) 0.69%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", "options": ["A) 0.05%", "B) 0.47%", "C) 0.26%", "D) 0.69%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.26%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", "options": ["A) 0.47%", "B) 0.05%", "C) 0.69%", "D) 0.26%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.47%\nB) 0.05%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 0.26%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-01", "options": ["A) 0.47%", "B) 0.05%", "C) 0.69%", "D) 0.26%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.05%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 0.73%\nD) 0.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 1.02%", "B) 1.60%", "C) 0.73%", "D) 0.44%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.73%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.02%\nB) 1.60%\nC) 0.73%\nD) 0.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 1.02%", "B) 1.60%", "C) 0.73%", "D) 0.44%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.73%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-5d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 1.59%", "B) 1.01%", "C) 1.30%", "D) 0.72%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.59%\nB) 1.01%\nC) 1.30%\nD) 0.72%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 1.59%", "B) 1.01%", "C) 1.30%", "D) 0.72%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.72%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-10d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.91%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 0.62%", "B) 1.20%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 0.91%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.62%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.62%\nB) 1.20%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 0.91%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 0.62%", "B) 1.20%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 0.91%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.62%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-20d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 0.87%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 1.45%", "B) 0.58%", "C) 1.16%", "D) 0.87%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.45%\nB) 0.58%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 0.87%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 1.45%", "B) 0.58%", "C) 1.16%", "D) 0.87%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 1.45%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 0.29%", "B) 0.87%", "C) 0.58%", "D) 1.45%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.29%\nB) 0.87%\nC) 0.58%\nD) 1.45%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 0.29%", "B) 0.87%", "C) 0.58%", "D) 1.45%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 0.23%", "B) 1.10%", "C) 1.39%", "D) 0.52%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.23%\nB) 1.10%\nC) 1.39%\nD) 0.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 0.23%", "B) 1.10%", "C) 1.39%", "D) 0.52%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.52%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 0.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 0.54%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 0.00%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 1.35%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 0.00%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 0.54%", "B) 1.35%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 0.00%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-5d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 0.54%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.35%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 1.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 0.54%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 1.35%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-10d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 1.08%", "B) 0.00%", "C) 0.54%", "D) 0.81%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.00%\nC) 0.54%\nD) 0.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 1.08%", "B) 0.00%", "C) 0.54%", "D) 0.81%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-20d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.00%\nD) 0.54%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 1.08%", "B) 0.81%", "C) 0.00%", "D) 0.54%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 0.00%\nD) 0.54%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 1.08%", "B) 0.81%", "C) 0.00%", "D) 0.54%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-40d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.08%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 0.54%", "B) 0.81%", "C) 1.35%", "D) 1.08%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 0.81%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.08%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 0.54%", "B) 0.81%", "C) 1.35%", "D) 1.08%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-60d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 0.54%", "C) 1.08%", "D) 0.81%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 0.27%\nB) 0.54%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.81%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 0.27%", "B) 0.54%", "C) 1.08%", "D) 0.81%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20200315-120d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 75.30\nB) 59.87\nC) 66.04\nD) 69.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 75.30", "B) 59.87", "C) 66.04", "D) 69.13"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "66.04", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 75.30\nB) 59.87\nC) 66.04\nD) 69.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 75.30", "B) 59.87", "C) 66.04", "D) 69.13"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "66.04", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-5d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 70.26\nB) 67.17\nC) 51.74\nD) 61.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 70.26", "B) 67.17", "C) 51.74", "D) 61.00"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "61.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 70.26\nB) 67.17\nC) 51.74\nD) 61.00", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 70.26", "B) 67.17", "C) 51.74", "D) 61.00"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "61.00", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-10d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 41.17\nB) 35.00\nC) 38.08\nD) 44.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 41.17", "B) 35.00", "C) 38.08", "D) 44.26"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "41.17", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 41.17\nB) 35.00\nC) 38.08\nD) 44.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 41.17", "B) 35.00", "C) 38.08", "D) 44.26"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "41.17", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-20d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 30.66\nB) 27.57\nC) 18.31\nD) 21.40", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 30.66", "B) 27.57", "C) 18.31", "D) 21.40"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "27.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 30.66\nB) 27.57\nC) 18.31\nD) 21.40", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 30.66", "B) 27.57", "C) 18.31", "D) 21.40"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "27.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 33.78\nB) 30.69\nC) 24.52\nD) 15.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 33.78", "B) 30.69", "C) 24.52", "D) 15.26"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 33.78\nB) 30.69\nC) 24.52\nD) 15.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 33.78", "B) 30.69", "C) 24.52", "D) 15.26"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 12.09\nB) 30.61\nC) 15.18\nD) 21.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 12.09", "B) 30.61", "C) 15.18", "D) 21.35"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 12.09\nB) 30.61\nC) 15.18\nD) 21.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 12.09", "B) 30.61", "C) 15.18", "D) 21.35"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,879.52\nB) 6,553.79\nC) 7,205.25\nD) 6,228.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 6,879.52", "B) 6,553.79", "C) 7,205.25", "D) 6,228.06"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,879.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,879.52\nB) 6,553.79\nC) 7,205.25\nD) 6,228.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 6,879.52", "B) 6,553.79", "C) 7,205.25", "D) 6,228.06"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,879.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-5d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,837.85\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 7,186.40\nD) 6,534.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 7,837.85", "B) 6,860.67", "C) 7,186.40", "D) 6,534.94"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,837.85\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 7,186.40\nD) 6,534.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 7,837.85", "B) 6,860.67", "C) 7,186.40", "D) 6,534.94"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-10d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,209.21\nB) 5,883.49\nC) 6,860.67\nD) 6,534.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 6,209.21", "B) 5,883.49", "C) 6,860.67", "D) 6,534.94"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,209.21\nB) 5,883.49\nC) 6,860.67\nD) 6,534.94", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 6,209.21", "B) 5,883.49", "C) 6,860.67", "D) 6,534.94"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-20d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,209.21\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 6,860.67", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 7,186.40", "B) 6,209.21", "C) 6,534.94", "D) 6,860.67"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,209.21\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 6,860.67", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 7,186.40", "B) 6,209.21", "C) 6,534.94", "D) 6,860.67"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-40d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,860.67\nB) 7,512.13\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 6,860.67", "B) 7,512.13", "C) 6,534.94", "D) 7,837.85"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 6,860.67\nB) 7,512.13\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 6,860.67", "B) 7,512.13", "C) 6,534.94", "D) 7,837.85"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-60d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 7,186.40", "B) 6,860.67", "C) 6,534.94", "D) 7,837.85"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed emergency rate cut to zero\" on 2020-03-15, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2020-03-15? (Use only information available on or before 2020-03-13.)\n\nA) 7,186.40\nB) 6,860.67\nC) 6,534.94\nD) 7,837.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-03-15", "info_cutoff": "2020-03-13", "options": ["A) 7,186.40", "B) 6,860.67", "C) 6,534.94", "D) 7,837.85"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,860.67", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Fed emergency rate cut to zero", "event_date": "2020-03-15", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20200315-120d-min", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-0.76/bbl\nB) $32.74/bbl\nC) $15.99/bbl\nD) $4.82/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $-0.76/bbl", "B) $32.74/bbl", "C) $15.99/bbl", "D) $4.82/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$15.99/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $-0.76/bbl\nB) $32.74/bbl\nC) $15.99/bbl\nD) $4.82/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $-0.76/bbl", "B) $32.74/bbl", "C) $15.99/bbl", "D) $4.82/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$15.99/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-5d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.89/bbl\nB) $31.64/bbl\nC) $9.30/bbl\nD) $20.47/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $14.89/bbl", "B) $31.64/bbl", "C) $9.30/bbl", "D) $20.47/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$20.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.89/bbl\nB) $31.64/bbl\nC) $9.30/bbl\nD) $20.47/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $14.89/bbl", "B) $31.64/bbl", "C) $9.30/bbl", "D) $20.47/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$20.47/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-10d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $31.83/bbl\nB) $37.41/bbl\nC) $43.00/bbl\nD) $20.66/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $31.83/bbl", "B) $37.41/bbl", "C) $43.00/bbl", "D) $20.66/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$31.83/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $31.83/bbl\nB) $37.41/bbl\nC) $43.00/bbl\nD) $20.66/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $31.83/bbl", "B) $37.41/bbl", "C) $43.00/bbl", "D) $20.66/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$31.83/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-20d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $50.71/bbl\nB) $39.54/bbl\nC) $45.12/bbl\nD) $22.79/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $50.71/bbl", "B) $39.54/bbl", "C) $45.12/bbl", "D) $22.79/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$39.54/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $50.71/bbl\nB) $39.54/bbl\nC) $45.12/bbl\nD) $22.79/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $50.71/bbl", "B) $39.54/bbl", "C) $45.12/bbl", "D) $22.79/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$39.54/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-40d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $30.03/bbl\nB) $46.78/bbl\nC) $41.20/bbl\nD) $35.62/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $30.03/bbl", "B) $46.78/bbl", "C) $41.20/bbl", "D) $35.62/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$41.20/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $30.03/bbl\nB) $46.78/bbl\nC) $41.20/bbl\nD) $35.62/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $30.03/bbl", "B) $46.78/bbl", "C) $41.20/bbl", "D) $35.62/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$41.20/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-60d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $48.79/bbl\nB) $32.04/bbl\nC) $59.96/bbl\nD) $43.21/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $48.79/bbl", "B) $32.04/bbl", "C) $59.96/bbl", "D) $43.21/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$43.21/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $48.79/bbl\nB) $32.04/bbl\nC) $59.96/bbl\nD) $43.21/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $48.79/bbl", "B) $32.04/bbl", "C) $59.96/bbl", "D) $43.21/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$43.21/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20200420-120d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $9.73/bbl\nC) $3.59/bbl\nD) $28.15/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $15.87/bbl", "B) $9.73/bbl", "C) $3.59/bbl", "D) $28.15/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$15.87/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $15.87/bbl\nB) $9.73/bbl\nC) $3.59/bbl\nD) $28.15/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $15.87/bbl", "B) $9.73/bbl", "C) $3.59/bbl", "D) $28.15/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$15.87/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-5d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.26/bbl\nB) $20.40/bbl\nC) $26.54/bbl\nD) $32.68/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $14.26/bbl", "B) $20.40/bbl", "C) $26.54/bbl", "D) $32.68/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$20.40/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.26/bbl\nB) $20.40/bbl\nC) $26.54/bbl\nD) $32.68/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $14.26/bbl", "B) $20.40/bbl", "C) $26.54/bbl", "D) $32.68/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$20.40/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-10d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.88/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $33.30/bbl\nD) $21.02/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $14.88/bbl", "B) $39.44/bbl", "C) $33.30/bbl", "D) $21.02/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$33.30/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $14.88/bbl\nB) $39.44/bbl\nC) $33.30/bbl\nD) $21.02/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $14.88/bbl", "B) $39.44/bbl", "C) $33.30/bbl", "D) $21.02/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$33.30/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-20d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $59.60/bbl\nB) $35.04/bbl\nC) $28.90/bbl\nD) $41.18/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $59.60/bbl", "B) $35.04/bbl", "C) $28.90/bbl", "D) $41.18/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$41.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $59.60/bbl\nB) $35.04/bbl\nC) $28.90/bbl\nD) $41.18/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $59.60/bbl", "B) $35.04/bbl", "C) $28.90/bbl", "D) $41.18/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$41.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-40d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $43.96/bbl\nB) $25.54/bbl\nC) $56.24/bbl\nD) $62.38/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $43.96/bbl", "B) $25.54/bbl", "C) $56.24/bbl", "D) $62.38/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$43.96/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $43.96/bbl\nB) $25.54/bbl\nC) $56.24/bbl\nD) $62.38/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $43.96/bbl", "B) $25.54/bbl", "C) $56.24/bbl", "D) $62.38/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$43.96/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-60d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $39.87/bbl\nB) $46.01/bbl\nC) $64.43/bbl\nD) $58.29/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $39.87/bbl", "B) $46.01/bbl", "C) $64.43/bbl", "D) $58.29/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$46.01/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"WTI Oil futures go negative\" on 2020-04-20, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2020-04-20? (Use only information available on or before 2020-04-17.)\n\nA) $39.87/bbl\nB) $46.01/bbl\nC) $64.43/bbl\nD) $58.29/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2020-04-20", "info_cutoff": "2020-04-17", "options": ["A) $39.87/bbl", "B) $46.01/bbl", "C) $64.43/bbl", "D) $58.29/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$46.01/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "WTI Oil futures go negative", "event_date": "2020-04-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20200420-120d-max", "year": 2020} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,183,595\nB) 805,797\nC) 428,000\nD) 1,561,392", "options": ["A) 1,183,595", "B) 805,797", "C) 428,000", "D) 1,561,392"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "428,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 52.87%\nB) 15.06%\nC) 21.36%\nD) 33.97%", "options": ["A) 52.87%", "B) 15.06%", "C) 21.36%", "D) 33.97%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) 2.90%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 4.65%", "options": ["A) 4.07%", "B) 2.90%", "C) 2.32%", "D) 4.65%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $63,893M\nB) $68,846M\nC) $73,799M\nD) $72,148M", "options": ["A) $63,893M", "B) $68,846M", "C) $73,799M", "D) $72,148M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$68,846M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 150,807K\nB) 135,466K\nC) 144,232K\nD) 139,849K", "options": ["A) 150,807K", "B) 135,466K", "C) 144,232K", "D) 139,849K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "144,232K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 126.06\nB) 129.32\nC) 119.54\nD) 122.80", "options": ["A) 126.06", "B) 129.32", "C) 119.54", "D) 122.80"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "122.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 34.14%\nB) 24.41%\nC) 20.24%\nD) 23.02%", "options": ["A) 34.14%", "B) 24.41%", "C) 20.24%", "D) 23.02%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "34.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.17%\nB) 11.34%\nC) 16.83%\nD) 5.85%", "options": ["A) 13.17%", "B) 11.34%", "C) 16.83%", "D) 5.85%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 27.89%\nB) 61.50%\nC) 44.69%\nD) 53.10%", "options": ["A) 27.89%", "B) 61.50%", "C) 44.69%", "D) 53.10%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "44.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $-70,083M\nB) $-65,509M\nC) $-79,231M\nD) $-74,657M", "options": ["A) $-70,083M", "B) $-65,509M", "C) $-79,231M", "D) $-74,657M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-74,657M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.00%\nB) -3.23%\nC) 5.24%\nD) 7.36%", "options": ["A) 1.00%", "B) -3.23%", "C) 5.24%", "D) 7.36%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.24pp\nB) -1.10pp\nC) -0.72pp\nD) +0.04pp", "options": ["A) -2.24pp", "B) -1.10pp", "C) -0.72pp", "D) +0.04pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.82%\nB) 6.85%\nC) 8.78%\nD) 5.89%", "options": ["A) 7.82%", "B) 6.85%", "C) 8.78%", "D) 5.89%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "8.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.66%\nB) 58.42%\nC) 63.34%\nD) 61.50%", "options": ["A) 59.66%", "B) 58.42%", "C) 63.34%", "D) 61.50%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "61.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $-65,658M\nB) $-58,843M\nC) $-62,251M\nD) $-69,065M", "options": ["A) $-65,658M", "B) $-58,843M", "C) $-62,251M", "D) $-69,065M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-65,658M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 18.29%\nB) 12.42%\nC) 9.48%\nD) 15.36%", "options": ["A) 18.29%", "B) 12.42%", "C) 9.48%", "D) 15.36%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.29%\nB) 12.98%\nC) 7.60%\nD) 2.22%", "options": ["A) 10.29%", "B) 12.98%", "C) 7.60%", "D) 2.22%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) -12.65%\nB) -1.74%\nC) -3.92%\nD) -6.10%", "options": ["A) -12.65%", "B) -1.74%", "C) -3.92%", "D) -6.10%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-6.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.65%\nB) 2.10%\nC) 1.20%\nD) 1.35%", "options": ["A) 1.65%", "B) 2.10%", "C) 1.20%", "D) 1.35%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.90/bbl\nB) $72.06/bbl\nC) $66.45/bbl\nD) $55.22/bbl", "options": ["A) $88.90/bbl", "B) $72.06/bbl", "C) $66.45/bbl", "D) $55.22/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$72.06/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 143,437K\nB) 136,935K\nC) 147,771K\nD) 154,273K", "options": ["A) 143,437K", "B) 136,935K", "C) 147,771K", "D) 154,273K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "147,771K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.85%\nB) 79.92%\nC) 82.96%\nD) 76.89%", "options": ["A) 73.85%", "B) 79.92%", "C) 82.96%", "D) 76.89%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "76.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $5,839M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": ["A) $5,839M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $2,400,000M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$5,839M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1620\nB) 1.2120\nC) 1.2870\nD) 1.3370", "options": ["A) 1.1620", "B) 1.2120", "C) 1.2870", "D) 1.3370"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.2120", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 2.44%\nC) 2.67%\nD) 1.98%", "options": ["A) 3.36%", "B) 2.44%", "C) 2.67%", "D) 1.98%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) 7,756,018\nB) 10,000,027\nC) 1,023,991\nD) 3,268,000", "options": ["A) 7,756,018", "B) 10,000,027", "C) 1,023,991", "D) 3,268,000"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,268,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 81.32%\nB) 54.36%\nC) 0.45%\nD) 27.41%", "options": ["A) 81.32%", "B) 54.36%", "C) 0.45%", "D) 27.41%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "81.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.48%\nB) 0.07%\nC) 1.29%\nD) 0.88%", "options": ["A) 0.48%", "B) 0.07%", "C) 1.29%", "D) 0.88%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.07%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.8481\nB) 6.7394\nC) 6.4052\nD) 6.1824", "options": ["A) 5.8481", "B) 6.7394", "C) 6.4052", "D) 6.1824"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4052", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 20.51%\nC) 16.41%\nD) 12.31%", "options": ["A) 4.11%", "B) 20.51%", "C) 16.41%", "D) 12.31%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.31%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.06pp\nB) +7.23pp\nC) +5.51pp\nD) -3.11pp", "options": ["A) +2.06pp", "B) +7.23pp", "C) +5.51pp", "D) -3.11pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+2.06pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $675,737M\nB) $609,671M\nC) $587,649M\nD) $653,715M", "options": ["A) $675,737M", "B) $609,671M", "C) $587,649M", "D) $653,715M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$609,671M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,728K\nB) 1,465K\nC) 1,640K\nD) 1,377K", "options": ["A) 1,728K", "B) 1,465K", "C) 1,640K", "D) 1,377K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,640K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.94%\nB) 3.01%\nC) 7.63%\nD) 5.32%", "options": ["A) 9.94%", "B) 3.01%", "C) 7.63%", "D) 5.32%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) $15,580B\nB) $16,711B\nC) $14,448B\nD) $15,014B", "options": ["A) $15,580B", "B) $16,711B", "C) $14,448B", "D) $15,014B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$15,580B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.49%\nB) 20.55%\nC) 11.36%\nD) 29.74%", "options": ["A) 17.49%", "B) 20.55%", "C) 11.36%", "D) 29.74%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 28,441.97\nB) 36,251.78\nC) 34,299.33\nD) 32,346.88", "options": ["A) 28,441.97", "B) 36,251.78", "C) 34,299.33", "D) 32,346.88"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "34,299.33", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.04%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.63%\nD) 0.79%", "options": ["A) 2.04%", "B) 1.21%", "C) 1.63%", "D) 0.79%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.06%\nB) -8.79%\nC) -0.86%\nD) 30.83%", "options": ["A) 7.06%", "B) -8.79%", "C) -0.86%", "D) 30.83%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 118.4924\nB) 110.1200\nC) 105.0966\nD) 113.4689", "options": ["A) 118.4924", "B) 110.1200", "C) 105.0966", "D) 113.4689"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "110.1200", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 44.61%\nB) 20.09%\nC) 38.48%\nD) 50.74%", "options": ["A) 44.61%", "B) 20.09%", "C) 38.48%", "D) 50.74%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "38.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $16,080B\nB) $16,821B\nC) $14,969B\nD) $15,710B", "options": ["A) $16,080B", "B) $16,821B", "C) $14,969B", "D) $15,710B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$15,710B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 129.23\nB) 133.23\nC) 139.23\nD) 123.22", "options": ["A) 129.23", "B) 133.23", "C) 139.23", "D) 123.22"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "129.23", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.97%\nB) 6.10%\nC) 8.37%\nD) 3.83%", "options": ["A) 4.97%", "B) 6.10%", "C) 8.37%", "D) 3.83%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 25.14%\nB) 27.01%\nC) 28.88%\nD) 23.26%", "options": ["A) 25.14%", "B) 27.01%", "C) 28.88%", "D) 23.26%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "28.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.76%\nB) 3.85%\nC) 4.43%\nD) 5.02%", "options": ["A) 6.76%", "B) 3.85%", "C) 4.43%", "D) 5.02%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 12.79%\nB) 24.08%\nC) 5.26%\nD) 1.49%", "options": ["A) 12.79%", "B) 24.08%", "C) 5.26%", "D) 1.49%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 107.31\nB) 110.03\nC) 103.22\nD) 114.12", "options": ["A) 107.31", "B) 110.03", "C) 103.22", "D) 114.12"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "110.03", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.67pp\nB) -7.87pp\nC) -3.10pp\nD) -6.28pp", "options": ["A) +1.67pp", "B) -7.87pp", "C) -3.10pp", "D) -6.28pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.36%\nB) 0.51%\nC) 0.93%\nD) 0.08%", "options": ["A) 1.36%", "B) 0.51%", "C) 0.93%", "D) 0.08%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.08%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) -5.19%\nC) 8.48%\nD) 5.75%", "options": ["A) 3.01%", "B) -5.19%", "C) 8.48%", "D) 5.75%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 27.33%\nB) 23.95%\nC) 20.57%\nD) 13.82%", "options": ["A) 27.33%", "B) 23.95%", "C) 20.57%", "D) 13.82%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "23.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,404K\nB) 1,491K\nC) 1,577K\nD) 1,750K", "options": ["A) 1,404K", "B) 1,491K", "C) 1,577K", "D) 1,750K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,577K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 116.49\nB) 113.75\nC) 105.53\nD) 109.64", "options": ["A) 116.49", "B) 113.75", "C) 105.53", "D) 109.64"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "109.64", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) 2.93%\nB) 2.05%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 3.81%", "options": ["A) 2.93%", "B) 2.05%", "C) 2.34%", "D) 3.81%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 68.31%\nB) 75.85%\nC) 78.86%\nD) 72.83%", "options": ["A) 68.31%", "B) 75.85%", "C) 78.86%", "D) 72.83%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "75.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 272.05\nB) 254.33\nC) 264.96\nD) 279.14", "options": ["A) 272.05", "B) 254.33", "C) 264.96", "D) 279.14"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "264.96", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 54.72%\nB) 60.68%\nC) 52.73%\nD) 57.70%", "options": ["A) 54.72%", "B) 60.68%", "C) 52.73%", "D) 57.70%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "57.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.20%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 2.08%\nD) 2.43%", "options": ["A) 2.20%", "B) 2.31%", "C) 2.08%", "D) 2.43%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) -5.61%\nB) 0.24%\nC) 11.96%\nD) 17.82%", "options": ["A) -5.61%", "B) 0.24%", "C) 11.96%", "D) 17.82%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 278.92\nB) 264.00\nC) 271.46\nD) 252.80", "options": ["A) 278.92", "B) 264.00", "C) 271.46", "D) 252.80"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "271.46", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 4.84%\nC) 6.38%\nD) 5.35%", "options": ["A) 5.86%", "B) 4.84%", "C) 6.38%", "D) 5.35%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 84.90\nB) 92.93\nC) 88.92\nD) 80.88", "options": ["A) 84.90", "B) 92.93", "C) 88.92", "D) 80.88"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "84.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 21.45\nB) 17.02\nC) 30.32\nD) 8.15", "options": ["A) 21.45", "B) 17.02", "C) 30.32", "D) 8.15"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) +1.55pp\nB) +0.95pp\nC) +1.35pp\nD) +1.15pp", "options": ["A) +1.55pp", "B) +0.95pp", "C) +1.35pp", "D) +1.15pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+1.35pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.98pp\nB) -5.45pp\nC) -4.33pp\nD) -2.10pp", "options": ["A) -0.98pp", "B) -5.45pp", "C) -4.33pp", "D) -2.10pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.20%\nB) 2.80%\nC) 1.90%\nD) 3.10%", "options": ["A) 2.20%", "B) 2.80%", "C) 1.90%", "D) 3.10%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $73,178M\nB) $71,387M\nC) $76,759M\nD) $74,968M", "options": ["A) $73,178M", "B) $71,387M", "C) $76,759M", "D) $74,968M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$71,387M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 17,656.26\nB) 16,461.79\nC) 14,072.86\nD) 15,267.33", "options": ["A) 17,656.26", "B) 16,461.79", "C) 14,072.86", "D) 15,267.33"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14,072.86", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.05%\nB) 0.61%\nC) 1.50%\nD) 0.16%", "options": ["A) 1.05%", "B) 0.61%", "C) 1.50%", "D) 0.16%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) +3.74pp\nB) +1.55pp\nC) -2.85pp\nD) +8.13pp", "options": ["A) +3.74pp", "B) +1.55pp", "C) -2.85pp", "D) +8.13pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+3.74pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 105.86\nB) 98.39\nC) 102.12\nD) 94.65", "options": ["A) 105.86", "B) 98.39", "C) 102.12", "D) 94.65"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "98.39", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 28.67%\nB) 21.26%\nC) 26.20%\nD) 18.79%", "options": ["A) 28.67%", "B) 21.26%", "C) 26.20%", "D) 18.79%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "26.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) -22.91pp\nB) -12.70pp\nC) -2.50pp\nD) -7.60pp", "options": ["A) -22.91pp", "B) -12.70pp", "C) -2.50pp", "D) -7.60pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-7.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $26.30/hr\nB) $28.28/hr\nC) $24.98/hr\nD) $26.96/hr", "options": ["A) $26.30/hr", "B) $28.28/hr", "C) $24.98/hr", "D) $26.96/hr"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$26.30/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.10%\nB) 50.37%\nC) 71.84%\nD) 82.57%", "options": ["A) 61.10%", "B) 50.37%", "C) 71.84%", "D) 82.57%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "50.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 34.54%\nB) 38.61%\nC) 30.46%\nD) 22.31%", "options": ["A) 34.54%", "B) 38.61%", "C) 30.46%", "D) 22.31%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,550K\nB) 1,477K\nC) 1,915K\nD) 1,696K", "options": ["A) 1,550K", "B) 1,477K", "C) 1,915K", "D) 1,696K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,696K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.51%\nB) 2.25%\nC) 0.40%\nD) 0.77%", "options": ["A) 1.51%", "B) 2.25%", "C) 0.40%", "D) 0.77%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 240.80\nB) 235.68\nC) 220.31\nD) 225.43", "options": ["A) 240.80", "B) 235.68", "C) 220.31", "D) 225.43"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "235.68", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $268,428M\nB) $246,493M\nC) $253,805M\nD) $275,740M", "options": ["A) $268,428M", "B) $246,493M", "C) $253,805M", "D) $275,740M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$253,805M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.53%\nB) 15.58%\nC) 23.77%\nD) 19.67%", "options": ["A) 13.53%", "B) 15.58%", "C) 23.77%", "D) 19.67%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "19.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $21,959B\nB) $23,953B\nC) $23,289B\nD) $21,295B", "options": ["A) $21,959B", "B) $23,953B", "C) $23,289B", "D) $21,295B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$21,959B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.84%\nB) 10.53%\nC) 3.91%\nD) 17.15%", "options": ["A) 13.84%", "B) 10.53%", "C) 3.91%", "D) 17.15%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.39\nB) 102.62\nC) 98.86\nD) 93.21", "options": ["A) 106.39", "B) 102.62", "C) 98.86", "D) 93.21"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "98.86", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.73%\nB) 39.83%\nC) 26.43%\nD) 33.13%", "options": ["A) 19.73%", "B) 39.83%", "C) 26.43%", "D) 33.13%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 107.05\nB) 103.47\nC) 113.02\nD) 109.44", "options": ["A) 107.05", "B) 103.47", "C) 113.02", "D) 109.44"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "107.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 263.44\nB) 279.70\nC) 291.89\nD) 271.57", "options": ["A) 263.44", "B) 279.70", "C) 291.89", "D) 271.57"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "279.70", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.81%\nB) 18.65%\nC) 13.73%\nD) 15.37%", "options": ["A) 8.81%", "B) 18.65%", "C) 13.73%", "D) 15.37%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "13.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 100.85\nB) 104.50\nC) 110.58\nD) 106.93", "options": ["A) 100.85", "B) 104.50", "C) 110.58", "D) 106.93"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "106.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $16,490B\nB) $16,035B\nC) $17,400B\nD) $15,125B", "options": ["A) $16,490B", "B) $16,035B", "C) $17,400B", "D) $15,125B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$16,490B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $23.58/hr\nB) $25.33/hr\nC) $24.16/hr\nD) $27.08/hr", "options": ["A) $23.58/hr", "B) $25.33/hr", "C) $24.16/hr", "D) $27.08/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$25.33/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-06.)\n\nA) 2.61%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 7.00%", "options": ["A) 2.61%", "B) 5.90%", "C) 4.81%", "D) 7.00%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.58%\nB) 3.47%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 4.74%", "options": ["A) 5.58%", "B) 3.47%", "C) 3.89%", "D) 4.74%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) $73.38/bbl\nB) $86.18/bbl\nC) $60.58/bbl\nD) $79.78/bbl", "options": ["A) $73.38/bbl", "B) $86.18/bbl", "C) $60.58/bbl", "D) $79.78/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$73.38/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $19,991B\nB) $18,401B\nC) $17,607B\nD) $19,196B", "options": ["A) $19,991B", "B) $18,401B", "C) $17,607B", "D) $19,196B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$18,401B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 285.74\nB) 258.14\nC) 273.91\nD) 266.02", "options": ["A) 285.74", "B) 258.14", "C) 273.91", "D) 266.02"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "273.91", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.33%\nB) 3.08%\nC) 4.95%\nD) 4.01%", "options": ["A) 4.33%", "B) 3.08%", "C) 4.95%", "D) 4.01%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $603,581M\nB) $618,818M\nC) $573,107M\nD) $588,344M", "options": ["A) $603,581M", "B) $618,818M", "C) $573,107M", "D) $588,344M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$603,581M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.35%\nB) 5.96%\nC) 7.20%\nD) 6.58%", "options": ["A) 5.35%", "B) 5.96%", "C) 7.20%", "D) 6.58%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.98%\nB) 8.13%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 3.56%", "options": ["A) 6.98%", "B) 8.13%", "C) 4.70%", "D) 3.56%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $6,200,000M\nD) $6,389M", "options": ["A) $4,300,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $6,200,000M", "D) $6,389M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$6,389M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) $19,873B\nB) $18,943B\nC) $22,664B\nD) $17,083B", "options": ["A) $19,873B", "B) $18,943B", "C) $22,664B", "D) $17,083B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$19,873B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,501.75\nB) 4,246.59\nC) 3,481.11\nD) 3,991.43", "options": ["A) 4,501.75", "B) 4,246.59", "C) 3,481.11", "D) 3,991.43"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,246.59", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 179.34%\nB) 152.51%\nC) 98.84%\nD) 18.34%", "options": ["A) 179.34%", "B) 152.51%", "C) 98.84%", "D) 18.34%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "98.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 259.48\nB) 267.14\nC) 251.83\nD) 244.17", "options": ["A) 259.48", "B) 267.14", "C) 251.83", "D) 244.17"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "244.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 271.36\nB) 260.92\nC) 292.26\nD) 240.02", "options": ["A) 271.36", "B) 260.92", "C) 292.26", "D) 240.02"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "271.36", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) -5.75%\nB) 12.46%\nC) 0.32%\nD) 18.53%", "options": ["A) -5.75%", "B) 12.46%", "C) 0.32%", "D) 18.53%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $275,932M\nB) $250,822M\nC) $259,192M\nD) $234,081M", "options": ["A) $275,932M", "B) $250,822M", "C) $259,192M", "D) $234,081M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$259,192M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,831K\nB) 1,681K\nC) 1,530K\nD) 1,756K", "options": ["A) 1,831K", "B) 1,681K", "C) 1,530K", "D) 1,756K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,756K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.70pp\nB) -2.10pp\nC) +2.97pp\nD) +0.43pp", "options": ["A) +1.70pp", "B) -2.10pp", "C) +2.97pp", "D) +0.43pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+1.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) $17,342B\nB) $20,981B\nC) $23,407B\nD) $24,620B", "options": ["A) $17,342B", "B) $20,981B", "C) $23,407B", "D) $24,620B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$20,981B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.37%\nB) 4.95%\nC) 4.00%\nD) 4.32%", "options": ["A) 3.37%", "B) 4.95%", "C) 4.00%", "D) 4.32%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.07%\nB) 14.29%\nC) 12.68%\nD) 13.49%", "options": ["A) 11.07%", "B) 14.29%", "C) 12.68%", "D) 13.49%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 23.98%\nB) 20.20%\nC) 35.34%\nD) 27.77%", "options": ["A) 23.98%", "B) 20.20%", "C) 35.34%", "D) 27.77%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "23.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) +9.59pp\nB) -4.20pp\nC) +0.40pp\nD) +5.00pp", "options": ["A) +9.59pp", "B) -4.20pp", "C) +0.40pp", "D) +5.00pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-4.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.49%\nB) 42.62%\nC) 30.91%\nD) 66.05%", "options": ["A) 7.49%", "B) 42.62%", "C) 30.91%", "D) 66.05%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.26%\nB) 25.76%\nC) 21.38%\nD) 12.63%", "options": ["A) 8.26%", "B) 25.76%", "C) 21.38%", "D) 12.63%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.67%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 3.29%\nD) 2.04%", "options": ["A) 2.67%", "B) 2.36%", "C) 3.29%", "D) 2.04%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 107.92\nB) 111.35\nC) 114.78\nD) 102.77", "options": ["A) 107.92", "B) 111.35", "C) 114.78", "D) 102.77"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "111.35", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.47pp\nB) +3.53pp\nC) +2.20pp\nD) +4.87pp", "options": ["A) -0.47pp", "B) +3.53pp", "C) +2.20pp", "D) +4.87pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+2.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 59.85%\nB) 62.93%\nC) 64.17%\nD) 61.70%", "options": ["A) 59.85%", "B) 62.93%", "C) 64.17%", "D) 61.70%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "61.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) +1.14pp\nC) +0.72pp\nD) -0.95pp", "options": ["A) +0.30pp", "B) +1.14pp", "C) +0.72pp", "D) -0.95pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.73%\nB) -4.42%\nC) -6.26%\nD) -9.95%", "options": ["A) -0.73%", "B) -4.42%", "C) -6.26%", "D) -9.95%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-4.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.76%\nB) 6.41%\nC) 4.23%\nD) -2.29%", "options": ["A) 10.76%", "B) 6.41%", "C) 4.23%", "D) -2.29%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.23%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 54.71%\nB) 61.87%\nC) 56.75%\nD) 58.80%", "options": ["A) 54.71%", "B) 61.87%", "C) 56.75%", "D) 58.80%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "58.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20210301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-29.)\n\nA) 215.00\nB) 221.28\nC) 208.72\nD) 202.45", "options": ["A) 215.00", "B) 221.28", "C) 208.72", "D) 202.45"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "215.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20210901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2021", "info_cutoff": "2021-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2021? (Use only information available on or before 2021-08-01.)\n\nA) 77.31\nB) 72.80\nC) 86.33\nD) 63.78", "options": ["A) 77.31", "B) 72.80", "C) 86.33", "D) 63.78"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "72.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20210615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2021-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2021-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2021-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2021-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.32%\nB) 0.89%\nC) 0.03%\nD) 0.46%", "options": ["A) 1.32%", "B) 0.89%", "C) 0.03%", "D) 0.46%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 17.26\nB) 5.96\nC) 11.61\nD) 22.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 17.26", "B) 5.96", "C) 11.61", "D) 22.91"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 17.26\nB) 5.96\nC) 11.61\nD) 22.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 17.26", "B) 5.96", "C) 11.61", "D) 22.91"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-5d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 20.87\nB) 9.57\nC) 26.52\nD) 37.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 20.87", "B) 9.57", "C) 26.52", "D) 37.82"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 20.87\nB) 9.57\nC) 26.52\nD) 37.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 20.87", "B) 9.57", "C) 26.52", "D) 37.82"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "20.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-10d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 25.62\nB) 19.97\nC) 31.27\nD) 36.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 25.62", "B) 19.97", "C) 31.27", "D) 36.92"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.97", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 25.62\nB) 19.97\nC) 31.27\nD) 36.92", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 25.62", "B) 19.97", "C) 31.27", "D) 36.92"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.97", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-20d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 13.23\nB) 30.18\nC) 18.88\nD) 7.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 13.23", "B) 30.18", "C) 18.88", "D) 7.58"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 13.23\nB) 30.18\nC) 18.88\nD) 7.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 13.23", "B) 30.18", "C) 18.88", "D) 7.58"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.88", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-40d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 10.60\nB) 21.90\nC) 27.55\nD) 16.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 10.60", "B) 21.90", "C) 27.55", "D) 16.25"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.25", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 10.60\nB) 21.90\nC) 27.55\nD) 16.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 10.60", "B) 21.90", "C) 27.55", "D) 16.25"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.25", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-60d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15.07\nB) 26.37\nC) 20.72\nD) 32.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 15.07", "B) 26.37", "C) 20.72", "D) 32.02"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15.07", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15.07\nB) 26.37\nC) 20.72\nD) 32.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 15.07", "B) 26.37", "C) 20.72", "D) 32.02"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15.07", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210127-120d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,773.22\nB) 13,612.78\nC) 16,131.45\nD) 14,452.34", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 12,773.22", "B) 13,612.78", "C) 16,131.45", "D) 14,452.34"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13,612.78", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-max", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 12,773.22\nB) 13,612.78\nC) 16,131.45\nD) 14,452.34", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 12,773.22", "B) 13,612.78", "C) 16,131.45", "D) 14,452.34"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13,612.78", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-5d-max", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 13,168.14\nB) 15,686.82\nC) 14,007.70\nD) 14,847.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 13,168.14", "B) 15,686.82", "C) 14,007.70", "D) 14,847.26"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14,007.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-max", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 13,168.14\nB) 15,686.82\nC) 14,007.70\nD) 14,847.26", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 13,168.14", "B) 15,686.82", "C) 14,007.70", "D) 14,847.26"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14,007.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-10d-max", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,774.59\nB) 14,935.03\nC) 13,255.91\nD) 14,095.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 15,774.59", "B) 14,935.03", "C) 13,255.91", "D) 14,095.47"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14,095.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-max", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,774.59\nB) 14,935.03\nC) 13,255.91\nD) 14,095.47", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 15,774.59", "B) 14,935.03", "C) 13,255.91", "D) 14,095.47"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14,095.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-20d-max", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 14,095.47\nB) 15,774.59\nC) 12,416.35\nD) 11,576.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 14,095.47", "B) 15,774.59", "C) 12,416.35", "D) 11,576.80"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14,095.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-max", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 14,095.47\nB) 15,774.59\nC) 12,416.35\nD) 11,576.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 14,095.47", "B) 15,774.59", "C) 12,416.35", "D) 11,576.80"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14,095.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-40d-max", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,774.59\nB) 14,095.47\nC) 11,576.80\nD) 12,416.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 15,774.59", "B) 14,095.47", "C) 11,576.80", "D) 12,416.35"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14,095.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-max", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 15,774.59\nB) 14,095.47\nC) 11,576.80\nD) 12,416.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 15,774.59", "B) 14,095.47", "C) 11,576.80", "D) 12,416.35"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14,095.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-60d-max", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 17,251.91\nB) 13,054.12\nC) 14,733.24\nD) 13,893.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 17,251.91", "B) 13,054.12", "C) 14,733.24", "D) 13,893.68"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14,733.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-max", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 17,251.91\nB) 13,054.12\nC) 14,733.24\nD) 13,893.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 17,251.91", "B) 13,054.12", "C) 14,733.24", "D) 13,893.68"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14,733.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210127-120d-max", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,254.99\nB) 3,408.07\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 3,714.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 3,254.99", "B) 3,408.07", "C) 3,867.32", "D) 3,714.24"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-5d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,254.99\nB) 3,408.07\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 3,714.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 3,254.99", "B) 3,408.07", "C) 3,867.32", "D) 3,714.24"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-5d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,408.07\nD) 3,561.16", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 3,714.24", "B) 3,867.32", "C) 3,408.07", "D) 3,561.16"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-10d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,408.07\nD) 3,561.16", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 3,714.24", "B) 3,867.32", "C) 3,408.07", "D) 3,561.16"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-10d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,408.07\nB) 3,714.24\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 4,173.49", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 3,408.07", "B) 3,714.24", "C) 3,867.32", "D) 4,173.49"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-20d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,408.07\nB) 3,714.24\nC) 3,867.32\nD) 4,173.49", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 3,408.07", "B) 3,714.24", "C) 3,867.32", "D) 4,173.49"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-20d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,561.16\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,714.24\nD) 3,254.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 3,561.16", "B) 3,867.32", "C) 3,714.24", "D) 3,254.99"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-40d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,561.16\nB) 3,867.32\nC) 3,714.24\nD) 3,254.99", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 3,561.16", "B) 3,867.32", "C) 3,714.24", "D) 3,254.99"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-40d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,020.41\nB) 3,408.07\nC) 4,173.49\nD) 3,714.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 4,020.41", "B) 3,408.07", "C) 4,173.49", "D) 3,714.24"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-60d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 4,020.41\nB) 3,408.07\nC) 4,173.49\nD) 3,714.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 4,020.41", "B) 3,408.07", "C) 4,173.49", "D) 3,714.24"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-60d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210127-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,173.49\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,867.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 3,714.24", "B) 4,173.49", "C) 3,561.16", "D) 3,867.32"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-120d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210127-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"GameStop short squeeze\" on 2021-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2021-01-26.)\n\nA) 3,714.24\nB) 4,173.49\nC) 3,561.16\nD) 3,867.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2021-01-26", "options": ["A) 3,714.24", "B) 4,173.49", "C) 3,561.16", "D) 3,867.32"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,714.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "GameStop short squeeze", "event_date": "2021-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210127-120d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15,933.00\nB) 14,746.40\nC) 17,119.60\nD) 18,306.20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 15,933.00", "B) 14,746.40", "C) 17,119.60", "D) 18,306.20"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14,746.40", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15,933.00\nB) 14,746.40\nC) 17,119.60\nD) 18,306.20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 15,933.00", "B) 14,746.40", "C) 17,119.60", "D) 18,306.20"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14,746.40", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-5d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 13,068.88\nB) 17,815.28\nC) 14,255.48\nD) 10,695.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 13,068.88", "B) 17,815.28", "C) 14,255.48", "D) 10,695.68"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14,255.48", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 13,068.88\nB) 17,815.28\nC) 14,255.48\nD) 10,695.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 13,068.88", "B) 17,815.28", "C) 14,255.48", "D) 10,695.68"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14,255.48", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-10d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17,815.28\nB) 15,442.08\nC) 16,628.68\nD) 14,255.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 17,815.28", "B) 15,442.08", "C) 16,628.68", "D) 14,255.48"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14,255.48", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17,815.28\nB) 15,442.08\nC) 16,628.68\nD) 14,255.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 17,815.28", "B) 15,442.08", "C) 16,628.68", "D) 14,255.48"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14,255.48", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-20d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 14,255.48\nB) 17,815.28\nC) 15,442.08\nD) 10,695.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 14,255.48", "B) 17,815.28", "C) 15,442.08", "D) 10,695.68"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14,255.48", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 14,255.48\nB) 17,815.28\nC) 15,442.08\nD) 10,695.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 14,255.48", "B) 17,815.28", "C) 15,442.08", "D) 10,695.68"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14,255.48", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-40d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17,815.28\nB) 14,255.48\nC) 16,628.68\nD) 13,068.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 17,815.28", "B) 14,255.48", "C) 16,628.68", "D) 13,068.88"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14,255.48", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17,815.28\nB) 14,255.48\nC) 16,628.68\nD) 13,068.88", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 17,815.28", "B) 14,255.48", "C) 16,628.68", "D) 13,068.88"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14,255.48", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-60d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 11,608.95\nB) 13,982.15\nC) 12,795.55\nD) 9,235.75", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 11,608.95", "B) 13,982.15", "C) 12,795.55", "D) 9,235.75"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12,795.55", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 11,608.95\nB) 13,982.15\nC) 12,795.55\nD) 9,235.75", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 11,608.95", "B) 13,982.15", "C) 12,795.55", "D) 9,235.75"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12,795.55", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20210920-120d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,085.79\nB) 5,159.38\nC) 3,817.40\nD) 4,354.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 4,085.79", "B) 5,159.38", "C) 3,817.40", "D) 4,354.19"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,354.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-5d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,085.79\nB) 5,159.38\nC) 3,817.40\nD) 4,354.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 4,085.79", "B) 5,159.38", "C) 3,817.40", "D) 4,354.19"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,354.19", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-5d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,300.46\nB) 3,763.67\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,568.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 4,300.46", "B) 3,763.67", "C) 4,032.06", "D) 4,568.86"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-10d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,300.46\nB) 3,763.67\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,568.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 4,300.46", "B) 3,763.67", "C) 4,032.06", "D) 4,568.86"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-10d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,032.06\nB) 4,300.46\nC) 3,763.67\nD) 4,568.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 4,032.06", "B) 4,300.46", "C) 3,763.67", "D) 4,568.86"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-20d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,032.06\nB) 4,300.46\nC) 3,763.67\nD) 4,568.86", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 4,032.06", "B) 4,300.46", "C) 3,763.67", "D) 4,568.86"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-20d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,568.86\nB) 4,032.06\nC) 4,300.46\nD) 4,837.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 4,568.86", "B) 4,032.06", "C) 4,300.46", "D) 4,837.25"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-40d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,568.86\nB) 4,032.06\nC) 4,300.46\nD) 4,837.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 4,568.86", "B) 4,032.06", "C) 4,300.46", "D) 4,837.25"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-40d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5,105.65\nB) 3,495.27\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,300.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 5,105.65", "B) 3,495.27", "C) 4,032.06", "D) 4,300.46"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-60d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5,105.65\nB) 3,495.27\nC) 4,032.06\nD) 4,300.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 5,105.65", "B) 3,495.27", "C) 4,032.06", "D) 4,300.46"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4,300.46", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-60d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20210920-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,170.70\nB) 3,633.91\nC) 3,902.30\nD) 4,439.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 4,170.70", "B) 3,633.91", "C) 3,902.30", "D) 4,439.10"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,170.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-120d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20210920-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 4,170.70\nB) 3,633.91\nC) 3,902.30\nD) 4,439.10", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 4,170.70", "B) 3,633.91", "C) 3,902.30", "D) 4,439.10"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4,170.70", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20210920-120d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.3237\nB) 6.4560\nC) 6.5883\nD) 6.8529", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 6.3237", "B) 6.4560", "C) 6.5883", "D) 6.8529"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.4560", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.3237\nB) 6.4560\nC) 6.5883\nD) 6.8529", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 6.3237", "B) 6.4560", "C) 6.5883", "D) 6.8529"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.4560", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-5d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.1788\nB) 6.5757\nC) 6.4434\nD) 6.8403", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 6.1788", "B) 6.5757", "C) 6.4434", "D) 6.8403"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4434", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.1788\nB) 6.5757\nC) 6.4434\nD) 6.8403", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 6.1788", "B) 6.5757", "C) 6.4434", "D) 6.8403"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.4434", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-10d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5.9853\nB) 6.1176\nC) 6.7791\nD) 6.3822", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 5.9853", "B) 6.1176", "C) 6.7791", "D) 6.3822"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.3822", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5.9853\nB) 6.1176\nC) 6.7791\nD) 6.3822", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 5.9853", "B) 6.1176", "C) 6.7791", "D) 6.3822"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.3822", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-20d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.3775\nB) 6.7744\nC) 6.2452\nD) 6.6421", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 6.3775", "B) 6.7744", "C) 6.2452", "D) 6.6421"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.3775", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.3775\nB) 6.7744\nC) 6.2452\nD) 6.6421", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 6.3775", "B) 6.7744", "C) 6.2452", "D) 6.6421"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.3775", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-40d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0789\nB) 6.3435\nC) 6.7404\nD) 6.2112", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 6.0789", "B) 6.3435", "C) 6.7404", "D) 6.2112"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.3435", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 6.0789\nB) 6.3435\nC) 6.7404\nD) 6.2112", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 6.0789", "B) 6.3435", "C) 6.7404", "D) 6.2112"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.3435", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-60d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5.9115\nB) 6.4407\nC) 6.3084\nD) 6.7053", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 5.9115", "B) 6.4407", "C) 6.3084", "D) 6.7053"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.3084", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 5.9115\nB) 6.4407\nC) 6.3084\nD) 6.7053", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 5.9115", "B) 6.4407", "C) 6.3084", "D) 6.7053"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.3084", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20210920-120d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 23.13\nB) 6.99\nC) 12.37\nD) 17.75", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 23.13", "B) 6.99", "C) 12.37", "D) 17.75"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 23.13\nB) 6.99\nC) 12.37\nD) 17.75", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 23.13", "B) 6.99", "C) 12.37", "D) 17.75"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-5d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 33.88\nC) 12.37\nD) 28.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 17.75", "B) 33.88", "C) 12.37", "D) 28.51"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 17.75\nB) 33.88\nC) 12.37\nD) 28.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 17.75", "B) 33.88", "C) 12.37", "D) 28.51"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-10d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 10.92\nB) 16.30\nC) 21.68\nD) 27.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 10.92", "B) 16.30", "C) 21.68", "D) 27.06"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 10.92\nB) 16.30\nC) 21.68\nD) 27.06", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 10.92", "B) 16.30", "C) 21.68", "D) 27.06"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.30", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-20d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 20.39\nB) 25.77\nC) 15.01\nD) 31.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 20.39", "B) 25.77", "C) 15.01", "D) 31.14"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 20.39\nB) 25.77\nC) 15.01\nD) 31.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 20.39", "B) 25.77", "C) 15.01", "D) 31.14"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-40d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 25.77\nB) 31.14\nC) 20.39\nD) 15.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 25.77", "B) 31.14", "C) 20.39", "D) 15.01"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 25.77\nB) 31.14\nC) 20.39\nD) 15.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 25.77", "B) 31.14", "C) 20.39", "D) 15.01"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-60d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15.01\nB) 25.77\nC) 20.39\nD) 9.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 15.01", "B) 25.77", "C) 20.39", "D) 9.63"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Evergrande default fears\" on 2021-09-20, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2021-09-20? (Use only information available on or before 2021-09-17.)\n\nA) 15.01\nB) 25.77\nC) 20.39\nD) 9.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2021-09-20", "info_cutoff": "2021-09-17", "options": ["A) 15.01", "B) 25.77", "C) 20.39", "D) 9.63"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Evergrande default fears", "event_date": "2021-09-20", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20210920-120d-min", "year": 2021} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 111.68\nB) 115.79\nC) 107.57\nD) 119.90", "options": ["A) 111.68", "B) 115.79", "C) 107.57", "D) 119.90"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "115.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.19%\nB) 8.53%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 5.86%", "options": ["A) 11.19%", "B) 8.53%", "C) 3.20%", "D) 5.86%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.35%\nB) 15.12%\nC) -9.51%\nD) 8.97%", "options": ["A) -3.35%", "B) 15.12%", "C) -9.51%", "D) 8.97%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 3,789.99\nB) 2,735.53\nC) 3,087.02\nD) 4,492.96", "options": ["A) 3,789.99", "B) 2,735.53", "C) 3,087.02", "D) 4,492.96"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,789.99", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.33%\nB) 2.46%\nC) -5.90%\nD) 8.04%", "options": ["A) -0.33%", "B) 2.46%", "C) -5.90%", "D) 8.04%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,281K\nB) 1,812K\nC) 1,600K\nD) 1,706K", "options": ["A) 1,281K", "B) 1,812K", "C) 1,600K", "D) 1,706K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,600K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 110.78\nB) 95.76\nC) 105.15\nD) 101.39", "options": ["A) 110.78", "B) 95.76", "C) 105.15", "D) 101.39"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.39", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) 214,000\nB) 1,345,889\nC) 591,296\nD) 968,593", "options": ["A) 214,000", "B) 1,345,889", "C) 591,296", "D) 968,593"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "214,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 100.35%\nB) 71.37%\nC) 158.33%\nD) -15.59%", "options": ["A) 100.35%", "B) 71.37%", "C) 158.33%", "D) -15.59%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "71.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.84%\nB) 7.00%\nC) 3.50%\nD) 4.67%", "options": ["A) 5.84%", "B) 7.00%", "C) 3.50%", "D) 4.67%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,791K\nB) 1,185K\nC) 1,286K\nD) 1,488K", "options": ["A) 1,791K", "B) 1,185K", "C) 1,286K", "D) 1,488K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,488K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 112.91\nB) 109.70\nC) 117.73\nD) 106.49", "options": ["A) 112.91", "B) 109.70", "C) 117.73", "D) 106.49"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "112.91", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.68%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 7.17%\nD) -1.86%", "options": ["A) 11.68%", "B) 4.91%", "C) 7.17%", "D) -1.86%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 14.37%\nB) 15.76%\nC) 11.59%\nD) 7.42%", "options": ["A) 14.37%", "B) 15.76%", "C) 11.59%", "D) 7.42%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.54%\nB) 6.75%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 5.97%", "options": ["A) 7.54%", "B) 6.75%", "C) 3.61%", "D) 5.97%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.19%\nB) 5.71%\nC) 6.95%\nD) 4.47%", "options": ["A) 8.19%", "B) 5.71%", "C) 6.95%", "D) 4.47%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "8.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.02%\nB) 8.49%\nC) 4.81%\nD) 6.65%", "options": ["A) 14.02%", "B) 8.49%", "C) 4.81%", "D) 6.65%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "8.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 151.67\nB) 147.85\nC) 140.20\nD) 128.73", "options": ["A) 151.67", "B) 147.85", "C) 140.20", "D) 128.73"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "140.20", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 289.59\nB) 276.07\nC) 316.62\nD) 296.35", "options": ["A) 289.59", "B) 276.07", "C) 316.62", "D) 296.35"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "296.35", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) +0.13pp\nB) -0.26pp\nC) +0.32pp\nD) -0.06pp", "options": ["A) +0.13pp", "B) -0.26pp", "C) +0.32pp", "D) -0.06pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.13pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 72.38%\nB) 78.61%\nC) 75.50%\nD) 83.28%", "options": ["A) 72.38%", "B) 78.61%", "C) 75.50%", "D) 83.28%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "78.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $17,307B\nB) $18,678B\nC) $17,993B\nD) $19,363B", "options": ["A) $17,307B", "B) $18,678B", "C) $17,993B", "D) $19,363B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$17,993B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 280.47\nB) 310.06\nC) 268.64\nD) 298.23", "options": ["A) 280.47", "B) 310.06", "C) 268.64", "D) 298.23"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "298.23", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 79.03%\nB) 75.98%\nC) 86.65%\nD) 82.08%", "options": ["A) 79.03%", "B) 75.98%", "C) 86.65%", "D) 82.08%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "79.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.03%\nB) 6.62%\nC) 4.23%\nD) 5.83%", "options": ["A) 5.03%", "B) 6.62%", "C) 4.23%", "D) 5.83%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) -3.20%\nB) -29.95%\nC) -9.89%\nD) 3.49%", "options": ["A) -3.20%", "B) -29.95%", "C) -9.89%", "D) 3.49%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-9.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $4,300,000M\nD) $6,134M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $4,300,000M", "D) $6,134M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$6,134M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.20%\nB) 1.52%\nC) 1.08%\nD) 0.64%", "options": ["A) 0.20%", "B) 1.52%", "C) 1.08%", "D) 0.64%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 245.20\nB) 260.01\nC) 274.83\nD) 267.42", "options": ["A) 245.20", "B) 260.01", "C) 274.83", "D) 267.42"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "260.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.71%\nB) 3.69%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 4.66%", "options": ["A) 2.71%", "B) 3.69%", "C) 3.20%", "D) 4.66%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $26.36/hr\nB) $25.63/hr\nC) $28.57/hr\nD) $27.10/hr", "options": ["A) $26.36/hr", "B) $25.63/hr", "C) $28.57/hr", "D) $27.10/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$27.10/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $76,146M\nB) $74,196M\nC) $78,096M\nD) $70,296M", "options": ["A) $76,146M", "B) $74,196M", "C) $78,096M", "D) $70,296M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$76,146M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $-74,838M\nB) $-67,781M\nC) $-88,951M\nD) $-46,611M", "options": ["A) $-74,838M", "B) $-67,781M", "C) $-88,951M", "D) $-46,611M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-67,781M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 20.58%\nB) -0.74%\nC) 7.79%\nD) -5.01%", "options": ["A) 20.58%", "B) -0.74%", "C) 7.79%", "D) -5.01%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.83%\nB) 13.62%\nC) 4.03%\nD) 10.42%", "options": ["A) 0.83%", "B) 13.62%", "C) 4.03%", "D) 10.42%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.42%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.10%\nB) 63.17%\nC) 58.06%\nD) 56.01%", "options": ["A) 60.10%", "B) 63.17%", "C) 58.06%", "D) 56.01%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "60.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.57%\nB) 3.05%\nC) 11.33%\nD) -5.22%", "options": ["A) 8.57%", "B) 3.05%", "C) 11.33%", "D) -5.22%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,605,285\nB) 8,099,856\nC) 1,358,000\nD) 5,852,571", "options": ["A) 3,605,285", "B) 8,099,856", "C) 1,358,000", "D) 5,852,571"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,358,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 6,570.73\nB) 12,608.62\nC) 8,080.20\nD) 11,099.15", "options": ["A) 6,570.73", "B) 12,608.62", "C) 8,080.20", "D) 11,099.15"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11,099.15", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.59%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 5.07%\nD) 7.16%", "options": ["A) 5.59%", "B) 4.03%", "C) 5.07%", "D) 7.16%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.40%\nB) -2.44%\nC) -8.38%\nD) -14.33%", "options": ["A) 15.40%", "B) -2.44%", "C) -8.38%", "D) -14.33%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-2.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 150.06\nB) 142.25\nC) 137.04\nD) 129.22", "options": ["A) 150.06", "B) 142.25", "C) 137.04", "D) 129.22"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "137.04", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $-87,997M\nB) $-82,297M\nC) $-110,799M\nD) $-99,398M", "options": ["A) $-87,997M", "B) $-82,297M", "C) $-110,799M", "D) $-99,398M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-99,398M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.93%\nB) 5.56%\nC) 6.24%\nD) 8.29%", "options": ["A) 6.93%", "B) 5.56%", "C) 6.24%", "D) 8.29%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) $88.25/bbl\nB) $115.32/bbl\nC) $133.37/bbl\nD) $106.30/bbl", "options": ["A) $88.25/bbl", "B) $115.32/bbl", "C) $133.37/bbl", "D) $106.30/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$115.32/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.55pp\nB) +0.94pp\nC) +3.18pp\nD) +5.42pp", "options": ["A) -3.55pp", "B) +0.94pp", "C) +3.18pp", "D) +5.42pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+3.18pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.95%\nB) 9.38%\nC) 7.76%\nD) 8.57%", "options": ["A) 6.95%", "B) 9.38%", "C) 7.76%", "D) 8.57%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $18,458B\nB) $20,034B\nC) $20,823B\nD) $19,246B", "options": ["A) $18,458B", "B) $20,034B", "C) $20,823B", "D) $19,246B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$18,458B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.95pp\nB) +1.30pp\nC) +2.72pp\nD) -0.12pp", "options": ["A) -2.95pp", "B) +1.30pp", "C) +2.72pp", "D) -0.12pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+1.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 127.4641\nB) 122.7735\nC) 134.5000\nD) 141.5359", "options": ["A) 127.4641", "B) 122.7735", "C) 134.5000", "D) 141.5359"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "134.5000", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 146,613K\nB) 162,874K\nC) 158,228K\nD) 153,582K", "options": ["A) 146,613K", "B) 162,874K", "C) 158,228K", "D) 153,582K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "153,582K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) -10.27%\nB) -23.25%\nC) -29.75%\nD) 9.21%", "options": ["A) -10.27%", "B) -23.25%", "C) -29.75%", "D) 9.21%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-10.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $27.03/hr\nB) $27.87/hr\nC) $25.35/hr\nD) $28.71/hr", "options": ["A) $27.03/hr", "B) $27.87/hr", "C) $25.35/hr", "D) $28.71/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$27.87/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 278.02\nB) 297.33\nC) 287.67\nD) 268.37", "options": ["A) 278.02", "B) 297.33", "C) 287.67", "D) 268.37"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "287.67", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $598,850M\nB) $624,939M\nC) $703,204M\nD) $651,027M", "options": ["A) $598,850M", "B) $624,939M", "C) $703,204M", "D) $651,027M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$651,027M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.48%\nB) 5.96%\nC) 5.43%\nD) 8.06%", "options": ["A) 6.48%", "B) 5.96%", "C) 5.43%", "D) 8.06%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $305,967M\nB) $282,430M\nC) $258,893M\nD) $317,735M", "options": ["A) $305,967M", "B) $282,430M", "C) $258,893M", "D) $317,735M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$282,430M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 7.15%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 6.00%", "options": ["A) 2.55%", "B) 7.15%", "C) 3.70%", "D) 6.00%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 55.01%\nB) 57.04%\nC) 63.16%\nD) 60.10%", "options": ["A) 55.01%", "B) 57.04%", "C) 63.16%", "D) 60.10%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "60.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -14.20pp\nB) -8.24pp\nC) -26.12pp\nD) -32.08pp", "options": ["A) -14.20pp", "B) -8.24pp", "C) -26.12pp", "D) -32.08pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-14.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $258,054M\nB) $277,554M\nC) $267,804M\nD) $297,054M", "options": ["A) $258,054M", "B) $277,554M", "C) $267,804M", "D) $297,054M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$277,554M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 24,175.53\nB) 26,339.86\nC) 30,668.53\nD) 28,504.20", "options": ["A) 24,175.53", "B) 26,339.86", "C) 30,668.53", "D) 28,504.20"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30,668.53", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.84pp\nB) -0.84pp\nC) -0.39pp\nD) +0.50pp", "options": ["A) +1.84pp", "B) -0.84pp", "C) -0.39pp", "D) +0.50pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 9.62%\nB) 7.36%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 16.41%", "options": ["A) 9.62%", "B) 7.36%", "C) 5.09%", "D) 16.41%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "9.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 23.16%\nB) 10.60%\nC) -1.95%\nD) 14.79%", "options": ["A) 23.16%", "B) 10.60%", "C) -1.95%", "D) 14.79%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.88pp\nB) -5.68pp\nC) -2.40pp\nD) -0.76pp", "options": ["A) +0.88pp", "B) -5.68pp", "C) -2.40pp", "D) -0.76pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 317.80\nB) 282.83\nC) 247.86\nD) 300.31", "options": ["A) 317.80", "B) 282.83", "C) 247.86", "D) 300.31"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "300.31", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 114.47\nB) 121.12\nC) 117.79\nD) 109.48", "options": ["A) 114.47", "B) 121.12", "C) 117.79", "D) 109.48"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "114.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.48%\nB) 2.56%\nC) 3.94%\nD) 1.18%", "options": ["A) 3.48%", "B) 2.56%", "C) 3.94%", "D) 1.18%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.54%\nB) 12.22%\nC) 6.38%\nD) -5.30%", "options": ["A) 0.54%", "B) 12.22%", "C) 6.38%", "D) -5.30%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.01%\nB) 11.82%\nC) 6.21%\nD) 3.40%", "options": ["A) 9.01%", "B) 11.82%", "C) 6.21%", "D) 3.40%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.33%\nB) 2.57%\nC) 4.09%\nD) 4.48%", "options": ["A) 3.33%", "B) 2.57%", "C) 4.09%", "D) 4.48%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -30.62pp\nB) -25.50pp\nC) -20.38pp\nD) -35.75pp", "options": ["A) -30.62pp", "B) -25.50pp", "C) -20.38pp", "D) -35.75pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-25.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.76%\nB) 6.80%\nC) 5.78%\nD) 6.46%", "options": ["A) 4.76%", "B) 6.80%", "C) 5.78%", "D) 6.46%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $16,996B\nB) $18,516B\nC) $20,796B\nD) $19,276B", "options": ["A) $16,996B", "B) $18,516B", "C) $20,796B", "D) $19,276B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$19,276B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.20pp\nB) -4.56pp\nC) -2.88pp\nD) +3.84pp", "options": ["A) -1.20pp", "B) -4.56pp", "C) -2.88pp", "D) +3.84pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 18.11%\nB) 20.78%\nC) 23.44%\nD) 28.77%", "options": ["A) 18.11%", "B) 20.78%", "C) 23.44%", "D) 28.77%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 13.39%\nC) 9.63%\nD) 20.91%", "options": ["A) 2.11%", "B) 13.39%", "C) 9.63%", "D) 20.91%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9.63%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.27%\nB) 4.84%\nC) 8.42%\nD) 6.99%", "options": ["A) 6.27%", "B) 4.84%", "C) 8.42%", "D) 6.99%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.67%\nB) 18.34%\nC) 23.01%\nD) 27.68%", "options": ["A) 13.67%", "B) 18.34%", "C) 23.01%", "D) 27.68%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.36%\nB) -5.64%\nC) -13.65%\nD) 10.37%", "options": ["A) 2.36%", "B) -5.64%", "C) -13.65%", "D) 10.37%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-5.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) $17,833B\nB) $19,258B\nC) $17,120B\nD) $16,407B", "options": ["A) $17,833B", "B) $19,258B", "C) $17,120B", "D) $16,407B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$17,120B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 42.89\nB) 38.47\nC) 25.20\nD) 29.62", "options": ["A) 42.89", "B) 38.47", "C) 25.20", "D) 29.62"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "29.62", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) +2.40pp\nB) +5.14pp\nC) +6.52pp\nD) -1.72pp", "options": ["A) +2.40pp", "B) +5.14pp", "C) +6.52pp", "D) -1.72pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+2.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) $106.42/bbl\nB) $124.96/bbl\nC) $152.77/bbl\nD) $143.50/bbl", "options": ["A) $106.42/bbl", "B) $124.96/bbl", "C) $152.77/bbl", "D) $143.50/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$124.96/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.98%\nB) 3.19%\nC) 9.36%\nD) 15.53%", "options": ["A) -2.98%", "B) 3.19%", "C) 9.36%", "D) 15.53%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.07%\nB) 65.93%\nC) 60.33%\nD) 62.20%", "options": ["A) 64.07%", "B) 65.93%", "C) 60.33%", "D) 62.20%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 60.03%\nB) 89.31%\nC) 30.75%\nD) 147.87%", "options": ["A) 60.03%", "B) 89.31%", "C) 30.75%", "D) 147.87%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "60.03%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 333.96\nB) 294.90\nC) 307.92\nD) 255.84", "options": ["A) 333.96", "B) 294.90", "C) 307.92", "D) 255.84"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "294.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.94%\nB) 2.49%\nC) 3.38%\nD) 4.71%", "options": ["A) 2.94%", "B) 2.49%", "C) 3.38%", "D) 4.71%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 65.52%\nB) 64.27%\nC) 60.53%\nD) 62.40%", "options": ["A) 65.52%", "B) 64.27%", "C) 60.53%", "D) 62.40%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.67%\nB) 5.66%\nC) 8.68%\nD) 9.68%", "options": ["A) 6.67%", "B) 5.66%", "C) 8.68%", "D) 9.68%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.40%\nB) 2.65%\nC) 10.15%\nD) -1.10%", "options": ["A) 6.40%", "B) 2.65%", "C) 10.15%", "D) -1.10%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 128.85\nB) 110.48\nC) 117.37\nD) 121.96", "options": ["A) 128.85", "B) 110.48", "C) 117.37", "D) 121.96"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "117.37", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -29.62%\nB) -18.06%\nC) 16.62%\nD) 5.06%", "options": ["A) -29.62%", "B) -18.06%", "C) 16.62%", "D) 5.06%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.7128\nB) 6.4588\nC) 7.3479\nD) 7.0939", "options": ["A) 6.7128", "B) 6.4588", "C) 7.3479", "D) 7.0939"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.7128", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.95%\nB) -15.95%\nC) -6.35%\nD) -8.75%", "options": ["A) -3.95%", "B) -15.95%", "C) -6.35%", "D) -8.75%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-15.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 130.22\nB) 116.49\nC) 121.64\nD) 126.79", "options": ["A) 130.22", "B) 116.49", "C) 121.64", "D) 126.79"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "121.64", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.68%\nB) 6.28%\nC) 12.29%\nD) 9.89%", "options": ["A) 8.68%", "B) 6.28%", "C) 12.29%", "D) 9.89%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $76,945M\nB) $72,165M\nC) $74,555M\nD) $79,335M", "options": ["A) $76,945M", "B) $72,165M", "C) $74,555M", "D) $79,335M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$76,945M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 312.46\nB) 289.06\nC) 303.10\nD) 279.70", "options": ["A) 312.46", "B) 289.06", "C) 303.10", "D) 279.70"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "289.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) -0.78%\nC) 3.93%\nD) -3.13%", "options": ["A) 1.58%", "B) -0.78%", "C) 3.93%", "D) -3.13%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.08%\nB) 4.87%\nC) 4.14%\nD) 5.61%", "options": ["A) 7.08%", "B) 4.87%", "C) 4.14%", "D) 5.61%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.61%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) -15.30%\nB) -27.04%\nC) 19.89%\nD) -3.57%", "options": ["A) -15.30%", "B) -27.04%", "C) 19.89%", "D) -3.57%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-15.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 64.77\nB) 59.40\nC) 70.13\nD) 48.67", "options": ["A) 64.77", "B) 59.40", "C) 70.13", "D) 48.67"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "59.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) -47.62%\nB) -3.16%\nC) -20.94%\nD) 5.73%", "options": ["A) -47.62%", "B) -3.16%", "C) -20.94%", "D) 5.73%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-20.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.13%\nB) -5.16%\nC) 3.99%\nD) 8.56%", "options": ["A) 13.13%", "B) -5.16%", "C) 3.99%", "D) 8.56%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $17,347B\nB) $17,893B\nC) $15,710B\nD) $16,802B", "options": ["A) $17,347B", "B) $17,893B", "C) $15,710B", "D) $16,802B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$17,347B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.48pp\nB) +0.90pp\nC) -0.37pp\nD) +2.17pp", "options": ["A) +0.48pp", "B) +0.90pp", "C) -0.37pp", "D) +2.17pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 292.59\nB) 255.55\nC) 267.90\nD) 304.94", "options": ["A) 292.59", "B) 255.55", "C) 267.90", "D) 304.94"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "267.90", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 15.74%\nB) -0.81%\nC) 2.50%\nD) 9.12%", "options": ["A) 15.74%", "B) -0.81%", "C) 2.50%", "D) 9.12%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "9.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0388\nB) 1.1388\nC) 0.9638\nD) 1.0888", "options": ["A) 1.0388", "B) 1.1388", "C) 0.9638", "D) 1.0888"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0388", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,012B\nB) $21,536B\nC) $26,109B\nD) $18,488B", "options": ["A) $20,012B", "B) $21,536B", "C) $26,109B", "D) $18,488B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$21,536B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $726,545M\nB) $564,818M\nC) $661,854M\nD) $629,509M", "options": ["A) $726,545M", "B) $564,818M", "C) $661,854M", "D) $629,509M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$661,854M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.40%\nB) -1.21%\nC) -5.75%\nD) 7.86%", "options": ["A) 12.40%", "B) -1.21%", "C) -5.75%", "D) 7.86%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) $21,787B\nB) $24,555B\nC) $25,939B\nD) $20,403B", "options": ["A) $21,787B", "B) $24,555B", "C) $25,939B", "D) $20,403B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$21,787B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,968K\nB) 1,868K\nC) 1,567K\nD) 2,169K", "options": ["A) 1,968K", "B) 1,868K", "C) 1,567K", "D) 2,169K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,868K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,998K\nB) 1,426K\nC) 1,712K\nD) 1,807K", "options": ["A) 1,998K", "B) 1,426K", "C) 1,712K", "D) 1,807K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,712K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 16.99%\nB) 9.08%\nC) 24.89%\nD) 20.94%", "options": ["A) 16.99%", "B) 9.08%", "C) 24.89%", "D) 20.94%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "20.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.67%\nB) 13.81%\nC) 16.95%\nD) 4.39%", "options": ["A) 10.67%", "B) 13.81%", "C) 16.95%", "D) 4.39%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "10.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.32%\nB) 4.75%\nC) -0.96%\nD) -3.81%", "options": ["A) 13.32%", "B) 4.75%", "C) -0.96%", "D) -3.81%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $5,411M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $5,411M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$5,411M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 106.94\nB) 95.64\nC) 91.88\nD) 101.29", "options": ["A) 106.94", "B) 95.64", "C) 91.88", "D) 101.29"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "101.29", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.74%\nB) 2.64%\nC) 1.29%\nD) 0.84%", "options": ["A) 1.74%", "B) 2.64%", "C) 1.29%", "D) 0.84%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.74%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 157,857K\nB) 151,315K\nC) 146,954K\nD) 162,218K", "options": ["A) 157,857K", "B) 151,315K", "C) 146,954K", "D) 162,218K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "151,315K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20220615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2022-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2022-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2022-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2022-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 4.29%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 2.79%", "options": ["A) 2.49%", "B) 4.29%", "C) 3.39%", "D) 2.79%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20220301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-01-29.)\n\nA) 24.11%\nB) 16.39%\nC) -14.50%\nD) 0.94%", "options": ["A) 24.11%", "B) 16.39%", "C) -14.50%", "D) 0.94%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.72pp\nB) -0.55pp\nC) +4.00pp\nD) +8.55pp", "options": ["A) +1.72pp", "B) -0.55pp", "C) +4.00pp", "D) +8.55pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+1.72pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20220901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2022", "info_cutoff": "2022-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2022? (Use only information available on or before 2022-08-01.)\n\nA) 65.87\nB) 58.60\nC) 80.41\nD) 44.06", "options": ["A) 65.87", "B) 58.60", "C) 80.41", "D) 44.06"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "58.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $120.56/bbl\nB) $100.92/bbl\nC) $110.74/bbl\nD) $140.20/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $120.56/bbl", "B) $100.92/bbl", "C) $110.74/bbl", "D) $140.20/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$110.74/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $120.56/bbl\nB) $100.92/bbl\nC) $110.74/bbl\nD) $140.20/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $120.56/bbl", "B) $100.92/bbl", "C) $110.74/bbl", "D) $140.20/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$110.74/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $113.82/bbl\nB) $143.28/bbl\nC) $94.18/bbl\nD) $123.64/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $113.82/bbl", "B) $143.28/bbl", "C) $94.18/bbl", "D) $123.64/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $113.82/bbl\nB) $143.28/bbl\nC) $94.18/bbl\nD) $123.64/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $113.82/bbl", "B) $143.28/bbl", "C) $94.18/bbl", "D) $123.64/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $123.64/bbl\nB) $113.82/bbl\nC) $133.46/bbl\nD) $153.10/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $123.64/bbl", "B) $113.82/bbl", "C) $133.46/bbl", "D) $153.10/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $123.64/bbl\nB) $113.82/bbl\nC) $133.46/bbl\nD) $153.10/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $123.64/bbl", "B) $113.82/bbl", "C) $133.46/bbl", "D) $153.10/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.46/bbl\nB) $123.64/bbl\nC) $104.00/bbl\nD) $153.10/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $133.46/bbl", "B) $123.64/bbl", "C) $104.00/bbl", "D) $153.10/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.46/bbl\nB) $123.64/bbl\nC) $104.00/bbl\nD) $153.10/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $133.46/bbl", "B) $123.64/bbl", "C) $104.00/bbl", "D) $153.10/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $104.00/bbl\nB) $133.46/bbl\nC) $123.64/bbl\nD) $113.82/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $104.00/bbl", "B) $133.46/bbl", "C) $123.64/bbl", "D) $113.82/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $104.00/bbl\nB) $133.46/bbl\nC) $123.64/bbl\nD) $113.82/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $104.00/bbl", "B) $133.46/bbl", "C) $123.64/bbl", "D) $113.82/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $104.00/bbl\nB) $153.10/bbl\nC) $133.46/bbl\nD) $123.64/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $104.00/bbl", "B) $153.10/bbl", "C) $133.46/bbl", "D) $123.64/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $104.00/bbl\nB) $153.10/bbl\nC) $133.46/bbl\nD) $123.64/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $104.00/bbl", "B) $153.10/bbl", "C) $133.46/bbl", "D) $123.64/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$123.64/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $118.94/bbl\nB) $108.97/bbl\nC) $138.88/bbl\nD) $99.00/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $118.94/bbl", "B) $108.97/bbl", "C) $138.88/bbl", "D) $99.00/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$118.94/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $118.94/bbl\nB) $108.97/bbl\nC) $138.88/bbl\nD) $99.00/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $118.94/bbl", "B) $108.97/bbl", "C) $138.88/bbl", "D) $99.00/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$118.94/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $143.15/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $163.10/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $143.15/bbl", "B) $133.18/bbl", "C) $163.10/bbl", "D) $153.12/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $143.15/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $163.10/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $143.15/bbl", "B) $133.18/bbl", "C) $163.10/bbl", "D) $153.12/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $153.12/bbl\nB) $123.21/bbl\nC) $133.18/bbl\nD) $143.15/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $153.12/bbl", "B) $123.21/bbl", "C) $133.18/bbl", "D) $143.15/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $153.12/bbl\nB) $123.21/bbl\nC) $133.18/bbl\nD) $143.15/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $153.12/bbl", "B) $123.21/bbl", "C) $133.18/bbl", "D) $143.15/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $163.10/bbl\nB) $153.12/bbl\nC) $113.24/bbl\nD) $133.18/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $163.10/bbl", "B) $153.12/bbl", "C) $113.24/bbl", "D) $133.18/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $163.10/bbl\nB) $153.12/bbl\nC) $113.24/bbl\nD) $133.18/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $163.10/bbl", "B) $153.12/bbl", "C) $113.24/bbl", "D) $133.18/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.18/bbl\nB) $123.21/bbl\nC) $103.26/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $133.18/bbl", "B) $123.21/bbl", "C) $103.26/bbl", "D) $153.12/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $133.18/bbl\nB) $123.21/bbl\nC) $103.26/bbl\nD) $153.12/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $133.18/bbl", "B) $123.21/bbl", "C) $103.26/bbl", "D) $153.12/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $123.21/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $153.12/bbl\nD) $103.26/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $123.21/bbl", "B) $133.18/bbl", "C) $153.12/bbl", "D) $103.26/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) $123.21/bbl\nB) $133.18/bbl\nC) $153.12/bbl\nD) $103.26/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) $123.21/bbl", "B) $133.18/bbl", "C) $153.12/bbl", "D) $103.26/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$133.18/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 48.28\nB) 38.31\nC) 33.32\nD) 43.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 48.28", "B) 38.31", "C) 33.32", "D) 43.29"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 48.28\nB) 38.31\nC) 33.32\nD) 43.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 48.28", "B) 38.31", "C) 33.32", "D) 43.29"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 51.41\nB) 26.48\nC) 46.42\nD) 36.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 51.41", "B) 26.48", "C) 46.42", "D) 36.45"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "36.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 51.41\nB) 26.48\nC) 46.42\nD) 36.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 51.41", "B) 26.48", "C) 46.42", "D) 36.45"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "36.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 36.45\nB) 51.41\nC) 46.42\nD) 21.49", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 36.45", "B) 51.41", "C) 46.42", "D) 21.49"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "36.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 36.45\nB) 51.41\nC) 46.42\nD) 21.49", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 36.45", "B) 51.41", "C) 46.42", "D) 21.49"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "36.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 46.42\nB) 36.45\nC) 51.41\nD) 26.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 46.42", "B) 36.45", "C) 51.41", "D) 26.48"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "36.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 46.42\nB) 36.45\nC) 51.41\nD) 26.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 46.42", "B) 36.45", "C) 51.41", "D) 26.48"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "36.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 26.48\nB) 41.44\nC) 36.45\nD) 51.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 26.48", "B) 41.44", "C) 36.45", "D) 51.41"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "36.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 26.48\nB) 41.44\nC) 36.45\nD) 51.41", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 26.48", "B) 41.44", "C) 36.45", "D) 51.41"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "36.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 26.48\nB) 21.49\nC) 46.42\nD) 36.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 26.48", "B) 21.49", "C) 46.42", "D) 36.45"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "36.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 26.48\nB) 21.49\nC) 46.42\nD) 36.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 26.48", "B) 21.49", "C) 46.42", "D) 36.45"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "36.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.56%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 1.97%", "B) 2.38%", "C) 1.35%", "D) 1.56%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.97%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 1.35%\nD) 1.56%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 1.97%", "B) 2.38%", "C) 1.35%", "D) 1.56%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 1.57%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 2.19%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 2.60%", "D) 1.57%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.98%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.19%\nB) 1.98%\nC) 2.60%\nD) 1.57%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 2.19%", "B) 1.98%", "C) 2.60%", "D) 1.57%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.98%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 3.00%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.76%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 2.17%", "B) 3.00%", "C) 2.38%", "D) 1.76%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 2.17%\nB) 3.00%\nC) 2.38%\nD) 1.76%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 2.17%", "B) 3.00%", "C) 2.38%", "D) 1.76%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 2.72%\nC) 3.55%\nD) 2.93%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 3.34%", "B) 2.72%", "C) 3.55%", "D) 2.93%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.93%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 2.72%\nC) 3.55%\nD) 2.93%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 3.34%", "B) 2.72%", "C) 3.55%", "D) 2.93%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.93%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 3.12%", "B) 2.91%", "C) 3.74%", "D) 3.33%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.74%\nD) 3.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 3.12%", "B) 2.91%", "C) 3.74%", "D) 3.33%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 3.28%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 4.11%", "B) 3.49%", "C) 3.08%", "D) 3.28%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.49%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 4.11%\nB) 3.49%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 3.28%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 4.11%", "B) 3.49%", "C) 3.08%", "D) 3.28%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.49%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0761\nB) 1.2511\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.2011", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 1.0761", "B) 1.2511", "C) 1.1261", "D) 1.2011"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0761\nB) 1.2511\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.2011", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 1.0761", "B) 1.2511", "C) 1.1261", "D) 1.2011"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.2511\nC) 1.0761\nD) 1.1261", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 1.2011", "B) 1.2511", "C) 1.0761", "D) 1.1261"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.2511\nC) 1.0761\nD) 1.1261", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 1.2011", "B) 1.2511", "C) 1.0761", "D) 1.1261"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.1261\nB) 1.1761\nC) 1.2261\nD) 1.0761", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 1.1261", "B) 1.1761", "C) 1.2261", "D) 1.0761"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.1261\nB) 1.1761\nC) 1.2261\nD) 1.0761", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 1.1261", "B) 1.1761", "C) 1.2261", "D) 1.0761"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.1261\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.0761", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 1.2011", "B) 1.1261", "C) 1.0011", "D) 1.0761"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.1261\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.0761", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 1.2011", "B) 1.1261", "C) 1.0011", "D) 1.0761"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0511\nB) 1.2011\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.0011", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 1.0511", "B) 1.2011", "C) 1.1261", "D) 1.0011"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.0511\nB) 1.2011\nC) 1.1261\nD) 1.0011", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 1.0511", "B) 1.2011", "C) 1.1261", "D) 1.0011"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.0511\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.1261", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 1.2011", "B) 1.0511", "C) 1.0011", "D) 1.1261"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Russia invades Ukraine\" on 2022-02-24, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-02-24? (Use only information available on or before 2022-02-23.)\n\nA) 1.2011\nB) 1.0511\nC) 1.0011\nD) 1.1261", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-02-24", "info_cutoff": "2022-02-23", "options": ["A) 1.2011", "B) 1.0511", "C) 1.0011", "D) 1.1261"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1261", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Russia invades Ukraine", "event_date": "2022-02-24", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220224-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.77%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 0.82%\nD) 0.65%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", "options": ["A) 0.77%", "B) 0.70%", "C) 0.82%", "D) 0.65%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 0.77%\nB) 0.70%\nC) 0.82%\nD) 0.65%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", "options": ["A) 0.77%", "B) 0.70%", "C) 0.82%", "D) 0.65%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 1.26%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", "options": ["A) 1.08%", "B) 1.21%", "C) 1.16%", "D) 1.26%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.21%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 1.08%\nB) 1.21%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 1.26%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", "options": ["A) 1.08%", "B) 1.21%", "C) 1.16%", "D) 1.26%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.21%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 3.17%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 2.99%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", "options": ["A) 2.86%", "B) 3.17%", "C) 3.08%", "D) 2.99%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-01.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 3.17%\nC) 3.08%\nD) 2.99%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-01", "options": ["A) 2.86%", "B) 3.17%", "C) 3.08%", "D) 2.99%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.08%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20220316-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 1.94%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 1.76%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 2.48%", "D) 1.94%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.76%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 1.94%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 1.76%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 2.48%", "D) 1.94%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-5d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 1.94%", "B) 2.48%", "C) 1.40%", "D) 1.58%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 1.94%", "B) 2.48%", "C) 1.40%", "D) 1.58%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-10d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.76%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 2.30%", "B) 1.94%", "C) 2.12%", "D) 1.76%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.94%\nC) 2.12%\nD) 1.76%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 2.30%", "B) 1.94%", "C) 2.12%", "D) 1.76%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-20d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.30%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 2.12%", "B) 2.48%", "C) 1.94%", "D) 2.30%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.12%\nB) 2.48%\nC) 1.94%\nD) 2.30%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 2.12%", "B) 2.48%", "C) 1.94%", "D) 2.30%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-40d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.94%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 2.30%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 1.40%", "D) 1.94%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.30%\nB) 1.58%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 1.94%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 2.30%", "B) 1.58%", "C) 1.40%", "D) 1.94%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-60d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 2.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 1.94%", "B) 2.30%", "C) 1.40%", "D) 2.12%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 1.94%\nB) 2.30%\nC) 1.40%\nD) 2.12%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 1.94%", "B) 2.30%", "C) 1.40%", "D) 2.12%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.94%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220316-120d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 3.02%\nD) 2.59%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 2.81%", "B) 2.38%", "C) 3.02%", "D) 2.59%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.81%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 3.02%\nD) 2.59%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 2.81%", "B) 2.38%", "C) 3.02%", "D) 2.59%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 2.91%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 2.27%", "B) 3.12%", "C) 2.48%", "D) 2.91%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.48%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.27%\nB) 3.12%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 2.91%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 2.27%", "B) 3.12%", "C) 2.48%", "D) 2.91%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.48%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 2.58%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 2.79%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 3.43%", "B) 2.58%", "C) 3.22%", "D) 2.79%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.79%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.43%\nB) 2.58%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 2.79%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 3.43%", "B) 2.58%", "C) 3.22%", "D) 2.79%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.79%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 3.55%\nD) 2.69%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 3.12%", "B) 3.76%", "C) 3.55%", "D) 2.69%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.12%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 3.55%\nD) 2.69%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 3.12%", "B) 3.76%", "C) 3.55%", "D) 2.69%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 3.15%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 2.51%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 2.72%", "B) 3.15%", "C) 3.79%", "D) 2.51%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.15%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 2.72%\nB) 3.15%\nC) 3.79%\nD) 2.51%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 2.72%", "B) 3.15%", "C) 3.79%", "D) 2.51%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.15%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.28%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 3.49%\nD) 4.13%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 3.28%", "B) 2.85%", "C) 3.49%", "D) 4.13%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.49%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-15.)\n\nA) 3.28%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 3.49%\nD) 4.13%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-15", "options": ["A) 3.28%", "B) 2.85%", "C) 3.49%", "D) 4.13%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.49%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220316-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.16%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": ["A) 3.88%", "B) 4.57%", "C) 4.44%", "D) 4.16%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 5 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 4.44%\nD) 4.16%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": ["A) 3.88%", "B) 4.57%", "C) 4.44%", "D) 4.16%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-5d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 4.30%\nC) 4.02%\nD) 3.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": ["A) 4.16%", "B) 4.30%", "C) 4.02%", "D) 3.75%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 10 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 4.30%\nC) 4.02%\nD) 3.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": ["A) 4.16%", "B) 4.30%", "C) 4.02%", "D) 3.75%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-10d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 4.16%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 4.02%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": ["A) 4.30%", "B) 4.16%", "C) 3.75%", "D) 4.02%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 20 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 4.16%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 4.02%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": ["A) 4.30%", "B) 4.16%", "C) 3.75%", "D) 4.02%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-20d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 4.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": ["A) 4.57%", "B) 3.75%", "C) 4.16%", "D) 4.44%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.57%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 4.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": ["A) 4.57%", "B) 3.75%", "C) 4.16%", "D) 4.44%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-40d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 4.16%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": ["A) 4.30%", "B) 4.44%", "C) 3.88%", "D) 4.16%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.30%\nB) 4.44%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 4.16%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": ["A) 4.30%", "B) 4.44%", "C) 3.88%", "D) 4.16%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-60d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 4.02%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": ["A) 4.16%", "B) 3.88%", "C) 4.30%", "D) 4.02%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Fed begins hiking cycle\" on 2022-03-16, what will be the minimum value of the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2022-03-16? (Use only information available on or before 2022-03-10.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 4.02%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-03-16", "info_cutoff": "2022-03-10", "options": ["A) 4.16%", "B) 3.88%", "C) 4.30%", "D) 4.02%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Fed begins hiking cycle", "event_date": "2022-03-16", "pair_id": "PAIR-MORTGAGE30US-20220316-120d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,803.56\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 10,330.43\nD) 9,635.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 13,803.56", "B) 11,719.68", "C) 10,330.43", "D) 9,635.80"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,803.56\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 10,330.43\nD) 9,635.80", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 13,803.56", "B) 11,719.68", "C) 10,330.43", "D) 9,635.80"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 9,635.80\nB) 12,414.31\nC) 11,719.68\nD) 11,025.05", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 9,635.80", "B) 12,414.31", "C) 11,719.68", "D) 11,025.05"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 9,635.80\nB) 12,414.31\nC) 11,719.68\nD) 11,025.05", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 9,635.80", "B) 12,414.31", "C) 11,719.68", "D) 11,025.05"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12,414.31\nB) 9,635.80\nC) 11,025.05\nD) 11,719.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 12,414.31", "B) 9,635.80", "C) 11,025.05", "D) 11,719.68"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12,414.31\nB) 9,635.80\nC) 11,025.05\nD) 11,719.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 12,414.31", "B) 9,635.80", "C) 11,025.05", "D) 11,719.68"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 11,719.68\nB) 10,330.43\nC) 13,108.93\nD) 12,414.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 11,719.68", "B) 10,330.43", "C) 13,108.93", "D) 12,414.31"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 11,719.68\nB) 10,330.43\nC) 13,108.93\nD) 12,414.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 11,719.68", "B) 10,330.43", "C) 13,108.93", "D) 12,414.31"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,108.93\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 12,414.31\nD) 13,803.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 13,108.93", "B) 11,719.68", "C) 12,414.31", "D) 13,803.56"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 13,108.93\nB) 11,719.68\nC) 12,414.31\nD) 13,803.56", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 13,108.93", "B) 11,719.68", "C) 12,414.31", "D) 13,803.56"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11,719.68", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 14,284.70\nB) 10,116.94\nC) 12,200.82\nD) 11,506.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 14,284.70", "B) 10,116.94", "C) 12,200.82", "D) 11,506.19"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12,200.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 14,284.70\nB) 10,116.94\nC) 12,200.82\nD) 11,506.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 14,284.70", "B) 10,116.94", "C) 12,200.82", "D) 11,506.19"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12,200.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20220913-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,668.88\nB) 3,294.77\nC) 3,481.82\nD) 3,855.93", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3,668.88", "B) 3,294.77", "C) 3,481.82", "D) 3,855.93"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,855.93", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-5d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,668.88\nB) 3,294.77\nC) 3,481.82\nD) 3,855.93", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3,668.88", "B) 3,294.77", "C) 3,481.82", "D) 3,855.93"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,855.93", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-5d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,647.29\nB) 3,834.34\nC) 4,208.45\nD) 3,086.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3,647.29", "B) 3,834.34", "C) 4,208.45", "D) 3,086.13"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,647.29", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-10d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,647.29\nB) 3,834.34\nC) 4,208.45\nD) 3,086.13", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3,647.29", "B) 3,834.34", "C) 4,208.45", "D) 3,086.13"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,647.29", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-10d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,211.51\nB) 3,585.62\nC) 3,024.46\nD) 4,146.78", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3,211.51", "B) 3,585.62", "C) 3,024.46", "D) 4,146.78"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,585.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-20d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,211.51\nB) 3,585.62\nC) 3,024.46\nD) 4,146.78", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3,211.51", "B) 3,585.62", "C) 3,024.46", "D) 4,146.78"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3,585.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-20d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,015.87\nB) 4,138.19\nC) 3,577.03\nD) 3,764.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3,015.87", "B) 4,138.19", "C) 3,577.03", "D) 3,764.08"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,577.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-40d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,015.87\nB) 4,138.19\nC) 3,577.03\nD) 3,764.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3,015.87", "B) 4,138.19", "C) 3,577.03", "D) 3,764.08"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3,577.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-40d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,202.92\nB) 3,389.98\nC) 3,764.08\nD) 3,577.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3,202.92", "B) 3,389.98", "C) 3,764.08", "D) 3,577.03"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,577.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-60d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,202.92\nB) 3,389.98\nC) 3,764.08\nD) 3,577.03", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3,202.92", "B) 3,389.98", "C) 3,764.08", "D) 3,577.03"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3,577.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-60d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20220913-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,577.03\nB) 3,764.08\nC) 3,202.92\nD) 3,951.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3,577.03", "B) 3,764.08", "C) 3,202.92", "D) 3,951.14"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,577.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-120d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20220913-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3,577.03\nB) 3,764.08\nC) 3,202.92\nD) 3,951.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3,577.03", "B) 3,764.08", "C) 3,202.92", "D) 3,951.14"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3,577.03", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20220913-120d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.57%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 4.66%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.21%", "B) 3.57%", "C) 2.48%", "D) 4.66%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.57%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 3.57%\nC) 2.48%\nD) 4.66%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.21%", "B) 3.57%", "C) 2.48%", "D) 4.66%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.57%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 2.88%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 4.70%", "B) 3.61%", "C) 3.97%", "D) 2.88%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.70%\nB) 3.61%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 2.88%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 4.70%", "B) 3.61%", "C) 3.97%", "D) 2.88%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 3.97%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 5.06%", "B) 3.24%", "C) 3.61%", "D) 3.97%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 5.06%\nB) 3.24%\nC) 3.61%\nD) 3.97%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 5.06%", "B) 3.24%", "C) 3.61%", "D) 3.97%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 5.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 4.25%", "B) 4.61%", "C) 4.98%", "D) 5.34%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 4.61%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 5.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 4.25%", "B) 4.61%", "C) 4.98%", "D) 5.34%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 3.89%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.52%", "B) 4.25%", "C) 4.98%", "D) 3.89%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.52%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 3.89%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.52%", "B) 4.25%", "C) 4.98%", "D) 3.89%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220913-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.89%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 3.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.89%", "B) 4.98%", "C) 4.25%", "D) 3.52%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220913-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.89%\nB) 4.98%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 3.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.89%", "B) 4.98%", "C) 4.25%", "D) 3.52%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220913-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 3.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 2.06%", "B) 4.93%", "C) 3.21%", "D) 3.78%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-5d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.06%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 3.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 2.06%", "B) 4.93%", "C) 3.21%", "D) 3.78%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-5d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 5.50%\nD) 3.21%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.78%", "B) 4.93%", "C) 5.50%", "D) 3.21%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-10d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 5.50%\nD) 3.21%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.78%", "B) 4.93%", "C) 5.50%", "D) 3.21%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-10d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 3.78%\nC) 5.50%\nD) 2.06%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 4.35%", "B) 3.78%", "C) 5.50%", "D) 2.06%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-20d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 4.35%\nB) 3.78%\nC) 5.50%\nD) 2.06%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 4.35%", "B) 3.78%", "C) 5.50%", "D) 2.06%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-20d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 2.63%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.21%", "B) 2.06%", "C) 3.78%", "D) 2.63%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-40d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.21%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.78%\nD) 2.63%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.21%", "B) 2.06%", "C) 3.78%", "D) 2.63%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-40d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.63%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 3.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 2.63%", "B) 2.06%", "C) 3.21%", "D) 3.78%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-60d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 2.63%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 3.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 2.63%", "B) 2.06%", "C) 3.21%", "D) 3.78%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-60d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20220913-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 5.50%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.78%", "B) 2.63%", "C) 3.21%", "D) 5.50%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-120d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20220913-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.63%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 5.50%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 3.78%", "B) 2.63%", "C) 3.21%", "D) 5.50%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.78%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20220913-120d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.73\nB) 25.76\nC) 18.30\nD) 20.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 30.73", "B) 25.76", "C) 18.30", "D) 20.79"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 30.73\nB) 25.76\nC) 18.30\nD) 20.79", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 30.73", "B) 25.76", "C) 18.30", "D) 20.79"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-5d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 28.25\nB) 18.30\nC) 25.76\nD) 33.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 28.25", "B) 18.30", "C) 25.76", "D) 33.22"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 28.25\nB) 18.30\nC) 25.76\nD) 33.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 28.25", "B) 18.30", "C) 25.76", "D) 33.22"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-10d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 23.27\nB) 30.73\nC) 33.22\nD) 25.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 23.27", "B) 30.73", "C) 33.22", "D) 25.76"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 23.27\nB) 30.73\nC) 33.22\nD) 25.76", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 23.27", "B) 30.73", "C) 33.22", "D) 25.76"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "25.76", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-20d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.35\nB) 31.81\nC) 26.84\nD) 19.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 24.35", "B) 31.81", "C) 26.84", "D) 19.38"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 24.35\nB) 31.81\nC) 26.84\nD) 19.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 24.35", "B) 31.81", "C) 26.84", "D) 19.38"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-40d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 16.57\nB) 19.06\nC) 14.09\nD) 26.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 16.57", "B) 19.06", "C) 14.09", "D) 26.52"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 16.57\nB) 19.06\nC) 14.09\nD) 26.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 16.57", "B) 19.06", "C) 14.09", "D) 26.52"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-60d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12.90\nB) 25.33\nC) 17.87\nD) 15.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 12.90", "B) 25.33", "C) 17.87", "D) 15.38"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Hot August CPI shock\" on 2022-09-13, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-13? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-12.)\n\nA) 12.90\nB) 25.33\nC) 17.87\nD) 15.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-13", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-12", "options": ["A) 12.90", "B) 25.33", "C) 17.87", "D) 15.38"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Hot August CPI shock", "event_date": "2022-09-13", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220913-120d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 3.60%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 3.97%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 5.09%", "B) 3.60%", "C) 4.34%", "D) 3.97%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.09%\nB) 3.60%\nC) 4.34%\nD) 3.97%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 5.09%", "B) 3.60%", "C) 4.34%", "D) 3.97%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 4.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 3.97%", "B) 4.72%", "C) 3.22%", "D) 4.34%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.97%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 3.22%\nD) 4.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 3.97%", "B) 4.72%", "C) 3.22%", "D) 4.34%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 3.50%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 3.88%", "B) 4.25%", "C) 5.00%", "D) 3.50%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.88%\nB) 4.25%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 3.50%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 3.88%", "B) 4.25%", "C) 5.00%", "D) 3.50%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.37%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 4.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 5.37%", "B) 5.00%", "C) 4.25%", "D) 4.62%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 5.37%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 4.25%\nD) 4.62%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 5.37%", "B) 5.00%", "C) 4.25%", "D) 4.62%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 4.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 3.50%", "B) 3.88%", "C) 3.13%", "D) 4.25%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 3.88%\nC) 3.13%\nD) 4.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 3.50%", "B) 3.88%", "C) 3.13%", "D) 4.25%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 3.50%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 4.25%", "B) 5.37%", "C) 3.88%", "D) 3.50%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 4.25%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 3.88%\nD) 3.50%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 4.25%", "B) 5.37%", "C) 3.88%", "D) 3.50%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.25%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20220923-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 30.11\nB) 32.60\nC) 35.09\nD) 25.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 30.11", "B) 32.60", "C) 35.09", "D) 25.14"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "32.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 30.11\nB) 32.60\nC) 35.09\nD) 25.14", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 30.11", "B) 32.60", "C) 35.09", "D) 25.14"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "32.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 37.57\nB) 25.14\nC) 32.60\nD) 30.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 37.57", "B) 25.14", "C) 32.60", "D) 30.11"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "32.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 37.57\nB) 25.14\nC) 32.60\nD) 30.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 37.57", "B) 25.14", "C) 32.60", "D) 30.11"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "32.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 31.14\nC) 36.12\nD) 33.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 28.66", "B) 31.14", "C) 36.12", "D) 33.63"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 31.14\nC) 36.12\nD) 33.63", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 28.66", "B) 31.14", "C) 36.12", "D) 33.63"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 38.60\nC) 28.66\nD) 41.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 33.63", "B) 38.60", "C) 28.66", "D) 41.09"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 33.63\nB) 38.60\nC) 28.66\nD) 41.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 33.63", "B) 38.60", "C) 28.66", "D) 41.09"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 33.63\nC) 36.12\nD) 26.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 28.66", "B) 33.63", "C) 36.12", "D) 26.17"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 28.66\nB) 33.63\nC) 36.12\nD) 26.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 28.66", "B) 33.63", "C) 36.12", "D) 26.17"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 36.12\nB) 41.09\nC) 33.63\nD) 28.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 36.12", "B) 41.09", "C) 33.63", "D) 28.66"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 36.12\nB) 41.09\nC) 33.63\nD) 28.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 36.12", "B) 41.09", "C) 33.63", "D) 28.66"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "33.63", "unit": "index", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20220923-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.8608\nB) 0.7936\nC) 1.0288\nD) 0.9616", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 0.8608", "B) 0.7936", "C) 1.0288", "D) 0.9616"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.9616", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.8608\nB) 0.7936\nC) 1.0288\nD) 0.9616", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 0.8608", "B) 0.7936", "C) 1.0288", "D) 0.9616"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.9616", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-5d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9616\nB) 0.8608\nC) 1.0960\nD) 1.0288", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 0.9616", "B) 0.8608", "C) 1.0960", "D) 1.0288"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.9616", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9616\nB) 0.8608\nC) 1.0960\nD) 1.0288", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 0.9616", "B) 0.8608", "C) 1.0960", "D) 1.0288"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.9616", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-10d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.7936\nB) 0.9616\nC) 1.0624\nD) 0.8608", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 0.7936", "B) 0.9616", "C) 1.0624", "D) 0.8608"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.9616", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.7936\nB) 0.9616\nC) 1.0624\nD) 0.8608", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 0.7936", "B) 0.9616", "C) 1.0624", "D) 0.8608"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.9616", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-20d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.0288\nB) 0.8608\nC) 0.9616\nD) 0.7936", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 1.0288", "B) 0.8608", "C) 0.9616", "D) 0.7936"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.9616", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.0288\nB) 0.8608\nC) 0.9616\nD) 0.7936", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 1.0288", "B) 0.8608", "C) 0.9616", "D) 0.7936"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.9616", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-40d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.1296\nB) 1.0624\nC) 0.8608\nD) 0.9616", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 1.1296", "B) 1.0624", "C) 0.8608", "D) 0.9616"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.9616", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 1.1296\nB) 1.0624\nC) 0.8608\nD) 0.9616", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 1.1296", "B) 1.0624", "C) 0.8608", "D) 0.9616"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.9616", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-60d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9616\nB) 1.0288\nC) 1.0960\nD) 0.8608", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 0.9616", "B) 1.0288", "C) 1.0960", "D) 0.8608"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.9616", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"UK gilt / LDI crisis\" on 2022-09-23, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2022-09-23? (Use only information available on or before 2022-09-22.)\n\nA) 0.9616\nB) 1.0288\nC) 1.0960\nD) 0.8608", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-09-23", "info_cutoff": "2022-09-22", "options": ["A) 0.9616", "B) 1.0288", "C) 1.0960", "D) 0.8608"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.9616", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "UK gilt / LDI crisis", "event_date": "2022-09-23", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20220923-120d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,638.54\nB) 11,358.41\nC) 13,518.01\nD) 9,198.81", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 10,638.54", "B) 11,358.41", "C) 13,518.01", "D) 9,198.81"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11,358.41", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,638.54\nB) 11,358.41\nC) 13,518.01\nD) 9,198.81", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 10,638.54", "B) 11,358.41", "C) 13,518.01", "D) 9,198.81"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11,358.41", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-5d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,518.01\nB) 9,198.81\nC) 11,358.41\nD) 9,918.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 13,518.01", "B) 9,198.81", "C) 11,358.41", "D) 9,918.68"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11,358.41", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,518.01\nB) 9,198.81\nC) 11,358.41\nD) 9,918.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 13,518.01", "B) 9,198.81", "C) 11,358.41", "D) 9,918.68"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11,358.41", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-10d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,642.05\nB) 12,202.32\nC) 12,922.18\nD) 11,482.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 13,642.05", "B) 12,202.32", "C) 12,922.18", "D) 11,482.45"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11,482.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 13,642.05\nB) 12,202.32\nC) 12,922.18\nD) 11,482.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 13,642.05", "B) 12,202.32", "C) 12,922.18", "D) 11,482.45"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "11,482.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-20d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 11,482.45\nB) 12,202.32\nC) 13,642.05\nD) 10,042.72", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 11,482.45", "B) 12,202.32", "C) 13,642.05", "D) 10,042.72"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11,482.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 11,482.45\nB) 12,202.32\nC) 13,642.05\nD) 10,042.72", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 11,482.45", "B) 12,202.32", "C) 13,642.05", "D) 10,042.72"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "11,482.45", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-40d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 12,920.69\nB) 12,200.82\nC) 14,360.42\nD) 10,761.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 12,920.69", "B) 12,200.82", "C) 14,360.42", "D) 10,761.09"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12,200.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 12,920.69\nB) 12,200.82\nC) 14,360.42\nD) 10,761.09", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 12,920.69", "B) 12,200.82", "C) 14,360.42", "D) 10,761.09"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12,200.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-60d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,786.85\nB) 12,946.45\nC) 12,226.58\nD) 13,666.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 10,786.85", "B) 12,946.45", "C) 12,226.58", "D) 13,666.31"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12,226.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10,786.85\nB) 12,946.45\nC) 12,226.58\nD) 13,666.31", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 10,786.85", "B) 12,946.45", "C) 12,226.58", "D) 13,666.31"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12,226.58", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20221108-120d-max", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 17.59\nB) 20.05\nC) 15.12\nD) 22.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 17.59", "B) 20.05", "C) 15.12", "D) 22.52"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 17.59\nB) 20.05\nC) 15.12\nD) 22.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 17.59", "B) 20.05", "C) 15.12", "D) 22.52"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-5d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 21.29\nB) 13.89\nC) 23.76\nD) 28.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 21.29", "B) 13.89", "C) 23.76", "D) 28.69"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.29", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 21.29\nB) 13.89\nC) 23.76\nD) 28.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 21.29", "B) 13.89", "C) 23.76", "D) 28.69"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.29", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-10d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.13\nB) 19.06\nC) 23.99\nD) 11.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 14.13", "B) 19.06", "C) 23.99", "D) 11.66"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 14.13\nB) 19.06\nC) 23.99\nD) 11.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 14.13", "B) 19.06", "C) 23.99", "D) 11.66"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-20d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.59\nB) 11.66\nC) 19.06\nD) 26.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 16.59", "B) 11.66", "C) 19.06", "D) 26.46"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 16.59\nB) 11.66\nC) 19.06\nD) 26.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 16.59", "B) 11.66", "C) 19.06", "D) 26.46"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "19.06", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-40d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10.47\nB) 12.94\nC) 20.34\nD) 17.87", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 10.47", "B) 12.94", "C) 20.34", "D) 17.87"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 10.47\nB) 12.94\nC) 20.34\nD) 17.87", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 10.47", "B) 12.94", "C) 20.34", "D) 17.87"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17.87", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-60d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 15.78\nB) 13.31\nC) 18.25\nD) 23.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 15.78", "B) 13.31", "C) 18.25", "D) 23.18"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15.78", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"FTX collapse\" on 2022-11-08, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2022-11-08? (Use only information available on or before 2022-11-07.)\n\nA) 15.78\nB) 13.31\nC) 18.25\nD) 23.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2022-11-08", "info_cutoff": "2022-11-07", "options": ["A) 15.78", "B) 13.31", "C) 18.25", "D) 23.18"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15.78", "unit": "index", "event_label": "FTX collapse", "event_date": "2022-11-08", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20221108-120d-min", "year": 2022} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 97.26\nB) 101.02\nC) 104.78\nD) 91.62", "options": ["A) 97.26", "B) 101.02", "C) 104.78", "D) 91.62"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "101.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.93%\nB) 2.24%\nC) 4.92%\nD) 3.58%", "options": ["A) 8.93%", "B) 2.24%", "C) 4.92%", "D) 3.58%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $-79,285M\nB) $-66,138M\nC) $-52,992M\nD) $-59,565M", "options": ["A) $-79,285M", "B) $-66,138M", "C) $-52,992M", "D) $-59,565M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$-59,565M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 62.70%\nB) 65.84%\nC) 60.82%\nD) 64.58%", "options": ["A) 62.70%", "B) 65.84%", "C) 60.82%", "D) 64.58%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.42%\nB) -3.13%\nC) 1.14%\nD) -11.68%", "options": ["A) 5.42%", "B) -3.13%", "C) 1.14%", "D) -11.68%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-3.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 160,114K\nB) 147,664K\nC) 155,134K\nD) 167,583K", "options": ["A) 160,114K", "B) 147,664K", "C) 155,134K", "D) 167,583K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "155,134K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) -70.65%\nB) 19.44%\nC) -10.59%\nD) -40.62%", "options": ["A) -70.65%", "B) 19.44%", "C) -10.59%", "D) -40.62%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-40.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +9.20pp\nB) +3.04pp\nC) +15.36pp\nD) -3.13pp", "options": ["A) +9.20pp", "B) +3.04pp", "C) +15.36pp", "D) -3.13pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+9.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.3808\nB) 7.1300\nC) 7.7569\nD) 6.8792", "options": ["A) 7.3808", "B) 7.1300", "C) 7.7569", "D) 6.8792"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.1300", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 111.85\nB) 118.23\nC) 121.42\nD) 124.61", "options": ["A) 111.85", "B) 118.23", "C) 121.42", "D) 124.61"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "121.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 14.27%\nB) -6.16%\nC) 0.65%\nD) 4.05%", "options": ["A) 14.27%", "B) -6.16%", "C) 0.65%", "D) 4.05%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 60.40%\nB) 57.35%\nC) 62.43%\nD) 64.47%", "options": ["A) 60.40%", "B) 57.35%", "C) 62.43%", "D) 64.47%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "60.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -8.89pp\nB) +2.60pp\nC) -3.15pp\nD) -14.64pp", "options": ["A) -8.89pp", "B) +2.60pp", "C) -3.15pp", "D) -14.64pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+2.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.18%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 3.45%\nD) 4.54%", "options": ["A) 0.18%", "B) 2.36%", "C) 3.45%", "D) 4.54%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.45%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.96%\nB) 6.12%\nC) 6.91%\nD) 5.33%", "options": ["A) 2.96%", "B) 6.12%", "C) 6.91%", "D) 5.33%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.94%\nB) 3.67%\nC) -26.76%\nD) -11.55%", "options": ["A) -3.94%", "B) 3.67%", "C) -26.76%", "D) -11.55%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.94%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) 8,545,204\nB) 1,753,000\nC) 4,017,068\nD) 6,281,136", "options": ["A) 8,545,204", "B) 1,753,000", "C) 4,017,068", "D) 6,281,136"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,753,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 27.60%\nB) 39.96%\nC) 2.88%\nD) -21.83%", "options": ["A) 27.60%", "B) 39.96%", "C) 2.88%", "D) -21.83%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.88%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.95pp\nB) -7.93pp\nC) +5.39pp\nD) -1.27pp", "options": ["A) +0.95pp", "B) -7.93pp", "C) +5.39pp", "D) -1.27pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.27pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.27%\nB) -8.44%\nC) 7.90%\nD) -2.99%", "options": ["A) -0.27%", "B) -8.44%", "C) 7.90%", "D) -2.99%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 34.91%\nB) 13.32%\nC) -8.27%\nD) 27.71%", "options": ["A) 34.91%", "B) 13.32%", "C) -8.27%", "D) 27.71%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "13.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 28,446.44\nB) 38,382.47\nC) 34,408.06\nD) 40,369.68", "options": ["A) 28,446.44", "B) 38,382.47", "C) 34,408.06", "D) 40,369.68"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "34,408.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 22.65%\nB) -8.06%\nC) -14.20%\nD) 4.22%", "options": ["A) 22.65%", "B) -8.06%", "C) -14.20%", "D) 4.22%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) -2.54pp\nC) +3.14pp\nD) -3.97pp", "options": ["A) +0.30pp", "B) -2.54pp", "C) +3.14pp", "D) -3.97pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,342K\nB) 1,537K\nC) 1,634K\nD) 1,829K", "options": ["A) 1,342K", "B) 1,537K", "C) 1,634K", "D) 1,829K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,537K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.75pp\nB) +3.31pp\nC) -1.22pp\nD) +5.58pp", "options": ["A) -5.75pp", "B) +3.31pp", "C) -1.22pp", "D) +5.58pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.22pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) -9.01%\nB) 2.43%\nC) -6.72%\nD) -2.15%", "options": ["A) -9.01%", "B) 2.43%", "C) -6.72%", "D) -2.15%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $289,270M\nB) $315,437M\nC) $276,187M\nD) $263,103M", "options": ["A) $289,270M", "B) $315,437M", "C) $276,187M", "D) $263,103M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$289,270M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -45.32%\nB) -19.57%\nC) 6.19%\nD) -10.98%", "options": ["A) -45.32%", "B) -19.57%", "C) 6.19%", "D) -10.98%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-19.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 243.24\nB) 298.54\nC) 257.06\nD) 270.89", "options": ["A) 243.24", "B) 298.54", "C) 257.06", "D) 270.89"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "257.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.34%\nB) 7.70%\nC) 1.16%\nD) 4.43%", "options": ["A) 3.34%", "B) 7.70%", "C) 1.16%", "D) 4.43%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 301.82\nB) 325.78\nC) 285.85\nD) 309.81", "options": ["A) 301.82", "B) 325.78", "C) 285.85", "D) 309.81"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "301.82", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 57.36%\nB) 60.40%\nC) 55.33%\nD) 63.44%", "options": ["A) 57.36%", "B) 60.40%", "C) 55.33%", "D) 63.44%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "60.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 18.02%\nB) -9.70%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 13.40%", "options": ["A) 18.02%", "B) -9.70%", "C) 4.16%", "D) 13.40%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 8.17%\nB) 11.04%\nC) 13.91%\nD) 5.30%", "options": ["A) 8.17%", "B) 11.04%", "C) 13.91%", "D) 5.30%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 5.24%\nC) 3.48%\nD) 4.06%", "options": ["A) 4.65%", "B) 5.24%", "C) 3.48%", "D) 4.06%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.65%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 108.28\nB) 101.02\nC) 95.57\nD) 104.65", "options": ["A) 108.28", "B) 101.02", "C) 95.57", "D) 104.65"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "101.02", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,274K\nB) 1,788K\nC) 1,480K\nD) 1,172K", "options": ["A) 1,274K", "B) 1,788K", "C) 1,480K", "D) 1,172K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,480K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.27%\nB) 6.08%\nC) 4.89%\nD) 3.70%", "options": ["A) 7.27%", "B) 6.08%", "C) 4.89%", "D) 3.70%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.86%\nB) 7.97%\nC) 0.09%\nD) 4.03%", "options": ["A) -3.86%", "B) 7.97%", "C) 0.09%", "D) 4.03%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,475K\nB) 1,377K\nC) 1,084K\nD) 1,573K", "options": ["A) 1,475K", "B) 1,377K", "C) 1,084K", "D) 1,573K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,377K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) -0.77%\nC) 5.87%\nD) 9.18%", "options": ["A) 2.55%", "B) -0.77%", "C) 5.87%", "D) 9.18%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.87%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.99%\nB) -2.29%\nC) 10.27%\nD) 0.85%", "options": ["A) 3.99%", "B) -2.29%", "C) 10.27%", "D) 0.85%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.16%\nB) 6.72%\nC) -6.97%\nD) -2.41%", "options": ["A) 2.16%", "B) 6.72%", "C) -6.97%", "D) -2.41%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 128.03\nB) 142.74\nC) 132.93\nD) 152.56", "options": ["A) 128.03", "B) 142.74", "C) 132.93", "D) 152.56"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "142.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) -1.76pp\nB) -0.61pp\nC) -0.90pp\nD) -1.47pp", "options": ["A) -1.76pp", "B) -0.61pp", "C) -0.90pp", "D) -1.47pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.90pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.86%\nB) 7.04%\nC) 4.68%\nD) 3.50%", "options": ["A) 5.86%", "B) 7.04%", "C) 4.68%", "D) 3.50%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.37%\nB) 7.96%\nC) -8.69%\nD) 5.19%", "options": ["A) -0.37%", "B) 7.96%", "C) -8.69%", "D) 5.19%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.26%\nB) 0.90%\nC) -0.29%\nD) -2.66%", "options": ["A) 3.26%", "B) 0.90%", "C) -0.29%", "D) -2.66%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "0.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 81.89%\nB) 84.92%\nC) 77.34%\nD) 72.79%", "options": ["A) 81.89%", "B) 84.92%", "C) 77.34%", "D) 72.79%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "77.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.82%\nB) -6.63%\nC) 23.93%\nD) 5.59%", "options": ["A) 17.82%", "B) -6.63%", "C) 23.93%", "D) 5.59%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.59%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 14.50\nB) 10.38\nC) 6.26\nD) 18.62", "options": ["A) 14.50", "B) 10.38", "C) 6.26", "D) 18.62"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.50", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) $80.87/bbl\nB) $70.61/bbl\nC) $101.39/bbl\nD) $50.09/bbl", "options": ["A) $80.87/bbl", "B) $70.61/bbl", "C) $101.39/bbl", "D) $50.09/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$70.61/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.25%\nB) -7.28%\nC) -3.01%\nD) -11.55%", "options": ["A) 1.25%", "B) -7.28%", "C) -3.01%", "D) -11.55%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.01%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.46%\nB) 5.02%\nC) 4.63%\nD) 3.85%", "options": ["A) 3.46%", "B) 5.02%", "C) 4.63%", "D) 3.85%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $689,403M\nB) $651,907M\nC) $801,891M\nD) $764,395M", "options": ["A) $689,403M", "B) $651,907M", "C) $801,891M", "D) $764,395M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$689,403M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.20%\nB) 3.72%\nC) 4.71%\nD) 2.73%", "options": ["A) 5.20%", "B) 3.72%", "C) 4.71%", "D) 2.73%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 6.13%\nB) 7.62%\nC) 5.39%\nD) 6.88%", "options": ["A) 6.13%", "B) 7.62%", "C) 5.39%", "D) 6.88%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 286.08\nB) 294.23\nC) 302.39\nD) 310.54", "options": ["A) 286.08", "B) 294.23", "C) 302.39", "D) 310.54"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "310.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,748B\nB) $16,493B\nC) $23,584B\nD) $22,166B", "options": ["A) $20,748B", "B) $16,493B", "C) $23,584B", "D) $22,166B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$20,748B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.1775\nB) 1.0933\nC) 1.2336\nD) 1.0091", "options": ["A) 1.1775", "B) 1.0933", "C) 1.2336", "D) 1.0091"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0933", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 288.67\nB) 297.97\nC) 307.28\nD) 316.58", "options": ["A) 288.67", "B) 297.97", "C) 307.28", "D) 316.58"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "307.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -16.98%\nB) 1.26%\nC) 19.50%\nD) -7.86%", "options": ["A) -16.98%", "B) 1.26%", "C) 19.50%", "D) -7.86%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-7.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.78%\nB) 2.36%\nC) 3.97%\nD) 5.59%", "options": ["A) 4.78%", "B) 2.36%", "C) 3.97%", "D) 5.59%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.78%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.63%\nB) 1.85%\nC) 4.24%\nD) -0.55%", "options": ["A) 6.63%", "B) 1.85%", "C) 4.24%", "D) -0.55%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $16,362B\nB) $24,003B\nC) $20,947B\nD) $19,419B", "options": ["A) $16,362B", "B) $24,003B", "C) $20,947B", "D) $19,419B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$20,947B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 17,750.52\nB) 11,137.68\nC) 15,105.39\nD) 13,782.82", "options": ["A) 17,750.52", "B) 11,137.68", "C) 15,105.39", "D) 13,782.82"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13,782.82", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.81%\nB) -2.04%\nC) -0.12%\nD) 5.67%", "options": ["A) 1.81%", "B) -2.04%", "C) -0.12%", "D) 5.67%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $17,270B\nB) $19,048B\nC) $16,381B\nD) $19,937B", "options": ["A) $17,270B", "B) $19,048B", "C) $16,381B", "D) $19,937B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$19,048B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.36%\nB) 4.03%\nC) 4.70%\nD) 5.37%", "options": ["A) 3.36%", "B) 4.03%", "C) 4.70%", "D) 5.37%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.55pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) -1.15pp\nD) +0.20pp", "options": ["A) +1.55pp", "B) -0.70pp", "C) -1.15pp", "D) +0.20pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -20.77%\nB) 0.10%\nC) -41.64%\nD) -13.81%", "options": ["A) -20.77%", "B) 0.10%", "C) -41.64%", "D) -13.81%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-20.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 16.47%\nB) 10.73%\nC) 19.35%\nD) 7.86%", "options": ["A) 16.47%", "B) 10.73%", "C) 19.35%", "D) 7.86%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "10.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,466K\nB) 1,276K\nC) 1,371K\nD) 1,561K", "options": ["A) 1,466K", "B) 1,276K", "C) 1,371K", "D) 1,561K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,371K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 134.6023\nB) 122.8270\nC) 152.2654\nD) 140.4900", "options": ["A) 134.6023", "B) 122.8270", "C) 152.2654", "D) 140.4900"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "140.4900", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.69%\nB) 7.31%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 7.93%", "options": ["A) 6.69%", "B) 7.31%", "C) 4.83%", "D) 7.93%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 291.37\nB) 305.15\nC) 325.82\nD) 284.48", "options": ["A) 291.37", "B) 305.15", "C) 325.82", "D) 284.48"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "305.15", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 26.76%\nB) 10.21%\nC) 18.48%\nD) 43.31%", "options": ["A) 26.76%", "B) 10.21%", "C) 18.48%", "D) 43.31%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.88pp\nB) +5.24pp\nC) +3.56pp\nD) +0.20pp", "options": ["A) +1.88pp", "B) +5.24pp", "C) +3.56pp", "D) +0.20pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 140.74\nB) 154.04\nC) 145.17\nD) 149.61", "options": ["A) 140.74", "B) 154.04", "C) 145.17", "D) 149.61"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "140.74", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $27.23/hr\nB) $29.18/hr\nC) $32.10/hr\nD) $31.13/hr", "options": ["A) $27.23/hr", "B) $29.18/hr", "C) $32.10/hr", "D) $31.13/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$29.18/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.24pp\nB) +1.48pp\nC) -0.20pp\nD) +3.16pp", "options": ["A) -5.24pp", "B) +1.48pp", "C) -0.20pp", "D) +3.16pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) $18,864B\nB) $16,478B\nC) $15,683B\nD) $17,273B", "options": ["A) $18,864B", "B) $16,478B", "C) $15,683B", "D) $17,273B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$17,273B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $-58,587M\nB) $-72,497M\nC) $-44,677M\nD) $-79,452M", "options": ["A) $-58,587M", "B) $-72,497M", "C) $-44,677M", "D) $-79,452M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$-58,587M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $5,572M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $5,572M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$5,572M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.79%\nB) 8.24%\nC) 5.57%\nD) 2.89%", "options": ["A) 3.79%", "B) 8.24%", "C) 5.57%", "D) 2.89%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +4.57pp\nB) -3.97pp\nC) -1.12pp\nD) +0.30pp", "options": ["A) +4.57pp", "B) -3.97pp", "C) -1.12pp", "D) +0.30pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $298,229M\nB) $313,067M\nC) $283,391M\nD) $327,905M", "options": ["A) $298,229M", "B) $313,067M", "C) $283,391M", "D) $327,905M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$298,229M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.29%\nB) 4.13%\nC) 3.21%\nD) 5.96%", "options": ["A) 2.29%", "B) 4.13%", "C) 3.21%", "D) 5.96%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 82.49%\nB) 76.24%\nC) 77.80%\nD) 74.68%", "options": ["A) 82.49%", "B) 76.24%", "C) 77.80%", "D) 74.68%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "77.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 9.70%\nB) 0.79%\nC) 5.25%\nD) -3.66%", "options": ["A) 9.70%", "B) 0.79%", "C) 5.25%", "D) -3.66%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-3.66%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -9.17%\nB) 15.46%\nC) 27.78%\nD) -21.49%", "options": ["A) -9.17%", "B) 15.46%", "C) 27.78%", "D) -21.49%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-9.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 15.11%\nB) 27.28%\nC) 2.94%\nD) 63.80%", "options": ["A) 15.11%", "B) 27.28%", "C) 2.94%", "D) 63.80%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "27.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 45.07\nB) 82.95\nC) 67.80\nD) 60.22", "options": ["A) 45.07", "B) 82.95", "C) 67.80", "D) 60.22"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "67.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.09%\nB) 5.87%\nC) 11.83%\nD) 8.85%", "options": ["A) -0.09%", "B) 5.87%", "C) 11.83%", "D) 8.85%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "8.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $73,852M\nB) $79,051M\nC) $71,252M\nD) $66,053M", "options": ["A) $73,852M", "B) $79,051M", "C) $71,252M", "D) $66,053M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$73,852M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $17,744B\nB) $18,520B\nC) $19,297B\nD) $20,074B", "options": ["A) $17,744B", "B) $18,520B", "C) $19,297B", "D) $20,074B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$18,520B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 150,892K\nB) 142,604K\nC) 156,417K\nD) 164,705K", "options": ["A) 150,892K", "B) 142,604K", "C) 156,417K", "D) 164,705K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "156,417K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.96pp\nB) +0.04pp\nC) -0.41pp\nD) +0.50pp", "options": ["A) +0.96pp", "B) +0.04pp", "C) -0.41pp", "D) +0.50pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.50pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) $75.75/bbl\nB) $107.75/bbl\nC) $43.75/bbl\nD) $86.42/bbl", "options": ["A) $75.75/bbl", "B) $107.75/bbl", "C) $43.75/bbl", "D) $86.42/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$75.75/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 3.91%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 2.11%", "options": ["A) 3.31%", "B) 3.91%", "C) 2.71%", "D) 2.11%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.91%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.28%\nB) 3.14%\nC) 6.00%\nD) 11.72%", "options": ["A) 0.28%", "B) 3.14%", "C) 6.00%", "D) 11.72%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.00%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $77,259M\nB) $82,709M\nC) $66,359M\nD) $74,534M", "options": ["A) $77,259M", "B) $82,709M", "C) $66,359M", "D) $74,534M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$74,534M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.14%\nB) 8.24%\nC) 12.93%\nD) -15.20%", "options": ["A) -1.14%", "B) 8.24%", "C) 12.93%", "D) -15.20%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.01%\nB) 5.33%\nC) 6.17%\nD) 3.65%", "options": ["A) 7.01%", "B) 5.33%", "C) 6.17%", "D) 3.65%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.02%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 3.69%\nD) 6.19%", "options": ["A) 2.02%", "B) 2.85%", "C) 3.69%", "D) 6.19%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 9.67%\nB) 4.91%\nC) 0.14%\nD) 2.52%", "options": ["A) 9.67%", "B) 4.91%", "C) 0.14%", "D) 2.52%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.52%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $20,439B\nB) $21,963B\nC) $19,677B\nD) $18,915B", "options": ["A) $20,439B", "B) $21,963B", "C) $19,677B", "D) $18,915B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$20,439B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $594,726M\nB) $665,071M\nC) $700,244M\nD) $735,416M", "options": ["A) $594,726M", "B) $665,071M", "C) $700,244M", "D) $735,416M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$665,071M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,170B\nB) $18,544B\nC) $20,983B\nD) $22,609B", "options": ["A) $20,170B", "B) $18,544B", "C) $20,983B", "D) $22,609B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$20,983B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.02%\nB) 7.69%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 3.69%", "options": ["A) 5.02%", "B) 7.69%", "C) 2.35%", "D) 3.69%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.62%\nB) 6.07%\nC) 3.89%\nD) 6.80%", "options": ["A) 4.62%", "B) 6.07%", "C) 3.89%", "D) 6.80%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 77.59\nB) 62.00\nC) 46.41\nD) 69.79", "options": ["A) 77.59", "B) 62.00", "C) 46.41", "D) 69.79"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "62.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 115.92\nB) 113.52\nC) 118.31\nD) 111.12", "options": ["A) 115.92", "B) 113.52", "C) 118.31", "D) 111.12"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "118.31", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.20%\nB) 3.44%\nC) 10.08%\nD) 6.76%", "options": ["A) -3.20%", "B) 3.44%", "C) 10.08%", "D) 6.76%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.35%\nB) 11.84%\nC) 1.71%\nD) -8.41%", "options": ["A) -3.35%", "B) 11.84%", "C) 1.71%", "D) -8.41%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-3.35%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 5,073.89\nB) 4,425.84\nC) 4,101.81\nD) 3,453.76", "options": ["A) 5,073.89", "B) 4,425.84", "C) 4,101.81", "D) 3,453.76"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,425.84", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-06.)\n\nA) 1,393,641\nB) 637,214\nC) 259,000\nD) 1,015,427", "options": ["A) 1,393,641", "B) 637,214", "C) 259,000", "D) 1,015,427"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "259,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 229.67\nB) 288.20\nC) 273.57\nD) 258.93", "options": ["A) 229.67", "B) 288.20", "C) 273.57", "D) 258.93"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "258.93", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 297.41\nB) 334.79\nC) 260.04\nD) 316.10", "options": ["A) 297.41", "B) 334.79", "C) 260.04", "D) 316.10"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "297.41", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) $4,300,000M\nB) $5,567M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $4,300,000M", "B) $5,567M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$5,567M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) $27.66/hr\nB) $25.85/hr\nC) $28.56/hr\nD) $26.75/hr", "options": ["A) $27.66/hr", "B) $25.85/hr", "C) $28.56/hr", "D) $26.75/hr"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$28.56/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 124.97\nB) 116.82\nC) 111.40\nD) 119.54", "options": ["A) 124.97", "B) 116.82", "C) 111.40", "D) 119.54"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "119.54", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 62.60%\nB) 64.48%\nC) 59.47%\nD) 61.35%", "options": ["A) 62.60%", "B) 64.48%", "C) 59.47%", "D) 61.35%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "62.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 352.08\nB) 312.48\nC) 332.28\nD) 272.89", "options": ["A) 352.08", "B) 312.48", "C) 332.28", "D) 272.89"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "312.48", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 128.05\nB) 112.85\nC) 118.55\nD) 122.35", "options": ["A) 128.05", "B) 112.85", "C) 118.55", "D) 122.35"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "118.55", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20230615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2023-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2023-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2023-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2023-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.16%\nB) -70.12%\nC) 48.92%\nD) -40.36%", "options": ["A) 19.16%", "B) -70.12%", "C) 48.92%", "D) -40.36%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-40.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20230301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.70%\nB) -1.08%\nC) 8.37%\nD) -2.97%", "options": ["A) 2.70%", "B) -1.08%", "C) 8.37%", "D) -2.97%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20230901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2023", "info_cutoff": "2023-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2023? (Use only information available on or before 2023-08-01.)\n\nA) 122.91\nB) 120.06\nC) 117.21\nD) 111.50", "options": ["A) 122.91", "B) 120.06", "C) 117.21", "D) 111.50"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "120.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 3.35%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 6.74%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 2.51%", "B) 3.35%", "C) 4.20%", "D) 6.74%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.20%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 3.35%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 6.74%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 2.51%", "B) 3.35%", "C) 4.20%", "D) 6.74%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.20%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 5.89%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 3.35%\nD) 4.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 5.89%", "B) 1.66%", "C) 3.35%", "D) 4.20%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.20%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 5.89%\nB) 1.66%\nC) 3.35%\nD) 4.20%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 5.89%", "B) 1.66%", "C) 3.35%", "D) 4.20%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.20%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 5.05%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 3.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 4.20%", "B) 5.05%", "C) 5.89%", "D) 3.35%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.20%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 5.05%\nC) 5.89%\nD) 3.35%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 4.20%", "B) 5.05%", "C) 5.89%", "D) 3.35%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.20%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 6.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 2.55%", "B) 4.24%", "C) 5.09%", "D) 6.78%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.24%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.55%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 5.09%\nD) 6.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 2.55%", "B) 4.24%", "C) 5.09%", "D) 6.78%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.24%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 3.69%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 2.00%", "B) 2.85%", "C) 4.54%", "D) 3.69%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.00%\nB) 2.85%\nC) 4.54%\nD) 3.69%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 2.00%", "B) 2.85%", "C) 4.54%", "D) 3.69%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230310-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 5.88%\nD) 5.03%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 2.49%", "B) 3.34%", "C) 5.88%", "D) 5.03%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230310-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.49%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 5.88%\nD) 5.03%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 2.49%", "B) 3.34%", "C) 5.88%", "D) 5.03%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.03%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230310-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 3.39%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 3.87%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 3.39%", "B) 4.82%", "C) 2.91%", "D) 3.87%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.39%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-5d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 3.39%\nB) 4.82%\nC) 2.91%\nD) 3.87%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 3.39%", "B) 4.82%", "C) 2.91%", "D) 3.87%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.39%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-5d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 3.86%\nD) 4.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 4.81%", "B) 3.38%", "C) 3.86%", "D) 4.33%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-10d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 3.38%\nC) 3.86%\nD) 4.33%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 4.81%", "B) 3.38%", "C) 3.86%", "D) 4.33%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-10d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 4.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 1.87%", "B) 4.73%", "C) 3.30%", "D) 4.25%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-20d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 4.73%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 4.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 1.87%", "B) 4.73%", "C) 3.30%", "D) 4.25%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-20d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.82%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 1.87%\nD) 3.30%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 2.82%", "B) 2.35%", "C) 1.87%", "D) 3.30%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-40d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 2.82%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 1.87%\nD) 3.30%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 2.82%", "B) 2.35%", "C) 1.87%", "D) 3.30%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-40d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 3.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 3.30%", "B) 2.35%", "C) 4.73%", "D) 3.78%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-60d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.35%\nC) 4.73%\nD) 3.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 3.30%", "B) 2.35%", "C) 4.73%", "D) 3.78%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-60d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230310-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 4.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 1.87%", "B) 3.30%", "C) 2.35%", "D) 4.25%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-120d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230310-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 1.87%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 2.35%\nD) 4.25%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 1.87%", "B) 3.30%", "C) 2.35%", "D) 4.25%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230310-120d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 31.38\nB) 33.80\nC) 26.52\nD) 21.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 31.38", "B) 33.80", "C) 26.52", "D) 21.66"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "26.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 31.38\nB) 33.80\nC) 26.52\nD) 21.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 31.38", "B) 33.80", "C) 26.52", "D) 21.66"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "26.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 28.95\nB) 24.09\nC) 19.24\nD) 26.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 28.95", "B) 24.09", "C) 19.24", "D) 26.52"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "26.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 28.95\nB) 24.09\nC) 19.24\nD) 26.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 28.95", "B) 24.09", "C) 19.24", "D) 26.52"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "26.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 26.52\nB) 19.24\nC) 21.66\nD) 31.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 26.52", "B) 19.24", "C) 21.66", "D) 31.38"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "26.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 26.52\nB) 19.24\nC) 21.66\nD) 31.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 26.52", "B) 19.24", "C) 21.66", "D) 31.38"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "26.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 33.80\nB) 26.52\nC) 31.38\nD) 19.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 33.80", "B) 26.52", "C) 31.38", "D) 19.24"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "26.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 33.80\nB) 26.52\nC) 31.38\nD) 19.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 33.80", "B) 26.52", "C) 31.38", "D) 19.24"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "26.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 28.95\nB) 33.80\nC) 26.52\nD) 21.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 28.95", "B) 33.80", "C) 26.52", "D) 21.66"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "26.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 28.95\nB) 33.80\nC) 26.52\nD) 21.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 28.95", "B) 33.80", "C) 26.52", "D) 21.66"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "26.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230310-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 24.09\nB) 33.80\nC) 31.38\nD) 26.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 24.09", "B) 33.80", "C) 31.38", "D) 26.52"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "26.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230310-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-09.)\n\nA) 24.09\nB) 33.80\nC) 31.38\nD) 26.52", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-09", "options": ["A) 24.09", "B) 33.80", "C) 31.38", "D) 26.52"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "26.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230310-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20230310-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 4.83%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 7.44%\nD) 3.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", "options": ["A) 4.83%", "B) 5.70%", "C) 7.44%", "D) 3.09%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-40d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20230310-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 4.83%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 7.44%\nD) 3.09%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", "options": ["A) 4.83%", "B) 5.70%", "C) 7.44%", "D) 3.09%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-40d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20230310-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 6.57%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", "options": ["A) 3.09%", "B) 4.83%", "C) 2.22%", "D) 6.57%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-60d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20230310-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 4.83%\nC) 2.22%\nD) 6.57%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", "options": ["A) 3.09%", "B) 4.83%", "C) 2.22%", "D) 6.57%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-60d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-FEDFUNDS-20230310-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 7.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", "options": ["A) 3.09%", "B) 5.70%", "C) 4.83%", "D) 7.44%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-120d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-FEDFUNDS-20230310-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Silicon Valley Bank collapse\" on 2023-03-10, what will be the minimum value of the US Effective Federal Funds Rate over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-10? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-01.)\n\nA) 3.09%\nB) 5.70%\nC) 4.83%\nD) 7.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-10", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-01", "options": ["A) 3.09%", "B) 5.70%", "C) 4.83%", "D) 7.44%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.83%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Silicon Valley Bank collapse", "event_date": "2023-03-10", "pair_id": "PAIR-FEDFUNDS-20230310-120d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.23/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $100.79/bbl\nD) $87.67/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $94.23/bbl", "B) $107.35/bbl", "C) $100.79/bbl", "D) $87.67/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$87.67/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.23/bbl\nB) $107.35/bbl\nC) $100.79/bbl\nD) $87.67/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $94.23/bbl", "B) $107.35/bbl", "C) $100.79/bbl", "D) $87.67/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$87.67/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $89.35/bbl\nB) $69.67/bbl\nC) $95.91/bbl\nD) $109.03/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $89.35/bbl", "B) $69.67/bbl", "C) $95.91/bbl", "D) $109.03/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $89.35/bbl\nB) $69.67/bbl\nC) $95.91/bbl\nD) $109.03/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $89.35/bbl", "B) $69.67/bbl", "C) $95.91/bbl", "D) $109.03/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $109.03/bbl\nB) $89.35/bbl\nC) $82.79/bbl\nD) $102.47/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $109.03/bbl", "B) $89.35/bbl", "C) $82.79/bbl", "D) $102.47/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $109.03/bbl\nB) $89.35/bbl\nC) $82.79/bbl\nD) $102.47/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $109.03/bbl", "B) $89.35/bbl", "C) $82.79/bbl", "D) $102.47/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $82.79/bbl\nB) $95.91/bbl\nC) $89.35/bbl\nD) $76.23/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $82.79/bbl", "B) $95.91/bbl", "C) $89.35/bbl", "D) $76.23/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $82.79/bbl\nB) $95.91/bbl\nC) $89.35/bbl\nD) $76.23/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $82.79/bbl", "B) $95.91/bbl", "C) $89.35/bbl", "D) $76.23/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $69.67/bbl\nB) $82.79/bbl\nC) $76.23/bbl\nD) $89.35/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $69.67/bbl", "B) $82.79/bbl", "C) $76.23/bbl", "D) $89.35/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $69.67/bbl\nB) $82.79/bbl\nC) $76.23/bbl\nD) $89.35/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $69.67/bbl", "B) $82.79/bbl", "C) $76.23/bbl", "D) $89.35/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILWTICO-20231007-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $89.35/bbl\nB) $102.47/bbl\nC) $82.79/bbl\nD) $95.91/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $89.35/bbl", "B) $102.47/bbl", "C) $82.79/bbl", "D) $95.91/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILWTICO-20231007-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $89.35/bbl\nB) $102.47/bbl\nC) $82.79/bbl\nD) $95.91/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $89.35/bbl", "B) $102.47/bbl", "C) $82.79/bbl", "D) $95.91/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$89.35/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILWTICO-20231007-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.69/bbl\nB) $87.58/bbl\nC) $73.36/bbl\nD) $66.25/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $94.69/bbl", "B) $87.58/bbl", "C) $73.36/bbl", "D) $66.25/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$87.58/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-5d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.69/bbl\nB) $87.58/bbl\nC) $73.36/bbl\nD) $66.25/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $94.69/bbl", "B) $87.58/bbl", "C) $73.36/bbl", "D) $66.25/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$87.58/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-5d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.69/bbl\nB) $108.91/bbl\nC) $87.58/bbl\nD) $101.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $94.69/bbl", "B) $108.91/bbl", "C) $87.58/bbl", "D) $101.80/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$87.58/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-10d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $94.69/bbl\nB) $108.91/bbl\nC) $87.58/bbl\nD) $101.80/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $94.69/bbl", "B) $108.91/bbl", "C) $87.58/bbl", "D) $101.80/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$87.58/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-10d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $108.15/bbl\nB) $101.04/bbl\nC) $93.93/bbl\nD) $86.82/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $108.15/bbl", "B) $101.04/bbl", "C) $93.93/bbl", "D) $86.82/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$86.82/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-20d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $108.15/bbl\nB) $101.04/bbl\nC) $93.93/bbl\nD) $86.82/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $108.15/bbl", "B) $101.04/bbl", "C) $93.93/bbl", "D) $86.82/bbl"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$86.82/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-20d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $77.73/bbl\nB) $91.95/bbl\nC) $63.51/bbl\nD) $56.40/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $77.73/bbl", "B) $91.95/bbl", "C) $63.51/bbl", "D) $56.40/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$77.73/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-40d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $77.73/bbl\nB) $91.95/bbl\nC) $63.51/bbl\nD) $56.40/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $77.73/bbl", "B) $91.95/bbl", "C) $63.51/bbl", "D) $56.40/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$77.73/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-40d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $52.78/bbl\nB) $74.11/bbl\nC) $81.22/bbl\nD) $67.00/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $52.78/bbl", "B) $74.11/bbl", "C) $81.22/bbl", "D) $67.00/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$74.11/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-60d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $52.78/bbl\nB) $74.11/bbl\nC) $81.22/bbl\nD) $67.00/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $52.78/bbl", "B) $74.11/bbl", "C) $81.22/bbl", "D) $67.00/bbl"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$74.11/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-60d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $59.89/bbl\nB) $81.22/bbl\nC) $74.11/bbl\nD) $95.44/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $59.89/bbl", "B) $81.22/bbl", "C) $74.11/bbl", "D) $95.44/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$74.11/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-120d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the minimum value of the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) $59.89/bbl\nB) $81.22/bbl\nC) $74.11/bbl\nD) $95.44/bbl", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) $59.89/bbl", "B) $81.22/bbl", "C) $74.11/bbl", "D) $95.44/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$74.11/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-DCOILBRENTEU-20231007-120d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 11.15\nC) 24.76\nD) 19.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) 13.88", "B) 11.15", "C) 24.76", "D) 19.32"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "19.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 13.88\nB) 11.15\nC) 24.76\nD) 19.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) 13.88", "B) 11.15", "C) 24.76", "D) 19.32"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "19.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 21.71\nB) 29.88\nC) 16.27\nD) 24.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) 21.71", "B) 29.88", "C) 16.27", "D) 24.43"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.71", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 21.71\nB) 29.88\nC) 16.27\nD) 24.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) 21.71", "B) 29.88", "C) 16.27", "D) 24.43"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.71", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 29.88\nB) 21.71\nC) 16.27\nD) 13.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) 29.88", "B) 21.71", "C) 16.27", "D) 13.54"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "21.71", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 29.88\nB) 21.71\nC) 16.27\nD) 13.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) 29.88", "B) 21.71", "C) 16.27", "D) 13.54"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "21.71", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 13.54\nC) 21.71\nD) 27.15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) 18.99", "B) 13.54", "C) 21.71", "D) 27.15"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "21.71", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 13.54\nC) 21.71\nD) 27.15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) 18.99", "B) 13.54", "C) 21.71", "D) 27.15"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "21.71", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 24.43\nC) 13.54\nD) 21.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) 18.99", "B) 24.43", "C) 13.54", "D) 21.71"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.71", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 18.99\nB) 24.43\nC) 13.54\nD) 21.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) 18.99", "B) 24.43", "C) 13.54", "D) 21.71"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "21.71", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20231007-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 21.71\nB) 27.15\nC) 29.88\nD) 13.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) 21.71", "B) 27.15", "C) 29.88", "D) 13.54"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.71", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20231007-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Israel-Hamas war\" on 2023-10-07, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-10-07? (Use only information available on or before 2023-10-06.)\n\nA) 21.71\nB) 27.15\nC) 29.88\nD) 13.54", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-10-07", "info_cutoff": "2023-10-06", "options": ["A) 21.71", "B) 27.15", "C) 29.88", "D) 13.54"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "21.71", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Israel-Hamas war", "event_date": "2023-10-07", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20231007-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 5.45%\nD) 2.91%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 4.61%", "B) 3.76%", "C) 5.45%", "D) 2.91%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.76%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-5d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 3.76%\nC) 5.45%\nD) 2.91%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 4.61%", "B) 3.76%", "C) 5.45%", "D) 2.91%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.76%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-5d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 2.07%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 4.61%", "B) 2.91%", "C) 3.76%", "D) 2.07%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.76%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-10d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.61%\nB) 2.91%\nC) 3.76%\nD) 2.07%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 4.61%", "B) 2.91%", "C) 3.76%", "D) 2.07%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.76%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-10d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 5.45%\nD) 3.76%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 2.91%", "B) 2.07%", "C) 5.45%", "D) 3.76%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.76%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-20d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 2.91%\nB) 2.07%\nC) 5.45%\nD) 3.76%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 2.91%", "B) 2.07%", "C) 5.45%", "D) 3.76%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.76%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-20d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.75%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 1.21%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 3.75%", "B) 2.06%", "C) 2.90%", "D) 1.21%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-40d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.75%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 2.90%\nD) 1.21%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 3.75%", "B) 2.06%", "C) 2.90%", "D) 1.21%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-40d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 6.29%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 5.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 6.29%", "B) 3.75%", "C) 4.60%", "D) 5.44%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-60d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 6.29%\nB) 3.75%\nC) 4.60%\nD) 5.44%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 6.29%", "B) 3.75%", "C) 4.60%", "D) 5.44%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-60d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230319-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.21%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 6.29%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 1.21%", "B) 2.06%", "C) 3.75%", "D) 6.29%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-120d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230319-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.21%\nB) 2.06%\nC) 3.75%\nD) 6.29%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 1.21%", "B) 2.06%", "C) 3.75%", "D) 6.29%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.75%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230319-120d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 3.86%\nD) 3.38%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 4.81%", "B) 1.95%", "C) 3.86%", "D) 3.38%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-5d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 1.95%\nC) 3.86%\nD) 3.38%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 4.81%", "B) 1.95%", "C) 3.86%", "D) 3.38%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-5d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 2.42%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 4.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 3.38%", "B) 2.42%", "C) 1.95%", "D) 4.34%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-10d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.38%\nB) 2.42%\nC) 1.95%\nD) 4.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 3.38%", "B) 2.42%", "C) 1.95%", "D) 4.34%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.38%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-10d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 1.87%\nD) 2.82%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 4.26%", "B) 3.30%", "C) 1.87%", "D) 2.82%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-20d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 4.26%\nB) 3.30%\nC) 1.87%\nD) 2.82%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 4.26%", "B) 3.30%", "C) 1.87%", "D) 2.82%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-20d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 2.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 3.78%", "B) 2.82%", "C) 3.30%", "D) 2.34%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-40d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 3.30%\nD) 2.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 3.78%", "B) 2.82%", "C) 3.30%", "D) 2.34%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-40d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.34%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 3.30%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 3.78%", "B) 2.34%", "C) 4.26%", "D) 3.30%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-60d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.78%\nB) 2.34%\nC) 4.26%\nD) 3.30%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 3.78%", "B) 2.34%", "C) 4.26%", "D) 3.30%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-60d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20230319-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 4.26%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 3.30%", "B) 2.82%", "C) 2.34%", "D) 4.26%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-120d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20230319-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 3.30%\nB) 2.82%\nC) 2.34%\nD) 4.26%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 3.30%", "B) 2.82%", "C) 2.34%", "D) 4.26%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20230319-120d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 26.58\nB) 24.15\nC) 29.02\nD) 31.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 26.58", "B) 24.15", "C) 29.02", "D) 31.45"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.15", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 26.58\nB) 24.15\nC) 29.02\nD) 31.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 26.58", "B) 24.15", "C) 29.02", "D) 31.45"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.15", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 29.02\nB) 31.45\nC) 24.15\nD) 16.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 29.02", "B) 31.45", "C) 24.15", "D) 16.85"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.15", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 29.02\nB) 31.45\nC) 24.15\nD) 16.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 29.02", "B) 31.45", "C) 24.15", "D) 16.85"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.15", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 29.02\nB) 21.72\nC) 16.85\nD) 24.15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 29.02", "B) 21.72", "C) 16.85", "D) 24.15"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.15", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 29.02\nB) 21.72\nC) 16.85\nD) 24.15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 29.02", "B) 21.72", "C) 16.85", "D) 24.15"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.15", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 24.15\nB) 31.45\nC) 21.72\nD) 16.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 24.15", "B) 31.45", "C) 21.72", "D) 16.85"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.15", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 24.15\nB) 31.45\nC) 21.72\nD) 16.85", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 24.15", "B) 31.45", "C) 21.72", "D) 16.85"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.15", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 26.58\nB) 24.15\nC) 19.28\nD) 31.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 26.58", "B) 24.15", "C) 19.28", "D) 31.45"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.15", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 26.58\nB) 24.15\nC) 19.28\nD) 31.45", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 26.58", "B) 24.15", "C) 19.28", "D) 31.45"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "24.15", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230319-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 16.85\nB) 21.72\nC) 24.15\nD) 26.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 16.85", "B) 21.72", "C) 24.15", "D) 26.58"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.15", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230319-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 16.85\nB) 21.72\nC) 24.15\nD) 26.58", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 16.85", "B) 21.72", "C) 24.15", "D) 26.58"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "24.15", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230319-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9828\nB) 1.1598\nC) 1.2307\nD) 1.0890", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 0.9828", "B) 1.1598", "C) 1.2307", "D) 1.0890"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0890", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9828\nB) 1.1598\nC) 1.2307\nD) 1.0890", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 0.9828", "B) 1.1598", "C) 1.2307", "D) 1.0890"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0890", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.0899\nB) 1.0191\nC) 1.1607\nD) 0.9128", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 1.0899", "B) 1.0191", "C) 1.1607", "D) 0.9128"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0899", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.0899\nB) 1.0191\nC) 1.1607\nD) 0.9128", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 1.0899", "B) 1.0191", "C) 1.1607", "D) 0.9128"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0899", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9992\nB) 1.1054\nC) 1.2825\nD) 1.1762", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 0.9992", "B) 1.1054", "C) 1.2825", "D) 1.1762"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1054", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9992\nB) 1.1054\nC) 1.2825\nD) 1.1762", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 0.9992", "B) 1.1054", "C) 1.2825", "D) 1.1762"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1054", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9637\nB) 1.0346\nC) 1.1054\nD) 1.1762", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 0.9637", "B) 1.0346", "C) 1.1054", "D) 1.1762"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1054", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 0.9637\nB) 1.0346\nC) 1.1054\nD) 1.1762", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 0.9637", "B) 1.0346", "C) 1.1054", "D) 1.1762"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.1054", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.2116\nB) 0.9283\nC) 0.9992\nD) 1.1054", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 1.2116", "B) 0.9283", "C) 0.9992", "D) 1.1054"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1054", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.2116\nB) 0.9283\nC) 0.9992\nD) 1.1054", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 1.2116", "B) 0.9283", "C) 0.9992", "D) 1.1054"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1054", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20230319-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.1237\nB) 1.0529\nC) 1.1945\nD) 0.9466", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 1.1237", "B) 1.0529", "C) 1.1945", "D) 0.9466"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.1237", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20230319-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Credit Suisse emergency takeover\" on 2023-03-19, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2023-03-19? (Use only information available on or before 2023-03-17.)\n\nA) 1.1237\nB) 1.0529\nC) 1.1945\nD) 0.9466", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-03-19", "info_cutoff": "2023-03-17", "options": ["A) 1.1237", "B) 1.0529", "C) 1.1945", "D) 0.9466"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.1237", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Credit Suisse emergency takeover", "event_date": "2023-03-19", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20230319-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 3.16%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 1.48%", "B) 4.00%", "C) 2.32%", "D) 3.16%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.00%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 1.48%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 2.32%\nD) 3.16%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 1.48%", "B) 4.00%", "C) 2.32%", "D) 3.16%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.00%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) 5.69%\nC) 4.01%\nD) 4.85%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 3.17%", "B) 5.69%", "C) 4.01%", "D) 4.85%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.01%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 3.17%\nB) 5.69%\nC) 4.01%\nD) 4.85%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 3.17%", "B) 5.69%", "C) 4.01%", "D) 4.85%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.01%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 4.54%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 2.86%", "B) 5.38%", "C) 3.70%", "D) 4.54%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 2.86%\nB) 5.38%\nC) 3.70%\nD) 4.54%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 2.86%", "B) 5.38%", "C) 3.70%", "D) 4.54%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.54%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 3.93%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 5.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 4.77%", "B) 3.93%", "C) 6.45%", "D) 5.61%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 4.77%\nB) 3.93%\nC) 6.45%\nD) 5.61%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 4.77%", "B) 3.93%", "C) 6.45%", "D) 5.61%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.77%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 4.99%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 6.67%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 3.31%", "B) 4.99%", "C) 2.47%", "D) 6.67%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 3.31%\nB) 4.99%\nC) 2.47%\nD) 6.67%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 3.31%", "B) 4.99%", "C) 2.47%", "D) 6.67%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.99%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS2-20230501-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 6.87%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 5.19%\nD) 2.67%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 6.87%", "B) 6.03%", "C) 5.19%", "D) 2.67%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS2-20230501-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the US 2-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 6.87%\nB) 6.03%\nC) 5.19%\nD) 2.67%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 6.87%", "B) 6.03%", "C) 5.19%", "D) 2.67%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.19%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS2-20230501-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14.56\nB) 12.13\nC) 19.40\nD) 16.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 14.56", "B) 12.13", "C) 19.40", "D) 16.98"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-5d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14.56\nB) 12.13\nC) 19.40\nD) 16.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 14.56", "B) 12.13", "C) 19.40", "D) 16.98"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "16.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-5d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 16.93\nB) 9.66\nC) 14.51\nD) 21.78", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 16.93", "B) 9.66", "C) 14.51", "D) 21.78"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.93", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-10d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 16.93\nB) 9.66\nC) 14.51\nD) 21.78", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 16.93", "B) 9.66", "C) 14.51", "D) 21.78"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16.93", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-10d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 8.78\nB) 16.05\nC) 11.20\nD) 23.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 8.78", "B) 16.05", "C) 11.20", "D) 23.32"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.05", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-20d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 8.78\nB) 16.05\nC) 11.20\nD) 23.32", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 8.78", "B) 16.05", "C) 11.20", "D) 23.32"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.05", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-20d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 8.06\nB) 17.76\nC) 12.91\nD) 15.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 8.06", "B) 17.76", "C) 12.91", "D) 15.33"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-40d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 8.06\nB) 17.76\nC) 12.91\nD) 15.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 8.06", "B) 17.76", "C) 12.91", "D) 15.33"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-40d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 17.76\nB) 10.49\nC) 15.33\nD) 12.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 17.76", "B) 10.49", "C) 15.33", "D) 12.91"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-60d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 17.76\nB) 10.49\nC) 15.33\nD) 12.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 17.76", "B) 10.49", "C) 15.33", "D) 12.91"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-60d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20230501-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 12.82\nB) 17.67\nC) 15.24\nD) 5.55", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 12.82", "B) 17.67", "C) 15.24", "D) 5.55"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-120d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20230501-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 12.82\nB) 17.67\nC) 15.24\nD) 5.55", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 12.82", "B) 17.67", "C) 15.24", "D) 5.55"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "12.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20230501-120d-min", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14,762.39\nB) 12,256.92\nC) 10,586.60\nD) 13,927.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 14,762.39", "B) 12,256.92", "C) 10,586.60", "D) 13,927.24"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12,256.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14,762.39\nB) 12,256.92\nC) 10,586.60\nD) 13,927.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 14,762.39", "B) 12,256.92", "C) 10,586.60", "D) 13,927.24"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12,256.92", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-5d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14,035.53\nB) 13,200.37\nC) 12,365.21\nD) 10,694.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 14,035.53", "B) 13,200.37", "C) 12,365.21", "D) 10,694.89"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12,365.21", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 14,035.53\nB) 13,200.37\nC) 12,365.21\nD) 10,694.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 14,035.53", "B) 13,200.37", "C) 12,365.21", "D) 10,694.89"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "12,365.21", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-10d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 15,522.90\nB) 11,347.11\nC) 13,852.59\nD) 13,017.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 15,522.90", "B) 11,347.11", "C) 13,852.59", "D) 13,017.43"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13,017.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 15,522.90\nB) 11,347.11\nC) 13,852.59\nD) 13,017.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 15,522.90", "B) 11,347.11", "C) 13,852.59", "D) 13,017.43"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13,017.43", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-20d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 13,782.82\nB) 12,947.66\nC) 16,288.29\nD) 12,112.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 13,782.82", "B) 12,947.66", "C) 16,288.29", "D) 12,112.50"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13,782.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 13,782.82\nB) 12,947.66\nC) 16,288.29\nD) 12,112.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 13,782.82", "B) 12,947.66", "C) 16,288.29", "D) 12,112.50"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "13,782.82", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-40d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 12,687.70\nB) 14,358.02\nC) 16,863.49\nD) 15,193.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 12,687.70", "B) 14,358.02", "C) 16,863.49", "D) 15,193.18"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14,358.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 12,687.70\nB) 14,358.02\nC) 16,863.49\nD) 15,193.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 12,687.70", "B) 14,358.02", "C) 16,863.49", "D) 15,193.18"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14,358.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-60d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20230501-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 16,863.49\nB) 16,028.34\nC) 14,358.02\nD) 12,687.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 16,863.49", "B) 16,028.34", "C) 14,358.02", "D) 12,687.70"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14,358.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20230501-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"First Republic Bank failure\" on 2023-05-01, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2023-05-01? (Use only information available on or before 2023-04-28.)\n\nA) 16,863.49\nB) 16,028.34\nC) 14,358.02\nD) 12,687.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2023-05-01", "info_cutoff": "2023-04-28", "options": ["A) 16,863.49", "B) 16,028.34", "C) 14,358.02", "D) 12,687.70"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14,358.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "First Republic Bank failure", "event_date": "2023-05-01", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20230501-120d-max", "year": 2023} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -7.60%\nB) 2.78%\nC) -12.79%\nD) -2.41%", "options": ["A) -7.60%", "B) 2.78%", "C) -12.79%", "D) -2.41%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-2.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.64%\nB) 17.75%\nC) 11.62%\nD) -6.77%", "options": ["A) -0.64%", "B) 17.75%", "C) 11.62%", "D) -6.77%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) 4,098,159\nB) 1,839,000\nC) 6,357,319\nD) 8,616,478", "options": ["A) 4,098,159", "B) 1,839,000", "C) 6,357,319", "D) 8,616,478"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,839,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 304.27\nB) 293.81\nC) 314.73\nD) 283.35", "options": ["A) 304.27", "B) 293.81", "C) 314.73", "D) 283.35"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "314.73", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -2.96pp\nB) -1.28pp\nC) -4.64pp\nD) +0.40pp", "options": ["A) -2.96pp", "B) -1.28pp", "C) -4.64pp", "D) +0.40pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 24.22%\nB) 49.36%\nC) 7.46%\nD) 40.98%", "options": ["A) 24.22%", "B) 49.36%", "C) 7.46%", "D) 40.98%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "24.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.73%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 6.56%\nD) 1.84%", "options": ["A) 3.73%", "B) 4.67%", "C) 6.56%", "D) 1.84%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.02%\nB) 12.19%\nC) 2.51%\nD) -2.32%", "options": ["A) 17.02%", "B) 12.19%", "C) 2.51%", "D) -2.32%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 6.28%\nB) 5.09%\nC) 2.71%\nD) 3.90%", "options": ["A) 6.28%", "B) 5.09%", "C) 2.71%", "D) 3.90%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $20,974B\nB) $22,250B\nC) $24,802B\nD) $18,422B", "options": ["A) $20,974B", "B) $22,250B", "C) $24,802B", "D) $18,422B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$20,974B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $65,669M\nB) $73,986M\nC) $68,441M\nD) $71,214M", "options": ["A) $65,669M", "B) $73,986M", "C) $68,441M", "D) $71,214M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$73,986M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) +23.87pp\nB) +10.93pp\nC) +17.40pp\nD) +36.82pp", "options": ["A) +23.87pp", "B) +10.93pp", "C) +17.40pp", "D) +36.82pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "+17.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 27.81%\nB) 6.44%\nC) 34.93%\nD) 13.57%", "options": ["A) 27.81%", "B) 6.44%", "C) 34.93%", "D) 13.57%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "13.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 255.09\nB) 240.40\nC) 284.49\nD) 269.79", "options": ["A) 255.09", "B) 240.40", "C) 284.49", "D) 269.79"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "255.09", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.07%\nB) -1.93%\nC) 10.08%\nD) -19.95%", "options": ["A) 4.07%", "B) -1.93%", "C) 10.08%", "D) -19.95%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 62.32%\nB) 55.26%\nC) 60.30%\nD) 58.28%", "options": ["A) 62.32%", "B) 55.26%", "C) 60.30%", "D) 58.28%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "60.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $323,621M\nB) $339,197M\nC) $245,741M\nD) $292,469M", "options": ["A) $323,621M", "B) $339,197M", "C) $245,741M", "D) $292,469M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$292,469M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.10%\nB) 58.12%\nC) 63.06%\nD) 65.04%", "options": ["A) 60.10%", "B) 58.12%", "C) 63.06%", "D) 65.04%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "60.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $5,588M\nC) $2,400,000M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $5,588M", "C) $2,400,000M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$5,588M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 9.04%\nB) 15.03%\nC) 6.04%\nD) 0.05%", "options": ["A) 9.04%", "B) 15.03%", "C) 6.04%", "D) 0.05%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 140.63\nB) 150.97\nC) 156.14\nD) 145.80", "options": ["A) 140.63", "B) 150.97", "C) 156.14", "D) 145.80"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "145.80", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.62pp\nB) -3.80pp\nC) +2.76pp\nD) +4.95pp", "options": ["A) -1.62pp", "B) -3.80pp", "C) +2.76pp", "D) +4.95pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.62pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.82pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +0.56pp\nD) +1.48pp", "options": ["A) -0.82pp", "B) +0.10pp", "C) +0.56pp", "D) +1.48pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 54.64%\nB) -7.43%\nC) 29.81%\nD) 67.06%", "options": ["A) 54.64%", "B) -7.43%", "C) 29.81%", "D) 67.06%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "29.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.13%\nB) -8.61%\nC) -5.93%\nD) -0.56%", "options": ["A) 2.13%", "B) -8.61%", "C) -5.93%", "D) -0.56%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.56%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 123.47\nB) 116.86\nC) 113.55\nD) 126.77", "options": ["A) 123.47", "B) 116.86", "C) 113.55", "D) 126.77"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "123.47", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) 3.81%\nB) 1.99%\nC) 5.64%\nD) 7.46%", "options": ["A) 3.81%", "B) 1.99%", "C) 5.64%", "D) 7.46%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.99%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 5.32%\nB) 4.30%\nC) 2.26%\nD) -0.80%", "options": ["A) 5.32%", "B) 4.30%", "C) 2.26%", "D) -0.80%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.26%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,112K\nB) 1,193K\nC) 1,275K\nD) 1,357K", "options": ["A) 1,112K", "B) 1,193K", "C) 1,275K", "D) 1,357K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,357K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.14%\nB) 8.01%\nC) -3.73%\nD) 0.19%", "options": ["A) 2.14%", "B) 8.01%", "C) -3.73%", "D) 0.19%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.58%\nB) 3.28%\nC) 4.98%\nD) 2.43%", "options": ["A) 1.58%", "B) 3.28%", "C) 4.98%", "D) 2.43%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.88%\nB) 3.94%\nC) 1.98%\nD) 5.91%", "options": ["A) 7.88%", "B) 3.94%", "C) 1.98%", "D) 5.91%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $22,424B\nB) $21,477B\nC) $20,529B\nD) $19,582B", "options": ["A) $22,424B", "B) $21,477B", "C) $20,529B", "D) $19,582B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$19,582B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 4.27%\nB) 4.90%\nC) 5.54%\nD) 3.64%", "options": ["A) 4.27%", "B) 4.90%", "C) 5.54%", "D) 3.64%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 299.14\nB) 316.79\nC) 334.44\nD) 307.97", "options": ["A) 299.14", "B) 316.79", "C) 334.44", "D) 307.97"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "316.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.23%\nB) 5.74%\nC) 0.96%\nD) 8.14%", "options": ["A) -6.23%", "B) 5.74%", "C) 0.96%", "D) 8.14%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.43%\nB) 3.25%\nC) 4.88%\nD) 4.34%", "options": ["A) 5.43%", "B) 3.25%", "C) 4.88%", "D) 4.34%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 124.16\nB) 127.77\nC) 120.56\nD) 116.96", "options": ["A) 124.16", "B) 127.77", "C) 120.56", "D) 116.96"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "124.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.92%\nB) 3.82%\nC) 2.03%\nD) 5.61%", "options": ["A) 2.92%", "B) 3.82%", "C) 2.03%", "D) 5.61%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -10.46%\nB) 17.25%\nC) 3.39%\nD) 8.01%", "options": ["A) -10.46%", "B) 17.25%", "C) 3.39%", "D) 8.01%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.39%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) +1.12pp\nB) -4.56pp\nC) -3.14pp\nD) -0.30pp", "options": ["A) +1.12pp", "B) -4.56pp", "C) -3.14pp", "D) -0.30pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) $17,617B\nB) $16,254B\nC) $18,980B\nD) $15,572B", "options": ["A) $17,617B", "B) $16,254B", "C) $18,980B", "D) $15,572B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$17,617B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -13.84%\nB) -4.72%\nC) 4.40%\nD) 13.51%", "options": ["A) -13.84%", "B) -4.72%", "C) 4.40%", "D) 13.51%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-4.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.37pp\nB) +2.74pp\nC) -0.10pp\nD) +4.17pp", "options": ["A) -4.37pp", "B) +2.74pp", "C) -0.10pp", "D) +4.17pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 13.34%\nB) 16.74%\nC) 9.94%\nD) 6.54%", "options": ["A) 13.34%", "B) 16.74%", "C) 9.94%", "D) 6.54%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.54%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.77%\nB) -5.98%\nC) 14.87%\nD) -16.40%", "options": ["A) -0.77%", "B) -5.98%", "C) 14.87%", "D) -16.40%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $-79,027M\nB) $-66,266M\nC) $-59,885M\nD) $-85,408M", "options": ["A) $-79,027M", "B) $-66,266M", "C) $-59,885M", "D) $-85,408M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-66,266M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 142,659K\nB) 163,389K\nC) 157,466K\nD) 148,582K", "options": ["A) 142,659K", "B) 163,389K", "C) 157,466K", "D) 148,582K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "157,466K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.72%\nB) 10.65%\nC) 13.57%\nD) 4.80%", "options": ["A) 7.72%", "B) 10.65%", "C) 13.57%", "D) 4.80%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.80%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,476K\nB) 1,746K\nC) 1,206K\nD) 1,386K", "options": ["A) 1,476K", "B) 1,746K", "C) 1,206K", "D) 1,386K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,476K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 11.08%\nB) 4.18%\nC) -0.43%\nD) -2.73%", "options": ["A) 11.08%", "B) 4.18%", "C) -0.43%", "D) -2.73%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 60.82%\nB) 64.58%\nC) 62.70%\nD) 65.84%", "options": ["A) 60.82%", "B) 64.58%", "C) 62.70%", "D) 65.84%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "62.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 65.84%\nB) 64.58%\nC) 60.82%\nD) 62.70%", "options": ["A) 65.84%", "B) 64.58%", "C) 60.82%", "D) 62.70%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 2.93%\nB) 1.86%\nC) 6.13%\nD) 5.06%", "options": ["A) 2.93%", "B) 1.86%", "C) 6.13%", "D) 5.06%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.93%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.00%\nB) 5.13%\nC) 7.39%\nD) 8.52%", "options": ["A) 4.00%", "B) 5.13%", "C) 7.39%", "D) 8.52%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 0.9277\nB) 1.1552\nC) 1.0699\nD) 1.0130", "options": ["A) 0.9277", "B) 1.1552", "C) 1.0699", "D) 1.0130"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0699", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 13,972.35\nB) 16,450.04\nC) 15,211.19\nD) 17,688.88", "options": ["A) 13,972.35", "B) 16,450.04", "C) 15,211.19", "D) 17,688.88"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17,688.88", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -6.70%\nB) 0.92%\nC) -21.94%\nD) -14.32%", "options": ["A) -6.70%", "B) 0.92%", "C) -21.94%", "D) -14.32%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-6.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.83%\nB) 3.90%\nC) 10.52%\nD) 7.21%", "options": ["A) 13.83%", "B) 3.90%", "C) 10.52%", "D) 7.21%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.35%\nB) 1.17%\nC) 2.43%\nD) 3.69%", "options": ["A) -1.35%", "B) 1.17%", "C) 2.43%", "D) 3.69%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.51%\nB) 15.55%\nC) -4.00%\nD) 5.77%", "options": ["A) 2.51%", "B) 15.55%", "C) -4.00%", "D) 5.77%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.77%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,148B\nB) $19,137B\nC) $18,126B\nD) $22,170B", "options": ["A) $20,148B", "B) $19,137B", "C) $18,126B", "D) $22,170B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$20,148B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 342.19\nB) 312.35\nC) 332.24\nD) 302.40", "options": ["A) 342.19", "B) 312.35", "C) 332.24", "D) 302.40"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "312.35", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.28%\nB) 2.38%\nC) 5.33%\nD) 6.31%", "options": ["A) 8.28%", "B) 2.38%", "C) 5.33%", "D) 6.31%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,351K\nB) 1,269K\nC) 1,682K\nD) 1,434K", "options": ["A) 1,351K", "B) 1,269K", "C) 1,682K", "D) 1,434K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,434K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.37%\nB) -22.41%\nC) -11.02%\nD) 34.54%", "options": ["A) 0.37%", "B) -22.41%", "C) -11.02%", "D) 34.54%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.37%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.79%\nB) 5.90%\nC) 3.01%\nD) 0.11%", "options": ["A) 8.79%", "B) 5.90%", "C) 3.01%", "D) 0.11%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.63%\nB) 4.39%\nC) 5.51%\nD) 8.86%", "options": ["A) 6.63%", "B) 4.39%", "C) 5.51%", "D) 8.86%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.51%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $303,190M\nB) $271,656M\nC) $318,956M\nD) $287,423M", "options": ["A) $303,190M", "B) $271,656M", "C) $318,956M", "D) $287,423M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$287,423M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) $81.49/bbl\nB) $103.34/bbl\nC) $59.64/bbl\nD) $70.56/bbl", "options": ["A) $81.49/bbl", "B) $103.34/bbl", "C) $59.64/bbl", "D) $70.56/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$81.49/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.68%\nB) 4.22%\nC) 4.99%\nD) 5.76%", "options": ["A) 2.68%", "B) 4.22%", "C) 4.99%", "D) 5.76%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 265.80\nB) 344.29\nC) 324.66\nD) 363.91", "options": ["A) 265.80", "B) 344.29", "C) 324.66", "D) 363.91"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "324.66", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 8.68%\nB) -5.68%\nC) -3.28%\nD) 1.50%", "options": ["A) 8.68%", "B) -5.68%", "C) -3.28%", "D) 1.50%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 75.72%\nB) 82.85%\nC) 72.87%\nD) 78.57%", "options": ["A) 75.72%", "B) 82.85%", "C) 72.87%", "D) 78.57%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "75.72%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 29.56%\nB) 5.58%\nC) -18.39%\nD) -6.41%", "options": ["A) 29.56%", "B) 5.58%", "C) -18.39%", "D) -6.41%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.54%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 4.20%\nD) 5.51%", "options": ["A) 3.54%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 4.20%", "D) 5.51%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 109.04\nB) 103.89\nC) 97.02\nD) 100.46", "options": ["A) 109.04", "B) 103.89", "C) 97.02", "D) 100.46"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "100.46", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $74,487M\nB) $71,705M\nC) $66,142M\nD) $68,924M", "options": ["A) $74,487M", "B) $71,705M", "C) $66,142M", "D) $68,924M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$74,487M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $27.77/hr\nB) $29.78/hr\nC) $32.79/hr\nD) $28.78/hr", "options": ["A) $27.77/hr", "B) $29.78/hr", "C) $32.79/hr", "D) $28.78/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$29.78/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $19,457B\nB) $24,668B\nC) $22,062B\nD) $21,194B", "options": ["A) $19,457B", "B) $24,668B", "C) $22,062B", "D) $21,194B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$22,062B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 9.54%\nB) -4.58%\nC) 14.24%\nD) 0.13%", "options": ["A) 9.54%", "B) -4.58%", "C) 14.24%", "D) 0.13%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -1.21pp\nB) +3.18pp\nC) -3.40pp\nD) +5.37pp", "options": ["A) -1.21pp", "B) +3.18pp", "C) -3.40pp", "D) +5.37pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.21pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.92pp\nB) +0.00pp\nC) -0.46pp\nD) +1.38pp", "options": ["A) +0.92pp", "B) +0.00pp", "C) -0.46pp", "D) +1.38pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 224.25\nB) 266.90\nC) 252.68\nD) 281.11", "options": ["A) 224.25", "B) 266.90", "C) 252.68", "D) 281.11"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "252.68", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) 6.10%\nB) 8.66%\nC) 4.39%\nD) 6.95%", "options": ["A) 6.10%", "B) 8.66%", "C) 4.39%", "D) 6.95%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.27%\nB) 7.34%\nC) -23.09%\nD) 22.55%", "options": ["A) -0.27%", "B) 7.34%", "C) -23.09%", "D) 22.55%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 119.62\nB) 123.04\nC) 126.45\nD) 112.79", "options": ["A) 119.62", "B) 123.04", "C) 126.45", "D) 112.79"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "123.04", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 148.6984\nB) 140.1169\nC) 157.2800\nD) 183.0247", "options": ["A) 148.6984", "B) 140.1169", "C) 157.2800", "D) 183.0247"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "157.2800", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 0.68%\nB) 2.31%\nC) 1.49%\nD) 3.12%", "options": ["A) 0.68%", "B) 2.31%", "C) 1.49%", "D) 3.12%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.12%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $21,674B\nB) $19,988B\nC) $20,831B\nD) $19,145B", "options": ["A) $21,674B", "B) $19,988B", "C) $20,831B", "D) $19,145B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$21,674B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 4,441.66\nB) 5,431.60\nC) 5,761.58\nD) 6,091.56", "options": ["A) 4,441.66", "B) 5,431.60", "C) 5,761.58", "D) 6,091.56"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,431.60", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 104.75\nB) 91.58\nC) 99.81\nD) 94.87", "options": ["A) 104.75", "B) 91.58", "C) 99.81", "D) 94.87"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "99.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -4.15%\nB) 8.84%\nC) -8.48%\nD) 0.18%", "options": ["A) -4.15%", "B) 8.84%", "C) -8.48%", "D) 0.18%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.18%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) $79.41/bbl\nB) $110.77/bbl\nC) $89.86/bbl\nD) $48.05/bbl", "options": ["A) $79.41/bbl", "B) $110.77/bbl", "C) $89.86/bbl", "D) $48.05/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$79.41/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 17.41%\nB) -1.02%\nC) -10.24%\nD) 26.63%", "options": ["A) 17.41%", "B) -1.02%", "C) -10.24%", "D) 26.63%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 88.28\nB) 64.04\nC) 70.10\nD) 57.98", "options": ["A) 88.28", "B) 64.04", "C) 70.10", "D) 57.98"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "70.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 7.42%\nB) 6.11%\nC) 4.80%\nD) 3.49%", "options": ["A) 7.42%", "B) 6.11%", "C) 4.80%", "D) 3.49%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.49%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.40pp\nB) +3.76pp\nC) -2.96pp\nD) +2.08pp", "options": ["A) +0.40pp", "B) +3.76pp", "C) -2.96pp", "D) +2.08pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $31.41/hr\nB) $30.39/hr\nC) $33.45/hr\nD) $27.33/hr", "options": ["A) $31.41/hr", "B) $30.39/hr", "C) $33.45/hr", "D) $27.33/hr"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$30.39/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.81%\nB) 14.10%\nC) 5.14%\nD) -0.83%", "options": ["A) -3.81%", "B) 14.10%", "C) 5.14%", "D) -0.83%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 36,554.24\nB) 42,658.99\nC) 40,624.08\nD) 38,589.16", "options": ["A) 36,554.24", "B) 42,658.99", "C) 40,624.08", "D) 38,589.16"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "38,589.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) +2.30pp\nB) +23.01pp\nC) +9.20pp\nD) -18.41pp", "options": ["A) +2.30pp", "B) +23.01pp", "C) +9.20pp", "D) -18.41pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+2.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 1,575K\nB) 1,312K\nC) 1,224K\nD) 1,400K", "options": ["A) 1,575K", "B) 1,312K", "C) 1,224K", "D) 1,400K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,312K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) -0.87%\nB) -4.17%\nC) 5.73%\nD) 12.33%", "options": ["A) -0.87%", "B) -4.17%", "C) 5.73%", "D) 12.33%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.73%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $739,973M\nB) $776,890M\nC) $666,137M\nD) $703,055M", "options": ["A) $739,973M", "B) $776,890M", "C) $666,137M", "D) $703,055M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$703,055M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 157,912K\nB) 148,226K\nC) 164,369K\nD) 161,141K", "options": ["A) 157,912K", "B) 148,226K", "C) 164,369K", "D) 161,141K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "157,912K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 339.76\nB) 320.73\nC) 349.28\nD) 311.22", "options": ["A) 339.76", "B) 320.73", "C) 349.28", "D) 311.22"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "320.73", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $5,882M\nD) $2,400,000M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $5,882M", "D) $2,400,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$5,882M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 376.91\nB) 336.88\nC) 356.89\nD) 316.86", "options": ["A) 376.91", "B) 336.88", "C) 356.89", "D) 316.86"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "316.86", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.98%\nB) 15.87%\nC) -11.91%\nD) 6.61%", "options": ["A) 1.98%", "B) 15.87%", "C) -11.91%", "D) 6.61%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 93.66\nB) 79.40\nC) 72.27\nD) 58.00", "options": ["A) 93.66", "B) 79.40", "C) 72.27", "D) 58.00"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "79.40", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.88%\nB) 4.16%\nC) -1.20%\nD) -6.56%", "options": ["A) -3.88%", "B) 4.16%", "C) -1.20%", "D) -6.56%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-1.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) -53.39%\nB) 35.94%\nC) 95.49%\nD) 6.16%", "options": ["A) -53.39%", "B) 35.94%", "C) 95.49%", "D) 6.16%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.06%\nB) 8.62%\nC) -13.08%\nD) -4.40%", "options": ["A) -0.06%", "B) 8.62%", "C) -13.08%", "D) -4.40%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.06%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.07%\nB) 2.84%\nC) 5.14%\nD) 4.37%", "options": ["A) 2.07%", "B) 2.84%", "C) 5.14%", "D) 4.37%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.55%\nB) 4.75%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 2.35%", "options": ["A) 3.55%", "B) 4.75%", "C) 4.15%", "D) 2.35%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) 6.47%\nB) 2.92%\nC) 5.28%\nD) 4.10%", "options": ["A) 6.47%", "B) 2.92%", "C) 5.28%", "D) 4.10%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $21,270B\nB) $23,255B\nC) $20,277B\nD) $19,284B", "options": ["A) $21,270B", "B) $23,255B", "C) $20,277B", "D) $19,284B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$21,270B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) -1.48pp\nB) -0.47pp\nC) -0.81pp\nD) +0.20pp", "options": ["A) -1.48pp", "B) -0.47pp", "C) -0.81pp", "D) +0.20pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.47pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 83.86%\nB) 80.96%\nC) 76.60%\nD) 72.24%", "options": ["A) 83.86%", "B) 80.96%", "C) 76.60%", "D) 72.24%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "76.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 128.10\nB) 120.24\nC) 133.99\nD) 124.17", "options": ["A) 128.10", "B) 120.24", "C) 133.99", "D) 124.17"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "124.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.2557\nB) 7.1024\nC) 6.9491\nD) 7.4090", "options": ["A) 7.2557", "B) 7.1024", "C) 6.9491", "D) 7.4090"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.2557", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 112.78\nB) 122.01\nC) 118.93\nD) 125.09", "options": ["A) 112.78", "B) 122.01", "C) 118.93", "D) 125.09"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "122.01", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20240901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-01.)\n\nA) $-75,470M\nB) $-69,442M\nC) $-81,498M\nD) $-63,414M", "options": ["A) $-75,470M", "B) $-69,442M", "C) $-81,498M", "D) $-63,414M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-81,498M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 78.18%\nB) -41.42%\nC) -71.31%\nD) 18.38%", "options": ["A) 78.18%", "B) -41.42%", "C) -71.31%", "D) 18.38%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-06.)\n\nA) 236,000\nB) 992,122\nC) 1,370,183\nD) 614,061", "options": ["A) 236,000", "B) 992,122", "C) 1,370,183", "D) 614,061"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "236,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20240615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2024-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2024-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2024-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2024-06-08.)\n\nA) 20.98\nB) 12.66\nC) 8.50\nD) 16.82", "options": ["A) 20.98", "B) 12.66", "C) 8.50", "D) 16.82"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "12.66", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) $725,586M\nB) $649,696M\nC) $687,641M\nD) $763,531M", "options": ["A) $725,586M", "B) $649,696M", "C) $687,641M", "D) $763,531M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$687,641M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20240301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2024", "info_cutoff": "2024-01-30", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2024? (Use only information available on or before 2024-01-30.)\n\nA) 133.35\nB) 158.78\nC) 153.70\nD) 143.52", "options": ["A) 133.35", "B) 158.78", "C) 153.70", "D) 143.52"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "143.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 145.1100\nB) 153.2548\nC) 157.3272\nD) 141.0376", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 145.1100", "B) 153.2548", "C) 157.3272", "D) 141.0376"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "145.1100", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-5d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 145.1100\nB) 153.2548\nC) 157.3272\nD) 141.0376", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 145.1100", "B) 153.2548", "C) 157.3272", "D) 141.0376"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "145.1100", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-5d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 157.3272\nB) 145.1100\nC) 153.2548\nD) 141.0376", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 157.3272", "B) 145.1100", "C) 153.2548", "D) 141.0376"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "145.1100", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-10d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 157.3272\nB) 145.1100\nC) 153.2548\nD) 141.0376", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 157.3272", "B) 145.1100", "C) 153.2548", "D) 141.0376"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "145.1100", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-10d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 156.4772\nB) 136.1152\nC) 144.2600\nD) 132.0428", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 156.4772", "B) 136.1152", "C) 144.2600", "D) 132.0428"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "144.2600", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-20d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 156.4772\nB) 136.1152\nC) 144.2600\nD) 132.0428", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 156.4772", "B) 136.1152", "C) 144.2600", "D) 132.0428"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "144.2600", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-20d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 128.4428\nB) 152.8772\nC) 132.5152\nD) 140.6600", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 128.4428", "B) 152.8772", "C) 132.5152", "D) 140.6600"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "140.6600", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-40d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 128.4428\nB) 152.8772\nC) 132.5152\nD) 140.6600", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 128.4428", "B) 152.8772", "C) 132.5152", "D) 140.6600"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "140.6600", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-40d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 140.6600\nB) 148.8048\nC) 152.8772\nD) 144.7324", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 140.6600", "B) 148.8048", "C) 152.8772", "D) 144.7324"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "140.6600", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-60d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 140.6600\nB) 148.8048\nC) 152.8772\nD) 144.7324", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 140.6600", "B) 148.8048", "C) 152.8772", "D) 144.7324"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "140.6600", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-60d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXJPUS-20240805-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 128.4428\nB) 140.6600\nC) 136.5876\nD) 152.8772", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 128.4428", "B) 140.6600", "C) 136.5876", "D) 152.8772"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "140.6600", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-120d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXJPUS-20240805-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 128.4428\nB) 140.6600\nC) 136.5876\nD) 152.8772", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 128.4428", "B) 140.6600", "C) 136.5876", "D) 152.8772"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "140.6600", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXJPUS-20240805-120d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 15.46\nB) 17.91\nC) 20.37\nD) 22.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 15.46", "B) 17.91", "C) 20.37", "D) 22.83"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-5d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 15.46\nB) 17.91\nC) 20.37\nD) 22.83", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 15.46", "B) 17.91", "C) 20.37", "D) 22.83"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "20.37", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-5d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 22.02\nB) 19.56\nC) 12.19\nD) 14.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 22.02", "B) 19.56", "C) 12.19", "D) 14.65"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-10d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 22.02\nB) 19.56\nC) 12.19\nD) 14.65", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 22.02", "B) 19.56", "C) 12.19", "D) 14.65"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "14.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-10d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 14.65\nB) 22.02\nC) 17.11\nD) 7.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 14.65", "B) 22.02", "C) 17.11", "D) 7.28"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-20d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 14.65\nB) 22.02\nC) 17.11\nD) 7.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 14.65", "B) 22.02", "C) 17.11", "D) 7.28"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "14.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-20d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 17.11\nB) 14.65\nC) 12.19\nD) 22.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 17.11", "B) 14.65", "C) 12.19", "D) 22.02"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-40d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 17.11\nB) 14.65\nC) 12.19\nD) 22.02", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 17.11", "B) 14.65", "C) 12.19", "D) 22.02"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "14.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-40d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 12.19\nB) 22.02\nC) 14.65\nD) 17.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 12.19", "B) 22.02", "C) 14.65", "D) 17.11"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-60d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 12.19\nB) 22.02\nC) 14.65\nD) 17.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 12.19", "B) 22.02", "C) 14.65", "D) 17.11"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.65", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-60d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20240805-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 7.86\nB) 15.23\nC) 10.31\nD) 12.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 7.86", "B) 15.23", "C) 10.31", "D) 12.77"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-120d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20240805-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 7.86\nB) 15.23\nC) 10.31\nD) 12.77", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 7.86", "B) 15.23", "C) 10.31", "D) 12.77"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "12.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20240805-120d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 16,780.61\nB) 17,866.17\nC) 13,523.92\nD) 15,695.05", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 16,780.61", "B) 17,866.17", "C) 13,523.92", "D) 15,695.05"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16,780.61", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-5d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 16,780.61\nB) 17,866.17\nC) 13,523.92\nD) 15,695.05", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 16,780.61", "B) 17,866.17", "C) 13,523.92", "D) 15,695.05"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "16,780.61", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-5d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 21,133.46\nB) 17,876.77\nC) 18,962.33\nD) 16,791.21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 21,133.46", "B) 17,876.77", "C) 18,962.33", "D) 16,791.21"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17,876.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-10d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 21,133.46\nB) 17,876.77\nC) 18,962.33\nD) 16,791.21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 21,133.46", "B) 17,876.77", "C) 18,962.33", "D) 16,791.21"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "17,876.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-10d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 20,090.11\nB) 15,747.87\nC) 17,918.99\nD) 21,175.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 20,090.11", "B) 15,747.87", "C) 17,918.99", "D) 21,175.68"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17,918.99", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-20d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 20,090.11\nB) 15,747.87\nC) 17,918.99\nD) 21,175.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 20,090.11", "B) 15,747.87", "C) 17,918.99", "D) 21,175.68"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17,918.99", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-20d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 21,446.98\nB) 19,275.85\nC) 20,361.41\nD) 18,190.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 21,446.98", "B) 19,275.85", "C) 20,361.41", "D) 18,190.29"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18,190.29", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-40d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 21,446.98\nB) 19,275.85\nC) 20,361.41\nD) 18,190.29", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 21,446.98", "B) 19,275.85", "C) 20,361.41", "D) 18,190.29"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18,190.29", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-40d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 18,712.75\nB) 21,969.44\nC) 15,456.06\nD) 17,627.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 18,712.75", "B) 21,969.44", "C) 15,456.06", "D) 17,627.19"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18,712.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-60d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 18,712.75\nB) 21,969.44\nC) 15,456.06\nD) 17,627.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 18,712.75", "B) 21,969.44", "C) 15,456.06", "D) 17,627.19"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18,712.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-60d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20240805-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 18,002.77\nB) 20,173.89\nC) 22,345.01\nD) 16,917.20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 18,002.77", "B) 20,173.89", "C) 22,345.01", "D) 16,917.20"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20,173.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-120d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20240805-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Yen carry-trade unwind\" on 2024-08-05, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-08-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-08-02.)\n\nA) 18,002.77\nB) 20,173.89\nC) 22,345.01\nD) 16,917.20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-08-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-08-02", "options": ["A) 18,002.77", "B) 20,173.89", "C) 22,345.01", "D) 16,917.20"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20,173.89", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Yen carry-trade unwind", "event_date": "2024-08-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20240805-120d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,537.30\nB) 15,429.64\nC) 18,983.47\nD) 21,352.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 22,537.30", "B) 15,429.64", "C) 18,983.47", "D) 21,352.69"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18,983.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-5d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,537.30\nB) 15,429.64\nC) 18,983.47\nD) 21,352.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 22,537.30", "B) 15,429.64", "C) 18,983.47", "D) 21,352.69"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18,983.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-5d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,233.95\nB) 17,495.51\nC) 19,864.73\nD) 18,680.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 22,233.95", "B) 17,495.51", "C) 19,864.73", "D) 18,680.12"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18,680.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-10d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,233.95\nB) 17,495.51\nC) 19,864.73\nD) 18,680.12", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 22,233.95", "B) 17,495.51", "C) 19,864.73", "D) 18,680.12"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18,680.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-10d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 18,680.12\nB) 19,864.73\nC) 21,049.34\nD) 16,310.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 18,680.12", "B) 19,864.73", "C) 21,049.34", "D) 16,310.90"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18,680.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-20d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 18,680.12\nB) 19,864.73\nC) 21,049.34\nD) 16,310.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 18,680.12", "B) 19,864.73", "C) 21,049.34", "D) 16,310.90"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18,680.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-20d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,233.95\nB) 18,680.12\nC) 15,126.29\nD) 17,495.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 22,233.95", "B) 18,680.12", "C) 15,126.29", "D) 17,495.51"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18,680.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-40d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 22,233.95\nB) 18,680.12\nC) 15,126.29\nD) 17,495.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 22,233.95", "B) 18,680.12", "C) 15,126.29", "D) 17,495.51"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18,680.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-40d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 15,126.29\nB) 16,310.90\nC) 18,680.12\nD) 21,049.34", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 15,126.29", "B) 16,310.90", "C) 18,680.12", "D) 21,049.34"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18,680.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-60d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 15,126.29\nB) 16,310.90\nC) 18,680.12\nD) 21,049.34", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 15,126.29", "B) 16,310.90", "C) 18,680.12", "D) 21,049.34"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "18,680.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-60d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20241105-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 17,637.13\nB) 14,083.30\nC) 11,714.08\nD) 15,267.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 17,637.13", "B) 14,083.30", "C) 11,714.08", "D) 15,267.91"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-120d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20241105-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 17,637.13\nB) 14,083.30\nC) 11,714.08\nD) 15,267.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 17,637.13", "B) 14,083.30", "C) 11,714.08", "D) 15,267.91"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20241105-120d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,001.35\nB) 6,303.41\nC) 5,699.29\nD) 6,605.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 6,001.35", "B) 6,303.41", "C) 5,699.29", "D) 6,605.46"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,001.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-5d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,001.35\nB) 6,303.41\nC) 5,699.29\nD) 6,605.46", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 6,001.35", "B) 6,303.41", "C) 5,699.29", "D) 6,605.46"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,001.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-5d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,605.46\nB) 6,001.35\nC) 6,907.52\nD) 5,095.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 6,605.46", "B) 6,001.35", "C) 6,907.52", "D) 5,095.18"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,001.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-10d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,605.46\nB) 6,001.35\nC) 6,907.52\nD) 5,095.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 6,605.46", "B) 6,001.35", "C) 6,907.52", "D) 5,095.18"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,001.35", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-10d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,992.66\nB) 5,482.38\nC) 6,086.49\nD) 5,784.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 6,992.66", "B) 5,482.38", "C) 6,086.49", "D) 5,784.43"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,086.49", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-20d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,992.66\nB) 5,482.38\nC) 6,086.49\nD) 5,784.43", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 6,992.66", "B) 5,482.38", "C) 6,086.49", "D) 5,784.43"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6,086.49", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-20d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,694.38\nB) 5,788.21\nC) 6,392.33\nD) 6,090.27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 6,694.38", "B) 5,788.21", "C) 6,392.33", "D) 6,090.27"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,090.27", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-40d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,694.38\nB) 5,788.21\nC) 6,392.33\nD) 6,090.27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 6,694.38", "B) 5,788.21", "C) 6,392.33", "D) 6,090.27"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,090.27", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-40d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,118.71\nB) 7,024.88\nC) 5,212.54\nD) 6,722.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 6,118.71", "B) 7,024.88", "C) 5,212.54", "D) 6,722.82"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,118.71", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-60d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,118.71\nB) 7,024.88\nC) 5,212.54\nD) 6,722.82", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 6,118.71", "B) 7,024.88", "C) 5,212.54", "D) 6,722.82"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,118.71", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-60d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20241105-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,748.26\nB) 6,144.15\nC) 5,540.04\nD) 5,237.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 6,748.26", "B) 6,144.15", "C) 5,540.04", "D) 5,237.98"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,144.15", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-120d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20241105-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6,748.26\nB) 6,144.15\nC) 5,540.04\nD) 5,237.98", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 6,748.26", "B) 6,144.15", "C) 5,540.04", "D) 5,237.98"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6,144.15", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20241105-120d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 4.11%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 4.68%", "B) 3.73%", "C) 4.30%", "D) 4.11%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-5d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 3.73%\nC) 4.30%\nD) 4.11%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 4.68%", "B) 3.73%", "C) 4.30%", "D) 4.11%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-5d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.49%\nB) 4.11%\nC) 3.73%\nD) 4.30%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 4.49%", "B) 4.11%", "C) 3.73%", "D) 4.30%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-10d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.49%\nB) 4.11%\nC) 3.73%\nD) 4.30%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 4.49%", "B) 4.11%", "C) 3.73%", "D) 4.30%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-10d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.55%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 3.60%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 4.17%", "B) 4.55%", "C) 3.98%", "D) 3.60%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.17%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-20d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.17%\nB) 4.55%\nC) 3.98%\nD) 3.60%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 4.17%", "B) 4.55%", "C) 3.98%", "D) 3.60%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.17%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-20d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.53%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 3.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 4.53%", "B) 4.15%", "C) 3.96%", "D) 3.58%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.15%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-40d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.53%\nB) 4.15%\nC) 3.96%\nD) 3.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 4.53%", "B) 4.15%", "C) 3.96%", "D) 3.58%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.15%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-40d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 3.77%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 4.53%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 3.77%", "B) 4.72%", "C) 4.15%", "D) 4.53%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.15%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-60d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 3.77%\nB) 4.72%\nC) 4.15%\nD) 4.53%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 3.77%", "B) 4.72%", "C) 4.15%", "D) 4.53%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.15%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-60d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20241105-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 4.01%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 4.39%", "B) 4.58%", "C) 3.63%", "D) 4.01%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.01%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-120d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20241105-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 4.58%\nC) 3.63%\nD) 4.01%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 4.39%", "B) 4.58%", "C) 3.63%", "D) 4.01%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.01%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20241105-120d-min", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0792\nB) 1.1292\nC) 1.0292\nD) 1.2042", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 1.0792", "B) 1.1292", "C) 1.0292", "D) 1.2042"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0792", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-5d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0792\nB) 1.1292\nC) 1.0292\nD) 1.2042", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 1.0792", "B) 1.1292", "C) 1.0292", "D) 1.2042"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0792", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-5d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0042\nB) 1.0792\nC) 1.1792\nD) 1.1292", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 1.0042", "B) 1.0792", "C) 1.1792", "D) 1.1292"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0792", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-10d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0042\nB) 1.0792\nC) 1.1792\nD) 1.1292", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 1.0042", "B) 1.0792", "C) 1.1792", "D) 1.1292"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0792", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-10d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0292\nB) 1.2042\nC) 1.0792\nD) 1.1542", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 1.0292", "B) 1.2042", "C) 1.0792", "D) 1.1542"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0792", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-20d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0292\nB) 1.2042\nC) 1.0792\nD) 1.1542", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 1.0292", "B) 1.2042", "C) 1.0792", "D) 1.1542"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0792", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-20d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0042\nB) 1.1292\nC) 0.9542\nD) 1.0792", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 1.0042", "B) 1.1292", "C) 0.9542", "D) 1.0792"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0792", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-40d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0042\nB) 1.1292\nC) 0.9542\nD) 1.0792", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 1.0042", "B) 1.1292", "C) 0.9542", "D) 1.0792"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0792", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-40d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0792\nB) 1.1292\nC) 1.2042\nD) 1.0292", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 1.0792", "B) 1.1292", "C) 1.2042", "D) 1.0292"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0792", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-60d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0792\nB) 1.1292\nC) 1.2042\nD) 1.0292", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 1.0792", "B) 1.1292", "C) 1.2042", "D) 1.0292"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0792", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-60d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20241105-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0758\nB) 1.1508\nC) 1.2258\nD) 1.0258", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 1.0758", "B) 1.1508", "C) 1.2258", "D) 1.0258"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1508", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-120d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20241105-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 1.0758\nB) 1.1508\nC) 1.2258\nD) 1.0258", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 1.0758", "B) 1.1508", "C) 1.2258", "D) 1.0258"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.1508", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20241105-120d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6.9299\nB) 7.3830\nC) 7.2320\nD) 7.0810", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 6.9299", "B) 7.3830", "C) 7.2320", "D) 7.0810"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.2320", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-5d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 6.9299\nB) 7.3830\nC) 7.2320\nD) 7.0810", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 6.9299", "B) 7.3830", "C) 7.2320", "D) 7.0810"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.2320", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-5d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.3969\nB) 7.0193\nC) 6.8683\nD) 7.2459", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 7.3969", "B) 7.0193", "C) 6.8683", "D) 7.2459"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.2459", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-10d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.3969\nB) 7.0193\nC) 6.8683\nD) 7.2459", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 7.3969", "B) 7.0193", "C) 6.8683", "D) 7.2459"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.2459", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-10d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.2858\nB) 7.0592\nC) 7.5124\nD) 7.6634", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 7.2858", "B) 7.0592", "C) 7.5124", "D) 7.6634"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.2858", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-20d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.2858\nB) 7.0592\nC) 7.5124\nD) 7.6634", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 7.2858", "B) 7.0592", "C) 7.5124", "D) 7.6634"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.2858", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-20d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.6999\nB) 7.3223\nC) 7.4733\nD) 7.1713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 7.6999", "B) 7.3223", "C) 7.4733", "D) 7.1713"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.3223", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-40d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.6999\nB) 7.3223\nC) 7.4733\nD) 7.1713", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 7.6999", "B) 7.3223", "C) 7.4733", "D) 7.1713"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.3223", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-40d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.4836\nB) 7.1816\nC) 7.3326\nD) 7.7102", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 7.4836", "B) 7.1816", "C) 7.3326", "D) 7.7102"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.3326", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-60d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.4836\nB) 7.1816\nC) 7.3326\nD) 7.7102", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 7.4836", "B) 7.1816", "C) 7.3326", "D) 7.7102"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.3326", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-60d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20241105-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.1989\nB) 7.6520\nC) 7.5009\nD) 7.3499", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 7.1989", "B) 7.6520", "C) 7.5009", "D) 7.3499"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.3499", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-120d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20241105-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump re-elected\" on 2024-11-05, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2024-11-05? (Use only information available on or before 2024-11-04.)\n\nA) 7.1989\nB) 7.6520\nC) 7.5009\nD) 7.3499", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2024-11-05", "info_cutoff": "2024-11-04", "options": ["A) 7.1989", "B) 7.6520", "C) 7.5009", "D) 7.3499"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.3499", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump re-elected", "event_date": "2024-11-05", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20241105-120d-max", "year": 2024} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.33%\nB) 3.16%\nC) 0.81%\nD) 7.85%", "options": ["A) 4.33%", "B) 3.16%", "C) 0.81%", "D) 7.85%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.33%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.47%\nB) 3.71%\nC) 18.35%\nD) -6.05%", "options": ["A) 13.47%", "B) 3.71%", "C) 18.35%", "D) -6.05%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.71%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -22.05%\nB) 15.26%\nC) 0.34%\nD) -7.12%", "options": ["A) -22.05%", "B) 15.26%", "C) 0.34%", "D) -7.12%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 298.73\nB) 309.26\nC) 340.84\nD) 319.79", "options": ["A) 298.73", "B) 309.26", "C) 340.84", "D) 319.79"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "319.79", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.30pp\nB) +2.60pp\nC) -3.16pp\nD) -2.00pp", "options": ["A) +0.30pp", "B) +2.60pp", "C) -3.16pp", "D) -2.00pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DGS10-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10-Year Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.83%\nB) 4.46%\nC) 3.09%\nD) 5.14%", "options": ["A) 5.83%", "B) 4.46%", "C) 3.09%", "D) 5.14%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.46%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $28.55/hr\nB) $33.57/hr\nC) $31.56/hr\nD) $32.56/hr", "options": ["A) $28.55/hr", "B) $33.57/hr", "C) $31.56/hr", "D) $32.56/hr"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$31.56/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 7.57%\nB) -3.85%\nC) 3.77%\nD) 1.86%", "options": ["A) 7.57%", "B) -3.85%", "C) 3.77%", "D) 1.86%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.86%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.38%\nB) -0.10%\nC) 3.62%\nD) 1.14%", "options": ["A) 2.38%", "B) -0.10%", "C) 3.62%", "D) 1.14%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.38%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $-33,635M\nB) $-49,168M\nC) $-64,701M\nD) $-25,869M", "options": ["A) $-33,635M", "B) $-49,168M", "C) $-64,701M", "D) $-25,869M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$-49,168M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.49%\nB) -23.02%\nC) 3.28%\nD) 12.04%", "options": ["A) -5.49%", "B) -23.02%", "C) 3.28%", "D) 12.04%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.28%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.07%\nB) -4.80%\nC) 3.87%\nD) 0.40%", "options": ["A) -3.07%", "B) -4.80%", "C) 3.87%", "D) 0.40%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "0.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-yoy_pct-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the USD Broad Index YoY % Change be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) -2.97%\nB) -7.62%\nC) 1.69%\nD) -9.95%", "options": ["A) -2.97%", "B) -7.62%", "C) 1.69%", "D) -9.95%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-2.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $271,748M\nB) $316,215M\nC) $331,037M\nD) $345,859M", "options": ["A) $271,748M", "B) $316,215M", "C) $331,037M", "D) $345,859M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$316,215M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-yoy_pct-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 YoY % Return be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 2.88%\nB) 36.53%\nC) 11.29%\nD) -13.95%", "options": ["A) 2.88%", "B) 36.53%", "C) 11.29%", "D) -13.95%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "11.29%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $653,720M\nB) $758,349M\nC) $679,878M\nD) $732,192M", "options": ["A) $653,720M", "B) $758,349M", "C) $679,878M", "D) $732,192M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$732,192M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) +1.16pp\nC) -1.56pp\nD) +0.71pp", "options": ["A) -0.20pp", "B) +1.16pp", "C) -1.56pp", "D) +0.71pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 73.76%\nB) 76.05%\nC) 70.72%\nD) 78.33%", "options": ["A) 73.76%", "B) 76.05%", "C) 70.72%", "D) 78.33%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "76.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 22.05%\nB) 5.93%\nC) -2.14%\nD) -26.32%", "options": ["A) 22.05%", "B) 5.93%", "C) -2.14%", "D) -26.32%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-2.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $75,895M\nB) $80,983M\nC) $74,199M\nD) $77,591M", "options": ["A) $75,895M", "B) $80,983M", "C) $74,199M", "D) $77,591M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$77,591M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 42,515.09\nB) 35,835.05\nC) 38,061.73\nD) 49,195.13", "options": ["A) 42,515.09", "B) 35,835.05", "C) 38,061.73", "D) 49,195.13"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "42,515.09", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 10.43%\nB) 4.30%\nC) 6.34%\nD) 2.26%", "options": ["A) 10.43%", "B) 4.30%", "C) 6.34%", "D) 2.26%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 271.76\nB) 232.05\nC) 258.52\nD) 245.29", "options": ["A) 271.76", "B) 232.05", "C) 258.52", "D) 245.29"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "258.52", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 313.72\nB) 298.57\nC) 344.04\nD) 328.88", "options": ["A) 313.72", "B) 298.57", "C) 344.04", "D) 328.88"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "328.88", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite Index be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 19,701.21\nB) 18,395.91\nC) 21,006.51\nD) 23,617.11", "options": ["A) 19,701.21", "B) 18,395.91", "C) 21,006.51", "D) 23,617.11"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19,701.21", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,533K\nB) 1,328K\nC) 1,464K\nD) 1,123K", "options": ["A) 1,533K", "B) 1,328K", "C) 1,464K", "D) 1,123K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,328K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.02pp\nB) +2.44pp\nC) -0.40pp\nD) +3.86pp", "options": ["A) +1.02pp", "B) +2.44pp", "C) -0.40pp", "D) +3.86pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 64.38%\nB) 61.25%\nC) 59.38%\nD) 62.50%", "options": ["A) 64.38%", "B) 61.25%", "C) 59.38%", "D) 62.50%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-SP500-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the S&P 500 Index be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 6,033.11\nB) 6,797.68\nC) 5,650.82\nD) 6,415.40", "options": ["A) 6,033.11", "B) 6,797.68", "C) 5,650.82", "D) 6,415.40"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,033.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 353.90\nB) 324.25\nC) 334.13\nD) 314.36", "options": ["A) 353.90", "B) 324.25", "C) 334.13", "D) 314.36"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "324.25", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 47.36\nB) 42.54\nC) 57.00\nD) 61.82", "options": ["A) 47.36", "B) 42.54", "C) 57.00", "D) 61.82"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "57.00", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 56.72%\nB) 61.49%\nC) 57.91%\nD) 59.70%", "options": ["A) 56.72%", "B) 61.49%", "C) 57.91%", "D) 59.70%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "59.70%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $23,092B\nB) $22,210B\nC) $24,854B\nD) $25,736B", "options": ["A) $23,092B", "B) $22,210B", "C) $24,854B", "D) $25,736B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$23,092B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DGS3MO-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS3MO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the US 3-Month Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 5.61%\nB) 4.43%\nC) 3.25%\nD) 7.96%", "options": ["A) 5.61%", "B) 4.43%", "C) 3.25%", "D) 7.96%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.59%\nB) -7.43%\nC) 0.58%\nD) -2.09%", "options": ["A) 8.59%", "B) -7.43%", "C) 0.58%", "D) -2.09%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $22,398B\nB) $19,581B\nC) $23,806B\nD) $21,694B", "options": ["A) $22,398B", "B) $19,581B", "C) $23,806B", "D) $21,694B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$21,694B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-yoy_pct-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", "question": "What will the US Bank Credit YoY % Change be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) 4.53%\nB) -0.88%\nC) 6.34%\nD) 2.73%", "options": ["A) 4.53%", "B) -0.88%", "C) 6.34%", "D) 2.73%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.53%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.23%\nB) 3.05%\nC) -0.47%\nD) 1.29%", "options": ["A) -2.23%", "B) 3.05%", "C) -0.47%", "D) 1.29%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.05%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.21%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 2.83%\nD) 4.05%", "options": ["A) 2.21%", "B) 4.67%", "C) 2.83%", "D) 4.05%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 345.26\nB) 306.12\nC) 315.90\nD) 325.69", "options": ["A) 345.26", "B) 306.12", "C) 315.90", "D) 325.69"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "325.69", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 76.13%\nB) 69.01%\nC) 78.98%\nD) 71.86%", "options": ["A) 76.13%", "B) 69.01%", "C) 78.98%", "D) 71.86%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "76.13%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DGS2-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS2", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the US 2-Year Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 3.01%\nB) 3.97%\nC) 6.84%\nD) 5.89%", "options": ["A) 3.01%", "B) 3.97%", "C) 6.84%", "D) 5.89%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-TOTBKCR-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TOTBKCR", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", "question": "What will the US Total Bank Credit (Billions USD) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) $20,042B\nB) $17,414B\nC) $18,465B\nD) $19,516B", "options": ["A) $20,042B", "B) $17,414B", "C) $18,465B", "D) $19,516B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$18,465B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $23,824B\nB) $18,589B\nC) $19,636B\nD) $20,683B", "options": ["A) $23,824B", "B) $18,589B", "C) $19,636B", "D) $20,683B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$20,683B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) +0.32pp\nB) -4.45pp\nC) -2.86pp\nD) +5.10pp", "options": ["A) +0.32pp", "B) -4.45pp", "C) -2.86pp", "D) +5.10pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "+0.32pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -4.10%\nB) 5.62%\nC) 8.86%\nD) 2.38%", "options": ["A) -4.10%", "B) 5.62%", "C) 8.86%", "D) 2.38%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5.62%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.02%\nB) 2.14%\nC) 5.10%\nD) 13.98%", "options": ["A) 11.02%", "B) 2.14%", "C) 5.10%", "D) 13.98%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5.10%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DTWEXBGS-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DTWEXBGS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the US Trade-Weighted USD Broad Index be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 131.88\nB) 113.12\nC) 127.19\nD) 120.16", "options": ["A) 131.88", "B) 113.12", "C) 127.19", "D) 120.16"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "120.16", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 101.04\nB) 96.21\nC) 105.87\nD) 109.09", "options": ["A) 101.04", "B) 96.21", "C) 105.87", "D) 109.09"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "101.04", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DEXJPUS-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXJPUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/JPY Spot Exchange Rate (JPY per USD) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 135.0279\nB) 144.1400\nC) 116.8038\nD) 171.4762", "options": ["A) 135.0279", "B) 144.1400", "C) 116.8038", "D) 171.4762"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "144.1400", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,600K\nB) 1,518K\nC) 1,355K\nD) 1,437K", "options": ["A) 1,600K", "B) 1,518K", "C) 1,355K", "D) 1,437K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,355K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.50%\nB) 3.39%\nC) 4.12%\nD) 2.67%", "options": ["A) 0.50%", "B) 3.39%", "C) 4.12%", "D) 2.67%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Case-Shiller Home Price Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 327.75\nB) 382.60\nC) 309.47\nD) 364.32", "options": ["A) 327.75", "B) 382.60", "C) 309.47", "D) 364.32"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "327.75", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 13.37%\nB) -1.32%\nC) 20.71%\nD) -23.36%", "options": ["A) 13.37%", "B) -1.32%", "C) 20.71%", "D) -23.36%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-1.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $6,200,000M\nC) $5,478M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $6,200,000M", "C) $5,478M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$5,478M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-T10Y2Y-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "T10Y2Y", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the US 10Y minus 2Y Treasury Spread be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) -0.19pp\nB) +0.83pp\nC) +1.51pp\nD) +0.49pp", "options": ["A) -0.19pp", "B) +0.83pp", "C) +1.51pp", "D) +0.49pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "+0.49pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) $75.05/bbl\nB) $56.91/bbl\nC) $84.12/bbl\nD) $65.98/bbl", "options": ["A) $75.05/bbl", "B) $56.91/bbl", "C) $84.12/bbl", "D) $65.98/bbl"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$75.05/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -1.02%\nB) 4.67%\nC) 13.20%\nD) -3.87%", "options": ["A) -1.02%", "B) 4.67%", "C) 13.20%", "D) -3.87%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $33.04/hr\nB) $30.01/hr\nC) $31.02/hr\nD) $29.00/hr", "options": ["A) $33.04/hr", "B) $30.01/hr", "C) $31.02/hr", "D) $29.00/hr"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$31.02/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 12.27%\nB) 2.55%\nC) 17.13%\nD) 7.41%", "options": ["A) 12.27%", "B) 2.55%", "C) 17.13%", "D) 7.41%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.41%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.75%\nB) 7.72%\nC) -4.15%\nD) 10.69%", "options": ["A) 4.75%", "B) 7.72%", "C) -4.15%", "D) 10.69%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.75%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 98.62\nB) 101.67\nC) 106.75\nD) 103.70", "options": ["A) 98.62", "B) 101.67", "C) 106.75", "D) 103.70"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "101.67", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 165,174K\nB) 148,181K\nC) 158,377K\nD) 161,776K", "options": ["A) 165,174K", "B) 148,181K", "C) 158,377K", "D) 161,776K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "158,377K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-ICSA-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "ICSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", "question": "What will the US Initial Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) 378,475\nB) 107,525\nC) 649,425\nD) 243,000", "options": ["A) 378,475", "B) 107,525", "C) 649,425", "D) 243,000"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "243,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 125.94\nB) 118.70\nC) 122.32\nD) 133.18", "options": ["A) 125.94", "B) 118.70", "C) 122.32", "D) 133.18"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "125.94", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.96%\nB) 4.22%\nC) 3.09%\nD) 0.83%", "options": ["A) 1.96%", "B) 4.22%", "C) 3.09%", "D) 0.83%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.22%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $6,200,000M\nB) $2,400,000M\nC) $5,775M\nD) $4,300,000M", "options": ["A) $6,200,000M", "B) $2,400,000M", "C) $5,775M", "D) $4,300,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$5,775M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 61.25%\nB) 63.75%\nC) 65.00%\nD) 62.50%", "options": ["A) 61.25%", "B) 63.75%", "C) 65.00%", "D) 62.50%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "62.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 330.42\nB) 320.78\nC) 349.69\nD) 340.05", "options": ["A) 330.42", "B) 320.78", "C) 349.69", "D) 340.05"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "330.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-MORTGAGE30US-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "MORTGAGE30US", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) 8.61%\nB) 6.84%\nC) 4.19%\nD) 9.49%", "options": ["A) 8.61%", "B) 6.84%", "C) 4.19%", "D) 9.49%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "6.84%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) $64.08/bbl\nB) $47.18/bbl\nC) $72.53/bbl\nD) $97.88/bbl", "options": ["A) $64.08/bbl", "B) $47.18/bbl", "C) $72.53/bbl", "D) $97.88/bbl"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$72.53/bbl", "unit": "usd_per_barrel", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -2.25%\nB) 0.24%\nC) 7.73%\nD) 5.24%", "options": ["A) -2.25%", "B) 0.24%", "C) 7.73%", "D) 5.24%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.16%\nB) 2.45%\nC) 3.02%\nD) 5.31%", "options": ["A) 4.16%", "B) 2.45%", "C) 3.02%", "D) 5.31%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $20,577B\nB) $22,170B\nC) $21,374B\nD) $23,365B", "options": ["A) $20,577B", "B) $22,170B", "C) $21,374B", "D) $23,365B"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$22,170B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 0.72%\nB) 14.50%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 11.06%", "options": ["A) 0.72%", "B) 14.50%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 11.06%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.17%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILBRENTEU-yoy_pct-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILBRENTEU", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the Brent Oil YoY % Change be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) -37.54%\nB) 19.59%\nC) -94.66%\nD) -8.98%", "options": ["A) -37.54%", "B) 19.59%", "C) -94.66%", "D) -8.98%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-8.98%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.19%\nB) 9.83%\nC) -4.08%\nD) -8.71%", "options": ["A) 5.19%", "B) 9.83%", "C) -4.08%", "D) -8.71%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.19%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.38pp\nB) +0.30pp\nC) +1.98pp\nD) +3.66pp", "options": ["A) -1.38pp", "B) +0.30pp", "C) +1.98pp", "D) +3.66pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.30pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 159.22\nB) 136.78\nC) 150.25\nD) 145.76", "options": ["A) 159.22", "B) 136.78", "C) 150.25", "D) 145.76"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "150.25", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 16.79%\nB) 11.64%\nC) 6.49%\nD) 1.34%", "options": ["A) 16.79%", "B) 11.64%", "C) 6.49%", "D) 1.34%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.34%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-VIXCLS-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the CBOE VIX Index be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 19.11\nB) 27.82\nC) 22.01\nD) 10.40", "options": ["A) 19.11", "B) 27.82", "C) 22.01", "D) 10.40"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19.11", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 124.19\nB) 127.62\nC) 134.49\nD) 137.92", "options": ["A) 124.19", "B) 127.62", "C) 134.49", "D) 137.92"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "127.62", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -3.16%\nB) 10.03%\nC) 3.44%\nD) 13.33%", "options": ["A) -3.16%", "B) 10.03%", "C) 3.44%", "D) 13.33%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.44%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DEXUSEU-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 1.0094\nB) 1.0689\nC) 1.2473\nD) 1.1581", "options": ["A) 1.0094", "B) 1.0689", "C) 1.2473", "D) 1.1581"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.1581", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.20%\nB) 5.37%\nC) 6.55%\nD) 7.72%", "options": ["A) 4.20%", "B) 5.37%", "C) 6.55%", "D) 7.72%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) +5.08pp\nB) -15.00pp\nC) -28.38pp\nD) -35.08pp", "options": ["A) +5.08pp", "B) -15.00pp", "C) -28.38pp", "D) -35.08pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-15.00pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $-149,126M\nB) $-115,951M\nC) $-135,856M\nD) $-122,586M", "options": ["A) $-149,126M", "B) $-115,951M", "C) $-135,856M", "D) $-122,586M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-135,856M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.93%\nB) 2.23%\nC) 5.47%\nD) 3.85%", "options": ["A) 4.93%", "B) 2.23%", "C) 5.47%", "D) 3.85%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 1,415K\nB) 1,568K\nC) 1,262K\nD) 1,339K", "options": ["A) 1,415K", "B) 1,568K", "C) 1,262K", "D) 1,339K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1,415K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-NASDAQCOM-yoy_pct-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the NASDAQ Composite YoY % Return be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 36.66%\nB) 11.89%\nC) -0.50%\nD) 24.27%", "options": ["A) 36.66%", "B) 11.89%", "C) -0.50%", "D) 24.27%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "11.89%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DEXCHUS-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 7.0105\nB) 7.5160\nC) 7.1790\nD) 7.3475", "options": ["A) 7.0105", "B) 7.5160", "C) 7.1790", "D) 7.3475"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.1790", "unit": "fx_rate", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 28.02%\nB) 8.03%\nC) -11.96%\nD) -1.96%", "options": ["A) 28.02%", "B) 8.03%", "C) -11.96%", "D) -1.96%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-1.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 158,548K\nB) 163,890K\nC) 171,902K\nD) 150,535K", "options": ["A) 158,548K", "B) 163,890K", "C) 171,902K", "D) 150,535K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "158,548K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.67%\nB) 2.79%\nC) 0.15%\nD) 1.91%", "options": ["A) 3.67%", "B) 2.79%", "C) 0.15%", "D) 1.91%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.79%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 27.54%\nB) 21.70%\nC) 10.02%\nD) 4.18%", "options": ["A) 27.54%", "B) 21.70%", "C) 10.02%", "D) 4.18%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "10.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 123.65\nB) 130.26\nC) 133.56\nD) 126.95", "options": ["A) 123.65", "B) 130.26", "C) 133.56", "D) 126.95"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "126.95", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.20pp\nB) -0.93pp\nC) +0.16pp\nD) +0.53pp", "options": ["A) -0.20pp", "B) -0.93pp", "C) +0.16pp", "D) +0.53pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.20pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 158.25\nB) 148.06\nC) 132.76\nD) 163.35", "options": ["A) 158.25", "B) 148.06", "C) 132.76", "D) 163.35"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "148.06", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DCOILWTICO-yoy_pct-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DCOILWTICO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the WTI Oil YoY % Change be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) -65.26%\nB) 20.78%\nC) -7.90%\nD) -36.58%", "options": ["A) -65.26%", "B) 20.78%", "C) -7.90%", "D) -36.58%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-7.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.71pp\nB) -2.63pp\nC) -4.81pp\nD) -0.46pp", "options": ["A) +1.71pp", "B) -2.63pp", "C) -4.81pp", "D) -0.46pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.46pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.83%\nB) 20.80%\nC) 9.49%\nD) 32.12%", "options": ["A) -1.83%", "B) 20.80%", "C) 9.49%", "D) 32.12%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-1.83%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $78,456M\nB) $75,781M\nC) $73,106M\nD) $81,130M", "options": ["A) $78,456M", "B) $75,781M", "C) $73,106M", "D) $81,130M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$75,781M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -43.37pp\nB) -1.43pp\nC) -22.40pp\nD) -29.39pp", "options": ["A) -43.37pp", "B) -1.43pp", "C) -22.40pp", "D) -29.39pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-22.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 115.16\nB) 128.64\nC) 118.53\nD) 125.27", "options": ["A) 115.16", "B) 128.64", "C) 118.53", "D) 125.27"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "125.27", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.90%\nB) 62.77%\nC) 56.08%\nD) 57.99%", "options": ["A) 59.90%", "B) 62.77%", "C) 56.08%", "D) 57.99%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "59.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.83%\nB) 2.43%\nC) -6.09%\nD) 6.68%", "options": ["A) -1.83%", "B) 2.43%", "C) -6.09%", "D) 6.68%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "2.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 7.76%\nB) -4.21%\nC) 0.58%\nD) -1.81%", "options": ["A) 7.76%", "B) -4.21%", "C) 0.58%", "D) -1.81%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.58%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 292.14\nB) 231.97\nC) 252.03\nD) 262.05", "options": ["A) 292.14", "B) 231.97", "C) 252.03", "D) 262.05"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "262.05", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 3.02%\nB) 1.88%\nC) 4.16%\nD) 5.30%", "options": ["A) 3.02%", "B) 1.88%", "C) 4.16%", "D) 5.30%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DGS30-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS30", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the US 30-Year Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 4.37%\nB) 4.96%\nC) 6.13%\nD) 6.72%", "options": ["A) 4.37%", "B) 4.96%", "C) 6.13%", "D) 6.72%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.96%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $18,413B\nB) $20,273B\nC) $21,202B\nD) $19,343B", "options": ["A) $18,413B", "B) $20,273B", "C) $21,202B", "D) $19,343B"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$21,202B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -3.39pp\nB) +0.60pp\nC) -2.39pp\nD) -0.40pp", "options": ["A) -3.39pp", "B) +0.60pp", "C) -2.39pp", "D) -0.40pp"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "-0.40pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.40%\nB) 5.97%\nC) 4.92%\nD) 3.36%", "options": ["A) 4.40%", "B) 5.97%", "C) 4.92%", "D) 3.36%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.40%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) -0.16%\nB) 4.24%\nC) 8.63%\nD) -4.56%", "options": ["A) -0.16%", "B) 4.24%", "C) 8.63%", "D) -4.56%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.24%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DJIA-yoy_pct-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DJIA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the Dow Jones YoY % Return be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 16.76%\nB) 2.89%\nC) 9.82%\nD) -4.05%", "options": ["A) 16.76%", "B) 2.89%", "C) 9.82%", "D) -4.05%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9.82%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.34%\nB) 1.16%\nC) 1.99%\nD) 2.81%", "options": ["A) 0.34%", "B) 1.16%", "C) 1.99%", "D) 2.81%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "2.81%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CSUSHPINSA-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CSUSHPINSA", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Home Price YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 1.30%\nB) 11.51%\nC) 8.10%\nD) -5.51%", "options": ["A) 1.30%", "B) 11.51%", "C) 8.10%", "D) -5.51%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) -2.60%\nB) 3.16%\nC) 5.08%\nD) 8.92%", "options": ["A) -2.60%", "B) 3.16%", "C) 5.08%", "D) 8.92%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.16%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) $345,460M\nB) $335,022M\nC) $314,147M\nD) $282,834M", "options": ["A) $345,460M", "B) $335,022M", "C) $314,147M", "D) $282,834M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$314,147M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $21,849B\nB) $24,416B\nC) $20,137B\nD) $22,704B", "options": ["A) $21,849B", "B) $24,416B", "C) $20,137B", "D) $22,704B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$22,704B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 55.10\nB) 59.72\nC) 50.48\nD) 68.95", "options": ["A) 55.10", "B) 59.72", "C) 50.48", "D) 68.95"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "55.10", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 2.28%\nB) 3.02%\nC) 4.49%\nD) 0.81%", "options": ["A) 2.28%", "B) 3.02%", "C) 4.49%", "D) 0.81%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.02%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.39%\nB) 3.34%\nC) 2.36%\nD) 5.31%", "options": ["A) 0.39%", "B) 3.34%", "C) 2.36%", "D) 5.31%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "2.36%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 13.19%\nB) -1.45%\nC) 8.31%\nD) 3.43%", "options": ["A) 13.19%", "B) -1.45%", "C) 8.31%", "D) 3.43%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.43%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20250901", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "September 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-08-01", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for September 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-08-01.)\n\nA) 4.14%\nB) 8.26%\nC) 0.03%\nD) -8.20%", "options": ["A) 4.14%", "B) 8.26%", "C) 0.03%", "D) -8.20%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.14%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-CCSA-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CCSA", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-06", "question": "What will the US Continued Jobless Claims (Number) be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-06.)\n\nA) 3,607,597\nB) 1,960,000\nC) 6,902,790\nD) 5,255,193", "options": ["A) 3,607,597", "B) 1,960,000", "C) 6,902,790", "D) 5,255,193"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,960,000", "unit": "count", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-DGS5-level-20250615", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGS5", "transform": "level", "target_period": "2025-06-15", "info_cutoff": "2025-06-08", "question": "What will the US 5-Year Treasury Yield be for 2025-06-15? (Use only information available on or before 2025-06-08.)\n\nA) 6.41%\nB) 1.67%\nC) 4.04%\nD) 2.46%", "options": ["A) 6.41%", "B) 1.67%", "C) 4.04%", "D) 2.46%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.04%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,398K\nB) 1,314K\nC) 1,648K\nD) 1,481K", "options": ["A) 1,398K", "B) 1,314K", "C) 1,648K", "D) 1,481K"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1,481K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20250301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2025", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2025? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-29.)\n\nA) $723,339M\nB) $652,209M\nC) $758,904M\nD) $794,469M", "options": ["A) $723,339M", "B) $652,209M", "C) $758,904M", "D) $794,469M"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$723,339M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 17,619.71\nB) 15,267.91\nC) 14,092.01\nD) 11,740.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 17,619.71", "B) 15,267.91", "C) 14,092.01", "D) 11,740.22"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 17,619.71\nB) 15,267.91\nC) 14,092.01\nD) 11,740.22", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 17,619.71", "B) 15,267.91", "C) 14,092.01", "D) 11,740.22"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 14,092.01\nB) 12,916.11\nC) 15,267.91\nD) 18,795.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 14,092.01", "B) 12,916.11", "C) 15,267.91", "D) 18,795.60"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 14,092.01\nB) 12,916.11\nC) 15,267.91\nD) 18,795.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 14,092.01", "B) 12,916.11", "C) 15,267.91", "D) 18,795.60"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 16,443.81\nB) 17,619.71\nC) 11,740.22\nD) 15,267.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 16,443.81", "B) 17,619.71", "C) 11,740.22", "D) 15,267.91"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 16,443.81\nB) 17,619.71\nC) 11,740.22\nD) 15,267.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 16,443.81", "B) 17,619.71", "C) 11,740.22", "D) 15,267.91"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 15,267.91\nB) 17,619.71\nC) 14,092.01\nD) 18,795.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 15,267.91", "B) 17,619.71", "C) 14,092.01", "D) 18,795.60"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 15,267.91\nB) 17,619.71\nC) 14,092.01\nD) 18,795.60", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 15,267.91", "B) 17,619.71", "C) 14,092.01", "D) 18,795.60"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 18,795.60\nB) 15,267.91\nC) 11,740.22\nD) 14,092.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 18,795.60", "B) 15,267.91", "C) 11,740.22", "D) 14,092.01"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 18,795.60\nB) 15,267.91\nC) 11,740.22\nD) 14,092.01", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 18,795.60", "B) 15,267.91", "C) 11,740.22", "D) 14,092.01"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250402-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 14,092.01\nB) 11,740.22\nC) 15,267.91\nD) 12,916.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 14,092.01", "B) 11,740.22", "C) 15,267.91", "D) 12,916.11"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250402-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 14,092.01\nB) 11,740.22\nC) 15,267.91\nD) 12,916.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 14,092.01", "B) 11,740.22", "C) 15,267.91", "D) 12,916.11"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250402-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 6,097.97\nB) 5,777.44\nC) 6,418.51\nD) 5,456.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 6,097.97", "B) 5,777.44", "C) 6,418.51", "D) 5,456.90"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,456.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-5d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 6,097.97\nB) 5,777.44\nC) 6,418.51\nD) 5,456.90", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 6,097.97", "B) 5,777.44", "C) 6,418.51", "D) 5,456.90"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,456.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-5d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,456.90\nB) 6,097.97\nC) 4,495.29\nD) 6,418.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 5,456.90", "B) 6,097.97", "C) 4,495.29", "D) 6,418.51"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,456.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-10d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,456.90\nB) 6,097.97\nC) 4,495.29\nD) 6,418.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 5,456.90", "B) 6,097.97", "C) 4,495.29", "D) 6,418.51"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,456.90", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-10d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,924.68\nB) 5,604.14\nC) 4,642.53\nD) 6,245.21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 5,924.68", "B) 5,604.14", "C) 4,642.53", "D) 6,245.21"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,604.14", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-20d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,924.68\nB) 5,604.14\nC) 4,642.53\nD) 6,245.21", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 5,924.68", "B) 5,604.14", "C) 4,642.53", "D) 6,245.21"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,604.14", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-20d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,322.53\nB) 5,001.99\nC) 5,963.60\nD) 6,604.67", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 5,322.53", "B) 5,001.99", "C) 5,963.60", "D) 6,604.67"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,963.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-40d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,322.53\nB) 5,001.99\nC) 5,963.60\nD) 6,604.67", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 5,322.53", "B) 5,001.99", "C) 5,963.60", "D) 6,604.67"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,963.60", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-40d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,243.34\nB) 6,846.02\nC) 6,525.49\nD) 6,204.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 5,243.34", "B) 6,846.02", "C) 6,525.49", "D) 6,204.95"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,204.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-60d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 5,243.34\nB) 6,846.02\nC) 6,525.49\nD) 6,204.95", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 5,243.34", "B) 6,846.02", "C) 6,525.49", "D) 6,204.95"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "6,204.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-60d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250402-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 6,693.75\nB) 6,373.21\nC) 6,052.68\nD) 7,655.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 6,693.75", "B) 6,373.21", "C) 6,052.68", "D) 7,655.36"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,693.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-120d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250402-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 6,693.75\nB) 6,373.21\nC) 6,052.68\nD) 7,655.36", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 6,693.75", "B) 6,373.21", "C) 6,052.68", "D) 7,655.36"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "6,693.75", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250402-120d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 25.33\nB) 30.02\nC) 34.71\nD) 26.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 25.33", "B) 30.02", "C) 34.71", "D) 26.89"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "30.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 25.33\nB) 30.02\nC) 34.71\nD) 26.89", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 25.33", "B) 30.02", "C) 34.71", "D) 26.89"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "30.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 33.15\nB) 26.89\nC) 30.02\nD) 34.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 33.15", "B) 26.89", "C) 30.02", "D) 34.71"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 33.15\nB) 26.89\nC) 30.02\nD) 34.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 33.15", "B) 26.89", "C) 30.02", "D) 34.71"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "30.02", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 22.61\nB) 21.04\nC) 28.86\nD) 24.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 22.61", "B) 21.04", "C) 28.86", "D) 24.17"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.17", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 22.61\nB) 21.04\nC) 28.86\nD) 24.17", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 22.61", "B) 21.04", "C) 28.86", "D) 24.17"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "24.17", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 17.24\nB) 14.11\nC) 18.80\nD) 21.93", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 17.24", "B) 14.11", "C) 18.80", "D) 21.93"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 17.24\nB) 14.11\nC) 18.80\nD) 21.93", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 17.24", "B) 14.11", "C) 18.80", "D) 21.93"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 18.15\nB) 16.59\nC) 19.72\nD) 21.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 18.15", "B) 16.59", "C) 19.72", "D) 21.28"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.59", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 18.15\nB) 16.59\nC) 19.72\nD) 21.28", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 18.15", "B) 16.59", "C) 19.72", "D) 21.28"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.59", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250402-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 11.09\nB) 17.35\nC) 14.22\nD) 12.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 11.09", "B) 17.35", "C) 14.22", "D) 12.66"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250402-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 11.09\nB) 17.35\nC) 14.22\nD) 12.66", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 11.09", "B) 17.35", "C) 14.22", "D) 12.66"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250402-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 3.82%", "B) 4.17%", "C) 4.51%", "D) 4.34%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-5d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 3.82%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 4.51%\nD) 4.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 3.82%", "B) 4.17%", "C) 4.51%", "D) 4.34%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.34%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-5d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.13%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 4.48%", "B) 4.65%", "C) 5.00%", "D) 4.13%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.48%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-10d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.48%\nB) 4.65%\nC) 5.00%\nD) 4.13%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 4.48%", "B) 4.65%", "C) 5.00%", "D) 4.13%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.48%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-10d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 3.96%\nB) 4.48%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.65%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 3.96%", "B) 4.48%", "C) 4.31%", "D) 4.65%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.48%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-20d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 3.96%\nB) 4.48%\nC) 4.31%\nD) 4.65%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 3.96%", "B) 4.48%", "C) 4.31%", "D) 4.65%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.48%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-20d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 4.41%", "B) 4.93%", "C) 4.58%", "D) 4.75%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-40d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.41%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 4.58%\nD) 4.75%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 4.41%", "B) 4.93%", "C) 4.58%", "D) 4.75%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-40d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 4.06%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 4.23%", "B) 4.06%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 4.58%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-60d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.23%\nB) 4.06%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.58%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 4.23%", "B) 4.06%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 4.58%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-60d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250402-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.23%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 4.58%", "B) 4.93%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 4.23%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-120d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250402-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 4.58%\nB) 4.93%\nC) 4.75%\nD) 4.23%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 4.58%", "B) 4.93%", "C) 4.75%", "D) 4.23%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.58%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250402-120d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.2162\nB) 1.0912\nC) 1.1412\nD) 1.0162", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 1.2162", "B) 1.0912", "C) 1.1412", "D) 1.0162"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0912", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.2162\nB) 1.0912\nC) 1.1412\nD) 1.0162", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 1.2162", "B) 1.0912", "C) 1.1412", "D) 1.0162"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0912", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1412\nB) 1.0412\nC) 1.0912\nD) 1.1912", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 1.1412", "B) 1.0412", "C) 1.0912", "D) 1.1912"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0912", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1412\nB) 1.0412\nC) 1.0912\nD) 1.1912", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 1.1412", "B) 1.0412", "C) 1.0912", "D) 1.1912"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0912", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1662\nB) 1.0412\nC) 1.2162\nD) 1.0912", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 1.1662", "B) 1.0412", "C) 1.2162", "D) 1.0912"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0912", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1662\nB) 1.0412\nC) 1.2162\nD) 1.0912", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 1.1662", "B) 1.0412", "C) 1.2162", "D) 1.0912"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "1.0912", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.0912\nB) 0.9662\nC) 1.0162\nD) 1.1412", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 1.0912", "B) 0.9662", "C) 1.0162", "D) 1.1412"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0912", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.0912\nB) 0.9662\nC) 1.0162\nD) 1.1412", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 1.0912", "B) 0.9662", "C) 1.0162", "D) 1.1412"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "1.0912", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1662\nB) 1.0912\nC) 1.0162\nD) 1.2162", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 1.1662", "B) 1.0912", "C) 1.0162", "D) 1.2162"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0912", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.1662\nB) 1.0912\nC) 1.0162\nD) 1.2162", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 1.1662", "B) 1.0912", "C) 1.0162", "D) 1.2162"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1.0912", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXUSEU-20250402-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.0412\nB) 0.9662\nC) 1.0912\nD) 1.1662", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 1.0412", "B) 0.9662", "C) 1.0912", "D) 1.1662"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0912", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXUSEU-20250402-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the minimum value of the EUR/USD Spot Exchange Rate (USD per EUR) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 1.0412\nB) 0.9662\nC) 1.0912\nD) 1.1662", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXUSEU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 1.0412", "B) 0.9662", "C) 1.0912", "D) 1.1662"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1.0912", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXUSEU-20250402-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.7909\nC) 7.5704\nD) 7.3499", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 7.1294", "B) 7.7909", "C) 7.5704", "D) 7.3499"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.3499", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-5d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.7909\nC) 7.5704\nD) 7.3499", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 7.1294", "B) 7.7909", "C) 7.5704", "D) 7.3499"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.3499", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-5d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.3499\nB) 6.8354\nC) 7.1294\nD) 7.5704", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 7.3499", "B) 6.8354", "C) 7.1294", "D) 7.5704"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.3499", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-10d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.3499\nB) 6.8354\nC) 7.1294\nD) 7.5704", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 7.3499", "B) 6.8354", "C) 7.1294", "D) 7.5704"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.3499", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-10d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.3499\nC) 7.8644\nD) 7.5704", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 7.1294", "B) 7.3499", "C) 7.8644", "D) 7.5704"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.3499", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-20d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.3499\nC) 7.8644\nD) 7.5704", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 7.1294", "B) 7.3499", "C) 7.8644", "D) 7.5704"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.3499", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-20d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 6.8354\nC) 7.3499\nD) 7.5704", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 7.1294", "B) 6.8354", "C) 7.3499", "D) 7.5704"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.3499", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-40d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 6.8354\nC) 7.3499\nD) 7.5704", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 7.1294", "B) 6.8354", "C) 7.3499", "D) 7.5704"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.3499", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-40d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.5704\nC) 6.9089\nD) 7.3499", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 7.1294", "B) 7.5704", "C) 6.9089", "D) 7.3499"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.3499", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-60d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.1294\nB) 7.5704\nC) 6.9089\nD) 7.3499", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 7.1294", "B) 7.5704", "C) 6.9089", "D) 7.3499"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.3499", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-60d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250402-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.3499\nB) 7.1294\nC) 7.7909\nD) 7.5704", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 7.3499", "B) 7.1294", "C) 7.7909", "D) 7.5704"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.3499", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-120d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250402-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs\" on 2025-04-02, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-02? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-01.)\n\nA) 7.3499\nB) 7.1294\nC) 7.7909\nD) 7.5704", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-02", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-01", "options": ["A) 7.3499", "B) 7.1294", "C) 7.7909", "D) 7.5704"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.3499", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs", "event_date": "2025-04-02", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250402-120d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 19,155.88\nB) 16,831.48\nC) 15,669.28\nD) 14,507.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 19,155.88", "B) 16,831.48", "C) 15,669.28", "D) 14,507.08"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16,831.48", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-5d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 19,155.88\nB) 16,831.48\nC) 15,669.28\nD) 14,507.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 19,155.88", "B) 16,831.48", "C) 15,669.28", "D) 14,507.08"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16,831.48", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-5d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 16,003.84\nB) 13,679.44\nC) 17,166.04\nD) 18,328.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 16,003.84", "B) 13,679.44", "C) 17,166.04", "D) 18,328.24"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17,166.04", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-10d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 16,003.84\nB) 13,679.44\nC) 17,166.04\nD) 18,328.24", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 16,003.84", "B) 13,679.44", "C) 17,166.04", "D) 18,328.24"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17,166.04", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-10d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 15,653.33\nB) 16,815.53\nC) 21,464.33\nD) 17,977.73", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 15,653.33", "B) 16,815.53", "C) 21,464.33", "D) 17,977.73"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17,977.73", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-20d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 15,653.33\nB) 16,815.53\nC) 21,464.33\nD) 17,977.73", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 15,653.33", "B) 16,815.53", "C) 21,464.33", "D) 17,977.73"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "17,977.73", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-20d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 19,529.95\nB) 18,367.75\nC) 17,205.55\nD) 16,043.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 19,529.95", "B) 18,367.75", "C) 17,205.55", "D) 16,043.35"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19,529.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-40d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 19,529.95\nB) 18,367.75\nC) 17,205.55\nD) 16,043.35", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 19,529.95", "B) 18,367.75", "C) 17,205.55", "D) 16,043.35"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19,529.95", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-40d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 17,114.50\nB) 20,601.10\nC) 18,276.70\nD) 24,087.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 17,114.50", "B) 20,601.10", "C) 18,276.70", "D) 24,087.70"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20,601.10", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-60d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 17,114.50\nB) 20,601.10\nC) 18,276.70\nD) 24,087.70", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 17,114.50", "B) 20,601.10", "C) 18,276.70", "D) 24,087.70"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "20,601.10", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-60d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250409-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 26,275.58\nB) 20,464.58\nC) 22,788.98\nD) 25,113.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 26,275.58", "B) 20,464.58", "C) 22,788.98", "D) 25,113.38"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22,788.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-120d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250409-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 26,275.58\nB) 20,464.58\nC) 22,788.98\nD) 25,113.38", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 26,275.58", "B) 20,464.58", "C) 22,788.98", "D) 25,113.38"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "22,788.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250409-120d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,633.07\nB) 6,220.53\nC) 5,585.54\nD) 5,268.05", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4,633.07", "B) 6,220.53", "C) 5,585.54", "D) 5,268.05"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,268.05", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,633.07\nB) 6,220.53\nC) 5,585.54\nD) 5,268.05", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4,633.07", "B) 6,220.53", "C) 5,585.54", "D) 5,268.05"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,268.05", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 5,158.20\nB) 5,475.69\nC) 4,205.72\nD) 4,840.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 5,158.20", "B) 5,475.69", "C) 4,205.72", "D) 4,840.71"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,158.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 5,158.20\nB) 5,475.69\nC) 4,205.72\nD) 4,840.71", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 5,158.20", "B) 5,475.69", "C) 4,205.72", "D) 4,840.71"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,158.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,523.22\nB) 5,158.20\nC) 6,110.68\nD) 5,793.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4,523.22", "B) 5,158.20", "C) 6,110.68", "D) 5,793.18"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,158.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,523.22\nB) 5,158.20\nC) 6,110.68\nD) 5,793.18", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4,523.22", "B) 5,158.20", "C) 6,110.68", "D) 5,793.18"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,158.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,840.71\nB) 4,205.72\nC) 5,158.20\nD) 5,475.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4,840.71", "B) 4,205.72", "C) 5,158.20", "D) 5,475.69"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,158.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,840.71\nB) 4,205.72\nC) 5,158.20\nD) 5,475.69", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4,840.71", "B) 4,205.72", "C) 5,158.20", "D) 5,475.69"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,158.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,205.72\nB) 4,523.22\nC) 4,840.71\nD) 5,158.20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4,205.72", "B) 4,523.22", "C) 4,840.71", "D) 5,158.20"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,158.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4,205.72\nB) 4,523.22\nC) 4,840.71\nD) 5,158.20", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4,205.72", "B) 4,523.22", "C) 4,840.71", "D) 5,158.20"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,158.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250409-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 5,158.20\nB) 4,523.22\nC) 4,205.72\nD) 6,110.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 5,158.20", "B) 4,523.22", "C) 4,205.72", "D) 6,110.68"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,158.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250409-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 5,158.20\nB) 4,523.22\nC) 4,205.72\nD) 6,110.68", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 5,158.20", "B) 4,523.22", "C) 4,205.72", "D) 6,110.68"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,158.20", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250409-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 32.13\nB) 30.12\nC) 24.08\nD) 34.15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 32.13", "B) 30.12", "C) 24.08", "D) 34.15"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "30.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 32.13\nB) 30.12\nC) 24.08\nD) 34.15", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 32.13", "B) 30.12", "C) 24.08", "D) 34.15"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "30.12", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 28.48\nB) 20.43\nC) 26.47\nD) 32.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 28.48", "B) 20.43", "C) 26.47", "D) 32.51"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "26.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 28.48\nB) 20.43\nC) 26.47\nD) 32.51", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 28.48", "B) 20.43", "C) 26.47", "D) 32.51"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "26.47", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 26.51\nB) 28.52\nC) 16.44\nD) 22.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 26.51", "B) 28.52", "C) 16.44", "D) 22.48"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.48", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 26.51\nB) 28.52\nC) 16.44\nD) 22.48", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 26.51", "B) 28.52", "C) 16.44", "D) 22.48"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "22.48", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 17.24\nB) 23.28\nC) 13.21\nD) 21.27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 17.24", "B) 23.28", "C) 13.21", "D) 21.27"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 17.24\nB) 23.28\nC) 13.21\nD) 21.27", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 17.24", "B) 23.28", "C) 13.21", "D) 21.27"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "17.24", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 22.36\nB) 16.32\nC) 14.31\nD) 18.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 22.36", "B) 16.32", "C) 14.31", "D) 18.33"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 22.36\nB) 16.32\nC) 14.31\nD) 18.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 22.36", "B) 16.32", "C) 14.31", "D) 18.33"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "16.32", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250409-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 18.25\nB) 20.26\nC) 14.22\nD) 10.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 18.25", "B) 20.26", "C) 14.22", "D) 10.19"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250409-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 18.25\nB) 20.26\nC) 14.22\nD) 10.19", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 18.25", "B) 20.26", "C) 14.22", "D) 10.19"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "14.22", "unit": "index", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250409-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 3.95%\nB) 4.46%\nC) 4.63%\nD) 4.29%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 3.95%", "B) 4.46%", "C) 4.63%", "D) 4.29%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.29%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 3.95%\nB) 4.46%\nC) 4.63%\nD) 4.29%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 3.95%", "B) 4.46%", "C) 4.63%", "D) 4.29%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.29%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.29%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 4.46%\nD) 3.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4.29%", "B) 3.95%", "C) 4.46%", "D) 3.78%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.29%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.29%\nB) 3.95%\nC) 4.46%\nD) 3.78%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4.29%", "B) 3.95%", "C) 4.46%", "D) 3.78%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.29%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 3.66%\nD) 4.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4.68%", "B) 4.17%", "C) 3.66%", "D) 4.34%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.17%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 4.17%\nC) 3.66%\nD) 4.34%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4.68%", "B) 4.17%", "C) 3.66%", "D) 4.34%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.17%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.51%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 3.83%", "B) 4.00%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 4.51%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.17%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 3.83%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 4.17%\nD) 4.51%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 3.83%", "B) 4.00%", "C) 4.17%", "D) 4.51%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4.17%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 4.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4.68%", "B) 4.00%", "C) 3.83%", "D) 4.17%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.17%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.68%\nB) 4.00%\nC) 3.83%\nD) 4.17%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4.68%", "B) 4.00%", "C) 3.83%", "D) 4.17%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.17%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DGS10-20250409-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.01%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 4.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4.01%", "B) 3.50%", "C) 4.35%", "D) 4.52%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.01%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DGS10-20250409-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the minimum value of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 4.01%\nB) 3.50%\nC) 4.35%\nD) 4.52%", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DGS10", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 4.01%", "B) 3.50%", "C) 4.35%", "D) 4.52%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "4.01%", "unit": "%", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DGS10-20250409-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.1687\nB) 7.3150\nC) 7.0224\nD) 7.4613", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 7.1687", "B) 7.3150", "C) 7.0224", "D) 7.4613"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.3150", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-5d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 5 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.1687\nB) 7.3150\nC) 7.0224\nD) 7.4613", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 7.1687", "B) 7.3150", "C) 7.0224", "D) 7.4613"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.3150", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-5d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 6.9493\nB) 7.5345\nC) 7.3150\nD) 7.1687", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 6.9493", "B) 7.5345", "C) 7.3150", "D) 7.1687"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.3150", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-10d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 10 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 6.9493\nB) 7.5345\nC) 7.3150\nD) 7.1687", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 6.9493", "B) 7.5345", "C) 7.3150", "D) 7.1687"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.3150", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-10d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.6808\nB) 7.4613\nC) 7.0956\nD) 7.3150", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 7.6808", "B) 7.4613", "C) 7.0956", "D) 7.3150"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.3150", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-20d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 20 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.6808\nB) 7.4613\nC) 7.0956\nD) 7.3150", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 7.6808", "B) 7.4613", "C) 7.0956", "D) 7.3150"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "7.3150", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-20d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.3150\nB) 7.1687\nC) 7.5345\nD) 7.6808", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 7.3150", "B) 7.1687", "C) 7.5345", "D) 7.6808"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.3150", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-40d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 40 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.3150\nB) 7.1687\nC) 7.5345\nD) 7.6808", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 7.3150", "B) 7.1687", "C) 7.5345", "D) 7.6808"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "7.3150", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-40d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.0956\nB) 7.3150\nC) 7.4613\nD) 7.6076", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 7.0956", "B) 7.3150", "C) 7.4613", "D) 7.6076"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.3150", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-60d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 60 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.0956\nB) 7.3150\nC) 7.4613\nD) 7.6076", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 7.0956", "B) 7.3150", "C) 7.4613", "D) 7.6076"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "7.3150", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-60d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-DEXCHUS-20250409-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.0956\nB) 7.6808\nC) 7.3150\nD) 7.4613", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 7.0956", "B) 7.6808", "C) 7.3150", "D) 7.4613"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.3150", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-120d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-DEXCHUS-20250409-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"Trump 90-day tariff pause\" on 2025-04-09, what will be the maximum value of the USD/CNY Spot Exchange Rate (CNY per USD) over the 120 trading days starting 2025-04-09? (Use only information available on or before 2025-04-08.)\n\nA) 7.0956\nB) 7.6808\nC) 7.3150\nD) 7.4613", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "DEXCHUS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-04-09", "info_cutoff": "2025-04-08", "options": ["A) 7.0956", "B) 7.6808", "C) 7.3150", "D) 7.4613"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "7.3150", "unit": "fx_rate", "event_label": "Trump 90-day tariff pause", "event_date": "2025-04-09", "pair_id": "PAIR-DEXCHUS-20250409-120d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 16,928.25\nB) 21,855.67\nC) 18,160.10\nD) 19,391.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 16,928.25", "B) 21,855.67", "C) 18,160.10", "D) 19,391.96"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "19,391.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 16,928.25\nB) 21,855.67\nC) 18,160.10\nD) 19,391.96", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 16,928.25", "B) 21,855.67", "C) 18,160.10", "D) 19,391.96"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "19,391.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 19,391.96\nB) 20,623.82\nC) 15,696.39\nD) 16,928.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 19,391.96", "B) 20,623.82", "C) 15,696.39", "D) 16,928.25"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19,391.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 19,391.96\nB) 20,623.82\nC) 15,696.39\nD) 16,928.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 19,391.96", "B) 20,623.82", "C) 15,696.39", "D) 16,928.25"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "19,391.96", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 16,562.68\nB) 19,026.39\nC) 15,330.82\nD) 20,258.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 16,562.68", "B) 19,026.39", "C) 15,330.82", "D) 20,258.25"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19,026.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 16,562.68\nB) 19,026.39\nC) 15,330.82\nD) 20,258.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 16,562.68", "B) 19,026.39", "C) 15,330.82", "D) 20,258.25"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "19,026.39", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 18,534.87\nB) 13,607.44\nC) 17,303.01\nD) 14,839.30", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 18,534.87", "B) 13,607.44", "C) 17,303.01", "D) 14,839.30"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17,303.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 18,534.87\nB) 13,607.44\nC) 17,303.01\nD) 14,839.30", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 18,534.87", "B) 13,607.44", "C) 17,303.01", "D) 14,839.30"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "17,303.01", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 17,731.62\nB) 14,036.05\nC) 12,804.20\nD) 15,267.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 17,731.62", "B) 14,036.05", "C) 12,804.20", "D) 15,267.91"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 17,731.62\nB) 14,036.05\nC) 12,804.20\nD) 15,267.91", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 17,731.62", "B) 14,036.05", "C) 12,804.20", "D) 15,267.91"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-NASDAQCOM-20250127-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 15,267.91\nB) 12,804.20\nC) 14,036.05\nD) 11,572.34", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 15,267.91", "B) 12,804.20", "C) 14,036.05", "D) 11,572.34"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-NASDAQCOM-20250127-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the NASDAQ Composite Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 15,267.91\nB) 12,804.20\nC) 14,036.05\nD) 11,572.34", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "NASDAQCOM", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 15,267.91", "B) 12,804.20", "C) 14,036.05", "D) 11,572.34"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "15,267.91", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-NASDAQCOM-20250127-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-5d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,014.11\nB) 5,994.57\nC) 6,648.21\nD) 5,667.75", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 5,014.11", "B) 5,994.57", "C) 6,648.21", "D) 5,667.75"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,994.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-5d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,014.11\nB) 5,994.57\nC) 6,648.21\nD) 5,667.75", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 5,014.11", "B) 5,994.57", "C) 6,648.21", "D) 5,667.75"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "5,994.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-5d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-10d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 6,321.39\nB) 6,975.03\nC) 5,994.57\nD) 5,014.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 6,321.39", "B) 6,975.03", "C) 5,994.57", "D) 5,014.11"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,994.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-10d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 6,321.39\nB) 6,975.03\nC) 5,994.57\nD) 5,014.11", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 6,321.39", "B) 6,975.03", "C) 5,994.57", "D) 5,014.11"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "5,994.57", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-10d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-20d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 6,608.89\nB) 6,282.07\nC) 4,974.79\nD) 5,955.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 6,608.89", "B) 6,282.07", "C) 4,974.79", "D) 5,955.25"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,955.25", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-20d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 6,608.89\nB) 6,282.07\nC) 4,974.79\nD) 5,955.25", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 6,608.89", "B) 6,282.07", "C) 4,974.79", "D) 5,955.25"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "5,955.25", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-20d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-40d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,521.52\nB) 6,501.98\nC) 4,541.06\nD) 6,175.16", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 5,521.52", "B) 6,501.98", "C) 4,541.06", "D) 6,175.16"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,521.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-40d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,521.52\nB) 6,501.98\nC) 4,541.06\nD) 6,175.16", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 5,521.52", "B) 6,501.98", "C) 4,541.06", "D) 6,175.16"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5,521.52", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-40d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-60d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,963.23\nB) 4,982.77\nC) 4,002.31\nD) 5,309.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 5,963.23", "B) 4,982.77", "C) 4,002.31", "D) 5,309.59"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,982.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-60d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,963.23\nB) 4,982.77\nC) 4,002.31\nD) 5,309.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 5,963.23", "B) 4,982.77", "C) 4,002.31", "D) 5,309.59"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4,982.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-60d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-SP500-20250127-120d-min", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,636.41\nB) 4,329.13\nC) 4,982.77\nD) 5,309.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 5,636.41", "B) 4,329.13", "C) 4,982.77", "D) 5,309.59"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,982.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-SP500-20250127-120d-min", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the minimum value of the S&P 500 Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 5,636.41\nB) 4,329.13\nC) 4,982.77\nD) 5,309.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "SP500", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 5,636.41", "B) 4,329.13", "C) 4,982.77", "D) 5,309.59"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "4,982.77", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-SP500-20250127-120d-min", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-5d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 21.84\nB) 20.23\nC) 15.40\nD) 18.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 21.84", "B) 20.23", "C) 15.40", "D) 18.62"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-5d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-5d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 5 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 21.84\nB) 20.23\nC) 15.40\nD) 18.62", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "5d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 21.84", "B) 20.23", "C) 15.40", "D) 18.62"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "18.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-5d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-10d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 18.62\nB) 17.01\nC) 13.79\nD) 20.23", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 18.62", "B) 17.01", "C) 13.79", "D) 20.23"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-10d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-10d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 10 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 18.62\nB) 17.01\nC) 13.79\nD) 20.23", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "10d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 18.62", "B) 17.01", "C) 13.79", "D) 20.23"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "18.62", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-10d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-20d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 15.76\nB) 18.98\nC) 14.15\nD) 20.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 15.76", "B) 18.98", "C) 14.15", "D) 20.59"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-20d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-20d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 20 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 15.76\nB) 18.98\nC) 14.15\nD) 20.59", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "20d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 15.76", "B) 18.98", "C) 14.15", "D) 20.59"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "18.98", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-20d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-40d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 23.03\nB) 32.69\nC) 27.86\nD) 31.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 23.03", "B) 32.69", "C) 27.86", "D) 31.08"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-40d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-40d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 40 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 23.03\nB) 32.69\nC) 27.86\nD) 31.08", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "40d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 23.03", "B) 32.69", "C) 27.86", "D) 31.08"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "27.86", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-40d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-60d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 50.72\nB) 53.94\nC) 55.55\nD) 52.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 50.72", "B) 53.94", "C) 55.55", "D) 52.33"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "52.33", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-60d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-60d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 60 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 50.72\nB) 53.94\nC) 55.55\nD) 52.33", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "60d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 50.72", "B) 53.94", "C) 55.55", "D) 52.33"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "52.33", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-60d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-BLIND-VIXCLS-20250127-120d-max", "condition": "blind", "question": "What will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 52.33\nB) 53.94\nC) 55.55\nD) 47.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 52.33", "B) 53.94", "C) 55.55", "D) 47.50"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "52.33", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-120d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "SHK-REVEAL-VIXCLS-20250127-120d-max", "condition": "revealed", "question": "Following the event \"DeepSeek AI selloff\" on 2025-01-27, what will be the maximum value of the CBOE VIX Index over the 120 trading days starting 2025-01-27? (Use only information available on or before 2025-01-24.)\n\nA) 52.33\nB) 53.94\nC) 55.55\nD) 47.50", "forecastType": "Non-Recurrent", "subtype": "shock_aftermath", "indicator": "VIXCLS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "120d from 2025-01-27", "info_cutoff": "2025-01-24", "options": ["A) 52.33", "B) 53.94", "C) 55.55", "D) 47.50"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "52.33", "unit": "index", "event_label": "DeepSeek AI selloff", "event_date": "2025-01-27", "pair_id": "PAIR-VIXCLS-20250127-120d-max", "year": 2025} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 104.86\nB) 101.81\nC) 98.75\nD) 108.93", "options": ["A) 104.86", "B) 101.81", "C) 98.75", "D) 108.93"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "101.81", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex Orders YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.56%\nB) 2.78%\nC) 9.47%\nD) 19.51%", "options": ["A) -0.56%", "B) 2.78%", "C) 9.47%", "D) 19.51%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "9.47%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $25,347B\nB) $21,857B\nC) $26,220B\nD) $23,602B", "options": ["A) $25,347B", "B) $21,857B", "C) $26,220B", "D) $23,602B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$23,602B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population Ratio be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 59.20%\nB) 57.42%\nC) 60.98%\nD) 63.34%", "options": ["A) 59.20%", "B) 57.42%", "C) 60.98%", "D) 63.34%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "59.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 296.83\nB) 276.42\nC) 283.22\nD) 256.01", "options": ["A) 296.83", "B) 276.42", "C) 283.22", "D) 256.01"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "276.42", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-INDPRO-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "INDPRO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Industrial Production YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.97%\nB) -2.69%\nC) 0.76%\nD) -4.42%", "options": ["A) -0.97%", "B) -2.69%", "C) 0.76%", "D) -4.42%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.76%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Advance Retail Sales (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $817,063M\nB) $689,677M\nC) $795,832M\nD) $753,370M", "options": ["A) $817,063M", "B) $689,677M", "C) $795,832M", "D) $753,370M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$753,370M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 75.67%\nB) 73.40%\nC) 77.94%\nD) 80.21%", "options": ["A) 75.67%", "B) 73.40%", "C) 77.94%", "D) 80.21%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "75.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 146.66\nB) 154.37\nC) 142.80\nD) 158.23", "options": ["A) 146.66", "B) 154.37", "C) 142.80", "D) 158.23"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "154.37", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-BOPGSTB-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOPGSTB", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Trade Balance (Millions USD, negative=deficit) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $-68,659M\nB) $-51,955M\nC) $-60,307M\nD) $-43,604M", "options": ["A) $-68,659M", "B) $-51,955M", "C) $-60,307M", "D) $-43,604M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$-60,307M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.65%\nB) 5.00%\nC) 3.60%\nD) 4.30%", "options": ["A) 4.65%", "B) 5.00%", "C) 3.60%", "D) 4.30%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.30%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 3.50%\nB) 5.12%\nC) 5.93%\nD) 1.88%", "options": ["A) 3.50%", "B) 5.12%", "C) 5.93%", "D) 1.88%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "3.50%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.66%\nB) 3.55%\nC) 2.99%\nD) 2.43%", "options": ["A) 4.66%", "B) 3.55%", "C) 2.99%", "D) 2.43%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.55%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 65.00%\nB) 60.04%\nC) 61.90%\nD) 63.76%", "options": ["A) 65.00%", "B) 60.04%", "C) 61.90%", "D) 63.76%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "61.90%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -5.09%\nB) -13.07%\nC) 18.82%\nD) 10.85%", "options": ["A) -5.09%", "B) -13.07%", "C) 18.82%", "D) 10.85%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "10.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.67%\nB) 2.01%\nC) 0.69%\nD) 3.33%", "options": ["A) 2.67%", "B) 2.01%", "C) 0.69%", "D) 3.33%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "2.67%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-FEDFUNDS-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "FEDFUNDS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Effective Federal Funds Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1.55%\nB) 3.64%\nC) 5.73%\nD) 2.59%", "options": ["A) 1.55%", "B) 3.64%", "C) 5.73%", "D) 2.59%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.64%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $2,400,000M\nB) $4,300,000M\nC) $5,459M\nD) $6,200,000M", "options": ["A) $2,400,000M", "B) $4,300,000M", "C) $5,459M", "D) $6,200,000M"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "$5,459M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE Price Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 119.84\nB) 135.57\nC) 132.42\nD) 129.28", "options": ["A) 119.84", "B) 135.57", "C) 132.42", "D) 129.28"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "129.28", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Total Nonfarm Payrolls (Thousands of jobs) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 158,621K\nB) 169,690K\nC) 163,048K\nD) 154,194K", "options": ["A) 158,621K", "B) 169,690K", "C) 163,048K", "D) 154,194K"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "158,621K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PSAVERT-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PSAVERT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Saving Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 8.66%\nB) 3.60%\nC) 6.97%\nD) 5.29%", "options": ["A) 8.66%", "B) 3.60%", "C) 6.97%", "D) 5.29%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "3.60%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -13.71%\nB) 15.42%\nC) 0.85%\nD) -8.86%", "options": ["A) -13.71%", "B) 15.42%", "C) 0.85%", "D) -8.86%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "0.85%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.39%\nB) 0.12%\nC) 6.53%\nD) 3.32%", "options": ["A) 4.39%", "B) 0.12%", "C) 6.53%", "D) 3.32%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "3.32%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $22,686B\nB) $21,804B\nC) $23,274B\nD) $24,156B", "options": ["A) $22,686B", "B) $21,804B", "C) $23,274B", "D) $24,156B"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "$22,686B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-NEWORDER-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "NEWORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core Capex New Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $79,268M\nB) $82,960M\nC) $85,421M\nD) $76,806M", "options": ["A) $79,268M", "B) $82,960M", "C) $85,421M", "D) $76,806M"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "$82,960M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPILFE-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPILFE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core PCE YoY Inflation Rate be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 4.81%\nB) 4.28%\nC) 3.20%\nD) 2.67%", "options": ["A) 4.81%", "B) 4.28%", "C) 3.20%", "D) 2.67%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.20%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-CPILFESL-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPILFESL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Core CPI Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 352.38\nB) 361.49\nC) 325.06\nD) 334.17", "options": ["A) 352.38", "B) 361.49", "C) 325.06", "D) 334.17"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "334.17", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PAYEMS-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PAYEMS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Nonfarm Payrolls YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.15%\nB) 1.45%\nC) -2.44%\nD) 2.74%", "options": ["A) 0.15%", "B) 1.45%", "C) -2.44%", "D) 2.74%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "0.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-EMRATIO-yoy_pp-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "EMRATIO", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Employment-Population YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) +1.66pp\nB) -0.70pp\nC) +0.88pp\nD) -2.28pp", "options": ["A) +1.66pp", "B) -0.70pp", "C) +0.88pp", "D) -2.28pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-0.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-yoy_pp-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Sentiment YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) +16.44pp\nB) +3.01pp\nC) -3.70pp\nD) -23.84pp", "options": ["A) +16.44pp", "B) +3.01pp", "C) -3.70pp", "D) -23.84pp"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "-3.70pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (Billions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $20,142B\nB) $19,283B\nC) $21,001B\nD) $21,860B", "options": ["A) $20,142B", "B) $19,283B", "C) $21,001B", "D) $21,860B"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$21,860B", "unit": "usd_billion", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PCE-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.69%\nB) 12.56%\nC) -1.17%\nD) 1.12%", "options": ["A) 5.69%", "B) 12.56%", "C) -1.17%", "D) 1.12%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "5.69%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-UMCSENT-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UMCSENT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the U Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 57.96\nB) 53.30\nC) 62.61\nD) 67.27", "options": ["A) 57.96", "B) 53.30", "C) 62.61", "D) 67.27"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "53.30", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PPIACO-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIACO", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI All Commodities YoY Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 2.11%\nB) 21.37%\nC) 6.92%\nD) -7.52%", "options": ["A) 2.11%", "B) 21.37%", "C) 6.92%", "D) -7.52%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "6.92%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-DGORDER-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DGORDER", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Durable Goods Orders (Millions USD) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $309,526M\nB) $337,676M\nC) $300,142M\nD) $318,909M", "options": ["A) $309,526M", "B) $337,676M", "C) $300,142M", "D) $318,909M"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$318,909M", "unit": "usd_million", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -7.97%\nB) 6.05%\nC) -28.99%\nD) -0.96%", "options": ["A) -7.97%", "B) 6.05%", "C) -28.99%", "D) -0.96%"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-7.97%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PERMIT-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PERMIT", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Building Permits (Thousands of units) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,211K\nB) 1,363K\nC) 1,515K\nD) 1,439K", "options": ["A) 1,211K", "B) 1,363K", "C) 1,515K", "D) 1,439K"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "1,363K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-CPIAUCSL-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CPIAUCSL", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US CPI Index (1982-84=100) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 348.25\nB) 357.23\nC) 330.29\nD) 303.36", "options": ["A) 348.25", "B) 357.23", "C) 330.29", "D) 303.36"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "330.29", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-AHETPI-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "AHETPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Average Hourly Earnings be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) $35.03/hr\nB) $33.09/hr\nC) $29.21/hr\nD) $32.12/hr", "options": ["A) $35.03/hr", "B) $33.09/hr", "C) $29.21/hr", "D) $32.12/hr"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "$32.12/hr", "unit": "usd_per_hour", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-CIVPART-yoy_pp-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "CIVPART", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Labor Force Participation YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.60pp\nB) +0.14pp\nC) -1.34pp\nD) -0.11pp", "options": ["A) -0.60pp", "B) +0.14pp", "C) -1.34pp", "D) -0.11pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.60pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-UNRATE-yoy_pp-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "UNRATE", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Unemployment Rate YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -1.91pp\nB) +0.10pp\nC) +3.12pp\nD) +2.11pp", "options": ["A) -1.91pp", "B) +0.10pp", "C) +3.12pp", "D) +2.11pp"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "+0.10pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-HOUST-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "HOUST", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Housing Starts (Thousands of units) be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 1,433K\nB) 1,709K\nC) 1,502K\nD) 1,571K", "options": ["A) 1,433K", "B) 1,709K", "C) 1,502K", "D) 1,571K"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "1,502K", "unit": "thousand_units", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-RSAFS-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "RSAFS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Retail Sales YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 0.00%\nB) 16.60%\nC) 12.45%\nD) 4.15%", "options": ["A) 0.00%", "B) 16.60%", "C) 12.45%", "D) 4.15%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.15%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-TCU-yoy_pp-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "TCU", "transform": "yoy_pp", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Capacity Utilization YoY pp change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -0.46pp\nB) +4.07pp\nC) +2.56pp\nD) -3.48pp", "options": ["A) -0.46pp", "B) +4.07pp", "C) +2.56pp", "D) -3.48pp"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "-0.46pp", "unit": "pp", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-M2SL-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "M2SL", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US M2 Money Supply YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 11.39%\nB) 4.57%\nC) 1.17%\nD) 7.98%", "options": ["A) 11.39%", "B) 4.57%", "C) 1.17%", "D) 7.98%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "4.57%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-DSPI-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "DSPI", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Disposable Personal Income YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 12.23%\nB) -4.33%\nC) 3.95%\nD) 9.47%", "options": ["A) 12.23%", "B) -4.33%", "C) 3.95%", "D) 9.47%"], "answer_letter": "C", "answer_raw": "3.95%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PPIFIS-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PPIFIS", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US PPI Final Demand YoY Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 5.95%\nB) 7.63%\nC) 2.58%\nD) 4.27%", "options": ["A) 5.95%", "B) 7.63%", "C) 2.58%", "D) 4.27%"], "answer_letter": "D", "answer_raw": "4.27%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-PCEPI-level-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "PCEPI", "transform": "level", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US PCE Price Index be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) 130.34\nB) 139.85\nC) 124.01\nD) 133.51", "options": ["A) 130.34", "B) 139.85", "C) 124.01", "D) 133.51"], "answer_letter": "A", "answer_raw": "130.34", "unit": "index", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} +{"qid": "REC-BOGMBASE-yoy_pct-20260301", "forecastType": "Recurrent", "subtype": "recurrent", "indicator": "BOGMBASE", "transform": "yoy_pct", "target_period": "March 2026", "info_cutoff": "2026-01-29", "question": "What will the US Monetary Base YoY % Change be for March 2026? (Use only information available on or before 2026-01-29.)\n\nA) -20.71%\nB) -5.48%\nC) 9.76%\nD) 2.14%", "options": ["A) -20.71%", "B) -5.48%", "C) 9.76%", "D) 2.14%"], "answer_letter": "B", "answer_raw": "-5.48%", "unit": "%", "condition": "forecast", "year": 2026} diff --git a/*.parquet/mcq_all.parquet b/*.parquet/mcq_all.parquet new file mode 100644 index 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000..c92ec54b65b9edd1b0c754b05979e343ae7e6a36 --- /dev/null +++ b/*.parquet/mcq_all.parquet @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 +oid sha256:951c75c2f9d2a788ffa540605a242a6eb4ed2ccea81e420f04ae7038ccdf9239 +size 479393